WEBVTT - Not Clear That Regeneron Is Helpful, Toner Says

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're right here every day bringing you the

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<v Speaker 1>latest news from the world's of business and finance, plus technology, politics, economics,

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<v Speaker 1>all harnessing the power of Business Week reporters and editors.

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<v Speaker 1>And of course Carol that's part of a team of

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<v Speaker 1>twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts more than a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and twenty countries and Jason. You can download Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week on iTunes, SoundCloud, bl Bloomberg dot com. You can

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<v Speaker 1>also listen to our radio show at two pm Eastern

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio every weekday, or watch us on YouTube

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<v Speaker 1>by searching Bloomberg Global News. Let's get into the virus.

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<v Speaker 1>Understand where we are. It is a fast moving story,

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<v Speaker 1>to say the least, things changing minute to minute and

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<v Speaker 1>certainly day by day. We're lucky to have with this.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Eric Turner. He is a senior scholar at the

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<v Speaker 1>Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security at the Bloomberg School

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<v Speaker 1>of Public Health. Of course to Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School

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<v Speaker 1>of Public Health, you can probably guess by the name.

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<v Speaker 1>It's supported by Mike Bloomberg. He is the founder of

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Philanthropies as well as Bloombergilpie, the parent of this

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<v Speaker 1>radio station, and Dr Turner joins us on the phone. So,

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Turner, what's the most important thing we need to

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<v Speaker 1>know about the virus today? Well, I think the most

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<v Speaker 1>important thing we need to know is that RUSS isn't

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<v Speaker 1>going away. Um, more than half the safe states are

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<v Speaker 1>seeing increasing cases. And um, you know, it's still in

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<v Speaker 1>every state and still in every country, so it's not

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<v Speaker 1>going anywhere. We will be continuing to live with this

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<v Speaker 1>for quite some time. Is there anything though about the progression?

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<v Speaker 1>Like I was saying early at the top of our broadcast,

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Turner, that I was watching kind of I was

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<v Speaker 1>watching the evening news programs and they were talking about

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<v Speaker 1>the hotspot now that is was Wisconsin, Uh, and getting

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<v Speaker 1>towards you know, some really um tough situations right now

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<v Speaker 1>of running out of space and hospitals essentially where we

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<v Speaker 1>were several months ago. Can you see anything though, as

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<v Speaker 1>we continue to move further and further into this pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>that we are learning, we are learning how to treat it,

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<v Speaker 1>we are learning how to quickly get hot spots under

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<v Speaker 1>control or yes, and no, Well, we know how to

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<v Speaker 1>get hot hot spots under control. We've done it now

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<v Speaker 1>multiple times. Uh. It requires that people adhere to the

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<v Speaker 1>same guidance that we've been giving them for months, which

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<v Speaker 1>is need to wear masks, you need to maintain distance,

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<v Speaker 1>you need to avoid indoor crowded spaces. Uh, you need

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<v Speaker 1>to be tested, we need to contact trace. Um. All

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<v Speaker 1>those things are still true and they all still work. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>It's it's when people don't adhere to the to that

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<v Speaker 1>guidance that we see these outbreaks. These outbreaks don't happen randomly.

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<v Speaker 1>That happen because people aren't adhering, um to what we

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<v Speaker 1>know works. So wait, all right, you kind of gave

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<v Speaker 1>us a softball there in terms of setting up what

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<v Speaker 1>happened over the last week. In terms of the President

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<v Speaker 1>and the White House. I feel like all those things

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<v Speaker 1>you said, from mass to social distancing to avoiding closed spaces,

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<v Speaker 1>like it was like a checklist of everything the White

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<v Speaker 1>House did wrong. Yes, yes, I mean it. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>the science is clear, the messages have been clear. We

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we know they've worked in every location, not

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<v Speaker 1>only in this country but around the world. UM. And

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<v Speaker 1>the White House's refusal to follow their own government's advice

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<v Speaker 1>has led to this super spreading event that's been um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, surrounding the president. And so once we saw

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<v Speaker 1>the president diagnosed, and we saw him go to Walter

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<v Speaker 1>Read and and I'll set aside for a second what

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<v Speaker 1>seemed to be conflicting information or lack of information that

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<v Speaker 1>we're getting from his doctors and leave that for another day.

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<v Speaker 1>But from what we know of the treatment meant Dr Turner,

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<v Speaker 1>what are we to take as sort of regular people

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<v Speaker 1>who you know, God forbid if we have to deal

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<v Speaker 1>with it personally or on behalf of a family member,

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<v Speaker 1>what do we take away from his course of treatment?

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<v Speaker 1>What do you take away from it as someone who

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<v Speaker 1>really understands the various therapeutics. So he got many of

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<v Speaker 1>the available therapeutics. Is the only one he did not

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<v Speaker 1>get his consolescent plasma UM. So they used a shotgun

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<v Speaker 1>approach and in treating him UM. It's not clear whether

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<v Speaker 1>this was because he wanted it or because the doctor's

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<v Speaker 1>recommended it, but nonetheless he got it UM. He got

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<v Speaker 1>UM the monoclonal antibodies from the regenera incorporation UM. That

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<v Speaker 1>is something that is not available to the rest of us,

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<v Speaker 1>it is not yet UM licensed or authorized. He got

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<v Speaker 1>steroids decks of methazone, which is readily availa bol um.

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<v Speaker 1>He got from de Severe, which is the anti viral,

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<v Speaker 1>which is also pretty widely available for hospitalized patients. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>So many of the things that he got our things

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<v Speaker 1>that UM the rest of us to get. UM. The

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<v Speaker 1>one that stands out is the Regenerata Mono Colonel anybody,

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<v Speaker 1>which is not widely available. So if if he was

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<v Speaker 1>your patient, we we've talked a lot about this Dr

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<v Speaker 1>Towner that you know, executive medicine, if you're an executive

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<v Speaker 1>and have access. I mean, he has access to the

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<v Speaker 1>best healthcare in the world, understandably, and we do want

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<v Speaker 1>that for our leaders, right. UM. But I do wonder

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<v Speaker 1>if you were his doctor, would you have done the

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<v Speaker 1>same thing a shotgun approach? And I do also wonder

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<v Speaker 1>is that what it was or can we read something

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<v Speaker 1>into the case of COVID nineteen that he had And

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<v Speaker 1>we just have about a minute, then we'll do some

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<v Speaker 1>news and come back. Yeah, it's it's hard to know

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<v Speaker 1>because we don't have the details of this case, so

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<v Speaker 1>it's hard to know. UM. Yeah, it would be total

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<v Speaker 1>speculation at this point for me to comment on that,

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<v Speaker 1>But would you do the same the same thing in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of a shotgun approach if you had a CEO

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<v Speaker 1>who came to you and said, listen, this is what

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<v Speaker 1>I've got, you know, would you have done the same thing?

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<v Speaker 1>To be fair, Yeah, to be fair, I would have

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<v Speaker 1>given him everything that I thought was appropriate. And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>some of the things that we got were clearly appropriate

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<v Speaker 1>and some of them were, well, I don't know, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>maybe not so um, it's hard to know without without

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<v Speaker 1>actually having examined him, seeing his cat scan, seeing a

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<v Speaker 1>cyber so it's a little hard to know. Dr Eric

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<v Speaker 1>Toner Senior Senior Scholar with the Johns Hopkins Center for

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<v Speaker 1>Health Security and a Senior scientist in the Department of

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<v Speaker 1>Environmental Health and Engineering at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School

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<v Speaker 1>of Public Health. He's an internist and emergency physician, and

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<v Speaker 1>his primary eras of interest or healthcare preparedness for catastrophic events,

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<v Speaker 1>so like pandemic influenza. So perfect person to be talking to,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health supported

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<v Speaker 1>by Michael R. Bloomberg. UH and he's with us from

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<v Speaker 1>cape cod So Dr Turner, how do you see the

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<v Speaker 1>way forward? Um, Obviously it's a vaccine, I guess. Obviously

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<v Speaker 1>it's treatments for those who still get the virus. Because

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<v Speaker 1>here I'm looking at a day where New York, New

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<v Speaker 1>Jersey recorded the most new virus cases cases since mid May.

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<v Speaker 1>So we're gonna be dealing with this again. As you

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<v Speaker 1>said at the top, you know the virus is still

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<v Speaker 1>with us. So how do you see the way forward?

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<v Speaker 1>How do you see it playing out into I think

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<v Speaker 1>what we'll be seen is um what I call choppy

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<v Speaker 1>seas who will be seen UM increasing cases here and there.

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<v Speaker 1>They'll go up a bit, then people will started hearing

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<v Speaker 1>to the guidelines better. They'll they'll be some further temporary restrictions.

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<v Speaker 1>The cases will get better, so as they go up

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<v Speaker 1>and down in one location, and they'll be going up

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<v Speaker 1>and down another location, moving around, so it'll be a

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<v Speaker 1>chop it'll be. I don't think there'll be a giant

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<v Speaker 1>nationwide spike. I think will continue to see um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>hundreds or thousands of local epidemics um, each one lasting

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<v Speaker 1>a month or two UM. So I think this will

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<v Speaker 1>continue UM well into next year and Hopefully we'll have

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<v Speaker 1>a vaccine sometime in the winter, but it'll take several

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<v Speaker 1>months UM before we can distribute that vaccine and ad

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<v Speaker 1>minister to UM, you know, most of the population, which

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<v Speaker 1>is what we need to do in order to get

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic under control. And do you do you have

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<v Speaker 1>real confidence at the first vaccine that comes out that

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<v Speaker 1>gets approved, it's going to be safe. You have confidence

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<v Speaker 1>in that in our system that's currently in place. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I am reasonably confident that UM, with their career scientists

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<v Speaker 1>and the FDA won't get author is the use of

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<v Speaker 1>an unsafe vaccine. So I am I am reasonably confident.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think if you know, if they they indicate

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<v Speaker 1>that it's safe, effective, then I would be willing to

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<v Speaker 1>get the vaccine and recommend the vaccine. I think there

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<v Speaker 1>are probably political pressures, at least a political rhetoric um

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<v Speaker 1>on the FDA. I hope that they can't resist that.

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<v Speaker 1>Injustic to the science and Dr Turner, speaking of science

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<v Speaker 1>and politics, it feels like we're getting ever used to

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<v Speaker 1>the notion of emergency use authorizations. And you know, we

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<v Speaker 1>heard about that from Eli Lily. We've got more headlines today,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of these stemming candidly from the treatment of

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<v Speaker 1>the president, seems like that was at least a catalyst.

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<v Speaker 1>Obviously emergency that it's built into the it's built into

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<v Speaker 1>the term. This is not the normal course of business.

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<v Speaker 1>How much should we worry? How much do you, as

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<v Speaker 1>someone who knows a lot about this, worry about the

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<v Speaker 1>fact that maybe we're moving too fast with some of

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<v Speaker 1>these therapeutics and potential treatments. Well, the the mechanism of

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<v Speaker 1>emergency authorization was never intended for a drug that had

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<v Speaker 1>not gone through complete clinical trials. It was intended to

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<v Speaker 1>allow the use of a drug or of vaccine that

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<v Speaker 1>had completed all the trials but was waiting for the

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<v Speaker 1>bureauxecy to catch up. Because once once the trials are

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<v Speaker 1>completed in there in there feel a good effect on

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<v Speaker 1>the move and the drug is safe, it takes the

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<v Speaker 1>f D a typically three or four or five months

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<v Speaker 1>to do all the paperwork and to get the license out.

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<v Speaker 1>So um this was a way to cut off those

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<v Speaker 1>several months. At the end. It was never intended to

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<v Speaker 1>be utilized for a drug or a vaccine that had

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<v Speaker 1>not gone through you know, full clinical trials. So um

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<v Speaker 1>I would be concerned about trying to get emergencies authorization

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<v Speaker 1>or a therapeutic that is still only partially part of

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<v Speaker 1>the way through clinical trials. Can I ask you a

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<v Speaker 1>quick question thirty seconds just because that a viewer who's

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<v Speaker 1>listening to our conversation, this whole idea of what the

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<v Speaker 1>President said about regeneral and how it helped him and

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<v Speaker 1>to provide it free to all Americans? Is that something

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<v Speaker 1>realistic and that we should expect and unfortunately just got

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<v Speaker 1>about thirty seconds here. It's totally unrealistic and it won't happen. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>it's not at all clear that that the Regenera product

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<v Speaker 1>helped the president. Um, it's going to be a very

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<v Speaker 1>expensive drug. It would be incredibly expensive provided to all Americans.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's not that it's not created even that it's

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<v Speaker 1>that helpful, but we don't know that yet. Thank you

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<v Speaker 1>so much for answering that. I really appreciate that, because

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<v Speaker 1>I know everybody really UM appreciates everybody over on Hopkins

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of what they know about the virus, and

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<v Speaker 1>that includes Dr Eric Toner. Thank you so much, Senior

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<v Speaker 1>scholar at Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security at the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg School of Public Health. Really great conversation. This is

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Jason Kelly on

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. So this week's cover story in the magazine,

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<v Speaker 1>they are the Remarks, and they're written by UM Robert Langrath,

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<v Speaker 1>who is healthcare reporter at Bloomberg News, who earlier you

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<v Speaker 1>might remember this year wrote another cover story which was

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<v Speaker 1>about Gilead and it's Dru's drug rem desseviere, which we

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<v Speaker 1>just talked about on air. This week, he reports about

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<v Speaker 1>what has been one of our top stories, safe to

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<v Speaker 1>say over the past week, about how a White House

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<v Speaker 1>COVID outbreak America's pandemic failure in microcosms. So let's bring

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<v Speaker 1>in Rob on the phone in New Jersey along with

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business we get it, or Jil Webber on the

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<v Speaker 1>phone in Massachusetts. I you know, safe to say, Jill,

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<v Speaker 1>we have all been obsessed by this story, rightfully, so

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<v Speaker 1>with the President having COVID nineteen and then just watching

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<v Speaker 1>it spread throughout the White White House and all of

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<v Speaker 1>his so see it. Yeah, it's kind of crazy to imagine. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>everything basically started a week ago today when Jennifer Jacobs

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<v Speaker 1>UM wonderful DC based White House reporter for Bloomberg News

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<v Speaker 1>actually broke that Hope Picks had it had tested positive,

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<v Speaker 1>and then, um, you know, basically a bunch of chaos

0:13:20.960 --> 0:13:25.240
<v Speaker 1>started to ensue, and you know, within a couple hours, um,

0:13:25.800 --> 0:13:29.640
<v Speaker 1>we had a positive confirmation that President Trump had tested positive.

0:13:29.679 --> 0:13:33.040
<v Speaker 1>And then we just started to watch more and more

0:13:33.640 --> 0:13:37.400
<v Speaker 1>people close to the president come down. Um. And so

0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:39.480
<v Speaker 1>we turned to Bob because you know, there's a political

0:13:39.520 --> 0:13:42.280
<v Speaker 1>story there, to be sure, but you know, the one

0:13:42.320 --> 0:13:45.880
<v Speaker 1>that really stood out to us was this the the

0:13:45.920 --> 0:13:47.920
<v Speaker 1>health side of it, right, and the science side of it,

0:13:48.000 --> 0:13:50.560
<v Speaker 1>and the disease side of it, and all of those

0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:55.839
<v Speaker 1>things are things that Bob knows, um incredibly well and uh,

0:13:55.880 --> 0:13:58.160
<v Speaker 1>you know it, this disease, as he points out in

0:13:58.160 --> 0:14:02.120
<v Speaker 1>this remarks, make makes no exception of anybody. It does

0:14:02.200 --> 0:14:05.000
<v Speaker 1>not care what your stature is, like what what president,

0:14:05.040 --> 0:14:08.479
<v Speaker 1>what what country you're president of? It is just ruthless

0:14:08.480 --> 0:14:11.920
<v Speaker 1>and relentless. Um. And I think we've learned a little

0:14:11.920 --> 0:14:14.439
<v Speaker 1>bit along the way, and Bob, like I wouldn't mind

0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:16.400
<v Speaker 1>actually just kind of opening up with that question, like

0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:19.440
<v Speaker 1>what did what did you learn over the past week

0:14:19.520 --> 0:14:24.160
<v Speaker 1>about COVID well, I mean it just it emphasizes just

0:14:24.320 --> 0:14:27.920
<v Speaker 1>very clearly how how infectious and how easily it spreads,

0:14:27.920 --> 0:14:31.120
<v Speaker 1>and how tricky a virus. This is because what happens

0:14:31.200 --> 0:14:33.920
<v Speaker 1>is is that people are very contagious, often a couple

0:14:33.960 --> 0:14:36.400
<v Speaker 1>of days before they get any any symptoms. That's one

0:14:36.440 --> 0:14:38.840
<v Speaker 1>of the peak contagious periods. A lot of the spread

0:14:38.880 --> 0:14:42.320
<v Speaker 1>occurs before people have symptoms symptoms at all, and that

0:14:42.520 --> 0:14:46.000
<v Speaker 1>is may that that may maybe something that happened in

0:14:46.040 --> 0:14:48.160
<v Speaker 1>the White House, and that's, you know, different from some

0:14:48.240 --> 0:14:51.120
<v Speaker 1>other diseases like stars are most of the spread occurred

0:14:51.160 --> 0:14:53.600
<v Speaker 1>when people have symptoms. So what the White Hush did

0:14:53.640 --> 0:14:55.960
<v Speaker 1>and this is kind of emblematic of the whole way

0:14:56.640 --> 0:14:59.360
<v Speaker 1>the administration has approached this pandemic, and they kind of

0:14:59.360 --> 0:15:02.640
<v Speaker 1>relied on kind of a single silver bullet quick fix

0:15:02.720 --> 0:15:05.680
<v Speaker 1>or relying on a kind of Abbott Laboratory's rapid test,

0:15:06.160 --> 0:15:09.120
<v Speaker 1>which is a perfectly good test, but if you use

0:15:09.160 --> 0:15:11.360
<v Speaker 1>it correctly, but it's really supposed to be used for

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:14.080
<v Speaker 1>people with symptoms to confirm a diagnosis and get them

0:15:14.160 --> 0:15:16.360
<v Speaker 1>isolate them as soon as possible. It's not supposed to

0:15:16.400 --> 0:15:18.680
<v Speaker 1>be used as the sole line of defense to you know,

0:15:18.760 --> 0:15:21.040
<v Speaker 1>to keep to allow you to do crowded events without

0:15:21.080 --> 0:15:23.560
<v Speaker 1>masking social distancing. And that's what the White House is

0:15:23.600 --> 0:15:26.840
<v Speaker 1>doing again and again and and the problem with that strategy.

0:15:26.920 --> 0:15:30.520
<v Speaker 1>Get one case slips through one false false negative, and

0:15:30.840 --> 0:15:33.000
<v Speaker 1>you have a super spreader event and not sure what

0:15:33.080 --> 0:15:36.320
<v Speaker 1>appears to have happened. Yeah, and Bob, I mean it

0:15:36.440 --> 0:15:39.960
<v Speaker 1>really is amazing because I feel like all of us,

0:15:40.000 --> 0:15:42.800
<v Speaker 1>even those of us who you know aren't president or

0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:46.120
<v Speaker 1>don't work at the White House, have been putting maybe

0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:48.640
<v Speaker 1>too much emphasis or too much hope on this idea

0:15:48.640 --> 0:15:50.160
<v Speaker 1>of like, well what if I could just get a

0:15:50.240 --> 0:15:52.000
<v Speaker 1>rapid test and then I could go to work, or

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:53.640
<v Speaker 1>then I could go to a game, or then I

0:15:53.640 --> 0:15:56.280
<v Speaker 1>could get on a plane or whatever it is. It's

0:15:56.360 --> 0:15:59.320
<v Speaker 1>trickier than that, right, right, So the tests are very

0:15:59.360 --> 0:16:03.160
<v Speaker 1>good and they're useful. Uh and there there are part

0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:05.440
<v Speaker 1>of this part of the strategy, but they're not like

0:16:05.520 --> 0:16:09.560
<v Speaker 1>a you know, a solution for everything just in isolation,

0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:11.840
<v Speaker 1>because there's just a moment of time that will happen

0:16:11.920 --> 0:16:14.720
<v Speaker 1>is you get infected with the coronavirus and then there's

0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:17.040
<v Speaker 1>an incubation pure and not much is happening, and so

0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:18.880
<v Speaker 1>you've been infected. There's a time of the virus and

0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:21.560
<v Speaker 1>starting to grow and grow, and you don't test positive,

0:16:21.880 --> 0:16:25.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, uh, you know, for several days necessarily, and

0:16:25.440 --> 0:16:27.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, so you could have a rapid test in

0:16:27.200 --> 0:16:29.320
<v Speaker 1>the morning it says you're negative, but you could be

0:16:29.360 --> 0:16:31.840
<v Speaker 1>infecting people in the afternoon, and then you're infected a

0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:33.640
<v Speaker 1>bunch of people and then like a day or so later,

0:16:33.640 --> 0:16:37.640
<v Speaker 1>the test turns positive, but it's too late. Bob. We

0:16:37.760 --> 0:16:42.240
<v Speaker 1>learned a little bit about how a certain course of

0:16:42.280 --> 0:16:45.880
<v Speaker 1>treatments can go if you're the president of the United States.

0:16:45.880 --> 0:16:51.800
<v Speaker 1>I suppose what what are doctors and others, scientists, people

0:16:51.800 --> 0:16:54.560
<v Speaker 1>in farm out, what what are people saying about sort

0:16:54.600 --> 0:16:58.400
<v Speaker 1>of the course of treatments that President Trump was put on,

0:16:58.440 --> 0:17:01.680
<v Speaker 1>because that's not something that the rest of us probably

0:17:01.680 --> 0:17:04.000
<v Speaker 1>have access to, right, I mean, he may have been

0:17:04.280 --> 0:17:05.600
<v Speaker 1>like the only one of the only people in the

0:17:05.600 --> 0:17:08.640
<v Speaker 1>world to get this kind of combination of three treatments,

0:17:08.680 --> 0:17:12.480
<v Speaker 1>including this one totally experimental one from Regeneralan. Uh, you know,

0:17:12.560 --> 0:17:15.560
<v Speaker 1>in such a rapid, rapid time for him. He got

0:17:15.600 --> 0:17:18.280
<v Speaker 1>this on a quote compassionate use basis. He got this

0:17:18.400 --> 0:17:21.239
<v Speaker 1>experimental antibody cottel from regeneral in which they have you know,

0:17:21.560 --> 0:17:23.880
<v Speaker 1>they're applying for authorization, but they have you know, very

0:17:23.960 --> 0:17:26.760
<v Speaker 1>few doses of so most people couldn't get that. And

0:17:26.760 --> 0:17:30.719
<v Speaker 1>then he quickly I was moved to airlifted via the

0:17:30.760 --> 0:17:34.240
<v Speaker 1>White House helicopters to Walter Reed Medical Center, where he

0:17:34.320 --> 0:17:37.720
<v Speaker 1>got from Dezaviere, which is a standard hospital treatment. That's

0:17:37.720 --> 0:17:40.760
<v Speaker 1>the Guilliad drug drug a cover story on before, and

0:17:40.840 --> 0:17:44.760
<v Speaker 1>he got that right away. And uh and uh, you know,

0:17:44.800 --> 0:17:48.159
<v Speaker 1>after he you know, he was having some breathing difficulties

0:17:48.160 --> 0:17:51.440
<v Speaker 1>on Friday and then uh like the next day they

0:17:51.440 --> 0:17:54.320
<v Speaker 1>put them on the steroid decks of methi zone and

0:17:54.640 --> 0:17:57.480
<v Speaker 1>after he had another bout of breathing difficulty and that

0:17:57.600 --> 0:18:00.800
<v Speaker 1>is a drug that's basically mostly a usually use for

0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:04.159
<v Speaker 1>severe cases, which you know suggests to a lot to

0:18:04.320 --> 0:18:06.600
<v Speaker 1>doctors and some people that you know, the the the

0:18:06.640 --> 0:18:08.840
<v Speaker 1>White House doctors may have been much more worried about

0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:10.400
<v Speaker 1>Trump than they you know, at all. And the fact

0:18:10.400 --> 0:18:12.040
<v Speaker 1>that they put him on this third drug that's really

0:18:12.080 --> 0:18:15.879
<v Speaker 1>for severe cases. You know what's interesting, Bob. We just

0:18:15.920 --> 0:18:19.399
<v Speaker 1>had on a doctor, Dr Eric Turner from Johns Hopkins,

0:18:19.440 --> 0:18:21.480
<v Speaker 1>and we asked him about Regenera on specifically. And first

0:18:21.480 --> 0:18:23.280
<v Speaker 1>of all, he said it was like a shotgun approach

0:18:23.760 --> 0:18:26.200
<v Speaker 1>that they did with the president. He said, to be fair,

0:18:26.240 --> 0:18:28.720
<v Speaker 1>if he had an executive, senior executive, he probably would

0:18:28.720 --> 0:18:31.479
<v Speaker 1>have done the same thing. But that regeneration, you know,

0:18:31.600 --> 0:18:33.440
<v Speaker 1>A listener said, well, wait a minute. The President said

0:18:33.480 --> 0:18:35.639
<v Speaker 1>he's going to make it available to everybody, make it free.

0:18:35.800 --> 0:18:39.800
<v Speaker 1>And Dr Turner said, does That's not really possible. It's

0:18:39.840 --> 0:18:43.080
<v Speaker 1>just not gonna work that way. It's expensive, that's not possible.

0:18:43.119 --> 0:18:45.359
<v Speaker 1>So you do wonder about here. You have the president

0:18:45.359 --> 0:18:47.040
<v Speaker 1>of the White House, right, that's supposed to be setting

0:18:47.040 --> 0:18:50.920
<v Speaker 1>the tone, you know, um, setting kind of the national plan,

0:18:51.280 --> 0:18:54.840
<v Speaker 1>and yet we keep hearing conflicting things. Well, right, so

0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:56.960
<v Speaker 1>let me give you some context the Regenera on drug.

0:18:57.400 --> 0:19:00.080
<v Speaker 1>They've said for this month October, they have like the

0:19:00.200 --> 0:19:03.280
<v Speaker 1>thousand total doses available of that drug. Now, that may

0:19:03.320 --> 0:19:05.400
<v Speaker 1>sound like a lot on the surface, but there are

0:19:05.440 --> 0:19:08.400
<v Speaker 1>fifty thou like roughly fifty tho cases of day being

0:19:08.400 --> 0:19:10.879
<v Speaker 1>reported in the US. And even if you say, you know,

0:19:10.920 --> 0:19:13.480
<v Speaker 1>maybe only five or ten those cases are higher risk

0:19:13.520 --> 0:19:16.840
<v Speaker 1>cases than your older patients or circret patients. Still there's

0:19:17.000 --> 0:19:19.600
<v Speaker 1>very little supply the regeneral on drug and even if

0:19:19.640 --> 0:19:23.200
<v Speaker 1>it gets an authorization, you know people, you know, there's

0:19:23.240 --> 0:19:25.600
<v Speaker 1>a tiny, tiny supply. It's not like everyone. It's not

0:19:25.600 --> 0:19:27.320
<v Speaker 1>true that everyone will be able to get it, absolutely

0:19:27.400 --> 0:19:30.600
<v Speaker 1>not true, but it's But it's also just like, as

0:19:30.600 --> 0:19:32.280
<v Speaker 1>you get to your story that what we're seeing in

0:19:32.280 --> 0:19:35.320
<v Speaker 1>the White House wood played out is pretty much, you know,

0:19:35.960 --> 0:19:39.240
<v Speaker 1>an explanation of why we never got the pandemic under

0:19:39.280 --> 0:19:41.440
<v Speaker 1>control in the United States. So it's a really really

0:19:41.480 --> 0:19:44.960
<v Speaker 1>thoughtful read and certainly in the context of the last week, um,

0:19:45.119 --> 0:19:47.640
<v Speaker 1>something that everybody should definitely check out. Bubbling gra thank

0:19:47.680 --> 0:19:50.359
<v Speaker 1>you so much incredible reporting when it comes to COVID

0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:53.040
<v Speaker 1>nineteen healthcare reporter at Bloomberg News on the phone in

0:19:53.040 --> 0:19:55.680
<v Speaker 1>New Jersey, and our thanks os to Jell Weber, editor

0:19:55.760 --> 0:19:58.159
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Business Week. I mean, they have been the

0:19:58.200 --> 0:20:00.600
<v Speaker 1>magazine and those cover story, especially wh on the virus

0:20:00.720 --> 0:20:03.600
<v Speaker 1>to spot on well and this one is so timely

0:20:03.840 --> 0:20:06.639
<v Speaker 1>and as you say, just so rich with context and

0:20:06.640 --> 0:20:09.040
<v Speaker 1>really important context. Right now we're trying to figure all

0:20:09.040 --> 0:20:11.359
<v Speaker 1>this out. Check that out on Bloomberg dot com, on

0:20:11.400 --> 0:20:13.840
<v Speaker 1>the terminal and in the upcoming edition of the magazine.

0:20:13.840 --> 0:20:17.560
<v Speaker 1>It's the cover. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with

0:20:17.640 --> 0:20:22.000
<v Speaker 1>Carol Masser and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. All right,

0:20:22.080 --> 0:20:24.960
<v Speaker 1>let's do a little Business Week economics now, and really

0:20:25.160 --> 0:20:28.920
<v Speaker 1>no story I think is bigger to the economy than

0:20:29.200 --> 0:20:32.959
<v Speaker 1>the ongoing negotiations and by ongoing, I mean months and

0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:38.960
<v Speaker 1>months now between Democrats and Republicans over a new stimulus package.

0:20:39.160 --> 0:20:41.440
<v Speaker 1>How Speaker Nancy Pelosi, she caught up with our own

0:20:41.480 --> 0:20:45.440
<v Speaker 1>David Weston earlier today about the state of those negotiations

0:20:45.480 --> 0:20:50.960
<v Speaker 1>and working with Treasury Secretary Steve Manutin. He understands the challenges.

0:20:51.000 --> 0:20:53.480
<v Speaker 1>We have a difference of money in certain places, but

0:20:53.560 --> 0:20:57.080
<v Speaker 1>the difference in language is also something that we can

0:20:57.240 --> 0:21:00.440
<v Speaker 1>I believe we can resolve it will take home promise,

0:21:00.680 --> 0:21:03.600
<v Speaker 1>but that's what a negotiation is about. So I have

0:21:03.680 --> 0:21:08.200
<v Speaker 1>confidence in the Secretary, I think the President. I have

0:21:08.359 --> 0:21:11.479
<v Speaker 1>confidence that the President does too. All right, so of

0:21:11.520 --> 0:21:14.840
<v Speaker 1>course US Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, speaking earlier

0:21:14.920 --> 0:21:20.000
<v Speaker 1>to David Weston of Bloomberg Politics here on Bloomberg Radio

0:21:20.000 --> 0:21:23.320
<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg Teeth, I sort of feel like if it's

0:21:23.359 --> 0:21:26.560
<v Speaker 1>like if you could just insert you know, if if

0:21:26.600 --> 0:21:28.760
<v Speaker 1>if some buds were candy and nuts, Like if if

0:21:28.800 --> 0:21:31.439
<v Speaker 1>confidence was candy and nuts, we'd all have a merry Christmas,

0:21:31.520 --> 0:21:33.840
<v Speaker 1>or at least a Phase four stimulus Like it was

0:21:33.960 --> 0:21:37.720
<v Speaker 1>kind of Bananas's honest, it's amazing. And we've talked about

0:21:37.720 --> 0:21:39.280
<v Speaker 1>this with some of our guests that here we are

0:21:39.320 --> 0:21:41.040
<v Speaker 1>just a few weeks out from an election like this

0:21:41.040 --> 0:21:43.960
<v Speaker 1>would be a no brainer for Paul, you know, for

0:21:44.119 --> 0:21:47.200
<v Speaker 1>certainly the President and I would think Republicans in Congress

0:21:47.200 --> 0:21:49.520
<v Speaker 1>would want to get it done. So let's see what

0:21:49.560 --> 0:21:51.080
<v Speaker 1>our next guest has to say about all of this.

0:21:51.160 --> 0:21:53.920
<v Speaker 1>In today's Business Week Economics, we welcome back Lindsay Piegsa,

0:21:54.200 --> 0:22:00.159
<v Speaker 1>chief economist at Steeple Financial. She's on the phone from Chicago. So, se,

0:22:00.280 --> 0:22:03.600
<v Speaker 1>isn't it kind of mind boggling, Like it's the economy stupid.

0:22:03.640 --> 0:22:06.720
<v Speaker 1>We know that that's what matters when it comes to elections,

0:22:06.920 --> 0:22:09.399
<v Speaker 1>and you know, putting the virus aside, you would think

0:22:09.400 --> 0:22:12.000
<v Speaker 1>at this point, well virus related, that you would want

0:22:12.000 --> 0:22:15.080
<v Speaker 1>to get another round of stimulus just ahead of the election.

0:22:16.040 --> 0:22:19.000
<v Speaker 1>Well it's interesting too, because both the Republicans and Democrats

0:22:19.000 --> 0:22:21.800
<v Speaker 1>concur with the Chairman's statements from the fund of reserve

0:22:21.840 --> 0:22:25.600
<v Speaker 1>that we heard it please for additional spending, and both

0:22:25.640 --> 0:22:29.200
<v Speaker 1>sides agree that additional funding is needed for the economy. Also,

0:22:29.240 --> 0:22:31.919
<v Speaker 1>with the election, as you mentioned of coming, neither side

0:22:31.920 --> 0:22:35.280
<v Speaker 1>wants to be seen as the obstructionist party. So it

0:22:35.400 --> 0:22:38.399
<v Speaker 1>really boggles the mind why we can't come together and

0:22:38.480 --> 0:22:42.120
<v Speaker 1>reach some sort of negotiation. Now I realize that there's

0:22:42.160 --> 0:22:46.320
<v Speaker 1>sizable differences over the details of the reports, but ever

0:22:46.359 --> 0:22:49.360
<v Speaker 1>excuse me of the proposed legislation, but that simply means

0:22:49.400 --> 0:22:52.040
<v Speaker 1>that we need to find a compromise that neither side

0:22:52.359 --> 0:22:55.840
<v Speaker 1>is overly pleased with. So for the Democrats, maybe something

0:22:55.920 --> 0:22:59.240
<v Speaker 1>on a smaller scale than they would prefer would be

0:22:59.240 --> 0:23:02.480
<v Speaker 1>better than nothing. And for Republicans at this point worried

0:23:02.520 --> 0:23:05.240
<v Speaker 1>about out of control spending, was debt to j DP

0:23:05.520 --> 0:23:08.760
<v Speaker 1>already set to rise over a hundred percent. Honestly, what's

0:23:08.760 --> 0:23:11.399
<v Speaker 1>another trillion among friends? Which is the point, which is

0:23:11.440 --> 0:23:13.280
<v Speaker 1>what j Powe was like, if we ever do it,

0:23:13.440 --> 0:23:15.719
<v Speaker 1>all right, so what it's better than underdoing it at

0:23:15.720 --> 0:23:20.240
<v Speaker 1>this point? Right? Well, that's exactly his point. The recovery

0:23:20.400 --> 0:23:24.160
<v Speaker 1>is faster and stronger than expected. But and he inserted

0:23:24.200 --> 0:23:28.040
<v Speaker 1>this big but uh, the economy will falter if we

0:23:28.119 --> 0:23:31.399
<v Speaker 1>don't see further support. And right now, as we know,

0:23:31.480 --> 0:23:34.399
<v Speaker 1>the fet is essentially running at full full throttle, so

0:23:34.520 --> 0:23:37.560
<v Speaker 1>that the focus and the pressure has shifted to the

0:23:37.560 --> 0:23:42.040
<v Speaker 1>federal government. The chairman essentially handing off that proverbial baton saying, look,

0:23:42.040 --> 0:23:43.919
<v Speaker 1>now it's up to the federal government to step in

0:23:43.960 --> 0:23:47.560
<v Speaker 1>and provide that additional aid needed to supplement growth and

0:23:47.560 --> 0:23:51.040
<v Speaker 1>fuel this recovery beyond just the past couple of months.

0:23:51.640 --> 0:23:54.159
<v Speaker 1>And so, lindsay, if you were making the case to

0:23:54.359 --> 0:23:59.760
<v Speaker 1>this transigent Congress, uh, what data would you point? Like,

0:23:59.760 --> 0:24:01.359
<v Speaker 1>what what you sort of put down on the table

0:24:01.400 --> 0:24:04.359
<v Speaker 1>and say, look at this either when it comes to

0:24:04.720 --> 0:24:08.520
<v Speaker 1>unemployment or consumer sentiment or something related to the consumer

0:24:08.560 --> 0:24:11.520
<v Speaker 1>because ultimately those consumers, to go back to Carroll's very

0:24:11.520 --> 0:24:15.320
<v Speaker 1>fine point, our voters, they are their constituents. So what

0:24:15.400 --> 0:24:18.120
<v Speaker 1>do we need to know about the underlying economy that

0:24:18.280 --> 0:24:22.200
<v Speaker 1>maybe could help convince people to get something done. Well,

0:24:22.200 --> 0:24:24.439
<v Speaker 1>I think it's all about the labor market. And certainly

0:24:24.480 --> 0:24:27.399
<v Speaker 1>from a glass half full perspective, we have taken sizeable

0:24:27.440 --> 0:24:30.159
<v Speaker 1>steps in terms of putting Americans back to work, but

0:24:30.200 --> 0:24:33.320
<v Speaker 1>we're still talking about eleven million Americans out of work,

0:24:33.640 --> 0:24:37.680
<v Speaker 1>some twelve million reliance on federal unemployment existance. And even

0:24:37.680 --> 0:24:40.000
<v Speaker 1>though the unemployment rate has now fallen below eight percent,

0:24:40.080 --> 0:24:43.560
<v Speaker 1>which is great, from that near peak, we're still talking

0:24:43.600 --> 0:24:46.560
<v Speaker 1>about a very elevated level relative to where we were

0:24:46.640 --> 0:24:50.119
<v Speaker 1>going into the start of the year, going into the pandemic.

0:24:50.480 --> 0:24:52.919
<v Speaker 1>So I don't think we need to look much beyond

0:24:53.119 --> 0:24:56.440
<v Speaker 1>the labor market data to really say, yes, we've taken

0:24:56.440 --> 0:24:58.480
<v Speaker 1>steps in the right direction, but we are far from

0:24:58.520 --> 0:25:00.920
<v Speaker 1>out of the woods, and we you need at this

0:25:01.040 --> 0:25:06.000
<v Speaker 1>point some additional artificial support for the economy until we

0:25:06.080 --> 0:25:09.600
<v Speaker 1>have a meaningful way to separate the healthy from the sick. Remember,

0:25:09.680 --> 0:25:12.840
<v Speaker 1>this is not a market crisis. This was a health crisis,

0:25:13.240 --> 0:25:15.119
<v Speaker 1>So we really need to look at this from a

0:25:15.200 --> 0:25:18.119
<v Speaker 1>longer term health perspective. And again, until we have that

0:25:18.240 --> 0:25:20.800
<v Speaker 1>fact in or some meaningful way to separate the healthy

0:25:20.800 --> 0:25:22.639
<v Speaker 1>of a sick, we're going to have to rely on

0:25:22.760 --> 0:25:25.640
<v Speaker 1>artificial support. Well, you know, and I'm going to say,

0:25:25.840 --> 0:25:27.800
<v Speaker 1>going back to Dr Eric Toner, who we talked to

0:25:27.920 --> 0:25:31.400
<v Speaker 1>at Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security at the Bloomberg

0:25:31.400 --> 0:25:33.159
<v Speaker 1>School of Public Health, you know, said the virus is

0:25:33.200 --> 0:25:36.239
<v Speaker 1>still not over it's still with us, you know, and

0:25:36.240 --> 0:25:38.399
<v Speaker 1>while we're learning some things in terms of how to

0:25:39.320 --> 0:25:42.639
<v Speaker 1>contain it once we see um, certainly, you know, growth

0:25:42.680 --> 0:25:45.480
<v Speaker 1>spurts uh in various points, you know, places around the

0:25:45.480 --> 0:25:48.120
<v Speaker 1>country or even around the world, But nonetheless it's with us,

0:25:48.119 --> 0:25:50.240
<v Speaker 1>and he anticipates it's going to be with us, you know,

0:25:50.280 --> 0:25:54.200
<v Speaker 1>well into one. So having said that, you know, lindsay,

0:25:54.240 --> 0:26:00.000
<v Speaker 1>if we don't get some kind of another round of stimulus, um,

0:26:00.119 --> 0:26:03.280
<v Speaker 1>what's the worst case scenario here? Well, I think even

0:26:03.359 --> 0:26:06.439
<v Speaker 1>with a second round of stimulus, some sort of middle

0:26:06.480 --> 0:26:09.040
<v Speaker 1>ground around a trillion dollars in addition to the three

0:26:09.040 --> 0:26:13.800
<v Speaker 1>trillion already spent. We are anticipating a second round resurgence

0:26:13.840 --> 0:26:15.920
<v Speaker 1>of the virus as we enter into cold or fall

0:26:15.960 --> 0:26:19.200
<v Speaker 1>and winter weather, which is likely to undermine the recovery.

0:26:19.240 --> 0:26:21.280
<v Speaker 1>So yes, we do expect to Night's thirty, it's gonna

0:26:22.000 --> 0:26:24.359
<v Speaker 1>pounds in the second quarter, but growth is likely to

0:26:24.400 --> 0:26:27.199
<v Speaker 1>slow significantly going into the end of the year, potentially

0:26:27.240 --> 0:26:30.080
<v Speaker 1>falling back into negative territory, and as we turned the

0:26:30.080 --> 0:26:34.160
<v Speaker 1>corner into one, likely to remain very anemic for quite

0:26:34.200 --> 0:26:37.640
<v Speaker 1>some time. So the picture again is very grim still

0:26:38.000 --> 0:26:41.440
<v Speaker 1>at this point, and stimulus can help that, but even

0:26:41.480 --> 0:26:44.480
<v Speaker 1>with an additional trillion in federal spending, it's very unlikely

0:26:44.520 --> 0:26:48.080
<v Speaker 1>that we see pre pandemic growth levels for quite some time. Right,

0:26:48.640 --> 0:26:50.080
<v Speaker 1>all right, we're gonna leave it there. Thank you for

0:26:50.119 --> 0:26:53.000
<v Speaker 1>the context. As always, Lindsay Peza is chief economists for

0:26:53.119 --> 0:26:56.840
<v Speaker 1>Stifle Financials. She joined us on the phone from Chicago.

0:26:57.760 --> 0:27:00.719
<v Speaker 1>I have to say, Carol and you, I've been watching

0:27:00.760 --> 0:27:04.920
<v Speaker 1>politics and business for a long time, and I am

0:27:04.960 --> 0:27:07.080
<v Speaker 1>a little puzzled by this. I really thought they would

0:27:07.080 --> 0:27:10.720
<v Speaker 1>get something done. I thought Manuchin and Pelosi, who have

0:27:10.800 --> 0:27:12.920
<v Speaker 1>had a pretty good vibe going through all of this,

0:27:13.000 --> 0:27:17.080
<v Speaker 1>would figure something out. Um, but they haven't and and

0:27:17.080 --> 0:27:19.120
<v Speaker 1>and by the way, they haven't come close. Like then,

0:27:19.200 --> 0:27:20.879
<v Speaker 1>this is not like, oh, we just gotta get over

0:27:20.880 --> 0:27:24.399
<v Speaker 1>the line. They're nowhere closed by all accounts. I'm baffled,

0:27:24.680 --> 0:27:26.640
<v Speaker 1>Like I would have thought this would have been done

0:27:26.640 --> 0:27:29.639
<v Speaker 1>with election here. Yeah. Yeah, I just so, I I

0:27:29.680 --> 0:27:31.440
<v Speaker 1>just don't understand. And I really feel for a lot

0:27:31.440 --> 0:27:34.119
<v Speaker 1>of Americans and small businesses and other businesses that are

0:27:34.160 --> 0:27:37.119
<v Speaker 1>having a tough time right now. This is Bloomberg Business

0:27:37.200 --> 0:27:41.240
<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Masser and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio

0:27:41.600 --> 0:27:43.760
<v Speaker 1>the story of the day on Wall Street. It is

0:27:44.119 --> 0:27:48.840
<v Speaker 1>clear Morgan Stanley, Uh, James Gorman going hunting again. I

0:27:48.880 --> 0:27:53.680
<v Speaker 1>mean pretty amazing. I mean I'm stealing just directly, um

0:27:53.720 --> 0:27:56.920
<v Speaker 1>from our next guest in terms of framing this story. Well,

0:27:56.960 --> 0:27:59.000
<v Speaker 1>and it's interesting. It was a big deal seven billion

0:27:59.359 --> 0:28:02.639
<v Speaker 1>for Eaton vey On, second major acquisition by James Gorman

0:28:02.720 --> 0:28:07.720
<v Speaker 1>this year. And listen, this is moving Morgan Stanley increasingly

0:28:07.840 --> 0:28:10.480
<v Speaker 1>into the business of money management. And it's a different

0:28:11.080 --> 0:28:13.240
<v Speaker 1>path than what we're seeing on the rest of Wall Street.

0:28:13.280 --> 0:28:15.199
<v Speaker 1>I can't remember that it's in the story or I

0:28:15.240 --> 0:28:18.240
<v Speaker 1>heard from somebody earlier that people think of Goldman and

0:28:18.280 --> 0:28:21.639
<v Speaker 1>some others that are kind of, you know, the ones

0:28:21.680 --> 0:28:24.680
<v Speaker 1>to watch and are recreating Wall Street. And then everybody's saying, no,

0:28:24.920 --> 0:28:28.000
<v Speaker 1>it's James Gorman. He's the one who's doing it. All right, Well,

0:28:28.040 --> 0:28:30.040
<v Speaker 1>our guy who's going to make all the sense of

0:28:30.040 --> 0:28:33.680
<v Speaker 1>the world of this. He's gonna help us is Shrie

0:28:33.760 --> 0:28:37.320
<v Speaker 1>Notaraje on Finance Reporter. Extraordinary for Bloomberg. He's been all

0:28:37.359 --> 0:28:39.160
<v Speaker 1>over this story, he joins us on the phone from

0:28:39.160 --> 0:28:41.320
<v Speaker 1>New York City. All right, Tree, you've been talking to

0:28:41.360 --> 0:28:45.120
<v Speaker 1>everybody in and out of the firm. What does this mean?

0:28:45.160 --> 0:28:46.800
<v Speaker 1>What's the most important thing we need to know about

0:28:46.800 --> 0:28:52.040
<v Speaker 1>this deal? Well, the moment Stanley, the business that James

0:28:52.120 --> 0:28:56.440
<v Speaker 1>Gorman inherited, the prestigious White Shoe investment back then he

0:28:56.480 --> 0:28:59.880
<v Speaker 1>has to go. Is anything but that Danie has in

0:29:00.040 --> 0:29:03.959
<v Speaker 1>to this tenure what was once a purely Wall Street

0:29:04.040 --> 0:29:07.400
<v Speaker 1>focused business. Yes they had made a few bites here

0:29:07.440 --> 0:29:09.960
<v Speaker 1>and there, but those never really took off. And say

0:29:10.000 --> 0:29:12.840
<v Speaker 1>the early two thousand's, but like where you were in

0:29:12.880 --> 0:29:16.840
<v Speaker 1>two thousands ten to where Morgan Stanley is now their

0:29:17.200 --> 0:29:20.680
<v Speaker 1>dominant position and investment banking and trading, and yet it's

0:29:20.680 --> 0:29:24.720
<v Speaker 1>their wealth and asset management business that will outstrip those

0:29:25.240 --> 0:29:28.160
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street operations. And why is that Even before the

0:29:28.200 --> 0:29:32.320
<v Speaker 1>eaton Van's deal, about fifty five percent of the revenue

0:29:32.320 --> 0:29:34.360
<v Speaker 1>for Morgan Stanley was going to come from a wealth

0:29:34.360 --> 0:29:37.280
<v Speaker 1>and active management side because of the big bank deal

0:29:37.320 --> 0:29:41.320
<v Speaker 1>they announced with each trade in January to bulk up

0:29:41.320 --> 0:29:44.200
<v Speaker 1>their wealth operations. So no one really expected them to

0:29:44.280 --> 0:29:48.600
<v Speaker 1>make such a quick found with such a major deal,

0:29:48.680 --> 0:29:51.440
<v Speaker 1>but they've gone ahead and done it. And you know,

0:29:51.600 --> 0:29:54.840
<v Speaker 1>like we say in our story today, what really propelled

0:29:54.960 --> 0:29:58.480
<v Speaker 1>James Government to the top purchet. Morgan Stanley was that

0:29:58.880 --> 0:30:02.720
<v Speaker 1>teller Smith's Smith Barney budgets did it from City Group

0:30:02.760 --> 0:30:05.920
<v Speaker 1>that turned out to be a home run Dan years later.

0:30:06.240 --> 0:30:08.800
<v Speaker 1>These two or three acquisitions that they've announced in the

0:30:08.880 --> 0:30:13.080
<v Speaker 1>last thirty months or so will really leave a big

0:30:13.120 --> 0:30:15.080
<v Speaker 1>mark on this sum and that will have a big

0:30:15.120 --> 0:30:18.800
<v Speaker 1>impact on how Morgan Stanley's run most to Jim's Gonnen gone.

0:30:18.800 --> 0:30:21.520
<v Speaker 1>Because remember he's sixty two, so we're more we're talking

0:30:21.560 --> 0:30:25.760
<v Speaker 1>more in Swan song uh corners here than just starting out.

0:30:26.320 --> 0:30:28.520
<v Speaker 1>So I'm sure he'd love to hear you say that's right.

0:30:29.960 --> 0:30:32.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure if he would not, I was gonna say

0:30:32.400 --> 0:30:34.040
<v Speaker 1>when we talked to him, he seems like, you know

0:30:35.080 --> 0:30:36.720
<v Speaker 1>then he had a lot of energy, you know, a

0:30:36.760 --> 0:30:39.520
<v Speaker 1>lot more left in him. Was that last summer about

0:30:39.560 --> 0:30:42.200
<v Speaker 1>a year ago? Last time was about year last last September. Yeah,

0:30:42.320 --> 0:30:44.440
<v Speaker 1>but Columbia business good. We are going to hear from it.

0:30:44.440 --> 0:30:45.760
<v Speaker 1>We should point out we are going to hear from

0:30:45.840 --> 0:30:48.680
<v Speaker 1>him just coming up later on this hour. In fact,

0:30:48.760 --> 0:30:52.120
<v Speaker 1>girl so Street, we are find me a Wall Street

0:30:52.440 --> 0:30:56.240
<v Speaker 1>leader who would say that the right that is so

0:30:56.280 --> 0:31:00.520
<v Speaker 1>true that there's there's no reason for Jimman and suggest

0:31:00.560 --> 0:31:03.040
<v Speaker 1>that he's done with it. But he's He's been there

0:31:03.080 --> 0:31:06.000
<v Speaker 1>for ten years. He really was part of the post

0:31:06.000 --> 0:31:09.400
<v Speaker 1>crisis Wall Street crow that was really rebuilding the banking

0:31:09.440 --> 0:31:13.480
<v Speaker 1>industry from the wreckage of the two thous crisis. Most

0:31:13.560 --> 0:31:17.520
<v Speaker 1>of his speers have faded away. Thinks blacking find thinks

0:31:17.600 --> 0:31:21.120
<v Speaker 1>my carbat handing over the range. Even think about Jimmie Diamond,

0:31:21.120 --> 0:31:23.000
<v Speaker 1>who has been CLEEU for fifteen years, but after a

0:31:23.080 --> 0:31:26.240
<v Speaker 1>health scare. Now he continues to get questions about when

0:31:26.240 --> 0:31:29.920
<v Speaker 1>the succession is going to happen. But Mr Gorman here

0:31:30.080 --> 0:31:32.560
<v Speaker 1>he seems to be busier than ever. He's not letting

0:31:32.600 --> 0:31:34.880
<v Speaker 1>go of the spotlight. So I'm looking at Markan Stanley

0:31:34.920 --> 0:31:37.480
<v Speaker 1>shares and I mean they've been up, they've been down today,

0:31:37.480 --> 0:31:39.520
<v Speaker 1>but right now they're trading a little bit higher. Is

0:31:39.560 --> 0:31:42.480
<v Speaker 1>this do do? Most investors say? This is a smart move,

0:31:42.640 --> 0:31:46.400
<v Speaker 1>Another smart move by James Gorman. This makes sense, um,

0:31:46.440 --> 0:31:48.080
<v Speaker 1>even in contrast to what the rest of the Wall

0:31:48.120 --> 0:31:52.520
<v Speaker 1>Street the big banks are doing. Look, one thing is clear,

0:31:52.600 --> 0:31:55.640
<v Speaker 1>it's it's always very hard to get and read because

0:31:56.000 --> 0:31:58.160
<v Speaker 1>at the end of the day, the success of an

0:31:58.160 --> 0:32:01.840
<v Speaker 1>announcement like this total it depends on how the integration goes.

0:32:02.280 --> 0:32:06.040
<v Speaker 1>But to Jane Gorman's credit, to Modern Stanley's credit, they

0:32:06.080 --> 0:32:09.680
<v Speaker 1>have done a few recent deals where they're proven that

0:32:10.120 --> 0:32:13.040
<v Speaker 1>it can happen without a problem, and government is not

0:32:13.160 --> 0:32:16.280
<v Speaker 1>shy on confidence. And listen to what he told analysts

0:32:16.280 --> 0:32:19.120
<v Speaker 1>on the conference cult today when he says, you know

0:32:19.360 --> 0:32:21.280
<v Speaker 1>when the questions were, are you paying too much of

0:32:21.280 --> 0:32:23.880
<v Speaker 1>a premium to buy even vans? And he says people

0:32:23.920 --> 0:32:27.040
<v Speaker 1>who are hanging around trying to buy great companies cheaply

0:32:27.520 --> 0:32:30.320
<v Speaker 1>never get anything done. All that they managed to do

0:32:30.400 --> 0:32:33.480
<v Speaker 1>is pat themselves on the back about the wisdom they have,

0:32:33.640 --> 0:32:36.360
<v Speaker 1>but they never get anything done. And those who sort

0:32:36.360 --> 0:32:40.400
<v Speaker 1>of buy loudly companies end up paying what eventually appears

0:32:40.440 --> 0:32:42.040
<v Speaker 1>to be a lot of money that ends in here.

0:32:42.200 --> 0:32:46.480
<v Speaker 1>So he's pretty confident about that and certainly being projected

0:32:46.520 --> 0:32:49.360
<v Speaker 1>onto the analysts and investors who are willing to give

0:32:49.400 --> 0:32:52.400
<v Speaker 1>him the runway to prove that this is a success.

0:32:52.520 --> 0:32:55.400
<v Speaker 1>May surely just thirty seconds we're gonna hear from James Gorman.

0:32:55.440 --> 0:32:58.280
<v Speaker 1>He's gonna be live and Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg TV. Uh

0:32:58.360 --> 0:33:01.440
<v Speaker 1>coming up at three forty whilst time, what do you

0:33:01.480 --> 0:33:06.520
<v Speaker 1>want to hear what would you be asking him just quickly? Well,

0:33:06.560 --> 0:33:10.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean in he The key part of it now

0:33:10.280 --> 0:33:13.160
<v Speaker 1>is where does it go from here? Because he's already

0:33:13.200 --> 0:33:15.960
<v Speaker 1>said I'm done with the acquisition for for the time thing.

0:33:16.120 --> 0:33:18.760
<v Speaker 1>We've made a better time to lie in it. So

0:33:19.000 --> 0:33:21.600
<v Speaker 1>how do you go to the next level? That's obviously

0:33:21.720 --> 0:33:25.920
<v Speaker 1>key and it's really going to be a showing story

0:33:25.960 --> 0:33:28.120
<v Speaker 1>from that point on. Proved that you can integrate the

0:33:28.240 --> 0:33:31.000
<v Speaker 1>trade really well. Proved that you can integrate even man's

0:33:31.040 --> 0:33:34.280
<v Speaker 1>really well. And if that does happen, you have a

0:33:34.360 --> 0:33:37.760
<v Speaker 1>really diversified business here that it's it's really hard to

0:33:37.760 --> 0:33:41.120
<v Speaker 1>co cald in right now. Yeah, alright, great context, Thank

0:33:41.160 --> 0:33:43.400
<v Speaker 1>you so much, and again we will hear from James

0:33:43.400 --> 0:33:45.920
<v Speaker 1>Gorman directly coming up three forty Wall Street time right

0:33:45.960 --> 0:33:49.680
<v Speaker 1>here on Bloomberg Radio. Shri Nadarajan finance reporter for Bloomberg.

0:33:49.680 --> 0:33:51.720
<v Speaker 1>He's been all over this story. He joined this on

0:33:51.800 --> 0:33:55.360
<v Speaker 1>the phone from New York City. This is Bloomberg Business

0:33:55.440 --> 0:33:59.480
<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Masser and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio.

0:34:00.120 --> 0:34:02.760
<v Speaker 1>This time for our drive to the close, let's get

0:34:02.840 --> 0:34:05.280
<v Speaker 1>right to George Bori. He is the head of fixed

0:34:05.320 --> 0:34:09.480
<v Speaker 1>income Strategy and portfolio specialist at Wells Fargo Asset Management.

0:34:09.520 --> 0:34:13.400
<v Speaker 1>He joins us on the phone from New York. Alright, So, George,

0:34:13.440 --> 0:34:18.160
<v Speaker 1>we got some dealmaking going on on the side of

0:34:18.320 --> 0:34:21.400
<v Speaker 1>Morrigan Stanley that certainly is capturing a lot of attention.

0:34:21.480 --> 0:34:25.400
<v Speaker 1>We've got a stimulus that can't get done in Washington,

0:34:25.440 --> 0:34:28.759
<v Speaker 1>We've got an election that's twenty six days away from

0:34:28.800 --> 0:34:32.560
<v Speaker 1>where you sit. What should we as investors be most

0:34:32.600 --> 0:34:36.279
<v Speaker 1>concerned about? Well, first off, thanks for having me on

0:34:36.320 --> 0:34:39.960
<v Speaker 1>the show. Very much, appreciate it. Um, you know, from

0:34:39.960 --> 0:34:42.880
<v Speaker 1>from our perspective. Um, you know, I think the simple

0:34:42.920 --> 0:34:45.480
<v Speaker 1>message and we just heard it from Mr Gorman, but

0:34:45.920 --> 0:34:49.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, the COVID economy, you know, is in recovery

0:34:49.000 --> 0:34:52.319
<v Speaker 1>mode and I think that's the most important factor that

0:34:52.440 --> 0:34:54.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, kind of his driving sentiment today is clearly

0:34:54.960 --> 0:34:57.800
<v Speaker 1>kind of a risk on UH day, we're sort of

0:34:57.840 --> 0:35:00.799
<v Speaker 1>asset prices across the board, bonds and clue, we're all

0:35:00.840 --> 0:35:03.400
<v Speaker 1>basically up in price. You know, I think through a

0:35:03.440 --> 0:35:07.399
<v Speaker 1>combination of you know, optimism, as you mentioned, some dealmaking. Um,

0:35:07.560 --> 0:35:10.960
<v Speaker 1>the economic data this week has been okay. Um, you know,

0:35:11.040 --> 0:35:13.920
<v Speaker 1>it's it's certain these points to an economy that's more

0:35:13.960 --> 0:35:16.480
<v Speaker 1>in recovery mode than than anything else. It's not a

0:35:16.560 --> 0:35:21.000
<v Speaker 1>very even recovery, but it's a recovery nonetheless, and importantly,

0:35:21.880 --> 0:35:24.000
<v Speaker 1>as you mentioned, you know kind of the hope um

0:35:24.160 --> 0:35:27.640
<v Speaker 1>that that both fiscal and monetary support. You know, it

0:35:27.960 --> 0:35:30.920
<v Speaker 1>may not be here immediately, but it is likely to come.

0:35:31.040 --> 0:35:33.160
<v Speaker 1>So I think the market is starting to look through

0:35:33.160 --> 0:35:37.840
<v Speaker 1>the election, Uh, they're comfortable with the prospect of quite frankly,

0:35:38.000 --> 0:35:41.160
<v Speaker 1>either candidate winning um on the hopes that you know,

0:35:41.200 --> 0:35:43.440
<v Speaker 1>on the on the flip side of the election, that

0:35:43.520 --> 0:35:46.400
<v Speaker 1>you're going to see a meaningful stimulus package you know

0:35:46.440 --> 0:35:50.400
<v Speaker 1>that's targeted at at those consumers that Mr Gorman mentioned

0:35:50.440 --> 0:35:53.440
<v Speaker 1>and also small business, and that kind of helps propel

0:35:53.520 --> 0:35:56.640
<v Speaker 1>the recovery into next year and and and that's really

0:35:56.680 --> 0:35:58.840
<v Speaker 1>that is our base case right now. You know, we

0:35:58.880 --> 0:36:01.440
<v Speaker 1>have a story on the Bloombar. Investors really can't get

0:36:01.520 --> 0:36:04.200
<v Speaker 1>enough of high grade corporate bonds. Um. You know, this

0:36:04.280 --> 0:36:07.160
<v Speaker 1>is your world corporate credit. How do you see it

0:36:07.239 --> 0:36:10.360
<v Speaker 1>playing out, especially against you know, that kind of economic

0:36:10.480 --> 0:36:14.080
<v Speaker 1>market backdrop that you just laid out. Well, I think

0:36:14.120 --> 0:36:17.279
<v Speaker 1>the biggest driver in the credit markets in general from

0:36:17.280 --> 0:36:20.640
<v Speaker 1>a demand perspective is just the lack of yield as

0:36:20.719 --> 0:36:23.799
<v Speaker 1>we all know are as I'm sure many people know, uh,

0:36:23.840 --> 0:36:26.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, bone yields are very low, kind of across

0:36:26.120 --> 0:36:28.120
<v Speaker 1>the board. Now they've moved up a bit, you know,

0:36:28.200 --> 0:36:29.880
<v Speaker 1>ten year yields have been on the move over the

0:36:29.960 --> 0:36:32.200
<v Speaker 1>last few weeks up about you know, kind of let's

0:36:32.239 --> 0:36:35.319
<v Speaker 1>call it thirteen fourteen basis points. That's a big move

0:36:35.320 --> 0:36:38.120
<v Speaker 1>in our world, but you know, i'd call it seventy

0:36:38.320 --> 0:36:41.280
<v Speaker 1>seven basis points in total. You know, ten year yields

0:36:41.280 --> 0:36:44.560
<v Speaker 1>are are high, are hardly um high, uh, and are

0:36:44.560 --> 0:36:47.799
<v Speaker 1>still relatively low. So there is a demand for what

0:36:47.840 --> 0:36:51.000
<v Speaker 1>we would call high quality income and and the and

0:36:51.040 --> 0:36:54.239
<v Speaker 1>the investment grade corporate bond market, you know, has been

0:36:54.239 --> 0:36:56.880
<v Speaker 1>a place for investors to put a significant amount of

0:36:56.920 --> 0:36:59.360
<v Speaker 1>money over the course of the year to get that

0:36:59.400 --> 0:37:03.120
<v Speaker 1>incremental incremental income UM. In addition to that, you know,

0:37:03.160 --> 0:37:06.399
<v Speaker 1>the companies that tend to to be investment created while

0:37:06.600 --> 0:37:09.640
<v Speaker 1>leverage has gone up. They are large cap in nature,

0:37:09.680 --> 0:37:13.319
<v Speaker 1>they tend to be pretty cash generative, and and tend

0:37:13.360 --> 0:37:16.279
<v Speaker 1>to have a lot of financial financial flexibility. On top

0:37:16.320 --> 0:37:19.120
<v Speaker 1>of that, the FED you know, certainly stepped in earlier

0:37:19.160 --> 0:37:21.879
<v Speaker 1>this year to provide a big, uh sort of hand

0:37:21.880 --> 0:37:24.400
<v Speaker 1>of support, if you will, you know, which really boosted

0:37:24.440 --> 0:37:27.120
<v Speaker 1>the market. So it's a combination of of of the

0:37:27.160 --> 0:37:30.080
<v Speaker 1>need for yield, which hasn't gone away and is unlikely

0:37:30.120 --> 0:37:32.879
<v Speaker 1>to go away, but also you know, some some some

0:37:32.920 --> 0:37:37.200
<v Speaker 1>pretty good um support from policymakers and again you know

0:37:37.239 --> 0:37:40.839
<v Speaker 1>that that underlying recovery that that does start to help fundamentals.

0:37:41.600 --> 0:37:45.520
<v Speaker 1>And so you heard J Powell essentially say, hey, guys, uh,

0:37:45.600 --> 0:37:49.120
<v Speaker 1>Pelosi needs some help here, help your brother out. I've

0:37:49.320 --> 0:37:54.640
<v Speaker 1>done everything that I was supposed to do and maybe more.

0:37:55.360 --> 0:37:57.080
<v Speaker 1>I think that's probably what he's saying, you know, when

0:37:57.080 --> 0:37:59.759
<v Speaker 1>he loosens up his tie a little bit. Um, I mean,

0:37:59.760 --> 0:38:03.479
<v Speaker 1>it's right. Has he essentially done you know, his job here,

0:38:03.520 --> 0:38:06.839
<v Speaker 1>and it really is up to the fiscal side. Well,

0:38:06.880 --> 0:38:08.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think it's I think the reality is,

0:38:09.080 --> 0:38:11.799
<v Speaker 1>you know, monetary policy has its limits, and you know,

0:38:11.840 --> 0:38:14.520
<v Speaker 1>the Fed's job is to keep the channels of credit open,

0:38:15.000 --> 0:38:17.840
<v Speaker 1>to keep um, you know, to try and improve sentiment

0:38:17.880 --> 0:38:20.160
<v Speaker 1>in the market, and to kind of keep the banking

0:38:20.200 --> 0:38:23.480
<v Speaker 1>system effectively up and running. And I think they've done

0:38:23.480 --> 0:38:25.560
<v Speaker 1>a very good job with that this year. You know,

0:38:25.600 --> 0:38:30.800
<v Speaker 1>they acted decisively, aggressively and with meaningful, meaningful force earlier

0:38:30.840 --> 0:38:35.000
<v Speaker 1>this year that effectively unclogged the credit markets. That got

0:38:35.640 --> 0:38:39.280
<v Speaker 1>investors kind of lending money again, and it got companies

0:38:39.320 --> 0:38:42.120
<v Speaker 1>and individuals kind of borrowing again, you know. And so

0:38:42.239 --> 0:38:44.719
<v Speaker 1>from that perspective, I think they've done their job. But

0:38:44.840 --> 0:38:47.920
<v Speaker 1>at some point, you know, monetary policy is not a

0:38:47.960 --> 0:38:51.360
<v Speaker 1>substitute for fiscal policy. And um, you know, when the

0:38:51.400 --> 0:38:54.120
<v Speaker 1>economy is is really in the doldrums like it has

0:38:54.160 --> 0:38:57.279
<v Speaker 1>been this year because of of COVID, you know, the

0:38:57.280 --> 0:38:59.840
<v Speaker 1>the government you know, in sort of Kensie and Pa

0:39:00.080 --> 0:39:02.319
<v Speaker 1>to see the government can step in and kind of

0:39:02.320 --> 0:39:05.400
<v Speaker 1>off said that pullback and demand, And I think really

0:39:05.440 --> 0:39:08.680
<v Speaker 1>that's what that's what Powell is pointing to. He is

0:39:08.800 --> 0:39:12.319
<v Speaker 1>fully committed to supporting the economy just about any way

0:39:12.360 --> 0:39:15.960
<v Speaker 1>he can, but he can't magically create aggregate demand. That

0:39:16.040 --> 0:39:19.560
<v Speaker 1>has to come from somewhere, and right now, the accelerator

0:39:19.640 --> 0:39:22.759
<v Speaker 1>has to come from the from the government, because you know,

0:39:22.800 --> 0:39:26.440
<v Speaker 1>private sector is still very much hurting from the impact

0:39:26.440 --> 0:39:28.560
<v Speaker 1>of COVID, and so he is kind of pushing on

0:39:28.560 --> 0:39:30.799
<v Speaker 1>a string, you know at this point, and you know,

0:39:30.880 --> 0:39:34.560
<v Speaker 1>looking for help from from fiscal policy. Lending versus spending.

0:39:34.560 --> 0:39:37.120
<v Speaker 1>What the Fed can do and then what what policymakers

0:39:37.239 --> 0:39:40.080
<v Speaker 1>can do. Uh, they're different kind of tools that they

0:39:40.080 --> 0:39:43.000
<v Speaker 1>each have. All right, George, thank you so much. George Bori,

0:39:43.160 --> 0:39:46.160
<v Speaker 1>he's head of fixed income Strategy and portfolio specialist over

0:39:46.200 --> 0:39:49.040
<v Speaker 1>at Wells Fargo Asset Management. On the phone in New

0:39:49.120 --> 0:39:53.640
<v Speaker 1>York City, the lending not spending tour a k pushing

0:39:53.640 --> 0:39:56.600
<v Speaker 1>on a string. J Powell and the Feds, JP and

0:39:56.640 --> 0:40:00.600
<v Speaker 1>the Feds and the Feds. J Pow. You don't you

0:40:00.600 --> 0:40:02.319
<v Speaker 1>don't think that what he was saying is like help

0:40:02.320 --> 0:40:05.919
<v Speaker 1>a brother out, help a brother out, It would be great,

0:40:06.000 --> 0:40:07.799
<v Speaker 1>Like you know, then the stories you can write off

0:40:07.800 --> 0:40:10.880
<v Speaker 1>of that. J. Bown says, Hey, help a brother out.

0:40:11.200 --> 0:40:16.160
<v Speaker 1>Nance Jay, come on, you are killing me. It's not

0:40:16.200 --> 0:40:19.080
<v Speaker 1>gonna happen. She's like, Jay, chill, Bro, It's chill. It's

0:40:19.120 --> 0:40:21.600
<v Speaker 1>not gonna happen. Thanks so much for listening to Bloomberg

0:40:21.680 --> 0:40:24.400
<v Speaker 1>Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, South Claude, Bloomberg

0:40:24.440 --> 0:40:26.880
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0:40:26.920 --> 0:40:28.840
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0:40:28.880 --> 0:40:31.600
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0:40:31.640 --> 0:40:33.759
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