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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcasts podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go spreading the corn.

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Speaker 2: Ten seconds of eating it just goes throw off the basket,

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Speaker 2: under the basket.

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Speaker 1: It's the truth for the wind. God, they go a miracle.

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Speaker 1: I'm just it's up the water. Hit that one from

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Speaker 1: the parking lot. Shuck it all in Codge basketball.

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Speaker 2: It's not the size on the dog in the fight,

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Speaker 2: it's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 1: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast. This is the Conference Tournament Betting Preview

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Speaker 1: Part one, cover the NEC Horizon, Atlantic, Sun, Ohio Valley,

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Speaker 1: Big South of the Patriot League. I'm stuck in with

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Speaker 1: me as always on Mondays as Mike Calburys and BJ.

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Speaker 1: If you're listening to this, it might be March, although

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Speaker 1: today I'm mark is the official start of March because

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Speaker 1: we have conference tournament game. It's not the most exciting

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Speaker 1: conference tournament game between Fairly Dickinson and and Central Connecticut State,

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Speaker 1: but it is the start of conference tournaments. I'm excited.

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Speaker 1: I hope you're excited. What's going on, guys, Mike, how

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Speaker 1: goes it? It's great?

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Speaker 2: This is the time to get amped up about college basketball.

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Speaker 2: It's when you know, our village grows significantly. You have

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Speaker 2: those fans to come out of the woodwork who are

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Speaker 2: now ready to drink from the fire hose when it

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Speaker 2: comes to college basketball knowledge.

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Speaker 1: So you get people interacting with you on social media.

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Speaker 2: In real life, I can always say this is like

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Speaker 2: a weird badge of honor. But all my ex girlfriends

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Speaker 2: come out of the woodwork during March madness. They're like,

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Speaker 2: could you just give me some insight, maybe some Sleepers

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Speaker 2: Final four.

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Speaker 1: Picks, things like that. So that's always.

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Speaker 2: A way for me to know that it is mid

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Speaker 2: March and Selection Sunday is coming. So I'm gonna maybe

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Speaker 2: maybe shut down my dms for the week of Selection Sunday.

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Speaker 2: But other than that, I'm really excited about everything that's

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Speaker 2: the's coming our way, and Action Network is just going

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Speaker 2: to be, you know, cranking out content for the next

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Speaker 2: thirty days or so, so I'm happy to be a

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Speaker 2: part of it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and if you haven't checked out Mike's bracket, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna have some content on that. But I know that's

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Speaker 1: getting some traction on social It's a bracket of all

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Speaker 1: the greatest college basketball teams of all time. I already

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Speaker 1: saw some pushback on two thousand and seventh Florida. People

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Speaker 1: are thinking they're two low as a three seed, so

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Speaker 1: I'll be curious to see how that plays out.

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Speaker 2: It was really fun just putting it together because it

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Speaker 2: took such a long time to get all the rosters

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Speaker 2: set into the video game. College Chiefs two K eight

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Speaker 2: is how I simulated it to exactly calibrate it so

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Speaker 2: that teams would play at the right pace, they would

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Speaker 2: play with the right tendencies, and that you ended up

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Speaker 2: getting realistic outcomes. But this is really the fun part.

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Speaker 2: You know, before I release all the first round results,

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Speaker 2: you know fan bases having legitimate arguments just about who

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Speaker 2: should have come from their school, like Kentucky. I picked

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Speaker 2: ninety six Kentucky. You can make a solid argument for

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Speaker 2: twenty twelve, twenty fifteen. Those are the fun ones to

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Speaker 2: get into with the fan bases themselves, because there's gonna

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Speaker 2: be a lot of hurt feelings after the round of

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Speaker 2: sixty four, just because there's gonna be Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Good luck with dealing with some of the fan bases,

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Speaker 1: including Kentucky. BIJA, how excited are yourp.

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Speaker 3: Oh it's it's finally Harry Stick bragged by Mike by

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Speaker 3: the way, saying he actually had ex girlfriends. You know

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Speaker 3: statnerd like myself don't have too many ex girlfriends. But anyway, yeah,

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Speaker 3: it's uh, it's the best time of the year. I mean,

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Speaker 3: how can we all complain?

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Speaker 1: Yep, cannot wait. We're gonna we have six conference sorts,

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Speaker 1: so we're gonna have a bunch of episodes covering all

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Speaker 1: the conference tournams. There's a bunch that start this week,

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Speaker 1: so we'll cover six that start either today or tomorrow ANYCA, Horizon, Atlantic, Sun,

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Speaker 1: Ohio Valley, Big South, in the Patriot League, three man Weave.

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Speaker 1: They will have their normal episode on Wednesday. They'll cover

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Speaker 1: the conference tournaments that start I don't think I start

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Speaker 1: on Wednesday, but the ones that start on Thursday, and

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Speaker 1: then we'll cover a couple that start this weekend and

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Speaker 1: the next weekend. We'll have just a bonanza of episodes

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Speaker 1: early in the week that cover the rest of the

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Speaker 1: conference tournaments that start next week, including all of the

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Speaker 1: Big Boys. Before we get into those previews. Takeaways from

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Speaker 1: the weekend could be a rat if you want, or

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Speaker 1: just a high level takeaway DJ. I'll start with you

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Speaker 1: what he got.

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Speaker 3: I mean, it was the craziest weekend of college basketball

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Speaker 3: season long. Well, the top six seeds plus Texas Tech

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Speaker 3: goes down.

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Speaker 1: It's just added to the seven of the top ten

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Speaker 1: went down the first time ever.

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Speaker 3: Crazy insane, and I feel like the last few weeks,

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Speaker 3: I mean, there hasn't been, you know, too many like

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Speaker 3: crazy upsets, and they all just came in one week.

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Speaker 3: It was. It was insane, and it just adds to

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Speaker 3: the parody of March. I think Gonzaga going down was

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Speaker 3: maybe the more shocking one of the weekend for me

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Speaker 3: because I thought they were just completely dominant in cruise control.

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Speaker 3: They were just going to cruise by Saint Mary's and

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Speaker 3: losing by ten, only scoring fifty nine points. That is

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Speaker 3: a little concerning. Obviously they're probably gonna get a number

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Speaker 3: one seed. Still, I don't think that takes them out

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Speaker 3: of the one line, but definitely pushes me off Gone Zaga.

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Speaker 4: Come come March. We'll see, we'll see how it all

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Speaker 4: plays out.

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Speaker 3: But I mean the tournament is just going to be

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Speaker 3: complete parody with what happened this weekend.

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Speaker 1: Another shitty Saturday for me. No one wants to hear.

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Speaker 1: You know, it's process of results for me, but it's

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Speaker 1: you know, this is a it's a results orient of business.

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Speaker 1: And I had a shitty Saturday, but you know, good CLV.

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Speaker 1: It was like sixteen and six per shot quality but

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Speaker 1: a couple half quarters. I'm not gonna rat though, because

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Speaker 1: it's it's March. It's good vibes. We're putting in the

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Speaker 1: past and we hope to have a big March. But

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Speaker 1: what you said, Xavier, I think is broken. By the way.

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Speaker 1: They are just a downward spiral. Providence was exciting to

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Speaker 1: watch them despite all their luck at the dunk with

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Speaker 1: beers on the floor, get the Big East title. But

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Speaker 1: you you know you mentioned Saint Mary's windover Gonzaga. Arkansas,

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Speaker 1: by the way, picked up a huge win over Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: They stay hot since Arkansas went on this run which

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Speaker 1: we talked about last week when they started to get

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Speaker 1: really hot. Here's the top ten teams in order. This

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Speaker 1: is just for efficiency. Gonzaga one, Houston two, Arkansas three,

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Speaker 1: Duke four, Kentucky five, Texas Tech six, Kansas seven, Perdue eight,

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Speaker 1: Tennessee nine, Saint Mary's ten. So if you look for

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Speaker 1: some hot teams, trending up and just some dominant teams overall.

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Speaker 1: That's the top ten. Since I think January eighth might

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Speaker 1: take away from you.

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Speaker 2: Just quick grant, this is me checking myself. You have

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Speaker 2: to check your emotion at the door when it comes

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Speaker 2: to putting teams in the graveyard. To borrow Bjay's phrase,

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Speaker 2: I play Colorado, I think on Wednesday at home against

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Speaker 2: Arizona State, you know, on the money line as a

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Speaker 2: sweetener in a bunch of parlays, and they lay an

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Speaker 2: absolute egg and then they come back and they just

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Speaker 2: push Arizone around on their home floor. It's like that's

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Speaker 2: the kind of variance that you just have to prepare

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Speaker 2: yourself for and realize that it's going to happen. And

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Speaker 2: in a lot of these major conferences, the conference tournament

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Speaker 2: is wide open and you have to go into it

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Speaker 2: with an open minds at.

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Speaker 1: Least on life. Ay, look, we might have been disappointing,

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Speaker 1: but let's go. We have a chance to make something

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Speaker 1: of our season. And as you mentioned, you know, process

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Speaker 1: over results.

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Speaker 2: You also have to you know, watch some of these

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Speaker 2: games and not just right them off as like you know,

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Speaker 2: you were on the wrong side. It was a bad

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Speaker 2: play injuries, play a factory. You look at like UCLA

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Speaker 2: in their game against Oregon, I think it was that

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Speaker 2: Friday night. You know, they end up losing Juzang early

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Speaker 2: in that game. They had some foul trouble, They lose

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Speaker 2: Hakes down the stretch and they lose that game. And

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Speaker 2: that's a great w for Oregon. But big picture, it's

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Speaker 2: like you have to look at personnel. You have to

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Speaker 2: look at the circumstances in which these teams are losing,

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Speaker 2: and also their motivation. This is a funky time of

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Speaker 2: year for even for the mid majors coming into this

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Speaker 2: week where some teams had clinched so they didn't play

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Speaker 2: all their players. I got burned play in pen minus

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Speaker 2: one and a half against Dartmouth last second, Jordan Dingle

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Speaker 2: doesn't play. They have another guard that doesn't play. They

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Speaker 2: never released exactly why that happened. That's going to happen

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Speaker 2: a certain amount at the end of the regular season.

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Speaker 2: But to your point, it's a brand new season. You

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Speaker 2: got to wipe the slate clean to a certain degree

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Speaker 2: and kind of take a new look, you know, with

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Speaker 2: some fresh eyes for these teams that potentially could put

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Speaker 2: three or four wins together and seal an automatic bid.

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Speaker 1: All right with that, it's a good transition or good

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Speaker 1: lead into our conference. Certain preview, so let's kick things

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Speaker 1: off anyc the Northeast Conference toward in preview. This will

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Speaker 1: start tonight with Fairley, Dickinson and Central Connective State. That's

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Speaker 1: the only conference tournament game tonight. The higher seeds will

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Speaker 1: host all of the games throughout the tournament. The favorite

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Speaker 1: is Bryant. Brian is plus one twenty. The defending champ

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Speaker 1: is mount who upset Bryant on Brian's home court last season. Moult.

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Speaker 1: You know, maybe they're a little sleeper, but Chunk Kui

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Speaker 1: is gone. I think he was really important to them.

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Speaker 1: Brian is plus one twenty. They're the favorite to win it.

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Speaker 1: They are the top seed, so if they keep advancing,

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Speaker 1: then they will keep playing games on their home court.

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Speaker 1: I think that there's some value in Brian for a

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Speaker 1: couple of reasons, and I generally don't think that there's

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Speaker 1: value in some of these favorites in the lower tier conferences.

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Speaker 1: But I think Brian is head and shoulders. They're on

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Speaker 1: a roll right now. They're head shoulders about everyone else

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Speaker 1: in the conference. They got eliasa as back inside. Who's

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Speaker 1: really important. You have kiss and pride and you can

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Speaker 1: just go off. I think Peter Kiss leads the nation

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Speaker 1: and scoring right now. But more importantly, the other teams

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Speaker 1: in the conference are kind of dealing with some injuries.

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Speaker 1: You have Saint Francis Pa. Wagner just lost Elijah Ford,

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Speaker 1: who was just so important to everything that they were doing.

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Speaker 1: A lot of the advanced metric sites will have Wagner

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Speaker 1: rated ahead of Bryant and might make them the favorite,

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Speaker 1: but they're missing Ford and he is just so key.

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Speaker 1: Wagner Bryant split the regular season Wagner. In the one

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Speaker 1: game they did win, I think it was in overtime

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Speaker 1: early in the season. You know, Ford went off. He

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Speaker 1: had like sixteen eight, six, four and three. Just stuff.

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Speaker 1: This stuff is stat sheet, so I think that's huge.

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Speaker 1: I don't think Mountain is also dealing with some injuries

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Speaker 1: as well. While Island has some talent, they're a little intriguing,

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Speaker 1: but I think Brian has a relatively easy path with

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Speaker 1: Wagner kind of have to deal with each other to

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Speaker 1: the final. I think that the most talented team, they're

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Speaker 1: getting healthy at the right time. I think they have

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Speaker 1: upset loss of last year, and I think they go dancing.

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Speaker 1: Big fan of Grasso, so I'm roly with Brant in

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Speaker 1: the favorite here. Bj you have some thoughts on the NEC.

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Speaker 1: Do you agree or disagree? Yeah, I agree with you.

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Speaker 3: The injuries throughout the rest of the conference are just

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Speaker 3: too detrimental to all of these other teams, and like

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Speaker 3: you said, Brian is just head and shoulders above everybody else,

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Speaker 3: even if you look at shot quality. Wagner's been pretty

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Speaker 3: lucky this season. Losing Forward obviously is huge for them.

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Speaker 3: And what you kind of have to ask yourself, Okay,

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Speaker 3: if Bryant makes it to the final, are they going

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Speaker 3: to be They're not obviously not gonna be underdogs, so

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Speaker 3: you will have a good opportunity in the final if

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Speaker 3: you'd like to hedge potentially against Wagner lu Brooklyn. They

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Speaker 3: they're the hottest team I think coming into the tournament.

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Speaker 3: I believe they've won six their last seven or somewhere

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Speaker 3: around that, but they've only won four games on the

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Speaker 3: road all season long. They're horrible away from home, So

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Speaker 3: I agree with you. I think there is some value

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Speaker 3: on Bryant, who, like you said, is far and away

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Speaker 3: the best team in this league with all the injuries

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Speaker 3: for the other teams.

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Speaker 2: And that's the real shame with Wagner, because if they

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Speaker 2: didn't have these injuries, they're one of the few teams

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Speaker 2: in this conference that are really good on the road.

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Speaker 2: So like they had the right formul able to put

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Speaker 2: it together, but they need to be at one hundred

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Speaker 2: percent ends.

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Speaker 1: I think that takes the era of their balloon a

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Speaker 1: little bit right.

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Speaker 4: And Mount.

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Speaker 3: I actually did like Mount before all the injuries came along,

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Speaker 3: because I think there's slow tempo. Their zone could cause

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Speaker 3: Bryant some problems, which it did in both the matchups.

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Speaker 3: But again, the injuries are just too much to overcome,

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Speaker 3: especially going on the road, trying to play Bryant and

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Speaker 3: then trying to go on the road once again to

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Speaker 3: you know, win the tournament.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, I think it's Brian or nothing here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Long Island. There's still a little too

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Speaker 1: it consistent for me. I mean, Flowers and pen could

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Speaker 1: always go off. They did, as you mentioned, went six

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Speaker 1: straight close the regular season, but four at home, the

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Speaker 1: two on the road. One was against Mount and one

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Speaker 1: was against Saint Francis Pier. He was playing without Dixon Conover.

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Speaker 1: I don't know his status. He's massive for them. So

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Speaker 1: just a lot of teams that are shorthanded here. I

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Speaker 1: think that look and one thing you mentioned the line

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Speaker 1: in the final if you know, chalk holds throughout and

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Speaker 1: and Bryant gets there against Wagner. Wagner and by the way,

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Speaker 1: it's not the worst matchup for Brian. Bryant runs out

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Speaker 1: his zone, press will press you the zone and mcle

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Speaker 1: Island has struggled against both this season, and they just

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Speaker 1: are They're going to really miss forward at the top

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Speaker 1: of that zone that he can create. Let's really rimmor

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Speaker 1: liant offense. But if you look at that game on

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Speaker 1: Saturday when Bryant beat Wagner at home to close out

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Speaker 1: the regular season to get the one seed, that line

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Speaker 1: was opened at Bryant minus two and they closed I

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Speaker 1: think Bryant minus five, which I think the market was like, look,

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Speaker 1: this is not the same team. If you look at

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Speaker 1: the on off splits without with and without Ford, it's significant,

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Speaker 1: So you know, maybe the that line might close there again.

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Speaker 1: So I just don't think the market is accounting for

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Speaker 1: some of the injuries these other teams have had. You know,

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Speaker 1: Bryant getting healthy at the right time. I think they're

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Speaker 1: a little better inside this year than they were last year.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I think the Bulldogs get it done. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's move on to our second conference tournament, and let's

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Speaker 1: talk about the Horizon Tourney. Expand your gambling horizons. With

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Speaker 1: the Horizon League and the Horizon Tournament, you can generally

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Speaker 1: expect complete chaos, close game Whenever think of the Horizon.

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Speaker 1: It's like we've had at least in a ten seed

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Speaker 1: and an eight seed get to the final in recent years.

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Speaker 1: I feel like there's always like triple overtime games upsets

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Speaker 1: the lore, So this one should be fun. As always,

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Speaker 1: first round quarterfinals were played on the home court of

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Speaker 1: the higher seed, then the rest of the games were

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Speaker 1: played at Indianapolis. Cleveland State is the favorite at plus

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Speaker 1: two hundred Micha. Let me throw it to you to

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Speaker 1: get your thoughts on the Horizon. Expect the unexpected or

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Speaker 1: do you like one of the favorites here.

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Speaker 2: So one thing I like to look at is the

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Speaker 2: potential of teams and their path and what plays into

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Speaker 2: that as well is are they playing back to back

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Speaker 2: to back you know dates In this case, this tournaments

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Speaker 2: spread out March first, March third, the seventh, and the eighth,

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Speaker 2: So in terms of having the gas to complete, you know,

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Speaker 2: a four game run, it's possible it certainly you get

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Speaker 2: the benefit of that extra rest. And then when I

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Speaker 2: look at Cleveland State at the top here, they leaked

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Speaker 2: a little oil down stretch. They were two and three

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Speaker 2: in their last five and those two wins were against

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Speaker 2: UW Milwaukee and Green Bay, who they both stink. But

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Speaker 2: then on the positive side, they share the ball really well.

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Speaker 2: They're fourteenth in the nation in a system made basket

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Speaker 2: ratio affective field goal percentage thirty six nationally, but you

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Speaker 2: can kill them on the glass. They're three hundred and

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Speaker 2: third in defensive rebounding percentage, and they play these hectic

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Speaker 2: games where it's sloppy on both ends. They turn you

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Speaker 2: over and you can turn them over. So I do

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Speaker 2: think there's an opportunity for this to play true to

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Speaker 2: the script of the last few years in this in

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Speaker 2: this conference tournament, which is to have some chaos kind

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Speaker 2: of unfold.

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Speaker 1: So the teams are like I.

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Speaker 2: Like Wright State. You know, if you can get them

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Speaker 2: at FOURIDA, that's even better. They did lose both games

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Speaker 2: to Cleveland State this year, but the second one was

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Speaker 2: a four point game.

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Speaker 1: And really I'm looking for the.

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Speaker 2: Absolute ceiling when I talk about the potential outside of

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Speaker 2: the path, Like the potential is what's going to happen

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Speaker 2: if their top players play as well as they possibly can.

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Speaker 2: And you got Tanner Holden average in twenty and seven basels,

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Speaker 2: you know, close to twenty eight and a half rebounds,

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Speaker 2: and Track Calvin as the third option, shoots thirty seven

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Speaker 2: percent from three. Now, they're not strong on the road,

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Speaker 2: three and three in their last six on the road,

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Speaker 2: and defensively two hundred and seventy eighth an opposing shooting percentage.

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Speaker 2: So I'm not quite one hundred percent sold on their price.

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Speaker 2: But I do think if a team were to come

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Speaker 2: out of this and kind of surprise people could be

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Speaker 2: Right State now you want to talk.

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Speaker 1: Right doesn't have to win a road game to win.

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Speaker 1: To win this, They'll play a home game in the

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Speaker 1: quarters and then the rest are in Indianapolis. That is true,

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Speaker 1: and I do think, but they're still away from home.

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Speaker 1: It's a neutral site, right little exactly.

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Speaker 2: I do want to throw out, you know, two other teams,

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Speaker 2: one that I'm not sold on and I think it's bait.

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Speaker 2: You know, eleven to two, six to one, Oakland's not

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Speaker 2: for me. They've lost three their last four. Blown leads

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Speaker 2: to Wright State, blown reads to Northern Kentucky, and early

345
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Speaker 2: eight point lead against Fort Wayne and then they got trucked.

346
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Speaker 2: That's a team that, just like I, at this point,

347
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Speaker 2: they're fully a team I cannot trust, and I know

348
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Speaker 2: they have a lot to love. You know, they got

349
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Speaker 2: four starters pumping in over twelve per game. Canaan more

350
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Speaker 2: great the inside outside compo, but they don't shoot the

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Speaker 2: three all that well, and they're really bad inside of

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Speaker 2: fifteen feet defensively. But if there is a team outside

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Speaker 2: of the core, you know front runners that I like,

354
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Speaker 2: it's Detroit Mercy at fifteen to one. You know, they

355
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Speaker 2: started the season zero to six. They got it turned around.

356
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Speaker 2: They have a win over at Cleveland State and that

357
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Speaker 2: was a seven point wayIn and and near missed against

358
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Speaker 2: them a two point loss. Antoine Davis probably the best

359
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Speaker 2: player in this conference average in twenty four and almost five,

360
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Speaker 2: shoots close to thirty eight percent from three. He's somebody

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Speaker 2: can put the team on his back. And as I mentioned,

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Speaker 2: because it's not back to back to back. You know,

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Speaker 2: having to play those four games is possible for a

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Speaker 2: Titan team. Yes, they're awful defensively against the two point

365
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Speaker 2: shot three hundred and thirty fifth nationally, but they can

366
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Speaker 2: get hot from three fourieth and three point percentage if

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Speaker 2: they can find a way as a team to rebound

368
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Speaker 2: just a little bit better. Because this is the part

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Speaker 2: that scares the hell out of me. They're three hundred

370
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Speaker 2: and forty fifth of defensive rebounding percentage. So even if

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Speaker 2: they get a game where teams cannot find their shooting stroke,

372
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Speaker 2: they're given up second chance opportunities left and right. But

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Speaker 2: in fifteen to one, I'm willing to find out. What

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Speaker 2: are your thoughts on Detroit Mercy.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's the team I had circle for this.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna throw something on the fifteen to one or

377
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Speaker 1: better which is out there. And one of the things

378
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Speaker 1: with Detroit, look, I mean, they've been hard on the

379
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Speaker 1: road all year. They'd have to go and beat Right State.

380
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Speaker 1: I think they should get by Green Bay rather easily

381
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Speaker 1: in the first round, but who knows in the horizon,

382
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Speaker 1: but then they'd have to go to Right State. They

383
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Speaker 1: split with both teams won on each other's both teams

384
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Speaker 1: won at home in the season series. But yeah, I

385
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Speaker 1: agree you're getting You're getting one of the best players

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Speaker 1: in the conference who can go off on any given

387
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Speaker 1: night in Davis. And I think one of the things

388
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Speaker 1: with Detroit that you have to look at. And by

389
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Speaker 1: the way you mentioned you mentioned Oakland not a lot

390
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Speaker 1: of depth, which could hurt them if they get to

391
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Speaker 1: the final. You know, the three hundred and fifty seventh

392
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Speaker 1: in bench minutes. But they are very high variants teams

393
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Speaker 1: that to shoot a lot of threes. Someone give up

394
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Speaker 1: a ton of threes. But they won at Cleveland State,

395
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Speaker 1: so that could be a tricky game, and they should

396
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Speaker 1: breeze through. Iupuy and then you know, they get Cleveland State,

397
00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:26,320
Speaker 1: so they can knock off Cleveland State easily. I can

398
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Speaker 1: see that. So then all of a sudden, that one

399
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 1: seed is out. But yeah, I like Detroit, and I

400
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Speaker 1: think Detroit is undervalued in the market because I mean,

401
00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:38,000
Speaker 1: first of all, the start to their season is weighing

402
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Speaker 1: down a lot of their advanced betters because they were

403
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:43,479
Speaker 1: a horror show. I mean, they were as bad as

404
00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:45,560
Speaker 1: you can get. They've also had a lot of guys

405
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Speaker 1: in and out of the lineup, and they haven't been

406
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Speaker 1: fully healthy for almost the entire season. You know, No,

407
00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:53,800
Speaker 1: Waterman being back is huge. Stretches the floor, gives them

408
00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:56,800
Speaker 1: a lot of offense and helps out Davis Akek, who's

409
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Speaker 1: one of their other bestors. He hasn't played the last

410
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Speaker 1: six games. I'm count on him playing here. He was

411
00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:05,679
Speaker 1: questionable this weekend. I think that they were, you know

412
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Speaker 1: who held him out just to be cautious ahead of

413
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Speaker 1: the conference tournament. So you know, it's a team that

414
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Speaker 1: I liked what I saw down the stretch. And if

415
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Speaker 1: they have all their pieces in there and you have

416
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Speaker 1: Davis going off, he could go for thirty thirty five

417
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Speaker 1: any I, Yeah, I think that there's some value on

418
00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:23,760
Speaker 1: Detroit that if they can get by that, if they

419
00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:25,959
Speaker 1: can get by Right State on the road to think

420
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,320
Speaker 1: they do, They're gonna have to shoot well and their

421
00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:30,120
Speaker 1: defense is hard. But if they have all their pieces

422
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,520
Speaker 1: back and they can get by that game, they could

423
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Speaker 1: win this whole thing. So yeah, I think Detroit is

424
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Speaker 1: the team worth taking a flyer on it in a conference.

425
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Speaker 1: To me, that looks wide open, all right, that'll do

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Speaker 1: it for the Horizon let's move on to our third

427
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Speaker 1: conference tournament, and let's talk some Atlantic Sun as well.

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Speaker 1: While being on the Sun. The Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament,

429
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:03,080
Speaker 1: played on campus sites, starts Tuesday night. Defending champ Liberty

430
00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:09,080
Speaker 1: is the favorite, but I actually think Liberty is a

431
00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:10,960
Speaker 1: bit vulnerable here. This is a team that just never

432
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Speaker 1: lost at home in conference. They dropped the couple at home.

433
00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:17,159
Speaker 1: Their deef the pack line, defensive, they're pretty young. It

434
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,679
Speaker 1: just looks a bit vulnerable down the stretch. There's some

435
00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:23,679
Speaker 1: holes there. Now you have Darius McGhee, who, if you

436
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:25,920
Speaker 1: haven't seen him play, make sure that you check out

437
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:29,199
Speaker 1: Liberty in this tournament because he can carry them. And

438
00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:32,520
Speaker 1: he did it once again on Saturday. What they were

439
00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:34,600
Speaker 1: They looked like they were going to lose at home

440
00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:38,159
Speaker 1: to Kennesaw and they ended up winning in overtime. He

441
00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:40,920
Speaker 1: just saved them again. He's capable of going for forty

442
00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:44,560
Speaker 1: fifty a night. One of the most electric players in

443
00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:48,320
Speaker 1: all college basketball. But you know, they might be a

444
00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:52,600
Speaker 1: bit vulnerable here. Jacksonville's hot Jacksonville State might have the

445
00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:55,440
Speaker 1: most overall talent BJ What do you see here?

446
00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:58,919
Speaker 3: Yeah, I definitely agree that I think Liberty is very

447
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:00,840
Speaker 3: vulnerable here and I'm definitely staying away from them as

448
00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:04,119
Speaker 3: the favorite. Jacksonville State is interesting at their current price,

449
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:06,399
Speaker 3: you kind of have to ask yourself, Okay, are they

450
00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:09,920
Speaker 3: going to be higher than plus one sixty in the

451
00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:13,000
Speaker 3: in the conference championship game if they end up playing Liberty.

452
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:16,400
Speaker 4: If you know, I've ran the ken Pomp formula.

453
00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:18,200
Speaker 1: And basically Liberty will.

454
00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:20,639
Speaker 4: Be around minus one fifty. So them currently at plus

455
00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:22,119
Speaker 4: one sixty, you know, you get in a little bit

456
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:23,480
Speaker 4: of value there with them.

457
00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:25,879
Speaker 3: You know, they play a very slow tempo, and the

458
00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:28,480
Speaker 3: teams they're going to face throughout the entire tournament are

459
00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:31,640
Speaker 3: going to play slow tempos like Kennessaw State, probably Kannessas State,

460
00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:34,159
Speaker 3: then Jacksonville who plays one of the slowest paces in

461
00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:36,320
Speaker 3: the country, and then Liberty, who also plays slow. So

462
00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 3: they're not really going to get pushed in terms of

463
00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:42,119
Speaker 3: a tempo. But where I'm looking is a little bit

464
00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:45,520
Speaker 3: of a long shot. Florida Gulf Coasts Dunk City at

465
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:48,120
Speaker 3: twenty five to once finish the season winning seven of eight.

466
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:51,479
Speaker 3: Beat Liberty in overtime on the road, which is important

467
00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:54,359
Speaker 3: because first they play North Alabama, which they should breeze

468
00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:56,240
Speaker 3: by because they're going to be double digit favorites. Then

469
00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:58,280
Speaker 3: they go on the road to play Bell or Mine,

470
00:21:58,280 --> 00:22:00,680
Speaker 3: who is one of the worst defenses in the entire country,

471
00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:03,359
Speaker 3: and that game will probably most likely be around to

472
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:05,680
Speaker 3: pick them. And then they'll get Liberty on their own

473
00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:08,080
Speaker 3: again road again where basically anything can happen. We've talked

474
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 3: about Liberty. I believe it was the last Monday, but

475
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:13,399
Speaker 3: do for a little bit of shoot aggression. Shooting over

476
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 3: forty percent from three point range in conference play not

477
00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:19,480
Speaker 3: really that sustainable over a full season, especially when they're

478
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:23,280
Speaker 3: top ten and three point rates. So I really really

479
00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:25,639
Speaker 3: do like this Florida Golf Coast team potentially pulling off

480
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:27,040
Speaker 3: an upset, and then if you get to the final

481
00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:29,080
Speaker 3: and you have to play Jacksonville or jackson most State,

482
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:31,880
Speaker 3: you have a wonderful chance to hedge. So I'm going

483
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,360
Speaker 3: Florida Gulf Coast as a long shot at twenty five

484
00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:34,639
Speaker 3: to one.

485
00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:40,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you have with Florida the Gulf Coast

486
00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:43,359
Speaker 1: day they closed the year hot, it's a it's an

487
00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 1: inconsistent team maybe, but maybe they have found somethings. But

488
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:47,920
Speaker 1: you have tad On Don Martin, the Duqune Tredster, who

489
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:49,800
Speaker 1: is a guy who can get red hot in a

490
00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 1: tournament setting and carry you. I think when they beat Liberty,

491
00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:55,480
Speaker 1: he had forty forty something forty three point ye. Yeah,

492
00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:58,840
Speaker 1: he's capable of going thirty thirty five on any given night.

493
00:23:01,280 --> 00:23:04,760
Speaker 1: You're playing Tuesday, Thursday, Saturday, Tuesday, So there's some breaks

494
00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 1: in between here, which I think is important. Beller mean,

495
00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:11,000
Speaker 1: I don't see, and they'd have to get by Liberty.

496
00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:13,280
Speaker 1: It's just a terrible matchup for them because Liberty and

497
00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 1: their pack line defense army can't really run their offense.

498
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:19,159
Speaker 1: So I know that the two seed in the bottom

499
00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:21,480
Speaker 1: half of the bracket, I don't see it with them,

500
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,600
Speaker 1: and I could see Florida Gulf Coast beating them. To me,

501
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:27,200
Speaker 1: it's gonna come down to who wins. I'm trying to

502
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:31,200
Speaker 1: figure out if I'm super confident in Jacksonville State beating Jacksonville,

503
00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:35,280
Speaker 1: But Jacksonville's got hot late playing really good basketball, and

504
00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:38,280
Speaker 1: Jacksonville State just had a couple of stumbles that made

505
00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:41,399
Speaker 1: me question them. Because I really like this team coming

506
00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:44,040
Speaker 1: into the season. I like the coach. In a tournament setting.

507
00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:47,199
Speaker 1: We've seen that in UOVC in the past. So I

508
00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 1: think Liberty is vulnerable, and I think it's a good

509
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:52,720
Speaker 1: conference to maybe take a shot look. Florida glf Coast

510
00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 1: I think would make the most sense from one of

511
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 1: the teams playing in the first round, and then if

512
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,160
Speaker 1: you're not old on them, I would go either Jacksonville

513
00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:05,440
Speaker 1: or Jacksonville State. Mike, do you have any thoughts here now?

514
00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,160
Speaker 2: I'm just I'm all in on that Florida Gulf Coast play,

515
00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:11,760
Speaker 2: and I would love if I may have to drive

516
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:13,639
Speaker 2: to you know, cross state lines to be able to

517
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,320
Speaker 2: get player props. But if they play Liberty, I want

518
00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:18,399
Speaker 2: an over ninety total points.

519
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,920
Speaker 1: Between McGee and Florida Gulf Coast.

520
00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:24,640
Speaker 2: Go to point guard, because holy moly, can these guys

521
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:27,960
Speaker 2: light it up? And there's something extra special about mid

522
00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,640
Speaker 2: major scoring point guards that are under five to ten

523
00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:32,679
Speaker 2: that just, you know, really scratches a niche for me.

524
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:35,640
Speaker 2: But probably it comes down, you know, when it comes

525
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 2: to Dunk City. They need Kevin Samuel to stay out

526
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 2: of foul trouble and continue to alter shots and block

527
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:44,200
Speaker 2: shots in the lane because it gives a defense that's

528
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 2: otherwise pretty flawed at least some kind of a special angle.

529
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:49,840
Speaker 1: But that's that's the way I'm going to play this one.

530
00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:52,679
Speaker 2: I don't have a whole lot of interest across the

531
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,960
Speaker 2: board in the a Sun. I do have pretty good

532
00:24:55,960 --> 00:24:57,600
Speaker 2: faith in liberty to get it done. But if I'm

533
00:24:57,600 --> 00:24:59,200
Speaker 2: going to take a flyer, this is a fun team

534
00:24:59,200 --> 00:24:59,600
Speaker 2: to do it on.

535
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:01,880
Speaker 1: Let's move on to our next stop to order. Let's

536
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:05,719
Speaker 1: talk to Patriot League Conference tournament. Half the men in

537
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:10,400
Speaker 1: this church, including you, are as ardent Patriots as I will.

538
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:13,639
Speaker 1: You know when you are needed most stuff at only words.

539
00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:17,120
Speaker 1: Is that the sort of men you are. This one

540
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:21,280
Speaker 1: will of course be played on campus sites starting Tuesday night.

541
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:25,439
Speaker 1: Colgate is the clear favorite. I think there are minus

542
00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:27,960
Speaker 1: one to eighty five out there. They're the one seed

543
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:32,199
Speaker 1: on a roll. You have Boston and Navy in the

544
00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:35,440
Speaker 1: bottom half, you know, I mean Kolgate. Who if you

545
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:37,520
Speaker 1: look at the top half of Kogate, La Fayette fuck

546
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:39,920
Speaker 1: now playing in the eight nine, that's who played Kogate

547
00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:42,879
Speaker 1: the Lehigh Army. It's hard to see any one of

548
00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:45,520
Speaker 1: those teams taking out Kogate. But Mike, I'm gonna go

549
00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:47,560
Speaker 1: to you next. Maybe you see one of them with

550
00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:49,719
Speaker 1: some potential on the bottom half. It's a little more interesting.

551
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:51,400
Speaker 1: Navies the two seats. They'll play the winner of Holy

552
00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:54,679
Speaker 1: Cross American and then you have Boston and Loyola Maryland.

553
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:59,320
Speaker 1: Boston to me little has some Injurgue. They did beat Kogate,

554
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 1: but earlier in the year before Colgate got on a run.

555
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:05,480
Speaker 1: Can you make a case for anyone other than Colgate?

556
00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:08,359
Speaker 1: Is it worth laying minus one to eighty five with

557
00:26:08,520 --> 00:26:10,680
Speaker 1: Colgate here? What do you see, Mike?

558
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:14,320
Speaker 2: In short, Yes, it's definitely worth it laying. I mean

559
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:17,320
Speaker 2: I'd go up to probably minus two twenty five. I mean,

560
00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 2: listen the last four Patriot League tournaments, they're ten and two.

561
00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:23,080
Speaker 2: This is a veteran team. They play exactly as they

562
00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 2: have in recent years. They got five starters averaging double digits.

563
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:30,000
Speaker 2: Their absolute fire emoji from three point rage fifth nationally.

564
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:32,920
Speaker 2: They share the ball really, really well, sixteen and a

565
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:35,680
Speaker 2: half assist per game, that's tenth nationally, and all five

566
00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:38,880
Speaker 2: starters shooting thirty five percent or better from three. As

567
00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:40,960
Speaker 2: you mentioned, the path is just you know, tailor made

568
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,639
Speaker 2: for them. It's primo. They hammered Lafayette and Bucknell in

569
00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:45,480
Speaker 2: the four games. Then to go to the next round,

570
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:48,280
Speaker 2: Lee higher Army. Doesn't really matter. They're they crushed Army.

571
00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:49,960
Speaker 2: They split with Lee High, but that was by far

572
00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:52,159
Speaker 2: Lee High's best shooting night of the entire season.

573
00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:54,680
Speaker 1: Now, I think that was their first conference tournament game,

574
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:57,560
Speaker 1: right right, the first conference game of the year.

575
00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:00,360
Speaker 2: Looking at the rest of the board, like, I mean,

576
00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:03,000
Speaker 2: it's my alma mater, so I'll just mention Loyola, But

577
00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:04,960
Speaker 2: oh man, they are awful on the road. Three and

578
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:07,000
Speaker 2: eleven on the road, lost six to seven, don Streps,

579
00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:09,480
Speaker 2: so pass on them. And then when you look at

580
00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:12,159
Speaker 2: the two teams, the price is interesting on Navy. You know,

581
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:14,680
Speaker 2: six to one, they're going to play a much slower

582
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:17,560
Speaker 2: tempo and try to get Coldgate out of that groove.

583
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:20,600
Speaker 2: They're forty fourth in adjusted defense. They had a one

584
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:23,399
Speaker 2: point you know, differential with twenty five seconds against Colgate

585
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 2: the last time they played, so they were right there.

586
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:27,879
Speaker 2: And that was a game where you know, Colgate was

587
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:29,960
Speaker 2: able to shoot well from long range. So it wasn't

588
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:32,280
Speaker 2: a weird regression game for them.

589
00:27:32,560 --> 00:27:35,880
Speaker 1: And to be honest, like, I respect what Ed Chillis

590
00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:36,919
Speaker 1: has done with Navy.

591
00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:38,480
Speaker 2: You know, they get the one seed last year and

592
00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:40,639
Speaker 2: they ended up getting upset by you know Santi al

593
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:43,920
Speaker 2: Dama and Loyola, but you know, big picture, he inherited

594
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:46,000
Speaker 2: a mess in Annapolis and he's turned it around. The

595
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:48,679
Speaker 2: last five years, they finished third or better in the

596
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:50,080
Speaker 2: pack in the Patriot League.

597
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:50,720
Speaker 1: Five times.

598
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:54,399
Speaker 2: They play nine kids. You know, they have really nice depth,

599
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:57,040
Speaker 2: but John Carter Junior being their go to guy, I'm

600
00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:59,679
Speaker 2: just not sure I see him stringing together three wins

601
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:00,600
Speaker 2: in a row.

602
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:01,359
Speaker 1: So if I'm going to.

603
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:04,000
Speaker 2: Circle a team and play one that is not Colgate,

604
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:07,359
Speaker 2: it is Boston University for me. Great backcourt, Walter White,

605
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:11,600
Speaker 2: Javonte McCoy are solid players, but it really comes down

606
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:14,760
Speaker 2: to sup matone for me because much like last year

607
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 2: where the Greyhounds hitch their wagon to Santi al Dama,

608
00:28:17,680 --> 00:28:20,119
Speaker 2: this is a guy who when he faces Colgate, if

609
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:22,639
Speaker 2: they get there in the title game, he's someone that

610
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:24,800
Speaker 2: can need the difference maker because Colgate plays you know,

611
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,679
Speaker 2: four guards, and he can really bully you know, the

612
00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:30,480
Speaker 2: lower block and put up some big numbers. He's had

613
00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:32,800
Speaker 2: five Patriot Leg games this year where's gone for twenty

614
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:35,520
Speaker 2: plus and had a double double. That's really impressive. I

615
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:37,959
Speaker 2: think nationally he should be getting more credit and if

616
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:41,480
Speaker 2: Boston gets there. I like the Terriers, and certainly at

617
00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:43,520
Speaker 2: you know, plus five fifty, maybe you can get a

618
00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,960
Speaker 2: little bit better. There's great hedge opportunities. But this is

619
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,480
Speaker 2: Colgate's conference to lose, and because of the way they

620
00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:51,959
Speaker 2: structure this, and this is to be honest, just as

621
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 2: an aside, I think this is what mid major conferences

622
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:56,200
Speaker 2: should do. He gets such a huge bump if you

623
00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:58,000
Speaker 2: send your best teams to the Big Dance and they

624
00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:00,840
Speaker 2: get those wins. In terms of credibility, want to protect them.

625
00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 2: So the fact that they get to play on their

626
00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:05,800
Speaker 2: home court for potentially three games here this is similar

627
00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:07,560
Speaker 2: scripts I say, playing out with them winning it. But

628
00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:10,120
Speaker 2: plus five to fifty has my attention with the Terriers.

629
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, Boston did get swept by Navy during the year.

630
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 1: They did lose at home to Willa as well, but

631
00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:19,080
Speaker 1: then they rolled will so that's a little worrisome. But

632
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:22,880
Speaker 1: they really turned it on late, starting with that road

633
00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:25,840
Speaker 1: win at Loyola. You know, they had some head scratching losses.

634
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:28,200
Speaker 1: I mean, you lose at Buck Numen, it's just closed

635
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:31,320
Speaker 1: the season. They lost at home to Holy Crosss, but

636
00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:34,640
Speaker 1: their only other loss since middle of January was on

637
00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:38,440
Speaker 1: the road against Colgate. I agree. I think Boston has

638
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 1: the potential and the highest ceiling if they're playing at

639
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:44,600
Speaker 1: their best. I just wish I was getting a little

640
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:48,720
Speaker 1: more than plus five point fifty, but I think it's yeah.

641
00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:50,440
Speaker 1: I think you're either laying it here or taking a

642
00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:53,200
Speaker 1: shot with Boston. So we're on the same page there.

643
00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:56,880
Speaker 1: All right, Let's move on to our next conference tournament.

644
00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:13,040
Speaker 1: Let's go to the OV the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament. Mike,

645
00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:15,800
Speaker 1: you just mentioned you want to reward team your best

646
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:18,120
Speaker 1: teams and get them in to the dance to give

647
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:21,680
Speaker 1: your conference the best shot of racking up wins. The

648
00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:24,960
Speaker 1: NBC does that. Mary State and Belmont, the top two seeds,

649
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:29,000
Speaker 1: have double buys into the semi fives, so they won't

650
00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:31,480
Speaker 1: have to play till Friday. You know, if you're Tennessee

651
00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:34,040
Speaker 1: State or Edwardsville or Austin p or Tennessee Tech, you

652
00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 1: gotta win four games, whereas Mary State or Belmont have

653
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:44,000
Speaker 1: to win two. Mary State was an absolute wagon during

654
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:47,840
Speaker 1: the conference season. They lost two games all year. They

655
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:50,200
Speaker 1: lost to Auburn and then they lost to East Tennessee

656
00:30:50,240 --> 00:30:54,520
Speaker 1: State early in the season, swept the league and man

657
00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:56,240
Speaker 1: they did. They looked good. I did not think that

658
00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:59,520
Speaker 1: Murray State was going to be this good this year,

659
00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:01,320
Speaker 1: so they have it obviously have a pretty easy path.

660
00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:04,720
Speaker 1: They play, you know, the winner of Southeast Missouri State

661
00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:07,520
Speaker 1: and then either Tennessee State or Edwardsville. Southeast Missouri State

662
00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:10,280
Speaker 1: could get hot from three a man a high variance team,

663
00:31:10,360 --> 00:31:14,600
Speaker 1: but it's hard to see Mary State going down before

664
00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:19,200
Speaker 1: the final. And by the way, this is uh everything

665
00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:22,600
Speaker 1: all these games will we played in Evansville. On the

666
00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:24,600
Speaker 1: bottom half is a little more intriguing. You know, you

667
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 1: have Austin p taking on Tennessee Tech. The winner of

668
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:30,080
Speaker 1: that game will play Morehead State and then if Chalk holds,

669
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:32,640
Speaker 1: Morehead State will play Belmont in the semi finals. And

670
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:36,000
Speaker 1: Morehead State has kind of had Belmont's number over the

671
00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:40,000
Speaker 1: past years. Belmont did finally get them by one at

672
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:42,840
Speaker 1: home in a game it probably should have lost Morehead

673
00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:46,120
Speaker 1: one easily earlier in the season. Last year, more had

674
00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:48,120
Speaker 1: they split in the regular season. The Morehead beat them

675
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:51,240
Speaker 1: on the conference a conference swine with the Eagles ended

676
00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 1: up winning broom inside really athletic team. That's where they

677
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:58,400
Speaker 1: kind of overwhelmed Belmont with their athleticism advantage. Morehead and

678
00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:02,160
Speaker 1: Mary would be in freaking final, so would Belmont Mary.

679
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,160
Speaker 1: But Murray just looks like the class of this conference.

680
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:07,600
Speaker 1: I don't see any value with Belmont just this isn't

681
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 1: this isn't a revntage Belmont team. And look they they

682
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 1: just don't match up well with Morehead State BJ. What

683
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:14,800
Speaker 1: do you see here?

684
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:17,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, I love Morehead State at eight to one.

685
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:20,520
Speaker 3: You know, as far as Belmont is concerned, the two

686
00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 3: games against Murray State were obviously just extremely concerning, and

687
00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:26,080
Speaker 3: you could point to say, oh, Murray State shot the

688
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:28,240
Speaker 3: lights out, you know, the shot quality had it pretty close.

689
00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 3: They just looked terrible against Murray State both times. More Head,

690
00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:33,720
Speaker 3: on the other hand, at eight to one, I think

691
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:36,640
Speaker 3: is a fantastic price because not only do they have

692
00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:38,920
Speaker 3: like you mentioned, they have Belmont's number. If they can

693
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 3: get by them, you're gonna get a fantastic hedge opportunity

694
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 3: in the final. That game that you talked about where

695
00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:47,160
Speaker 3: they basically only won by one, more At State had

696
00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:49,080
Speaker 3: a ten point lead at one point in the second

697
00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:49,440
Speaker 3: half and.

698
00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:49,760
Speaker 4: Just blew it.

699
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:52,400
Speaker 3: And that's been the story of their season. Against Murray

700
00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 3: State as well. They were tied with Murray State on

701
00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:56,959
Speaker 3: the road with ten minutes left to go, couldn't get

702
00:32:56,960 --> 00:32:59,160
Speaker 3: the job done. Then the second time they met them,

703
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:01,400
Speaker 3: they were top with about a minute left to go

704
00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:03,440
Speaker 3: and Murray State just pulled it out.

705
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:05,760
Speaker 4: So it's a really meltdown for meltdown.

706
00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:07,840
Speaker 1: Morehead State miss.

707
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:11,400
Speaker 3: Wine open layup, and yeah, we don't need to go

708
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,880
Speaker 3: back on that. Morehead State unbelievable defense number one in

709
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:17,320
Speaker 3: the conference, infective field goal percentage allowed, two point field

710
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:20,000
Speaker 3: goal percent lot Spanish, excuse me, two point field goal

711
00:33:20,040 --> 00:33:23,040
Speaker 3: percentage allowed, and second in three point field goal percentage allowed.

712
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:24,880
Speaker 4: And they're also shooting thirty five percent from behind the

713
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:25,600
Speaker 4: arc themselves.

714
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:28,720
Speaker 3: So with all these games being at a neutral site,

715
00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:30,880
Speaker 3: they will have to win three games in three days.

716
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:32,640
Speaker 4: But at plus eight hundred, that gives you about an

717
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:34,360
Speaker 4: eleven percent chance to win the tournament.

718
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:36,320
Speaker 3: Given the fact that I really do think they have

719
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:39,360
Speaker 3: an unbelievable chance to beat Belmont, I'll probably end up

720
00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:43,040
Speaker 3: betting them against Belmont's in that game. You're gonna get

721
00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:46,280
Speaker 3: a really nice hedge opportunity against Murray State in the final,

722
00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:49,320
Speaker 3: and I you know, at minus one ninety, I think

723
00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:51,800
Speaker 3: there's no value in laying it with Murray State at

724
00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:54,240
Speaker 3: that number. So I think it's Morehead State or nothing

725
00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:55,240
Speaker 3: for me in the OBC.

726
00:33:56,920 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, who knows, maybe, And then you know,

727
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:00,320
Speaker 1: when you take some of these long shots, you also

728
00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:03,640
Speaker 1: have to price in the uncertainty on the top half.

729
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:06,600
Speaker 1: It's still a conference moment, it's still college basketball. Who knows.

730
00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:10,200
Speaker 1: Southeast Missouri State they shoot a ton of threes. You know,

731
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:13,000
Speaker 1: I've guys like Eric Red they can you know, Chris Harris,

732
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:17,440
Speaker 1: they can get red hot from three. They Southeast Missouri

733
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:19,399
Speaker 1: State just played Murray to close the think they lost

734
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:23,880
Speaker 1: by two at home, so you know, you never know,

735
00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:26,080
Speaker 1: and that could. They also got one hundred and sixty

736
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:27,440
Speaker 1: one at home, but it's a high barrency and they

737
00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:30,759
Speaker 1: played pretty fast. So yeah, I think that if you're

738
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:34,359
Speaker 1: gonna take anyone other than Mary State here, you have

739
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 1: to it has to be more head for how they

740
00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:39,600
Speaker 1: match up with Belmont, and I think that's the way

741
00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:42,160
Speaker 1: to play it. So I agree with you there. All right,

742
00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:46,360
Speaker 1: let's move on to our next conference tournament. And I

743
00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:48,640
Speaker 1: believe this is the sixth and final one that will

744
00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:54,080
Speaker 1: cover today, and that's the Big South song. Song of

745
00:34:54,120 --> 00:35:01,000
Speaker 1: the sound the Big South Conference. All these games are

746
00:35:01,000 --> 00:35:04,600
Speaker 1: played in Charlotte Longwood, which ran through the regular season

747
00:35:05,120 --> 00:35:07,840
Speaker 1: plus one forty to win it. They are the favorite,

748
00:35:08,080 --> 00:35:10,440
Speaker 1: bij I go back to you here on the Big South.

749
00:35:10,719 --> 00:35:15,399
Speaker 1: Any teams intrigue you or is this Longwood's conference? To take?

750
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:17,719
Speaker 4: My headline of this term is fade Longwood.

751
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:20,240
Speaker 3: They are one of the luckiest teams in college basketball

752
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:22,960
Speaker 3: and really frustrating to bet against. They went fifteen to

753
00:35:22,960 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 3: one in conference play. Fourteen of those wins were by

754
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:28,200
Speaker 3: eight points or less. They even if you look at

755
00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:31,520
Speaker 3: their offensive numbers, third in the conference in points possession

756
00:35:31,560 --> 00:35:34,640
Speaker 3: in both half court and transition offense, and defensively they're

757
00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:37,120
Speaker 3: seventh in transition defense and fourth and half court defense.

758
00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:39,160
Speaker 4: It's not the number one team in the conference.

759
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:41,560
Speaker 3: There are some value I think in some long shots,

760
00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:43,840
Speaker 3: and one that's just lighting up right now is Campbell

761
00:35:44,040 --> 00:35:45,000
Speaker 3: at twenty five to one.

762
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:47,160
Speaker 1: But Campbell University.

763
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:50,560
Speaker 2: Campbell's from Louis Creek, North Carolina, MA.

764
00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:59,040
Speaker 4: Check it out. I mentioned it last week on the pod.

765
00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:01,960
Speaker 3: But Campbell one of the most unlucky teams in college

766
00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:04,080
Speaker 3: basketball really and in the Big South. Fifteen and twelve

767
00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:07,480
Speaker 3: actual record twenty and seven shot quality record, and one

768
00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:09,960
Speaker 3: of those results was against Longwood on Saturday.

769
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:11,600
Speaker 1: But if they went they went zero to two against

770
00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:14,000
Speaker 1: long Winch both easy shot quality wins.

771
00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:18,600
Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, So in fact that on shot quality they're

772
00:36:18,640 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 3: adjusted efficiency. Campbell's the number one team in the Big

773
00:36:21,680 --> 00:36:25,160
Speaker 3: South based on shot quality, so their path to get

774
00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 3: to the final is a tad bit difficult. They have

775
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:30,160
Speaker 3: to play Presbyterian First, who beat them earlier this season,

776
00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:33,840
Speaker 3: but they're three on thirty ninth and adjusted offense efficiency

777
00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:36,279
Speaker 3: on shot quality, and there's some good offensive matchups there

778
00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:38,080
Speaker 3: for Campbell. Then they have to go play Gardner Webs,

779
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:41,120
Speaker 3: is the best defense in the conference, but this line

780
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:43,239
Speaker 3: is only going to be around minus two minus three

781
00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:45,120
Speaker 3: in terms of Gardner web who's a pretty poor half

782
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:49,399
Speaker 3: court offense. Then the Alps to face Winthrop, who on

783
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:52,680
Speaker 3: Ken Palm is actually luckier than Longwood.

784
00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:53,560
Speaker 4: Which is quite quite funny.

785
00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:56,040
Speaker 3: Again, that line will probably only be about, you know,

786
00:36:56,160 --> 00:36:59,040
Speaker 3: minus three minus four, and then you get another date

787
00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:02,680
Speaker 3: and a revenge spot against Longwood in the final. Campbell

788
00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:06,160
Speaker 3: also sixteenth and ken Palm's experience rating in third in

789
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:09,480
Speaker 3: minutes continuity, So at a price of twenty five to one.

790
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:14,800
Speaker 3: It's it's incredibly tempting to take Campbell. Their unc Asheville

791
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:16,840
Speaker 3: is a little bit interesting as well. But their starting

792
00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:19,439
Speaker 3: sentaer Andrew Pember didn't play in the final regular season

793
00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:21,239
Speaker 3: game against Presbyterian and I have no idea what his

794
00:37:21,280 --> 00:37:24,600
Speaker 3: status is for this tournament, so if he's out obviously

795
00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:27,000
Speaker 3: there past North Caroline A and T at one hundred

796
00:37:27,040 --> 00:37:29,279
Speaker 3: to one is a little bit interesting maybe as all

797
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:33,600
Speaker 3: as they did beat Longwood earlier this season, lot they'll

798
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:36,200
Speaker 3: they'll play if they get through their first round matchup.

799
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:37,960
Speaker 1: I believe it's against Radford.

800
00:37:38,719 --> 00:37:42,439
Speaker 3: If they get through that, they play Longwood, who they beat,

801
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:45,520
Speaker 3: and then also the earlier when they placed them the

802
00:37:45,520 --> 00:37:47,839
Speaker 3: first time, they had twelve point lead on the road

803
00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:50,680
Speaker 3: at one point in the second half. So but then

804
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:52,719
Speaker 3: Longwood you know, use their magic to go win by

805
00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:56,239
Speaker 3: eight and almost ended up covering. So North Coline ANTI

806
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:58,960
Speaker 3: at one hundred and one is a little bit interesting given.

807
00:37:58,760 --> 00:38:01,400
Speaker 4: That how good they against long with both those meetings.

808
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:03,799
Speaker 3: So but yeah, it's Campbell twenty five to one for

809
00:38:03,880 --> 00:38:08,200
Speaker 3: me is maybe one of my favorite conference journey futures

810
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:08,560
Speaker 3: so far.

811
00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:11,440
Speaker 2: J Could you quote me a number on high point

812
00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:12,359
Speaker 2: real quick, what are they.

813
00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:15,960
Speaker 4: Going off of that High Point is at thirty to

814
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:16,600
Speaker 4: one right now.

815
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:20,319
Speaker 2: I this is one of the conferences that I just

816
00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:22,640
Speaker 2: circled in terms because I agree with you on Longwood.

817
00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:25,280
Speaker 2: I was like, things can get weird in this conference tournament.

818
00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:28,440
Speaker 2: And because High Point had beat winthro up there on

819
00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:31,000
Speaker 2: the other side of the bracket, they have at least,

820
00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:32,920
Speaker 2: you know, in my opinion, one of the best scoring

821
00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:34,880
Speaker 2: guards you know point guards in John Michael Wright in

822
00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:37,440
Speaker 2: the entire country. It's going to take a lot of magic.

823
00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:39,719
Speaker 2: But when you look at how they played really in

824
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:42,160
Speaker 2: the last two months, they put a good record together

825
00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:44,279
Speaker 2: and their losses were close. They had a lot of

826
00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:46,280
Speaker 2: five point or less losses.

827
00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:47,680
Speaker 1: I think if.

828
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:49,279
Speaker 2: Lightning is going to strike in one of these mid

829
00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:50,800
Speaker 2: major tournaments, this is one of the teams.

830
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:51,120
Speaker 4: I like.

831
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:54,200
Speaker 2: Thirty to one is just as the threshold. I'll play

832
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:58,120
Speaker 2: it there. Certainly any higher would make it more tantalizing

833
00:38:58,160 --> 00:39:01,560
Speaker 2: for me. But just based on Michael Wright and Zach Austin,

834
00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:04,360
Speaker 2: I think there is an interesting team. I was surprised

835
00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:05,160
Speaker 2: that you didn't mention them.

836
00:39:05,719 --> 00:39:07,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't mind with a lot of these teams

837
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:10,320
Speaker 1: taking a flyer if you fancy one of these teams.

838
00:39:10,360 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 1: I mean even Radford they lost it in overtime, the

839
00:39:13,560 --> 00:39:15,560
Speaker 1: Long win and then on the road they lost by

840
00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:17,239
Speaker 1: five in a game I think they were up at

841
00:39:17,320 --> 00:39:19,040
Speaker 1: like seven or eight in the second half. They can

842
00:39:19,080 --> 00:39:21,879
Speaker 1: be pesky as well, so I could see Long would

843
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:23,720
Speaker 1: go down. The one thing that concerns me about Campbell

844
00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:26,320
Speaker 1: is they have no depth. So they are very experienced,

845
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:28,480
Speaker 1: buts ati as that could be overrated, right, you see

846
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:30,400
Speaker 1: these experiences? Was that app State less? You have no

847
00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:32,120
Speaker 1: depth and then you just string the other four games

848
00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:35,880
Speaker 1: of four days. It's like it's March. These are college kids,

849
00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:39,600
Speaker 1: but this is a condensed what you first rounds Wednesday,

850
00:39:39,640 --> 00:39:41,960
Speaker 1: then you play Friday, Saturday, Sunday, So you have to

851
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:44,040
Speaker 1: win four games in five days. If you're playing in

852
00:39:44,080 --> 00:39:51,680
Speaker 1: that first round. You know, even a team yeah, I

853
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:54,880
Speaker 1: mean unc Asheville has had some magic to them. Usc

854
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:58,560
Speaker 1: up State can get hot. It's a wide open conference

855
00:39:58,560 --> 00:40:01,560
Speaker 1: sort of. This is a fun one to take a flyer. Bja.

856
00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:05,520
Speaker 1: You mentioned Campbell, Mike, you mentioned high Point. I don't

857
00:40:05,520 --> 00:40:07,040
Speaker 1: hate it. This is a conference where I think, yeah,

858
00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:09,080
Speaker 1: the one seed is vulnerable. All of the top seeds

859
00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:11,719
Speaker 1: I think are a little vulnerable uh here, and there's

860
00:40:11,760 --> 00:40:13,919
Speaker 1: not as big of a gap as we're used to seeing.

861
00:40:13,960 --> 00:40:16,400
Speaker 1: I think in this conference. You know, I think in

862
00:40:16,480 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 1: years past, when you had like Radford and Winthrop, we're

863
00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:22,080
Speaker 1: just a big step above the rest of the I

864
00:40:22,080 --> 00:40:25,200
Speaker 1: don't think that's the case this year. So don't hate

865
00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:28,000
Speaker 1: this being a conference target to take some long shots

866
00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:31,120
Speaker 1: and have some fun in the Big South in Charlotte.

867
00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:33,880
Speaker 1: There's also I believe don't quote me this, but I

868
00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:39,920
Speaker 1: believe this conference used to be played on campus sites. Right,

869
00:40:40,080 --> 00:40:43,719
Speaker 1: that's true, Yeah, that's right. Yeah, So this is the

870
00:40:43,719 --> 00:40:48,480
Speaker 1: first year that it's in Charlotte, so obviously that helps

871
00:40:48,520 --> 00:40:52,960
Speaker 1: as well. All right, that'll do it for our first

872
00:40:53,000 --> 00:40:58,520
Speaker 1: six conference tournament previews covered the NEC, the Horizon, the

873
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:01,759
Speaker 1: Atlantic Sun, the High Valley, the Big South, and the

874
00:41:01,800 --> 00:41:04,600
Speaker 1: Patriot League. We will continue these the three Men. We

875
00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:07,600
Speaker 1: will continue on Wednesday, and then we will just run

876
00:41:07,640 --> 00:41:10,280
Speaker 1: all the way through next Tuesday, covering each and every

877
00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:12,960
Speaker 1: conference tournaments. To make sure you stay tuned before we

878
00:41:12,960 --> 00:41:17,200
Speaker 1: get out of here. One final order of business. Spot

879
00:41:17,239 --> 00:41:19,000
Speaker 1: you can go. You can go give out two if

880
00:41:19,040 --> 00:41:21,680
Speaker 1: you want to give out something today tomorrow, just something

881
00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:24,920
Speaker 1: more actionable from a single game perspective, or maybe it's

882
00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:27,200
Speaker 1: a future on another conference tournament. It's something you see,

883
00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:30,720
Speaker 1: But Mike, I'll go to you first. Anything tonight, today, tomorrow,

884
00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:33,280
Speaker 1: or anything else you just want to have. I like Texas.

885
00:41:33,320 --> 00:41:36,040
Speaker 2: I think this is a letdown spot for Baylor after

886
00:41:36,040 --> 00:41:39,120
Speaker 2: playing a great second half against Kansas. You know they're

887
00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:42,400
Speaker 2: a short road favorite here. Given the issues that Baylor

888
00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:44,680
Speaker 2: has from a personal standpoint on their front court, I

889
00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:46,560
Speaker 2: think Texas can take advantage of that. So i'd like

890
00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:48,359
Speaker 2: them on the forty acres. I'll take the Horns here

891
00:41:48,440 --> 00:41:49,400
Speaker 2: plus the point and a half.

892
00:41:49,840 --> 00:41:51,600
Speaker 3: Ey Jay, Oh well, I got to roll off my

893
00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:54,240
Speaker 3: Hawks tonight, who are looking red hot right now. Minus

894
00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:56,560
Speaker 3: ten and a half against Northwestern. The Hawk's got a

895
00:41:56,640 --> 00:41:58,359
Speaker 3: rolling so I think it's a good spot for them

896
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:00,719
Speaker 3: here at home to get a nice one over the Northwestern.

897
00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:02,480
Speaker 4: So go Hawks, mind ten and a half.

898
00:42:02,640 --> 00:42:04,480
Speaker 1: They don't miss at home, No, they don't.

899
00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:06,000
Speaker 4: It's very fantastic.

900
00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:09,919
Speaker 1: I'll throw out a couple for tomorrow. Curious to see

901
00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:12,960
Speaker 1: what kind of line you get on Villanova against Providence,

902
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:15,799
Speaker 1: who might be still drunk celebrating the Ivy. This is

903
00:42:15,920 --> 00:42:18,839
Speaker 1: just they clunched the Big East, and they're going to Nova,

904
00:42:18,840 --> 00:42:20,560
Speaker 1: who I don't think they match up particularly well with.

905
00:42:20,920 --> 00:42:24,520
Speaker 1: We'll see what that line comes out. As Richmond really

906
00:42:24,560 --> 00:42:27,240
Speaker 1: senior laden team out on Senior Night against a Dayton

907
00:42:27,280 --> 00:42:30,080
Speaker 1: team that I think actually might be a bit more

908
00:42:30,120 --> 00:42:32,600
Speaker 1: deflated than fired up after that devastating loss, which I

909
00:42:32,640 --> 00:42:34,879
Speaker 1: think took them out of bubble talk after they got

910
00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:36,520
Speaker 1: red hot and then they lost a little. Sal went

911
00:42:36,520 --> 00:42:39,200
Speaker 1: on a crazy run in the second half. Might be

912
00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:43,000
Speaker 1: the value with Richmond there. Buffalo I worry that. I

913
00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:44,880
Speaker 1: mean Buffalo is seemingly figured it out. I thought this

914
00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:47,000
Speaker 1: team is gonna win the conference. Probably I might still

915
00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:49,600
Speaker 1: end up betting on them to win the conference tournament.

916
00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:51,880
Speaker 1: They've been on fire now. It hasn't been against the

917
00:42:51,880 --> 00:42:55,000
Speaker 1: best competition if you look at who they've played. But

918
00:42:55,280 --> 00:42:57,480
Speaker 1: this is a team of all seniors on senior night

919
00:42:57,520 --> 00:42:59,680
Speaker 1: with revenge against Toledo, a Toledo team that I still

920
00:42:59,680 --> 00:43:03,440
Speaker 1: think is been quite fortunate this season. I have Buffalo circle.

921
00:43:03,480 --> 00:43:05,200
Speaker 1: I think Kempa makes a dog. Would love to get

922
00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:09,400
Speaker 1: them as a dog. Michigan at home against Michigan State,

923
00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:13,000
Speaker 1: a Sparti team that I don't believe in at all.

924
00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:15,480
Speaker 1: Michigan has revenge for again, they got killed. If you

925
00:43:15,520 --> 00:43:17,080
Speaker 1: look at the box score was on in that game.

926
00:43:17,239 --> 00:43:19,879
Speaker 1: They've been a shot quality easy win and Sparti coming

927
00:43:19,920 --> 00:43:24,000
Speaker 1: off that Purdue win just an enormous win, whereas Michigan

928
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:27,240
Speaker 1: coming off of a loss. Michigan at home is generally

929
00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:29,520
Speaker 1: a wagon for the past fifteen years, the third most

930
00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:32,640
Speaker 1: profitable home team in conference play. I think Michigan gets

931
00:43:32,640 --> 00:43:36,200
Speaker 1: it done against Michigan State and gets their revenge. Speaking

932
00:43:36,239 --> 00:43:41,920
Speaker 1: of revenge, perdue off that loss goes to Wisconsin. Wisconsin

933
00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:45,080
Speaker 1: one at Purdue earlier this year. I think Purdue can

934
00:43:45,120 --> 00:43:47,560
Speaker 1: bully them here. I think they go on the road

935
00:43:47,600 --> 00:43:49,359
Speaker 1: in the Cole Center, Wisconsin. I think they went out

936
00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:51,840
Speaker 1: to win the Big Ten. I think Purdue spoils that

937
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:54,080
Speaker 1: tomorrow night on the road. So those are the ones

938
00:43:54,080 --> 00:43:55,840
Speaker 1: I had circled. Any thoughts on any of those.

939
00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:58,239
Speaker 2: Mike, I'm going to be there at the Pavilion, the

940
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:01,360
Speaker 2: Ski Lodge at Villain on the main Line seeing that

941
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:04,280
Speaker 2: Providence game. And that's just one of those those teams

942
00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:06,040
Speaker 2: that they split where they play their home games. They

943
00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:08,759
Speaker 2: usually played Wells Fargo for the bigger games I think

944
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:10,719
Speaker 2: this is going to be an electric crowd. I think,

945
00:44:10,800 --> 00:44:13,520
Speaker 2: you know, Providence, this is finally going to be the spot.

946
00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:15,160
Speaker 2: I know we've been saying it all year where the

947
00:44:15,239 --> 00:44:18,040
Speaker 2: luck drives up, But I think that's a good play.

948
00:44:18,040 --> 00:44:20,600
Speaker 2: I play that all the way up to probably minus

949
00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:22,360
Speaker 2: five and a half minus six for Golanova.

950
00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:24,239
Speaker 1: I think they're going to jump on these guys. I

951
00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:25,640
Speaker 1: think it'll be higher than that. I think they go

952
00:44:25,760 --> 00:44:27,839
Speaker 1: by double digits. But d Jay, any thoughts on those?

953
00:44:28,160 --> 00:44:28,359
Speaker 4: Yeah.

954
00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:29,880
Speaker 1: I love Perdue at Wisconsin.

955
00:44:30,040 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 3: I saw the other day was constant fourteen and one

956
00:44:32,560 --> 00:44:35,040
Speaker 3: in close games, which is one of the best records

957
00:44:35,080 --> 00:44:37,520
Speaker 3: in college basketball like history. So I think that luck

958
00:44:37,560 --> 00:44:39,560
Speaker 3: kind of dries up against Like you said, Predy.

959
00:44:39,360 --> 00:44:40,319
Speaker 4: Is gonna be able to blowy him.

960
00:44:40,520 --> 00:44:42,880
Speaker 3: It's a great matchup for Prudue to get some revenge

961
00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:43,680
Speaker 3: at the Call Center.

962
00:44:44,040 --> 00:44:46,879
Speaker 1: I agree. All right, that'll do it for us. Let

963
00:44:47,280 --> 00:44:51,720
Speaker 1: the excitement just build and build. Welcome to March. Happy

964
00:44:51,719 --> 00:44:54,280
Speaker 1: you're here listening. Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe, subscribe

965
00:44:54,280 --> 00:44:57,440
Speaker 1: to a friend, tone enemy, leave a review. Friday will

966
00:44:57,440 --> 00:45:00,560
Speaker 1: do some giveaways. Appreciate all of you listening. Let's have

967
00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:04,040
Speaker 1: a March let's enjoy all of the madness. Good luck

968
00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:07,120
Speaker 1: to all of your wagers. Thanks for listening. We'll catch

969
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:09,040
Speaker 1: you back here Wednesday with the guys from The Three

970
00:45:09,080 --> 00:45:10,280
Speaker 1: Men Leave. Cheers,