WEBVTT - Pompeo on Ukraine Corruption, Coronavirus Update

0:00:00.440 --> 0:00:02.960
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

0:00:03.040 --> 0:00:05.480
<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're here every day bringing you the latest

0:00:05.519 --> 0:00:09.800
<v Speaker 1>news from the world's of business and finance, plus technology, politics, economics,

0:00:09.880 --> 0:00:13.480
<v Speaker 1>all harnessing the power of Bloomberg Business Week reporters and editors,

0:00:13.480 --> 0:00:16.639
<v Speaker 1>not to mention our hundred journalists and analysts more than

0:00:16.680 --> 0:00:19.280
<v Speaker 1>a hundred and twenty countries. You can download Bloomberg Business

0:00:19.320 --> 0:00:22.200
<v Speaker 1>Week on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot Com. You can

0:00:22.200 --> 0:00:24.520
<v Speaker 1>also listen to our radio show weekdays at two pm

0:00:24.520 --> 0:00:28.880
<v Speaker 1>Eastern only on Bloomberg Radio. Bloomberg Chief Washington Correspondent Kevin's

0:00:28.920 --> 0:00:32.800
<v Speaker 1>Surreally host Bloomberg sound On has been traveling with Secretary

0:00:32.800 --> 0:00:35.919
<v Speaker 1>of State Mike Pompeo. Kevin spoke to the Secretary an

0:00:35.920 --> 0:00:40.080
<v Speaker 1>exclusive interview from Jamaica. Kevin started by asking the Secretary

0:00:40.159 --> 0:00:43.680
<v Speaker 1>about her on backed Hezbollah finding a foothold in South America.

0:00:45.000 --> 0:00:48.440
<v Speaker 1>When you see the scope and reach of what the

0:00:48.479 --> 0:00:51.440
<v Speaker 1>Islamic Republic of Run regime has done, you can't forget.

0:00:51.479 --> 0:00:54.200
<v Speaker 1>They tried to kill someone in the United States of America.

0:00:54.720 --> 0:00:59.680
<v Speaker 1>They've conducted assassination campaigns in Europe. This is a global phenomenon.

0:00:59.720 --> 0:01:03.320
<v Speaker 1>When we say that Iran is the leading destabilizing force

0:01:03.400 --> 0:01:06.240
<v Speaker 1>in the Middle East and throughout the world, it's because

0:01:06.240 --> 0:01:09.080
<v Speaker 1>of this terror activity that they have now spread as

0:01:09.080 --> 0:01:11.440
<v Speaker 1>a cancer all across the globe. This past week, as

0:01:11.440 --> 0:01:13.839
<v Speaker 1>you've traveled the world, we started in Germany and Berlin,

0:01:13.880 --> 0:01:16.759
<v Speaker 1>where you met with world leaders, including German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

0:01:17.880 --> 0:01:20.960
<v Speaker 1>You talked I'm sure you talked about Iran, but as

0:01:20.959 --> 0:01:24.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, Europe has not always followed the same strategic

0:01:24.720 --> 0:01:26.920
<v Speaker 1>route as the United States when it comes to iron.

0:01:26.959 --> 0:01:29.959
<v Speaker 1>Did your meetings with European leaders moved the needle in

0:01:30.000 --> 0:01:33.120
<v Speaker 1>that direction at all? Yes, their look there, we've been clear.

0:01:33.160 --> 0:01:35.520
<v Speaker 1>We've had a different view on the right way to

0:01:35.560 --> 0:01:38.839
<v Speaker 1>proceed to mature that Iran never gets a nuclear weapon,

0:01:38.880 --> 0:01:40.960
<v Speaker 1>that their missile program is contained, and that this terror

0:01:41.000 --> 0:01:44.400
<v Speaker 1>regime we were just talking about is pushback. They've never

0:01:44.440 --> 0:01:46.720
<v Speaker 1>wavered from the shared objective. That just had a different

0:01:46.800 --> 0:01:49.800
<v Speaker 1>view about about how to proceed. But if you've seen

0:01:50.200 --> 0:01:52.440
<v Speaker 1>what Iran has done even in the past few weeks,

0:01:52.720 --> 0:01:55.920
<v Speaker 1>but that's nuclear extortion. They're now threatening to leave the NPT.

0:01:56.560 --> 0:01:59.440
<v Speaker 1>So I did we I talked with my European counterparts

0:01:59.480 --> 0:02:02.000
<v Speaker 1>while I was or they have now uh taken a

0:02:02.040 --> 0:02:04.440
<v Speaker 1>step under the j c p o A to invoke

0:02:04.520 --> 0:02:08.000
<v Speaker 1>the dispute resolution mechanism. I think not only they, but

0:02:08.120 --> 0:02:11.239
<v Speaker 1>the world can now see that this rogue regime has

0:02:11.600 --> 0:02:15.480
<v Speaker 1>no intention of complying with the central tenants of what

0:02:15.600 --> 0:02:18.880
<v Speaker 1>that agreement contained, and the world must unite to ensure

0:02:18.919 --> 0:02:20.959
<v Speaker 1>that Iran never has a nuclear When I saw President

0:02:21.000 --> 0:02:23.520
<v Speaker 1>McCrone say that yesterday, I know he means that now

0:02:23.560 --> 0:02:25.440
<v Speaker 1>we need to work together to achieve When you say

0:02:25.440 --> 0:02:28.280
<v Speaker 1>they have no intention, than than how do you get

0:02:28.360 --> 0:02:31.080
<v Speaker 1>Tamron to go to the United Nations, to come to

0:02:31.160 --> 0:02:34.200
<v Speaker 1>the United Nations to work with the international community aside

0:02:34.240 --> 0:02:39.360
<v Speaker 1>from the sanctions and the various military response options. Ultimately,

0:02:39.560 --> 0:02:43.640
<v Speaker 1>the people of Iran will get what they so richly deserve,

0:02:44.120 --> 0:02:46.919
<v Speaker 1>a regime that behaves in ways that are consistent with

0:02:46.960 --> 0:02:50.040
<v Speaker 1>the value sets of the Iranian people. In the end,

0:02:50.200 --> 0:02:52.839
<v Speaker 1>the Iranian people will demand their government. You see see

0:02:52.880 --> 0:02:55.119
<v Speaker 1>it in the protests. You see it when they walk

0:02:55.160 --> 0:02:58.679
<v Speaker 1>around American flags that were put down by the Islamic

0:02:58.720 --> 0:03:00.840
<v Speaker 1>Republic's leadership and in a them to so they can

0:03:00.880 --> 0:03:03.840
<v Speaker 1>show pictures of Iranian people walking over American flags, and

0:03:03.880 --> 0:03:05.480
<v Speaker 1>in fact, people go out of their way not to

0:03:05.560 --> 0:03:09.880
<v Speaker 1>do that. Uh. This isn't about Iran versus the United States.

0:03:10.240 --> 0:03:12.360
<v Speaker 1>This is about a regime that has treated its own

0:03:12.360 --> 0:03:15.079
<v Speaker 1>people terribly. The world can see it. It's a regime

0:03:15.120 --> 0:03:17.240
<v Speaker 1>that even now the i a e. Is trying to

0:03:17.280 --> 0:03:20.200
<v Speaker 1>figure out how nuclear material got to places that the

0:03:20.240 --> 0:03:23.200
<v Speaker 1>Iranian leadership said it would not be. Uh. And so

0:03:23.280 --> 0:03:26.360
<v Speaker 1>this is a global risk. President Trump started his remarks

0:03:26.440 --> 0:03:31.000
<v Speaker 1>at the night after an American response by saying, Iran

0:03:31.040 --> 0:03:34.240
<v Speaker 1>will never have a nuclear weapons or primary purpose, but

0:03:34.320 --> 0:03:36.200
<v Speaker 1>we have a broader set of objectives to We just

0:03:36.240 --> 0:03:38.200
<v Speaker 1>want them to behave like a normal nation and re

0:03:38.520 --> 0:03:41.880
<v Speaker 1>enter the society, the community of nations, and and traveling

0:03:41.880 --> 0:03:43.840
<v Speaker 1>with you all week, I mean, I'm struck by just

0:03:43.920 --> 0:03:48.120
<v Speaker 1>the range of hotspot issues around the world that are

0:03:48.120 --> 0:03:50.560
<v Speaker 1>going on, and back home, the only thing that they're

0:03:50.560 --> 0:03:53.360
<v Speaker 1>talking about his impeachment and the Senate impeachment trial. Did

0:03:53.400 --> 0:03:56.440
<v Speaker 1>that come up at all in your conversations with world leaders?

0:03:56.480 --> 0:04:00.520
<v Speaker 1>And has the Senate impeachment trial endangered US interests and

0:04:00.600 --> 0:04:03.920
<v Speaker 1>reputation around the world? You know, Kevin, it hasn't come

0:04:04.000 --> 0:04:05.800
<v Speaker 1>up today except where I received a question at a

0:04:05.800 --> 0:04:08.119
<v Speaker 1>press conference about it. So, and you said you would

0:04:08.160 --> 0:04:12.000
<v Speaker 1>testify it. Yeah. I've said consistently if the law required

0:04:12.040 --> 0:04:16.400
<v Speaker 1>me to testify, I would do so. Uh. You know,

0:04:16.440 --> 0:04:19.360
<v Speaker 1>it hasn't come up. It almost never comes up in

0:04:19.640 --> 0:04:22.279
<v Speaker 1>meetings with my counterparts. There's too many important things going

0:04:22.279 --> 0:04:24.840
<v Speaker 1>on in the world. America is too close a partner

0:04:24.880 --> 0:04:28.360
<v Speaker 1>today have with countries in the Caribbean reaching here in Kingston. Uh.

0:04:28.400 --> 0:04:30.120
<v Speaker 1>They care about so much that we do. They're such

0:04:30.160 --> 0:04:33.240
<v Speaker 1>good friends and allies. They see the noise in Washington,

0:04:33.360 --> 0:04:35.440
<v Speaker 1>but it is not something they would think in the

0:04:35.480 --> 0:04:37.320
<v Speaker 1>time that we have between us, that they would raise.

0:04:37.400 --> 0:04:40.640
<v Speaker 1>How Democrats are saying that Rudy Giuliani orchestrated a shadow

0:04:40.680 --> 0:04:45.160
<v Speaker 1>foreign policy And can you assure diplomat serving overseas all

0:04:45.200 --> 0:04:48.679
<v Speaker 1>around the world in dangerous places, that that's not the case. Yeah.

0:04:48.920 --> 0:04:52.960
<v Speaker 1>The foreign policy we were executing then is the same

0:04:53.000 --> 0:04:56.320
<v Speaker 1>foreign policy we're executing today. With respect to Ukraine. It's

0:04:56.320 --> 0:04:58.600
<v Speaker 1>an important country. It sits at this cross roads. It's

0:04:58.640 --> 0:05:02.120
<v Speaker 1>under enormous pressure from Rush. President Trump has taken actions

0:05:02.160 --> 0:05:06.280
<v Speaker 1>to counter Russia the President Obama refused to take. We've

0:05:06.320 --> 0:05:09.280
<v Speaker 1>provided defensive systems for the Ukrainian people so that they

0:05:09.279 --> 0:05:14.159
<v Speaker 1>can defend themselves. We've supported this new leader, President Zelinsky,

0:05:14.440 --> 0:05:17.479
<v Speaker 1>in his efforts to stamp out corruption and to build

0:05:17.560 --> 0:05:21.760
<v Speaker 1>his democracy. Were continuing to do that. Our policy with

0:05:21.839 --> 0:05:25.440
<v Speaker 1>respect to Ukraine has been set on the fundamental principles

0:05:25.480 --> 0:05:29.120
<v Speaker 1>of reducing the footprint of corruption and helping the Ukrainian

0:05:29.120 --> 0:05:32.640
<v Speaker 1>people build up a democracy while under threat from the

0:05:32.680 --> 0:05:34.599
<v Speaker 1>Russians in the east and southeast. You said that you

0:05:34.640 --> 0:05:37.440
<v Speaker 1>look forward to going there, that you have other issues

0:05:37.480 --> 0:05:39.520
<v Speaker 1>that you want to discuss with them, or is that

0:05:39.600 --> 0:05:41.520
<v Speaker 1>still the case. Yeah, I'm going to get there. I'm

0:05:41.520 --> 0:05:43.720
<v Speaker 1>gonna get there before too long. I had a trip

0:05:43.720 --> 0:05:45.839
<v Speaker 1>planned and then we had an issue arise in the

0:05:45.839 --> 0:05:49.039
<v Speaker 1>Middle East that had to attend to. UH. While that

0:05:49.120 --> 0:05:50.640
<v Speaker 1>issue is not behind us, there's still a lot of

0:05:50.640 --> 0:05:54.760
<v Speaker 1>work to do there, and that is our chief Washington corresponded.

0:05:54.839 --> 0:05:58.919
<v Speaker 1>Kevin Creali speaking with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. Kevin

0:05:58.960 --> 0:06:01.919
<v Speaker 1>has been traveling with the Secretary of State, as he noted,

0:06:02.279 --> 0:06:06.240
<v Speaker 1>on this sort of WorldWind tour of the world. They

0:06:06.240 --> 0:06:09.719
<v Speaker 1>spoke today in Jamaica. Obviously very much on the news,

0:06:09.839 --> 0:06:14.240
<v Speaker 1>very much on the impeachment News. Ukraine obviously is right

0:06:14.360 --> 0:06:17.440
<v Speaker 1>in the sphere of influence that the Secretary of State

0:06:17.960 --> 0:06:20.839
<v Speaker 1>plays into, so him saying that he will make a

0:06:20.880 --> 0:06:23.920
<v Speaker 1>trip there before too long, given its importance, and a

0:06:24.000 --> 0:06:26.440
<v Speaker 1>reminder that there are some kind of big, major foreign

0:06:26.440 --> 0:06:28.279
<v Speaker 1>policy issues that are still out there right and that

0:06:28.520 --> 0:06:31.840
<v Speaker 1>have been kind of plaguing certainly this administration for some time.

0:06:31.920 --> 0:06:41.040
<v Speaker 1>So we'll see where that goes. Brands Energy, we do

0:06:41.120 --> 0:06:44.320
<v Speaker 1>want to talk a bit about energy. It's been an

0:06:44.320 --> 0:06:46.800
<v Speaker 1>interesting market to watch and I think it's timely. I

0:06:46.839 --> 0:06:49.320
<v Speaker 1>think about the launch of our Green not interesting if

0:06:49.360 --> 0:06:53.799
<v Speaker 1>you're in it, if you're long, if you're short, you're great, um,

0:06:53.839 --> 0:06:55.840
<v Speaker 1>But it's interesting in a week where Davas is all

0:06:55.880 --> 0:06:58.640
<v Speaker 1>about climate change and we are seeing the energy space

0:06:58.680 --> 0:07:02.800
<v Speaker 1>certainly be disrupted by alternative energy. It was the worst

0:07:03.000 --> 0:07:06.240
<v Speaker 1>performing sector major industry sector in the S and P

0:07:06.400 --> 0:07:09.880
<v Speaker 1>five last year and it's continuing to be at the

0:07:09.880 --> 0:07:13.760
<v Speaker 1>bottom of the pack. In Ryan Kelly has to deal

0:07:13.800 --> 0:07:16.400
<v Speaker 1>with all of this and find the opportunities. He's senior

0:07:16.480 --> 0:07:19.760
<v Speaker 1>vice president portfolio manager at Hennessy Funds. He's back in

0:07:19.800 --> 0:07:24.120
<v Speaker 1>our Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio studio. It's not easy right now, right,

0:07:24.120 --> 0:07:26.240
<v Speaker 1>and sitting here thinking if I wanted to know all that,

0:07:26.280 --> 0:07:29.080
<v Speaker 1>I just want to stated, thanks very much. Can I

0:07:29.080 --> 0:07:32.360
<v Speaker 1>have my butt off to get a recitation of how

0:07:32.440 --> 0:07:35.080
<v Speaker 1>bad the market? Here's my therapy session. No, but I

0:07:35.080 --> 0:07:38.080
<v Speaker 1>mean running a gas um and utility, our guest utility

0:07:38.120 --> 0:07:42.240
<v Speaker 1>fund not easy. UM, It's it's actually going okay, it's

0:07:42.360 --> 0:07:45.840
<v Speaker 1>it's it's confusing. UM. Certainly, if you're talking just about

0:07:46.240 --> 0:07:49.880
<v Speaker 1>the overall energy sector, about oil, about natural gas prices,

0:07:50.080 --> 0:07:53.680
<v Speaker 1>those of all plummeted energy is pretty tough last year. Obviously,

0:07:53.680 --> 0:07:56.960
<v Speaker 1>as you just alluded to, UM, the natural gas side

0:07:56.960 --> 0:08:00.840
<v Speaker 1>has actually been doing pretty well in one regard because

0:08:00.840 --> 0:08:04.480
<v Speaker 1>of these low prices. It's very good for the end customer.

0:08:04.680 --> 0:08:07.440
<v Speaker 1>It's very good for the natural gas distribution companies, it's

0:08:07.520 --> 0:08:10.200
<v Speaker 1>very good for the utilities. And our fund focuses on

0:08:10.960 --> 0:08:15.240
<v Speaker 1>utilities in general and natural gas utilities specifically. So what

0:08:15.320 --> 0:08:20.280
<v Speaker 1>we have is that because we've had so such affordability, abundance,

0:08:20.600 --> 0:08:23.840
<v Speaker 1>accessibility of natural gas for many years. Here, Uh, it

0:08:23.920 --> 0:08:26.520
<v Speaker 1>means actually that natural gas you do, the utilities are

0:08:26.520 --> 0:08:28.360
<v Speaker 1>doing pretty well, and the fund is up about two

0:08:28.440 --> 0:08:31.000
<v Speaker 1>point eight percent in the past month. So at the

0:08:31.000 --> 0:08:33.760
<v Speaker 1>beginning of the year. Last year was up about two

0:08:33.760 --> 0:08:35.920
<v Speaker 1>and a half percent. Performance though, do you feel like

0:08:36.720 --> 0:08:38.520
<v Speaker 1>it's not where you'd like it to be? Yeah, performance

0:08:38.559 --> 0:08:40.800
<v Speaker 1>could have been better overall for the whole year last year.

0:08:40.960 --> 0:08:45.280
<v Speaker 1>The fund is the SMP of course up. That's a

0:08:45.679 --> 0:08:49.079
<v Speaker 1>big laggard. UM and Uh. I think that what's going

0:08:49.120 --> 0:08:51.400
<v Speaker 1>on is that we also have some more some larger

0:08:52.000 --> 0:08:55.080
<v Speaker 1>major pipeline companies that move natural gas around the country.

0:08:55.360 --> 0:08:58.600
<v Speaker 1>They're related both to oil and natural gas, so there's

0:08:58.960 --> 0:09:01.160
<v Speaker 1>issues there that's been holding a speck And forgive me,

0:09:01.200 --> 0:09:02.679
<v Speaker 1>I think I said two and a half percent last year,

0:09:02.679 --> 0:09:04.520
<v Speaker 1>and I did just mean year to date, right, year

0:09:04.600 --> 0:09:07.160
<v Speaker 1>to day. Yes, but as you said, it was double

0:09:07.200 --> 0:09:10.320
<v Speaker 1>digit games last year. Yes, yes, Um and uh. And

0:09:10.400 --> 0:09:12.520
<v Speaker 1>interestingly though, when you just look at the fundamentals of

0:09:12.559 --> 0:09:17.240
<v Speaker 1>the companies, UM. The utility space for the last three

0:09:17.320 --> 0:09:20.280
<v Speaker 1>quarters has been has had the highest growth and earnings

0:09:20.280 --> 0:09:23.000
<v Speaker 1>out of any of the sectors, which is pretty pretty crazy.

0:09:23.040 --> 0:09:25.520
<v Speaker 1>This year, it's or this quarter on a year over

0:09:25.559 --> 0:09:28.960
<v Speaker 1>your basis, it's expected to be up nine on an

0:09:29.000 --> 0:09:31.480
<v Speaker 1>EPs point of view, which is not the sort of

0:09:31.480 --> 0:09:34.280
<v Speaker 1>growth that we're seeing elsewhere in the market. To be sure. Well,

0:09:34.320 --> 0:09:37.000
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about some of those names. One literally close

0:09:37.040 --> 0:09:40.760
<v Speaker 1>to home Duke Energy. Uh tell us about that. Yes, Well,

0:09:40.800 --> 0:09:42.920
<v Speaker 1>I think that a couple of ways that you can

0:09:42.920 --> 0:09:46.000
<v Speaker 1>play this this spaces is to buy the bigger utilities.

0:09:46.080 --> 0:09:50.240
<v Speaker 1>Utilities have a real opportunity now to switch from UM

0:09:50.520 --> 0:09:56.160
<v Speaker 1>more traditional fossil fuel type sources to renewables. Duke Duke

0:09:56.320 --> 0:09:59.559
<v Speaker 1>Energy d u K is in the process of doing that.

0:09:59.600 --> 0:10:02.600
<v Speaker 1>They have very lofty goals of transforming themselves over the

0:10:02.640 --> 0:10:04.439
<v Speaker 1>next thirty years, and I think there's gonna be a

0:10:04.520 --> 0:10:07.800
<v Speaker 1>nice long runway for that company. It's also a nice

0:10:08.080 --> 0:10:10.640
<v Speaker 1>large company, seventy billion in market cap, a pretty good

0:10:10.679 --> 0:10:13.559
<v Speaker 1>pe compared to peers. So I think that there's some opportunities.

0:10:13.559 --> 0:10:17.440
<v Speaker 1>I think people forget, Like how massive that the dividends.

0:10:18.080 --> 0:10:19.640
<v Speaker 1>I think you're saying. I was looking at the dividend.

0:10:19.640 --> 0:10:22.920
<v Speaker 1>It's almost four percent, So dividend eiels are a big

0:10:22.960 --> 0:10:26.360
<v Speaker 1>part of the utility play UM and and you know,

0:10:26.360 --> 0:10:28.920
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting. I do think about these big utilities and

0:10:28.960 --> 0:10:33.280
<v Speaker 1>the transition from UM you know, traditional fuels if you will,

0:10:33.400 --> 0:10:38.120
<v Speaker 1>or fossil fuels to alternatives. I mean, how twenty years

0:10:38.360 --> 0:10:41.920
<v Speaker 1>is that it takes years, decades, decades because of the

0:10:41.960 --> 0:10:44.720
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure build out, because of the infrastructure, And you know,

0:10:44.760 --> 0:10:46.360
<v Speaker 1>one thing I'd maybe like to talk a little bit

0:10:46.360 --> 0:10:49.559
<v Speaker 1>about is that this future energy complex that we're looking

0:10:49.600 --> 0:10:53.600
<v Speaker 1>at is probably going to be predominantly renewables and natural gas.

0:10:53.880 --> 0:10:55.880
<v Speaker 1>And that's some of the debate that's going on now,

0:10:55.960 --> 0:10:58.240
<v Speaker 1>and I think some of the misinformation that's out there

0:10:58.280 --> 0:11:01.079
<v Speaker 1>is that natural gas is very important part of all

0:11:01.120 --> 0:11:05.520
<v Speaker 1>of this. We've gotten to uh lost two percent in

0:11:05.559 --> 0:11:08.480
<v Speaker 1>greenhouse gas emissions last year because natural gas has been

0:11:08.480 --> 0:11:12.480
<v Speaker 1>replacing coal in large scale power plants. So um, this

0:11:12.520 --> 0:11:15.599
<v Speaker 1>is a decades long process to get to more renewables.

0:11:15.640 --> 0:11:18.480
<v Speaker 1>About twelve percent or so of our overall energy is

0:11:18.520 --> 0:11:22.400
<v Speaker 1>produced from renewables right now. It could get to twenties

0:11:22.440 --> 0:11:26.000
<v Speaker 1>to even thirty over time, but it's going to take

0:11:26.040 --> 0:11:28.800
<v Speaker 1>a lot to get there. You don't think there's an urgency.

0:11:28.920 --> 0:11:30.560
<v Speaker 1>I've just got to push a little bit. With climate change,

0:11:30.559 --> 0:11:32.240
<v Speaker 1>we only have about thirty seconds. But I do feel

0:11:32.240 --> 0:11:34.640
<v Speaker 1>like that there's an urgency all of a sudden. Maybe

0:11:34.640 --> 0:11:37.200
<v Speaker 1>it's the fires in Australia or California or what have you,

0:11:37.720 --> 0:11:40.079
<v Speaker 1>But I mean, I feel like the clock is ticking.

0:11:40.280 --> 0:11:41.880
<v Speaker 1>I think there is an urgency. I think that we're

0:11:41.880 --> 0:11:44.199
<v Speaker 1>getting rid of coal. I think that we're producing a

0:11:44.240 --> 0:11:47.319
<v Speaker 1>lot less energy out of oil. Those are two great things.

0:11:47.679 --> 0:11:50.960
<v Speaker 1>But I think that, um, the amount of infrastructure you'd

0:11:50.960 --> 0:11:55.000
<v Speaker 1>have to change or to go straight to renewables is phenomenal.

0:11:55.040 --> 0:11:57.880
<v Speaker 1>In fact, we'll be hurting the environment until we got there,

0:11:58.000 --> 0:12:00.160
<v Speaker 1>so we need to do it a little bit more

0:12:00.400 --> 0:12:03.160
<v Speaker 1>at a measured pace. All Right, We're gonna leave it.

0:12:03.200 --> 0:12:05.360
<v Speaker 1>They're great stuff. Get to catch up with you. Ryan Kelly,

0:12:05.360 --> 0:12:08.560
<v Speaker 1>Senior Vice president portfolio manager for Hennessy Funds, looking after

0:12:08.600 --> 0:12:11.679
<v Speaker 1>the Gas Utility Fund. I want to watch for sure.

0:12:13.040 --> 0:12:20.680
<v Speaker 1>So Deep, No Body, So Wow, A bold call for

0:12:20.720 --> 0:12:24.000
<v Speaker 1>the walk in music for this song. But it is

0:12:24.040 --> 0:12:28.040
<v Speaker 1>all about the shorts. Just ask Elon Musk. He is

0:12:28.080 --> 0:12:32.160
<v Speaker 1>the subject of this week's cover story. It's all about

0:12:32.240 --> 0:12:37.440
<v Speaker 1>Tesla and those shorts for the moment being proven dramatically wrong.

0:12:37.520 --> 0:12:41.920
<v Speaker 1>Dana hall pennd the story. She covers the company day

0:12:41.920 --> 0:12:44.360
<v Speaker 1>to day, and this is just an amazing step back

0:12:44.440 --> 0:12:46.920
<v Speaker 1>story about everything going on there. She joins us from

0:12:46.960 --> 0:12:49.280
<v Speaker 1>our nine sixty studio in San Francisco. Joe Webber, the

0:12:49.360 --> 0:12:52.280
<v Speaker 1>editor of the magazine. He's here in our Bloomberg Interactive

0:12:52.280 --> 0:12:55.000
<v Speaker 1>Broker studio. Dana, First of all, congrats on this story.

0:12:55.080 --> 0:12:56.800
<v Speaker 1>It's such a great read, you know, Carol, and I

0:12:56.880 --> 0:12:59.640
<v Speaker 1>got to read it ahead of it over the weekend

0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:03.040
<v Speaker 1>as it sort of in process, and it's just such

0:13:03.080 --> 0:13:08.599
<v Speaker 1>a tale in many ways that captures the spirit of

0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:10.959
<v Speaker 1>where this company is. Tell us what you set out

0:13:11.000 --> 0:13:14.200
<v Speaker 1>to do. Sure, well, I've been covering Tesla for quite

0:13:14.400 --> 0:13:17.320
<v Speaker 1>quite a long time at this point, and unfortunately for

0:13:17.400 --> 0:13:19.760
<v Speaker 1>my mental health, spend a lot of time on Twitter,

0:13:20.200 --> 0:13:23.319
<v Speaker 1>which is really where the Tesla conversation takes place. I mean,

0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:26.720
<v Speaker 1>it is the water cooler for this company. Elon tweets,

0:13:27.200 --> 0:13:29.920
<v Speaker 1>the fans tweet, the shorts tweet, and you know, over

0:13:29.920 --> 0:13:31.960
<v Speaker 1>the past couple of years, I started seeing this tesla

0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:35.160
<v Speaker 1>q hashtag more and more. It really kind of accelerated

0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:38.920
<v Speaker 1>after the Solar City buy out and uh and then

0:13:39.040 --> 0:13:42.640
<v Speaker 1>kind of erupted in with a whole go private debacle

0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:45.320
<v Speaker 1>and I just sort of tried to figure out, well, Okay,

0:13:45.559 --> 0:13:48.079
<v Speaker 1>who is Tesla Q? Who are these guys, and like,

0:13:48.120 --> 0:13:52.240
<v Speaker 1>there's so many different characters. Um. But when Tesla filed

0:13:52.240 --> 0:13:55.440
<v Speaker 1>a restraining order against Skabushka. I sort of found my

0:13:55.559 --> 0:13:58.240
<v Speaker 1>character and just tried to spend as much time as

0:13:58.280 --> 0:14:01.880
<v Speaker 1>possible understanding really what his motivation was. And I think

0:14:01.880 --> 0:14:04.320
<v Speaker 1>what's what's really fascinating is that, you know, a lot

0:14:04.360 --> 0:14:07.160
<v Speaker 1>of these people are not actual short sellers. Some of

0:14:07.200 --> 0:14:10.079
<v Speaker 1>them are just skeptics, and they really don't buy the

0:14:10.160 --> 0:14:15.040
<v Speaker 1>kind of mythology around musk that has been created. Scaboush,

0:14:15.080 --> 0:14:19.960
<v Speaker 1>What who is that? Dane so Scabushka. His real name

0:14:20.000 --> 0:14:23.160
<v Speaker 1>is Randy Pothy. He is a graduate student in ann Arbor.

0:14:23.680 --> 0:14:27.840
<v Speaker 1>He's a fascinating guy. He speaks five languages. He's getting

0:14:27.840 --> 0:14:31.760
<v Speaker 1>a doctoral dissertation in Asian Languages and Culture. But he

0:14:31.800 --> 0:14:34.680
<v Speaker 1>grew up in Fremont, which is where Tesla has its factory.

0:14:35.200 --> 0:14:38.440
<v Speaker 1>And in eighteen when a lot of people were questioning

0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:41.920
<v Speaker 1>the ability of Tesla to manufacturer it's Model three, he

0:14:42.080 --> 0:14:45.160
<v Speaker 1>was in this rare position to actually check things out

0:14:45.320 --> 0:14:48.120
<v Speaker 1>because you know, his parents still live in Fremont. So

0:14:48.160 --> 0:14:51.880
<v Speaker 1>he started tweeting out these pictures of production that people

0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:54.560
<v Speaker 1>took very seriously. I mean you would see on the

0:14:54.560 --> 0:14:58.400
<v Speaker 1>Tesla fanboy forums, you know, all these messages like Scabushka

0:14:58.920 --> 0:15:03.520
<v Speaker 1>production numbers and they were remarkably accurate. And uh so

0:15:03.680 --> 0:15:06.120
<v Speaker 1>he just sort of became this intriguing figure. Well in

0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:08.840
<v Speaker 1>triguing And didn't you actually talk to us about the

0:15:08.880 --> 0:15:10.680
<v Speaker 1>first time you reached out to him data, because I

0:15:10.680 --> 0:15:13.640
<v Speaker 1>think this is interesting too. I mean, he had information,

0:15:13.720 --> 0:15:15.960
<v Speaker 1>right he was tracking this company that to some extent

0:15:16.320 --> 0:15:19.280
<v Speaker 1>could be helpful. Oh sure, Well, I mean, so you

0:15:19.280 --> 0:15:21.200
<v Speaker 1>know a lot of short sellers do a lot of research,

0:15:21.440 --> 0:15:23.240
<v Speaker 1>but a lot of them are based in New York

0:15:23.320 --> 0:15:26.120
<v Speaker 1>and they're and they're you know, fantastic and in terms

0:15:26.120 --> 0:15:28.960
<v Speaker 1>of like digging into financials and filings and you know,

0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:31.080
<v Speaker 1>they look at things on the on the balance sheets.

0:15:31.080 --> 0:15:33.960
<v Speaker 1>Scabush was actually someone who was clearly like going to

0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:37.120
<v Speaker 1>the factory every day or had a beat on what

0:15:37.160 --> 0:15:39.120
<v Speaker 1>was happening at the factory. And I live in the

0:15:39.160 --> 0:15:41.160
<v Speaker 1>Bay Area, and so there was this whole thing where,

0:15:41.680 --> 0:15:43.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, it was clear that Tesla was building some

0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:47.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of new tent to house its production line. I

0:15:47.080 --> 0:15:49.840
<v Speaker 1>kept hearing from employees, you know, Ellen's building a tent

0:15:49.960 --> 0:15:53.240
<v Speaker 1>out back. So um. And at the same time, Scabushka

0:15:53.320 --> 0:15:56.440
<v Speaker 1>was sort of posting these photographs. So I was actually

0:15:56.480 --> 0:15:59.520
<v Speaker 1>at the Fremont bart station looking at this tent, and

0:15:59.560 --> 0:16:01.720
<v Speaker 1>I wasn't positive if I was looking at like the

0:16:01.800 --> 0:16:04.680
<v Speaker 1>new tent or an old tent, And so I sent

0:16:04.800 --> 0:16:06.160
<v Speaker 1>him a picture and I was like, am I looking

0:16:06.200 --> 0:16:08.800
<v Speaker 1>at the right thing? And he confirmed it? And I really,

0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:11.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean I was, you know, legitimately trying to kind

0:16:11.560 --> 0:16:13.480
<v Speaker 1>of cultivate him as a source. I asked him if

0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:15.520
<v Speaker 1>he wanted to meet, but he always declined and I

0:16:15.560 --> 0:16:18.760
<v Speaker 1>didn't meet him until much later. So talk to us

0:16:18.760 --> 0:16:24.120
<v Speaker 1>more about tesla Q, because that is like they're on Twitter.

0:16:24.600 --> 0:16:26.720
<v Speaker 1>They are sort of amazing and sort of this hive

0:16:26.840 --> 0:16:30.400
<v Speaker 1>mind ability to kind of look at Tesla and Ellen

0:16:30.560 --> 0:16:33.480
<v Speaker 1>from all these different angles, and they've actually impacted the

0:16:33.480 --> 0:16:36.840
<v Speaker 1>stock over the time. But yet life has gotten very

0:16:36.880 --> 0:16:41.360
<v Speaker 1>expensive for short sellers of late as Tesla's stock has

0:16:41.400 --> 0:16:45.320
<v Speaker 1>sort of started to soar. What uh, what do you

0:16:45.320 --> 0:16:47.840
<v Speaker 1>make of where we're tesla Q stands now and what

0:16:47.920 --> 0:16:50.440
<v Speaker 1>are they saying about what could happen in the year

0:16:50.440 --> 0:16:52.760
<v Speaker 1>to come, especially on a day right as you know, Dana, right,

0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:58.440
<v Speaker 1>we saw a Tesla market cap a hundred billions, surpassing VWI. Yeah,

0:16:58.480 --> 0:17:02.120
<v Speaker 1>that's real psychological logical milestone. Sure, well, I guess I

0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:04.399
<v Speaker 1>would say that, you know, once you sort of I

0:17:04.400 --> 0:17:07.120
<v Speaker 1>mean a lot of folks within Tesla Q, I mean

0:17:07.320 --> 0:17:11.040
<v Speaker 1>they they view Musk through the lens of fraud or

0:17:11.119 --> 0:17:14.160
<v Speaker 1>fabrication or a cult of personality, And once you see

0:17:14.200 --> 0:17:16.919
<v Speaker 1>him through that lens, it's very difficult to kind of

0:17:16.960 --> 0:17:19.919
<v Speaker 1>be moved from that. Just like you know, the fans

0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:22.480
<v Speaker 1>who see him as like, you know, our great hope

0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:24.359
<v Speaker 1>for for solving climate change, I mean, they will not

0:17:24.400 --> 0:17:27.080
<v Speaker 1>be moved either. So it's very it's a very bifurcated community.

0:17:27.119 --> 0:17:29.439
<v Speaker 1>But I think, you know, short sellers would probably say

0:17:29.560 --> 0:17:32.280
<v Speaker 1>or yes, the stock is on a terror but but

0:17:32.359 --> 0:17:36.359
<v Speaker 1>it's completely divorced from fundamentals. And you know, just because

0:17:36.400 --> 0:17:38.320
<v Speaker 1>the stock is high doesn't mean that the company is

0:17:38.359 --> 0:17:42.720
<v Speaker 1>ever going to be sustainably profitable. Clearly, Tesla reported a

0:17:42.800 --> 0:17:45.240
<v Speaker 1>profit in the third quarter. They're going to report earnings

0:17:45.280 --> 0:17:47.320
<v Speaker 1>next week. But you know, will will the company ever

0:17:47.359 --> 0:17:50.080
<v Speaker 1>have a profitable year like that? That remains to be seen.

0:17:51.080 --> 0:17:58.639
<v Speaker 1>And why ultimately is this stock, this company so binary?

0:17:58.880 --> 0:18:00.399
<v Speaker 1>You know, we and I know we have ski this

0:18:00.440 --> 0:18:02.240
<v Speaker 1>all the time, but I keep coming back to this

0:18:02.320 --> 0:18:05.600
<v Speaker 1>idea that there's essentially no one who's like yeah, right, yeah,

0:18:05.640 --> 0:18:09.240
<v Speaker 1>like it just doesn't happen, So why is it. I

0:18:09.240 --> 0:18:11.080
<v Speaker 1>think it's like a two for one, right, So you

0:18:11.119 --> 0:18:15.000
<v Speaker 1>can short Apple, you can short Netflix, you can short Amazon.

0:18:15.160 --> 0:18:18.919
<v Speaker 1>But people who aren't really like shorting Tim Cook or

0:18:18.960 --> 0:18:21.480
<v Speaker 1>Bezos or you know, like they're they're really I mean,

0:18:21.480 --> 0:18:25.480
<v Speaker 1>this is really about Elon, and Elon himself trolls the

0:18:25.480 --> 0:18:28.199
<v Speaker 1>short sellers all the time, and so it's become this

0:18:28.320 --> 0:18:31.600
<v Speaker 1>long running war that is very personal between both sides,

0:18:31.720 --> 0:18:34.240
<v Speaker 1>and it's people are people are shorting the company because

0:18:34.280 --> 0:18:37.520
<v Speaker 1>they fundamentally do not believe you know, Elon and the

0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:40.320
<v Speaker 1>hype that he has created around himself, and so they

0:18:40.400 --> 0:18:44.200
<v Speaker 1>fundamentally have have issues with him as the chief executive

0:18:44.560 --> 0:18:47.200
<v Speaker 1>and with the company. The go private thing was just

0:18:47.280 --> 0:18:48.800
<v Speaker 1>kind of like the icing on the cake. I mean,

0:18:48.840 --> 0:18:51.800
<v Speaker 1>once that happened, like tesla Q just doubled down and

0:18:51.840 --> 0:18:53.359
<v Speaker 1>they will not be moved. You know, they will not

0:18:53.400 --> 0:18:55.120
<v Speaker 1>be moved. Now to be clear, some of that, I mean,

0:18:55.400 --> 0:18:58.120
<v Speaker 1>people everyone has a very different trading thing. Some some

0:18:58.200 --> 0:19:01.159
<v Speaker 1>people are swing traders, they trade every day, some or

0:19:01.200 --> 0:19:04.439
<v Speaker 1>puts some options. I mean some some people like they

0:19:04.520 --> 0:19:06.560
<v Speaker 1>might consider themselves a short but they might not have

0:19:06.600 --> 0:19:08.760
<v Speaker 1>an act of short position at this moment. I mean,

0:19:08.960 --> 0:19:11.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, that gets into like everyone has a fundamentally

0:19:11.560 --> 0:19:14.760
<v Speaker 1>different strategy when it comes to how they trade. Okay, so, Dan,

0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:19.359
<v Speaker 1>I'm closing question for you. You cover elon tesla so closely.

0:19:19.920 --> 0:19:22.480
<v Speaker 1>This was a kind of a longer, longer term story

0:19:22.520 --> 0:19:25.600
<v Speaker 1>that uh that you know is your first cover for

0:19:25.640 --> 0:19:31.679
<v Speaker 1>the magazine. What did you learn? That's a really good question.

0:19:31.720 --> 0:19:35.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I guess what I learned was just how

0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:39.960
<v Speaker 1>kind of diverse this community of tesla Q is. I mean,

0:19:39.960 --> 0:19:42.679
<v Speaker 1>to be honest, when I first saw Scobushka's tweets, I

0:19:42.720 --> 0:19:45.440
<v Speaker 1>thought that this guy was either a supplier or a contractor,

0:19:46.119 --> 0:19:48.880
<v Speaker 1>or an employee or a former employee. Like I never

0:19:48.880 --> 0:19:50.439
<v Speaker 1>would have guessed in a million years that he was

0:19:50.440 --> 0:19:52.439
<v Speaker 1>a graduate student. You know, I thought, for sure, this

0:19:52.480 --> 0:19:54.680
<v Speaker 1>guy must have some kind of in with the company.

0:19:54.720 --> 0:19:58.600
<v Speaker 1>But his research was so profoundly good. And then when

0:19:58.600 --> 0:20:00.640
<v Speaker 1>I met him, I was like, wait, you're a graduate

0:20:00.680 --> 0:20:03.399
<v Speaker 1>student writing a doctoral listener. You're like, you're just like

0:20:03.440 --> 0:20:07.720
<v Speaker 1>a guy, just like a guy exactly. It's a great story,

0:20:07.760 --> 0:20:11.080
<v Speaker 1>a must read. The cover story in this week's magazine,

0:20:11.119 --> 0:20:13.879
<v Speaker 1>Joel Webber, Thanks to you, Editor Bloomberg Business Week at

0:20:13.920 --> 0:20:16.440
<v Speaker 1>Dana Hall, she wrote the story. Tech reporter for Bloomberg

0:20:16.560 --> 0:20:19.400
<v Speaker 1>joining us from San Francisco. Need it out right now

0:20:19.520 --> 0:20:22.960
<v Speaker 1>as we speak. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

0:20:23.040 --> 0:20:27.119
<v Speaker 1>Messer and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. Certainly, one of

0:20:27.119 --> 0:20:29.840
<v Speaker 1>the big stories that continues to be on everyone's radar

0:20:29.960 --> 0:20:33.440
<v Speaker 1>is about the respiratory virus over in China. China ramping

0:20:33.520 --> 0:20:36.080
<v Speaker 1>up its efforts to contain it. Uh the virus so

0:20:36.119 --> 0:20:39.680
<v Speaker 1>far killing at least seventeen people, infecting hundreds as the

0:20:39.720 --> 0:20:43.560
<v Speaker 1>outbreak has spread beyond Asia. China State broadcaster CCTV her

0:20:43.640 --> 0:20:46.440
<v Speaker 1>Charlie talking about this earlier, reporting that the death toll

0:20:46.480 --> 0:20:48.879
<v Speaker 1>has nearly doubled from a previous total as I mentioned,

0:20:48.920 --> 0:20:53.240
<v Speaker 1>of nine. And there were two preliminary positive reports of

0:20:53.280 --> 0:20:56.160
<v Speaker 1>this virus in Hong Kong, another diagnosis in the US,

0:20:56.240 --> 0:20:59.439
<v Speaker 1>patients under examination in Mexico and Russia. So well, it

0:20:59.480 --> 0:21:01.600
<v Speaker 1>feels on what contained we are hearing more and more

0:21:01.920 --> 0:21:05.200
<v Speaker 1>about the spread. Let's get the latest on this. Bloomberg

0:21:05.200 --> 0:21:09.160
<v Speaker 1>News Health Science and Medical Technology reporter Michelle Cortez joining

0:21:09.200 --> 0:21:12.760
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from Minneapolis, So, Michelle, how should

0:21:12.760 --> 0:21:15.639
<v Speaker 1>we as investors view this? And I don't mean to

0:21:15.680 --> 0:21:18.680
<v Speaker 1>be so clinical about it, but we have seen it

0:21:18.800 --> 0:21:22.480
<v Speaker 1>impact the market. So is it contained? Are we getting

0:21:22.480 --> 0:21:26.919
<v Speaker 1>a better control of it? What are you hearing? It

0:21:27.040 --> 0:21:31.199
<v Speaker 1>is very much a situation that influx. We really don't know,

0:21:31.400 --> 0:21:35.320
<v Speaker 1>especially in the beginning. People are reporting out what's happening,

0:21:35.359 --> 0:21:38.400
<v Speaker 1>and the numbers are increasing dramatically every time we talk

0:21:38.480 --> 0:21:42.120
<v Speaker 1>to anybody in China or public health officials speak out.

0:21:42.480 --> 0:21:44.600
<v Speaker 1>The good news is it doesn't look like it's going

0:21:44.640 --> 0:21:47.240
<v Speaker 1>to be as severe as stars or maybe even mirrors,

0:21:47.680 --> 0:21:50.120
<v Speaker 1>or maybe even the seasonal flu. On the other hand,

0:21:50.200 --> 0:21:53.960
<v Speaker 1>it's so early and the case rates are increasing so quickly.

0:21:54.280 --> 0:21:57.000
<v Speaker 1>There's no guarantee. And Michelle, you know, one of the

0:21:57.040 --> 0:21:59.359
<v Speaker 1>things that some of our guests were saying earlier on

0:21:59.400 --> 0:22:02.280
<v Speaker 1>in the show is that there was a sense, as

0:22:02.320 --> 0:22:06.480
<v Speaker 1>we've talked to investors that people are sort of on it.

0:22:06.760 --> 0:22:11.920
<v Speaker 1>You know, that this wasn't allowed to spread literally your figuratively,

0:22:12.920 --> 0:22:16.480
<v Speaker 1>even the sort of the hysteria is probably not the

0:22:16.560 --> 0:22:20.080
<v Speaker 1>right word, but you know, this notion of you know,

0:22:20.160 --> 0:22:23.040
<v Speaker 1>maybe the institutions are sort of doing the things they're

0:22:23.040 --> 0:22:25.399
<v Speaker 1>supposed to do you know this better than we do.

0:22:25.520 --> 0:22:30.040
<v Speaker 1>What's your sense of the response and the response time here? Well,

0:22:30.080 --> 0:22:33.760
<v Speaker 1>you're absolutely correct. China has been so forthright, especially in

0:22:33.800 --> 0:22:36.399
<v Speaker 1>comparison with the Stars outbreak from two thousand and two

0:22:36.440 --> 0:22:39.560
<v Speaker 1>and two thousand and three. The important thing for investors

0:22:39.560 --> 0:22:42.480
<v Speaker 1>to keep in mind is, of course, is not the

0:22:42.520 --> 0:22:46.400
<v Speaker 1>actual severity of the outbreak itself. It's it's the response

0:22:46.440 --> 0:22:48.880
<v Speaker 1>that everyone takes in order to contain it. So we're

0:22:48.880 --> 0:22:51.639
<v Speaker 1>seeing like just breaking news right now. Uhan has shut

0:22:51.720 --> 0:22:54.080
<v Speaker 1>everything down. They're not letting people in and out of

0:22:54.080 --> 0:22:57.160
<v Speaker 1>the city, they're not letting people on buses, you can't

0:22:57.200 --> 0:22:59.960
<v Speaker 1>fly out, they've shut it all down. So if they

0:23:00.080 --> 0:23:02.680
<v Speaker 1>can do that, and that's you know, let a million people,

0:23:02.680 --> 0:23:06.280
<v Speaker 1>it's not small, but that's going to affect certain commerce there.

0:23:06.359 --> 0:23:10.040
<v Speaker 1>If that spreads within China, then that's where you're starting

0:23:10.040 --> 0:23:13.439
<v Speaker 1>to get your economic hit coming from. On the flip side,

0:23:13.720 --> 0:23:16.760
<v Speaker 1>there are no signs from the public health piece that

0:23:16.880 --> 0:23:20.400
<v Speaker 1>things are happening. We're not seeing human to human transition

0:23:21.040 --> 0:23:24.560
<v Speaker 1>in the second and third and fourth situations, right, So

0:23:24.600 --> 0:23:27.160
<v Speaker 1>it's not like we're seeing someone who's sick who then

0:23:27.200 --> 0:23:29.800
<v Speaker 1>gets their healthcare worker sick and then their healthcare worker

0:23:29.880 --> 0:23:32.719
<v Speaker 1>get someone sick. It's very much more contained than that

0:23:32.800 --> 0:23:36.040
<v Speaker 1>currently and the virus needs to be not mutating an

0:23:36.040 --> 0:23:39.080
<v Speaker 1>awful lot, so that's also good. But again from the

0:23:39.119 --> 0:23:42.520
<v Speaker 1>business perspective, they're just now starting to shut things down

0:23:42.560 --> 0:23:44.439
<v Speaker 1>and we don't know how far that's going to go. Well,

0:23:44.440 --> 0:23:47.200
<v Speaker 1>and I think we all, you know, can remember Stars,

0:23:47.560 --> 0:23:51.800
<v Speaker 1>right and what was it? I think killed people in

0:23:51.840 --> 0:23:54.160
<v Speaker 1>a in a short period of time, just a few months,

0:23:54.160 --> 0:23:57.240
<v Speaker 1>So I think that's our reference point. Um safe to

0:23:57.280 --> 0:23:59.680
<v Speaker 1>say one would hope that the world has learned something

0:23:59.720 --> 0:24:01.520
<v Speaker 1>by that at in it and that we are quickly,

0:24:02.160 --> 0:24:04.919
<v Speaker 1>you know, running to contain this. I mean there is

0:24:04.920 --> 0:24:08.919
<v Speaker 1>a difference, right, well, there's a significant difference. I mean

0:24:08.960 --> 0:24:11.600
<v Speaker 1>the situation with Stars is we didn't people didn't know

0:24:11.640 --> 0:24:13.560
<v Speaker 1>what to do. Not only do you know what to

0:24:13.600 --> 0:24:15.680
<v Speaker 1>do when they're taking that action quickly. I mean there

0:24:15.760 --> 0:24:17.639
<v Speaker 1>was a study in the New England Journal Medicine that

0:24:17.720 --> 0:24:21.080
<v Speaker 1>just one person on an airplane with Stars infected nineteen

0:24:21.160 --> 0:24:24.920
<v Speaker 1>other people around them, just in one flight. Now they're

0:24:24.920 --> 0:24:26.399
<v Speaker 1>not letting people get on a plane if you have

0:24:26.480 --> 0:24:30.000
<v Speaker 1>the fever, so you know, so so yes, we're definitely

0:24:30.119 --> 0:24:32.640
<v Speaker 1>much better than we were just quickly. There's a story

0:24:32.640 --> 0:24:34.800
<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg to that talks about a potential vaccine

0:24:34.840 --> 0:24:37.760
<v Speaker 1>to prevent the spreading of the virus. Uh maybe moving

0:24:37.760 --> 0:24:40.040
<v Speaker 1>into early stage human testing the next three months. This

0:24:40.160 --> 0:24:44.200
<v Speaker 1>is from the NIH. Uh they're infectious disease chief. Um,

0:24:44.280 --> 0:24:46.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, we're not quite there. It takes some time,

0:24:46.320 --> 0:24:48.840
<v Speaker 1>but at some point we might have a way of

0:24:48.880 --> 0:24:53.760
<v Speaker 1>controlling this. Absolutely true. Another thing that's very interesting, people

0:24:53.760 --> 0:24:56.680
<v Speaker 1>are moving aggressively into that. Maderna is the company that's

0:24:56.720 --> 0:24:58.880
<v Speaker 1>working on and I h with that, but there's other

0:24:58.960 --> 0:25:01.679
<v Speaker 1>companies as well, So that is a you know, a

0:25:01.720 --> 0:25:04.560
<v Speaker 1>positive negative thing. We you know, when these bad things

0:25:04.600 --> 0:25:06.800
<v Speaker 1>happen in our world, we do get an infusion of

0:25:06.880 --> 0:25:09.879
<v Speaker 1>interest and effort and money into some of these public

0:25:09.880 --> 0:25:13.160
<v Speaker 1>health efforts like ramping up vaccine. Than we are starting

0:25:13.200 --> 0:25:15.800
<v Speaker 1>to see that the early gave that first studies in

0:25:15.880 --> 0:25:18.159
<v Speaker 1>Man in three months. It will take years before it

0:25:18.200 --> 0:25:21.880
<v Speaker 1>actually is widely available. Great context. Thank you so much.

0:25:21.880 --> 0:25:25.240
<v Speaker 1>Michelle Cortes, l science and medical technology reporter for Bloomberg,

0:25:25.520 --> 0:25:33.480
<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from Minneapolis. Brom a journal Now,

0:25:33.520 --> 0:25:35.359
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive, Oh no, no, no, no,

0:25:35.600 --> 0:25:39.920
<v Speaker 1>who's going home? Honey? Please, I'll do the right gravel.

0:25:40.440 --> 0:25:48.560
<v Speaker 1>Excuse me, I want to drive, Just drive, baby. It's

0:25:48.640 --> 0:25:58.560
<v Speaker 1>the questions trying. This is the drive to the globe.

0:25:59.320 --> 0:26:03.720
<v Speaker 1>Give me thanks, world dry un. On Bloomberg Radio, it

0:26:03.840 --> 0:26:05.960
<v Speaker 1>is time for the drive to the close. Aliber Porscha

0:26:06.080 --> 0:26:09.200
<v Speaker 1>is back with US, chief market strategist at Rutimann Asset Management.

0:26:09.440 --> 0:26:12.600
<v Speaker 1>Over one point six billion in assets under management, based

0:26:12.640 --> 0:26:16.040
<v Speaker 1>in Connecticut. Right well, midtown, New York. Actually I live

0:26:16.080 --> 0:26:23.119
<v Speaker 1>in Connecticut, connecticution, big word on Bloomberg RADI in our

0:26:23.160 --> 0:26:25.840
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Interactive Broker's studio in New York. We kind of

0:26:25.880 --> 0:26:28.280
<v Speaker 1>like those big words occasionally. Well what all right? I'm

0:26:28.280 --> 0:26:30.040
<v Speaker 1>going to ask you? Since you live in Connecticut, can

0:26:30.040 --> 0:26:32.040
<v Speaker 1>I get real estate? We've been talking about the stories.

0:26:32.320 --> 0:26:35.639
<v Speaker 1>It's been having a tough time. Gave me this evil look.

0:26:35.880 --> 0:26:38.960
<v Speaker 1>Oh my lord. So well, I bought my house in

0:26:39.000 --> 0:26:41.159
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and four, and it's worth less today than

0:26:41.200 --> 0:26:44.760
<v Speaker 1>it wasn't two thousand four, by significant margin. And it's

0:26:44.760 --> 0:26:48.440
<v Speaker 1>not because I bought stupidly. Um. Look, I think it's

0:26:48.520 --> 0:26:52.480
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be ebb and flow. Right now, you're

0:26:52.480 --> 0:26:55.600
<v Speaker 1>still going through the shock of ge having moved out,

0:26:55.880 --> 0:26:58.720
<v Speaker 1>in particular in Fairfield, which is where I live. You've

0:26:58.720 --> 0:27:01.919
<v Speaker 1>got the tax situation, you get the fiscal state of

0:27:01.960 --> 0:27:04.880
<v Speaker 1>the state that's not particularly great, although it has improved

0:27:04.920 --> 0:27:06.920
<v Speaker 1>significantly in the last couple of years in terms of

0:27:06.960 --> 0:27:11.119
<v Speaker 1>reserves and everything else. Um. Look, you know, real estate

0:27:11.200 --> 0:27:14.560
<v Speaker 1>has always been a long term proposition. I know we've

0:27:14.640 --> 0:27:17.600
<v Speaker 1>gone through cycles of flipping homes and we know where

0:27:17.600 --> 0:27:20.400
<v Speaker 1>that ended in two thousand seven, two thousand eight, So

0:27:20.520 --> 0:27:23.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm not overly concerned about on a long term basis.

0:27:23.119 --> 0:27:24.600
<v Speaker 1>At the end of the day, it's going to come

0:27:24.640 --> 0:27:28.919
<v Speaker 1>down to Canada State, like any state, get businesses to

0:27:28.960 --> 0:27:32.400
<v Speaker 1>come in, get investment going, and get people to want

0:27:32.440 --> 0:27:34.720
<v Speaker 1>to live there. I think they've got plenty of people

0:27:34.720 --> 0:27:36.840
<v Speaker 1>who want to live there. It's a question of affordability

0:27:36.840 --> 0:27:39.600
<v Speaker 1>and jobs exactly. Does come down to that, right, that's

0:27:39.640 --> 0:27:41.520
<v Speaker 1>the mix. Um, thank you for doing that. I was

0:27:41.560 --> 0:27:43.720
<v Speaker 1>just curious since we've been talking a lot about it. Hey,

0:27:43.800 --> 0:27:46.480
<v Speaker 1>let's also, um, talk about the market. You walked in

0:27:46.640 --> 0:27:50.080
<v Speaker 1>and we're like, you were like, we're after a strong start, um,

0:27:50.119 --> 0:27:52.119
<v Speaker 1>and I'm like, wait a minute, you know, kind of

0:27:52.160 --> 0:27:53.520
<v Speaker 1>do you buy it? I mean, do you think the

0:27:53.520 --> 0:27:56.560
<v Speaker 1>fundamentals are there over I think they're generally there, yes,

0:27:56.600 --> 0:27:58.880
<v Speaker 1>And I say that for a couple of reasons. Number One,

0:27:58.880 --> 0:28:01.280
<v Speaker 1>while everybody likes to talk at how well the market

0:28:01.320 --> 0:28:04.359
<v Speaker 1>stocks did in two thousand and nineteen, if you go

0:28:04.440 --> 0:28:07.520
<v Speaker 1>back to October one, SMP is only about ten percent higher,

0:28:07.800 --> 0:28:10.440
<v Speaker 1>So you have to take into account that sharp dip

0:28:10.480 --> 0:28:13.840
<v Speaker 1>that we saw in the fourth quarter of two thousand eighteen. Also,

0:28:14.119 --> 0:28:17.040
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the headwinds that we faced going into

0:28:17.080 --> 0:28:21.200
<v Speaker 1>two thousand nineteen are now gone or about to be gone.

0:28:21.600 --> 0:28:24.320
<v Speaker 1>Trade is looking pretty stable with regards to u c

0:28:24.560 --> 0:28:27.920
<v Speaker 1>M H u C M c A having been done,

0:28:28.040 --> 0:28:31.119
<v Speaker 1>as well as the Phase one trade deal with China.

0:28:31.920 --> 0:28:34.639
<v Speaker 1>It's unlikely that you're going to see a lot of

0:28:34.680 --> 0:28:38.120
<v Speaker 1>more trade, hard trade talk out of the administration, or

0:28:38.120 --> 0:28:41.560
<v Speaker 1>certainly not action against Europe during the election year because

0:28:41.600 --> 0:28:44.400
<v Speaker 1>they just don't want to rattle that cage. The FED

0:28:44.480 --> 0:28:46.959
<v Speaker 1>has effectively told us, hey, we're standing pat We're not

0:28:47.000 --> 0:28:50.480
<v Speaker 1>planning on doing anything this year, which incidentally also falls

0:28:50.520 --> 0:28:52.680
<v Speaker 1>in line with what they like to do during election years.

0:28:52.680 --> 0:28:55.760
<v Speaker 1>They don't like to be particularly active in election years, right,

0:28:55.880 --> 0:28:58.480
<v Speaker 1>And you've got an economy that's kind of pottering along.

0:28:58.760 --> 0:29:01.040
<v Speaker 1>So you could take all of the those things along

0:29:01.080 --> 0:29:03.720
<v Speaker 1>with what's presumed to be probably somewhere around five six

0:29:03.760 --> 0:29:07.040
<v Speaker 1>seven percent earnings growth for the year, because comparables are

0:29:07.040 --> 0:29:08.720
<v Speaker 1>going to get so much easier this year than they

0:29:08.760 --> 0:29:11.560
<v Speaker 1>were last year. I mean, there's reason for optimism. What

0:29:11.600 --> 0:29:13.600
<v Speaker 1>was earnings growth by the end of last year? What

0:29:13.600 --> 0:29:15.880
<v Speaker 1>do we see last year? What were all in We

0:29:15.960 --> 0:29:19.360
<v Speaker 1>saw a drop of about two percent year over year,

0:29:19.560 --> 0:29:23.320
<v Speaker 1>and yet the market rallied again forward expectations, right, and

0:29:23.720 --> 0:29:26.480
<v Speaker 1>so the expectation and what you saw really is a

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:29.160
<v Speaker 1>strong rebound in the first quarter of two thousand nineteen,

0:29:29.520 --> 0:29:32.080
<v Speaker 1>nothing in a second and third quarter, and then another

0:29:32.120 --> 0:29:35.160
<v Speaker 1>ten percent rally in the fourth quarter as trade, brexit

0:29:35.440 --> 0:29:38.360
<v Speaker 1>and interest rates became fairly clear and towards this year.

0:29:38.400 --> 0:29:42.000
<v Speaker 1>So there are fundamental justifications, alright. So let's talk about

0:29:42.000 --> 0:29:46.040
<v Speaker 1>some names that you like in this current environment. Adobe

0:29:46.400 --> 0:29:50.880
<v Speaker 1>is an interesting one to me, especially because the cloud

0:29:50.920 --> 0:29:52.560
<v Speaker 1>they're sort of playing in there. We talked about the

0:29:52.600 --> 0:29:56.080
<v Speaker 1>clouds so much, but usually in the context of the

0:29:56.080 --> 0:29:59.520
<v Speaker 1>big names, the Amazons to Googles, and more recently yesterday

0:29:59.560 --> 0:30:02.960
<v Speaker 1>and today IBM with with Redhead talk about Adobe in

0:30:03.000 --> 0:30:06.120
<v Speaker 1>that content. Well, Adobe to us has really been successful

0:30:06.160 --> 0:30:08.800
<v Speaker 1>at moving to a subscription model, which carries a higher

0:30:08.880 --> 0:30:11.960
<v Speaker 1>multiple and profitability on a long term basis. They've become

0:30:12.000 --> 0:30:15.360
<v Speaker 1>a one stop shop for marketing. Right. You can pretty

0:30:15.440 --> 0:30:19.760
<v Speaker 1>much do everything with the uh the Adobe suite of applications.

0:30:20.080 --> 0:30:21.640
<v Speaker 1>And so when we look at that, we think that

0:30:21.680 --> 0:30:24.840
<v Speaker 1>there's a tremendous amount of potential. And in particular, while

0:30:24.840 --> 0:30:28.880
<v Speaker 1>they've underperformed and has been challenging, their enterprise software has

0:30:28.920 --> 0:30:31.120
<v Speaker 1>got a lot of upside potential. So we like the

0:30:31.160 --> 0:30:33.640
<v Speaker 1>stock and we think it's a category winner. This stock

0:30:33.880 --> 0:30:38.000
<v Speaker 1>is up over a thousand percent um since the end

0:30:38.040 --> 0:30:42.000
<v Speaker 1>of even a thousand percent just year after year after

0:30:42.080 --> 0:30:45.120
<v Speaker 1>year after games. And we prefer buying strong companies that

0:30:45.160 --> 0:30:48.560
<v Speaker 1>are up sharply than companies that we think are undervalued

0:30:48.560 --> 0:30:52.160
<v Speaker 1>because something went wrong. Wait it again, we'd prefer to

0:30:52.200 --> 0:30:54.400
<v Speaker 1>buy in an up market like we've seen over the

0:30:54.440 --> 0:30:58.000
<v Speaker 1>last decade. We would much rather pay and own a

0:30:58.080 --> 0:31:01.520
<v Speaker 1>strong company that's performed very very well then a company

0:31:01.560 --> 0:31:04.480
<v Speaker 1>that we think might be undervalued because something's gone wrong.

0:31:04.560 --> 0:31:06.680
<v Speaker 1>So forward looking pe if thirty six doesn't are you

0:31:06.880 --> 0:31:08.960
<v Speaker 1>it does not because as long as the growth is delivered,

0:31:09.000 --> 0:31:11.560
<v Speaker 1>then we're in good shape. Yeah, this is just as

0:31:11.600 --> 0:31:14.720
<v Speaker 1>as you say, just smartly back to uh even at

0:31:14.760 --> 0:31:17.120
<v Speaker 1>the beginning of tween nineteen, just a nice little steady

0:31:18.040 --> 0:31:21.320
<v Speaker 1>rise up. Talk to us about Bristol Myers Squib. Obviously

0:31:21.640 --> 0:31:25.080
<v Speaker 1>a dealmaker in some ways. Is that what makes this

0:31:25.120 --> 0:31:27.600
<v Speaker 1>a more attractive stack? Yes, in many ways it does

0:31:27.680 --> 0:31:29.760
<v Speaker 1>so a couple of things. If you think about healthcare

0:31:29.840 --> 0:31:32.640
<v Speaker 1>companies as a whole, they have a huge problem as

0:31:32.640 --> 0:31:35.960
<v Speaker 1>a sector, which is effectively declining revenues and profits because

0:31:35.960 --> 0:31:38.440
<v Speaker 1>so much stuff is coming off patent. That holds true

0:31:38.440 --> 0:31:41.440
<v Speaker 1>for the industry. Some of them are executing better than others.

0:31:41.760 --> 0:31:44.440
<v Speaker 1>In the case of Bristol Myers Squib, they bought cell

0:31:44.520 --> 0:31:47.840
<v Speaker 1>Gene and so they've effectively emande their way out of

0:31:47.840 --> 0:31:50.480
<v Speaker 1>their declining earnings and revenues. And we think that it's

0:31:50.480 --> 0:31:53.240
<v Speaker 1>a strong management team. We like the balance sheet, we

0:31:53.360 --> 0:31:56.440
<v Speaker 1>like the outlook. We think they're gonna do more strategic

0:31:56.520 --> 0:31:59.160
<v Speaker 1>acquisitions and as a result, we see a pretty strong

0:31:59.200 --> 0:32:01.000
<v Speaker 1>path in the industree right, and then you've got to

0:32:01.000 --> 0:32:03.000
<v Speaker 1>dividend almost two point seven percent on top of it.

0:32:03.040 --> 0:32:06.200
<v Speaker 1>All um intuitive Surgical ticker I s r G For

0:32:06.200 --> 0:32:08.920
<v Speaker 1>those who might have forgotten, we're talking about robotic surgery.

0:32:09.040 --> 0:32:11.480
<v Speaker 1>Robotic surgery, which is the wave of the future. Every

0:32:11.560 --> 0:32:13.560
<v Speaker 1>year when you look at that industry, more and more

0:32:13.600 --> 0:32:18.000
<v Speaker 1>hospitals and and and now even already an enormous amount,

0:32:18.120 --> 0:32:21.520
<v Speaker 1>but it's still just scratching the surface. And they intuitive

0:32:21.600 --> 0:32:23.640
<v Speaker 1>is ten years ahead of their nearest competitor in terms

0:32:23.680 --> 0:32:26.360
<v Speaker 1>of their technology. So again, if you believe that that's

0:32:26.360 --> 0:32:29.640
<v Speaker 1>going to continue to grow, which we certainly do, and

0:32:29.720 --> 0:32:31.840
<v Speaker 1>be part of the landscape, then you want to own

0:32:31.840 --> 0:32:34.680
<v Speaker 1>the category killer. And that's intuitive right now, Revenues up

0:32:36.040 --> 0:32:39.320
<v Speaker 1>year over year, earnings growth of about five point six

0:32:39.320 --> 0:32:44.920
<v Speaker 1>percent year over year. Alright, big biggest worry about this

0:32:44.960 --> 0:32:48.040
<v Speaker 1>market right now, you don't sound worried. Well, the biggest

0:32:48.080 --> 0:32:52.520
<v Speaker 1>worry is that economic data continues to deteriorate, and so

0:32:52.560 --> 0:32:55.400
<v Speaker 1>that we get into kind of April May with very

0:32:55.400 --> 0:32:58.560
<v Speaker 1>weak data and the two two to three GDP growth

0:32:58.720 --> 0:33:01.000
<v Speaker 1>that is our base assumption doesn't come true and gets

0:33:01.000 --> 0:33:03.760
<v Speaker 1>a one handle. That will be problematic for investors. Would

0:33:03.760 --> 0:33:06.400
<v Speaker 1>the FED maybe move then I doubt it. Yeah, I

0:33:06.440 --> 0:33:08.680
<v Speaker 1>think you'd have to see low ones or below one

0:33:08.720 --> 0:33:10.800
<v Speaker 1>for the FED to move, especially in an election year,

0:33:10.840 --> 0:33:13.800
<v Speaker 1>it feels like all right. Oliver Proporcha is Chief market

0:33:13.840 --> 0:33:17.320
<v Speaker 1>Strategies for Bruderman Asset Management up there in Connecticut, gave

0:33:17.440 --> 0:33:19.400
<v Speaker 1>us some good context on that. He's here in our

0:33:19.400 --> 0:33:24.000
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Interactor Broker Studio today, some really interesting ideas as

0:33:24.040 --> 0:33:28.280
<v Speaker 1>we move deeply into Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week.

0:33:28.400 --> 0:33:31.160
<v Speaker 1>You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or

0:33:31.160 --> 0:33:33.600
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com. You can also listen to our radio

0:33:33.640 --> 0:33:36.720
<v Speaker 1>show every weekday at two pm Eastern only on Bloomberg

0:33:36.800 --> 0:33:37.080
<v Speaker 1>Radio