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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast is presented by wind

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Speaker 1: is click on the Action Network link in this episode description. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's get things started, all right.

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Speaker 2: Here we go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five,

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Speaker 2: forty forty five fifty and the.

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Speaker 3: Checks clock College football world stop. Oh my godness, please

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Speaker 3: stop all that's the lateral.

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Speaker 2: Night.

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Speaker 3: It's not the sage on the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 3: It's the sage of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast presented by win Bet. This is the

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Speaker 2: Week eight college football betting preview. I'm stuck you with

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Speaker 2: me as always, as Colin Wilson, ready to give us

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Speaker 2: some Arkansas pine bluff.

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Speaker 3: You mean a fifty one point spread when your head

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Speaker 3: coach tells you that we're all beat up and we

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Speaker 3: really need a bye week. Oh hey, here's the ua

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Speaker 3: pbe zebras woo pig silly.

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Speaker 2: This is kind of a like I.

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Speaker 3: Wish you and I kind of got a bye week.

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Speaker 3: We don't get a bye week. You gotta play every

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Speaker 3: week here, so uh, you know, no matter what the

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Speaker 3: sleigh gives us, no top twenty five matchups, we still

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Speaker 3: got to dienam. We got plenty of things to bet on.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I apologize for my voice throughout. Maybe this is

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Speaker 2: I've bruntkitis. I've been in bed for like two days

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Speaker 2: capping the card. I'm just looking at my record for

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Speaker 2: the year. I'm up one and a half units, fifty

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Speaker 2: one and a half percent. This is usually the time

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Speaker 2: where we get hot. I can't promise another twenty four

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Speaker 2: and six bowl season, but I'm hoping this is my

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Speaker 2: Jordan flu game weekend and it kind of propels me,

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Speaker 2: you us to the end. So yeah, I was under

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Speaker 2: a heated blanket two days straight. This is the only

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Speaker 2: time I've gotten up to do this to do a

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Speaker 2: couple other podcasts, So hopefully I was able to find

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Speaker 2: some winners, but after this I'm going to sleep for

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Speaker 2: about fifteen hours. So no, bye week's year. Let's get

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Speaker 2: into the card. We'll start with where we always start,

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Speaker 2: and that's look ahead or look away, hangovers, sleepers, and

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Speaker 2: the dreaded sandwich spot.

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Speaker 3: Is it time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 2: This is when we look at next week's card, last

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Speaker 2: week's guard and try to determine if there's any impact

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Speaker 2: on this weekend's set of games, either from just an

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Speaker 2: emotional standpoint, does the team come out flat or you know,

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Speaker 2: a strategic standpoint, do they pull their start as a

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Speaker 2: little suit or not so much, et cetera, et cetera.

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Speaker 2: So let's take a look here first at the biggest

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Speaker 2: look ahead spots, and that would be a huge game

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Speaker 2: in the Big Ten next weekend between Ohio State and

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Speaker 2: pen State. We also have Michigan and Michigan State, which

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Speaker 2: we'll talk about next week before those teams have those

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Speaker 2: meetings that Michigan has to post Northwestern and Ohio State

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Speaker 2: will go to Indiana, their twenty one point favorites at

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Speaker 2: wind Bet. Illinois goes to pen State. Pen State's a

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Speaker 2: twenty one point favorite also twenty one point favorite at

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Speaker 2: win Ben at home. The status of quarterback Bredon Peters

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Speaker 2: is up in the air. Sear Clifford was practicing. I

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Speaker 2: doubt will play here. I mean he had a brace

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Speaker 2: on why play him the week before? Ohio State my

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Speaker 2: only angle here. I mean, I have nothing for I

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Speaker 2: think Ohio State's a little rich, but they've really turned

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Speaker 2: it around as of late. I have nothing in Michigan Northwest,

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Speaker 2: and I'm curious to get your thoughts there. My only

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Speaker 2: play in any of these three sets of situational Big

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Speaker 2: Ten games is the under in Penn State Illinois. I

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Speaker 2: think that Penn State just wants to get out of

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Speaker 2: this game healthy. But without Clifford, this offense, we saw

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Speaker 2: what it did against Iowa. I mean, these quarterbacks, they

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Speaker 2: can't do it. And Clifford's only one of the team

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Speaker 2: that could run the ball. They can't run it. Their

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Speaker 2: offensive line has been bad. Illinois's offense is a mess.

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Speaker 2: Penn State's defense should show up here. So I think

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Speaker 2: this game is kind of ugly, and you know, Penn

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Speaker 2: State gets out a year with like a twenty seven

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Speaker 2: to ten kind of win or something. So I played

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Speaker 2: some under forty six and a half there, assuming that

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Speaker 2: Clifford doesn't play because we solved that offenses without him

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Speaker 2: any thought of any of those three games.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll start with that one because I kind of

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Speaker 3: had the same take. But the problem is that Sean

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Speaker 3: Clifford was taking reps in practice the last two days.

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Speaker 3: But it could be like emergency situation, right, we don't

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Speaker 3: want to lose the big ten against Illinois. And I mean,

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Speaker 3: I'm a little nervous because I took this game on

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Speaker 3: open figuring that Sean Clifford might be healthy and that

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Speaker 3: would catapult it up to my power rank of twenty eight.

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Speaker 3: So the number definitely is taking into account that Sean

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Speaker 3: Clifford is not going to play this game. And you

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Speaker 3: know it just even though Sean Clifford's practicing, the points

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Speaker 3: bore hasn't moved, so obviously odds makers don't believe that

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Speaker 3: he's going to play either and laying this many points

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Speaker 3: with Takwan Roberts Roberson, it just did not have a

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Speaker 3: good game in relief of Clifford against Iowa seven of

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Speaker 3: twenty one passing too.

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Speaker 2: It went from a really good offense to look at

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Speaker 2: like the worst offense of the country. It was.

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Speaker 3: It was disgusting. And listen, pen, You're right, Penn State's

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Speaker 3: rushing attack is progressively getting worse one hundred and fourteenth

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Speaker 3: rushing success rate, one hundred and seventeenth in the line years.

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Speaker 3: There's zero push from this offensive line. And you know

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Speaker 3: that might get a pass this week because Illinois defense

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Speaker 3: is near dead last and almost everything and anyone in

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Speaker 3: the country can run on Illinois. But what's going on

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Speaker 3: there with their program? Was Brett Bilima trying to motivate

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Speaker 3: the guys on his team or is he just does

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Speaker 3: he just really hate this roster. Bilmen came out this

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Speaker 3: week and voiced his frustrations about how obviously the team

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Speaker 3: that he inherited that he didn't recruit, none of these

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Speaker 3: players are his, They're not getting the job done in

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Speaker 3: the two deep, and then he specifically called out the

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Speaker 3: offensive line that I'm getting nothing out of the players

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Speaker 3: that are on the offensive line. I don't think I've

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Speaker 3: ever seen a head coach specifically like not just bag

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Speaker 3: on his team, but call out a unit for being horrible.

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Speaker 3: So I don't know where Illinois's heads are at. If

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Speaker 3: they come out a little fired up, a little pissed

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Speaker 3: off because their coach said that they suck or you know,

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Speaker 3: maybe they you know, quit on them. I don't know,

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Speaker 3: but the number is interesting. I make it twenty eight.

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Speaker 3: The Clifford makes it twenty three, twenty four and a half.

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Speaker 3: But first half under for me is the way I

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Speaker 3: would look. And the reason I say that is is

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Speaker 3: because if Penn State gets into trouble, I think you

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Speaker 3: see Clifford in an emergency situation, maybe third and fourth quarter,

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Speaker 3: to save their Big Ten hopes because they can't lose

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Speaker 3: this game. So I agree with you under all the way.

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Speaker 3: I don't know what the Beaelman angle is at all,

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Speaker 3: but I guess we'll find out.

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Speaker 2: That's fair anything. The other two Big Ten games.

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Speaker 3: Well, the Ohio State teams, like I did a deep

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Speaker 3: dive on it, and you know, listen, Indiana's offense is

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Speaker 3: something you just can't bet on. It's inflated spread. I

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Speaker 3: make it sixteen. I think SPPLUS makes it nineteen. I mean,

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Speaker 3: this number is huge. And then what you have to

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Speaker 3: do with Ohio State right now is you have to

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Speaker 3: accurately assess what the Buckeyes' defense has been since the

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Speaker 3: loss to Oregon. So let's do that. Tulsa beat the

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Speaker 3: national average and success rate in standard downs and passing downs,

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Speaker 3: but they failed in scoring opportunities. Akron was stuffed in

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Speaker 3: sixty five percent of the runs, but they met the

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Speaker 3: national average in passing down, had a drive go over

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Speaker 3: ten plays. It's accron against Ohio's these defense. And then

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Speaker 3: Rutgers exceeded national average and all success rates splits. They

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Speaker 3: even produced two explosive drives on offense, but again once

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Speaker 3: they got to the forty yard line, they averaged one

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Speaker 3: point five points per attempt in finishing drives. And then

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Speaker 3: Maryland exact same story at national average, killed it in

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Speaker 3: success rate, two drives with ten plus plays, terrible showing

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Speaker 3: and scoring opportunities, and two turnovers of course from Maryland.

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Speaker 3: So I don't trust the Ohio State defense. I know

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Speaker 3: everybody thinks that they're getting hot and lit up, and yes,

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Speaker 3: their offense is college football playoff ready. C J. Stroud

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Speaker 3: is the fourth highest graded quarterback behind Bryce Young, can

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Speaker 3: He Pickett, and Grayson McCall per PFF. Now, Stroud is

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Speaker 3: fantastic in pressure pockets, but Indiana is not pressuring anybody.

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Speaker 3: So the handicap is Ohio State can absolutely get all

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Speaker 3: their yards here, they can get all their points all day.

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Speaker 3: But I don't trust the defense. So I'm not sure

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Speaker 3: if I'm taking Ohio State in an inflated spread. No

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Speaker 3: thing Ohio State team total over that I can do well.

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Speaker 2: The thing with the Ohio State defense is, and that's

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Speaker 2: going to be the key whether or not they can

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Speaker 2: win a national title is their defense comes along is

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Speaker 2: in the first three weeks. And this is a guy

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Speaker 2: I was screaming about for you know, for the past years,

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Speaker 2: Kerry Coombs cannot call the defense at this level if

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Speaker 2: you want to win a national championship. So he he

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Speaker 2: lost his play calling duty and they were given to

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Speaker 2: Matt Barnes, who has taken over the past three games.

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Speaker 2: But like you know, they played Akron, Rutgers and then

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Speaker 2: Maryland without you know, all of their receivers. So I

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Speaker 2: still don't have a good rad on. You know, Ohio

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Speaker 2: State fans will tell you, Okay, now, our defense is

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Speaker 2: different because of the play calling duty shift, which you

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Speaker 2: can't get any worse than Coobs is done. But I

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Speaker 2: need to see it, you know, at home against Penn

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Speaker 2: State next week at Nebraska. You know, the Michigan State,

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Speaker 2: Michigan the end of the year. Anything in Michigan Northwestern

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Speaker 2: with our friend Boatog.

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Speaker 3: Jim, don't gamble, don't associate with gam avoid it like

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Speaker 3: the plague. Let's check in with bow Dodd Jim. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: boat dog Jim. I think you got to look at

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Speaker 3: you know, it's a Michigan or nothing here. I mean

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Speaker 3: the same as Penn State. Michigan gets the twenty four

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Speaker 3: and there's just mass resistance in the market coming in

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Speaker 3: on Northwestern. There's some questionable injury statuses for a few

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Speaker 3: players on the Northwestern offerense, but this is an offense

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Speaker 3: that has had an explosive touchdown and sustained some drives

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Speaker 3: on Rutgers. Ryan Helenski is going to be under extreme pressure.

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Speaker 3: And you know the offensive line that kind of skated

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Speaker 3: against Ohio Duke Indiana State, they're eighty eighth and pass

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Speaker 3: blocking and their top ten pass rush defense of Michigan

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Speaker 3: is just going to be all over Ryan Helenski. So

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Speaker 3: I think it's kind of it's tough to take a

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Speaker 3: spread that large with a Michigan team that is so

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Speaker 3: focused on running the ball, and they should have a

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Speaker 3: ton of success running the ball. I mean, you know,

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Speaker 3: sixty seven percent rush, right, but their tempo is one

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Speaker 3: hundred and first. Blake Korum may have a huge day.

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Speaker 3: He averages three point eight yards after contact, and the

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Speaker 3: Northwestern defense is near dead last in defensive rush EPA.

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Speaker 3: So if you believe Michigan can bust explosive plays all

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Speaker 3: day on the ground against Northwestern, which the stats say

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Speaker 3: that they should, then this should be a cover. But

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Speaker 3: again this is a very much inflated spread. Again, so

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Speaker 3: it's Michigan or nothing.

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Speaker 2: All right. Before we move on to some of the

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Speaker 2: marque games of the weekend, say you're looking at a

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Speaker 2: couple of potential hangover spots after some big wins last

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Speaker 2: week LSU, everyone wrote them off for Dad, everyone said

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Speaker 2: ad ohs lost the team. Then they win. They beat Florida.

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Speaker 2: By the way, deb Allwood, why are you not playing?

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Speaker 2: Get to do interest of the whole time was led

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Speaker 2: them back to victory. But LSU wins, and ironically enough,

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Speaker 2: Dah gets fired. Well while we were doing the podcast,

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Speaker 2: on the recap episode, we found out that Braef you los,

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Speaker 2: but LSU just you know, losing so many key players.

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Speaker 2: But they put it all together. They did not quit

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Speaker 2: On ed out they now will travel too old bess

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Speaker 2: old bess off that w again at Tennessee where I

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Speaker 2: mean big golf balls and gatorade bottles. So interesting matchup here.

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Speaker 2: There's a lot of questions about the quarterback situation with Obts.

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Speaker 2: Earlier the week, Laane hinted back Corral said it didn't

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Speaker 2: look good. I was thinking that was gamesmanship potentially. You

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Speaker 2: never know with Lade. Where do we stand there? What

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Speaker 2: do you see here?

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Speaker 3: Well, it's interesting as you and I were podcasting on Sunday,

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Speaker 3: Coach O got fired, and then Brett and I podcast

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Speaker 3: sed on Monday and Nick Rolovich got fired in the

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Speaker 3: middle of the podcast. So somebody's probably getting fired right now.

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Speaker 3: I'm not exactly sure. Listen, there's two big handicaps, and

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Speaker 3: you already mentioned it. Do the players respond to Coach O?

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Speaker 3: And does Matt Corrall play? Now? Addressing the first one,

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Speaker 3: you know these players were they came to LSU for

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Speaker 3: Coach O. They came to play for him. He has

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Speaker 3: a very close personal relationship with a lot of these guys.

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Speaker 3: And when you listen to guys like TJ. Finley leave

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Speaker 3: for all like he was emotionally upset about leaving coach O.

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Speaker 3: These players love him to death, so I think that

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Speaker 3: they're going to respond. They did against Florida, and I

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Speaker 3: can I expect them to keep doing that now. On

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Speaker 3: Coacho's personal relationship with Lane Kiffen, you know, Kevin said

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Speaker 3: he's an awesome guy and he's a phenomenal coach. Listen,

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Speaker 3: they have a very long history with each other. I

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Speaker 3: mean they're they you know, the USC Ties, everything else.

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Speaker 3: And it just doesn't sound like, you know a coach

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Speaker 3: that's going to try to run his opponent out of

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Speaker 3: the building if he can. That depends on you know what,

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Speaker 3: Matt Corral, if he's going to play. I heard the

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Speaker 3: same thing from LSU. They don't believe it all that

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Speaker 3: Matt Corral is going to be sitting on the bench.

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Speaker 3: But if Kral is out Kinkaid Dent, John Reese, Plumbley,

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Speaker 3: the playbook isn't going to change. It's going to be

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Speaker 3: zone read, handoff hitting a vertical route. And we know

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Speaker 3: ole Miss is the fastest offense by tempo metrics, but

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Speaker 3: does the sixty percent rush rate increase without kraw or

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Speaker 3: to keep you know, Dent or Plumbly from throwing you

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Speaker 3: don't want Denton plumbly throwing the ball the way craw does.

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Speaker 3: So you know, Florida was stuffed on ten of thirty

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Speaker 3: three rushing tempts by the LSU defensive front. And for

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Speaker 3: the season they're above the national average and stuff for it.

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Speaker 3: But the issue is the explosive play. Florida doubled the

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Speaker 3: national average and explosive drives on this LSU defense. This

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Speaker 3: is defense is missing a ton of pieces out of

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Speaker 3: the back seven. So while it's great that LSU did beat, you're.

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Speaker 2: Missing both both your corners now of like the potential

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Speaker 2: of the best quarter doing the country.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the big news this week is that, hey,

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Speaker 3: LSU beat Florida. But yeah, but if you look at

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Speaker 3: the numbers, like Florida had a field day on offense.

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Speaker 3: But the case for LSU to win, you know, is

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Speaker 3: to keep the old miss offense off the field. What

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Speaker 3: Nick Saban did with Brian Robinson. Why did you push

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Speaker 3: yourself grinding them to a halt and not letting Kraal

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Speaker 3: and the offense come out there? And ty Davis Price

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Speaker 3: goes for one forty seven on Kentucky. He gets new

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Speaker 3: run schemes and sets to eighty seven on Florida now

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Speaker 3: gets an old Miss defense. It's one hundred and twentieth

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Speaker 3: and rushing success rate and they're ninety sixth and tackling.

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Speaker 3: Are they going to be able to get Ty Davis Price?

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Speaker 3: So it turns out like the director of Performance and Innovation,

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Speaker 3: Jack Marucci, came up with these schemes and now that's

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Speaker 3: what the offensive line is running and ty Davis Price

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Speaker 3: is just going crazy. So you know, I mean he

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Speaker 3: had eleven Miss tackles, he averaged four yards after contact.

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Speaker 3: Old Miss can't do anything with that. So you know,

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Speaker 3: I project Ole Miss minus seven and a half with

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Speaker 3: corral and a total of seventy one. But obviously there's

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Speaker 3: gonna be plenty of explosive plays on both sides of

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Speaker 3: the ball. The LSU defense is twentieth in rush EPA,

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Speaker 3: and you know they have a top forty defense against

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Speaker 3: standard downs explosiveness, and that's where Ole Miss lives. They

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Speaker 3: just eat at explosiveness and standard downs. They rank first

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Speaker 3: in FBS. So you know, the biggest key numbers in

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Speaker 3: the seventies are seventy three and seventy six. So the

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Speaker 3: under is certainly what I'm looking at. With under seventy six,

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Speaker 3: not seventy five and a half. That's where I would

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Speaker 3: cut it off. I think ty Davis Price is really

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Speaker 3: the player that can keep the Old Miss offense off

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Speaker 3: the field. Trying to be like Alabama and Brian Robinson.

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Speaker 3: You know you called it last week easy, you call

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Speaker 3: it under in that Tennessee Old Miss game. I think

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Speaker 3: we have an under here too.

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Speaker 2: Ole Miss has some wide receiver injuries worth keep an

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Speaker 2: eye on to at winbat Right now, the official odds

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Speaker 2: provider of the Big Bets of Campus Podcast, Oh misses a.

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Speaker 2: They're sitting at minus ten plus one hundred over under

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Speaker 2: seventy five and a half. Another potential hagover spots perdue.

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Speaker 2: They pick up that big win over Iowa in pretty

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Speaker 2: dominant fashion, and now they will get a host of

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Speaker 2: Wisconsin team that is fresh off of another grinder against Army.

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Speaker 2: At win Bet Purdue is a three point home underdog

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Speaker 2: over under is forty. Now what we know about Wisconsin

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Speaker 2: is they can't really throw the ball with Graham Berts,

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Speaker 2: but you cannot run on them. Their defense is elite.

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Speaker 2: Purdue can't run the ball at all, so they're not

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Speaker 2: gonna They might not get a yard here running the ball.

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Speaker 2: And we know Purdue's defense is played at a top

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Speaker 2: fifteen level just this year. If you were priored to

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Speaker 2: in a top fifteen defense, you know that carlaftis he

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Speaker 2: could be a top five pick that gets double and

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Speaker 2: triple team new coordinators done wonders for that defense. I'm

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Speaker 2: leading under here again. I think that what will make

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Speaker 2: or break Gave is how much davage could David Bell

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Speaker 2: do crossed Iowa. But that's that's how Purdue's going to

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00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:09,480
Speaker 2: have to make their living. Gears feeding David Bell and

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00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:12,440
Speaker 2: kid Wisconsin slow him down because they're going to slow

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Speaker 2: down the run is probably not even going to try

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Speaker 2: to run here. What do you think here?

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Speaker 3: Very good handicap because that's exactly the handicap where I

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Speaker 3: was at. So I wanted to take Wisconsin minus three earlier.

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Speaker 3: Today the number moved across the board when bet minus

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Speaker 3: three and a half. We have some history here. In

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Speaker 3: twenty eighteen, Jeff Brown beat number two Ohio State. We

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Speaker 3: can thank Rondell More for that. Now, David Bell is

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Speaker 3: the guy. And if you go back to twenty eighteen,

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Speaker 3: Perdue lost the next game to unranked Michigan state and

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Speaker 3: they had three turnovers, so you know a win is

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Speaker 3: a big game for them if they're feeling pressure. A

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Speaker 3: winear puts Purdue one step closer to winning the Big

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Speaker 3: Ten West. If Minnesota can take a loss, probably shouldn't

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Speaker 3: be too hard with that. But you know this number

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Speaker 3: is a bye at three. At three and a half,

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Speaker 3: I've really got a reassess, especially when you're looking at

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Speaker 3: a Wisconsin team that has some issues scoring. The hook.

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Speaker 2: That hook is even is the most important thing of

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Speaker 2: the road with you're trying to back grab Mertz.

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Speaker 3: Absolutely absolutely, So you know both defenses have a strong

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Speaker 3: advantage here. You know George carl Aftis he ranks eighth

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00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:15,920
Speaker 3: individually in the nation and pass rush productivity per PFF

362
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Speaker 3: and Graham Mertz adjust, a completion percentage drops twenty five percent,

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Speaker 3: and a pressured pocket. So that half point, like Stuck said,

364
00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:26,840
Speaker 3: is extremely important. It's going to be a very slow

365
00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:32,240
Speaker 3: drip of a faucet. Wisconsin running game produced defenses seventy

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00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:34,760
Speaker 3: eighth and stuff rate, so even the you know, the

367
00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:36,199
Speaker 3: running backs are going to be able to get their

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00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:38,560
Speaker 3: two and three yards and a cloud of dust. And

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00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:40,600
Speaker 3: that's exactly how the offense is going to move. Now

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Speaker 3: on the other side, you hit it. What's going to

371
00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:44,400
Speaker 3: happen to David Bell? Is he going to run wild

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Speaker 3: like he did last week? And the boiler Makers they

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00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:48,879
Speaker 3: have it in the advanced stats. They throw sixty percent

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Speaker 3: of the time. They're seventeenth in passing success rate. They're

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00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:55,040
Speaker 3: terrible in standard downs, but their top thirty in success

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00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:56,959
Speaker 3: rate exposed to us in passing down. So when they

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Speaker 3: get behind schedule, they're able to go crazy and find

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00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:01,800
Speaker 3: day Bell and he does all the work. What you

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00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:04,280
Speaker 3: really have to do the handicap down is to where

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00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:06,399
Speaker 3: does Bell line up and who is going to be

381
00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:08,760
Speaker 3: guarding him? So if you look at it, he lines

382
00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:11,480
Speaker 3: up thirteen percent of the time in the slot eighty

383
00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:13,879
Speaker 3: seven percent of the time out wide. So coverage from

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00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:17,119
Speaker 3: the corners is crucial for Wisconsin. That points directly to

385
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Speaker 3: Caesar Williams, who should be fresh, considering he only played

386
00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:24,639
Speaker 3: eight coverage snaps against Army. Army doesn't throw. Williams doesn't

387
00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:28,240
Speaker 3: have a huge rank and forced in completions, but the

388
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,160
Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty coverage snaps he has, he's only

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00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:34,320
Speaker 3: been targeted twenty one times. Like I think quarterbacks are

390
00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:37,719
Speaker 3: obviously avoiding him, and in the nine catches against him,

391
00:19:37,840 --> 00:19:41,680
Speaker 3: only twenty four yacts have been allowed. Extremely important. So

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Speaker 3: the point is Caesar Williams is not going to force

393
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Speaker 3: in completions on David Bell, but the second David Bell

394
00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:52,119
Speaker 3: makes the reception, there's no yards after catch been allowed

395
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Speaker 3: at all. And the most important stat that you can

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Speaker 3: find on Caesar Williams zero missed tackles. This year, Bell's

397
00:19:58,520 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 3: going to get the ball, but the Wisconsin secondary is

398
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,520
Speaker 3: going to be right on top of him. I don't

399
00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:05,640
Speaker 3: want to take the three and a half on Wisconsin.

400
00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:08,400
Speaker 3: That's the play. The plays Wisconsin. I really don't want

401
00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:08,880
Speaker 3: that hook.

402
00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:12,320
Speaker 2: Well right now at win bet it's three flat big,

403
00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,119
Speaker 2: so I agree with you. I agree on Wisconsin. I

404
00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:19,840
Speaker 2: would actually lead under two another under in Wisconsin. Shocker.

405
00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:24,960
Speaker 2: Last spot here is Utah after their big win. Emotional

406
00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:27,359
Speaker 2: week for Utah, right they went to the funeral in

407
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Speaker 2: Texas and then they come back and then they have

408
00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:32,880
Speaker 2: a comeback win over Arizona State out of the wide

409
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Speaker 2: open PAC twelve and this game will go a long

410
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Speaker 2: way determining both divisions. Utah is a three point favorite

411
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Speaker 2: at Oregon State over under fifty six at win bet.

412
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Speaker 2: So you had Utah last week. Guy at Amazon State.

413
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Speaker 2: Last year. Last year I was beating you at all,

414
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Speaker 2: all the head to heads when we were against the other.

415
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Speaker 2: This year you're bding b at everyone. So I hope

416
00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:53,800
Speaker 2: that you're not a Utah again. I did place to

417
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Speaker 2: Oregon State. I think it's an awful spot. I mean,

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Speaker 2: Oregon State's coming off of a bye Utah, that emotional

419
00:20:58,840 --> 00:21:02,080
Speaker 2: week beat our Zota State. You know, big game on

420
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Speaker 2: deck going up to Corvals. This is might be the

421
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:07,560
Speaker 2: biggest game in Corvallis ten years now. Look one of

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Speaker 2: the weaknesses that I said, and you nailed it with

423
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:13,399
Speaker 2: Arizona State last week, thirteen penalties for one hundred and

424
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Speaker 2: fifteen yards. Arizona State still ran for over six yards

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Speaker 2: per carry. If you remove the sacks at the very

426
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Speaker 2: end of the game, with their best so they were

427
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Speaker 2: running it, you could run on this Utah team. Not

428
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Speaker 2: enough people are talked about this Oregon State offensive lide.

429
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Speaker 2: I think they're number one in live yards. I think

430
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Speaker 2: they're gonna be able to move the ball on the ground.

431
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 2: I think this is a flat spot for Utah. I

432
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:37,080
Speaker 2: took the three at home with the beaves. I'm hoping

433
00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:38,680
Speaker 2: you don't disagree, because you would beat me and he's

434
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:39,159
Speaker 2: had to head that.

435
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:41,479
Speaker 3: I want to agree with you, but I haven't made

436
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:43,480
Speaker 3: a play on Oregon State. I took a different angle

437
00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:46,240
Speaker 3: at this. So by the time this game kicks, Oregon

438
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,000
Speaker 3: State could be playing for sole possession of the North

439
00:21:49,520 --> 00:21:52,160
Speaker 3: and Utah I had, like you said, Utah hasse because

440
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:54,399
Speaker 3: the UCLA Oregon game is earlier in the day, and

441
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:56,840
Speaker 3: I guess we'll talk about that one later. But Oregon

442
00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:59,080
Speaker 3: State maybe coming out of the locker room onto the

443
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:02,639
Speaker 3: field with eight ton of pressure on them, you know,

444
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:05,800
Speaker 3: to own the North, which is a shock. But I mean,

445
00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:07,800
Speaker 3: you got to look at Utah just this emotional week

446
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:10,280
Speaker 3: of practice, a big win to lead in the South.

447
00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:12,440
Speaker 3: If you go and look at their box scores, it

448
00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:14,320
Speaker 3: just it wouldn't surprise me from the least if we

449
00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:17,520
Speaker 3: have an extremely slow start from Utah if you look

450
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:19,880
Speaker 3: at it since Cam Rising has taken over as quarterback.

451
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:23,359
Speaker 3: Seven points in the first half against Arizona State, seven

452
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:26,399
Speaker 3: points in the first half against Washington State, ten points

453
00:22:26,760 --> 00:22:28,720
Speaker 3: in the first half against San Diego State. This is

454
00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:31,000
Speaker 3: not a Utah team that is like ready to play

455
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:33,280
Speaker 3: the first thirty minute. I don't know what's going on

456
00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:35,760
Speaker 3: with these guys, but the utes are just not a

457
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,680
Speaker 3: first half team. Oregon State comes off of a bye

458
00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:41,879
Speaker 3: week after a loss to Wazoo with a Chance Nolan

459
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:44,960
Speaker 3: interception that was the driver for the leading score in

460
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:47,720
Speaker 3: the third quarter by the Kogs. The Beavers lead the

461
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:49,840
Speaker 3: PAC twelve in time of possession, and they've ran two

462
00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:52,040
Speaker 3: hundred and eighty eight plays and standard downs to your

463
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:55,800
Speaker 3: mention of that offensive line going crazy, Oregon State two

464
00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:59,160
Speaker 3: hundred eighty eight plays and standardowns only one hundred and sixteen.

465
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,200
Speaker 3: In passing down Oregon State is number one in the country,

466
00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:05,479
Speaker 3: not just in the line yards, standard down success rate,

467
00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:09,120
Speaker 3: and any down and distance. When you obtain six point

468
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:12,160
Speaker 3: one yards per carry on first and ten on second

469
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:15,000
Speaker 3: and seven, you're moving the chains every time. So we

470
00:23:15,080 --> 00:23:17,520
Speaker 3: talked about the handicap last week being Utah's defense is

471
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:20,840
Speaker 3: great and stuff right, they can get behind the line

472
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 3: of scrimmage, but if they don't, there's going to be

473
00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 3: explosive runs. And there was a lot of Arizona State

474
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:27,840
Speaker 3: explosive runs and they also got stopped. That comes into

475
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 3: player once again. Utah is thirteenth and stuff right, there's

476
00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 3: seventy sixth and standard down success rate, so Utah's bread

477
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:36,960
Speaker 3: and butter is ninth nationally and tackles for loss per game.

478
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 3: Utah gets behind the line of scrimmage real fast on defense.

479
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:43,200
Speaker 3: If they don't hit behind the line of scrimmage, there's

480
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:46,960
Speaker 3: going to be very long sustained Oregon State drives in

481
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,360
Speaker 3: this game. I think that plays into the plus three.

482
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:52,440
Speaker 3: You know very well if you're playing the Beavers plus three.

483
00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:55,280
Speaker 3: That's the reason why is you know they're they're gonna

484
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 3: be able to avoid this Utah defense. Another area to

485
00:23:57,080 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 3: worry if you're Utah. Oregon State is third and finished

486
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:04,440
Speaker 3: drives twenty five scores for Oregon State this season. Twenty

487
00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:06,919
Speaker 3: one of them have been touchdowns. Twenty one of them

488
00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:08,800
Speaker 3: have been touchdowns, so there's no field goal kicking here.

489
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,440
Speaker 3: So keep an eye on the status of Jake Levin

490
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:13,560
Speaker 3: Goood at the left guard. He's one of their best blockers.

491
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:15,880
Speaker 3: He's queshed more with an ankle injury, but if he's

492
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,359
Speaker 3: good to go, this organ State team's gonna run all

493
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:21,160
Speaker 3: over the place, so Utah can certainly counter on offense.

494
00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:23,560
Speaker 3: Organ States outside the top one hundred and rushing success.

495
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 3: Right on defense, they're one hundred and nineteenth and tackle

496
00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:29,399
Speaker 3: grading pretty terrible. Cam Rising gets a pass rush the

497
00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:32,240
Speaker 3: ranks one hundreds. So it's just gonna take time for Utah.

498
00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:34,000
Speaker 3: If they can, you know, if they can come out

499
00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 3: and show some life in the first half, which they've

500
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:38,760
Speaker 3: never done, if they can, you know, catch up before

501
00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:41,119
Speaker 3: it's too late, you know, they're gonna be able to

502
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:43,280
Speaker 3: get some work done in here. So, I mean, there's

503
00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:45,240
Speaker 3: a high rank of eleventh for havoc on the Oregon

504
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:48,520
Speaker 3: State defense, but that's all passes defense. Oregon State is

505
00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:50,719
Speaker 3: third in the country in PBUs per game, So if

506
00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:52,720
Speaker 3: Utah is gonna win this game, it's got to be

507
00:24:52,800 --> 00:24:56,960
Speaker 3: on the ground. And saying that Utah knows that they're

508
00:24:56,960 --> 00:24:59,000
Speaker 3: going to probably keep it on the ground. Organ State's

509
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:01,040
Speaker 3: going to sustain drives on the ground, They're going to

510
00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:04,359
Speaker 3: win time of possession battle. Utah frequently comes out slow.

511
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:06,720
Speaker 3: The Beavers back seven is leading units in the nation

512
00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:09,960
Speaker 3: and PBUs I like your plus three. I'm playing first

513
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:12,040
Speaker 3: half under. I don't think Utah shows up in the

514
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:13,760
Speaker 3: first half. Could be a lot of pressure on Oregon

515
00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:16,199
Speaker 3: State being the North lead. I mean, there's a lot

516
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:19,960
Speaker 3: of things here, ground game based both sides. I'm waiting

517
00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:21,240
Speaker 3: for the steam though I know it hasn't come through

518
00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 3: on the action app. The oversteam is still going. I

519
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:25,359
Speaker 3: want to get that twenty eight and a half for

520
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:27,280
Speaker 3: the first half to get the under on that the

521
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:29,439
Speaker 3: full game. The key number, like one of the biggest

522
00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:32,439
Speaker 3: key numbers, is fifty nine, fourth highest key number in totals.

523
00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:34,359
Speaker 3: I'll wait to see if we get that once they do.

524
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:37,720
Speaker 3: I like the under fair enough, good handicap there.

525
00:25:38,280 --> 00:25:40,480
Speaker 2: Before we move on, a quick reminder to our listeners,

526
00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:44,199
Speaker 2: the Big Bets on Campus podcasts presented by win Bet Sportsbook.

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Speaker 2: problem called what AE hundred gambler? All right, let's get

539
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:23,040
Speaker 2: back to the show. Let's talk some marquee matchups for

540
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:30,040
Speaker 2: the weekend. It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's

541
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,200
Speaker 2: check out the marquee matchups we'll all end up betting

542
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:43,639
Speaker 2: for week eight. All right, let's start with October. We

543
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,680
Speaker 2: have Iowa State is a seven point home favorite. We

544
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:49,520
Speaker 2: met over under forty eight. I could say I kind

545
00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,920
Speaker 2: of like this under and I like Iowa State like seven.

546
00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:55,640
Speaker 2: I cannot tell you like if you look at from

547
00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:59,120
Speaker 2: an adjusted EPA perspectives of you just for hopefield and competition.

548
00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:02,480
Speaker 2: Teams have similar defenses that have played really well all year.

549
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:07,240
Speaker 2: But the Iowa State offense is actually decent. The Oklahoma

550
00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:10,560
Speaker 2: State offense is atrocious. If you look at Iowa State,

551
00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:14,280
Speaker 2: which is two losses, they out gained to Iowa by

552
00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:16,800
Speaker 2: over two yards per play. You know, they hold up

553
00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:20,040
Speaker 2: under two undred yards. They lost to Baylor on you know,

554
00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 2: they should have beat Bairel. They outplayed bail There was

555
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:23,520
Speaker 2: a kick return for a touchdown. And then you look

556
00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:25,359
Speaker 2: at this the Oklahoma State team. I mean, when is

557
00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:27,800
Speaker 2: this gonna end? I mean there's things that aren't even

558
00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 2: showing up in like postgame win expectancy. They had no

559
00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:33,320
Speaker 2: business winning that Texas game. Texas about to go twenty

560
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,399
Speaker 2: four to three and they throw a pick six. Boise

561
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:39,399
Speaker 2: State beats Oklahoma State, but the refs blow the whistle

562
00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:42,879
Speaker 2: and they just decide that Boissetate's not allowed to run

563
00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:44,800
Speaker 2: the fumble, and then Boise State misses a field goal.

564
00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:46,720
Speaker 2: They get a kick return at the end of the

565
00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:49,399
Speaker 2: Tulsa game, and they had a third and nineteen that

566
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:52,920
Speaker 2: wasn't reviewed when they scored a touchdown on I mean insane.

567
00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:55,399
Speaker 2: This is a team that barely beat Missouri State to

568
00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 2: open the season. Their offense is dreadful. What did they

569
00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:02,920
Speaker 2: do against Texas that whole nothing on offense against Texas's defense.

570
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:07,159
Speaker 2: I don't know how this Oklaoba State team scores against

571
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:10,560
Speaker 2: Iowa State, to be quite frank So I'd like the

572
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:13,360
Speaker 2: seven all of Iowa State money line in some kind

573
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 2: of parliad baby multiple and I kind of like the

574
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:18,640
Speaker 2: under as well. The Iowa State offense is it going

575
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:21,720
Speaker 2: to value? And Oklahoma State sefuts is really good. They

576
00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:24,120
Speaker 2: match up well here. They can match up with their

577
00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:27,200
Speaker 2: tight ends that Iowa State loves to throw to. Haul

578
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:29,760
Speaker 2: will do enough on the ground, pert, I mean it's

579
00:28:29,880 --> 00:28:33,119
Speaker 2: it's October. Ho'll make enough throws. Iowa State wins this

580
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:35,399
Speaker 2: by two touchdowns. Let's say you.

581
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:39,800
Speaker 3: Agree this is a must win game for both teams

582
00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:41,760
Speaker 3: to keep up with Oklahoma in the Big twelve race.

583
00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:44,520
Speaker 3: Give Oklahoma State credit as they look dead to rights

584
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 3: with Texas about to punch out of TD to go

585
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:48,600
Speaker 3: up twenty four to three, and that game got turned

586
00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:50,520
Speaker 3: around a hurry with an eighty five yard pick six.

587
00:28:51,080 --> 00:28:53,320
Speaker 3: And a few weeks ago, I was boasting about Texas

588
00:28:53,360 --> 00:28:56,120
Speaker 3: and start putting up Alabama like numbers and available yards

589
00:28:56,160 --> 00:28:58,920
Speaker 3: getting ninety percent when the national average is forty four percent.

590
00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:02,400
Speaker 3: The Cowboys limited Texas to just twenty nine percent of

591
00:29:02,440 --> 00:29:05,000
Speaker 3: available yards. I was a little bit surprised by that.

592
00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:07,280
Speaker 3: I mean, Texas was stopped on twelve of thirty runs

593
00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:10,200
Speaker 3: and they only scored. Texas only scored on explosive plays.

594
00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:13,760
Speaker 3: So for Oklahoma State to win this game, they must

595
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:17,400
Speaker 3: eliminate Iowa State explosive plays. And so far this season,

596
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:20,040
Speaker 3: the pokest defense has kept opponents under national average and

597
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 3: every success strate split, but they've allowed sixteen percent of

598
00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:26,959
Speaker 3: drives to be explosive, well over national average. So wouldn't

599
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:29,400
Speaker 3: you know it? The Iowa State offense is one of

600
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:33,160
Speaker 3: the most explosive in early downs twenty fifth and standard

601
00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:37,160
Speaker 3: downs explosiveness, which is where Texas attacked and where Oklahoma

602
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:40,080
Speaker 3: State ranked seventy second on defense. So Jim Noles has

603
00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 3: the Cowboys as the third best defense against explosiveness and

604
00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:45,160
Speaker 3: passing downs. But it's the first and ten and the

605
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:48,040
Speaker 3: second and seven where offenses are getting behind the Oklahoma

606
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:51,880
Speaker 3: State defense. The spread is interesting for Iowa State. I mean,

607
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:55,760
Speaker 3: this is b October, but this is a series that

608
00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:59,360
Speaker 3: has been decided by one possession every year since twenty fourteen,

609
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:02,960
Speaker 3: almost like clockwork in late October. This Iowa State team

610
00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 3: is rolling right now. I mentioned that Iowa State will

611
00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:08,200
Speaker 3: get pressure on Spencer Sanders. That is a huge factor

612
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 3: in this game. In forty seven pressure dropbacks this season,

613
00:30:11,360 --> 00:30:14,440
Speaker 3: Spencer Sanders has one big time throw and five turnover

614
00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:18,080
Speaker 3: worthy plays. Is just a completion percentage falls thirty two

615
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:21,120
Speaker 3: percent classic Spencer Sanders for years. You get any kind

616
00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:23,760
Speaker 3: of hand in this space and anything could happen. From

617
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:26,520
Speaker 3: a havoc perspective, this is an Iowa State play at seven.

618
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 3: I'd like to avoid the seven and a half. But

619
00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:32,440
Speaker 3: there's a big difference in tackle grading here. Thirteenth for

620
00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 3: the Cyclones on defense, one hundred and third for the

621
00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:37,880
Speaker 3: Pokes on defense. That's a bad variable to have for

622
00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:41,680
Speaker 3: the Cowboys against an explosive offense. So b October Baby

623
00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:42,800
Speaker 3: minus seven. Let's go.

624
00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:45,480
Speaker 2: Yeah that the o Cloba State lock.

625
00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:48,280
Speaker 3: That's Oh, Brad's gonna hate all everything about this.

626
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:52,240
Speaker 2: On Saturday morning, Yeah, big Bets on Campus Live ten

627
00:30:52,320 --> 00:30:54,960
Speaker 2: thirty a of Eastern on Twitter will tweet out the

628
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:59,920
Speaker 2: Lake second Marquee game of the weekend. Here we have ten.

629
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:03,719
Speaker 2: I want to see a twenty five point underdog traveling

630
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:07,960
Speaker 2: to Tuscaloosa to face Alabama over under sixty seven and

631
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:11,280
Speaker 2: a half. I think, look, Alabama is a weird tea

632
00:31:11,320 --> 00:31:13,640
Speaker 2: to figure out. They some some weeks they look great.

633
00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:15,800
Speaker 2: Some weeks they look like they have major issues. I

634
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:17,400
Speaker 2: don't even know if I can take too much away

635
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:19,840
Speaker 2: from last week on the defensive side of the ball,

636
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:22,680
Speaker 2: because in the first quarter Will Rodgers gets hurt and

637
00:31:22,760 --> 00:31:25,440
Speaker 2: he's holding his shoulder the entire game. He can't make

638
00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 2: any throws and throws three picks. He was just late

639
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:30,040
Speaker 2: and I don't know why they kept them in that

640
00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:32,240
Speaker 2: entire game. He so then he had a couple of

641
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:34,600
Speaker 2: our eyes this week and a sprayed at mc joy.

642
00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:37,680
Speaker 2: But the Alabama offense, I mean, the Misissippi State defense

643
00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 2: is good, which just doing whatever it wanted. Tennessee me,

644
00:31:41,040 --> 00:31:44,000
Speaker 2: while I was disappointed they got the chef on a

645
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,640
Speaker 2: couple of calls. Bad weekend for the sec reps, but

646
00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:49,560
Speaker 2: I mean that's the old Bess off defense. I'm surprised

647
00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 2: that they couldn't put up more Hendon Hooker did get

648
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:53,840
Speaker 2: hurt at the end of that game. That's huge here

649
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 2: for me. I would like Tennessee if I could guarantee

650
00:31:57,440 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 2: that he's going to play. I think this lot is inflated.

651
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:02,400
Speaker 2: But if it's Joe Bilton, I don't want any part

652
00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:07,360
Speaker 2: of it. And Hooker was practicing this week stay with Cade.

653
00:32:07,360 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 2: May's one of their best offensive live who's bagged up,

654
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 2: But like I think it was a hamstring And do

655
00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:19,360
Speaker 2: you really want to risk him here against Alavada? I

656
00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:21,080
Speaker 2: don't know that's but that's the endcap here. For me,

657
00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:23,040
Speaker 2: if I could guarantee the Hooker was quite and healthy,

658
00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 2: I would play Tennessee. If not, it might just be

659
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:26,360
Speaker 2: a pass.

660
00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:29,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a tough deliverable for our podcast listeners

661
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:32,480
Speaker 3: because the number is completely dependent upon Hindon Hooker playing.

662
00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:35,040
Speaker 3: We don't know. He's questionable, suffered a leg injury and

663
00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:37,720
Speaker 3: so whole miss. But it's not just that center Cooper Mays,

664
00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 3: right tackle Cade Mays. They didn't play for much of

665
00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:43,080
Speaker 3: the old Miss game. Now, running back Tyon Evans is

666
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:46,360
Speaker 3: also questionable for this game, and if you're missing all

667
00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:49,320
Speaker 3: these offensive pieces, you can understand why this is more

668
00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:51,720
Speaker 3: than a touchdown than what the projected point spread would

669
00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:54,520
Speaker 3: be if all those guys were healthy. The one thing

670
00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:57,040
Speaker 3: we know about hypel it doesn't matter who's on the

671
00:32:57,080 --> 00:32:59,960
Speaker 3: offensive line, and it doesn't matter whose quarterback he's gonna

672
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,920
Speaker 3: on tempo. And I feel like that is like the

673
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 3: worst thing ever. That's like John Snow running into Ramsey's army,

674
00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:09,720
Speaker 3: you know, like in the Battle of Bastards and Game

675
00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:11,680
Speaker 3: of Thrones, Like what the hell are you running tempo

676
00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:14,960
Speaker 3: against against saban for like welcome to the SEC. Guy

677
00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:18,680
Speaker 3: makes a mistake, you want to condemn them. So one

678
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:21,200
Speaker 3: of the reasons that Alabama struggled with Florida and lost

679
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 3: to Texas A and M was that their defensive units

680
00:33:24,320 --> 00:33:26,880
Speaker 3: in the trench just failed them. Sixtieth and pass rush

681
00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 3: the defense as a whole seventy third and passing success

682
00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:32,160
Speaker 3: rate and one hundred and second and finishing drives, and

683
00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:35,280
Speaker 3: opponents have scored on sixteen of eighteen red zone attempts,

684
00:33:35,600 --> 00:33:38,400
Speaker 3: ten of those being touchdowns. Tennessee is a top twenty

685
00:33:38,440 --> 00:33:40,840
Speaker 3: five unit offensive finishing drives. But like I said, if

686
00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:44,240
Speaker 3: they don't have these players there, then it's hard to

687
00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:47,160
Speaker 3: rely on these numbers. The Voles run sixty four percent

688
00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:49,480
Speaker 3: of snaps and they ranked tenth in rushing success rate.

689
00:33:50,040 --> 00:33:51,640
Speaker 3: That you know, you kind of go back to that

690
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:55,000
Speaker 3: Florida game and the Gators ran sixty percent attempts and

691
00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 3: they weren't stuffed at all, and they averaged five point

692
00:33:57,800 --> 00:33:59,800
Speaker 3: nine yards per play on the ground. They were able

693
00:33:59,840 --> 00:34:02,640
Speaker 3: to beat Alabama by grinding on them. So Tennessee has

694
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:05,080
Speaker 3: to have a healthy offensive line. Evans and Hooker have

695
00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:08,680
Speaker 3: created fifty miss tackles in the running game this Year's

696
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:11,680
Speaker 3: that's crazy. If those key players are out, then this

697
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:13,640
Speaker 3: game is going to be over fast with Hypel trying

698
00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:18,040
Speaker 3: to run tempo. So I think if those players do play,

699
00:34:18,200 --> 00:34:20,560
Speaker 3: if there is one betting deliverable from this, If Henon

700
00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:22,759
Speaker 3: Hooker is playing, and the Mays kids are on the

701
00:34:22,800 --> 00:34:25,920
Speaker 3: offensive line, and Evans is playing or running back, then

702
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:29,239
Speaker 3: Alabama is probably in one of these modes where they

703
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 3: want to be get a twenty one point lead and

704
00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 3: let Brian Robinson just plow. They're heading into a bye

705
00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:36,600
Speaker 3: week after this. They've got LSU in two weeks. They're

706
00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:39,240
Speaker 3: heading into a bye They probably would like everybody healthy.

707
00:34:39,640 --> 00:34:41,440
Speaker 3: This may be the one time that Saban doesn't care

708
00:34:41,480 --> 00:34:44,719
Speaker 3: about covering an inflated spread. So you know, I'm not

709
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:48,719
Speaker 3: saying that you should be betting on the under or

710
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,000
Speaker 3: that you should be betting on Tennessee, But if all

711
00:34:51,080 --> 00:34:53,640
Speaker 3: of those offensive players are healthy, there's a lot of

712
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:57,279
Speaker 3: value in this Tennessee number. Now, you know they have

713
00:34:57,440 --> 00:34:59,520
Speaker 3: to play, and that's going to be last minute information.

714
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:01,800
Speaker 3: So if that number is still sitting up there and

715
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 3: we get Hendon Hooker, Evans, the Maze kids on the

716
00:35:04,680 --> 00:35:08,200
Speaker 3: offensive line, then Tennessee is to play. But man, it's

717
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:11,320
Speaker 3: really tough supporting a tempo offense going into the teeth

718
00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:14,400
Speaker 3: of Alabama. Incidentally, don't ask me.

719
00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:16,759
Speaker 2: I don't have anything else to say about it. Yeah,

720
00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:20,360
Speaker 2: it's a really good point. Next game here, this is

721
00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:24,520
Speaker 2: your chance to convince the audience of it. Over a

722
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:29,120
Speaker 2: San Diego State over undefeated San Diego State heads to

723
00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:32,799
Speaker 2: air Force Colorado Springs. Air Force three and a half

724
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:35,200
Speaker 2: point favorite over under a thirty nine and a half

725
00:35:36,120 --> 00:35:38,839
Speaker 2: is a huge shoutout in the Mountain West. Yes, air

726
00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:41,280
Speaker 2: Force only has one loss on the season.

727
00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:44,640
Speaker 3: You tweeted me and you talked to me on the pod,

728
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:47,160
Speaker 3: But you love this shit too. You know why because

729
00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:50,080
Speaker 3: you love the punter. You love mattaresa Ray guy. I mean,

730
00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:53,160
Speaker 3: this guy's what eighty six yard punt against San Jose State,

731
00:35:53,560 --> 00:35:55,319
Speaker 3: He's a he's what averaging they.

732
00:35:55,280 --> 00:35:59,320
Speaker 2: Did fifty five yard field goals, but he's been unbelievable.

733
00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:01,240
Speaker 3: Three hundred and fifty nine year yards a game and punting.

734
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 3: I mean, this kid is a This kid's an animal altitude.

735
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:08,839
Speaker 3: Imagine what far is, Oh, Katie, I didn't even think

736
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:12,200
Speaker 3: about that. I would like to see like this kid's

737
00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 3: punts versus maybe like a maybe like a Bryson d

738
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:19,040
Speaker 3: schambeau flop wedge. I wonder which one would go farther anyways,

739
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:20,840
Speaker 3: So if you want to be at air Force football,

740
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:23,719
Speaker 3: you must be good at a stopping the run, b

741
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:27,439
Speaker 3: being elite, and stuff rate. Because of the triple triple option,

742
00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:29,520
Speaker 3: offense isn't so much at looking at the line yards.

743
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:32,160
Speaker 3: Lineyards are important when you're looking at ground based attacks,

744
00:36:32,200 --> 00:36:33,800
Speaker 3: but triple options is a little bit different because you

745
00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:36,400
Speaker 3: got to stop fullback first. And stuff rate is important

746
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:38,240
Speaker 3: because it grades the line of scrimmage and the tackles

747
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:41,319
Speaker 3: for loss. Air Force is fifth and rushing success rate

748
00:36:41,360 --> 00:36:43,560
Speaker 3: with their triple option, and they have an offensive stuff

749
00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:46,000
Speaker 3: rate rank of eighth. That means not a lot of

750
00:36:46,040 --> 00:36:49,320
Speaker 3: people are stuffing them whatsoever. Air Force is seventh in

751
00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 3: the nation and tackles for loss allowed. Nobody's getting behind

752
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:54,840
Speaker 3: the line of scrimmage. They average just three and a

753
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:57,279
Speaker 3: half tackles for loss per game, so you have to

754
00:36:57,400 --> 00:37:00,480
Speaker 3: ask who is elite in getting into the backfield. San

755
00:37:00,560 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 3: Diego State, the Hasitecs are third, and tackles for loss

756
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:06,000
Speaker 3: per game they average eight and a half per game.

757
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:08,680
Speaker 3: But the most important stat is that the Aztecs are

758
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:12,680
Speaker 3: second and defensive stuff rate. It's truly a power on

759
00:37:13,120 --> 00:37:16,239
Speaker 3: power battle when the Air Force Triple meets up with

760
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:18,759
Speaker 3: the San Diego State front seven. So it's good on

761
00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:21,280
Speaker 3: good and there's only two teams the Air Force schedule

762
00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:24,320
Speaker 3: have stopped the Air Force attack above national average Wyoming,

763
00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:27,360
Speaker 3: whose defensive line is you know, really good from a

764
00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:29,840
Speaker 3: G five level, and the Navy, who practices against the

765
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:33,160
Speaker 3: Triple every single day. But Brady Hoke is just he's

766
00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:35,680
Speaker 3: no stranger to Air Force whatsoever. And he's no stranger

767
00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:38,000
Speaker 3: to Troy Calhoun. When he was at San Diego State

768
00:37:38,080 --> 00:37:40,120
Speaker 3: in two thousand and nine and twenty ten, hees faced him.

769
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:42,720
Speaker 3: San Diego State has won eight straight in this series,

770
00:37:42,840 --> 00:37:45,879
Speaker 3: dating all the way back Hoki and Calhoun first faced off,

771
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:48,880
Speaker 3: you know, maybe twelve years ago. But you know, Brady

772
00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:51,240
Speaker 3: Hoak also had to see him when he was at Michigan.

773
00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 3: He had a I think Michigan was ranked number nineteen,

774
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:55,840
Speaker 3: and they barely escape for their life against Troy Calhoun.

775
00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:59,200
Speaker 3: Every time they play, it's a one possession game. Lucas

776
00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:01,680
Speaker 3: Johnson is going to be in here. Starting quarterback. Brady

777
00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:03,640
Speaker 3: Hoak said he's got the hot hand and he got

778
00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:05,760
Speaker 3: the win against San Jose State and relief. He averaged

779
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:08,520
Speaker 3: six point eight yards per carry. We have to monitor

780
00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:11,680
Speaker 3: Greg Bell, running back Greg Bell and left tackle Zachary Thomas.

781
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,839
Speaker 3: Zachary Thomas is the anchor of this offensive line. Both

782
00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:16,880
Speaker 3: of those guys miss practice on Tuesday. I haven't been

783
00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 3: able to find a report about their status for this game.

784
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:21,400
Speaker 3: They're not even listed as questionable. They just miss practice

785
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:24,200
Speaker 3: on Tuesday. So that is something I'm monitoring before I

786
00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:26,600
Speaker 3: make a play on this. There is a monster gap

787
00:38:26,680 --> 00:38:28,560
Speaker 3: in special teams here. We talked about it from the

788
00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:31,600
Speaker 3: punting standpoint. The Santego State is fourteenth and air Force

789
00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:34,799
Speaker 3: is one hundred and twelve, So Santay State has got

790
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:37,799
Speaker 3: the defense to defend the triple option. Brady Hoag knows

791
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:39,560
Speaker 3: how to go after the fullback. He knows how to

792
00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:41,680
Speaker 3: go after pitch. He's seen Troy Callihan way too many

793
00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:44,440
Speaker 3: times in his life. So if the market wants to

794
00:38:44,480 --> 00:38:45,920
Speaker 3: give me three and a half and a game that

795
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:48,520
Speaker 3: I personally feel is going to go to overtime, I

796
00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:52,480
Speaker 3: bet at overtime prop on this game. Much like last week,

797
00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 3: I would happily take three and a half. I do

798
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:58,000
Speaker 3: need Thomas at left tackle and Greg Bell in the backfield.

799
00:38:58,040 --> 00:39:01,360
Speaker 3: If that's there, give me the Aztecs. So is that

800
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:04,279
Speaker 3: why you're recommending the over. You're counting on overtime here.

801
00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:07,680
Speaker 3: You know how hard it was not to bet over

802
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:10,640
Speaker 3: nineteen and a half live God that was. I was like,

803
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:12,439
Speaker 3: this is definitely going over. There's no way this isn't

804
00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:16,680
Speaker 3: going over. As techovers, I like the underhere.

805
00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:20,960
Speaker 2: All right, our next game, Oregon at Ucla. Ucla is

806
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 2: a one and a half point favorite over under fifty

807
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:27,600
Speaker 2: nine and a half. This is pretty ugly card this week.

808
00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:29,040
Speaker 2: Oh by the way, make sure you check out our

809
00:39:29,320 --> 00:39:32,160
Speaker 2: group of five guys who have been killing it by

810
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:35,279
Speaker 2: Calabresi and Ianello. They rode a nice where they hit

811
00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:38,400
Speaker 2: their round robin again last week, so big, sure you

812
00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:43,200
Speaker 2: check that out on Wednesday afternoons. All right, So Oregon

813
00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:45,640
Speaker 2: at Ucla, you say, like one and a half point

814
00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:49,640
Speaker 2: favorite at home? I played Ucla here. Look we saw

815
00:39:49,840 --> 00:39:51,640
Speaker 2: Orgon get that win in the opener against a lot

816
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:53,719
Speaker 2: of State. I said, whoa, But you know, you go

817
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:55,840
Speaker 2: back and look down. It's like, all right, Kerry Koob's

818
00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:59,560
Speaker 2: defense that Ohio State and we've seen Oregon since we

819
00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:02,960
Speaker 2: thought the Orgon team coming to the year was extremely overrated.

820
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:05,759
Speaker 2: We are not fans of Anthony Brown. There's there's even

821
00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:09,400
Speaker 2: articles this week that are saying the organ to come

822
00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:11,360
Speaker 2: out and said that we're sticking with Anthony Brown, like

823
00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:14,279
Speaker 2: fans are calling for the backup. But this is a

824
00:40:15,280 --> 00:40:20,839
Speaker 2: pretty simple handicap for me. Ucla this year on defense

825
00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:24,879
Speaker 2: has been very good against the run. Their defensive line

826
00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:27,840
Speaker 2: has been very strong. They've been a little vulnerable in

827
00:40:27,920 --> 00:40:32,000
Speaker 2: the secondary. Well, I don't trust Oregon to exploit that

828
00:40:32,200 --> 00:40:34,400
Speaker 2: with their downfield passing attack. On the other side of

829
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:37,520
Speaker 2: the ball, you could run on this Oregon team. I

830
00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:39,319
Speaker 2: think you said I was going to control the lote

831
00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:44,160
Speaker 2: of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. I expect Phillips,

832
00:40:44,200 --> 00:40:46,000
Speaker 2: their best receiver, to be back this week. He didn't

833
00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:50,560
Speaker 2: play last week and Dtrs looked healthy dealing with that

834
00:40:50,680 --> 00:40:54,120
Speaker 2: shoulder injury. So I think that that's the handicap for me.

835
00:40:54,239 --> 00:40:56,560
Speaker 2: I like Ucla just because of the matchup both sides

836
00:40:56,560 --> 00:40:58,839
Speaker 2: of the ball. I don't think Anthony Brown can take

837
00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:03,160
Speaker 2: advantage of UCLA's secondary with downfield passing, and I think

838
00:41:03,320 --> 00:41:09,799
Speaker 2: ucla Is heavy rush attack can have success against Oregon, thoughts.

839
00:41:10,080 --> 00:41:13,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, one of percent agree Again, I mean maybe could

840
00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:15,120
Speaker 3: be either really bad week or really good week. We'll

841
00:41:15,160 --> 00:41:16,720
Speaker 3: have to have maybe the same day with State overall

842
00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:19,040
Speaker 3: figure it out. But you say it was the first

843
00:41:19,040 --> 00:41:21,239
Speaker 3: play I made when lines were released on Sunday. I

844
00:41:21,400 --> 00:41:23,120
Speaker 3: pushed as much money as I could over the counter,

845
00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:24,600
Speaker 3: and I would play it up to three. I mean,

846
00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:27,399
Speaker 3: these two teams both run at a sixty percent clip

847
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:30,600
Speaker 3: passing downs being the Achilles for both both. These top

848
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:33,760
Speaker 3: offenses or top ten and stuff rate, meaning they control

849
00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:36,120
Speaker 3: the line of scrimmage and they run all day. The

850
00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:39,160
Speaker 3: difference is tackling. Oregon has struggled. They have a rank

851
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:41,680
Speaker 3: of one hundred and fourth in tackling and UCLA is

852
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:43,319
Speaker 3: up to fifty fifth. And you say, well fifty fifth

853
00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:45,840
Speaker 3: isn't that great? Go check out twenty twenty stats for

854
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,920
Speaker 3: the UCLA defense. Another problem with the Ducks the defense

855
00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:52,000
Speaker 3: is not generating any havoc. I mean zero havoc whatsoever.

856
00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:55,160
Speaker 3: At this point the season, they have twenty two PBUs.

857
00:41:55,920 --> 00:41:58,320
Speaker 3: It's just not enough. They're one hundred and eleventh in coverage.

858
00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:00,680
Speaker 3: And the only reason I talk about that is if

859
00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:03,040
Speaker 3: UCLA for some reason is not able to run the

860
00:42:03,080 --> 00:42:06,000
Speaker 3: ball on first and second down, Doring Thompson Robinson the game.

861
00:42:06,160 --> 00:42:07,640
Speaker 3: You know, we're not going to have the game depend

862
00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:09,400
Speaker 3: on his arm. But if it does come down to

863
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:13,040
Speaker 3: passing downs, Orgon's not forcing their will on anybody. They're

864
00:42:13,120 --> 00:42:16,439
Speaker 3: not making anybody scramble, They're not making anybody sweat. Their

865
00:42:16,480 --> 00:42:19,560
Speaker 3: coverage rank is outside the top one hundred. So you know,

866
00:42:19,680 --> 00:42:22,040
Speaker 3: still to this day, like Doriry Thompson, Robinson is having

867
00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:25,800
Speaker 3: his best year ever as a UCLA quarterback. You know,

868
00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:29,239
Speaker 3: he's not making any turnover worthy plays. He has yet

869
00:42:29,280 --> 00:42:32,040
Speaker 3: to have a bad game, and consider that the past

870
00:42:32,120 --> 00:42:35,319
Speaker 3: three years he had forty four turnover worthy plays. I mean,

871
00:42:35,360 --> 00:42:37,560
Speaker 3: it's really a pretty amazing season what they've done there

872
00:42:37,719 --> 00:42:40,200
Speaker 3: with him to get him to eliminate mistakes. So not

873
00:42:40,280 --> 00:42:42,360
Speaker 3: only as you say, better when it comes to establishing

874
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:45,680
Speaker 3: the run, they are extremely creative and you wonder you

875
00:42:45,719 --> 00:42:48,560
Speaker 3: watch that LSU game. The reason why that LSU game

876
00:42:48,680 --> 00:42:52,000
Speaker 3: was just a masterpiece by Chip Kelly. The Bruins ran

877
00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:56,120
Speaker 3: nine different formations against LSU. They disguised every single thing

878
00:42:56,160 --> 00:42:59,000
Speaker 3: they wanted to do. You know, Oregon does get Joe

879
00:42:59,040 --> 00:43:00,920
Speaker 3: Moore head back there is that aspect to the game.

880
00:43:01,320 --> 00:43:04,040
Speaker 3: Joe Moorehead was not there for the Stanford game they lost.

881
00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:06,719
Speaker 3: Then Joe Morehead because of COVID protocols, had to be

882
00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:09,480
Speaker 3: in the box. Last week they almost lost to cal

883
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:11,640
Speaker 3: He gets to get back on the sideline. So that

884
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:14,480
Speaker 3: is a boost. I'm not a better What is that boost?

885
00:43:14,560 --> 00:43:18,239
Speaker 3: The communication? Like the speed the tempo. I mean the

886
00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:20,400
Speaker 3: tempo was actually faster when he was gone, believe it

887
00:43:20,520 --> 00:43:21,920
Speaker 3: or not. I mean I heard some people say, oh,

888
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:24,400
Speaker 3: it's definitely gonna go over. It has nothing to do

889
00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:27,160
Speaker 3: with Joe Moorehead being on the sidelines. They averaged twenty

890
00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:29,440
Speaker 3: four seconds per play when he's on the sidelines and

891
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 3: twenty two seconds per play when he wasn't on the sideline.

892
00:43:31,719 --> 00:43:34,240
Speaker 3: So that doesn't make any sense. But the Ducks offense

893
00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:36,680
Speaker 3: has been fantastic with Anthony Brown in the running game,

894
00:43:37,080 --> 00:43:38,960
Speaker 3: and they have a success rate seventy percent higher than

895
00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:42,360
Speaker 3: national average. But you're right. Line yards for UCLA they

896
00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:46,080
Speaker 3: ranked fifth and without CJ. Verdell, this organ rush unit

897
00:43:46,480 --> 00:43:48,880
Speaker 3: is just there's no depth. All the running backs have

898
00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:50,680
Speaker 3: been on the roster have told they have been told,

899
00:43:50,760 --> 00:43:53,120
Speaker 3: you're in the rotation, you're getting carries this week, and

900
00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:55,040
Speaker 3: that could lead to fumbles. You know, if the orgon

901
00:43:55,120 --> 00:43:58,359
Speaker 3: rush attack isn't gaining yards without Verdell, it's Curtains. It's over.

902
00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:01,160
Speaker 3: Chip wins this one and the PAC twelve is done

903
00:44:01,200 --> 00:44:02,600
Speaker 3: as far as the playoff is concerned.

904
00:44:03,040 --> 00:44:07,160
Speaker 2: YEP, completely agree. Last Markie Game of the week is UH,

905
00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:12,640
Speaker 2: the a CC favorite hosting Clemson. Pitt is a can

906
00:44:12,719 --> 00:44:16,120
Speaker 2: you believe this? A three point favorite at win bet

907
00:44:16,239 --> 00:44:17,360
Speaker 2: over Clemson? What was this?

908
00:44:17,600 --> 00:44:17,960
Speaker 3: What was this?

909
00:44:18,040 --> 00:44:25,080
Speaker 2: Preseason live seventeen over under forty eight. When you look

910
00:44:25,080 --> 00:44:30,320
Speaker 2: at Clemson, just the DPA for play, they are slightly

911
00:44:30,440 --> 00:44:32,759
Speaker 2: worse than they're basically Iowa. If you look if you

912
00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:36,680
Speaker 2: chart their offensive defense, defense still elite. Offense is terrible.

913
00:44:37,360 --> 00:44:39,600
Speaker 2: I mean you could not tell if you had profiles

914
00:44:39,640 --> 00:44:44,760
Speaker 2: about their dames adjust the DPA for play, it's Ioway's Clemson.

915
00:44:45,080 --> 00:44:49,280
Speaker 2: This team can't do anything on offense. So the defense

916
00:44:49,360 --> 00:44:51,480
Speaker 2: is still elite. So it comes down to ken. Kenny

917
00:44:51,560 --> 00:44:55,399
Speaker 2: Pickett continued, he's just continuous toward pace. He's just ripping

918
00:44:55,400 --> 00:44:57,960
Speaker 2: apart offenses. The offensive line has been tremendous. They had

919
00:44:57,960 --> 00:45:01,839
Speaker 2: a lot of drop issues last year have gone away. Uh,

920
00:45:02,000 --> 00:45:04,759
Speaker 2: the offense is rolling. The defense has played really well.

921
00:45:05,120 --> 00:45:07,239
Speaker 2: It's an aggressive defense. We talk about this all the time.

922
00:45:07,600 --> 00:45:09,719
Speaker 2: Press bad islands on the on the quarters. They play

923
00:45:09,719 --> 00:45:11,719
Speaker 2: a lot of quarter stay, so you can attack them

924
00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:14,720
Speaker 2: with exposive place. I don't know if clubs it's capable

925
00:45:14,719 --> 00:45:15,560
Speaker 2: of doing that right now.

926
00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:16,440
Speaker 3: Dabo.

927
00:45:16,640 --> 00:45:20,520
Speaker 2: By the way, Dabo throw it to yell.

928
00:45:20,920 --> 00:45:22,000
Speaker 3: Dabo is O and.

929
00:45:22,040 --> 00:45:24,040
Speaker 2: Six against the spread. Here are the teams that haven't

930
00:45:24,080 --> 00:45:25,879
Speaker 2: covered yet this year. This is the company the clubs

931
00:45:25,920 --> 00:45:30,800
Speaker 2: that's in now New Mexico. Oh and seven Kansas. This

932
00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:33,359
Speaker 2: can does ever cover? Good lord, they always get Steve too,

933
00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:37,480
Speaker 2: jess O and six against the spread. And Missouri. Missouri's

934
00:45:37,520 --> 00:45:41,400
Speaker 2: O and seven against the spread. Yeah, in twelve against

935
00:45:41,400 --> 00:45:43,160
Speaker 2: the spread, and then then that will fade. I mean

936
00:45:43,200 --> 00:45:46,560
Speaker 2: the bad Boy Meller's Gasparillion Bowl. It'll go with thirteen

937
00:45:46,560 --> 00:45:47,480
Speaker 2: against the spread.

938
00:45:47,360 --> 00:45:49,879
Speaker 3: Bad boy, Yeah, the Gasparilla Bowl, which, by the way,

939
00:45:49,920 --> 00:45:51,680
Speaker 3: I had to talk with my grandma this past week

940
00:45:51,680 --> 00:45:53,399
Speaker 3: and I said, we're gonna play bowl, not a bowl.

941
00:45:53,440 --> 00:45:56,040
Speaker 3: And I started asking her things like is there a

942
00:45:56,120 --> 00:45:58,279
Speaker 3: such thing as a as a in and out bowl?

943
00:45:58,360 --> 00:45:59,880
Speaker 3: And she's like, yeah, there's in an out bowl. So

944
00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:01,240
Speaker 3: whenever we get that video.

945
00:46:01,120 --> 00:46:02,359
Speaker 2: Came, that's a fantastic game.

946
00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:06,000
Speaker 3: It's gonna be great. I have been very aggressive in

947
00:46:06,080 --> 00:46:10,040
Speaker 3: adjusting Clemson, extremely aggressive. They are dead last and big

948
00:46:10,080 --> 00:46:11,919
Speaker 3: play rate on offense, their one hundred and twenty fourth

949
00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:15,520
Speaker 3: and passing success rate. They can't run on anybody. They

950
00:46:15,560 --> 00:46:20,160
Speaker 3: can't score when they're in scoring position. The defense is

951
00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:23,759
Speaker 3: now eighty third in pass rush. What this is a

952
00:46:24,120 --> 00:46:27,040
Speaker 3: Brent Vnables defense that's eighty third and pass rush. How

953
00:46:27,160 --> 00:46:29,680
Speaker 3: is that even possible? And you know, Pitt is a

954
00:46:29,719 --> 00:46:31,680
Speaker 3: top ten team as far as pass blocking goes and

955
00:46:31,760 --> 00:46:34,239
Speaker 3: keeping Kidney pick it clean. The issue that I have

956
00:46:34,480 --> 00:46:36,920
Speaker 3: with this game is that I don't know how anybody's

957
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:41,200
Speaker 3: going to score. You know, Pit far out ranks. Pitt

958
00:46:41,239 --> 00:46:44,440
Speaker 3: has enough defense easily to shut down what Clemson wants

959
00:46:44,480 --> 00:46:47,000
Speaker 3: to do offensively. But when you look at the other side,

960
00:46:47,239 --> 00:46:50,080
Speaker 3: Pitt's number one in the nation offensive finishing drives. They're

961
00:46:50,160 --> 00:46:53,000
Speaker 3: number five and big play rate in the nation. But

962
00:46:53,080 --> 00:46:55,400
Speaker 3: the problem is the Clemson defense is number one in

963
00:46:55,480 --> 00:46:58,680
Speaker 3: defending big plays and their number three in defensive finishing drives.

964
00:46:59,239 --> 00:47:01,239
Speaker 3: Under Yeah, under is the play for me. I mean,

965
00:47:01,280 --> 00:47:03,520
Speaker 3: it's a game that I project forty nine looks like

966
00:47:03,600 --> 00:47:05,400
Speaker 3: we're down to forty eight. Forty eight is way more

967
00:47:05,440 --> 00:47:07,960
Speaker 3: key than forty nine, believe it or not. So if

968
00:47:07,960 --> 00:47:10,319
Speaker 3: you can get forty eight or forty eight and a half,

969
00:47:10,920 --> 00:47:12,680
Speaker 3: then under is going to be the player because I

970
00:47:12,840 --> 00:47:15,759
Speaker 3: just don't see with the pace of play and the

971
00:47:15,840 --> 00:47:19,239
Speaker 3: deal what the defenses bring to the table. I don't

972
00:47:19,239 --> 00:47:20,560
Speaker 3: see many points being scored here.

973
00:47:21,840 --> 00:47:24,120
Speaker 2: I agree again, that's the side that I was looking at.

974
00:47:24,200 --> 00:47:26,359
Speaker 2: It's a big step up for picket and competition because

975
00:47:26,440 --> 00:47:28,919
Speaker 2: the clups of defense is still elite. All right, let's

976
00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:33,640
Speaker 2: move on to a little rapid fire and hit the rundown.

977
00:47:34,600 --> 00:47:37,440
Speaker 2: I'll throw a game out first. Wake Forest Army supporting

978
00:47:37,520 --> 00:47:40,640
Speaker 2: the troops here. This Wake Forest team has gotten extremely fortunate.

979
00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:44,160
Speaker 2: They should not be undefeated. I think their run ends here. Look,

980
00:47:44,200 --> 00:47:47,799
Speaker 2: it's a good spot for Wake in situationally, they're coming

981
00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:51,480
Speaker 2: off of a bye. Army just played Wisconsin, which you know,

982
00:47:51,480 --> 00:47:54,640
Speaker 2: a physical game against Wisconsin. But it's this army like

983
00:47:54,840 --> 00:47:58,680
Speaker 2: they don't really have situational bad spots, like they just

984
00:47:58,760 --> 00:48:01,160
Speaker 2: always show up. Look at Wake Farest what are they

985
00:48:01,160 --> 00:48:04,080
Speaker 2: one hundred and twelve live yards, one hundred and twenty

986
00:48:04,160 --> 00:48:08,920
Speaker 2: third opportunity rate ninetieth stuff. Right, they played Syracuse, Who's

987
00:48:09,000 --> 00:48:11,839
Speaker 2: like they just want to run out of the shot done, Sarah,

988
00:48:11,880 --> 00:48:14,759
Speaker 2: you should have beat them, right wild. So I think

989
00:48:14,800 --> 00:48:19,200
Speaker 2: that these two teams basically profile very similarly. If you

990
00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:23,160
Speaker 2: look at adjusted EPA per play and I'm getting Army

991
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:27,399
Speaker 2: at home and catching three, gim me, give me, gimme,

992
00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:28,480
Speaker 2: I'm on the black nights.

993
00:48:29,080 --> 00:48:31,280
Speaker 3: I think for me, this is a I need confirmation

994
00:48:31,400 --> 00:48:33,480
Speaker 3: that Christian Anderson is going to play. Now. Dave Clausen

995
00:48:33,520 --> 00:48:35,560
Speaker 3: came out and said, we are preparing the Christian Anderson

996
00:48:35,680 --> 00:48:37,960
Speaker 3: is going to play. If he's playing for Army at quarterback,

997
00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:40,920
Speaker 3: Army's going to win this game flat out. You know,

998
00:48:41,160 --> 00:48:43,560
Speaker 3: as far as the Wake offense goes, Army's thirty sixth

999
00:48:43,600 --> 00:48:45,680
Speaker 3: and coverage grading and they're twenty eighth and tackling, So

1000
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:49,480
Speaker 3: they're not terrible against the past now they were. This

1001
00:48:49,680 --> 00:48:51,640
Speaker 3: kind of reminds me of when Western Kentucky came to town,

1002
00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:56,400
Speaker 3: right up tempo offense, pass happy, explosive plays. Western Kentucky

1003
00:48:56,480 --> 00:48:58,040
Speaker 3: was down for more than a half before they finally

1004
00:48:58,120 --> 00:49:00,359
Speaker 3: came back and almost won the game in the four quarter.

1005
00:49:00,560 --> 00:49:04,400
Speaker 3: So Wake Forest doesn't excel in standard downs as a

1006
00:49:04,440 --> 00:49:06,880
Speaker 3: matter of fact, there's seventy ninth in success rate, but

1007
00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:10,120
Speaker 3: they do excel in passing down success right their top ten.

1008
00:49:10,239 --> 00:49:13,760
Speaker 3: So Army allows just four point eight yards on defense

1009
00:49:13,840 --> 00:49:16,719
Speaker 3: when teams get behind schedule, So Wake has to have

1010
00:49:16,840 --> 00:49:19,120
Speaker 3: some success rate here. Army's just gonna drain clock and

1011
00:49:19,280 --> 00:49:21,680
Speaker 3: run it all over them. A bad rush defense for

1012
00:49:21,719 --> 00:49:24,600
Speaker 3: the Demon Deacons. If Christian Anderson is confirmed in playing,

1013
00:49:24,920 --> 00:49:26,080
Speaker 3: I think Army wins outright.

1014
00:49:26,800 --> 00:49:29,080
Speaker 2: I agree, Yeah, I'm assuming Yanters it is played this weekend.

1015
00:49:29,120 --> 00:49:31,680
Speaker 2: But that's that's a good point to raise your favorite

1016
00:49:31,719 --> 00:49:33,439
Speaker 2: team in the country. Do to day back at Action

1017
00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:36,239
Speaker 2: six and a half point favorites at home against USC

1018
00:49:36,360 --> 00:49:38,680
Speaker 2: over under fifty six and a half? Are you fad

1019
00:49:38,719 --> 00:49:39,240
Speaker 2: of the Irish?

1020
00:49:40,160 --> 00:49:44,120
Speaker 3: I it's crazy, I actually am not. I'm gonna point

1021
00:49:44,160 --> 00:49:45,960
Speaker 3: everybody over to our Action network right up. I have

1022
00:49:46,040 --> 00:49:48,200
Speaker 3: a full preview on this one. There are some things

1023
00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:51,239
Speaker 3: going on with USC that probably most people don't know about,

1024
00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:53,839
Speaker 3: like Paddan Slovas, what his depth of target has been,

1025
00:49:54,400 --> 00:49:57,160
Speaker 3: how the defense has been reacting for USC. Some real

1026
00:49:57,320 --> 00:49:59,799
Speaker 3: positive things going on for Brian Kelly and the notre Dame,

1027
00:50:00,320 --> 00:50:02,640
Speaker 3: and they've got a game plan figured out about what

1028
00:50:02,840 --> 00:50:05,280
Speaker 3: snaps Jack Cone is going to take and what snaps

1029
00:50:05,320 --> 00:50:07,840
Speaker 3: the freshmen are going to take, trying to utilize the

1030
00:50:07,960 --> 00:50:10,600
Speaker 3: legs on some of those freshman kids versus putting Jack

1031
00:50:10,680 --> 00:50:13,480
Speaker 3: Cone in who's really threatened the needle in a pressured pocket?

1032
00:50:13,560 --> 00:50:16,000
Speaker 3: Pretty well? So full right up over at Action Network.

1033
00:50:16,080 --> 00:50:18,080
Speaker 2: Meyer should be back their study tight end as well.

1034
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:19,240
Speaker 3: All right, we've.

1035
00:50:19,120 --> 00:50:22,040
Speaker 2: Agreed way too much this podcast, so let's I'll do

1036
00:50:22,160 --> 00:50:25,719
Speaker 2: one that we're going to disagree on. Fresno State three

1037
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:28,560
Speaker 2: point favorite over under sixty four and a half at

1038
00:50:28,680 --> 00:50:31,719
Speaker 2: win bet. Now, what you're going to tell me is

1039
00:50:32,480 --> 00:50:36,080
Speaker 2: that Fresno State's secondary has been elite. Now, if that's

1040
00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:40,120
Speaker 2: the case, Fresdo State will win this game. Now. The

1041
00:50:40,160 --> 00:50:42,360
Speaker 2: reason that I love, I mean, I'm get about Nevada

1042
00:50:42,400 --> 00:50:45,160
Speaker 2: here is I was hired on Nevada coming into the

1043
00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:48,600
Speaker 2: season just about anybody, right, So my prior dumbers are

1044
00:50:48,640 --> 00:50:52,279
Speaker 2: still wagged into that right now, So I see value

1045
00:50:52,320 --> 00:50:57,960
Speaker 2: on Nevada. Oh, Fresno State, their secondary has been unbelievable

1046
00:50:58,000 --> 00:51:00,120
Speaker 2: this year. But let's let's take a closer look. They

1047
00:51:00,160 --> 00:51:04,399
Speaker 2: played Connecticut, who was playing zergianas the turnover maschie who's

1048
00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:07,240
Speaker 2: now their third string quarterback. Yeah. Then they played Oregon.

1049
00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:11,560
Speaker 2: We don't really love the downfield passing attack of Oregon. Yeah.

1050
00:51:11,600 --> 00:51:15,160
Speaker 2: Then they played cal Poly. Then they played UCLA. You know,

1051
00:51:15,200 --> 00:51:16,879
Speaker 2: they gave him thirty seven in that game, but that's

1052
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:20,000
Speaker 2: not a downfield passing attack. Yeah. Then they played UNLV

1053
00:51:20,800 --> 00:51:23,120
Speaker 2: in a game where they were losing at the half

1054
00:51:23,520 --> 00:51:28,040
Speaker 2: until Brumfeld got hurt, and you know, they won thirty

1055
00:51:28,080 --> 00:51:30,440
Speaker 2: eight thirty. Then they played Hawaii. They lost that Hawaii

1056
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:33,759
Speaker 2: and Hawaii's backup quarterback was playing. This isn't the best

1057
00:51:33,800 --> 00:51:35,320
Speaker 2: downfield passing attack of the country.

1058
00:51:35,600 --> 00:51:35,759
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1059
00:51:35,800 --> 00:51:38,680
Speaker 2: Then they played Wyoming, who can't throw downfield and is

1060
00:51:38,719 --> 00:51:41,440
Speaker 2: now talking about a quarterback change. Chambers went eight of

1061
00:51:41,520 --> 00:51:44,200
Speaker 2: twenty three for one hundred eleven yards. William Levey Walliams

1062
00:51:44,200 --> 00:51:46,360
Speaker 2: at one of seven for thirty two yards. They had

1063
00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:48,840
Speaker 2: four picks, so touchdowns. So they played a bunch of backups,

1064
00:51:49,000 --> 00:51:51,480
Speaker 2: a bunch of passing offenses that I don't trust, so

1065
00:51:51,960 --> 00:51:53,719
Speaker 2: I'm gonna make them prove to be here. This is

1066
00:51:53,800 --> 00:51:56,959
Speaker 2: the first competent passing offense with an NFL quarter future

1067
00:51:57,080 --> 00:52:01,000
Speaker 2: NFL quarterback that's gonna be behind center. Go if you're right.

1068
00:52:00,880 --> 00:52:04,880
Speaker 3: About this second that listen. I like Fresnoe State. I

1069
00:52:05,400 --> 00:52:08,400
Speaker 3: power rate it minus five. You know they're You're right.

1070
00:52:08,520 --> 00:52:11,360
Speaker 3: They have the top twenty five coverage rank, they have

1071
00:52:11,440 --> 00:52:13,920
Speaker 3: a top twenty rank in defending the big play, and

1072
00:52:13,960 --> 00:52:17,840
Speaker 3: their third and defensive havoc. But there are other things

1073
00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:19,600
Speaker 3: that give me a little bit of a pause, and

1074
00:52:19,640 --> 00:52:20,920
Speaker 3: I wouldn't want to play the three and a half.

1075
00:52:20,960 --> 00:52:25,640
Speaker 3: I'd rather play the three mostly. Nevada's rank and passing

1076
00:52:25,719 --> 00:52:28,040
Speaker 3: EPA is thirty ninth in the country, and not that

1077
00:52:28,120 --> 00:52:30,520
Speaker 3: that's you know, perfect or great, but that's where Fresno

1078
00:52:30,600 --> 00:52:33,280
Speaker 3: State is terrible. Fresno State is one hundred and seventeenth

1079
00:52:33,320 --> 00:52:36,520
Speaker 3: on defense and passing expected points. They can get torn

1080
00:52:36,600 --> 00:52:38,960
Speaker 3: up pretty quick. And then if you turn around and

1081
00:52:39,000 --> 00:52:42,160
Speaker 3: put that into say passing downs, you know Fresno State

1082
00:52:42,239 --> 00:52:44,920
Speaker 3: is extremely successful, but they're outside the top one hundred

1083
00:52:44,960 --> 00:52:47,880
Speaker 3: and defending explosiveness and passing downs. And that's where I

1084
00:52:47,960 --> 00:52:50,279
Speaker 3: think Carson Strong is going to have a ton of

1085
00:52:50,320 --> 00:52:52,200
Speaker 3: success in this game. And Nevada is a pass happy

1086
00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:57,520
Speaker 3: team anyways. Ah So, I think Fresno State's defensive ranks.

1087
00:52:57,840 --> 00:53:00,160
Speaker 3: You know, I would never use the word fraud with

1088
00:53:00,200 --> 00:53:02,560
Speaker 3: a Klin de four team, but I think that is

1089
00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:05,040
Speaker 3: going to have some success on explosive plays. Now, Fresno say,

1090
00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:07,480
Speaker 3: I think is the more steady offense. They're the ones

1091
00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:09,239
Speaker 3: that will have the most success rate. But Nevadic can

1092
00:53:09,320 --> 00:53:11,960
Speaker 3: hit the big pass here. So Fresno State minus three

1093
00:53:12,120 --> 00:53:13,759
Speaker 3: I would not take the three and a half.

1094
00:53:14,520 --> 00:53:17,160
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to our trash man segment

1095
00:53:17,200 --> 00:53:17,319
Speaker 2: of the.

1096
00:53:17,320 --> 00:53:19,960
Speaker 3: Week, the trash man pick of the week.

1097
00:53:20,560 --> 00:53:23,920
Speaker 2: I'm the trash man. Just throw me the trash, your garbage,

1098
00:53:24,239 --> 00:53:28,040
Speaker 2: and you know it, totally unreliable, undependable. It that's it.

1099
00:53:28,200 --> 00:53:28,799
Speaker 2: You've been told off.

1100
00:53:28,840 --> 00:53:30,000
Speaker 1: How do you like that? Good?

1101
00:53:30,760 --> 00:53:32,840
Speaker 2: All right, I'm not taking any trash out this weekend,

1102
00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:35,839
Speaker 2: but I think that you are. And you have something

1103
00:53:35,920 --> 00:53:38,480
Speaker 2: in UMass Florida State. I saw that come through on Sunday.

1104
00:53:38,760 --> 00:53:41,600
Speaker 3: Yep, yeah, I know. I was going to see if

1105
00:53:41,600 --> 00:53:44,080
Speaker 3: they're raising the eyebrows. Listen, I make this game Florida

1106
00:53:44,120 --> 00:53:47,080
Speaker 3: State minus thirty. Umasses ran the ball one hundred and

1107
00:53:47,120 --> 00:53:49,200
Speaker 3: eighty seven times. They've passed the ball one hundred and

1108
00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:52,239
Speaker 3: eighty seven times, pretty split here, So you know, They've

1109
00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:54,080
Speaker 3: had plenty of success on the ground. I mean, I

1110
00:53:54,160 --> 00:53:56,439
Speaker 3: know that they have an even distribution here, but they've

1111
00:53:56,520 --> 00:53:58,920
Speaker 3: been really pretty okay on the ground. Fifteen runs over

1112
00:53:58,960 --> 00:54:02,400
Speaker 3: twelve yards, so U MASS is just a one percentage

1113
00:54:02,440 --> 00:54:06,080
Speaker 3: point shy of the national average. And explosive drives, they

1114
00:54:06,160 --> 00:54:09,000
Speaker 3: have a better explosive driver rate than Oklahoma State's offense

1115
00:54:09,080 --> 00:54:11,080
Speaker 3: to give you any kind of idea of how bad

1116
00:54:11,120 --> 00:54:14,400
Speaker 3: Oklahoma State's explosive drives are. Florida State has Clemson on

1117
00:54:14,520 --> 00:54:17,680
Speaker 3: deck next week, and none of this current coaching staff

1118
00:54:17,840 --> 00:54:22,239
Speaker 3: or players could care less about U MASS and Walt Bell.

1119
00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:25,040
Speaker 3: But I got news for you. Walt Bell cares a

1120
00:54:25,080 --> 00:54:28,080
Speaker 3: lot about Florida State. Willie Taggart took away his play

1121
00:54:28,120 --> 00:54:30,160
Speaker 3: calling a few years ago and what was a messy

1122
00:54:30,239 --> 00:54:33,320
Speaker 3: divorce before Walt Bell went off and took the U

1123
00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:37,160
Speaker 3: MASS job and Taggard moved on his merry way. So there,

1124
00:54:37,440 --> 00:54:39,320
Speaker 3: this is a really big game, and you know for

1125
00:54:39,400 --> 00:54:41,359
Speaker 3: the players, for U MASS and for their head coach,

1126
00:54:42,520 --> 00:54:43,879
Speaker 3: you know they're going to show up for this one.

1127
00:54:44,000 --> 00:54:45,799
Speaker 3: But that's spread as the thirty five and a half

1128
00:54:46,480 --> 00:54:49,719
Speaker 3: way too high number. I project around thirty probably by

1129
00:54:49,800 --> 00:54:51,880
Speaker 3: it through thirty five, thirty four and a half. I

1130
00:54:51,960 --> 00:54:53,680
Speaker 3: don't know. I really like U mass in the spot.

1131
00:54:53,760 --> 00:54:55,359
Speaker 3: Such a big overlook for Florida.

1132
00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:59,239
Speaker 2: State the Walt Bell revenge game. All right, let's move

1133
00:54:59,280 --> 00:55:03,840
Speaker 2: on to the the stick of the week. Smelly, smelly, mellly,

1134
00:55:04,400 --> 00:55:07,800
Speaker 2: it's the smell. It's quite pungent. Dude, plug your nose,

1135
00:55:08,440 --> 00:55:16,480
Speaker 2: it's stinks. This is your stink of the week smell.

1136
00:55:17,320 --> 00:55:19,960
Speaker 2: All right, let's look at the smelliest, fishiest lide on aboard.

1137
00:55:20,640 --> 00:55:23,760
Speaker 2: You could argue NC State only playing three at Miabbi.

1138
00:55:24,400 --> 00:55:27,560
Speaker 2: I'm would say I would have say this. Look, Hawaii

1139
00:55:28,200 --> 00:55:30,560
Speaker 2: was a seventeen to a half point favor at New

1140
00:55:30,600 --> 00:55:34,759
Speaker 2: Mexico State three weeks ago they covered, and there were

1141
00:55:34,800 --> 00:55:37,239
Speaker 2: seventeen to a half point favorite at home against New

1142
00:55:37,280 --> 00:55:41,120
Speaker 2: Mexico State. They're playing again, by the way, this weekend.

1143
00:55:41,719 --> 00:55:44,239
Speaker 2: At all Hawaii's done since they beat Fresdo out right.

1144
00:55:44,480 --> 00:55:46,640
Speaker 2: I know that there's like quarterback questions with who's gonna

1145
00:55:46,640 --> 00:55:48,840
Speaker 2: play for Hawaii, But they're the same spread on the island.

1146
00:55:49,960 --> 00:55:52,880
Speaker 3: What do you got same Hawaii team that was up

1147
00:55:52,920 --> 00:55:54,759
Speaker 3: seventeen to fourteen and I had him as a best

1148
00:55:54,800 --> 00:55:56,759
Speaker 3: bet on the BBOC Live Show and they couldn't cover

1149
00:55:56,840 --> 00:55:59,919
Speaker 3: fourteen and a half for me, thank you very much. Whyyie, Listen,

1150
00:56:00,400 --> 00:56:03,200
Speaker 3: this is as stinky as against there's nothing stingering what

1151
00:56:03,239 --> 00:56:05,520
Speaker 3: I'm about to tell you. Akron is going to be

1152
00:56:05,560 --> 00:56:11,040
Speaker 3: Buffalo Buffalo. Buffalo can't defend the run. They're dead last

1153
00:56:11,160 --> 00:56:14,640
Speaker 3: and passing down success rate. I know it's Akron, but

1154
00:56:14,760 --> 00:56:17,319
Speaker 3: Buffalo should not be spotting double digits on the road

1155
00:56:17,400 --> 00:56:19,960
Speaker 3: to anybody on the FBS level at all.

1156
00:56:20,480 --> 00:56:22,560
Speaker 2: And those kid Gibson's playing well since he came in.

1157
00:56:22,960 --> 00:56:26,959
Speaker 3: Yeah, so listen, don't fall off your chair Saturday morning

1158
00:56:27,040 --> 00:56:28,640
Speaker 3: if the zips happened to come up in the money

1159
00:56:28,760 --> 00:56:31,960
Speaker 3: like Robin, but Buffalo should not be double digits against

1160
00:56:31,960 --> 00:56:32,759
Speaker 3: anybody on the road.

1161
00:56:33,160 --> 00:56:34,960
Speaker 2: All right, before we get out of here, let's go

1162
00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:35,560
Speaker 2: free it out.

1163
00:56:37,600 --> 00:56:39,680
Speaker 3: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1164
00:56:41,080 --> 00:56:43,400
Speaker 2: All right, first out here, we got Friday night lights

1165
00:56:44,040 --> 00:56:46,880
Speaker 2: that chair, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1166
00:56:47,719 --> 00:56:48,880
Speaker 3: Let's go play some football.

1167
00:56:50,400 --> 00:56:54,480
Speaker 2: If four games, none of them a really great Memphis

1168
00:56:55,280 --> 00:56:57,560
Speaker 2: two and a half, floid favorites now at you, yes,

1169
00:56:57,920 --> 00:57:00,800
Speaker 2: trade wreckxsit's Gabriel went down and Keen took over. You

1170
00:57:00,880 --> 00:57:04,880
Speaker 2: have Washington Arizona Pack twelve after dark. Arizona's lost eighteen

1171
00:57:04,880 --> 00:57:08,200
Speaker 2: to a row. Now, since that losing streak started two

1172
00:57:08,280 --> 00:57:10,799
Speaker 2: years ago where they were flour and one, they were

1173
00:57:10,880 --> 00:57:14,080
Speaker 2: top to PAC twelve against Washington leading at the half.

1174
00:57:14,600 --> 00:57:15,839
Speaker 2: Out of that out of the second half, they haven't

1175
00:57:15,840 --> 00:57:18,560
Speaker 2: one of games. Since you see these two games, What.

1176
00:57:18,600 --> 00:57:22,240
Speaker 3: Do you think colil Tate's doing these days? So you know,

1177
00:57:22,320 --> 00:57:24,480
Speaker 3: I mean with Middle Tennessee State and Connecticut. I mean

1178
00:57:24,520 --> 00:57:28,080
Speaker 3: Middle Tennessee got extremely lucky against Marshall. But are you

1179
00:57:28,160 --> 00:57:30,720
Speaker 3: going to go in back Connecticut here at home? You

1180
00:57:30,800 --> 00:57:33,200
Speaker 3: know that's that's sort of a dicey role. Now, I

1181
00:57:33,280 --> 00:57:37,320
Speaker 3: will probably play Memphis Central Florida on the over. It's

1182
00:57:37,360 --> 00:57:40,120
Speaker 3: something I projected sixty one. But both teams are bottom

1183
00:57:40,160 --> 00:57:43,080
Speaker 3: of the barrel and college football for defensive finishing drives.

1184
00:57:43,360 --> 00:57:45,760
Speaker 3: Memphis is one of the most explosive passing teams in

1185
00:57:45,800 --> 00:57:48,600
Speaker 3: the nation. I think Mikey Keane and the offense for

1186
00:57:48,720 --> 00:57:51,160
Speaker 3: UCF is still trying to figure things out. But Memphis

1187
00:57:51,320 --> 00:57:53,680
Speaker 3: is no world beater on defense, especially when it comes

1188
00:57:53,720 --> 00:57:57,800
Speaker 3: to scoring opportunities. So I certainly like the over in

1189
00:57:57,960 --> 00:58:01,360
Speaker 3: that game Washington Zona. That numbers should be less than

1190
00:58:01,400 --> 00:58:04,720
Speaker 3: fourteen eighteen is It's just like can you swallow it?

1191
00:58:04,760 --> 00:58:07,400
Speaker 3: With this washing? The Washington offense is getting better week

1192
00:58:07,480 --> 00:58:10,720
Speaker 3: by week. I was a little surprised about they looked

1193
00:58:10,880 --> 00:58:13,640
Speaker 3: competent compared to where they were against Michigan like in

1194
00:58:13,720 --> 00:58:17,640
Speaker 3: week two. The Washington offense looks much better now with

1195
00:58:18,080 --> 00:58:20,720
Speaker 3: Dylan Morris and all that around him. But you know,

1196
00:58:20,800 --> 00:58:23,360
Speaker 3: if you think that you can handle it, Arizona at

1197
00:58:23,360 --> 00:58:25,880
Speaker 3: eighteen is much too high to two key numbers there.

1198
00:58:25,880 --> 00:58:26,640
Speaker 3: I think it's crossed.

1199
00:58:27,160 --> 00:58:29,800
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to second down here, Let's

1200
00:58:29,880 --> 00:58:33,120
Speaker 2: first talk our favorite overdog for those maybe that's our

1201
00:58:33,160 --> 00:58:33,880
Speaker 2: favorite favorite.

1202
00:58:34,320 --> 00:58:36,840
Speaker 3: It's called the overdog parlay easy.

1203
00:58:36,680 --> 00:58:39,680
Speaker 2: One for me? Here? What month is it? It's brocked over?

1204
00:58:39,760 --> 00:58:44,040
Speaker 2: Maybe Iowa State minus seven? This voodoo party ends for

1205
00:58:44,600 --> 00:58:48,200
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State. Iowa State gets it done here in October.

1206
00:58:48,880 --> 00:58:49,760
Speaker 2: Favorite overdog for you?

1207
00:58:50,040 --> 00:58:52,080
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with Cincinnati. I think people are just

1208
00:58:52,120 --> 00:58:54,640
Speaker 3: trying to get too smart here. I think the Navy's

1209
00:58:54,800 --> 00:58:56,960
Speaker 3: defense is horrible. It's got awful.

1210
00:58:57,000 --> 00:58:59,600
Speaker 2: I'mb on Navy. I'm petrified, But in my in fairness,

1211
00:59:00,000 --> 00:59:01,880
Speaker 2: it's just an audit play for me, if anyone out

1212
00:59:01,880 --> 00:59:03,440
Speaker 2: there is fine, I put it in the app every time.

1213
00:59:04,080 --> 00:59:05,720
Speaker 2: I would not play if I was just looking at

1214
00:59:05,760 --> 00:59:07,640
Speaker 2: this game and Cincinnati wants to run it up to

1215
00:59:07,760 --> 00:59:09,440
Speaker 2: So it's a super small play for me. But I've

1216
00:59:09,440 --> 00:59:12,160
Speaker 2: done it for ten years any service, it's like sixty

1217
00:59:12,200 --> 00:59:14,160
Speaker 2: five percent. This could easily be one of the times

1218
00:59:14,160 --> 00:59:16,240
Speaker 2: where they don't cover. It's Stiffy's trying to run it

1219
00:59:16,360 --> 00:59:18,760
Speaker 2: up to. Yeah, so I don't necessarily disagree with you,

1220
00:59:18,880 --> 00:59:19,200
Speaker 2: but the.

1221
00:59:19,240 --> 00:59:21,320
Speaker 3: Numbers should not the numbers should not be this high.

1222
00:59:21,560 --> 00:59:24,240
Speaker 3: But I mean, just watch a Cincinnati game, especially in

1223
00:59:24,280 --> 00:59:28,120
Speaker 3: the fourth quarter, to see that Fickle is sending He's

1224
00:59:28,160 --> 00:59:31,200
Speaker 3: on an island like sending signals. Just for somebody like

1225
00:59:31,240 --> 00:59:33,120
Speaker 3: a college role playoff committee to fly by in a

1226
00:59:33,200 --> 00:59:35,240
Speaker 3: plane and see that, you know, see me, notice me,

1227
00:59:35,440 --> 00:59:38,480
Speaker 3: Please see these scores like fifty burgers every week, So

1228
00:59:39,240 --> 00:59:41,000
Speaker 3: Cincinnati blindly until it doesn't.

1229
00:59:40,800 --> 00:59:49,440
Speaker 2: Happen under underdog mouneyline parlay, turning good weekends into great weekends.

1230
00:59:50,120 --> 00:59:52,600
Speaker 3: It's time for the money line parlay.

1231
00:59:54,120 --> 00:59:56,040
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go you should have hate yours last night,

1232
00:59:56,080 --> 00:59:58,440
Speaker 2: but last week by it with you NL. A quarterback

1233
00:59:58,480 --> 01:00:00,240
Speaker 2: goes to get hurt. They lose the last second. But

1234
01:00:01,440 --> 01:00:05,360
Speaker 2: I woulda go with Army the troops. I think that

1235
01:00:05,480 --> 01:00:08,080
Speaker 2: bake Forest run defense gets exploited here. The Army defense

1236
01:00:08,160 --> 01:00:09,960
Speaker 2: shows up, wakes run.

1237
01:00:11,040 --> 01:00:13,440
Speaker 3: Ends, am I gets understand that.

1238
01:00:15,600 --> 01:00:17,000
Speaker 2: Oh shit, I can't hear you.

1239
01:00:19,680 --> 01:00:22,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, So my underdog money line is I'm gonna go

1240
01:00:22,120 --> 01:00:23,920
Speaker 3: with Oregon State. With the Beavers, could be a ton

1241
01:00:23,960 --> 01:00:26,640
Speaker 3: of pressure here with them possibly taking over the North.

1242
01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:28,880
Speaker 3: But like we said, Utah just comes off this huge

1243
01:00:28,880 --> 01:00:32,000
Speaker 3: emotional week, big win against Arizona State, a tiebreaker that

1244
01:00:32,040 --> 01:00:34,240
Speaker 3: they need in the South. But it's also a youth

1245
01:00:34,400 --> 01:00:37,000
Speaker 3: team that struggles in the first half to wake up.

1246
01:00:37,000 --> 01:00:39,280
Speaker 3: They don't score many points in the first half. Oregon

1247
01:00:39,360 --> 01:00:42,160
Speaker 3: State leads the nation and one of the best rushing

1248
01:00:42,200 --> 01:00:46,720
Speaker 3: attacks and third and finishing offensive finishing drives. They're gonna

1249
01:00:46,720 --> 01:00:48,640
Speaker 3: be able to sustain drives that They're gonna have drives

1250
01:00:48,680 --> 01:00:50,840
Speaker 3: to go over ten yards. They pride themselves on time

1251
01:00:50,880 --> 01:00:53,720
Speaker 3: of possession. Utah is not gonna have any chances to

1252
01:00:53,760 --> 01:00:56,000
Speaker 3: score here, and if organ State can build a lead

1253
01:00:56,000 --> 01:00:57,920
Speaker 3: in the first half, it's gonna be Curtains and Cravallis

1254
01:00:59,320 --> 01:00:59,880
Speaker 3: agree there.

1255
01:01:00,080 --> 01:01:02,160
Speaker 2: Before we get out of here, third down. Our favorite

1256
01:01:02,200 --> 01:01:03,840
Speaker 2: bet of the weekend. I'll let you start where you go.

1257
01:01:04,360 --> 01:01:06,880
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with UCLA Bruins. Chip Kelly is going

1258
01:01:07,000 --> 01:01:10,720
Speaker 3: to beat his former school Organ. This really comes down

1259
01:01:10,720 --> 01:01:12,920
Speaker 3: to two teams that want to establish the run. The

1260
01:01:13,000 --> 01:01:15,520
Speaker 3: problem is is UCLA just does it a whole bunch better.

1261
01:01:16,080 --> 01:01:17,760
Speaker 3: Not only they have a two headed back system with

1262
01:01:17,840 --> 01:01:20,800
Speaker 3: Britton Brown and Zach Charbonnay, who are just creating more

1263
01:01:20,880 --> 01:01:24,320
Speaker 3: mistackles and our yards after contact, they have Dorian Tops

1264
01:01:24,360 --> 01:01:27,080
Speaker 3: and Robinson, who is mobile if they get into passing downs.

1265
01:01:27,440 --> 01:01:30,240
Speaker 3: The problem is is Organ is just not doing anything defensively.

1266
01:01:30,240 --> 01:01:32,320
Speaker 3: They're outside the top one hundred and havoc. They're outside

1267
01:01:32,320 --> 01:01:34,520
Speaker 3: the top one hundred pass rush. So even if you

1268
01:01:34,560 --> 01:01:36,640
Speaker 3: get Dorian Tops and Robinson in a passing down, you're

1269
01:01:36,640 --> 01:01:39,000
Speaker 3: not gonna be able to pressure him into mistakes. This

1270
01:01:39,200 --> 01:01:42,600
Speaker 3: is a UCLA offense that used nine different formations against

1271
01:01:42,720 --> 01:01:45,400
Speaker 3: LSU to get the victory. They're very good at disguising

1272
01:01:45,560 --> 01:01:47,560
Speaker 3: what they want to do, and Organ's just not going

1273
01:01:47,640 --> 01:01:49,479
Speaker 3: to be able to react, and they're definitely not gonna

1274
01:01:49,480 --> 01:01:51,560
Speaker 3: be able to score enough with Anthony Brown at quarterback

1275
01:01:51,800 --> 01:01:53,320
Speaker 3: to keep up with the Ucla Bruins.

1276
01:01:54,080 --> 01:01:56,400
Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be a podcast first should end well.

1277
01:01:56,680 --> 01:01:59,480
Speaker 2: My favorite bet also is UCLI. Let's make it a consensus.

1278
01:02:00,280 --> 01:02:03,360
Speaker 2: Send it early in the podcast. I think that Ucla

1279
01:02:03,920 --> 01:02:07,520
Speaker 2: their run defense has been great. Their secondary little suspect.

1280
01:02:07,560 --> 01:02:10,600
Speaker 2: I don't think Anthony Brown and these Oregon receivers can

1281
01:02:10,640 --> 01:02:12,800
Speaker 2: take advantage the other side of the ball. You can

1282
01:02:12,920 --> 01:02:15,400
Speaker 2: run on this Oregon team, and I think UCLA can

1283
01:02:15,440 --> 01:02:19,800
Speaker 2: take advantage. Give me the Bruins. Make it clean sweep

1284
01:02:19,840 --> 01:02:23,720
Speaker 2: for best bets. All right, thanks Colin for joining me,

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01:02:23,880 --> 01:02:25,920
Speaker 2: Thanks everyone for listening, and thanks for putting up with

1286
01:02:26,000 --> 01:02:28,800
Speaker 2: my voice. I'm about to go sleep for twelve hours,

1287
01:02:28,800 --> 01:02:31,640
Speaker 2: hopefully kick this virus of the curb, and then try

1288
01:02:31,720 --> 01:02:34,760
Speaker 2: to find some last bit at winters. Let's have a weekend,

1289
01:02:34,840 --> 01:02:37,640
Speaker 2: Let's get hot and keep it rolling through the end

1290
01:02:37,680 --> 01:02:40,840
Speaker 2: of the year. Appreciate all of you listening. Make sure

1291
01:02:40,840 --> 01:02:43,960
Speaker 2: you subscribe on subscribed, subscribe, Tell a friend, tell how

1292
01:02:43,960 --> 01:02:45,880
Speaker 2: to be leave a review. We'll do some giveaways. We

1293
01:02:45,920 --> 01:02:48,680
Speaker 2: give a bunch of shit away last episode. We'll go

1294
01:02:48,760 --> 01:02:50,640
Speaker 2: ahead and leave a review. Wherever you listen to podcasts

1295
01:02:50,680 --> 01:02:52,320
Speaker 2: Big Bets on campus to make sure you catch US

1296
01:02:52,920 --> 01:02:55,200
Speaker 2: Saturday morning ten thirty am Eastern for Big Bets on

1297
01:02:55,280 --> 01:02:58,160
Speaker 2: Campus Live. See you on Twitter throughout the weekend.

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01:02:58,360 --> 01:02:59,440
Speaker 3: Cheers he's out.