WEBVTT - Conference Championship Madness 0:00:00.160 --> 0:00:03.880 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:05.960 --> 0:00:09.320 Time Now for Fantasy Football Weekly from my Heart Radio, 0:00:09.600 --> 0:00:14.000 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:14.160 --> 0:00:17.720 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:17.760 --> 0:00:25.120 here's your host. Hey, it's Fantasy Football Weekly, Conference Championship Time. 0:00:25.520 --> 0:00:30.240 I'm Paul Charchy in my co host Brian Johnson. What's up, Charch? Hey, 0:00:31.520 --> 0:00:34.600 last week wasn't really the best weekend of football, wasn't 0:00:34.960 --> 0:00:37.479 you see? I did. I was nervous about them, like, 0:00:37.520 --> 0:00:40.120 I think they're gonna be blowouts, and mostly they were, 0:00:40.200 --> 0:00:41.879 and then some of the games weren't as good as 0:00:41.920 --> 0:00:44.800 we had hoped, and I don't know, it turned out okay, 0:00:44.840 --> 0:00:48.360 was still playoffs football. Yeah, I guess like the Kansas 0:00:48.360 --> 0:00:52.120 City Jacksonville game was the best one. But is it 0:00:52.159 --> 0:00:54.000 crazy to think that if my homes didn't get hurt, 0:00:54.040 --> 0:00:58.160 that the Jaguars made the dance, maybe that game's got 0:00:58.200 --> 0:01:02.440 weird at that point. So you had Jamal Agnew I 0:01:02.440 --> 0:01:04.959 don't know what he was thinking. Oh, that fall, that hurt, 0:01:05.360 --> 0:01:08.039 that hurt. He said, so many big plays though throughout 0:01:08.040 --> 0:01:09.600 the course of the season they would have been in 0:01:09.640 --> 0:01:14.160 that game. You like that X factor on special teams 0:01:14.200 --> 0:01:17.240 and some offensive place. He doesn't have that that turnover 0:01:17.280 --> 0:01:19.320 deep in their territory. Who knows. I think could have 0:01:19.360 --> 0:01:21.080 been a little bit different. The rest of those games 0:01:21.480 --> 0:01:24.280 were pretty much did little Unfortunately. We're gonna break down 0:01:24.280 --> 0:01:28.200 the this week's games San Francisco at Philadelphia and of 0:01:28.240 --> 0:01:31.479 course Cincinnati at Kansas City. But I've got a couple 0:01:31.560 --> 0:01:32.800 ots and ends I want to I want to talk 0:01:32.800 --> 0:01:35.800 to you about fantasy football related. I want to start here. 0:01:36.440 --> 0:01:40.200 There's one player in each of the four remaining teams 0:01:40.680 --> 0:01:46.920 that could reasonably be taken first overall in next August drafts. 0:01:47.920 --> 0:01:49.680 Let me start with some of Let me start with 0:01:49.680 --> 0:01:52.600 the Chalky guys, the two Chalky guys. Let's start with 0:01:52.680 --> 0:01:55.760 Christian McCaffrey. Do you think he should go at pick 0:01:55.840 --> 0:01:59.680 number one next year? We talked about, you know, we 0:01:59.680 --> 0:02:02.640 we recasted the first round a few weeks ago, and 0:02:03.280 --> 0:02:07.200 I remember recall saying McCaffrey and I think Ekeler are 0:02:07.200 --> 0:02:09.040 the two running backs. We'll see you go in the 0:02:09.080 --> 0:02:12.400 first round. Maybe Barkley, but that's it. I think we'll 0:02:12.400 --> 0:02:14.520 see a lot of quarterbacks. I think, yeah, I think 0:02:14.520 --> 0:02:16.720 you're wrong, but you know, I'm I'm way more skeptical 0:02:16.760 --> 0:02:19.280 about there's so many people who just cannot not take 0:02:19.320 --> 0:02:21.440 a running back in the first round. You know, in 0:02:21.480 --> 0:02:24.000 every league, there's you know, half of the league can't 0:02:24.040 --> 0:02:26.519 imagine any scenario in which they would not take a 0:02:26.560 --> 0:02:28.679 running back in the first round, well regardless of where 0:02:28.680 --> 0:02:30.119 they go or how many go in the first round. 0:02:30.200 --> 0:02:34.320 McCaffrey certainly up there as RB one. I think it's McCaffrey, 0:02:35.440 --> 0:02:39.200 but I'm talking about the first final pick. I'm because 0:02:39.280 --> 0:02:41.720 I think there's gonna be a plethora of running backs 0:02:41.800 --> 0:02:43.480 coming back in the second and third round. I do, 0:02:43.520 --> 0:02:46.800 at least, I'm not gonna go running back first. Overall, 0:02:46.919 --> 0:02:50.160 I'm gonna go with one of the players I'm assuming 0:02:50.200 --> 0:02:52.120 you're going to get to in a minute here on 0:02:52.160 --> 0:02:55.640 another team. So you're on No. One, Christian McCaffrey, i'd 0:02:55.639 --> 0:03:00.280 be Um, I think it's a way risky or pick 0:03:00.320 --> 0:03:02.640 then I would normally put at that at that position, 0:03:02.680 --> 0:03:04.160 but I think there are gonna be some people who 0:03:04.160 --> 0:03:06.480 would who will take Christian McCaffrey at one. I won't 0:03:06.520 --> 0:03:09.600 do it, um, but you know there's a case to 0:03:09.639 --> 0:03:12.160 be made that you know, forty Niners, elite offense, it's 0:03:12.160 --> 0:03:14.600 always gonna be run heavy. Christian McAffrey is a great player, 0:03:14.840 --> 0:03:16.840 you know, great offensive line. There's gonna be lots of 0:03:16.840 --> 0:03:20.000 reasons why Christian McCaffrey can go first, and I bet, 0:03:20.400 --> 0:03:25.640 but next August he will be the consensus first selection. 0:03:26.840 --> 0:03:28.800 Christian McCaffrey. Not that I would do it, but I 0:03:28.800 --> 0:03:31.520 think America will do it. Let me give you this 0:03:31.560 --> 0:03:35.120 guy I mentioned again, a player from each of the 0:03:35.120 --> 0:03:38.600 remaining teams they could that could go first overall. Travis Kelsey. 0:03:38.720 --> 0:03:42.200 That's who I was alluding to just before. Yeah, he would. 0:03:42.200 --> 0:03:45.800 He's my first overall picking for years. We said, you know, 0:03:46.680 --> 0:03:49.560 we'd rather be a year get off a guy a 0:03:49.640 --> 0:03:52.120 year early before he falls off that clip. But we're 0:03:52.160 --> 0:03:55.800 really talking about running backs and wide receivers. We've had 0:03:55.840 --> 0:03:59.560 that conversation, not really a tight end. It's just I 0:03:59.560 --> 0:04:01.640 feel like we go over it every week. He's essentially 0:04:02.520 --> 0:04:05.720 two tight ends in one and and elite level production 0:04:05.800 --> 0:04:08.440 at that. I mean, he's a top five wide receiver 0:04:08.560 --> 0:04:10.320 that you get to play tight end, and there's no 0:04:10.360 --> 0:04:14.240 one comparable to him at his position. No, not Mark Andrews, 0:04:14.280 --> 0:04:18.200 not George Kittle, not Kyle Pitts yet, but it's it's 0:04:18.240 --> 0:04:21.720 Travis Kelsey. And just because he the delta between him 0:04:21.720 --> 0:04:24.839 and tight End two is so huge, I will I 0:04:24.880 --> 0:04:29.360 will go down with the ship like if if one guy, 0:04:29.400 --> 0:04:31.760 I'll be like, I'll be holding onto him and we'll 0:04:31.760 --> 0:04:37.599 go off together. But running very Titanic. I've never seen Titanic, 0:04:37.640 --> 0:04:39.760 by the way, would you believe that? People don't believe 0:04:39.760 --> 0:04:43.320 me when I tell them that I've never either. We 0:04:43.360 --> 0:04:45.360 are we are some of the good ones I see. 0:04:45.440 --> 0:04:47.400 That's how I see it too. We're the good guys 0:04:47.440 --> 0:04:52.200 here that didn't see Titanic. For not seeing Titanic back 0:04:52.200 --> 0:04:54.000 in the day, I mean, I've seen bits and pieces 0:04:54.040 --> 0:04:56.839 because it's been on TV or whatever. But I don't 0:04:56.839 --> 0:04:58.680 know for James Cameron to have I don't know if 0:04:58.680 --> 0:05:03.440 temerity is the right word audacity to do a love story. 0:05:03.520 --> 0:05:06.520 But then the setting is the Titanic, like one of 0:05:06.560 --> 0:05:10.600 the greatest tragedies in American stuff. Makes it so great? Right? 0:05:10.680 --> 0:05:13.240 That's what people would say is that it's the whole 0:05:13.279 --> 0:05:15.680 point is that it's obviously not going to work out. 0:05:15.760 --> 0:05:19.120 You know, somebody's going to drown by even before you 0:05:19.160 --> 0:05:23.479 start the movie, you know, and yeah, how about this. 0:05:23.680 --> 0:05:27.360 James Cameron movies suck ass. And I'm including the current 0:05:27.400 --> 0:05:32.680 avatar in that they are terrible, objectively terrible movies with 0:05:33.360 --> 0:05:40.080 wooden characters who are absolutely stereotypes of whoever they're supposed 0:05:40.120 --> 0:05:44.039 to be. I think his movies are rub ish. Not 0:05:44.160 --> 0:05:46.719 the No Interest, not the Terminator. Terminator one is a 0:05:46.720 --> 0:05:49.080 pretty good movie. Terminator two is better than Terminator one. 0:05:51.960 --> 0:05:55.880 It is not. Terminator two is a deeply flawed movie. 0:05:56.360 --> 0:05:58.880 You know who's not deeply flawed? Terravis Kelsey. When you 0:05:58.880 --> 0:06:01.920 get Travis Kelsey, you it almost double the points of 0:06:01.960 --> 0:06:05.080 the number two tight end. And if you were to 0:06:05.120 --> 0:06:06.640 sloft the position, you were to go all the way 0:06:06.640 --> 0:06:08.360 down to the number twelve tight end, the last tight 0:06:08.440 --> 0:06:10.279 end in your league in this year that would have 0:06:10.279 --> 0:06:14.720 been Dalton Sheltz, you're at roughly triple or quadruple the 0:06:14.800 --> 0:06:18.040 fantasy points if you have Travis Kelsey from the guy 0:06:18.120 --> 0:06:20.880 who stleft that position down to number twelve, and a 0:06:20.920 --> 0:06:22.520 lot of times, by the way, when you sloft down 0:06:22.520 --> 0:06:24.480 to the you sleft that position, you're the last one 0:06:24.520 --> 0:06:26.760 to take a tight end. You don't get twelve you 0:06:26.880 --> 0:06:29.640 ended up at tight end like sixteen seventeen eighteen in 0:06:29.640 --> 0:06:32.279 your rotating guys and you know, stuff like that. So 0:06:32.279 --> 0:06:34.440 it could be even more dramatic, it would be like 0:06:34.480 --> 0:06:36.720 thirty three going into next year. But he showed no 0:06:36.960 --> 0:06:41.560 signs of slowing down this passage, no signs of speeding up. 0:06:41.600 --> 0:06:45.000 Almost like he looked just as good as he ever has, 0:06:45.080 --> 0:06:47.760 if not better. So yeah, he's my M one oh one. 0:06:48.000 --> 0:06:50.760 Philadelphia has got a player who could go first overall, 0:06:51.800 --> 0:06:57.080 Jalen Hurts if you believe that there's still some upside 0:06:57.240 --> 0:06:59.159 for Jalen Hurts beyond what we saw this year. And 0:06:59.160 --> 0:07:01.760 this year he was, depending on your scoring system, the 0:07:01.960 --> 0:07:05.520 highest scoring quarterback or the second highest scoring quarterback despite 0:07:05.520 --> 0:07:08.039 missing was it three games I think he missed? He 0:07:08.120 --> 0:07:11.640 is a two or three two missed two games. Had 0:07:11.680 --> 0:07:14.800 he played a full season, Jalen Hurts probably would have 0:07:14.840 --> 0:07:17.760 been you know, a lock is the highest scoring quarterback. Now. 0:07:17.840 --> 0:07:19.240 The reason I think you can make a case for 0:07:19.320 --> 0:07:25.040 Jalen Hurts is because, again compared to sloughughing that position, 0:07:25.160 --> 0:07:29.080 his rushing makes him you're getting like a fifty percent 0:07:29.200 --> 0:07:33.640 bonus over the number twelve quarterback. You know, somebody of mobile, 0:07:33.720 --> 0:07:36.440 you know, like Jared Goff. Oh at least, I mean 0:07:36.480 --> 0:07:38.800 he had thirteen rushing touchdowns and like you just said, 0:07:38.800 --> 0:07:40.440 he missed two games that would have been the second 0:07:40.440 --> 0:07:45.000 most rushing touchdowns among running backs. Only Jamal Williams had more. 0:07:45.040 --> 0:07:48.239 He had seventeen. Then there's Ekeler and Derrick Henry had thirteen, 0:07:48.760 --> 0:07:52.280 had nine hundred and fifteen rushing yards. I feel like Hurts. 0:07:52.560 --> 0:07:55.200 Hurts had seven hundred sixty three and you could argued 0:07:55.240 --> 0:07:59.160 if you played those two games, he rushing yards on us, 0:07:59.240 --> 0:08:02.640 you get Austin color plus. Yeah, I although I obviously 0:08:02.640 --> 0:08:04.880 got all the receiving yards to go with it. It's 0:08:04.920 --> 0:08:07.120 he and Josh Allen are are right there. I mean, 0:08:08.240 --> 0:08:11.200 Hurts bulked up a little bit past season, but I 0:08:11.200 --> 0:08:14.520 don't know. Allen's just built a little He's got the 0:08:14.600 --> 0:08:19.360 bigger frames, way more muscular than Josh Allen is. They're 0:08:19.400 --> 0:08:22.280 different runners. They're very different. A little dough to absorb 0:08:22.400 --> 0:08:25.400 those all those hits though, But here's the thing. Hurts 0:08:25.600 --> 0:08:29.400 gets the ball inside the five a lot, and Josh 0:08:29.400 --> 0:08:32.760 Allen doesn't as much. He does some, but not as much. 0:08:32.920 --> 0:08:35.880 And I think that's you get touched down predictable touchdown 0:08:36.600 --> 0:08:39.079 rushing from Jalen Hurts more than you do. Josh Allen 0:08:39.280 --> 0:08:41.439 Hurts is gonna be my number one ranked quarterback last year. 0:08:41.559 --> 0:08:43.520 He was my number two going into this year. And 0:08:43.559 --> 0:08:45.760 he's got the better Hurts that is, the better uh 0:08:45.920 --> 0:08:49.559 weapons through the air. Brown Smith got her over he 0:08:49.800 --> 0:08:53.199 always does over digs and then pretty big drop off. Yeah, 0:08:53.240 --> 0:08:57.960 I agree with that. I think we'll see Alan Hurts 0:08:58.040 --> 0:09:00.240 and I think even Patrick Mahomes in the first round 0:09:00.240 --> 0:09:03.559 this year and in one quarterback weeks, maybe even Justin 0:09:03.600 --> 0:09:05.440 Fields will see what happens with him. But I think 0:09:06.679 --> 0:09:11.439 Justin the Fields will be an end vogue early second round. 0:09:11.480 --> 0:09:14.200 I think you're right because of the rushing they are, 0:09:14.240 --> 0:09:18.520 they're running back. Justin Fields led all quarterbacks in rushing 0:09:18.600 --> 0:09:20.920 yards and it's not close. And he missed a couple 0:09:20.960 --> 0:09:23.600 of games too, and it's the start to the season 0:09:23.720 --> 0:09:25.360 just brutal for him. You can almost just say, like 0:09:25.440 --> 0:09:27.880 his first five games, it's a great point they you know, 0:09:27.920 --> 0:09:29.640 they weren't. He wasn't doing much of anything. You know. 0:09:29.720 --> 0:09:31.600 Week one was the monsoon. Week two was a brutal 0:09:31.640 --> 0:09:34.480 match up with San Francisco. Didn't do much in those games, 0:09:34.480 --> 0:09:37.040 and Justin Fields came on so strong with the rushing 0:09:37.080 --> 0:09:42.680 after that. Alright, so we got one team left, Tyler 0:09:42.760 --> 0:09:46.800 boy in your world, yes, Jamar Chase. I mean, you 0:09:46.840 --> 0:09:48.960 know what's not to like about Jamar Chase. You could 0:09:49.000 --> 0:09:51.280 easily take him at with the first pick overall and 0:09:51.360 --> 0:09:55.400 just be happy that you've got Joe Burrows primary target. Yeah, 0:09:55.480 --> 0:09:58.719 and uh, well, we'll see what happens. I believe the 0:09:58.840 --> 0:10:02.400 Higgins is a free agent. I think he's got one 0:10:02.920 --> 0:10:05.600 and and the Electricizes fifth year option, but I think 0:10:05.640 --> 0:10:09.559 he's locked down for a while. Tee Higgins almost helps. 0:10:10.160 --> 0:10:13.240 Higgins is healthy. And you know, I've always kind of 0:10:13.320 --> 0:10:16.280 leaned it's it's Jefferson or Chase. Really, Cooper couple will 0:10:16.280 --> 0:10:18.600 be in that convo. So and he's you know, he's pushing. 0:10:19.040 --> 0:10:21.240 He's over thirty now, I believe, So it's really Chase 0:10:21.360 --> 0:10:24.280 or Jefferson to me. And Jefferson always seems like the 0:10:24.320 --> 0:10:26.360 safer guy, or at least go into this this year 0:10:26.800 --> 0:10:29.400 with the same ceiling, safer floor. But that's kind of 0:10:29.400 --> 0:10:33.400 flip flopped with Jamar Chase. Jefferson his head the bigger 0:10:33.480 --> 0:10:35.640 dud games this year than that than Chase has, and 0:10:35.640 --> 0:10:38.880 they both had those those high yes Spike week type 0:10:38.920 --> 0:10:41.240 of the other. The other part of it is, you know, 0:10:41.240 --> 0:10:45.720 and I like her cousins extremely capable quarterback, but you know, 0:10:45.840 --> 0:10:48.439 just the reality of it is Joe bros awesome. I mean, 0:10:48.440 --> 0:10:51.800 he's on a Hall of Fame level, uh start to 0:10:51.920 --> 0:10:54.240 his career. And if I got to hook my wagon 0:10:54.800 --> 0:10:57.600 to a thirty five soon to be thirty six year 0:10:57.640 --> 0:11:02.079 old quarterback or or Joe Burrow, who's gonna be whatever 0:11:02.120 --> 0:11:04.800 twenty six, you know, I just feel like I'm more 0:11:04.880 --> 0:11:07.559 I'm I'm might. I think I'm more settled with Jamar Chase, 0:11:07.559 --> 0:11:09.959 and I feel like that's a safer spot. Yeah, as 0:11:09.960 --> 0:11:12.440 of right now, the Vikings have to do something to 0:11:12.480 --> 0:11:16.560 address their wide receiver too, because it's not feeling they 0:11:16.640 --> 0:11:20.000 need someone who can stretch the field and just get 0:11:20.000 --> 0:11:23.480 the double teams, the bracket coverage off of Jefferson because 0:11:24.080 --> 0:11:26.520 it happened on a weekly basis, But so they need someone, 0:11:26.840 --> 0:11:29.920 they need a T. Higgins type of player to uh 0:11:30.120 --> 0:11:33.760 help pop the top. So then we talked about Jalen Hurts, 0:11:33.760 --> 0:11:37.000 Travis Kelsey, Christian McCaffrey, Jamar Chase. I think each one 0:11:37.040 --> 0:11:40.720 of them is the number one ranked player at their 0:11:40.760 --> 0:11:44.280 position at draft time next year, Justin Jefferson. It might 0:11:44.280 --> 0:11:46.280 be Justin Jefferson is the number one at wide receiver, 0:11:46.320 --> 0:11:48.720 but I think it's I think Jamar Chase Is could 0:11:48.720 --> 0:11:50.559 easily be that. But out of those four who do, 0:11:50.679 --> 0:11:53.600 I got Kelsey because they're allan Josh Allen is close 0:11:53.640 --> 0:11:57.920 to Hurts, Jefferson, close to Chase, echol or Barkley, close 0:11:58.000 --> 0:12:02.760 enough to McCaffrey. Nobody's closer to Right now, I'm on Kelsey, 0:12:02.840 --> 0:12:05.000 but I get the feeling I'm gonna be warming up 0:12:05.000 --> 0:12:08.200 to Jalen Hurts with my first pick next year. But 0:12:08.240 --> 0:12:09.880 I you know, but I get six months to change 0:12:09.920 --> 0:12:12.800 my mind on that. Let's break down some of these games. 0:12:14.280 --> 0:12:16.679 San Francisco, well some of them. How about both of them? 0:12:16.800 --> 0:12:21.079 San Francisco taking on Philadelphia. Get this, both of the 0:12:21.160 --> 0:12:25.720 quarterbacks in this game are younger than the cornerbacks who 0:12:25.760 --> 0:12:30.079 played in the College Football Championship Game this year. The 0:12:30.480 --> 0:12:34.800 quarterbacks quarterbacks, Yeah, well, steps in Bennet's like dirty, and 0:12:34.840 --> 0:12:37.079 then I don't even know the other guy. It's uh, 0:12:37.160 --> 0:12:40.200 it is yeah, it is crazy. And both quarterbacks in 0:12:40.240 --> 0:12:44.320 this game rock pretty Jalen Hurts career defining moments with 0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:49.000 major ramifications organizationally for themselves. You know, if Jalen Hurts 0:12:49.520 --> 0:12:52.480 puts up a great game here, I think he solidifies 0:12:52.520 --> 0:12:56.600 himself as a just a big spot playmaker and the 0:12:56.679 --> 0:12:59.559 long term solution for Philly a quarterback. If he I 0:12:59.559 --> 0:13:02.120 don't think it will. If Jalen Hurts goes belly up 0:13:02.120 --> 0:13:05.040 here and has a terrible game, then there's still gonna 0:13:05.080 --> 0:13:07.280 be some questions. If the passing is bad, he throws 0:13:07.400 --> 0:13:09.520 two or three picks, I think there's it's going to 0:13:09.640 --> 0:13:12.240 open up an off season of people saying they're not 0:13:12.480 --> 0:13:15.440 entirely sure about Jalen Hurts yet, but he can completely 0:13:15.520 --> 0:13:18.920 change the narrative. Brock Purty can set himself up as 0:13:19.000 --> 0:13:22.040 the Niners twenty lock twenty three starter. If he's not already, 0:13:22.520 --> 0:13:28.000 he could probably get himself a new contract because usually quarterbacks, 0:13:28.240 --> 0:13:30.840 if you roll into a season as your team's starting quarterback, 0:13:31.000 --> 0:13:33.480 they're not going to pay you as the seventh rounder. Yeah, 0:13:33.679 --> 0:13:36.640 if they win this game and it's not like if 0:13:36.640 --> 0:13:39.959 he plays, if he just manages this game and they win, 0:13:40.040 --> 0:13:43.880 he is the starter next can and and it signals 0:13:43.920 --> 0:13:45.800 the end of Trey Lance in San Francisco and the 0:13:45.840 --> 0:13:47.959 end of Jimmy Garoppol in San Francisco. Those guys will 0:13:48.000 --> 0:13:51.320 move on Land, so they'll both work their ways off 0:13:51.360 --> 0:13:53.440 that team, knowing they can't be starters, and they both 0:13:53.600 --> 0:13:56.160 both want to be starters, so I think they'll they'll 0:13:56.200 --> 0:13:59.880 find they'll find new homes. So I'm just massive implications here, 0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:01.600 And the last thing I'll mention before we dive into 0:14:01.600 --> 0:14:05.400 some of the individual matchups San Francisco Philadelphia. San Francisco 0:14:05.480 --> 0:14:07.439 is the best run defense, and it's not terribly close. 0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:09.680 Philly is the best past defense, and it's not terribly close. 0:14:09.720 --> 0:14:15.079 These are amazingly good defenses, particularly at those two things. Yeah, 0:14:15.160 --> 0:14:18.040 what's uh, what's the over under on this game? Forty 0:14:18.120 --> 0:14:20.600 five and a half and a half. Yeah, I kind 0:14:20.600 --> 0:14:22.760 of feel the under in this one. Well, you know, 0:14:22.840 --> 0:14:25.360 you can beat you can beat San Francisco through the air. 0:14:25.400 --> 0:14:26.960 You can beat Philly on the ground a little bit, 0:14:27.000 --> 0:14:31.240 although they've gotten a lot better at that. Um. I 0:14:31.360 --> 0:14:33.920 just I I there are some angles here that worry me. 0:14:34.000 --> 0:14:35.960 Do you think brock Purtty's do you think the other 0:14:36.000 --> 0:14:39.000 shoe drops on brock Purtty right here in a big 0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:42.280 spot in Philadelphia with a super Bowl on the line. 0:14:42.360 --> 0:14:44.440 I don't only call him a rookie anymore because it's 0:14:44.480 --> 0:14:46.080 the end of the year. He's been in the NFL 0:14:46.200 --> 0:14:50.000 a whole season, plus he's started half of the season essentially. 0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:53.720 But this is gonna be this is he has not 0:14:53.920 --> 0:14:57.520 experienced anything what quite like what he's walking into, going 0:14:57.600 --> 0:15:00.680 to play in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship game, him 0:15:00.680 --> 0:15:04.120 flying across the country, nonetheless, and in the I don't know, 0:15:04.520 --> 0:15:06.600 he's had road games, but he hasn't had played in 0:15:06.600 --> 0:15:09.240 a road game quite I guess the team like this. 0:15:09.280 --> 0:15:12.560 So if I had to, you know, if I had 0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:14.920 to pick the shoe falling off other shoe fallowing off 0:15:14.920 --> 0:15:16.720 for staying on, I would go falling off. And we 0:15:16.760 --> 0:15:19.880 shall see. It's a brutal match up. So um the 0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:21.800 line on this. By the way, his line the brock 0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:27.720 pretty line one yards. He's been under that number in 0:15:27.960 --> 0:15:30.480 five of his eight games. But more importantly, Philly has 0:15:30.520 --> 0:15:36.560 held opposing quarterbacks under thirteen of the last fourteen games. Yeah, 0:15:36.800 --> 0:15:39.760 imminently bettable for those that want to do so. Brock 0:15:39.880 --> 0:15:42.240 the brock pretty under on this, And then you know, 0:15:42.560 --> 0:15:45.000 keep in mind, here's Philly's past defense. You know, I 0:15:45.000 --> 0:15:47.120 said this is they're they're the best past defense, and 0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:49.720 it's not particularly close. Listen to this. Number one in 0:15:49.800 --> 0:15:53.320 net passing yards, number two in gross passing yards, first 0:15:53.400 --> 0:15:57.040 in sack percentage, first in yards per pass attempt, Number 0:15:57.080 --> 0:15:59.880 one in pass rush by Pro Football Focus. Number five 0:16:00.040 --> 0:16:02.800 past coverage by Pro Football Focus. They've got the great 0:16:02.800 --> 0:16:07.920 outside cornerbacks, Darius Slay, James Bradberry. It's just it's it's 0:16:08.000 --> 0:16:12.520 just it's such a great past defense for Philadelphia. It's 0:16:12.520 --> 0:16:14.040 gonna be Its gonna be a long day for Brock. 0:16:14.080 --> 0:16:15.960 I'm not saying that the Niners can't pull it off, 0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:18.800 but they're gonna need some their defense. They're they' don't 0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:22.120 have to hold Philly underwenty one points. Probably that's not 0:16:22.160 --> 0:16:26.520 an easy job, easy thing to do. Um Now, Avante Maddox, 0:16:26.600 --> 0:16:29.560 Philadelphia slot corner, may or may not play. We're waiting 0:16:29.600 --> 0:16:32.160 for final news on that. Particularly if he doesn't go, 0:16:32.560 --> 0:16:34.640 then I'm kind of intrigued about the wide receivers that 0:16:34.680 --> 0:16:36.640 line up in the slot, which is John Jennings and 0:16:36.680 --> 0:16:40.560 Deebo Samuel primarily, George Kettle stands in the slot. Um 0:16:40.560 --> 0:16:42.560 those are guys that could have a little bit more luck. 0:16:42.680 --> 0:16:44.280 The guy who's gonna be left out in the cold here, 0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:47.160 I think is Brandon I, who plays almost entirely outside, 0:16:47.880 --> 0:16:50.960 and that puts him into Bradberry slay. Get this last 0:16:50.960 --> 0:16:55.920 week James Bradbury gave up three yards in his coverage. Yeah. 0:16:56.000 --> 0:16:59.560 There was many catches made by the Giants receivers or 0:17:00.080 --> 0:17:04.040 players well, yeah, and including Richie James dropping a wide 0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:07.679 touchdown at the end of the game. That was a 0:17:07.760 --> 0:17:11.680 glorious garbage time opportunity. It was. I had touted him 0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:14.800 on visaon with Mitch and Polly um as At. He 0:17:14.880 --> 0:17:18.639 was plus three hundred and eighty for an any time touchdown, 0:17:18.880 --> 0:17:21.159 and I had touted him on Thursday, and I'm on, 0:17:21.520 --> 0:17:23.160 and you know, near the end of the game, like, die, 0:17:23.200 --> 0:17:24.760 he's not going to come through on this, And then 0:17:24.800 --> 0:17:27.480 there's that pass, but I'm like, we're gonna hit the 0:17:27.520 --> 0:17:34.439 plus three eight the old alligator arms. Let me give 0:17:34.480 --> 0:17:36.960 you one other Let me give you one other angle 0:17:37.240 --> 0:17:39.639 in this game that I like from a betting standpoint, 0:17:39.960 --> 0:17:45.760 Kenneth gainwell over seven and a half receiving yards in 0:17:45.800 --> 0:17:49.080 a nutshell. If you think the Eagles will complete one 0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:53.000 pass to their runners. This is a hit because Miles 0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:55.760 Sanders and Boston Scott just don't catch. Over the last month, 0:17:55.760 --> 0:17:59.280 they've combined for I'll catch. He's been targeted gain well, 0:17:59.280 --> 0:18:01.560 it's been targeted at least once in eight straight games. 0:18:01.560 --> 0:18:03.840 He's posted seven or more yards and six of the 0:18:03.960 --> 0:18:06.320 last seven games. And here's the best part. For as 0:18:06.320 --> 0:18:08.560 great as the Niners defense is, and it's obviously great, 0:18:09.080 --> 0:18:11.520 this is the one weird thing that they don't do well. 0:18:12.160 --> 0:18:16.359 Niners ran twenty six in receptions allowed to running backs 0:18:16.400 --> 0:18:19.679 and sixteen in yards allowed to running backs. The average 0:18:19.720 --> 0:18:22.040 running back game against them is five receptions for thirty 0:18:22.080 --> 0:18:24.159 or four yards. I need seven and a half yards. 0:18:24.520 --> 0:18:26.960 That's it. I need one fifth and give me one 0:18:27.000 --> 0:18:30.920 reception for eight yards and I'm set. That's all I 0:18:30.960 --> 0:18:33.760 need is one fifth of what the Niners normally give up. 0:18:33.920 --> 0:18:37.159 We'll get it. Kenneth game well over seven a half yards. 0:18:37.359 --> 0:18:41.000 My DFS play from this game is um deebo Samuel 0:18:41.080 --> 0:18:44.199 running from the slot. Again, I mentioned Avante Maddox may 0:18:44.280 --> 0:18:48.480 not go. His backup is hybrid safety Chauncey Gardner Johnson, 0:18:48.560 --> 0:18:50.919 who allowed six of eight passes to be completed on 0:18:51.000 --> 0:18:53.720 him last week, and Diebel Samuel is pretty cheap. I 0:18:53.760 --> 0:18:56.560 want to say he logged in right around five thousand bucks. 0:18:56.600 --> 0:19:00.480 He's way off people's radar. Finally healthy, mostly healthy at 0:19:00.520 --> 0:19:03.760 this stage. I kind of like Deebo Samuel here. I like, yea, 0:19:04.200 --> 0:19:06.720 his ownership should be uh somewhat low compared to the 0:19:07.000 --> 0:19:11.400 Jamaar Chases and the Vante Smith's j Browns of the World. 0:19:11.680 --> 0:19:21.560 I think so. I think, so, talk to me about Cincinnati, 0:19:21.640 --> 0:19:23.199 Kansas City. I got a couple of ankles, I like, 0:19:23.240 --> 0:19:25.440 but I want you to go first. Well, we gotta start. 0:19:25.560 --> 0:19:28.560 I wanted to start with Kansas City or since he players, 0:19:28.600 --> 0:19:32.560 but we gotta talk to Patrick Mahomes out of the gate. 0:19:32.640 --> 0:19:35.520 I suppose right there's video has surface throughout the week. 0:19:36.119 --> 0:19:39.439 He looks fine. He looks like he think he's trying. 0:19:39.520 --> 0:19:41.359 Is he trying to look fine? You think there's some 0:19:41.400 --> 0:19:45.639 showmanship here? There is. He's not putting, He's making it 0:19:45.680 --> 0:19:47.800 appear he's putting a lot of weight on that ankle, 0:19:48.400 --> 0:19:50.520 which I believe was his right ankle, right, yeah, his 0:19:50.640 --> 0:19:54.119 right ankle. Um. I think he'd be in trouble if 0:19:54.119 --> 0:19:55.520 you were to go out and play a game of 0:19:55.600 --> 0:19:57.360 hop scotch in the parking lot. Right now, I don't 0:19:57.359 --> 0:20:00.159 think he could execute in that man. I think he 0:20:00.160 --> 0:20:03.200 he's gonna be limited. He's so I don't think we're 0:20:03.240 --> 0:20:07.000 looking at uhcent Patrick Mahomes by any means. But we'll 0:20:07.000 --> 0:20:09.720 get to the the Kansas City side. I guess sort 0:20:09.760 --> 0:20:11.880 of a spoiler alert just because I don't know, We don't. 0:20:11.920 --> 0:20:14.160 No one knows how effective he's gonna be. I'm kind 0:20:14.160 --> 0:20:17.639 of staying away from any Patrick Mahomes props because pretty 0:20:17.880 --> 0:20:21.600 feels us so I won't be going there. But starting 0:20:21.640 --> 0:20:25.560 on the the Bengals side, I'm going back to the 0:20:25.560 --> 0:20:30.520 well with receiving props for running backs against the Chiefs, 0:20:30.760 --> 0:20:33.440 went with Travis e t N last week. It fell 0:20:33.560 --> 0:20:35.280 short of the nineteen and a half yards. He had 0:20:35.359 --> 0:20:39.840 eighteen yards like the first two drives, and then he 0:20:39.840 --> 0:20:41.920 didn't catch a pass the rest of the game. To 0:20:42.040 --> 0:20:44.600 Michael Has caught a pass. It was brutal. He but 0:20:44.640 --> 0:20:47.119 he was like he was trending in that direction. Didn't 0:20:47.160 --> 0:20:48.680 work out for for e t N. But I'm going 0:20:48.680 --> 0:20:51.040 with not Joe Mixon. I'm going with some j p Roun. 0:20:51.119 --> 0:20:53.080 I like his over at fifteen and a half yards. 0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:56.160 I mentioned this last week. The Chiefs allowed these second 0:20:56.160 --> 0:20:58.520 most receiving yards and running backs in the regular season 0:20:58.600 --> 0:21:01.960 forty six per game. Joe Mixon is the starter, but 0:21:02.080 --> 0:21:05.560 here the backups who have faced the chief since Week fourteen. 0:21:05.920 --> 0:21:08.040 Who would have hit this fifteen and a half receiving 0:21:08.119 --> 0:21:11.280 yard over. Marlon mack As sixty two receiving yards, Mike 0:21:11.320 --> 0:21:15.720 Boon twenty seven yards, DJ Dallas thirty two receiving yards, 0:21:15.760 --> 0:21:18.840 Chase Edmunds thirty nine, So backups getting it done through 0:21:18.880 --> 0:21:21.800