1 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 1: This is Masters in Business with Barry Ridholts on Bloomberg Radio. Hi, 2 00:00:08,440 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 1: welcome to the podcast. This is Barry rid Holts and 3 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 1: my guest today is Joe Saluzi. You probably know him 4 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: as co author of the book Broken Markets or a 5 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 1: blog poster at Famous Trading. He's actually UH an institutional trader, 6 00:00:26,960 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 1: agency trader, agency broker on behalf of big mutual funds, 7 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:34,080 Speaker 1: hedge funds, what have you. Joe and his partner sal 8 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 1: were very early in identifying problems with markets with market structures. 9 00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: They identified some glitches from algorithmic trading, from high frequency trading, 10 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 1: issues with dark pools, and they've been a pretty vocal 11 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 1: set of um more than critics, but participants in the 12 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 1: markets who want to make them better, fairer, less expense 13 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 1: of uh more even handed for for all participants. Uh 14 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 1: they've brought a lot of um let's call it malfeasance 15 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:12,119 Speaker 1: to the public's attention. Their first white paper had come 16 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:13,760 Speaker 1: out in two thousand eight, right in the middle of 17 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:16,399 Speaker 1: financial crisis, when no one was thinking about things like 18 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:19,679 Speaker 1: market structure. But once we had the two thousand and 19 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 1: ten flash crash, I think people started paying a whole 20 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: lot more attention to them. I know these guys probably 21 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 1: for five or six years, um, through the usual circuits, radio, 22 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 1: TV conferences, what have you. You know, it's a really 23 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: small world and you end up bumping into them. Today's 24 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:40,760 Speaker 1: conversation is a little technical, a little wonky. If you 25 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 1: find this sort of stuff interesting, I think you'll find 26 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:47,040 Speaker 1: it fascinating. Uh. There are very very few people who 27 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:51,560 Speaker 1: are as as knowledgeable from a trading perspective about market 28 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 1: structures and potential flaws in what's going on. And you'll hear. 29 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 1: You know, things have gotten better for the flash crash, 30 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:04,160 Speaker 1: but not nearly as as good as as Joe and 31 00:02:04,160 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: sal would like to see them. Um. So that's a positive, 32 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:10,359 Speaker 1: but you know, we're still not quite there, and there's 33 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:14,399 Speaker 1: still risk of another flash crash, not only in equities, 34 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 1: but as we've seen in treasuries, in currencies. It turns 35 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 1: out that commodities maybe the best structured market there is 36 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: because they have some inherent rules and inherent structures built 37 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 1: in that work better than some of these other markets. 38 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:32,640 Speaker 1: So I could keep babbling about this for hours, but 39 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 1: rather than do that, let's just go right to my 40 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:42,959 Speaker 1: conversation with Joe Saluzzi. Of Famous Trading. This is Masters 41 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:47,519 Speaker 1: in Business with Barry Ridholts on Bloomberg Radio. My guest 42 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 1: this week is Joe Saluzzi of Famous Trading. Him and 43 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 1: his partner are the authors of Broken Markets. How high 44 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 1: frequency trading and predatory practices on Wall Street are destroying 45 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:03,840 Speaker 1: investor confidences and hurting your portfolios. Joe, Welcome to Bloomberg. 46 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,079 Speaker 1: Very thick, great, thanks for having me here today. So 47 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: I wanted to have you guys on, and by coincidence, 48 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 1: it works out that you follow a week where we 49 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 1: had a quant Cliff ast Nest fascinating conversation, but he's 50 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 1: been a fairly he calls it tepid defender of high 51 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:24,240 Speaker 1: frequency trading before. So so it just turned out fortuitously 52 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: that we have you on the week after UM and 53 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 1: coming up we have Brad Katsuyama from i X and 54 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:33,680 Speaker 1: he's also going to discuss market structures. But before we 55 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 1: get into the nitty gritty of this, a little background 56 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 1: about yourself. UM finance, bachelor's at n y U and 57 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 1: then an NBA at Chapel Hill down at North Carolina. 58 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:48,600 Speaker 1: Before you, guys founded Famous Trading, you worked at instant 59 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 1: at But the question I really have to ask is 60 00:03:51,920 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 1: how did you find your way into investigating issues in 61 00:03:57,120 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 1: market structure. Yeah, that's a great question. And if you 62 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 1: to ask me, you know, five or eight years ago, 63 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 1: would we be here saying absolutely not. You know, our 64 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:06,800 Speaker 1: our job is to trade stocks. That's what we do 65 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 1: for a living. Where agency brokers, we trade for institutional clients, 66 00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 1: hadge funds, mutual funds, and so on. But we got 67 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 1: our start as you mentioned, Sal and I both worked 68 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:18,599 Speaker 1: at Instant in the nineties, in early nineties before electronic trading, 69 00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:20,880 Speaker 1: just as electronic trading was really taken off in the 70 00:04:20,920 --> 00:04:23,560 Speaker 1: equities business, so we kind of we cut our teeth 71 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:26,760 Speaker 1: trading electronically. We learned a lot there, We really saw 72 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 1: it progressing, and then started to see the rule changes 73 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:32,840 Speaker 1: happening mainly at the SEC some things like regg ets 74 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: and a few other regulations. So let's let's get into 75 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 1: that in a little bit. But for for the lay 76 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:39,400 Speaker 1: person who may be listening to this and not familiar 77 00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:42,600 Speaker 1: with Instant, I began my career as a trader, So 78 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 1: you had either a level two or level three depending 79 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 1: on the access, whether you were buyer or whether you're 80 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 1: making markets and Instant. It was a private network that institutions. 81 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:56,000 Speaker 1: Institutional network used to buy and sell stocks with each 82 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 1: other when they maybe were trading a little outside of 83 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: the market, outside of the been asking moving real size 84 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 1: so as to not disrupt the market. Is that a 85 00:05:05,600 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 1: fair Yeah, that that was its original intent exactly you said. Um. 86 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 1: Eventually brokers came on the system, just like today, finding 87 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: liquidity was tough back then when you had two institutions 88 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: trying to cross stock, they didn't exactly always meet. Brokers 89 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:21,599 Speaker 1: were then allowed on the system, but the real action 90 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 1: on Instant was between institutional investors was blocking up stock, 91 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,239 Speaker 1: was trying to put up fifty a hundred thousand shares 92 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 1: without moving the stock. And and that's the trick and 93 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: even today there's still the trick to the trading stocks 94 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:35,440 Speaker 1: is trying to find a piece of liquidity, trying to 95 00:05:35,440 --> 00:05:38,240 Speaker 1: find that block without having the noise come through and 96 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 1: a lot a lot of that excess leakage. So that's 97 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 1: what our job was. Our job was to facilitate trades. 98 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: We weren't prop traders or any agency guys just like 99 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 1: we are now. So so you traded on behalf of 100 00:05:47,520 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 1: endowments foundations truss hedge funds, which were much moller way 101 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:54,080 Speaker 1: back then. Mutual funds were the big boys on the 102 00:05:54,080 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 1: block in those days, and so your business were commissioned brokers. 103 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 1: You would get paid for the trade you executed on 104 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:03,840 Speaker 1: their behalf right and even better, actually the clients had 105 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 1: the system on their desk themselves, so we were actually 106 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 1: we were more coverage people. So we covered an account 107 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:11,839 Speaker 1: and whether it's you know, you kind of helped that 108 00:06:11,880 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 1: account along, but they can actually hit the keys themselves. 109 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:16,679 Speaker 1: They didn't need us. And the power that the buy side, 110 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 1: particularly the institutional investment community got, that was the first 111 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:21,720 Speaker 1: time where they were really involved in the process and 112 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 1: they really liked it, which is why the instant revenue 113 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:26,600 Speaker 1: stream went like a ski slope from the early nineties. 114 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:30,719 Speaker 1: It really ramp. It was so from back in the nineties. 115 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:35,480 Speaker 1: What has changed in the markets? A lot, uh, well, 116 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:37,560 Speaker 1: a lot for the good, A lot for so you know, 117 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:39,159 Speaker 1: we're known as critics and so on, but we don't 118 00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:40,800 Speaker 1: we see a lot of good that has come over 119 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:44,839 Speaker 1: over the last ten fifteen years in the market. Narrowing spreads, 120 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:48,679 Speaker 1: lower commission costs um and that came about really around 121 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 1: two thousand and two that's when decimalization came out, when 122 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:54,280 Speaker 1: they changed those audits and quarters right that we were 123 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 1: trade actions and everybody back, everybody who was on a 124 00:06:57,279 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 1: trading desk knew what teenys were teeny the courts even 125 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 1: it was crazy stuff. It was sixteenth of a of 126 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:07,520 Speaker 1: a cent. And I was good at doing math in 127 00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 1: my head, but a lot of people had a hard 128 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 1: time with it. Decimalization was good for the people who 129 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 1: were a little fractionally challenged. Let's call it absolutely a 130 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 1: good thing. Um. One thing that they forgot about was, 131 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 1: you know, putting in some sort of minimum spread. But 132 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 1: we can get to that later when it comes to 133 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:25,240 Speaker 1: small caps. But really, electronic trading is what brought down 134 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:27,840 Speaker 1: the cost of trading right today. There could be this 135 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: whole argument, we can get into it later about high 136 00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 1: frequency trading and whether or not that increased or decreased cost. 137 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 1: But the real fact, and you look at charts and 138 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 1: you can see this transaction cost for institutional investors dropped 139 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:42,080 Speaker 1: around two thousand and two, two thousand and three four, 140 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:44,680 Speaker 1: that's when the real drop and the real decline came in. 141 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 1: Since so oh seven, we're oh, wait, we've kind of 142 00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 1: leveled off. We haven't. We've gone down and we've pretty 143 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 1: much stay down there. So that drop in trading costs, 144 00:07:52,360 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 1: did it imbute to the advantage of the investor the institution? 145 00:07:56,600 --> 00:08:00,200 Speaker 1: Where did that squeezing of margins end up falling? That 146 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 1: that should go directly to an investment because you're a 147 00:08:02,160 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 1: if you're a hedge fund or an investment advisor and 148 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:07,440 Speaker 1: you have fees and expenses, transaction costs is certainly one 149 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 1: of them, or at least explicitly commissioned costs. You know, 150 00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:13,000 Speaker 1: there's more of an implicit transaction costs, which will you know, 151 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 1: we talk about all the time on the on the 152 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 1: institutional world, is how much does it costs you to 153 00:08:16,880 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: really get into it and out of that stock? How 154 00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:21,760 Speaker 1: much leakage was there? Did you move the stock a 155 00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:24,360 Speaker 1: certain amount, did you get the v wap the volume 156 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 1: weight at average price, or did you actually increase it 157 00:08:26,960 --> 00:08:28,800 Speaker 1: because you left a lot of trails and that that 158 00:08:28,920 --> 00:08:32,000 Speaker 1: is really what implicit transaction cost is, and that, you know, 159 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 1: that's one of those things that's kind of stayed the 160 00:08:34,040 --> 00:08:36,760 Speaker 1: same over the last few years. So the approach of 161 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 1: big institutions, or at least it used to be and 162 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:42,200 Speaker 1: I'm assuming to some degree it still is is to 163 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:44,719 Speaker 1: be a little stealthy and to try and get these 164 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:48,560 Speaker 1: trades off without just you know, the signs in the 165 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 1: marina are at this point on it's five miles per hour, 166 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:53,959 Speaker 1: no wake. They don't want to leave a giant wake 167 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 1: in the market. They want to sneak in and sneak out. 168 00:08:56,360 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 1: And really that's my job, my real job now, and 169 00:08:58,600 --> 00:09:01,199 Speaker 1: when we're not writing books and writing log posts, to 170 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:03,680 Speaker 1: trade for clients and to leave is little weak and 171 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:05,880 Speaker 1: that's a great way of looking at it as possible 172 00:09:05,920 --> 00:09:08,920 Speaker 1: so that others aren't pretty much attaching to what you're doing. 173 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: And it's difficult, even though everyone thinks that there's all 174 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:14,680 Speaker 1: electronics and algorithms and whatnot, it is really difficult to 175 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 1: make sure that you're not being spotted and taken advantage of. 176 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 1: And that's how you lower your transaction costs. You lower 177 00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 1: them by not being spotted. I'm Barry ridd Holts. You're 178 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 1: listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My guest 179 00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:29,720 Speaker 1: today Joe Saluzzi of Famous Trading, co author of the 180 00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:33,880 Speaker 1: book Broken Markets. Let's continue our conversation a bit about 181 00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:38,800 Speaker 1: what you've described as a market structure that's become broken. 182 00:09:39,160 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 1: So we were talking earlier about the nineties, how things 183 00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 1: change today, They've changed a lot when it comes to 184 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:49,320 Speaker 1: the actual who's trading lot and the types of players 185 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:52,040 Speaker 1: that are out there, and the the diversity of liquidity 186 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:54,959 Speaker 1: and diversity of market participants. So what we found out, 187 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:57,200 Speaker 1: and I'll just back up in real quickly, we found 188 00:09:57,440 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 1: as we were trading throughout the middle of two thousands too, 189 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,199 Speaker 1: thousand and six, two thousand and seven, two thousand and 190 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:05,079 Speaker 1: eight really changed a lot. And there was a reason 191 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:06,839 Speaker 1: why it changed a lot, and it was because of 192 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:10,120 Speaker 1: a regulation called Reagan MS that the SEC approved. That's 193 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:13,960 Speaker 1: the National market system. What what did that regulation do? 194 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:17,920 Speaker 1: It pretty much exploded the equity universe. Were used to 195 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 1: have particularly listed names on the ux dock scene, names 196 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:23,600 Speaker 1: where there was a specialist down on the floor and 197 00:10:23,640 --> 00:10:26,840 Speaker 1: a human was actually buying and selling and and setting 198 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 1: the price correct. And they had about eight percent market 199 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:31,640 Speaker 1: share on the New York Stock Exchange pre oh seven, 200 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:35,199 Speaker 1: pre Reagan MS. Now they're around and that dropped on 201 00:10:35,360 --> 00:10:37,080 Speaker 1: was overnight as soon as the rule was put in place. 202 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 1: Reagan MS, basically it was intended to help competition. It 203 00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:43,600 Speaker 1: wanted to allow other exchanges and other venues to post 204 00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:46,440 Speaker 1: their bids and offers and have people interact with them 205 00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 1: and not ignore those quotes. Conceptually, that's a great idea. 206 00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 1: You should have to trade with a venue that has 207 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 1: a better price, right well thinks, in other words, the 208 00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:57,200 Speaker 1: best bit. So if you're a seller, you should your 209 00:10:57,400 --> 00:11:00,200 Speaker 1: broker who's operating in your half, on your behalf, be 210 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:03,680 Speaker 1: hitting the highest bid, the best bid as opposed to 211 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 1: just what's most convenient. That's exactly it. And and one 212 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:07,360 Speaker 1: of the parts of the rule is called the Trade 213 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:10,240 Speaker 1: through Protection or rule six eleven. And that's what it says. 214 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: If the best bid or offer before you can trade, 215 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 1: let's say you say the best offers ten cents before 216 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:17,280 Speaker 1: you can trade a fifteen cents, you've got to clear 217 00:11:17,320 --> 00:11:19,400 Speaker 1: the ten cents. So that for a block trader that 218 00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:21,920 Speaker 1: becomes potentially a problem. You've got to kind of sweep 219 00:11:21,960 --> 00:11:24,440 Speaker 1: through those levels, which we can do through what they 220 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:26,960 Speaker 1: call electronic give They have an ISO orders into market 221 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:29,400 Speaker 1: sweep boarders with. But the bottom line was, all of 222 00:11:29,440 --> 00:11:33,640 Speaker 1: a sudden, once this this fragmentation with the sec called competition, 223 00:11:33,880 --> 00:11:38,199 Speaker 1: we call fragmentation it allowed noise and different types of 224 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 1: venues to start coming through. And that's where the games began. 225 00:11:42,360 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 1: And that's where the high speed traders, the high frequency 226 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:47,600 Speaker 1: traders as their so called, so they invent they started 227 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 1: coming in. So let's define that, because I know people 228 00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:52,160 Speaker 1: are gonna say, I hear about h f T. I 229 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 1: hear about, but what are high frequency traders? Really? It's 230 00:11:55,600 --> 00:11:58,720 Speaker 1: a great question. And I was on a CFTC subcommittee 231 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:00,679 Speaker 1: and the and the job of our sub committee was 232 00:12:00,720 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 1: to define high frequency trading, and we really didn't come 233 00:12:03,679 --> 00:12:05,679 Speaker 1: up with a very good definition. I actually dissented to 234 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:07,439 Speaker 1: a public and when they finally came up with it, 235 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:10,080 Speaker 1: because it's really hard to define. It's it's it's not 236 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 1: exactly you know, it's certainly obviously using speed and using 237 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:16,040 Speaker 1: technology to you know, it's and we think it's certainly 238 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:18,480 Speaker 1: a matter of when it comes to inventory and net 239 00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:21,200 Speaker 1: positions being close to zero at all times. They're not 240 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 1: holding huge positions, although they could be long one particular 241 00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:27,000 Speaker 1: options contract and short the stock, or a long an 242 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:29,240 Speaker 1: ETF and short the future. But at the end of 243 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:31,640 Speaker 1: the day, the net kind of neutral. They're not carrying 244 00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:35,280 Speaker 1: any inventory. They're in and out very very quickly, very 245 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:38,240 Speaker 1: short holding periods exactly well, and now some of them 246 00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:40,480 Speaker 1: will hold and and actually now we're starting to see 247 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 1: some public statements. There's an s one out there from 248 00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:45,679 Speaker 1: one particular HIPT. They're holding positions, but they're usually being 249 00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:48,440 Speaker 1: netted out against others. And we don't necessarily have a 250 00:12:48,480 --> 00:12:52,000 Speaker 1: problem with a high frequency trading market maker. I don't 251 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:53,960 Speaker 1: have a problem if there I want to trade with 252 00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:57,079 Speaker 1: any participant in a market, in a pool that's all 253 00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 1: trading on a transparent and fair way. Why wouldn't I 254 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:02,040 Speaker 1: want to trade? Diversity is a good thing. We take 255 00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:04,560 Speaker 1: issue with some of the high frequency traders who are 256 00:13:04,600 --> 00:13:07,880 Speaker 1: more when there's lots of pinging and sniffing, and and 257 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:09,959 Speaker 1: we can get into exactly how this goes. So let 258 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:12,839 Speaker 1: me ask you a series of questions, or rather than that, 259 00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:15,320 Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you one word and I want you 260 00:13:15,360 --> 00:13:17,960 Speaker 1: to define it. And I have about ten of these. 261 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 1: We'll see how far these go. Let's start with co 262 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 1: located servers. A co location is you can put your 263 00:13:24,920 --> 00:13:26,560 Speaker 1: server at the New York Let's use the New York 264 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 1: Stock Exchange facility right next to the main matching engine, 265 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:31,840 Speaker 1: which sits in Mahwah, New Jersey, not on you with 266 00:13:31,960 --> 00:13:33,480 Speaker 1: you know, the stock change is not on Wall Street, 267 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 1: it's in Mahwah, New Jersey. You can rent a cabinet 268 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:40,040 Speaker 1: they call it a cage and put your server in there. 269 00:13:40,200 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 1: It's got an equal length cord just like everybody else 270 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 1: in the facility to get to that engine. If the 271 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 1: trick is to be as close as possible so that 272 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:50,640 Speaker 1: you can see the data coming at or process the 273 00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:54,280 Speaker 1: data as fast as possible before your competitors a process 274 00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 1: so relative to co location, let's talk about latency arbitrage. 275 00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:01,840 Speaker 1: Great question, Okay, So lazy RB is basically the matter 276 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 1: of having two separate quotes. What I mean is if 277 00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:08,120 Speaker 1: I was a high speed trader and I can build 278 00:14:08,160 --> 00:14:10,680 Speaker 1: my own quote. So what I do is there's twelve, 279 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 1: there's eleven stock exchanges soon to be twelve again. But 280 00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:14,480 Speaker 1: what you would do is you would take all those 281 00:14:14,520 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 1: stock exchanges, get a direct data feed into them, co 282 00:14:17,480 --> 00:14:20,800 Speaker 1: locate your computers and basically take out any sort of 283 00:14:20,880 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 1: latency or time to little delay and create a quote. 284 00:14:24,040 --> 00:14:26,560 Speaker 1: Will create an NBBO, a national best bit or offer 285 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,960 Speaker 1: that is most likely going to be faster than what 286 00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 1: the public sees because they see it through something called 287 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 1: a SIP or a security information processor. So there's a 288 00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:38,240 Speaker 1: difference in time, and there will always be a difference 289 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 1: in time because the SIP has to aggregate all of 290 00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:44,720 Speaker 1: those various exchanges or eleven or twelve and then show it, 291 00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 1: whereas if you're just doing one, you could be a 292 00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:49,280 Speaker 1: little well, you're doing your own and you're picking and choosing, 293 00:14:49,360 --> 00:14:51,480 Speaker 1: and you're creating your own quote. And the problem with 294 00:14:51,520 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 1: the SIP is that NASDAC, the for profit exchange, runs 295 00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 1: the SIP. They're actually the provider of the SIP for 296 00:14:57,360 --> 00:14:59,000 Speaker 1: a couple of years. Last year I had a little 297 00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:01,640 Speaker 1: problem with the SIP, and the question became, are they 298 00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:05,040 Speaker 1: spending enough money upgrading the technology so that the SIP 299 00:15:05,080 --> 00:15:07,640 Speaker 1: is as fast as everyone else? And currently it used 300 00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:10,080 Speaker 1: to be around a millisecond time delay. Now it's at 301 00:15:10,080 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 1: a half of the millisecond. It sounds like nothing, right, 302 00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 1: but a half of a millisecond, So I Frequency Trader 303 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:16,520 Speaker 1: was all the time in the world. We'll talk a 304 00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:19,800 Speaker 1: little bit about flashboys later, but the book begins with 305 00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:23,840 Speaker 1: the story of creating a fiber op to cable in 306 00:15:23,960 --> 00:15:28,120 Speaker 1: a perfectly straight line from New York to Chicago in 307 00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:31,000 Speaker 1: order to shave a couple of minutes, literally a couple 308 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:33,960 Speaker 1: of milliseconds off trading. And the guys who did that 309 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:36,560 Speaker 1: spent a billion dollars on it, and it was an 310 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:40,880 Speaker 1: enormous return on that investment. Let's keep going. What is 311 00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:44,520 Speaker 1: quote stuffing? Quote stuffing is a theory. It's never been 312 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 1: proven at the SEC, but it certainly does seem to 313 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 1: exist what we've seen evidence of it. Nan X by 314 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:52,720 Speaker 1: the way, he puts out these fabulous graphics showing all 315 00:15:52,760 --> 00:15:56,000 Speaker 1: these giant surges of quotes that show up for a 316 00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:59,440 Speaker 1: millisecond and then disappear. Incredible work that NanoX eric over 317 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:01,520 Speaker 1: And now I mean he could be he should be 318 00:16:01,560 --> 00:16:03,480 Speaker 1: working for the SEC. That the amount of data that 319 00:16:03,520 --> 00:16:06,560 Speaker 1: he processes, things that he sees, it's amazing that the 320 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 1: folks in that the SEC or the other regulators don't 321 00:16:08,800 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 1: see this, which kind of scares us a bit. But 322 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 1: quote stuffing is that if stocks trade on what they 323 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:16,440 Speaker 1: call channels, is maybe there's eight is eight D in 324 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,880 Speaker 1: one channel e F and another. If if you're looking 325 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:21,880 Speaker 1: at stock in the A channel, you can kind of 326 00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 1: go after another stock send through a whole bunch of 327 00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:26,600 Speaker 1: quotes and then kind of extract out that to make 328 00:16:26,640 --> 00:16:30,240 Speaker 1: your processing faster. It's an interesting theory and it's certainly 329 00:16:30,280 --> 00:16:32,520 Speaker 1: that it's been proven. It's actually been talked about in 330 00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:35,240 Speaker 1: some regulatory documents as well. I'm Barry rid Helts. She 331 00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:38,400 Speaker 1: listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My guest 332 00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:41,360 Speaker 1: today is Joe Saluzzi. He is one of the partners 333 00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:45,240 Speaker 1: of Famous Trading and the co author of Broken Markets 334 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 1: and a long standing critic of market structures, high frequency 335 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:53,000 Speaker 1: trading and some of the other things that we discuss 336 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:57,880 Speaker 1: that works uh to the investors disadvantage. Earlier we were 337 00:16:57,880 --> 00:17:01,320 Speaker 1: discussing um things like co okay ation and packet sniffing. 338 00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:03,760 Speaker 1: Let's talk a little bit before we get to the 339 00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:08,000 Speaker 1: flash crash. Talk a little bit about spoofing and walking away. 340 00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:11,840 Speaker 1: What what is spoofing. Spoofing is placing bids are offers 341 00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:14,200 Speaker 1: where you have no intention of trading them, and there's 342 00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:17,520 Speaker 1: actually been a couple of cases just recently. The CFTC has, 343 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:19,879 Speaker 1: by the way, has much more the Commodity Futures and 344 00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:22,520 Speaker 1: Trading Commission much more power now under Dodd Frank to 345 00:17:22,560 --> 00:17:25,200 Speaker 1: go after spoofers than the SEC does. It's kind of 346 00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:27,200 Speaker 1: a weird thing where how it was written in the rules, 347 00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:29,720 Speaker 1: But they've come after a couple of guys recently and 348 00:17:29,760 --> 00:17:32,440 Speaker 1: have settled a few cases where folks or these firms 349 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:35,399 Speaker 1: high speed firms, because you really you could manually spoof, 350 00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:37,160 Speaker 1: but it's really not going to be effective. But they 351 00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:39,639 Speaker 1: were basically placed layering the book really, which is another 352 00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:41,879 Speaker 1: term layers, so at different prices, a whole bunch of 353 00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:44,240 Speaker 1: orders that look like there's a big buy or look 354 00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:46,440 Speaker 1: like there's a big seller to move the price, and 355 00:17:46,480 --> 00:17:48,440 Speaker 1: then of course as soon as someone comes in they 356 00:17:48,480 --> 00:17:51,359 Speaker 1: cancel all those orders gone. There's never an intention, and 357 00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 1: that's the thing, and how do they prove that. It's 358 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:56,439 Speaker 1: an intense se scenario. And the CFCC again has a 359 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,800 Speaker 1: lot more leeway. So if you're a few, if you're 360 00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:00,760 Speaker 1: a guy in the in the future, his world, and 361 00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:02,640 Speaker 1: you're spoofing, you should be a little scared now because 362 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:05,880 Speaker 1: the CFCC has a much much more powerful regular relation 363 00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:07,720 Speaker 1: that they can use against you. I mean, isn't that 364 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:10,840 Speaker 1: really an attempt to manipulate markets with no intention to 365 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:14,240 Speaker 1: actually execute a trade? Yes, And that's exactly one of 366 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:16,800 Speaker 1: the problems that we have with certain high speed trading 367 00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:19,120 Speaker 1: or any trader for that matter. You know, we're we're 368 00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:22,040 Speaker 1: critics of of potential problems in the market of market structure. 369 00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:24,919 Speaker 1: Spoofing has no business being in the market, right, So 370 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,800 Speaker 1: here's my proposal. Tell me what the result of this is. 371 00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:29,600 Speaker 1: If you want to put a bit of a quote 372 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 1: out there, you have to have it stay there for 373 00:18:32,080 --> 00:18:35,280 Speaker 1: a tenth of a second? Is am I being ridiculous 374 00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:37,640 Speaker 1: or what's the know? And and we actually had recommended 375 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:39,800 Speaker 1: that once also, But the the high speed community the 376 00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:41,399 Speaker 1: other side will say that that's going to mess up 377 00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:44,560 Speaker 1: their models. They can't place bids and offers and therefore 378 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:47,959 Speaker 1: they can't arbitrage certain scenarios. Let's let's say it's an 379 00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:50,119 Speaker 1: et F arbitrage ore and he's gonna under you know, 380 00:18:50,119 --> 00:18:52,280 Speaker 1: he's gonna trade five hundred stocks against the SMP five 381 00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:55,560 Speaker 1: hundreds if he's forced to place a bitter offer for 382 00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:57,399 Speaker 1: a tenth of a second, which you know, I'm blinking 383 00:18:57,400 --> 00:19:00,840 Speaker 1: our eyes in ridiculous. You know, we certainly wouldn't have 384 00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:03,359 Speaker 1: a problem with that. They would scream bloody murder. And 385 00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:05,080 Speaker 1: then here's the flip side. They're gonna say, well, if 386 00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:07,480 Speaker 1: you do that, I'm gonna take away my quote unquote 387 00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:10,080 Speaker 1: liquidity and I'll be gone. And that's where everyone gets scared. 388 00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:13,040 Speaker 1: So now let's let's talk about walking away, which is 389 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:15,880 Speaker 1: going to lead us to ultimately to the flash crash. 390 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,560 Speaker 1: You know, when you had a specialist down on the exchange, 391 00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:23,680 Speaker 1: they were there theoretically to provide an orderly market. They 392 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:26,400 Speaker 1: were ready, willing and able to to buy or sell 393 00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:30,560 Speaker 1: stocks at an equilibrium price. Uh. The counter argument, as 394 00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:35,359 Speaker 1: you go back to and hey down one day, I 395 00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:38,159 Speaker 1: think that was a different era. You know, everything was 396 00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:43,719 Speaker 1: fairly manual back then. But that taking away the liquidly Uh. 397 00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:48,040 Speaker 1: Don't they have essentially no obligation to make a market? 398 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:51,600 Speaker 1: Can't they just walk away anytime they want? Spot on exactly? 399 00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:55,679 Speaker 1: And that's the problem. Obligations are nowhere to be found 400 00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:58,760 Speaker 1: in the market making community anymore, although they will tell you. 401 00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:00,720 Speaker 1: I mean some of the exchanges have an obligation of 402 00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:03,240 Speaker 1: eight percent within the n b b O, which means 403 00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 1: you can, quote, for a want to wait on a 404 00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:07,679 Speaker 1: hundred all of stock, Thank you very much, I'll take you. Know, 405 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:09,639 Speaker 1: you can have that liquidity, But if you don't have 406 00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:13,440 Speaker 1: an oblimy. That's a touch more than the flash crash. Well, 407 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:15,600 Speaker 1: we had stub quotes then they were trading mid zero, right, 408 00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:18,280 Speaker 1: that was how crazy was that? But you know, people 409 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,119 Speaker 1: will say the specialist system, they were problems and they 410 00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:23,000 Speaker 1: land them with handcuffs and all. If there were problems, 411 00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:24,840 Speaker 1: and they were, we would call those out if we 412 00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:26,359 Speaker 1: were back in the nineties. Right now, sal and I 413 00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:28,560 Speaker 1: will be talking about problems back in the specialist world, 414 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:32,000 Speaker 1: because that doesn't get rid of a hold of these problems. Right, 415 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:34,440 Speaker 1: But let's think about it. At least the specialists had 416 00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,200 Speaker 1: what they call an affirmative and a negative obligation, which 417 00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:39,119 Speaker 1: means they had to buy stock at certain times and 418 00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:42,399 Speaker 1: they couldn't sell its other times. And the customer knew that, 419 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:46,760 Speaker 1: and there was there was the confidence. So let's let's 420 00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:49,720 Speaker 1: talk about the flash crash. May six, two thou and ten. 421 00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:53,199 Speaker 1: All of a sudden, the down plummets. I remember this 422 00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:55,040 Speaker 1: because I was on a flight back from Dallas. I 423 00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 1: missed it. But and every time I fly now people 424 00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:01,880 Speaker 1: point out that the market gets color crush, But um, 425 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:04,919 Speaker 1: what happened. What happened on that day? That was an 426 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 1: evaporation in liquidity basically, right. And let me read you 427 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:11,040 Speaker 1: just a real quick quote from after the flash. Crasty 428 00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:14,399 Speaker 1: sec CFTC Advisory Committee put out a report which we 429 00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:16,080 Speaker 1: thought was one of the best pieces that ever came 430 00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:18,760 Speaker 1: out of DC. Listen to these words they said talking 431 00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:21,879 Speaker 1: about the flash crash. Indeed, even in the absence of 432 00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:25,679 Speaker 1: extraordinary market events, limit order books can quickly empty and 433 00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:28,760 Speaker 1: prices can crash simply due to the speed and numbers 434 00:21:28,800 --> 00:21:30,879 Speaker 1: of orders flowing into the market and due to the 435 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 1: ability to instantly cancel orders. So the books emptied. There 436 00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:37,159 Speaker 1: was a situation, there was grease going on like there 437 00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:39,359 Speaker 1: is today, right, same, sorry. And then there was a 438 00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:42,840 Speaker 1: supposedly a large e mini order in the futures market. 439 00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:46,040 Speaker 1: Not it was an order, right, and by the way, 440 00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 1: it was a seventy contract order, which half of it 441 00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:52,480 Speaker 1: wasn't even executed until after this was over, So it 442 00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:55,359 Speaker 1: really is kind of an it's a bad excuse, and 443 00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:57,720 Speaker 1: it wasn't the cause. The cause was the market was 444 00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:00,639 Speaker 1: on pins and needles. The bids and offers just evaporated. 445 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:02,800 Speaker 1: And there was a professor, actually he was at the 446 00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:05,320 Speaker 1: CFCC that his name is Andre Carolinko. He turned the 447 00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:08,720 Speaker 1: phrase hot potato trading where they basically the h f 448 00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:11,080 Speaker 1: T guys started flipping back and forth between each other 449 00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:14,080 Speaker 1: until their position limits got exhausted, and then they just 450 00:22:14,119 --> 00:22:15,919 Speaker 1: walked away. And there was even one in the market 451 00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,480 Speaker 1: that said he hit the button h f T stop, 452 00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:21,280 Speaker 1: which meant get me out. Everything was done. Everybody just 453 00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:23,960 Speaker 1: walked away. I'm Barry rit Helps. You're listening to Masters 454 00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:27,840 Speaker 1: in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My guest today is Joe Saluzzi. 455 00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:31,119 Speaker 1: He is the co author of Broken Markets with his 456 00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:34,480 Speaker 1: partner Sal Arnuck. The two of them run Famous Trading, 457 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:39,959 Speaker 1: and we were previously discussing the causes of the flash crash, 458 00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:43,200 Speaker 1: so let's let's go back to that. So it's May 459 00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:47,520 Speaker 1: two thousand and ten, and suddenly stocks that normally trade 460 00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:52,600 Speaker 1: at eight are a penny. The Dow loses some crazy 461 00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:55,199 Speaker 1: I almost want to say ten percent. Is that a 462 00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:58,840 Speaker 1: bullpark number? In a matter of minutes and a half 463 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,679 Speaker 1: hour later, everything come snapping back as if it was 464 00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 1: no big deal. How on earth does that happen in 465 00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:08,520 Speaker 1: the twenty one century in America? Yeah, I think they're 466 00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:12,040 Speaker 1: still looking into that, the regulators, right, But it happened, 467 00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:14,040 Speaker 1: you know. But basically the problem a lot of the 468 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:17,280 Speaker 1: retail investor's face was folks who had stop loss orders 469 00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:19,200 Speaker 1: in there. If a stock got to a certain level, 470 00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:21,760 Speaker 1: they wanted to sell it. Those stop losses became market 471 00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:24,520 Speaker 1: orders once they activate, well they really what happens with 472 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:27,080 Speaker 1: a market order. Normally it'll get sent over to what 473 00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:30,160 Speaker 1: they call an internalizing broker. They will normally pick up 474 00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:32,639 Speaker 1: this market order. They'll trade against it because they consider 475 00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 1: retail flow dumb. I'm sorry, that's that's their word's not mine, 476 00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:38,920 Speaker 1: and they want to basically give it a subpenny price improvement, 477 00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:40,919 Speaker 1: and then they're off they and they're trying to trade against. 478 00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:44,680 Speaker 1: In this scenario, the internalizers tend they walked away as well. 479 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:47,879 Speaker 1: So these market orders got exhausted to the let exchanges 480 00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:50,119 Speaker 1: over New York and to the NASDAC and there was 481 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:52,359 Speaker 1: no bids or offers there. So what does a market 482 00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:54,159 Speaker 1: order do. It goes down and starts looking for the 483 00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:57,120 Speaker 1: best bit or offer until it finds something. And even 484 00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:01,400 Speaker 1: and even at selling Johnson and John's in it, Accentura 485 00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:03,160 Speaker 1: was traded at a penny of share, so I think 486 00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:05,400 Speaker 1: was Sam Adams too, which is whatever's stock price now 487 00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:07,720 Speaker 1: a penny of share. It was absurd and it was 488 00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,159 Speaker 1: basically it was called a stub quote, where a market 489 00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:12,560 Speaker 1: maker could place a one sided quote. So he'll put 490 00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:14,840 Speaker 1: a penny bid offered at a hundred dollars whatever it 491 00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,080 Speaker 1: may be. Say, you know, the SEC has since bann 492 00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,240 Speaker 1: stub quotes. But that wasn't the problem. The problem was 493 00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:21,159 Speaker 1: why did that market or to come into the system 494 00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:23,400 Speaker 1: and have no bids or offers. Why did the limit 495 00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:26,320 Speaker 1: order books that we talked about before just disappear? Well, 496 00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:28,840 Speaker 1: it's not really real liquidity. It was kind of a 497 00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:31,600 Speaker 1: phantom liquidity. It's there when you don't need it, and 498 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:34,800 Speaker 1: when you really need it it disappears. That's the big crew. 499 00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:37,280 Speaker 1: That's one of my big complaints bearing him on sooon 500 00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:40,679 Speaker 1: and disappears in the draft. So so so, there are 501 00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,399 Speaker 1: some people who I've actually had on the show and 502 00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:47,440 Speaker 1: had conversations with. Jack Brennan is chairman of the Vanguard Group. 503 00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:50,399 Speaker 1: Cliff Astness, the c i O of of a q R, 504 00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:54,920 Speaker 1: who have said high frequency trading and the modern competition 505 00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:59,800 Speaker 1: have made costs of execution lower. They've tightened spreads, they've 506 00:24:59,840 --> 00:25:02,399 Speaker 1: done the number of things, although the reality is, you know, 507 00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:04,480 Speaker 1: the spread is tightened, but it's for forty seven shares. 508 00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:06,679 Speaker 1: If you have to buy five thousand shares, is the 509 00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:10,080 Speaker 1: spread is still ten or twenty or thirty cents. But 510 00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:13,560 Speaker 1: when when the chairman of Vanguard said, hey, this has 511 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:16,600 Speaker 1: made our costs a lot lower, how do we argue 512 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:19,280 Speaker 1: against that? Well, that's wonderful for Vanguard, who makes money 513 00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:21,480 Speaker 1: on you know how many trillions of ETFs they have 514 00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:25,479 Speaker 1: right now, three trillion dollars. It's you know, I wouldn't 515 00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:27,760 Speaker 1: want local, you know. But for them, it's a different 516 00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:30,480 Speaker 1: business model, right they're running something and for a quant 517 00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:32,480 Speaker 1: it's a different business mode because they're flipping in and 518 00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 1: out of numerous, numerous positions throughout the day. But we're 519 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:39,840 Speaker 1: talking about a traditional institutional and investor who's trying to 520 00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:41,760 Speaker 1: buy a hundred thousand shares of a stock that trades 521 00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:45,240 Speaker 1: a million shares. Things have changed dramatically for them because 522 00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:48,760 Speaker 1: that footprint they're leaving is basically the one that everyone's 523 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:52,040 Speaker 1: trying to pick off. That liquidity that's there disappears quickly. 524 00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:55,040 Speaker 1: The obligations of a market maker are no longer. They're 525 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:58,879 Speaker 1: the average trade size now on both lit and dark venues. 526 00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,520 Speaker 1: Is less than two hundred chairs, less than two Trade says, 527 00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:04,960 Speaker 1: it's incredible. How do you get anything done? So when 528 00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:08,679 Speaker 1: we look at the flash crash, what's to prevent that 529 00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:13,159 Speaker 1: from happening again? Nothing? Okay? What about that on a 530 00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:15,879 Speaker 1: D do stop? Well, you won't have the O and 531 00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:18,520 Speaker 1: U and A ninety two. So in other words, they'll disappear. 532 00:26:18,560 --> 00:26:20,399 Speaker 1: But they don't have to be there. They don't have 533 00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:22,000 Speaker 1: to know that well they would, you know, to be 534 00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:23,760 Speaker 1: considered a market maker, you have to be there. But 535 00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:25,080 Speaker 1: if you can easily just shut it off and say 536 00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:26,560 Speaker 1: I'm not going to be a market maker right now, 537 00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:28,719 Speaker 1: but get to do that for the day, all right, 538 00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:32,240 Speaker 1: And that means that the exchange won't give you the 539 00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:34,879 Speaker 1: special pricing that they give to these market makers. But 540 00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:38,360 Speaker 1: just as an example, October fifteenth of last year, there 541 00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:40,960 Speaker 1: was a flash crash in the Treasury mark Remember, okay 542 00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:44,040 Speaker 1: that that day should be on everybody's on the blackboard, 543 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:46,680 Speaker 1: just like May six was. That was a very very 544 00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:48,760 Speaker 1: disturbing event because that's the most liquid acid in the 545 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:51,639 Speaker 1: world and it crashed in a matter of minutes and 546 00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:54,040 Speaker 1: then it's zapped right back again. Just like the equity mark. 547 00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:56,920 Speaker 1: Bigger move was the yields are from my two tents 548 00:26:56,920 --> 00:27:00,840 Speaker 1: and one. I think it was huge in minutes and 549 00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:03,040 Speaker 1: apparently no, we know it's a Ukraine situation. Whatever. It 550 00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:05,879 Speaker 1: was the same scenario, But why did the treasury market 551 00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:08,080 Speaker 1: now that it's a known fact that high frequency traders 552 00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:10,760 Speaker 1: are now in the treasury market. Electronic trading has taken 553 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:13,840 Speaker 1: over the treasury market. So it's the same scenario that, 554 00:27:14,080 --> 00:27:16,959 Speaker 1: like I read before, limit order books can quickly evaporate, 555 00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 1: and that's what we're dealing with. So our our issues. 556 00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:21,119 Speaker 1: How do we build those limit order books again? How 557 00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:23,760 Speaker 1: do we put diverse liquidity back into there where people 558 00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:26,719 Speaker 1: feel comfortable that they're not gonna get picked off all day? 559 00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:31,119 Speaker 1: So you're sided. In the book Flash Boys, which was 560 00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:34,880 Speaker 1: Michael Lewis's book, I actually read it on vacation last year, 561 00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 1: and his books are perfect beach reading. I find them 562 00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:42,120 Speaker 1: both entertaining and and informative. And we'll have to get 563 00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:45,320 Speaker 1: Michael on the show one of these days. But you 564 00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:47,520 Speaker 1: guys are mentioned in there. Tell us a little bit 565 00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:50,399 Speaker 1: about what took place in that book and what some 566 00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:55,040 Speaker 1: of the solutions to high frequency trading are coming down 567 00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:58,399 Speaker 1: the pipe because we've been hearing h f T is 568 00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:00,399 Speaker 1: less profitable than it used to be. Either, there's a 569 00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:04,560 Speaker 1: ton of competition. The rule changes have affected them somewhat. 570 00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:07,320 Speaker 1: What what's happening now? Well, the book was usually the 571 00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:10,560 Speaker 1: book was tremendous just to get to debate really moving forward. 572 00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:12,760 Speaker 1: And we've been struggling with this since oh eight, right, 573 00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:14,200 Speaker 1: so two thousand and eight we were at our first 574 00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:15,879 Speaker 1: white paper. We've been you know, we were on sixty 575 00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:17,760 Speaker 1: minutes and two thousand intent. It's been a long time, 576 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:19,920 Speaker 1: a long struggle. Michael Lewis came in like a steam 577 00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:22,879 Speaker 1: roller and everyone is talking about which is fantastic, but 578 00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:25,040 Speaker 1: you know, he used the word rigged, which really got 579 00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:28,560 Speaker 1: people from sixty minutes. Michael Lewis said, the markets are rigged. 580 00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:32,520 Speaker 1: Do you agree with that? The structure of the market 581 00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:37,160 Speaker 1: is ragged. Okay, they're they're are forces. The stock exchange 582 00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:40,600 Speaker 1: model is broken there, they're poor profit companies that have 583 00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:43,760 Speaker 1: different incentives than they should have now. They used, for 584 00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:46,120 Speaker 1: people who may not be familiar with this, for most 585 00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:49,200 Speaker 1: of their histories, The New York Stock Exchange was a 586 00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:54,920 Speaker 1: nonprofit entity up until the whole situation with their former 587 00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:58,520 Speaker 1: chairman getting paid bonuses that they wasn't supposed to when 588 00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:02,760 Speaker 1: you're running a nonprofit, that ultimately lead um okay, well, 589 00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:05,080 Speaker 1: if you don't want to take a bonus as a nonprofit, 590 00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:07,800 Speaker 1: let's become for profit company. Right, and it changed their 591 00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:10,240 Speaker 1: philosophy a change. Okay, we're now for the bottom line. 592 00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:12,280 Speaker 1: We have to return money to investors because that's what 593 00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:15,360 Speaker 1: public companies do. Right. NASDAC, for instance, has less than 594 00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:19,040 Speaker 1: ten percent of their money generated from equity cash transactions. 595 00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:22,280 Speaker 1: That means stock market So where's old money coming from? 596 00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:27,160 Speaker 1: Data sales? Various things related to co location data feeds, 597 00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:30,120 Speaker 1: which is a huge profit generator for stock exchanges. So 598 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,360 Speaker 1: they're and even one stock exchange is owned by brokers. Okay, 599 00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:36,920 Speaker 1: there's used huge conflicts of interest in the stock exchange model, 600 00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:39,800 Speaker 1: which has created the problems that we see in what 601 00:29:39,840 --> 00:29:42,040 Speaker 1: they call these smart order routers from the broker level, 602 00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:44,959 Speaker 1: where they go to one exchange first because that offers 603 00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:48,040 Speaker 1: a better rebate than it does from another exchange, or 604 00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:50,479 Speaker 1: they go to a dark pool because it doesn't charge 605 00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:53,840 Speaker 1: them anything. Define dark pools for listeners. Sure, dark pools 606 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:57,080 Speaker 1: are off exchange venues that don't need to publish their quotes. 607 00:29:57,360 --> 00:29:58,880 Speaker 1: Back in the day, when I was an instant that 608 00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:00,680 Speaker 1: we called it a crossing net work at night because 609 00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:03,240 Speaker 1: we wanted the cross chunks of stock. Now they operate 610 00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:05,480 Speaker 1: throughout the day. And an average trade size on a 611 00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:07,240 Speaker 1: dark pool is no bigger than a lip pool now 612 00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:09,320 Speaker 1: less than two hundred shares. But but back then it 613 00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:12,600 Speaker 1: was big and fifty blocks. And there's still a couple 614 00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:14,960 Speaker 1: of dark pools now liquid that in particular that's still 615 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,600 Speaker 1: over forty shares on the average trade size. Those are 616 00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:21,840 Speaker 1: institutions crossing stock, reducing transaction costs. And some may say, well, 617 00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:24,480 Speaker 1: you're shutting out the retail investor. No you're not, because 618 00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:27,720 Speaker 1: those institutions are trading on behalf of retail fund, that 619 00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:33,920 Speaker 1: retail money in an individual stock exactly. So that argument 620 00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:36,720 Speaker 1: doesn't hold any water. But dark pools themselves have been 621 00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:40,520 Speaker 1: so perverted and so over the years. What the Barkley's 622 00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:42,360 Speaker 1: case that the a g and York Attorney General is 623 00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,920 Speaker 1: brought against the Barkley's dark Pool, which is still pending, 624 00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:48,760 Speaker 1: exposed a lot of what actually goes on inside and 625 00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:51,959 Speaker 1: the lack of disclosion, the lack of transparency that the 626 00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:53,960 Speaker 1: clients of the dark pools don't have no idea, They 627 00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:56,280 Speaker 1: have no idea who's getting teared and who gets the 628 00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:59,680 Speaker 1: order first. These are the problems inside the market structure 629 00:30:59,680 --> 00:31:02,320 Speaker 1: when you talk about the term rigged, that do exist, 630 00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:05,800 Speaker 1: that do advantage one class of investor over another, that 631 00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:07,840 Speaker 1: need to be taken out of the market. If we're 632 00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:10,560 Speaker 1: playing on a level playing field, we've got absolutely no 633 00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:13,120 Speaker 1: problem with any high frequency trading low I don't care 634 00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:15,480 Speaker 1: who you are, low frequency guy. I want to interact 635 00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:17,680 Speaker 1: with every piece of liquidity, but I want to do 636 00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:19,760 Speaker 1: it on a fair and level playing field. So let's 637 00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:23,840 Speaker 1: talk about the new exchange i e X, which solves 638 00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:27,320 Speaker 1: some of these problems. Absolutely. We're a trading We were 639 00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:29,120 Speaker 1: one of the first trading partners. You know, we think 640 00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:31,720 Speaker 1: i X. They nailed it with their model. They got 641 00:31:31,800 --> 00:31:34,520 Speaker 1: rid of rebates. Okay, there's no there's a flat fee 642 00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:36,640 Speaker 1: on the I X exchange. You pay what whether you 643 00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:39,560 Speaker 1: make the liquidity or take a liquidity one feet. They 644 00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:41,920 Speaker 1: got rid of the speed advantage by putting in something 645 00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:43,320 Speaker 1: you know, Brad will tell you more than I need 646 00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:47,320 Speaker 1: to buffer. And essentially it's a mile of spooled uh. 647 00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:52,080 Speaker 1: Fiber optics, nobody has any advantage of of speed. The 648 00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:54,280 Speaker 1: order comes in and then it gets buffered for a 649 00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:57,880 Speaker 1: millisecond and now everybody's arriving at the same time. That's right. 650 00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:00,880 Speaker 1: And they took away the gaming that goes on in 651 00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:03,720 Speaker 1: other systems. And they'll tell you about who types of 652 00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:05,400 Speaker 1: clients they have. But a lot of h f T 653 00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:08,320 Speaker 1: guys don't want to go there because it's not profitable. 654 00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:11,840 Speaker 1: But for us, as institutional traders, we love systems like that. 655 00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:13,840 Speaker 1: We'll get our average trade size is much bigger on 656 00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:15,960 Speaker 1: I X than is on any other venue. That that 657 00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:19,120 Speaker 1: is a very very good system. You get clean liquidity, 658 00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:22,120 Speaker 1: you're crossing things up nice. That's what you're supposed to have. 659 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,600 Speaker 1: So the market here's a great example. The market is 660 00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:27,680 Speaker 1: now starting to solve its own problems, wonderful without the 661 00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:30,680 Speaker 1: regulators mucking it up more than they've done already. So 662 00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:35,240 Speaker 1: before we um uh and the radio portion of our interview, 663 00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:37,480 Speaker 1: if people want to read some of your white papers, 664 00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:39,880 Speaker 1: where where can they find out more about this? Sure? 665 00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:42,320 Speaker 1: We run a bog actually femist trading dot com. We 666 00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:44,160 Speaker 1: have a blog that we'll put out maybe three or 667 00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:46,920 Speaker 1: four posts a week that we normally every topical issues 668 00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:51,320 Speaker 1: on market structure. Obviously our book Broken Markets, white papers 669 00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:53,360 Speaker 1: are on the website as well image trading and and 670 00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:55,800 Speaker 1: you know we don't charge for these. We don't put this. 671 00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:57,600 Speaker 1: This is not a business model for us. Well, this 672 00:32:57,640 --> 00:32:59,520 Speaker 1: is this is a passion. This is what we do. 673 00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:01,719 Speaker 1: We invent, stickate things, and then we trade based on 674 00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:05,040 Speaker 1: what we learned. Okay, welcome back to the podcast. If 675 00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:07,960 Speaker 1: you're listening to this, it means you already heard the 676 00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:11,040 Speaker 1: radio portion of our show, and now I get to 677 00:33:11,520 --> 00:33:14,800 Speaker 1: stop worrying about the time segments and actually just relax 678 00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:18,280 Speaker 1: and enjoy chatting with my guests. I know Joe for 679 00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:20,280 Speaker 1: we know each other for a good couple of years. 680 00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:22,160 Speaker 1: I'm trying to figure out where I met you and 681 00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,360 Speaker 1: Sal could have been at a conference one of the 682 00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:27,440 Speaker 1: could have been certainly spoke at your conference years back, 683 00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:29,320 Speaker 1: which was great. And we end up we've done a 684 00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:31,360 Speaker 1: couple of shows together. We always you know, it's a 685 00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:35,400 Speaker 1: small universe that you end up bumping into each other. Um, 686 00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:40,680 Speaker 1: I recall it was before the flash crash, it was 687 00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:43,480 Speaker 1: when h f T really first started rearing its head. 688 00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:47,560 Speaker 1: I want to say it was before the financial crisis. 689 00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:49,920 Speaker 1: I want to say, oh seven could have been when 690 00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:53,360 Speaker 1: did you first notice things were getting a little, you know, 691 00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:56,240 Speaker 1: funky when you were trading? We we noticed it's certainly 692 00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:57,960 Speaker 1: like an oh five, oh six. Our first white paper 693 00:33:58,080 --> 00:33:59,680 Speaker 1: was the end of oh eight, so that's when we 694 00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:01,960 Speaker 1: publish something called Toxic Equity Trading, which kind of sat 695 00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:03,840 Speaker 1: on the shelf for a while. Everybody missed it because 696 00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:05,960 Speaker 1: we're in the mid financial crisis, and yeah, no one 697 00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:08,440 Speaker 1: really cared about market structure. It really popped up in 698 00:34:08,520 --> 00:34:11,840 Speaker 1: July of oh nine when the Goldman Sachs programmer Sergey Lichnikov, 699 00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:14,800 Speaker 1: and all of a sudden people started googling what's this 700 00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:17,520 Speaker 1: high frequency trading? And they popped up our white paper, 701 00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:21,640 Speaker 1: and then our phones lit up. There was a phenomenal um. 702 00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:24,239 Speaker 1: There was a phenomenal blog post. And I'm trying to 703 00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:26,920 Speaker 1: remember who first round it. I wouldn't be surprised if 704 00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:30,839 Speaker 1: it was Zero Hedge about who is this guy that 705 00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:34,160 Speaker 1: Goldman Sachs says that has escaped with the keys of 706 00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:38,240 Speaker 1: the castle and if unchecked, he could bring the market. 707 00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:41,719 Speaker 1: It was that the FBI. So where the hell did 708 00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:44,080 Speaker 1: these guys get that from? They had to have someone 709 00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:46,680 Speaker 1: from Goldman whispering in there, and and and Sergey is 710 00:34:46,680 --> 00:34:51,279 Speaker 1: still being prosecuted. He's still going through criminal eventually. And 711 00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:55,120 Speaker 1: you read the story, he essentially took open source stuff 712 00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:58,200 Speaker 1: that he had that basically was just a thing of convenience. 713 00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:00,799 Speaker 1: And uh and by the way, a lot of this 714 00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:05,880 Speaker 1: is actually in Flashboys. But the prosecution for that sham 715 00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:08,520 Speaker 1: on Guldman Sacks for for what they did. Don't cross 716 00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:12,000 Speaker 1: the squid apparently not or the Matt Taibi has is 717 00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:15,040 Speaker 1: still around Nobody's uh no, but nobody's He's the guy 718 00:35:15,080 --> 00:35:19,560 Speaker 1: who coined the phrase a jamming. It's blood funnel into 719 00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:23,000 Speaker 1: the throat of America of the vampire squid. If you 720 00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:26,200 Speaker 1: remember that very very famous article. It stayed with us. 721 00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:28,400 Speaker 1: So we we blew through a lot of stuff due 722 00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:31,440 Speaker 1: to time constraints earlier. Let me let me ask you 723 00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:34,360 Speaker 1: a few more questions that that we missed. So we 724 00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:38,200 Speaker 1: talked about improved trading costs and spreads and liquidly. The 725 00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:41,560 Speaker 1: one thing that we really didn't get to um that 726 00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:45,000 Speaker 1: I wanted was the difference between h f T s 727 00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:49,120 Speaker 1: and specialists or market makers. For that that fact, what 728 00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:53,080 Speaker 1: is the legal obligation what is the differences between what 729 00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:57,200 Speaker 1: they do and what they used to be required to do? Well, 730 00:35:57,239 --> 00:35:59,600 Speaker 1: that's to say, what exactly what is their obligation to 731 00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:02,359 Speaker 1: buy and sell a certain amount of shares? There is none, 732 00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:04,000 Speaker 1: And actually there's a couple of h f T s. 733 00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:07,800 Speaker 1: Now the bigger market makers are arguing for more obligations. 734 00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:10,560 Speaker 1: They want the guys who really understand that the h 735 00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:12,239 Speaker 1: f T market makers, you really know what they're doing, 736 00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:14,480 Speaker 1: who have really figured this out and are not necessarily 737 00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:17,640 Speaker 1: gaming the system, want more obligations. Give me some names. 738 00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:19,960 Speaker 1: I can't get into all the specifics, but there was 739 00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:24,080 Speaker 1: a what else do you put in that category? Well, 740 00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:25,680 Speaker 1: I don't know if I would put them in those 741 00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:27,880 Speaker 1: in the positive, I haven't seen those two guys asking 742 00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:30,800 Speaker 1: from more obligations. I did see a letter coming and 743 00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:33,480 Speaker 1: the tick size pilot program, which has been proposed by 744 00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:36,600 Speaker 1: the SEC. Virtue actually wrote a piece in their letter 745 00:36:36,600 --> 00:36:39,319 Speaker 1: which I thought was really impressive, asking them to put 746 00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:43,399 Speaker 1: more obligations on electronic market makers that, okay, let's step 747 00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:45,279 Speaker 1: up to the plate. How about the rest of those guys? 748 00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:47,719 Speaker 1: Do they want obligations? Now? Does this give a big 749 00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:50,319 Speaker 1: company like Virtue and uh An advantage. Is it a 750 00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:53,399 Speaker 1: competitive advantage or are they saying, hey, let's not kill 751 00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:56,200 Speaker 1: the golden goose here. I think they're they're pretty tight 752 00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:58,719 Speaker 1: on their market making. They pretty much. I mean they look, 753 00:36:58,719 --> 00:37:00,719 Speaker 1: they just published the next on and in there is 754 00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:02,520 Speaker 1: you know, a second time around for them going trying 755 00:37:02,560 --> 00:37:04,480 Speaker 1: to get that I p O out. But they've exposed 756 00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:06,440 Speaker 1: pretty much everything they do. They're not afraid to talk 757 00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:08,439 Speaker 1: about it. I would love to have some of these, 758 00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:10,680 Speaker 1: more of these one name h f T s that 759 00:37:10,680 --> 00:37:12,840 Speaker 1: you never heard of, that have a web page of 760 00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:15,520 Speaker 1: a half a page. Let them talk about their business model. 761 00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:17,600 Speaker 1: Are they making markets or they just you know, a 762 00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:19,560 Speaker 1: bunch of guys in a few different pods who are 763 00:37:19,600 --> 00:37:22,120 Speaker 1: looking at what what we call front running, which is 764 00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:23,920 Speaker 1: not really what they're doing. But what they're doing is 765 00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:26,239 Speaker 1: because they have no customers. By the way, all h 766 00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:28,319 Speaker 1: f t s are prop traders with no customers. They're 767 00:37:28,320 --> 00:37:31,839 Speaker 1: not what I describe as front running. You're actually right 768 00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:36,040 Speaker 1: because I'm mischaracterizing it. What they're doing is they're buying 769 00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:39,600 Speaker 1: a data service from the exchange which allows them to 770 00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:44,200 Speaker 1: packet sniff. It allows them to see orders not after 771 00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:47,200 Speaker 1: they hit the exchange. After they are traded. They like 772 00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:52,120 Speaker 1: it lets them see customer orders, not their customers, someone 773 00:37:52,120 --> 00:37:56,680 Speaker 1: else's customers, those orders before they're executed, so they get 774 00:37:56,680 --> 00:38:00,080 Speaker 1: to run ahead of them. If we all go the 775 00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:03,239 Speaker 1: front running, it's running ahead. But we were actually what 776 00:38:03,280 --> 00:38:05,759 Speaker 1: they're doing. And here's what they'll I'll put my h 777 00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:08,239 Speaker 1: f T ahead and they'll say that no, no one 778 00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:11,080 Speaker 1: can see an order before anyone else. It gets released 779 00:38:11,080 --> 00:38:14,239 Speaker 1: from the exchange server at the exact same time, and 780 00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:18,120 Speaker 1: anybody who spends the amount of money, the millions necessary 781 00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:20,920 Speaker 1: to process it can see that order. But guess what not. 782 00:38:21,200 --> 00:38:23,520 Speaker 1: You know, most people aren't doing what they do, So 783 00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:26,000 Speaker 1: we think what they're doing is not front running because 784 00:38:26,040 --> 00:38:28,920 Speaker 1: it's a customer but it's front running of demand and 785 00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:31,479 Speaker 1: front running of supply. They're building the book. They're looking 786 00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:33,560 Speaker 1: for what they call book pressure, and when they see 787 00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:35,960 Speaker 1: a stocks about to move based on their speed advantage 788 00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:39,080 Speaker 1: off and going right, so they're taking that offer before you. 789 00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:41,480 Speaker 1: They're canceling that bid before they get hit so they 790 00:38:41,520 --> 00:38:44,040 Speaker 1: don't get run over. Because essentially they're just trading getting 791 00:38:44,040 --> 00:38:47,200 Speaker 1: out of positions throughout the day. Their front running demand 792 00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:51,239 Speaker 1: and front running supply. Technically, nothing legal about that. Now, 793 00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:52,880 Speaker 1: as a broker, if I had a client order for 794 00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:54,840 Speaker 1: ten thousand shares and I decided to buy ahead of that, 795 00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:57,320 Speaker 1: I go to jail, as I should because that's front running. 796 00:38:57,760 --> 00:39:00,719 Speaker 1: That's that's legal front But Mike takeaway has always been, 797 00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:04,200 Speaker 1: you know, it's a zero sum game. And if these 798 00:39:04,239 --> 00:39:08,240 Speaker 1: guys are are capturing a penny on a hundred thousand shares, 799 00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:12,800 Speaker 1: that means the quote unquote natural buyer is not getting 800 00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:16,760 Speaker 1: that penny, and you multiply it by all of the transactions, 801 00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:19,600 Speaker 1: and that means tens of billions of dollars of profit 802 00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:24,799 Speaker 1: each year that should be in Grandma's IRA or your 803 00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:28,120 Speaker 1: four oh one k simply aren't there. It's going to 804 00:39:28,200 --> 00:39:31,000 Speaker 1: the h f T farms. Yes, it's going to proprietary 805 00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:34,120 Speaker 1: traders who are basically extracting that for their own and 806 00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:37,080 Speaker 1: not providing a social value. That's the key question. Are 807 00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:40,960 Speaker 1: they providing They're not going back into the ecosystem of 808 00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:43,000 Speaker 1: the trading world. Think about the old days when you 809 00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:45,440 Speaker 1: had an investment bank that had a trading department, a 810 00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:48,960 Speaker 1: research department, I p o s all sorts of different areas, 811 00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:51,399 Speaker 1: and in the trading department actually was a loss leader. 812 00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:54,399 Speaker 1: At times they would lose money to facilitate the other 813 00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:56,719 Speaker 1: parts of the business. But there you had the real 814 00:39:56,800 --> 00:39:59,680 Speaker 1: purpose of a stock market was to help companies go 815 00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:02,160 Speaker 1: pub right, bring them out, put them on road shows. 816 00:40:02,360 --> 00:40:04,920 Speaker 1: That's kind of falling aside because the economics aren't there 817 00:40:04,960 --> 00:40:07,840 Speaker 1: any right, the economics of the research department. Now you 818 00:40:08,120 --> 00:40:11,880 Speaker 1: talked about earlier how great decimalization is. I've read a 819 00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:14,880 Speaker 1: number of people complaining that when we went from fractions 820 00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:18,320 Speaker 1: to decimalizations, you you took a lot of the profit 821 00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:22,080 Speaker 1: out of trading, and that profit was what subsidized research. 822 00:40:22,400 --> 00:40:24,320 Speaker 1: Is that true? Yeah, And actually there's something called a 823 00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:26,959 Speaker 1: tick size pilot which has just been proposed. We wrote 824 00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:29,279 Speaker 1: a comment letter, the industry wrote tons of comment letters 825 00:40:29,320 --> 00:40:32,760 Speaker 1: on it. But the theory there is decimalization was great, 826 00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:35,160 Speaker 1: but you never put in a minimum spread. In other ways, 827 00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:37,440 Speaker 1: you collapse the spreads down to a penny. Wouldn't it 828 00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:41,080 Speaker 1: make sense for stocks that or even dying, for say 829 00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:43,880 Speaker 1: a small cap that doesn't trade. We're trying to attract 830 00:40:43,920 --> 00:40:46,560 Speaker 1: real liquidity, and real liquidity providers are not going to 831 00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:48,720 Speaker 1: hang around when they're gonna get picked off by somebody 832 00:40:48,719 --> 00:40:50,759 Speaker 1: who has a penny to come in play in the game. 833 00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:53,479 Speaker 1: Where now, if it was a nickel and you wanted 834 00:40:53,520 --> 00:40:55,399 Speaker 1: to get in this game and pick somebody off, it's 835 00:40:55,400 --> 00:40:57,520 Speaker 1: gonna cost you more and your risk is gonna go higher. 836 00:40:57,840 --> 00:40:59,520 Speaker 1: It's a really good theory. We don't know if it 837 00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:01,680 Speaker 1: will work, which is why it's called the pilot program. 838 00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:03,719 Speaker 1: The SEC wants to put out, but the industry is 839 00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:06,080 Speaker 1: going nuts already because they think it's gonna translate them 840 00:41:06,120 --> 00:41:08,120 Speaker 1: to what they call a trade at rule, which would 841 00:41:08,160 --> 00:41:09,840 Speaker 1: mean that you can't trade in the dark until you 842 00:41:09,880 --> 00:41:12,080 Speaker 1: trade on lid venues first. So they haven't a fit 843 00:41:12,120 --> 00:41:14,400 Speaker 1: because it would destroy their business model. But that's not 844 00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:16,759 Speaker 1: what the pilot program is calling for it. So, so 845 00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:19,720 Speaker 1: if we went to a nickel spread with size on 846 00:41:19,719 --> 00:41:22,760 Speaker 1: on bid and ask what would that do the trading costs? 847 00:41:22,760 --> 00:41:25,880 Speaker 1: What would that do to to a company like Vanguard 848 00:41:26,040 --> 00:41:28,960 Speaker 1: or any of the big mutual funds. How would then 849 00:41:29,000 --> 00:41:32,680 Speaker 1: impact they're they're trading right? And this would be only 850 00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:35,440 Speaker 1: on small to mid cap. So we proposed the privot 851 00:41:35,440 --> 00:41:37,839 Speaker 1: program says five billion market cap and less. We said 852 00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:40,000 Speaker 1: that's too high, go to like two billion in less 853 00:41:40,200 --> 00:41:42,720 Speaker 1: and and and that's still a couple of thousand stocks 854 00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:46,400 Speaker 1: under two billion, none of which really trade. You know, 855 00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:49,160 Speaker 1: they trade a few hundred thousand shiars a day. Their orphans. 856 00:41:49,200 --> 00:41:51,440 Speaker 1: No one trades them, right, nobody follows them. There's no 857 00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:54,479 Speaker 1: Wall Street coverage on them. And you know, last week 858 00:41:54,640 --> 00:41:58,440 Speaker 1: we were talking about the small cap um premium and 859 00:41:58,560 --> 00:42:01,719 Speaker 1: why small cap stocks have a tendency to outperform big 860 00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:05,040 Speaker 1: gap stocks over time, especially if you control for junk, 861 00:42:05,520 --> 00:42:08,640 Speaker 1: and that was one of the factors is their orphan stocks. 862 00:42:08,920 --> 00:42:12,000 Speaker 1: There's not a lot of liquidly, there's almost no coverage 863 00:42:12,120 --> 00:42:15,120 Speaker 1: there certainly isn't big firm coverage. You're not gonna get 864 00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:19,080 Speaker 1: Goldman and more Maryland Morgan covering, you know, and even 865 00:42:19,200 --> 00:42:22,920 Speaker 1: scrap the small firms. The regional brokers. Remember some of 866 00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:26,200 Speaker 1: the names like Robinson, Humphrey McDonald and all of these 867 00:42:26,280 --> 00:42:27,880 Speaker 1: names that would be the been eating up by other 868 00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:29,840 Speaker 1: brokers have went out of business. They don't have the 869 00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:32,719 Speaker 1: economics to support that trading anymore. Those market makers are gone, 870 00:42:32,760 --> 00:42:35,040 Speaker 1: they've been replaced by algorithms and so on. So how 871 00:42:35,040 --> 00:42:36,840 Speaker 1: do you bring them back? And and the theory and 872 00:42:37,040 --> 00:42:39,560 Speaker 1: Jeff Solomon over account and who's the president of account. 873 00:42:39,800 --> 00:42:42,360 Speaker 1: He's big on this. That is to how do I 874 00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:44,480 Speaker 1: get these market makers back? And you have to put 875 00:42:44,520 --> 00:42:47,239 Speaker 1: an economic incentive. You have to add otherwise no one's 876 00:42:47,239 --> 00:42:49,520 Speaker 1: gonna do it. And the economic incentive would be a 877 00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:52,120 Speaker 1: nicola a dime spread. And that's how. But you also 878 00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:54,080 Speaker 1: have to have an obligation come in there and put 879 00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:55,920 Speaker 1: some real size in there, not just a hundred chair 880 00:42:56,040 --> 00:42:57,920 Speaker 1: that that's been one of the complaints. You see this 881 00:42:57,960 --> 00:42:59,759 Speaker 1: penny spread and you go to buy something and you 882 00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:02,120 Speaker 1: get forty seven shares, And what's the point I need? 883 00:43:03,920 --> 00:43:07,520 Speaker 1: The penny spread is really the liquidity is illusory, the 884 00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:09,759 Speaker 1: spread is illusory. A lot of things that look like 885 00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:13,520 Speaker 1: one thing really aren't. Although I'm starting to get a sense, 886 00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:17,640 Speaker 1: a hint from you that your position has softened over 887 00:43:17,680 --> 00:43:20,359 Speaker 1: the past few years, because two or two years ago, 888 00:43:20,520 --> 00:43:22,480 Speaker 1: it was like we're all going to heck and this 889 00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:25,440 Speaker 1: is a disaster in the market's gonna collapse under its 890 00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:28,719 Speaker 1: own weight. To Hey, there have been some incremental improvements 891 00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:31,840 Speaker 1: and some market based improvements like I E X that 892 00:43:31,920 --> 00:43:37,040 Speaker 1: are actually bringing back some positive things to the market structure. 893 00:43:37,239 --> 00:43:39,120 Speaker 1: I would agree with that, and and and I think 894 00:43:39,160 --> 00:43:41,520 Speaker 1: it's because of the efforts of a bunch of folks, 895 00:43:41,520 --> 00:43:43,120 Speaker 1: and you know, we certainly were one of the first 896 00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:45,600 Speaker 1: out of the water. But if this market structure debate 897 00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:48,759 Speaker 1: didn't get pushed forward, we wouldn't be talking about improvements 898 00:43:48,800 --> 00:43:52,320 Speaker 1: right now. We wouldn't be talking about market market based solutions. 899 00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:55,000 Speaker 1: We'd be talking about the same problem. So systemic risks 900 00:43:55,040 --> 00:43:57,359 Speaker 1: that you guys have written a lot about, they'd still 901 00:43:57,360 --> 00:43:59,239 Speaker 1: be there, right and then they are still there, But 902 00:43:59,280 --> 00:44:02,000 Speaker 1: we're moving long in the right through. We're getting exchanges now, 903 00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:04,360 Speaker 1: like Jeff Sprecker of the New York Stock Exchange coming 904 00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:06,840 Speaker 1: in saying, hey, this make or take a model is ridiculous. 905 00:44:06,880 --> 00:44:08,879 Speaker 1: We gotta get rid of it. A couple of years ago, 906 00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:11,839 Speaker 1: you know, Duncanita Howard would never would have said that. 907 00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:14,360 Speaker 1: So things are different, and in the market structure debate, 908 00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:17,560 Speaker 1: it's a sophisticated one. It's moving forward, and this is 909 00:44:17,560 --> 00:44:20,520 Speaker 1: what we always wanted. So on a scale of one 910 00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,640 Speaker 1: to ten, if it was a disaster in two thousand ten, 911 00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:27,919 Speaker 1: at zero and ten is the optimal market structure, where 912 00:44:27,920 --> 00:44:33,160 Speaker 1: are we today? Four or not even not even halfway there? Wow, 913 00:44:33,200 --> 00:44:37,040 Speaker 1: that's uh, that's a really fascinating number. What what other 914 00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:41,919 Speaker 1: areas of the markets were you cop stock market wise? 915 00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:44,000 Speaker 1: I mean the biggest we have issues with, like I 916 00:44:44,040 --> 00:44:48,920 Speaker 1: mentioned before, fragmentation, dark pools. The non exchange off exchange 917 00:44:49,360 --> 00:44:53,280 Speaker 1: percentage of volume is close to which means that almost 918 00:44:53,320 --> 00:44:55,560 Speaker 1: four out of every ten shares is not traded on 919 00:44:55,600 --> 00:44:59,720 Speaker 1: an exchange. So now when we look at really soft volume, 920 00:44:59,760 --> 00:45:03,560 Speaker 1: which we've seen since you know, MARCHO nine lows how 921 00:45:03,640 --> 00:45:06,280 Speaker 1: much of that is just mom and pop walking away? 922 00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:09,720 Speaker 1: How much of it is dark pools? Why has volume 923 00:45:10,160 --> 00:45:12,560 Speaker 1: been so low? And what does that mean? Volume is 924 00:45:12,600 --> 00:45:15,080 Speaker 1: low right now because volatility is low. But if ilum 925 00:45:15,120 --> 00:45:18,719 Speaker 1: has been fairly suppressed for five years, has uh it 926 00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:20,600 Speaker 1: well off the peak of it. We wereround ten billion 927 00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:23,920 Speaker 1: shares across all exchanges back when the financial crisis was 928 00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:26,760 Speaker 1: going on. Now we're closely to six billions. So it's 929 00:45:26,600 --> 00:45:28,840 Speaker 1: a big drop. Yeah, because we got really lot of 930 00:45:28,840 --> 00:45:31,359 Speaker 1: the noisy. You know, if it volatility is not there, 931 00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:35,359 Speaker 1: you can't profit from latency arbitrarge situations. You can't pick 932 00:45:35,400 --> 00:45:38,120 Speaker 1: off someone as easily. Where is some of that volume going? 933 00:45:38,120 --> 00:45:41,480 Speaker 1: It's going to other markets. The currency market has exploded 934 00:45:41,520 --> 00:45:45,160 Speaker 1: with the electronic activity because it's so it's much more volatile, 935 00:45:45,200 --> 00:45:48,200 Speaker 1: and it's very liquid, and you know these trillions of 936 00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:52,120 Speaker 1: dollars literally, and it's it's not centralized. The they don't 937 00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:53,719 Speaker 1: even have at least in the equity world, we have 938 00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:56,239 Speaker 1: a linkage that's SIP the security. They haven't only got 939 00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:58,080 Speaker 1: a linkage in the in the foreign exchange world. So 940 00:45:58,080 --> 00:46:00,279 Speaker 1: it's a lot easier for you to develop your own 941 00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:03,319 Speaker 1: quote and to see something better than somebody else. The 942 00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:06,000 Speaker 1: banks have their own problems there as well. There's an article, 943 00:46:06,040 --> 00:46:09,040 Speaker 1: yes they'm on Bloomberg about the Last Look and things 944 00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:10,759 Speaker 1: like that, that there's a lot of issues in the 945 00:46:10,760 --> 00:46:13,399 Speaker 1: currency world, which we in the equity world. Actually we're 946 00:46:13,400 --> 00:46:16,120 Speaker 1: a lot more advanced when it comes to market structure 947 00:46:16,280 --> 00:46:18,920 Speaker 1: than something in the currency. People have talked about the 948 00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:22,880 Speaker 1: currency markets and and four x as the broadest, deepest 949 00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:26,640 Speaker 1: market with the most sophisticated systems, and you never can 950 00:46:26,680 --> 00:46:30,719 Speaker 1: you see a flash crash and concert absolutely, I absolutely 951 00:46:30,719 --> 00:46:33,400 Speaker 1: think you can it. Is it inevitable? Is it possible? 952 00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:35,440 Speaker 1: Is it likely? I think it's probably likely because with 953 00:46:35,520 --> 00:46:37,960 Speaker 1: the with the global event, you know, if if the 954 00:46:38,040 --> 00:46:40,720 Speaker 1: Swedish bang on to Swiss, Swiss Bank decides to change 955 00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:43,960 Speaker 1: the way they're going to set things which ago and 956 00:46:44,000 --> 00:46:46,640 Speaker 1: you did see a rapid moving currencies because you know, 957 00:46:46,800 --> 00:46:49,399 Speaker 1: is it really institutional volume, is it real bona FID 958 00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:52,719 Speaker 1: hedgers coming in there trading that, No, it's noise. It's 959 00:46:52,719 --> 00:46:55,000 Speaker 1: guys who are using I call it noise. But it's 960 00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:58,880 Speaker 1: basically a multi asset model. So you're trading stocks, equity, 961 00:46:58,920 --> 00:47:01,880 Speaker 1: you're trading stocks, opts, and futures, currencies, bonds. You're putting 962 00:47:01,880 --> 00:47:06,040 Speaker 1: it all together into this little magic sausage factory yours, 963 00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:08,560 Speaker 1: and you're developing a strategy. So if one all of 964 00:47:08,600 --> 00:47:10,680 Speaker 1: a sudden, there's an event in one area, you're gonna 965 00:47:10,680 --> 00:47:12,960 Speaker 1: move out. So yeah, it could happen in any one 966 00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:16,120 Speaker 1: of those markets. So zero to ten is a four, 967 00:47:16,440 --> 00:47:19,319 Speaker 1: So that's a big improvement, but that still means we're 968 00:47:19,320 --> 00:47:21,440 Speaker 1: sticks away from ten and and there's a lot of 969 00:47:21,440 --> 00:47:25,759 Speaker 1: potential problem. So you had mentioned um currencies, you had 970 00:47:25,760 --> 00:47:29,600 Speaker 1: mentioned treasuries. What about commodity markets. Commodity markets a little 971 00:47:29,600 --> 00:47:31,920 Speaker 1: different because they operate more in a vertical silo, so 972 00:47:31,960 --> 00:47:35,120 Speaker 1: you don't have the multi exchange, multi venue model, and 973 00:47:35,239 --> 00:47:38,960 Speaker 1: you have your trading oil, you're trading natures, or you're 974 00:47:39,040 --> 00:47:41,960 Speaker 1: you're not. Everything isn't as it's but they use a 975 00:47:42,040 --> 00:47:45,160 Speaker 1: huge leverage though they do and they have, but they're 976 00:47:45,160 --> 00:47:47,120 Speaker 1: they're a lot more control that they seem to have 977 00:47:47,160 --> 00:47:48,879 Speaker 1: their their grips on it better. I don't know, I'm 978 00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:51,400 Speaker 1: not certainly not an expert. You know, people used to 979 00:47:51,440 --> 00:47:53,759 Speaker 1: talk about commodity markets like it was the wild West 980 00:47:53,840 --> 00:47:55,720 Speaker 1: and all the lock limit down and all this crazy 981 00:47:55,760 --> 00:47:59,160 Speaker 1: stuff happens, and you're saying, the structure is better than 982 00:47:59,200 --> 00:48:02,320 Speaker 1: what we see else. Ironically, the the the flash crash 983 00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:04,000 Speaker 1: of two thousand and ten that we spoke about earlier 984 00:48:04,160 --> 00:48:07,160 Speaker 1: was stopped because of a piece of software at the CME, 985 00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:10,960 Speaker 1: the Chicago Mercantile Exchange called stop logic, which said that 986 00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:14,040 Speaker 1: if it got too volatile, halted for five seconds. I 987 00:48:14,080 --> 00:48:16,400 Speaker 1: believe it was five seconds. And that's really what the 988 00:48:16,400 --> 00:48:21,239 Speaker 1: bottom of the flash five second quote hall. And that 989 00:48:21,360 --> 00:48:23,759 Speaker 1: tells you that every asset is linked, because when the 990 00:48:23,960 --> 00:48:26,600 Speaker 1: mini stopped trading, everybody said, hold on a second, what's 991 00:48:26,600 --> 00:48:28,960 Speaker 1: going on, and that guys like us who are trading stocks, 992 00:48:28,960 --> 00:48:31,359 Speaker 1: but guys who have multi asset strategies who were all 993 00:48:31,360 --> 00:48:34,200 Speaker 1: electronically linked, then realized, hey, there really isn't something going 994 00:48:34,400 --> 00:48:36,320 Speaker 1: on here For people who don't know E Minis or 995 00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:41,200 Speaker 1: the SMP futures huge leverage with that you're called minis, 996 00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:43,759 Speaker 1: but you're putting up a million dollars and trading like 997 00:48:44,000 --> 00:48:45,640 Speaker 1: I don't remember what it is, but it's tens of 998 00:48:45,680 --> 00:48:48,160 Speaker 1: millions of dollars of stock. It doesn't take a lot 999 00:48:48,160 --> 00:48:51,279 Speaker 1: of money to swing a boatload of stock in those 1000 00:48:51,440 --> 00:48:53,879 Speaker 1: and it's supposedly the most liquid instrument when it comes 1001 00:48:53,880 --> 00:48:56,560 Speaker 1: to commodities. Yet that was also the one blamed for 1002 00:48:56,600 --> 00:48:59,399 Speaker 1: the initiation of the flash crash because they couldn't handle 1003 00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:01,880 Speaker 1: seventy five housing contracts, which makes you kind of scratch 1004 00:49:01,880 --> 00:49:03,360 Speaker 1: your head. Why could the most liquid security in the 1005 00:49:03,440 --> 00:49:05,719 Speaker 1: world not handled. Sure, it's a big order, but it 1006 00:49:05,840 --> 00:49:08,879 Speaker 1: doesn't the reason that that side put out doesn't hold 1007 00:49:08,920 --> 00:49:11,719 Speaker 1: water at all. Right, So, first, the first rumor we 1008 00:49:11,840 --> 00:49:14,120 Speaker 1: heard was it was a fat thumb, which is trade 1009 00:49:14,160 --> 00:49:17,320 Speaker 1: or talk for somebody accidentally throwing an extra zero on 1010 00:49:17,400 --> 00:49:20,360 Speaker 1: an order, or or you know, just leaning on a keyboard. 1011 00:49:20,440 --> 00:49:22,560 Speaker 1: And you know, if you ever leading on a keyboard 1012 00:49:22,600 --> 00:49:25,759 Speaker 1: and here, just picture that on a trading desk and 1013 00:49:25,840 --> 00:49:28,040 Speaker 1: what that means when you're shooting you know, millions of 1014 00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:30,839 Speaker 1: orders all at once. It it's hey, fat thumb, that's 1015 00:49:30,880 --> 00:49:33,000 Speaker 1: really a problem. I'll tell you one of the problem 1016 00:49:33,080 --> 00:49:35,680 Speaker 1: that they have right now, they don't have the surveillance 1017 00:49:36,000 --> 00:49:39,760 Speaker 1: they SEC in particular, does not have a surveillance system 1018 00:49:39,960 --> 00:49:44,400 Speaker 1: to keep up with today's modern markets, today's micro second trading, 1019 00:49:44,719 --> 00:49:46,680 Speaker 1: you know, and a million of a second. These guys 1020 00:49:46,719 --> 00:49:49,000 Speaker 1: are doing things that we can't. There's a world underneath it, right. 1021 00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:52,640 Speaker 1: The SEC doesn't have a system tomorrow. They actually had 1022 00:49:52,680 --> 00:49:55,000 Speaker 1: to sub out to an h f T guy to 1023 00:49:55,160 --> 00:49:57,239 Speaker 1: build a system called Midas that COSTOM two and a 1024 00:49:57,280 --> 00:49:59,400 Speaker 1: half million a year, which is barely a bunch of 1025 00:49:59,480 --> 00:50:03,040 Speaker 1: direct fee being aggregated. How can nanex do this? And 1026 00:50:03,120 --> 00:50:07,680 Speaker 1: if you haven't seen the beautiful artwork that how do 1027 00:50:07,840 --> 00:50:11,200 Speaker 1: I pronounce his last name, Eric hunt Setter's work on 1028 00:50:11,600 --> 00:50:15,080 Speaker 1: nanax dot net? Is that right? Uh? He creates these 1029 00:50:15,160 --> 00:50:21,560 Speaker 1: beautiful mosaic showing all these quotes and trades and their 1030 00:50:21,680 --> 00:50:26,000 Speaker 1: artwork their fantastic all they are visual representation of actual trades. 1031 00:50:26,560 --> 00:50:29,600 Speaker 1: How can he do it? But the SEC can't. It's incredible. 1032 00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:31,719 Speaker 1: He could have built and I've spoken to Erica and 1033 00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:33,680 Speaker 1: we speak to him often but he could have built 1034 00:50:33,760 --> 00:50:35,959 Speaker 1: Midas for a lot cheaper than they spent on it. Okay, 1035 00:50:36,200 --> 00:50:38,400 Speaker 1: he runs it. He basically takes in the feeds and 1036 00:50:38,480 --> 00:50:41,640 Speaker 1: he analyzes this stuff. But the problem with the secs 1037 00:50:41,840 --> 00:50:43,759 Speaker 1: and and the problem with our regulatory system is we've 1038 00:50:43,840 --> 00:50:47,120 Speaker 1: got futures on one side, which is the CFCC, We've 1039 00:50:47,160 --> 00:50:49,640 Speaker 1: got the SEC we're doing equities and options. They're not 1040 00:50:49,800 --> 00:50:53,319 Speaker 1: aggregating everything, and in some counts over their treasuries. Over here, 1041 00:50:53,400 --> 00:50:56,359 Speaker 1: it's really very much fragment. And if if you're if 1042 00:50:56,400 --> 00:50:59,440 Speaker 1: you're spoofing in the currency market to affect something in 1043 00:50:59,480 --> 00:51:01,759 Speaker 1: the bond market, you're never gonna be caught. Is that 1044 00:51:01,920 --> 00:51:04,000 Speaker 1: going on today? I don't know, because we don't have 1045 00:51:04,040 --> 00:51:06,560 Speaker 1: the surveillance systems to watch it, but theoretically that I 1046 00:51:06,600 --> 00:51:08,560 Speaker 1: would think so absolutely. So let me ask you a 1047 00:51:08,640 --> 00:51:11,600 Speaker 1: hypothetical question. One of the guys. So, whenever we do 1048 00:51:11,760 --> 00:51:14,960 Speaker 1: these these conversations, my office is always so, who are 1049 00:51:14,960 --> 00:51:17,239 Speaker 1: we speaking with this week? And I always tell them so, 1050 00:51:17,680 --> 00:51:20,080 Speaker 1: and I get some fascinating questions from from some of 1051 00:51:20,120 --> 00:51:23,000 Speaker 1: the staff members. And my head of research said, Hey, 1052 00:51:23,200 --> 00:51:26,160 Speaker 1: do me a favor. Ask Joe, what would happen if 1053 00:51:26,239 --> 00:51:29,960 Speaker 1: tonight every h f T firm was shut down, what 1054 00:51:30,080 --> 00:51:33,719 Speaker 1: would happen to markets going forward? Much rejoicing, No, I'm 1055 00:51:33,719 --> 00:51:38,080 Speaker 1: just I'm just no. If they shut down, sure, you're 1056 00:51:38,080 --> 00:51:41,840 Speaker 1: gonna widen spreads, right naturally, If if the bigils in 1057 00:51:41,920 --> 00:51:44,800 Speaker 1: that gap, who will replaces them? It's a good question. 1058 00:51:44,920 --> 00:51:47,759 Speaker 1: Do market forces that overnight? It's not gonna happen, right, 1059 00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:50,640 Speaker 1: But eventually, Let's take for instance, that tick size pilot 1060 00:51:50,680 --> 00:51:52,480 Speaker 1: we were talking about. If the h f T s 1061 00:51:52,520 --> 00:51:54,360 Speaker 1: don't want to play in the stocks because of a 1062 00:51:54,440 --> 00:51:58,120 Speaker 1: nickel spread, there will be someone coming along. The vacuum 1063 00:51:58,160 --> 00:52:00,160 Speaker 1: will be there's money to be made, there's it to 1064 00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:02,640 Speaker 1: be made. Real traditional market makers will come back, Real 1065 00:52:02,719 --> 00:52:05,640 Speaker 1: liquidity will come back. Maybe the spread is a little 1066 00:52:05,640 --> 00:52:07,480 Speaker 1: bit wider, but we would argue that to spread is 1067 00:52:07,560 --> 00:52:09,640 Speaker 1: really today's market. Like you was saying before, if I 1068 00:52:11,719 --> 00:52:13,600 Speaker 1: want to buy five thousand shares, how do I get 1069 00:52:13,640 --> 00:52:15,600 Speaker 1: five And if I can do it with a nickel spread, 1070 00:52:15,640 --> 00:52:19,440 Speaker 1: that's actually a better thing, right the hundred fifty to forty. 1071 00:52:19,719 --> 00:52:23,040 Speaker 1: By the time you feel thousand shares your fifteen cents away, 1072 00:52:23,120 --> 00:52:25,440 Speaker 1: that's right. And we've heard all sorts of stories about 1073 00:52:25,719 --> 00:52:28,719 Speaker 1: about those sort of sweeps and that penny spread is 1074 00:52:28,760 --> 00:52:30,480 Speaker 1: nonsense now it is, it isn't. And that's where you 1075 00:52:30,520 --> 00:52:32,239 Speaker 1: get picked off by the way that people will see 1076 00:52:32,280 --> 00:52:34,799 Speaker 1: you coming. And that's where brad over they move out 1077 00:52:34,840 --> 00:52:37,160 Speaker 1: of the way. They will, they'll disappear if you're coming 1078 00:52:37,200 --> 00:52:39,080 Speaker 1: through a slower router, and the next thing you know, 1079 00:52:39,120 --> 00:52:40,840 Speaker 1: they'll take the stock in front of you, and you 1080 00:52:40,880 --> 00:52:42,839 Speaker 1: have now paying a nickel higher and you've got two 1081 00:52:43,360 --> 00:52:44,920 Speaker 1: eighty seven shares, Like, what the heck are you doing? 1082 00:52:45,040 --> 00:52:46,880 Speaker 1: That's we have to be when you're trading now, especially 1083 00:52:46,960 --> 00:52:49,680 Speaker 1: with larger pieces, you better be sophisticated. You better know 1084 00:52:49,719 --> 00:52:51,879 Speaker 1: how the routes work. You better know what's going into 1085 00:52:51,960 --> 00:52:54,520 Speaker 1: every route, what type of order is going out. We 1086 00:52:54,520 --> 00:52:56,560 Speaker 1: didn't even get into these crazy order types. But you 1087 00:52:56,680 --> 00:52:59,520 Speaker 1: need to know the plumbing right or or like if 1088 00:52:59,560 --> 00:53:01,120 Speaker 1: you ran a race car, if you're a race car drive, 1089 00:53:01,120 --> 00:53:02,919 Speaker 1: you want to know what's in that engine. You better 1090 00:53:03,000 --> 00:53:05,080 Speaker 1: know the inside of this engine. If you're trading size 1091 00:53:05,200 --> 00:53:08,319 Speaker 1: right now, you will get picked off. And then unfortunately, 1092 00:53:08,719 --> 00:53:10,000 Speaker 1: at the end of the day, you may think you 1093 00:53:10,080 --> 00:53:13,120 Speaker 1: got what they call a v WAPP or volume weighted 1094 00:53:13,200 --> 00:53:16,520 Speaker 1: average price, that that's gonna be across all these different 1095 00:53:17,200 --> 00:53:20,279 Speaker 1: bids and offers where you actually paid you match the 1096 00:53:20,400 --> 00:53:22,840 Speaker 1: daily v So everybody. There's a lot of managers that 1097 00:53:22,880 --> 00:53:25,080 Speaker 1: will try to benchmark the v WAP and they'll say, 1098 00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:26,880 Speaker 1: if I got as good as the VWAP, I did 1099 00:53:26,920 --> 00:53:28,920 Speaker 1: a good job today. And we would argue that you're 1100 00:53:28,920 --> 00:53:31,960 Speaker 1: not over paying through the trades correct, correct, because you're 1101 00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:34,680 Speaker 1: doing an average job, because that's the average price. And 1102 00:53:34,880 --> 00:53:37,239 Speaker 1: we would argue that if you're not sophisticated with your routes, 1103 00:53:37,440 --> 00:53:40,080 Speaker 1: you're actually causing that VWAP to be higher than where 1104 00:53:40,080 --> 00:53:42,239 Speaker 1: it should if you're a buyer, or a lower if 1105 00:53:42,320 --> 00:53:44,719 Speaker 1: you're a seller, because you're not really paying attention to 1106 00:53:44,840 --> 00:53:47,200 Speaker 1: the intricacies of why did that hundred shairs go up 1107 00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:49,440 Speaker 1: on the bat's inverted exchange, Why did it go up 1108 00:53:49,440 --> 00:53:51,600 Speaker 1: in a dark pool? Why is that route going here 1109 00:53:51,840 --> 00:53:55,759 Speaker 1: constantly in the same low rebate venue or high rebate venue. 1110 00:53:55,960 --> 00:53:57,960 Speaker 1: These are the questions that we ask all day long 1111 00:53:58,200 --> 00:54:00,600 Speaker 1: why our trading is different than others out there. But 1112 00:54:00,719 --> 00:54:02,520 Speaker 1: once you learn the inside of it, then you'll be 1113 00:54:02,880 --> 00:54:04,480 Speaker 1: armed a little bit better. It's still gonna be tough. 1114 00:54:04,680 --> 00:54:08,080 Speaker 1: It's not easy, So you've been doing this for twenty 1115 00:54:08,200 --> 00:54:11,560 Speaker 1: plus years. I remember when I began around that same 1116 00:54:11,640 --> 00:54:14,000 Speaker 1: time as a trader and as if I'm a if 1117 00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:16,640 Speaker 1: I'm a seller, and suddenly Goldman shows up on the 1118 00:54:16,719 --> 00:54:19,160 Speaker 1: top of you know, it was mostly NASDAX stocks on 1119 00:54:19,200 --> 00:54:22,160 Speaker 1: the top of the box as the bidder for size. 1120 00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:24,600 Speaker 1: I would get out of the way. But I wasn't 1121 00:54:24,600 --> 00:54:27,680 Speaker 1: a market maker. I was just executing orders um either 1122 00:54:27,800 --> 00:54:32,160 Speaker 1: for proprietary trades or on behalf of clients. This is 1123 00:54:32,280 --> 00:54:35,880 Speaker 1: really very, very different than those days. That's almost simple 1124 00:54:36,000 --> 00:54:40,680 Speaker 1: and quaint compared to the complications you're described today. It's 1125 00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:42,359 Speaker 1: it's you know, that was like the axe. They used 1126 00:54:42,360 --> 00:54:44,239 Speaker 1: to call it, right, that's right, and the ax came 1127 00:54:44,280 --> 00:54:46,640 Speaker 1: in everybody, and you knew in different stocks it was 1128 00:54:46,719 --> 00:54:49,279 Speaker 1: different different how you know, there were certain there was 1129 00:54:49,400 --> 00:54:52,600 Speaker 1: certain stocks that when bear Sterns showed up, hey, everybody 1130 00:54:52,640 --> 00:54:54,440 Speaker 1: out of the pool. They were starting to suck up 1131 00:54:54,440 --> 00:54:57,160 Speaker 1: a million shares or certain hedge funds, let's just call it. 1132 00:54:57,200 --> 00:55:00,160 Speaker 1: That everyone knew was quote unquote March smart money. They 1133 00:55:00,200 --> 00:55:02,320 Speaker 1: started ripping through his stock, but that was you know, 1134 00:55:02,400 --> 00:55:04,560 Speaker 1: his intelligence. Sure there was issues back then of of 1135 00:55:05,120 --> 00:55:08,640 Speaker 1: transparency as well. But the market now is so much different, 1136 00:55:08,640 --> 00:55:10,879 Speaker 1: and when you think about it. Scott Patterson, the Wall 1137 00:55:10,880 --> 00:55:13,480 Speaker 1: Street Journal reporter, wrote a book called Dark Pools, which 1138 00:55:13,560 --> 00:55:16,080 Speaker 1: I think is tremendous, by the way, and I love now. 1139 00:55:16,200 --> 00:55:19,320 Speaker 1: He also wrote The Quants Fantastic, which is one of 1140 00:55:19,440 --> 00:55:22,359 Speaker 1: my favorite books describing what's taking place over the past 1141 00:55:22,400 --> 00:55:25,680 Speaker 1: ten years. But dark Pools is almost like The Quants 1142 00:55:25,719 --> 00:55:30,080 Speaker 1: Part two. It's very sophisticated, it's very fascinating. And he 1143 00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:32,759 Speaker 1: goes through the the kind of the the lineage of 1144 00:55:32,840 --> 00:55:34,960 Speaker 1: what HFC, where they came from, and he goes back 1145 00:55:35,000 --> 00:55:37,360 Speaker 1: to this firm called Island. It was J C. And 1146 00:55:37,600 --> 00:55:39,120 Speaker 1: and when we were at instant that that was one 1147 00:55:39,120 --> 00:55:41,279 Speaker 1: of our competitors. They were this small kind of firm, 1148 00:55:41,520 --> 00:55:42,920 Speaker 1: but a lot of the guys who were at Island 1149 00:55:43,000 --> 00:55:44,680 Speaker 1: kind of morphed out and they went to these h 1150 00:55:44,800 --> 00:55:47,360 Speaker 1: F T firms along the way. And it's almost the 1151 00:55:47,480 --> 00:55:49,680 Speaker 1: Island came out first and came up with this i'll 1152 00:55:49,800 --> 00:55:52,760 Speaker 1: pay you to add liquidity theory. It was their original 1153 00:55:52,880 --> 00:55:54,640 Speaker 1: thing that said I'll pay you to add liquidity, and 1154 00:55:54,680 --> 00:55:56,560 Speaker 1: now it's in every major stock exchange around the world. 1155 00:55:56,640 --> 00:55:59,520 Speaker 1: That was their competitive advantage. That's how they attracted all 1156 00:55:59,600 --> 00:56:03,040 Speaker 1: this volu The other thing about the book Dark Pools 1157 00:56:03,239 --> 00:56:06,040 Speaker 1: was I think I may be confusing this. I think 1158 00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:10,040 Speaker 1: that's where I first learned that Renaissance Technologies one of 1159 00:56:10,080 --> 00:56:13,960 Speaker 1: the most successful hedge funds of all time a year 1160 00:56:14,120 --> 00:56:18,839 Speaker 1: for thirty years. So successful they said to their outside clients, Hey, here, 1161 00:56:19,320 --> 00:56:21,759 Speaker 1: thanks for your money, but we're just gonna invest our 1162 00:56:21,800 --> 00:56:25,560 Speaker 1: own money. That's how you know it's not a nonsense return. 1163 00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:28,960 Speaker 1: We'll we'll, we'll take it from here. Um that they 1164 00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:31,919 Speaker 1: were one of the earliest high frequency traders and had 1165 00:56:32,400 --> 00:56:34,640 Speaker 1: before anyone in Wall Street even had a clue what 1166 00:56:34,719 --> 00:56:36,839 Speaker 1: they were doing. That needs to talk it. These guys 1167 00:56:36,920 --> 00:56:40,080 Speaker 1: had come up with a series of just ingenious ways, 1168 00:56:41,040 --> 00:56:43,560 Speaker 1: long long before everybody else had figured this out. And 1169 00:56:43,680 --> 00:56:45,480 Speaker 1: that's when it was easy pickings for them, right, it 1170 00:56:45,560 --> 00:56:48,120 Speaker 1: was easy to shoot, have a latency, our situation going on, 1171 00:56:48,200 --> 00:56:49,400 Speaker 1: and no one even knew what the heck it was. 1172 00:56:49,840 --> 00:56:53,280 Speaker 1: And now I mean to the lots of competition much harder. 1173 00:56:53,400 --> 00:56:56,680 Speaker 1: It's changed, and so we increase their cost so so 1174 00:56:56,880 --> 00:57:00,239 Speaker 1: they're not as profitable, No one's Jim Simmons retired, they're 1175 00:57:00,280 --> 00:57:03,680 Speaker 1: not as profitable, and I keep although they're still wildly successful, 1176 00:57:04,160 --> 00:57:07,000 Speaker 1: and I continue to read that h f T firms 1177 00:57:07,640 --> 00:57:12,600 Speaker 1: are just becoming less and less profitable, less competition and 1178 00:57:12,840 --> 00:57:17,040 Speaker 1: and a handful of big guys are now dominating the volumes. 1179 00:57:17,440 --> 00:57:21,240 Speaker 1: And whether that's Virtue or Get Go or a handful 1180 00:57:21,280 --> 00:57:24,600 Speaker 1: of other companies um which are also which you don't 1181 00:57:24,640 --> 00:57:27,960 Speaker 1: go into details of names and in broken markets, but 1182 00:57:28,120 --> 00:57:33,480 Speaker 1: Flashboys does so. So is this just naturally on the 1183 00:57:33,600 --> 00:57:36,440 Speaker 1: wane or what's going on? It's the term they call 1184 00:57:36,520 --> 00:57:39,280 Speaker 1: the race to zero. This is by far the race 1185 00:57:39,360 --> 00:57:41,680 Speaker 1: they're trying to zero out that that latency has gotten 1186 00:57:41,720 --> 00:57:44,120 Speaker 1: so squeezed. But here's the problem for an h f T. 1187 00:57:44,600 --> 00:57:45,920 Speaker 1: If I'm an h f T and you're an h 1188 00:57:46,000 --> 00:57:48,640 Speaker 1: f T and you decide to build a new microwave network, 1189 00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:51,960 Speaker 1: that's gonna get you one micro second fast or some 1190 00:57:52,120 --> 00:57:55,800 Speaker 1: data and the thousandths of a second million, a million, millions, 1191 00:57:55,960 --> 00:57:58,040 Speaker 1: a million, and whatever it may be. I'm just throwing 1192 00:57:58,120 --> 00:57:59,800 Speaker 1: numbers out there. But you're gonna be faster because you're 1193 00:57:59,840 --> 00:58:02,920 Speaker 1: gonn to spend ten million dollars, say, building a microwave 1194 00:58:03,000 --> 00:58:08,480 Speaker 1: between here in Chicago over the is gone microwave. It's 1195 00:58:08,520 --> 00:58:11,440 Speaker 1: now over the lasers, whatever else to exact. But if 1196 00:58:11,520 --> 00:58:13,480 Speaker 1: you do it, I have no choice but to do 1197 00:58:13,600 --> 00:58:15,800 Speaker 1: it if I want to remain competitive to you, which 1198 00:58:15,840 --> 00:58:18,080 Speaker 1: means now it's gonna cause me ten million, which means 1199 00:58:18,120 --> 00:58:20,160 Speaker 1: that's gonna be sucked right out of my profits. That's 1200 00:58:20,160 --> 00:58:22,680 Speaker 1: why you see in the margin start to collapse. So eventually, 1201 00:58:22,720 --> 00:58:24,360 Speaker 1: I think what will happen is the smaller ones are 1202 00:58:24,360 --> 00:58:26,600 Speaker 1: going to drift off. They will not be able to compete. 1203 00:58:26,760 --> 00:58:29,440 Speaker 1: The bigger ones will get bigger, which does become an 1204 00:58:29,480 --> 00:58:31,680 Speaker 1: issue of how much power they have. And but that's 1205 00:58:31,680 --> 00:58:33,640 Speaker 1: where you're going to have to have some regulations coming 1206 00:58:33,640 --> 00:58:35,880 Speaker 1: and say, okay, let's get some obligations on these guys 1207 00:58:35,920 --> 00:58:38,840 Speaker 1: as well. They're not going away, They're so h f 1208 00:58:38,880 --> 00:58:40,320 Speaker 1: T is here to stay. We're not. We're not going 1209 00:58:40,360 --> 00:58:43,080 Speaker 1: to see them disappear. But it's morphing. In other words, 1210 00:58:43,120 --> 00:58:46,720 Speaker 1: it's becoming something different. I guess they're trying to legitimatize themselves, right. 1211 00:58:47,040 --> 00:58:49,400 Speaker 1: It's it's like, well, is that is that gonna happen? 1212 00:58:49,440 --> 00:58:53,880 Speaker 1: Are they going to become obligated legitimized players or they 1213 00:58:53,960 --> 00:58:57,480 Speaker 1: still just snipers picking off you know, millipennies will be different. 1214 00:58:57,520 --> 00:58:59,360 Speaker 1: There are different ones. There's you know, h F T 1215 00:58:59,560 --> 00:59:01,800 Speaker 1: is different and it's really hard to bucket. And we've 1216 00:59:01,840 --> 00:59:04,000 Speaker 1: learned we were not the smartest when we first started 1217 00:59:04,040 --> 00:59:06,440 Speaker 1: doing this, and we've learned a lot a lot over 1218 00:59:06,480 --> 00:59:08,960 Speaker 1: the years, and we've learned that you can't just bucket 1219 00:59:09,080 --> 00:59:12,160 Speaker 1: HFC into one bucket. They are different types of players, right, 1220 00:59:12,320 --> 00:59:15,080 Speaker 1: and they do different things. But the smaller players who 1221 00:59:15,120 --> 00:59:17,280 Speaker 1: are there to pick off and just kind of kind 1222 00:59:17,320 --> 00:59:20,000 Speaker 1: of sniff out a little of what we call venue arbitrage, 1223 00:59:20,120 --> 00:59:21,920 Speaker 1: trying to pick you off because one venue slower it 1224 00:59:21,960 --> 00:59:24,080 Speaker 1: in the other that business is going away. They they're 1225 00:59:24,080 --> 00:59:26,760 Speaker 1: squeezing that out, that that that latency are that used 1226 00:59:26,760 --> 00:59:29,000 Speaker 1: to see when you trade bats versus nasadac or a 1227 00:59:29,080 --> 00:59:31,240 Speaker 1: dark pool, and the dark pools are now being more 1228 00:59:31,320 --> 00:59:34,240 Speaker 1: you know, investigated more like two attorney in general, that's changing. 1229 00:59:34,440 --> 00:59:37,040 Speaker 1: But market making, if you call it market making, you know, 1230 00:59:37,080 --> 00:59:39,320 Speaker 1: we call something different like you know, specialists and so on. 1231 00:59:39,640 --> 00:59:41,840 Speaker 1: But if they're market making a stock versus an e 1232 00:59:41,960 --> 00:59:44,240 Speaker 1: t F or an e t F versus the future, 1233 00:59:44,640 --> 00:59:45,920 Speaker 1: and they would still want to do that and they 1234 00:59:45,960 --> 00:59:50,280 Speaker 1: think they're profitable. Congratulations, good luck, but let's play by 1235 00:59:50,320 --> 00:59:53,000 Speaker 1: the same rules. That's amazing. I can remember as a 1236 00:59:53,120 --> 00:59:58,800 Speaker 1: trader being able to visually see different prices, or throwing 1237 00:59:58,840 --> 01:00:02,439 Speaker 1: out a quote an eighth below the bid, suddenly seeing 1238 01:00:02,480 --> 01:00:05,120 Speaker 1: I'm filled, and immediately selling it to somebody else an 1239 01:00:05,160 --> 01:00:08,919 Speaker 1: eighth higher. The markets were at least on an eighth level, 1240 01:00:09,160 --> 01:00:12,680 Speaker 1: so inefficient. And I'm talking the nineties, we're not talking 1241 01:00:12,880 --> 01:00:16,400 Speaker 1: post two thousand, um. But you could literally do that 1242 01:00:16,680 --> 01:00:18,280 Speaker 1: if you were quick on the keyboard and you had 1243 01:00:18,320 --> 01:00:21,720 Speaker 1: a couple of little macro set up. But you didn't 1244 01:00:21,760 --> 01:00:25,200 Speaker 1: even know it. If you call that high frequency trading, 1245 01:00:25,280 --> 01:00:30,160 Speaker 1: it's it's a human manual. Uh, just a quickly picking 1246 01:00:30,200 --> 01:00:33,640 Speaker 1: off an eighth on a thousand shares. Not exactly high Fenci. 1247 01:00:34,240 --> 01:00:36,600 Speaker 1: By the way, whenever you whenever you did that, it 1248 01:00:36,720 --> 01:00:39,240 Speaker 1: was it was just a rare. It was on a slow, 1249 01:00:39,320 --> 01:00:41,840 Speaker 1: boring day and you had nothing to do, and let's 1250 01:00:41,880 --> 01:00:44,280 Speaker 1: throw a few quotes out and see what happens. Suddenly 1251 01:00:44,320 --> 01:00:47,000 Speaker 1: you find yourself filled and you're you know, at worst 1252 01:00:47,080 --> 01:00:48,920 Speaker 1: you're out for a break even or an eighth loss. 1253 01:00:49,240 --> 01:00:51,360 Speaker 1: But it was just one of those things that and 1254 01:00:51,520 --> 01:00:54,280 Speaker 1: you always wondered, why can't you do this automatically. Why 1255 01:00:54,400 --> 01:00:57,320 Speaker 1: wasn't there technology for it? Never in a million years 1256 01:00:57,640 --> 01:01:00,880 Speaker 1: imagining it would be like it, it's got and it's 1257 01:01:00,920 --> 01:01:03,360 Speaker 1: gotten today. Yeah, and there is a have and have 1258 01:01:03,560 --> 01:01:06,400 Speaker 1: not in the world of trading now. The halves are 1259 01:01:06,400 --> 01:01:08,960 Speaker 1: the ones who can pay enough money to buy that 1260 01:01:09,120 --> 01:01:11,960 Speaker 1: co location facility, to rent the co location facility, to 1261 01:01:12,120 --> 01:01:14,920 Speaker 1: purchase the data feeds, to set up a microwave network, 1262 01:01:15,120 --> 01:01:17,600 Speaker 1: to do all the things they do right, So you 1263 01:01:17,720 --> 01:01:20,240 Speaker 1: have created a tiered process. And in the in the 1264 01:01:20,320 --> 01:01:22,360 Speaker 1: trading world, there's no doubt about it, there are those 1265 01:01:22,400 --> 01:01:24,560 Speaker 1: that do and those that don't. So you know, you're 1266 01:01:24,560 --> 01:01:26,240 Speaker 1: really not competing on the same level playing for it 1267 01:01:26,280 --> 01:01:28,520 Speaker 1: when it comes to technology. But look, I'm not going 1268 01:01:28,600 --> 01:01:30,240 Speaker 1: to argue against certain things, but i am going to 1269 01:01:30,360 --> 01:01:32,680 Speaker 1: argue when there's a dark pool out there and he's 1270 01:01:32,680 --> 01:01:35,880 Speaker 1: advantaging one client because that client is you know, an 1271 01:01:36,000 --> 01:01:37,600 Speaker 1: h F T and he's gonna say, I'm gonna give 1272 01:01:37,600 --> 01:01:40,120 Speaker 1: you a special look or something like that. Here we 1273 01:01:40,200 --> 01:01:42,360 Speaker 1: have a lot of issues. Or you know, couple aren't 1274 01:01:42,360 --> 01:01:45,720 Speaker 1: exchanges doing something similar by selling that data they are 1275 01:01:46,040 --> 01:01:48,800 Speaker 1: and data feeds what they called the proprietary data feeds 1276 01:01:48,840 --> 01:01:51,720 Speaker 1: we think should absolutely be looked at by the SEC 1277 01:01:51,880 --> 01:01:55,640 Speaker 1: should be why they have you. Here's what the exchange 1278 01:01:55,680 --> 01:01:57,880 Speaker 1: will say, Hey, Barry, you want to buy a data feed, 1279 01:01:57,960 --> 01:02:00,280 Speaker 1: I love to sell you one, buddy, ten thousand a month. 1280 01:02:00,320 --> 01:02:02,959 Speaker 1: Here you go purchase and anyway anybody can buy. They're 1281 01:02:02,960 --> 01:02:06,120 Speaker 1: going to turn around. But realistically a month doesn't mean 1282 01:02:06,200 --> 01:02:08,520 Speaker 1: that if I'm not buying a hundred chairs I'm gonna need. 1283 01:02:08,560 --> 01:02:10,640 Speaker 1: It doesn't help you. It doesn't help you. And then 1284 01:02:10,680 --> 01:02:12,880 Speaker 1: you also got to build the entire infrastructures to make 1285 01:02:12,920 --> 01:02:14,720 Speaker 1: that data. The data feeds just a fuel that runs 1286 01:02:14,760 --> 01:02:17,160 Speaker 1: the engine. You gotta still build the engine. Okay, But 1287 01:02:17,320 --> 01:02:19,120 Speaker 1: what they're giving in these data feeds is not just 1288 01:02:19,480 --> 01:02:21,480 Speaker 1: there's a lot of information and a lot of content. 1289 01:02:21,560 --> 01:02:23,560 Speaker 1: In fact, a couple of years ago we actually wrote 1290 01:02:23,560 --> 01:02:25,439 Speaker 1: a white paper where we talked two of the major 1291 01:02:25,520 --> 01:02:28,240 Speaker 1: exchanges giving out information on what it was supposedly a 1292 01:02:28,320 --> 01:02:31,280 Speaker 1: hidden order flow, so an institution could put in fifty 1293 01:02:31,600 --> 01:02:33,640 Speaker 1: shares hidden I don't want anybody seeing it. But they 1294 01:02:33,680 --> 01:02:37,000 Speaker 1: were putting tags on this flow, which basically allowed others 1295 01:02:37,080 --> 01:02:39,560 Speaker 1: to re engineer it. People who bought the data feeds 1296 01:02:39,720 --> 01:02:41,520 Speaker 1: and figured out that there was a buyer there. So 1297 01:02:41,680 --> 01:02:44,480 Speaker 1: let me ask you a question. Knowing the exchanges for 1298 01:02:44,720 --> 01:02:47,880 Speaker 1: profit are willing to do that, why would anybody trust 1299 01:02:47,960 --> 01:02:52,440 Speaker 1: anything they say? Aren't these just shameless salespeople who are 1300 01:02:52,520 --> 01:02:55,080 Speaker 1: basically going to say, I will sell this client down 1301 01:02:55,120 --> 01:02:57,800 Speaker 1: the road to that client because I can. Is that 1302 01:02:57,960 --> 01:03:02,120 Speaker 1: what actually took place? It their penalties where they're fine, 1303 01:03:03,080 --> 01:03:05,720 Speaker 1: the SEC didn't even look into. But the exchanges after 1304 01:03:05,800 --> 01:03:09,360 Speaker 1: they call grief from the institutional community, changed it voluntarily, 1305 01:03:09,760 --> 01:03:11,920 Speaker 1: just like the direct Edge exchange a couple of years 1306 01:03:11,960 --> 01:03:14,560 Speaker 1: back with doing flash orders where they were showing orders 1307 01:03:14,880 --> 01:03:17,680 Speaker 1: to a certain subset of clients for half a second, 1308 01:03:17,840 --> 01:03:20,360 Speaker 1: which is an eternity, and they were half a second, 1309 01:03:20,400 --> 01:03:21,880 Speaker 1: would you like to buy us? No? Okay, you go 1310 01:03:21,920 --> 01:03:23,920 Speaker 1: out in front and front of yourself. It was ridiculous. 1311 01:03:24,120 --> 01:03:26,400 Speaker 1: But but but but here's what they'll in their defense. 1312 01:03:26,400 --> 01:03:28,040 Speaker 1: They're gonna say, well, wait a second, show everything we 1313 01:03:28,120 --> 01:03:30,080 Speaker 1: do with public everything that we do has to be 1314 01:03:30,120 --> 01:03:33,000 Speaker 1: filed with the SEC after the fact three months later 1315 01:03:33,200 --> 01:03:36,720 Speaker 1: in forty pages of six point legal ease. But buddy, 1316 01:03:36,880 --> 01:03:40,640 Speaker 1: it's approved by the SEC. Why would they ever allow 1317 01:03:40,840 --> 01:03:43,760 Speaker 1: certain order types to be approved? Who is that the SEC? 1318 01:03:44,000 --> 01:03:46,120 Speaker 1: Looking at the exchange documents saying, yeah, that looks like 1319 01:03:46,160 --> 01:03:48,760 Speaker 1: it's fair to everyone. It's insane. So here's why we 1320 01:03:48,840 --> 01:03:51,280 Speaker 1: call it a broken market. Because you've got regulators who 1321 01:03:51,280 --> 01:03:53,880 Speaker 1: are allowing this, exchanges who are for profit h f 1322 01:03:53,960 --> 01:03:55,760 Speaker 1: t s who take advantage of it, and in between 1323 01:03:55,840 --> 01:03:57,880 Speaker 1: is the retail and institutional guy going what the hell 1324 01:03:58,000 --> 01:04:01,680 Speaker 1: is going on? That? That's unbelieva. I'm gonna end this 1325 01:04:01,920 --> 01:04:05,480 Speaker 1: segment with um a quote from my colleague Josh Brown, 1326 01:04:06,040 --> 01:04:08,720 Speaker 1: who said, and I love this quote, the best way 1327 01:04:08,800 --> 01:04:12,480 Speaker 1: to defeat high frequency trading is with low frequency trading. 1328 01:04:13,160 --> 01:04:15,400 Speaker 1: Meaning if if you're not in there, if you're not 1329 01:04:15,520 --> 01:04:18,160 Speaker 1: in there as a retail investor, if you're not in 1330 01:04:18,240 --> 01:04:20,840 Speaker 1: there trying to compete with these guys, you're not gonna 1331 01:04:20,920 --> 01:04:24,320 Speaker 1: lose them. That that's that's exactly right. Well, well, this 1332 01:04:24,440 --> 01:04:27,160 Speaker 1: has been really a ton of fun. Thank you so much. Joe, Say, 1333 01:04:27,200 --> 01:04:30,320 Speaker 1: how do your partner salve for us? We've been speaking 1334 01:04:30,400 --> 01:04:33,480 Speaker 1: with Joe. I was gonna say, Joe Arnock, we've been 1335 01:04:33,480 --> 01:04:37,520 Speaker 1: speaking with Joe so Lousy, author of Broken Markets and 1336 01:04:38,080 --> 01:04:42,560 Speaker 1: partner with Sal Arnuck of Famous Trading. If you enjoy 1337 01:04:42,760 --> 01:04:45,400 Speaker 1: this conversation, be sure to look up or down an 1338 01:04:45,440 --> 01:04:49,040 Speaker 1: inch or two on iTunes or on bloomberg View dot 1339 01:04:49,080 --> 01:04:51,959 Speaker 1: com or on Bloomberg dot com to see the rest 1340 01:04:52,080 --> 01:04:55,320 Speaker 1: of our podcasts. I'm Barry Ridults. You've been listening to 1341 01:04:55,480 --> 01:05:00,720 Speaker 1: Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. You're listening to Master's 1342 01:05:00,800 --> 01:05:04,040 Speaker 1: in Business with Barry Redholts on Bloomberg Radio.