1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:05,080 Speaker 1: The most valuable commandity I know of his information. Wouldn't 2 00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: you agree? 3 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 2: I've got five dollars? This is a rat, a leppy track. 4 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:18,440 Speaker 2: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable. 5 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: Humans need fantasy to be human. Oh my goodness, that mispeaks. 6 00:00:28,320 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 2: The best, relentless refusing to give up. 7 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn very bless. 8 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 2: The welds for everyone. Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast 9 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 2: from the Action Network. In Fantasy Abs, I'm your host, 10 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:45,880 Speaker 2: Chris Raybond. This is your NFL Week six player projections episode. 11 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:48,559 Speaker 2: As always, I'm joined by one of the most accurate 12 00:00:48,640 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 2: rankers and projectors in the game, the odds maker, Sean Kerner. Sean, 13 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 2: what's going on? 14 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:56,880 Speaker 1: I'm doing a lot better than Robert sla this morning. 15 00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 1: Not gonna lie. Did you hear he had to be 16 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:02,040 Speaker 1: escorted out? I guess. I guess it took him by 17 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 1: surprise and he didn't react. Wow too kindly. But what 18 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 1: are your thoughts on the firing? Do you think it 19 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:10,240 Speaker 1: was too soon or like too late? 20 00:01:10,720 --> 00:01:14,479 Speaker 2: What do you think it's funny? Because I mean they 21 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:18,440 Speaker 2: kept Hackett as far as I know, which solid defense 22 00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:20,679 Speaker 2: was fine. I know I don't think he was the 23 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 2: best coach necessarily for Rogers. But at the same time, 24 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:28,600 Speaker 2: it's just odd because his defenses were a lot better 25 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:32,759 Speaker 2: than the offenses, and you know, you still got Hacket 26 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 2: in the building, so I'm not surprised by it, but 27 00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:37,640 Speaker 2: it is a little little head scratching. 28 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:42,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, you know, Hackett's Rogers boy. So remember that 29 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 1: Caleb Presley video. I sent you the interview with Rogers 30 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 1: and they were like, if you could fire your head coach, 31 00:01:47,240 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 1: would you, And he's like, yeah, well. 32 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:54,600 Speaker 2: Oh you know, oh Man, yeah, yeah, that's I mean, 33 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 2: it's I mean, they just lost to potentially the best 34 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 2: team in league right now, so it's curious timing, to 35 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 2: say the least. He's curious. But we'll get into our 36 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 2: player projections for each of the positions. We'll talk quarterback 37 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 2: to start off, but before we do, just want to 38 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 2: quickly remind everyone all of our fantasy football content available 39 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 2: right now over on Fantasy labs dot com. You can 40 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:23,079 Speaker 2: find all of our award winning rankings, projections, tools, and 41 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:27,360 Speaker 2: more Fantasy labs dot com. All right, we're gonna go 42 00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 2: top five of these position players are high low on 43 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:31,959 Speaker 2: and with throw out a prop So let's start quarterback. 44 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:35,680 Speaker 2: Who you're top five at quarterback for week six? 45 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 1: Right? I got Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, Jaden Daniels. Then 46 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: it's Joe Burrow and Jordan Love. 47 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 2: I got Lamar, Jaden Daniels, Hurts, Joe Burrow, and Dat Prescott. 48 00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 2: Number five? 49 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 1: Oh nice? Yeah? How far down do you have Josh 50 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:56,400 Speaker 1: Allen assuming he dies, like, I don't know if he 51 00:02:56,440 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 1: got a concussion or not. But how far is Josh Allen? 52 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:03,640 Speaker 2: He's he is eight eight? So no, okay, Yeah, I 53 00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 2: mean don't love the matchup, but also yeah, I don't 54 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:10,280 Speaker 2: know what the health status is. And also Shakir, I 55 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:16,160 Speaker 2: think that's important too, because yeah, look lost, who are 56 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:17,360 Speaker 2: you high on at quarterback this week? 57 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 1: I'm high on Kate Williams at home against the Jaguars. 58 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 1: I mentioned him on the waiver Pod. He's my top 59 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:27,520 Speaker 1: streaming option or rest of season option if he's available 60 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:29,959 Speaker 1: in your league. But he's just getting better and better 61 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:34,840 Speaker 1: every week, looking more comfortable. You know, I was thinking 62 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:37,720 Speaker 1: he was due for some positive regression on these downfield throws, 63 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:40,840 Speaker 1: that that really was his strength in college, and he 64 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:43,600 Speaker 1: sure enough, he connected on two of three passes downfield 65 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 1: this week, so that was encouraging the see and you know, 66 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 1: I think he and Allen being healthy is key, Like 67 00:03:49,720 --> 00:03:51,800 Speaker 1: that's going to be a great security blanket for him 68 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 1: going forward. And even Roma Doonsay, I think was playing 69 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:58,160 Speaker 1: at less than one hundred percent like weeks one through three, 70 00:03:58,320 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 1: so you know, him just health he's gonna help. And 71 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 1: then Caleb Williams, you know, he he has sneaky rushing upside. 72 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 1: He just had his second game with at least thirty 73 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:10,880 Speaker 1: plus rushing yards, So I think it's all coming together 74 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:13,920 Speaker 1: for Caleb. Clearly not even close to being as good 75 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:16,400 Speaker 1: as Jane Daniels in terms of fantasy, but I think 76 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 1: rest of season Caleb could be you know, like a 77 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 1: low end QB one with some spiked weeks. So it's 78 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 1: just been encouraging, encouraging to see him improved weekend week out, 79 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:28,920 Speaker 1: and he's yet to even come close to his ceiling. 80 00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 1: So I think now's the time to kind of buy 81 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:31,919 Speaker 1: in on Caleb. 82 00:04:32,720 --> 00:04:36,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, and this matchup could not begetter against the Jags. 83 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 2: I mean they I think every quarterback has gone for 84 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 2: over three hundred against him or something. Let's see, what 85 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:42,840 Speaker 2: is it? 86 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 1: They ranked dead last and DV away against the past. 87 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, three of the five have gone over. 88 00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:58,040 Speaker 1: But QV the struggle is DeShawn go figure. 89 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:03,479 Speaker 2: For me, it is Daniel Jones. He is the QB 90 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:06,280 Speaker 2: seventeen in ECR. I have him as a top twelve 91 00:05:06,360 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 2: QB this week going up against Cincinnati, another defense it's 92 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:12,560 Speaker 2: just really struggling, just you know, they're kind of lacking 93 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:16,559 Speaker 2: personnel and talent on that defense. So you know, Daniel 94 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:18,600 Speaker 2: Jones should get my league neighbors back this week. Played 95 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:21,880 Speaker 2: really well against Seattle in Seattle last week. You know, 96 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:25,320 Speaker 2: he always has had that connection with Slayton Wandero Robinson's 97 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:28,560 Speaker 2: catching a lot of balls. Even Io Johnson popped for 98 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:31,000 Speaker 2: some catches last week, So I think it's in. It's 99 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:33,600 Speaker 2: a pretty good situation for Daniel Jones and what could 100 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 2: be a high scoring game against the Bengals. So like 101 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:39,880 Speaker 2: him this week is a startuble option. Who are you 102 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:40,839 Speaker 2: low on at quarterback? 103 00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:44,040 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go c J. Stroud at New England. To 104 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 1: be clear, he's just simply lower than he would normally 105 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:50,240 Speaker 1: be in my ranks. Again, he's still, you know, a 106 00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 1: low end QB one and I must start just as 107 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:57,600 Speaker 1: a lower floor ceiling combo than than normal. This week, 108 00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: he's gonna be on the road outdoors, so you know, 109 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 1: we typically see a dip in his production, of course 110 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 1: down from elite playing at home indoors, but still like 111 00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:11,679 Speaker 1: a slight dip in production. Is gonna be without likely 112 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:15,320 Speaker 1: without his top receiver and Nico Collins. Granted, he still 113 00:06:15,360 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 1: has Digs and Tank Dell, so he should be fine. 114 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:21,920 Speaker 1: But you know, the Texans defense has been much better 115 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 1: this year. They rank third in DVA. Sounds like Drake 116 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 1: May is gonna get the start, but either way, I 117 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:30,120 Speaker 1: think it's just going to be tough for the Patriots 118 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:33,160 Speaker 1: to put up points this week. So we could see 119 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:36,159 Speaker 1: just a more run heavy game plan and game script 120 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:38,840 Speaker 1: from the Texans here, which is going to hurt Stroud 121 00:06:38,839 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 1: and especially if they get you know, Joe Mixon Damian 122 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 1: Pierce back this week. Sometimes slow like Celine on the 123 00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 1: run a little bit too much in my opinion, and 124 00:06:47,440 --> 00:06:49,720 Speaker 1: this could be one of those spots. So he opens 125 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:52,000 Speaker 1: the week as my QB twelve. You're still starting him 126 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:54,159 Speaker 1: if you have him, but I would just lower expectations 127 00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 1: at TAD this week. 128 00:06:55,839 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, it could be a lower scoring type of game 129 00:06:58,720 --> 00:07:02,760 Speaker 2: against the Patriots. For me, it's Trevor Lawrence. I know 130 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:04,880 Speaker 2: we were both high on them last week, but I 131 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 2: wouldn't read too much into that performance. The Coats, just 132 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:11,600 Speaker 2: like the Jags, just don't really have a good pass defense, 133 00:07:11,640 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 2: one of the worst in the league. But now you're 134 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:17,200 Speaker 2: going up against the Chicago Bears, and Chicago's allowing an 135 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:19,560 Speaker 2: average of one hundred and ninety four passing yards per game, 136 00:07:19,920 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 2: just two touchdowns six picks against them on the year, 137 00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 2: So this is a defense that's not really you know, 138 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 2: giving up much of anything to opposing quarterbacks. So I 139 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:34,840 Speaker 2: think you want to weigh off Trevor Lawrence this week. 140 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 2: You know, last week was kind of the week to 141 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:38,480 Speaker 2: start him. The e always does well against the Colts 142 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 2: at home, but this Bears defense nothing to play with, 143 00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 2: all right, prop that is me this week. 144 00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 1: Let's good. Last week I offered up fields versus Mahomes 145 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:56,120 Speaker 1: straight up in fields beat him by about a point 146 00:07:56,120 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 1: and a half, so he definitely won that. 147 00:07:59,440 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 2: My homes did get some yardage thanks to Juju. 148 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:06,680 Speaker 1: Yeah if yeah, if Juju caught that he dropped that touchdown. 149 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 1: He had that pitch to Kelsey where Kelsey got like 150 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 1: blown up. If either one of those kind of got 151 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:14,480 Speaker 1: an end zone, then he would have cleared it. But 152 00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 1: Fields had kind of a down game too, and he's 153 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:18,280 Speaker 1: still cleared the homes. 154 00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 2: Let's go with Cava Williams passing yards against Jacksonville soon. 155 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 1: Oh love it. 156 00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:27,600 Speaker 2: I'm gonna set the line at too forty nine and 157 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 2: a half. 158 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 1: Oh man, yeah, I had it like two forty seven ish. 159 00:08:33,880 --> 00:08:37,560 Speaker 1: I well, can the Jaguars keep up with them enough 160 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 1: to force him a throw? Yeah? Yeah, let's just go over. 161 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:42,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, try smart. 162 00:08:44,000 --> 00:08:45,840 Speaker 1: That's a good line though. I bet his prop will 163 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:50,440 Speaker 1: be probably like two fifty ish. But yeah, I definitely 164 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 1: want as much Caleb Stock this week. So give me 165 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:54,280 Speaker 1: the over all. 166 00:08:54,240 --> 00:08:56,079 Speaker 2: Right running back top five for week six. 167 00:08:56,920 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 1: I got King Henry number one, then say On Barkley, 168 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 1: Jordan Mason, Alvin Kamara, and Bjeon Robinson. 169 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 2: Yep, samn Zach's five from me? Oh really Yeah, Well. 170 00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:14,200 Speaker 1: I guess the spicy one that just missed the cut 171 00:09:14,360 --> 00:09:18,120 Speaker 1: is Tony Pollard is my running back six. They're at 172 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 1: home against the Colts this week, so it's a great 173 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:24,440 Speaker 1: matchup for Pollard. The Colts defense has allowed three different 174 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: backs to clear one hundred rushing yards. You know, they're 175 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:31,840 Speaker 1: below average defense, but more importantly, this offense plays at 176 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:34,760 Speaker 1: a fast pace. It's very aggressive, which is you know, 177 00:09:34,800 --> 00:09:37,080 Speaker 1: part of the reason they've allowed the most plays per game, 178 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 1: so that that gives you know, opposing players, you know, 179 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:45,040 Speaker 1: additional boost. And Pollard, you know, he looked great in 180 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:49,640 Speaker 1: that Thursday, in that game before their By had his 181 00:09:50,080 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 1: you know, season best game on the ground, twenty two carries, 182 00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:57,040 Speaker 1: eighty eight yards and a touchdown against the Dolphins. You know, 183 00:09:57,040 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 1: whether it's Will Levis or Mason rudolphinder center, I would 184 00:09:59,880 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 1: have agen the Titans just want to lean on the 185 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:04,959 Speaker 1: run as much as possible here, and that's that's Pollard, 186 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 1: you know, with Tajy Spears clearly mixing in. But I 187 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:13,120 Speaker 1: just love Pollard's upside this week, just in terms of volume, touchdown, 188 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 1: upside efficiency. So he's my running back six this week. 189 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:22,360 Speaker 1: Recording my initial raw projections. The other guy's Chase Brown 190 00:10:23,480 --> 00:10:27,160 Speaker 1: at the Giants. You know, he's he's tricky to project 191 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:28,800 Speaker 1: right now because we don't know if Zach Moss is 192 00:10:28,800 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 1: gonna play or not. But he just continues to out 193 00:10:31,360 --> 00:10:35,360 Speaker 1: play Moss. So you know, even if Moss is in 194 00:10:35,400 --> 00:10:38,200 Speaker 1: the lineup this week, we could see Brown operate, you know, 195 00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 1: as the lead back this week, you know, and there 196 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:44,560 Speaker 1: he's typically not in there on passing downs. You know, 197 00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:47,160 Speaker 1: they don't really trust him as a pass blocker. So 198 00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:49,080 Speaker 1: this is a game where they could have a you know, 199 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:50,920 Speaker 1: a leading game script there three and a half point 200 00:10:50,960 --> 00:10:55,480 Speaker 1: favorites against the Giants, who have allowed the fifth most 201 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 1: explosive runs on the season. So I think this is 202 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:00,640 Speaker 1: a great spot for Chase Brown to bring, you know, 203 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 1: a long run or two, and he's probably gonna be 204 00:11:03,679 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 1: a you know, a low end RB two either way. 205 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 1: But if Zach Moss is out, that just you know, 206 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:11,600 Speaker 1: raises his floor and ceiling even more in this spot. 207 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, I thought Moss was definitely gonna be out just 208 00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 2: when the injury occurred, and looking at the way he 209 00:11:17,280 --> 00:11:20,160 Speaker 2: was rising again. So the fact that he's even questionable 210 00:11:20,320 --> 00:11:23,040 Speaker 2: is great for him. These are long drafts have wrapped up, 211 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 2: but real players know winning your fantasy league happens after 212 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 2: your draft through waiver pickups and setting lineups. Sean and 213 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 2: my weekly ranks are available exclusively on Fantasy labs dot com. 214 00:11:35,559 --> 00:11:38,880 Speaker 2: Just use promo code flex forty. That's fl ex for 215 00:11:39,160 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 2: zero to get forty dollars off. Again, that's f l 216 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 2: e X for zero. And if you subscribe today, our 217 00:11:47,280 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 2: twenty twenty five preseason Fantasy Draft Kit will be included 218 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:55,160 Speaker 2: in your subscription. You don't want to miss that, so 219 00:11:55,280 --> 00:11:58,440 Speaker 2: check it out at Fantasy Labs dot com and use 220 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 2: flex for Zerzo as the promo code for a forty 221 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 2: dollar discount. Just want to shout out our Action Network colleague, 222 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:11,240 Speaker 2: Sean Zeriro, another great year betting MLB, finishing the regular 223 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 2: season up more than twenty five units. And with Action 224 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:17,440 Speaker 2: Pro you can get instant notifications every time z Row 225 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:20,240 Speaker 2: or any of our Action experts makes a pick in 226 00:12:20,400 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 2: the Action Network app. This is the Action Network dot 227 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:27,079 Speaker 2: Com Slash Pro and he's promo code October oct o 228 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 2: b e R for fifteen percent off and Action Pro 229 00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:33,480 Speaker 2: subscription that's fifteen percent off and Action Network dot Com 230 00:12:33,520 --> 00:12:37,000 Speaker 2: Slash Pro with the promo code October. And be sure 231 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:40,640 Speaker 2: to check Sean out every week talking MLB playoffs on 232 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:45,880 Speaker 2: the Payoff Pitch podcast. All right for me, it is 233 00:12:47,000 --> 00:12:51,280 Speaker 2: Tank Bigsby. You know he like you mentioned, he took 234 00:12:51,679 --> 00:12:54,680 Speaker 2: over as that number one for ETN. Now ETN he 235 00:12:54,720 --> 00:12:57,199 Speaker 2: did have a shoulder issue, but I don't know how 236 00:12:57,240 --> 00:12:59,280 Speaker 2: you can give anything less than like a fifty to 237 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:01,920 Speaker 2: fifty split at the point. I mean, Bigsby had thirteen 238 00:13:01,960 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 2: for one oh one and two touchdowns, and you know 239 00:13:04,640 --> 00:13:08,440 Speaker 2: Chicago this matchup. It's tough for Lawrence in the past game, 240 00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:13,400 Speaker 2: but it's a run funnel defense because they are number 241 00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:17,960 Speaker 2: two in DVA against the past thirtieth against the runs. 242 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:22,680 Speaker 2: You usually don't see splits that stark. So I do 243 00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:25,840 Speaker 2: think Jacksonville, you know, even if Etm is healthy, they 244 00:13:25,880 --> 00:13:27,840 Speaker 2: probably get both of these guys involved and try to 245 00:13:27,840 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 2: go with a run heavier game plan this week knowing 246 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:32,720 Speaker 2: that you know, Trevor Lawrence is not going to have 247 00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:35,880 Speaker 2: the same kind of success throwing the football. So why 248 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:39,320 Speaker 2: tank Bigsby coming off that thirteen carry, one hundred one 249 00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:42,560 Speaker 2: yard two touchdown game and the game before you only 250 00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:45,040 Speaker 2: had seven carries, still got ninety rushing yards. So he's 251 00:13:45,120 --> 00:13:47,920 Speaker 2: just been popping for exposive plays. I don't I think 252 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:49,880 Speaker 2: you want to get him in your lineups right now. 253 00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:53,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, Like the Bears run defense was really good last year. 254 00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:57,160 Speaker 1: I'm trying to figure out, like why they're struggling so bad. 255 00:13:57,920 --> 00:14:01,360 Speaker 1: You know, they still have TJ. Edwards. Trema Edmonds is 256 00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:04,600 Speaker 1: pretty good linebacker. I just kind of scratched my head 257 00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:07,040 Speaker 1: trying to figure out, like what the drop off is 258 00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:10,200 Speaker 1: this year for It's just kind of just random noise. Yeah. 259 00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:12,600 Speaker 2: I mean sometimes some teams they don't care as much 260 00:14:12,640 --> 00:14:14,120 Speaker 2: if you run on them, you know what I mean, 261 00:14:14,480 --> 00:14:18,040 Speaker 2: Like maybe I gotta go watch to see. But sometimes 262 00:14:18,040 --> 00:14:19,800 Speaker 2: you get those teams that just say, hey, you can 263 00:14:19,840 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 2: run on us. We're just gonna focus on stepping the past. 264 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:28,360 Speaker 1: Right who you lo on Jerome Ford? He's my RB 265 00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:30,600 Speaker 1: twenty seven. But there's just a lot of concern here 266 00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:34,440 Speaker 1: because Ford himself has been playing great. But it's it's 267 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:37,800 Speaker 1: just been a headache trying to predict how this Crown's backfield. Yeah, 268 00:14:37,840 --> 00:14:40,120 Speaker 1: it's going to operate week to week, you know, Dante Foreman, 269 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: We'll mix it heavily one week and then just non 270 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:46,240 Speaker 1: existent the next, and it just really can't figure it out. 271 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:49,840 Speaker 1: And now Pierre Strong's back, which you know, he mixes 272 00:14:49,880 --> 00:14:52,840 Speaker 1: in enough to matter, you know, in a time show 273 00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:56,040 Speaker 1: like this. But you know, we could see potentially Nick 274 00:14:56,120 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 1: Chubb and or Nahim Hines returning as soon as this week. 275 00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 1: So it's just going to become even more of a headache. 276 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:04,400 Speaker 1: I still think, you know, Ford's going to be the 277 00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:08,000 Speaker 1: lead back for at least the next few weeks, potentially 278 00:15:08,040 --> 00:15:11,600 Speaker 1: longer depending on you know, how healthy Chubb is, but 279 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:13,920 Speaker 1: his floors is going to get lower and lower each week, 280 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:17,040 Speaker 1: potentially as soon as this week. And this is probably 281 00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 1: a good matchup for him against the Eagles. But I 282 00:15:20,040 --> 00:15:22,440 Speaker 1: think the time to maybe sell high is if he 283 00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 1: has a good game this week or now, just because 284 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:29,760 Speaker 1: you know, he's losing his grip on you know, RB 285 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:33,120 Speaker 1: three flex status and it's probably only going to get 286 00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 1: worse from here. So I'm low on him. And you know, 287 00:15:36,400 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 1: Brian Robinson Junior, he's my RB twenty three. You're probably 288 00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:43,920 Speaker 1: still starting him. But this is a tough spot at Baltimore. 289 00:15:44,760 --> 00:15:47,000 Speaker 1: You know, they're more of a pass funnel defense right now. 290 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 1: They ranked sixteenth in DBO against the past third against 291 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:54,120 Speaker 1: the run. They finally allowed their first explosive run last 292 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:57,080 Speaker 1: week to running back to Chase Brown of all people. 293 00:15:57,120 --> 00:16:00,160 Speaker 1: But they're a tough spot. So this could be a 294 00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 1: rare trailing game script for the Commanders as six and 295 00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:06,240 Speaker 1: a half point underdogs, So you know, it's gonna be 296 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:09,200 Speaker 1: tougher for Robinson to find value unless unless he, you know, 297 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:11,840 Speaker 1: gets a goal line carry here. And you know, Austin 298 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:14,880 Speaker 1: Eckler's back and Jeremy McNichols has looked pretty solid these 299 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:17,480 Speaker 1: past couple of weeks, so he might carve you know, 300 00:16:17,800 --> 00:16:20,200 Speaker 1: a few touches every week that could come at the 301 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:23,760 Speaker 1: expense of Brian Robinson Jr. So again, he's a low 302 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:27,160 Speaker 1: end RB two this week. Next week he'll probably push 303 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:30,000 Speaker 1: RB one status against the Panthers. But just of all weeks, 304 00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:32,240 Speaker 1: I think this is a spot to maybe you know, 305 00:16:32,640 --> 00:16:35,360 Speaker 1: lower your expectations a bit for Brian Robinson Jr. 306 00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:37,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, and yeah, it's could be more of an equa 307 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:40,280 Speaker 2: week if they you know, get in that kind of game. Script. 308 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:43,600 Speaker 2: Echo has been looking good too. Yeah, I'm all on 309 00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 2: Roshawn Johnson. He's the ECR RB thirty. I don't think 310 00:16:47,320 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 2: this is a good week for him. He has been 311 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:52,520 Speaker 2: mixing in more and it looks like he took over 312 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:55,880 Speaker 2: for Khalil Herbert in that RB two row and maybe 313 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:58,560 Speaker 2: getting some goal on looks. But he just really hasn't 314 00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:02,440 Speaker 2: been productive, you know, three straight weeks where he's you know, 315 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:05,560 Speaker 2: under four yards of carry last week ten for twenty five. 316 00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:08,359 Speaker 2: Did get the two touchdowns, but you know, if the 317 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:12,280 Speaker 2: touchdowns aren't there, it's gonna be just ugly. So I 318 00:17:12,320 --> 00:17:16,480 Speaker 2: think that Forshawn Johnson going up against Jacksonville, which tends 319 00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:19,040 Speaker 2: to be, you know, another one of these kind of 320 00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:22,720 Speaker 2: pass funnel defenses. They either dead last against the pass 321 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:26,960 Speaker 2: and eleventh against the run. You're really banking on a 322 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:30,280 Speaker 2: touchdown and if not, if you don't get one, probably 323 00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:34,359 Speaker 2: looking at twenty twenty thirty yards total for Johnson. So 324 00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:36,280 Speaker 2: I just think that shouldn't be a top thirty guy. 325 00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:39,640 Speaker 2: It's more of a desperation, you know, like RB four 326 00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:42,480 Speaker 2: type of situation. But I don't think he should be 327 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:45,160 Speaker 2: a top thirty play this week. All right, running back 328 00:17:45,320 --> 00:17:46,160 Speaker 2: prop what you got? 329 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:50,560 Speaker 1: This is a fun one. So which Lions running back 330 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:54,440 Speaker 1: will have more half PPR points? I have him literally 331 00:17:54,600 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 1: the same projection right now, Dave Montgomery or Jamiir Gibbs. 332 00:17:58,520 --> 00:18:01,879 Speaker 2: Oh, I have I have Gibbs just because he's still 333 00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:04,280 Speaker 2: still expecting. I know, I don't think he had a 334 00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 2: catch ath week? Did he? 335 00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:09,320 Speaker 1: He hasn't touch and yeh no, he had zero catches 336 00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 1: for some yards yeah, yeah, I stand correct. He has 337 00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:15,680 Speaker 1: zero catches in two games. He had twenty receiving yards 338 00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:18,920 Speaker 1: on a lateral but kind of weird that, like Gibbs 339 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,480 Speaker 1: has zero targets the past two weeks. Kind of weird. 340 00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:26,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna bet on that reversing. And yeah, Dallas's 341 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,440 Speaker 2: run defense has looked a little bit better, so yeah, 342 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:32,200 Speaker 2: I mean Montgomery has been looking great too, so it's 343 00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:34,720 Speaker 2: tough to go stuff to go against him, But yeah, 344 00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:38,440 Speaker 2: I'm going to bet on Gibbs's receiving usage bouncing back, 345 00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:40,600 Speaker 2: so I'll go, I'll go Gibbs there. But yeah, just. 346 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:43,640 Speaker 1: Whichever backs get two touchdowns instead of one, right. 347 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, right, exactly, all right. Top five at wide receiver 348 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:49,040 Speaker 2: for week six he got. 349 00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:53,040 Speaker 1: All Right, I got City Lamb, Jamar Chase, Amon Ross, 350 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:56,720 Speaker 1: Saint Brown, Jaden Reid, and Lake Neighbors. 351 00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:01,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, I got Lamb, Chase Brown, Rossick Brown Neighbors, and 352 00:19:01,840 --> 00:19:06,159 Speaker 2: Stefan Diggs. Oh nice, Yeah, because he used to be 353 00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:06,960 Speaker 2: a staple. 354 00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:07,440 Speaker 1: In my top five. 355 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:12,080 Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, it's been a minute. Yeah, I'm high. 356 00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:15,959 Speaker 1: On Josh downs at the Titans. And again, he's really 357 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,760 Speaker 1: tricky to project right now because it seems like a 358 00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:21,720 Speaker 1: toss up whether it's going to be Anthony Richardson or 359 00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:24,600 Speaker 1: Joe Flacco inner center. I mean, I'm curious to hear 360 00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:26,879 Speaker 1: what you have, but I have like a like thirty 361 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:30,560 Speaker 1: forty yard yeah gap between the two in terms of 362 00:19:30,640 --> 00:19:33,840 Speaker 1: passing yards, and you know, downs would clearly be the 363 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:37,399 Speaker 1: biggest winner if Flacco starts. So right now, I'm kind 364 00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:39,199 Speaker 1: of splitting it down the middle, and I still have 365 00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:42,400 Speaker 1: downs around wide receiver twenty five. So that just goes 366 00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:45,480 Speaker 1: to show how much upside he has if Flacco is 367 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:48,280 Speaker 1: still in there. But he's just been a target machine 368 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:50,760 Speaker 1: since he returned in Week three. He's seen a target 369 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:54,600 Speaker 1: rate of thirty percent or more in all three games. 370 00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:58,240 Speaker 1: So he's just an excellent, excellent, you know, high floor 371 00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:02,359 Speaker 1: PPR guy right now. Again, his final rank will depend 372 00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:05,479 Speaker 1: who's under center, but in all likelihood he'll be at 373 00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:09,000 Speaker 1: least a wide receiver three flex play. The other guy 374 00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:12,480 Speaker 1: I wanted to touch on is Cortland Sutton at home against 375 00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:15,080 Speaker 1: the Chargers. You know, coming off a down game, two 376 00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:17,639 Speaker 1: catches for three to two yards, This is you know, 377 00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:21,119 Speaker 1: a tough matchup here against the Chargers, but this is 378 00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:22,919 Speaker 1: a game where the Broncos will probably be forced to 379 00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:25,280 Speaker 1: throw a bit more. They've been involved in two blowout 380 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:27,959 Speaker 1: wins the past three weeks, and then they had that 381 00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:31,520 Speaker 1: you know, sixty yard passing game against the Jets, so 382 00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:33,560 Speaker 1: it's been kind of a, you know, a weird stretch 383 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:37,760 Speaker 1: for the Broncos passing attack. And last week they benched 384 00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:42,040 Speaker 1: Greg Dolcic and Lucas Kroll operated as a lead passing 385 00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:46,080 Speaker 1: like they just abandoned the tight end position. So what 386 00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:48,440 Speaker 1: it did in my model is just there's more targets 387 00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:53,240 Speaker 1: to go to wide receivers, including Corland Sutton, So I 388 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:55,240 Speaker 1: think he gets a bit of a boost with them 389 00:20:55,280 --> 00:21:00,320 Speaker 1: just abandoning Greg Dolcic, and you know, Sudden him self 390 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,480 Speaker 1: is due for some positive catch regression. He has a 391 00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:07,920 Speaker 1: minus sixteen percent catch rate over expected. You know, clearly 392 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:09,800 Speaker 1: we can blame a lot of that on a rookie 393 00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:13,320 Speaker 1: quarterback like bo Next, but he's not gonna have a 394 00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:16,320 Speaker 1: forty two percent catch rate going forward. So I think 395 00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:19,480 Speaker 1: he's an interesting Bilo And he's my wide receiver thirty five, 396 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:22,080 Speaker 1: so he is kind of on that sit start cusp. 397 00:21:22,760 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 1: But I think we will see him start to bounce 398 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:25,639 Speaker 1: back this week. 399 00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:28,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, it was. It's I mean, they haven't really needed 400 00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:31,840 Speaker 2: him this this these last two weeks, which is crazy, 401 00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:35,800 Speaker 2: but good. Good for them. Sean Payton's got that team 402 00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:40,880 Speaker 2: playing well, especially on defense. I am high on Tank Dell. 403 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 2: He is the ECR wide receiver fifty. I think that's 404 00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:46,280 Speaker 2: got to go up with Nico Collins out. He's had 405 00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:49,240 Speaker 2: a disappointing year. I think he get like thirty eight yard, Yeah, 406 00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:52,040 Speaker 2: thirty eight yards. Last week you only had he had 407 00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:55,159 Speaker 2: negative three yards in the game he got hurt, So 408 00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,560 Speaker 2: it's just been oh no, not I don't even think 409 00:21:57,560 --> 00:21:59,400 Speaker 2: he got hurt. I think it was just the game 410 00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:04,199 Speaker 2: against the Bears. So yeah, it's it's been just a 411 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,240 Speaker 2: struggle for him. But he's just way too talented for 412 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:09,880 Speaker 2: to continue playing this poor wee. So I think you're 413 00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:13,040 Speaker 2: gonna see, especially with you know, now, he's gonna be 414 00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:17,200 Speaker 2: the number two receiver in this spot. I think he's 415 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:21,400 Speaker 2: gonna see a pretty big bump in usage. So yeah, 416 00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:24,159 Speaker 2: I think he should still be a top thirty six receiver. 417 00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:27,200 Speaker 2: He's ECR number fifty right now. I think that's way 418 00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 2: too low. All right, who you loan at oie receiver? 419 00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:33,560 Speaker 1: I'm low on Christian Kirk at the Bears. You know, 420 00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:36,320 Speaker 1: he saw his routes run rate dip below seventy percent. 421 00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:42,000 Speaker 1: You know, Dave Davis and Brian Thomas Junior the outside receivers, 422 00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:45,440 Speaker 1: so when they went to more too tight end personnel 423 00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:49,320 Speaker 1: than usual this week, you know, Kirk was a loser 424 00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:53,200 Speaker 1: because of that. So this is a tough spot against 425 00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:54,960 Speaker 1: the Bears. As you mentioned, that's why you're low on 426 00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:59,199 Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. So you know he got he ended up 427 00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:01,720 Speaker 1: getting four catches in eighty eight yards because you know 428 00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:03,680 Speaker 1: he's facing the Colts. But this is a tougher spot 429 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: this week. Plus you know, I think Evan Ingram will 430 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:09,720 Speaker 1: return this week. Who the hell knows at this point, 431 00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:12,800 Speaker 1: but that's going to eat into his target share and potentially, 432 00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:14,800 Speaker 1: you know they might use more two tight end sets 433 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:19,520 Speaker 1: with you know, Brandon Strange playing so well. So either way, 434 00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:24,000 Speaker 1: Kirk's just outside my wide receiver flex range at wide 435 00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:26,520 Speaker 1: receiver forty three to open the week. So I look for, 436 00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:29,440 Speaker 1: you know, a backup plan instead of Kirk this week. 437 00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:34,119 Speaker 1: And the other guy is Chris o'lave. Obviously, you know 438 00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:36,639 Speaker 1: he's gonna get a massive downgrade if Derek Carr is 439 00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:38,399 Speaker 1: out this week, which it looks like that's going to 440 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:42,399 Speaker 1: be the case with Jake Hayn under center, and the 441 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,200 Speaker 1: Saints have already been pretty run heavy this season. They're 442 00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:49,440 Speaker 1: minus eight percent passway over expected, so would imagine they're 443 00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:52,480 Speaker 1: going to be even more run heavy with Hater under center. 444 00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:57,080 Speaker 1: Also potentially getting Tasoon Hill back this week. Who knows, 445 00:23:57,119 --> 00:24:00,520 Speaker 1: But I just think Olave is gonna be tough to 446 00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:03,600 Speaker 1: trust in lineups. He's my wide receiver twenty eight. You know, 447 00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:06,520 Speaker 1: maybe he does catch a deep bult or two here, 448 00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:09,119 Speaker 1: but he's gonna be tough to trust this week if 449 00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:10,240 Speaker 1: Hater's under center. 450 00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:14,879 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's I mean, it's just he's another guy just 451 00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:16,639 Speaker 2: so hard to predict because but I don't know if 452 00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:19,280 Speaker 2: it's like a him and car thing or what. But yeah, 453 00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:21,679 Speaker 2: that was that was really odd. Yeah week, I know, 454 00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:23,560 Speaker 2: I mean, Kansas City, you know, they they lock up 455 00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,600 Speaker 2: number one receivers and they Spegnoa's always been good at 456 00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:29,960 Speaker 2: kind of limiting targets, but still it's just it's kind 457 00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:31,960 Speaker 2: of been like this throughout that tenure where it's like 458 00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:35,159 Speaker 2: Lave is just having too many games where he just disappears. 459 00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 1: Where do you have George Pickens rank. 460 00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:40,200 Speaker 2: In the low twenties. 461 00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:42,520 Speaker 1: That I don't. Yeah, it's how do you feel about it? 462 00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:44,680 Speaker 2: I don't feel great because he got benched or I 463 00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:45,960 Speaker 2: don't know what it was, but. 464 00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:49,800 Speaker 1: He wasn't running his routes. Yeah, he obviously got benched. 465 00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:52,280 Speaker 1: And I don't know if that means he's gonna have 466 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:55,479 Speaker 1: a career game this week or he's gonna or if 467 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:58,400 Speaker 1: they're gonna make Roman Wilson active and try to prove 468 00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:01,400 Speaker 1: a point. But like it's kind of a weird situation. 469 00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:06,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, yeah, I don't know. I'm waiting to 470 00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:11,000 Speaker 2: hear more on that. Because Tomlin was like, it's load management. 471 00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:17,600 Speaker 2: That's that's what he said. As the I'm like what wow. Yeah, 472 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:19,160 Speaker 2: So you know Tom was just tongue. 473 00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 1: In cheek, like right, he's whisper. I thought you might 474 00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:25,320 Speaker 1: have some insights for me, but you're, hey, yeah, I 475 00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:25,600 Speaker 1: did it. 476 00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,640 Speaker 2: I'd laid off in Pittsford minus two and a half 477 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:30,760 Speaker 2: like everyone else and just took the under which worked out. 478 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:35,960 Speaker 2: But I don't, I don't. There's obviously an issue there. Yeah, 479 00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:40,520 Speaker 2: he wasn't an effort, he was so but that's the thing, 480 00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:42,600 Speaker 2: like a lot of times. The next week after that, 481 00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 2: these guys bounced back. So yep, it's hard to like 482 00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:49,080 Speaker 2: be super well on him. I am low on Brian 483 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:52,600 Speaker 2: Thomas Junior, which I hate to be such a great game, 484 00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:55,399 Speaker 2: but he's still running around about just under eighty percent 485 00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,600 Speaker 2: of the dropback, so he's not getting that full time workloade. 486 00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:02,520 Speaker 2: And I mentioned Chicago really bad against the run, really 487 00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:05,600 Speaker 2: good against the past. They're number two in DVA, so 488 00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:08,879 Speaker 2: I think it's another dangerous situation to kind of chase him. 489 00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:11,600 Speaker 2: So he's ECR wide receiver twenty five. He's my thirty three. 490 00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:13,680 Speaker 2: So I just think he's more of a clear wide 491 00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:15,960 Speaker 2: receiver three this week just because of the snap counts 492 00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,840 Speaker 2: of the matchup, uh than he was last week. When 493 00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:20,679 Speaker 2: you know, I think he ended up being like my 494 00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:23,560 Speaker 2: wide receiver twenty two or something or twenty just because 495 00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:26,080 Speaker 2: of how good that matchup was. So yeah, I think 496 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:29,439 Speaker 2: Thomas Kirk that this whole Jags offense needs to be 497 00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:31,520 Speaker 2: downgraded for this matchup. 498 00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:35,080 Speaker 1: It's a bold call. But as the president of the 499 00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:37,200 Speaker 1: Brian Thomas and Your fan club, he is my wide 500 00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:40,240 Speaker 1: receiver thirty one this week, so yeah, compared to other 501 00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:41,919 Speaker 1: weeks he's lower than normal. 502 00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:44,680 Speaker 2: Yep, all right, you got me on the Jordan Whittington 503 00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:47,560 Speaker 2: prop last week got like seven. 504 00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:50,080 Speaker 1: The biggest prop coin at four and a half. 505 00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, let's go with George Pickens that that's gonna be 506 00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:58,200 Speaker 2: the toughest against the Raiders. So great, decent matchup. 507 00:26:59,040 --> 00:27:01,440 Speaker 1: Imagine they trade for DeVante this week. 508 00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:05,320 Speaker 2: I know, right, I'm gonna go with forty nine and 509 00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:07,320 Speaker 2: a half receiving yards George Pickens. 510 00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:12,880 Speaker 1: Who yeah, I mean that sounds about right. Actually either wait, 511 00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:15,600 Speaker 1: like he clearly got benched, he was clearly not running 512 00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 1: his routes. So you know that he could miss more 513 00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:22,960 Speaker 1: playing time. He could bounce back with an amazing game. 514 00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:25,720 Speaker 1: Try and think of a reason to break the tie here, 515 00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:30,240 Speaker 1: Jalen warns out that might bump him up a little bit. Man, 516 00:27:31,119 --> 00:27:35,640 Speaker 1: I'll go over here indoors against the Raiders. I'll invest 517 00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:38,000 Speaker 1: yeah in picking ceiling Gary. 518 00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:41,240 Speaker 2: He should yeah, he should clear this yeah easily. All right, 519 00:27:41,280 --> 00:27:43,600 Speaker 2: tight end, we got top five. 520 00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:46,480 Speaker 1: Let's see it's a mystery. All right, Wow, this is 521 00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:51,520 Speaker 1: gonna be fun. George Kittle number one, Jake Ferguson, Sam Laporta, 522 00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:53,679 Speaker 1: Trey McBride, Brock Bowers. 523 00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:58,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I got Kittle, Ferguson, Bowers, McBride, Laporta, so same five, 524 00:27:58,320 --> 00:27:59,359 Speaker 2: a little bit different order. 525 00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:02,719 Speaker 1: Craft just missing it numbers, yeah, Crack, just missing it. 526 00:28:02,800 --> 00:28:04,359 Speaker 2: Just trying to see what's up with you know, I 527 00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:06,119 Speaker 2: think I'm sure Dobbs is going to be back, and 528 00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:08,360 Speaker 2: then just trying to see what because Musgrave didn't play 529 00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:11,040 Speaker 2: last week at all, So just trying to see what's up. 530 00:28:11,080 --> 00:28:13,640 Speaker 2: But yeah, Craft will definitely be a top top eight 531 00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:19,160 Speaker 2: ish tight end regardless. Who are you highing at tight 532 00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:20,160 Speaker 2: end week six? 533 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:24,399 Speaker 1: I'm high on Dalton Schultz against the Patriots. You know, 534 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:28,000 Speaker 1: with Nico Collins expected to miss, Schultz is going to 535 00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:31,680 Speaker 1: move up the target pecking order. You wouldn't know by 536 00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:34,080 Speaker 1: looking at Nico Collins box score because he had two 537 00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:36,880 Speaker 1: catches for seventy hours in a touchdown. He only ran 538 00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:40,440 Speaker 1: around on twelve percent of CJ Shrouds dropback. So just 539 00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:43,600 Speaker 1: Nico Collins being out just provides a ton of targets 540 00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:47,040 Speaker 1: to go around. I'm with you thinking, take Dell, we'll 541 00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:50,320 Speaker 1: finally break out this week as well. But Schultz has been, 542 00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:54,680 Speaker 1: you know, averaging eighty percent routes run rate this this season. 543 00:28:55,120 --> 00:28:58,040 Speaker 1: Could go up. With Collins out, certainly his target share 544 00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:02,080 Speaker 1: could go up. His target rate has gone up in 545 00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:05,240 Speaker 1: four straight games, so I'm loving that trend as well. 546 00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:07,800 Speaker 1: And the Patriots, you know, they ranked twenty eighth in 547 00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:10,280 Speaker 1: DVO against tight ends. They gave up a big game 548 00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:13,840 Speaker 1: to Tyler Conklin five catches, nine three yards last week. 549 00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:16,920 Speaker 1: You know, John news Smith of all people, went five 550 00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:20,320 Speaker 1: catches for sixty two yards. So Schultz is my tight 551 00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:22,520 Speaker 1: end eleven this week, and I think he's an excellent 552 00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 1: streaming candidate if he's available. 553 00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:28,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, he's I'm surprised he's that low in ETHR, 554 00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:32,320 Speaker 2: just with the eighteenth in ETR. That's way too low 555 00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:36,960 Speaker 2: for me. It's Tyler Conklin. You know, he's again running 556 00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:39,320 Speaker 2: around in ninety percent of the dropbacks, came through with 557 00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:42,720 Speaker 2: six catches last week. I think he's going to continue 558 00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:45,640 Speaker 2: to be a you know, borderline tight end one because 559 00:29:46,120 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 2: he's getting the routes and a lot of these other 560 00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:50,720 Speaker 2: guys that were kind of down on they're just not 561 00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:53,600 Speaker 2: getting the playing time so they pop here and there. 562 00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:56,520 Speaker 2: But Conkland probably a better bet than most to be 563 00:29:56,560 --> 00:30:01,280 Speaker 2: consistent you know, going forward. So yeah, Conklin especially against 564 00:30:01,320 --> 00:30:04,520 Speaker 2: his Buffalo team that's having some issues at safety, having 565 00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:08,000 Speaker 2: some issues at linebacker. It's a good spot for the 566 00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:11,240 Speaker 2: tight end yet again. Looking for weekly projections from me 567 00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:14,600 Speaker 2: and Sean Kerner for DraftKings and fandle The only place 568 00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:18,120 Speaker 2: you'll find them is at Fantasy labs dot com. You'll 569 00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:21,600 Speaker 2: get our weekly player projections every week, plus access to 570 00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:25,520 Speaker 2: a suite of tools, including our lineup optimizer and our 571 00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:29,200 Speaker 2: all new sim Labs lineup builder that uses the power 572 00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:32,880 Speaker 2: of simulations paired with our award winning projections to deliver 573 00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:37,120 Speaker 2: winning lineups in mere seconds. Use promo code flex forty 574 00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:40,880 Speaker 2: that's fl e x four zero for forty dollars off 575 00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:45,000 Speaker 2: your first month of Fantasy Labs DFS. We've dropped the 576 00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:48,400 Speaker 2: link in this episode's description. Just remember to use code 577 00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:51,680 Speaker 2: flex forty at checkout. Who are you low on at 578 00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:52,160 Speaker 2: tight end? 579 00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:57,760 Speaker 1: Gotta go with Mark Andrews here here even though it's commanders. Yeah. 580 00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:00,560 Speaker 1: I think this is important because he's coming off his 581 00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:03,280 Speaker 1: best game of the season. Four catches fifty five yards, 582 00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:07,560 Speaker 1: but his underlying usage is still a major concern, only 583 00:31:07,600 --> 00:31:11,760 Speaker 1: a forty percent routes run rate. You know, Luckily it 584 00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:14,040 Speaker 1: was a shootout at the Bengals, Lamar threw for three 585 00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:19,240 Speaker 1: hundred and forty eight yards. So, like I said, if 586 00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:21,280 Speaker 1: you still have him, might want to try to sell 587 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:25,120 Speaker 1: high if you can. Right now might be the time. Granted, 588 00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:27,680 Speaker 1: you know this could be a shootout against the Commander, 589 00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:30,360 Speaker 1: so you know, if he has another good game, maybe 590 00:31:30,360 --> 00:31:33,400 Speaker 1: you can get more for him. But he's still dropable 591 00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:36,920 Speaker 1: in my opinion, unless Isaiah likely miss his time. I 592 00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:38,840 Speaker 1: don't think you can really trust in your lineup. But 593 00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:41,880 Speaker 1: like I said, you were just hoping for something to 594 00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:44,520 Speaker 1: potentially sell high, because it it would be a shame 595 00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:47,040 Speaker 1: to drop a guy like Mark Mark Andrews. You had 596 00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:50,480 Speaker 1: to invest pretty high draft capital to get him. But 597 00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:52,000 Speaker 1: I think now's the time to do it. He's my 598 00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:56,080 Speaker 1: tight end twenty one this week despite the good game 599 00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:58,800 Speaker 1: last week. So again, just want to reiterate that I'm 600 00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:02,440 Speaker 1: down on him. Underlying usage is still a massive concern, 601 00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:03,960 Speaker 1: So tell high if you can. 602 00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:08,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Charlie Cole did you hear that Charlie 603 00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:11,200 Speaker 2: Kohler quote? He was like, uh, how did you, like, 604 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,640 Speaker 2: how did you catch that like sixty yard bomb? And 605 00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:15,720 Speaker 2: they were like they was like they were they were 606 00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:19,200 Speaker 2: paying so much attention to uh to Flowers and Andrews 607 00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:21,080 Speaker 2: down the scene that they didn't see the big fat, 608 00:32:21,480 --> 00:32:24,840 Speaker 2: big fat white guy running down, running down the sideline. 609 00:32:28,480 --> 00:32:32,000 Speaker 2: But yeah, it's it's been rough with Andrews man uh 610 00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:35,840 Speaker 2: all right, Iron Loan Mike Geski. He is outside my 611 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:38,800 Speaker 2: top twenty as well. He's fifteenth in ECR. I just 612 00:32:38,800 --> 00:32:42,640 Speaker 2: don't think, you know, you can confidently start him even 613 00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:44,480 Speaker 2: like even in two tight end leagues. It's it's a 614 00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:47,520 Speaker 2: stretch because he's running around about fifty just over fifty 615 00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:51,040 Speaker 2: percent of their dropbacks. Eric All is coming on the 616 00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:53,400 Speaker 2: rookie and you know, taking him out of snaps away 617 00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:56,280 Speaker 2: in on early downs because All is better kind of 618 00:32:56,440 --> 00:33:00,040 Speaker 2: all around player, you know, blocking and receiving. So we 619 00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:03,200 Speaker 2: Gaseki he had a fifty six percent route run rate 620 00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:05,920 Speaker 2: last week even in that shootout, just caught two for 621 00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:10,800 Speaker 2: thirty one. He's only had one game with over fifty yards, 622 00:33:10,840 --> 00:33:15,680 Speaker 2: one game with over four catches, so it's been it's been. 623 00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:18,320 Speaker 2: And still no touchdowns because he got that one touchdown overturned. 624 00:33:18,320 --> 00:33:21,360 Speaker 2: I think it was in week two. So yeah, it's 625 00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:23,800 Speaker 2: been it's been a struggle for Gaseeki. I don't think 626 00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:27,400 Speaker 2: He's trustable anywhere near lineups right now? All right, you 627 00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:31,080 Speaker 2: hit on that Kyle Pitts prop last week minus eight 628 00:33:31,080 --> 00:33:32,920 Speaker 2: and a half versus Andrews, and you final we had 629 00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:36,360 Speaker 2: a good game, but Pitts did two. So this is 630 00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:38,800 Speaker 2: year prop where you're going. 631 00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:41,640 Speaker 1: Well, we're done talking about Mark Andrews, but I still 632 00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:43,520 Speaker 1: want to talk about Kyle Pitts. So let's just go 633 00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:47,480 Speaker 1: with Kyle pep receiving yard prop. Everybody loves talking about 634 00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:50,360 Speaker 1: him because just when people left him for dead, he 635 00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:53,800 Speaker 1: goes off for seven catches eighty eight yards. So curious 636 00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 1: where you have him now, and like more importantly, where 637 00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:59,160 Speaker 1: you have like Kirk Cousins passing our projection as well. 638 00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:02,320 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna set the lining for Kyle Pitts receiving 639 00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:04,240 Speaker 1: yards at thirty eight and a half. 640 00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:07,640 Speaker 2: I have Cousins around two fifty, just over two fifties, 641 00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:11,600 Speaker 2: So yeah, he was he was in like the two 642 00:34:12,080 --> 00:34:16,239 Speaker 2: thirties before that. But let's see Kyle Pitts thirty eight 643 00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:22,960 Speaker 2: and a half against Carolina. That's a good line I'm 644 00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:29,320 Speaker 2: gonna go under. I feel like every time we expect 645 00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:32,640 Speaker 2: Pits to kind of stream together some consistency he does 646 00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:35,600 Speaker 2: it right, So I have this just a tad under. Uh, 647 00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:39,279 Speaker 2: you know, going outdoors this week. Maybe they run the 648 00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:41,840 Speaker 2: ball a little more, who knows, but yeah, I'll go 649 00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:45,120 Speaker 2: I'll go under for Pitts. Can't can't, can't expect him 650 00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:47,319 Speaker 2: to do do well. Taps in a row, all right, 651 00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:51,080 Speaker 2: that's gonna do it for NFL week six Player Projections episode. 652 00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:53,840 Speaker 2: Make sure to subscribe to the Fantasy Flex podcast wherever 653 00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:56,440 Speaker 2: you get your pods so you don't miss an episode 654 00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:59,640 Speaker 2: all season. And don't forget Fantasy Labs dot com is 655 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:02,000 Speaker 2: where we house all of our fantasy football content and 656 00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,400 Speaker 2: you can use promo code flex forty. That's fl X 657 00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:07,840 Speaker 2: four zero forty dollars off right now. Sean can be 658 00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:11,280 Speaker 2: found on at the Underscore Oddsmaker. I'm at Christy Raybond. 659 00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:13,480 Speaker 2: Go at those same handles on the free award winning 660 00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:16,759 Speaker 2: Action Network app for the next time. It's get thisish money off. 661 00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:26,920 Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 662 00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:29,719 Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, Help is 663 00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:32,880 Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler