WEBVTT - Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Lori Calvasina and Mike McGlone

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>Single best idea, well, the single best idea, as they

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<v Speaker 2>came to me, I don't know, three four months ago

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<v Speaker 2>and they said, what are you doing the Friday after Thanksgiving?

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<v Speaker 2>I'm taking off a huge part of the end of

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<v Speaker 2>the year. And I said, well, I certainly deserve to

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<v Speaker 2>do it. Let everybody else off. Instead, we are going

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<v Speaker 2>to have a full blown out show the Friday after

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<v Speaker 2>Thanksgiving in these tumultuous times. Lisa Matteo, Michael Barbe with us,

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<v Speaker 2>and of course Paul Sweeney will come in as well.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm really you know, like goosebumps. I mean, we're

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<v Speaker 2>really going to try to do it on Friday with

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<v Speaker 2>a great lineup and worldwide in the nine o'clock hour

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<v Speaker 2>on Bloomberg Television as well. Single best Idea. Let's start

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<v Speaker 2>with Lori Calvisina trying to summarize this market the way

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<v Speaker 2>John Williams of the New York Fed turned the market

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<v Speaker 2>around on Friday. Here from RBC, Lori Kelvisina on your stress.

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<v Speaker 3>But I think the reality is that there have been

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of things causing stress in this market, maybe

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<v Speaker 3>not any single one of them. Enormous stress, but it

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<v Speaker 3>all kind of adds up. I think the FED was

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<v Speaker 3>one of those, frankly, because we had seen expectations for

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<v Speaker 3>cuts taken out, and when you've seen that happen in

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<v Speaker 3>recent years, you know, kind of going back to late

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<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty two, that tends to trip up the stock market,

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<v Speaker 3>and when we put cuts back in, it tends to

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<v Speaker 3>help the stock market. So I have no idea what

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<v Speaker 3>they're going to say. I know that RBC's rate strategist

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<v Speaker 3>has been in the December skip camp, and then he

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<v Speaker 3>thinks they resume next year. So my guess is the

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<v Speaker 3>drama is not yet over. But we also know that

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<v Speaker 3>valuations have been a problem since August, and we've seen,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, f y two valuations sort of bumping up

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<v Speaker 3>against ceilings. We're going to cycle into new earnings at

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<v Speaker 3>some point, but right now companies don't want to talk

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<v Speaker 3>a whole lot about twenty twenty six.

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<v Speaker 2>Lori Kelvisina with RBC Capital Markets. We moved on to

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<v Speaker 2>Bitcohina or is I once said, bitdog, how wrong was

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<v Speaker 2>I on bitcoin? And picked the price ten thousand, thirty thousand,

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<v Speaker 2>fifty thousand, consistently wrong all the way up? Who nailed

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<v Speaker 2>the call, Michael McGlone with Bloomberg come out, and he's

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<v Speaker 2>just doing great work on gold, on copper, and of

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<v Speaker 2>course on bitcoin. The purview from Miami Michael mcgloone, the

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<v Speaker 2>next step for bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to tilt over to your term before time

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<v Speaker 1>of bitdog. I think is becoming bitdog. The world's changed

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<v Speaker 1>for cryptocurrencies. We had this massive pump on the having

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<v Speaker 1>and the ETF pilot and the Trump administration jumping on

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<v Speaker 1>board and very well entrenched into space now and it's peaked.

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<v Speaker 1>It's classic. I think peak bull market peaks on euphoria.

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<v Speaker 1>The thing is now it's dragging everything lower with it.

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<v Speaker 1>So as of Friday, the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index was

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<v Speaker 1>down twenty one percent. On the air was up almost

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<v Speaker 1>a third. Bitcoin is right now down about ten percent

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<v Speaker 1>year in the key things, where's it go? Next thing

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<v Speaker 1>I look at is at the same time Kurtas are

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<v Speaker 1>going lower. Stock market volatile is just buried.

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<v Speaker 3>Now.

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<v Speaker 1>We know the VIX is up, but one hundred and

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<v Speaker 1>twenty day volatile he is still around eleven percent. That's

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<v Speaker 1>a very low level. So I think the whole space

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<v Speaker 1>has got more more d risky to go into the

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<v Speaker 1>end of the year, which is probably the primary risk.

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<v Speaker 2>Michael mcgloane looking each day at commodities for US as

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<v Speaker 2>we look at equities, bonds, currencies and commodities on your

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<v Speaker 2>podcasts and Spotify on Apple on YouTube podcasts, it's single

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<v Speaker 2>best idea