1 00:00:01,200 --> 00:00:04,520 Speaker 1: A All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College 2 00:00:04,559 --> 00:00:08,719 Speaker 1: Football Show. It is a beautiful November afternoon following the 3 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:12,680 Speaker 1: release of the first college football playoff rankings, and today 4 00:00:12,720 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 1: we make our picks and predictions for Week eleven of 5 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 1: the season. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and I'm joined 6 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: by a guy looking as fresh as ever today, Treelle 7 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 1: Furman Junior. Happy November, dude. 8 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, a happy November. Happy college football playoff time. We're 9 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:30,880 Speaker 2: you know what I'm here. I had to take accountability 10 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 2: rough week last week, very very rough week. A lot 11 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 2: of things. The ball did not bounce our way. And 12 00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 2: to this point, to this day, I am still trying 13 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:42,200 Speaker 2: to figure out how I did not cash Duke plus 14 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 2: twenty one with the one point game in the fourth quarter. 15 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 2: I have no idea how that bet didn't hit. If 16 00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:49,199 Speaker 2: there was a bet that I could have told you, 17 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:51,199 Speaker 2: I would have lost, and you told me I had 18 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 2: a one point game with Duke in the fourth quarter 19 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 2: versus Miami, I would have told you it wasn't that one. 20 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 2: So yeah. But shout out to the YouTube shortskys because 21 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 2: diego pop another outright late. He's a dog. 22 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 1: Let's go let's go. We're also joined by a man 23 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:09,039 Speaker 1: who's getting back on the saddle himself today, noted Texas 24 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 1: Longhorned fan, noted Aggie Hater as well, Scott Bogman. What's up, man, 25 00:01:13,680 --> 00:01:16,399 Speaker 1: Have you recovered from Massive Tuesday in the sports world? 26 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:22,080 Speaker 3: Yeah? Yeah, I mean, I'm telling you the everything that 27 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 3: Trell said is correct. The stuff that I got right 28 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:27,320 Speaker 3: on this show, I didn't put on my best bet show, 29 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 3: and I got all that stuff wrong pretty much, you know, 30 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 3: after going six and oh five and one down to 31 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:37,039 Speaker 3: one and six. So you will be humbled if you 32 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 3: keep gambling. It is going to happen, of course. And 33 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 3: I didn't put that Miami cover on my best bet sheet, 34 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 3: so it did cover. 35 00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:47,880 Speaker 2: That was right, That's exactly why it happenedous. 36 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:51,120 Speaker 3: So I picked the under in All Miss in Arkansas 37 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 3: because I've been playing great defense and All Miss has 38 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 3: not been clicking on offense, and they scored ninety four points. 39 00:01:57,000 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 3: You know. So sometimes you're the bug sometimes to the windshield, 40 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 3: and we were with the bug last week. But we're 41 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 3: gonna be the windshield this week. It's gonna be a good. 42 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 1: One, absolutely, And thanks to everyone who rides with us. 43 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 1: Win or lose each week. The easiest way to support 44 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:12,040 Speaker 1: us is to like this video. If you enjoy this 45 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 1: type of content, plus, subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube 46 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 1: channel or wherever you get your podcasts. I also wanted 47 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:20,600 Speaker 1: to remind you about the Betting Pros Discord. Looking to 48 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 1: up your game in sports betting, join our exclusive sports 49 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:28,200 Speaker 1: betting discord community at Bettingpros dot com slash chat. Not 50 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:31,800 Speaker 1: only can you connect with expert handicappers who provide free 51 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:35,800 Speaker 1: picks for the NBA, the NFL, MLB, NHL player props, 52 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 1: live betting, and more, but now you can also participate 53 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 1: in our weekly community picks. Cast your vote and see 54 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:44,960 Speaker 1: how your pick stack up against the experts and track 55 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: your success. And let's go ahead, guys, let's jump into 56 00:02:48,760 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 1: the week eleventh slate. Let's get it running wide open 57 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 1: here on Saturday at noon with Florida in Austin a 58 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:58,080 Speaker 1: battle the number five Texas Longhorns. This line has moved 59 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:01,240 Speaker 1: just a half point, with Texas now by twenty one 60 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 1: and a half points. BP projection to think that is 61 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:05,920 Speaker 1: way too big of a line and that should be 62 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 1: closer to sixteen and a half. This is despite DJ 63 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: Lagway getting carted off last week. They're now turning to 64 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:16,960 Speaker 1: walk on Aiden Warner at quarterback for the Gators. Meanwhile, 65 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:20,959 Speaker 1: it took the bye week for finally Texas to get 66 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: right here, as both wide receiver Isaiah Bond and safety 67 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 1: Andrew Mabuka are practicing as of Monday. With that said, Bogman, 68 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 1: are we really about to lay over three touchdowns with 69 00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:32,919 Speaker 1: your Texas Longhorns. 70 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 3: I mean, I'm not gonna do it. I am wavering 71 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 3: on the side right just because I don't know how 72 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 3: many points the Gators are going to score. It's we 73 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:46,040 Speaker 3: got some positive news about Lagway returning. I think that's all, 74 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:50,480 Speaker 3: you know, nonsense. I don't think that was ever something 75 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:52,839 Speaker 3: that was going to happen. It's definitely gonna be Warner. 76 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 3: The Florida defense has been outstanding though they held Georgia 77 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:58,640 Speaker 3: to six points at halftime before Lagway went down, right, 78 00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 3: they pushed Tennessee to overtime the helld Kentucky at three 79 00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:04,600 Speaker 3: hundred and nine yards after holding UCF to only two 80 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 3: hundred and seventy three yards week before that. So the 81 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:10,680 Speaker 3: defense has been playing really well, specifically over the last month, 82 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 3: and quinn Ewers has a top ten turnover worthy play 83 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:16,840 Speaker 3: rate this season, ninth in the country. Four point seven 84 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 3: percent of his plays are turnover worthy. Worst the Carson 85 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 3: Beck by the way Florida has may get some extra shots, 86 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:27,719 Speaker 3: but playing against the best defense in Texas is likely 87 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 3: to be difficult for that third string QB. Texas is 88 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 3: second in points per game allowed first, and total defense 89 00:04:33,440 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 3: first and total defensive performance grade, number one in PFF 90 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 3: in overall defense and number one in coverage great. So 91 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 3: it's not all about just the third string quarterback playing 92 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:47,160 Speaker 3: for Florida here. It's about who he's playing against. So 93 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 3: for that, I don't really like the side. I guess 94 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:52,840 Speaker 3: if gun to my head, I would pick the Longhorns 95 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:54,840 Speaker 3: and lay the points. But it's because I don't think 96 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:57,880 Speaker 3: Florida scores much at all. I think the under is 97 00:04:57,920 --> 00:04:59,840 Speaker 3: a play in this game. That's where I would go. 98 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: Forty and a half for that under. I don't hate 99 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:04,159 Speaker 1: that at all. Terrell, are you picking a side here? 100 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:10,000 Speaker 2: Yeah? Give me the long horns. 101 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 1: Horns up? 102 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, come on, yeah, yeah yeah, horns up today. 103 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:15,279 Speaker 3: Yeah. 104 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:17,680 Speaker 2: I don't really like it, But it's the fact of 105 00:05:17,720 --> 00:05:20,320 Speaker 2: like Texas just continues to get lucky and in terms 106 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:23,000 Speaker 2: of they keep getting these backup quarterbacks or these third 107 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,960 Speaker 2: string quarterbacks. This is the second season now. I remember 108 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:28,719 Speaker 2: last season they had a nice little injury bug where 109 00:05:28,720 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 2: they were catching a bunch of backup in third string quarterbacks. 110 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 2: And I just can't trust a walk on quarterback here 111 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:35,719 Speaker 2: to go up against this Texas defense and not turn 112 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:39,120 Speaker 2: the ball over and also not give them opportunities. Florida 113 00:05:39,160 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 2: is already one of the worst teams in college football 114 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 2: in terms of third third down completion percentage, and so 115 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:48,719 Speaker 2: I'm really, I really just don't expect the Florida offense 116 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:50,599 Speaker 2: to do much. I think this gonna look very very 117 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 2: similar to the Ou game, where that Ou offense couldn't 118 00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:56,760 Speaker 2: move the ball at all against that Texas front. Like 119 00:05:57,279 --> 00:05:59,159 Speaker 2: it's just too much an experience with a walk on 120 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 2: quarterback trying to get this done against Texas on the 121 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 2: road here. So yeah, I think Texas is gonna get 122 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:07,520 Speaker 2: it done. I think the under is a better play though, 123 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:10,360 Speaker 2: because I can see the Florida defense getting up and 124 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 2: making this a game between them and defensively, but I 125 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:17,120 Speaker 2: can also see Texas just running the score up. What 126 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:19,359 Speaker 2: I can't see at all is Florida putting up points 127 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:22,560 Speaker 2: here Without Lagway, I just can't see them putting up points. 128 00:06:23,160 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, he looked sharp last week. That was so sad 129 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 1: to see him go down. And yeah, I did have 130 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 1: the thirteen and a half alternate spread there on Georgia, 131 00:06:31,880 --> 00:06:34,760 Speaker 1: so yeah, got lucky a little bit there. But I 132 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:36,920 Speaker 1: felt bad that I had to come at DJ Lagway's 133 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:39,440 Speaker 1: expense because the dude was balling out early in that game. 134 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:42,839 Speaker 1: But it seems like both Bogs Antrell like this forty 135 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:46,239 Speaker 1: eight and a half point under here and also leaning 136 00:06:46,279 --> 00:06:50,880 Speaker 1: towards the Texas Longhorns as well. In Atlanta. The fourth 137 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:53,479 Speaker 1: ranked Miami Hurricanes are now just ten and a half 138 00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:57,600 Speaker 1: point favorites against Georgia Tech. The status of Yellowjackets quarterback 139 00:06:57,640 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 1: Haines King remains unknown. Miami has no injuries to report 140 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:04,799 Speaker 1: of as of yet. BP projections they like the Kinges 141 00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:07,680 Speaker 1: closer to fifteen point favorites. Trell, do you agree that 142 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:09,279 Speaker 1: there is some value on Miami. 143 00:07:11,080 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 2: I mean, I guess if Haines King's not playing and 144 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:16,239 Speaker 2: they the offense for Georgia Tech just looks so lost 145 00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:19,960 Speaker 2: without Haines King in the game. But I am I 146 00:07:20,000 --> 00:07:24,040 Speaker 2: am for one. I'm just saying, despite them covering the 147 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 2: spread last week, and I don't know how they did. 148 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 2: If we're sitting there and you are objectively saying, you 149 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 2: watched the game. At one point, when you watch that 150 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 2: Miami game, you thought Duke was going to win the game. 151 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:38,520 Speaker 2: There was no yet. 152 00:07:38,760 --> 00:07:41,760 Speaker 3: I agree with that, and I took Miami. I thought 153 00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:46,320 Speaker 3: man was good enough defensively to win this game if 154 00:07:46,320 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 3: they're going to be able to put up points. But 155 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 3: Miami's offense. 156 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:53,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, Florida State just sucks. Okay, I'll give you Florida State. 157 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 2: Florida State's but Louisvue, there's a point where you thought 158 00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 2: Louioville was going to win that game. How he thought 159 00:08:00,720 --> 00:08:02,400 Speaker 2: they were going to win the game. Virginia Tech, you 160 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 2: thought they were going to win the game. 161 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:04,560 Speaker 3: I should have won the game. 162 00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 2: I have won the game. So there's so many opportunities 163 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:10,080 Speaker 2: where I just keep watching his Miami team and say, man, 164 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 2: they just let teams hang around. They just let teams 165 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:14,160 Speaker 2: hang around. They just let teams hang around. Also, we 166 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 2: have to remember what happened in this game last year. 167 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 2: Georgia Tech gets to win outright because Mario Cristobal the 168 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:22,800 Speaker 2: biggest coaching and blunder that we might have ever seen ever. 169 00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:27,360 Speaker 2: This just screams that this is also a single pest 170 00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:29,320 Speaker 2: possession of a game. At the end of the game 171 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:32,400 Speaker 2: and christ of Ball decides this time, Hey, we're gonna 172 00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:34,679 Speaker 2: kneel it out and we're just gonna We're just gonna 173 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:36,560 Speaker 2: win by a couple of short digits. We're not gonna 174 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 2: run the ball out this time. And he learns this lesson, 175 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 2: give me Georgia Tech plus the points. 176 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:45,240 Speaker 1: Okay, I like it, Boggs, how are you feeling about it? Yeah? 177 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:48,000 Speaker 3: I would Look, I'm just gonna keep I'm gonna stick 178 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 3: with the Kynes here and Haines King is questionable, as 179 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:55,440 Speaker 3: is leading rusher Jamal Haynes. Both both these guys, but 180 00:08:55,559 --> 00:08:58,080 Speaker 3: even if they play, they're less than one hundred percent. 181 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:00,320 Speaker 3: And the one thing that Miami has done well this 182 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 3: season is stop the run. Currently eight in rushing defense 183 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:08,960 Speaker 3: in the country, also grade eight in rushing defense on PFF. 184 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:14,320 Speaker 3: This defensive line is really really strong here, and it's 185 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:17,480 Speaker 3: a bad matchup for Tech on defense as they are 186 00:09:17,520 --> 00:09:19,560 Speaker 3: built to stop the run and Miami passes at a 187 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:22,000 Speaker 3: sixty one point four percent clip cam mood is a 188 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:26,040 Speaker 3: number two rated quarterback on PFF this season. Miami's gonna 189 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:28,520 Speaker 3: put up points. That's what we know. I'm not sure 190 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:31,560 Speaker 3: about the total because I don't know if those guys play. 191 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 3: I respect the Georgia Tech defense enough to say that 192 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 3: the total probably is not gonna hit the over here 193 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 3: at sixty three and a half. So that what he 194 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:45,600 Speaker 3: said seth currently. So I just don't think that this 195 00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:48,400 Speaker 3: is enough points. I think that we're gonna see Miami 196 00:09:48,440 --> 00:09:50,439 Speaker 3: continue to put up points. They want Kim Ward to 197 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:52,600 Speaker 3: get a heisman. It's going to bring in recruits and 198 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:55,400 Speaker 3: things like that. So I think you see them stick 199 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:56,840 Speaker 3: with the foot on the gas. Maybe not in that 200 00:09:56,880 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 3: close situation again, Trell, but I think if this game, 201 00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 3: if they're out by ten points in the fourth, keep throwing, 202 00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:06,720 Speaker 3: keep throwing, keep throwing. They want Kim Moore to win 203 00:10:06,760 --> 00:10:10,320 Speaker 3: this heisman. So I think they're gonna win because I 204 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:12,959 Speaker 3: don't even if those guys play, they're not gonna be 205 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:14,720 Speaker 3: one hundred percent, and I just don't think they're gonna 206 00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:17,320 Speaker 3: stick with Miami. And Miami is not overlooking them last 207 00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 3: year because of this year, because of what happened last year. 208 00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:22,920 Speaker 3: So I've got to stick with the Kynes here. 209 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 1: Tire, Would you stay on Tech even if there is 210 00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:26,280 Speaker 1: no King in this one? 211 00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 2: No? Absolutely not? 212 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:30,600 Speaker 1: Okay, okay, then would you would you play Miami? 213 00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:33,200 Speaker 2: That's enough, That's enough for me to play to say, 214 00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:36,400 Speaker 2: all right, Miami, scouty, I think there's a big gap 215 00:10:36,440 --> 00:10:41,360 Speaker 2: between Pyron and King right now, and king duel threat 216 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:44,480 Speaker 2: and his ability to consistently pass down the field I 217 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:46,959 Speaker 2: think is enough to keep that Miami defense on his 218 00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 2: toes and that's how I could see the game going over. 219 00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:52,559 Speaker 3: He's definitely their best player on offense, not a question. 220 00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:54,120 Speaker 3: Haynes King might be the best player on the team. 221 00:10:54,160 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 2: Haines and Haines Jamal Hayes, Haines King that as long 222 00:10:57,600 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 2: as he got Haynes pretty good the law firm back. 223 00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:03,439 Speaker 1: Do you guys like the under it all sixty four 224 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 1: if there is no King as well? Or do you 225 00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 1: think Miami could just run it up themselves? 226 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:07,760 Speaker 2: Yeah? 227 00:11:07,760 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 3: That's my problem? Okay, Well, is I think it stays under? 228 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:15,160 Speaker 3: I do like this Georgia Tech defense here, But if 229 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:16,600 Speaker 3: they're not going to have the ball, if they're going 230 00:11:16,640 --> 00:11:19,040 Speaker 3: to be three and out and kicking it, sure you 231 00:11:19,040 --> 00:11:21,400 Speaker 3: know just giving Miami too many chances. I don't like 232 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 3: the total. 233 00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:25,040 Speaker 1: Okay, and before we keep it moving, don't forget to 234 00:11:25,120 --> 00:11:28,040 Speaker 1: join our college football podcast group. You can sink your 235 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:30,640 Speaker 1: picks or use the quick pick feature on the Betting 236 00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:32,559 Speaker 1: Pro Sports betting app to get a chance to win 237 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:36,359 Speaker 1: some free prizes. Elevate your betting strategy and join the conversation. 238 00:11:36,440 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 1: Today at bettingpros dot com slash college, we'll pick up 239 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:44,680 Speaker 1: the three point thirty slate in Oxford, where we've seen 240 00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 1: no line movement, leaving number two Georgia as two and 241 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:51,120 Speaker 1: a half point favorites against number sixteen Ole Miss. Georgia 242 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 1: is a bit banged up coming in with questionable tags 243 00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:56,480 Speaker 1: on their top three running backs ETN and both for 244 00:11:56,840 --> 00:12:00,199 Speaker 1: both of the Robinsons and then linebacker Smaiale mon and 245 00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:04,319 Speaker 1: also questionable. The major The major injury to Ole Miss, though, 246 00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 1: is Trey Harris, their wide receiver. He remains a game 247 00:12:07,720 --> 00:12:10,400 Speaker 1: time decision as he was last week as well. He 248 00:12:10,400 --> 00:12:12,280 Speaker 1: didn't end up going, so hopefully we see him out 249 00:12:12,280 --> 00:12:15,640 Speaker 1: there this week. VP projections are showing slight value on 250 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:17,959 Speaker 1: Lane Kiffin's team. What say you, Bogman? 251 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:21,400 Speaker 3: Yeah for me? I'm gonna stick with Georgia in this game. 252 00:12:21,559 --> 00:12:25,760 Speaker 3: And the talk about this game surrounding this game is 253 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:28,480 Speaker 3: Carson Beck in the turnovers. Carson Beck and the turnovers, right, 254 00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 3: and it's going to be a challenge for him. Ole 255 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:32,840 Speaker 3: Miss has the most sacks in the country forty four, 256 00:12:32,880 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 3: the greatest top five pass rush defense. However, we have 257 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:41,199 Speaker 3: seen Uga have success against an elite level defense on 258 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:45,319 Speaker 3: the road in Texas, right even with the mistakes that 259 00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 3: Carson Beck made, they still won that game going away. 260 00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:52,360 Speaker 3: So I just we've seen ole Miss do this before. 261 00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:56,440 Speaker 3: Ole Miss got on track on offense last week, but 262 00:12:56,480 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 3: they're running into a much tougher defense here in Georgia, 263 00:12:59,840 --> 00:13:05,240 Speaker 3: and the crack showed against Arkansas in Mississippi's defense as well, 264 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 3: So I think with those things we have Georgia playing 265 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:12,120 Speaker 3: with some confidence here. It all comes down to Beck. 266 00:13:12,679 --> 00:13:15,840 Speaker 3: And Georgia has cost me money on a couple occasions 267 00:13:15,960 --> 00:13:18,240 Speaker 3: this season, and all Miss has won me money on 268 00:13:18,320 --> 00:13:21,240 Speaker 3: a couple of occasion last week, but a couple occasions 269 00:13:21,559 --> 00:13:24,160 Speaker 3: this season. But I just got to take Georgia here. 270 00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 3: We've seen them win a game of this caliber on 271 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:30,040 Speaker 3: the road already this year, and I just you know, 272 00:13:30,520 --> 00:13:33,560 Speaker 3: I don't really trust ole Miss in a big game 273 00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:35,200 Speaker 3: like this, so I'm going to take the dogs. 274 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 1: Trell. I know you like Lane Kiffin in games he 275 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 1: circles on his calendar. This is certainly one of them. 276 00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 1: But how do you feel about them going up against Georgia, 277 00:13:44,240 --> 00:13:46,360 Speaker 1: who doesn't have maybe their top three running backs. 278 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:49,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I like him by light by fat in them. 279 00:13:49,080 --> 00:13:52,120 Speaker 2: I mean, he doesn't win these games. He hasn't beaten 280 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:55,480 Speaker 2: Alabama his entire tenure here at ole Miss. He lost 281 00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:59,080 Speaker 2: the game last year against Georgia. Like, I don't think 282 00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:01,520 Speaker 2: that they have anything for this Georgia group. I think 283 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:04,679 Speaker 2: the defense is absolutely gonna smother them. We've already been 284 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:08,000 Speaker 2: questionable about ole Miss offense in the past, and you 285 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:11,079 Speaker 2: know last week was the big explosion week where they 286 00:14:11,160 --> 00:14:14,440 Speaker 2: just kind of kept it rolling against Arkansas. But now 287 00:14:14,480 --> 00:14:16,839 Speaker 2: I think it comes back to Earth playing this Georgia front, 288 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:20,360 Speaker 2: and I think they're really really gonna be taxed along 289 00:14:20,360 --> 00:14:22,600 Speaker 2: the line of scrimmage on the offensive line here, and 290 00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:24,200 Speaker 2: George is gonna be able to get to Dark and 291 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 2: keep him off keep him very very off of his 292 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 2: foot in terms of just being able to set and 293 00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:34,360 Speaker 2: plant and be able to throw. I think we're gonna 294 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 2: see the turnovers. So I'm all over Georgia. I think 295 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 2: this is a defensive game, and I think George is 296 00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:40,880 Speaker 2: gonna do enough and make more plays. Is it gonna 297 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 2: be the big blowout? Probably not because of the turnovers 298 00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 2: of a Carson Beck or something like that. But like 299 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:48,080 Speaker 2: you said, I'm not looking for them to cover a 300 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 2: two touchdown spread here. You just got to win the 301 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 2: game by a field goal, and I think they can 302 00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:53,920 Speaker 2: one hundred percent do that. So yeah, it's Georgia all 303 00:14:53,960 --> 00:14:57,200 Speaker 2: the way. I'm sorry, Dwayne Kiffin, but James Franklin ruined 304 00:14:57,200 --> 00:15:00,920 Speaker 2: me trusting anybody in big games ever again. So you 305 00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:02,840 Speaker 2: show me who you are. I'm gonna believe you give 306 00:15:02,880 --> 00:15:03,800 Speaker 2: me Georgia all the way. 307 00:15:04,400 --> 00:15:07,320 Speaker 3: Oh, earmuffs, sneth earmuffs. I know, I know. 308 00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:10,560 Speaker 1: I will say I'm also taking Georgia here, but just 309 00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:13,200 Speaker 1: on the money line minus one thirty. I'm always the 310 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:15,280 Speaker 1: type give me a little bit more juice. I'll drink 311 00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 1: it because you only pay the juice if you lose, right. Yeah, 312 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:21,080 Speaker 1: So that's kind of my thought process here. I don't 313 00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:24,160 Speaker 1: trust trust Carson Beck, but I do trust this Georgia 314 00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 1: front on both sides to get it done. Moving to 315 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:29,040 Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, the Hokies remained six and a half point 316 00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 1: dogs against the nineteenth ranked Clemson Tigers. For vaw Tech, 317 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:36,400 Speaker 1: they have three starters currently listed as questionable. That's quarterback 318 00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:41,720 Speaker 1: Kyron Drones, running back ba Shoal Tutin, and cornerback Mansor Delaney. 319 00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:45,120 Speaker 1: The only notable injury for Clemson, though, is Tyler Brown, 320 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:48,280 Speaker 1: wide receiver, who remains questionable. He's been banged up all season, 321 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:50,680 Speaker 1: so I have no damn klove he's gonna be out 322 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:53,600 Speaker 1: there or not. The BP projections they give vaw Tech 323 00:15:53,680 --> 00:15:56,560 Speaker 1: a fifty eight percent chance of covering the spread. Do 324 00:15:56,600 --> 00:15:58,800 Speaker 1: you also see value on the Hokies? Terrell? 325 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 2: Oh? Absolutely. If as long as we get kay Drones 326 00:16:02,800 --> 00:16:05,160 Speaker 2: in tooting and all those guys playing, then yeah, we're 327 00:16:05,160 --> 00:16:07,480 Speaker 2: gonna be good. I think virgin Sach's gonna be able 328 00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 2: to handle and get it done here. This is a 329 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:11,440 Speaker 2: really good spot for them in terms of getting that 330 00:16:11,520 --> 00:16:14,920 Speaker 2: home game against Clemson. That defense, I think flies all 331 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:17,520 Speaker 2: over the field, and I think that's what really will 332 00:16:17,560 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 2: throw club Nick off. How they're able to disguise some 333 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 2: of their coverages and be able to create some turnovers 334 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,440 Speaker 2: and set that Clemson offense just be able to get 335 00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:29,080 Speaker 2: them off the field on third down, Like that's really it. 336 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:31,280 Speaker 2: Get them off the field on third down, force them 337 00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:34,360 Speaker 2: into shorter drives, punning a lot, and give yourself a 338 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 2: chance in this one. I think Virgina Tech one hundred 339 00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 2: percent can do that. I wish this was a night 340 00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:41,800 Speaker 2: game in Lane Stadium for Clemson, but you know, a 341 00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 2: little three point thirty to they're still gonna be pretty rocking. 342 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:46,440 Speaker 2: They got the whole morning to be drinking all over 343 00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 2: that on campus. So I think that the virgin Sat 344 00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:52,280 Speaker 2: Hokies can get it done as long as Droones is playing. 345 00:16:52,280 --> 00:16:55,080 Speaker 2: If Drones isn't playing, then I'm staying away from this 346 00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:57,880 Speaker 2: because Clemson could easily route Virginia Tech at home here. 347 00:16:57,920 --> 00:17:00,360 Speaker 2: But if Drones and Suiting are both in a lineup, 348 00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 2: that's their two best offensive players, I think they're enough 349 00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 2: to get it done. 350 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:06,639 Speaker 1: Boggs, I know you were very concerned about the status 351 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:08,720 Speaker 1: of Drones and Tunes, So at this point in the week, 352 00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:10,240 Speaker 1: can you make a play on this game? 353 00:17:10,840 --> 00:17:12,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, you know what, I think, I like the over 354 00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:15,560 Speaker 3: regardless of if those guys play or not. I think 355 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:18,560 Speaker 3: that's going to be my play in this game, and 356 00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:21,720 Speaker 3: we still aren't sure. But Sklee and Malachai Thomas, those 357 00:17:21,720 --> 00:17:23,639 Speaker 3: guys have a lot of experience and they put up 358 00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:26,080 Speaker 3: four hundred and fifty five yards and thirty one points 359 00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:29,800 Speaker 3: against Syracuse last week's Clemson did lose at home in 360 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:33,640 Speaker 3: embarrassing fashion last week, but they still put up yards 361 00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:36,400 Speaker 3: on offense four hundred and fifty vot. Tech hasn't been 362 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:39,800 Speaker 3: good against the pass recently. Last week to McCord, who 363 00:17:39,800 --> 00:17:42,160 Speaker 3: has been miserable. They allowed two hundred and eighty yards 364 00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:44,280 Speaker 3: and two touchdowns and they only got to him once. 365 00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:48,160 Speaker 3: So with Clemson coming in having issues against the run, 366 00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:51,640 Speaker 3: they lost defensive linean Peter Woods. Against Louisville fought Tech 367 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:56,080 Speaker 3: looking good on offense but bad against the pass. Last week, 368 00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:58,920 Speaker 3: my favorite plays the over. Clemson showed up yards and 369 00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:02,240 Speaker 3: didn't score, which hasn't been happening to them too much. 370 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:06,520 Speaker 3: So I think I like the over here, and I 371 00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:08,679 Speaker 3: think we just we get a nice kick in it 372 00:18:09,119 --> 00:18:11,639 Speaker 3: if drones and toot and plays, So I kind of 373 00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:12,600 Speaker 3: like the over either way. 374 00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:16,960 Speaker 1: Okay. In Bloomington, the eighth ranked Hoosiers now stand as 375 00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:20,360 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half point favorites over the Michigan Wolverines. 376 00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:22,800 Speaker 1: Hands up, who had that on their twenty twenty four 377 00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:25,920 Speaker 1: bingo card coming in? I know Terrell did. He hates Michigan, 378 00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,560 Speaker 1: so he might he might have been there. Michigan though 379 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:31,960 Speaker 1: in dire straits right now. Honestly, they've now lost tackle 380 00:18:32,080 --> 00:18:35,679 Speaker 1: Andrew Gentry for the season. Starting cornerbacks Will Johnson and 381 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:38,560 Speaker 1: Jay R. Hill also questionable, and as far as I 382 00:18:38,600 --> 00:18:41,040 Speaker 1: can tell, IU is at full health in this one. 383 00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:43,960 Speaker 1: The BP projections are telling us to stay away from 384 00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:46,919 Speaker 1: this line, but I can't help myself. I want to 385 00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:50,360 Speaker 1: get invested with IU Bogs, especially now that the line 386 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 1: is down to thirteen and a half and we can 387 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:55,280 Speaker 1: get it if they just cover two touchdowns here. 388 00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:56,320 Speaker 2: Yeah. 389 00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 3: The only thing in this game that is giving me 390 00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:01,960 Speaker 3: any kind of pause is when I look at that 391 00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:05,080 Speaker 3: strength to schedule for Indiana because Indiana is undefeated. 392 00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:08,600 Speaker 2: Oh, I can't wait. Look this conversation. I can't wait 393 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:09,520 Speaker 2: for this conversation. 394 00:19:09,600 --> 00:19:13,520 Speaker 3: Yes, please, you'll you'll like when I get to the 395 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:17,600 Speaker 3: end here, Treil, I think, but look, it's ninety nine 396 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:20,800 Speaker 3: this season. Nebraska may not even be a bowl team 397 00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:24,960 Speaker 3: after their loss to UCLA last week. Washington is also 398 00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:29,159 Speaker 3: questionable because they've got Penn State and Oregon left on 399 00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:30,800 Speaker 3: their schedule and I don't think they beat either one 400 00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:33,600 Speaker 3: of those teams. They're gonna have to be Ucla to 401 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 3: get into a bowl game. And you know, even with 402 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:40,640 Speaker 3: the big win last week against Michigan State, that team 403 00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:44,159 Speaker 3: is rough. For all Michigan's faults, They're win against USC 404 00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:46,480 Speaker 3: is as good as any win that Indiana has this year. 405 00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:50,400 Speaker 3: I feel like, so you know, in the Minnesota game 406 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:52,880 Speaker 3: might be more impressive than anything the Hoosiers have done. 407 00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:56,240 Speaker 3: I'm still on the Hoosiers until the wheels fall off. Guys, 408 00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:59,040 Speaker 3: I'm not going to back off of that. They're dominating, 409 00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 3: and I think Michigan, uh just we'll never get anything 410 00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:04,919 Speaker 3: on offense this season. We've seen them play musical chairs 411 00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:08,960 Speaker 3: too many times to trust their offense. Indiana is too efficient, 412 00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:12,119 Speaker 3: We've seen it over and over. I just do think 413 00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,360 Speaker 3: for what I've been doing this year and how I've 414 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 3: been picking, it would be hilarious that as soon as 415 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,840 Speaker 3: I jump off the Michigan bandwagon, they beat Indiana, who 416 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:23,520 Speaker 3: I've also been on the whole season. So it's one 417 00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:26,639 Speaker 3: of those self defeating prophecies I feel like here, but 418 00:20:26,800 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 3: you know what, I'm not gonna listen to my stupid brain. 419 00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:32,639 Speaker 3: My money is going towards the Hoosiers Indiana until the 420 00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:33,400 Speaker 3: wheels fall off. 421 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:37,359 Speaker 1: Okay, okay, Terrell, how do you feel about it? Michigan 422 00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:41,320 Speaker 1: to nine ats and Indiana nine and oh ats? 423 00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:44,920 Speaker 2: I mean, it would be the perfect storm. But how 424 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:49,679 Speaker 2: can you put on this Michigan team? They say, Michigan's strength, 425 00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:53,680 Speaker 2: the schedule is better, and Indiana hasn't played anybody. Indiana 426 00:20:54,280 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 2: dog walked a Washington team that beat Michigan. 427 00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:01,199 Speaker 3: I mean, but they're back on quarterback by the way, Indiana. 428 00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:07,359 Speaker 2: They yes, UCLA not good, Charlotte not good, Maryland not good, 429 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:12,639 Speaker 2: Northwestern better but not good. Nebraska, Oh my gosh. I mean, 430 00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,760 Speaker 2: we could talk about Nebraska all day here losing the UCLA. 431 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 2: I mean, but when I look at all those teams 432 00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:23,640 Speaker 2: and I see Michigan and I say, hmm, Michigan actually 433 00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:26,720 Speaker 2: slides right in there perfectly with all of those teams. 434 00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:29,639 Speaker 2: IU is gonna win this by three touchdowns? Like this, 435 00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:32,639 Speaker 2: this is gonna be continue. What AU does They're going 436 00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:35,880 Speaker 2: to dominate the bad teams that they've been killing all season, 437 00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:39,520 Speaker 2: and then next week we will have a discussion about 438 00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,840 Speaker 2: what will happen with Ohio State. But right now IU 439 00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:46,080 Speaker 2: is only a mission. They've said it. They know Kirk 440 00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,480 Speaker 2: Signetti has called out the entire Big Ten and he's 441 00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:51,120 Speaker 2: running through them right now. I mean, I think we're 442 00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:53,880 Speaker 2: riding AYU all the way until next week. So yep, 443 00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 2: we're still going. I mean, we cannot bet Michigan like 444 00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:59,680 Speaker 2: you just cannot bet Michigan like you cannot. It doesn't 445 00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:01,760 Speaker 2: matter how good of a spot it looks like, you 446 00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:02,800 Speaker 2: cannot beat Michigan. 447 00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,439 Speaker 3: They just they can. They keep trying new things on 448 00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:09,200 Speaker 3: offense and they have found nothing. 449 00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:11,560 Speaker 1: They've got They can't run the ball as well. 450 00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:14,960 Speaker 3: Now, what what is telling us that they are all 451 00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:17,000 Speaker 3: of a sudden going to start playing better on. 452 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 2: Offense because they covered against Michigan State. That's why people but. 453 00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:24,919 Speaker 3: Against Michigan State is miserable and Indiana just beat them 454 00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:28,880 Speaker 3: by thirty seven points. I was a little look Ichigan 455 00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:34,160 Speaker 3: State and yeah, oh a little bit. But Aidan Childs 456 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:36,080 Speaker 3: says the most turnover where he plays in the country 457 00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:38,520 Speaker 3: by a lot, Like he just turns them all over 458 00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:43,120 Speaker 3: too many times, and Indiana is just so efficient. So, uh, 459 00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:46,040 Speaker 3: you know, I think we look at this and we 460 00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:49,720 Speaker 3: go roster strength, right. Michigan just won a Natty and 461 00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 3: they have good players on this team. It doesn't matter. 462 00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:55,480 Speaker 3: They have put together nothing this year. How can you 463 00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 3: trust them? You can't. So, I mean we're all positive 464 00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:00,800 Speaker 3: on Indiana and watch Michigan win by two touchdowns. But 465 00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:01,760 Speaker 3: I mean, there's no. 466 00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:04,680 Speaker 2: Way the defense is too good. They can handle Michigan. 467 00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:08,280 Speaker 2: Soers that can't move football like all the Michigan's offense. 468 00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:10,640 Speaker 2: As much as you can say about their defense being good, 469 00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:14,040 Speaker 2: their offense is just as good as literally anybody Indiana 470 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:14,760 Speaker 2: has played this far. 471 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:18,200 Speaker 3: What is the out to Michigan winning ten to seven, 472 00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:19,920 Speaker 3: fourteen to ten? 473 00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:21,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, like that has to. 474 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:22,720 Speaker 2: Be it, right, Yeah. 475 00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:25,919 Speaker 3: And Indiana's offense has been too good against everybody for 476 00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,200 Speaker 3: them to only put up that that few points. So 477 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:33,000 Speaker 3: I'm with you, guys, it's Indiana. I just I'm going 478 00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:35,600 Speaker 3: to be sick if this one doesn't hit. I will 479 00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:36,399 Speaker 3: really be upset. 480 00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:40,520 Speaker 1: Start smoking those packs. Boys. It's sig signetty. I'm backing 481 00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:45,000 Speaker 1: them with you and Lawrence Kansas. The number seventeen. Iowa 482 00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:48,399 Speaker 1: State seg Clones look to respond after their first loss 483 00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,960 Speaker 1: of the season. Their two and a half point favorites 484 00:23:51,080 --> 00:23:54,480 Speaker 1: against the two and six Kansas Jayhawks. No injuries to 485 00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:58,720 Speaker 1: report either side as of now. BP projections do show 486 00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:01,439 Speaker 1: some value on i with State giving them a fifty 487 00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:04,679 Speaker 1: six percent chance to cover here. Terrell, are you going 488 00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:08,480 Speaker 1: back to Rocko Beck and company to get back on 489 00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:10,679 Speaker 1: the right track after that tough loss? 490 00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:14,879 Speaker 2: Well, I mean I'm still you know what, six and 491 00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:18,679 Speaker 2: two ats betting rock O Beck this year? Yes, I 492 00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:21,879 Speaker 2: am going back to him. He's a cash cow. Sometimes 493 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:25,959 Speaker 2: sometimes you get set back, and you know what, the 494 00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 2: true test of a man is how he stands when 495 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:32,399 Speaker 2: he gets back up. And Roco Beck here, this and 496 00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:35,120 Speaker 2: this Iowa State offense is gonna be able to get 497 00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,159 Speaker 2: rolling on the road here against Kansas, Like this is 498 00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:39,399 Speaker 2: just a down year for Kansas. I don't like how 499 00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,360 Speaker 2: they look defensively. I don't think that the offense has 500 00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:45,040 Speaker 2: ever been able to find his footing really all season. 501 00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:47,040 Speaker 2: And I think that Iowa State's defense on the road 502 00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:49,600 Speaker 2: here candas step up, especially in a spot where hey, 503 00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:52,000 Speaker 2: all right, we took our loss, we took the loss 504 00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:54,240 Speaker 2: in the Big twelve. Now, if we look ahead, we 505 00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:58,320 Speaker 2: have Kansas right here, Cincinnati on deck, a tough road 506 00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:01,680 Speaker 2: game against Utah and Kansas the state at home. Everything 507 00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:04,000 Speaker 2: is in our hands. Everything is in our hands, one 508 00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:06,080 Speaker 2: game at a time. This spread is way too short. 509 00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:09,600 Speaker 2: Give me i State plus Iowa State plus laying three. 510 00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:12,320 Speaker 2: I'm sorry laying three here. This is way too short. 511 00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:17,199 Speaker 3: Bogman Man. So this game is probably the one that 512 00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:19,840 Speaker 3: I lamented and gave me the most gray hairs on 513 00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:24,439 Speaker 3: this schedule, honestly. And it's weird because Kansas is two 514 00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:28,040 Speaker 3: and six. Iowa State is not a good matchup defensively 515 00:25:28,280 --> 00:25:30,600 Speaker 3: as a Jayhawks run and Iowa State has been bad 516 00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:33,399 Speaker 3: against run this season, only one hundred and twenty nine 517 00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,560 Speaker 3: in Texas Tech, but three hundred and fifty four they 518 00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:38,119 Speaker 3: gave up to UCF and that near loss, only seventy 519 00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:41,240 Speaker 3: nine to Baylor, about one hundred and sixty nine to Houston, 520 00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:44,840 Speaker 3: two hundred and four to Iowa But only one of 521 00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:47,320 Speaker 3: those games they lost was the Texas Tech game, and 522 00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:50,480 Speaker 3: that was because the offense didn't come through. Kansas is 523 00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:55,640 Speaker 3: middling defensively statistically in great below average all across the board, 524 00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:58,800 Speaker 3: their eighty ninth in defensive team performance. The game is 525 00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,679 Speaker 3: definitely closer than the rec indicate, for sure, But the 526 00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:03,520 Speaker 3: little things are gonna matter. And when I started digging 527 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:06,960 Speaker 3: into little things, Kansas has the edge on some of these. 528 00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:11,240 Speaker 3: Right where third down conversion Kansas is third, third down 529 00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:15,120 Speaker 3: allowed conversion, they're both pretty bad. Red zone score percentage. 530 00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:19,120 Speaker 3: Kansas is first in red zone score rate and they're 531 00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:24,600 Speaker 3: also six in touchdowns out to beat Samboni, huh it is, yeah, opponents. 532 00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:28,960 Speaker 3: Red zone percentage, Kansas is better a turnover margins, Iowa 533 00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:31,960 Speaker 3: State way better in that. Penalties Iowa State way better 534 00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:34,640 Speaker 3: than that, and so but when you take a more 535 00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:39,000 Speaker 3: granular look at these specific stats, they're nice for Kansas, 536 00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:41,600 Speaker 3: but the red the red zone scoring isn't because the 537 00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:44,439 Speaker 3: Jayhawks are good. It's they're one hundred and second in 538 00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:48,560 Speaker 3: red zone attempts. Iowa State is thirty fourth. Iowa State 539 00:26:48,600 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 3: has only one less third down conversion even with a 540 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:54,840 Speaker 3: way worse percentage, right because they hold the ball more. 541 00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:58,080 Speaker 3: Even the red zone scoring percentage doesn't add up because 542 00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:01,360 Speaker 3: Iowa State has allowed the fewest red zone trips this season, 543 00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:05,920 Speaker 3: only fourteen and only twelve scores from those red zone trips, 544 00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:09,399 Speaker 3: from the inside the twenty wow, and they're fourth in 545 00:27:09,560 --> 00:27:13,160 Speaker 3: big plays of twenty or plus yards. So this matchup 546 00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:16,000 Speaker 3: has a lot of layers, but Trell and I are 547 00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:18,000 Speaker 3: on the same side again, which is kind of making 548 00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:20,680 Speaker 3: me nervous for this weekend. I'm gonna take Iowa State 549 00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:24,399 Speaker 3: and I'm gonna lay the points here because while you 550 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:26,239 Speaker 3: look at some of these stats, when you take the 551 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:28,960 Speaker 3: part the harder look, Iowa State is just such a 552 00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:32,120 Speaker 3: better team than Kansas this year. Not that Kansas can't 553 00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,480 Speaker 3: bow up. I think this game is that arrow ahead. 554 00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 2: There's you know, yeah, they haven't even been playing in 555 00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:37,720 Speaker 2: Lawrence all seasons. 556 00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:42,919 Speaker 3: Yeah, so it's it's a weird game too. I just 557 00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:45,120 Speaker 3: Iowa State is going to bounce back and win because 558 00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:47,399 Speaker 3: they have to. They have to win this game to 559 00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:52,119 Speaker 3: keep up with Colorado and you know BYU obviously, so 560 00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:54,040 Speaker 3: they have to win this game. There's more on the 561 00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:55,879 Speaker 3: line for Iowa State, way more on the line for 562 00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:57,359 Speaker 3: Iowa State than Kansas. 563 00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:01,719 Speaker 1: Speaking of Colorado, in Lubbick, Texas, we have Coach Primes 564 00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:04,720 Speaker 1: twenty first ranked Colorado Buffalos, who are now three and 565 00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:07,760 Speaker 1: a half point favorites over the Texas Tech Red Raiders. 566 00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:11,200 Speaker 1: Tech might have got the win against the Cyclones last week, 567 00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:13,640 Speaker 1: but they did not get out healthy at all, as 568 00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:17,680 Speaker 1: they now have five starters listed as questionable, two starting DT's, 569 00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:21,959 Speaker 1: one starting quarterback, one safety, and one wide receiver Colorado 570 00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:24,000 Speaker 1: coming off the buy, so they should be close to 571 00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:27,960 Speaker 1: full strength HEREVP projections are showing slight value on the 572 00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:31,320 Speaker 1: buffs and massive value towards the over. Where are you heading, 573 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:32,639 Speaker 1: Bogman over? 574 00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:35,480 Speaker 3: I'm sticking with my first thought in this game is 575 00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:37,640 Speaker 3: and I think when you just look at the schedule 576 00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:40,280 Speaker 3: and see Colorado and Texas Tech before you even see 577 00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:43,160 Speaker 3: the total, you go over. Yeah, I'm going over in 578 00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:47,400 Speaker 3: this game for sure. And Colorado gets to the quarterback 579 00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:51,840 Speaker 3: in their defense sometimes seven sax agons Arizona. They held 580 00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:54,880 Speaker 3: them in seven points five sacks versus UCF only twenty 581 00:28:54,880 --> 00:28:57,880 Speaker 3: one points there. But Texas Tech is fourteenth and pass 582 00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:01,640 Speaker 3: block rate and they've only given a fourteen sacks despite 583 00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:04,680 Speaker 3: having a top ten attempts per game over forty one point. 584 00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:09,520 Speaker 3: It's forty one point seven attempts per game for them. 585 00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:12,160 Speaker 3: Texas Tech did well to keep Iowa State from scoring 586 00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:15,600 Speaker 3: last week but the issue for them is not only coverage. 587 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:17,960 Speaker 3: They still only grade one hundred and twenty six and 588 00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:20,640 Speaker 3: one hundred thirty thirty statistically against the past. They don't 589 00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:22,719 Speaker 3: get to the quarterback either, and they still allowed four 590 00:29:22,840 --> 00:29:25,480 Speaker 3: hundred and thirty two yards to Iowa State last week. 591 00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:28,160 Speaker 3: I don't think that this is a Colorado walk right, 592 00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:31,520 Speaker 3: but I think they are good enough to win this 593 00:29:31,560 --> 00:29:34,239 Speaker 3: one going away, and they still have a shot at 594 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:36,560 Speaker 3: the Big twelve as well. This is a very important 595 00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:40,640 Speaker 3: game for them. I'll take Colorado, you know, against the 596 00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:43,760 Speaker 3: spread here, but I want the over more than anything 597 00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:45,880 Speaker 3: I think this week. I like this game to have 598 00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:47,280 Speaker 3: a bunch of points. 599 00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:50,200 Speaker 1: Points points, points points points point points point Yeah, yeah, 600 00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:53,360 Speaker 1: shot shots shots tre How do you feel about this one? 601 00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:56,600 Speaker 2: Yeah? So Texas Tech runs that air raid, you know, 602 00:29:56,640 --> 00:30:00,560 Speaker 2: the air raid taking over here. Shout out to Leach, 603 00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:06,080 Speaker 2: resting Mike Leach. But here we go. How do you 604 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,680 Speaker 2: beat the air raid? You have really really athletic good 605 00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:11,520 Speaker 2: corners on the outside that can defend wide receivers and 606 00:30:11,560 --> 00:30:14,000 Speaker 2: be able to cover. And I think they have that 607 00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:17,960 Speaker 2: of course with you know future Heisman Travis Hunter and 608 00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 2: then DJ McKinney on the other side, I think they're 609 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:22,000 Speaker 2: gonna be really really good in that aspect, in terms 610 00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:24,479 Speaker 2: of the one on one matchups that they get in 611 00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:26,040 Speaker 2: the air Raid offense, and they're gonna be able to 612 00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:27,880 Speaker 2: come up with some of those fifty to fifty balls 613 00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:30,320 Speaker 2: so with those turnovers, and yeah, I think Colorado is 614 00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:32,120 Speaker 2: gonna be able to get this done. I like their offense. 615 00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:34,440 Speaker 2: I'm I'm with you. I think that there's gonna be points. 616 00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:36,800 Speaker 2: They're gonna be scoring on both sides. That air Raid 617 00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:39,720 Speaker 2: is going to win sometimes like and I so, I 618 00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:41,920 Speaker 2: think the scoring is gonna be up. But ultimately this 619 00:30:42,080 --> 00:30:45,120 Speaker 2: just smells like another Colorado overtime game that they win 620 00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:46,520 Speaker 2: with the late touchdown. 621 00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:50,320 Speaker 3: I hope. So that means more points. Yeah, let's take. 622 00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:53,560 Speaker 1: It all right, And before we continue, I want to 623 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:56,040 Speaker 1: tell you about Fast Break Bets. If you like betting 624 00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:59,000 Speaker 1: on basketball, then join host Trel Furman Junior on the 625 00:30:59,040 --> 00:31:03,120 Speaker 1: Fast Break Bets, your daily dose of basketball betting in 626 00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:06,200 Speaker 1: fifteen minutes or less. Tune in every day for your 627 00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:09,360 Speaker 1: rapid fire fix of all things basketball, from the w 628 00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:13,040 Speaker 1: to the Association, to college basketball and more. Check out 629 00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:16,560 Speaker 1: the Fastbreak Bets podcast on the betting pros YouTube channel 630 00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:21,760 Speaker 1: or wherever you listen to your podcasts. The primetime Slay 631 00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:25,360 Speaker 1: opens with the game that hosts College Game Day. How 632 00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:28,200 Speaker 1: it should be if it weren't for freaking Fox, the 633 00:31:28,280 --> 00:31:33,600 Speaker 1: eleventh ranked Alabama Crimson Tide versus the fourteenth ranked LSU Tigers. 634 00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:37,080 Speaker 1: The crowd will be buzzing' in Baton Rouge. However, there 635 00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:41,440 Speaker 1: should be some rain falling during this matchup. LSU relatively 636 00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:45,280 Speaker 1: healthy coming off the buye. Starting offensive lineman Garrett Dellinger 637 00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:48,880 Speaker 1: is out, and wide receiver CJ. Daniels is questionable once 638 00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,600 Speaker 1: again and can you believe the down season he's having 639 00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:54,800 Speaker 1: guys no touchdowns so far this year after ten a 640 00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:58,840 Speaker 1: year ago with Jane Daniels. Alabama is also coming off 641 00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:01,880 Speaker 1: the buye, but if they did lose return man depth 642 00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:05,520 Speaker 1: wide receiver wide receiver Cole Adams for the season, Starting 643 00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:08,680 Speaker 1: safety key On sob also will be out for this matchup. 644 00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:12,240 Speaker 1: BP Projections give Bama the slight lean as do I. 645 00:32:12,560 --> 00:32:14,479 Speaker 1: How are you officially playing this one? Boggs? 646 00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:21,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, So this one for me is nothing has really changed. 647 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:23,760 Speaker 3: I expected to be somewhat close, but we saw Alabama 648 00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:27,600 Speaker 3: play lockdown defense against Missouri George is still the only 649 00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:30,040 Speaker 3: team to really have a solid passing game against them. 650 00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:32,600 Speaker 3: LSU reverted right back to not being able to run 651 00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:35,480 Speaker 3: against Texas A and M. They're running backs for eighteen 652 00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:40,120 Speaker 3: rushes for thirty eight yards between Durham and Williams. Bama 653 00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:42,280 Speaker 3: is still pretty good on defense. The secondary is the 654 00:32:42,280 --> 00:32:45,880 Speaker 3: weakness for Bama that isn't great for them against nuss Meyer. 655 00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:48,920 Speaker 3: He can sling it real well, obviously, he just has 656 00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:51,040 Speaker 3: to avoid those turnovers like he had against Texas A 657 00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:54,480 Speaker 3: and M. I like this game to either be back 658 00:32:54,520 --> 00:32:57,760 Speaker 3: and forth, high scoring affair or just a lopsided Bama win. 659 00:32:58,120 --> 00:32:59,959 Speaker 3: I don't think this is going to be like LSU 660 00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:03,160 Speaker 3: running away with it neither instance. I'm taking Alabama. I'm 661 00:33:03,240 --> 00:33:05,400 Speaker 3: laying the points. Bama should run the ball more to 662 00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,680 Speaker 3: keep the ball away from nuss Meyer and that offense. 663 00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:11,560 Speaker 3: And also the only good thing that LSU does on 664 00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,520 Speaker 3: defense is the pass rush, so let's just not pass 665 00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:16,640 Speaker 3: the ball as much. This seems like a pretty simple 666 00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:20,680 Speaker 3: game plan for Kailen de Boor for two weeks to prep. Also, 667 00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:23,880 Speaker 3: so you know, I think that this one is just 668 00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:28,360 Speaker 3: this is a game that should be a Alabama win 669 00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:32,280 Speaker 3: because they ran the ball. It's LSU at night. Brian 670 00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:34,600 Speaker 3: Kelly is still undefeated there in these night games. I 671 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,680 Speaker 3: don't know how Drell is gonna feel about this one, 672 00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:40,720 Speaker 3: but this is not gonna be my favorite game of 673 00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:42,200 Speaker 3: the week. But I'm gonna take the tide and lay 674 00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:42,640 Speaker 3: the points. 675 00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:45,320 Speaker 1: Terrell looks like he's up to something right now and 676 00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:47,840 Speaker 1: that he's about to be back in. Brian Kelly say 677 00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:49,560 Speaker 1: it ain't so, my friend say it ain't so. 678 00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:51,840 Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, I didn't say it. He said. 679 00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:54,200 Speaker 2: Is Brian Kelly in a late game at LSU. Like 680 00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:56,800 Speaker 2: you look at the last three seasons, the home team 681 00:33:56,840 --> 00:33:59,320 Speaker 2: has gotten to win outright in these games, and so 682 00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:01,120 Speaker 2: I think this is another one where I'm just going 683 00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:02,680 Speaker 2: to back the home team to be able to get 684 00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:05,560 Speaker 2: it done here. I think that this is really it 685 00:34:05,680 --> 00:34:08,560 Speaker 2: for LSU. This is a this is their super Bowl. 686 00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:11,160 Speaker 2: This is them feeling like, hey, we can do this. 687 00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:14,560 Speaker 2: We have our shot back into the playoff. Same thing 688 00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 2: with Alabama. I think Alabama both says that hey, they 689 00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:19,440 Speaker 2: have their shot in the playoff. But ultimately it's the 690 00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,799 Speaker 2: fact that I have not been impressed by Alabama on 691 00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:24,560 Speaker 2: the road this season, Like, they go on the road 692 00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:27,640 Speaker 2: and they lose to Diego Pavia in Vanderbilt. Now, I 693 00:34:27,640 --> 00:34:30,440 Speaker 2: don't blame them, because Diego Pavia is an absolute dog 694 00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:33,759 Speaker 2: and baller and you should be grateful to lose to him. Absolutely. 695 00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:36,920 Speaker 2: But then after all of that, they go on the 696 00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:40,239 Speaker 2: road to Tennessee and they also lose that game after 697 00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:42,399 Speaker 2: being up and they probably should have won that game. 698 00:34:42,480 --> 00:34:45,200 Speaker 2: And so the fact that they dropped that game to 699 00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:48,360 Speaker 2: Tennessee as well, like, I just think in the SEC 700 00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:52,600 Speaker 2: on the road, they just haven't proven themselves. And Alabama 701 00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:54,680 Speaker 2: fans are not happy about how the season is going. 702 00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:57,160 Speaker 2: I don't think the team's happy about how the season's going. 703 00:34:57,320 --> 00:34:59,680 Speaker 2: I don't think it's anything that really changes here. Give 704 00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:02,359 Speaker 2: me Ryan Kelly in a big game at night again. Yeah, 705 00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:04,000 Speaker 2: I'll take LSU plus the points. 706 00:35:04,560 --> 00:35:08,120 Speaker 1: Now, this is more like a disagreeing fighting. I'm all 707 00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:12,239 Speaker 1: about that here, Happy Valley. Meanwhile, they'll be hosting the 708 00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:15,200 Speaker 1: White Out with the six ranked Penn State Nitney Lions 709 00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:18,640 Speaker 1: now sitting as thirteen point favorites against the five and 710 00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:22,960 Speaker 1: four Washington Huskies. BP projections are only showing value on 711 00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:25,600 Speaker 1: the forty six and a half point under giving it 712 00:35:25,640 --> 00:35:28,839 Speaker 1: a sixty nine percent chance to hit. Penn State does 713 00:35:28,880 --> 00:35:32,920 Speaker 1: have offensive tackle Anthony Don'tka. He is questionable, as well 714 00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:36,960 Speaker 1: as defensive end Danny Dennis Sutton. Washington has also been 715 00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:39,719 Speaker 1: bit by the injury bug. They have a few players questionable, 716 00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:43,800 Speaker 1: including their starting safety, their cornerback, and their edge rusher Treell. 717 00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:46,600 Speaker 1: Does Penn State get back on track under the lights 718 00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:47,680 Speaker 1: in Beaver Stadium? 719 00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:50,120 Speaker 2: Oh well, I think. I mean I have this one 720 00:35:50,200 --> 00:35:52,640 Speaker 2: circled as the game after the game where you just 721 00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:56,120 Speaker 2: absolutely put it on them and remind the boosters. Hey, 722 00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:59,239 Speaker 2: please forget the fact that I have not beaten Ohio State. 723 00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:02,640 Speaker 2: Please forget that. Just don't even have that in your 724 00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:07,040 Speaker 2: mind that I'm what one in thirteen now in big games. No, 725 00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:10,520 Speaker 2: please don't, don't point no attention to that. Just think 726 00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:14,640 Speaker 2: about how we beat Washington by like twenty twenty eight 727 00:36:14,640 --> 00:36:16,920 Speaker 2: points or something like that. Like I think that this 728 00:36:17,080 --> 00:36:19,320 Speaker 2: was one hundred percent, Like this is the bounce back angle, 729 00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:21,240 Speaker 2: one hundred percent of bounce back angle. Guess the Washington 730 00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:23,920 Speaker 2: team that's really not that good struggles to move to football. 731 00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:26,719 Speaker 2: Penn State's defense is gonna smother. We saw last week 732 00:36:26,719 --> 00:36:29,080 Speaker 2: Penn State can score on defense as well. It might 733 00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:31,120 Speaker 2: be not maybe able to do it on offense, but 734 00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:33,360 Speaker 2: they can sure do it on defense. I like the defense. 735 00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:37,560 Speaker 2: They stand strong. Hold Washington to under thirteen points. Give 736 00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:40,399 Speaker 2: me Penn State to cover the number. I like them 737 00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:40,959 Speaker 2: to win big. 738 00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:44,120 Speaker 1: Two weeks in a row. They've had a pick six. Bogman, 739 00:36:44,200 --> 00:36:46,000 Speaker 1: I know you liked the under this week. Do you 740 00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:48,520 Speaker 1: still like it here on Wednesday? 741 00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:52,200 Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean I don't know how you couldn't. Washington's 742 00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:56,480 Speaker 3: offense has been unimpressive this season, even in their wins. 743 00:36:57,600 --> 00:37:01,120 Speaker 3: You know, anytime they get a test. I'm telling you 744 00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:06,040 Speaker 3: that's my recurring theme for this Washington team. Anytime you 745 00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:08,640 Speaker 3: put a decent opponent in front of them, they fold 746 00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:13,279 Speaker 3: like Origami, Wazoo, Rutgers, Iowa, Indiana beat them. You know, 747 00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:16,279 Speaker 3: they had they had that nice win against USC last week, 748 00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:18,719 Speaker 3: but USC had four hundred and fifty nine yards. They 749 00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:22,040 Speaker 3: lost because they threw three interceptions, right. That is why 750 00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:24,040 Speaker 3: USC lost that game, Not because they couldn't move the 751 00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:27,280 Speaker 3: ball against Washington, not because they couldn't score against Washington. 752 00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:31,360 Speaker 3: They just didn't score. So for me, this is the under. 753 00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:34,440 Speaker 3: I just don't like this Washington offense at all. Will 754 00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:37,160 Speaker 3: Rogers is not a guy for me. 755 00:37:38,600 --> 00:37:40,960 Speaker 1: I like the backup quarterback, the change of pace guy. 756 00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:44,160 Speaker 1: When they bring him in, I like him better than Rogers. 757 00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:47,399 Speaker 3: I mean, I just don't like anything about Washington this year. 758 00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:50,839 Speaker 3: And we've seen Penn State. They're a tough team. This 759 00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:53,000 Speaker 3: is one of the hardest environments to play on the road, 760 00:37:53,080 --> 00:37:55,920 Speaker 3: especially at night. They're pissed off. They just lost to 761 00:37:56,080 --> 00:38:00,640 Speaker 3: Ohio State. And what Trell just said, Let's go slaughter 762 00:38:00,760 --> 00:38:03,080 Speaker 3: these dudes and get us some money. And by the way, 763 00:38:03,400 --> 00:38:06,319 Speaker 3: you can't complain every year about losing to Ohio State 764 00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:08,960 Speaker 3: when you won't put the money into the nil to 765 00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:12,000 Speaker 3: get the better players and compete with these top level teams. 766 00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:15,000 Speaker 3: You're always going to be little bro to Ohio State 767 00:38:15,120 --> 00:38:18,200 Speaker 3: until you start getting that money. So come on, Penn State, 768 00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:19,600 Speaker 3: we are I get some money. 769 00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:22,120 Speaker 1: I think we have more money than people are letting on. 770 00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:25,160 Speaker 3: Man. I know that's kind of the what's going around 771 00:38:25,160 --> 00:38:27,800 Speaker 3: this now. Not Ohio State money, not Texas money. Sure, 772 00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,920 Speaker 3: not Alabama money. Sure you got I mean it's there, 773 00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:34,520 Speaker 3: you gotta get it. So they're on the doorstep of 774 00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:37,920 Speaker 3: pushing over and the new tournament is really good for 775 00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:39,840 Speaker 3: a team like Penn State. They're going to make the 776 00:38:39,840 --> 00:38:42,520 Speaker 3: tournament most years as long as they win the games 777 00:38:42,560 --> 00:38:45,200 Speaker 3: they should. They have this year, every single game that 778 00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:47,319 Speaker 3: they should win they have and this is another one 779 00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:51,000 Speaker 3: of those games. So I do like Penn State. I 780 00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:52,920 Speaker 3: would take them and lay the points. But my favorite 781 00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:54,719 Speaker 3: play again is the under because I just don't know 782 00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:58,160 Speaker 3: how many points Washington scores seven to ten. What's the 783 00:38:58,200 --> 00:39:01,840 Speaker 3: most they can score seventeen? Maybe? Yeah? But we know, 784 00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:05,320 Speaker 3: well yeah, I know in Penn State is not scoring 785 00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:07,319 Speaker 3: a lot either right now. Washington has been much better 786 00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:10,160 Speaker 3: on defense and offense. So for that reason, give me 787 00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:11,240 Speaker 3: the under in this one. 788 00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:13,279 Speaker 1: Do you think betting pros would be opening like an 789 00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:15,839 Speaker 1: nil deal with maybe Penn State. Maybe we can bring 790 00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:18,719 Speaker 1: that up podcast each week, bring a different player on, 791 00:39:19,080 --> 00:39:20,080 Speaker 1: see what's going on there. 792 00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:22,759 Speaker 3: They're trying to get money for his alma mater right here. 793 00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:23,399 Speaker 3: I like it. 794 00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:25,560 Speaker 1: I did graduate from that. I just lived there for 795 00:39:25,560 --> 00:39:27,280 Speaker 1: a while. I worked at the Universe. 796 00:39:27,360 --> 00:39:28,280 Speaker 3: You worked there, I forget. 797 00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:30,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, hey, if we want to get money for iup 798 00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:33,759 Speaker 1: as well, I'm more on that game. Kirk Signetty would 799 00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:37,520 Speaker 1: appreciate that as well. We'll round out the program with 800 00:39:37,640 --> 00:39:40,360 Speaker 1: the Holy War, where the line has shrunk, leaving the 801 00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:43,759 Speaker 1: undefeated ninth rinked BYU Cougars as three and a half 802 00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:49,760 Speaker 1: point favorites against Utah. BYU has wide receiver Cody Apps 803 00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:53,840 Speaker 1: and offensive lineman Connor pay listed as doubtful, but leading 804 00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:56,640 Speaker 1: rusher LJ. Martin is good to go. That's a sigh relief. 805 00:39:57,040 --> 00:40:00,560 Speaker 1: Utah bench Isaac Wilson in the second half against Houston, 806 00:40:00,800 --> 00:40:03,360 Speaker 1: and it's undetermined whether it will be him or sophomore 807 00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:07,000 Speaker 1: Brandon Rose who will get the start. BP projections are 808 00:40:07,040 --> 00:40:09,200 Speaker 1: telling us not to get invested with the Kougs or 809 00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:12,200 Speaker 1: the total, but my eyes they're telling me, let's keep 810 00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:16,080 Speaker 1: us rolling with BYU. What do you think here, Bogman, Yeah, 811 00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:18,120 Speaker 1: I mean, look, we kind of laid it out. The 812 00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:21,040 Speaker 1: offense has been the problem for Utah right the four 813 00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:24,120 Speaker 1: game losing streak at Arizona ten points, three hundred and 814 00:40:24,120 --> 00:40:26,800 Speaker 1: sixty four yards, Arizona State nineteen points, three hundred and 815 00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:30,640 Speaker 1: forty nine yards, at home against TCU seven points, two 816 00:40:30,719 --> 00:40:33,520 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty seven yards, and then at Houston, who 817 00:40:33,600 --> 00:40:35,440 Speaker 1: might be the big the best defense in the Big 818 00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:38,680 Speaker 1: twelve surprisingly fourteen points only three hundred and six yards. 819 00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:42,000 Speaker 1: Does this get better after our bye week? Because what 820 00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:43,279 Speaker 1: are the outs? For Utah to win? 821 00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:46,759 Speaker 3: They have to improve on offense, right, and we just 822 00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:52,040 Speaker 3: saw BYU beat a primary rush team in UCF. They 823 00:40:52,040 --> 00:40:54,440 Speaker 3: were up thirty four to ten against UCF going in 824 00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:56,480 Speaker 3: the fourth quarter. They had three sacks and two picks. 825 00:40:57,280 --> 00:40:59,960 Speaker 3: We've seen Utah play terribly on offense for the last month. 826 00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:02,279 Speaker 3: I just don't think this bye week is going to 827 00:41:02,360 --> 00:41:07,560 Speaker 3: help them. So I just BYU hasn't been held to 828 00:41:07,719 --> 00:41:10,960 Speaker 3: a score below thirty four points since that SMU game 829 00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:14,560 Speaker 3: in Week two. So I don't know how we would 830 00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:17,680 Speaker 3: back Utah here because they're at home because it's the 831 00:41:17,719 --> 00:41:21,640 Speaker 3: Holy War. Maybe I just don't like Utah at all 832 00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:24,080 Speaker 3: from what I've seen. It's BYU all the way from. 833 00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:27,400 Speaker 1: Me, Trelle, you've loved this Utah team coming into the season. 834 00:41:27,440 --> 00:41:30,000 Speaker 1: Are you cold off now that they're just at five 835 00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:32,120 Speaker 1: hundred and they're going against a top ten team in 836 00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:32,960 Speaker 1: the nation currently? 837 00:41:33,280 --> 00:41:35,520 Speaker 2: Yeah? Ye Ah, cold off on them. I'm definitely not 838 00:41:35,560 --> 00:41:38,280 Speaker 2: as high on this Utah team. I mean, Cam Rising 839 00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:40,759 Speaker 2: is not there. They were all really banged up in 840 00:41:40,800 --> 00:41:43,719 Speaker 2: the beginning of the year, Like, I'm definitely not as 841 00:41:43,719 --> 00:41:45,719 Speaker 2: pro Utah as I was in the beginning of the year. 842 00:41:46,080 --> 00:41:48,680 Speaker 2: With that being said, they had a week to prepare 843 00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:52,680 Speaker 2: for the Holy War, Like have you seen you would 844 00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:55,400 Speaker 2: have to go back to the year two thousand, the 845 00:41:55,520 --> 00:41:58,640 Speaker 2: last time BYU covered this line on the road in 846 00:41:58,719 --> 00:42:04,399 Speaker 2: this game, like no, no, this is this is absolutely 847 00:42:04,520 --> 00:42:07,000 Speaker 2: Utah has nothing else to play for this year. The 848 00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:09,480 Speaker 2: season is over. The season is over. 849 00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:12,040 Speaker 3: Now, b why you has everything to play for though 850 00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:13,440 Speaker 3: in this game, but the. 851 00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:17,520 Speaker 2: Tournament spot after this what Utah has nothing? Like there 852 00:42:17,600 --> 00:42:19,440 Speaker 2: is nothing to play for it. Maybe you make a 853 00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:21,239 Speaker 2: bowl and you try to make a bowl out of this, 854 00:42:21,600 --> 00:42:25,680 Speaker 2: but you have the chance for a rivalry that is renewed. 855 00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:29,560 Speaker 2: For you to send this team with an L and 856 00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:32,640 Speaker 2: completely mess up. I mean, they're still probably gonna make 857 00:42:32,680 --> 00:42:36,040 Speaker 2: the playoffs, but you definitely shattered that top four that 858 00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:38,359 Speaker 2: they are really really sitting on right now. Hey, we're 859 00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:40,360 Speaker 2: eighth in the polls, but we're top four. We're gonna 860 00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:42,080 Speaker 2: move on and get a bye in the next round. 861 00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:43,600 Speaker 2: All we have to do is win out, win the 862 00:42:43,600 --> 00:42:47,920 Speaker 2: Big twelve, and we're there. No no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. 863 00:42:48,560 --> 00:42:51,719 Speaker 2: Kyle Whittingham is a great coach, and I think he's 864 00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:54,840 Speaker 2: gonna I think he has something playing Forsaki on the 865 00:42:54,880 --> 00:42:55,560 Speaker 2: other side. 866 00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:57,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, give me has then he pulled it out for 867 00:42:57,880 --> 00:42:58,560 Speaker 3: the last month. 868 00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:02,560 Speaker 2: Then hey, no, this is the Holy War. It's different. 869 00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:04,759 Speaker 2: It's different. This is the Holy War. They're going to 870 00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:07,000 Speaker 2: do it. This is the turnaround game. This is the 871 00:43:07,040 --> 00:43:09,680 Speaker 2: game they turn around. Give me Utah plus the points. 872 00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:12,280 Speaker 2: I like Utah. I think they get it done and 873 00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:15,960 Speaker 2: they really really step up in a sleepy spot BYU 874 00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:19,000 Speaker 2: right after the college football rankings, feeling themselves. I think 875 00:43:19,080 --> 00:43:21,719 Speaker 2: that they just don't create the turnovers that they normally get. 876 00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:25,879 Speaker 2: Those turnovers really really carry BYU on that defense, and 877 00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:29,400 Speaker 2: it's just not a terror healthy turnover heavy game. I 878 00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:31,920 Speaker 2: think that Kyle Winningham coaches up a really great game. 879 00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:34,320 Speaker 2: They protect the football, They put the ball in the 880 00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:36,640 Speaker 2: end zone. That's all they need to do. They keep 881 00:43:36,640 --> 00:43:39,359 Speaker 2: this game close. I can see BYU winning this byfield goal. 882 00:43:40,480 --> 00:43:43,600 Speaker 1: Okay, all right, you minus won seventy money line b YU. 883 00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:46,640 Speaker 1: If you really want to drink the juice, I don't know. 884 00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:49,319 Speaker 2: I don't not in the Holy War, man, give me 885 00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:52,640 Speaker 2: the points okay points. 886 00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:55,319 Speaker 1: Fair enough. That's gonna do it for us today on 887 00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:58,600 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros College Football show Bogman he'll be back 888 00:43:58,680 --> 00:44:00,680 Speaker 1: later in the week with more best bets and as 889 00:44:00,760 --> 00:44:03,640 Speaker 1: player props. Hopefully they're a little better than last week. 890 00:44:03,680 --> 00:44:06,880 Speaker 1: And until then, like this video. If you enjoyed it, 891 00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:10,120 Speaker 1: subscribe to the beank Pros YouTube channel and podcast FEEDFLUS, 892 00:44:10,160 --> 00:44:13,520 Speaker 1: download the bank Pros app and sync your sportsbooks today. 893 00:44:13,680 --> 00:44:16,600 Speaker 1: For Scott Bogman Andrell Furman Junior, I am Seth Wilcock. 894 00:44:16,719 --> 00:44:19,560 Speaker 4: Thanks for watching, Take care of y'all. Thanks for listening 895 00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:22,080 Speaker 4: to the Betting Pros podcast. 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