WEBVTT - NFL Week 11 Predictions: Chiefs-Broncos, Lions-Eagles, Seahawks-Rams, Bucs-Bills | Nick Wright

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome in. We'll drive in the great episode three ninety two,

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<v Speaker 1>our week eleven NFL gambling show, and this episode is

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<v Speaker 1>brought to you by our friends at boost Mobile, who

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<v Speaker 1>out anyway, and also shout out our friends at hard

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<v Speaker 1>going to be discussing here. And shout out all of

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<v Speaker 1>you who have like, rated and subscribed to the pod.

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<v Speaker 1>and Spotify and all of that. And for our Spotify listeners,

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<v Speaker 1>our you know, biggest Spotify listeners should begin a nice

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<v Speaker 1>little Spotify rap video for me here in a few weeks.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, last week we needed to go three and

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<v Speaker 1>two to be at an even five hundred. We thought

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<v Speaker 1>we had the three and two locked up. Sadly the

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<v Speaker 1>Jags with an all time gag job. So we'll go

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<v Speaker 1>over it now. Atlantap plus six and a half against Indy.

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<v Speaker 1>They could have maybe should have won. They lose by

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<v Speaker 1>six in overtime. That's a winner. Tampa minus two and

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<v Speaker 1>a half against New England and by the way, let

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<v Speaker 1>me say one thing about Atlanta versus Indy. First, if

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<v Speaker 1>you remember, part of my handicap on that game was

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<v Speaker 1>this was Indie minus five and a half and then

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<v Speaker 1>they traded for sauce, it moved to six and a

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<v Speaker 1>half and I said, no, corner is worth a point

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<v Speaker 1>and that point ended up being the difference between a

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<v Speaker 1>one and the loss. Just saying, Tampa minus two and

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<v Speaker 1>a half against New England's on the wrong side of that,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a loser. Jacksonville minus won at Houston. They're up

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen against Davis Mills in the fourth quarter, they somehow lose.

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<v Speaker 1>Just pathetic. Chicago minus three and a half against the Giants,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe a little lucky they were down ten late they

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<v Speaker 1>came back to win. And Pittsburgh plus three against the Chargers.

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<v Speaker 1>That was a bad pick. So two and three, two

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<v Speaker 1>games under again, trudging along. Need to get hot, but

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<v Speaker 1>this is similar to last year, and last year we

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<v Speaker 1>finished red hot, so I'm not worried. Today's show is

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<v Speaker 1>and neither does the data in there. Here are some

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<v Speaker 1>that stood out to me. Travis Kelcey has gone for

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<v Speaker 1>at least forty five yards receiving in seven straight Divisional games.

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<v Speaker 1>His total is set at forty three and a half

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<v Speaker 1>this week against the Broncos, and the Seahawks have won

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<v Speaker 1>ten straight on the road. They're underdogs in LA against

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<v Speaker 1>the Rams this week. Check out the stats up now,

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<v Speaker 1>New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. All right, I'm gonna

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<v Speaker 1>quickly run through the stay away since Demanday's not here today.

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<v Speaker 1>Will be a quicker show. Chargers at Jacksonville, Jacksonville getting

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<v Speaker 1>two and a half. I think the Chargers win. However,

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<v Speaker 1>that banged up Chargers oh line coming off a great

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<v Speaker 1>game against the Jags defense gave me just enough pause

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<v Speaker 1>to stay away, even though the Jags have looked just

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<v Speaker 1>so bad ever since they beat Kansas City. So I'm

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<v Speaker 1>staying away there. If I was going to go with

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<v Speaker 1>my lean would be the Chargers. Houston at the Titans,

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<v Speaker 1>the Titans getting six and a half. It's I cannot

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<v Speaker 1>lay a touchdown with Davis. I also can't bet the

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<v Speaker 1>Titans getting less than a touchdown, and so that's just

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<v Speaker 1>stay away. Cincinnati at Pittsburgh Pittsburgh laying five points. We

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<v Speaker 1>love Pittsburgh as a divisional dog. We really like Pittsburgh

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<v Speaker 1>laying less than three points in divisional games. We don't

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<v Speaker 1>so much love them laying five, So we're staying away there.

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<v Speaker 1>Carolina at Atlanta, Atlanta laying three and a half at

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<v Speaker 1>home Atlanta's I watched Atlanta for all sixty minutes last

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<v Speaker 1>weekend and it was just such a pathetic game plan that,

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<v Speaker 1>even though Carolina has been a really bad road team,

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<v Speaker 1>I just don't feel comfortable rolling with the Falcons, so

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<v Speaker 1>that's a stay away. Green Bay at the Giants, the

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<v Speaker 1>Giants getting seven at home. I green Bay's offense has

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<v Speaker 1>been so bad against bad teams that you feel like

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<v Speaker 1>you should just take the seven points with the Giants.

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<v Speaker 1>The problem is the boom bust potential of Jamis makes

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<v Speaker 1>it scary. I know they fired the coach, as long

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<v Speaker 1>as you get a fired coach bounce. I just feel

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<v Speaker 1>like a Jamis picked six to ruin a potential cover

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<v Speaker 1>is too painful, So I'm staying away. Seattle at the Rams.

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<v Speaker 1>The Rams are favored by three. I expect the Rams

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<v Speaker 1>to win by three, so the Lion is perfect. There's

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<v Speaker 1>no value there. Both of these teams, by the way,

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<v Speaker 1>are seven and two straight up and seven and two

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<v Speaker 1>against the spread. I'll stay away there. Baltimore at Cleveland

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<v Speaker 1>plus seven and a half if I had more when

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<v Speaker 1>we're recording this, there's still a little bit of question

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<v Speaker 1>about Lamar's health, so therefore I can't bet Baltimore. I

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<v Speaker 1>would never bet Dylan Gabriel getting you know, barely more

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<v Speaker 1>than a touchdown against a good team, and Baltimore's a

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<v Speaker 1>good team now. But because I don't know if what lamar,

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on with Lamorrow's stay away there. Detroit at

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<v Speaker 1>Philly Philly two and a half point favorites. I stared

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<v Speaker 1>long and heard at Detroit. If at any point this

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<v Speaker 1>line moves to three, I will jump on Detroit. But

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<v Speaker 1>at two and a half, it's just not I I

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<v Speaker 1>feel like fading the Eagles right now and getting less

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<v Speaker 1>than a field goal in Philly, particularly with potential bad

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<v Speaker 1>weather being a part of that game and what that

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<v Speaker 1>does to golf. That concerns me too much. But at three,

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<v Speaker 1>I bet Detroit and then Dallas at the Raiders. The

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<v Speaker 1>Raiders getting three and a half at just a gross

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<v Speaker 1>Monday night football game. I like Dallas, but Dallas also doesn't.

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<v Speaker 1>Betting on laying more than a field goal on the

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<v Speaker 1>road with the Cowboys is more respect and that team deserves.

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<v Speaker 1>The coltson Saints are on a bye, and that leaves

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<v Speaker 1>us these five picks. I liked Miami minus two and

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<v Speaker 1>a half against Washington when I briefly thought the game

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<v Speaker 1>was in Washington. I love it when it's on a

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<v Speaker 1>neutral site in Madrid. I think Washington is just flatly two.

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<v Speaker 1>Injured quarterback out a half dozen defensive players out that

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<v Speaker 1>Washington is so banged up, Miami all of a sudden,

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<v Speaker 1>sneaky good vibes. I know Tua has not done well

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<v Speaker 1>in his international starts, but one of those was against

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<v Speaker 1>the Chiefs. I'll throw that one out. I think Washington

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<v Speaker 1>is just right now one of the softer spots in

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<v Speaker 1>the league until Jaden gets back, and I'm laying less

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<v Speaker 1>than a field goal, I'll take Miami minus two and

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<v Speaker 1>a half from Madrid. Chicago getting three at Minnesota. I

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<v Speaker 1>didn't know this, but this is crazy. The Vikings are

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<v Speaker 1>zero to six against the spread after facing the Lions

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<v Speaker 1>under Kevin O'Connell. That one, I mean, that's that's It's

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<v Speaker 1>not nothing the that that applied the last week's game

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<v Speaker 1>against the Ravens. So maybe I wish I knew it then.

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<v Speaker 1>I thought Minnesota had a lot of opportunities against Baltimore.

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<v Speaker 1>I didn't think Baltimore played that well and they just

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<v Speaker 1>couldn't make the most of them. I think Chicago likely

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<v Speaker 1>wins this game outright, and I'm getting three points. Also,

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<v Speaker 1>I like getting that all of a sudden, very explosive

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<v Speaker 1>Chicago offense in a dome so Chicago getting a full

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<v Speaker 1>three at Minnesota. When I think Chicago can win out right,

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<v Speaker 1>I'll roll with them. Tampa getting five and a half

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<v Speaker 1>at Buffalo, I just don't know that right now. Buffalo

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<v Speaker 1>deserves to be laying more than three and a half

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<v Speaker 1>against any really good team, and I think Tampa's a

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<v Speaker 1>really good team. They're also, this will be the first

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<v Speaker 1>game maybe all year, where Tampa is the healthier team.

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<v Speaker 1>They might have Bucky Irving back, they might have Chris

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<v Speaker 1>Godwin back. At Buffalo meanwhile, is super banged up. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't need Tampa to win out right, even though I

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<v Speaker 1>think they could. I just need them to keep it,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, manageable and their healthier, and Buffalo I think

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<v Speaker 1>has some soul searching to do. Tampa plus five and

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<v Speaker 1>a half probably my I'm not gonna call it my favorite,

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<v Speaker 1>but I like this a lot, even though all the

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<v Speaker 1>trends are against me because Shanahan has not covered against

0:11:07.440 --> 0:11:13.520
<v Speaker 1>the Cardinals and Arizona is pretty good as a covering

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<v Speaker 1>team coming off a loss. But San Francisco minus two

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<v Speaker 1>and a half at Arizona, I think Arizona is a

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<v Speaker 1>bit of a mess. We just saw them get absolutely

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<v Speaker 1>demolished this past weekend. San Francisco reckon should have party back.

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<v Speaker 2>Now.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think there's a big difference between Purdy and

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<v Speaker 1>mac Jones at this point, but they should have party back,

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<v Speaker 1>and they are. They understand that it's gonna be between

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<v Speaker 1>them and Chicago for that final playoff spot. This is

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<v Speaker 1>a game you've got to take care of business. I

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<v Speaker 1>love that I don't have to lay three and a half.

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<v Speaker 1>Just feels like San Francisco can control this game and

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<v Speaker 1>win by three points. And I'm only laying the two

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<v Speaker 1>and a half. So I'll take San Francisco minus the

0:12:05.880 --> 0:12:09.520
<v Speaker 1>two and a half, and last, but not least, the

0:12:09.640 --> 0:12:13.560
<v Speaker 1>Chiefs laying three and a half at Denver. I be

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<v Speaker 1>if you got this right when it opened at three,

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<v Speaker 1>good for you. I may have gotten it right when

0:12:20.080 --> 0:12:22.560
<v Speaker 1>it opened at three, but I will still lay the

0:12:22.600 --> 0:12:25.400
<v Speaker 1>three and a half. I just do not think bo

0:12:25.600 --> 0:12:29.880
<v Speaker 1>Nicks can get this Broncos deep offense to more than

0:12:29.920 --> 0:12:33.360
<v Speaker 1>seventeen points. So then the question is do I think

0:12:33.400 --> 0:12:37.360
<v Speaker 1>the Chiefs can score twenty one even against that Denver defense.

0:12:37.480 --> 0:12:40.800
<v Speaker 1>I think they can. My real analysis of this game

0:12:40.840 --> 0:12:44.120
<v Speaker 1>and everything about it you can hear on yesterday's pod.

0:12:45.200 --> 0:12:47.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, around the ten minute mark, we get into

0:12:47.480 --> 0:12:49.960
<v Speaker 1>it if you want to hear more there. So our

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<v Speaker 1>five picks this week are Miami minus two and a

0:12:53.280 --> 0:12:57.800
<v Speaker 1>half in Madrid against Washington, Chicago plus three at Minnesota,

0:12:58.200 --> 0:13:01.840
<v Speaker 1>Tampa plus five and a half at Buffalo, San Francisco,

0:13:02.040 --> 0:13:05.120
<v Speaker 1>minus two and a half at Arizona, and Kansas City

0:13:05.520 --> 0:13:09.360
<v Speaker 1>minus three and a half at Denver. Before we get

0:13:09.400 --> 0:13:12.719
<v Speaker 1>to Demanse's teaser, which we will give you even though

0:13:12.760 --> 0:13:15.240
<v Speaker 1>he's not here, and even though he is ice cold.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, I told Demons last week he had a

0:13:58.600 --> 0:14:03.280
<v Speaker 1>bad teaser. He didn't listen to me. His record falls

0:14:03.280 --> 0:14:08.000
<v Speaker 1>to four and six. He had Buffalo minus one teased

0:14:08.160 --> 0:14:13.040
<v Speaker 1>through the zero or not through the zero? Yeah, hold on,

0:14:13.320 --> 0:14:17.800
<v Speaker 1>yeah teased not through the zero. He teased Cleveland through

0:14:17.800 --> 0:14:21.360
<v Speaker 1>the zero plus six. Those both lost, and he had

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<v Speaker 1>Philly plus ten. This week, Demons is once again I

0:14:27.360 --> 0:14:32.720
<v Speaker 1>am listen. He's got baby brain. I'll let you guys

0:14:32.760 --> 0:14:35.800
<v Speaker 1>hear it. Here's Demonse with his week eleven teaser.

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<v Speaker 2>Hello, what's right? Team? I just wanted to say thank

0:14:38.680 --> 0:14:42.080
<v Speaker 2>you from the bottom of my heart for the warm

0:14:42.120 --> 0:14:45.960
<v Speaker 2>congratulations and the welcoming of Mila. You guys are all awesome,

0:14:46.080 --> 0:14:48.040
<v Speaker 2>and I'm sorry if I didn't get back to anybody,

0:14:48.440 --> 0:14:51.600
<v Speaker 2>but is greatly appreciated and I can't wait to talk

0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:53.400
<v Speaker 2>to you guys in a couple weeks. Here. I hope

0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:58.000
<v Speaker 2>everybody's doing good. But the week eleven teaser eight pointer

0:14:58.840 --> 0:15:02.120
<v Speaker 2>three teamer per usual, Texans up to plus one and

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<v Speaker 2>a half. We're gonna tease the Dolphins until plus five

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<v Speaker 2>and a half and tease the Bucks up to plus thirteen.

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<v Speaker 2>I know it's been a while since I won one

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<v Speaker 2>of these, but I feel like I have luck on

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<v Speaker 2>my side, and uh yeah, just ride with me. So

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<v Speaker 2>this is the week of EVI a teaser Texans one

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<v Speaker 2>and a half Dolphins plus five and a half bucks

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<v Speaker 2>to plus thirteen.

0:15:21.400 --> 0:15:25.800
<v Speaker 1>That's right, all right, So he's actually gonna get uh

0:15:27.600 --> 0:15:30.200
<v Speaker 1>thirteen and a half on the bucks because when he

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<v Speaker 1>called it in they were five. They're now five and

0:15:32.400 --> 0:15:36.880
<v Speaker 1>a half. I these are I mean, we're just what

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<v Speaker 1>if I we're teasing through the zero with Miami and

0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:47.520
<v Speaker 1>get not getting key numbers. We're teasing through the zero

0:15:47.680 --> 0:15:54.400
<v Speaker 1>with Houston and not getting I Again, he's been focused

0:15:54.440 --> 0:16:00.000
<v Speaker 1>on more important things. But fair is fair. Demons's first

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<v Speaker 1>teaser as a father gets an F. I'm rooting for

0:16:03.640 --> 0:16:07.560
<v Speaker 1>your son, but that gets an F. Touchdown Genie time

0:16:08.000 --> 0:16:11.360
<v Speaker 1>last week, I went off the board and said give

0:16:11.400 --> 0:16:17.920
<v Speaker 1>me Kyle Maanungai and he scored immediately. Immediately, Kyle Manungui scored.

0:16:18.280 --> 0:16:24.200
<v Speaker 1>We stay lifetime undefeated on toouchdown. Genie. I said to

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<v Speaker 1>the group today, hey, I really like Josh Jacobs against

0:16:30.880 --> 0:16:34.000
<v Speaker 1>the Giants to get a touchdown, and they said to me, yes,

0:16:34.080 --> 0:16:37.360
<v Speaker 1>so does the whole world he's minus three hundred. I said, God,

0:16:37.480 --> 0:16:42.840
<v Speaker 1>dog it, So I'm gonna do something we haven't done before.

0:16:43.400 --> 0:16:50.080
<v Speaker 1>Touchdown Jeanie parlay, Josh Jacobs and Christian McCaffrey parlay together

0:16:50.200 --> 0:16:54.560
<v Speaker 1>minus one twenty two cash that in. We don't do

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<v Speaker 1>it every week, but I'm feeling hot on touchdown Genie.

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<v Speaker 1>Now the group has an offer for me. Last week,

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<v Speaker 1>I think we had Jonathan Taylor and Bjon Robinson to

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<v Speaker 1>both score a touchdown, but the Falcons instead just gave

0:17:08.200 --> 0:17:11.680
<v Speaker 1>Tyler Algee or Bijeon's red zone touches, so it did

0:17:11.720 --> 0:17:16.320
<v Speaker 1>not hit. This week, the offers Trevor and Jamis to

0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:21.560
<v Speaker 1>throw a pick plus one thirty six or plus one

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<v Speaker 1>forty Sadly, I'll take it. That seems Trevor to throw

0:17:28.160 --> 0:17:30.640
<v Speaker 1>a pick against the Chargers, Jamis to throw a pick

0:17:30.640 --> 0:17:36.679
<v Speaker 1>against the Packers. Sadly, two number one picks to throw picks.

0:17:36.840 --> 0:17:40.280
<v Speaker 1>I'll take it. Like rate subscribe review, thank you de Monsey,

0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:42.720
<v Speaker 1>thank you Blue Dock, thank you Volume and shout out

0:17:42.720 --> 0:17:45.159
<v Speaker 1>hard Rock, Bett Boost and of course our friends It's in.

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<v Speaker 1>Enjoy an amazing weekend of football. Talk to you guys

0:17:48.760 --> 0:17:49.680
<v Speaker 1>on Tuesday. What's right