Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Time Now for Fantasy Football Weekly from my Heart Radio,
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation,
Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now,
Speaker 1: here's your host. Hey, it's Fantasy Football Weekly, Conference Championship Time.
Speaker 1: I'm Paul Charchy in my co host Brian Johnson. What's up, Charch? Hey,
Speaker 1: last week wasn't really the best weekend of football, wasn't
Speaker 1: you see? I did. I was nervous about them, like,
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be blowouts, and mostly they were,
Speaker 1: and then some of the games weren't as good as
Speaker 1: we had hoped, and I don't know, it turned out okay,
Speaker 1: was still playoffs football. Yeah, I guess like the Kansas
Speaker 1: City Jacksonville game was the best one. But is it
Speaker 1: crazy to think that if my homes didn't get hurt,
Speaker 1: that the Jaguars made the dance, maybe that game's got
Speaker 1: weird at that point. So you had Jamal Agnew I
Speaker 1: don't know what he was thinking. Oh, that fall, that hurt,
Speaker 1: that hurt. He said, so many big plays though throughout
Speaker 1: the course of the season they would have been in
Speaker 1: that game. You like that X factor on special teams
Speaker 1: and some offensive place. He doesn't have that that turnover
Speaker 1: deep in their territory. Who knows. I think could have
Speaker 1: been a little bit different. The rest of those games
Speaker 1: were pretty much did little Unfortunately. We're gonna break down
Speaker 1: the this week's games San Francisco at Philadelphia and of
Speaker 1: course Cincinnati at Kansas City. But I've got a couple
Speaker 1: ots and ends I want to I want to talk
Speaker 1: to you about fantasy football related. I want to start here.
Speaker 1: There's one player in each of the four remaining teams
Speaker 1: that could reasonably be taken first overall in next August drafts.
Speaker 1: Let me start with some of Let me start with
Speaker 1: the Chalky guys, the two Chalky guys. Let's start with
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey. Do you think he should go at pick
Speaker 1: number one next year? We talked about, you know, we
Speaker 1: we recasted the first round a few weeks ago, and
Speaker 1: I remember recall saying McCaffrey and I think Ekeler are
Speaker 1: the two running backs. We'll see you go in the
Speaker 1: first round. Maybe Barkley, but that's it. I think we'll
Speaker 1: see a lot of quarterbacks. I think, yeah, I think
Speaker 1: you're wrong, but you know, I'm I'm way more skeptical
Speaker 1: about there's so many people who just cannot not take
Speaker 1: a running back in the first round. You know, in
Speaker 1: every league, there's you know, half of the league can't
Speaker 1: imagine any scenario in which they would not take a
Speaker 1: running back in the first round, well regardless of where
Speaker 1: they go or how many go in the first round.
Speaker 1: McCaffrey certainly up there as RB one. I think it's McCaffrey,
Speaker 1: but I'm talking about the first final pick. I'm because
Speaker 1: I think there's gonna be a plethora of running backs
Speaker 1: coming back in the second and third round. I do,
Speaker 1: at least, I'm not gonna go running back first. Overall,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with one of the players I'm assuming
Speaker 1: you're going to get to in a minute here on
Speaker 1: another team. So you're on No. One, Christian McCaffrey, i'd
Speaker 1: be Um, I think it's a way risky or pick
Speaker 1: then I would normally put at that at that position,
Speaker 1: but I think there are gonna be some people who
Speaker 1: would who will take Christian McCaffrey at one. I won't
Speaker 1: do it, um, but you know there's a case to
Speaker 1: be made that you know, forty Niners, elite offense, it's
Speaker 1: always gonna be run heavy. Christian McAffrey is a great player,
Speaker 1: you know, great offensive line. There's gonna be lots of
Speaker 1: reasons why Christian McCaffrey can go first, and I bet,
Speaker 1: but next August he will be the consensus first selection.
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey. Not that I would do it, but I
Speaker 1: think America will do it. Let me give you this
Speaker 1: guy I mentioned again, a player from each of the
Speaker 1: remaining teams they could that could go first overall. Travis Kelsey.
Speaker 1: That's who I was alluding to just before. Yeah, he would.
Speaker 1: He's my first overall picking for years. We said, you know,
Speaker 1: we'd rather be a year get off a guy a
Speaker 1: year early before he falls off that clip. But we're
Speaker 1: really talking about running backs and wide receivers. We've had
Speaker 1: that conversation, not really a tight end. It's just I
Speaker 1: feel like we go over it every week. He's essentially
Speaker 1: two tight ends in one and and elite level production
Speaker 1: at that. I mean, he's a top five wide receiver
Speaker 1: that you get to play tight end, and there's no
Speaker 1: one comparable to him at his position. No, not Mark Andrews,
Speaker 1: not George Kittle, not Kyle Pitts yet, but it's it's
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey. And just because he the delta between him
Speaker 1: and tight End two is so huge, I will I
Speaker 1: will go down with the ship like if if one guy,
Speaker 1: I'll be like, I'll be holding onto him and we'll
Speaker 1: go off together. But running very Titanic. I've never seen Titanic,
Speaker 1: by the way, would you believe that? People don't believe
Speaker 1: me when I tell them that I've never either. We
Speaker 1: are we are some of the good ones I see.
Speaker 1: That's how I see it too. We're the good guys
Speaker 1: here that didn't see Titanic. For not seeing Titanic back
Speaker 1: in the day, I mean, I've seen bits and pieces
Speaker 1: because it's been on TV or whatever. But I don't
Speaker 1: know for James Cameron to have I don't know if
Speaker 1: temerity is the right word audacity to do a love story.
Speaker 1: But then the setting is the Titanic, like one of
Speaker 1: the greatest tragedies in American stuff. Makes it so great? Right?
Speaker 1: That's what people would say is that it's the whole
Speaker 1: point is that it's obviously not going to work out.
Speaker 1: You know, somebody's going to drown by even before you
Speaker 1: start the movie, you know, and yeah, how about this.
Speaker 1: James Cameron movies suck ass. And I'm including the current
Speaker 1: avatar in that they are terrible, objectively terrible movies with
Speaker 1: wooden characters who are absolutely stereotypes of whoever they're supposed
Speaker 1: to be. I think his movies are rub ish. Not
Speaker 1: the No Interest, not the Terminator. Terminator one is a
Speaker 1: pretty good movie. Terminator two is better than Terminator one.
Speaker 1: It is not. Terminator two is a deeply flawed movie.
Speaker 1: You know who's not deeply flawed? Terravis Kelsey. When you
Speaker 1: get Travis Kelsey, you it almost double the points of
Speaker 1: the number two tight end. And if you were to
Speaker 1: sloft the position, you were to go all the way
Speaker 1: down to the number twelve tight end, the last tight
Speaker 1: end in your league in this year that would have
Speaker 1: been Dalton Sheltz, you're at roughly triple or quadruple the
Speaker 1: fantasy points if you have Travis Kelsey from the guy
Speaker 1: who stleft that position down to number twelve, and a
Speaker 1: lot of times, by the way, when you sloft down
Speaker 1: to the you sleft that position, you're the last one
Speaker 1: to take a tight end. You don't get twelve you
Speaker 1: ended up at tight end like sixteen seventeen eighteen in
Speaker 1: your rotating guys and you know, stuff like that. So
Speaker 1: it could be even more dramatic, it would be like
Speaker 1: thirty three going into next year. But he showed no
Speaker 1: signs of slowing down this passage, no signs of speeding up.
Speaker 1: Almost like he looked just as good as he ever has,
Speaker 1: if not better. So yeah, he's my M one oh one.
Speaker 1: Philadelphia has got a player who could go first overall,
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts if you believe that there's still some upside
Speaker 1: for Jalen Hurts beyond what we saw this year. And
Speaker 1: this year he was, depending on your scoring system, the
Speaker 1: highest scoring quarterback or the second highest scoring quarterback despite
Speaker 1: missing was it three games I think he missed? He
Speaker 1: is a two or three two missed two games. Had
Speaker 1: he played a full season, Jalen Hurts probably would have
Speaker 1: been you know, a lock is the highest scoring quarterback. Now.
Speaker 1: The reason I think you can make a case for
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts is because, again compared to sloughughing that position,
Speaker 1: his rushing makes him you're getting like a fifty percent
Speaker 1: bonus over the number twelve quarterback. You know, somebody of mobile,
Speaker 1: you know, like Jared Goff. Oh at least, I mean
Speaker 1: he had thirteen rushing touchdowns and like you just said,
Speaker 1: he missed two games that would have been the second
Speaker 1: most rushing touchdowns among running backs. Only Jamal Williams had more.
Speaker 1: He had seventeen. Then there's Ekeler and Derrick Henry had thirteen,
Speaker 1: had nine hundred and fifteen rushing yards. I feel like Hurts.
Speaker 1: Hurts had seven hundred sixty three and you could argued
Speaker 1: if you played those two games, he rushing yards on us,
Speaker 1: you get Austin color plus. Yeah, I although I obviously
Speaker 1: got all the receiving yards to go with it. It's
Speaker 1: he and Josh Allen are are right there. I mean,
Speaker 1: Hurts bulked up a little bit past season, but I
Speaker 1: don't know. Allen's just built a little He's got the
Speaker 1: bigger frames, way more muscular than Josh Allen is. They're
Speaker 1: different runners. They're very different. A little dough to absorb
Speaker 1: those all those hits though, But here's the thing. Hurts
Speaker 1: gets the ball inside the five a lot, and Josh
Speaker 1: Allen doesn't as much. He does some, but not as much.
Speaker 1: And I think that's you get touched down predictable touchdown
Speaker 1: rushing from Jalen Hurts more than you do. Josh Allen
Speaker 1: Hurts is gonna be my number one ranked quarterback last year.
Speaker 1: He was my number two going into this year. And
Speaker 1: he's got the better Hurts that is, the better uh
Speaker 1: weapons through the air. Brown Smith got her over he
Speaker 1: always does over digs and then pretty big drop off. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I agree with that. I think we'll see Alan Hurts
Speaker 1: and I think even Patrick Mahomes in the first round
Speaker 1: this year and in one quarterback weeks, maybe even Justin
Speaker 1: Fields will see what happens with him. But I think
Speaker 1: Justin the Fields will be an end vogue early second round.
Speaker 1: I think you're right because of the rushing they are,
Speaker 1: they're running back. Justin Fields led all quarterbacks in rushing
Speaker 1: yards and it's not close. And he missed a couple
Speaker 1: of games too, and it's the start to the season
Speaker 1: just brutal for him. You can almost just say, like
Speaker 1: his first five games, it's a great point they you know,
Speaker 1: they weren't. He wasn't doing much of anything. You know.
Speaker 1: Week one was the monsoon. Week two was a brutal
Speaker 1: match up with San Francisco. Didn't do much in those games,
Speaker 1: and Justin Fields came on so strong with the rushing
Speaker 1: after that. Alright, so we got one team left, Tyler
Speaker 1: boy in your world, yes, Jamar Chase. I mean, you
Speaker 1: know what's not to like about Jamar Chase. You could
Speaker 1: easily take him at with the first pick overall and
Speaker 1: just be happy that you've got Joe Burrows primary target. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and uh, well, we'll see what happens. I believe the
Speaker 1: Higgins is a free agent. I think he's got one
Speaker 1: and and the Electricizes fifth year option, but I think
Speaker 1: he's locked down for a while. Tee Higgins almost helps.
Speaker 1: Higgins is healthy. And you know, I've always kind of
Speaker 1: leaned it's it's Jefferson or Chase. Really, Cooper couple will
Speaker 1: be in that convo. So and he's you know, he's pushing.
Speaker 1: He's over thirty now, I believe, So it's really Chase
Speaker 1: or Jefferson to me. And Jefferson always seems like the
Speaker 1: safer guy, or at least go into this this year
Speaker 1: with the same ceiling, safer floor. But that's kind of
Speaker 1: flip flopped with Jamar Chase. Jefferson his head the bigger
Speaker 1: dud games this year than that than Chase has, and
Speaker 1: they both had those those high yes Spike week type
Speaker 1: of the other. The other part of it is, you know,
Speaker 1: and I like her cousins extremely capable quarterback, but you know,
Speaker 1: just the reality of it is Joe bros awesome. I mean,
Speaker 1: he's on a Hall of Fame level, uh start to
Speaker 1: his career. And if I got to hook my wagon
Speaker 1: to a thirty five soon to be thirty six year
Speaker 1: old quarterback or or Joe Burrow, who's gonna be whatever
Speaker 1: twenty six, you know, I just feel like I'm more
Speaker 1: I'm I'm might. I think I'm more settled with Jamar Chase,
Speaker 1: and I feel like that's a safer spot. Yeah, as
Speaker 1: of right now, the Vikings have to do something to
Speaker 1: address their wide receiver too, because it's not feeling they
Speaker 1: need someone who can stretch the field and just get
Speaker 1: the double teams, the bracket coverage off of Jefferson because
Speaker 1: it happened on a weekly basis, But so they need someone,
Speaker 1: they need a T. Higgins type of player to uh
Speaker 1: help pop the top. So then we talked about Jalen Hurts,
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey, Christian McCaffrey, Jamar Chase. I think each one
Speaker 1: of them is the number one ranked player at their
Speaker 1: position at draft time next year, Justin Jefferson. It might
Speaker 1: be Justin Jefferson is the number one at wide receiver,
Speaker 1: but I think it's I think Jamar Chase Is could
Speaker 1: easily be that. But out of those four who do,
Speaker 1: I got Kelsey because they're allan Josh Allen is close
Speaker 1: to Hurts, Jefferson, close to Chase, echol or Barkley, close
Speaker 1: enough to McCaffrey. Nobody's closer to Right now, I'm on Kelsey,
Speaker 1: but I get the feeling I'm gonna be warming up
Speaker 1: to Jalen Hurts with my first pick next year. But
Speaker 1: I you know, but I get six months to change
Speaker 1: my mind on that. Let's break down some of these games.
Speaker 1: San Francisco, well some of them. How about both of them?
Speaker 1: San Francisco taking on Philadelphia. Get this, both of the
Speaker 1: quarterbacks in this game are younger than the cornerbacks who
Speaker 1: played in the College Football Championship Game this year. The
Speaker 1: quarterbacks quarterbacks, Yeah, well, steps in Bennet's like dirty, and
Speaker 1: then I don't even know the other guy. It's uh,
Speaker 1: it is yeah, it is crazy. And both quarterbacks in
Speaker 1: this game rock pretty Jalen Hurts career defining moments with
Speaker 1: major ramifications organizationally for themselves. You know, if Jalen Hurts
Speaker 1: puts up a great game here, I think he solidifies
Speaker 1: himself as a just a big spot playmaker and the
Speaker 1: long term solution for Philly a quarterback. If he I
Speaker 1: don't think it will. If Jalen Hurts goes belly up
Speaker 1: here and has a terrible game, then there's still gonna
Speaker 1: be some questions. If the passing is bad, he throws
Speaker 1: two or three picks, I think there's it's going to
Speaker 1: open up an off season of people saying they're not
Speaker 1: entirely sure about Jalen Hurts yet, but he can completely
Speaker 1: change the narrative. Brock Purty can set himself up as
Speaker 1: the Niners twenty lock twenty three starter. If he's not already,
Speaker 1: he could probably get himself a new contract because usually quarterbacks,
Speaker 1: if you roll into a season as your team's starting quarterback,
Speaker 1: they're not going to pay you as the seventh rounder. Yeah,
Speaker 1: if they win this game and it's not like if
Speaker 1: he plays, if he just manages this game and they win,
Speaker 1: he is the starter next can and and it signals
Speaker 1: the end of Trey Lance in San Francisco and the
Speaker 1: end of Jimmy Garoppol in San Francisco. Those guys will
Speaker 1: move on Land, so they'll both work their ways off
Speaker 1: that team, knowing they can't be starters, and they both
Speaker 1: both want to be starters, so I think they'll they'll
Speaker 1: find they'll find new homes. So I'm just massive implications here,
Speaker 1: And the last thing I'll mention before we dive into
Speaker 1: some of the individual matchups San Francisco Philadelphia. San Francisco
Speaker 1: is the best run defense, and it's not terribly close.
Speaker 1: Philly is the best past defense, and it's not terribly close.
Speaker 1: These are amazingly good defenses, particularly at those two things. Yeah,
Speaker 1: what's uh, what's the over under on this game? Forty
Speaker 1: five and a half and a half. Yeah, I kind
Speaker 1: of feel the under in this one. Well, you know,
Speaker 1: you can beat you can beat San Francisco through the air.
Speaker 1: You can beat Philly on the ground a little bit,
Speaker 1: although they've gotten a lot better at that. Um. I
Speaker 1: just I I there are some angles here that worry me.
Speaker 1: Do you think brock Purtty's do you think the other
Speaker 1: shoe drops on brock Purtty right here in a big
Speaker 1: spot in Philadelphia with a super Bowl on the line.
Speaker 1: I don't only call him a rookie anymore because it's
Speaker 1: the end of the year. He's been in the NFL
Speaker 1: a whole season, plus he's started half of the season essentially.
Speaker 1: But this is gonna be this is he has not
Speaker 1: experienced anything what quite like what he's walking into, going
Speaker 1: to play in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship game, him
Speaker 1: flying across the country, nonetheless, and in the I don't know,
Speaker 1: he's had road games, but he hasn't had played in
Speaker 1: a road game quite I guess the team like this.
Speaker 1: So if I had to, you know, if I had
Speaker 1: to pick the shoe falling off other shoe fallowing off
Speaker 1: for staying on, I would go falling off. And we
Speaker 1: shall see. It's a brutal match up. So um the
Speaker 1: line on this. By the way, his line the brock
Speaker 1: pretty line one yards. He's been under that number in
Speaker 1: five of his eight games. But more importantly, Philly has
Speaker 1: held opposing quarterbacks under thirteen of the last fourteen games. Yeah,
Speaker 1: imminently bettable for those that want to do so. Brock
Speaker 1: the brock pretty under on this, And then you know,
Speaker 1: keep in mind, here's Philly's past defense. You know, I
Speaker 1: said this is they're they're the best past defense, and
Speaker 1: it's not particularly close. Listen to this. Number one in
Speaker 1: net passing yards, number two in gross passing yards, first
Speaker 1: in sack percentage, first in yards per pass attempt, Number
Speaker 1: one in pass rush by Pro Football Focus. Number five
Speaker 1: past coverage by Pro Football Focus. They've got the great
Speaker 1: outside cornerbacks, Darius Slay, James Bradberry. It's just it's it's
Speaker 1: just it's such a great past defense for Philadelphia. It's
Speaker 1: gonna be Its gonna be a long day for Brock.
Speaker 1: I'm not saying that the Niners can't pull it off,
Speaker 1: but they're gonna need some their defense. They're they' don't
Speaker 1: have to hold Philly underwenty one points. Probably that's not
Speaker 1: an easy job, easy thing to do. Um Now, Avante Maddox,
Speaker 1: Philadelphia slot corner, may or may not play. We're waiting
Speaker 1: for final news on that. Particularly if he doesn't go,
Speaker 1: then I'm kind of intrigued about the wide receivers that
Speaker 1: line up in the slot, which is John Jennings and
Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel primarily, George Kettle stands in the slot. Um
Speaker 1: those are guys that could have a little bit more luck.
Speaker 1: The guy who's gonna be left out in the cold here,
Speaker 1: I think is Brandon I, who plays almost entirely outside,
Speaker 1: and that puts him into Bradberry slay. Get this last
Speaker 1: week James Bradbury gave up three yards in his coverage. Yeah.
Speaker 1: There was many catches made by the Giants receivers or
Speaker 1: players well, yeah, and including Richie James dropping a wide
Speaker 1: touchdown at the end of the game. That was a
Speaker 1: glorious garbage time opportunity. It was. I had touted him
Speaker 1: on visaon with Mitch and Polly um as At. He
Speaker 1: was plus three hundred and eighty for an any time touchdown,
Speaker 1: and I had touted him on Thursday, and I'm on,
Speaker 1: and you know, near the end of the game, like, die,
Speaker 1: he's not going to come through on this, And then
Speaker 1: there's that pass, but I'm like, we're gonna hit the
Speaker 1: plus three eight the old alligator arms. Let me give
Speaker 1: you one other Let me give you one other angle
Speaker 1: in this game that I like from a betting standpoint,
Speaker 1: Kenneth gainwell over seven and a half receiving yards in
Speaker 1: a nutshell. If you think the Eagles will complete one
Speaker 1: pass to their runners. This is a hit because Miles
Speaker 1: Sanders and Boston Scott just don't catch. Over the last month,
Speaker 1: they've combined for I'll catch. He's been targeted gain well,
Speaker 1: it's been targeted at least once in eight straight games.
Speaker 1: He's posted seven or more yards and six of the
Speaker 1: last seven games. And here's the best part. For as
Speaker 1: great as the Niners defense is, and it's obviously great,
Speaker 1: this is the one weird thing that they don't do well.
Speaker 1: Niners ran twenty six in receptions allowed to running backs
Speaker 1: and sixteen in yards allowed to running backs. The average
Speaker 1: running back game against them is five receptions for thirty
Speaker 1: or four yards. I need seven and a half yards.
Speaker 1: That's it. I need one fifth and give me one
Speaker 1: reception for eight yards and I'm set. That's all I
Speaker 1: need is one fifth of what the Niners normally give up.
Speaker 1: We'll get it. Kenneth game well over seven a half yards.
Speaker 1: My DFS play from this game is um deebo Samuel
Speaker 1: running from the slot. Again, I mentioned Avante Maddox may
Speaker 1: not go. His backup is hybrid safety Chauncey Gardner Johnson,
Speaker 1: who allowed six of eight passes to be completed on
Speaker 1: him last week, and Diebel Samuel is pretty cheap. I
Speaker 1: want to say he logged in right around five thousand bucks.
Speaker 1: He's way off people's radar. Finally healthy, mostly healthy at
Speaker 1: this stage. I kind of like Deebo Samuel here. I like, yea,
Speaker 1: his ownership should be uh somewhat low compared to the
Speaker 1: Jamaar Chases and the Vante Smith's j Browns of the World.
Speaker 1: I think so. I think, so, talk to me about Cincinnati,
Speaker 1: Kansas City. I got a couple of ankles, I like,
Speaker 1: but I want you to go first. Well, we gotta start.
Speaker 1: I wanted to start with Kansas City or since he players,
Speaker 1: but we gotta talk to Patrick Mahomes out of the gate.
Speaker 1: I suppose right there's video has surface throughout the week.
Speaker 1: He looks fine. He looks like he think he's trying.
Speaker 1: Is he trying to look fine? You think there's some
Speaker 1: showmanship here? There is. He's not putting, He's making it
Speaker 1: appear he's putting a lot of weight on that ankle,
Speaker 1: which I believe was his right ankle, right, yeah, his
Speaker 1: right ankle. Um. I think he'd be in trouble if
Speaker 1: you were to go out and play a game of
Speaker 1: hop scotch in the parking lot. Right now, I don't
Speaker 1: think he could execute in that man. I think he
Speaker 1: he's gonna be limited. He's so I don't think we're
Speaker 1: looking at uhcent Patrick Mahomes by any means. But we'll
Speaker 1: get to the the Kansas City side. I guess sort
Speaker 1: of a spoiler alert just because I don't know, We don't.
Speaker 1: No one knows how effective he's gonna be. I'm kind
Speaker 1: of staying away from any Patrick Mahomes props because pretty
Speaker 1: feels us so I won't be going there. But starting
Speaker 1: on the the Bengals side, I'm going back to the
Speaker 1: well with receiving props for running backs against the Chiefs,
Speaker 1: went with Travis e t N last week. It fell
Speaker 1: short of the nineteen and a half yards. He had
Speaker 1: eighteen yards like the first two drives, and then he
Speaker 1: didn't catch a pass the rest of the game. To
Speaker 1: Michael Has caught a pass. It was brutal. He but
Speaker 1: he was like he was trending in that direction. Didn't
Speaker 1: work out for for e t N. But I'm going
Speaker 1: with not Joe Mixon. I'm going with some j p Roun.
Speaker 1: I like his over at fifteen and a half yards.
Speaker 1: I mentioned this last week. The Chiefs allowed these second
Speaker 1: most receiving yards and running backs in the regular season
Speaker 1: forty six per game. Joe Mixon is the starter, but
Speaker 1: here the backups who have faced the chief since Week fourteen.
Speaker 1: Who would have hit this fifteen and a half receiving
Speaker 1: yard over. Marlon mack As sixty two receiving yards, Mike
Speaker 1: Boon twenty seven yards, DJ Dallas thirty two receiving yards,
Speaker 1: Chase Edmunds thirty nine, So backups getting it done through
Speaker 1: the air. These teams actually met in week thirteam Mixing
Speaker 1: did in play, so Peter Ran was a lead back.
Speaker 1: He did catch six balls for forty nine yards. Chris
Speaker 1: Evans chipped in with a one catcher eight yards and
Speaker 1: a touchdown. So, uh, Mixing will start this game, but
Speaker 1: it was kind of a It was a split backfield
Speaker 1: last week between p Ryan and Mixing. Pran caught five
Speaker 1: balls for thirty one yards, also saw seven carries, so
Speaker 1: total twelve touchdowns. I think we see more of a
Speaker 1: balance attack at running back in this game between Mixing
Speaker 1: and p Ryan, So I like the the over on
Speaker 1: the fifteen and a half receiving yards for j I
Speaker 1: do too. And I'll tell you what I just if
Speaker 1: if you were to just look at the film of
Speaker 1: p Ryan and the time you know his carries. We
Speaker 1: looked at all of p Rion's carries and all of
Speaker 1: the mixons carries throughout the Holy I don't think you
Speaker 1: could be convinced that Joe Mixon is the best running
Speaker 1: back on the Bengals right now. And Mixing was getting
Speaker 1: on the majority of the touches in the last few
Speaker 1: weeks of the regular season, but now I was I'm
Speaker 1: thinking it's because they wanted to keep p running the playoffs.
Speaker 1: So uh yeah, I expect p Ryan will will see
Speaker 1: thirty the touches about sixty of the snap, so I'll
Speaker 1: take that over fifteen and a half receiving yards. And
Speaker 1: I like, hey, didn't Hurst. So I do a lot
Speaker 1: of It's not I do a lot of props on underdog,
Speaker 1: where you just pick over unders and you gotta get
Speaker 1: them all right for how many you pick, and they
Speaker 1: offer fantasy points as one and in half PPR. So
Speaker 1: I like Hurst at over six and a half or
Speaker 1: six point nine five fantasy points on underdog. But for
Speaker 1: those who don't play underdog and just look at regular books.
Speaker 1: I like the over the thirty five and a half
Speaker 1: receiving yards against the Chiefs. Will have sixty yards per
Speaker 1: game to tight ends over the last five regular season games.
Speaker 1: Evan Ingram came up a little short last week. He
Speaker 1: only had thirty one yards, but he did catch five ball.
Speaker 1: That's that's good volume. And before her scored against the
Speaker 1: Bills last week. This is speaking to the over the
Speaker 1: fantasy points prop. Buffalo last surrendered to tight end touchdown
Speaker 1: in week twelve one season, So the earth broke broke that. Okay,
Speaker 1: Street ended that drought. So I like his chances to
Speaker 1: score and go over the thirty five and a half
Speaker 1: receiving anytime touchdown plus three twenty Yeah, I love it.
Speaker 1: I love that. And uh, did you it wasn't Hurst
Speaker 1: who was the first touchdown? Score? Did you see the
Speaker 1: kid who hit uh a four leg? Yeah it was,
Speaker 1: it was it was six digits hit on a five
Speaker 1: dollar bet. Yeah it was seventy yeah, yeah, yeah, he
Speaker 1: had uh first touchdown? He got all every game right,
Speaker 1: Kelsy got her Jamaar Chase and then Schultz. He there's
Speaker 1: the video of then watching him watching the I didn't
Speaker 1: see that. The Cowboys insane, Yeah, oh I bet, but
Speaker 1: pretty awesome. But yeah, I like that anytime. Call on
Speaker 1: Hurts and and yeah for sure and maybe the first time,
Speaker 1: why not? And one more for the Bengals, Joe Burrow
Speaker 1: over thirty seven and a half passing attempts. Uh. This
Speaker 1: seems a little too easy for him to hit. This
Speaker 1: mark the Chiefs only fourth highest opponent passing play percentage
Speaker 1: in the regular season Trevor Lawrence at thirty nine pass
Speaker 1: attempts against Casey last week and they didn't really possess
Speaker 1: the ball a Ton Jacksonville and uh, and the games
Speaker 1: prior in the regular season. Uh. Jared stid him thirty
Speaker 1: six pass attempts against Chiefs, Russell Wilson thirty eight, Geno
Speaker 1: Smith forty. So every opposing quarterback right in that range.
Speaker 1: And I think Earl hit that thirty seven and a
Speaker 1: half with ease over to the Kansas City side, up
Speaker 1: that peacock, because we're going back to the Neah Gray Well,
Speaker 1: I was just waiting. I got my Noah Gray over
Speaker 1: ten and a half yard sitting right here. Well, a
Speaker 1: tenant if you get ten and a half, that's great.
Speaker 1: I'm seeing twelve and a half. The line might move,
Speaker 1: but I like it at twelve and a half, certainly
Speaker 1: like it at ten and a half. UH said it
Speaker 1: last week he needed fifteen and a half. He basically
Speaker 1: needs a catch um to hit these overs and including
Speaker 1: last week, Noah Gray has caught at least one pass
Speaker 1: in seventeen of eighteen games this year. In his seventeen
Speaker 1: games with at least one catch, Gray has recorded at
Speaker 1: least twelve yards and thirteen of them and the games
Speaker 1: has fallen short. It's been like ten eight right there.
Speaker 1: So we gets uh at least one catch every game. UH.
Speaker 1: And for the record, he one of those games he
Speaker 1: went over twelve yards UH the season was against the
Speaker 1: Chiefs in week thirteen he at fifteen. I'm sorry against
Speaker 1: the Bengals in week thirteen at fifteen yards. So Noah
Speaker 1: Gray over twelve and a half. And if you get
Speaker 1: him at eleven a half or ten and a half,
Speaker 1: like you saw, love that look and see if it's
Speaker 1: if there's an updated line on Noah Gray. Quintin Morris
Speaker 1: seventy one yards against UH since the last week, Mark
Speaker 1: Andrews Josh Oliver at ninety nine yards against since two
Speaker 1: weeks ago, so tight ends about backup tight ends. Just
Speaker 1: in recent games, these backup tight ends have all hit
Speaker 1: the over. Charlie Koehler, John hu Smith, kde Oton and
Speaker 1: Noah Gray in Week thirteen hit the over. I know.
Speaker 1: It's just it's a good opportunity. He's he can get
Speaker 1: him at over ten and a half on points point bets,
Speaker 1: points points bet. Where's the number? That is a great number.
Speaker 1: I like that play if you can, you shop your
Speaker 1: props as always. And lastly, I'm sticking with tight ends
Speaker 1: and we'll go with it with the bigger name tight end,
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey. Anytime touchdown, UM, the one I'm looking at
Speaker 1: is just over point five touchdowns. That's the same as
Speaker 1: any any time touchdown. I just if Travis Kelsey is playing,
Speaker 1: I like his chances to score. He's a He didn't
Speaker 1: score in the week third team matchup, but he scored
Speaker 1: uh in two two previous games against the Bengals played
Speaker 1: him twice last year, once in the playoffs where he
Speaker 1: had ninety five yards in a touchdown, five yards in
Speaker 1: the touchdown in the regular season against the Bengals last week,
Speaker 1: and it's a reverse homecoming game and slash spike game
Speaker 1: for Travis Kelsey, who grew up in Cincinnati, went to
Speaker 1: the University of Cincinnati, and then they didn't draft him
Speaker 1: and they didn't draft him. So I want to revisit
Speaker 1: this draft from a tight end. Okay, the Bengals took
Speaker 1: Tyler if so Travis Kelsey went in the third round
Speaker 1: sixty overall. Quite the difference from where the Bengals took
Speaker 1: Tyler Effort in the first round twenty first overall. Effort
Speaker 1: was all right for a minute, clear mistake made by
Speaker 1: the hometown. The next time I adn't taken in that
Speaker 1: draft was Zach Ertz. The Eagles taken him to Yeah,
Speaker 1: pretty much worked out for It's been very good. He
Speaker 1: has good Obviously hindsight you would have taken Kelsey. But
Speaker 1: you can't hate that selection too much by the Eagles.
Speaker 1: But you can hate the Cowboys and the forty Niners
Speaker 1: selections at tight end before Travis Kelsey. Overall. Dallas takes
Speaker 1: Gavin Escobar instead of Travis Kelsey, which is about fifth
Speaker 1: team picks before Kelsey went, and then eight picks before
Speaker 1: Kelsey went to the Chiefs sixty overall. The San Francisco
Speaker 1: forty Niners select advance McDonald, vance McDonald overall out eight
Speaker 1: picks before Travis Kelsey. You know, you can do this
Speaker 1: with almost every great player. You can go back and
Speaker 1: look at the guys who you know the teams should
Speaker 1: have taken, and it's you know, it's it's such, it's
Speaker 1: it just goes to show it's not a science. You know,
Speaker 1: we look back at it and go wal dull, But
Speaker 1: it's not a science. It's really really hard to know,
Speaker 1: and teams throw, you know, thousands of hours and millions
Speaker 1: of dollars and trying to crack the code on on
Speaker 1: these drafts and make sure every pick is right. And
Speaker 1: it's not easy. So fu your favorite player, your debbie
Speaker 1: player goes later in the draft and you you were hoping,
Speaker 1: don't worry. Yeah, Area's gonna have a good Uh. Can
Speaker 1: I give you one more from Cincinnati, Casey, how about
Speaker 1: Jerick McKinnon under thirty and a half rushing yards um.
Speaker 1: The only reason that the only reason that this number
Speaker 1: the numbers as high as it is. I think it's
Speaker 1: because you ran for fifty one against the Bengals back
Speaker 1: in Week thirteen in that matchup. But everything else is
Speaker 1: screams under here. He's been held under thirty one rushing
Speaker 1: yards and four straight in sixteen of nineteen games. And
Speaker 1: Cincinnati has been a great run defense since they saw
Speaker 1: McKinnon in a week thirteen. They're giving up three point
Speaker 1: four yards per carry. That's it. McKinnon would have to
Speaker 1: carry the ball ten times ten rushes for McKinnon to
Speaker 1: get back to the to hit the hit the number here.
Speaker 1: So in those running back rules are clearly defined at
Speaker 1: this point in Kansas City, Checko is the better running back,
Speaker 1: McKinnon is the better receiver. Yes, there's a little crossover
Speaker 1: between the rules, but Checko is getting the carries and
Speaker 1: McKinnon's catches the most part of it, so he's not
Speaker 1: getting he's not. I don't think McKinnon's getting ten rushes
Speaker 1: in this game. So yeah, I mean, you know, maybe
Speaker 1: there's some scenario. Well, I mean there is a scenario
Speaker 1: where the Chiefs get way ahead early and run, but
Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't see it. I don't see
Speaker 1: that likely happening against Cincinnati. The Chiefs would love to
Speaker 1: run the ball forty times in this game if they could,
Speaker 1: but I don't I don't see that in the cars.
Speaker 1: They do that, they're gonna have to limit the hits
Speaker 1: that the homestakes because I think he's gonna be kind
Speaker 1: of a sitting duck. There can I do too. I
Speaker 1: wish it wasn't that way much, But we'll see. He's
Speaker 1: gonna play. Seems like he's gonna play, But I think
Speaker 1: he's gonna be a little gimpier than people. I think
Speaker 1: he's gonna be gimpier in this game than he was
Speaker 1: in the game he got hurt. Well, it's almost impossible.
Speaker 1: He was dragging his leg around. But I mean, you're
Speaker 1: you're stiffing up over time, especially over a week's time.
Speaker 1: And I know the adrenaline is pumping in that game.
Speaker 1: They I mean, they're probably gonna you know it's gonna
Speaker 1: be pumping. Is the pain killers they're gonna be giving
Speaker 1: him in that an That's what days are pumped full
Speaker 1: of those. His eyes will be a little dilated. It's
Speaker 1: very possible. Um, I uh so, who do you got winning?
Speaker 1: Who's your super Bowl? Here? I'm going I think the Bengals,
Speaker 1: just I don't. If Molomes was healthy, fully healthy, I
Speaker 1: would go chief, But I think the Bengals. They did
Speaker 1: it last year against the healthier mahomes. They won in
Speaker 1: games of City Sego the Bengals, and I just I
Speaker 1: don't see brock Purty beating the Eagles on the road.
Speaker 1: I'm with you, I've got the same teams. But what
Speaker 1: I like about this set of matchups everybody deserves to
Speaker 1: be there. I got no problem with any of these
Speaker 1: four teams finding their way to the super Bowl. And
Speaker 1: some years there's you know, there's some team that you
Speaker 1: just feel like caught some lucky breaks, isn't nearly as
Speaker 1: good as you know, whatever, it is, some team that
Speaker 1: you know just found its way there that doesn't feel
Speaker 1: like they actually or the team that belonged to be
Speaker 1: there even though they you know, they won, they won
Speaker 1: their games and they got there, but you weren't like
Speaker 1: that's I get the feeling. All four of these teams
Speaker 1: are really good teams, and there's no bad matchup that
Speaker 1: comes out of this, no matter who wins, no matter
Speaker 1: what cross section of who plays who. The Vegas line
Speaker 1: at opening is gonna be like three points, and they're
Speaker 1: all very evenly matched. That the four best teams are left.
Speaker 1: If you if you could put three A f C
Speaker 1: teams in the final four. I still don't think Buffalo
Speaker 1: is a better team than San Francisco or Cincinnati for
Speaker 1: that matter. I think the four best teams are left,
Speaker 1: and hopefully we see some good games. We probably will
Speaker 1: have no injuries, probably will Thanks for listening. You know,
Speaker 1: next week, I've got something on our list to do
Speaker 1: for next week, and I think it's um our lessons
Speaker 1: learned from last year. And then the week after that,
Speaker 1: we'll be previewing the Super bowls our final, our final
Speaker 1: live game of season. We're not going to break down
Speaker 1: the flag football game and uh kick kick tac too.
Speaker 1: They'll be playing gross and some other I don't know
Speaker 1: what they're gonna be. That's so dumb. How is Tyler
Speaker 1: Huntley participating in this? Yeah? I don't know that. That's bizarre.
Speaker 1: That is super bizarre. There's some other, some bigger snubs
Speaker 1: that I don't I don't want to get into the
Speaker 1: snub talk. Why, you know, why do we even have
Speaker 1: to have this? What is our have to even be
Speaker 1: an event? The players don't even want to do it.
Speaker 1: You know, it was bad enough it was in Hawaii
Speaker 1: and nobody everybody refused to go and there was like
Speaker 1: four people who showed up and we're going to the
Speaker 1: ninth string quarterback and all that. Why does there even
Speaker 1: have to be any events? Why do we need a
Speaker 1: skills competition and a flag football game? How many non
Speaker 1: contact injuries do we need to see? What we realize
Speaker 1: that they can still get hurt playing this flag football game.
Speaker 1: Remember back in the day when they would play the
Speaker 1: flag football on the beach shan football. Yeah, and that
Speaker 1: was the end of it. That could happen on nonstand too.
Speaker 1: I just don't think anybody cares about these things. I
Speaker 1: don't just don't really name your Pro Bowl teams and
Speaker 1: just let those guys bask in the glory of being
Speaker 1: Pro Bowlers, but they don't play a Pro Bowl. I
Speaker 1: don't think that's unreasonable. And flag football is dumb. And lastly,
Speaker 1: is really bothers me now is when you see these
Speaker 1: guys doing back flips after they win games, yeah, and
Speaker 1: sometimes after they score touchdown. If I was a general
Speaker 1: manager or owner of an NFL team, backflips certainly would
Speaker 1: not be allowed by any of my players. You'd have.
Speaker 1: That'd be a contractual obligation. They're better athletes in Bill Grammatica,
Speaker 1: Remember Bill grammatica those a cl celebrating after a field goal,
Speaker 1: celebrating a field goal. It was against the Giants too,
Speaker 1: I remember in the meadowlands and it was just like
Speaker 1: a meaningless gay like yah came down I could Yeah,
Speaker 1: So stop back back flipping everyone out there, no need.
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening everybody. We'll look forward to chatting with
Speaker 1: you next week and previewing the Super Bowl week after that.
Speaker 1: Bye bye. Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of I
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