WEBVTT - Bloomberg Wall Street Week: Barra, Tarullo, Summers

0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:04.160
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week. Market shrug of higher

0:00:04.160 --> 0:00:07.080
<v Speaker 1>consumer prizes. The economy is in the process of rebounding.

0:00:07.120 --> 0:00:09.440
<v Speaker 1>Will the utter reserve have its own digital currency? The

0:00:09.440 --> 0:00:12.440
<v Speaker 1>financial stories that cheap hard work. Many people think the

0:00:12.480 --> 0:00:14.320
<v Speaker 1>eels are just going to keep marching out. We have

0:00:14.440 --> 0:00:16.680
<v Speaker 1>more spending coming out of Congress. One of the big

0:00:16.760 --> 0:00:19.600
<v Speaker 1>questions I think on investor's mind inflation through the eyes

0:00:19.640 --> 0:00:22.720
<v Speaker 1>of the most influential voices. Larry Summer is the former

0:00:22.760 --> 0:00:26.160
<v Speaker 1>Treasury Secretary, Bryan wynhand back of America, Will sar Ceo,

0:00:26.360 --> 0:00:30.479
<v Speaker 1>Charlie Sharp. Bloomberg wool Street Week with David Weston from

0:00:30.560 --> 0:00:35.120
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. One step forward and one step back, Final

0:00:35.120 --> 0:00:38.839
<v Speaker 1>approval for Fliser's vaccine. Congress moves forward on spending, but

0:00:39.440 --> 0:00:43.440
<v Speaker 1>tragedy mars An already difficult pull out from Afghanistan. This

0:00:43.560 --> 0:00:47.560
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Wall Street Week. I'm David Weston. We begin

0:00:47.640 --> 0:00:49.600
<v Speaker 1>this week with the Fed. In his remarks to the

0:00:49.680 --> 0:00:52.960
<v Speaker 1>Jackson Whole Symposium, Chapal did nothing to get in the

0:00:52.960 --> 0:00:55.639
<v Speaker 1>way of some tapering of the Fed's bond buying by

0:00:55.680 --> 0:01:00.200
<v Speaker 1>the end of the year. At the FMCS recent July eating,

0:01:00.680 --> 0:01:03.960
<v Speaker 1>I was of the view, as were most participants, that

0:01:04.040 --> 0:01:07.640
<v Speaker 1>if the economy evolved broadly as anticipated, it could be

0:01:07.680 --> 0:01:11.319
<v Speaker 1>appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year.

0:01:11.680 --> 0:01:14.840
<v Speaker 1>For more on what chair Pal said and it didn't say,

0:01:15.000 --> 0:01:18.880
<v Speaker 1>we check in with former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers. I

0:01:19.000 --> 0:01:22.200
<v Speaker 1>was struck, for example, that he didn't say anything about

0:01:22.240 --> 0:01:26.240
<v Speaker 1>the housing sector that's the largest part of the consumer

0:01:26.280 --> 0:01:30.280
<v Speaker 1>price indices. I saw a statistic Bloomberg actually had it

0:01:30.400 --> 0:01:33.920
<v Speaker 1>the other day that said, on average, when a new

0:01:34.000 --> 0:01:40.000
<v Speaker 1>tenant moves into a rented residents, they're paying seventeen percent

0:01:40.080 --> 0:01:43.280
<v Speaker 1>more than the old tenant. That suggests a lot of

0:01:43.360 --> 0:01:47.720
<v Speaker 1>rental price inflation. If you look at owner occupied houses,

0:01:48.120 --> 0:01:51.840
<v Speaker 1>the prices are taking off. Uh. None of that has

0:01:51.880 --> 0:01:55.720
<v Speaker 1>been reflected yet in our price indsease. And yet on

0:01:55.800 --> 0:02:00.840
<v Speaker 1>any common sense definition, that's surely inflation. And so my

0:02:00.960 --> 0:02:05.200
<v Speaker 1>guesses you'll start to see the housing component of inflation

0:02:05.920 --> 0:02:09.680
<v Speaker 1>show up as rising pretty rapidly, or if you don't,

0:02:10.160 --> 0:02:14.480
<v Speaker 1>it will reflect defects in the way we create Uh,

0:02:14.560 --> 0:02:20.160
<v Speaker 1>the price indusease. I the chairman mentioned rightly, uh that

0:02:20.200 --> 0:02:24.639
<v Speaker 1>we've got record levels of job openings and workers are

0:02:24.680 --> 0:02:29.160
<v Speaker 1>turning over very fast workers are quitting UH their jobs.

0:02:29.960 --> 0:02:32.520
<v Speaker 1>I'd have thought that all of that would be a

0:02:32.560 --> 0:02:36.280
<v Speaker 1>signal than in a labor shortage economy, you'd still be

0:02:36.400 --> 0:02:40.079
<v Speaker 1>starting to see much more rapid wage increases then you've

0:02:40.160 --> 0:02:43.360
<v Speaker 1>seen historically, but that that was a process that would

0:02:43.360 --> 0:02:46.639
<v Speaker 1>take a certain amount of time. He was more serene

0:02:47.320 --> 0:02:53.760
<v Speaker 1>um about all of that. He was referencing that we

0:02:54.120 --> 0:03:00.360
<v Speaker 1>had had four percent unemployment um before COVID without apidly

0:03:00.360 --> 0:03:04.239
<v Speaker 1>accelerating inflation, and he was right about that, of course.

0:03:04.880 --> 0:03:09.359
<v Speaker 1>But I see that we're having far more structural change

0:03:09.360 --> 0:03:13.480
<v Speaker 1>in the economy, as businesses rethink their business models, when

0:03:13.520 --> 0:03:15.600
<v Speaker 1>people aren't going to be coming to the office, as

0:03:15.639 --> 0:03:22.000
<v Speaker 1>people rethink their lives after a year without commuting, as

0:03:22.040 --> 0:03:26.040
<v Speaker 1>the whole structure of the economy changes. And I think

0:03:26.080 --> 0:03:29.680
<v Speaker 1>with all that structural change, you're likely to see some

0:03:29.919 --> 0:03:34.600
<v Speaker 1>substantial increase in the level of unemployment that the economy

0:03:34.680 --> 0:03:42.080
<v Speaker 1>can sustain without excessive inflation. So there's no certainties, but

0:03:42.360 --> 0:03:49.160
<v Speaker 1>I think the inflation risks are graver than those that

0:03:49.240 --> 0:03:56.320
<v Speaker 1>the chairman UH recognized. I think that the toxic side

0:03:56.360 --> 0:04:03.080
<v Speaker 1>effects of q E are rather greater then the chairman recognized.

0:04:03.640 --> 0:04:07.440
<v Speaker 1>So in the range of places where this speech seemed

0:04:07.480 --> 0:04:10.520
<v Speaker 1>likely to come down. I think that came down in

0:04:10.600 --> 0:04:14.680
<v Speaker 1>a relatively uh good place from my point of view,

0:04:15.200 --> 0:04:20.320
<v Speaker 1>pointing towards a taper uh this year. But in terms

0:04:20.440 --> 0:04:24.520
<v Speaker 1>of the issues I've been concerned about for quite some time,

0:04:25.120 --> 0:04:28.480
<v Speaker 1>that we're kind of making a bit of a paradigm

0:04:28.760 --> 0:04:33.200
<v Speaker 1>uh error. Uh. I didn't expect that the speech was

0:04:33.240 --> 0:04:37.159
<v Speaker 1>going to represent a deviation from the paradigm, and I

0:04:37.200 --> 0:04:40.679
<v Speaker 1>don't think it did. Hilary, the day before J. Powell

0:04:40.720 --> 0:04:43.360
<v Speaker 1>came in speech, you wrote an essay in the Washington

0:04:43.440 --> 0:04:45.520
<v Speaker 1>Post and which you really took on the question of

0:04:45.600 --> 0:04:48.400
<v Speaker 1>quantity of easy. You mentioned inflation what you just talked about,

0:04:48.520 --> 0:04:51.400
<v Speaker 1>but also some of those toxic effects, which included things

0:04:51.440 --> 0:04:53.159
<v Speaker 1>like the tenor of the debt, something you've talked on

0:04:53.200 --> 0:04:55.920
<v Speaker 1>this program before that overall the federal debt, we're actually

0:04:55.920 --> 0:04:57.719
<v Speaker 1>going into the short side. We should be going to

0:04:57.760 --> 0:05:01.159
<v Speaker 1>the long end. And also asked bubbles and pumping money

0:05:01.160 --> 0:05:04.240
<v Speaker 1>in the economy by getting it into financial assets. Tell

0:05:04.320 --> 0:05:06.440
<v Speaker 1>us about why you think that would be wrong, and

0:05:06.480 --> 0:05:09.839
<v Speaker 1>maybe as important, do you think QUI should go to zero? Yeah?

0:05:09.839 --> 0:05:14.120
<v Speaker 1>I think, Hue. I think the question is like, as

0:05:14.200 --> 0:05:17.000
<v Speaker 1>I used the analogy in the column, it's like withdrawing

0:05:17.040 --> 0:05:21.480
<v Speaker 1>from Afghanistan. Uh, it's pretty clear that after twenty years,

0:05:22.040 --> 0:05:26.159
<v Speaker 1>the right thing was for the United States not to

0:05:26.279 --> 0:05:31.840
<v Speaker 1>be uh continuing in a war fighting mode in Afghanistan.

0:05:32.360 --> 0:05:37.320
<v Speaker 1>But you can't do You can't get there necessarily overnight,

0:05:37.520 --> 0:05:40.680
<v Speaker 1>as we're learning painfully. And in the same way, I

0:05:40.720 --> 0:05:45.840
<v Speaker 1>think we clearly should have zero que which doesn't mean

0:05:45.920 --> 0:05:49.760
<v Speaker 1>we can get there overnight or we can get there

0:05:49.839 --> 0:05:56.039
<v Speaker 1>with a uh drastic lurch. Why uh, every homeowner in

0:05:56.080 --> 0:05:59.120
<v Speaker 1>America is trying to lock in a long term mortgage

0:05:59.480 --> 0:06:02.919
<v Speaker 1>rather than moving towards the floating rate mortgage. The government

0:06:02.920 --> 0:06:07.360
<v Speaker 1>should think the same way and be chterming out the debt.

0:06:07.720 --> 0:06:12.120
<v Speaker 1>What quee does by having the Fed issue interest bearing

0:06:12.160 --> 0:06:16.320
<v Speaker 1>bank reserves to buy up longer term debt when those

0:06:16.360 --> 0:06:21.400
<v Speaker 1>interest reserves can float upwards, it's shortening the maturity of

0:06:21.440 --> 0:06:24.560
<v Speaker 1>the debt. Given the epic levels of debt we have,

0:06:24.680 --> 0:06:27.719
<v Speaker 1>and given the very high levels of fiscal uncertainty we have,

0:06:28.360 --> 0:06:33.400
<v Speaker 1>why would we want to be charming in the debt

0:06:33.600 --> 0:06:35.919
<v Speaker 1>right now? Thank you so much. That's our special contry

0:06:36.000 --> 0:06:38.800
<v Speaker 1>to Wall Street Week. He's Larry Summers of Harvard coming up.

0:06:38.920 --> 0:06:41.320
<v Speaker 1>We talked with former Fed Governor Dan to Rule of

0:06:41.400 --> 0:06:45.000
<v Speaker 1>Harvard about the politics of reappointing J. Powe and whether

0:06:45.040 --> 0:06:49.120
<v Speaker 1>there should be more coordination between the Fed and the Treasury.

0:06:49.320 --> 0:06:58.200
<v Speaker 1>That's next on Wall Street Week on Bloomberg. This is

0:06:58.240 --> 0:07:02.599
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Wall Street Week with David Weston from Bloomberg Radio.

0:07:03.080 --> 0:07:06.200
<v Speaker 1>It was a big week for Banks Central and Otherwise

0:07:06.400 --> 0:07:09.679
<v Speaker 1>as BECA America's longtime head of Investment Banking and CEO,

0:07:09.920 --> 0:07:13.320
<v Speaker 1>Tom Monteg announced his retirement, leaving a big hole and

0:07:13.400 --> 0:07:16.200
<v Speaker 1>raising questions about succession at the bank. And FED chair

0:07:16.320 --> 0:07:19.440
<v Speaker 1>J Pale appeared at the Jackson Whole Symposium amid speculation

0:07:19.440 --> 0:07:22.320
<v Speaker 1>about his future as well. We spend most of our

0:07:22.360 --> 0:07:24.760
<v Speaker 1>time worrying about the independence of the FED from all

0:07:24.760 --> 0:07:27.800
<v Speaker 1>political influence. But is that realistic? And if it were possible,

0:07:27.920 --> 0:07:30.600
<v Speaker 1>would it be the right thing? Given the enormous influence

0:07:30.640 --> 0:07:33.239
<v Speaker 1>the Fed can have over the economy and our lives.

0:07:33.640 --> 0:07:36.000
<v Speaker 1>Dan's Rullo served on the Federal Reserve Board with J.

0:07:36.120 --> 0:07:38.760
<v Speaker 1>Pal He is now a professor at the Harvard Law School. So, Dan,

0:07:38.760 --> 0:07:40.560
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for being with us. So address

0:07:40.600 --> 0:07:42.840
<v Speaker 1>that question. I mean, we have a lot of influence

0:07:42.880 --> 0:07:44.480
<v Speaker 1>of the FED right now on our day to day

0:07:44.520 --> 0:07:46.920
<v Speaker 1>lives as well as the economy. Is there a role

0:07:47.040 --> 0:07:49.760
<v Speaker 1>for some sort of a political factor here and is

0:07:49.800 --> 0:07:52.160
<v Speaker 1>it possibly healthy for j Pale to be thinking, You know,

0:07:52.280 --> 0:07:55.720
<v Speaker 1>I do need to think about reappointment. Well, David, you know,

0:07:56.040 --> 0:08:00.720
<v Speaker 1>um Bil martin U, one of the famous past chairs

0:08:00.720 --> 0:08:02.640
<v Speaker 1>of the FED, for whom one of the FED board

0:08:02.680 --> 0:08:06.920
<v Speaker 1>buildings is named, characterize the position of the FED as

0:08:07.560 --> 0:08:11.520
<v Speaker 1>at the Federal Reserve was in the government. It was

0:08:11.560 --> 0:08:14.880
<v Speaker 1>independent in the government. It was not independent of the government.

0:08:15.520 --> 0:08:18.400
<v Speaker 1>And what that is that that means is that the

0:08:18.480 --> 0:08:23.960
<v Speaker 1>relationship between the FED and democratically accountable branches of government,

0:08:24.000 --> 0:08:28.960
<v Speaker 1>the President and the Congress, is an issue of ongoing importance.

0:08:29.840 --> 0:08:32.360
<v Speaker 1>So if you had a system whereby the FED we're

0:08:32.360 --> 0:08:36.479
<v Speaker 1>self perpetuating and each chair chose his or her successor,

0:08:36.840 --> 0:08:40.040
<v Speaker 1>that might make some monetary policy people happy, but it

0:08:40.080 --> 0:08:44.000
<v Speaker 1>would really strain any notion of the FED being accountable

0:08:44.080 --> 0:08:47.680
<v Speaker 1>ultimately to the Congress. And as you know, Congress has

0:08:48.120 --> 0:08:50.839
<v Speaker 1>the powers and Article one of the Constitution that allow

0:08:50.960 --> 0:08:53.320
<v Speaker 1>the creation of the FED. So I think what we

0:08:53.440 --> 0:08:57.080
<v Speaker 1>see with the four year appointment term, what we see

0:08:57.120 --> 0:09:01.200
<v Speaker 1>with the requirements for testimony are way reason which Congress

0:09:01.240 --> 0:09:06.920
<v Speaker 1>has tried to provide some political responsiveness, some political accountability,

0:09:06.960 --> 0:09:12.280
<v Speaker 1>without making the Fed adhere to the day by day

0:09:12.320 --> 0:09:15.440
<v Speaker 1>wishes of the administration. Instance, it's not being short of

0:09:15.440 --> 0:09:18.199
<v Speaker 1>a day to day coordination administration apart from Congress and

0:09:18.240 --> 0:09:20.600
<v Speaker 1>the Fed, what about the Treasury and the Fed. We

0:09:20.679 --> 0:09:23.040
<v Speaker 1>had Larry summers On earlier in this program saying there's

0:09:23.040 --> 0:09:24.640
<v Speaker 1>an issue of the tenor of the debt right now

0:09:24.800 --> 0:09:27.040
<v Speaker 1>given what they're doing with bond buying, in fact, we're

0:09:27.040 --> 0:09:29.160
<v Speaker 1>sort of going more short term of the debt. Doesn't

0:09:29.160 --> 0:09:32.239
<v Speaker 1>make sense. Should there be some mechanism for more coordination,

0:09:32.440 --> 0:09:36.040
<v Speaker 1>not control, but coordination? Well, I mean in fact, and

0:09:36.960 --> 0:09:39.480
<v Speaker 1>I assume that this is going on between Janet Yellen

0:09:39.600 --> 0:09:43.600
<v Speaker 1>and Jay Powell. There's there's always been a weekly lunch

0:09:43.720 --> 0:09:46.920
<v Speaker 1>usually sometimes breakfast between the Fed chair and the Treasury

0:09:46.960 --> 0:09:50.640
<v Speaker 1>Secretary where they go over a range of issues. Uh.

0:09:50.720 --> 0:09:54.080
<v Speaker 1>Those meetings can be more frequent in periods of stress, obviously,

0:09:54.400 --> 0:09:59.720
<v Speaker 1>but even in normal times, fiscal policy and monetary policy

0:10:00.080 --> 0:10:04.360
<v Speaker 1>dependent on one another, and in less normal times or

0:10:04.600 --> 0:10:08.400
<v Speaker 1>or new kinds of times, the relationships between the two

0:10:08.480 --> 0:10:11.960
<v Speaker 1>are probably sometimes harder to parse, and so it does

0:10:12.040 --> 0:10:16.080
<v Speaker 1>call for at least more communication between Treasury and the FED.

0:10:16.320 --> 0:10:19.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, something that people may have forgotten is that

0:10:19.200 --> 0:10:21.520
<v Speaker 1>from most of the good part of the history of

0:10:21.520 --> 0:10:25.760
<v Speaker 1>the FED there was a kind of subordination to the

0:10:25.800 --> 0:10:31.520
<v Speaker 1>Treasury Department that formally ended in ninety one. But the

0:10:31.640 --> 0:10:35.000
<v Speaker 1>interest of the administration and often of Congress and keeping

0:10:35.040 --> 0:10:39.679
<v Speaker 1>interest rates low is an ongoing interest, uh and the

0:10:39.720 --> 0:10:43.599
<v Speaker 1>FED always needs to be in a position of deciding

0:10:43.800 --> 0:10:47.280
<v Speaker 1>what its posture is visa the current fiscal policy dan.

0:10:47.400 --> 0:10:50.040
<v Speaker 1>We all heard from the current chair J. Pile, part

0:10:50.040 --> 0:10:54.520
<v Speaker 1>of this uh uh Jackson Holes symposium a year ago.

0:10:54.600 --> 0:10:57.600
<v Speaker 1>At this same symposium, as I recall, the Chair announced

0:10:57.600 --> 0:11:00.800
<v Speaker 1>the new framework for determining monetary policy based on really

0:11:00.800 --> 0:11:04.640
<v Speaker 1>being willing to go above the two percent number on inflation.

0:11:04.920 --> 0:11:07.080
<v Speaker 1>Some people now, including Larry Summers, are saying, you know,

0:11:07.120 --> 0:11:09.000
<v Speaker 1>that framework maybe was never a good idea, but it

0:11:09.080 --> 0:11:10.840
<v Speaker 1>sure isn't now because it was a dealing with the

0:11:10.920 --> 0:11:13.480
<v Speaker 1>demand side issue and now it was applies side. Is

0:11:13.480 --> 0:11:15.280
<v Speaker 1>it possible I FED is sort of painting uself in

0:11:15.320 --> 0:11:17.320
<v Speaker 1>a bit of a corner at corner and gotten too

0:11:17.360 --> 0:11:20.839
<v Speaker 1>stubborn on its monetary policy by having that framework. I

0:11:21.160 --> 0:11:23.560
<v Speaker 1>don't think so. I mean, look, there are issues in

0:11:23.600 --> 0:11:25.440
<v Speaker 1>the execution of the framework, which I get to in

0:11:25.440 --> 0:11:29.079
<v Speaker 1>a moment, but it seemed pretty clear to a lot

0:11:29.120 --> 0:11:32.319
<v Speaker 1>of people, including people who were worried about secular stagnation,

0:11:32.880 --> 0:11:35.960
<v Speaker 1>that the FED framework, which had prevailed in the pre

0:11:36.040 --> 0:11:39.800
<v Speaker 1>global financial crisis period, needed to be changed. And what

0:11:39.920 --> 0:11:42.040
<v Speaker 1>I think you saw last year was not really a

0:11:42.120 --> 0:11:46.719
<v Speaker 1>radical break, but instead the culmination of an evolution of

0:11:46.760 --> 0:11:50.640
<v Speaker 1>the FEDS thinking about the relationship between employment and inflation.

0:11:51.200 --> 0:11:54.719
<v Speaker 1>I think that difficulty has been that the FED at

0:11:54.760 --> 0:11:58.760
<v Speaker 1>that time expected that it was going to have a

0:11:58.760 --> 0:12:02.959
<v Speaker 1>period of somewhat sluggish growth in which it could fill

0:12:03.000 --> 0:12:07.640
<v Speaker 1>out it's meaning to maximum employment and how long inflation

0:12:07.679 --> 0:12:10.360
<v Speaker 1>had to be above two percent, and with this, with

0:12:10.520 --> 0:12:13.520
<v Speaker 1>the amount of fiscal stimulus, would have the quick recovery

0:12:13.520 --> 0:12:16.800
<v Speaker 1>in the economy. I think the FED was back footed

0:12:16.840 --> 0:12:21.920
<v Speaker 1>a bit, and it's perhaps been a little less um

0:12:22.200 --> 0:12:26.960
<v Speaker 1>nimble in adapting to the new circumstances and describing what

0:12:27.200 --> 0:12:31.960
<v Speaker 1>those metrics mean under these circumstances. But I don't I

0:12:32.000 --> 0:12:35.400
<v Speaker 1>actually don't think it's the framework itself that's the problem,

0:12:35.640 --> 0:12:38.000
<v Speaker 1>and Indeed, I tend to agree with those who think

0:12:38.080 --> 0:12:42.440
<v Speaker 1>that periodically the FED should revisit its framework, not because

0:12:42.480 --> 0:12:46.000
<v Speaker 1>the framework sets monetary policy, but because it sets the

0:12:46.040 --> 0:12:49.920
<v Speaker 1>framework for discussing monetary policy. So Dan, just briefly here

0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:52.680
<v Speaker 1>at the end, I wonder whether j Palal would have

0:12:52.720 --> 0:12:55.439
<v Speaker 1>picked this time to give a major address that all

0:12:55.480 --> 0:12:57.000
<v Speaker 1>the markets and all the pundits were paying attention for

0:12:57.080 --> 0:12:59.800
<v Speaker 1>monetary policy if there weren't Jackson hole. And that leads

0:12:59.840 --> 0:13:03.640
<v Speaker 1>to why does Jackson Hole exist? Well, I mean the

0:13:03.880 --> 0:13:08.320
<v Speaker 1>historically answer is the former Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas

0:13:08.360 --> 0:13:12.400
<v Speaker 1>City president started it in one invited Paul Woker, and

0:13:12.559 --> 0:13:15.959
<v Speaker 1>Paul Voker came, and since then it it's been kind

0:13:15.960 --> 0:13:21.000
<v Speaker 1>of the centerpiece of the summer for for monetary policy. UM.

0:13:21.040 --> 0:13:23.560
<v Speaker 1>I think that, you know, the traditional issues people have

0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:25.840
<v Speaker 1>raised around that, David one, you know, should you have

0:13:25.880 --> 0:13:28.040
<v Speaker 1>it in a vacation spot. I mean it's a national park,

0:13:28.040 --> 0:13:32.559
<v Speaker 1>it's still a vacation spot. To the preferential access that

0:13:32.880 --> 0:13:38.400
<v Speaker 1>some reporters and some academics and some even market actors get. Um,

0:13:38.800 --> 0:13:40.959
<v Speaker 1>I don't think people would be at all worried about

0:13:41.000 --> 0:13:43.840
<v Speaker 1>that if the chair were not there. For two and

0:13:43.880 --> 0:13:46.560
<v Speaker 1>I not wasn't this year, of course because it was virtual,

0:13:46.600 --> 0:13:48.920
<v Speaker 1>but normally the chairs there for two and a half days.

0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:51.200
<v Speaker 1>And that's you know, that's the big light in the

0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:54.560
<v Speaker 1>backyard that attracts the moths. Uh And and so the

0:13:54.640 --> 0:13:59.040
<v Speaker 1>question really does become, should there be something like that

0:13:59.040 --> 0:14:01.520
<v Speaker 1>that does give the pre ferential access. Let me just

0:14:01.559 --> 0:14:04.920
<v Speaker 1>add one thing from the board, the Federal Reserve Board's

0:14:04.920 --> 0:14:08.880
<v Speaker 1>own position. It's a mixed blessing. It's a nice um

0:14:09.200 --> 0:14:12.959
<v Speaker 1>vehicle for getting across a big message when you want to.

0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:17.200
<v Speaker 1>But oftentimes the FED chairs doesn't particularly want to get

0:14:17.240 --> 0:14:20.000
<v Speaker 1>a big message and doesn't want a lot of anticipation,

0:14:20.520 --> 0:14:22.800
<v Speaker 1>and to the degree that the feel they have to go,

0:14:22.840 --> 0:14:24.280
<v Speaker 1>it kind of puts them on the spot. And Dan

0:14:24.400 --> 0:14:26.640
<v Speaker 1>could have another vacation. Thank you so much to dant

0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:29.840
<v Speaker 1>Roll of Harvard, the former FED governor. Coming up, the

0:14:29.960 --> 0:14:33.240
<v Speaker 1>revolution that's coming to the auto industry with all the

0:14:33.320 --> 0:14:36.720
<v Speaker 1>challenges and all the opportunities with Mary Barr, a chair

0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:40.360
<v Speaker 1>and CEO of General Motors. That's next on Wall Street

0:14:40.400 --> 0:14:52.680
<v Speaker 1>Week on Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week with

0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:56.120
<v Speaker 1>David Weston from Bloomberg Radio. We were in Detroit this

0:14:56.160 --> 0:14:59.200
<v Speaker 1>week and had the opportunity to visit General Motors headquarters

0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:02.120
<v Speaker 1>and sit down with a company's chair and CEO, Mary Barrow.

0:15:02.480 --> 0:15:05.120
<v Speaker 1>In a few minutes you'll hear our discussion about electric

0:15:05.200 --> 0:15:08.040
<v Speaker 1>vehicles in the future of GM. But first, as the

0:15:08.080 --> 0:15:10.680
<v Speaker 1>Delta variant spread across the country, I asked her about

0:15:10.720 --> 0:15:13.840
<v Speaker 1>the steps she is taking to keep her employees safe.

0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:18.080
<v Speaker 1>We've been following the safety protocols of the appropriate social distancing, wearing,

0:15:18.160 --> 0:15:22.840
<v Speaker 1>mass screening and has worked quite well. Because of the

0:15:22.920 --> 0:15:25.640
<v Speaker 1>outbreak of the delta variant, we are now back into

0:15:25.680 --> 0:15:27.880
<v Speaker 1>wearing masks in the US, and it varies around the

0:15:27.920 --> 0:15:30.600
<v Speaker 1>world based on what's happening, and our employees have just

0:15:30.640 --> 0:15:34.200
<v Speaker 1>done a phenomenal job of following our safety protocols. So

0:15:34.240 --> 0:15:37.840
<v Speaker 1>we continue to evaluate all options of what we can

0:15:37.880 --> 0:15:41.320
<v Speaker 1>do because we know getting everyone vaccinated is going to

0:15:41.400 --> 0:15:44.359
<v Speaker 1>be critical to stopping the you know, the different variants

0:15:44.400 --> 0:15:47.160
<v Speaker 1>of the disease. Right now, we're also very much focused

0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:49.360
<v Speaker 1>on education because you know, there's a lot of myths

0:15:49.400 --> 0:15:53.360
<v Speaker 1>out there or or a misinformation where people are making

0:15:53.360 --> 0:15:56.800
<v Speaker 1>decisions to not get the vaccine based on bad information.

0:15:56.920 --> 0:15:59.520
<v Speaker 1>So we also are running an education campaign as well.

0:16:00.120 --> 0:16:02.840
<v Speaker 1>So to be clear, do you know the vaccination status

0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:04.920
<v Speaker 1>of your employees? Are you asking that question? Are you

0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:07.400
<v Speaker 1>asking them to tell you if they're vaccinated? We are

0:16:08.120 --> 0:16:10.800
<v Speaker 1>requesting in the United States, and we're working to do

0:16:10.840 --> 0:16:13.680
<v Speaker 1>that around the globe, obviously following the local laws or

0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:16.480
<v Speaker 1>country laws, and so we are working on that right

0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:18.800
<v Speaker 1>now and that will inform the decisions that we make

0:16:18.840 --> 0:16:22.680
<v Speaker 1>as we move forward. And masks. We wear masks in

0:16:22.720 --> 0:16:27.200
<v Speaker 1>our facilities, whether it's our manufacturing plants, warehouses, offices, mass

0:16:27.240 --> 0:16:30.560
<v Speaker 1>are required whether you're vaccinated or not. So I talked

0:16:30.560 --> 0:16:32.960
<v Speaker 1>to us also about unions and the role of unions

0:16:32.960 --> 0:16:35.120
<v Speaker 1>and all this. First of all, is it okay to

0:16:35.200 --> 0:16:38.480
<v Speaker 1>require vaccinations with the u A W Are they resisting that?

0:16:38.560 --> 0:16:41.480
<v Speaker 1>Are they with that? Are they united with you in this? Well,

0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:44.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, first of all, I would say, in working

0:16:44.120 --> 0:16:46.920
<v Speaker 1>to make sure our workforce is safe, the UAW has

0:16:46.960 --> 0:16:51.360
<v Speaker 1>been a absolute fantastic partner on being data driven, following

0:16:51.360 --> 0:16:54.080
<v Speaker 1>the advice from the CDC, and that's you know, really

0:16:54.080 --> 0:16:55.840
<v Speaker 1>I think what has allowed us to have the very

0:16:55.880 --> 0:16:59.920
<v Speaker 1>successful protocols to not only protect lives, but to protect livelihood.

0:17:00.600 --> 0:17:02.720
<v Speaker 1>And so you know, as we look at what the

0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:04.920
<v Speaker 1>right thing to do as it relates to the vaccine

0:17:05.200 --> 0:17:07.639
<v Speaker 1>will work with the unions and and that will be

0:17:07.680 --> 0:17:10.040
<v Speaker 1>something that we negotiate with them or work with them

0:17:10.080 --> 0:17:11.760
<v Speaker 1>to decide what the right thing to do is. Do

0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:13.560
<v Speaker 1>you try to have the same rules for the our

0:17:13.680 --> 0:17:16.800
<v Speaker 1>employees as for the salary. We we do, but we

0:17:16.880 --> 0:17:20.119
<v Speaker 1>also really respect the fact that some of our workforces

0:17:20.160 --> 0:17:22.240
<v Speaker 1>represented not only by the U a W, but with

0:17:22.280 --> 0:17:24.800
<v Speaker 1>other unions around the globe, and it's an important part

0:17:24.800 --> 0:17:28.200
<v Speaker 1>to have that dialogue as part of the contractual process.

0:17:28.200 --> 0:17:30.399
<v Speaker 1>Where's GM on bringing people back into the office. This

0:17:30.480 --> 0:17:33.119
<v Speaker 1>is a hot topic all through US industries, certainly in

0:17:33.119 --> 0:17:35.360
<v Speaker 1>New York. There's a whole debate by banks, for example,

0:17:35.560 --> 0:17:37.679
<v Speaker 1>where are you in bringing your people back to the office. Well,

0:17:37.720 --> 0:17:39.680
<v Speaker 1>several months ago we rolled out what we call work

0:17:39.720 --> 0:17:43.480
<v Speaker 1>appropriately and for those who don't necessarily have to be

0:17:43.520 --> 0:17:45.119
<v Speaker 1>at work to do their jobs. First, I want to

0:17:45.119 --> 0:17:47.240
<v Speaker 1>give a big shout out to all the people, whether

0:17:47.240 --> 0:17:53.120
<v Speaker 1>they're in our our manufacturing, fertilities, warehouses, R and D labs, design,

0:17:53.560 --> 0:17:55.880
<v Speaker 1>thank you for coming to work every day and following

0:17:55.880 --> 0:17:58.280
<v Speaker 1>the protocol so you can do your work safely. For

0:17:58.359 --> 0:18:01.919
<v Speaker 1>the portion of our workforce that UM doesn't necessarily always

0:18:01.920 --> 0:18:04.480
<v Speaker 1>have to be in the office. It's work appropriately and

0:18:04.520 --> 0:18:07.280
<v Speaker 1>we're leaving it to the individual and their leader decide

0:18:07.520 --> 0:18:09.760
<v Speaker 1>where can you do your best work, and so far

0:18:09.800 --> 0:18:13.120
<v Speaker 1>it's been very well received by our employees. Going back

0:18:13.119 --> 0:18:14.760
<v Speaker 1>to the unions for a moment, let me ask a

0:18:14.760 --> 0:18:18.040
<v Speaker 1>broader question about electric vehicles. We saw President Biden again

0:18:18.119 --> 0:18:20.359
<v Speaker 1>with you at the White House and ahead of the

0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:22.480
<v Speaker 1>u a W was there very specificly involved in The

0:18:22.480 --> 0:18:24.639
<v Speaker 1>President talked a fair amount about the world of union

0:18:24.680 --> 0:18:28.800
<v Speaker 1>workers in this process. Uh, it's the union help in

0:18:28.880 --> 0:18:31.560
<v Speaker 1>moving faster evs or can it be a hindrance? How

0:18:31.640 --> 0:18:34.760
<v Speaker 1>is it working? Because sometimes unions have not always been

0:18:34.760 --> 0:18:38.399
<v Speaker 1>progressive in adopting new technologies. Well, I can only speak

0:18:38.400 --> 0:18:40.200
<v Speaker 1>to the relationship that we have with the U a

0:18:40.440 --> 0:18:43.720
<v Speaker 1>W and talking about the technology and frankly, it's opportunities

0:18:43.760 --> 0:18:46.520
<v Speaker 1>for growth and its opportunities to make sure that the

0:18:46.600 --> 0:18:50.960
<v Speaker 1>workforce that they represent, our workforce, that they have these opportunities.

0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:53.960
<v Speaker 1>We go forward and with what we're doing at Factory zero,

0:18:54.240 --> 0:18:56.800
<v Speaker 1>UM and other plants around the world are and and

0:18:56.840 --> 0:19:00.320
<v Speaker 1>specifically in the US, we're making sure we provide the means,

0:19:00.320 --> 0:19:02.720
<v Speaker 1>so they'll be part of our all electric future. So

0:19:02.800 --> 0:19:05.479
<v Speaker 1>I think it's very positive right now. So as you

0:19:05.520 --> 0:19:08.320
<v Speaker 1>look forward to this future that you clearly have crafted

0:19:08.359 --> 0:19:10.920
<v Speaker 1>and you've laid on detail, and let's be honest, it's

0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:13.760
<v Speaker 1>it's going well into the future in success, it's gonna

0:19:13.880 --> 0:19:16.440
<v Speaker 1>last well passed you and me. As a practic matter,

0:19:16.920 --> 0:19:18.600
<v Speaker 1>as you look at what is the thing that you

0:19:18.640 --> 0:19:21.800
<v Speaker 1>worry the most about, what could be a potential hindrance

0:19:21.880 --> 0:19:24.879
<v Speaker 1>to achieving what needs to be achieved. Well, one of

0:19:24.880 --> 0:19:26.879
<v Speaker 1>the things I talked about, I feel very confident we

0:19:26.920 --> 0:19:29.720
<v Speaker 1>have the right strategy and we have the adaptability that

0:19:29.760 --> 0:19:31.760
<v Speaker 1>if we have to make changes in tweaks here and there,

0:19:31.800 --> 0:19:34.720
<v Speaker 1>we will. But it's speed, speed of execution, and that's

0:19:34.720 --> 0:19:37.520
<v Speaker 1>what I talk about to our our team all the time,

0:19:37.760 --> 0:19:39.920
<v Speaker 1>and making sure we're getting out of our own way

0:19:40.280 --> 0:19:42.959
<v Speaker 1>and getting rid of bureaucracy so we can move quickly

0:19:43.000 --> 0:19:47.240
<v Speaker 1>to achieve this vision. Uh. So, you have had a

0:19:47.280 --> 0:19:50.520
<v Speaker 1>wonderful run at General Motors. Tell me about your team,

0:19:50.560 --> 0:19:52.320
<v Speaker 1>because one of the things that it's always trucking about

0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:54.679
<v Speaker 1>you as a CEO, you always say it's the team effort.

0:19:54.720 --> 0:19:57.320
<v Speaker 1>It's not just me. Tell me about who you've got

0:19:57.320 --> 0:20:00.520
<v Speaker 1>on your team you particularly rely upon. Well, there's several

0:20:00.560 --> 0:20:03.240
<v Speaker 1>members of the senior leadership team that are just phenomenal.

0:20:03.320 --> 0:20:05.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean Mark Races, our president, and he is the

0:20:05.480 --> 0:20:08.840
<v Speaker 1>most one of the most knowledgeable you know, car people,

0:20:09.280 --> 0:20:12.240
<v Speaker 1>I think on the globe in the globe, So he

0:20:12.600 --> 0:20:15.320
<v Speaker 1>does a phenomenal job. And then, um, you know, we

0:20:15.400 --> 0:20:18.119
<v Speaker 1>have people who have been at the company many years,

0:20:18.160 --> 0:20:21.560
<v Speaker 1>like myself and Mark, Steve Carlisle who runs North America.

0:20:21.760 --> 0:20:23.640
<v Speaker 1>But then we have people who have just recently joined

0:20:23.640 --> 0:20:27.199
<v Speaker 1>the company like Paul Jacobson, our CEO, Alan Wexler, who

0:20:27.280 --> 0:20:30.920
<v Speaker 1>came from Sapient. And really the benefit of having all

0:20:30.920 --> 0:20:34.240
<v Speaker 1>these diverse experiences and being from different industries, but also

0:20:34.280 --> 0:20:36.600
<v Speaker 1>the deep knowledge of our industry I think is what

0:20:36.680 --> 0:20:39.640
<v Speaker 1>makes General Motors Leadership team special and why we're able

0:20:39.640 --> 0:20:41.919
<v Speaker 1>to move so quickly. That was Mary Barr, Chair and

0:20:42.040 --> 0:20:46.359
<v Speaker 1>CEO of GM. Coming up more with GM's Mary bar

0:20:46.640 --> 0:20:50.000
<v Speaker 1>on the electric future of her company. That's next on

0:20:50.040 --> 0:20:59.520
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street Week on Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week.

0:20:59.720 --> 0:21:03.720
<v Speaker 1>We've David Weston from Bloomberg Radio. It was only a

0:21:03.760 --> 0:21:06.639
<v Speaker 1>dozen years ago that the American Auto industry stood on

0:21:06.680 --> 0:21:10.040
<v Speaker 1>the brink of collapse during the Great Financial Crisis, something

0:21:10.040 --> 0:21:13.800
<v Speaker 1>President Obama said he could not let happen. We cannot

0:21:13.840 --> 0:21:17.879
<v Speaker 1>and must not and we will not let our auto

0:21:17.960 --> 0:21:21.560
<v Speaker 1>industry simply vanish. And so the industry went through a

0:21:21.600 --> 0:21:26.200
<v Speaker 1>painful restructuring to emerge smaller, more efficient, and more profitable.

0:21:26.680 --> 0:21:29.280
<v Speaker 1>And no sooner did he get through all that than

0:21:29.320 --> 0:21:32.000
<v Speaker 1>it has to reinvent itself all over again. As the

0:21:32.080 --> 0:21:35.199
<v Speaker 1>nation and the world moved to electric vehicles. There are

0:21:35.200 --> 0:21:38.320
<v Speaker 1>a vision of the future that is now beginning to happen,

0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:43.840
<v Speaker 1>a future of the automobile industry that is electric, battery, electric,

0:21:43.880 --> 0:21:49.000
<v Speaker 1>plug in hybrid, electric, fuel cell electric. It's electric and

0:21:49.200 --> 0:21:52.199
<v Speaker 1>there's no turning back. Is the industry up to this

0:21:52.240 --> 0:21:54.679
<v Speaker 1>new challenge? And if it is, will it be the

0:21:54.680 --> 0:21:57.600
<v Speaker 1>traditional car companies who lead the way or will they

0:21:57.640 --> 0:22:00.399
<v Speaker 1>have to make room for the pure play electric vehicle

0:22:00.440 --> 0:22:03.880
<v Speaker 1>makers like Tesla and Rivian dan Ives of web Bush

0:22:03.880 --> 0:22:07.360
<v Speaker 1>says President Biden is creating a huge new market. This

0:22:07.440 --> 0:22:09.520
<v Speaker 1>is the start of what I believe is a five

0:22:09.600 --> 0:22:13.080
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollar market with definitely Biden kicking off the green

0:22:13.119 --> 0:22:16.639
<v Speaker 1>tide away from the US, which is underperformed when we

0:22:16.640 --> 0:22:19.560
<v Speaker 1>look compared to China in Europe, and i've says GM

0:22:19.680 --> 0:22:23.119
<v Speaker 1>is well positioned that as GM proves out its e

0:22:23.240 --> 0:22:25.840
<v Speaker 1>V vision over the coming years, the stock will be

0:22:25.880 --> 0:22:29.240
<v Speaker 1>re rated more as a disruptive technology and EV play

0:22:29.359 --> 0:22:33.800
<v Speaker 1>rather than its traditional auto valuation. Cathy would have our investments.

0:22:33.840 --> 0:22:36.679
<v Speaker 1>On the other hand, says the traditional automakers are just

0:22:36.920 --> 0:22:41.280
<v Speaker 1>too far behind to catch up. The traditional auto manufacturer.

0:22:41.280 --> 0:22:42.720
<v Speaker 1>If you look at their R and D budgets, So

0:22:42.760 --> 0:22:47.520
<v Speaker 1>you look at GMS of it's R and D dollars

0:22:47.560 --> 0:22:53.280
<v Speaker 1>and I'm sorry, uh, capital spending is allocated to electric

0:22:53.680 --> 0:22:56.160
<v Speaker 1>they should be at almost a hundred now given what's

0:22:56.160 --> 0:22:59.600
<v Speaker 1>about to happen. They have just gotten started and what

0:22:59.720 --> 0:23:06.840
<v Speaker 1>they delivered our cars that don't even meet whether it's

0:23:07.080 --> 0:23:12.760
<v Speaker 1>range or other metrics, um the model esque circuit two

0:23:12.760 --> 0:23:15.640
<v Speaker 1>thousand twelves. But in the end it may not be

0:23:15.720 --> 0:23:19.320
<v Speaker 1>just electric cars that decide who wins and loses. It

0:23:19.440 --> 0:23:22.480
<v Speaker 1>may be a cluster of different tech innovations that come

0:23:22.560 --> 0:23:26.760
<v Speaker 1>with those evs, or so, says Adam Jonas of Morgan Stanley.

0:23:26.960 --> 0:23:32.359
<v Speaker 1>Ford is showing a bit of a bitter urgency to

0:23:32.680 --> 0:23:35.479
<v Speaker 1>it's better late than never, but General Motors is are

0:23:35.480 --> 0:23:37.720
<v Speaker 1>picked under the leadership of Mary Barret, who's executing a

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:42.000
<v Speaker 1>phenomenal turnaround here with real action. This company is starting

0:23:42.000 --> 0:23:45.879
<v Speaker 1>to present itself as a viable let's say, pre spac

0:23:46.600 --> 0:23:49.680
<v Speaker 1>um e t F of auto two point unicorns. To

0:23:49.720 --> 0:23:51.720
<v Speaker 1>get the view from the inside, we went to Mary

0:23:51.720 --> 0:23:55.600
<v Speaker 1>bar herself, chair and CEO of General Motors. I asked

0:23:55.600 --> 0:23:58.440
<v Speaker 1>her if GM is turning into a tech company? Well,

0:23:58.480 --> 0:24:00.960
<v Speaker 1>I really think the autom of real is becoming a

0:24:01.000 --> 0:24:05.760
<v Speaker 1>software platform. So by definition, with all the software services

0:24:05.840 --> 0:24:08.879
<v Speaker 1>subscriptions that we can do, we really are becoming a

0:24:08.920 --> 0:24:11.000
<v Speaker 1>software company. And I guess if you want to describe

0:24:11.000 --> 0:24:13.080
<v Speaker 1>that as tech. But the thing that I think is

0:24:13.119 --> 0:24:16.199
<v Speaker 1>important for General Motors is we only open up that

0:24:16.240 --> 0:24:19.040
<v Speaker 1>opportunity when we sell the hardware, which is a vehicle.

0:24:19.080 --> 0:24:21.080
<v Speaker 1>But that's why we're so excited, because we think we

0:24:21.119 --> 0:24:23.719
<v Speaker 1>have tremendous growth in front of us. So what does

0:24:23.760 --> 0:24:26.840
<v Speaker 1>it take to take this time honored company as a

0:24:26.880 --> 0:24:29.159
<v Speaker 1>manufacturing company and really make it a software company? Use

0:24:29.200 --> 0:24:31.880
<v Speaker 1>your word software rather than tech. Yeah, Well, I think

0:24:31.880 --> 0:24:34.320
<v Speaker 1>it's First of all, it's we've redesigned many parts of

0:24:34.359 --> 0:24:38.600
<v Speaker 1>the company. The way we are fundamentally designed. Vehicles has changed.

0:24:38.640 --> 0:24:41.840
<v Speaker 1>We have all of the software to UH engineers and

0:24:41.840 --> 0:24:44.760
<v Speaker 1>that technology all in one group, because on a vehicle

0:24:44.800 --> 0:24:47.479
<v Speaker 1>there's hundreds of millions of lines of code. And with

0:24:47.560 --> 0:24:52.639
<v Speaker 1>the vehicle Intelligent Platform, which is the electrical infrastructure in

0:24:52.640 --> 0:24:55.159
<v Speaker 1>the vehicle, we are now able to do over the

0:24:55.200 --> 0:24:58.280
<v Speaker 1>air updates and that is giving us this platform to

0:24:58.440 --> 0:25:01.760
<v Speaker 1>just do all new types of services for customers and

0:25:01.800 --> 0:25:04.239
<v Speaker 1>it's it's really an exciting time in the industry. So

0:25:04.280 --> 0:25:06.479
<v Speaker 1>you have this vision for your company as a software company,

0:25:06.680 --> 0:25:09.760
<v Speaker 1>did the young software engineers coming up agree with that vision?

0:25:09.800 --> 0:25:11.760
<v Speaker 1>There are a lot of other big tech companies out there,

0:25:11.760 --> 0:25:14.320
<v Speaker 1>and it can be Amazon, it can be Netflix, it

0:25:14.359 --> 0:25:15.920
<v Speaker 1>can even be a car company that starts with the

0:25:16.000 --> 0:25:18.640
<v Speaker 1>t that start as a tech company. Can you compete

0:25:18.640 --> 0:25:21.720
<v Speaker 1>for the best and the brightest among the software engineers, Well,

0:25:21.920 --> 0:25:23.960
<v Speaker 1>we can and we are. I mean, we have hired

0:25:24.040 --> 0:25:27.880
<v Speaker 1>over eight thousand UM employees to General Motors just this year,

0:25:28.400 --> 0:25:31.920
<v Speaker 1>and most of them are our software talent and they're

0:25:31.920 --> 0:25:34.120
<v Speaker 1>coming to GM, I think for a couple of reasons,

0:25:34.200 --> 0:25:36.240
<v Speaker 1>but one because they want to be part of creating

0:25:36.240 --> 0:25:39.080
<v Speaker 1>a world with zero crashes, zero missions and zero congestion,

0:25:39.640 --> 0:25:43.120
<v Speaker 1>and so the transformation that's happening at General Motors they

0:25:43.119 --> 0:25:44.800
<v Speaker 1>want to be a part of. And then once we

0:25:44.880 --> 0:25:47.880
<v Speaker 1>get once they come to General Motors, we're working really

0:25:47.920 --> 0:25:50.879
<v Speaker 1>hard to make sure they see the opportunity, uh that

0:25:51.000 --> 0:25:54.399
<v Speaker 1>it truly is an environment where they feel engaged and

0:25:54.480 --> 0:25:59.080
<v Speaker 1>there's inclusions. So we're seeing fairly low attrition and again

0:25:59.200 --> 0:26:02.960
<v Speaker 1>we're bringing in um thousands of engineers. If I'm an investor,

0:26:03.280 --> 0:26:05.360
<v Speaker 1>how do I think about General Motors today? I mean

0:26:05.400 --> 0:26:08.399
<v Speaker 1>there's sort of time honored traditions like price earnings ratios

0:26:08.400 --> 0:26:10.800
<v Speaker 1>for example, that apply to tech and for example, General

0:26:10.800 --> 0:26:13.840
<v Speaker 1>Motors check was in the six to seven times earnings, right,

0:26:14.119 --> 0:26:17.160
<v Speaker 1>tech is trading up in the seven uh something like that.

0:26:17.400 --> 0:26:20.800
<v Speaker 1>Are you going to move towards that? The multiple, Well,

0:26:21.200 --> 0:26:24.240
<v Speaker 1>we definitely think there's a huge opportunity um from a

0:26:24.320 --> 0:26:27.520
<v Speaker 1>multiple perspective, because a lot of times people in the

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:29.720
<v Speaker 1>past have thought about the auto industry is a very

0:26:29.720 --> 0:26:32.760
<v Speaker 1>cyclical business. But when you think about the fact that

0:26:32.800 --> 0:26:35.800
<v Speaker 1>General Motors we have the opportunity to grow with our

0:26:36.080 --> 0:26:39.359
<v Speaker 1>our franchises from an ICE perspective. But then the e

0:26:39.480 --> 0:26:42.280
<v Speaker 1>V part is complete growth and the software and services.

0:26:42.400 --> 0:26:44.720
<v Speaker 1>On top of that our growth as well. And then

0:26:44.760 --> 0:26:47.520
<v Speaker 1>when you look at expanding into new businesses, whether it's

0:26:47.800 --> 0:26:50.800
<v Speaker 1>on Star insurance or what we're doing with bright Drop,

0:26:50.880 --> 0:26:53.520
<v Speaker 1>that is more than just an electric light commercial vehicle,

0:26:53.840 --> 0:26:56.359
<v Speaker 1>but it's a whole ecosystem of how we can move

0:26:56.480 --> 0:26:59.439
<v Speaker 1>goods better and make those deliveries. And with partners like

0:26:59.480 --> 0:27:02.480
<v Speaker 1>Fedexit Spress, you know they're seeing the efficiency of the

0:27:02.520 --> 0:27:04.959
<v Speaker 1>systems that we're putting in place. So, Mary, take us

0:27:04.960 --> 0:27:08.080
<v Speaker 1>forward ten or even fifteen years, and let's assume everything

0:27:08.119 --> 0:27:10.840
<v Speaker 1>you want comes to pass. What does GM look like.

0:27:10.880 --> 0:27:12.960
<v Speaker 1>I mean, for example, you've mentioned it as a software

0:27:13.000 --> 0:27:16.520
<v Speaker 1>platform with other services they're attached to it. What percentage

0:27:16.520 --> 0:27:18.720
<v Speaker 1>of the revenue will come from actually selling the vehicles

0:27:18.720 --> 0:27:22.200
<v Speaker 1>as opposed to the services. I actually think that we

0:27:22.320 --> 0:27:26.400
<v Speaker 1>if we fast forward ten years, I think the software, services,

0:27:26.440 --> 0:27:30.480
<v Speaker 1>subscriptions and the other adjacent businesses that we can grow

0:27:30.520 --> 0:27:33.720
<v Speaker 1>into because of the technology that we have will be

0:27:34.359 --> 0:27:37.719
<v Speaker 1>equal or greater than what we'll have from uh, you know,

0:27:37.800 --> 0:27:40.520
<v Speaker 1>from selling the vehicle. That that's my vision and I

0:27:40.560 --> 0:27:43.840
<v Speaker 1>think that's well, um, well within reach. When we look

0:27:43.880 --> 0:27:46.439
<v Speaker 1>at the different total addressable markets and the businesses that

0:27:46.480 --> 0:27:48.560
<v Speaker 1>we're entering. What does that you to margins? Do you

0:27:48.600 --> 0:27:51.119
<v Speaker 1>expect higher margins on the services than you would normally

0:27:51.119 --> 0:27:53.280
<v Speaker 1>get on a manufactured product. Well, we see it today

0:27:53.440 --> 0:27:55.760
<v Speaker 1>on our businesses like on Star, we see you know,

0:27:55.960 --> 0:27:59.680
<v Speaker 1>a higher margin profile than we do on the actual

0:27:59.800 --> 0:28:02.280
<v Speaker 1>v iCal But let's not forget you've got to sell

0:28:02.280 --> 0:28:04.920
<v Speaker 1>that vehicle to to have access to that. And that's

0:28:04.920 --> 0:28:07.680
<v Speaker 1>where General Motors also, we have a reason that people

0:28:07.680 --> 0:28:10.359
<v Speaker 1>should believe that we're going to lead because we already

0:28:10.359 --> 0:28:13.320
<v Speaker 1>sell more vehicles in this country than anyone else on

0:28:13.359 --> 0:28:16.320
<v Speaker 1>sending to side some of the limitations with semiconductors right now,

0:28:16.600 --> 0:28:18.480
<v Speaker 1>and we have the highest loyalty. So when you look

0:28:18.480 --> 0:28:20.840
<v Speaker 1>at the scale that we have and then the software

0:28:20.880 --> 0:28:24.040
<v Speaker 1>platform that we can we can access because of that scale,

0:28:24.280 --> 0:28:26.560
<v Speaker 1>that's where the growth I really think is a huge

0:28:26.600 --> 0:28:29.080
<v Speaker 1>opportunity for us. As you say, you have some experience

0:28:29.119 --> 0:28:31.240
<v Speaker 1>in the marketplace with this already with on Star for example,

0:28:31.320 --> 0:28:33.480
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned what does the experience tell you about that

0:28:33.560 --> 0:28:35.600
<v Speaker 1>consumer demand? I mean, it's one thing to be able

0:28:35.600 --> 0:28:37.440
<v Speaker 1>to provide something it's a good idea, it's another thing

0:28:37.440 --> 0:28:41.000
<v Speaker 1>for consumers really don't want it. Well, we're seeing growth

0:28:41.080 --> 0:28:43.080
<v Speaker 1>with on Star and you know on Star we have

0:28:43.280 --> 0:28:46.960
<v Speaker 1>over twelve million active connected vehicles. We've been in the

0:28:47.000 --> 0:28:48.840
<v Speaker 1>business for twenty five years and we have a lot

0:28:48.880 --> 0:28:52.720
<v Speaker 1>of learnings. We actually have over a twillion trillion connected

0:28:52.760 --> 0:28:55.480
<v Speaker 1>miles on the road, and today people can buy a

0:28:55.520 --> 0:28:58.800
<v Speaker 1>safety and security package, they can buy the connectivity package,

0:28:58.840 --> 0:29:02.080
<v Speaker 1>they can buy both. We're seeing growth in both both

0:29:02.160 --> 0:29:05.120
<v Speaker 1>types of subscriptions. Uh, and really the vehicle. You know,

0:29:05.240 --> 0:29:08.600
<v Speaker 1>there's many people's stories throughout the pandemic where their vehicle

0:29:08.680 --> 0:29:11.920
<v Speaker 1>became their office because of the connectivity we provide. So

0:29:12.040 --> 0:29:14.680
<v Speaker 1>these are potentially exciting opportunities. Do they also bring some

0:29:14.760 --> 0:29:17.600
<v Speaker 1>challenges and let me name one specifically cybersecurity. What are

0:29:17.640 --> 0:29:21.120
<v Speaker 1>you doing as GM to protect this from cybersecurity? Well,

0:29:21.160 --> 0:29:23.960
<v Speaker 1>with the Vehicle Intelligent platform that we rolled out starting

0:29:23.960 --> 0:29:27.120
<v Speaker 1>in nineteen, a big part of the way we redesigned

0:29:27.160 --> 0:29:30.160
<v Speaker 1>that was with a focus on cybersecurity. We have some

0:29:30.240 --> 0:29:34.200
<v Speaker 1>of the leading cybersecurity experts in the company from an

0:29:34.200 --> 0:29:37.440
<v Speaker 1>auto perspective, because we recognize how important it is. So

0:29:37.560 --> 0:29:39.920
<v Speaker 1>it's it's built on layers of defense and we've had

0:29:40.000 --> 0:29:42.920
<v Speaker 1>learnings from other industries, but that's now core to our

0:29:43.000 --> 0:29:46.040
<v Speaker 1>vehicle with the vehicle intelligent platform. So in this world, again,

0:29:46.040 --> 0:29:48.880
<v Speaker 1>go forward ten years, I understand you're going to have

0:29:48.920 --> 0:29:51.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot more services, maybe even more service revenue than

0:29:52.160 --> 0:29:55.000
<v Speaker 1>vehicle revenue. Uh what does that do in terms of

0:29:55.040 --> 0:29:57.080
<v Speaker 1>the overall number of vehicles sold? Are you envisioning a

0:29:57.080 --> 0:30:01.080
<v Speaker 1>world in which GM sells fewer vehicles but perhaps returns

0:30:01.160 --> 0:30:03.840
<v Speaker 1>higher profits. Now I'm I'm looking for a world where

0:30:03.880 --> 0:30:06.480
<v Speaker 1>we continue to grow share and that just continues to

0:30:06.520 --> 0:30:09.320
<v Speaker 1>expand the growth opportunities with the software. And I think

0:30:09.360 --> 0:30:11.800
<v Speaker 1>when I look at the Ultium platform that we're putting

0:30:11.880 --> 0:30:15.720
<v Speaker 1>into market this fall, you know many other traditional O

0:30:15.800 --> 0:30:18.240
<v Speaker 1>E M s are just thinking about or starting to

0:30:18.320 --> 0:30:21.880
<v Speaker 1>work on dedicated electric vehicle platforms. We have one, so

0:30:21.920 --> 0:30:23.960
<v Speaker 1>we can go all the way from a small crossover

0:30:24.040 --> 0:30:26.600
<v Speaker 1>all the way to a SuperTruck like the Hummer EV

0:30:26.840 --> 0:30:30.640
<v Speaker 1>That was Mary bar Chair and CEO of GM. Finally,

0:30:30.760 --> 0:30:34.200
<v Speaker 1>one more thought, having it both ways. It's what all

0:30:34.200 --> 0:30:37.160
<v Speaker 1>of us really want, right not to have to choose

0:30:37.200 --> 0:30:40.000
<v Speaker 1>between two things when we really want them both, like

0:30:40.080 --> 0:30:43.080
<v Speaker 1>getting everyone back to the office without risking more COVID

0:30:43.120 --> 0:30:48.480
<v Speaker 1>infections or having the FED taper without causing a tantrum.

0:30:48.520 --> 0:30:51.040
<v Speaker 1>But now the Wall Street Journal brings us news about

0:30:51.040 --> 0:30:53.520
<v Speaker 1>thirty six year old mother of three from upstate New

0:30:53.600 --> 0:30:56.880
<v Speaker 1>York who has given us all hope or maybe just

0:30:56.960 --> 0:30:59.560
<v Speaker 1>put us all the shame as she does something any

0:30:59.640 --> 0:31:01.520
<v Speaker 1>of us who have ever picked up a golf club

0:31:01.520 --> 0:31:06.000
<v Speaker 1>would think was impossible. Play golf extraordinarily well, and play

0:31:06.000 --> 0:31:09.320
<v Speaker 1>it really fast. Lauren Cup is the head coach of

0:31:09.360 --> 0:31:12.280
<v Speaker 1>the men's and women's golf teams at Hamilton College, and

0:31:12.360 --> 0:31:15.520
<v Speaker 1>she took up the sport of speed golf just after

0:31:15.560 --> 0:31:18.320
<v Speaker 1>she had her first child. The idea of speed golf

0:31:18.400 --> 0:31:20.600
<v Speaker 1>is to play as well as you can and as

0:31:20.640 --> 0:31:23.080
<v Speaker 1>fast as you can, to give you some sense of

0:31:23.200 --> 0:31:26.320
<v Speaker 1>just how well and just how fast. This Cup just

0:31:26.360 --> 0:31:28.920
<v Speaker 1>set a new record by shooting one under par for

0:31:29.040 --> 0:31:32.760
<v Speaker 1>eighteen holes in fifty minutes. Yes, that's five oh minutes

0:31:32.960 --> 0:31:35.760
<v Speaker 1>for eighteen holes. That's what takes most of us three

0:31:35.920 --> 0:31:38.760
<v Speaker 1>or even four hours, and that's on a good day.

0:31:38.800 --> 0:31:40.760
<v Speaker 1>So how does she do it well? She carries only

0:31:40.760 --> 0:31:43.320
<v Speaker 1>five clubs, a driver, a putter, a six iron, a

0:31:43.400 --> 0:31:46.080
<v Speaker 1>nine iron and a wedge, and whenever she can, she

0:31:46.200 --> 0:31:49.720
<v Speaker 1>runs right through water hazards like creeks and oh yes,

0:31:49.880 --> 0:31:53.120
<v Speaker 1>she never ever takes more than twenty seconds to look

0:31:53.120 --> 0:31:55.800
<v Speaker 1>for a ball. Something that you might want to suggest

0:31:55.800 --> 0:31:57.840
<v Speaker 1>to that member of your foursome who hits the ball

0:31:57.880 --> 0:32:00.640
<v Speaker 1>into the woods and then insists on trying to find it.

0:32:01.240 --> 0:32:03.920
<v Speaker 1>But first and foremost, there is one key rule for

0:32:04.000 --> 0:32:08.560
<v Speaker 1>speed golf. Above all, hit it straight, and at least

0:32:08.600 --> 0:32:11.680
<v Speaker 1>in that one way, Lauren Cupp's approach to speed golf

0:32:11.800 --> 0:32:15.560
<v Speaker 1>might serve us all in good stead. That does it

0:32:15.680 --> 0:32:17.880
<v Speaker 1>for this episode of Wall Street Week. I'm David Weston.

0:32:17.960 --> 0:32:20.840
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg. See you next week.