1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:03,000 Speaker 1: Good morning. 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 2: stories we're following today. 4 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:10,800 Speaker 3: First, a powerful storm has been moving up the eastern 5 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 3: Seaboard and it is sure to have an effect on 6 00:00:13,560 --> 00:00:16,079 Speaker 3: that part of the country's morning commute. Let's get the 7 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:18,760 Speaker 3: latest from Bloomberg meteorologists Drob Carolyn, Rob. 8 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:21,079 Speaker 4: Nathan and Karen. A potent storm system moving up along 9 00:00:21,120 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 4: the coast to bring rain heavier times to the Tri 10 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:25,600 Speaker 4: State area and southern New England. The worst the storm 11 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 4: has already gone by the district of Baltimore. We'll see 12 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 4: rain tapering off by midday in the New York City 13 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 4: area to scattered showers, but the rain will continue late 14 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:35,199 Speaker 4: in the day through the Boston area. Boston seeing one 15 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 4: to three inches of rain from this system. Big problem 16 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 4: with the high winds. High wind advisories and wind warnings 17 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:42,279 Speaker 4: are an effect from coastal New England all the way 18 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 4: across Long Island, and we are going to be looking 19 00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:46,559 Speaker 4: at some area seeing gus over fifty five miles an 20 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:47,479 Speaker 4: hour through the morning. 21 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 3: Oh wow, Okay, Bloomberg Meteorologist Rob Carolyn. We'll be checking 22 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 3: back with you throughout the morning. 23 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:54,840 Speaker 2: Well, now, we want to bring you the latest developments 24 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 2: in the war in the Middle East, Nathan. International pressure 25 00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:01,960 Speaker 2: is intensifying for a ceasefire. Foreign secretaries from the UK, 26 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 2: France and Germany are all calling for hostilities to end 27 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 2: after three hostages were mistakenly shot by the Israeli military. 28 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:10,920 Speaker 2: We get the latest from Bloomberg's Bill Fairies. 29 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 5: Politically, Prime Minister net Yahoo under increasing fire domestically because 30 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 5: of the apparent killing of those three hostages killed by 31 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:24,760 Speaker 5: Idea forces. That's kind of raised the issue again about 32 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,520 Speaker 5: the situation of the more than one hundred and twenty 33 00:01:27,520 --> 00:01:32,920 Speaker 5: five hostages still being held. You have Secretaria Pentagon Secretary 34 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 5: Lloyd Austen in the region, expected in Israel possibly today 35 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:41,520 Speaker 5: raising those same issues. So certainly on all fronts, I 36 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 5: think the Israeli government finding itself under an increasing amount 37 00:01:45,160 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 5: of pressure to at least have come to another temporary cease. 38 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 2: Fire, and Bloomberg's Bill Fairies are ports. Israel's Foreign minister 39 00:01:52,960 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 2: says any call for a ceasefire with Hamas is a 40 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:57,560 Speaker 2: quote prize for terrorism. 41 00:01:57,800 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 3: Well back here in the US, Karen the Top Republic 42 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 3: and on the Senate Judiciary Committee's weighing in on the 43 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 3: impeachment inquiries that the House just voted to authorize into 44 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 3: President Biden, Lindsey Graham says he hasn't been paying much 45 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 3: attention to them. 46 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 6: If there were a smoking gun, I think would be 47 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:15,640 Speaker 6: talking about it. But you know, the narrative that Hunter 48 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:18,959 Speaker 6: Biden presented his falling apart, the idea that Joe Biden 49 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:21,720 Speaker 6: knew nothing about the business dealings falling apart. 50 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:24,440 Speaker 3: And Senator Graham tells NBC's Meet the Press he's more 51 00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:26,920 Speaker 3: worried about the Middle East and securing the border than 52 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:29,040 Speaker 3: impeaching the president. You can hear Meet the Press every 53 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:30,360 Speaker 3: Sunday on Bloomberg Radio. 54 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:32,960 Speaker 2: Meanwhile, Nathan, the White House is take a name at 55 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 2: former President Trump over his use of inflammatory language to 56 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 2: describe immigrants, and Bloomberg's Ed Baxter has more. 57 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:42,920 Speaker 7: The White House says they are on America. The statement says, 58 00:02:42,919 --> 00:02:47,680 Speaker 7: echoing the grotesque rhetoric of fascists and violent white supremacist, 59 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,440 Speaker 7: Trump was trying to rally his base around the issue 60 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 7: of immigration. 61 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 8: They're poisoning the blood of our country, that's what. 62 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 7: They've done, saying they're coming in from all over the world. 63 00:02:56,240 --> 00:02:59,680 Speaker 9: From Africa, from Asia, all over the world. They're pouring 64 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:00,519 Speaker 9: into country. 65 00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:04,120 Speaker 7: The White House says clear oppression and a threat to democracy, 66 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 7: and Trump rival Chris Christie on CBS has heard on Bloomberg. 67 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 8: I don't know how you could take someone like that 68 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:12,519 Speaker 8: and say that they're fit to be president of the 69 00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 8: United States. 70 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 7: Trump continues to hold a massive lead in the polls 71 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:20,080 Speaker 7: of the GOP ed Baxter Bloomberg Radio, All Right, ed, 72 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 7: thank you. 73 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 3: Turning to markets and the Federal Reserve, Chicago FED President 74 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 3: Austin Goulesby says it's too early to declare victory over inflation. 75 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:29,639 Speaker 3: He says there's still work to do to get price 76 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 3: pressures down to two percent. 77 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:32,680 Speaker 7: Twenty twenty three. 78 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 10: Looks like it's going to end up being a very 79 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 10: substantial reduction in inflation without a big increase in the 80 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 10: unemployment rate. That's the golden path that I talked about. 81 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:45,640 Speaker 10: But we're still above the target. We got to get 82 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 10: inflation down to target before. Until we're convinced that we're 83 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 10: on path to that, it's an overstatement to be counting 84 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:55,640 Speaker 10: the chickens. 85 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 3: Chicago Fed chief Austin goles We made the remarks on 86 00:03:58,360 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 3: CBS's Face the Nation last week policymakers signal they expect 87 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 3: to cut rates three times next year. 88 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 2: Well, Nathan that dubvish stands by the FED has some 89 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 2: a key strategists bullish on the markets. Goldman's Sachs David 90 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:14,360 Speaker 2: Conston says the S and P five hundred ozer rise 91 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 2: to a record fifty one hundred next year. He says 92 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 2: falling inflation and FED easing will keep real yields low 93 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 2: and support valuations. And Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, who's been 94 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:27,159 Speaker 2: bearish on stalks all year, says the fed's dubbish pivot 95 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 2: is a positive signal for stocks. 96 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:29,480 Speaker 10: Well. 97 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 3: While other top banks have succession plans in place, Karen, 98 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 3: there's still question about the future leadership at JP Morgan Chase. 99 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 3: Halfway through Jamie Diamonds special incentive to stay five more 100 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:43,719 Speaker 3: years as CEO. Insiders are predicting more senior leadership changes 101 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:48,280 Speaker 3: tell potential successors gather experience. A management shuffle in mid 102 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:51,240 Speaker 3: twenty twenty one put two deputies into the spotlightman as 103 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 3: the board prepared to grant Diamond a bonus if he 104 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 3: remains CEO another half decade. But with neither of those 105 00:04:56,640 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 3: two the clear front runner Inside Sourises tell us the 106 00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:02,840 Speaker 3: two consumer banking coheads will likely need to tackle new 107 00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:04,960 Speaker 3: assignments before one of them is ready to run the 108 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 3: whole company well. 109 00:05:06,360 --> 00:05:10,440 Speaker 2: In deal news this morning, Nathan Amsterdam based chemicals company 110 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:13,720 Speaker 2: OCI has agreed to sell its US crop nutree and 111 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:16,719 Speaker 2: business to Coke Industries. The price tag is three point 112 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:19,599 Speaker 2: six billion dollars. It's a second disposal in a matter 113 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 2: of days by OCI, which is under pressure from an 114 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:23,440 Speaker 2: activist investor. 115 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:27,279 Speaker 3: And IBM has agreed to buy data integration platforms, stream 116 00:05:27,360 --> 00:05:30,719 Speaker 3: sets and web methods from Software ag for two point 117 00:05:30,760 --> 00:05:33,600 Speaker 3: three billion dollars. IBM says the deal will strengthen its 118 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:38,760 Speaker 3: position as demand increases for cloud services tailored to AI applications. 119 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:43,880 Speaker 2: And it's time now for a look at some of 120 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 2: the other stories making news around the world. For that, 121 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:48,200 Speaker 2: we're joined by Bloomberg's Amy Morris. 122 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:51,760 Speaker 11: Amy Good morning, Good morning, Karen, a Texas congressman, says 123 00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 11: the Senate at the White House, we'll have to sweeten 124 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 11: the current border security deal to get an aid package 125 00:05:57,320 --> 00:05:59,239 Speaker 11: for Ukrain in Israel through the House. 126 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 10: The root of the issue as laby Lean Cartel's as 127 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 10: terrorist organizations and the other piece is holding these smugglers 128 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:08,120 Speaker 10: accountable that caused damage and kill Americans. 129 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:12,000 Speaker 12: Speaking on CBS's Face the Nation, GOP Congressman Tony Gonzalez 130 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:14,880 Speaker 12: acknowledged that what the Senate and the White House want 131 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 12: is much different from what the House wants. One Senate 132 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:22,800 Speaker 12: Democrat says Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is undermining a 133 00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 12: vision of peace. 134 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:27,400 Speaker 4: Prime Minister Natnar, who has been an exceptionally difficult partner. 135 00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 12: Delaware Senator Chris Coon said on CBS's Face the Nation 136 00:06:31,040 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 12: that President Biden and most of Congress want a two 137 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:38,040 Speaker 12: state solution with Israel and an independent Palestinian nation. The 138 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:40,880 Speaker 12: House of Representatives is expected to move forward with its 139 00:06:40,960 --> 00:06:44,960 Speaker 12: impeachment inquiry against President Biden after last week's party line 140 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:48,360 Speaker 12: vote approving the inquiry. New York Congressman Dan Goldman is 141 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 12: a former federal prosecutor and served as lead Democratic counsel 142 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:54,400 Speaker 12: to the first Trump impeachment trial. He says the Biden 143 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:57,800 Speaker 12: administration has handed over more than one hundred thousand pages 144 00:06:57,839 --> 00:07:00,880 Speaker 12: of documents to House inquiries from. 145 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:04,880 Speaker 13: The Biden administration has been far above and beyond what 146 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 13: they need to do under the separation of powers doctrines, 147 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:11,880 Speaker 13: and certainly far more than what Donald Trump did in 148 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:15,320 Speaker 13: twenty nineteen when he turned over zero documents. 149 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 12: The investigation concerns the president's son, Hunter Biden and his 150 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 12: foreign business deals. Air travel experts have some tips now 151 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 12: on how we can all navigate the busy holiday season. 152 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 12: They're wanting to last minute deals for tickets on Christmas 153 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 12: Day and New Year's Eve, and they say you may 154 00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 12: avoid delays if you travel early in the day, points 155 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:35,920 Speaker 12: guy Brian Kelly. 156 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 14: The best advice I have is go early as possible. 157 00:07:40,080 --> 00:07:43,239 Speaker 14: Expedia just did a survey based on tons of flights 158 00:07:43,280 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 14: and if you leave after three pm, the odds of 159 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 14: your flight being delayed canceled are fifty percent greater. So 160 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,000 Speaker 14: even if you're not an early bird, take the early 161 00:07:51,000 --> 00:07:51,560 Speaker 14: flights at. 162 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 12: LA says the cheapest prices you'll find are for Christmas 163 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 12: Day and New Year's Eve flights. Global news twenty four 164 00:07:57,360 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 12: hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News. 165 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 13: Now. 166 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:02,480 Speaker 12: I'm Amy Morris, and this is Bloomberg Karen. 167 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 2: Always travel early, all right, Amy, thank you, But we 168 00:08:04,920 --> 00:08:07,559 Speaker 2: do bring you news throughout the day here on Bloomberg Radio. 169 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 2: But now, as Amy said, you can get the latest 170 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 2: news on demand, and that means whenever you want it. 171 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 2: You just subscribe to Bloomberg News Now and you can 172 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 2: get the latest headlines at the click of a button. 173 00:08:18,480 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 2: You can get informed on your schedule. You can listen 174 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:25,040 Speaker 2: and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, 175 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:28,840 Speaker 2: Bloomberg dot com plus apples, Spotify, and anywhere else you 176 00:08:28,920 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 2: get your podcasts. And it's time now for the Bloomberg 177 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 2: Sports Update. Here's John stash Hour. 178 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:43,559 Speaker 9: John Karen has been a surprisingly rough season in Buffalo. 179 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 9: The Bill's two games out in the AFSE East, but 180 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 9: fighting to make it in as a wildcard, and they 181 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 9: serve notice that if they do make it in the playoffs, 182 00:08:51,040 --> 00:08:53,240 Speaker 9: they could be a tough out. The Bills blew out 183 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:55,960 Speaker 9: the Cowboys thirty one to ten, James Cook one hundred 184 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 9: and seventy nine yards rushing. It ends the Cowboys five 185 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:00,839 Speaker 9: game winning streak. They had that big win last week 186 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 9: were in Philadelphia, but this loss could cost them the division, 187 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:05,719 Speaker 9: could see them drop from the two seed of the 188 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:07,600 Speaker 9: NFC all the way down to the five. The forty 189 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 9: nine ers, right now on course to be the top seed, 190 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:14,079 Speaker 9: got their eleventh win forty five to twenty nine at Arizona, 191 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:16,480 Speaker 9: brock Purty through four touchdown passes. As a kid to 192 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:20,119 Speaker 9: be the NFL MVP, he says his teammate Kristian McCaffrey 193 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 9: deserves the award. More last night the eleventh win for 194 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:26,439 Speaker 9: Baltimore twenty three to seven at Jacksonville that drops the 195 00:09:26,520 --> 00:09:28,240 Speaker 9: Jacks to eight and six and now in a three 196 00:09:28,240 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 9: way time for first AFC South with Indianapolis, who won 197 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:35,040 Speaker 9: on Saturday, and Houston came from thirteen down to win 198 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:38,560 Speaker 9: in overtime at Tennessee. The Texans won without their starting 199 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 9: quarterback c J. 200 00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 7: Straft. 201 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:42,719 Speaker 9: Patriots fell to three and eleven lost at home to 202 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:45,959 Speaker 9: Kansas City twenty seven to seventeen, fifth straight loss for 203 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,959 Speaker 9: the Commanders, beaten by the Rams in LA twenty eight 204 00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:52,000 Speaker 9: to twenty. Celtics now fourteen to zero at home. Jalen 205 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:54,120 Speaker 9: Brown thirty one points in the one fourteen ninety seven 206 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 9: win over Orlando. The Warriors won at Portland one eighteen 207 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 9: to one fourteen, despite Steph Curry square only seven points 208 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 9: and not hitting a single three pointer. He was zero 209 00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 9: for eight. It's the first time in five years Curry 210 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:09,440 Speaker 9: has played a game and not made a three. John 211 00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 9: Stashedward Bloomberg Sports. 212 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:17,080 Speaker 8: From coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 213 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:22,040 Speaker 8: Boston to Washington, d C. Nationwide on SYRIASXAM, the Bloomberg 214 00:10:22,120 --> 00:10:26,240 Speaker 8: Business app in Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 215 00:10:27,440 --> 00:10:30,520 Speaker 3: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. On this Monday morning, Israel 216 00:10:30,640 --> 00:10:34,120 Speaker 3: is resisting international calls for a ceasefire after its military 217 00:10:34,200 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 3: mistakenly shot and killed three hostages who were being held 218 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 3: by Hamas in northern Gaza. This as ships in the 219 00:10:40,280 --> 00:10:43,000 Speaker 3: all important Red Sea region come under greater attack from 220 00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 3: hootie rebels in Yemen. Monitoring all this for US is 221 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:49,880 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Oliver Crook, who has been following the war in 222 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 3: Gaza since the October seventh Hamas attack on southern Israel. 223 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 3: And Oliver is here with me now, thanks for being 224 00:10:57,000 --> 00:10:59,240 Speaker 3: with us. So we had this joint letter over the 225 00:10:59,280 --> 00:11:02,960 Speaker 3: weekend from the UK and German foreign secretaries calling for 226 00:11:03,000 --> 00:11:06,600 Speaker 3: a sustainable ceasefire. Francis Foreign Minister following that up with 227 00:11:06,760 --> 00:11:09,080 Speaker 3: calls of her own for a truce. What is the 228 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:14,480 Speaker 3: Israeli reaction to this growing international call for some kind 229 00:11:14,559 --> 00:11:15,800 Speaker 3: of ceasefire with Hamas. 230 00:11:15,880 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 15: Yeah, there's so many dimensions to this. So of course 231 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 15: from the Israeli perspective, there is a huge amount of 232 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 15: resistance to talking about sort of ceasefires, general ceasefires, and 233 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:26,240 Speaker 15: again they've always wanted to say pauses, and the West 234 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:28,880 Speaker 15: and the sort of supporters of Israel have always sort 235 00:11:28,880 --> 00:11:31,200 Speaker 15: of backed that. But what's interesting if you actually read 236 00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 15: this letter by the UK and the German Foreign Secretary, 237 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:36,880 Speaker 15: it's very muddled, right, it's but again it speaks to 238 00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:38,920 Speaker 15: the difficulty of a lot of the countries that support 239 00:11:38,960 --> 00:11:41,520 Speaker 15: Israel squaring the circle of what they see as a 240 00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:44,280 Speaker 15: legitimate aim, which is removing Hamas, while at the same 241 00:11:44,280 --> 00:11:47,560 Speaker 15: time not wanting to kill as many civil being killed. 242 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:49,439 Speaker 15: So on the one hand, they say we want a 243 00:11:49,480 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 15: sustainable ceasefire in this letter, but let us be clear, 244 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:53,920 Speaker 15: we do not believe in calling for it right now 245 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:57,160 Speaker 15: as a general and immediate ceasefire. First Hamas needs to 246 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:59,439 Speaker 15: lay down its arms. So these are all conditions that 247 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:02,600 Speaker 15: they're they're seeing, but again there's no indication that Hamas 248 00:12:02,600 --> 00:12:04,280 Speaker 15: has any intention of doing so they go on and 249 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:07,240 Speaker 15: talk also about the two state solution and something needs 250 00:12:07,240 --> 00:12:09,600 Speaker 15: to change for a durable solution. But again, you want 251 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:13,080 Speaker 15: that without sending the signal that terrorism is the way 252 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:15,760 Speaker 15: to successfully achieve political ends. So you see them really 253 00:12:15,760 --> 00:12:16,600 Speaker 15: squirming around this. 254 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:19,439 Speaker 3: What about the signal that the US is sending. Of course, 255 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:22,960 Speaker 3: we have a National Security Advisor, Jake Sullivan in the region. 256 00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:25,200 Speaker 3: In fact, he was in the region when we learned 257 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:29,880 Speaker 3: of this hostage killing in northern Gaza. Defense Secretary Lloyd 258 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:32,439 Speaker 3: Austin is in the region as well. What kind of 259 00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:34,280 Speaker 3: pressure is the US bringing to bear right now? 260 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 15: Completely, let's take a step back. Let's go back to 261 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 15: last week when Biden was saying that basically the Israelis 262 00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:41,160 Speaker 15: are starting to lose some of the support because of 263 00:12:41,200 --> 00:12:43,640 Speaker 15: the indiscriminate bombing that takes place. Now, that is a 264 00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:46,960 Speaker 15: direct quotation, and that is a fairly strong pronouncement from Biden, 265 00:12:47,000 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 15: who's been very supportive of Israel, and who's obviously the 266 00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 15: most important economically, militarily, and almost in every sense supporter 267 00:12:53,760 --> 00:12:55,920 Speaker 15: of Israel. But what you had last week is you 268 00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:57,920 Speaker 15: had Sullivan coming in and this is you know, and 269 00:12:57,960 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 15: this is the timeline for the war, and what that 270 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 15: looks like. The US has been very eager to try 271 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:03,960 Speaker 15: to get more information from Israel and what that looks like. 272 00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:06,040 Speaker 15: All we've really heard from Israel is that there's three 273 00:13:06,040 --> 00:13:08,720 Speaker 15: major steps. There's the intense military campaign, which is what 274 00:13:08,760 --> 00:13:11,319 Speaker 15: we're in right now. The second step is more surgical 275 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:13,680 Speaker 15: on the ground, dealing with leadership, and then the third 276 00:13:13,800 --> 00:13:16,320 Speaker 15: is the kind of new security regime. What the US 277 00:13:16,400 --> 00:13:18,319 Speaker 15: is trying to do is trying to get into phase 278 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:20,280 Speaker 15: two as soon as possible. And you heard that from 279 00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:22,720 Speaker 15: Sullivan on Friday, and you'll probably hear that from Lloyd 280 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:25,040 Speaker 15: Austin today when he meets with the Israeli and trying 281 00:13:25,040 --> 00:13:26,959 Speaker 15: to really get a picture of what their vision of 282 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:28,080 Speaker 15: this war is. 283 00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:31,959 Speaker 3: Is Israeli Prime Minister netanyahuo facing domestic pressure as well 284 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,320 Speaker 3: to get to that second phase, given what we saw 285 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:35,720 Speaker 3: with the hostages over the weekend. 286 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:38,400 Speaker 15: I think that this is the difficulty, where on the 287 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:40,440 Speaker 15: one hand, there is this sort of full support in 288 00:13:40,520 --> 00:13:43,400 Speaker 15: Israel of getting rid of Hamas and you know, again 289 00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:46,559 Speaker 15: going to whatever is necessary there to do so. However, 290 00:13:46,640 --> 00:13:49,679 Speaker 15: there is also this increasing pressure, particularly from those who 291 00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 15: have a great, great, great deal of concern for the hostages. 292 00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:54,199 Speaker 15: I mean, they came out with this, it was absolutely 293 00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:56,440 Speaker 15: shocking on Friday to the Israelis that they could have 294 00:13:56,520 --> 00:13:59,280 Speaker 15: killed three of their own hostages, that you know their 295 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:02,000 Speaker 15: mission is to save them, who came out apparently holding 296 00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:04,360 Speaker 15: white flags and shirt lists to show that there were 297 00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 15: no bombs. Speaking in Hebrew, of course, this is the 298 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:08,559 Speaker 15: sort of throes of war and a lot of things 299 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 15: can happen, but that immediately triggered protests in the streets 300 00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:14,040 Speaker 15: of Tel Aviv outside of the Defense ministry, and you're 301 00:14:14,040 --> 00:14:16,040 Speaker 15: going to see that pressure continuing to mount because there 302 00:14:16,040 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 15: has been a division from the very beginning from the 303 00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 15: Israelis about how they're conducting this war. Is this the 304 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:22,360 Speaker 15: best way to do it if you want to get 305 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:24,200 Speaker 15: the hostages back. There's still one hundred and thirty or 306 00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 15: so left. 307 00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:28,240 Speaker 3: And as this war continues, we're seeing shipping in the 308 00:14:28,280 --> 00:14:32,840 Speaker 3: Red Sea coming under increasing attack from Houti rebels in Yemen. 309 00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:36,200 Speaker 3: There's a complicated response to that as well. 310 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:38,320 Speaker 15: Yeah, so we had this over the weekend where we 311 00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 15: heard with Moller Mirsk and Hapag Lloyd, both of the 312 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 15: huge shipping container companies of the world, saying that they're 313 00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:47,880 Speaker 15: basically telling their ship their ships to not go through 314 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:50,280 Speaker 15: that passage at the Red Sea that passes by Yemen, 315 00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 15: and we'll remember the ever given fiasco right from a 316 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 15: couple of years ago where the Suez Canal got blocked. 317 00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:57,560 Speaker 15: That's about twelve percent of global trade that goes through 318 00:14:57,560 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 15: the Suez Canal, and this is one of the points 319 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:01,520 Speaker 15: that you need to pass before you get there. So 320 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:03,720 Speaker 15: again there are sort of the more macro concerns going 321 00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 15: around about this, and of course you have the IDEF 322 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 15: repeatedly warning still to this day hasn't quieted down in 323 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 15: the north around Hezbola. So again, all of these are 324 00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 15: still very much alive, and again you're starting to see 325 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:15,080 Speaker 15: some of the macroeconomic consequences. 326 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:19,560 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg day Break Today, your morning brief on 327 00:15:19,640 --> 00:15:23,160 Speaker 1: the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 328 00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:26,200 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 329 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 2: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 330 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:31,160 Speaker 2: get your podcasts. 331 00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:34,000 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 332 00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:36,680 Speaker 1: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 333 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:39,560 Speaker 1: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 334 00:15:39,640 --> 00:15:42,520 Speaker 1: Bloomberg one oh six to one in Boston, and Bloomberg 335 00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:44,280 Speaker 1: ninety sixty in San Francisco. 336 00:15:44,640 --> 00:15:47,800 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 337 00:15:47,840 --> 00:15:53,280 Speaker 2: Amazon Alectiona devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty plus. 338 00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:56,880 Speaker 1: Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app, seriusxmb 339 00:15:57,040 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 1: iHeartRadio app, and on Bloomberg dot Com. I'm Nathan Hager 340 00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 1: and I'm Karen Moscow. 341 00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:05,040 Speaker 2: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 342 00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:08,360 Speaker 2: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak