WEBVTT - Chuck’s Commentary - Jeff Bezos Gutting The Washington Post Is A Dark Day For Journalism + The One Loophole For A Third Trump Term

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<v Speaker 1>Happy Thursday, Happy super Bowl Thursday. Right are We are

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<v Speaker 1>now in the ninety six hour window of Super Bowl,

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<v Speaker 1>of the sort of the Super Bowl extravaganza. And I'm

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<v Speaker 1>tempted to say that the Super Bowl hype feels lessish.

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<v Speaker 1>And I don't know if I'm saying that because I'm

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<v Speaker 1>buying into the premise that they're you know, we don't

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<v Speaker 1>have the traditional stars in the Super Bowl right now.

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<v Speaker 1>There's no Patrick Mahomes and there's no Tom Brady, and

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<v Speaker 1>there's no Josh Allen. There's no Lamar Jackson, no Aaron Rodgers.

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<v Speaker 1>So I hate to like pile on on that, but

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<v Speaker 1>there does feel this feels less hyped or am I

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<v Speaker 1>just accepting you know, am I putting my own bias

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<v Speaker 1>on it?

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<v Speaker 2>I will.

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<v Speaker 1>I will accept the premise that I might be because

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<v Speaker 1>the Super Bowl doesn't overly excite me, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>out of you know, my great fears that it won't be competitive,

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<v Speaker 1>But I certainly hope we will have a competitive more

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<v Speaker 1>to say about the super Bowl, as I always promise,

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<v Speaker 1>I want to keep the sports to the end. I've

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<v Speaker 1>made a few references and had a few rants about

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<v Speaker 1>the Washington Post, but we now know what happened, and

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<v Speaker 1>I guess you could say, I'm this is my official

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<v Speaker 1>obituary for the Washington Post because my frustration on this.

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<v Speaker 1>This is not and I think different people go about

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<v Speaker 1>this a different way. I do not believe Jeff Bezos's

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<v Speaker 1>job was to be a to treat the Washington Post

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<v Speaker 1>as a charity case. So I'm not you know, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not asking him to lose money to keep the Washington

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<v Speaker 1>Post up and running. I'm asking him to be honest

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<v Speaker 1>about what he's up to. I'm asking him to be

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<v Speaker 1>more straightforward about his motivation, and I'm asking him to

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<v Speaker 1>acknowledge that he The question is did he hire the

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<v Speaker 1>wrong people or did he actually make a business decision

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<v Speaker 1>that has nothing to do with the business of media

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<v Speaker 1>and everything to do.

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<v Speaker 2>With the business of space.

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<v Speaker 1>Before I get to it, but I want to start

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<v Speaker 1>off with associating myself with something Jeff Bezos said in

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<v Speaker 1>twenty thirteen. Thanks to my friend Don van Ada, one

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<v Speaker 1>of the great sports reporters out there, does a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of great work over at ESPN, and it's been everywhere

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<v Speaker 1>times you name it, he re upped this. It's an

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<v Speaker 1>important quote, and I want to quote.

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<v Speaker 2>From Jeff Bezos.

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<v Speaker 1>So, when Jeff Bezos bought the Washington Post two hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and fifty million dollars in twenty thirteen, he did a

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<v Speaker 1>Q and A in the newsroom with legendary Washington Post

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<v Speaker 1>reporter Bob Woodward. And Woodward asked Bezos in front of

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<v Speaker 1>all of his Jeff Bezos new employees at the Washington Post,

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<v Speaker 1>a simple question, Why'd you do it?

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<v Speaker 2>Let me read you Jeff Bezos's answer.

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<v Speaker 1>In twenty thirteen, I finally concluded that I could provide

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<v Speaker 1>runway financial runway because I don't think you can keep

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<v Speaker 1>shrinking the business. You could be profitable and shrinking, and

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<v Speaker 1>that's a survival strategy, but it ultimately leads to irrelevance

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<v Speaker 1>at best, and at worst, it leads to extinction. In

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<v Speaker 1>some ways, I almost want to drop the mic and

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<v Speaker 1>leave right like, there you go, what's about to happen

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<v Speaker 1>to the Washington Post? Exactly what Jeff Bezos said he

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<v Speaker 1>wasn't going to do. So I wanted to start off

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<v Speaker 1>with the Jeff Bezos quote so that as I read you,

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<v Speaker 1>Matt Murray, and I want to say this about Matt

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<v Speaker 1>Murray's the executive editor of the Washington Post. Matt Murray's

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<v Speaker 1>had to be the face of all of this. It

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<v Speaker 1>sucks that anybody has to be the face of this.

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<v Speaker 1>But what really sucks is he didn't make these decisions.

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<v Speaker 1>He has to execute a strategy and execute decisions that

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<v Speaker 1>were made by two people who did not face the

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<v Speaker 1>public or their employees. So you know, look, I do

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<v Speaker 1>not I feel poor Matt Murray's been hung out to dry.

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<v Speaker 1>And you could say, well, he could have resigned well,

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<v Speaker 1>and look, everybody's got pay bills, so be very careful.

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<v Speaker 1>It's always easy to say when you don't have that job,

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<v Speaker 1>to say you could quit, you could do this well,

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<v Speaker 1>you know your circumstance is your circumstance. If you have

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<v Speaker 1>the luxury to do it, great, and you think you

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<v Speaker 1>can make a statement, kudos, But not everybody does.

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<v Speaker 2>Matt Murray is a.

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<v Speaker 1>Great, capable editor, managing editor, editor of a newsroom, runs

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<v Speaker 1>a newsroom. He is not in charge of the business strategy.

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<v Speaker 1>He executes the strategy. So I say this because I

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<v Speaker 1>don't I don't want to see Matt Murray demonized. You

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<v Speaker 1>want to be angry, be angry at Jeff Bezos for

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<v Speaker 1>hiring Will Lewis, and you don't even have to be

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<v Speaker 1>angry at him hiring Will Lewis. What you should be

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<v Speaker 1>angry at is that Will Lewis isn't being shoved out

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<v Speaker 1>the door along with all these employees. Because Will Lewis's

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<v Speaker 1>strategy has been a disaster. Every move he's made has

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<v Speaker 1>cost the Post money, cost the Post readers, cost the

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<v Speaker 1>Post relevance. So the idea that Lewis's job is safe,

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<v Speaker 1>but three hundred Washington Post staffers are being shown the

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<v Speaker 1>door because hey, this is you know, oh you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we just no. The media business is hard. But this

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<v Speaker 1>was a choice. But anyway, Jeff Bezos in twenty thirteen said,

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<v Speaker 1>you do this, and you know you may go to

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<v Speaker 1>extinct irrelevance. So let me read you today's memo that

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sure was approved by Will Lewis and Jeff Bezos.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm not going to read the whole thing, but

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to read a few paragraphs, so this one.

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<v Speaker 1>These moves include substantial newsroom reductions, impacting nearly all news departments.

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<v Speaker 1>For the immediate future, we will concentrate on areas that

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<v Speaker 1>demonstrate authority, distinctiveness, and impact and that resonate with readers. Politics,

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<v Speaker 1>national affairs, people power and trends, national security in DC

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<v Speaker 1>and abroad. Forces shaping the future, including science, health, medicine, technology,

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<v Speaker 1>climate in business, journalism that empowers people to take action,

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<v Speaker 1>from advice to wellness, revelatory investigations, and what's capturing attention

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<v Speaker 1>in culture, online and daily life. So that's the that's

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<v Speaker 1>the mission. Apparently let me continue, but we take these

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<v Speaker 1>actions with clarity of purpose. The need has never been

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<v Speaker 1>more urgent to reposition the post. A more flexible, sustainable

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<v Speaker 1>model will help us better navigate unprecedented volatility, competition, technological change,

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<v Speaker 1>news consumption habits, and cost pressure. As you know, we

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<v Speaker 1>have grappled with financial challenges for some time. They have

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<v Speaker 1>affected us multiple in multiple rounds of cost cuts and buyouts,

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<v Speaker 1>along with peer periotic constraints on other kinds of spending.

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<v Speaker 1>We have concluded that the company structure is to root

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<v Speaker 1>it in a different era when we were a dominant

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<v Speaker 1>local print product. This restructure will help to secure our

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<v Speaker 1>future in service of our journalistic mission and provide us

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<v Speaker 1>stability moving forward. Then he keeps going we are far

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<v Speaker 1>from alone and reevaluate our model and rethinking how we operate.

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<v Speaker 1>The ecosystem of news and information on and off platform

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<v Speaker 1>is changing radically. News consumers enjoy more variety, voices, of

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<v Speaker 1>platforms and options than ever before. In just the last

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<v Speaker 1>five years, multiple startups, even individuals have created meaningful products

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<v Speaker 1>that draw at tension and generate impact at low cost.

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<v Speaker 1>And it goes on to blame search and blame all

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<v Speaker 1>these other structural issues that were issues in twenty thirteen,

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<v Speaker 1>that were issues when Marty Barron took over. So the

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<v Speaker 1>point being there, of course there have been issues. These

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<v Speaker 1>are issues that the New York Times confronted, and as

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<v Speaker 1>Nate Silver, you should check out his substance he did.

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<v Speaker 1>He noted that both you know, essentially this gets it

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<v Speaker 1>to the real business decision that Jeff Bezos made. But

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<v Speaker 1>he did a terrific sort of showing of that. There

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<v Speaker 1>was this study of sort of like impact, sort of

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<v Speaker 1>judging how much how much impact your news stories had,

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<v Speaker 1>and the Times in the Post were essentially neck and neck,

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<v Speaker 1>neck and neck. It's sort of you know, whether it

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<v Speaker 1>was attention impact, how often their articles were however you

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to measure. But there was a pretty good measurement

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<v Speaker 1>that he was using to do this, and I wasn't

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<v Speaker 1>familiar with the specific metric he was using, but it

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<v Speaker 1>made the larger point that both the Times in the

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<v Speaker 1>Post were sort of essentially in the same place late

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<v Speaker 1>twenty eighteen, twenty nineteen, even into twenty twenty, twenty twenty one,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the Times like the Post experienced you know,

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<v Speaker 1>this this sort of softening of interest in Washington news

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<v Speaker 1>with the incoming Biden administration, right, and Joe Biden being

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<v Speaker 1>sort of catatonic for most of his term. Obviously meant

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<v Speaker 1>that the attention economy when it came to Washington politics

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<v Speaker 1>was less interested. The Times diversified, right, the Times has

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<v Speaker 1>all had, you know, decided to use the opportunity when

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<v Speaker 1>there was attention, and they they went big, right. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>they cut their sports department, but only after they bought

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<v Speaker 1>the Athletic Okay, the leading national sports news organization in

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<v Speaker 1>the country. So they actually went bigger on sports, not smaller, right.

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<v Speaker 1>And they went with a brand, and they took a brand,

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<v Speaker 1>and they doubled down on a brand, you know. And

0:11:38.600 --> 0:11:41.640
<v Speaker 1>they've done this with Wirecutter, and they've done this with

0:11:41.679 --> 0:11:45.439
<v Speaker 1>their recipes, and they've done this with games. The Washington

0:11:45.480 --> 0:11:50.800
<v Speaker 1>Post was perfectly positioned to potentially do something similar on

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<v Speaker 1>a variety of fronts. This is among the wealthiest metropolitan

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<v Speaker 1>areas in the country. You have some of the most

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<v Speaker 1>well read people. People pay for news. Not every community

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<v Speaker 1>is got to, is my god. They charge you for

0:12:08.040 --> 0:12:11.520
<v Speaker 1>everything around here, right, people are buying newsletters from punch

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<v Speaker 1>Bowl and buying pro political pro subscriptions and national journal

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<v Speaker 1>and hotline passes and all sorts of things. So this

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<v Speaker 1>is a market that is very comfortable paying for information.

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<v Speaker 1>But Jeff Bezos had a problem. His number one competitor

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<v Speaker 1>for space contracts is Elon Musk. Elon Musk had had

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<v Speaker 1>all sorts of ties to the two front runners for

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<v Speaker 1>president in twenty twenty three and twenty twenty four, Ron

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<v Speaker 1>DeSantis and Donald Trump, and Elon Musk was leveraging those

0:12:57.559 --> 0:13:00.920
<v Speaker 1>relationships in any way possible. And when he realized Disantas

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<v Speaker 1>was going nowhere, right, He's eventually.

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<v Speaker 2>Sidled right up to Trump.

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<v Speaker 1>If there is a competitor in the private space race,

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<v Speaker 1>to Elon Musk, it's Jeff Bezos with Blue Origin. The

0:13:20.679 --> 0:13:24.600
<v Speaker 1>only way to build a private space company is to

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<v Speaker 1>have access to the government's resources NASA and all sorts

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<v Speaker 1>of infrastructure. All right, we may be in the privatizing

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<v Speaker 1>era of space, but the structure is still sort of government.

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<v Speaker 1>You're very dependent upon government, and you need access to government.

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<v Speaker 1>And if Donald Trump just shut the door on Jeff Bezos,

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<v Speaker 1>Blue Origin would be just sort of stuck here, maybe

0:13:50.640 --> 0:13:53.280
<v Speaker 1>have to work with another country if they wanted to

0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:56.360
<v Speaker 1>get up and stuff like that. So he looked at

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<v Speaker 1>the look I think his initial decision to purchase. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>when you sort of everything looks obvious now in hindsight.

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<v Speaker 1>So why did twenty thirteen Jeff Basos.

0:14:05.400 --> 0:14:06.240
<v Speaker 2>By the Washington Post.

0:14:06.280 --> 0:14:08.199
<v Speaker 1>We know what he said. I told you up top

0:14:08.240 --> 0:14:14.079
<v Speaker 1>what he said, but he still like, why did he

0:14:14.120 --> 0:14:15.920
<v Speaker 1>think it was a good idea? Well, if you recall

0:14:15.960 --> 0:14:21.560
<v Speaker 1>at the time, right, I believe Amazon had just made

0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:25.080
<v Speaker 1>the decision to create a basically open a second headquarters,

0:14:25.120 --> 0:14:28.240
<v Speaker 1>and they made the decision to open it in Crystal

0:14:28.240 --> 0:14:28.920
<v Speaker 1>City of Virginia.

0:14:30.640 --> 0:14:31.440
<v Speaker 2>Why did they do that?

0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:36.360
<v Speaker 1>Because the most important government contracts to AWS right, the

0:14:38.680 --> 0:14:43.640
<v Speaker 1>arguably the more profitable arm of Amazon, rather than the

0:14:43.960 --> 0:14:47.520
<v Speaker 1>product most of us interact with on a daily or

0:14:47.800 --> 0:14:51.600
<v Speaker 1>some of you on an hourly basis, are Pentagon contracts.

0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:56.120
<v Speaker 1>So Amazon made the decision it needed to be close

0:14:56.160 --> 0:15:01.400
<v Speaker 1>to Washington. Look, I'll be honest, as a political anthropologists,

0:15:01.520 --> 0:15:03.880
<v Speaker 1>the way I looked at it, I was I was rooting.

0:15:03.960 --> 0:15:06.720
<v Speaker 1>I remember remember there was this whole campaign who was

0:15:06.760 --> 0:15:09.600
<v Speaker 1>going to get the second headquarters in? Amazon did a

0:15:09.760 --> 0:15:18.480
<v Speaker 1>very public, almost American Idol style RFPs right request for

0:15:18.560 --> 0:15:23.520
<v Speaker 1>proposals from various cities, and they had certain things they needed.

0:15:23.560 --> 0:15:28.280
<v Speaker 1>They needed easy access to public transportation, among you, affordable housing,

0:15:28.280 --> 0:15:30.160
<v Speaker 1>all sorts of it, but it was public transporation was

0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:35.200
<v Speaker 1>a big thing, There's no doubt. I remember I was

0:15:35.240 --> 0:15:38.960
<v Speaker 1>hoping he'd picked Saint Louis. And you've probably heard me

0:15:39.000 --> 0:15:41.200
<v Speaker 1>a few times. I'm obsessed with Saint Louis for a

0:15:41.280 --> 0:15:42.000
<v Speaker 1>variety of reasons.

0:15:42.080 --> 0:15:44.640
<v Speaker 2>You know, Saint Louis was I ate.

0:15:45.280 --> 0:15:53.040
<v Speaker 1>The America all sort of chipped in to figure out, hey,

0:15:53.040 --> 0:15:59.320
<v Speaker 1>we can't let Detroit spiral, and we got investment in Detroit,

0:15:59.440 --> 0:16:02.560
<v Speaker 1>and we got Wall Street interested in Detroit, and Detroit

0:16:02.600 --> 0:16:04.440
<v Speaker 1>is in better shape today than it's been in a while.

0:16:07.360 --> 0:16:09.240
<v Speaker 1>We've not had that same you know, there was a time,

0:16:09.320 --> 0:16:12.440
<v Speaker 1>right Saint Louis hosted an Olympics nineteen oh four. I

0:16:12.440 --> 0:16:16.400
<v Speaker 1>believe it was because it was the gateway to the West, Right,

0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:19.600
<v Speaker 1>Saint Louis was the most important, Say, before there was

0:16:19.760 --> 0:16:22.040
<v Speaker 1>LA in San Francisco, there were Saint Louis. Right, it

0:16:22.120 --> 0:16:26.000
<v Speaker 1>was the western frontier and it was an extraordinarily important city.

0:16:27.480 --> 0:16:29.120
<v Speaker 1>And even when I was growing up, right, you know,

0:16:29.400 --> 0:16:33.960
<v Speaker 1>it was a hub and had lots of corporate headquarters there, right,

0:16:34.000 --> 0:16:39.119
<v Speaker 1>and isaer Bush being the most iconic, but TWA Transworld

0:16:39.120 --> 0:16:42.160
<v Speaker 1>Airlines that was a huge airline that was not a

0:16:42.200 --> 0:16:46.400
<v Speaker 1>small airline, it was a big airline. And it is withered,

0:16:47.000 --> 0:16:48.960
<v Speaker 1>and there's a we can There's a variety of reasons.

0:16:49.120 --> 0:16:51.400
<v Speaker 1>Saint Louis is one of those. When you if you

0:16:51.440 --> 0:16:56.480
<v Speaker 1>ever wanted to understand how the interstate highway system really

0:16:56.520 --> 0:17:01.920
<v Speaker 1>did segregate communities and destroy urban communities, go traveling downtown

0:17:01.960 --> 0:17:04.880
<v Speaker 1>Saint Louis when you go, and I believe it's fifty five.

0:17:05.920 --> 0:17:08.840
<v Speaker 1>If I have it wrong, I hope my friends and

0:17:09.080 --> 0:17:10.480
<v Speaker 1>Saint Louis will will correct me.

0:17:10.560 --> 0:17:11.080
<v Speaker 2>I've got some.

0:17:13.440 --> 0:17:15.639
<v Speaker 1>I've got off and on ties to Saint Louis, and

0:17:15.640 --> 0:17:16.359
<v Speaker 1>I'll leave it at that.

0:17:16.560 --> 0:17:18.199
<v Speaker 2>Some of you will know what I'm referring to.

0:17:20.680 --> 0:17:23.000
<v Speaker 1>But it's one of those that it's just ugly. It's terrible,

0:17:23.040 --> 0:17:27.640
<v Speaker 1>like you know that. You know, there was a lot

0:17:24.720 --> 0:17:31.280
<v Speaker 1>of urban planners in the twenties, thirties, forties, and fifties

0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:38.800
<v Speaker 1>who essentially used African American communities, you know, just almost

0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:43.479
<v Speaker 1>either bulldozed them, divided them in half. But it was

0:17:43.600 --> 0:17:47.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, if you were in a if you were

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:51.320
<v Speaker 1>fighting a not in my backyard mindset, you know, the

0:17:51.359 --> 0:17:54.159
<v Speaker 1>black communities lost every one of them. And this was

0:17:54.680 --> 0:17:58.240
<v Speaker 1>all over. You can read the Powerbroker about Robert Moses

0:17:58.320 --> 0:18:01.960
<v Speaker 1>and what he did New York and how this was done.

0:18:02.280 --> 0:18:05.400
<v Speaker 1>You can just see how the interstate system was built

0:18:06.240 --> 0:18:08.600
<v Speaker 1>in Saint Louis. You can see remnants of this in

0:18:08.680 --> 0:18:12.600
<v Speaker 1>New Orleans and some other of these cities that this

0:18:12.720 --> 0:18:19.119
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0:19:40.920 --> 0:19:42.520
<v Speaker 1>there was a lot of reasons. So Saint Louis, I

0:19:42.560 --> 0:19:46.000
<v Speaker 1>think needed a shot in the arm. But I also

0:19:46.040 --> 0:19:49.040
<v Speaker 1>thought it was a Hey, this is a it still

0:19:49.080 --> 0:19:51.040
<v Speaker 1>has some wealth to it. It still is a highly

0:19:51.160 --> 0:19:56.520
<v Speaker 1>educated community, and more importantly, it's it's a more politically

0:19:56.520 --> 0:19:59.960
<v Speaker 1>diverse community. And I would thought the tech industry needed

0:20:00.080 --> 0:20:04.320
<v Speaker 1>more buy in from Red America. So, hey, don't you

0:20:04.320 --> 0:20:06.840
<v Speaker 1>know you're going from Seattle? All right, why don't you

0:20:06.840 --> 0:20:09.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, I thought Saint Louis so for a variety

0:20:09.000 --> 0:20:12.040
<v Speaker 1>of reasons, right, I thought Saint Louis was gonna be

0:20:12.080 --> 0:20:14.679
<v Speaker 1>a good spot. So but the point was they picked

0:20:14.800 --> 0:20:18.439
<v Speaker 1>I remember the last thing I expected was DC. So

0:20:18.640 --> 0:20:20.399
<v Speaker 1>Bezos made a business and so what did he do?

0:20:20.440 --> 0:20:20.600
<v Speaker 2>Then?

0:20:20.600 --> 0:20:25.000
<v Speaker 1>He buys the Washington Post. And I think he saw

0:20:25.040 --> 0:20:28.919
<v Speaker 1>the Washington Post as an investment in being able to

0:20:29.640 --> 0:20:34.320
<v Speaker 1>curry favor in Washington for Amazon. And it made a

0:20:34.359 --> 0:20:37.480
<v Speaker 1>ton of sense. Right, you're the owner of the Washington Post.

0:20:38.880 --> 0:20:40.720
<v Speaker 1>You're going to get more meetings with the lawmakers that

0:20:40.760 --> 0:20:42.840
<v Speaker 1>you need to have meetings with. And you know, you

0:20:42.840 --> 0:20:45.120
<v Speaker 1>could say, okay, Jeff Bezos, well we'll give him that too,

0:20:46.920 --> 0:20:51.280
<v Speaker 1>But it only adds. It's only additive, right, It gives

0:20:51.280 --> 0:20:56.399
<v Speaker 1>you outsized potential influence and all of it, you know,

0:20:56.440 --> 0:21:01.560
<v Speaker 1>and so but but in order in order for that

0:21:01.680 --> 0:21:03.160
<v Speaker 1>to stay, the Post had to be.

0:21:04.880 --> 0:21:05.400
<v Speaker 2>Robust.

0:21:06.200 --> 0:21:09.160
<v Speaker 1>So he did endorse a robust version of the Washington Post.

0:21:09.359 --> 0:21:12.920
<v Speaker 1>I think he saw it as a trophy. He did

0:21:12.960 --> 0:21:16.760
<v Speaker 1>not see it as a business in and of itself, which.

0:21:16.600 --> 0:21:19.800
<v Speaker 2>Has always been my frustration. He saw it.

0:21:20.119 --> 0:21:24.800
<v Speaker 1>As a trophy that could help him with his other businesses.

0:21:25.400 --> 0:21:29.160
<v Speaker 1>So initially that's because he had all these government contracts

0:21:29.160 --> 0:21:33.280
<v Speaker 1>with AWS moves, the second Amazon headquarters, which is all

0:21:33.280 --> 0:21:36.399
<v Speaker 1>about those Pentagon contracts, and then of course there's his

0:21:36.520 --> 0:21:42.840
<v Speaker 1>hobby with space all of it. Having, you know, having

0:21:42.880 --> 0:21:46.000
<v Speaker 1>that kind of influence in Washington was going to be

0:21:46.080 --> 0:21:51.159
<v Speaker 1>helpful all of those businesses. Well, in comes Donald Trump

0:21:52.359 --> 0:21:56.960
<v Speaker 1>and the polarization of media in general and the weaponization

0:21:57.119 --> 0:22:02.280
<v Speaker 1>by the right to attack any journalists, any journalistic organization

0:22:02.359 --> 0:22:11.920
<v Speaker 1>that dared try to report accountability stories about anybody left

0:22:12.000 --> 0:22:17.000
<v Speaker 1>or right. But you know, everything got and Donald Trump

0:22:17.040 --> 0:22:21.679
<v Speaker 1>personalized everything in that first turn, and the question was

0:22:21.680 --> 0:22:27.679
<v Speaker 1>how was it going to impact Bezos? And look, the

0:22:28.640 --> 0:22:32.080
<v Speaker 1>conventional with the rest of official Washington was just as

0:22:32.119 --> 0:22:35.639
<v Speaker 1>alarmed about Donald Trump as the Washington Post was, So

0:22:35.720 --> 0:22:37.840
<v Speaker 1>in some ways, I think Bezos felt comforted that he

0:22:37.880 --> 0:22:41.240
<v Speaker 1>was still on the side. Yes, he was did lose

0:22:41.280 --> 0:22:47.760
<v Speaker 1>a government contract because Donald Trump essentially punished Amazon, punished

0:22:47.800 --> 0:22:50.800
<v Speaker 1>Bezos because he didn't like the coverage he was getting

0:22:50.800 --> 0:22:58.880
<v Speaker 1>out of the Washington Post. Passed forward to twenty twenty three.

0:22:57.560 --> 0:22:58.600
<v Speaker 2>Right when.

0:23:00.200 --> 0:23:06.320
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Bezos decides to radically remodel the Washington Post. Yes,

0:23:06.520 --> 0:23:08.320
<v Speaker 1>there was a moment that the Post was having.

0:23:08.359 --> 0:23:08.800
<v Speaker 2>They couldn't.

0:23:08.800 --> 0:23:12.000
<v Speaker 1>They were losing some traffic, losing and it had to

0:23:12.480 --> 0:23:14.119
<v Speaker 1>have less to do with it, you know. They just

0:23:14.520 --> 0:23:20.000
<v Speaker 1>they didn't do anything right with the upside that they

0:23:20.000 --> 0:23:23.400
<v Speaker 1>were experiencing in twenty eighteen and twenty nineteen and investing

0:23:23.440 --> 0:23:27.520
<v Speaker 1>in sort of cementing some of the growth that they have. Right,

0:23:27.600 --> 0:23:29.240
<v Speaker 1>you get growth, you should want to cement it.

0:23:29.400 --> 0:23:29.840
<v Speaker 2>They didn't.

0:23:29.840 --> 0:23:33.199
<v Speaker 1>The New York Times did right, just the Salzburger's just

0:23:33.680 --> 0:23:37.720
<v Speaker 1>but there they own the Times. For the Times to

0:23:37.800 --> 0:23:42.600
<v Speaker 1>be a successful business, Jeff Bezos bought The Washington Post

0:23:42.760 --> 0:23:46.720
<v Speaker 1>for the success of his other businesses. He never was

0:23:46.800 --> 0:23:49.920
<v Speaker 1>that interested in the success of the business of news

0:23:49.920 --> 0:23:54.160
<v Speaker 1>and information itself, because if he had been, he would

0:23:54.160 --> 0:23:57.200
<v Speaker 1>have made a lot more different decisions. You don't hire

0:23:57.280 --> 0:24:02.560
<v Speaker 1>somebody who's just a tabloid editor from the UK who

0:24:02.800 --> 0:24:09.879
<v Speaker 1>just is a clickbait, attention economy type of journalists. It's

0:24:09.880 --> 0:24:13.000
<v Speaker 1>a great way to make money if you're an individual.

0:24:13.760 --> 0:24:17.640
<v Speaker 1>It's not a long term sustaining business. Just go see

0:24:17.640 --> 0:24:22.080
<v Speaker 1>the UK news market if you need more proof of that.

0:24:23.000 --> 0:24:26.639
<v Speaker 1>And never mind that like will Lewis's journalistic credentials were

0:24:26.680 --> 0:24:31.439
<v Speaker 1>pretty much shit for his connection with the with the

0:24:31.520 --> 0:24:36.720
<v Speaker 1>Murdock scandals that did cost him a bit of his

0:24:36.760 --> 0:24:37.760
<v Speaker 1>reputation in the UK.

0:24:40.080 --> 0:24:42.760
<v Speaker 2>But Bezos makes this hire anyway.

0:24:43.080 --> 0:24:47.719
<v Speaker 1>You don't hire will Lewis because you think there is

0:24:48.320 --> 0:24:52.560
<v Speaker 1>more money to be made in a transformational business to

0:24:52.680 --> 0:24:58.320
<v Speaker 1>be created that somehow others Fred Ryan and Marty Beron

0:24:58.359 --> 0:25:02.720
<v Speaker 1>didn't figure out. You hire will Lewis because you want

0:25:02.720 --> 0:25:07.560
<v Speaker 1>to change the tenor and reputation of the Washington Post itself.

0:25:09.200 --> 0:25:14.560
<v Speaker 1>So again, it's twenty twenty three, Donald Trump's front runner

0:25:15.000 --> 0:25:19.159
<v Speaker 1>for President Donald Trump. Jeff Bezos is watching the entire

0:25:19.240 --> 0:25:22.520
<v Speaker 1>tech community just side and the crypto community are sort

0:25:22.520 --> 0:25:24.760
<v Speaker 1>of both one and the same as decided they've given

0:25:24.840 --> 0:25:27.800
<v Speaker 1>up on Biden, Harris and the Democrats and they're going

0:25:27.960 --> 0:25:33.400
<v Speaker 1>all in with Trump. They know that any policy proposal,

0:25:33.640 --> 0:25:36.560
<v Speaker 1>if you give enough money, is a policy they can

0:25:36.600 --> 0:25:40.359
<v Speaker 1>get enacted. One of those pokes is Elon Musk, who's

0:25:40.400 --> 0:25:47.400
<v Speaker 1>got SpaceX. So Bezos had a choice to make. Now

0:25:47.400 --> 0:25:49.359
<v Speaker 1>he could have sold the Washington Post. But why wouldn't

0:25:49.400 --> 0:25:53.679
<v Speaker 1>he sell the Washington Post Because whoever he sold the

0:25:53.720 --> 0:25:57.879
<v Speaker 1>Washington Post to would likely have kept it a robust

0:25:58.000 --> 0:26:03.359
<v Speaker 1>journalistic organization more like Marty Baron's Washington Post than the

0:26:03.359 --> 0:26:06.800
<v Speaker 1>one whatever version we're going to see over the next

0:26:06.040 --> 0:26:10.600
<v Speaker 1>six months. And it probably would have been heavy on

0:26:10.640 --> 0:26:15.680
<v Speaker 1>accountability of this administration. Some crazy shit's happening every hour

0:26:15.680 --> 0:26:19.680
<v Speaker 1>of every day, and the Washington Post this is who

0:26:19.720 --> 0:26:24.320
<v Speaker 1>they are. In my entire lifetime, right, the Washington Post's

0:26:24.320 --> 0:26:28.280
<v Speaker 1>been a major news look. Essentially, Watergate took the Washington

0:26:28.280 --> 0:26:31.080
<v Speaker 1>Post from being one of two major papers in Washington.

0:26:31.160 --> 0:26:33.320
<v Speaker 1>You had the Washington Star in the Washington Post to

0:26:33.440 --> 0:26:35.840
<v Speaker 1>suddenly being, oh well, there's the New York Times in

0:26:35.880 --> 0:26:39.879
<v Speaker 1>the Washington Post. They went from really good local paper

0:26:41.680 --> 0:26:48.480
<v Speaker 1>to very important national paper. So just about anybody running

0:26:48.480 --> 0:26:50.920
<v Speaker 1>the Post is going to have that as the North Star.

0:26:56.480 --> 0:26:59.800
<v Speaker 1>But if he had sold it, Trump would have blamed

0:27:01.040 --> 0:27:09.000
<v Speaker 1>Bezos still probably still punished him. Made it a little

0:27:09.000 --> 0:27:12.159
<v Speaker 1>bit harder to get those space access to the space

0:27:12.240 --> 0:27:16.520
<v Speaker 1>resources that the government controls lose out in just about

0:27:16.560 --> 0:27:19.040
<v Speaker 1>every competitive bid with SpaceX.

0:27:22.920 --> 0:27:30.040
<v Speaker 2>But if he keeps it, and he makes a few.

0:27:32.280 --> 0:27:39.080
<v Speaker 1>Performative changes, again, it doesn't matter to him whether the

0:27:39.080 --> 0:27:43.240
<v Speaker 1>Post succeeds or fails. We have all established, right Peter

0:27:43.280 --> 0:27:46.280
<v Speaker 1>Baker did a terrific tweet. He's a former Washington poster,

0:27:46.359 --> 0:27:49.280
<v Speaker 1>works at the New York Times, where he noted, And actually,

0:27:49.359 --> 0:27:52.760
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Bezos' wealth has been increasing right this, you know,

0:27:52.880 --> 0:27:55.359
<v Speaker 1>the one hundred million dollars is literally a rounding error

0:27:56.440 --> 0:27:59.520
<v Speaker 1>for Jeff Bezos' network worth. And remember it's networth. This

0:27:59.600 --> 0:28:01.280
<v Speaker 1>is he had to give half of his work to

0:28:01.359 --> 0:28:03.360
<v Speaker 1>his first wife and he still.

0:28:03.119 --> 0:28:04.119
<v Speaker 2>Has this kind of network.

0:28:05.080 --> 0:28:08.280
<v Speaker 1>So it doesn't matter if the Post succeeds or fails.

0:28:08.359 --> 0:28:14.080
<v Speaker 1>What matters is does Blue Origin have access to the

0:28:14.240 --> 0:28:17.240
<v Speaker 1>government space resources? Is ABS going to get all of

0:28:17.240 --> 0:28:24.880
<v Speaker 1>its government contractsnewed by the Pentagon? So yes, Jeff Bezos

0:28:24.880 --> 0:28:28.439
<v Speaker 1>made a business decision, but it was not about the

0:28:28.480 --> 0:28:32.639
<v Speaker 1>business of The Washington Post. The Washington Post is a

0:28:32.720 --> 0:28:41.640
<v Speaker 1>pawn in his gallery that is used to make sure

0:28:41.680 --> 0:28:47.440
<v Speaker 1>the other businesses aren't punished by a very pugilistic president

0:28:49.880 --> 0:28:54.640
<v Speaker 1>who doesn't believe that there should be a free press

0:28:55.800 --> 0:28:58.400
<v Speaker 1>that's there to be critical of him as much as

0:28:59.640 --> 0:29:02.320
<v Speaker 1>is a free press there that can be praiseworthy of

0:29:02.360 --> 0:29:10.840
<v Speaker 1>him if that organization deems it worthy. So I do

0:29:10.880 --> 0:29:13.440
<v Speaker 1>think it's important that I accept the premise that this

0:29:13.560 --> 0:29:15.640
<v Speaker 1>was a business decision. But don't you tell me it's

0:29:15.640 --> 0:29:18.680
<v Speaker 1>about the business of news and information, because if he

0:29:18.760 --> 0:29:21.120
<v Speaker 1>was making that kind of business decision, number one he

0:29:21.120 --> 0:29:24.240
<v Speaker 1>would have sold it, or number two, he would have

0:29:24.280 --> 0:29:29.240
<v Speaker 1>created the Everything information store. Right now, as somebody else

0:29:29.280 --> 0:29:33.800
<v Speaker 1>said to me, you know, it's possible that, you know,

0:29:34.640 --> 0:29:38.720
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Beson is just not that bright, meaning he's really

0:29:38.720 --> 0:29:45.760
<v Speaker 1>good at one thing, building Amazon. There's no evidence at

0:29:45.760 --> 0:29:48.960
<v Speaker 1>Blue Origins any good as a private space company. Yet

0:29:50.360 --> 0:29:54.320
<v Speaker 1>you know he is not you know, look whatever, Elon

0:29:54.440 --> 0:29:57.480
<v Speaker 1>Musk has a lot of character flaws as a human being.

0:29:58.960 --> 0:30:01.240
<v Speaker 1>But the guy's a genius. We know that, all right.

0:30:01.280 --> 0:30:01.640
<v Speaker 2>He is.

0:30:01.760 --> 0:30:03.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, if you're going to tell me, who do

0:30:03.480 --> 0:30:05.880
<v Speaker 1>you want in charge of building a tunnel from LA

0:30:05.960 --> 0:30:10.600
<v Speaker 1>to San Francisco. Yeah, I trust his math before I

0:30:10.680 --> 0:30:14.760
<v Speaker 1>trust anybody else's math. I just don't want Elon Musk

0:30:15.520 --> 0:30:19.120
<v Speaker 1>worrying about culture and society because I think he's a weirdo.

0:30:20.920 --> 0:30:23.600
<v Speaker 1>But even weirdos are geniuses. In fact, a lot of

0:30:23.920 --> 0:30:27.880
<v Speaker 1>geniuses are weirdos. So it's just possible he you know,

0:30:27.920 --> 0:30:31.200
<v Speaker 1>he's just you know, net worth does not a high

0:30:31.280 --> 0:30:35.640
<v Speaker 1>net worth does not always mean high IQ. Donald Trump

0:30:35.680 --> 0:30:38.320
<v Speaker 1>wants to believe that, right. He wants to believe only

0:30:38.400 --> 0:30:42.240
<v Speaker 1>dumb people are poor and all rich people are smart

0:30:42.400 --> 0:30:44.720
<v Speaker 1>because he's rich and he knows he's not very smart,

0:30:44.720 --> 0:30:48.040
<v Speaker 1>but he wants people to think he's smart. So this

0:30:48.200 --> 0:30:52.680
<v Speaker 1>is sort of the paint by numbers perception that way

0:30:52.680 --> 0:30:55.680
<v Speaker 1>too many people in government are practicing these days. And

0:30:55.760 --> 0:30:58.640
<v Speaker 1>I watch it a lot. The deference that gets paid

0:30:58.640 --> 0:31:03.440
<v Speaker 1>to wealthy people in general, but particularly by politicians and

0:31:03.520 --> 0:31:07.200
<v Speaker 1>others is kind of gross when you know they were

0:31:07.200 --> 0:31:09.760
<v Speaker 1>an expert at one thing either they you know a

0:31:09.800 --> 0:31:13.360
<v Speaker 1>lot of times right, I would say about the super

0:31:13.440 --> 0:31:16.600
<v Speaker 1>rich people I've ever been around, about half inherited their

0:31:16.640 --> 0:31:21.000
<v Speaker 1>money and about half, you know, did it because they

0:31:21.000 --> 0:31:27.080
<v Speaker 1>were a part of building a business. But it didn't

0:31:27.120 --> 0:31:29.520
<v Speaker 1>mean they were an expert at that business. It didn't

0:31:29.520 --> 0:31:31.480
<v Speaker 1>automatically mean they were any good at anything else.

0:31:33.680 --> 0:31:35.600
<v Speaker 2>So that is a possibility.

0:31:36.040 --> 0:31:37.600
<v Speaker 1>Because if you were to look at the what the

0:31:37.640 --> 0:31:41.040
<v Speaker 1>Washington Post is deciding to do, it is about the

0:31:41.120 --> 0:31:44.360
<v Speaker 1>dumbest business decision you can do. So let's go back

0:31:44.400 --> 0:31:48.040
<v Speaker 1>to my Matt Murray emails. You could say, I've got

0:31:48.040 --> 0:31:55.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of strong opinions on this. For the immediate future.

0:31:55.000 --> 0:31:58.160
<v Speaker 1>We're going to concentrate on areas that demonstrate authority, distinctiveness,

0:31:58.200 --> 0:32:01.240
<v Speaker 1>and impact and that resonate with readers. Politics, national affairs, people,

0:32:01.240 --> 0:32:03.920
<v Speaker 1>power and trends, National security of DC and abroad. Forces

0:32:03.920 --> 0:32:07.200
<v Speaker 1>shaping the future, including science, health, medicine, technology, climate, and business.

0:32:08.080 --> 0:32:11.000
<v Speaker 1>You know who else has that same north star? Every

0:32:11.040 --> 0:32:15.360
<v Speaker 1>other news organization that cover is in Washington or covers Washington.

0:32:15.400 --> 0:32:18.760
<v Speaker 1>That's Politico's north star. I could argue that's you know,

0:32:18.840 --> 0:32:22.840
<v Speaker 1>punch Bowl probably covers eighty percent of that National journal

0:32:22.920 --> 0:32:25.520
<v Speaker 1>or the Hotline would have said something like that, The

0:32:25.560 --> 0:32:27.720
<v Speaker 1>New York Times coverage of Washington.

0:32:27.360 --> 0:32:28.400
<v Speaker 2>Has that as a north star.

0:32:29.320 --> 0:32:32.600
<v Speaker 1>So what the Washington Post had that none of these

0:32:32.640 --> 0:32:36.400
<v Speaker 1>other news organizations had is they also were the regional

0:32:36.440 --> 0:32:42.280
<v Speaker 1>and local authority, So they had a distinct You know,

0:32:42.680 --> 0:32:48.120
<v Speaker 1>last time I checked, do you want to stand out

0:32:48.480 --> 0:32:50.840
<v Speaker 1>from your competitors or do you want to look very

0:32:50.840 --> 0:32:53.480
<v Speaker 1>similar to your competitors? The Washington Post has made a

0:32:53.520 --> 0:32:58.880
<v Speaker 1>decision to go small and to become more like Politico,

0:32:58.960 --> 0:33:01.280
<v Speaker 1>and the irony is it right? The founders of Political

0:33:01.360 --> 0:33:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Jim Benheid and John Harris left the Post and said, hey,

0:33:05.040 --> 0:33:07.840
<v Speaker 1>they basically say there needs to be you know, the Post,

0:33:07.880 --> 0:33:10.520
<v Speaker 1>and you know, the Post should be focusing more on

0:33:10.600 --> 0:33:14.200
<v Speaker 1>these areas and they could own this area now. Jim

0:33:14.280 --> 0:33:18.120
<v Speaker 1>Benheid John Harris weren't advocating getting rid of sports and

0:33:18.160 --> 0:33:20.400
<v Speaker 1>culture and all of that. What they were arguing is

0:33:20.400 --> 0:33:23.200
<v Speaker 1>that the Post should be more robust, be smarter about

0:33:23.760 --> 0:33:27.280
<v Speaker 1>some of its core authoritative topics, including politics in the

0:33:27.320 --> 0:33:30.520
<v Speaker 1>coverage of Washington. And I've always said that the Washington

0:33:30.560 --> 0:33:34.360
<v Speaker 1>Post for my adult lifetime used to what I used

0:33:34.400 --> 0:33:35.840
<v Speaker 1>to say when I worked at the National Journal in

0:33:35.880 --> 0:33:38.040
<v Speaker 1>the Hotline. He said, boy, the Washington Post lets a

0:33:38.040 --> 0:33:43.120
<v Speaker 1>bunch of us live right, roll call, Politico, National Journal,

0:33:43.440 --> 0:33:48.200
<v Speaker 1>punch Bowl. If the Washington Post chose to get involved

0:33:48.240 --> 0:33:52.160
<v Speaker 1>in any of those areas and become you know, hourly

0:33:52.200 --> 0:33:54.640
<v Speaker 1>authorities on what's happening on Capitol Hill like punch Bowl,

0:33:55.000 --> 0:33:58.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, or daily authorities about what's happening on campaign

0:33:58.120 --> 0:34:03.040
<v Speaker 1>trail like Hotline, or daily and hourly newsletters about all

0:34:03.080 --> 0:34:07.800
<v Speaker 1>sorts of industries in Washington like Politico, they could do it,

0:34:10.600 --> 0:34:13.000
<v Speaker 1>but it would put these others out of business, you know.

0:34:16.719 --> 0:34:20.960
<v Speaker 1>So now the Post wants to retreat and essentially become

0:34:21.840 --> 0:34:25.560
<v Speaker 1>a Washington trade publication that covers the business.

0:34:26.800 --> 0:34:27.480
<v Speaker 2>Of Washington.

0:34:28.880 --> 0:34:33.320
<v Speaker 1>That's Politico, that's Role Call, that's National Journal, that's Bloomberg.

0:34:33.440 --> 0:34:37.200
<v Speaker 1>That's how the New York Times covered all. You get

0:34:37.239 --> 0:34:41.080
<v Speaker 1>my point. So, if this were a business decision about

0:34:41.080 --> 0:34:44.520
<v Speaker 1>positioning The Washington Post in a place to be a

0:34:44.600 --> 0:34:48.040
<v Speaker 1>successful standalone business on its own, this is not what

0:34:48.080 --> 0:34:54.160
<v Speaker 1>you would do. So again, it's a business decision, but

0:34:54.239 --> 0:34:56.279
<v Speaker 1>it had nothing to do with the business of the

0:34:56.320 --> 0:34:59.759
<v Speaker 1>Washington Post. Now I'm going to close on this before

0:34:59.800 --> 0:35:02.640
<v Speaker 1>we get to my conversation with Danny fun about mobile

0:35:02.640 --> 0:35:09.040
<v Speaker 1>gaming and whether this is a if we suddenly put

0:35:09.080 --> 0:35:14.360
<v Speaker 1>a carton of cigarettes, the proverbial cartner cigarettes in the

0:35:14.480 --> 0:35:18.640
<v Speaker 1>hands of every eighteen year old boy in America, I guess,

0:35:18.680 --> 0:35:24.160
<v Speaker 1>twenty one year old boy in America, young man in America.

0:35:26.160 --> 0:35:31.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to confess something I am. I am enthusiastic

0:35:31.680 --> 0:35:36.160
<v Speaker 1>about the future of news and information. I'm enthusiastic about

0:35:36.200 --> 0:35:42.240
<v Speaker 1>independent media because look, I think the I think Jeff

0:35:42.239 --> 0:35:45.759
<v Speaker 1>Bezos here behaved like an evil rich guy stereotype, right,

0:35:46.080 --> 0:35:48.440
<v Speaker 1>couldn't faith when he bought the Washington Post, he couldn't

0:35:48.440 --> 0:35:52.520
<v Speaker 1>wait to be in the newsroom when he absolutely destroys

0:35:52.560 --> 0:35:57.560
<v Speaker 1>the Washington Post. He's meeting with peg Pete Hegseth at

0:35:57.560 --> 0:36:00.960
<v Speaker 1>Blue Origin and his wife hanging out at a Paris

0:36:01.000 --> 0:36:04.160
<v Speaker 1>fashion show. Right, it is a classic, Like, I mean,

0:36:04.360 --> 0:36:07.440
<v Speaker 1>you couldn't script it better, right if you wanted to.

0:36:08.280 --> 0:36:11.239
<v Speaker 1>It is gilded age. Let them eat cake. You can

0:36:11.320 --> 0:36:17.160
<v Speaker 1>pick your metaphor. And I'll tell you I do think

0:36:17.200 --> 0:36:21.279
<v Speaker 1>the pitchforks are out. Bernie Sanders said something interesting, and

0:36:21.360 --> 0:36:23.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, Bernie has a way of taking any issue

0:36:23.239 --> 0:36:26.719
<v Speaker 1>and saying it's about the millionaires and the billionaires. But

0:36:26.760 --> 0:36:28.960
<v Speaker 1>he made an interesting observation about the Epstein files, and

0:36:28.960 --> 0:36:30.680
<v Speaker 1>he says, you know, one of the reasons he thinks

0:36:30.760 --> 0:36:32.839
<v Speaker 1>that there's so much interest in the Epstein files beyond

0:36:32.880 --> 0:36:35.759
<v Speaker 1>the conspiracy theorists. Right, conspiracy theorists love the Epstein files

0:36:35.760 --> 0:36:38.360
<v Speaker 1>for a variety of other reasons. But there's sort of

0:36:38.360 --> 0:36:40.680
<v Speaker 1>there's a next level of interest. Right, there's just a

0:36:41.000 --> 0:36:44.799
<v Speaker 1>it just garneled it, and that is, these fucking rich

0:36:44.840 --> 0:36:47.799
<v Speaker 1>people play by their own set of rules, and look

0:36:47.840 --> 0:36:52.200
<v Speaker 1>at the shit they get away with. And so here's

0:36:52.280 --> 0:36:54.640
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Bezos behaving by a whole other set of rules.

0:36:54.680 --> 0:36:58.480
<v Speaker 1>And I you know, look, I blame myself for assuming

0:36:58.560 --> 0:37:02.640
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Bezos what's more worn than Elon Musk? Right, you know,

0:37:02.719 --> 0:37:04.719
<v Speaker 1>Warren Buffett bought the Omaha World Herald of years ago

0:37:04.760 --> 0:37:06.640
<v Speaker 1>because he wanted a good newspaper to read as he

0:37:06.640 --> 0:37:10.439
<v Speaker 1>stayed in Omaha. And I think I know what I thought.

0:37:10.680 --> 0:37:12.839
<v Speaker 1>I thought, Jeff Bezos sort of raised middle class kid,

0:37:13.080 --> 0:37:16.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, sort of raised in a way that a

0:37:16.280 --> 0:37:19.080
<v Speaker 1>lot of Americans go through, you know, single parent for

0:37:19.120 --> 0:37:22.160
<v Speaker 1>a while, stepfather all, you know, moved around a couple

0:37:22.239 --> 0:37:26.920
<v Speaker 1>of times, sort of lived, had a lived, had a lived,

0:37:27.000 --> 0:37:31.400
<v Speaker 1>working class, middle class ferry experience that maybe may have

0:37:31.560 --> 0:37:35.719
<v Speaker 1>ground him differently than it grounds a guy like Elon Musk,

0:37:35.719 --> 0:37:39.000
<v Speaker 1>who was you know, raised by a weirdo father. And

0:37:39.280 --> 0:37:42.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, or some of these tech guys who are

0:37:42.480 --> 0:37:45.040
<v Speaker 1>all you know, a lot of them are, you know,

0:37:45.280 --> 0:37:48.360
<v Speaker 1>like Bill Gates was you know, his dad had you know,

0:37:50.200 --> 0:37:51.759
<v Speaker 1>he wasn't. I think he was born in second base,

0:37:51.840 --> 0:37:52.399
<v Speaker 1>not third base.

0:37:52.440 --> 0:37:56.880
<v Speaker 2>But you get the drift, right, you get my drift.

0:37:58.120 --> 0:38:02.960
<v Speaker 1>And so I think, you know, I was even impressed

0:38:02.960 --> 0:38:04.960
<v Speaker 1>with how he handled his divorce. Right, he didn't fight

0:38:05.000 --> 0:38:08.920
<v Speaker 1>it half and half, except that the premise that he

0:38:09.000 --> 0:38:14.680
<v Speaker 1>couldn't have built his built Amazon without a spouse. You know,

0:38:14.800 --> 0:38:16.960
<v Speaker 1>perhaps he was the guilty party and he felt like

0:38:17.000 --> 0:38:17.680
<v Speaker 1>he had to just.

0:38:19.080 --> 0:38:27.960
<v Speaker 2>Do it that way. I don't know, but it's interesting.

0:38:28.520 --> 0:38:32.960
<v Speaker 1>It feels like there was one Jeff Bezos that we

0:38:33.040 --> 0:38:35.920
<v Speaker 1>all thought we knew, and then there's the guy who's

0:38:36.120 --> 0:38:40.200
<v Speaker 1>more interested in being in Hollywood, more interested in having

0:38:40.280 --> 0:38:44.800
<v Speaker 1>these you know, weddings in Italy and Europe and having

0:38:44.920 --> 0:38:52.000
<v Speaker 1>all sort of being flashy with his money. Right, it's

0:38:52.040 --> 0:39:02.040
<v Speaker 1>his prerogative, enjoy it, Sure, go ahead, But I don't

0:39:02.080 --> 0:39:07.040
<v Speaker 1>know if you know it is the amount of white

0:39:07.080 --> 0:39:10.720
<v Speaker 1>collar anger that's going to be now coupled with blue

0:39:10.760 --> 0:39:15.359
<v Speaker 1>collar anger. Right if blue collar Americans didn't like Mett

0:39:15.440 --> 0:39:17.120
<v Speaker 1>Romney because he looked like the boss that was going

0:39:17.200 --> 0:39:19.680
<v Speaker 1>to lay them off, and that's why some of these

0:39:19.719 --> 0:39:21.680
<v Speaker 1>guys who may not have liked the skin color of

0:39:21.680 --> 0:39:25.720
<v Speaker 1>Barack Obama but voted for him in twenty twelve, because

0:39:26.080 --> 0:39:27.640
<v Speaker 1>Mett Romney looked like the guy that was going to

0:39:27.719 --> 0:39:32.719
<v Speaker 1>lay him off. Well, now blue collar and white collar

0:39:32.800 --> 0:39:35.240
<v Speaker 1>America are going to be pretty angry at the boss.

0:39:36.600 --> 0:39:40.239
<v Speaker 1>And you know it's it is actions like this that

0:39:40.640 --> 0:39:48.480
<v Speaker 1>I this this sort of moment that's coming, and I think, again,

0:39:49.080 --> 0:39:53.040
<v Speaker 1>I blame myself. I thought I'd bet I've been in

0:39:53.120 --> 0:39:57.560
<v Speaker 1>a few dinners with Jeff bezos side, you know, clearly

0:39:57.560 --> 0:39:59.920
<v Speaker 1>not enough to truly get the measure of the man.

0:40:00.640 --> 0:40:03.480
<v Speaker 1>But he seemed like a pretty smart, well read, sort

0:40:03.520 --> 0:40:12.280
<v Speaker 1>of pragmatic individual. Meaning I thought he could read a room,

0:40:12.400 --> 0:40:13.960
<v Speaker 1>and I don't think any of these tech guys can

0:40:14.000 --> 0:40:17.200
<v Speaker 1>read a room right now. And you know, whether we

0:40:17.280 --> 0:40:20.000
<v Speaker 1>call him a tech guy, he's kind of more of

0:40:20.000 --> 0:40:22.200
<v Speaker 1>an old retail brick and mortar guy that used sort

0:40:22.200 --> 0:40:27.920
<v Speaker 1>of technology to sort of take over the retail market.

0:40:29.400 --> 0:40:31.880
<v Speaker 1>But you know, I don't think this is good politics.

0:40:33.560 --> 0:40:36.840
<v Speaker 1>And the party that associates the most with the wealthiest

0:40:36.840 --> 0:40:39.640
<v Speaker 1>people right now is on the right. You know, it's funny,

0:40:39.680 --> 0:40:42.000
<v Speaker 1>for a period of time, all the rich people, the

0:40:42.080 --> 0:40:45.319
<v Speaker 1>richest people in America seemed to be Obama supporters, right

0:40:45.360 --> 0:40:47.400
<v Speaker 1>They loved Obama, the celebrity of Obama.

0:40:48.840 --> 0:40:50.880
<v Speaker 2>And now they are.

0:40:52.600 --> 0:40:54.719
<v Speaker 1>Whether they don't, maybe they don't like hanging with Trump,

0:40:54.760 --> 0:40:59.520
<v Speaker 1>but they're all paying the price to hang with them.

0:41:00.360 --> 0:41:03.440
<v Speaker 1>But like I said, the good news is the public

0:41:03.719 --> 0:41:06.160
<v Speaker 1>is not going to trust corporate owned media or billionaire

0:41:06.160 --> 0:41:09.480
<v Speaker 1>owned media. They're only going to trust independent media. And

0:41:09.520 --> 0:41:12.920
<v Speaker 1>the good news is there is whether we call it

0:41:13.000 --> 0:41:18.520
<v Speaker 1>DMV today, DMV now, But the appetite, I mean, the

0:41:18.560 --> 0:41:21.600
<v Speaker 1>Anthony Davis trade for the Washington Wizards has not been

0:41:21.640 --> 0:41:24.440
<v Speaker 1>covered by the Washington Post. It broke about three hours

0:41:24.480 --> 0:41:28.160
<v Speaker 1>after the Matt Murray announced the end of the sports department,

0:41:30.239 --> 0:41:32.719
<v Speaker 1>and so I was curious if they'd even like note like,

0:41:32.719 --> 0:41:36.759
<v Speaker 1>this is the biggest trade in Washington Wizards for the

0:41:36.800 --> 0:41:39.759
<v Speaker 1>Washington Wizards, at least since getting rid of Black Bradley Beal,

0:41:39.800 --> 0:41:42.000
<v Speaker 1>and I think bigger than that, maybe not since Chris

0:41:43.080 --> 0:41:50.120
<v Speaker 1>the acquiring Chris Weber. And there's no Washington Sports section

0:41:50.200 --> 0:41:52.480
<v Speaker 1>to cover it. I went over to see if they

0:41:52.520 --> 0:41:56.400
<v Speaker 1>had any updates, maybe just carry a wire story. So

0:41:56.440 --> 0:41:58.600
<v Speaker 1>now in order to call it, you know, I'm going

0:41:58.640 --> 0:42:02.080
<v Speaker 1>to check out. I keep, for no offense to my

0:42:02.120 --> 0:42:04.319
<v Speaker 1>friends at the Washington Times. I keep forgetting that they're

0:42:04.360 --> 0:42:07.439
<v Speaker 1>still doing some sports coverage there, and good for them.

0:42:07.600 --> 0:42:09.880
<v Speaker 1>So I'll check that out, and I'll be checking it

0:42:09.960 --> 0:42:13.240
<v Speaker 1>out more for obvious reasons. I love my local sports teams,

0:42:13.280 --> 0:42:15.640
<v Speaker 1>not all of them, but if you will. But the

0:42:15.680 --> 0:42:18.640
<v Speaker 1>point about sports is This is sports is the community

0:42:18.680 --> 0:42:22.600
<v Speaker 1>glue that builds the trust that gets people to believe

0:42:23.040 --> 0:42:27.279
<v Speaker 1>the hard news that's being reported. So don't tell me

0:42:27.840 --> 0:42:32.520
<v Speaker 1>sports is not worth the investment. What that tells me

0:42:32.560 --> 0:42:34.840
<v Speaker 1>is you have a bunch of newsroom leaders, particularly somebody

0:42:34.840 --> 0:42:38.399
<v Speaker 1>that you're importing in where they don't have you know,

0:42:38.440 --> 0:42:43.560
<v Speaker 1>they they their news organizations. You know, they've never covered

0:42:43.600 --> 0:42:46.480
<v Speaker 1>sports the way our news organizations have. So it is

0:42:46.520 --> 0:42:49.040
<v Speaker 1>a cultural disconnect. And I think will Lewis doesn't fully

0:42:49.120 --> 0:42:53.040
<v Speaker 1>appreciate what he has just done or what he thinks

0:42:53.040 --> 0:43:01.680
<v Speaker 1>he's recommended. But here's what I will say. I don't

0:43:01.719 --> 0:43:04.840
<v Speaker 1>think the Post will recover from this. They may exist,

0:43:05.480 --> 0:43:10.279
<v Speaker 1>just like Newsweek exists, but his newsweek, the newsweek of

0:43:10.320 --> 0:43:15.880
<v Speaker 1>Howard Feinman, of Evan Thomas, we all know it's not.

0:43:17.120 --> 0:43:21.480
<v Speaker 1>It's kind of newsweek in name only. Now, look, there's

0:43:21.520 --> 0:43:24.160
<v Speaker 1>still some good reporters left. The congressional team at the

0:43:24.160 --> 0:43:33.399
<v Speaker 1>Post was fairly untouched. But what's it going to look

0:43:33.400 --> 0:43:36.680
<v Speaker 1>like in a year. And let me just tell you,

0:43:37.600 --> 0:43:40.759
<v Speaker 1>it is going to be fascinating to see what the

0:43:40.760 --> 0:43:42.080
<v Speaker 1>subscriber base looks like.

0:43:43.880 --> 0:43:44.680
<v Speaker 2>In six months.

0:43:46.000 --> 0:43:48.640
<v Speaker 1>They thought they lost a whole bunch of subscribers after

0:43:48.719 --> 0:43:53.520
<v Speaker 1>the bizarre editorial page shakedown, another business decision that it

0:43:53.560 --> 0:43:56.840
<v Speaker 1>was all about space and nothing about the business of

0:43:56.880 --> 0:44:04.440
<v Speaker 1>the Post. They ain't say nothing yet, So rest in peace,

0:44:04.520 --> 0:44:09.640
<v Speaker 1>Washington Post. Maybe the brand will come back, maybe somebody

0:44:09.640 --> 0:44:12.399
<v Speaker 1>else buys it, or maybe we just build something new.

0:44:13.040 --> 0:44:16.920
<v Speaker 2>It's okay. The New York Herald Tribune is no longer here.

0:44:16.800 --> 0:44:20.279
<v Speaker 1>Than the world's okay. The Washington Star is no longer here.

0:44:22.480 --> 0:44:26.879
<v Speaker 1>There's some great journalists looking for work. I am many

0:44:26.920 --> 0:44:29.480
<v Speaker 1>of you know what I'm up to. I've been quiet

0:44:29.560 --> 0:44:33.160
<v Speaker 1>lately about what I'm up to, but I'm I'm getting

0:44:33.200 --> 0:44:35.520
<v Speaker 1>closer to being in a position that hopefully I can

0:44:35.680 --> 0:44:38.479
<v Speaker 1>help contribute to solving this problem in the Washington market

0:44:38.520 --> 0:44:43.840
<v Speaker 1>in particular. So in that sense, thank you Jeff Bezos

0:44:43.840 --> 0:44:46.920
<v Speaker 1>for giving an entrepreneur like myself and a few others

0:44:47.520 --> 0:44:51.840
<v Speaker 1>the opportunity to show that you can do your civic

0:44:51.920 --> 0:44:56.920
<v Speaker 1>duty for your community and also make a dollar or

0:44:56.960 --> 0:45:03.960
<v Speaker 1>two while you're at it. Having good life insurance is

0:45:04.040 --> 0:45:08.040
<v Speaker 1>incredibly important. I know from personal experience. I was sixteen

0:45:08.080 --> 0:45:10.720
<v Speaker 1>when my father passed away. We didn't have any money.

0:45:10.880 --> 0:45:13.279
<v Speaker 1>He didn't leave us in the best shape. My mother,

0:45:13.480 --> 0:45:17.240
<v Speaker 1>single mother, now widow, myself sixteen, trying.

0:45:17.000 --> 0:45:18.680
<v Speaker 2>To figure out how am I going to pay for college?

0:45:19.200 --> 0:45:22.240
<v Speaker 1>And lo and behold, my dad had one life insurance

0:45:22.239 --> 0:45:25.200
<v Speaker 1>policy that we found wasn't a lot, but it was

0:45:25.239 --> 0:45:28.360
<v Speaker 1>important at the time, and it's why I was able

0:45:28.440 --> 0:45:31.800
<v Speaker 1>to go to college. Little did he know how important

0:45:31.800 --> 0:45:33.680
<v Speaker 1>that would be in that moment.

0:45:34.440 --> 0:45:35.160
<v Speaker 2>Well, guess what.

0:45:35.440 --> 0:45:37.920
<v Speaker 1>That's why I am here to tell you about Etho's life.

0:45:38.360 --> 0:45:40.719
<v Speaker 1>They can provide you with peace of mind knowing your

0:45:40.760 --> 0:45:44.040
<v Speaker 1>family is protected even if the worst comes to pass.

0:45:44.440 --> 0:45:47.680
<v Speaker 1>Ethos is an online platform that makes getting life insurance

0:45:47.719 --> 0:45:50.800
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0:45:50.840 --> 0:45:54.359
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0:45:54.480 --> 0:45:58.640
<v Speaker 1>one hundred percent online. There's no medical exam require you

0:45:58.760 --> 0:46:01.239
<v Speaker 1>just answer a few health questions online. You can get

0:46:01.239 --> 0:46:03.000
<v Speaker 1>a quote in as little as ten minutes, and you

0:46:03.040 --> 0:46:06.720
<v Speaker 1>can get same day coverage without ever leaving your home.

0:46:07.440 --> 0:46:09.320
<v Speaker 1>You can get up to three million dollars in coverage,

0:46:09.360 --> 0:46:11.400
<v Speaker 1>and some policies start as low as two dollars a

0:46:11.480 --> 0:46:14.759
<v Speaker 1>day that would be billed monthly. As of March twenty

0:46:14.800 --> 0:46:17.799
<v Speaker 1>twenty five, Business Insider named Ethos the number one no

0:46:17.920 --> 0:46:22.320
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0:46:25.600 --> 0:46:29.880
<v Speaker 1>ethos dot com slash chuck. So again that's Ethos dot

0:46:29.920 --> 0:46:34.520
<v Speaker 1>com slash chuck. Application times may vary and the rates

0:46:34.560 --> 0:46:37.880
<v Speaker 1>themselves may vary as well, but trust me, life insurance

0:46:37.960 --> 0:46:40.640
<v Speaker 1>is something you should really think about it, especially if

0:46:40.680 --> 0:46:48.759
<v Speaker 1>you've got a growing family. All right with that, let

0:46:48.760 --> 0:46:50.520
<v Speaker 1>me give you a few thoughts on the on the

0:46:50.560 --> 0:46:55.640
<v Speaker 1>Super Bowl, Eric, I have my fear is that it's

0:46:55.640 --> 0:46:59.399
<v Speaker 1>a blowout that we're having eighties nineties Super Bowl right

0:47:00.360 --> 0:47:03.080
<v Speaker 1>where the NFC is so much more dominant than the AFC.

0:47:03.760 --> 0:47:07.440
<v Speaker 1>And you know, it was like, you know, whatever AFC

0:47:07.480 --> 0:47:10.640
<v Speaker 1>team sort of hacked their way to the Super Bowl.

0:47:11.239 --> 0:47:14.400
<v Speaker 1>Remember when the San Diego Chargers with Nate Tron means business,

0:47:15.719 --> 0:47:19.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, and they got there and they got kind

0:47:19.120 --> 0:47:22.239
<v Speaker 1>of pummeled by Steve Young's forty nine ers. Right, all

0:47:22.280 --> 0:47:26.200
<v Speaker 1>those Buffalo bill blowouts from the Jim Kelly era. I mean,

0:47:26.320 --> 0:47:30.279
<v Speaker 1>the only team NFC team that didn't they would win

0:47:30.360 --> 0:47:33.520
<v Speaker 1>super Bowls without blowing out the AFC were the Giants, Right.

0:47:33.560 --> 0:47:35.879
<v Speaker 1>You had the Scott Norwood field goal. And then even

0:47:35.920 --> 0:47:38.360
<v Speaker 1>the game against the Broncos. I think that the Giants

0:47:38.360 --> 0:47:40.919
<v Speaker 1>trailed at halftime and then they ended up they ended

0:47:40.960 --> 0:47:43.719
<v Speaker 1>up beating the Broncos for the first Super Bowl for Parcels.

0:47:44.600 --> 0:47:47.879
<v Speaker 1>So I fear we're gonna have one of those games.

0:47:47.920 --> 0:47:48.360
<v Speaker 2>I hope not.

0:47:48.560 --> 0:47:54.200
<v Speaker 1>Right the borings there was, there was nothing that I

0:47:54.239 --> 0:47:57.480
<v Speaker 1>don't know whether super Bowl parties right now, That's that's

0:47:57.480 --> 0:47:59.520
<v Speaker 1>the That's the other question, is a super Bowl party.

0:48:00.719 --> 0:48:02.120
<v Speaker 1>Is it better to be at a super Bowl party

0:48:02.160 --> 0:48:05.040
<v Speaker 1>if the games will blowout? And is it better to

0:48:05.080 --> 0:48:08.160
<v Speaker 1>be at home if the game is close? Right? So

0:48:08.760 --> 0:48:11.600
<v Speaker 1>that's the one upside might be if this is a blowout,

0:48:12.120 --> 0:48:14.400
<v Speaker 1>it makes for socializing at the super Bowl party a

0:48:14.400 --> 0:48:17.120
<v Speaker 1>little bit easier. But there's nothing I hate, you know.

0:48:17.120 --> 0:48:19.319
<v Speaker 1>I love me a good super Bowl party. I've got

0:48:19.320 --> 0:48:22.320
<v Speaker 1>a great We've got some great friends that love to host.

0:48:22.360 --> 0:48:27.960
<v Speaker 1>And but my only small peeve about it is if

0:48:27.960 --> 0:48:30.239
<v Speaker 1>it's a really competitive game, It's like, I don't want

0:48:30.239 --> 0:48:32.680
<v Speaker 1>to be at a party while I'm watching anyway, So

0:48:32.760 --> 0:48:37.280
<v Speaker 1>my fear is that, right. I love the Sam Donald story.

0:48:37.480 --> 0:48:41.640
<v Speaker 1>I still remember Freshman, the freshman at USC who was unbelievable,

0:48:43.160 --> 0:48:45.120
<v Speaker 1>and I have I've not seen him be that good

0:48:45.200 --> 0:48:46.120
<v Speaker 1>until he was a Viking.

0:48:46.239 --> 0:48:46.439
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:48:48.920 --> 0:48:51.160
<v Speaker 1>By the way, what an indictment on the Jets, right

0:48:51.440 --> 0:48:54.239
<v Speaker 1>the Sam Donald redemption Tour. Basically once he left the

0:48:54.320 --> 0:48:58.319
<v Speaker 1>Jets and could get anywhere else, it seemed to over

0:48:58.400 --> 0:49:03.919
<v Speaker 1>time write his mental state memo to young quarterbacks, pray

0:49:03.960 --> 0:49:09.800
<v Speaker 1>you don't get drafted by the New York Jets. My

0:49:09.920 --> 0:49:12.279
<v Speaker 1>gut is also low scoring game because the dirty little

0:49:12.280 --> 0:49:15.200
<v Speaker 1>secret about watching the Seahawks is they don't seem to

0:49:15.400 --> 0:49:20.960
<v Speaker 1>want to put the game in Darnald's hands one hundred right,

0:49:21.000 --> 0:49:22.839
<v Speaker 1>They've had they had a great one two punch, they

0:49:22.840 --> 0:49:25.440
<v Speaker 1>only have one running back obviously that they're they one

0:49:25.480 --> 0:49:27.200
<v Speaker 1>of their two stars there.

0:49:27.239 --> 0:49:29.680
<v Speaker 2>But I mean, he's been a.

0:49:29.560 --> 0:49:35.120
<v Speaker 1>Machine walker the way I mean, I know, I know

0:49:35.200 --> 0:49:40.120
<v Speaker 1>this facing him in fantasy right, and that defense is outstanding.

0:49:42.400 --> 0:49:45.080
<v Speaker 1>Here's what I think about the Patriots. A Mike Vrabel

0:49:45.360 --> 0:49:47.520
<v Speaker 1>Patriots team is not going to get blown out. So

0:49:47.640 --> 0:49:49.960
<v Speaker 1>I do believe that they will muck this game up

0:49:49.960 --> 0:49:54.960
<v Speaker 1>a little bit. So I am I am smelling very

0:49:55.000 --> 0:49:58.919
<v Speaker 1>low scoring. You know, I could see twenty to three,

0:49:59.200 --> 0:50:02.160
<v Speaker 1>I could see sixteen to seven. I could see, you

0:50:02.200 --> 0:50:06.759
<v Speaker 1>know that it could be Seattle's always in control, but

0:50:07.239 --> 0:50:08.800
<v Speaker 1>right they don't seem to pull away.

0:50:10.320 --> 0:50:11.200
<v Speaker 2>Maybe a few more.

0:50:11.080 --> 0:50:15.440
<v Speaker 1>Field goals than touchdowns. The May injury concerns me a

0:50:15.520 --> 0:50:18.239
<v Speaker 1>little bit, you know, nothing like having a shoulder issue there,

0:50:18.280 --> 0:50:21.319
<v Speaker 1>because his great strength is to throw the ball down

0:50:21.360 --> 0:50:23.839
<v Speaker 1>the field a little bit, so you have to ask

0:50:23.880 --> 0:50:27.920
<v Speaker 1>yourself about that. So needless to say, you know, I'm

0:50:28.120 --> 0:50:30.839
<v Speaker 1>If you're going to make me put money, I'm I

0:50:30.920 --> 0:50:34.879
<v Speaker 1>would I'd feel the most comfortable with, particularly a first

0:50:34.920 --> 0:50:39.239
<v Speaker 1>half under and probably the overall as well. And I'd

0:50:39.280 --> 0:50:43.960
<v Speaker 1>be And I think it's Seahawks or nobody for me.

0:50:44.280 --> 0:50:47.400
<v Speaker 1>And like I told you, I I you know, there's

0:50:47.680 --> 0:50:51.560
<v Speaker 1>there's plenty of player props out there, but in some

0:50:51.600 --> 0:50:55.800
<v Speaker 1>ways I do think player props are sort of a

0:50:55.840 --> 0:50:56.640
<v Speaker 1>bigger problem.

0:50:57.000 --> 0:50:57.200
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:50:57.280 --> 0:50:59.840
<v Speaker 1>It's sort of my own more my own small little

0:51:01.080 --> 0:51:04.040
<v Speaker 1>moral line in the sand that I'm drawing on that.

0:51:04.239 --> 0:51:09.919
<v Speaker 2>So enjoy the Super Bowl.

0:51:10.480 --> 0:51:14.000
<v Speaker 1>And you know, I have to say, I'm as you know,

0:51:14.040 --> 0:51:17.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm a huge football fan. It's going to be a

0:51:17.680 --> 0:51:21.120
<v Speaker 1>long five months until the start until the Hurricanes first game,

0:51:22.080 --> 0:51:24.240
<v Speaker 1>which by the way, is Labor Day Friday.

0:51:24.520 --> 0:51:25.479
<v Speaker 2>Get ready so.

0:51:25.440 --> 0:51:30.360
<v Speaker 1>I will not be talking about college football perhaps until

0:51:30.400 --> 0:51:39.480
<v Speaker 1>at least September second or third. The one thing I'm

0:51:39.480 --> 0:51:42.959
<v Speaker 1>going to watch for the advertisements is I am very

0:51:42.960 --> 0:51:48.280
<v Speaker 1>curious what the AI messaging is. Not how many ads

0:51:48.440 --> 0:51:52.160
<v Speaker 1>use AI, but how AI is messaged. Right, remember a

0:51:52.160 --> 0:51:55.160
<v Speaker 1>couple of years ago the Super Bowl is where we

0:51:55.239 --> 0:51:58.480
<v Speaker 1>found out how Crypto is going to market itself. I

0:51:58.520 --> 0:52:01.320
<v Speaker 1>have a feeling right this captive eyeballs we're going to

0:52:01.560 --> 0:52:04.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm very you know, to watch all the different ways

0:52:04.360 --> 0:52:09.440
<v Speaker 1>the AI lean in AI companies are going to communicate.

0:52:09.600 --> 0:52:13.400
<v Speaker 1>I know that's something that I'm intrigued about, curious about,

0:52:13.440 --> 0:52:15.680
<v Speaker 1>and we'll be making a note up. So with that,

0:52:16.200 --> 0:52:18.080
<v Speaker 1>let's do a little last check and then we'll get

0:52:18.080 --> 0:52:22.319
<v Speaker 1>out of here. As Chuck, all right, I got six

0:52:22.320 --> 0:52:25.759
<v Speaker 1>on the screen. I'm going to hit six. That's my goal.

0:52:25.800 --> 0:52:29.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm sticking to it, all right. This question comes from James.

0:52:29.280 --> 0:52:31.880
<v Speaker 1>He says, thanks again for the podcast. Listening from France

0:52:32.080 --> 0:52:34.719
<v Speaker 1>right on helps me think differently about US politics and

0:52:34.760 --> 0:52:38.120
<v Speaker 1>gives me hope. As an institutionalist, I am the king

0:52:38.160 --> 0:52:42.319
<v Speaker 1>of the institutionalists in independent media. You've said Congress has

0:52:42.320 --> 0:52:44.920
<v Speaker 1>lost its incentives to act as a check on presidential power.

0:52:45.000 --> 0:52:47.240
<v Speaker 1>And I wonder if that's partly due to nationalized parties

0:52:47.280 --> 0:52:49.880
<v Speaker 1>expecting members to fall in line behind the president. But

0:52:49.920 --> 0:52:53.040
<v Speaker 1>states still defend their authority across party lines. What incentives

0:52:53.080 --> 0:52:57.480
<v Speaker 1>allow that? And could something similar help Congress reclaim its power. Well,

0:52:58.000 --> 0:53:03.200
<v Speaker 1>so this is where I believe that the fact, you know,

0:53:03.239 --> 0:53:10.600
<v Speaker 1>this is where the power of the primary coupled with

0:53:10.719 --> 0:53:14.319
<v Speaker 1>the power of gerrymandering, coupled with the power of too

0:53:14.320 --> 0:53:17.080
<v Speaker 1>big of congressional districts. Right, So I'm on my hobby

0:53:17.120 --> 0:53:20.839
<v Speaker 1>horse and about that the actual size of the US

0:53:20.840 --> 0:53:24.760
<v Speaker 1>House is way too small and the shrinking, the fact

0:53:24.760 --> 0:53:29.319
<v Speaker 1>that the that the representative democracy is further away from

0:53:29.400 --> 0:53:33.000
<v Speaker 1>the average person. Right, we have one member of Congress

0:53:33.040 --> 0:53:36.560
<v Speaker 1>now per eight hundred thousand people, when in nineteen thirty

0:53:36.600 --> 0:53:39.200
<v Speaker 1>we were one member of Congress per three hundred and

0:53:39.280 --> 0:53:44.120
<v Speaker 1>fifty thousand people. Eight hundred thousands is the size of

0:53:44.120 --> 0:53:47.520
<v Speaker 1>a major city in this country. And you can't tell

0:53:47.520 --> 0:53:49.759
<v Speaker 1>me that is a single community of interest, right. New

0:53:49.840 --> 0:53:52.360
<v Speaker 1>York City is not a single community of interests. Austin,

0:53:52.400 --> 0:53:55.280
<v Speaker 1>Texas is not a single community of interests. Detroit, Michigan

0:53:55.360 --> 0:53:57.240
<v Speaker 1>is not a single community of interests. There are multiple

0:53:57.320 --> 0:54:03.200
<v Speaker 1>communities of interests within said metro area. So this is

0:54:03.200 --> 0:54:05.040
<v Speaker 1>where it's like if you were to ask me, what's

0:54:05.160 --> 0:54:09.759
<v Speaker 1>one reform that could do this, Well, it's getting rid

0:54:09.800 --> 0:54:14.000
<v Speaker 1>of partisan primaries, right if you could empower all voters

0:54:14.040 --> 0:54:16.600
<v Speaker 1>in every congressional district to have more of a say

0:54:16.640 --> 0:54:21.880
<v Speaker 1>on who the representative is. So either you're drawing districts

0:54:21.880 --> 0:54:24.360
<v Speaker 1>to be competitive, which is why I'm always careful not

0:54:24.440 --> 0:54:27.239
<v Speaker 1>to just trash all jerrymandering because in the way we've

0:54:27.280 --> 0:54:29.880
<v Speaker 1>all self sorted as a country, we may need a

0:54:29.960 --> 0:54:34.680
<v Speaker 1>gerrymander to create competition. But you know, you could mandate competition.

0:54:36.320 --> 0:54:38.840
<v Speaker 1>You could mandate the size of the districts. Maybe no

0:54:38.920 --> 0:54:40.719
<v Speaker 1>district can be bigger than point zero three percent of

0:54:40.760 --> 0:54:42.800
<v Speaker 1>the population, which would put it in about one perform

0:54:42.840 --> 0:54:46.319
<v Speaker 1>in two thousand at the moment. And if you did that,

0:54:46.920 --> 0:54:48.920
<v Speaker 1>I think it would do. If we did that, and

0:54:49.440 --> 0:54:55.200
<v Speaker 1>then the gerrymandering doesn't is an impactful. Partisanship gets diluted,

0:54:56.280 --> 0:55:00.719
<v Speaker 1>and I think incentives become more regional and geographic rather

0:55:00.880 --> 0:55:06.799
<v Speaker 1>than partisan. Right now, when you have jerrymandering and partisan primaries,

0:55:07.360 --> 0:55:10.000
<v Speaker 1>it means the head of the party has all sorts

0:55:10.040 --> 0:55:14.320
<v Speaker 1>of outsized influence on the individual member of Congress.

0:55:15.160 --> 0:55:15.680
<v Speaker 2>But if you.

0:55:17.200 --> 0:55:21.320
<v Speaker 1>Have if your power comes from because you're you know,

0:55:21.400 --> 0:55:24.120
<v Speaker 1>the whole of your electorate, well, then the electorate itself

0:55:24.200 --> 0:55:26.640
<v Speaker 1>has more influence on you than the party leader, because

0:55:26.680 --> 0:55:28.600
<v Speaker 1>the party leader can only help you with one part

0:55:28.719 --> 0:55:35.200
<v Speaker 1>of your of your constituency, versus having to answer to everybody.

0:55:35.320 --> 0:55:38.799
<v Speaker 1>So you know, I think we need all three things right.

0:55:39.200 --> 0:55:41.799
<v Speaker 1>Doubling the side of the house right now, it would

0:55:42.640 --> 0:55:45.040
<v Speaker 1>I would want it should just be one perform a

0:55:45.120 --> 0:55:47.040
<v Speaker 1>thousand right now. That would mean doubling the sides of

0:55:47.040 --> 0:55:51.000
<v Speaker 1>the House. That in turn minimizes the impact of jerrymandering.

0:55:51.480 --> 0:55:53.200
<v Speaker 1>And on top of that, I get rid of partisan

0:55:53.239 --> 0:55:57.120
<v Speaker 1>primaries and essentially all party you know, everybody votes, and

0:55:57.880 --> 0:56:00.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, uh for for everybody, the top two whatever

0:56:00.920 --> 0:56:03.320
<v Speaker 1>it is, you do it that way. Doesn't mean parties

0:56:03.400 --> 0:56:06.839
<v Speaker 1>can't endorse, doesn't mean parties won't have preferences of who

0:56:07.000 --> 0:56:10.120
<v Speaker 1>the officially endorsed candidate is, and then they can give

0:56:10.200 --> 0:56:14.600
<v Speaker 1>those resources in a larger in an all voter primary.

0:56:15.320 --> 0:56:17.239
<v Speaker 1>But this is how we elect our mayors, and our

0:56:17.320 --> 0:56:20.880
<v Speaker 1>mayors are the least partisan office holders in America and

0:56:20.960 --> 0:56:24.640
<v Speaker 1>if we're tired of partisanship, that's the path to go.

0:56:26.880 --> 0:56:27.520
<v Speaker 2>Thank you, James.

0:56:29.520 --> 0:56:33.359
<v Speaker 1>Next question boy, another year, European question from another question

0:56:33.440 --> 0:56:36.239
<v Speaker 1>from Europe. It's a sextuary insight insightful analysis that really

0:56:36.239 --> 0:56:38.160
<v Speaker 1>helps me understand you as politics more clearly from a

0:56:38.160 --> 0:56:39.120
<v Speaker 1>European perspective.

0:56:39.360 --> 0:56:40.080
<v Speaker 2>I have two questions.

0:56:40.120 --> 0:56:41.880
<v Speaker 1>How likely is it that the divide between MAGA and

0:56:41.960 --> 0:56:45.680
<v Speaker 1>Liberal America becomes unbridgable and turns violent and our Americans

0:56:45.719 --> 0:56:48.719
<v Speaker 1>even able to protest effectively given how comparatively limited their

0:56:48.760 --> 0:56:52.439
<v Speaker 1>demonstrations seem compared to European protest kind regards Bernard from MEU.

0:56:52.880 --> 0:56:54.920
<v Speaker 1>You know, Fuddy Bernard, I've heard this from some of

0:56:54.960 --> 0:56:57.520
<v Speaker 1>my other European friends, going, how come more people aren't

0:56:57.520 --> 0:57:02.480
<v Speaker 1>in the streets right? My counter on that is, we did,

0:57:02.880 --> 0:57:05.160
<v Speaker 1>we did the streets stuff, and you know, the public

0:57:05.400 --> 0:57:07.400
<v Speaker 1>was in the streets a lot in twenty seventeen. In

0:57:07.480 --> 0:57:12.839
<v Speaker 1>twenty eighteen, I think now it's a bit more concentrated.

0:57:12.880 --> 0:57:17.200
<v Speaker 1>But one one could argue that, you know, those No

0:57:17.400 --> 0:57:21.560
<v Speaker 1>Kings protests keep growing, and we're about to have another one,

0:57:21.600 --> 0:57:24.640
<v Speaker 1>I think, and that's only going to keep growing. So

0:57:25.920 --> 0:57:28.680
<v Speaker 1>and we've seen the demonstrations in Minneapolis have been huge.

0:57:30.560 --> 0:57:33.200
<v Speaker 1>But I understand, I get what you're saying. I think

0:57:34.400 --> 0:57:36.720
<v Speaker 1>what you're saying is it feels like European protests have

0:57:36.800 --> 0:57:40.560
<v Speaker 1>been bigger than about Trump in America than the American.

0:57:40.240 --> 0:57:48.560
<v Speaker 2>Protests about Trump in America. As for the issue of.

0:57:50.160 --> 0:58:00.760
<v Speaker 1>That unbridgeable divide, I am. I'm mostly common this won't

0:58:00.840 --> 0:58:05.640
<v Speaker 1>end with violence, that this era that here's what I

0:58:06.000 --> 0:58:08.480
<v Speaker 1>and I say this, and I don't say it for

0:58:09.360 --> 0:58:12.080
<v Speaker 1>dramatic purposes, but look, we're going to get through this.

0:58:13.680 --> 0:58:15.960
<v Speaker 1>We've been through these periods before.

0:58:16.120 --> 0:58:16.280
<v Speaker 2>Now.

0:58:17.200 --> 0:58:19.440
<v Speaker 1>A lot of people had to die before we got

0:58:19.480 --> 0:58:22.280
<v Speaker 1>through it with the Civil War, a lot of people

0:58:22.720 --> 0:58:27.840
<v Speaker 1>died with our horrible labor laws in the nineteen hundreds

0:58:27.880 --> 0:58:30.919
<v Speaker 1>and the nineteen tens. A lot of people die during

0:58:30.960 --> 0:58:34.560
<v Speaker 1>the Civil rights movement. So the question is how many

0:58:34.600 --> 0:58:37.080
<v Speaker 1>people have to die before we sort of turn the corner.

0:58:38.280 --> 0:58:43.600
<v Speaker 1>How violent it's already violent. We've already had violence right

0:58:43.720 --> 0:58:47.880
<v Speaker 1>January six was pretty violent. We've had two assassination attempts

0:58:47.880 --> 0:58:53.560
<v Speaker 1>on Donald Trump. We've had those assassinations in Minneapolis, first

0:58:53.600 --> 0:58:54.880
<v Speaker 1>of the lawmakers, then.

0:58:59.760 --> 0:59:00.439
<v Speaker 2>The two.

0:59:02.000 --> 0:59:08.800
<v Speaker 1>The two killings by by Ice agents. The question is, so, look,

0:59:09.840 --> 0:59:13.400
<v Speaker 1>we'll get through this? How how much blood has to

0:59:13.440 --> 0:59:19.000
<v Speaker 1>be spilled? Can we get through this without a full

0:59:19.040 --> 0:59:22.920
<v Speaker 1>fledged civil war? And you heard Tim Wilson. Now, I

0:59:23.840 --> 0:59:26.080
<v Speaker 1>I think we don't want to be there, but it

0:59:26.560 --> 0:59:28.760
<v Speaker 1>only takes you know, we are on it. We're in

0:59:28.800 --> 0:59:29.520
<v Speaker 1>a tinder box.

0:59:32.480 --> 0:59:32.640
<v Speaker 2>You know.

0:59:34.120 --> 0:59:36.640
<v Speaker 1>I'll tell you a scenario that I've been very nervous about.

0:59:37.960 --> 0:59:42.640
<v Speaker 1>If things had kept escalating in Minneapolis. Now, Donald Trump

0:59:42.760 --> 0:59:47.680
<v Speaker 1>chose the escalation, so did Tom Holman, right by sending

0:59:47.760 --> 0:59:49.760
<v Speaker 1>Tom omen there. And they're making and some of the

0:59:49.840 --> 0:59:52.440
<v Speaker 1>moves are real, and some of them might be the

0:59:52.760 --> 0:59:56.840
<v Speaker 1>UH for show. But it all is in an attempt

0:59:56.920 --> 1:00:01.440
<v Speaker 1>to de escalate, not escalate. And what it but things escalate?

1:00:01.480 --> 1:00:04.200
<v Speaker 1>It does Tim Walls call in the National Guard? And

1:00:04.280 --> 1:00:09.040
<v Speaker 1>if Tim Walls calls in the National Guard? Does Trump

1:00:09.120 --> 1:00:10.760
<v Speaker 1>then try to federalize that National Guard?

1:00:11.000 --> 1:00:11.800
<v Speaker 2>And who does is?

1:00:12.040 --> 1:00:17.720
<v Speaker 1>Do we see the National Guard and Minneapolis PD shooting

1:00:20.160 --> 1:00:22.080
<v Speaker 1>or being shot at by Ice and vice versa?

1:00:22.440 --> 1:00:22.560
<v Speaker 2>Right?

1:00:23.560 --> 1:00:34.200
<v Speaker 1>So I almost am uncomfortable even articulating that scenario, But

1:00:34.320 --> 1:00:36.520
<v Speaker 1>we have to be honest, right, it's all it's crossed,

1:00:36.800 --> 1:00:41.200
<v Speaker 1>clearly crossed your mind and it's crossed my mind. But

1:00:41.280 --> 1:00:43.720
<v Speaker 1>I don't think these divides are unbridgable. But I do think,

1:00:43.840 --> 1:00:46.960
<v Speaker 1>and I go back to something I've said, and I

1:00:47.040 --> 1:00:48.840
<v Speaker 1>think I've said it here a few times, and I

1:00:48.960 --> 1:00:54.000
<v Speaker 1>certainly say to my speeches, which is, you know what,

1:00:54.160 --> 1:01:00.120
<v Speaker 1>I think the biggest reason why particularly you guys, you

1:01:00.200 --> 1:01:03.960
<v Speaker 1>guys in Europe are struggling. You can't figure out what

1:01:04.000 --> 1:01:06.080
<v Speaker 1>you're seeing here. This looks so un American. Is the

1:01:06.160 --> 1:01:12.640
<v Speaker 1>American the America you're used to was Cold War America. Well,

1:01:13.800 --> 1:01:17.480
<v Speaker 1>Cold War America was an outlier in America. Cold War

1:01:17.560 --> 1:01:20.280
<v Speaker 1>America was the most pragmatic version of America that we had.

1:01:24.000 --> 1:01:24.680
<v Speaker 2>The rest.

1:01:26.200 --> 1:01:32.720
<v Speaker 1>American politics up until nineteen forty, you know, seventeen eighty

1:01:32.840 --> 1:01:36.720
<v Speaker 1>nine right for the Constitution in nineteen forty and American politics,

1:01:38.200 --> 1:01:44.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, from I'm going to go ahead and say

1:01:44.880 --> 1:01:48.240
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and five, two thousand and four to today

1:01:51.200 --> 1:01:58.040
<v Speaker 1>has been very familiar. Our natural state is polarization. We

1:01:58.200 --> 1:02:01.040
<v Speaker 1>make fifty two forty eight, fifty one forty nine decisions.

1:02:02.640 --> 1:02:05.560
<v Speaker 1>We don't make seventy thirty decisions. So there's a lot

1:02:05.640 --> 1:02:07.760
<v Speaker 1>of people that are always going to be in the

1:02:07.800 --> 1:02:14.200
<v Speaker 1>minority when we make decisions as a country. It's not

1:02:14.320 --> 1:02:17.960
<v Speaker 1>lost on me that we had our biggest growth as

1:02:18.000 --> 1:02:24.560
<v Speaker 1>an economic and security power in the Cold War, when

1:02:24.640 --> 1:02:27.680
<v Speaker 1>we were the most pragmatic, when we both parties kept

1:02:27.720 --> 1:02:33.480
<v Speaker 1>their extremes at bay, and you know, we focused on

1:02:33.560 --> 1:02:38.040
<v Speaker 1>the existential threat that was the Soviets and the fear

1:02:38.040 --> 1:02:43.960
<v Speaker 1>of nuclear holocaust, and that kept us sober politically. Then

1:02:44.000 --> 1:02:51.000
<v Speaker 1>that fear went away. So it so, I don't so,

1:02:51.080 --> 1:02:53.600
<v Speaker 1>I guess what I'm saying is the divides have always

1:02:53.640 --> 1:03:00.960
<v Speaker 1>been unbridgable. But it but they but they've been tolerated. Right,

1:03:01.320 --> 1:03:06.760
<v Speaker 1>We tolerate our divides. We accept that we disagree on

1:03:06.920 --> 1:03:08.680
<v Speaker 1>what those divides are, and we kind of muddle through.

1:03:11.640 --> 1:03:12.400
<v Speaker 1>So we'll get there.

1:03:14.800 --> 1:03:18.600
<v Speaker 2>But we've done a ton of damage. And you know,

1:03:18.920 --> 1:03:20.840
<v Speaker 2>I it's going to.

1:03:20.880 --> 1:03:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Take decades to restore the faith of global allies to

1:03:25.480 --> 1:03:29.200
<v Speaker 1>stick by the United States again. We're probably going to

1:03:29.280 --> 1:03:33.400
<v Speaker 1>have to We're probably going to have to go seventy

1:03:33.440 --> 1:03:35.520
<v Speaker 1>percent of the way when all of these relationships for

1:03:35.920 --> 1:03:37.880
<v Speaker 1>a while, when for a long time we only had

1:03:37.920 --> 1:03:41.920
<v Speaker 1>to go thirty percent of the way. And we're going

1:03:42.000 --> 1:03:48.840
<v Speaker 1>to have to have leaders, people that run for president

1:03:48.880 --> 1:03:51.720
<v Speaker 1>that accept the premise of what America is supposed to be.

1:03:51.840 --> 1:03:54.440
<v Speaker 1>And you know, look, this is the first un American

1:03:54.480 --> 1:03:56.800
<v Speaker 1>president we've ever had. He does not believe in the

1:03:56.840 --> 1:04:00.520
<v Speaker 1>story of America. He does not believe that America an idea.

1:04:02.440 --> 1:04:03.240
<v Speaker 1>You know, he doesn't.

1:04:03.440 --> 1:04:03.800
<v Speaker 2>I don't.

1:04:04.920 --> 1:04:06.680
<v Speaker 1>And here's the thing with Trump. It's not that he

1:04:06.760 --> 1:04:08.960
<v Speaker 1>doesn't believe it. I don't think he's really thought about it.

1:04:12.000 --> 1:04:13.960
<v Speaker 1>You know, I think about it all the time. I

1:04:14.360 --> 1:04:16.640
<v Speaker 1>think of every president as a chapter in the story

1:04:16.680 --> 1:04:23.600
<v Speaker 1>of America. He doesn't most of our not most every

1:04:23.760 --> 1:04:27.200
<v Speaker 1>president in my lifetime, and every president for the most

1:04:27.240 --> 1:04:30.560
<v Speaker 1>part that I've read about, believed that a baton was

1:04:30.640 --> 1:04:33.560
<v Speaker 1>passed to them and they were going to be passing

1:04:33.600 --> 1:04:38.000
<v Speaker 1>a baton, and that they were all writing another chapter

1:04:38.080 --> 1:04:41.680
<v Speaker 1>in the story of America. Donald Trump doesn't want a chapter.

1:04:41.920 --> 1:04:43.920
<v Speaker 1>He wants to throw away that book and only have

1:04:44.120 --> 1:04:47.120
<v Speaker 1>a book, the Book of Trump. But he does not

1:04:47.280 --> 1:04:51.080
<v Speaker 1>believe in the You know, I don't think he knows

1:04:51.120 --> 1:04:53.520
<v Speaker 1>what a Federalist paper is. And I promise you he

1:04:53.560 --> 1:04:55.560
<v Speaker 1>hasn't read it all. If he's read one, he didn't

1:04:55.640 --> 1:05:07.760
<v Speaker 1>done it since grade school. Next question comes from got

1:05:07.840 --> 1:05:11.760
<v Speaker 1>somebody from Chicago it's Mike, he said. Some presdident I

1:05:11.760 --> 1:05:14.400
<v Speaker 1>were debating wild scenarios where Trump could serve a third term.

1:05:14.480 --> 1:05:16.400
<v Speaker 1>One theory floated was that if Trump became Speaker of

1:05:16.440 --> 1:05:19.000
<v Speaker 1>the House and the newly elected president and VP resigned,

1:05:19.320 --> 1:05:21.240
<v Speaker 1>he could ascend to the presidency again. I know the

1:05:21.280 --> 1:05:24.280
<v Speaker 1>Constitution bars him from being elected president again, but could

1:05:24.360 --> 1:05:30.120
<v Speaker 1>he legally return via the line of succession. So it's funny.

1:05:30.160 --> 1:05:32.000
<v Speaker 1>The Speaker of the House loophole has always been the

1:05:32.040 --> 1:05:38.440
<v Speaker 1>one I've thought about too. I interviewed Steve Bannon about

1:05:38.440 --> 1:05:41.680
<v Speaker 1>ten months ago and we went through this sould Trump

1:05:41.760 --> 1:05:43.760
<v Speaker 1>twenty eight and he's like, oh, he's going to be

1:05:43.840 --> 1:05:47.200
<v Speaker 1>unbalot And I said, I said, I know you want to.

1:05:47.240 --> 1:05:51.040
<v Speaker 1>I said, constitution bars it. And he says, well, you

1:05:51.200 --> 1:05:55.520
<v Speaker 1>just wait, We've got a path. It's the only one

1:05:55.640 --> 1:06:00.400
<v Speaker 1>I can think of, is that one. I think that's

1:06:00.440 --> 1:06:04.800
<v Speaker 1>the only one. I think it's the you know, it

1:06:04.960 --> 1:06:08.560
<v Speaker 1>fits the description that my friend likes to say, which is,

1:06:08.800 --> 1:06:11.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, our biggest problem with Trump is failure of imagination.

1:06:12.280 --> 1:06:15.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, Donald Trump doesn't spend a lot of time

1:06:15.160 --> 1:06:17.400
<v Speaker 1>thinking about what's the best way to tame the Iranians,

1:06:17.480 --> 1:06:19.080
<v Speaker 1>but he does think a lot of time about all

1:06:19.120 --> 1:06:21.840
<v Speaker 1>the different loopholes that he can exploit.

1:06:21.760 --> 1:06:22.600
<v Speaker 2>In the Constitution.

1:06:23.480 --> 1:06:26.040
<v Speaker 1>When you look at the language of the twenty second Amendment,

1:06:26.560 --> 1:06:30.160
<v Speaker 1>it keeps using the word elected. Right, So that's loophole

1:06:30.560 --> 1:06:33.959
<v Speaker 1>that you've found very well, and I think that that's

1:06:34.000 --> 1:06:39.080
<v Speaker 1>a fair loophole. But the twelfth Amendment is fascinating because

1:06:39.120 --> 1:06:43.080
<v Speaker 1>the wording doesn't have elected in there. It just simply says,

1:06:43.480 --> 1:06:47.080
<v Speaker 1>no person constitutionally ineligible to the office of President shall

1:06:47.200 --> 1:06:50.000
<v Speaker 1>be eligible to that a vice president of the United States,

1:06:51.360 --> 1:06:54.680
<v Speaker 1>and you're ineligible, no person. Let's read the word, no

1:06:54.800 --> 1:06:57.600
<v Speaker 1>person shall be elected to the office of president more

1:06:57.640 --> 1:07:00.360
<v Speaker 1>than twice. And no person who has held the office

1:07:00.360 --> 1:07:03.080
<v Speaker 1>of president or acted as president for more than two

1:07:03.200 --> 1:07:05.720
<v Speaker 1>years of a term to which some other person was

1:07:05.760 --> 1:07:08.000
<v Speaker 1>elected president shall be elected to the office of the

1:07:08.040 --> 1:07:09.560
<v Speaker 1>president more than once.

1:07:12.080 --> 1:07:12.200
<v Speaker 2>Right.

1:07:12.320 --> 1:07:15.640
<v Speaker 1>That's if a vice president takes over and serves less

1:07:15.640 --> 1:07:18.080
<v Speaker 1>than two years of the previous president's term, they can

1:07:18.120 --> 1:07:20.760
<v Speaker 1>still run for two full terms of their own, potentially

1:07:20.800 --> 1:07:26.960
<v Speaker 1>serving ten years. So you know, the word elected matters

1:07:27.000 --> 1:07:32.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot there. Right. You have to assume that Republicans

1:07:32.040 --> 1:07:35.680
<v Speaker 1>win a House majority for this to happen. You have

1:07:35.800 --> 1:07:39.880
<v Speaker 1>to assume that Donald Trump can get all the votes

1:07:39.920 --> 1:07:44.320
<v Speaker 1>he needs to be speaker, so he would still have

1:07:44.400 --> 1:07:48.960
<v Speaker 1>to go through a process right to become speaker. And

1:07:49.320 --> 1:07:53.440
<v Speaker 1>I just, you know, so I think you've identified the

1:07:53.560 --> 1:08:00.200
<v Speaker 1>one loophole where you could claim a fig leaf of

1:08:00.360 --> 1:08:05.920
<v Speaker 1>constitutional legitimacy. But in some ways it reminds me of

1:08:06.600 --> 1:08:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Putin and Medvedev. So Putin decided to become prime minister

1:08:12.800 --> 1:08:16.719
<v Speaker 1>to abide by what was a two term limit in Russia,

1:08:17.120 --> 1:08:18.320
<v Speaker 1>right for president.

1:08:18.840 --> 1:08:19.479
<v Speaker 2>So what does he do?

1:08:20.520 --> 1:08:25.559
<v Speaker 1>He makes the prime minister slot of the more powerful slot.

1:08:27.080 --> 1:08:31.840
<v Speaker 1>He slides in and becomes prime minister. Medvedev becomes the president. Right,

1:08:31.920 --> 1:08:33.720
<v Speaker 1>he's the head of state. But that's really it. It's

1:08:33.760 --> 1:08:36.800
<v Speaker 1>kind of like he weakened the presidency for that period

1:08:36.880 --> 1:08:41.439
<v Speaker 1>of time to sort of how Israel's presidency works. Right,

1:08:41.560 --> 1:08:45.000
<v Speaker 1>the prime minister has all the power, the presidency is

1:08:45.040 --> 1:08:49.000
<v Speaker 1>head of state, a little more ceremonial, a few pieces

1:08:49.040 --> 1:08:53.360
<v Speaker 1>of power, but not a ton. That's what this would

1:08:53.400 --> 1:08:56.920
<v Speaker 1>feel like, right, And I you know, I think you've

1:08:57.000 --> 1:09:01.840
<v Speaker 1>identified the loophole, and I all so believe that attempting

1:09:01.920 --> 1:09:06.000
<v Speaker 1>it it would be impossible. I still think if there's

1:09:06.080 --> 1:09:12.160
<v Speaker 1>going to be a Trump on the ballot, and that's

1:09:12.200 --> 1:09:14.840
<v Speaker 1>the thing, right, Like Republicans would rather have a Trump

1:09:14.880 --> 1:09:18.240
<v Speaker 1>on a ballot than Trumps president, right because they it's

1:09:18.280 --> 1:09:22.200
<v Speaker 1>Trump's voters that they need to get their majorities in Congress,

1:09:22.560 --> 1:09:25.040
<v Speaker 1>and they don't necessarily want to actually work with Trump

1:09:25.760 --> 1:09:28.720
<v Speaker 1>the situation you're outlining, you know, and do they just

1:09:28.880 --> 1:09:32.479
<v Speaker 1>campaign that Trump's going to run for speaker and then

1:09:32.520 --> 1:09:35.840
<v Speaker 1>you make it a referendum on that? Right? But I

1:09:35.960 --> 1:09:41.240
<v Speaker 1>do think you've found the loophole that it in theory

1:09:41.680 --> 1:09:47.639
<v Speaker 1>could be it. I will just say I just don't

1:09:47.680 --> 1:09:49.720
<v Speaker 1>think it could. I don't think he could pull it off.

1:09:49.760 --> 1:09:52.400
<v Speaker 1>And then you know, the actuary tables are going to

1:09:52.439 --> 1:09:54.440
<v Speaker 1>catch up to Donald Trump sooner.

1:09:54.240 --> 1:09:54.680
<v Speaker 2>Than you think.

1:09:55.840 --> 1:09:58.080
<v Speaker 1>Next question comes from Branden and Charlotte. Hey, I really

1:09:58.120 --> 1:09:59.920
<v Speaker 1>enjoy the podcast. Appreciate how you keep us in FUM

1:10:00.240 --> 1:10:02.599
<v Speaker 1>without leaning into full doom and gloom. What are your

1:10:02.600 --> 1:10:05.040
<v Speaker 1>thoughts on the DJ Collecting voter roles and seizing ballot

1:10:05.080 --> 1:10:07.599
<v Speaker 1>boxes in Fulton County, Georgia feels like voter suppression or worse,

1:10:07.920 --> 1:10:09.639
<v Speaker 1>a way to track and target people who didn't vote

1:10:09.640 --> 1:10:12.520
<v Speaker 1>for Trump. Why isn't this getting more attention and how concerned.

1:10:12.160 --> 1:10:12.600
<v Speaker 2>Should we be?

1:10:14.080 --> 1:10:17.280
<v Speaker 1>Well, I think it's getting a decent amount of tension.

1:10:17.320 --> 1:10:19.479
<v Speaker 1>What I don't understand is what they want to do

1:10:19.600 --> 1:10:21.200
<v Speaker 1>with all these voter roles. I think some of this

1:10:21.400 --> 1:10:24.599
<v Speaker 1>has to do with just simply purging roles voter roles,

1:10:25.320 --> 1:10:28.200
<v Speaker 1>and just trying to make it harder. You know, people

1:10:28.200 --> 1:10:29.200
<v Speaker 1>are going to have to reregister.

1:10:30.280 --> 1:10:31.240
<v Speaker 2>I know what I would do.

1:10:31.520 --> 1:10:35.439
<v Speaker 1>If you're concerned that they're messing with your voter registration,

1:10:35.600 --> 1:10:38.439
<v Speaker 1>just go register to vote again. You know it cancels

1:10:38.479 --> 1:10:43.640
<v Speaker 1>out the old registration and just do it again. That

1:10:43.720 --> 1:10:45.720
<v Speaker 1>would be the number one way I'd protect myself on

1:10:45.840 --> 1:10:48.559
<v Speaker 1>this if if I had, if I were a registered

1:10:48.640 --> 1:10:52.320
<v Speaker 1>voter in a state that has agreed to letting the

1:10:52.360 --> 1:10:59.559
<v Speaker 1>Department of Justice have the voter roles. You know, there's

1:10:59.560 --> 1:11:03.920
<v Speaker 1>a part of me that says, call their bluff and say,

1:11:04.120 --> 1:11:06.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, yes, let's let's let's do an audit of

1:11:06.880 --> 1:11:10.040
<v Speaker 1>all the voter roles. Let's set up a special committee,

1:11:10.040 --> 1:11:12.479
<v Speaker 1>and let's explain how it works and explain how each

1:11:12.520 --> 1:11:20.960
<v Speaker 1>state does it. Ultimately, what I think Trump's up to

1:11:21.120 --> 1:11:24.519
<v Speaker 1>is that he just he just wants to keep feeding

1:11:26.920 --> 1:11:32.280
<v Speaker 1>the conspiracy that he's somehow won in twenty twenty, and

1:11:32.640 --> 1:11:38.680
<v Speaker 1>it's he is just so committed to it. I mean,

1:11:38.760 --> 1:11:41.360
<v Speaker 1>I guess it's amazing that he's committed to the bit

1:11:41.520 --> 1:11:45.160
<v Speaker 1>this long, right, but it is sort of I find

1:11:45.200 --> 1:11:48.800
<v Speaker 1>it laughable, except it's so serious, right, what he's trying

1:11:48.840 --> 1:11:53.000
<v Speaker 1>to do in the manipulation of it all. Yeah, I

1:11:53.040 --> 1:11:57.200
<v Speaker 1>think what you're I think the realistic fear we should

1:11:57.240 --> 1:12:00.760
<v Speaker 1>have is is a form of voter suppression, which is

1:12:00.880 --> 1:12:06.200
<v Speaker 1>just purging of voter rolls or using it to you know,

1:12:07.160 --> 1:12:12.479
<v Speaker 1>perhaps the information is given to some nefarious political direct

1:12:12.520 --> 1:12:17.600
<v Speaker 1>mail company to scare those voters from voting. But there

1:12:17.640 --> 1:12:20.800
<v Speaker 1>are other ways to get those voter roles too. But

1:12:20.920 --> 1:12:24.200
<v Speaker 1>that's what that's why, you know. I think the fail

1:12:24.240 --> 1:12:27.000
<v Speaker 1>safe is if you're in one of these states that

1:12:27.200 --> 1:12:31.760
<v Speaker 1>is decided to not care about their Tenth Amendment rights.

1:12:32.720 --> 1:12:34.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm very curious to see what happens with this lawsuit

1:12:34.960 --> 1:12:36.559
<v Speaker 1>from Fulton County with it and see if they get

1:12:36.600 --> 1:12:41.320
<v Speaker 1>their ballots back. If federalism is still in existence, they'll

1:12:41.360 --> 1:12:42.160
<v Speaker 1>get their ballots back.

1:12:45.080 --> 1:12:46.120
<v Speaker 2>But I would.

1:12:47.640 --> 1:12:50.800
<v Speaker 1>I would advocate for, you know, just go run story again,

1:12:53.000 --> 1:12:58.439
<v Speaker 1>give them more voter roles to go through. Next question

1:12:58.520 --> 1:13:00.599
<v Speaker 1>comes from Brian. Hey, I've been a fan works since

1:13:00.640 --> 1:13:02.400
<v Speaker 1>twenty oh seven. All right, thanks for everything you do.

1:13:02.760 --> 1:13:06.240
<v Speaker 1>Maybe I need a refreshment. Our politics usually works what

1:13:06.720 --> 1:13:11.280
<v Speaker 1>as usual anymore? But anyway, but isn't it unusual for

1:13:11.360 --> 1:13:13.080
<v Speaker 1>the out party to get a bill through? How much

1:13:13.120 --> 1:13:15.719
<v Speaker 1>influence should we expect in a situation like this? Best bride?

1:13:16.000 --> 1:13:22.280
<v Speaker 1>One hundred percent? Now, I'll say this. Traditionally, when a

1:13:22.479 --> 1:13:28.519
<v Speaker 1>president gets shellacked in a midterm George W. Bush oh six,

1:13:29.320 --> 1:13:33.000
<v Speaker 1>Barack Obama twenty ten and twenty fourteen, Bill Clinton nineteen

1:13:33.040 --> 1:13:40.280
<v Speaker 1>ninety four, they've wanted to prove that, particularly Obama twenty

1:13:40.360 --> 1:13:44.599
<v Speaker 1>ten and Clinton ninety four, because they had their own

1:13:44.720 --> 1:13:48.200
<v Speaker 1>real storry about that. Hey, all right, we can go

1:13:48.360 --> 1:13:50.320
<v Speaker 1>I can govern with the other side. Let me show

1:13:50.320 --> 1:13:51.679
<v Speaker 1>you how I can govern with the other side.

1:13:51.840 --> 1:13:52.240
<v Speaker 2>And there's you.

1:13:52.560 --> 1:13:54.880
<v Speaker 1>And by the way, the new majority. Usually it's in

1:13:54.960 --> 1:13:57.320
<v Speaker 1>their interest to prove because a lot of them won

1:13:57.400 --> 1:13:59.160
<v Speaker 1>by saying, look, I'll work with Trump where I can,

1:13:59.320 --> 1:14:00.760
<v Speaker 1>or you know, I'll work with Obama where I can,

1:14:00.840 --> 1:14:07.560
<v Speaker 1>et cetera, et cetera. So so bad, there might be

1:14:08.080 --> 1:14:10.800
<v Speaker 1>a few a few things here or there. Maybe it's

1:14:10.840 --> 1:14:14.599
<v Speaker 1>on healthcare subsidies. I mean, Trump's such a political chameleon, right,

1:14:14.640 --> 1:14:18.920
<v Speaker 1>he has no ideology, and if you know, it all

1:14:18.960 --> 1:14:25.200
<v Speaker 1>depends on how much the Democrats want to want to

1:14:25.560 --> 1:14:30.439
<v Speaker 1>allow Trump to come along for the ride, you know,

1:14:30.720 --> 1:14:33.760
<v Speaker 1>or do they want instead to prepare for twenty twenty

1:14:33.800 --> 1:14:38.200
<v Speaker 1>eight in twenty twenty nine, right, and you and you

1:14:38.360 --> 1:14:40.960
<v Speaker 1>actually pass bills that are designed to be vetoed.

1:14:41.960 --> 1:14:43.120
<v Speaker 2>So I think there are two ways.

1:14:43.160 --> 1:14:46.160
<v Speaker 1>If Democrats get control of Congress, of what you know,

1:14:46.439 --> 1:14:49.200
<v Speaker 1>you find a few things you can work on, particularly affordability,

1:14:49.320 --> 1:14:52.360
<v Speaker 1>maybe something on electricity. You know, there's going to be

1:14:52.479 --> 1:14:54.920
<v Speaker 1>things that you should You got your budgets and things

1:14:55.000 --> 1:14:58.760
<v Speaker 1>like that. But I might argue that if you're if

1:14:58.800 --> 1:15:03.840
<v Speaker 1>you're trying, you know that you pass some bills and

1:15:03.920 --> 1:15:06.120
<v Speaker 1>you dare him to veto it. Now, the question is

1:15:06.160 --> 1:15:08.760
<v Speaker 1>what if he doesn't. And this is Trump, you never know.

1:15:10.160 --> 1:15:15.200
<v Speaker 1>How much do you attempt to work with him? I

1:15:15.280 --> 1:15:17.840
<v Speaker 1>think it depends on how you got elected. I think

1:15:17.880 --> 1:15:21.360
<v Speaker 1>some people got elected to say we've got to eradicate

1:15:21.439 --> 1:15:24.640
<v Speaker 1>Trump from politics, and some people will get elected by

1:15:24.960 --> 1:15:27.880
<v Speaker 1>promising those swing voters, look, they're you know, I'm not

1:15:27.920 --> 1:15:29.840
<v Speaker 1>going to throw out every idea just because Trump came

1:15:29.920 --> 1:15:37.599
<v Speaker 1>up with it. But I do think when you look

1:15:37.680 --> 1:15:44.120
<v Speaker 1>at you know, there was some affordability bills, that some

1:15:44.280 --> 1:15:48.200
<v Speaker 1>economic stimulus that the Democrats passed in O seven that

1:15:48.320 --> 1:15:53.920
<v Speaker 1>George W. Bush signed. There was certainly welfare reform that

1:15:54.040 --> 1:15:59.160
<v Speaker 1>Republicans passed that bill Clinton signed. So and we like,

1:15:59.320 --> 1:16:03.800
<v Speaker 1>I go back to there's no greater political chameleon than

1:16:03.840 --> 1:16:08.639
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump. And you know, there's always this one instinct

1:16:08.680 --> 1:16:11.120
<v Speaker 1>of his like, look at what he did, was how

1:16:11.200 --> 1:16:14.040
<v Speaker 1>he was with mom Donnie. Oh, Mom Donnie won by you.

1:16:14.160 --> 1:16:17.800
<v Speaker 1>You know, he likes to be associated with winners, and

1:16:17.960 --> 1:16:20.559
<v Speaker 1>he may deem especially if it's a blowout. He may

1:16:21.200 --> 1:16:23.439
<v Speaker 1>want to show that there are some things he's because

1:16:23.439 --> 1:16:25.400
<v Speaker 1>that means some of his voters voted for the Democrats.

1:16:27.320 --> 1:16:33.400
<v Speaker 1>So I wouldn't don't I wouldn't assume. I wouldn't assume

1:16:33.439 --> 1:16:36.080
<v Speaker 1>it's that it's going to be nothing but messaging bills

1:16:36.560 --> 1:16:39.800
<v Speaker 1>if Democrats win full control of Congress in working with Trump.

1:16:41.680 --> 1:16:43.200
<v Speaker 1>All right, I'm going to have two more questions here

1:16:43.240 --> 1:16:46.479
<v Speaker 1>and this will be I will empty my my cue

1:16:47.120 --> 1:16:50.720
<v Speaker 1>four this week, Hey, Chuck, Anthony from La here, long time,

1:16:50.760 --> 1:16:52.880
<v Speaker 1>first time quick question. If the Senate ends up split,

1:16:52.960 --> 1:16:55.720
<v Speaker 1>say forty eight Republicans, forty eight Democrats and four independents,

1:16:56.000 --> 1:16:58.400
<v Speaker 1>who are the independence By the way, how is majority

1:16:58.520 --> 1:17:01.040
<v Speaker 1>controlled determined? Do Independence have to declare caucus and can

1:17:01.120 --> 1:17:02.920
<v Speaker 1>they switch at any time? Could that lead to the

1:17:02.960 --> 1:17:05.439
<v Speaker 1>majority leadership changing hands? Thanks for turning me into a

1:17:05.479 --> 1:17:09.560
<v Speaker 1>college football fan last year, Anthony right on. Perhaps the

1:17:11.040 --> 1:17:14.240
<v Speaker 1>the conferences ESPN or Fox can give me a kickback

1:17:14.280 --> 1:17:18.880
<v Speaker 1>for for bringing bringing another fan into the full well.

1:17:20.000 --> 1:17:24.840
<v Speaker 1>The independents also vote on who which who which party

1:17:24.880 --> 1:17:29.960
<v Speaker 1>should organize. Now some of that stuff's usually negotiated, you know,

1:17:30.080 --> 1:17:33.320
<v Speaker 1>behind the scenes. Now, who are your four independents? Right?

1:17:33.760 --> 1:17:35.759
<v Speaker 1>I think Lisa Murkowski is up for grabs?

1:17:37.080 --> 1:17:37.240
<v Speaker 2>Right?

1:17:37.320 --> 1:17:42.360
<v Speaker 1>I think Lisa Murkowski if if if her vote is

1:17:42.439 --> 1:17:46.280
<v Speaker 1>the difference between the Democrats having full control of Congress

1:17:46.960 --> 1:17:50.599
<v Speaker 1>and organizing with them, right, if they are a seat short,

1:17:51.760 --> 1:17:58.000
<v Speaker 1>does Murkowski become you know, and do Democrats offer her,

1:18:00.760 --> 1:18:04.920
<v Speaker 1>say energy and natural resources in exchange for coming over?

1:18:05.040 --> 1:18:09.400
<v Speaker 1>So the Independence in theory have some leverage here if

1:18:09.439 --> 1:18:11.719
<v Speaker 1>they choose to use it. Right, you know, I've always

1:18:11.720 --> 1:18:13.599
<v Speaker 1>had this dream that the four to six of them

1:18:13.640 --> 1:18:16.880
<v Speaker 1>in there would be independence and they would always vote

1:18:16.880 --> 1:18:20.600
<v Speaker 1>in a block right each time and maybe maybe they

1:18:20.640 --> 1:18:25.680
<v Speaker 1>would agree, okay, for calendar year twenty twenty seven, Democrats

1:18:25.720 --> 1:18:28.680
<v Speaker 1>are in charge for calendar year twenty twenty eight, Republicans.

1:18:28.240 --> 1:18:28.920
<v Speaker 2>Or whatever it is.

1:18:30.120 --> 1:18:35.439
<v Speaker 1>But ultimately it's it's you know, if it's one of

1:18:35.479 --> 1:18:39.120
<v Speaker 1>those where you know, we had it when we had

1:18:39.160 --> 1:18:42.000
<v Speaker 1>a fifty to fifty Senate with Dick Cheney as the tiebreaker,

1:18:42.080 --> 1:18:45.120
<v Speaker 1>when George W. Bush came into office, and then Jim

1:18:45.200 --> 1:18:48.320
<v Speaker 1>Jefferts decided to leave the Republican Party become an independent

1:18:48.360 --> 1:18:50.880
<v Speaker 1>and caucus with the Democrats, and the minute he did that,

1:18:51.439 --> 1:18:53.320
<v Speaker 1>it went from a fifty to fifty Senate to a

1:18:53.360 --> 1:18:56.879
<v Speaker 1>fifty one to forty nine Senate and the Democrats had control.

1:18:57.880 --> 1:19:02.920
<v Speaker 1>So that's how works, right, And yes, it can be

1:19:03.080 --> 1:19:03.639
<v Speaker 1>that fickle.

1:19:04.439 --> 1:19:04.600
<v Speaker 2>You know.

1:19:04.760 --> 1:19:07.800
<v Speaker 1>Jefferts just said, ask screw it, I'm out now. I

1:19:07.840 --> 1:19:10.080
<v Speaker 1>think there was a lobbying campaign by Dashel that Harry

1:19:10.160 --> 1:19:12.400
<v Speaker 1>Reid and all of that stuff that was taking place.

1:19:13.600 --> 1:19:15.560
<v Speaker 1>You know, Jeffers was the most liberal Republican in the

1:19:15.600 --> 1:19:19.400
<v Speaker 1>Senate at the time, right, Barack Obama got on inspector

1:19:19.439 --> 1:19:22.559
<v Speaker 1>to flip to become the sixtieth Democrat for a small

1:19:22.600 --> 1:19:27.679
<v Speaker 1>period of time until the Scott Brown election. So yeah,

1:19:29.479 --> 1:19:33.000
<v Speaker 1>in theory, majority can change hands mid term. Wheat, Like

1:19:33.080 --> 1:19:35.439
<v Speaker 1>I said, it happened in my lifetime in twenty oh

1:19:35.479 --> 1:19:43.240
<v Speaker 1>one with Vermont Senator Jim Jeffers. Last question comes from

1:19:43.280 --> 1:19:47.559
<v Speaker 1>Nelson H and New Orleans, Louisiana. I love the podcast.

1:19:47.600 --> 1:19:50.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm calling my shot. If James Talerico wins the Democratic

1:19:50.080 --> 1:19:53.000
<v Speaker 1>primary upsets John Cornyn, I'm getting the vibe that his

1:19:53.080 --> 1:19:55.200
<v Speaker 1>timing could be perfect to catch fire, just like Barack

1:19:55.200 --> 1:19:57.439
<v Speaker 1>Obama did in twenty eight. Sure it probably won't happen,

1:19:57.479 --> 1:19:59.439
<v Speaker 1>but think about it. As we all say, history doesn't

1:19:59.439 --> 1:20:01.439
<v Speaker 1>repeat itself, but it sure does. Rhyme all the best

1:20:01.479 --> 1:20:04.720
<v Speaker 1>and ghost saints spelled of course with the French do.

1:20:06.400 --> 1:20:11.599
<v Speaker 1>I am a believer of the following that the most

1:20:11.800 --> 1:20:14.680
<v Speaker 1>likely Democratic nominee in twenty eight is somebody we're not

1:20:14.840 --> 1:20:19.719
<v Speaker 1>talking about today. I have floated Tall Rico as that idea.

1:20:19.880 --> 1:20:22.320
<v Speaker 1>Now I will say this, I think he's This was

1:20:22.360 --> 1:20:28.280
<v Speaker 1>a bad week for tall Rico's politics, right this story

1:20:28.600 --> 1:20:34.040
<v Speaker 1>about how he referred according to an influencer, Tall Rico

1:20:34.280 --> 1:20:38.840
<v Speaker 1>referred to Colin Allred as a mediocre black man versus

1:20:39.040 --> 1:20:45.080
<v Speaker 1>Jasmine Crockett, a talented black woman, and that phrase really

1:20:45.200 --> 1:20:48.599
<v Speaker 1>took off on social media. Colin Allred certainly took offense

1:20:48.640 --> 1:20:52.240
<v Speaker 1>to it, understandably, So now there was no recording, it

1:20:52.360 --> 1:20:57.920
<v Speaker 1>wasn't clear what was what I found interesting to pick

1:20:58.000 --> 1:21:00.640
<v Speaker 1>a word was tall. Rico never did I'd saying it

1:21:01.320 --> 1:21:05.559
<v Speaker 1>and basically confessed to saying something like it. And then

1:21:05.840 --> 1:21:08.760
<v Speaker 1>because when you're doing the that isn't what I meant

1:21:08.800 --> 1:21:12.080
<v Speaker 1>to say, that's code for.

1:21:12.400 --> 1:21:14.439
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I probably was a little loose.

1:21:15.000 --> 1:21:16.680
<v Speaker 1>Now you've thought he was off the record, but hey,

1:21:18.600 --> 1:21:24.439
<v Speaker 1>if you're not assuming, you know I do. The only

1:21:24.560 --> 1:21:26.680
<v Speaker 1>time I assume I'm not being quoted is when I'm

1:21:26.720 --> 1:21:29.880
<v Speaker 1>in a private home with my close friends or in

1:21:30.080 --> 1:21:34.759
<v Speaker 1>my house. I am very careful in public. I assume

1:21:35.560 --> 1:21:38.000
<v Speaker 1>when people say anything to me that it's very possible

1:21:38.000 --> 1:21:41.600
<v Speaker 1>they're recording that they could be used, you know, in

1:21:41.720 --> 1:21:46.479
<v Speaker 1>social media, for better or for worse. Right, So I

1:21:46.600 --> 1:21:49.840
<v Speaker 1>am a big milk toaster. When you come and see

1:21:49.920 --> 1:21:53.519
<v Speaker 1>me in public. It's sort of in sort of you know,

1:21:53.640 --> 1:22:01.320
<v Speaker 1>unofficial venues. So so I think it's he's I think

1:22:01.360 --> 1:22:05.160
<v Speaker 1>it's done some damage. And you know, I'm not one

1:22:05.240 --> 1:22:07.920
<v Speaker 1>hundred percent convinced. Colin all Redwood have Endorseddasman Crockett, but

1:22:08.040 --> 1:22:16.720
<v Speaker 1>he is now and he's all in now. So but

1:22:17.880 --> 1:22:20.479
<v Speaker 1>where your head is at is where my head's at.

1:22:21.439 --> 1:22:24.760
<v Speaker 1>So another name I throw out there, Molly McMorrow, Right,

1:22:24.880 --> 1:22:27.599
<v Speaker 1>I think she's somebody who are already went viral once

1:22:27.640 --> 1:22:30.000
<v Speaker 1>when she was a state legislator. She's now decided to

1:22:30.080 --> 1:22:34.439
<v Speaker 1>run for US Senate. She's I think she's going to

1:22:34.439 --> 1:22:38.360
<v Speaker 1>be the goldilocks candidate that Democratic primary, right, Hanley Stevens

1:22:38.360 --> 1:22:40.720
<v Speaker 1>is going to seem to establishment Abdul say it, it

1:22:40.800 --> 1:22:42.479
<v Speaker 1>might seem too progressive. She's going to be the one

1:22:42.520 --> 1:22:44.840
<v Speaker 1>that seems to bridge. That's certainly the race she's trying

1:22:44.880 --> 1:22:48.200
<v Speaker 1>to run. And it's probably going to work just because

1:22:48.240 --> 1:22:52.000
<v Speaker 1>of how defined I think Stevens and I'll say it

1:22:52.280 --> 1:23:00.719
<v Speaker 1>are becoming maybe Rob saying getting elected governor of Iowa

1:23:03.800 --> 1:23:07.240
<v Speaker 1>if some Democrat pulls a statewide upset in the Deep South,

1:23:07.320 --> 1:23:10.200
<v Speaker 1>in any race. Right, the point is is that I

1:23:10.479 --> 1:23:14.360
<v Speaker 1>think it's just as likely. I'm with you, remember better

1:23:14.439 --> 1:23:17.960
<v Speaker 1>O'Rourke was considered a major presidential candidate. He didn't even

1:23:18.040 --> 1:23:22.519
<v Speaker 1>win in twenty eighteen, and within six months of losing,

1:23:22.680 --> 1:23:25.519
<v Speaker 1>he's considered one of the front runners for the nomination

1:23:26.640 --> 1:23:29.080
<v Speaker 1>because of how close he came to defeating Ted Cruz

1:23:29.120 --> 1:23:33.639
<v Speaker 1>in twenty eighteen. So the Democratic Party's history is they're

1:23:33.920 --> 1:23:37.360
<v Speaker 1>likely more likely to go with the new, freshest face

1:23:37.479 --> 1:23:41.519
<v Speaker 1>they can find Pete Bootage. Look, without the intervention of

1:23:41.600 --> 1:23:44.960
<v Speaker 1>Jim Clyburn and COVID, I will go to my grave,

1:23:45.040 --> 1:23:47.880
<v Speaker 1>believe in bodhajj and Sanders have a fight to the convention,

1:23:48.280 --> 1:23:51.200
<v Speaker 1>and I think Pete wins the convention fight, but it's close.

1:23:52.240 --> 1:23:54.400
<v Speaker 2>But you know, and that's a.

1:23:54.439 --> 1:23:59.400
<v Speaker 1>World without COVID essentially, and in a world that Iowa

1:24:00.240 --> 1:24:03.479
<v Speaker 1>the Caucuses correctly and gave Pete his correct victory there

1:24:03.520 --> 1:24:07.080
<v Speaker 1>in Iowa. But either way, the point was this former

1:24:07.160 --> 1:24:09.800
<v Speaker 1>mayor of South Bend, who lost a race for d

1:24:09.920 --> 1:24:12.040
<v Speaker 1>n C chair suddenly is one of the front runners

1:24:12.040 --> 1:24:17.080
<v Speaker 1>for the Democratic nomination. Right the Democratic Party, an unknown

1:24:17.160 --> 1:24:20.080
<v Speaker 1>governor from Georgia ends up the Democratic nominee. A lesser

1:24:20.160 --> 1:24:23.680
<v Speaker 1>known governor of Arkansas ends up the Democratic A guy

1:24:23.720 --> 1:24:27.920
<v Speaker 1>who was state senator in six years before he ever

1:24:28.040 --> 1:24:30.599
<v Speaker 1>ran for president ends up the nominee in Barack Obama.

1:24:32.520 --> 1:24:34.680
<v Speaker 1>The history of the Democratic Party is when they and

1:24:35.120 --> 1:24:39.479
<v Speaker 1>here's another fact in this recent era, when they go

1:24:39.720 --> 1:24:42.960
<v Speaker 1>with first time candidates, the new candidate, they're more likely

1:24:43.040 --> 1:24:45.080
<v Speaker 1>to win. When they go with people that have been

1:24:45.120 --> 1:24:50.000
<v Speaker 1>around a while, they're more likely to lose. Al Gore,

1:24:50.880 --> 1:24:57.799
<v Speaker 1>John Kerry, Joe Hillary Clinton, sitting Vice President, Kamala Harris.

1:24:58.080 --> 1:24:59.680
<v Speaker 2>Right, Biden was an.

1:24:59.600 --> 1:25:03.559
<v Speaker 1>Outline, an unusual you know, in a normal primary process,

1:25:03.680 --> 1:25:06.720
<v Speaker 1>Joe Biden never wins that primary. Right, it was a

1:25:07.000 --> 1:25:11.960
<v Speaker 1>he was an accidental primary winner because of the circumstances

1:25:13.439 --> 1:25:21.080
<v Speaker 1>of of Covid and Clyburn, and that nomination was looking

1:25:21.120 --> 1:25:24.800
<v Speaker 1>a lot more like seventy six with beat Boodaget's Jimmy

1:25:24.840 --> 1:25:31.960
<v Speaker 1>Carter parallels, or even a bit ninety two with Bill Clinton,

1:25:32.280 --> 1:25:33.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, having to go all the way to the

1:25:33.760 --> 1:25:41.080
<v Speaker 1>convention and keep beating back Jerry Brown. So I don't

1:25:41.120 --> 1:25:47.720
<v Speaker 1>think you're off kilter here. I like I said, let's

1:25:47.760 --> 1:25:50.479
<v Speaker 1>see how taal Rico manages this first crisis of his

1:25:50.600 --> 1:25:53.920
<v Speaker 1>political career. And I'll tell you this. I you know,

1:25:54.120 --> 1:25:58.280
<v Speaker 1>I was I was more pro tol Rico as a

1:25:58.320 --> 1:26:02.240
<v Speaker 1>potential dark horse if he'd run for governor then running

1:26:02.240 --> 1:26:02.719
<v Speaker 1>for Senate.

1:26:03.479 --> 1:26:04.360
<v Speaker 2>I do think that.

1:26:06.200 --> 1:26:08.720
<v Speaker 1>He's going to I think he'd have made it more

1:26:09.320 --> 1:26:10.920
<v Speaker 1>because I think he could have run and lost for

1:26:11.000 --> 1:26:13.760
<v Speaker 1>governor but kept it close and still preserved sort of

1:26:13.840 --> 1:26:17.840
<v Speaker 1>a future. I think this Senate seat right, especially if

1:26:17.920 --> 1:26:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Kakeet past the primary. But I just think it's the

1:26:20.600 --> 1:26:23.360
<v Speaker 1>wrong position. I think he had a serving in Austin

1:26:23.479 --> 1:26:26.599
<v Speaker 1>in the Texas State legislature. I just thought his issues

1:26:27.000 --> 1:26:29.720
<v Speaker 1>that he was that Abbott would have been a better

1:26:29.800 --> 1:26:34.120
<v Speaker 1>foil for him, and it would have been a It

1:26:34.160 --> 1:26:36.680
<v Speaker 1>would have been better for the party, better for the

1:26:36.720 --> 1:26:39.320
<v Speaker 1>future of Texas Democrats. But he's trying to take a

1:26:39.360 --> 1:26:43.280
<v Speaker 1>short cut. He has too many consultants, I think whispering

1:26:43.360 --> 1:26:46.639
<v Speaker 1>sweet presidential nothing's in his ear and saying, hey, senate's

1:26:46.640 --> 1:26:47.439
<v Speaker 1>an easier road.

1:26:48.760 --> 1:26:52.120
<v Speaker 2>Okay, good luck with that.

1:26:54.280 --> 1:26:58.120
<v Speaker 1>But I like your thinking, Nelson, because history backs up

1:26:58.160 --> 1:27:01.800
<v Speaker 1>your prediction whether it's him. The point is, if you're

1:27:01.800 --> 1:27:05.679
<v Speaker 1>going to close this off into gambling terms, go find

1:27:05.760 --> 1:27:08.720
<v Speaker 1>the twelve to fifteen to twenty to one shot. Right

1:27:08.760 --> 1:27:11.439
<v Speaker 1>now in the Democratic primary, they're more likely to be

1:27:11.520 --> 1:27:18.479
<v Speaker 1>the nominee than one somebody who's run before, and two

1:27:20.200 --> 1:27:27.439
<v Speaker 1>somebody who had national name recognition ten years earlier.

1:27:29.640 --> 1:27:31.439
<v Speaker 2>How are that? Enjoy your weekend.

1:27:32.280 --> 1:27:37.759
<v Speaker 1>I hope nothing crazy happens that I see you before Monday,

1:27:38.360 --> 1:27:42.479
<v Speaker 1>but if not, hey, that's the beauty of being in

1:27:42.600 --> 1:27:43.080
<v Speaker 1>this world.

1:27:43.200 --> 1:27:46.080
<v Speaker 2>We can pop in and quickly jump on something. But

1:27:46.320 --> 1:27:49.080
<v Speaker 2>if not, for that, I'll see it Monday. Joy the

1:27:49.120 --> 1:27:49.519
<v Speaker 2>super Bowl