1 00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Thursday morning 2 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. I'm your host, Matt 3 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 1: Peralt here on bettingpros dot com. We are always on 4 00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 1: YouTube and wherever you get your audio podcast. You guys 5 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 1: can subscribe to us on YouTube. You get the video 6 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 1: whenever you get it. And bet MGM's got the great offer. 7 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 1: It is a ten dollars bet to win one hundred 8 00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:33,440 Speaker 1: and fifty dollars on any event. You win it in 9 00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 1: free wagers with that promo code Juice one fifty when 10 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: you send them for a new account with bet MGM. 11 00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 1: That's promo code Juice one fifty, ten dollars bet one 12 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars. Juice one fifty is the code 13 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 1: we are now using on YouTube. It says right here 14 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,199 Speaker 1: that I'm the host of the Sharp Support. I am 15 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:52,600 Speaker 1: the host of the Sharp Support. We'll fix that for tomorrow, 16 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:54,840 Speaker 1: but I'm also the host of the Daily Juice The 17 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 1: Sharp Support. By the way, our latest edition is out 18 00:00:57,920 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 1: with Las Vegas. Chris on the Circa Million and football 19 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:05,560 Speaker 1: betting contests and survivor contests. Great tips if you're going 20 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 1: to enter into a football betting contest Football Picks Contest 21 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 1: Las Vegas. Chris, who came in second place in the 22 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:12,920 Speaker 1: Circa Million had two teams came out in second and 23 00:01:13,080 --> 00:01:15,920 Speaker 1: fifth last year in the Circum Million two. He is 24 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: the guest this week of the Sharp Support. Go and 25 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 1: search for the Sharp Support where you get your podcasts, 26 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 1: and you will see it and listen to it. It's 27 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 1: a really fun conversation with a super sharp guy who's 28 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:27,920 Speaker 1: going to give you great advice when it comes to 29 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 1: the Circle Million or any picks contest you may be in, 30 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:32,399 Speaker 1: or a survivor pool you might be doing this year 31 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: in your NFL betting fun. Okay, I know you all 32 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:39,440 Speaker 1: want to know who is going to be part of 33 00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice circum Million three team. 34 00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 2: But here's the thing. 35 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:45,600 Speaker 1: When people work on the East Coast and I'm on 36 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 1: the West Coast, time difference is click in here, so 37 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: it's nine point thirty here on the West Coast. I've 38 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 1: been waiting to see if we were gonna pull it 39 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 1: because the deadline was midnight tonight Eastern time to register. 40 00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 1: So I know betting pros wants to keep going on 41 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 1: the rules, right, We told you guys Wednesday at midnight 42 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 1: was when we pulled the names. So I waited until 43 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 1: after Wednesday Eastern time at midnight, and I'm getting no answer. 44 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 1: So I think everybody's asleep, which is fine. So I 45 00:02:15,639 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 1: know you guys are gonna be like, you're gonna listen 46 00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:19,280 Speaker 1: to this and go, Okay, who's on the team. We 47 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 1: know it's Matt, we know it's de Nizzy, and we 48 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 1: know that it's called Brewster. But who else I don't 49 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: know yet. All right, I'm sorry, I don't know yet. 50 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 1: I will one hundred percent tell you in the discord channel. 51 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 1: I will tell you as soon as I know the 52 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:34,840 Speaker 1: three names, I will tell you. I will tell you 53 00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:37,600 Speaker 1: on the podcast tomorrow night as well. I will jump 54 00:02:37,600 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 1: in and tell you who's going to be on the 55 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 1: podcast on the team. I'm going to sign up for 56 00:02:42,919 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 1: the team today, okay, So I'll take some pictures of 57 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:49,399 Speaker 1: us signing up the Daily Juice for us for the 58 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 1: podcast team or for the Daily Juice podcast circum Million team. 59 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: I'm entering a personal team as well, So I'll sign 60 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 1: two teams up coming up here today and then away 61 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 1: we go. And here here's the thing that's a little 62 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 1: bit quirky. Okay, So I have to fly to California 63 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: to Northern California on Friday afternoon. 64 00:03:09,560 --> 00:03:12,359 Speaker 2: I'm in a wedding on Sunday. I fly back Sunday night. 65 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 1: I have to make all the bets and I have 66 00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 1: to make all the plays here before I leave, because 67 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 1: I bet with Vegas Books and you can't enter into 68 00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 1: the circum million unless I want to drive to Reno 69 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 1: and get in a car and drive all the way 70 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:27,359 Speaker 1: to entering the picks. 71 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 2: I need to do it before I leave. 72 00:03:29,720 --> 00:03:32,640 Speaker 1: So we are probably not going to have a Discorge 73 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 1: chat for week one of the NFL. Now we'll have 74 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:38,080 Speaker 1: it for every other week. I just don't think we're 75 00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:40,800 Speaker 1: going to be able to have to get the team names, 76 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 1: to get everyone together, to find a time when to 77 00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 1: do the Discord chat, and then do it right before. 78 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 1: We have to have everything in by Friday at three 79 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:52,120 Speaker 1: o'clock when I get on a plane to fly, so 80 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 1: three o'clock Pacific. So that's kind of what's going to 81 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:58,200 Speaker 1: happen here. So we're probably going to announce the team tomorrow. 82 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 1: I will do some quick account find out what everybody 83 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 1: feels like. We may be able to jump on a 84 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:06,520 Speaker 1: Discord chat on Thursday night tomorrow night tonight. But I 85 00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:08,400 Speaker 1: don't know if that's gonna happen or not, so just 86 00:04:08,440 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 1: heads up. It may be a little quirky because this 87 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:11,360 Speaker 1: wedding is screwing everything up. 88 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 2: Now. I did tell you the. 89 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:15,839 Speaker 1: Big announcement already on the Discord channel, but I'm gonna 90 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:18,120 Speaker 1: tell you here to remind you all. 91 00:04:18,200 --> 00:04:20,720 Speaker 2: Last year, I did a live. 92 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:23,960 Speaker 1: Stream on Sunday, right It was an eight am Pacific 93 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:27,920 Speaker 1: time eleven am Eastern time live stream on this very 94 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: YouTube channel that I am on right now, but also audio, 95 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:35,840 Speaker 1: but for video. Dan Harris is joining this year. Dan 96 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:39,039 Speaker 1: is going to give you guys the player props that 97 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:41,480 Speaker 1: and I'll pick and choose as to which ones I 98 00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 1: like and which ones I want to play. But Dan's 99 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:47,880 Speaker 1: gonna give us his best prop bets coming up here 100 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 1: on the live stream for YouTube. So it's me and 101 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:54,880 Speaker 1: it's Dan, and on Sunday, it's gonna be great because 102 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be in a California hotel room. It's gonna 103 00:04:57,600 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: look funky. Dan and I are gonna be on there 104 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 1: together to give you an hour conversation about line movements, 105 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 1: about games, about picks, plays, thoughts, and since we're not 106 00:05:08,760 --> 00:05:12,520 Speaker 1: doing the DraftKings contest together because we're it's a whole 107 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:14,440 Speaker 1: long story, but we're not doing it together. So you're 108 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:17,040 Speaker 1: getting Dan and I still to give you our favorite 109 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 1: plays for an NFL Sunday coming up at eight a m. 110 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 1: Pacific eleven am Eastern time, every Sunday right here on 111 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:26,480 Speaker 1: the YouTube channel. So that's why it's important to subscribe, 112 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:29,040 Speaker 1: because you're getting an I notification as to when we 113 00:05:29,080 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 1: go live every Sunday, So in case you miss that, 114 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,839 Speaker 1: Dan Harris and I every Sunday on the YouTube channel. 115 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:37,840 Speaker 1: Dan doing props, Me doing betting, and picks and plays 116 00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:40,640 Speaker 1: and line movements and money moves, everything else, everything I'm 117 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 1: hearing and whatnot. 118 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:42,719 Speaker 2: I'm going to pass that along. 119 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:45,520 Speaker 1: From the betting side, Dan's got the prop bet side, 120 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:49,680 Speaker 1: from our projections, from our cheat sheets, the NFL prop. 121 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:50,160 Speaker 2: Bet cheat sheet. 122 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 1: You guys can go find that. We want to some 123 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 1: own research if you would like, on bettingpros dot Com. 124 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 1: Dan's got that for you, coming up here for a Sunday. 125 00:05:57,120 --> 00:05:59,280 Speaker 1: All right, So here's the picks for today's I'll get 126 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:01,680 Speaker 1: to the one second. I've got one college football game 127 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 1: to give you, and I have one add on for 128 00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:08,280 Speaker 1: tonight Thursday Night football between the Bucks and the Cowboys. 129 00:06:08,320 --> 00:06:10,680 Speaker 1: But before I do that, let's remind you about our 130 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:13,160 Speaker 1: friends over at bleacher Book. There have a great got 131 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 1: a great new game. 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Compete against 141 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 1: your friends for betting glory. Go get signed up today. 142 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 1: Bleach your book dot us. Start creating your league today 143 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:54,400 Speaker 1: and use that promo code Juice twenty. Juice twenty and 144 00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 1: get twenty percent off any bleacher Book league you create 145 00:06:57,240 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 1: this coming season. That's Bleach Yourbook dot Us, Big bets, 146 00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:06,160 Speaker 1: No Regrets Juice twenty for the promo code Bleach your 147 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:11,120 Speaker 1: Book dot Us. All right, let's get to the game tonight. 148 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: You guys know, I've already teased the Buccaneers down to 149 00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 1: one and a half. Now, that was when the number 150 00:07:16,400 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 1: was at seven and a half. The number is now 151 00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:20,360 Speaker 1: eight and a half. This number might close at nine. 152 00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 1: It may close at nine and a half. Okay, I 153 00:07:22,880 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 1: could bet it right now at eight and a half. 154 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 1: I am not in love with that. I'm also not 155 00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 1: in love with prop bets for tonight. It's the first 156 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 1: game of the year. There's a lot of funky things 157 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 1: that can happen. 158 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 2: We don't know. 159 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:37,600 Speaker 1: I mean, maybe these teams play much differently than we think. 160 00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:40,640 Speaker 1: I just I'm not feeling prop waging right now. So 161 00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:42,680 Speaker 1: since I've got a full unit on a two leg 162 00:07:42,720 --> 00:07:46,400 Speaker 1: teaser bucks and bills going, I don't really need to 163 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:49,560 Speaker 1: bet in my mind, in my opinion, I don't need 164 00:07:49,600 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 1: to bet the game to lay the eight and a 165 00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 1: half points, nine, nine and a half, whatever it might be, 166 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 1: because we've already teased it down. So I've already got 167 00:07:57,200 --> 00:08:01,200 Speaker 1: insurance for the back door cover, which I think is 168 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:05,119 Speaker 1: live for this game. I think the Cowboys are live 169 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 1: to cover this spread by seven or eight. I think 170 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 1: there's a possibility for a late game touchdown or maybe 171 00:08:12,560 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 1: a late drive or something that I just don't want 172 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:17,520 Speaker 1: to fool around with. I just know that Tampa wins, 173 00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 1: we cash the first leg of the of the Teaser, 174 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 1: and we've got Buffalo going on Sunday, so I don't 175 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 1: want that to be the only bet we've got going here. 176 00:08:25,200 --> 00:08:27,320 Speaker 1: But since I'm not in love with prop bets, really, 177 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:29,559 Speaker 1: if that changes, I'll tell you in the discord channel 178 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:32,360 Speaker 1: like I always do bettingpros dot com, slash chat, or 179 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:34,600 Speaker 1: the link underneath me here on YouTube. 180 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:37,400 Speaker 2: But let's talk about the first half. Okay, first half 181 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:38,439 Speaker 2: numbers four and a half. 182 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:41,880 Speaker 1: It's good number, right, four and a half from eight 183 00:08:41,880 --> 00:08:44,080 Speaker 1: and a half, that's where it should be. The number 184 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:46,319 Speaker 1: was actually five and a half when I looked at 185 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:48,440 Speaker 1: it this morning, was five and a half. So it 186 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 1: came down to four and a half and I was like, hmm, okay, 187 00:08:51,679 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 1: so there's some cowboy money coming in on the first half. 188 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:57,440 Speaker 2: That's interesting. Four and a half is number I like 189 00:08:57,520 --> 00:08:57,960 Speaker 2: a lot. 190 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:01,120 Speaker 1: In twenty twenty, the Buccaneers were third in the NFL 191 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:03,640 Speaker 1: in first half points, with an average of fifteen point 192 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:07,960 Speaker 1: nine points scored per first half. They averaged sixteen point nine, sorry, 193 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:11,280 Speaker 1: sixteen point one points per game at home in the 194 00:09:11,280 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 1: first half. So that's with nobody there. That's with no 195 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:18,720 Speaker 1: fans really and just an empty stadium. We're dropping the 196 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:22,760 Speaker 1: banner here. Okay, We've got a ton of emotion. And 197 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:27,000 Speaker 1: I think the difference is where the Patriots struggled in 198 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 1: their games on Thursday night standalone. I think the difference 199 00:09:30,400 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 1: is I think this is gonna be kind of cathartic 200 00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:36,080 Speaker 1: for the team they played all last year without a 201 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 1: full house, and because I think home field this year 202 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 1: in football in general, is going to be really big. 203 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 1: I do expect the Buccaneers to get a big jolt 204 00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:49,760 Speaker 1: from their home crowd, and not just offensively. I think 205 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:53,520 Speaker 1: defensively they're gonna get a gigantic jolt from this. Now 206 00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:57,680 Speaker 1: Dallas has Dak Prescott back. Dak not playing really hurt 207 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:00,400 Speaker 1: their average. They averaged twelve point nine p points per 208 00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 1: game in the first half. It dropped off significantly late 209 00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:05,520 Speaker 1: in the year, the average eleven point six points per 210 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:08,640 Speaker 1: game on the road. But again the injury to Dak Prescott. 211 00:10:08,679 --> 00:10:10,920 Speaker 1: But if they don't have their best offensive lineman in 212 00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:14,160 Speaker 1: this game due to COVID nineteen and Zach Martin, I 213 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:16,320 Speaker 1: think the offensive line not having him is a massive, 214 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 1: massive deal, in particular early when I think this defense 215 00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:22,440 Speaker 1: is going to be ferocious, they can pin their ears back. 216 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:25,760 Speaker 1: I don't see Zeke having a very big game running 217 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 1: the football against this defensive front. I mean, it's hard 218 00:10:28,120 --> 00:10:33,200 Speaker 1: to run on this fully healthy Tampa Bay Buccaneer defensive line. 219 00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:35,600 Speaker 1: And then if the d line can take care of 220 00:10:35,640 --> 00:10:37,959 Speaker 1: the running game, the linebackers are going to get after 221 00:10:38,040 --> 00:10:40,079 Speaker 1: Dak Prescott and it's going to be a long day. 222 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:42,080 Speaker 1: I don't care about Ceedee Lamb. I don't care about 223 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:44,720 Speaker 1: the receivers. Okay, I think it could be a really 224 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 1: long night for Dak Prescott in company if this defense 225 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,160 Speaker 1: can eat and really get after the Cowboys. I don't 226 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:54,320 Speaker 1: love this Cowboys defense. They were really bad last year, 227 00:10:54,800 --> 00:10:58,680 Speaker 1: and this team in Tampa talked all camp about how 228 00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 1: they wanted to show that their offense could be more 229 00:11:01,559 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 1: explosive and more connected. They had more time together, they 230 00:11:06,640 --> 00:11:10,240 Speaker 1: felt better. Brady now with the knee, that's fine. They 231 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:11,839 Speaker 1: want to go out there and put on a show. 232 00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:15,800 Speaker 1: I think in the first half, I think the Bucks 233 00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 1: are gonna run the Cowboys off the field in the 234 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:19,480 Speaker 1: first half. I just don't think it's going to be 235 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:22,040 Speaker 1: happening in the second half. That's my concern for that 236 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 1: eight and a half point total. I'm worried about a 237 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:26,680 Speaker 1: backdoor cover for Dallas. I'm worried about, you know, the 238 00:11:26,679 --> 00:11:28,599 Speaker 1: buck saying, Okay, they're up by twenty one points in 239 00:11:28,640 --> 00:11:31,000 Speaker 1: the third quarter and they're like, we're good, and then 240 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:33,560 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, here comes the Cowboys and they're 241 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:35,960 Speaker 1: scoring two touchdowns in the fourth quarter and they lose 242 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:39,360 Speaker 1: by seven, and you know, we don't cover. We cover 243 00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:41,679 Speaker 1: the teaser, but we don't cover the eight and a half. 244 00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:45,320 Speaker 1: So that might not happen. But that's my concern. I 245 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:48,000 Speaker 1: can see a seven point win for Tampa. So because 246 00:11:48,040 --> 00:11:51,000 Speaker 1: of that, we're gonna go first half here, okay, Tampa 247 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 1: Bay first half minus four and a half. You can 248 00:11:54,440 --> 00:11:57,199 Speaker 1: fade or follow this, okay, And people are gonna disagree 249 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:58,920 Speaker 1: with this pick. I can already tell you that there's 250 00:11:58,960 --> 00:12:01,640 Speaker 1: gonna be like, hell no, we're not doing this. Dallas 251 00:12:01,640 --> 00:12:02,800 Speaker 1: is gonna come out of the gate. They're going to 252 00:12:03,080 --> 00:12:05,160 Speaker 1: run the ball down the throats of Tampa. They're gonna 253 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 1: be distracted because of all the pomp and circumstances that's fine, 254 00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 1: but I'm going full unit on the teaser. I'm going 255 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:13,920 Speaker 1: full unit on Tampa first half minus four and a 256 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:16,360 Speaker 1: half year at home, with a chance they get off 257 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:16,640 Speaker 1: to a. 258 00:12:16,640 --> 00:12:17,559 Speaker 2: Really fast start. 259 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:20,959 Speaker 1: Use Brady, use the offense, Mike Evans and company pick 260 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: up big yardage, exploit that defense early first half. Tampa 261 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:29,200 Speaker 1: Bay minus four and a half is my play for tonight. 262 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:32,080 Speaker 1: So two plays, but one play that will cash tonight 263 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:34,800 Speaker 1: in one play unless they don't cover. The one and 264 00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 1: a half will not be determined until the Bills play 265 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:40,560 Speaker 1: against the Pittsburgh Steelers. We'll have more teasers coming up 266 00:12:40,559 --> 00:12:42,800 Speaker 1: as well. Okay, there are a bunch of games on 267 00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:47,280 Speaker 1: Friday for college football. One in particular, Coastal Carolina against Kansas. 268 00:12:47,360 --> 00:12:47,960 Speaker 2: I'm watching. 269 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:50,640 Speaker 1: I like Coastal minus twenty five, Okay, but I want 270 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:52,520 Speaker 1: that number to kind of settle a little bit. 271 00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 2: It's been ping ponging around. 272 00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:56,480 Speaker 1: Twenty four is not a key number, or twenty five 273 00:12:56,520 --> 00:12:58,199 Speaker 1: is not a key number, but it feels like whenever 274 00:12:58,240 --> 00:12:59,480 Speaker 1: it gets a twenty four and a half, it goes 275 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 1: right back it's twenty five, and then when it goes 276 00:13:01,200 --> 00:13:02,840 Speaker 1: to twenty five and a half, it goes right back down. 277 00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: So whatever reason the books and the pros feel like 278 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:08,679 Speaker 1: twenty five is the right number for this game, I 279 00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:10,439 Speaker 1: want to watch it go just a. 280 00:13:10,520 --> 00:13:11,800 Speaker 2: Little bit before. 281 00:13:12,360 --> 00:13:15,200 Speaker 1: I like Coastal a lot here in this game Kansas, 282 00:13:15,280 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 1: I don't think score is very much. I might do 283 00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:20,800 Speaker 1: a Coastal Carolina team total bet. That might be a 284 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:24,120 Speaker 1: better play than just expecting to cover twenty five points 285 00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:26,440 Speaker 1: in case Kansas can stick around and score points on 286 00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:29,120 Speaker 1: that Coastal defense. So I'm a little bit in between 287 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:31,200 Speaker 1: what I want to do with Friday night with Coastal. 288 00:13:31,240 --> 00:13:34,440 Speaker 1: So I'm not there yet, but I am going to 289 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 1: give you the other big rivalry game of the weekend here. Okay, 290 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:40,079 Speaker 1: So we have Iowa State minus four and a half 291 00:13:40,200 --> 00:13:44,560 Speaker 1: against Iowa home team, rivalry game, same logic going into 292 00:13:44,640 --> 00:13:48,160 Speaker 1: Utah in BYU Here, Utah is laying seven on the road. 293 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:50,720 Speaker 1: This number open at Circus Sports at I think two. 294 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:54,200 Speaker 1: It went immediately to five, all right, I'm sorry, it's 295 00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:57,600 Speaker 1: a seven, okay, and it stopped and it has stuck 296 00:13:57,640 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 1: at seven. 297 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 2: It hasn't moved. I don't think we're going to seven 298 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 2: and a half. 299 00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:02,960 Speaker 1: And I think the reason we're not going to seven 300 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:05,240 Speaker 1: and a half is because of this, eight of the 301 00:14:05,280 --> 00:14:09,120 Speaker 1: last ten Holy Wars BYU and Utah have been decided 302 00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:11,640 Speaker 1: by eight points or less. Now, the last time this 303 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:14,480 Speaker 1: game got played was in twenty nineteen. No game last 304 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 1: year due to COVID nineteen. Much like Iowa Iowa State. 305 00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 1: BYU well, they lost the game thirty to twelve, but 306 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:24,600 Speaker 1: it was nine to six at halftime and then three 307 00:14:24,640 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 1: turnovers in the second half with three touchdowns for Utah 308 00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:29,000 Speaker 1: blew that game open. 309 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:30,480 Speaker 2: That was that should have been a tight game. 310 00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 1: Mistakes for BYU led to Utah winning that game thirty 311 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:38,320 Speaker 1: to twelve. Okay, Utah snug passed Weaber State last week. 312 00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:41,080 Speaker 2: Not a game I'm worried about. Utah is a very 313 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:41,520 Speaker 2: good team. 314 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:43,440 Speaker 1: They were just doing kind of what Iowa and Iowa 315 00:14:43,440 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 1: State were doing, or mostly Iowa State. 316 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:46,240 Speaker 2: Just like get the win and move on right. 317 00:14:46,680 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 1: Utah recerns nineteen starters from a team that went three 318 00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 1: and two last year. Charlie Brewer back quarterback, dominant offensive line, 319 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 1: really good defensive line, and well, a lot of people 320 00:14:57,240 --> 00:14:59,320 Speaker 1: think Utah is a sleeper team in the Pac twelve. 321 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 2: That could be really really good this year. 322 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:03,960 Speaker 1: For BYU, they beat Arizona last week. It looked pretty 323 00:15:04,000 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 1: good doing it. Jaron Hall is back for a quarterback spot. 324 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 1: Just eleven starters return, however, seven on offense, four on defense. 325 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:12,480 Speaker 1: That's a little concerning. But the offense coming back with 326 00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 1: the offensive line coming back is really important here because 327 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:16,680 Speaker 1: they got to play ball control. They got to keep 328 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,280 Speaker 1: the football away from Utah. The last winning this series 329 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:21,920 Speaker 1: for BYU was in two thousand and nine, and they 330 00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 1: are absolutely desperate for it. Okay, BYU plays three pack 331 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 1: twelve schools to start the year, and this is probably 332 00:15:28,760 --> 00:15:30,320 Speaker 1: going to be the best one of the three. But 333 00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:33,520 Speaker 1: Arizona last week, they play Utah coming up on Saturday, 334 00:15:33,640 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 1: and then they play next week they. 335 00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:39,280 Speaker 2: Play Arizona State. This is a home dog. 336 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:41,680 Speaker 1: And the logic I played in Week one, I'm going 337 00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 1: to carry it over here to game number two. Week two, 338 00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:48,880 Speaker 1: I think BYU is going to ride the whole atmosphere. 339 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:51,800 Speaker 1: I think Provote's going to be ridiculous in this game. 340 00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 1: I think this team is playing for everything. 341 00:15:54,400 --> 00:15:56,640 Speaker 2: This is the super Bowl. They want to snap this 342 00:15:56,680 --> 00:15:57,720 Speaker 2: streak so badly. 343 00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 1: I'm not sure they win the game, But like anything, 344 00:16:01,800 --> 00:16:04,560 Speaker 1: it's BYU and a sprinkle on the money line. I'm 345 00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 1: taking the plus seven one full unit on BYU here 346 00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:12,200 Speaker 1: at home Home Dog. Okay, like last week, I'm taking 347 00:16:12,280 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 1: Home Dog a chance to open up in front of 348 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:16,640 Speaker 1: your home crowd against a team they've not beaten in 349 00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:19,320 Speaker 1: two thousand and nine. They've been hearing it over and 350 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 1: over and over and over again. This is much like 351 00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:26,640 Speaker 1: Iowa State, incredibly passionate team trying to snap a rivalry 352 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:29,720 Speaker 1: losing streak. I think Iowa State does it. I think 353 00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:32,120 Speaker 1: BYU has a very good shot at doing it. I'm 354 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:34,760 Speaker 1: not sure they win the game outright, but I am 355 00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 1: going to take the seven points for one full unit 356 00:16:37,400 --> 00:16:41,480 Speaker 1: BYU plus seven one unit up against Utah coming up 357 00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:44,560 Speaker 1: on Saturday. So those are the two big rivalry games, 358 00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:47,760 Speaker 1: and I love betting rivalry games. Friday night, as I mentioned, 359 00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:51,200 Speaker 1: we're looking at some games with Utah. I am going 360 00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:54,120 Speaker 1: to be a little bit lighter on college football this week. 361 00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 1: Then I will be on the NFL because a week 362 00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:59,480 Speaker 1: one with the NFL and I have to go to 363 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:02,680 Speaker 1: this wedding, so I got to make plays coming up. 364 00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:05,760 Speaker 1: So Friday and Saturday's podcasts are gonna be you know, 365 00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:10,120 Speaker 1: Friday will have a little bit on college Saturday. I've 366 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:12,200 Speaker 1: given you two plays already. I may have one or 367 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:14,240 Speaker 1: two more plays in college football. I don't think I'm 368 00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:16,360 Speaker 1: gonna have a big card in college football on Saturday, 369 00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:18,480 Speaker 1: just to heads up and now I'm thirteen three and one. 370 00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:20,080 Speaker 2: But I don't love the card. 371 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:23,560 Speaker 1: A lot of FBS games like UNLV is catching thirty 372 00:17:23,600 --> 00:17:26,640 Speaker 1: three and a half points from Arizona State, Like I mean, 373 00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:28,879 Speaker 1: there's a lot of games like that. I don't like 374 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:32,080 Speaker 1: laying numbers like that. It just it doesn't excite me. 375 00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:35,000 Speaker 1: I think Arizona State will blow them out and cover. 376 00:17:35,119 --> 00:17:37,320 Speaker 1: But if they win by thirty, you know, is that 377 00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:42,080 Speaker 1: embarrassing for Arizona State. No, So I'm very worried, if 378 00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:44,199 Speaker 1: you will, about getting involved heavily here. But I love 379 00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:47,480 Speaker 1: Iowa State in Iowa. I love BYU and Utah late 380 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:51,040 Speaker 1: game Saturday night, ten thirty Eastern time kick. It's going 381 00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:53,399 Speaker 1: to be a rocking atmosphere and me awesome. So I 382 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:55,399 Speaker 1: like those two games again. I'll have play on Friday, 383 00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:58,520 Speaker 1: probably with Coastal in Kansas, and then we'll see where 384 00:17:58,560 --> 00:18:00,680 Speaker 1: else I go coming up for Friday, maybe what else 385 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:03,760 Speaker 1: for Saturday? And then Sunday is the NFL, and so 386 00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:06,200 Speaker 1: tomorrow I'm gonna give you a bunch of NFL plays. 387 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:08,320 Speaker 1: On Saturday, I'll give you a bunch of NFL plays, 388 00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:10,160 Speaker 1: and then on Sunday morning we'll have the live stream. 389 00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:12,360 Speaker 1: I'll add to whatever plays I may have going on. 390 00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 1: So I'm going to be very active coming up on Sunday. 391 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:18,760 Speaker 1: Pretty big card on Sunday, not a great card on Saturday. 392 00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 2: Just f yi. Okay, So a couple things about yesterday. 393 00:18:22,840 --> 00:18:24,919 Speaker 1: So normally I do a recap at the top, and 394 00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:26,639 Speaker 1: I forgot, so I apologize, but we went one in 395 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:31,679 Speaker 1: one yesterday. Yankees under cashed. Yankees money line did not. 396 00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:37,480 Speaker 1: Red Sox team total hit project eighty cash is so 397 00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:41,199 Speaker 1: two in one day technically a profitable day, but we 398 00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:43,120 Speaker 1: won't actually get paid till after the year is over. 399 00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 1: So we got to wait and for the year to 400 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,480 Speaker 1: be over. But we're going to cash that bet. Red 401 00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:51,080 Speaker 1: Sox over seventy nine and a half wins. I told 402 00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:53,439 Speaker 1: you that was gonna happen, and we've known for a 403 00:18:53,440 --> 00:18:55,200 Speaker 1: long time. But to do it the way they did 404 00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:57,640 Speaker 1: it on Hunter renfro throwing out a runner a third 405 00:18:57,680 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 1: base when they're protecting a one run lead, and he 406 00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 1: hit a t run home run in in the bottom 407 00:19:01,520 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 1: of the eighth inning, take a two to one lead, 408 00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:05,399 Speaker 1: and he throws the game winning put out. 409 00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:06,440 Speaker 2: I mean, that's insane. 410 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:09,320 Speaker 1: Hunter Ren throw is what they've been calling him in 411 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 1: Boston for that reason. The guy's got an absolute cannon 412 00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:14,199 Speaker 1: for an arm and he proved it again for the 413 00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:17,919 Speaker 1: Red Sox. So they win, Yankees lose. Red Sox are 414 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:20,560 Speaker 1: now in first place. They about the first wild card 415 00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:25,280 Speaker 1: amazingly enough, it's crazy, but the Yankees are now having 416 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:27,520 Speaker 1: to worry about the Blue Jays and the Red Sox 417 00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:28,720 Speaker 1: and the Yankees. 418 00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:30,240 Speaker 2: After that crazy hot start there. 419 00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:32,959 Speaker 1: I mean, it's a three team race for two spots still, 420 00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:36,840 Speaker 1: and the team with the better pitching maybe Toronto. I 421 00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:40,200 Speaker 1: mean they're pitching so well. Ree You's been phenomenal, Robbie 422 00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:43,920 Speaker 1: Ray's been great. It's like, ohoh boy, here comes Toronto 423 00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:45,400 Speaker 1: and they very well make the playoffs. 424 00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:46,399 Speaker 2: Like it's kind of crazy. 425 00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:47,960 Speaker 1: There are four games back of the Red Sox in 426 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:49,920 Speaker 1: the win column, but they're even with the Red Sox 427 00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:51,560 Speaker 1: and the lost column, so they gotta make up four 428 00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:53,600 Speaker 1: games due to COVID and other issues. 429 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:55,600 Speaker 2: So we'll see what happens with the Blue Jays. 430 00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:57,480 Speaker 1: But so it was a two to one day yesterday 431 00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,760 Speaker 1: thanks to the Red Sox catching Yankees under Yankees' money 432 00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:03,119 Speaker 1: line did not hit so technically down the juice. But 433 00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:04,760 Speaker 1: we're gonna be up because of the Red Sox. So 434 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:06,600 Speaker 1: I'm counting it as a two and one day, so 435 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:08,520 Speaker 1: I'm counting it as a winning day. So that's what 436 00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:10,440 Speaker 1: I'm doing. Is my team. My team won. I'm happy, 437 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:12,960 Speaker 1: I'm excited. We'll go too and one. Okay, So again 438 00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:15,520 Speaker 1: we're going first half minus four and a half for 439 00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:20,480 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay tonight up against the Cowboys. Not probably gonna 440 00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:23,280 Speaker 1: play any props, but I've got the teaser going at 441 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:24,680 Speaker 1: the end of the game minus one and a half 442 00:20:24,720 --> 00:20:27,320 Speaker 1: for Tampa to win. So we got a first half play, 443 00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:29,480 Speaker 1: got a gameplay going up here tonight. 444 00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:30,440 Speaker 2: Have fun. 445 00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:32,920 Speaker 1: I'll be in the Discord channel watching with you guys again. 446 00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:35,080 Speaker 1: If I add anything, If I find any props that 447 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:36,959 Speaker 1: I like, I will sprinkle and tell you about it 448 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:39,800 Speaker 1: in the Discord channel. Maybe Dan Harris has got a 449 00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:41,600 Speaker 1: great prop bet for us he wants to give us 450 00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 1: who knows, and then we'll roll with that. Coming up 451 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:47,399 Speaker 1: here for game one of the NFL dropping the banner 452 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:51,440 Speaker 1: and then tomorrow the Circle million three team will be unveiled. 453 00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:53,840 Speaker 1: I promise you, Okay, I promise you. 454 00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:55,760 Speaker 2: We will unveil the Circle million three. 455 00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:58,560 Speaker 1: Team for us coming up here for today on the 456 00:20:58,600 --> 00:21:02,400 Speaker 1: Discord channel Betting Pros slash Chat, or underneath me here 457 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:04,880 Speaker 1: on YouTube for the link. Min Is Matt Parolt. Follow 458 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,160 Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports dot Matt. Each and every morning, 459 00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:09,720 Speaker 1: it's the Daily Juice podcast right here on Bettingpros dot com, 460 00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:22,680 Speaker 1: always being brought to you by BEDAMGM