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Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p joe pie Zapia

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Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL. It's time for the best

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Speaker 1: bets of the week four. Week three. Of course, the

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Speaker 1: Undertaker Andrew Erickson is here. Terrell Furman T Money is

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Speaker 1: here as well. I'm not gonna gold chain today too,

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Speaker 1: looking very spiffy here, Furman. I gotta say, I gotta

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Speaker 1: up the chain game a little bit here. I gotta

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Speaker 1: go out there. You think the Italian would have more gold,

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Speaker 1: but I don't. I'm not a jewelry guy. Is that weird? Torell?

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Speaker 1: That I'm an Italian but not a jewelry guy.

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Speaker 2: Eh, kind of sort of. You know, I'm gonna stay

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Speaker 2: in my lane, and you know, I'm not gonna judge others.

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Speaker 2: But from what I've heard about this Italian community, I

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Speaker 2: think that's kind of outside of the realm possibility it is.

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Speaker 1: I've never been a jewelry guy, not even a watch.

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Speaker 1: I always hated watches. I didn't like him. I'm you

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Speaker 1: know some people are watch guys.

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Speaker 2: Oh no, I know that.

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Speaker 1: Not a watch guy. Ericson er you a watch guy,

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Speaker 1: or is time not an object for you?

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Speaker 3: It's funny you ask that because I do have a

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Speaker 3: watch that I wear, but this watch doesn't work, so

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Speaker 3: it's all for show.

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Speaker 2: So you're one hundred percent of watch guy, Watch Guy.

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Speaker 4: I can read. It's not like a digital watch.

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Speaker 3: It's a watch where it has the arm so I

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Speaker 3: can read those clocks. But I can look at it

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Speaker 3: and be like, oh, yeah, I know, this doesn't tell

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Speaker 3: me what time it is.

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Speaker 1: Well, it's right twice a day. Hopefully we'll be right

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Speaker 1: more than twice on the show today. For the best

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Speaker 1: bets of Week three, don't forget download the Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: app and start betting smarter, not harder. It's on iOS,

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Speaker 1: the sports books in one spot. You can always find

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Speaker 1: the best lines to make the best bets. That's what

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Speaker 1: we're trying to do here over at Betting Pros, and

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Speaker 1: we're very excited to have you on this journey with us.

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Speaker 1: So you can monitor all your bet performances by sport

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Speaker 1: bet type, including game picks, props and parlays. Even now

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Speaker 1: in the same games. We got that going on ONVP

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Speaker 1: as well. Create custom betting systems as well, and you

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Speaker 1: can find trends that are profitable for all different sorts

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Speaker 1: of opportunities. So get a free trial of Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: Premium right now by downloading the app today and activating

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Speaker 1: your trial on the upper screen over at bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com or again download the app. Gentlemen, Week three is

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Speaker 1: on the horizon. Can't wait to see what you guys

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Speaker 1: are in on. We're gonna get my upset special hopefully

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Speaker 1: I'll get one right this week. I got a good

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Speaker 1: feeling about this one, and of course we'll get to

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Speaker 1: my parlay for week three in the NFL. Let's start

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Speaker 1: with you, Terrell, and let's start with the Steelers and Chargers.

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Speaker 1: You and I see this one the same way, which

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Speaker 1: is low scoring.

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Speaker 2: Oh absolutely thirty five and a half and it's too

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Speaker 2: many points already. I mean, I think that this could

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Speaker 2: be if this was ten three, ten seventh in the game,

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't be surprised. Like, you have two really solid defenses,

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Speaker 2: two coaches that are coaching those defenses up. TJ. Watt

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Speaker 2: is just amazing, Like when CJ. Watt plays for the

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Speaker 2: Steelers like it just takes everything to another level, and

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Speaker 2: I think that he's gonna feast on this Chargers offensive

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Speaker 2: line here. I haven't seen anything that I really really say, Wow,

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Speaker 2: this Chargers team looks like, you know, a eleven twelve

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Speaker 2: win team in the fell through the first two games.

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Speaker 2: They kind of went back and forth and struggle with

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Speaker 2: Gardner Minshew and the Raiders earlier. And then yeah, they

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Speaker 2: pulled away from the Panthers, but it's the Panthers. And

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Speaker 2: actually there was a point in time where that game

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Speaker 2: was six to nothing and you could have sat there

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Speaker 2: and said, WHOA are the Panthers going to actually go

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Speaker 2: get this done? Then they go and pull away because

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Speaker 2: the Panthers are the Panthers. But still, I haven't seen

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Speaker 2: anything impressive that I think from the Chargers. They're also

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Speaker 2: on a bat to back road spot where they stayed

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Speaker 2: on the East coast for this past week, going from

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Speaker 2: Carolina to Pittsburgh. So you have that travel element of

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Speaker 2: that as well of them staying here instead of going

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Speaker 2: home and resting in their beds and all of that.

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Speaker 2: So all that combined, yeah, under I don't trust Justin

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Speaker 2: Fields to score points, and I think that the Chargers

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Speaker 2: offense is underwhelming.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Erics and I were on this early on Monday.

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Speaker 1: If you missed that show, the Early Line Show, go watch.

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Speaker 1: We break down all the games with our first takes

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Speaker 1: on all of them, and usually the first takes are

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Speaker 1: the right takes. Also, by the way, speak of TJ. Watt,

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Speaker 1: I was just looking while you were talking. He is

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Speaker 1: at plus four to twenty still for defensive Player of

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Speaker 1: the Year Aiden Hutchinson, which was our pick. Andrew Erickson

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Speaker 1: is a plus four to seventy already where was he

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Speaker 1: plus sixteen hundred. I think this starts the year somewhere

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Speaker 1: around there, so already making some money there. Ericson, let's

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Speaker 1: get to you for your first pick for Week three.

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Speaker 3: What do you have taking the Packers on the money

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Speaker 3: line playing at the Tennessee Titans. Look, I think that

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Speaker 3: back in the Packers as a road underdog just tends

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Speaker 3: to be a good bet to make. You Look at

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Speaker 3: what the Packers have done last nineteen games, twelve and

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Speaker 3: seven against the spread as underdogs, and a lot of

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Speaker 3: it's related to what they do on defense. Actually, So

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Speaker 3: the Packers are nine to two when they've allowed fewer

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Speaker 3: than twenty three points on defense, eight and three against

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Speaker 3: the spread. The Titans, despite being home favorites, have a

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Speaker 3: sub twenty point implied team total because who is their quarterback?

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Speaker 4: Will Levis?

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Speaker 3: And speaking of Will Levis, this this was my favorite

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Speaker 3: stat when I was looking at this particular matchup. So

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Speaker 3: week one, right, the highest turnover worthy play rate among

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Speaker 3: quarterbacks was Jalen Hurts.

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Speaker 4: What team did he play? The Green Bay Packers? Week two?

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Speaker 3: Anthony Richardson thirteen percent turnover worthy play rate? What team

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Speaker 3: did you play? The Green Bay Packers? Week three? Will

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Speaker 3: Levis plays the Green Bay Packers. So not only do

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Speaker 3: I think that the Packers can win offensively with Willis

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Speaker 3: running the football with Josh Shacoups against the Titans, I

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Speaker 3: think that Will Levis can't get out of his own way.

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Speaker 3: So you have the additional turnover upside where this game

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Speaker 3: could be close. But in the end, Levis is going

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Speaker 3: to give it away like he's done the last two weeks.

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Speaker 3: So give me the Packers on the money line, Malik

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Speaker 3: Willis revenge game.

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Speaker 4: I'm here for all the narratives.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, one of the narratives building is that Jordan Love

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Speaker 1: may play like that'd be insane.

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Speaker 4: It doesn't matter, especially.

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Speaker 1: Against this defense too. I don't think you want to

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Speaker 1: throw him out there. That Titans defense is very good,

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Speaker 1: especially in the front like that is not one front.

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Speaker 1: If you're having trouble moving around, I don't want to

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Speaker 1: be out there in front of the Titans defense. That's

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Speaker 1: a surefire way to basically kill all your Super Bowl

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Speaker 1: hopes and dreams. So look, Malik got you win last week.

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Speaker 1: I think Will Levis gives you a win this week. Somehow,

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Speaker 1: He'll find a way. He always finds a way to

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Speaker 1: help the other team win. So I think you just

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Speaker 1: stick with that and hopefully things will be okay. If

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Speaker 1: you're Green Bay, just manage a situation. Get healthy, Jordan Love,

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Speaker 1: all right, Terrell. The Saints have been certainly the surprise

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Speaker 1: of the NFL so far. Maybe no one surprise they

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Speaker 1: won Week one, but I think a lot of us

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Speaker 1: were surprised. And the ass kicking they gave the Cowboys

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Speaker 1: in Week two. So week three, what's in store for

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Speaker 1: the Saints?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm back in Clint Kubiak and Derek Carr. While

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Speaker 2: they are together, they have yet to not put together

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Speaker 2: a scoring drive. It's been touchdown or field goal anytime

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Speaker 2: Derek Carr has been on the field for this team.

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Speaker 2: And did you see how that game ended on Monday

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Speaker 2: Night against Kirk Cousins on Prime Time where the Eagles

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Speaker 2: went previt. And I mean, I've always roasted this Eagle

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Speaker 2: secondary for the past two years because I've thought that

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Speaker 2: they've been underwhelming. They've given up a lot of spots

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Speaker 2: to a lot of wide receivers. I think last year

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Speaker 2: they were actually top seven and fantasy points to wide

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Speaker 2: receivers allowed. Like that passing game has been really, really bad.

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Speaker 2: And here we get Derek Carr and Clint Kubiak, who

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Speaker 2: actually has this offense rolling. I think they're going to

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Speaker 2: find the soft parts of this Eagles passing attack and

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Speaker 2: just go at it the entire game. You look at

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Speaker 2: Derek Carr going up against a Vic Fangio defense and

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Speaker 2: he dominated them when he was over there for the Raiders,

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Speaker 2: going up against him in the Broncos, like Derek Carr

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Speaker 2: has familiarity playing this solid defense. I think this is

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Speaker 2: another situation where everybody's kind of backing the Eagles to

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Speaker 2: bounce back. And Jalen Hurts has lost nine of his

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Speaker 2: last eleven games. I don't want to back anybody like that.

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Speaker 2: I don't think that I think the Eagles are overrated.

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Speaker 2: I think that the Saints are slightly underrated, and they

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Speaker 2: kind of proved it last week against the Cowboys that

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Speaker 2: they could run the score up on anybody. So that's

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Speaker 2: what I like. I like the Saints land in two

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Speaker 2: and a half here. I think they're gonna be able

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Speaker 2: to get it done.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the Colts and the Bears.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: The Colts haven't exactly played the best defense in the world.

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Speaker 1: They are zeroing two. Tough road loss for them last

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Speaker 1: week against a weekend Green Bay team. They couldn't pull

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Speaker 1: one out there. The Bears having some weaknesses of their own.

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Speaker 1: Kayla Williams runs and runs and runs, but unfortunately has

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Speaker 1: not been able to get the Bears really on track

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Speaker 1: offensively yet. So the Colts are one point favorites in

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Speaker 1: this one. Where are you at with it?

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Speaker 4: I'm going back to the Colts.

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Speaker 3: They let me down last week, but I'm going to

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Speaker 3: continue to pound the trend with them being favorites. You

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Speaker 3: look at the favorites of one thirteen of the Colts

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Speaker 3: last fourteen games. The exception was, of course, last week,

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Speaker 3: So I'm not going to let one wee kind of

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Speaker 3: dissuade me away from Indianapolis. I think that will floor

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Speaker 3: just out coach Shane stikeing to be totally honest, but

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Speaker 3: when I'm looking at the coaching matchup this week, Shane

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Speaker 3: Styking against Ebra Flu's and Shane Waldron, there's no contest.

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Speaker 3: In my opinion, I think that the Colts are at

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Speaker 3: a better advantage they're playing back at home. You look

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Speaker 3: at Kayla Williams, where has he been struggling, you know,

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Speaker 3: passing from the pocket, and what defense?

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Speaker 4: Is he going?

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Speaker 3: A heavy cover three scheme? You know who has the

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Speaker 3: same sack rate pressure to sack rate as Kayleb Williams

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Speaker 3: Bryce Young. So you're seeing stall drives because he's hold

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Speaker 3: on the ball too long. You're seeing three and outs.

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Speaker 3: Bad offensive lines don't tend to travel very well. So

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Speaker 3: even though the Colts are under manned on their defensive line,

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Speaker 3: I'm not sure that the Bears are going to be

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Speaker 3: able to run the ball effectively enough where it actually

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Speaker 3: makes a difference for them to win this game. So

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Speaker 3: I'm going to be backing the Colts here. Even though

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Speaker 3: they placed to Forrest Buckner on injury preserve. The Bears

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Speaker 3: have shown no ability to run the football, and the Bears,

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Speaker 3: somehow someway are actually depending on which numbers close. They're

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Speaker 3: two and zero against the spread. That's not going to

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Speaker 3: continue because it's been by the slimmest of margins that

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Speaker 3: they've been able to cover. So regression is going to

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Speaker 3: come crashing down like the Colts's favorites.

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Speaker 1: All right, there you go, everybody. Let's get to the

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Speaker 1: next one here for Week three in the NFL, And

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Speaker 1: before we do, just a quick reminder everybody, you should

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Speaker 1: and make the most of your picks. So again, more

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Speaker 1: help from the Betting Pros group over on discord. That's

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Speaker 1: what you want. Let's get to the next pick here

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Speaker 1: and let's go do back to you, Terrell. The Cincinnai

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Speaker 1: Bengals are kind of up against it. To me, this

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Speaker 1: is an opportunity where I think you see the Bengals

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Speaker 1: actually show up this week and be the Bengals. I

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Speaker 1: know you had glimpses of it last week, and the

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Speaker 1: glimpses were good, But I think this is the one

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Speaker 1: where that Washington secondary really unlocks Jamar Chase in Week three.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so one, Joe Burrow has never lost a Week

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Speaker 2: three game ever at all.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and also this week, yeah, how many week he's

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Speaker 1: never lost a Week three and twenty twenty four. No,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't happened yet.

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Speaker 2: And a look last two seasons, they started out zero

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Speaker 2: to two and they came back one week three. That's

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Speaker 2: how they do it. He's also never lost the regular

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Speaker 2: season primetime game to anybody outside of the AFC North.

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Speaker 2: This is a spot where I like Joe Burrow and

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Speaker 2: this team to bounce back. One. I guess the Commander's

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Speaker 2: defense that's absolutely horrible. They're twenty ninth to thirty two

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Speaker 2: teams in terms of PFF pass rush rate. The secondary

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Speaker 2: is just abysmal. And that this feels like the Jamar

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Speaker 2: Chase Joe Burrow eleven catches, one hundred and fifty plus yards,

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Speaker 2: two touchdowns type of game. He's got Yo si Vaz,

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Speaker 2: He's got Burton, He's able to spread the ball around. Hey,

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Speaker 2: watch out for Mike Kiseki as well. He's been targeting

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Speaker 2: him in the red zone a lot. They just haven't

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Speaker 2: been able to connect a few times. Like I think

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Speaker 2: this is the Hey, there's nobody in his face this game.

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Speaker 2: He has time in the pocket. He just absolutely carves

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Speaker 2: up this Commander's defense. They're laying seven and a half

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Speaker 2: and they gave you that hook trying to bait anybody

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Speaker 2: that would to take the Commanders after last week, saying

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Speaker 2: that they keep the game close. They're not. The Giants

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Speaker 2: are horrible. The Bengals are not. The Bengals are going

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Speaker 2: to run through this team late seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the Giants are horrible. And that's coming from the

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Speaker 1: Giants fan. Everybody that's coming from Terrell, who knows better.

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Speaker 1: Are we gonna see Drew Locke sooner than later here, Trell,

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Speaker 1: after what you saw last week?

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Speaker 2: Or no more? Daniel Johns, Probably not after what you

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Speaker 2: saw last week? I think yeah, I said that awful

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Speaker 2: little bit, right, Dale Jones. Dale Jones didn't know his

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Speaker 2: kicker was hurt and still shotted out the kicker and

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Speaker 2: not ran out a new practice squad kicker when the

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Speaker 2: Commanders did exactly that and brought out somebody from the

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Speaker 2: street and went and hit seven field goals.

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Speaker 1: How manny targets for neighbors this week forty five?

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Speaker 4: It's gonna be less than eighteen. It's not gonna be

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Speaker 4: eighteen again.

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Speaker 1: I don't know about that, Andrew. I just don't know.

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Speaker 1: All right, Erickson, let's go to you for pick number three,

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Speaker 1: and you've got some feelings and thoughts about Houston and Minnesota.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna take the under here at forty six

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Speaker 3: and a half points. Look the way that I'm looking

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Speaker 3: at this matchup, I think that again, you have c. J. Stroud,

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Speaker 3: you have the miss, you have the receivers here, everyone's

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Speaker 3: super pumped up, But these are two good defenses. I

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Speaker 3: like the under last week when it came to the

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Speaker 3: Bears facing the Texans because it was all about the quarterbacks.

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Speaker 3: But oh my god, these defenses are both really good.

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Speaker 3: So you look at the Texans, they've gone under in

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Speaker 3: their games in twelve of their last nineteen games. You

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Speaker 3: look at Minnesota, Brian Flores, these teams have averaged forty

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Speaker 3: two points in Minnesota. They're two six and one towards

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Speaker 3: the over since the start of the twenty twenty three season.

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Speaker 3: Look for two shake weeks. Houston ranks fourth and fewest

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Speaker 3: first downs allowed. You cannot run the football whatsoever on

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Speaker 3: their defense, number one run defense since the start of

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Speaker 3: last season. And then you look at the Vikings. They

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Speaker 3: have the second highest pressure rate in the NFL. They've

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Speaker 3: limited the forty nine ers at home to fewer than

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Speaker 3: twenty points. That's Elite. The last time they scored less

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Speaker 3: than twenty points was Week eight of last season, the

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Speaker 3: last time the forty niners were limited to under twenty points.

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Speaker 3: So I think that both defens are just not getting

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Speaker 3: enough credit and everyone is kind of looking at oh

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Speaker 3: Sam Darnold. I like this oh Ce Jay Shroud, great quarterback,

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Speaker 3: but these teams are playing towards the under that's there,

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Speaker 3: So I'm going to take the under here, especially at

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Speaker 3: a inflated number.

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Speaker 4: I think at forty six and a half.

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Speaker 1: All right, more on this game a little later for me,

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Speaker 1: because I've got some thoughts and feelings about this one.

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Speaker 1: We all have thoughts and feelings about the Dolphins and

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks. Now, the Dolphins are underdogs on the road

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Speaker 1: backup quarterback. I think we all get that, but I'm

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Speaker 1: not sure I know who Seattle is yet. The Seattle

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Speaker 1: defense has played well, but they played well against the Patriots,

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Speaker 1: who don't exactly have a full complement of really impressive weapons,

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Speaker 1: and against the Broncos, who, well, bon Nix is their quarterback.

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Speaker 1: So just to kind of give you perspective on that. So,

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Speaker 1: although Seattle has handled their business, which is great, and

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Speaker 1: the offense looked like you know, certainly JSN looked fantastic

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Speaker 1: last week. DK. You know, ten yards open is a

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Speaker 1: lovely thing to see. You love that. But Terrell, let's

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Speaker 1: start with you on this one because I'm very interested

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Speaker 1: in this game. I feel like the Dolphins, with extra

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Speaker 1: time to prepare, might be more prepared than people think.

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Speaker 2: In week three, yeah, and I mean, here we go,

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Speaker 2: we have another closure eye, especially now the Panthers are

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Speaker 2: closed your Eyes special proof. So how did that work

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Speaker 2: out last week?

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Speaker 4: You have to take Bryce Young out of the equation.

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Speaker 2: Which means this dude this week because it's a sixty

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Speaker 2: one percent shrend and it has to miss at some point.

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Speaker 2: And so actually, we have three close your Eye specials

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Speaker 2: this week and I'm betting two of them. Only reason

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Speaker 2: I'm not betting the third is because it involves the Cowboys,

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Speaker 2: and I can't bet the Cowboys. That's ridiculous. But but

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Speaker 2: here we go. Miami underperformed a spread in week two

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Speaker 2: by twenty one or more points, and they're catching points

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Speaker 2: on the road this week. And what I think is

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Speaker 2: a really really good spot. You mentioned it. They had

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Speaker 2: extra time to prepare. The backup quarterback skylear Thompson, who Hey,

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Speaker 2: he looked bad, really really bad his first game, but

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Speaker 2: he's two and oh ats after that and it starts,

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Speaker 2: so he's competent. He even covered a road playoff game

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Speaker 2: in Buffalo and only lost by three, So let's not

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Speaker 2: make it seem like Skylet Thompson is just completely irrelevant

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Speaker 2: because he's shown that he can at least keep this

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Speaker 2: team in games in big moments, which are the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: But this is more about Seattle. Seattle goes East Coast,

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Speaker 2: plays in New England, plays an overtime physical game in

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Speaker 2: New England, and then flies back West Coast at home

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Speaker 2: for this game. I think that's just a tough travel

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Speaker 2: spot and a tough spot for this same overall. And

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Speaker 2: there's a saying you just don't want to lay over

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Speaker 2: a field goal like four and a half five points

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Speaker 2: with Gino Smith. I'm good, that's just a little bit

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Speaker 2: too much for me. A field goal cool, but when

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Speaker 2: you start getting into four and a half five in

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Speaker 2: that range, I don't want to lay that many points

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Speaker 2: with Gino Smith. I think this is a good spot

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Speaker 2: where no Kenneth Walker, that the Dolphins just kind of

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Speaker 2: step up and play up. So yeah, I like Dolphins

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Speaker 2: plus four and a half sprinkle on the money line.

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Speaker 1: Ericson what's your approach to this Seattle Dolphins game?

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Speaker 4: I also love the Dolphins in this spot.

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Speaker 3: I think that Trail did a great job of kind

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Speaker 3: of summarizing what the rest advantages the trends when you're

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Speaker 3: looking at Seattle. Seattle is not a team that's good

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Speaker 3: as a favorite. They fail to cover the spread in

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Speaker 3: each of their last seven games as a favorite. They're

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Speaker 3: three to five and one at home as favorites against

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Speaker 3: the spread in their last nine games. So the trend where, yes,

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Speaker 3: they're supposed to be better, they're supposed to win, and

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Speaker 3: usually they do it, winning these games, but they don't

390
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Speaker 3: ever cover the spread when they're viewed as the superior team.

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Speaker 3: And you pointed out at the jump, Joe, they've played

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Speaker 3: the Broncos and the Patriots. That's who this defense has

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Speaker 3: gone up against. And this is my kind of hand

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Speaker 3: in the dirt type of take, and this is coming

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Speaker 3: from someone.

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Speaker 4: Let's talk to Ryan Wormley a lot. He's a Ravens fan.

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Speaker 3: He knows Mike McDonald's defense, again, formerly of the Ravens,

398
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Speaker 3: now the Seahawks head coach taking you guys back to

399
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Speaker 3: a game that was played in Miami. It was one

400
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Speaker 3: of Mike McDonald's or this games as the Baltimore Ravens

401
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Speaker 3: defensive coordinator. It was against Mike McDaniel's offense. That game

402
00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:40,159
Speaker 3: was a mess. It was a shootout because McDonald's defense

403
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Speaker 3: did not match up well whatsoever against McDaniel's offense. And

404
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Speaker 3: when you look at the offenses they've played so far

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Speaker 3: this year, name an explosive playmaker on the Broncos or Patriots.

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Speaker 4: They don't have any.

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Speaker 3: Neither of those teams have the personnel to take advantage

408
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Speaker 3: of the holes in this particular defense that Seattle has.

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Speaker 4: You know who does you know who has three? The

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Speaker 4: Miami Dolphins.

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Speaker 3: So that's why I think that the Dolphins are the

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Speaker 3: play here, from the trends, from just the matchup on paper. Again,

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Speaker 3: I'm not usually I'm a math guy, but I'm trying

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Speaker 3: to put my hands in the dart a little bit here.

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Speaker 3: I just think that the matchup really prefers Miami. You know,

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Speaker 3: as long as Skylart Thompson can just distribute the ball

417
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Speaker 3: to waddle a chan Tyreek Hill, I think you're gonna

418
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Speaker 3: look up and be like, Wow, Miami's winning this game.

419
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Speaker 3: What is going on in Seattle? So I like the

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Speaker 3: Dolphins on the money line.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm in on the Dolphins too. I'm taking the

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Speaker 1: points with the Dolphins this week. So all three of

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Speaker 1: us fingers crossed. Let's go Simon on that one. What

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00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:38,440
Speaker 1: could go wrong? Skyler Thompson can go wrong? All right, Terrell,

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Speaker 1: let's go back to you for your final pick for

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Speaker 1: week three.

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Speaker 2: All right, final pick on the board, and it's another

428
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Speaker 2: close your eyes specially. I already seized it. Ay. If

429
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Speaker 2: it's a sixty percent and we have three, then yes,

430
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Speaker 2: I'm taking the rams plus seven and a half here.

431
00:18:56,200 --> 00:18:58,280
Speaker 2: And first of all, I would like to throw out

432
00:18:58,320 --> 00:19:00,280
Speaker 2: this was a close your Eye special last year when

433
00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:02,600
Speaker 2: the forty nine ers were in this same building, lane

434
00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:05,199
Speaker 2: nine and a half and Sean McVay said, you know what,

435
00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:06,560
Speaker 2: I'm gonna kick the field goal at the end of

436
00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:08,639
Speaker 2: the game and we got the cover. Then the closure

437
00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:11,200
Speaker 2: Eye Special will give you covers when you least suspect

438
00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:14,120
Speaker 2: it in most crazy ways, and Sean McVay has proven that.

439
00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:17,520
Speaker 2: And then we have here where I have my favorite

440
00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:20,800
Speaker 2: system of fading. Kyle Shanahan as a big road favorite.

441
00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:23,000
Speaker 2: When he's been a road favorite of seven or more points,

442
00:19:23,040 --> 00:19:25,640
Speaker 2: he is two and six eightts against the spread. And

443
00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:28,400
Speaker 2: so now you have the Closure Eye Special on top

444
00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:30,639
Speaker 2: of that, and then you have a Rams team that

445
00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:32,840
Speaker 2: is banged up with this forty nine Ers team is

446
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:35,480
Speaker 2: banged up too. Like, is Brock Purdy gonna go out

447
00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:38,679
Speaker 2: there and earn his money without Deebo Samuel, without Christian McCaffrey.

448
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:41,879
Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean, Brian Flores gave him a

449
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:44,400
Speaker 2: run for his money last week and he even said it, Wow,

450
00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:46,600
Speaker 2: your scheme's amazing. You gave me a run for my money.

451
00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:48,240
Speaker 2: I really was trying to figure this out, like Brock

452
00:19:48,280 --> 00:19:51,600
Speaker 2: Purdy might not be this all proof quarterback that could

453
00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:53,320
Speaker 2: just go out there and light things up all the

454
00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:56,000
Speaker 2: time and pull away a seven and a half point

455
00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:58,800
Speaker 2: spread in a rivalry game. I know Kyle Shanahan owns

456
00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 2: Sean McVay, but Sean mcvays found ways to keep this

457
00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:04,480
Speaker 2: game close. I think he does it again. Now, Am

458
00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:07,080
Speaker 2: I saying it's outright? When no, but the Closer Special

459
00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:09,159
Speaker 2: only needs seven and a half points. I think this

460
00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:10,840
Speaker 2: is a three point game, all right?

461
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:13,919
Speaker 1: Ericson to wrap us up here with your fifth and

462
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:15,920
Speaker 1: final selection for Week three.

463
00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:17,440
Speaker 3: Yes, so I have a take on the same game

464
00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,760
Speaker 3: that Terrell just broke down forty nine Ers and Rams. Look,

465
00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:23,120
Speaker 3: he talked about how both teams are kind of banged up,

466
00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:26,480
Speaker 3: injured across the offensive line, receivers are out, So I'm

467
00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:28,320
Speaker 3: just gonna take the under the game overall. Again, these

468
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:31,800
Speaker 3: are two teams that are viewed as offensive juggernauts, and honestly, Torell,

469
00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:33,200
Speaker 3: you've kind of I was kind of leaning with the

470
00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:35,119
Speaker 3: Rams a little bit too with the seven and a half,

471
00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:36,760
Speaker 3: so I think I'm going to dabble on that.

472
00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:38,680
Speaker 4: A little bit as well. But overall, I just like

473
00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:39,120
Speaker 4: the under.

474
00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,120
Speaker 3: I want to fade these two offenses I don't think

475
00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:43,320
Speaker 3: are at the peak of their powers, and I think

476
00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:46,520
Speaker 3: the line is more indicative of, oh well, it's Sean McVay,

477
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,480
Speaker 3: it's Kyle Shanahan, these high powered offenses. But these aren't

478
00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:50,960
Speaker 3: the same high powered offense when they don't have all

479
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:51,840
Speaker 3: their toys to play with.

480
00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:53,800
Speaker 4: So I like the under here, especially at forty four

481
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:54,280
Speaker 4: and a half.

482
00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:56,440
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the upset special of the week.

483
00:20:56,520 --> 00:20:58,040
Speaker 1: I need to get on the board here. Zero and

484
00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:00,760
Speaker 1: two to start the year, no boint. I know the

485
00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:03,840
Speaker 1: first one was in my hands and it slipped away.

486
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:07,879
Speaker 1: But last week also did not work. So new strategy

487
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:10,320
Speaker 1: this week. The Houston Texans should go out there and

488
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:13,600
Speaker 1: beat theoretically the Minnesota Vikings. I think on paper they

489
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:16,760
Speaker 1: are the better team, more complete team. I think the

490
00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:20,399
Speaker 1: better defensive team. But Minnesota has a pension for keeping

491
00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:22,600
Speaker 1: games close like this, and I think if they keep

492
00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:26,560
Speaker 1: it close enough, this new confidence that Sam Darnold has

493
00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:29,879
Speaker 1: found here, I think can continue to carry over, and

494
00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:33,280
Speaker 1: I think that they are the team with far less pressure.

495
00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:35,840
Speaker 1: I think the fact that this one is on the road,

496
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,680
Speaker 1: and we know historically, as Andrew pointing out, sometimes the

497
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:41,320
Speaker 1: Houston Texans when their favorites don't always put their best

498
00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:44,080
Speaker 1: foot forward. That's the mark of a young team, which

499
00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:45,960
Speaker 1: they still kind of are. So I think in this

500
00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 1: spot here, potentially maybe they don't take the Vikings as

501
00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:51,320
Speaker 1: seriously as they should. So give me the Vikings with

502
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:53,640
Speaker 1: the two and a half year minus one fifteen. I'm

503
00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:56,840
Speaker 1: not saying that the Vikings are going to necessarily win outright,

504
00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:59,000
Speaker 1: but you can certainly go that route as well. I

505
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,280
Speaker 1: think that's certainly on the but I will take the points.

506
00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:04,400
Speaker 1: I will take the underdog here with the Minnesota Vikings

507
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:08,600
Speaker 1: to upset here on the Houston Texans on the money line. Sure,

508
00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:11,359
Speaker 1: let's just do it. Let's go for it, baby, Let's

509
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:13,640
Speaker 1: have some fun this week and make some money. End.

510
00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 1: What's going to the parlay of the week this week?

511
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:19,120
Speaker 1: How about plus six eighty two. How do we get

512
00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:21,520
Speaker 1: to that number? Well, we take the Dolphins with the

513
00:22:21,560 --> 00:22:23,359
Speaker 1: four and a half at minus one oh five against

514
00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:26,920
Speaker 1: the Seahawks. We take the under from Andrew Erickson and

515
00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:29,679
Speaker 1: Terrell talking about the Chargers in the Pittsburgh steel Ers,

516
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:31,919
Speaker 1: a game that we've been talking about since Monday and

517
00:22:31,960 --> 00:22:33,919
Speaker 1: it's Thursday. We're still talking about it, even though it's

518
00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:35,879
Speaker 1: a low number, thirty five and a half minus one

519
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,320
Speaker 1: oh eight, you take that end. Let's take the Packers

520
00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:40,679
Speaker 1: to find a way to win again at plus went

521
00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:43,280
Speaker 1: aweight on the money line, because well, the Tennessee Titans

522
00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:46,159
Speaker 1: and Will Levis just can't stop giving away football games

523
00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:49,679
Speaker 1: despite the fact that defense is pretty good. Unfortunately for

524
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:51,040
Speaker 1: the Titans. I think it might be an zero to

525
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:53,359
Speaker 1: three start. So you put all three of those together.

526
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:56,080
Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers money line, the Dolphins with the points

527
00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 1: and the Chargers Steelers under you get plus six eighty two. That,

528
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,640
Speaker 1: my friends, is the parlay of the day for Sunday

529
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,240
Speaker 1: in the NFL. But what are you in on? What

530
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:09,280
Speaker 1: are your favorite picks for Week three? We want to

531
00:23:09,320 --> 00:23:11,800
Speaker 1: hear from you, so drop your comments below. Don't forget

532
00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:13,919
Speaker 1: to subscribe to the Betting Pros channel too, because on

533
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:15,919
Speaker 1: Sunday we got the live stream helping you out. Tomorrow

534
00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,119
Speaker 1: we'll be back with the Prop Show with Andrew and

535
00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:20,359
Speaker 1: myself and the Welsh. We'll take you through some of

536
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,959
Speaker 1: the player props for week three and we're always going

537
00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:25,199
Speaker 1: to have your back when it comes to betting in

538
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:27,240
Speaker 1: the NFL. And of course make sure you check out

539
00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:30,200
Speaker 1: Derell's work with a WNBA and the NBA starting around

540
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,840
Speaker 1: the Corner two and college football as well as Scott

541
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,320
Speaker 1: Augman and Seth and TERRELLI take you through all you

542
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:37,760
Speaker 1: need to know for CFB. That'll do it for us,

543
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 1: but the story of the game goes on for Andrew Andterrell.

544
00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:43,560
Speaker 1: I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids.

545
00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:46,960
Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you

546
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,359
Speaker 5: love the show, the best Freeway. To support us is

547
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:52,800
Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

548
00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:55,720
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549
00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:59,480
Speaker 5: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

550
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:02,000
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