WEBVTT - May 2025 MLB Futures Forecast (Ep. 699) 0:00:01.160 --> 0:00:04.320 All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros podcast. It's 0:00:04.400 --> 0:00:07.720 time to place your bets for the MLB's future markets. 0:00:07.760 --> 0:00:10.360 I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and today I am joined 0:00:10.360 --> 0:00:14.960 by some sensational baseball betters to revisit the MLB future odds, 0:00:15.000 --> 0:00:17.920 including the host of Leading Off and a guy who 0:00:17.920 --> 0:00:20.320 has a litany of big league players on speed dial, 0:00:20.440 --> 0:00:23.960 Chris Welsh, Akad Welsh Welsh. Thanks for taking time of 0:00:24.000 --> 0:00:26.319 your busy, important schedule to be here with us today. 0:00:26.320 --> 0:00:26.759 How are you. 0:00:27.200 --> 0:00:27.920 I'm doing great. 0:00:27.920 --> 0:00:29.840 You am very busy schedule hanging out with my dear 0:00:29.880 --> 0:00:32.639 friend Jackson Merrill, or last night hanging out with very 0:00:32.640 --> 0:00:36.360 dear friend Clayton Kershaw. Anyone on the backfields becomes a 0:00:36.520 --> 0:00:39.480 very very good friend of mine all around the baseball world. 0:00:39.479 --> 0:00:42.000 We're glad to talk, hopefully not about those guys, but 0:00:42.080 --> 0:00:42.760 some good bets. 0:00:43.040 --> 0:00:45.800 Absolutely. Also joining us is the top arm in our 0:00:45.840 --> 0:00:49.280 fantasy baseball bullpen, Joe Rico. Joe, Great to see you. 0:00:49.400 --> 0:00:51.760 How are things north of the border as summer approaches? 0:00:52.159 --> 0:00:54.120 Thanks for going pretty well, Seth. Great to do with 0:00:54.120 --> 0:00:56.440 this show with you guys. I've been looking forward to it. 0:00:56.480 --> 0:00:58.680 Some interesting players are going to be discussing today, I 0:00:58.720 --> 0:01:01.280 get to mention one of my favor a couple of 0:01:01.320 --> 0:01:02.760 my favorite players actually, so I'm not going to. 0:01:02.800 --> 0:01:04.280 Keep the people waiting. Let's just dive into it. 0:01:04.880 --> 0:01:08.120 Okay, Yeah, as Joe and Welsh mentioned today's show, it 0:01:08.120 --> 0:01:11.080 does look like this. We'll revisit the fallowing betting markets, 0:01:11.200 --> 0:01:14.600 MVP CY young season win totals, to make the playoffs, 0:01:14.600 --> 0:01:17.880 division winners, World series winners, and of course our favorite 0:01:17.920 --> 0:01:20.600 long shot futures. And before we get going, big shout 0:01:20.600 --> 0:01:22.640 to everyone who's joining us either on the Betting Pros 0:01:22.680 --> 0:01:25.319 YouTube channel or the audio feed. The easiest way support 0:01:25.400 --> 0:01:27.120 us is give this video a thumbs up if you 0:01:27.200 --> 0:01:29.880 enjoy this type of content and subscribe if you're new, 0:01:30.000 --> 0:01:31.960 and also make sure you're checking out the Fantasy Pros 0:01:32.080 --> 0:01:35.280 MLB YouTube channel. Well, you guys have been busy, to 0:01:35.319 --> 0:01:37.880 say the least, over there on that channel this year. 0:01:38.560 --> 0:01:40.240 Just as the lead, a lot of content out there 0:01:40.240 --> 0:01:42.840 on the Fantasy Pro side. You can see behind me 0:01:42.920 --> 0:01:45.320 on there, but make sure check out twelve pm Eastern 0:01:45.600 --> 0:01:47.520 Monday through Friday, we are on the live Met and 0:01:47.600 --> 0:01:49.520 Joe piece of PA for leading off where we do 0:01:49.520 --> 0:01:51.920 do some bets every single day for everybody, and then 0:01:51.920 --> 0:01:54.240 we got lots of other content for the fantasy side. 0:01:54.640 --> 0:01:56.640 But we got your betting covered and we got it 0:01:56.720 --> 0:01:57.080 right here. 0:01:57.400 --> 0:01:59.520 All right, let's go ahead and jump into the MVP 0:01:59.680 --> 0:02:02.160 picks in the L. In the NL, you can actually 0:02:02.240 --> 0:02:05.000 get show hey Otani add a better number plus two 0:02:05.080 --> 0:02:08.000 twenty five then you could preseason. And we also have 0:02:08.040 --> 0:02:10.679 some new challengers in the mix, including Kyle Tucker plus 0:02:10.760 --> 0:02:13.119 four twenty five, Corby and Carrol your guy Welsh plus 0:02:13.160 --> 0:02:16.280 six fifty and for Neando Tatis Junior plus seven to 0:02:16.320 --> 0:02:19.720 fifty as the only MVP candidates below ten to one. 0:02:20.200 --> 0:02:22.720 On the AL side of things, the books are saying 0:02:22.760 --> 0:02:25.080 us all but over right now, with Aaron Judge moving 0:02:25.120 --> 0:02:27.880 from plus three to ten as a favorite preseason to 0:02:27.960 --> 0:02:31.560 minus nine hundred after a blazing hot start. Welsh with 0:02:31.600 --> 0:02:34.320 this said, you already had a Bobbywitt Junior ticket in 0:02:34.320 --> 0:02:36.600 your back pocket. So are you staying in the AL 0:02:36.840 --> 0:02:39.160 or you're going elsewhere with your MVP value. 0:02:39.360 --> 0:02:41.160 We're gonna talk about the NL here, though, I will 0:02:41.160 --> 0:02:44.840 say this, if de Penning, what type of better you are? 0:02:44.880 --> 0:02:47.120 If you're going to be like value, If you're looking 0:02:47.160 --> 0:02:51.440 for what is my best potential value ROI return on investment? 0:02:51.720 --> 0:02:53.280 The al is ripe for it. 0:02:53.639 --> 0:02:56.400 Anything could happen, Judge could pair back, there could be 0:02:56.440 --> 0:02:58.520 an injury, and then all of a sudden, pretty much 0:02:58.560 --> 0:03:01.280 anybody you get on the ticket is going to start 0:03:01.440 --> 0:03:03.560 probably getting you into a cash out period. So a 0:03:03.600 --> 0:03:06.040 guy like Bobby Witt, who's the power, has been kind 0:03:06.040 --> 0:03:08.400 of down, but the batting average is still up. The 0:03:08.440 --> 0:03:10.440 offense is just starting to pick up. For the Royals, 0:03:10.639 --> 0:03:12.799 it's probably not a bad time anybody you can get 0:03:12.840 --> 0:03:15.120 more than ten to one, which is the entire al 0:03:15.639 --> 0:03:18.640 makes sense. Where I'm going to go, though, is I 0:03:18.639 --> 0:03:20.240 got to go to show Heyo Tani and I think 0:03:20.400 --> 0:03:22.520 that this is boring. I'm not as much of a like, 0:03:22.600 --> 0:03:26.000 go and get me the coolest, funnest twelve to one 0:03:26.080 --> 0:03:27.720 type of odds and let's see what happens. 0:03:28.000 --> 0:03:28.720 I'm looking at this. 0:03:28.680 --> 0:03:30.840 And I'm going this is the best odds that we 0:03:30.880 --> 0:03:32.440 are going to see, and we have seen on show 0:03:32.440 --> 0:03:35.280 Heyo Tani. If he starts pitching, that's going to open 0:03:35.360 --> 0:03:37.160 up the market. It's still the Dodgers. There's a lot 0:03:37.200 --> 0:03:39.800 of guys competing. But when you're getting close to three 0:03:39.840 --> 0:03:42.440 to one on a show Heyo Tani ticket. I mean, 0:03:42.440 --> 0:03:44.360 I guess it's closer to two to one either way. 0:03:44.520 --> 0:03:47.200 Plus money on Otani, it's got to be a bet. 0:03:47.240 --> 0:03:49.480 So I think that's an easy one to jump into. 0:03:49.800 --> 0:03:52.560 Ten homers, ten stolen bases. He's hitting a most three hundred. 0:03:53.440 --> 0:03:55.440 RBIs have been really low this season. That's going to 0:03:55.480 --> 0:03:57.640 pick up. And just if we're you know, looking at 0:03:57.640 --> 0:04:00.800 the profile of Otani, it's ridiculous. It's top like two 0:04:00.880 --> 0:04:03.920 percent tel across the league in his hitting metrics, So 0:04:04.400 --> 0:04:06.440 I expect the homers to fly. He's still going to 0:04:06.480 --> 0:04:08.480 be stealing bases and those RBI numbers are going to 0:04:08.560 --> 0:04:11.240 come up. And as the Dodgers keep winning games, Bam, 0:04:11.680 --> 0:04:13.880 it's a nice little two to one ticket. If I 0:04:13.960 --> 0:04:15.840 were playing it a little bit higher, I think the 0:04:15.960 --> 0:04:18.880 NL is ripe with some fun bets. Okay, A Rico's 0:04:18.920 --> 0:04:21.640 got a good one. Corbyn Carroll does stand out to me. 0:04:21.839 --> 0:04:24.320 HOMERSM is sad, Yes, I got Corbyn. Carroll's like right 0:04:24.320 --> 0:04:26.080 above me in a jersey, So there's a little bit 0:04:26.080 --> 0:04:28.839 of that. But at five and a half to one, 0:04:29.160 --> 0:04:30.360 Corbyn's been putting. 0:04:30.200 --> 0:04:32.480 Up an MVP like season. 0:04:32.600 --> 0:04:34.920 I mean, I'm not even sure that that's debatable. He's 0:04:35.000 --> 0:04:37.839 changed his swing, He's changed his approach. He no longer 0:04:37.920 --> 0:04:40.080 has some of those bad holes that he had in 0:04:40.120 --> 0:04:42.360 his swing. He's up to two eighty eight. He just 0:04:42.440 --> 0:04:44.839 went through a little bad spell. But the hitting profile 0:04:44.880 --> 0:04:49.520 also looks phenomenal. Ten homers, big homers, stolen bases have 0:04:49.520 --> 0:04:51.120 been light. I think those are going to pick up 0:04:51.360 --> 0:04:52.559 Diamondbacks win games. 0:04:52.560 --> 0:04:55.640 He is crucial to that actual piece of being an MVP. 0:04:56.360 --> 0:04:58.160 But I'm a little bit worried about the ups and downs. 0:04:58.160 --> 0:05:00.320 But if you want a good price, I think Corbin Carolyn, 0:05:00.360 --> 0:05:01.960 what he could do for this Diamondback teams at five 0:05:01.960 --> 0:05:03.839 and a half to one is kind of a fun play. 0:05:04.080 --> 0:05:06.160 But Shoe Heyo Tani at a little over two to one. 0:05:06.640 --> 0:05:09.520 That is my smash play on MVP betting. 0:05:10.080 --> 0:05:12.840 Joe, you're going with a different horse in this MVP 0:05:13.040 --> 0:05:14.480 race for the NL. Who is it? 0:05:15.200 --> 0:05:18.200 Yeah, Welsh mentioned him, Fernando Tattis junior. Now the line 0:05:18.200 --> 0:05:20.279 that you mentioned, Seth is different than the one that 0:05:20.320 --> 0:05:22.719 I saw. You're better because the one that I saw 0:05:22.839 --> 0:05:24.680 was plus five hundred plus six hundred. But you said 0:05:24.800 --> 0:05:26.719 it was plus seven hundred plus seven to fifty, So 0:05:26.720 --> 0:05:28.400 it might be a better line out there if you 0:05:28.400 --> 0:05:30.960 want to be shopping around the books. But Frando Tattists 0:05:31.000 --> 0:05:33.320 Junior is kind of reminding me of what Ronald Acunya 0:05:33.360 --> 0:05:35.800 Junior did a couple of years ago. You know, there 0:05:35.800 --> 0:05:37.600 had been some doubt with both of them about what 0:05:37.600 --> 0:05:40.560 they're going to look like off of some relatively big injuries, 0:05:40.600 --> 0:05:43.599 and then they're coming in and destroying the world. Now, 0:05:43.640 --> 0:05:45.840 not quite to the same level as what Acuna was 0:05:45.880 --> 0:05:48.239 doing a couple of years ago, but through thirty four games, 0:05:48.240 --> 0:05:51.320 Tattis has eight homers, eight steals in a three twenty 0:05:51.360 --> 0:05:54.000 one batting average with a career best one to sixty 0:05:54.040 --> 0:05:56.800 four WRC plus. And you've seen kind of some of 0:05:56.800 --> 0:05:59.839 those Acunya type of things. He's striking out last, he's walking, 0:06:00.120 --> 0:06:03.120 or he's still making incredible contact fifty five percent hard 0:06:03.160 --> 0:06:05.760 hit in the sixteen percent barrel rate. He's kind of 0:06:05.760 --> 0:06:08.360 looking like he's on his way to maybe not quite 0:06:08.440 --> 0:06:13.320 forty forty but forty thirty, forty thirty five maybe. And 0:06:13.400 --> 0:06:16.359 I think that considering the odds you're getting, it is 0:06:16.360 --> 0:06:19.080 a worthwhile bet to place is he the most likely 0:06:19.120 --> 0:06:21.640 to win MVP. I think it's gonna be either him, 0:06:21.960 --> 0:06:26.280 Kyle Tucker Otawani. One of those guys is more than 0:06:26.360 --> 0:06:27.760 likely to get it. But I think you're getting the 0:06:27.760 --> 0:06:30.039 longest odds with tatis. That does make it a really 0:06:30.080 --> 0:06:32.640 appealing bet considering he has essentially been doing what the 0:06:32.640 --> 0:06:34.760 other guy's been doing. You're just getting longer odds on him, 0:06:34.800 --> 0:06:36.440 and he's a guy who has the pat agree. We've 0:06:36.440 --> 0:06:38.960 seen him put up massive seasons in the past, the 0:06:39.080 --> 0:06:42.280 forty two homer season in twenty twenty one, his MVP 0:06:42.480 --> 0:06:45.440 worthy twenty twenty three, The numbers weren't quite there, but 0:06:45.480 --> 0:06:47.680 we've seen this kind of season from him before. It 0:06:47.720 --> 0:06:49.880 does seem like a couple of years remove now from 0:06:49.920 --> 0:06:52.240 all the shoulder problems and the ped worries, that he 0:06:52.320 --> 0:06:55.480 is finally having his true breakout season, and it wouldn't 0:06:55.480 --> 0:06:57.119 surprise me at all to see him take home MVP 0:06:57.240 --> 0:06:57.599 this year. 0:06:58.760 --> 0:07:01.560 Well, SHO, do you have any concern with Tatusa's injury 0:07:01.760 --> 0:07:04.160 history and that maybe that pops back up this season. 0:07:04.200 --> 0:07:06.720 That would be maybe the only thing that could possibly 0:07:06.960 --> 0:07:09.720 deter betters maybe from going away from this five to 0:07:09.720 --> 0:07:11.640 one or plus seven to fifty number whatever, you're getting 0:07:11.640 --> 0:07:12.960 it out there as sure. 0:07:13.000 --> 0:07:14.360 I mean, but I would say, like I think all 0:07:14.400 --> 0:07:16.640 these guys have there's some injury works. If Carol's had 0:07:16.720 --> 0:07:19.840 the shoulder injuries, obviously, if Hotani starts pitching again, I 0:07:19.880 --> 0:07:22.240 think there's something that's weird. There a weird thing that's 0:07:22.280 --> 0:07:24.400 happened too, is you know, I'm talking to Tani. I 0:07:24.480 --> 0:07:26.200 give you maybe there's a little bit of Carrol and 0:07:26.200 --> 0:07:28.480 then you got Tatis. You also have a divisional fight. 0:07:28.760 --> 0:07:30.960 The inn A West is really tough. Yes, you could 0:07:31.040 --> 0:07:34.000 have whoever just puts themselves at the top. If the 0:07:34.200 --> 0:07:37.360 if the Padres pushed themselves above the Dodgers somehow for 0:07:37.440 --> 0:07:39.720 the season, Fernando Tatis is going to be the guy 0:07:39.760 --> 0:07:42.000 that everyone's staring at. So where you finish in the 0:07:42.040 --> 0:07:44.880 division could be really important to it. And you know, 0:07:45.280 --> 0:07:47.679 just slightly, we haven't talked about Kyle Tucker. Kyle Tucker 0:07:47.800 --> 0:07:50.440 is performing at this level as well. He deserves to 0:07:50.480 --> 0:07:52.600 be in it. We're gonna have to watch where the 0:07:52.640 --> 0:07:56.760 Cubs go. The Cubs really a struggling rotation, and if 0:07:56.760 --> 0:07:59.000 they start to lose some games and lose a little 0:07:59.000 --> 0:08:00.880 bit of traction in that divis to the Brewers, it 0:08:00.960 --> 0:08:02.800 might hold him back. But yeah, I think there's a 0:08:02.800 --> 0:08:05.240 lot of injury worries across the board. And that's why, 0:08:05.280 --> 0:08:07.760 by the way, I don't get too caught in to like, hey, 0:08:07.800 --> 0:08:11.679 this is like the coolest value. Unfortunately in this betting 0:08:11.760 --> 0:08:15.280 market of MVP, Judge and O'tani are just walking in 0:08:15.600 --> 0:08:17.880 as not just like yes books odds on favorite, but 0:08:17.920 --> 0:08:19.800 like they've already got the advantage. So it's like, if 0:08:19.800 --> 0:08:21.880 they're performing at their level, it's going to take so 0:08:21.960 --> 0:08:24.600 much more for another guy to take it. That's why 0:08:25.000 --> 0:08:27.080 when you're getting plus you know, two to one money 0:08:27.080 --> 0:08:29.800 on Otani, when you're looking at Judge being like minus 0:08:29.800 --> 0:08:32.000 a thousand, Yeah, at this point, like it just makes 0:08:32.080 --> 0:08:32.920 a lot of sense. 0:08:32.679 --> 0:08:33.400 But injury worries. 0:08:33.440 --> 0:08:35.600 You got to play this all in and shop around 0:08:35.640 --> 0:08:37.720 on the books. You said, we already found some cool 0:08:37.720 --> 0:08:39.560 thing about betting pros is you can get all the 0:08:39.600 --> 0:08:42.000 lines of all the books in one place. You can 0:08:42.040 --> 0:08:43.880 go in and you can find the right books that 0:08:43.960 --> 0:08:46.800 also might let you pay out a little bit more 0:08:46.840 --> 0:08:49.040 throughout the season if you do those long odd ones 0:08:49.080 --> 0:08:51.360 and you want to cash out mid season. So shop 0:08:51.360 --> 0:08:54.160 all your lines over on betting pros for MVP or 0:08:54.200 --> 0:08:55.160 any of the other markets. 0:08:54.960 --> 0:08:55.839 We're about to talk about. 0:08:56.000 --> 0:08:59.079 Yeah, Fandal is definitely my favorite place to place future 0:08:59.120 --> 0:09:02.280 bets because they're always so aggressive in hedging and trying 0:09:02.320 --> 0:09:03.560 to get you cash buying out. 0:09:03.640 --> 0:09:03.800 Yeah. 0:09:03.920 --> 0:09:04.199 Yeah. 0:09:04.280 --> 0:09:07.040 So moving to the cy Young market. In the AL, 0:09:07.120 --> 0:09:09.959 the favorites remained very similar to what we saw preseason. 0:09:10.360 --> 0:09:14.160 Reigning Al Cy Young winner Tarique Scuball for the Tigers, 0:09:14.160 --> 0:09:16.200 He's moved from plus three to fifty down to plus 0:09:16.240 --> 0:09:19.600 two thirty. Garrett Crochet for the Red Sox, he went 0:09:19.600 --> 0:09:22.160 from plus five to fifty down to three to one. However, 0:09:22.200 --> 0:09:26.199 we did see Cole Reagan's injury see him be replaced 0:09:26.400 --> 0:09:29.160 by the Yankees Max Freed at plus five fifty and 0:09:29.320 --> 0:09:33.080 at the Astros Hunter Brown also plus five fifty. In 0:09:33.160 --> 0:09:36.400 the NL, your betting favorites are still Pittsburgh's Paul Skien. 0:09:36.559 --> 0:09:38.440 He's moved from three to one down to plus two 0:09:38.480 --> 0:09:40.360 to seventy. Kind of getting shit. I don't want to 0:09:40.400 --> 0:09:43.439 say shelled lately, but definitely some up and down performances 0:09:43.440 --> 0:09:49.160 from Skiens, but the Dodgers Yoshi Nobu Yamamito to the Reds, 0:09:49.640 --> 0:09:51.559 Hunter Green plus four to fifty. These are two other 0:09:51.600 --> 0:09:54.600 guys who've kind of joined this conversation. Joe, are you 0:09:54.800 --> 0:09:58.920 seeing any newfound value for who could be the best 0:09:58.920 --> 0:09:59.880 pitcher in baseball? 0:10:00.679 --> 0:10:03.760 I'm sticking with my guns from the preseason, and I've 0:10:03.800 --> 0:10:05.839 been kind of tied to this player for a while, 0:10:05.880 --> 0:10:08.760 and I've been pretty impressed with the early return. So 0:10:08.840 --> 0:10:10.920 I'm sticking with my guns and going with Jacob de 0:10:10.960 --> 0:10:14.960 Grom here getting at sixteen to one. You know, I 0:10:15.000 --> 0:10:17.360 know there are mixed opinions on Jacob de Gram, but 0:10:17.400 --> 0:10:19.120 what we've seen through seven starts is a two to 0:10:19.160 --> 0:10:22.679 sixty one era, a one zero zero whip. He's got 0:10:22.720 --> 0:10:24.920 a couple of wins already. Things are going well. The 0:10:24.920 --> 0:10:27.640 strikeouts haven't been quite where we'd expect them to be 0:10:27.720 --> 0:10:30.040 for Jacob de Grom. In thirty eight innings he has 0:10:30.080 --> 0:10:32.360 thirty six strikeouts, but those are starting to come along 0:10:32.400 --> 0:10:34.000 a little bit. I've mentioned this on a few different 0:10:34.040 --> 0:10:36.640 vetting pros and Fantasy pro shows that de Gram is 0:10:36.720 --> 0:10:39.120 kind of learning how to pitch again at a lower velocity. 0:10:39.160 --> 0:10:41.559 Instead of going ninety eight, ninety nine, one hundred, he's 0:10:41.600 --> 0:10:43.720 trying to sit more in the ninety six ninety seven 0:10:43.840 --> 0:10:46.839 range and limit his injury risk, and so far that. 0:10:46.880 --> 0:10:47.520 Is working out. 0:10:47.559 --> 0:10:49.480 Now, I think that is going to continue to work out, 0:10:49.480 --> 0:10:52.240 and as he continues to work at this level, he 0:10:52.320 --> 0:10:55.440 is going to improve. De Gram has been a max 0:10:56.120 --> 0:10:58.280 effort guy for his entire career, and I think that 0:10:58.320 --> 0:11:01.160 adjustment period is why we saw couple of shakier starts 0:11:01.240 --> 0:11:04.200 to begin the season. But now he seems pretty locked in, 0:11:04.600 --> 0:11:06.400 and I think we're going to continue to see these 0:11:06.480 --> 0:11:08.439 ratios at this same kind of level. He's going to 0:11:08.480 --> 0:11:11.200 have a mid twes era, maybe that whip dips below one. 0:11:11.240 --> 0:11:14.160 And I think considering the name value, considering the way 0:11:14.200 --> 0:11:17.160 that people this is not a statistical thing, but I 0:11:17.160 --> 0:11:19.640 think people kind of feel bad for Jacob de Gram 0:11:19.640 --> 0:11:21.480 a little bit that his whole career has kind of 0:11:21.559 --> 0:11:24.400 been his whole career, but the majority of his thirty's 0:11:24.400 --> 0:11:25.800 have kind of been cut out due to injury. If 0:11:25.840 --> 0:11:27.600 he's able to throw one hundred and seventy innings this 0:11:27.679 --> 0:11:30.240 year and give you a two four ERA and a 0:11:30.240 --> 0:11:32.400 one zero zero whip, I think there's gonna be a 0:11:32.400 --> 0:11:34.400 lot of voters who are going to be partial towards him, 0:11:34.400 --> 0:11:36.720 not just because of that. The numbers will also be great, 0:11:36.760 --> 0:11:38.320 I think, but there will also be part of that 0:11:38.440 --> 0:11:40.760 narrative that you need in these awards. Sometimes of de 0:11:40.840 --> 0:11:42.680 Gram is one of the best pitchers you've ever seen. 0:11:42.880 --> 0:11:44.679 He hasn't been able to stay healthy, but we can 0:11:44.679 --> 0:11:47.520 give him kind of one last hurrah here by sending 0:11:47.559 --> 0:11:48.600 him off with this third SiO. 0:11:49.280 --> 0:11:51.719 One thing I want to throw out why you might 0:11:51.760 --> 0:11:53.600 not want to feel too bad for Jacob deGrom. I 0:11:53.600 --> 0:11:56.960 think of this story my good Fernino Sarahs just told 0:11:57.120 --> 0:11:59.319 I think it was on foul Territory a month or 0:11:59.360 --> 0:12:01.560 so back about when he was a young reporter. He 0:12:01.640 --> 0:12:04.360 went into a locker room to interview Jacob de Gram 0:12:04.640 --> 0:12:06.480 and he said, oh, hey, do you have some time? 0:12:06.520 --> 0:12:08.760 And he's like, nope. And then Jacob de Gram sat 0:12:08.840 --> 0:12:10.960 down in a chair with a bag of chips and 0:12:11.200 --> 0:12:14.440 individually pulled out chips and stared at eno while he 0:12:14.840 --> 0:12:16.960 said he was too busy. So I don't think we 0:12:17.000 --> 0:12:19.240 feel too bad for Jacob d Gram. 0:12:19.440 --> 0:12:22.280 All right, Well, do you also like a long shot 0:12:22.520 --> 0:12:25.160 like a Rico's going or do you like maybe one 0:12:25.160 --> 0:12:26.200 of these heavier favorites. 0:12:26.760 --> 0:12:28.679 Okay, so in this smart. I'm still kind of boring. 0:12:28.760 --> 0:12:30.360 I'm just gonna throw that out here for it. You know, 0:12:30.360 --> 0:12:32.160 people want like the big numbers. But I will say this, 0:12:32.640 --> 0:12:35.400 if you're in a favorites market, I think it is 0:12:35.400 --> 0:12:37.800 actually a really cool idea to find something like this. 0:12:37.840 --> 0:12:40.040 So for example, Trek Scuble in the AL, if I 0:12:40.080 --> 0:12:42.320 were betting it, I think that's the play right now. Okay, 0:12:42.320 --> 0:12:44.000 I will say I kind of like Max Freed. Max 0:12:44.000 --> 0:12:47.160 Freed's already got six wins right now. He might end 0:12:47.240 --> 0:12:49.640 up pushing eighteen nineteen wins and that I think he's 0:12:49.679 --> 0:12:52.360 a sneaky one. But that wasn't my point. Jacob de 0:12:52.360 --> 0:12:55.280 Gram Jacob Gram at sixteen to one, betting a nice 0:12:55.280 --> 0:12:57.880 odds on favorite with a good stack and then having 0:12:57.960 --> 0:13:00.640 a sixteen to one if it does bounce like that, 0:13:00.720 --> 0:13:02.040 you know, if you're in the right market, you can 0:13:02.040 --> 0:13:04.720 buy out. It's a fun hedge in the cy Young place, 0:13:05.120 --> 0:13:07.120 so same thing in the NL. I'm kind of boring. 0:13:07.200 --> 0:13:10.559 I'm still on schemes. Even those skeens has been relatively 0:13:11.120 --> 0:13:14.040 like underwhelming overall. He's still got a two seven seven era. 0:13:14.240 --> 0:13:16.760 That's great, but he has more losses than wins right now. 0:13:17.080 --> 0:13:19.560 His K percentage is down. He was thirty three percent 0:13:19.640 --> 0:13:22.640 last year, He's only twenty four percent this year. Cap 0:13:22.720 --> 0:13:26.160 per nine has been down and things are inflated a 0:13:26.160 --> 0:13:28.240 little bit though, because he has got this weird thing 0:13:28.280 --> 0:13:31.280 against the Cardinals. He's given up fifteen earned runs as 0:13:31.280 --> 0:13:33.760 we are recording this. Seven of those earned runs have 0:13:33.760 --> 0:13:36.280 come against the Saint Louis Cardinals. They just own him, 0:13:36.400 --> 0:13:38.200 So I don't know really necessarily what at the end 0:13:38.200 --> 0:13:40.520 of the day that means, but there's some sometimes you know, 0:13:40.760 --> 0:13:43.760 teams just own a certain player, So if you know 0:13:43.920 --> 0:13:46.560 Zach Allen is doing that with any New York based team. 0:13:46.880 --> 0:13:49.240 But what I'm getting at is here, even in the struggles, 0:13:49.280 --> 0:13:52.120 even though Cardinals have kind of hit him up, CA 0:13:52.240 --> 0:13:55.240 percentage is down a bit, he has a better expected 0:13:55.280 --> 0:13:59.120 era than actual era right now, and the win should 0:13:59.120 --> 0:14:01.840 start stacking up. And he is still the most electric 0:14:01.920 --> 0:14:05.080 pitcher in baseball, and you're getting like almost three to 0:14:05.120 --> 0:14:07.720 one odds. So I think that's a really, really good play. 0:14:08.080 --> 0:14:10.160 But I think another guy that you could take a 0:14:10.160 --> 0:14:11.680 look at if you want to go to a higher market, 0:14:11.679 --> 0:14:13.400 and I think this one is a little misplaced, is 0:14:13.480 --> 0:14:16.640 Zach Wheeler. Zach Wheeler's got a three three five VRA 0:14:16.840 --> 0:14:19.640 right now through eight starts, only three wins to one loss, 0:14:19.920 --> 0:14:22.520 but as one of the best expected the rays in 0:14:22.560 --> 0:14:25.440 baseball at two three six, So that's a full run 0:14:25.960 --> 0:14:29.240 lower expected batting average on a monster of a team 0:14:29.480 --> 0:14:32.320 with the Phillies tons of runs support, and he has 0:14:32.560 --> 0:14:35.640 been one of the best pitchers in baseball eleven to one. 0:14:36.080 --> 0:14:38.000 So if I'm going to play that head, if this 0:14:38.080 --> 0:14:40.160 is what you like to do in this pitching market, 0:14:40.240 --> 0:14:42.840 I think Skeins is the play. You know, if he 0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:45.840 were if he had five wins and one loss and 0:14:46.240 --> 0:14:48.520 you know the Semira, but with like a ten k 0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:51.080 per nine, he would be minus like two fifty right now. 0:14:51.160 --> 0:14:53.480 I think Chris Sale's really struggling. He's bouncing back, but 0:14:53.520 --> 0:14:54.600 it's going to take a long time for a to 0:14:54.640 --> 0:14:56.960 bounce back. I think this is good value, and I 0:14:56.960 --> 0:14:59.040 think Zach Wheeler would be a hedge play at eleven 0:14:59.080 --> 0:15:00.520 to one that I would put in for Cy Young. 0:15:01.240 --> 0:15:05.400 Awesome some Pennsylvania based pitchers there for the Welsh in 0:15:05.480 --> 0:15:08.240 the Cy Young markets. Before we continue, don't forget to 0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:11.320 try out our Betting Pros Betting Systems tool, which is 0:15:11.320 --> 0:15:14.720 designed to help you find winning strategies and make smarter bets. 0:15:14.960 --> 0:15:18.880 Customize your betting systems by sport, bet type, and timeframe 0:15:18.960 --> 0:15:21.840 to find the best opportunities using real time data and 0:15:21.920 --> 0:15:26.160 expert analysis, track the performance of different betting systems over time, 0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:29.080 and optimize your bets to increase your chance of success. 0:15:29.400 --> 0:15:31.600 Download the bank Pros app today or go to bangpros 0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:34.840 dot com slash systems to elevate your betting strategy and 0:15:34.880 --> 0:15:38.480 start making smarter bets today. All right, let's go ahead 0:15:38.520 --> 0:15:40.960 and move into the heavier juice markets, like the season 0:15:41.000 --> 0:15:44.040 win totals or that to make the playoffs. Well, you 0:15:44.080 --> 0:15:45.960 already have a three to one ticket on the Reds 0:15:46.000 --> 0:15:47.840 to make the playoffs. How are you feeling about that? 0:15:47.920 --> 0:15:50.520 And what's your current favorite value for these markets? 0:15:51.800 --> 0:15:53.200 How am I feeling about that one? 0:15:53.760 --> 0:15:57.600 I'm I'm not like loving it because they're like halfway 0:15:57.600 --> 0:15:59.560 through the division, Cubs are kind of coming back brew 0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:02.120 I mean, listen, they're four back totally in the division. 0:16:02.120 --> 0:16:05.040 They're right there with the Brewers to make the playoffs. 0:16:05.040 --> 0:16:07.040 They're still a decent shot if one of those guys 0:16:07.040 --> 0:16:09.440 bounce back. So I would say I'm kind of middling 0:16:09.560 --> 0:16:11.560 on that. The Cardinals I think are going to taper 0:16:11.600 --> 0:16:13.640 back in Pittsburgh, so I mean like they're they're competitive 0:16:13.680 --> 0:16:16.120 in it. But when looking at this, I don't see 0:16:16.160 --> 0:16:18.600 a lot of tickets for like still to make the playoffs. 0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:19.640 But you can. 0:16:19.960 --> 0:16:21.800 I mean there's there's definitely a few that are still 0:16:21.800 --> 0:16:23.800 out there, but you're not going to find these big, 0:16:23.880 --> 0:16:26.200 crazy odds unless you want to play like a you know, 0:16:26.240 --> 0:16:28.840 a Pirates or something like that. But one that really 0:16:28.880 --> 0:16:32.920 stood out to me is the Boston Red Sox. I 0:16:32.960 --> 0:16:34.520 think this was over on I want to say this 0:16:34.600 --> 0:16:38.239 might have been on DK, but to make the playoffs. 0:16:38.240 --> 0:16:41.040 They're one of the few plus money plays out there. 0:16:41.080 --> 0:16:43.240 Plus one oh five for the Red Sox to make 0:16:43.280 --> 0:16:46.960 the playoffs. And you know, it's been competitive to a 0:16:47.000 --> 0:16:50.760 degree in the AL I mean the Ale Central, between Detroit, Cleveland, 0:16:50.800 --> 0:16:53.200 and Kansas City, they've all been monsters. They've got better 0:16:53.240 --> 0:16:55.280 records than anybody. By the way, all three of those 0:16:55.280 --> 0:16:57.840 teams have a better record than any team in the 0:16:57.880 --> 0:17:00.000 Ale East right now, which is crazy. 0:16:59.840 --> 0:17:01.120 But here's the deal. 0:17:01.200 --> 0:17:03.880