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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast podcasts.

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Speaker 2: If you are even remotely a savage, you'll run these

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Speaker 2: people over for a second. Hello and welcome to the

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Speaker 2: Action Network podcast presented by VEDAMGM. I'm Shan Zerlo, joined

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Speaker 2: today by former professional fighter Billy Ward to help you

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Speaker 2: break down. You have c Atlantic City going live at

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Speaker 2: Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City on Saturday Night fourteen fight

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Speaker 2: card prelumit at seven main card six fights at ten

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Speaker 2: pm Eastern. The main event a woman's flyweight bout Aaron Blanchfield,

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Speaker 2: New Jersey's own Aeron Blanchfield, Bergen County's own Aeron Blanchefield

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Speaker 2: and Men Fiorro Women's Flyway title eliminator six fight Wedding

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Speaker 2: Street for both women. Great fight in this division and

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Speaker 2: potentially the future trampion may come out of this fight.

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Speaker 2: Line is blown out a little bit. Blanch Shield was

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Speaker 2: closer to a sixty percent favorite minus one fifty earlier

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Speaker 2: in the week. It has blown out post heer to

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Speaker 2: minus one eighty five as high as minus two hundred

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Speaker 2: with Fiorro a route plus one sixty on the comeback.

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Speaker 3: I think blank Shield is a better live bet. Got

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Speaker 3: a pre fight bet.

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Speaker 2: I think if you're going to take either fight or

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Speaker 2: pre fight, I would probably take Fiorro just because I.

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Speaker 3: Think she is the striking advantage.

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Speaker 2: She is the better striker, the more powerful striker in

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Speaker 2: this matchup, but also I think she has more front

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Speaker 2: loaded success here potentially been puts Blandfield away earlier, but

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Speaker 2: as this fight extends, I think blanch Shield is going

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Speaker 2: to have a bit more success. She's not a bad

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Speaker 2: striker in her striking is improving, but I do think

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Speaker 2: she's going to be at a disadvantage. I think Fiora

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Speaker 2: is going to be landing the more powerful shots, but

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Speaker 2: blanch Shield has all the grappling upside of this fight,

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Speaker 2: even though it's actually possible Fiorro can land some takedowns

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Speaker 2: of her own. She's really nice judo, She's landed takedowns

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Speaker 2: in the past. She's really strong, and I think she

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Speaker 2: may have a strike advantage. Blanchfield has excellent top pressure,

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Speaker 2: and once she does get on top of opponents, it's

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Speaker 2: basically the end of the round, if not the fight,

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Speaker 2: and that's very uncommon to see in lighter weight classes,

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Speaker 2: in women's flyweight and any division that is really one

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Speaker 2: hundred and forty five pounds one hundred and thirty five

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Speaker 2: pounds or lower. It's very difficult to stay on top

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Speaker 2: of your opponent and keep them down once you actually

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Speaker 2: land that takedown. But Aaron Blanchfield is really strong, has

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Speaker 2: excellent top pressure. Once she does get her opponents down.

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Speaker 2: As I said, it's either the round or the fight

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Speaker 2: in her favor. So a fairly binary matchup, not a

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Speaker 2: complete binary matchup, because I do think either can be

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Speaker 2: competitive where the other one is stronger. I think Fiora

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Speaker 2: can survive off of her back. I think Blanchfield can

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Speaker 2: stay competitive in the striking until she's able to mix

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Speaker 2: it up and land the takedowns. In terms of my

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Speaker 2: bet for this fight, as I said, I kind of.

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Speaker 3: Like Fiora pre fight.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to wait and live, but Blanchefield after rounds

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Speaker 2: one or rounds two. Fiora is actually the one with

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Speaker 2: five round experience, and I guess it's possible that if

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Speaker 2: Blanchfield is going for those takedowns and not getting them,

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Speaker 2: she may gas herself out. But she does have the

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Speaker 2: kind of building and fighting style that I like to

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Speaker 2: see for fighters and entering their first main event. She's younger,

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Speaker 2: she's in a smaller away class. I don't think the

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Speaker 2: cardio is going to be an issue, and I do

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Speaker 2: think given now that early stylistics play out, you may

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Speaker 2: get a better live price utter after rounds one or two,

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Speaker 2: so Blanchfield live. And then additionally, I like this fight

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Speaker 2: to go longer. I like to go to a decision.

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Speaker 2: Women's flyweight bouts reach a decision at a sixty one

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Speaker 2: percent clip now that is all fights, including three round

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Speaker 2: fights and five round fights. But generally speaking, I do

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Speaker 2: think that this total is slightly mispriced. I have this

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Speaker 2: fight going new decision closer to fifty five sixty percent

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Speaker 2: of the time, and they're basically giving even money in

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Speaker 2: a pick them price for the over four and a

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Speaker 2: half rounds, getting plus money on the fight to go

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Speaker 2: to a decision. So Blanchefield live the over for me.

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Speaker 2: That's how I'm betting Saturday's main event. Billy, I know

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Speaker 2: you get in on Blanchfield earlier in the week. Don't

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Speaker 2: like the price as much at current odds, But how

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Speaker 2: do you break this one from a technical person propective?

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Speaker 2: And is there a side that you like a current

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Speaker 2: odds that you would play.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, one of the things that pushed me

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Speaker 4: to make them Blanchfield bad is if you watch your

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Speaker 4: last fight against Tyler Santos, she didn't land a single

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Speaker 4: takedown and still was fairly dominant in that fight. Santos

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Speaker 4: is nowhere near the striker that Fere is. So I'm

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Speaker 4: not calling that an apples to apples comparison. But we've

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Speaker 4: seen really big improvements to the striking from Blanchfield, and

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Speaker 4: you can say the same thing about Fuor with the grappling.

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Speaker 4: I believe she's now a brown belt in jiu jitsu.

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Speaker 4: She's worked her way up, but there's levels to this.

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Speaker 4: Like Blanchfield is not just a black belt. She got

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Speaker 4: her black belt at twenty, been doing jiu jitsu since

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Speaker 4: she was seven. Like, this is a lifetime grappler who's

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Speaker 4: really really good at it. And yeah, you alluded to it.

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Speaker 4: I put it in my luck ratings. I got her

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Speaker 4: around minus one sixty. I think you can justify that

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Speaker 4: despite their very similar resumes. I actually think Blanchfield has

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Speaker 4: more stoppage upside here. You know, she has a knockout

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Speaker 4: or two on her record. One of those is standing

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Speaker 4: headkick over a future UFC fighter, Victoria Leonardo. I see

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Speaker 4: more knockout upside from Blandfield than I see submission upside

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Speaker 4: from Fuoro. Then they both have their own strengths where

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Speaker 4: that is. But yeah, you know, current lines minus one

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Speaker 4: ninety as high as minus two hundred. Don't think I

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Speaker 4: would take that right now. I guess, you know, gun

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Speaker 4: to my head. If I had to make a pre

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Speaker 4: fight bet, that would probably be it. But I totally

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Speaker 4: agree with you on the live line. I think there's

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Speaker 4: a very good shot even if you get it back

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Speaker 4: to that minus one fifty minus one sixty on Blanchfield

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Speaker 4: in her style you alluded to, you know, getting the

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Speaker 4: top pressure and stay in there. Fiora is going to

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Speaker 4: be working really hard from the bottom to get up

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Speaker 4: off her back. Blanchfield can kind of coast a little bit,

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Speaker 4: win some rounds from top position, save some energy, and

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Speaker 4: then that builds a little bit later. So definitely think

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Speaker 4: she's a better live bet. I'm a little bit worried

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Speaker 4: about the judging here. We've almost seen fighters penalized for

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Speaker 4: getting takedowns if they don't do a ton with it.

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Speaker 4: If this fight worth three four years ago, where a

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Speaker 4: takedown just instantly earned you around, I bet Blanchfield to

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Speaker 4: like minus two to fifty. Now, you know, we got

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Speaker 4: to be a little bit smarter with it, just knowing

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Speaker 4: that grapplers don't get rewarded on the scorecards the way

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Speaker 4: that they used to, which leads us to the live opportunities.

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Speaker 2: Aaron is pretty active at the ground of pounds. I'm

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Speaker 2: not as worried about her potentially getting screwed in a

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Speaker 2: close decision where she's landing more takedowns. I just think

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Speaker 2: Fioro is more powerful and she's going to land the

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Speaker 2: more damaging strike. So that's that's where it could come in,

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Speaker 2: is you know they spend two and a half minutes

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Speaker 2: on the feet, Fierro lands the more damaging shots, Aaron

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Speaker 2: takes her down in the final minute of the round,

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Speaker 2: ends the round on top, and you're like, I think

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Speaker 2: she won that round, but.

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Speaker 3: Maybe it's a toss up against the judge.

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Speaker 2: It's just the nature of MMA scoring in twenty twenty

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Speaker 2: four why we do tend to lead towards underdogs and

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Speaker 2: fights that are likelier to go to a decision. However,

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Speaker 2: this one, as you said, fifty to go to a decision,

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Speaker 2: and Erin probably has more finishing upside in terms of

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Speaker 2: how I handicapped the winning methods. I basically give eron

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Speaker 2: fifty percent chance of winning inside the distance, fifty percent

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Speaker 2: chance of winning by decision. I think for Fiuro, I

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Speaker 2: put it at seventy thirty decision versus finish, and basically

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Speaker 2: twenty percent of it by knockouts. So yes, Aaron does

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Speaker 2: have more finish equity and potentially more dominant decision equity

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Speaker 2: too if she's just able to hold top.

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Speaker 3: Position for extended stretches. Let's move on to our fight

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Speaker 3: of the night.

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Speaker 2: The featured prilim Men's featherweight back between Jamal Embers and

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Speaker 2: Nate the Train Land where Emmer's around minus one seventy

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Speaker 2: five Land where plus one forty five on the comeback,

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Speaker 2: and Nate the Train is always in the Fight of

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Speaker 2: the night, so we had to feature a mirror even

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Speaker 2: though neither of us had had a particularly strong take

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Speaker 2: on this fight. Just want to talk about Nate the

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Speaker 2: Train because you should go back and watch all Landwor

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Speaker 2: fights that you can find. They're always award, they're always fun.

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Speaker 2: He's taking a lot of damage throughout his career due

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Speaker 2: to his fighting style, and I do worry about potentially

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Speaker 2: declining physicality as he enters his late thirties. This is

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Speaker 2: a guy who was a college track athlete, word over

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Speaker 2: to Russia, fought and I won, global, fought a lot

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Speaker 2: of really tough Russians before he ever came over to

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Speaker 2: the UFC, and then has been in a number of

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Speaker 2: wars in the UFC, and he never goes away. He

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Speaker 2: gets knocked down, he gets up, he keeps fighting. Now

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Speaker 2: sometimes the ref stops in when he gets knocked down

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Speaker 2: in that first round and he isn't able to keep going.

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Speaker 2: But if the ref doesn't stop it, Nate Lanmware will

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Speaker 2: eventually work his way back into the fight. So I

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Speaker 2: do think Jamal Emmers is a more technical fighter, the

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Speaker 2: more well rounded fighter, the better athlete.

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Speaker 3: But in terms of heart.

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Speaker 2: And willingness, the fight pass round one. I think Nate

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Speaker 2: Lamore has this all day. So landmar live after round

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Speaker 2: one is probably the best entry point for me. I

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Speaker 2: think he's probably gonna get hurt in round one and

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Speaker 2: then may potentially rally down the stretch. I also like

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Speaker 2: Land where by decision a little bit of plus four

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Speaker 2: to ten projected that line closer to plus three forty five,

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Speaker 2: So maybe worth a poke on Land where rallying to

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Speaker 2: a decision victory as well. Billy any Firmer takes on

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Speaker 2: this potential banger for review.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't even want to say land Where Live

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Speaker 4: after round one? It's land Where Live as soon as

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Speaker 4: you see him get knocked down, Like that's gonna be

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Speaker 4: in the best prices. I hate betting live, you know,

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Speaker 4: on during rounds on UFC fights, because there's a tate

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Speaker 4: delay whatever, but it's probably gonna happen, so you kind

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Speaker 4: of got to be quick on the trigger. This is

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Speaker 4: an interesting one though, because you know, you pointed out

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Speaker 4: land Where's declining, physicality is getting older. AMers is not

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Speaker 4: much younger. He's like within a year and age. He

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Speaker 4: had that for an acl when he just hung out

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Speaker 4: in a heel hook against Pat Sabatini, which you've always

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Speaker 4: talked about how bad fight ACU that was, which is

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Speaker 4: part of the issue. You know, love the toughness, but

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Speaker 4: be tough when you're in a choke, not when you're

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Speaker 4: in a heel hook. You know, like this is. I

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Speaker 4: do think his explosiveness has rebounded a little bit. You know,

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Speaker 4: the first fight after there, he looked a little bit slower,

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Speaker 4: had the split decision against Jack Jenkins kind of had

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Speaker 4: some moments I thought he won the fight, even though

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Speaker 4: I got big on Jack Jenkins. Now without the gambling blinders,

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Speaker 4: I definitely think I should have got the decision. And

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Speaker 4: then you know, fifty second knockout in his last fight

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Speaker 4: against Dennis Pazuka, who we'll talk about later. He's an

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Speaker 4: explosive guy. I don't know how well that tracks laid

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Speaker 4: into a fight, which further lends to the live bet angle.

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Speaker 4: So I'm going to take a little bit of a

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Speaker 4: sprinkle on Emmerson round one. You can get his highest

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Speaker 4: plus six hundred. I think he's good to knock land

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Speaker 4: where out. It's when he's fresh, it's when he's got

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Speaker 4: the power. Land Ward has been knocked down in two

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Speaker 4: of his last three fights, neither of them ended in

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Speaker 4: a knockout because partially the rest, partially just his heart,

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Speaker 4: you know a lot of factors. And then on the

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Speaker 4: land where side, if you're looking for free bet option,

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Speaker 4: actually like his submission prop at plus eleven hundred. I

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Speaker 4: think two of his last three wins have been submissions.

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Speaker 4: I really like how he attacks like front headlocks stuff

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Speaker 4: in that series with his chokes because He's not sacrificing position.

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Speaker 4: He's not going to his back to try to pull

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Speaker 4: a guillotine or an armbar. He's working from a dominant

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Speaker 4: position while also trying to set up submissions. I'm a tall,

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Speaker 4: long guy, you know, tends to stick his knock out there.

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Speaker 4: I'mers will shoot for some takedowns here and there too.

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Speaker 4: I could see, you know, i'mer's getting tired of taking

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Speaker 4: a bad shot, leaving his knock out there and put

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Speaker 4: himself right where Landber wants him. So just that's too

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Speaker 4: long of an odds or too long of a line

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Speaker 4: based on how I think he's likely to win this one.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, the live bet is obviously like priority number one. Now,

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Speaker 4: I'm just gonna make a couple sprinkles on these method

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Speaker 4: of victory props, more for fun than because I think

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Speaker 4: they're a massive edge. But I do think there's an

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Speaker 4: endle on both.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Landmar is the cardio advantage he typically

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Speaker 2: does against most of his opponents, as he said, for

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Speaker 2: a trackl athlete, but also just Emmer's right a que mistakes.

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Speaker 2: Maybe he hurts land where and then shoots for her

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Speaker 2: takedown and keeps him in the fight. You know, that's

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Speaker 2: my biggest pet peeve of MMA is when fighters have

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Speaker 2: their opponents hurt and then switch to double leg takedown

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Speaker 2: and allow him.

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Speaker 3: Time to recover.

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Speaker 2: And Emers could do that, he could gas himself out

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Speaker 2: trying to finish and allow Nate to get back into

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Speaker 2: the fight. So there's a lot of ways that this

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Speaker 2: plays out where em makes a fight a key mistake

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Speaker 2: and let's land where come in the back door? But yes, agree,

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Speaker 2: Emmer's probably the pre fight side round one. That's an

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Speaker 2: interesting prop. At six to one. I think that is

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Speaker 2: probably a large part of his wing condition, especially relative

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Speaker 2: to a minus one seventy five.

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Speaker 3: So interesting look there.

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Speaker 4: Looking it up right now. As stats, Emmer's lands about

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Speaker 4: two takedowns per fifteen minutes at a forty percent accuracy, right,

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Speaker 4: which means attempts about five takedowns per fight, doesn't get

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Speaker 4: most of them. Like that really sets up the specific

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Speaker 4: style of grappling that Landwear likes. So to your point,

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Speaker 4: by the fight, IQ might do it when he hears Landwear,

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Speaker 4: might do it when he gets hurt, might do it

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Speaker 4: just because he thinks that's a better way to win.

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Speaker 4: So there's there's some openings there for sure.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I could absolutely see him gett dars. Do you

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Speaker 2: find that, you know, watching fights that you see that

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Speaker 2: front headlock open a lot or you know those those

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Speaker 2: front chokes, those front headlock series of chokes open a lot,

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Speaker 2: and fighters just don't go for them because it's not.

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Speaker 3: Part of their game plan.

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Speaker 2: Are you like screaming at your TV often for them

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Speaker 2: to grab the neck because it seems like it's open

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Speaker 2: more than it is. Is That's something that bothers you

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Speaker 2: when you watch fights.

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Speaker 4: Not particularly because they are hard to fit unless you're

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Speaker 4: significantly longer than your opponent. You just need so much

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Speaker 4: reach to connect through on that. And also you kind

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Speaker 4: of need your opponent to take a bad shot and

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Speaker 4: leave their arms out there. Like when you learn to grapple,

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Speaker 4: one of the first things is you shoot with your

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Speaker 4: elbows in which kind of prevents that because you're a

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Speaker 4: fister in the way, especially with MMA glove. So there's

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Speaker 4: definitely openings. I like when guys go for it. I'm

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Speaker 4: gonna talk about Petrowski later, who's fairly good at that series,

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Speaker 4: just because, unlike a lot of submissions, when you don't

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Speaker 4: get it, you're still typically in at least a decent

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Speaker 4: spot where fighters like the one that drives me crazy

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Speaker 4: is from that front headlock roll for a guillotine. It's

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Speaker 4: super low percentage and then when you don't get it,

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Speaker 4: you're on your back. I'm losing. So it's we saw

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Speaker 4: a poya as coach screaming at him, stop trying the guillotine,

297
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Speaker 4: stop trying the gullotine, and you couldn't help it. That

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Speaker 4: one drives me crazy. The front headlocks should probably see

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Speaker 4: a little bit more, but only for the reason that

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Speaker 4: it would prevent you from rolling to your back on

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Speaker 4: a guillotine.

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Speaker 2: Let's talk about Andre Petrowski, your favorite underdog in the

303
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Speaker 2: card in middleway about with the Australian Jacob Malcun. Malcundy

304
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Speaker 2: a jiu jitsu coach for Robert Whitaker and really kind

305
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Speaker 2: of a one trick pony. He runs the pipe on everybody,

306
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Speaker 2: gets the single like take down and he hits it

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Speaker 2: against everybody, and it doesn't matter how good agrappol you are.

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Speaker 2: Brendan Allen he hit it seven times against uh. He

309
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Speaker 2: just has his move and he hits it and he

310
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Speaker 2: has a really good top pressure. Once he gets top

311
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Speaker 2: on top of you, and is able to keep opponents

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Speaker 2: on their back for extendard stretchers. I think he's the

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Speaker 2: better striker than Andre Petrowski. I think he has better

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Speaker 2: cardio than Andre Petrotski. I think the wrestling exchange is

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Speaker 2: gonna be very interesting, and I'm sure that's where you

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Speaker 2: see Petrotsky potentially catching him in something. So you like

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Speaker 2: Petrosky a big dog money, tell me what?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, A couple of reasons. I mean, first is the resume.

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Speaker 4: Petroski is five and one in the UFC. His only

320
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Speaker 4: loss he took on like a week's notice against Michelle

321
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Speaker 4: Peire Malcoun was officially three and three. He should be

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Speaker 4: four and two. That was a horrible dq against Cody

323
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Speaker 4: Brundage that would have been his only UFC finish. He

324
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Speaker 4: fought Nick Maximov, who is down to one leg like

325
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Speaker 4: Maximov towards ACL in the first round. Couldn't put them away.

326
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Speaker 4: And he struggled against other wrestlers, you know, he fought

327
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Speaker 4: Phil Hawes, got knocked out, Brendan Allen, lost a decision.

328
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Speaker 4: Petrotski wrestled d one at North Carolina, and he's also

329
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Speaker 4: extremely high level submission guy. So I think most of

330
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Speaker 4: the finishing upside goes to Petroski even on the feet.

331
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Speaker 4: I think he's the more powerful striker. Malcun is definitely

332
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Speaker 4: the more technical striker. He actually started as a boxer,

333
00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,760
Speaker 4: I believe, before becoming a grappler and then a grappler coach.

334
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Speaker 4: I think this is a classic one where malcoun is

335
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Speaker 4: going to win minutes, but Petroski is going to have

336
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Speaker 4: so many opportunities for big moments that he's likelier to

337
00:14:28,800 --> 00:14:32,120
Speaker 4: get it. And Petroski is just considerably a better athlete,

338
00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:34,920
Speaker 4: like Malcoun just looks like a random, like chubby purple

339
00:14:34,920 --> 00:14:36,800
Speaker 4: belt at every BJJ jam. Like if you walk to

340
00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:38,920
Speaker 4: my gym right now, you see three dudes that look

341
00:14:39,160 --> 00:14:43,040
Speaker 4: just like Jacob Malcun physic and athleticism wise, Petrotski is

342
00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:44,960
Speaker 4: not that right, Like he looks like a guy who

343
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Speaker 4: wrestled Division I in college. I agree with you on

344
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Speaker 4: the cardio. That's my biggest concern with Petrowski. Big strong guy,

345
00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:54,320
Speaker 4: throws heavy punches, attempts explosive techdowns, you know, dives for

346
00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:58,240
Speaker 4: submissions aggressively. None of those things help your cardio. But

347
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Speaker 4: he shouldn't be a two to one underdog profile and

348
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Speaker 4: then if he comes out and looks good round one,

349
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Speaker 4: round two and doesn't get the finish, you might be

350
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Speaker 4: able to get Malcouon at two to one odds live

351
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Speaker 4: at some point. So if you look the Malcoon side,

352
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Speaker 4: I think you either play him like by decision late

353
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Speaker 4: props or live. I'm hoping that I can get Malcoon

354
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Speaker 4: live at two to one. There's nothing I'd like more

355
00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:17,960
Speaker 4: than to have a two to one ticket on both

356
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Speaker 4: fighters at some point in this fight and make money

357
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Speaker 4: no matter how it goes. So that's how I'm approaching it.

358
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Speaker 4: I just think Petrotski clearly more finishing upside, clearly more

359
00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:29,280
Speaker 4: round one, probably round two upside. He's gonna get picked

360
00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:31,040
Speaker 4: apart a little bit on the feet before he gets

361
00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:34,880
Speaker 4: the takedown, but his wrestling is considerably better, jiu jitsu

362
00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:38,360
Speaker 4: is at worst close, and the athleticism. I'll go towards Petrowski.

363
00:15:39,400 --> 00:15:42,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like Malcoon, but as you said, Billy, I

364
00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:44,920
Speaker 2: prefer to wait live after round one or I think

365
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Speaker 2: pre fight i'd look to take his decision prop where

366
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Speaker 2: i'd take round three or by decision. I think that's

367
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Speaker 2: the likeliest way he finishes, just by nature of PETROSSI

368
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Speaker 2: gasking Malcoon being on top, but you know, even when

369
00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:59,080
Speaker 2: his opponents are tired and he's on them for twelve minutes,

370
00:15:59,400 --> 00:16:02,160
Speaker 2: Malcoun does really leverage up and go for big finishes.

371
00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:06,840
Speaker 2: He's very much prioritizing that control, that pressure, that top position.

372
00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:09,400
Speaker 2: So malcoum by decision, I think is an interesting look.

373
00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:11,440
Speaker 2: I'm not sure you're going to get a better live

374
00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:13,200
Speaker 2: price on him after round one if he lands that

375
00:16:13,240 --> 00:16:15,480
Speaker 2: takedown and spends the round on top, obviously it's only

376
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Speaker 2: gonna blow out further. But malcoun decision, I think is

377
00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:20,680
Speaker 2: the way I'd play that pre fight. Don't hate the

378
00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:23,360
Speaker 2: look Petrowski's money line, just because the price on the

379
00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:24,600
Speaker 2: money line does seem a little wide.

380
00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:27,200
Speaker 4: Go ahead. He's not going to keep a fresh Petrosky

381
00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:29,440
Speaker 4: down like these guys with the wrestling background. He's not

382
00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:31,160
Speaker 4: going to just lay there on his back and let

383
00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:33,840
Speaker 4: that happen. Hope he might get stuck down there once

384
00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:36,800
Speaker 4: he's tired, but I don't see Petrowski getting held down early.

385
00:16:36,920 --> 00:16:39,760
Speaker 4: So I do I would bet a significant amount of

386
00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:41,200
Speaker 4: money that there's going to be a better price on

387
00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:44,000
Speaker 4: Malcom live at some point. I don't know when it's

388
00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:46,560
Speaker 4: going to be unless he gets finished early. But that's

389
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Speaker 4: the one. Just you gotta like d one wrestlers are

390
00:16:48,640 --> 00:16:50,480
Speaker 4: a different breed guys. If you've never rolled with one

391
00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:52,560
Speaker 4: or done any of that, Like, you got to be

392
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Speaker 4: an extraordinary athlete and highly tech and collect your sport.

393
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Speaker 4: And these guys, they hit the ground their right back up.

394
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Speaker 4: We've never really seen Petrowski held down by anyone, so

395
00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,760
Speaker 4: that I'm not worried about until, of course, he gases out,

396
00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:06,080
Speaker 4: which is probably gonna happen. Yeah.

397
00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:07,800
Speaker 2: I mean, the more times you have to pop up,

398
00:17:07,840 --> 00:17:10,159
Speaker 2: the worse it's going to get. So may even you know,

399
00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:13,119
Speaker 2: be a disadvantage having to keep getting back up right

400
00:17:13,200 --> 00:17:15,359
Speaker 2: at some point. We do have a consensus underdog on

401
00:17:15,359 --> 00:17:18,479
Speaker 2: this car though that we like the opponent ended up

402
00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:20,560
Speaker 2: making weight, which may be a bit of a surprise

403
00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:23,560
Speaker 2: but doesn't necessarily change either of our handicaps. I don't

404
00:17:23,560 --> 00:17:26,040
Speaker 2: believe Reese McKee at about plus one twenty plus one

405
00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:30,200
Speaker 2: fifteen against Katy and Jikwane edge quandity the much better striker.

406
00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:35,000
Speaker 2: Former pro kickboxer, very technical but declining physically. He's been

407
00:17:35,040 --> 00:17:37,960
Speaker 2: finished in two of his past three fights. And today

408
00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:39,600
Speaker 2: he made one hundred and seventy pounds for the first

409
00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:41,800
Speaker 2: time since twenty sixteen, and the last time he tried

410
00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:43,600
Speaker 2: to make one hundred and seventeen pounds one hundred and

411
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Speaker 2: seventy pounds, he bought his vocal courts and he sounds

412
00:17:46,480 --> 00:17:50,160
Speaker 2: like a two packet a smoker now. So not great

413
00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:54,000
Speaker 2: for his health, huge for the division. But and Billy

414
00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:55,879
Speaker 2: and I constantly talk about we don't love fighters who

415
00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:58,160
Speaker 2: are thirty five moving down him. Wait, not as big

416
00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:00,239
Speaker 2: of a deal at one seventy one eighty five as

417
00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:03,359
Speaker 2: it would be a band Wade or Flyway. That said,

418
00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:05,600
Speaker 2: Ree McKee's a big guy, and Cheaty is not going

419
00:18:05,680 --> 00:18:07,240
Speaker 2: to have a big reach advantage here. He's not going

420
00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:09,399
Speaker 2: to be significantly taller. He's a couple of inches taller.

421
00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:12,160
Speaker 2: He does have more power, and I think he can

422
00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:15,800
Speaker 2: absolutely finish McKee in round one. But generally speaking, Ree

423
00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:20,680
Speaker 2: McKee is pretty durable and he only loses clearly when

424
00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:23,280
Speaker 2: opponents take him down, and that's not what Cheat's going

425
00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:25,280
Speaker 2: to be doing in this fight. McKee has the grappling

426
00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:28,959
Speaker 2: upside if anybody. McKee has much better cardio, and based

427
00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:32,359
Speaker 2: on the weight differential, and Cheaty cutting down. McKee should

428
00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:35,280
Speaker 2: be the faster man, so I do like McKee. You

429
00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:37,840
Speaker 2: may get a better live price on him after round one.

430
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,320
Speaker 2: I think cheat will be dangerous for the first round,

431
00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:44,040
Speaker 2: but I also like McKee refight five after round one

432
00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:45,920
Speaker 2: and then to win in rounds two and three plus

433
00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:49,040
Speaker 2: seven fifty for round two plus twelve hundred for round three.

434
00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:51,840
Speaker 2: I think Cheaty's getting gas hard here after that weight cut.

435
00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:54,600
Speaker 2: So Billy, do you see this one the same way?

436
00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:57,199
Speaker 4: Yeah, exactly. This is what I also took earlier in

437
00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:59,240
Speaker 4: the week in my luck ratings. Slightly better price, not

438
00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:02,200
Speaker 4: mass movement like some of them. You know, his only

439
00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:04,760
Speaker 4: finish loss was to Hamzat, who he was sacrificed to

440
00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:07,480
Speaker 4: during the fight Island days. A couple decisions to guys

441
00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:10,160
Speaker 4: with rustling game plans after that. Yeah, the big thing

442
00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:12,320
Speaker 4: is just dropping a weight class at this age. Not

443
00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:14,960
Speaker 4: only I think there's the physical detriment of that, but

444
00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:17,359
Speaker 4: sometimes I think I've been guilty of this in my

445
00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:21,800
Speaker 4: own career. It's like, rather than improving your deficiencies, you think, oh,

446
00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:23,880
Speaker 4: I'm just need to be in a different weight class,

447
00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:25,600
Speaker 4: so you kind of get a false sense of security.

448
00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:27,760
Speaker 4: That that was the problem to begin with. When there's

449
00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:30,119
Speaker 4: good guys at every weight class, and arguably as you

450
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,200
Speaker 4: go down the weight class, the skill level and the

451
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:35,160
Speaker 4: speed gets so much higher that you're not even always

452
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:38,000
Speaker 4: helping yourself. Like very rarely do I watch an MMA

453
00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:40,160
Speaker 4: fight and I think that guy lost because he wasn't

454
00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:42,119
Speaker 4: big and strong enough. We see it, it happened. I mean,

455
00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:45,560
Speaker 4: Kevin Holland was the perfect example. But that's usually not

456
00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:48,200
Speaker 4: the problem, and you're only making the skill and the

457
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:51,720
Speaker 4: speed harder. Your perfect point on the cardio. That's not

458
00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,560
Speaker 4: going to be great for him, you know, having to

459
00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:56,040
Speaker 4: cut all that weight so pretty much in lockstep with

460
00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:58,080
Speaker 4: you might get a better live line. You know, if

461
00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:01,199
Speaker 4: I hadn't taken the earlier line on the key, I

462
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:04,200
Speaker 4: might wait. I got plus one forty two, so fairly

463
00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:07,280
Speaker 4: significant difference. Might wait for live, or maybe do half

464
00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:09,320
Speaker 4: the unit pre fight half unit live, something like that.

465
00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:11,080
Speaker 4: But yeah, we're seeing it the same way.

466
00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:14,480
Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast is presented by North Carolina's newest

467
00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:17,960
Speaker 1: sportsbook bet MGM used the bonus code action when signing

468
00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:20,320
Speaker 1: up to get one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets.

469
00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:29,880
Speaker 1: When you bet just five dollars. Four new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

470
00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:34,040
Speaker 1: New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia,

471
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Speaker 1: and Wyoming. Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one

472
00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:41,640
Speaker 1: or older. Gambling problem called one eight hundred Gambler's.

473
00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:43,040
Speaker 2: Who, one of our favorite props on this card already

474
00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:45,640
Speaker 2: gave out one round one prop for fighter just because

475
00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:48,359
Speaker 2: you thought the price discrepancy was wide relative to their

476
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,600
Speaker 2: money line and I one hundred percent seed. The same

477
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:53,240
Speaker 2: argument for you betting Herbert Burns to win in round

478
00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:55,160
Speaker 2: one at plus nine hundred that seems like the vast

479
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:57,440
Speaker 2: majority of his win equity and getting a big price

480
00:20:57,480 --> 00:20:59,320
Speaker 2: description the relative to his money line.

481
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:02,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean that if you look at his UFC

482
00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:05,000
Speaker 4: career counting Contender series Round one win, Round one win,

483
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 4: Round one win, Round two loss, Round two loss. His

484
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:11,520
Speaker 4: last round two lost is listed as exhaustion from damage Like,

485
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:14,000
Speaker 4: I don't think I've ever seen that someone's fighter page before.

486
00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:16,920
Speaker 4: The guy for being a smaller fighter has the worst

487
00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 4: cardio I've ever seen, and people longtime listeners know. I

488
00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:23,600
Speaker 4: like to tease the BJJA based fighters for having that

489
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:25,160
Speaker 4: because they go out there and they do one round,

490
00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 4: then the match is done, and he exemplifies that like

491
00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:29,480
Speaker 4: no one else I've ever seen. He's a bad out

492
00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:32,920
Speaker 4: of hell. Three four minutes, he's gone for crazy submissions.

493
00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:35,760
Speaker 4: Sometimes they work, sometimes they don't. You survive that he's done.

494
00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:38,960
Speaker 4: So yeah, I would almost say like he's under one

495
00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:42,560
Speaker 4: and a half and when a line should be his

496
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:45,600
Speaker 4: money line, like there's there's very little chance he wins

497
00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:48,119
Speaker 4: a fight that goes beyond that I believe is he

498
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,359
Speaker 4: has two decision wins very early in his career. I

499
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:53,880
Speaker 4: don't know what happened there, you know, against lower level competition.

500
00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:56,679
Speaker 4: Maybe he was in better shape than I don't know,

501
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:59,080
Speaker 4: but that's how I'm playing that one. And then, of course,

502
00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:01,240
Speaker 4: if you can get a better price against him live

503
00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:04,280
Speaker 4: after round one because he looked really good, definitely do that.

504
00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:08,240
Speaker 4: Although I think the market is probably sophisticated enough to

505
00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:11,080
Speaker 4: not move the line on a guy who got beat

506
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 4: up by Herbert Burns for round one because they all

507
00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:13,760
Speaker 4: know what's going to happen.

508
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:16,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, for similar reasons.

509
00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:18,320
Speaker 2: I kind of like Julio Arche in rounds two and

510
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:22,000
Speaker 2: rounds three respectively. The prices on that seemed off relative

511
00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,320
Speaker 2: to what his wing condition probably isn't the way her

512
00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:26,520
Speaker 2: Burns fades, So plus four fifty plus seven to fifty

513
00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:29,520
Speaker 2: respectively on RCH round two, round three not huge prices,

514
00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:31,560
Speaker 2: but probably the way he wins this fight. You could

515
00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:34,359
Speaker 2: even bet all three very likely in turn a profit,

516
00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:37,199
Speaker 2: which played him small. My favorite prop of this card,

517
00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:39,560
Speaker 2: Bill Algao went and round threw by decision. He was

518
00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:41,600
Speaker 2: the guy who beat up Herbert Burns and forced them

519
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:44,160
Speaker 2: into retirement in that last fight. I was at that card.

520
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:46,919
Speaker 2: Gilbert Burns was standing in Herbert Burns corner screaming at

521
00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:49,880
Speaker 2: him to keep fighting, and then Gilbert ended up having

522
00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 2: to carry his brother backstage and out of the ocagon.

523
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:55,760
Speaker 2: Just absolutely wild scenes. But that's what Bill Algio does

524
00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:58,240
Speaker 2: to people. He breaks them. And I think he could

525
00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:02,800
Speaker 2: break Tucker here or sorry Kylin Nelson here. You know,

526
00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:05,800
Speaker 2: I'm thinking of Kyle Tucker and just in my mind

527
00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:09,680
Speaker 2: changed his name to Tucker. Kyle Nelson is a very

528
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,800
Speaker 2: solid underdog and he keeps upsetting people long odds. He's

529
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 2: able to lull people into kind of a staring match

530
00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:19,960
Speaker 2: where he just sort of out points them and now

531
00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:22,000
Speaker 2: going to be in the bigger cage, maybe a little

532
00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:24,879
Speaker 2: bit more space to run around. But also Algio just

533
00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:27,280
Speaker 2: on the gas the entire time, got to stay in

534
00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:29,439
Speaker 2: his face and not really give Nelson a chance to

535
00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:31,760
Speaker 2: take a break. So I do think the volume the

536
00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:33,440
Speaker 2: Cardio is going to be a bit too much from

537
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,359
Speaker 2: Bill Algio here. If his price moves out after round one,

538
00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:40,080
Speaker 2: say Kyle Nelson knocks him down, you know, has a

539
00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:42,439
Speaker 2: big moment, maybe wins the round, I would definitely lie

540
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:45,320
Speaker 2: bet Algio after round one, But I don't think Nelson

541
00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:47,320
Speaker 2: is going to win many minutes here. Algio's volume is

542
00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:49,600
Speaker 2: just going to be too much for him. So Algio

543
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 2: round threwer by decision minus one ten. I also like

544
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 2: his decision prop but plus one twenty five. But I

545
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 2: think if he gets a finish, it's very likely to

546
00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:58,879
Speaker 2: come in round three. You could also just kind of

547
00:23:58,920 --> 00:24:01,480
Speaker 2: structure a bet and place him to win by decision

548
00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:03,359
Speaker 2: of plus one twenty five and then to win in

549
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:06,359
Speaker 2: round three at plus twelve hundred. Maybe put ninety percent

550
00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,760
Speaker 2: of your wager on the decision prop ten percent on

551
00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:11,280
Speaker 2: the round three prop, so you still profit a little

552
00:24:11,320 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 2: bit if he does win in round three. Believe any

553
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:18,040
Speaker 2: thoughts on Algio and Nelson, No, I'm I wish.

554
00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:20,119
Speaker 4: I would have seen that earlier. I'm very surprised at

555
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,879
Speaker 4: that line that includes round three at nearly a pick

556
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:24,840
Speaker 4: and price. I would have thought that would be much

557
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:26,720
Speaker 4: closer to his win condition. He's just not really a

558
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:30,000
Speaker 4: guy that stops people early. When he finishes people, it's

559
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:33,000
Speaker 4: exhaustion due to damage, not you know, one big punch.

560
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:34,080
Speaker 4: So love that pick.

561
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a similar dynamic to his fight against or

562
00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,720
Speaker 2: to Nelson's fighting against Billy Quarantino. Just a very similar

563
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:42,639
Speaker 2: art type in terms of guy who's just going to

564
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:45,040
Speaker 2: be sort of gassing you out with volume and staying

565
00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:46,000
Speaker 2: in your face the whole time.

566
00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:47,760
Speaker 3: Let's move on our best bets.

567
00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:49,639
Speaker 2: We do have one that we were aligned on, and

568
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:51,159
Speaker 2: we should talk about the Pleasure Man, one of our

569
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:53,919
Speaker 2: favorite fighters to discuss before we get to our separate

570
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:58,240
Speaker 2: best bets. Ebo Aslon anton Tercli a rematch for Brave

571
00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 2: cf Oslan was dominating the first round, nearly put her

572
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,320
Speaker 2: collie out. Everybody nearly puts her collie out in round one,

573
00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:07,480
Speaker 2: and then Aslan seemed to gas out, slash make a

574
00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:09,720
Speaker 2: fight I key mistake, got his back take and got

575
00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:13,000
Speaker 2: choked out at the start of round two. The rematching

576
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 2: here in the UFC Acelan a few years older, now,

577
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:17,560
Speaker 2: a bit more developed, I would imagine as a prospect,

578
00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:21,040
Speaker 2: and also Terkali has taken a substantial amount of damage

579
00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:24,120
Speaker 2: in his UFC run. I think he's probably less durable

580
00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,520
Speaker 2: than he was the first time these guys fought. I'm

581
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:28,720
Speaker 2: sure Aslan is a better fighter than he was the

582
00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:30,960
Speaker 2: last time these two fought, more mature in his physical

583
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,600
Speaker 2: prime now. So we both like Aslan prefight it minus

584
00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:35,240
Speaker 2: one twenty five. It's hard not to like him pre

585
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 2: fight considering he should dominate that first round. His odds

586
00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:41,360
Speaker 2: to winning round one or plus one seventy five, which

587
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:43,560
Speaker 2: is a joke considering his money line, but it is

588
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:45,880
Speaker 2: large part of his win condition. I do think, though,

589
00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,879
Speaker 2: there's a bigger chance that he just you know, survives,

590
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,399
Speaker 2: continues to pour on damage and wins a decision or

591
00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:54,399
Speaker 2: wins in round two. I just you know, watching that

592
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:58,040
Speaker 2: first fight back, it didn't seem to me as much

593
00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:00,879
Speaker 2: that he gassed out and gave up so much is

594
00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:03,199
Speaker 2: that he just made a horrendous mistake and has allowed

595
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:05,560
Speaker 2: his back to be taken before he got choked out.

596
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,440
Speaker 2: So think this one plays out similarly early except for

597
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 2: the fact that I think Acelan stops him.

598
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:11,520
Speaker 3: Did you have a.

599
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:14,399
Speaker 2: Similar reaction watching that rematch? Did you think here watching

600
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:16,199
Speaker 2: the first fight, did you think that he gassed out

601
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:18,240
Speaker 2: or did you think it was a fight acing mistake?

602
00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:19,480
Speaker 3: And how do you like this one to go?

603
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:22,399
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's hard to tell. I think it's probably a

604
00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:24,159
Speaker 4: little bit of both. Like you make more fight acuum

605
00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:26,040
Speaker 4: mistakes when you're tired than when you're fresh. That's just

606
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:28,440
Speaker 4: kind of how it goes. But No, the biggest thing

607
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:30,320
Speaker 4: for me is had there not been a rematch here,

608
00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:33,879
Speaker 4: or had there not been the previous fight, Trakal's probably

609
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:35,520
Speaker 4: wouldn't still be in the UFC. He probably would have

610
00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:38,120
Speaker 4: been caught off three straight losses, and this line would

611
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:41,960
Speaker 4: be much much wider because pleasure Man has not looked

612
00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:45,439
Speaker 4: UFC caliber and any one of his appearances, like you know,

613
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:47,639
Speaker 4: he's made it to a decision, he hasn't been finished

614
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:49,560
Speaker 4: all of them, but he didn't look good or really

615
00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,000
Speaker 4: looked competitive in any of these fights finished in the

616
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,640
Speaker 4: first round twice, one decision against Vitor Petrino, who that's

617
00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:58,000
Speaker 4: just kind of his thing. He doesn't seem too interested

618
00:26:58,040 --> 00:27:01,200
Speaker 4: in finishing anyone. As we've learned. In Ozlon twelve and one,

619
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:04,439
Speaker 4: his only career loss was to the pleasure Man. I

620
00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:07,640
Speaker 4: think all knockout, Yeah, all knockouts. You know, big hitter,

621
00:27:08,440 --> 00:27:10,360
Speaker 4: as you mentioned, probably should be a little bit better

622
00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:12,679
Speaker 4: as a well rounded fighter. You'd imagine now he can

623
00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:15,720
Speaker 4: train full time. When they fought before, he's probably working

624
00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:19,040
Speaker 4: some other job, you know, just getting by on national athleticism.

625
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 4: So one, you know, it was even better price earlier

626
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:24,360
Speaker 4: in the week, I got minus one fifteen. Again, read

627
00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:27,720
Speaker 4: the luck ratings everyone. But yeah, there's if you just

628
00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:29,399
Speaker 4: even if you don't watch that fight back, if you

629
00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:31,439
Speaker 4: just pretend that fight never happened, you would think Alizon

630
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:33,920
Speaker 4: should be minus two fifty or something here. And I'm

631
00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:35,920
Speaker 4: willing to overlook that one as more of a fluke

632
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:38,640
Speaker 4: than I am the other three fights where pleasure Man

633
00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:40,639
Speaker 4: hasn't been UFC caliber.

634
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:43,719
Speaker 2: Ozlon actually has a round three knockout on his record too.

635
00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:45,880
Speaker 2: I think that is encouraging, just because he has done

636
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:47,800
Speaker 2: it in the past, we have seen it extended and

637
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:50,480
Speaker 2: actually put somebody away in the third round. So yeah,

638
00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:53,360
Speaker 2: I like Ozlon here as well. Minus one twenty five.

639
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:55,320
Speaker 2: I would probably just take the money line instead of

640
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:57,840
Speaker 2: taking any of his props. Maybe if you get a

641
00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:00,320
Speaker 2: big juicy number on round one knockout or round one

642
00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:02,400
Speaker 2: knockout potentially in a round robin. That is the large

643
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:04,160
Speaker 2: part of his one condition. But I think he has

644
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:07,439
Speaker 2: other ways of winning this fight. Your favorite bet on

645
00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:09,920
Speaker 2: the card, Connor Matthews, another bet you give out earlier

646
00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:11,640
Speaker 2: in this week, and be believe another bet you got

647
00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:14,160
Speaker 2: a little bit better of a line on. He does

648
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:17,320
Speaker 2: seem like a very public underdog selection this week. But

649
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:19,720
Speaker 2: I am on the same side as you in terms

650
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:20,960
Speaker 2: of liking Matthews in this fight.

651
00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:22,119
Speaker 3: I don't know if I have a bet on it,

652
00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:23,320
Speaker 3: but I do lean your way.

653
00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:27,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, at the current prices, it's a final bet. At

654
00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:30,000
Speaker 4: the earlier price at plus money, it was certainly a

655
00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:32,800
Speaker 4: best better a favorite bet. But he's fighting Dennis Pezuka.

656
00:28:32,840 --> 00:28:35,679
Speaker 4: I mean I quoted you in my justification. Dennis Pazuka's

657
00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:39,240
Speaker 4: best attribute is he tries really hard, and that's encouraging. Obviously,

658
00:28:39,280 --> 00:28:40,560
Speaker 4: we want guys who are going to fight hard for

659
00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:42,239
Speaker 4: him money, and we've seen people that don't do that.

660
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:44,720
Speaker 4: But it's kind of like when they say your best

661
00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 4: attribute is your chin. What that doesn't say, but it

662
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:50,280
Speaker 4: is heavily implied, is that you're not doing too great

663
00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:51,880
Speaker 4: at other things, and that's not a great way to

664
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:54,440
Speaker 4: make a career. I don't want guys who are trying

665
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,680
Speaker 4: to make a career by being tough and absorbing damage.

666
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:58,959
Speaker 4: I don't want guys who make a career by just

667
00:28:59,040 --> 00:29:01,960
Speaker 4: written through fights that they should be losing and to

668
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:03,880
Speaker 4: get You know, Connor Matthews at plus money earlier in

669
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:06,160
Speaker 4: the week, roughly pick him now. I think he's a

670
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 4: reasonably skilled guy. You know, he's seven and one, made

671
00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:12,720
Speaker 4: two appearances on the Contender series, both decisions. Very good grappler.

672
00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:14,920
Speaker 4: I think he's a better teching, cool grappler here mostly

673
00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:17,960
Speaker 4: submission wins. His nickname is the Controller for a reason,

674
00:29:18,280 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 4: and I just think there's a big skill discrepancy there

675
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:23,400
Speaker 4: with Dennis Bozuka. Again, could Bazuka try really hard and

676
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:25,960
Speaker 4: grit through this one? Sure? Which is why I wouldn't

677
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 4: say it's a best bet at minus one oh five

678
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:32,280
Speaker 4: plus one fifteen earlier was the steal though, so like those,

679
00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 4: you know, if you wanted to sprinkle on the submission line,

680
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,880
Speaker 4: I think that's a much juicier line too. That might

681
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:39,680
Speaker 4: just be theuckiest way he wins this one.

682
00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:42,080
Speaker 2: What do you think about the decision prov I made

683
00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:44,200
Speaker 2: the decision line closer to minus one eighty. I see

684
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:45,640
Speaker 2: minus one thirty out there. Do you think this one

685
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:46,479
Speaker 2: goes fifteen minutes?

686
00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:51,400
Speaker 4: You're saying the fight to go to decision or Matthews?

687
00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:52,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, the fight to go to decision yep.

688
00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:55,840
Speaker 4: I don't have a strong take on whether it goes

689
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:57,760
Speaker 4: that way or not. I think if you think it

690
00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:00,440
Speaker 4: goes that way, you should probably lean towards the Bazukas side.

691
00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:03,120
Speaker 4: And if you think it goes inside the distance, that

692
00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:06,840
Speaker 4: probably significantly benefits Matthew. So I see it correlating pretty

693
00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:08,840
Speaker 4: clearly to either fighter. I don't have a strong take.

694
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:11,720
Speaker 4: You'd think Bazukah should be able to find a submission,

695
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:14,560
Speaker 4: Matthews should be able to find a submission here, just

696
00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:16,520
Speaker 4: given his track record in the style of fighter he is.

697
00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:19,960
Speaker 4: But submissions are tricky, you know, guys get sweaty, stuff

698
00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:22,280
Speaker 4: gets missed, like you know, it wouldn't it wouldn't be

699
00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 4: all best surprising, and Bazuka has never been submitted. His

700
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:27,320
Speaker 4: only finish loss was a knockout, so hard to say.

701
00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:30,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, kind of lean over or GTD there maybe a

702
00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 2: close decision. I mean the line would suggest that it

703
00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 2: would be. But really getting in earlier on the plus

704
00:30:35,280 --> 00:30:37,320
Speaker 2: money side of things and putting himself in good position

705
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:39,480
Speaker 2: my favorite bat of the card. It is more of

706
00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:41,480
Speaker 2: a final bet than a best bet. But Melissa Gatto

707
00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 2: sitting at minus one forty now minus one fifty. She

708
00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:49,320
Speaker 2: was earlier in the week I believe closer to minus

709
00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:52,400
Speaker 2: one sixty. It's this line has moved around a little bit,

710
00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:54,520
Speaker 2: but just in terms of how I project out these fights.

711
00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:57,800
Speaker 2: The three most public underdogs this week were due to Kova,

712
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:03,000
Speaker 2: the fight that we just talk about, with Matthews against Bazuka,

713
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:08,360
Speaker 2: and then also Patrotsky going against Jacob alcoun. But of

714
00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:11,000
Speaker 2: the three, the one that I like most is the

715
00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:14,840
Speaker 2: non public favorite is Melissa Gato. I don't really think

716
00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:17,520
Speaker 2: due to COB's physicality has translated as well to the

717
00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:20,440
Speaker 2: UFC level as it did regionally. I don't really like

718
00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 2: how her takedown offense looked in her last fight against

719
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:24,600
Speaker 2: she and New Fray. She wasn't able to do anything

720
00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:26,320
Speaker 2: against Fray in terms of the takedown and sort of

721
00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:28,880
Speaker 2: abandon that game plan. Still ended up winning the fight,

722
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:32,720
Speaker 2: but wasn't overly impressive in the victory. Gotto has lost

723
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:34,800
Speaker 2: her past couple of UFC fights, but she is the

724
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 2: much better striker in this matchup. I think she's going

725
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:39,920
Speaker 2: to be landing significantly more, and honestly, I think there's

726
00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:41,840
Speaker 2: a chance she's the better grappler too, and she may

727
00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:44,280
Speaker 2: be able to get on top of Dukova. The one

728
00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:46,400
Speaker 2: problem with Gotto is when she does get taken down,

729
00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:49,320
Speaker 2: she's comfortable spending time on her reck and riding out rounds,

730
00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:51,560
Speaker 2: and that is why I would imagine some people have

731
00:31:51,560 --> 00:31:53,840
Speaker 2: bet due to COVID here with the expectation that she

732
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:56,480
Speaker 2: is going to land takedowns, get on top, and be

733
00:31:56,520 --> 00:32:00,520
Speaker 2: able to hold position. However, I think Gotto is likely

734
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:02,440
Speaker 2: to land takedowns and get on top, and I think

735
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:05,160
Speaker 2: she's capable of reversing position if the fight gets on

736
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:07,720
Speaker 2: the mad So Gotto as the better striker, the one

737
00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 2: likeler to be landing damage minus one forty. I projected

738
00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:12,880
Speaker 2: this line closer to minus two fifteen, so a pretty

739
00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:15,280
Speaker 2: big edge in terms of how I projected, like get

740
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,840
Speaker 2: up to about minus one seventy. Don't love it, but

741
00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:21,280
Speaker 2: certainly have to go against a very public underdog this week. Billy,

742
00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:23,320
Speaker 2: just curious why you bet you to cover earlier the

743
00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:25,440
Speaker 2: week and how you feel about the line of current prising.

744
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:28,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean earlier in the week is primarily a

745
00:32:28,480 --> 00:32:30,640
Speaker 4: system play. You know, when I'm doing this article on Monday,

746
00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:32,400
Speaker 4: I haven't had a chance to watch a ton of fights.

747
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:34,600
Speaker 4: You know, obviously I know who these fighters are and

748
00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:37,240
Speaker 4: can remember some of their stuff. But you know, women's

749
00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:39,760
Speaker 4: lighter weight class fight likely to go to decision due

750
00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:42,440
Speaker 4: to covis two to zero in the Ufcity. Not great wins,

751
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:44,920
Speaker 4: but you know, looked fine at plus one thirty six.

752
00:32:45,280 --> 00:32:47,520
Speaker 4: I think the current odds I would definitely lean towards

753
00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:50,400
Speaker 4: Gotto is the stronger money line play. It's just not

754
00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:53,000
Speaker 4: enough plus money coming back where you go, well, let's

755
00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:54,560
Speaker 4: hope the judge screw something up or we get a

756
00:32:54,560 --> 00:32:56,520
Speaker 4: weird outcome, which is really what we're saying when we

757
00:32:56,560 --> 00:32:59,480
Speaker 4: take some of these thinner ones at big plus money.

758
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,479
Speaker 4: I am more confident in her being the better grappler.

759
00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:04,320
Speaker 4: I think she has like a sombo or judo base,

760
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:07,640
Speaker 4: which are pretty much the same thing under different terminology.

761
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:10,160
Speaker 4: You know, a huge throw in her UFC debut that

762
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:13,200
Speaker 4: broke Estella Nona's arm. That was awesome. I've probably got

763
00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 4: a little bit of blinders on that, being a guy

764
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:17,160
Speaker 4: who trained some judo back in the day, but wouldn't

765
00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:19,000
Speaker 4: take her at the current price, you know, earlier in

766
00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:21,880
Speaker 4: the week. I'm happy with my closing line value, even

767
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 4: though in the UFC that doesn't always work out the

768
00:33:23,960 --> 00:33:26,520
Speaker 4: way we think it should. But I'm actually kind of

769
00:33:26,520 --> 00:33:28,840
Speaker 4: hoping the line falls even a little bit further and

770
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:30,640
Speaker 4: I can just arbitrage. I'm not going a profit on

771
00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:31,120
Speaker 4: both sides.

772
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 2: Final thought on the main event, I saw a good

773
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:39,520
Speaker 2: clip of you know, Fiora throwing beautiful judo toss. Thoughts

774
00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:41,960
Speaker 2: on her potentially being able to get Aaron Blanchfield down early.

775
00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:45,120
Speaker 4: I wouldn't be surprised at all if she got her

776
00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:48,160
Speaker 4: down early. You know, Blandfield came training BJJ. She's not

777
00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:50,280
Speaker 4: one of the Typically you don't see this with female

778
00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:53,000
Speaker 4: fighters because women's wrestling wasn't really even a thing twenty

779
00:33:53,040 --> 00:33:56,280
Speaker 4: years ago. But yeah, Fiora might be able to get takedowns.

780
00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 4: That wouldn't surprise me at all. Just because you can

781
00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:02,120
Speaker 4: doesn't mean you show. I think Fiorro getting a takedown

782
00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:04,920
Speaker 4: would probably actually be to her detriment. You know, for

783
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:08,319
Speaker 4: people who don't really do munch judo, they have very

784
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:10,520
Speaker 4: quick exchanges on the ground. You get about ten fifteen

785
00:34:10,520 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 4: seconds to work and get a submission, then it gets

786
00:34:12,520 --> 00:34:15,040
Speaker 4: stood back up. Ju Jitsu's the total opposite. If you're

787
00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 4: on the feet for too long, a lot of rule

788
00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:19,160
Speaker 4: sets put you down. So I think Lanchfield, once it's

789
00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:21,359
Speaker 4: on the mat has a big advantage. And as we

790
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:23,520
Speaker 4: were talking about, the judges don't reward you for getting

791
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:27,360
Speaker 4: the takedown. They occasionally and not always reward you for

792
00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:29,520
Speaker 4: what happens when you're on the ground. So yeah, my

793
00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:31,440
Speaker 4: dad always told me growing up, just because you can

794
00:34:31,520 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 4: do something doesn't mean you should. And that's the advice

795
00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:36,560
Speaker 4: I would give to Manan Phiro on the takedowns. Unless

796
00:34:36,600 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 4: it's like the end of the round, you just want to,

797
00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:41,239
Speaker 4: you know, get a decent slam whatever, maybe knock the

798
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:43,880
Speaker 4: wind out of her. If I haven't heard the clacker got,

799
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 4: I'm not going for a takedown if I'm Phierro.

800
00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:48,359
Speaker 2: That's one of my other pet peeves, as fighters who

801
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:50,520
Speaker 2: waste energy going for takedowns or trying to get up

802
00:34:50,520 --> 00:34:51,920
Speaker 2: from takedowns at the end of the round when it

803
00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:54,239
Speaker 2: isn't going to sway any of the scoring. They just

804
00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:56,040
Speaker 2: don't want the optics of ending up on their back,

805
00:34:56,040 --> 00:34:59,040
Speaker 2: and I'm like, you just wasted an entire explosion for nothing.

806
00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 4: So, I mean, we watched so many fights in like

807
00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:03,600
Speaker 4: the early two thousands into the teens where you could

808
00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:05,719
Speaker 4: be getting beat pretty clearly on the feet, you get

809
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:07,480
Speaker 4: a take down with eight seconds left, and suddenly you

810
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:09,360
Speaker 4: win the round. Like I joked about it with my

811
00:35:09,400 --> 00:35:11,560
Speaker 4: buddies playing the old UFC video games, we would both

812
00:35:11,600 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 4: just be shooting once we heard that clacker because whoever

813
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:16,400
Speaker 4: got it, the judges more often than not would give

814
00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:18,200
Speaker 4: you the round, both in the game and in real life.

815
00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:20,040
Speaker 4: So I think that's one of those things like we

816
00:35:20,080 --> 00:35:22,239
Speaker 4: see it in all sports where there's some outdated strategies

817
00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:25,640
Speaker 4: that people just haven't quite adjusted to yet, and even

818
00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:28,560
Speaker 4: the commentators like Cornier and Cruise will get on there

819
00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:30,680
Speaker 4: and say, well, you know, there's great optics ending the

820
00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:34,320
Speaker 4: round on top. It doesn't matter anymore, but nobody told them.

821
00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:36,160
Speaker 2: Is that a Pavolovian thing from the gym, Like you

822
00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:38,000
Speaker 2: hear the clacker and you just you go for the takedown?

823
00:35:38,040 --> 00:35:39,600
Speaker 2: Is that something that is training to you, guys?

824
00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:43,640
Speaker 4: I can't recall ever training in a gym that gave

825
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:46,160
Speaker 4: us a ten second warning. Most roundtimers have a beep

826
00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:48,960
Speaker 4: at thirty seconds to give you a warning. Most commercially available.

827
00:35:49,160 --> 00:35:51,000
Speaker 4: I don't know if the big UFC camps have like

828
00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:53,239
Speaker 4: a dude with a clacker, and maybe they actually do

829
00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 4: train that, but that was never anything we did other

830
00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:57,880
Speaker 4: than joking about. How you know, if you get the

831
00:35:57,960 --> 00:35:59,400
Speaker 4: last takedown, it's an instant win.

832
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:00,439
Speaker 3: For the UFC.

833
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:03,200
Speaker 2: Betting proven The Action Network podcast presented by BETTMGM. Thank

834
00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 2: you to Billy Ward. You can find all of my

835
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:07,560
Speaker 2: picks all of his picks in the award winning Action

836
00:36:07,640 --> 00:36:10,799
Speaker 2: Network app. Well also have content on actionnetwork dot com.

837
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:12,759
Speaker 2: You can find Billy's luck ratings. You can find my

838
00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:15,400
Speaker 2: main event preview. You can find our best bets for

839
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:17,160
Speaker 2: this weekend's card. Best of luck with all of your

840
00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:19,200
Speaker 2: bets this weekend, and we'll see you next time on

841
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:21,000
Speaker 2: the Action Network podcast presented.

842
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:21,760
Speaker 4: Of NMDP.

843
00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:30,520
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

844
00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:33,360
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

845
00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:36,520
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler