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Speaker 1: More memories are made when you're there for live NFL

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Speaker 1: the best view of those pivotal plays and if your

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Speaker 1: transfer your tickets. Plus mobile tickets make getting in on

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Speaker 1: game day a breeze. You can even customize your Ticketmaster

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Speaker 1: app to rep your team's colors. Find tickets today at

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Speaker 1: ticketmaster dot com.

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Speaker 2: Slash NFL The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 3: I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 4: All right here we go from there throwing into I'm

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Speaker 4: sitting it to catch town.

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Speaker 3: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to win. That's in big bank small. I like

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Speaker 3: to make money.

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Speaker 4: All right.

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Speaker 5: This is the ultimate kabara.

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Speaker 3: And we are what is up? Everybody?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to The Action Network Podcast presented by bet MGM.

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Speaker 2: I'm your host, Chris Raybond, and this is your NFL

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Speaker 2: Week five betting preview where we will talk about our

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Speaker 2: favorite sides, totals, teasers, underdog, moneyline parlays, survivor picks, and

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Speaker 2: of course we'll crack open our weekly Sunday six pack

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Speaker 2: of against the spread bets with the help of my

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Speaker 2: co host, the Prime Minister, a Degenerate Nation, Stucky stuck

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Speaker 2: good ship. Last week, I'm banning you from betting on

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Speaker 2: the Browns against the Ravens, but good ship though.

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Speaker 3: Nice week for the.

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Speaker 4: Pop backup quarterbacks. Got the last two times about the

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Speaker 4: Browns against the Ravens. Obviously, last week that bet was dead.

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Speaker 4: Great week for the podcast, but last week was last week,

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Speaker 4: so let's keep it rolling to move on to week five.

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Speaker 3: Let's do it.

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Speaker 2: And for those asking, yes, these episodes will always be

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Speaker 2: available in full on the Action Network YouTube page. They

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Speaker 2: post every Thursday afternoon, so check that out if you

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Speaker 2: prefer visuals. And we'll get right into Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 6: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 3: Let's bet Thursday Night Football, all right? Week five?

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Speaker 2: We got the Bears at the Commanders. I believe this

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Speaker 2: was a Thursday night matchup around this time last year

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Speaker 2: as well. Very well, scoring pretty boring game where I

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Speaker 2: think the Bears failed to punch it in at the.

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Speaker 3: Goal on near the end of the game.

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Speaker 2: But Washington is favored by five and a half at

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Speaker 2: bet MGM.

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Speaker 3: The total is forty four and a half. That giving

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Speaker 3: your initial thoughts on this game.

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Speaker 4: I look for reasons not the bet Thursday Football, and

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Speaker 4: this game is probably at the top of the list.

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Speaker 4: It's gonna be ugly most likely. I can give you

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Speaker 4: tons of trends for why you know the Bears and

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Speaker 4: when we mentioned trends. When I mentioned trends like there

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Speaker 4: has to be I only do so when there's a

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Speaker 4: reasoning behind it which I could explain. But uh, you

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Speaker 4: know teams that are owing four against the spread like

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Speaker 4: the Bears are sixty percent against the spread when catching

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Speaker 4: a field goal plus in Week five. That also applies

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Speaker 4: to the Giants and Panthers this week, oh and four

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Speaker 4: straight up road dogs in Week five sixty five percent

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Speaker 4: over the past thirty seasons. And then also teams coming

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Speaker 4: off a short week after an overtime game playing on

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Speaker 4: Thursday Night football three and twenty one against the spread,

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Speaker 4: which would apply to the Commanders. However, it's the Bears.

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Speaker 4: They've lost fourteen straight games. They've allowed twenty five plus

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Speaker 4: points in all of them. That's the longest streak of

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Speaker 4: its kind of NFL history. Chicago's also won ten and

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Speaker 4: one against the spread of the past twelve games. They're

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Speaker 4: also four and out of the OBUs year because their

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Speaker 4: defense is historically bad. Like I just said, they have

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Speaker 4: allowed twenty five plus and fourteenth straight games. You know,

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Speaker 4: Washington has been up and down, as you expect with

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Speaker 4: an inexperienced quarterback in Sam Howe. His biggest problem is

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Speaker 4: he's taken too many sacks. And it's not all on

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Speaker 4: the offensive line. He's just holding onto the ball too long.

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Speaker 4: He's been sacked twenty four times so far this year's season.

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Speaker 4: That's the most in the league. It's the most most

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Speaker 4: sacks through four games of all time, by the way,

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Speaker 4: David Carr and that infamous two thousand and five year

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Speaker 4: twenty seven, How's at twenty four, How's on pace to

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Speaker 4: take one hundred and eight sacks this year. The record

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Speaker 4: is car in that year at seventy six. But here's

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Speaker 4: the thing. The Bears have two sacks on the year

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Speaker 4: two They're averaging an NFL zero point five sacks per game,

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Speaker 4: they get no pressure. The Giants are the second most

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Speaker 4: at one one per game, So yeah, I would lean

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Speaker 4: over believe it or not, Bears total should I just

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Speaker 4: feel like they shouldn't be under forty five. Their defense

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Speaker 4: is historically bad and they have injuries in the secondary.

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Speaker 4: It's bad. The Bears offense finally figured some things out.

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Speaker 4: I lean Bears, I lean the over, but no, I'm passing.

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Speaker 4: This is your classic ugly Ugly. There's a night game.

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Speaker 2: It's Bears or nothing. But I don't want to touch

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Speaker 2: this game either. And the Bears coaching is just so bad.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you finally start to see the offense put

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Speaker 2: some things together, and then a coaching I mean, kick

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Speaker 2: the field, go for Christ six if your defense bows

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Speaker 2: at your defense bows. We used to give you a

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Speaker 2: quarterback some confidence and say, okay, put you in position

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Speaker 2: to win. Like and on defense, they just refuse to

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Speaker 2: send extra pressure like it's just four man rush, like

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Speaker 2: they're gonna live and die by this non existent four

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Speaker 2: man rush.

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Speaker 3: So you know, in theory, it's the perfect matchup for

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Speaker 3: how To.

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Speaker 2: But at the same time, I don't think how should

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Speaker 2: be favored, you know, by six against I mean anyone, really,

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Speaker 2: I think I think the line is a bit too big.

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Speaker 2: I think how is one of those uarterbacks just high variants, sacks,

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Speaker 2: turnovers Even when he runs the ball, he's pretty like

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Speaker 2: looks like he's one hit away from just disaster. But

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Speaker 2: you know he got got some weapons on the outside

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Speaker 2: of the Dotson who's banged up. But yeah, this is

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Speaker 2: an ugly game. Stay away, But if you're betting it,

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Speaker 2: I would go bears and the.

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Speaker 3: Over, So I agree with you.

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Speaker 2: Before we get into the Sunday six pack, I do

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Speaker 2: want to mention that we have our Action Discord server

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Speaker 2: live and a lot of people want to know where

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Speaker 2: they can find the best lines for my guy, Sean

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Speaker 2: Kerner's prop bets because he goes hamm and like a

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Speaker 2: lot of lines move instantly.

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Speaker 3: I mean, that's what it is at this point.

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Speaker 2: So if you are in the discord, a lot of

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Speaker 2: times he will drop those there as he's about to

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Speaker 2: bet them as well.

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Speaker 3: So I got to get up in here too.

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Speaker 2: I'm kind of new to Discord, but I'm going to

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Speaker 2: get up in here too and try to holler out

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Speaker 2: some people's you could chat with, not just us, you know,

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Speaker 2: other gamblers other Action experts for Thursday night Football.

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Speaker 3: You know Sean will be on, so definitely swing through.

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Speaker 2: What you need is the invitation wink and the discord

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Speaker 2: app So we will drop a link in the description

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Speaker 2: of this episode.

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Speaker 3: But now it is time for week five Sunday six

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Speaker 3: Pack Thursday for Action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 2: All right, we came oh so close, oh so close

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Speaker 2: to the sweep. Both of our totalss wept. The sides

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Speaker 2: went to and one. The only thing was that, you know,

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Speaker 2: the backup quarterback DTR, having to start for DeShawn, which

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Speaker 2: I heard.

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Speaker 3: Deshaun didn't even like I heard.

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Speaker 2: He said he was gonna play and kind of put

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Speaker 2: the team in a bad position and at the last

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Speaker 2: minute he was like, no, I can't go.

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Speaker 4: So that's what it's like, DTR Like, look, he's you

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Speaker 4: never know what you're gonna get if you're gonna have

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Speaker 4: to start a rookie again against a complex defense that

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Speaker 4: chows you a lot of stuff. For a stat like you,

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Speaker 4: you want to be like, have the week to prepare,

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Speaker 4: right like they you find this out on a Friday afternoon,

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Speaker 4: it's like, oh, hey, go on with the ones. He's

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Speaker 4: got like one or two days. You know, you saw

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Speaker 4: the results.

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Speaker 3: Yeah it was, Yeah, it was. I mean that Elijah Moore,

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Speaker 3: what was it like a twenty yard loss?

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Speaker 2: I mean that just like it was. It was just

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Speaker 2: a bad offensive day for Cleveland.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, five to one, two totals too and no teasers.

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Speaker 4: Was a good weekend. Let's have another one.

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Speaker 3: So hopefully we keep it going. My first pick of

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Speaker 3: the week five Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 2: This one's easy for me, going with the Houston Texans

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Speaker 2: plus one and a half at the Atlanta Falcons.

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Speaker 3: I could give you a lot.

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Speaker 2: Of numbers, and I will, but I'm just gonna start

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Speaker 2: by saying, just keep just keep buying CJ. Stroud until

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Speaker 2: he's favorite, really, because if you're getting points with Stroud

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Speaker 2: right now, he's been one of the better quarterbacks in

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Speaker 2: the week, not just for.

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Speaker 3: Rookies but period.

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Speaker 2: And he's impressively been able to overcome every single offensive lineman.

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Speaker 3: Being out pretty much.

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Speaker 2: Last two weeks zero sacks despite O line going through

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Speaker 2: the most injuries, and he's facing Desmond Ridder, who the

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Speaker 2: more he plays, the worse he looks. And you know,

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Speaker 2: I think defenses are just starting to figure him out,

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Speaker 2: and you know, you and I are both kind of

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Speaker 2: disappointed because we thought the Falcons were going to be

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Speaker 2: able to kind of hide Ridder better than this, you know,

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Speaker 2: have them just kind of distribute the ball.

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Speaker 3: They have all these movable chess pieces, but.

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Speaker 2: At the end of the day, you have to throw

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Speaker 2: the ball sometimes, and it's just not happening for the Falcons.

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Speaker 2: Ridder leads the NFL in turnover where he plays, so

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Speaker 2: you know that is I think it could get worse,

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Speaker 2: you know, and I know the Falcons cat single digit

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Speaker 2: the last two weeks, but I still think it could

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Speaker 2: get worse. So I want to fade the Falcons until,

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Speaker 2: you know, high he gets in there. He'll probably get

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Speaker 2: in there pretty soon, I would think that, though I

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Speaker 2: know it's a complicated offense, but really, CJ. Stroud just

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Speaker 2: you know, the Texans aren't world beaters by any stretch,

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Speaker 2: but they have a solid receiving corps. They've been able

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Speaker 2: to mitigate their line Slowik has been calling excellent games

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Speaker 2: and schemes, and their defense has been solid, especially against

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Speaker 2: the past and I know Atlanta. You know, Atlanta is

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Speaker 2: a run every team, and that has been Houston's weakness.

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Speaker 3: So that is a concern.

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Speaker 2: But it's kind of like last week against Pittsburgh when

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Speaker 2: it's like, all right, obviously there's gonna be some you know,

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Speaker 2: the Texans aren't going to be have an edge in

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Speaker 2: every facet, Like we knew t J.

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Speaker 3: Watt's gonna affect the game, and he did.

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Speaker 2: He forced like a fourth and a fourth down like

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Speaker 2: turnover on downs this game. Yeah, I'm sure the Falcons

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Speaker 2: will be able to run some on the Texans, but

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Speaker 2: at the end of the day, when it comes down

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Speaker 2: to it and these teams have to make plays to

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Speaker 2: you know, get the ball in the end zone, I

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Speaker 2: think it's gonna be Stroud. I don't think it's gonna

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Speaker 2: be Ritter, and I think Ridder is much more likely

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Speaker 2: to turn the ball over.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

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Speaker 2: So you look at the Texans thirteenth in points for

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Speaker 2: per drive at two point one, Falcons twenty fifth at

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Speaker 2: one point four. I still think Houston is due for

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Speaker 2: some red zone regression. They're thirty first in touchdown conversion

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Speaker 2: rate in the red zone, where Atlanta is fifth on defense.

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Speaker 2: I think both of those are going to regress to

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Speaker 2: the mean. But the quarterback match is just absurd. Like

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Speaker 2: Stroud is third in yards per attempt at eight point

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Speaker 2: zero ridders twenty sixth Stroud is third, and adjusted net

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Speaker 2: yard is an attempt at seven point seven. Ritterer is

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Speaker 2: twenty ninth at four point one EPA. Stroud is thirteenth

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Speaker 2: at point one two. And Ritter has been a negative

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Speaker 2: when you know, so he's he's losing the Falcons points

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Speaker 2: every time he drops back, so forever like double the points.

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Speaker 2: Ritterer is a minus point two, whereas Stroud is plus

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Speaker 2: point one. So Ritter is losing double the point Stroud

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Speaker 2: is gaining every time he drops back, and he has

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Speaker 2: triple the turnover where they play rate that Stroud does

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Speaker 2: US has been getting better, Like since week two, there's

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Speaker 2: seventh in EPA per play first two weeks, eleven sacks

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Speaker 2: since sixty three dropbacks, zero sacks, nine point eight yards

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Speaker 2: in a tempt for Stroud, four touchdowns, no picks, and

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Speaker 2: three scrambles for twenty six yards.

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Speaker 3: So he's dropped back sixty three.

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Speaker 2: Times and he's averaging nine point seven yards whether he scrambles,

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Speaker 2: throws it whatever, with no negative plays.

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Speaker 3: I just think the market is too low on him.

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Speaker 2: I have this as I have the Texans rated above

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Speaker 2: the Falcons now, so I have this as a pick

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Speaker 2: them and this coaching staff in general.

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Speaker 3: I think de Miko getting his guys.

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Speaker 2: You know, I've seen improvement every week from this Houston

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Speaker 2: team on both sides of the ball so well as

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Speaker 2: I think Atlanta is just it's just running out. They

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Speaker 2: had one good game, really, that Green Bay game, four

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Speaker 2: under forty six yards. Every other game they failed to

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Speaker 2: even hit three hundred total yards of offense, fading Atlanta

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Speaker 2: until we get some heinike and continuance to next round.

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Speaker 4: I actually completely disagree with this one. The only ones

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Speaker 4: that picks I disagree with you with this year are

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Speaker 4: when you've in Falcons games. I've been running four, all

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Speaker 4: four Falcons games. But I think because they're basically like

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Speaker 4: a service academy. That's my specialty in college. At number one. Look, yeah,

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Speaker 4: the Texans and a lot of the I Strouds look great.

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Speaker 4: You I love slowic. I mean, look, if you just

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Speaker 4: look at what Nico Collins do nine yards after catch,

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Speaker 4: he's averaging that's only other players in the NFL that

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Speaker 4: average over eight. Waddle and debo. That's the Channahan try.

268
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Speaker 4: That's that offense. That he's trying to implement. It's ahead

269
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Speaker 4: of the curve, especially when you consider the offensive line injuries.

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Speaker 4: But here's the handicapital comes to the Falcons. One, they

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Speaker 4: are service game. They just want to run the ball,

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Speaker 4: and they want to run the entire game. When they

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Speaker 4: do that, then their terrible quarterback doesn't have to throw it.

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Speaker 4: Last week, the reason I like the Jags is you

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Speaker 4: can't run on the Jags, but you can run on Houston.

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Speaker 4: Houston's run he has been pretty poor. They are bottom

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Speaker 4: ten EPA per rush allowed, bottom half the lee get

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Speaker 4: success rate allowed. And then they can continue to on

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Speaker 4: the ball if they get behind, And then you're asking rider,

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Speaker 4: do you think they get throw picks like you did

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Speaker 4: last week? Because Jacksonville got ahead. This is probably the

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Speaker 4: peak of the market in my opinion the Texans, and

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Speaker 4: it's a good you know, the Falcons aren't coming off.

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Speaker 4: They're coming back from London, so we'll see what the

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Speaker 4: travel does. I think this is a good Bilo cell

286
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Speaker 4: high spot on Atlanta. But where I won't argue with

287
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Speaker 4: you is that you have the better quarterback and there

288
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Speaker 4: still could be some value in the market. On Stroud.

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Speaker 4: You mentioned Heineke. Yeah, I know that they gave the

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Speaker 4: vote of confidence to Ritter, but I mean if Ritter

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Speaker 4: it's an early bad pick, I could see the change

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Speaker 4: being made like in this game early.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, like listen, like this is one of

294
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Speaker 2: my specialties, is like you know, modeling players and stuff,

295
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Speaker 2: and like you exactly hit it on the head. The

296
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Speaker 2: market is only going to go up so much by C. J.

297
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Speaker 2: Stroud and he and they don't like not everyone knows

298
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Speaker 2: exactly how much of a sample size for what stats,

299
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Speaker 2: So like everything on my model says factor and all

300
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Speaker 2: the regression you want, what this Texan offense is.

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Speaker 3: Better than like two thirds of the league really.

302
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Speaker 2: Just because of Straft. We've seen this, Like the sharps

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Speaker 2: are on the Steelers last week, actually, like that was

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Speaker 2: a big sharp.

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Speaker 3: I don't know why. And now the sharps are on

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Speaker 3: the uh you know, the Falcons. I don't. I don't

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Speaker 3: get it, all right, I gotta I.

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Speaker 4: Gotta cull you off because we can't spend any more

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Speaker 4: time on desby Ritter. We got to get to some

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Speaker 4: real quarterbacks like Mitch Bortles Trubisky. So for my first

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Speaker 4: pick of the week, five Sunday six pack. I'm going

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Speaker 4: with the Pittsburgh Steelers plus three and a half. I

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Speaker 4: think you can find a four out there. It doesn't

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Speaker 4: matter for the contest. So and look, this was a

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Speaker 4: no brainer for me. I do have a reputation to uh,

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Speaker 4: I have a reputation, you sure do, so should do

317
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Speaker 4: with So I can't go one and two fading the Ravens,

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Speaker 4: so fadum against the Colts, which worked out fadum against

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Speaker 4: last week. But there's nothing I could do with the

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Speaker 4: quarterback situation. This is just a no brainer. I mean,

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Speaker 4: first of all, it's good bye low Cell Hotspit Raven's

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Speaker 4: off pig win over the Browns. But again, it's another

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Speaker 4: backup quarterback. They've done nothing this year except played backup

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Speaker 4: in one legged quarterbacks in Joe Burrow. So I think

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Speaker 4: that their defensive metrics are a tad over valued. They're

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Speaker 4: still dealing with some injuries, even though you've got some

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Speaker 4: guys coming back, but you got to mess everyone back together.

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Speaker 4: I don't even know if Humphrey's even going to be

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Speaker 4: back this week. But this just boils down to what

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Speaker 4: we've talked about for six years. This is a classic

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Speaker 4: Tomlin spot.

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Speaker 3: What a raw ron, Mike Tomlin Spot, we.

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Speaker 5: Win the game with this cruel bodies right here today

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Speaker 5: bring only game to day.

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Speaker 4: Raw Ross Spot off an embarrassing loss at home against

336
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Speaker 4: the winning team. He will have his team up. They

337
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Speaker 4: will just show up here. Low total two and you're

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Speaker 4: catching over a field goal in a divisional game. Speaking

339
00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:50,400
Speaker 4: of catching over a field goal, these teams have played

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Speaker 4: thirty times in the regular season since John Harball arrived

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Speaker 4: in Baltimore. Seventeen of the thirty have been decided by

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Speaker 4: three points or less. And the craziest stat of all

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Speaker 4: is when the spread is three or more in this matchup.

344
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Speaker 4: Since two thousand and eight, the underdog is seventeen one

345
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Speaker 4: and three against the spread.

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna cut you off because I laugh at that

347
00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:17,400
Speaker 5: all the time, like that's what the hell we pay

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Speaker 5: to do.

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Speaker 4: Seventeen one and three against spread. And we're not talking

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Speaker 4: like spreads that are like twelve, fifteen, twenty. He's usually

351
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Speaker 4: pretty evenly matched teams. You go back in the score

352
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Speaker 4: is Steven's shocked how many games? And sixteen fourteen and

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Speaker 4: sixteen thirteen, So yeah, it's just seventeen one and three

354
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Speaker 4: against the spread. Also, Tom on is underdog. We know

355
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Speaker 4: fifty three twenty eight three against the spread, over sixty

356
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Speaker 4: five percent against the spread, most profitable than any coach

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Speaker 4: in NFL history. He's also thirty three fifteen and one

358
00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:49,359
Speaker 4: against the spread, sixty nine percent, very nice against teams

359
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:51,679
Speaker 4: with a winning record, most profitable in that spot by

360
00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:52,160
Speaker 4: a mile.

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Speaker 5: Guys that played for me didn't tell you one of

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00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:56,639
Speaker 5: my sayings. I got a lot to say, is is

363
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Speaker 5: don't seek comfort. Appreciate my resume the seeking comfort.

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Speaker 4: And then we talked Lamar Jackson is like the new

365
00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:08,720
Speaker 4: Mahomes with the against the spread numbers right, He's fifteen

366
00:18:08,760 --> 00:18:11,159
Speaker 4: and one against the spread, ninety four percent as an

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Speaker 4: underdog or favorite of less than three points when favored

368
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Speaker 4: by three or more, twenty and twenty nine against the spread,

369
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Speaker 4: forty percent. Talking ninety four versus forty percent. This is

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Speaker 4: just classic divisional battle. Steelers bounce back here. You'll get

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00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:27,560
Speaker 4: a good effort. And by the way, I didn't even

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Speaker 4: mention the fact that we're gonna get Mitch Bortles Trubisky.

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Speaker 4: I think it's an upgrade.

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Speaker 3: You've just been bortled.

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Speaker 4: It's not much, it's pretty eden, but I have a

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00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:42,000
Speaker 4: tiny slight upgrade. I'm as I've talked about all year.

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Speaker 4: I'm way lower than the market. I'm Kenny Pickett. I'm

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00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:46,560
Speaker 4: not a Kenny Pickett guy. Now, granted he's in a

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Speaker 4: Matt Cannaba system. He's not getting much help with the

380
00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:51,960
Speaker 4: offensive line and you know, injuries a tight end and

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Speaker 4: wide receiver. But look, Trubisky aka Bortles, he moved. He

382
00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:00,600
Speaker 4: threw for three forty against this Ravens defense last year,

383
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Speaker 4: just had you know, three picks which did him in.

384
00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:06,680
Speaker 4: But I actually like his pocket presence a bit more.

385
00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:09,200
Speaker 4: He can move around, and so I don't think there's

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Speaker 4: any I think the market has reacted to Picket a

387
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:13,400
Speaker 4: little bit, and I don't think they should. I think

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00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:17,560
Speaker 4: this is even at worst, and I think actually a

389
00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:19,639
Speaker 4: slight up. The Pickets just looks awful back there. He

390
00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:23,399
Speaker 4: has no confidence, he's bailing so quick. So yeah, I

391
00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:30,480
Speaker 4: like the Steelers classic spot. I guess this ends sixteen thirteen.

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Speaker 4: Somebody Pickett could still play, But I actually I do

393
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Speaker 4: think it's going to be Tubisky.

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00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:36,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean they might as well. I mean pick

395
00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:36,919
Speaker 3: has been awful anyway.

396
00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:41,040
Speaker 2: It's just a good time to kind of eject I'll

397
00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:44,120
Speaker 2: go with pick number two third overall of the Week

398
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Speaker 2: five Sunday six pack. I'll go with the Titans minus

399
00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:51,280
Speaker 2: one at the Colts. This is just, you know, coming

400
00:19:51,320 --> 00:19:54,480
Speaker 2: into the year I had the Titans, I was higher

401
00:19:54,520 --> 00:19:57,199
Speaker 2: on the Titans than the market, lower on the Coats,

402
00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:00,520
Speaker 2: and I think this is a good spot to it's

403
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:04,320
Speaker 2: about the Titans. I'm like with the coach and Anthony Richardson.

404
00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:08,320
Speaker 2: You know, he's getting the rushing touchdowns, he's scoring fantasy points,

405
00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:11,240
Speaker 2: but I think this coach team is still kind of

406
00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:14,840
Speaker 2: playing above their heads. You know, Richardson's thirty third out

407
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:18,840
Speaker 2: of thirty six quarterbacks and adjusted completion percentage, and you

408
00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:21,080
Speaker 2: gotta be accurate to you know that that is the

409
00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:24,320
Speaker 2: Titans weakness on defense. I think it is against the pass,

410
00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:25,640
Speaker 2: you know, against the run.

411
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Speaker 3: They're not.

412
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:31,119
Speaker 2: Right and and Richardson really hasn't been doing it until

413
00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:33,280
Speaker 2: last game he started to a little, but you kind

414
00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:34,040
Speaker 2: of saw why.

415
00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:37,399
Speaker 3: He wasn't because he went eleven of twenty five, and

416
00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:41,560
Speaker 3: like the offense is just, you know, it's shaky.

417
00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:44,600
Speaker 2: Even if Jonathan Tarror comes back again, Tennessee is number

418
00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:48,800
Speaker 2: two in run defense DVO. It's always been Tennessee's strong point.

419
00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:51,159
Speaker 2: You know, Jeffrey Simmons up in the middle, and then

420
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:52,720
Speaker 2: you know Indianapolis.

421
00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:55,639
Speaker 3: This was they were playing. Don't get me wrong, they

422
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:56,119
Speaker 3: were playing well.

423
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Speaker 2: I definitely upgraded them based on relative to how I

424
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:03,159
Speaker 2: rated them coming into the year. But now they're starting

425
00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:06,000
Speaker 2: to get injuries. You know, one of their starting corners,

426
00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:08,960
Speaker 2: Dallas Flowers, and then Quitty pay is also hurt in,

427
00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:11,840
Speaker 2: one of their best pass rushers and looks like the

428
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:16,600
Speaker 2: who is it petit freeer. It got reinstated because they

429
00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:19,480
Speaker 2: shortened those gambling suspensions. So I don't know if he's

430
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:24,400
Speaker 2: gonna player what's going on there, But I just think Indianapolis,

431
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:28,080
Speaker 2: you know, out gained every in every single game so far.

432
00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:31,480
Speaker 2: Yet they're two and two, you know, sixty eight point

433
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:32,440
Speaker 2: three yards per game.

434
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:33,440
Speaker 3: They're being out gained by.

435
00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:40,000
Speaker 2: And this Gus Bradley defense, Fryan Tannehill last year seventy

436
00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:42,760
Speaker 2: three percent completion rate, one hundred and seven passer rating,

437
00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:47,200
Speaker 2: two touchdowns and no picks. I just think Tennessee gets

438
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:50,400
Speaker 2: it done here on the road. Take the money line

439
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:54,040
Speaker 2: if you don't want the minus one. But I just

440
00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:56,080
Speaker 2: think Tennessee has the better team this is the type

441
00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 2: of game where I think this veteran Tennessee squad gets

442
00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:02,160
Speaker 2: it done and what I think is an inferior opponent

443
00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 2: even though they run a rope.

444
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:05,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, I would lean that way. I make ton to

445
00:22:05,280 --> 00:22:07,520
Speaker 4: see a slight favor, but I have no strong thoughts

446
00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:13,840
Speaker 4: on this game, typical AFC South game. For my second

447
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:16,600
Speaker 4: pick and the fourth overall of the week five Sunday

448
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:18,480
Speaker 4: six pack, I'm going to go with the Dallas Cowboys

449
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:22,560
Speaker 4: plus three and a half at you say Francisco forty

450
00:22:22,640 --> 00:22:25,480
Speaker 4: nine Ers on Sunday night. I took this bet last

451
00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:28,560
Speaker 4: year plus four plus three and a half, and I'll

452
00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:31,119
Speaker 4: bet it again. The it was a low score in

453
00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:34,439
Speaker 4: defensive battle, Dallas was done in by some picks and

454
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:38,680
Speaker 4: then they dropped the pick themselves. And then also I think, yeah,

455
00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:40,280
Speaker 4: a lot of people forget as Poward got hurt in

456
00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:42,280
Speaker 4: that game, which was just huge. I think you can

457
00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:45,840
Speaker 4: actually have a good game this season, assuming that he

458
00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:48,919
Speaker 4: stays healthy the whole game against the forty nine ers defense.

459
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:52,520
Speaker 4: That there's been some cracks even against the run this year.

460
00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:55,359
Speaker 4: Now you don't you haven't really seen it because they've

461
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 4: played you know, four clowns that aren't going to go

462
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,159
Speaker 4: to the playoffs, and I think this is probably the

463
00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:03,240
Speaker 4: peak of the market for the forty nine ers after

464
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,720
Speaker 4: blowout wins over the Giants and Cardinals, and you know,

465
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:09,680
Speaker 4: the Cowboys could have close to a healthy one offensive line.

466
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:16,119
Speaker 4: There's still maybe a little bit uncertainty there, but I

467
00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:18,600
Speaker 4: just think it's a better roster now catching the same number.

468
00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:20,639
Speaker 4: These are the two elite teams along with the Eagles

469
00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:23,080
Speaker 4: in the NFC. I would take over a field goal

470
00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,679
Speaker 4: if you put any of those teams together, and no

471
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:29,280
Speaker 4: matter where you played the game, I'm taking over a

472
00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:35,160
Speaker 4: field goal. The Dallas defense can exploit a questionable San

473
00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 4: Francisco off it's line. That's what they did last year.

474
00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:38,399
Speaker 4: They got a ton of pressure on the right side.

475
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:40,520
Speaker 4: Those are the questions that we had coming into the

476
00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:43,280
Speaker 4: season with San Francisco. There's no way we could have

477
00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:45,600
Speaker 4: any of them answered yet because they haven't really played

478
00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:48,879
Speaker 4: anybody with a good defense. But the Dallas defense is

479
00:23:48,920 --> 00:23:52,000
Speaker 4: capable of bringing pressure from all over, exploiting some of

480
00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:54,719
Speaker 4: the potential weaknesses on the San Francisco off it's line,

481
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:57,080
Speaker 4: and you have to blitz party. He is look and

482
00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:59,280
Speaker 4: he's he's not a Jimmy g where oh if he's

483
00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:01,359
Speaker 4: under pressure because he can move around a little bit.

484
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:03,480
Speaker 4: You know, he's getting rid of the ball quicker this

485
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:06,560
Speaker 4: year and also increasing his average step the target, which

486
00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:08,400
Speaker 4: is a great sign for party. But if you look

487
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:10,760
Speaker 4: at his his EPA per play when he's not blitz

488
00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:13,040
Speaker 4: and not under pressure, it is so insane because he's

489
00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:14,639
Speaker 4: making all the frozen The offense is so good and

490
00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:16,800
Speaker 4: there's guys you have to get pressure, you have to

491
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:18,680
Speaker 4: get to him, you have to hit him. And that's

492
00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:21,000
Speaker 4: what Dallas did last year and he had one of

493
00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:23,199
Speaker 4: his pretty worst game as a pro, even though he

494
00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:26,280
Speaker 4: still was pretty good overall. So I think Dak will

495
00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:28,920
Speaker 4: be more aggressive here. And he's been really like a

496
00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:31,359
Speaker 4: little bit too conservative, I think worried about the picks.

497
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:33,119
Speaker 4: But now big game, I think Dallas going to come

498
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:34,720
Speaker 4: out angry. This is the team that eliminated from the

499
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:38,440
Speaker 4: postseason each of the past two seasons, and I think

500
00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:41,959
Speaker 4: the Dallas offense also has a bit of potential red

501
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 4: zone regression coming their way. They only scored touchdowns on

502
00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:46,639
Speaker 4: thirty seven percent of the red zone trips last year.

503
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:50,160
Speaker 4: They led the NFL at over seventy percent. Now that's

504
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:51,760
Speaker 4: a stat where there's a lot of variants year of

505
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:54,080
Speaker 4: the year, so you could expect some regression, but they're

506
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:56,480
Speaker 4: not going to be cut in half and only scoring

507
00:24:56,520 --> 00:25:01,159
Speaker 4: touchdowns on you know, Zach Wilson territory. So yeah, but

508
00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:03,360
Speaker 4: over a field goal, I have to take Dallas here.

509
00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:05,639
Speaker 4: I think this should be a really good game. The

510
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:07,240
Speaker 4: Dallas defense, I think is going to come out and

511
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:09,879
Speaker 4: make a couple of plays, and I actually think the

512
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:11,840
Speaker 4: Cowboys are going to win this game. So give me

513
00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:14,320
Speaker 4: Dallas plus three and a half.

514
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 2: You and I both talked about how Dallas potentially could

515
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:21,080
Speaker 2: be the best team in the NFC. Now, you know,

516
00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 2: they had that hiccup against Arizona.

517
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 3: So nobody's really putting them there right now.

518
00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:27,160
Speaker 2: But this could be a statement game, like you said,

519
00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:31,200
Speaker 2: for them, and I do think they have the requisite defense.

520
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:33,760
Speaker 2: You know, we saw that with Philly last year where

521
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:37,159
Speaker 2: they just created havoc and ended up. I mean, you

522
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:38,879
Speaker 2: don't ever want to see a guy get hurt, but

523
00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:41,640
Speaker 2: you know, something like that could happen in this game.

524
00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,680
Speaker 2: You know, Dallas could throw San Francisco off schedule because

525
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 2: San Francisco has just been so on schedule for the

526
00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:50,800
Speaker 2: last what every other game but that NFC Championship game,

527
00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:52,119
Speaker 2: and they're putting up thirty plus.

528
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:55,000
Speaker 3: You think the streak ends. I think the streak may end.

529
00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:57,520
Speaker 4: Yes, I agree, yeah, right.

530
00:25:57,560 --> 00:25:59,800
Speaker 3: So don't don't hate that at all.

531
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:05,280
Speaker 2: For my third and final pick of the week, five

532
00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:08,960
Speaker 2: to six pack the fifth overall, I'm going with the

533
00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:13,640
Speaker 2: Arizona Cardinals plus three at home against the Cincinnati Bengals.

534
00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:17,440
Speaker 2: And I just gotta fade the Bengals until they show

535
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 2: me something here because right now, again we're four weeks

536
00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:25,280
Speaker 2: into the season, and Joe Burrow can't move around, and

537
00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:30,399
Speaker 2: right now, the Cardinals are the better team on paper

538
00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 2: than the Cincinnati Bengals. Cardinals are sixteenth in DVA, sixth

539
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:40,919
Speaker 2: on offense, thirtieth on defense, and ninth on special teams.

540
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:44,480
Speaker 2: But Cincinnati is ten spots lower overall twenty six. They're

541
00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:48,639
Speaker 2: twenty third on offense, twenty fifth on defense. And you know,

542
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:53,199
Speaker 2: nothing's come easy to this team, and I think that

543
00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 2: the Cardinals can win this game. You know, their offense

544
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:59,119
Speaker 2: has been a lot better than expected thus far. Joshua

545
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:02,120
Speaker 2: Dobbs is is hanging in there, and he can move

546
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:04,679
Speaker 2: around a little bit. He's not making any you know,

547
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:08,360
Speaker 2: he's not making the terrible negative plays or anything like that.

548
00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:10,800
Speaker 3: And on the other hand.

549
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:13,720
Speaker 2: Joe Burrow Cincinnati's dead last in total yards per game

550
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 2: at two hundred and thirty six. Arizona is averaging over

551
00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:20,760
Speaker 2: one hundred yards more per game than the Bengals, and

552
00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:26,040
Speaker 2: they played Dallas and San Francisco already this year. You know,

553
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:30,200
Speaker 2: on the road, Cincinnati has scored six points in two games.

554
00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:34,240
Speaker 2: They've gained three hundred and fifty three yards total twenty

555
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:37,440
Speaker 2: first downs total in two games. They scored on two

556
00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:40,240
Speaker 2: of their twenty two drives on the road, and both

557
00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:44,679
Speaker 2: of those were field goes. Burrow is last in yards

558
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:49,080
Speaker 2: per attempt at four point eight. I gotta fade this

559
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:51,520
Speaker 2: Bengal team until they showed me something. But I think

560
00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:54,359
Speaker 2: this Cardinal team is a little bit underrated, especially coming

561
00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:56,840
Speaker 2: off the blow out of San Francisco. I'm just gonna

562
00:27:56,840 --> 00:28:01,520
Speaker 2: fade Burrow well. I think he's still ham by this injury.

563
00:28:02,119 --> 00:28:04,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's hard to price the Bengals just to knowing

564
00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:08,160
Speaker 4: how much the downgrade Burrow with his injury. I think

565
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:10,880
Speaker 4: the Bengals are crazy for putting him out there. Their

566
00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:14,960
Speaker 4: long term franchise quarterback risking a major injury, and he's

567
00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:18,320
Speaker 4: doing nothing. He's broken. He can't move, he can't plant.

568
00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:22,160
Speaker 4: He has a negative point h nine EPA plus completion

569
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:26,080
Speaker 4: percentage over expectation composite. That's dead last in the NFL,

570
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:28,560
Speaker 4: thirty fourth out of thirty four quarterbacks. The only other

571
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 4: quarterbacks in the negative Kenny Pickett and Desmond Ritter. Bad

572
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:35,000
Speaker 4: company to be in. It's tough for me to price

573
00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:38,480
Speaker 4: this game, but I don't mind fading the Bengals until

574
00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:43,040
Speaker 4: you see something competent from Burrow. All right, For my

575
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:46,200
Speaker 4: third pick and the sixth overall the week five Sunday

576
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 4: six pack, I'm gonna go to the New England Patriots

577
00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:53,120
Speaker 4: minus one against New Orleans Saints. And this is a

578
00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:58,040
Speaker 4: simple fade of Derek Carr. He played last week, and

579
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 4: I don't know why he played. I mean, what was

580
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 4: the purpose. They have a capable backup, and he played.

581
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 4: He was clearly hurt. I'm pulling up the numbers here

582
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:10,120
Speaker 4: because they're so funny. He just couldn't throw it. His

583
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:11,960
Speaker 4: shoulder and a shoulder injury. If you're not familiar, he

584
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:13,040
Speaker 4: couldn't throw it downfield.

585
00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:15,240
Speaker 3: Havin Kamara just caught another check, Gah.

586
00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:19,960
Speaker 4: Kamara had thirteen catches for like.

587
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:23,320
Speaker 3: Thirty yards thirty three yards? How's that ten game on

588
00:29:23,320 --> 00:29:25,720
Speaker 3: one play? Ten or eleven came on one play? So

589
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:26,800
Speaker 3: I yeah, it was like.

590
00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:30,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, far was twenty twenty three to thirty seven for

591
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:33,440
Speaker 4: one to twenty seven. It's clearly hurt and there's an

592
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:35,200
Speaker 4: angle here. I think this might be the bottom of

593
00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:37,440
Speaker 4: the market on the Patriots, but they got blown out.

594
00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:40,320
Speaker 4: It's a good spot to buy. You look historically trend

595
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:42,719
Speaker 4: wise for a team that gets blown out by that margin.

596
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:46,280
Speaker 4: But they've played. Their losses have come against the Eagles,

597
00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:50,200
Speaker 4: the Dolphins, and the Cowboys, and they've played the cow

598
00:29:50,360 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 4: They had chances to beat the Eagles and the Dolphins.

599
00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:55,040
Speaker 4: So they're sitting at one and three. Look, they have

600
00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:58,840
Speaker 4: a lot of injuries across the board. But look, there's

601
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:01,840
Speaker 4: something I've I believe to be true in the market

602
00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:04,600
Speaker 4: because they're their injuries are specifically at corner. But I

603
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 4: don't really care about that this week. I know that

604
00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:10,640
Speaker 4: Christian gonzalezz look great, but number one Derek car can't

605
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:13,560
Speaker 4: throw the ball down field. So that's that's who cares

606
00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:15,960
Speaker 4: if your corner's around? I know Judon's out too. But

607
00:30:16,040 --> 00:30:19,040
Speaker 4: number two, we how many times have we seen no

608
00:30:19,080 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 4: matter what corner, it doesn't matter. They have a seventeen

609
00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:24,120
Speaker 4: guys named Jones. I don't even think they're real. They're

610
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 4: just like, no matter who you plug in at a

611
00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 4: corner in the Patriots defense under Bill Belichick, they just great,

612
00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:34,880
Speaker 4: out great and no look he's they found another corner

613
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:37,400
Speaker 4: and then they leave and then there're J. C.

614
00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:41,040
Speaker 3: Jackson's just like a Jackson's back. He was the best

615
00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:44,320
Speaker 3: corner in the league on the Patriots, on the Chargers.

616
00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:46,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's amazing. So like a lot of it is

617
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:48,800
Speaker 4: scheme driven, and I think like the we have to

618
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 4: like come up with some adjustment when we're like comparing

619
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:55,040
Speaker 4: how the corners are greater in the league and be like,

620
00:30:55,080 --> 00:30:58,800
Speaker 4: all right, we got to subtract this many points from

621
00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:01,360
Speaker 4: the Patriots corner. So I don't think it's that as

622
00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 4: big of a deal here because it looks like Jack

623
00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:06,800
Speaker 4: Jones alsoors Hampshire Wallow and I are so you know,

624
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:09,280
Speaker 4: you have I lose track of all the Jones is

625
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:11,160
Speaker 4: keeping up with the Jones with the Patriots. I think

626
00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 4: Christian Gonzalez is gonna be out Jude on his out,

627
00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:16,640
Speaker 4: which isn't great. But this Patriots defense, you know, against

628
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:18,520
Speaker 4: a quarterback that can't really throw the ball, and it's

629
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:21,400
Speaker 4: not really an explosive Saints office Cars just doesn't have

630
00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:22,680
Speaker 4: a handle on this yet. I mean, this is a

631
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:24,880
Speaker 4: Saints team that beat their wins, have come over the

632
00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:27,800
Speaker 4: a winless Panthers team with Bryce Young by three that

633
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:29,640
Speaker 4: looks worse by the day, and then the Titans by

634
00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:31,640
Speaker 4: one in a game where Tennessee had a clear defensive

635
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:34,680
Speaker 4: touchdown wiped off the board. Yeah, I'm just gonna trust

636
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:36,840
Speaker 4: the Patriots to bounce back here. And the fact that

637
00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 4: mainly this is just a fade of car in that

638
00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:39,600
Speaker 4: offense right now.

639
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 2: I was yelling at anybody who would listen in the offseason,

640
00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:47,760
Speaker 2: Derrek Carr not necessarily going to be the savior, especially

641
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:49,800
Speaker 2: right away for this Saints team.

642
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:52,200
Speaker 3: Decent Week one, though he should have.

643
00:31:52,120 --> 00:31:53,880
Speaker 2: Scored more points than sixteen, but he threw for three

644
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:56,680
Speaker 2: hundred five yards a right fine Week two six point

645
00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:58,640
Speaker 2: three yards in a tap two hundred twenty eight yards,

646
00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:02,040
Speaker 2: no touchdowns, one pick three, one hundred and seven yards

647
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:05,000
Speaker 2: before he goes down five point seven in attempt. And

648
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 2: last week three point four in attempt. He's got two

649
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:09,720
Speaker 2: touchdowns on a year with two picks, and he's averaging

650
00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:14,040
Speaker 2: six point two yards per attempt.

651
00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:16,520
Speaker 3: He has just not been good at all.

652
00:32:16,600 --> 00:32:17,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, now he's hurt.

653
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 3: Terrible scheme. Yeah, by the way, like coaching, miss Mac.

654
00:32:20,320 --> 00:32:22,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, I was just gonna say that. And then at

655
00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:25,520
Speaker 4: the end of the day, big, big, big coaching mismatch.

656
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:28,200
Speaker 2: Here, Matt Jones, can you trust this guy ever? I mean,

657
00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:29,960
Speaker 2: in this game, it should be fine because that works.

658
00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:32,000
Speaker 2: It probably be a wash, but you got you got

659
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:32,440
Speaker 2: your boy.

660
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:38,840
Speaker 3: Zappi daily ZAPPI fail you out if if it comes

661
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:39,080
Speaker 3: to that.

662
00:32:39,600 --> 00:32:44,560
Speaker 2: Okay, So the recap Stuck has the Steelers plus four

663
00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:46,800
Speaker 2: against the Ravens, the Cowboys plus three and a half

664
00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:50,440
Speaker 2: against the Niners, and the Pats minus one against the

665
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:52,680
Speaker 2: New Orleans Saints. I got the Texans plus one and

666
00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 2: a half at Atlanta, the Titans minus one at Indy,

667
00:32:57,480 --> 00:33:03,800
Speaker 2: and the Arizona Cardinals home dogs by three against the Bengals.

668
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:08,240
Speaker 2: That is gonna wrap it for our Week five Sunday

669
00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:11,760
Speaker 2: six back. Now it's time for the Week five coaches

670
00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:12,280
Speaker 2: pep talk.

671
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:15,120
Speaker 3: Every time we get ready to play, I just want.

672
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:16,240
Speaker 4: To throw up so depressed.

673
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:17,720
Speaker 3: I don't even want to talk about it.

674
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:18,360
Speaker 4: I'm sick.

675
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:19,640
Speaker 3: I'm watching you guys play.

676
00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:22,840
Speaker 2: This week's coaches pep talk comes to us from the

677
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:27,920
Speaker 2: nineteen to ninety three film Tombstone, and we're gonna dedicate

678
00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:31,600
Speaker 2: it to he Sian Francisco forty nine ers.

679
00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 3: All right, you called down the thunder. Well, now you've

680
00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 3: got it. Cowboys are finished. You understand me, So.

681
00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:49,400
Speaker 2: Run right, t gumn that Hell's tonn with me, hells

682
00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:50,360
Speaker 2: time with me?

683
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 4: All right?

684
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:54,880
Speaker 2: Uh stut you and I know more memories are made

685
00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:57,800
Speaker 2: when you're there live for NFL action and when you

686
00:33:57,840 --> 00:34:02,320
Speaker 2: need tickets, Ticketmaster's got you covered. As the official marketplace

687
00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 2: of the NFL. Ticketmaster gives you more ways to find

688
00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:09,439
Speaker 2: your perfect seat. Their interactive seat map gives you three

689
00:34:09,520 --> 00:34:12,040
Speaker 2: hundred and sixty degree previews of your section to make

690
00:34:12,080 --> 00:34:15,480
Speaker 2: sure you have the best view of those pivotal plays

691
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:19,440
Speaker 2: and if your plans change. Ticketmaster gives you more flexibility

692
00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:23,160
Speaker 2: to sell or transfer your tickets. Plus mobile tickets make

693
00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:26,839
Speaker 2: getting in on game day a breeze, and you can

694
00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 2: even customize your Ticketmaster app to wrap your favorite teams colors.

695
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:37,920
Speaker 2: Find tickets today at ticketmaster dot com slash NFL. All right,

696
00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:41,240
Speaker 2: time for our favorite totals of the week.

697
00:34:41,640 --> 00:34:43,759
Speaker 3: And we're both three and one on totals so far.

698
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:46,880
Speaker 2: And I'll say you're you've been more impressive because I

699
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:48,759
Speaker 2: think it's been what three overs that.

700
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:49,600
Speaker 3: You hit so far.

701
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:53,879
Speaker 4: So let's make it for New Year, New Year, New Mede.

702
00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:57,720
Speaker 4: We're gonna go Vikings Chiefs over fifty two and a half.

703
00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:00,239
Speaker 4: I know this is a hot number, but I just

704
00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:04,920
Speaker 4: cannot not see this being a complete shootout. Why well,

705
00:35:05,120 --> 00:35:09,280
Speaker 4: number one, the Vikings defense is horrendous, so Brian Flores

706
00:35:09,880 --> 00:35:14,360
Speaker 4: has to come up with a scheme that generates pressure.

707
00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:17,360
Speaker 4: So what is he doing? They're blitzing fifty seven percent

708
00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:19,719
Speaker 4: of the time. That's the highest by far in the league.

709
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:21,960
Speaker 4: Giants are number two at forty nine percent. And for

710
00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:24,040
Speaker 4: what it's where at The Giants and the Vikings are

711
00:35:24,040 --> 00:35:27,280
Speaker 4: playing two of the best quarterbacks in the league against

712
00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:30,920
Speaker 4: the Blitz this weekend in Tua and Mahomes. Mahomes is

713
00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:33,080
Speaker 4: a cheat code against the Blitz. You can't blitz them,

714
00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:34,600
Speaker 4: it's you just don't do it.

715
00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:40,200
Speaker 6: That's he has double the EPA over every other quarterback

716
00:35:40,200 --> 00:35:43,279
Speaker 6: in the league since against the blitz since coming uh

717
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 6: into Leeds a starter in twenty eighteen.

718
00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:47,880
Speaker 4: This year point three to five epa per play fifty

719
00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:51,920
Speaker 4: percent success rate against the blitz. So if you do that,

720
00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:54,200
Speaker 4: he's gonna put you. If you try to blitz um

721
00:35:54,200 --> 00:35:58,680
Speaker 4: with sixty percent, the Chiefs are gonna score sixty. Like

722
00:35:58,760 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 4: you can't. You can't because you can. You could get

723
00:36:01,120 --> 00:36:03,320
Speaker 4: pressure on him, and he doesn't get he's an alien.

724
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:05,920
Speaker 4: He doesn't get sacked. He just doesn't take sacked. So

725
00:36:06,239 --> 00:36:08,080
Speaker 4: and then he's gonna find some dout heel. Your other

726
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:13,440
Speaker 4: alternative is to not blitz at all, But then you

727
00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 4: you can't. You are you are incapable of generating pressure

728
00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:19,239
Speaker 4: and you have no secondary So I just don't see

729
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:24,880
Speaker 4: the Chiefs thirty one minimum like this is they should

730
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:27,480
Speaker 4: go nuts here. And the Vikings offense is very good.

731
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:31,360
Speaker 4: They've just been unlucky. You would think that, like the fumbles,

732
00:36:31,920 --> 00:36:35,319
Speaker 4: everything that's going against them will end eventually, but they

733
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:36,879
Speaker 4: should be able. It'll be in a game state where

734
00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:38,120
Speaker 4: they're go have to go fast, they're gonna have to

735
00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:41,160
Speaker 4: be passing, and they should put up points here to

736
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:43,920
Speaker 4: improve Chiefs defense. But it's not an elite defense Benny stretch.

737
00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:46,640
Speaker 4: So yeah, I think this this has all the makings

738
00:36:46,640 --> 00:36:49,840
Speaker 4: of a shootout in the fast track on a fast

739
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:53,239
Speaker 4: track here, So let's go another over, New, New Year,

740
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:55,040
Speaker 4: New Maya. I think this is a fourth straight week

741
00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:58,239
Speaker 4: of going with an over. But if it don't, if

742
00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:01,240
Speaker 4: it's not broken, don't fix it. So let's go Vikings

743
00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:04,160
Speaker 4: Chiefs over. Yeah.

744
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:07,240
Speaker 2: And I was thinking about the Vikings, you know, classic

745
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:09,160
Speaker 2: spot where the Chiefs, you know, getting more than a

746
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:10,680
Speaker 2: field goal, but the line went from five and a

747
00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:11,279
Speaker 2: half to four.

748
00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:14,120
Speaker 3: I missed the missed the number.

749
00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:18,080
Speaker 2: And now that that I made, I made it for yeah. Yeah,

750
00:37:18,160 --> 00:37:19,880
Speaker 2: so now there's not really any value.

751
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:22,520
Speaker 3: And I agree.

752
00:37:22,520 --> 00:37:26,000
Speaker 2: I think that the real red flag for me is

753
00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:28,080
Speaker 2: because again, like you said, we don't just why don't

754
00:37:28,080 --> 00:37:31,840
Speaker 2: we bet trends? So you know, yes, the Chiefs have

755
00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:34,560
Speaker 2: been what I think it's thirty one percent by more

756
00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:36,560
Speaker 2: than a field goal since November.

757
00:37:36,040 --> 00:37:37,640
Speaker 3: Twenty twenty against the spread.

758
00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:42,480
Speaker 2: But like you said, Flores, the Vikings they're blitzing fifty

759
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:44,560
Speaker 2: seven percent of the time and yet they're going getting

760
00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:47,680
Speaker 2: pressure seventeen percent of the time, so like it's it's

761
00:37:47,760 --> 00:37:50,480
Speaker 2: not even working. So I mean, I guess it's no harm,

762
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:53,319
Speaker 2: no foul for them, not the Butitz. But yeah, that's

763
00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:56,439
Speaker 2: not really what they do. So yeah, this could get ugly.

764
00:37:58,120 --> 00:38:03,040
Speaker 2: Steelers Ravens under thirty eight. This is just a classic

765
00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:07,359
Speaker 2: AFC North bloodbath. Uh you know you already laid out

766
00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:10,480
Speaker 2: why you think the Ravens are right for an upset

767
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:13,880
Speaker 2: in this spot. And if if that does indeed come

768
00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:16,480
Speaker 2: to fruition, I think it's gonna have to be a

769
00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:17,439
Speaker 2: defensive game.

770
00:38:17,680 --> 00:38:19,080
Speaker 3: You know, Pittsburgh's just.

771
00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:23,680
Speaker 2: Not really capable at this point of scoring twenty plus.

772
00:38:23,680 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 3: Really.

773
00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:26,759
Speaker 2: Uh so I do expect the Steelers. You know you

774
00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:30,000
Speaker 2: already highlighted all the Tom Win trends. He's gonna have

775
00:38:30,040 --> 00:38:32,440
Speaker 2: these guys riled up. I think they're gonna be flying

776
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:33,040
Speaker 2: off the ball.

777
00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:36,160
Speaker 3: You know they're at home. I expect watch.

778
00:38:36,239 --> 00:38:38,799
Speaker 4: All the by the way, they usually align like when

779
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:42,360
Speaker 4: he's done, they aligned with unders. So like, yeah, the defenses,

780
00:38:42,560 --> 00:38:46,040
Speaker 4: the defense is a unit that can get more benefit

781
00:38:46,120 --> 00:38:48,920
Speaker 4: from like us against the world. Raw rah, Right, you

782
00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:51,720
Speaker 4: come out and that's where you see that energy and production.

783
00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:57,160
Speaker 3: Gettle.

784
00:38:57,200 --> 00:39:00,759
Speaker 4: Dude, give this game just sixteen thirteen, So that would

785
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:01,840
Speaker 4: be great for the under.

786
00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:06,359
Speaker 3: Should be one of the more windy games that we've

787
00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:07,080
Speaker 3: seen this year.

788
00:39:07,480 --> 00:39:10,879
Speaker 2: So you know, last week Lamar Jackson made a couple

789
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:14,200
Speaker 2: of ridiculous throws that I had me sweating the under

790
00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:15,879
Speaker 2: at one point. I mean that that throw to Mark

791
00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:18,239
Speaker 2: Andrews and the one before it to say Flowers at

792
00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:20,440
Speaker 2: the end of the first half. But you know, some

793
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:23,799
Speaker 2: of those may not be there also because again I

794
00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:25,840
Speaker 2: just expect, you know, Watt and the Steelers to be

795
00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:29,840
Speaker 2: getting off the ball here and this raven defense on

796
00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:31,799
Speaker 2: the other side. You know, I don't expect them to

797
00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:34,840
Speaker 2: just have a complete meltdown. They are tied with the

798
00:39:34,880 --> 00:39:38,040
Speaker 2: Browns allowing an nfl ow three point eight yards per play,

799
00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:42,000
Speaker 2: and we know the Steelers are banged up on offense.

800
00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:46,520
Speaker 2: Friar Mooth probably will miss, which is maybe big, you know,

801
00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:49,040
Speaker 2: just because a game like this you would like your

802
00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:51,520
Speaker 2: tight end over the middle of the field. Dan Moore

803
00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:54,080
Speaker 2: out Steelers only have one offensive lineman with a great

804
00:39:54,080 --> 00:39:57,279
Speaker 2: above fifty five at PFF, so you know what kind

805
00:39:57,320 --> 00:39:57,759
Speaker 2: of game this.

806
00:39:57,800 --> 00:39:58,200
Speaker 3: Is going to be.

807
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:02,560
Speaker 2: The Texans up thirty on the Steelers last week and

808
00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:05,440
Speaker 2: then the total skill ended up thirty six, so expecting

809
00:40:05,440 --> 00:40:08,680
Speaker 2: a low scoring game and up to twenty mile per

810
00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:12,920
Speaker 2: hour wins potentially in this one, which over six.

811
00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:14,799
Speaker 4: Which also helped, which also helps the Steelers.

812
00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:18,080
Speaker 2: For the side, yeah, over fifty two and a half

813
00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:22,240
Speaker 2: Chiefs Vikings were stuck and then I got the Steelers

814
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:28,720
Speaker 2: Ravens under thirty eight. Now it's time for our favorite teasers.

815
00:40:28,040 --> 00:40:32,880
Speaker 3: And oh yeah six point teasers.

816
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:37,080
Speaker 4: Don't change.

817
00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:46,040
Speaker 3: Don't tease me please, all right?

818
00:40:46,080 --> 00:40:48,239
Speaker 2: We're also three one on teasers. So it's been a

819
00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:51,360
Speaker 2: very good year so far for the for the pod.

820
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:55,400
Speaker 2: Where are you going with your teaser this week?

821
00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:58,200
Speaker 4: I only really disagree with you with the Falcons this year.

822
00:40:58,200 --> 00:40:59,960
Speaker 4: I high like the Falcons. I showed some value there,

823
00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:03,120
Speaker 4: but it's still desen ritter and it's a low total

824
00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:05,799
Speaker 4: and you can tease up over a touchdown. So the

825
00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:08,359
Speaker 4: Texans is a teaser piece makes sense to me in

826
00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:12,799
Speaker 4: addition to the Jets low total. That's a very weird game.

827
00:41:12,880 --> 00:41:17,040
Speaker 4: It's good on good on paper. With it's been a

828
00:41:17,080 --> 00:41:20,000
Speaker 4: really good Broncos offense. The Russ's quietly had a good

829
00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:22,680
Speaker 4: years number two in completion percentage of expectation number eight

830
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 4: EPA per drop back. And then the Jets defense while disappointing,

831
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 4: is still a very good unit. And then what happens

832
00:41:29,080 --> 00:41:31,560
Speaker 4: with Zack Wilson has the ball against the Broncos defense.

833
00:41:31,560 --> 00:41:35,680
Speaker 4: I'm not really sure, so I kind of like if

834
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:38,080
Speaker 4: I were to trust, So if you have to say, okay,

835
00:41:38,080 --> 00:41:40,400
Speaker 4: do you trust Zack Wilson against a bad defense or

836
00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:43,719
Speaker 4: Russell Wilson against a good defense, who's going to do more?

837
00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:46,839
Speaker 4: I think the Tibregers just the russ is playing at

838
00:41:46,840 --> 00:41:50,239
Speaker 4: home and we'll probably make a couple more plays. So

839
00:41:51,080 --> 00:41:55,719
Speaker 4: actually lean Denver, but teasing the Jets up over eight

840
00:41:55,719 --> 00:41:58,520
Speaker 4: and with a low total, it just makes too much

841
00:41:58,520 --> 00:42:01,400
Speaker 4: sense in both those games and worth. Someone asked me

842
00:42:01,400 --> 00:42:03,319
Speaker 4: because I didn't put the teaser in the app last week.

843
00:42:03,320 --> 00:42:04,759
Speaker 4: I only put in what I bet if I get

844
00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:08,319
Speaker 4: anything out on this podcast. I like it and it's

845
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:11,600
Speaker 4: worth betting. I can't really bet teasers almost like anywhere

846
00:42:11,800 --> 00:42:14,680
Speaker 4: now and prices are going up. You want to chop

847
00:42:14,719 --> 00:42:17,960
Speaker 4: around for minus one twenty, So I'm only betting the

848
00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:21,080
Speaker 4: ones that I love myself, like personally. But any teaser

849
00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:22,799
Speaker 4: I get out here, you want to tease through three

850
00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:25,719
Speaker 4: and seven, bet it. It's an endorsement. As soon as

851
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:29,359
Speaker 4: you hear it. But teasers are getting harder and harder

852
00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:31,640
Speaker 4: to beat because books, more and more books are increasing

853
00:42:31,680 --> 00:42:34,719
Speaker 4: their teaser prices. You want to find a minus one

854
00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:38,239
Speaker 4: twenty out there, and you know, sometimes if you're had

855
00:42:38,280 --> 00:42:40,360
Speaker 4: a lot of success to them, you won't. They'll remove

856
00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:42,920
Speaker 4: that option. You won't be able to allow to bet teasers,

857
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:45,759
Speaker 4: which has happened to me at some places. So, but

858
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:48,800
Speaker 4: I think Jets and Texans makes sense.

859
00:42:50,440 --> 00:42:50,759
Speaker 3: All right.

860
00:42:50,800 --> 00:42:52,480
Speaker 2: I was gonna go Jets Texas as well, but I

861
00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:54,560
Speaker 2: don't want to have all of our fate tied to

862
00:42:54,640 --> 00:43:00,279
Speaker 2: Zach Wilson. I'm so I'm gonna go a little little

863
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:03,319
Speaker 2: bit against you know, the normal type of teaser here,

864
00:43:03,600 --> 00:43:07,880
Speaker 2: and I'm gonna tease Houston seven and a half up

865
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:09,640
Speaker 2: from one and a half. But I'm just gonna tease

866
00:43:09,680 --> 00:43:13,000
Speaker 2: the Steelers to plus ten. It's not you know, it's

867
00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:16,120
Speaker 2: not through the three obviously, it's through the seven, but uh,

868
00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:18,600
Speaker 2: you are you do have a total of thirty eight.

869
00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:21,360
Speaker 2: So you know, we already talked about the trends and

870
00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:23,000
Speaker 2: Tom wins, So plus ten.

871
00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:26,040
Speaker 3: I mean that I think that definitely increases the.

872
00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:29,400
Speaker 2: Odds of the this hit and so and just so

873
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:32,640
Speaker 2: We're not all all all of our eggs are in

874
00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:36,279
Speaker 2: the Zach Wilson basket because I mean both of these

875
00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:38,839
Speaker 2: teams is like the Jets, the Broncos, and I'll throw

876
00:43:38,840 --> 00:43:41,759
Speaker 2: the Bears in there. I just feel like can Im

877
00:43:42,320 --> 00:43:44,480
Speaker 2: and the Bears have already imploded, but I feel like

878
00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:45,120
Speaker 2: it could get worse.

879
00:43:45,120 --> 00:43:46,839
Speaker 3: But like at any time, like.

880
00:43:46,800 --> 00:43:51,040
Speaker 2: These these teams could just completely implode. So you know,

881
00:43:51,360 --> 00:43:53,520
Speaker 2: I just want to be a little safer here. I'll

882
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:56,560
Speaker 2: go with the Steelers. So Jets seven and a half

883
00:43:57,480 --> 00:44:00,279
Speaker 2: and texting seven and a half for youse to and

884
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:01,600
Speaker 2: then I got text and seven and a.

885
00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:05,000
Speaker 3: Half and Steelers ten and as.

886
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:08,440
Speaker 2: A reminder, the Action Network podcast is presented.

887
00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:11,440
Speaker 3: By bet MGM use bonus code.

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889
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890
00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:21,120
Speaker 3: For new users in Arizona.

891
00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:29,760
Speaker 2: Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia,

892
00:44:30,000 --> 00:44:35,000
Speaker 2: West Virginia and why owning terms and conditions apply. Must

893
00:44:35,320 --> 00:44:39,200
Speaker 2: be twenty one or older. Gambling problem Call one eight

894
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:42,719
Speaker 2: hundred gambler. All right, times for our money on an

895
00:44:42,760 --> 00:44:46,120
Speaker 2: underdog parlay.

896
00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:49,720
Speaker 6: Turning good weekends into great weekends.

897
00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:52,719
Speaker 3: It's time for the money line parlay.

898
00:44:53,400 --> 00:44:54,759
Speaker 2: You're two or two on one and three, so I'm

899
00:44:54,719 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 2: about to I'm actually gonna switch.

900
00:44:55,920 --> 00:44:56,440
Speaker 3: It up again.

901
00:44:56,560 --> 00:44:59,880
Speaker 4: But okay, who do you switched it up to.

902
00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:01,240
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go Houston.

903
00:45:01,239 --> 00:45:02,839
Speaker 2: I'm all in a Houston this week, so I'm just

904
00:45:03,200 --> 00:45:05,080
Speaker 2: i gotta get I gotta driven with you.

905
00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:07,040
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go.

906
00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:10,520
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go. I'm switching up so the two you

907
00:45:10,520 --> 00:45:11,960
Speaker 4: know what I like with their money on underdog. I

908
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:15,719
Speaker 4: want something uncertainty, especially when we're doing this, uh, you know,

909
00:45:15,719 --> 00:45:18,480
Speaker 4: in the middle of the week. So I consider the

910
00:45:18,480 --> 00:45:21,560
Speaker 4: the Cardinals because like there is a lot of uncertainty

911
00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:25,000
Speaker 4: with Burrow, like how bad is he? Right? It's hard

912
00:45:25,040 --> 00:45:30,080
Speaker 4: to price that, and then also Higgins probably out. But

913
00:45:30,200 --> 00:45:33,600
Speaker 4: I'm gonna I'm gonna switch it up and go. You

914
00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:37,040
Speaker 4: already have the Cardinals, which I agree with. I'm gonna

915
00:45:37,040 --> 00:45:39,759
Speaker 4: go with the Rams. And the uncertainty here is you

916
00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:42,600
Speaker 4: could get cut back and Cup could be healthy. He's

917
00:45:42,760 --> 00:45:46,719
Speaker 4: pushing to play and Stafford we don't know if he

918
00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:49,080
Speaker 4: is fully healthy. Dealing with an injury says he's okay.

919
00:45:49,680 --> 00:45:52,160
Speaker 4: But if he is healthy and you get cut back,

920
00:45:53,080 --> 00:45:57,239
Speaker 4: this Eagles defense has been gettable through the air. I'm

921
00:45:57,280 --> 00:46:01,080
Speaker 4: a bit worried about the offensive line, So with the uncertainty,

922
00:46:01,080 --> 00:46:04,200
Speaker 4: I wouldn't take the Rams with the points right now,

923
00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:08,120
Speaker 4: but I think a little money line play here against

924
00:46:08,160 --> 00:46:10,120
Speaker 4: the Eagles team that's kind of just been skating by.

925
00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:12,080
Speaker 4: They just don't look bright. I don't know if it's

926
00:46:12,160 --> 00:46:16,239
Speaker 4: just some complacency with the schedule, but they easily could

927
00:46:16,239 --> 00:46:21,560
Speaker 4: have lost riverboat Ron ak now, paddle boat Ron. I mean, go, dude,

928
00:46:21,800 --> 00:46:25,239
Speaker 4: go for You're a nine point dog on the road. Unbelievable.

929
00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:28,640
Speaker 4: They could have lost to the Commanders at home. You know,

930
00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:30,520
Speaker 4: they could have lost to the Patriots. This is a

931
00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:33,200
Speaker 4: team that's like just hasn't looked right. The league has

932
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:36,319
Speaker 4: kind of adjusted to what Hurts wants to do, so

933
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:38,640
Speaker 4: the Eagles have to adjust back. And I don't think

934
00:46:38,680 --> 00:46:40,560
Speaker 4: the coaching is as good as far as the coordinators

935
00:46:40,560 --> 00:46:43,320
Speaker 4: and the play calling. There's some holes on that defense

936
00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:47,040
Speaker 4: up the middle. So yeah, and the Rams are better

937
00:46:47,040 --> 00:46:48,920
Speaker 4: than I expected. So if you have a healthy Stafford

938
00:46:48,960 --> 00:46:53,399
Speaker 4: out here, you know, and a healthy cup. This Rams

939
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:55,640
Speaker 4: seed could win this game, for what it's worth. A

940
00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:57,680
Speaker 4: shocking stat that I was surprised by, because when I

941
00:46:57,680 --> 00:46:59,200
Speaker 4: bring up like the zero to four against the spread,

942
00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:01,840
Speaker 4: how they've had access in Week five, that just means,

943
00:47:01,880 --> 00:47:04,920
Speaker 4: like most of the time the market has you're probably

944
00:47:04,920 --> 00:47:06,960
Speaker 4: reaching the bottom of the market and you're buying low

945
00:47:07,000 --> 00:47:08,840
Speaker 4: on a team four and oh against it. And this

946
00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:13,080
Speaker 4: is a matchup of an against the spread undefeated team

947
00:47:13,239 --> 00:47:15,640
Speaker 4: and a straight up undefeated team in Week five, which

948
00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:18,920
Speaker 4: we haven't seen in ten years. But uh, the Rams

949
00:47:18,920 --> 00:47:21,640
Speaker 4: are four and oh against the spread, four and oh

950
00:47:21,680 --> 00:47:25,800
Speaker 4: against the spread home teams in Week five fifteen to

951
00:47:25,840 --> 00:47:28,520
Speaker 4: eight and one against the spread sixty five point two percent,

952
00:47:28,560 --> 00:47:31,319
Speaker 4: covering by almost a touchdown per game, which I did

953
00:47:31,360 --> 00:47:33,000
Speaker 4: not expect to see. I expected to see four and

954
00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:35,760
Speaker 4: oh against the spread home team being pretty poor against

955
00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:38,480
Speaker 4: the spread, small sample size, but thought it was interesting

956
00:47:38,520 --> 00:47:40,600
Speaker 4: when I was looking into it. But yeah, this is

957
00:47:40,600 --> 00:47:44,000
Speaker 4: a healthy Rams offense. Stafford is playing so well. I

958
00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:46,319
Speaker 4: prefer the money line because he's not healthy. There they're done.

959
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:49,520
Speaker 4: But yeah, give me give me the Rams.

960
00:47:49,960 --> 00:47:51,960
Speaker 3: Yeah you are trying to they's still kind of figure

961
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:52,640
Speaker 3: it things out, you know.

962
00:47:52,760 --> 00:47:55,040
Speaker 2: I think the coaching you know, you mentioned again in

963
00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:58,080
Speaker 2: uh stike in like that it's taken some time to

964
00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:00,680
Speaker 2: adjust for them. So they're gonna to drop one at

965
00:48:00,680 --> 00:48:02,759
Speaker 2: some point, you know, you know, they're they're lucky to

966
00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:04,759
Speaker 2: be four. No, I think like they'll be there at

967
00:48:04,760 --> 00:48:06,600
Speaker 2: the end of the year, I think, but yeah, it's

968
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:08,759
Speaker 2: just it's kind of like the Patriots when they were

969
00:48:08,800 --> 00:48:10,560
Speaker 2: good all those years with Brady and a lot of

970
00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:13,600
Speaker 2: times they would use like September October early October to

971
00:48:13,680 --> 00:48:15,839
Speaker 2: kind of figure things out and then they really turn

972
00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:16,799
Speaker 2: it on later in the year.

973
00:48:17,040 --> 00:48:18,160
Speaker 3: I think you're kind of seeing that.

974
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,480
Speaker 4: They're also adjusted, like they also have to counter back,

975
00:48:21,560 --> 00:48:24,000
Speaker 4: like the league is adjusted to what hurts and that

976
00:48:24,600 --> 00:48:28,400
Speaker 4: offense did last year. So you're gonna see some tweaks

977
00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:30,400
Speaker 4: from them, and yeah, they'll they'll get better as the

978
00:48:30,440 --> 00:48:32,120
Speaker 4: year goes on. And I think that like they know

979
00:48:32,160 --> 00:48:34,400
Speaker 4: that they're good and there's still like it's just a

980
00:48:34,440 --> 00:48:38,920
Speaker 4: little bit of a Super Bowl hangover as well, and

981
00:48:39,360 --> 00:48:41,560
Speaker 4: like they don't really have to turn it on and

982
00:48:41,560 --> 00:48:44,320
Speaker 4: they're gonna like because like their schedule has been pretty

983
00:48:44,320 --> 00:48:46,480
Speaker 4: easy so far, but they'll eventually get picked off a

984
00:48:46,520 --> 00:48:49,880
Speaker 4: couple of times and get refocused, but they're they're definitely

985
00:48:49,920 --> 00:48:51,160
Speaker 4: still working on some things there.

986
00:48:52,560 --> 00:48:55,399
Speaker 3: And I'll go with the Texans. I already mentioned it.

987
00:48:55,719 --> 00:48:57,920
Speaker 2: I just think this Texan team is is better than

988
00:48:57,920 --> 00:49:01,239
Speaker 2: the Falcons. I think stras betterquarterback. I think they win

989
00:49:01,280 --> 00:49:05,359
Speaker 2: this game. So they're plus one ten. The Rams are

990
00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:09,759
Speaker 2: plus one eighty. The Parly odds plus for eighty eight.

991
00:49:10,719 --> 00:49:14,160
Speaker 2: Uh noways time for best of the rest. Games we

992
00:49:14,239 --> 00:49:18,439
Speaker 2: haven't covered in any other segment, but are still, as

993
00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:21,920
Speaker 2: they say, meaningful to.

994
00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:24,160
Speaker 5: Some That's gonna be a touchdown, but that may be

995
00:49:24,280 --> 00:49:25,319
Speaker 5: meaningful to some of you.

996
00:49:26,600 --> 00:49:28,600
Speaker 3: And you know what I mean. All right, we got

997
00:49:28,600 --> 00:49:31,879
Speaker 3: the London game, Bills, Jags.

998
00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:35,239
Speaker 2: I feel like Trevor Lawan. It's Trevor Lawrence is so

999
00:49:35,400 --> 00:49:37,920
Speaker 2: odd because I feel like he's playing well when I

1000
00:49:37,960 --> 00:49:41,319
Speaker 2: watch him. Not really just some of you, but there's

1001
00:49:41,360 --> 00:49:45,200
Speaker 2: something right right. Forty eight and a half is a total.

1002
00:49:45,520 --> 00:49:47,120
Speaker 2: Bills are favored by five and a half.

1003
00:49:47,120 --> 00:49:47,719
Speaker 3: The Bills.

1004
00:49:48,040 --> 00:49:51,120
Speaker 2: I mean, they've blown three straight teams out. But all

1005
00:49:51,120 --> 00:49:54,440
Speaker 2: those teams have bad defenses, you know, or shaky defenses

1006
00:49:54,440 --> 00:49:56,399
Speaker 2: that we Steel Raiders are bad the Commanders.

1007
00:49:56,480 --> 00:49:59,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, and then who was Dolphins are bad? Now?

1008
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:01,600
Speaker 2: The as a kind of middle of the pack defense,

1009
00:50:01,600 --> 00:50:03,279
Speaker 2: I'm not too high on their defense, but I don't know,

1010
00:50:03,320 --> 00:50:03,800
Speaker 2: what do you do?

1011
00:50:03,880 --> 00:50:06,239
Speaker 3: You think this is like another Bill's smash bar, like

1012
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:09,719
Speaker 3: three in a row. I feel like it's kind of Yeah,

1013
00:50:09,719 --> 00:50:11,759
Speaker 3: there's something off with Jacksonville.

1014
00:50:11,160 --> 00:50:14,480
Speaker 4: That I can't quite put my finger on, Like, how

1015
00:50:14,560 --> 00:50:17,880
Speaker 4: was Atlanta getting back into that game last week with

1016
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:20,040
Speaker 4: Britter just like throwing the ball to them and they

1017
00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:21,840
Speaker 4: had a big lead against the Falcons, Like that should

1018
00:50:21,920 --> 00:50:25,719
Speaker 4: never happen. Yeah, I can't quite put my finger on it.

1019
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:27,120
Speaker 4: So it's something still off of them. But it's a

1020
00:50:27,160 --> 00:50:29,719
Speaker 4: great spot, Like you're in London again for a second

1021
00:50:29,760 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 4: straight week. You're getting the Bills off three straight smash ones,

1022
00:50:32,600 --> 00:50:35,680
Speaker 4: including like the big emotional win over Miami. Now they're

1023
00:50:35,719 --> 00:50:39,600
Speaker 4: coming over the pond, uh and they have secondary issues

1024
00:50:39,640 --> 00:50:44,600
Speaker 4: now awful injury with Trey White and they have some

1025
00:50:44,640 --> 00:50:47,520
Speaker 4: other injuries they're dealing with two in the secondary. However,

1026
00:50:47,520 --> 00:50:50,839
Speaker 4: it's a bad matchup for the Jags d because they're

1027
00:50:50,960 --> 00:50:54,560
Speaker 4: they're like middle of the pack defensive, but their their

1028
00:50:54,560 --> 00:50:57,319
Speaker 4: weakness by far still is their secondary right, So like

1029
00:50:57,360 --> 00:50:59,880
Speaker 4: their run defense is really good and that kind of

1030
00:51:00,280 --> 00:51:06,719
Speaker 4: booies their entire defensive profile. So like, you know what

1031
00:51:06,800 --> 00:51:09,160
Speaker 4: has happened here? You have you were Actually I just

1032
00:51:09,239 --> 00:51:11,000
Speaker 4: I just remember this game with the bringing up Josh

1033
00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:13,520
Speaker 4: Allen has to have a big game the other Josh Allen.

1034
00:51:14,040 --> 00:51:16,320
Speaker 4: Remember when the Bills.

1035
00:51:15,520 --> 00:51:17,239
Speaker 3: Josh Allen sack Josh Allen.

1036
00:51:17,320 --> 00:51:19,959
Speaker 2: Josh, I'm gonna keep saying it's over and over again.

1037
00:51:20,000 --> 00:51:21,919
Speaker 3: I don't care what other game is on. We're gonna

1038
00:51:21,920 --> 00:51:24,360
Speaker 3: go eight. Josh Allen's on the octobox.

1039
00:51:24,160 --> 00:51:28,440
Speaker 4: Allen come behind and there it is a shack.

1040
00:51:28,640 --> 00:51:32,240
Speaker 3: For Josh Allen against Shosh Allen.

1041
00:51:33,560 --> 00:51:35,560
Speaker 4: That game was I just remember that game. I didn't

1042
00:51:35,600 --> 00:51:38,160
Speaker 4: even dig into that game before nine six. Was that

1043
00:51:38,239 --> 00:51:40,239
Speaker 4: game just a weird game, But that's what happened. That's

1044
00:51:40,280 --> 00:51:42,000
Speaker 4: you have to remember. That's what happens in the NFL.

1045
00:51:42,280 --> 00:51:44,040
Speaker 4: You know, teams look great and then you know the

1046
00:51:44,080 --> 00:51:46,920
Speaker 4: Cowboys lose the Cardinals. The Bills aren't gonna beat every

1047
00:51:46,920 --> 00:51:49,480
Speaker 4: team by forty, so I think the spot is the

1048
00:51:49,560 --> 00:51:52,920
Speaker 4: Jags and then you know you're throwing the Bills injuries.

1049
00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:54,759
Speaker 4: But I just don't like the matchup and something's a

1050
00:51:54,800 --> 00:52:00,600
Speaker 4: little off with the with the Jaguars. But yeah, Jack's offense.

1051
00:52:01,600 --> 00:52:04,120
Speaker 4: I this line is just sitting in a you know.

1052
00:52:05,160 --> 00:52:06,960
Speaker 3: You're begging you to take that five and a half.

1053
00:52:07,360 --> 00:52:10,399
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna wait. I might I lean Jacksonville here.

1054
00:52:11,360 --> 00:52:13,240
Speaker 4: I think the line is just from a numbers perspective,

1055
00:52:13,239 --> 00:52:14,600
Speaker 4: I think it's a little too high. Think the spot's

1056
00:52:14,640 --> 00:52:17,040
Speaker 4: good throwing the Bills injuries. Even though I don't love

1057
00:52:17,080 --> 00:52:21,120
Speaker 4: the match up, nine thirty am game, London game, everyone

1058
00:52:21,120 --> 00:52:24,240
Speaker 4: wants a little action on it. I'll have something small

1059
00:52:24,680 --> 00:52:26,200
Speaker 4: on Jack. So I would love to get a six.

1060
00:52:27,640 --> 00:52:30,160
Speaker 4: We're not gonna get a seven, But I won't have

1061
00:52:30,160 --> 00:52:32,120
Speaker 4: anything big on there, just because I don't love the

1062
00:52:32,200 --> 00:52:36,000
Speaker 4: matchup and I just can't figure out what's wrong with

1063
00:52:36,040 --> 00:52:40,640
Speaker 4: this Jags offense. But uh, something small on the Jaguars.

1064
00:52:40,640 --> 00:52:42,480
Speaker 4: But I'm gonna wait it out because it's a you know,

1065
00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:44,359
Speaker 4: in a dead range right now unless it ticks up.

1066
00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:46,800
Speaker 3: Is Trevor Lawrence just not a killer?

1067
00:52:47,120 --> 00:52:49,239
Speaker 2: Because I'm thinking about, like, what is it about this

1068
00:52:49,360 --> 00:52:52,200
Speaker 2: Jags offense? And I just feel like as far as

1069
00:52:52,200 --> 00:52:54,160
Speaker 2: good as Lawrence is and for how he tied in

1070
00:52:54,200 --> 00:52:56,160
Speaker 2: a prospect as he is and he, like I said,

1071
00:52:56,200 --> 00:52:59,600
Speaker 2: he's playing well this year. But I just never feel

1072
00:52:59,640 --> 00:53:03,200
Speaker 2: like when I'm candycapping the Jags that like Trevor Lawrence

1073
00:53:03,320 --> 00:53:08,360
Speaker 2: is making the difference in the bet or the matchup,

1074
00:53:08,360 --> 00:53:10,080
Speaker 2: and it's like same thing when you kind of watch

1075
00:53:10,160 --> 00:53:12,200
Speaker 2: their games, it's like he just kind of goes as

1076
00:53:12,239 --> 00:53:13,960
Speaker 2: they go, Like if they're playing bad on.

1077
00:53:13,920 --> 00:53:16,960
Speaker 3: Special teams, oh, that's not going to go to It's

1078
00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:17,640
Speaker 3: like he's not.

1079
00:53:17,560 --> 00:53:20,520
Speaker 2: Really winning them games or like he's not one of

1080
00:53:20,560 --> 00:53:22,040
Speaker 2: those guys when you're watching it and you're like if

1081
00:53:22,040 --> 00:53:24,040
Speaker 2: you if you have the other side, you're like scared,

1082
00:53:24,920 --> 00:53:25,120
Speaker 2: you know.

1083
00:53:26,040 --> 00:53:28,200
Speaker 4: I think I think Jacksonville's the side and I show

1084
00:53:28,320 --> 00:53:31,439
Speaker 4: value there, but I'm hesitant for a couple other couple

1085
00:53:31,480 --> 00:53:35,080
Speaker 4: of reasons. But something's small and it's the London game. Well,

1086
00:53:35,680 --> 00:53:38,120
Speaker 4: don't go crazy on it. You want to really love

1087
00:53:38,160 --> 00:53:40,440
Speaker 4: the game before the Sunday Slate starts, So do you

1088
00:53:40,480 --> 00:53:41,440
Speaker 4: want to get involved?

1089
00:53:41,920 --> 00:53:46,600
Speaker 2: Okay, Carolina at Detroit. Detroit favored by nine and a half,

1090
00:53:46,640 --> 00:53:49,640
Speaker 2: the total forty four and a half. This is Carolina.

1091
00:53:49,920 --> 00:53:51,919
Speaker 2: This is like I feel like we're saying this a lot.

1092
00:53:52,040 --> 00:53:56,319
Speaker 2: It's like, this is a Carolina spot. But Carolina is

1093
00:53:57,080 --> 00:54:00,360
Speaker 2: terrible against the run, and this is this I actually

1094
00:54:00,360 --> 00:54:04,640
Speaker 2: do think this is gonna like matter because unlike Houston and.

1095
00:54:04,640 --> 00:54:07,040
Speaker 3: CAROLINEA is worse than Uston against run. But I don'tlike Houston.

1096
00:54:07,040 --> 00:54:10,920
Speaker 2: Carolina's quarterback hasn't arrived yet. You know they're not helping

1097
00:54:10,960 --> 00:54:13,600
Speaker 2: him out. It's just not not thrown downfield. So I

1098
00:54:13,600 --> 00:54:17,480
Speaker 2: mean what Detroit did to you know, Green Bay, Jordia Love,

1099
00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:21,200
Speaker 2: I think I think you can kind of do that

1100
00:54:21,239 --> 00:54:22,560
Speaker 2: to Carolina side.

1101
00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:24,120
Speaker 3: I want to want.

1102
00:54:24,280 --> 00:54:26,880
Speaker 2: I want to like Carolina here oh to four against

1103
00:54:26,960 --> 00:54:28,680
Speaker 2: the spread or o three and one depending on what

1104
00:54:28,840 --> 00:54:31,360
Speaker 2: closing line. But there you know they don't have a

1105
00:54:31,480 --> 00:54:34,360
Speaker 2: spread win yet. But I just can't get there with

1106
00:54:34,440 --> 00:54:37,399
Speaker 2: the way the matchup shakes out with Detroit's run game

1107
00:54:37,480 --> 00:54:40,880
Speaker 2: and then de Truitt's playing well defense. So Carolina scores

1108
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:42,080
Speaker 2: like once on offense per game.

1109
00:54:41,920 --> 00:54:45,840
Speaker 4: With Price, Yeah, I think those linees have bit inflated

1110
00:54:46,000 --> 00:54:48,040
Speaker 4: for an own four Panthers team that has led in

1111
00:54:48,080 --> 00:54:51,440
Speaker 4: every game, first team to do that over ten years.

1112
00:54:52,120 --> 00:54:55,359
Speaker 4: But yeah, I just can't trust young yet. This is

1113
00:54:56,120 --> 00:55:01,880
Speaker 4: all day. Give me the Panthers if if starting, But

1114
00:55:02,000 --> 00:55:06,439
Speaker 4: I just haven't seen enough from the from Bryce Young

1115
00:55:06,520 --> 00:55:08,640
Speaker 4: to trust him to score to keep up with Detroit

1116
00:55:08,840 --> 00:55:13,600
Speaker 4: coming off extended rest and prep at home, so numbers

1117
00:55:13,640 --> 00:55:16,960
Speaker 4: a bit inflated spot is there for Carolina, But had

1118
00:55:16,960 --> 00:55:18,560
Speaker 4: a bet it if you're in like a kick the contest,

1119
00:55:18,600 --> 00:55:21,399
Speaker 4: I'd probably take the points, but pass.

1120
00:55:21,880 --> 00:55:24,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, And this is like, this is another one where

1121
00:55:25,160 --> 00:55:27,759
Speaker 2: I saw this coming from mile away man like one

1122
00:55:27,760 --> 00:55:32,560
Speaker 2: of the worst run organizations. I think, just like you know,

1123
00:55:33,080 --> 00:55:36,040
Speaker 2: Miles Sanders is already not living enough to his contract.

1124
00:55:36,120 --> 00:55:37,240
Speaker 3: They're already in the market.

1125
00:55:37,080 --> 00:55:38,719
Speaker 2: For a wide receiver even though they gold out with

1126
00:55:38,840 --> 00:55:44,120
Speaker 2: forty miilion guarantees and receivers and their quarterback can't throw

1127
00:55:44,120 --> 00:55:46,640
Speaker 2: about down the field. Their defense still every everywhere in

1128
00:55:46,640 --> 00:55:49,880
Speaker 2: the roster lats depth. Frank Reich is not making anyone better,

1129
00:55:50,160 --> 00:55:52,120
Speaker 2: not putting any type of stamp on his team.

1130
00:55:52,719 --> 00:55:54,640
Speaker 3: I mean it is this is this is.

1131
00:55:54,640 --> 00:55:56,880
Speaker 2: Just not a team I want to back like until

1132
00:55:57,080 --> 00:55:59,759
Speaker 2: I'm fine with waiting until Bryce Young breaks out.

1133
00:55:59,760 --> 00:56:01,600
Speaker 3: And and I was, you know, trying to catch him

1134
00:56:01,680 --> 00:56:02,000
Speaker 3: or something.

1135
00:56:02,040 --> 00:56:04,320
Speaker 2: You know, I was the Panthers whisper last year after

1136
00:56:04,520 --> 00:56:06,440
Speaker 2: when they go through like two quarterbacks and on to

1137
00:56:06,520 --> 00:56:08,520
Speaker 2: the third one, Coach trade McCaffrey.

1138
00:56:08,680 --> 00:56:10,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, when well, when they bought them out, I'll probably

1139
00:56:10,600 --> 00:56:11,080
Speaker 3: be on them.

1140
00:56:11,120 --> 00:56:13,799
Speaker 4: But yeah, I love their defensive coordinator and that once

1141
00:56:13,800 --> 00:56:17,840
Speaker 4: again the defense their defense can be can be pretty decent.

1142
00:56:18,280 --> 00:56:20,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, but I mean, like they should get Horn back,

1143
00:56:20,800 --> 00:56:22,680
Speaker 2: they should have just traded They might as well have

1144
00:56:22,719 --> 00:56:24,840
Speaker 2: just traded Brian Burns, like for because now they're just

1145
00:56:24,880 --> 00:56:28,000
Speaker 2: looking for a receiver again, and Bryce Young's development is started,

1146
00:56:28,320 --> 00:56:30,759
Speaker 2: and like the confidence just like you know, it's just

1147
00:56:31,000 --> 00:56:33,000
Speaker 2: like we look at the difference between the way Stroud

1148
00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:35,840
Speaker 2: and Young are already talked about, like it's just it

1149
00:56:35,960 --> 00:56:37,440
Speaker 2: just kind of sucks, you know what I mean for

1150
00:56:38,040 --> 00:56:43,439
Speaker 2: everyone involved. So uh yeah, what no parts of Carolina then,

1151
00:56:43,760 --> 00:56:47,759
Speaker 2: so we don't okay, so we don't have Philly and

1152
00:56:48,040 --> 00:56:50,319
Speaker 2: oh yeah, oh no okay. So yeah, we'll get to

1153
00:56:50,360 --> 00:56:54,680
Speaker 2: that next because we'll wrap it up with our Survivor

1154
00:56:54,760 --> 00:56:55,120
Speaker 2: pool for.

1155
00:57:01,920 --> 00:57:05,279
Speaker 3: The Survivor Pool pick of the week.

1156
00:57:06,160 --> 00:57:10,200
Speaker 2: So I went Washington in week one, barely squeaked by

1157
00:57:10,239 --> 00:57:13,640
Speaker 2: against Arizona. Same against the same with the Giants in

1158
00:57:13,680 --> 00:57:16,600
Speaker 2: week two. Week three, Kansas City, no sweat against Chicago.

1159
00:57:16,640 --> 00:57:20,560
Speaker 2: We four San Francisco, no sweat against Arizona. But this week,

1160
00:57:20,920 --> 00:57:24,560
Speaker 2: I think Arizona can get it done. So not going

1161
00:57:24,560 --> 00:57:28,040
Speaker 2: with the Bengals, definitely not. I actually rather go Arizona

1162
00:57:28,680 --> 00:57:31,800
Speaker 2: the Bengals, which is sad, but I'm gonna I'm gonna

1163
00:57:31,840 --> 00:57:34,760
Speaker 2: go with Miami here. You and I spoke about this

1164
00:57:34,800 --> 00:57:37,760
Speaker 2: on Happy Hour, you know, another one of those spots

1165
00:57:37,760 --> 00:57:41,000
Speaker 2: where Giants are the spot in terms of the spread

1166
00:57:41,280 --> 00:57:46,360
Speaker 2: under normal, normal circumstances. But like Andrew Thomas out again,

1167
00:57:47,680 --> 00:57:49,520
Speaker 2: sa Quor maybe he's back, maybe not, but I think

1168
00:57:49,560 --> 00:57:50,040
Speaker 2: Thomas is.

1169
00:57:50,040 --> 00:57:54,000
Speaker 3: The bigger, like, like he's more important.

1170
00:57:54,000 --> 00:57:58,600
Speaker 2: Also, the center was hurt, yeah, on the Bellinger end

1171
00:57:58,680 --> 00:58:01,600
Speaker 2: and the center yeah yeah Schmid.

1172
00:58:01,680 --> 00:58:04,840
Speaker 3: So but you and I talked about this. But what

1173
00:58:05,000 --> 00:58:05,960
Speaker 3: really worries.

1174
00:58:05,720 --> 00:58:09,120
Speaker 2: Me about this Giant team is I think you and

1175
00:58:09,200 --> 00:58:16,200
Speaker 2: I both felt their roster is pretty mid, maybe below average,

1176
00:58:16,240 --> 00:58:19,479
Speaker 2: but with the intangibles that Dabos you know, showed last year,

1177
00:58:19,920 --> 00:58:23,480
Speaker 2: thought maybe this team could be feisty again, maybe maybe

1178
00:58:23,480 --> 00:58:25,880
Speaker 2: make it back to the playoffs even but I just

1179
00:58:25,920 --> 00:58:31,960
Speaker 2: thought they were so poorly coached in that Seahawks game,

1180
00:58:31,960 --> 00:58:34,920
Speaker 2: and that was coming off long rest Thursday to Monday

1181
00:58:35,640 --> 00:58:39,200
Speaker 2: at home in a game you had to have and

1182
00:58:39,560 --> 00:58:43,400
Speaker 2: you led a terrible Seahawk defense that was getting no pressure,

1183
00:58:43,840 --> 00:58:47,840
Speaker 2: that was gave up the season high points to the Panthers,

1184
00:58:48,320 --> 00:58:52,960
Speaker 2: and you give them double digit sacks. Daniel Jones does

1185
00:58:53,000 --> 00:58:55,520
Speaker 2: absolutely nothing. You can't get the ball to Waller. They're

1186
00:58:55,560 --> 00:58:58,440
Speaker 2: like like top bottom three against tight ends in DVO.

1187
00:58:58,600 --> 00:59:03,200
Speaker 2: I mean, just nothing. Special teams that are unprepared. So

1188
00:59:03,280 --> 00:59:04,080
Speaker 2: I'm worried now.

1189
00:59:04,240 --> 00:59:06,200
Speaker 4: Like, yeah, I met the Giants, probably one of my

1190
00:59:06,200 --> 00:59:10,720
Speaker 4: worst bets in the NFL. Yeah, five years that was

1191
00:59:10,760 --> 00:59:12,520
Speaker 4: their season. You know they're one and three. Now you

1192
00:59:12,560 --> 00:59:14,360
Speaker 4: go go to Miami and go to New York. I mean,

1193
00:59:14,400 --> 00:59:19,280
Speaker 4: go to Buffalo. You're done, good night, see you. Your

1194
00:59:19,320 --> 00:59:23,520
Speaker 4: season's over. And yeah, I'm they're also the special teams. Penalties,

1195
00:59:23,560 --> 00:59:24,560
Speaker 4: the special teams.

1196
00:59:24,280 --> 00:59:26,720
Speaker 3: Blunders every every every place.

1197
00:59:26,720 --> 00:59:30,760
Speaker 4: Every punt was a penalty, no matter whatever specialty it was. Yeah,

1198
00:59:30,960 --> 00:59:32,800
Speaker 4: they weren't. And then they didn't adjust to like move

1199
00:59:32,880 --> 00:59:36,520
Speaker 4: Jones around, Like all right, fine, you can't stop the

1200
00:59:36,560 --> 00:59:39,120
Speaker 4: Seahawks vaunted pass rush, move them out of the pocket.

1201
00:59:39,240 --> 00:59:44,840
Speaker 4: Do something different. Yeah, very troublesome. Uh, this is the spot.

1202
00:59:45,000 --> 00:59:47,800
Speaker 4: The price is right, but I I you know, I

1203
00:59:47,880 --> 00:59:49,520
Speaker 4: show a little bit of valuable is what I mean

1204
00:59:49,560 --> 00:59:51,920
Speaker 4: by that. Daniel Jones sixteen and six against the spread

1205
00:59:51,920 --> 00:59:54,440
Speaker 4: as a road dog, great Bilow spot. But they are

1206
00:59:54,480 --> 00:59:56,640
Speaker 4: on a short week. The offensive lines and shambles. They

1207
00:59:56,640 --> 00:59:57,960
Speaker 4: need to take one here and then they just need

1208
00:59:57,960 --> 01:00:02,720
Speaker 4: to run it and control the clock, play keep away right,

1209
01:00:02,760 --> 01:00:05,200
Speaker 4: which is like what you could do against Miami. But

1210
01:00:05,200 --> 01:00:06,960
Speaker 4: then if you get behind, what are you gonna do?

1211
01:00:07,120 --> 01:00:09,840
Speaker 4: They also did the Giants. All they do is blitzed.

1212
01:00:10,000 --> 01:00:13,680
Speaker 4: Like I said before, they're blitzing at fifty percent at

1213
01:00:13,680 --> 01:00:15,560
Speaker 4: a fifty percent rate, which is the second highest league

1214
01:00:15,560 --> 01:00:19,160
Speaker 4: behind only Minnesota good luck, but they're all They're getting

1215
01:00:19,200 --> 01:00:21,280
Speaker 4: the tenth lowest pressure rate and they have the second

1216
01:00:21,280 --> 01:00:24,240
Speaker 4: lowest sack rate, and they're blitzing fifty percent of the time.

1217
01:00:25,280 --> 01:00:27,760
Speaker 4: And you can't blitz to a you can't blitz again.

1218
01:00:27,800 --> 01:00:29,600
Speaker 4: You have in order to stop that defense. Is why

1219
01:00:29,640 --> 01:00:30,840
Speaker 4: I like the Bills last week. You got to be

1220
01:00:30,840 --> 01:00:33,920
Speaker 4: able to get pressure without blitzing. Uh to a point

1221
01:00:33,960 --> 01:00:37,280
Speaker 4: four epa per play against the blitz that's elite, beyond elite.

1222
01:00:37,640 --> 01:00:41,120
Speaker 4: So you can't bl blitzing. Especially, you can't blitz if

1223
01:00:41,120 --> 01:00:44,560
Speaker 4: you're not getting pressure and you're not getting home. So

1224
01:00:44,640 --> 01:00:47,280
Speaker 4: I just don't. And then you're you have rookie corners, right,

1225
01:00:47,320 --> 01:00:50,560
Speaker 4: who are trying to stop this this offense, and the

1226
01:00:50,600 --> 01:00:53,440
Speaker 4: Miami's also coming off of embarrassing loss, and you know

1227
01:00:53,480 --> 01:00:56,440
Speaker 4: they're getting ready and Giants are a short week with

1228
01:00:56,480 --> 01:00:59,480
Speaker 4: more injuries. So yeah, I think it's a little inflated

1229
01:00:59,560 --> 01:01:03,560
Speaker 4: just because Miami SD is so bad that like it's

1230
01:01:03,560 --> 01:01:05,200
Speaker 4: hard for it's gonna be hard for them. They're kind

1231
01:01:05,200 --> 01:01:08,160
Speaker 4: of like the new Chiefs in a way as far

1232
01:01:08,200 --> 01:01:09,680
Speaker 4: as like they're gonna be it's gonna be hard for

1233
01:01:09,720 --> 01:01:15,000
Speaker 4: them to cover like really big spreads. Uh. But the

1234
01:01:15,040 --> 01:01:18,280
Speaker 4: Giants offensive line and yeah, that performance last week, that's

1235
01:01:18,320 --> 01:01:21,200
Speaker 4: that's very, very worrisome. So I'm not laying it. I

1236
01:01:21,480 --> 01:01:25,480
Speaker 4: agree on the survivor, but it would be Giants or nothing.

1237
01:01:25,520 --> 01:01:29,800
Speaker 4: But I'm passing unless you gonna be fourteen, Like this

1238
01:01:29,880 --> 01:01:31,240
Speaker 4: would have to go up to fourteen for me to

1239
01:01:31,280 --> 01:01:31,560
Speaker 4: take it.

1240
01:01:32,240 --> 01:01:36,040
Speaker 3: Daniel Jones might have. He might have pulled the like

1241
01:01:36,440 --> 01:01:42,640
Speaker 3: got his money and kind of right, yeah, I mean

1242
01:01:42,640 --> 01:01:45,800
Speaker 3: at least he's hurt though, Like I'm kidding because Daniel Jones.

1243
01:01:45,800 --> 01:01:48,680
Speaker 3: I love Joe Burrow by the way, Bengals, Yeah, yeah,

1244
01:01:48,680 --> 01:01:49,280
Speaker 3: we love Burrow.

1245
01:01:49,360 --> 01:01:51,720
Speaker 4: Hope hopefully he gets gets right, so I don't want

1246
01:01:51,760 --> 01:01:53,200
Speaker 4: to get healthy just sit for two weeks.

1247
01:01:54,080 --> 01:01:56,080
Speaker 2: Jam said it, and we should have listened, you know what,

1248
01:01:56,200 --> 01:01:58,840
Speaker 2: because like that was interesting when I think back to it, Like,

1249
01:01:59,080 --> 01:02:02,480
Speaker 2: you know, those two are very good friends, and Jamar

1250
01:02:02,560 --> 01:02:05,440
Speaker 2: Chase like went to the media and was like, Burrow

1251
01:02:05,440 --> 01:02:06,760
Speaker 2: needs to sit out week one and this was like

1252
01:02:06,800 --> 01:02:09,080
Speaker 2: back in the preseason, and he's like he needs to

1253
01:02:09,160 --> 01:02:10,840
Speaker 2: and like I feel like at the time, he just

1254
01:02:10,880 --> 01:02:12,840
Speaker 2: kind of you know, oh, that's interesting, and then ah,

1255
01:02:12,880 --> 01:02:14,120
Speaker 2: he's fine, he's off the injury report.

1256
01:02:14,240 --> 01:02:15,080
Speaker 3: I'll play whatever.

1257
01:02:15,400 --> 01:02:17,200
Speaker 2: But it's like, if we should have paid more attention

1258
01:02:17,200 --> 01:02:18,920
Speaker 2: to that, because I feel like that was pretty deliberate

1259
01:02:19,400 --> 01:02:21,920
Speaker 2: Chase probably, you know, putting that out there because he

1260
01:02:21,960 --> 01:02:25,000
Speaker 2: knew Burrow wasn't gonna just sit of his own acord

1261
01:02:25,080 --> 01:02:28,000
Speaker 2: or anything like that. But yeah, Daniel Jones. I just

1262
01:02:28,440 --> 01:02:31,960
Speaker 2: last year what made Daniel Jones good?

1263
01:02:32,760 --> 01:02:34,520
Speaker 3: You know? And I think he was good last year.

1264
01:02:34,680 --> 01:02:36,560
Speaker 2: I mean maybe it was just playing the Vikings a

1265
01:02:36,560 --> 01:02:39,360
Speaker 2: couple of times, but uh, he didn't turn the ball

1266
01:02:39,400 --> 01:02:40,400
Speaker 2: over This year.

1267
01:02:40,800 --> 01:02:42,680
Speaker 3: He's got six picks through four games.

1268
01:02:43,440 --> 01:02:47,440
Speaker 2: He's got eight turnover worthy throws and he's got four

1269
01:02:47,520 --> 01:02:49,920
Speaker 2: fumbles and just one touch And then that was the

1270
01:02:49,960 --> 01:02:52,000
Speaker 2: whole thing about Jones, the reason why he got the money.

1271
01:02:52,000 --> 01:02:54,600
Speaker 2: He was like, Okay, he cut out. He's still you know,

1272
01:02:54,720 --> 01:02:59,280
Speaker 2: he's still not like going to make you like make

1273
01:02:59,720 --> 01:03:02,040
Speaker 2: create things out of nothing. But he eliminated the bad,

1274
01:03:02,120 --> 01:03:05,600
Speaker 2: the negative plays. And now he's taking sacks, he's throwing

1275
01:03:05,640 --> 01:03:08,520
Speaker 2: picks and he's thrombling the ball. He's Daniel Jones like,

1276
01:03:08,720 --> 01:03:12,919
Speaker 2: you know, yeah, he's like back to yeah, exactly, he's

1277
01:03:12,960 --> 01:03:14,640
Speaker 2: back to one point zero version of day Joe.

1278
01:03:14,760 --> 01:03:16,480
Speaker 3: Not even because that one was good. That was a

1279
01:03:16,560 --> 01:03:18,360
Speaker 3: year he was like his rookie year. He was throwing

1280
01:03:18,360 --> 01:03:21,000
Speaker 3: like four or five touchdowns like three times. Three times.

1281
01:03:21,000 --> 01:03:22,760
Speaker 3: I think he did that, like four plus touchdowns.

1282
01:03:22,760 --> 01:03:25,320
Speaker 4: It was like that that was the prototype. He didn't

1283
01:03:25,320 --> 01:03:26,400
Speaker 4: know any better. But then.

1284
01:03:28,640 --> 01:03:30,680
Speaker 3: This is a Joe judge Daniel Jones.

1285
01:03:30,640 --> 01:03:34,000
Speaker 4: Yep, Yeah, this is not very disappointing effort from that

1286
01:03:34,160 --> 01:03:36,920
Speaker 4: entire staff. That was like your game, that was your spot,

1287
01:03:37,040 --> 01:03:39,800
Speaker 4: your game, your matchup. You didn't have to worry about

1288
01:03:39,800 --> 01:03:43,880
Speaker 4: like a wanted pass rush. But apparently you did agree

1289
01:03:43,880 --> 01:03:44,600
Speaker 4: on survivor though.

1290
01:03:44,680 --> 01:03:48,600
Speaker 2: If the Dollins defense ends up like putting up ten sacks.

1291
01:03:48,640 --> 01:03:49,920
Speaker 3: I'm just we're gonna have to keep it.

1292
01:03:50,040 --> 01:03:51,920
Speaker 4: I'm gonna have to take out the games against the

1293
01:03:51,920 --> 01:03:56,080
Speaker 4: Giants for my defensive seriously rankings, because like the Seahawks

1294
01:03:56,080 --> 01:03:59,000
Speaker 4: defense like has like good overall stats now at some

1295
01:03:59,240 --> 01:04:00,439
Speaker 4: but I know that they're not good.

1296
01:04:01,320 --> 01:04:05,560
Speaker 2: I mean that, boy, uh, I have some good corners.

1297
01:04:06,680 --> 01:04:08,320
Speaker 4: I'm just saying like that, I know that their pass

1298
01:04:08,400 --> 01:04:10,360
Speaker 4: rush is not something you have to worry about now.

1299
01:04:10,360 --> 01:04:14,440
Speaker 4: Their pass rush numbers UH obviously get an enormous bump

1300
01:04:14,520 --> 01:04:16,480
Speaker 4: from that disaster.

1301
01:04:17,120 --> 01:04:19,280
Speaker 2: I need I need you, I need your your cowboys

1302
01:04:19,320 --> 01:04:21,880
Speaker 2: to uh to get that dub this week because I

1303
01:04:21,960 --> 01:04:24,560
Speaker 2: still got that Seahawks future for the NFC wess and

1304
01:04:24,600 --> 01:04:26,320
Speaker 2: they're they're sitting here at three on one now, so

1305
01:04:26,360 --> 01:04:29,200
Speaker 2: it's not all of a sudden not out of the question.

1306
01:04:29,360 --> 01:04:30,000
Speaker 3: If we could just.

1307
01:04:31,840 --> 01:04:34,240
Speaker 4: Disagree with that, that's not I know you got the

1308
01:04:34,600 --> 01:04:35,080
Speaker 4: because I have the.

1309
01:04:37,800 --> 01:04:41,680
Speaker 6: Let's go Niners by three, baby man.

1310
01:04:41,720 --> 01:04:44,080
Speaker 3: We need this win. I mean, hey, you can spot

1311
01:04:44,120 --> 01:04:46,000
Speaker 3: come on, you can spot me a win with this.

1312
01:04:46,280 --> 01:04:48,120
Speaker 2: You're still four in one and the Seahawks will be

1313
01:04:48,120 --> 01:04:50,080
Speaker 2: three in one and the Seahawks, Yeah, I mean I'll

1314
01:04:50,120 --> 01:04:52,840
Speaker 2: take it forwoys. You just can't get pretty knocked the

1315
01:04:52,840 --> 01:04:55,400
Speaker 2: funk out. That's like again like Michael Parsons just can't

1316
01:04:55,960 --> 01:04:58,560
Speaker 2: you know. But yeah, that's that's uh, That's what I'm

1317
01:04:58,560 --> 01:04:59,920
Speaker 2: going with Miami for Survivor.

1318
01:05:00,120 --> 01:05:01,120
Speaker 3: That's gonna do it.

1319
01:05:01,280 --> 01:05:08,160
Speaker 2: Week five Action Network Podcast presented by bet MGM, the

1320
01:05:08,240 --> 01:05:10,880
Speaker 2: King of Sportsbooks. You can hear more of me this

1321
01:05:10,920 --> 01:05:14,960
Speaker 2: week with my guy Sean Kerner talking fantasy DFS props

1322
01:05:15,000 --> 01:05:18,000
Speaker 2: all that good stuff on the Fantasy Flex Podcast, and

1323
01:05:18,320 --> 01:05:20,880
Speaker 2: be sure to check out the Action Network Discord server

1324
01:05:21,560 --> 01:05:23,000
Speaker 2: if you want to chat directly.

1325
01:05:23,040 --> 01:05:26,160
Speaker 3: Again, we'll put the link in the episode description.

1326
01:05:26,360 --> 01:05:28,760
Speaker 2: And of course you can hear Stuck talking college football

1327
01:05:28,800 --> 01:05:33,680
Speaker 2: over on Big Bets on Campus Pod every Friday morning,

1328
01:05:33,840 --> 01:05:37,680
Speaker 2: and you can find Stuck on X at Stucky too.

1329
01:05:37,920 --> 01:05:41,200
Speaker 2: I'm at Christy Raybon. We're at those same handles on

1330
01:05:41,200 --> 01:05:43,400
Speaker 2: the free award winning Action Network at where you can

1331
01:05:43,600 --> 01:05:46,760
Speaker 2: follow our bets back to own all that good stuff.

1332
01:05:47,240 --> 01:05:57,800
Speaker 3: Till next time, let's get this money let go. Action

1333
01:05:57,920 --> 01:06:00,680
Speaker 3: Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1334
01:06:01,000 --> 01:06:03,520
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1335
01:06:03,800 --> 01:06:06,160
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1336
01:06:06,240 --> 01:06:06,960
Speaker 2: hundred gambler