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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: We are continuing our division by division breakdown before we

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Speaker 1: get to the NFL season, all things betting, everything you

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Speaker 1: need to know. We're doing it this month, folks, before

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Speaker 1: the NFL kicks off. I got my companion, I got

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Speaker 1: my bff, I got my compadre. I'm talking about Chris Raybond.

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Speaker 1: Oh snap, oh snap, I fooled Simon Hunter. Raybond is

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Speaker 1: on the show. He qualifies as all of those things.

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Speaker 1: But Simon am of course referring to you, dude, you're

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Speaker 1: braving it out. Yeah, I got a tooth done today

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Speaker 1: and I haven't had a root can out done before.

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Speaker 1: What is this your full chatter? We're doing a show

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Speaker 1: right now, Like, I don't even know why I'm doing

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Speaker 1: a show the day. I don't want to give it

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Speaker 1: away what they are doing this because we're doing this,

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Speaker 1: not I'm happy to share. We're doing it Monday, We're

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Speaker 1: according back to back. We're doing it because, um, I

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Speaker 1: am going out of town for a few days and

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Speaker 1: wouldn't be able to record on Tuesday and Thursday. So

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell is like, hey, let's just do them both

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Speaker 1: at the same time because what we're talking about, like

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Speaker 1: it's pretty evergreen and related to the betting world. So

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Speaker 1: we're getting it done now. It happened to, you know,

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Speaker 1: coincide with the opportunity to use the incredible health insurance

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Speaker 1: at the Action Network to get a root canal facts

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Speaker 1: and uh, because of COVID, you have to make it

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Speaker 1: a schedule like five months in advance. So I made

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Speaker 1: this forever. I don't even remember it. And then you know,

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Speaker 1: you just check your calendar on your phone once a

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Speaker 1: blue moon, like it's like, oh, that's not a holiday,

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Speaker 1: that's an actual appointment on my calendar, and uh, all

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Speaker 1: of a sudden, Man Mich was like, yeah, we're doing

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Speaker 1: a show on Monday, And I was like, what the hell.

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Speaker 1: We've never do shows on Monday. So I'm feeling good.

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Speaker 1: If I say anything in six months that I regret,

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna blame getting our root can out today.

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Speaker 1: So definitely gonna say some questionable thanks today on the show. Well, listen,

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Speaker 1: Raybon is here, who can do most of the talking

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Speaker 1: because he'll be locked in on the NFC East in

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Speaker 1: our division by division breakdown. Chris Raybon from the All

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Speaker 1: New Fantasy Flex podcast, one of our most popular podcast

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Speaker 1: historically here at the Action Network, got a brand new feed.

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Speaker 1: Chris Raybon, Shawn Corner, Samantha pa Bed They're gonna be

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Speaker 1: doing it all Fantasy Flex. Download it, rate it, subscribe it,

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Speaker 1: love it, make money off it. Raybonds got a new location.

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Speaker 1: How's everything out in l A these days? Mr Raybon?

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Speaker 1: I love it out in l A, chad Um. Interestingly enough, Simon,

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Speaker 1: my dentist is still in New York, so I've recently

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Speaker 1: actually made a trip back to go to the dentist.

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Speaker 1: There appears to be a fire drill, but we're just

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Speaker 1: gonna wait for that to pass. And there's a fire

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Speaker 1: drill in your apartment right now. It's like the like

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Speaker 1: the last few times, the fire has actually just been broken.

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Speaker 1: It hasn't been a real fired drew, which I'm assuming

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Speaker 1: is what's happening now. So I'm just gonna pretend that

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Speaker 1: nothing's happening, but hopefully this goes off soon. Yea. Ray

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Speaker 1: talks with NFC East. Well, let's do it right now,

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Speaker 1: the Dallas Cowboys. This is how bad the NFC East is.

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Speaker 1: It's to me, it's one of the least interesting divisions,

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Speaker 1: because the Dallas Cowboys have the shortest odds to win

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl of any team in the NFC East

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Speaker 1: at about thirty to one. Okay, then it's the Washington

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Speaker 1: football team at about fifty one. Then it's the New

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Speaker 1: York Giants at about seventy to one, and then the

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Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles heard about seventy five to one. Agree or

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Speaker 1: disagree with these odds, Simon Europe, first, give me your

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Speaker 1: take on the four teams, and there are Super Bowl

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Speaker 1: futures here a dirty little secret. I've bet every single

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Speaker 1: team's future Super Bowl odds in this division except the Boys,

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Speaker 1: just because it's one of these things where I'm literally

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Speaker 1: betting on a team right now to win a division,

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Speaker 1: which means they have a home field game in the

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Speaker 1: playoffs at greater than fifty to one odds. I'll take

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Speaker 1: that any day of the week. I don't think the

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Speaker 1: Giants are good at all. I don't think the Eagles

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Speaker 1: are good at all. Washington, We've talked about it. I

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Speaker 1: believe in that team. So it's one of these where

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Speaker 1: I'm kind of fading the Cowboys noise where the general

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Speaker 1: public has coming heavy on the Cowboys, like just grading

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Speaker 1: out looking at this odds, it should be like this

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Speaker 1: is what my system has it based at as a

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty for the Cowboys and then the Washington

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Speaker 1: football teams plus one fifty. So it's literally the GAP's

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Speaker 1: way smaller than the general public is making this because

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Speaker 1: I feel like people aren't taking a concern that Dack's

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Speaker 1: coming off a major and injury, major knee injury, with

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Speaker 1: what we can say is a questionable offensive line. I

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Speaker 1: get he is incredible receivers, all those things, but his

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Speaker 1: offensive line is not what he used to do it.

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Speaker 1: And now he's got to think on all his his

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Speaker 1: throne shoulder because he like rushed back and he's doing

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Speaker 1: too much on that. It's just all a little bit

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Speaker 1: of red flags to start the year, and I feel

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Speaker 1: like people are just still betting the Cowboys where it

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Speaker 1: feels like the Washington team should be a lot closer

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Speaker 1: in these odds. Yeah. Look, we we've been in love

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Speaker 1: with the Washington football team since the second the season ended,

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Speaker 1: thinking that you know, their defense is amazing and what

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Speaker 1: they have on the front four could go down historically

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Speaker 1: as one of the best front fours ever. And when

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Speaker 1: you can be that good all you need to do

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Speaker 1: is improve a little bit at quarterback. And we saw

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Speaker 1: what they could do with basically a guy literally off

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Speaker 1: the street against the Bucks, uh, and how they almost

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Speaker 1: pulled that off in the playoffs. This is a fierce,

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Speaker 1: fierce defensive front. Now they got fits Magic, who you

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Speaker 1: could argue is going to make them a little bit better.

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Speaker 1: Also could cost them any opportunity to advance in the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: but we'll make them better, Raybon, do you have a

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Speaker 1: take on the Washington football team and their place in

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Speaker 1: sort of the super Bowl firmament? I think Washington is

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Speaker 1: an outside contender for a Super Bowl. I think they

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Speaker 1: are the best shot of any team in this division.

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Speaker 1: I think they should actually be the favorite in this

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Speaker 1: division just because of their defense. I think Dallas has

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Speaker 1: a great offense, but I still think the defense so

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Speaker 1: be shaky. So I think the Giants are really concerning

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Speaker 1: with their the fact that offensive linemen are retiring. The

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Speaker 1: offense hasn't had a good camp. Yeah, I just don't

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Speaker 1: think they're putting enough protection wise. Uh. In front of

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Speaker 1: Daniel Jones and then the Eagles, who knows what's going

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Speaker 1: on with them. They may not have a truly real quarterback,

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Speaker 1: UM high upside quarterback. But yeah, that roster I think

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Speaker 1: is still a little bit barren compared to a team

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Speaker 1: like Washington UM and a team like Dallas whose offense

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Speaker 1: again should be really good. So it's Washington or Dallas

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Speaker 1: for me an asset. Alright, So Simon ray Boon feels

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Speaker 1: the same way as you do Washington football team. He's

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Speaker 1: the same way. We're like looking at each team like

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Speaker 1: He's right. The Eagles, they're just a really unproven team

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Speaker 1: and it's a rookie head coach. That's why I like,

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna tell anyone to put money on the

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Speaker 1: Eagles futures and anything like. I took Hurts at hundred

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Speaker 1: of one to get m v P. But it was

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Speaker 1: just simply when Carson was there, I said, Okay, there's

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Speaker 1: value here, Chris Carson's not going to be here, and

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Speaker 1: sure enough he got traded. We saw his line move again.

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Speaker 1: It's the same thing as Trey Lance. Do I think

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Speaker 1: Tray Lances really gonna m v P. No, We've bet

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Speaker 1: at a hundred one. It's like I can't not bet

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Speaker 1: those kind ods. He's down to actually seventy five to

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Speaker 1: one now after one good week of practice. So that's

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Speaker 1: I mean, we're gonna value based business here. So do

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Speaker 1: I really think an NC East team is actually going

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Speaker 1: on the Super Bowl next year? No? Just look at

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Speaker 1: the NFC, it's just a really top heavy compared to

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Speaker 1: the a f C, where I just feel like the

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Speaker 1: Bucks Green Bay, they're just so far off everyone else.

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Speaker 1: So when we're looking at this division, we're literally just

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Speaker 1: betting the fact that this is this team. This team

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Speaker 1: either could be a three or four seed and at

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Speaker 1: home field in the first round. So that's the reason

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Speaker 1: I'm telling people I do like the value on these

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Speaker 1: teams futures just because of that simple fact. Where again,

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Speaker 1: and Daniel Jones, I'm with him like that, dude, he's

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Speaker 1: been awful. We're not we're not believers on that show

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Speaker 1: of Daniel Jones. I mean we bet them at the

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Speaker 1: end of the year last year, just simply because the

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Speaker 1: numbers were getting so insane, Like they were like five

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Speaker 1: point home dogs or three point home dogs to Dallas

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Speaker 1: that final week of the year. It's like, come on,

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Speaker 1: Dallas had Andy Darlton, Like there was just getting insane

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Speaker 1: at that point. So it's just one of those where

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Speaker 1: I'm buying the whole hype with the Giants. Were they great?

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Speaker 1: They have all these weapons on offense and their defense

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Speaker 1: should be improved. But like Chris said, that offensive line

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Speaker 1: is shaky, and that's one of the biggest things to

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Speaker 1: me is oh line play. So again, I'm just not

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Speaker 1: really buying all these teams. So I'm with him. If

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Speaker 1: you're you're looking for two teams for just divisional bet,

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Speaker 1: I think it's either Cowboys are Washington at this point. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: when you when you look at the Giants training camp

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Speaker 1: report of the athletic Dan dugald has, like, you know,

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Speaker 1: his ten things that he's learned over the last two weeks.

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Speaker 1: Number One, the offensive line concerns haven't been alleviated. Number two,

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Speaker 1: the off pensive line needs reinforcements. That is not what

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Speaker 1: you want to hear if you are investing any money

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Speaker 1: other than zero dollars on the New York Giants, and

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Speaker 1: you're not hearing anything about Daniel Jones blowing people away. Uh.

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Speaker 1: And even scarier, they're bringing back a running back who

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Speaker 1: just came up the pop list today in se Kwan Barkley,

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Speaker 1: who tore up his knee less than a year ago.

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Speaker 1: And all of a sudden, you've got an offensive line

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Speaker 1: that can't open any wholes for him, is probably gonna

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Speaker 1: make his job more difficult and put his health in

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Speaker 1: more danger exactly, And we talked about it with Smant.

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Speaker 1: It's uh, it's it's just scary. A lot of stuff

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Speaker 1: you read exactly that where what are we doing here?

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Speaker 1: Like it does feel like they're rushing back a little bit,

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Speaker 1: just because there's so much concern about Sa Kuan and

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Speaker 1: that he's not ready yet. So it is a little

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Speaker 1: scary thinking about that. Let's be realistic, Stay Koon Barkley's

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Speaker 1: not gonna make or break the Giants. I mean, you

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Speaker 1: had productive games out of Wayne Goldman and Alfred Morris

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Speaker 1: last year. Meanwhile, s Quan when he was healthy it

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Speaker 1: was last couple of years he's had games where he's

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Speaker 1: rushed thirteen times for one yard, you know, fifteen times

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Speaker 1: for six yards. Because he's going to be the focus

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Speaker 1: of that of the defense and the offensive line. Again,

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Speaker 1: like Chad said, can't open holes. But what's that What's

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Speaker 1: interesting about that, raybon is at this time last year,

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Speaker 1: from a fantasy point of view, Berkeley was probably considered

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Speaker 1: one of the top two or three running backs you

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Speaker 1: would draft, and now we're a year removed from that,

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Speaker 1: and you're like, yeah, he's not gonna be the guy

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Speaker 1: who moves the needle for that team. That's just like

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Speaker 1: a workload hope, right, Chris, where you're just hoping that

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Speaker 1: this is the guy that's getting all three downs, that

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Speaker 1: that's simply one of those, because that's so rare now

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. Yeah, exactly, Simon. And And to be

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Speaker 1: completely frank, I am very down on State Qualon this

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Speaker 1: year because after everything that's happened, he's still being drafted

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Speaker 1: as a top five back. He's still going in the

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Speaker 1: top ten. I think that's absurd. But in fantasy or reality,

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Speaker 1: I don't think Quad is moving the needle in one

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Speaker 1: for this New York Giants team, and I don't think

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Speaker 1: we should be betting on them. I think they're gonna

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Speaker 1: have to run into some luck to win the NFC East,

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Speaker 1: whether it be Dat getting hurt again or or something

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Speaker 1: like that major happening with the teams above them, which

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Speaker 1: are Dallas and Washington. All right, well, let's let's go

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Speaker 1: to the odds. I'm looking right now and um at FanDuel,

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Speaker 1: I'm seeing the Cowboys odds to win the NFC East

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Speaker 1: plus one thirty, the Washington football team plus two thirty

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Speaker 1: feels to me, and then the Giants at plus four fifty,

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Speaker 1: the Eagles at plus I just want people to realized too,

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Speaker 1: that if you've waited this long, you've missed value on

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Speaker 1: a lot of that, Like Washington at one point was

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Speaker 1: plus four hundred a lot of books for a while too.

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Speaker 1: So again, look at week one. You think the Cowboys

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Speaker 1: might loose the Bucks, maybe, don't take them yet. You

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Speaker 1: think Washington's gonna lose to the Chargers week one, don't

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Speaker 1: take Washington yet. This is you're at this time and

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Speaker 1: we've already missed the value. Look ahead and try to

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Speaker 1: see where you can get value later in the season.

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Speaker 1: Maybe you're seeing that. Okay, Washington start a tough start

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Speaker 1: of the year, but after a week five it gets

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Speaker 1: way easier. That's when I'm hit him for the divisional things.

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Speaker 1: Don't just bet the bet right now, Okay, if you

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Speaker 1: you've already missed a lot of the value in this betting,

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Speaker 1: get the best of the number. It's the number one rule,

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Speaker 1: the number one rule em betting. But explain to people Simon.

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Speaker 1: Why is it so important to get the best of

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Speaker 1: the number and to keep your head in your pocket

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Speaker 1: when you don't because you're gonna lose. I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: the simple math, like the more you bet, the more

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Speaker 1: likely you are to lose. So you're always looking for

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Speaker 1: the highest odds to give yourself the better chance of

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Speaker 1: winning long term. Because again, if you hit Washington this

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Speaker 1: year at four one, you can lose the next three

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Speaker 1: years on the same bet for this division of odds,

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Speaker 1: and you're good because you're still up from this Washington bet.

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Speaker 1: That's what again we talked in the Super Bowl. People

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Speaker 1: thought that was crazy bet in the bucks mine two

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Speaker 1: and a half. It was just because I found a

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Speaker 1: little cheek coot here where I've won five straight Super Bowls,

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Speaker 1: I can lose the next seven straight Super Bowl bets.

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Speaker 1: I'm still up about what my original put in was.

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Speaker 1: So it's one of these where I love plus odds.

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Speaker 1: So I hate when people bet something now because the

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Speaker 1: numbers already little dead where you're just betting in with

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Speaker 1: the public's betting in, and I feel like, again I

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Speaker 1: hate people tying their money up early. But plus four

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Speaker 1: hundred for Washington, we talked about all the reasons to

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Speaker 1: love them. It was just crazy at that time. They're

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Speaker 1: that high. So it's just people are a little late

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Speaker 1: to betting it. I wouldn't touch it at this point. Well,

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Speaker 1: what's also interesting, Raybond you can speak to this is

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Speaker 1: you just phrased it as I won the past five

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl Simon said this, if I lose the next seven,

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Speaker 1: I'm still ahead. You're playing this for such a long

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Speaker 1: game that you're looking at the return on your investment

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Speaker 1: and your performance the way any portfolio manager would. How

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Speaker 1: do I do against the five year industry average? How

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Speaker 1: do I do against tenure? How do I do against

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Speaker 1: twenty years? Ray, you're a massive DFS superstar. You bet aggressively.

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Speaker 1: Do you take the same perspective when you're thinking about

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Speaker 1: betting over the period of several years, several months? How

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Speaker 1: do you look at sort of the timeline for your portfolio? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: I think that is absolutely the right approach that Simon's taking. However,

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Speaker 1: I do know that most of our listeners are probably

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Speaker 1: just looking for, you know, some good bets to make

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Speaker 1: in the next few weeks or whatever. So what I

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Speaker 1: would say is my money still on Washington if if

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Speaker 1: I'm betting here, I think Washington should be a lot

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Speaker 1: closer to Dallas in terms of these division odds, and

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Speaker 1: to still get them at, you know, better than two

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Speaker 1: to one, I think it's still a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a value. It's disappointing compared to where the number was,

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Speaker 1: but I do think those two teams should be essentially equal.

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Speaker 1: So I like the value on Washington, and I will

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Speaker 1: say this, The one other thing I would keep in

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Speaker 1: mind is the Egos have extremely long odds, and I'm

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Speaker 1: a little worried about Jalen Hurts taking that full step

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Speaker 1: forward to make this team a contender. But let's remember

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Speaker 1: they are in the market for a quarterback like a

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Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson that would drastically change their odds. So I'm

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Speaker 1: actually curious to hear, you know, you're a guy that

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Speaker 1: plays the long game, looks at kind of value. Does

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Speaker 1: that factor in that potential for Watson Eagles? I still

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Speaker 1: think he no matter. We'll have to sit this year out.

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Speaker 1: I just think because there's just so much going on.

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Speaker 1: But again, I don't want to get too far into

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Speaker 1: because I'm sure we're gonna talk about once we get

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Speaker 1: to all that it's going on with the close to

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Speaker 1: the season. But I am a big believer that he

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Speaker 1: is gonna be moved. So I like what. I like

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Speaker 1: what you're saying, Like that would be amazing for Eagles odds,

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Speaker 1: but I just see it being hurts this year for

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Speaker 1: them to play out. Even if Eagles do trade form,

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Speaker 1: I feel like they would have to sit them out

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Speaker 1: for the year just because everything going on, because again

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Speaker 1: it does it's a bummer. But I'll have to check.

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Speaker 1: I think he's what twenties six seven, so it's it's

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Speaker 1: not the worst thing that he's gonna lose the season.

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Speaker 1: At the same time, it's it is like a lot

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Speaker 1: of baggage right out for any team trading for him. Obviously.

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Speaker 1: All right, here's what I want to do. I want

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Speaker 1: to do rapid fire season win total reaction over under

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Speaker 1: from each of you, starting with starting with the Dallas

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Speaker 1: Cowboys season win total is nine Simon Europe first over

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Speaker 1: under nine. Yeah, this is when we keep talking about

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Speaker 1: Chad last twenty five years. If you had bet the under,

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Speaker 1: it has hit seventeen times the last twenty five years,

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Speaker 1: so that that is definitely a bet I continue to

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Speaker 1: make every year. But the under nine wins for the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: It is it almost always nine wins? Is that always

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Speaker 1: the number that it's set at? Now, if they would

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Speaker 1: have gone over last year, I gained to you be

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Speaker 1: ten and a half eleven this year. So that's what's

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Speaker 1: so great about it. Whenever they hit it the next year,

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Speaker 1: I would just bet more because it's like, okay, the

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Speaker 1: public time, I bet this up another two now. Because

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Speaker 1: again it's not that I want to just keep shredding

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys that I do love them pucially for fantasy,

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Speaker 1: like that's a fun, exciting team, all the weapons they have,

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Speaker 1: but man, just every year better public wise, the Cowboys

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Speaker 1: are always that team. So it is definitely one of

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Speaker 1: those where this is probably a winner win and a

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Speaker 1: half too high than where it should be. Raybound Cowboys,

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Speaker 1: nine wins. I'm gonna actually go over because I think

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Speaker 1: I could still get the push at nine, and I

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Speaker 1: like the fact that they had a bad year last

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Speaker 1: year that brought the number down. I actually think this

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Speaker 1: is a fair number, uh, and I feel decently about

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Speaker 1: them going over because of the nine, I can still

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Speaker 1: get to push, So give me the over. But what

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Speaker 1: about this team makes you feel good? About them actually

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Speaker 1: getting ten wins this year. Even within that game the

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Speaker 1: weakness of the division Number one, the Giants and Eagles,

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Speaker 1: they should win three out of those four, if not

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Speaker 1: four out of four. Dak Prescott returning he was playing

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Speaker 1: at extremely high level last year and the emergence of

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Speaker 1: Ceede Lamb and during your second year. The next team

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Speaker 1: is the Washington football team. They are at eight, their

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Speaker 1: win totals at eight. Sign in Europe first. Yeah, and

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Speaker 1: people are gonna see I mean a lot of Like

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Speaker 1: I've seen the data, the numbers that it's they definitely

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Speaker 1: have a tougher schedule of this upcoming year just because

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Speaker 1: simply they want the division. But it's also one of

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Speaker 1: those where it's the QB play like has to be Again,

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Speaker 1: I don't want to be too hyped on Fitzpatrick, but

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Speaker 1: you see the weapons they have around them, Like I

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Speaker 1: can just see McLaren taking a big step this year.

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Speaker 1: Their line is gonna be improved. The defense again, they

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Speaker 1: had a great front four last year. The cornerback and

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Speaker 1: safety play should be improved. This actually wasn't that great

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Speaker 1: last year for them, but I think it actually is

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Speaker 1: gonna be improved this year. The way that's looking. Um,

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Speaker 1: I can't not take this over. This team is just

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Speaker 1: a nine to ten win team and in a very

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Speaker 1: bad division where their toughest competition is the Cowboys. So

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Speaker 1: we just talked about has one of the one of

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Speaker 1: the worst old ligned So in that game, Washington doesn't

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Speaker 1: have a big advantage in that game. Again, I don't

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Speaker 1: care how good receivers are. If you don't have time,

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Speaker 1: it just doesn't matter. You're never gonna get the ball away.

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Speaker 1: So it isn't sing where I can see this division

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Speaker 1: once again being a little loopie where they haven't had

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Speaker 1: what a repeat champions two thousand four. I think it's

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Speaker 1: well overdue that the team repeats in this division. And

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia. Let's get back to the show. Raybond

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00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:45,120
Speaker 1: Washington football team over the Defense is too good. Might

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00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:48,399
Speaker 1: not be a super Bowl team, but definitely a team

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Speaker 1: that can win more games than it loses the I

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00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:54,919
Speaker 1: love this team. I love everything about this team. I

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Speaker 1: love Ron Rivera. I love his attitude last year when

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Speaker 1: he decided that Dwayne Haskins wasn't going to be the

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Speaker 1: quarterback for that team, and he sort of said, I

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00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,560
Speaker 1: owe it to the team to do everything we can

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Speaker 1: to win football games in a division that I think

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Speaker 1: we have a chance to win. And that's exactly what

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Speaker 1: he did, and so you know they're gonna be competitive.

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Speaker 1: The flip side of that is, if you know you're

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Speaker 1: gonna be competitive, you know you have an amazing defense,

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Speaker 1: why did you go to sign Ryan Fitzpatrick instead of

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Speaker 1: getting a guy you know you can that can potentially

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Speaker 1: take you to the next level, help you grow even faster.

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Speaker 1: I think they're gonna win over eight games. I like

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Speaker 1: them to win division. It's just kind of a bummer Giants.

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Speaker 1: They are at seven wins. Simon your first Yeah, just

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Speaker 1: it's a really tricky one. Obviously, I like Yonder because

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Speaker 1: I'm down on them, but there's not that much value.

428
00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:41,040
Speaker 1: I have it at seven like lately, I have a

429
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 1: right below and at six point eight, so I think

430
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:45,920
Speaker 1: I do lean towards yonder. There's just enough value there

431
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:47,640
Speaker 1: for me to really play because I see them laning

432
00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:49,960
Speaker 1: on seven, seven and ten. That's not that out of

433
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:52,960
Speaker 1: this world for this Giants team, where they could steal

434
00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:56,160
Speaker 1: some games here and there with that defense. And again

435
00:21:56,280 --> 00:21:58,760
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones, he will play one to two to four

436
00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:01,439
Speaker 1: like really good orders in a game and then just

437
00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:04,040
Speaker 1: have about three four turnovers in the game. So with

438
00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:05,880
Speaker 1: this team, you don't really know what you're getting. Like

439
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:08,679
Speaker 1: you you could easily get that win total over, but

440
00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:11,240
Speaker 1: I just wouldn't touch it unless you're a fan of

441
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:15,920
Speaker 1: the Giants. I would not be betting this over going

442
00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:18,760
Speaker 1: under on the Giants. This is a team with a

443
00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:23,000
Speaker 1: shaky old line and a below average quarterback. They are

444
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 1: well coached, they do have some talent at the scale positions,

445
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:28,040
Speaker 1: but it seems to me like a team that is

446
00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:30,840
Speaker 1: going to blow a lot of leads, maybe losing a

447
00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:34,000
Speaker 1: lot of close games. But I am not expecting them

448
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:39,480
Speaker 1: to get over seven wins alright. Last one Philadelphia Eagles

449
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,560
Speaker 1: six and a half over underth I bet this one

450
00:22:42,600 --> 00:22:45,399
Speaker 1: early on under. Uh, It's it's same thing. Chris was

451
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:47,679
Speaker 1: just saying that it's all about the quarterback position for me,

452
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:50,160
Speaker 1: and I'm just worried about what I've seen from Hurts.

453
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:52,679
Speaker 1: I know last year was kind of a toxic crazy

454
00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:55,920
Speaker 1: year Philadelphia where you know, he was dealing with Carson Wentz,

455
00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:57,480
Speaker 1: he was doing with a coach who apparently was on

456
00:22:57,520 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 1: the way out. It was just a lot going on there.

457
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:02,280
Speaker 1: But I just think all this Watson rumors have not

458
00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:04,240
Speaker 1: helped at all. I mean, a lot of stuff I've

459
00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:07,120
Speaker 1: read too is like from these Philadelphia beat writers, he's

460
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,440
Speaker 1: had some rough practices, which isn't a big deal, but

461
00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:12,720
Speaker 1: at the same time, it's um it's just when you're

462
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:14,360
Speaker 1: reading that he's not picked up the offense as quick

463
00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:16,439
Speaker 1: as they would hope a new offense he's learning it

464
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:18,919
Speaker 1: is a little words and so for me, this is

465
00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:21,160
Speaker 1: one of these things where the Eagles could be only

466
00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:23,120
Speaker 1: see the shock people. That's why again I bet Hurts

467
00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 1: at a hundred oh one, because he's just like Lamar.

468
00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:28,080
Speaker 1: This guy can run and he can pass. I mean,

469
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,240
Speaker 1: it's it's one of those things that NFL has really

470
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,280
Speaker 1: turned into that kind of leak. So he he does

471
00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:34,720
Speaker 1: have tremendous upside and in the famous red has turning

472
00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:37,879
Speaker 1: us upside So for me, M I am betting this under.

473
00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:39,840
Speaker 1: But it's not one of those where I'm you know,

474
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:42,640
Speaker 1: really putting out there anymore a big play, just because

475
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:45,800
Speaker 1: again they have the pieces on that team. That's that's

476
00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 1: in the old line. People are doubting this old line.

477
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:51,200
Speaker 1: They have a lot of guys back. We're really good veterans. Again,

478
00:23:51,280 --> 00:23:52,760
Speaker 1: if one of these guys go down, they're gonna be

479
00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:55,160
Speaker 1: in trouble. But as long as this old line is healthy,

480
00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 1: I mean, they are top five old line in the NFL.

481
00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 1: Eagles six and a half over under going under six

482
00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,080
Speaker 1: and a half for the Egos Jen Hurts fifty two

483
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:07,400
Speaker 1: percent completion rate last year. I think the upsided high,

484
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 1: but wind totals are a bet based on a median projection,

485
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 1: and I think the Eagles medium projection is under six

486
00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:17,000
Speaker 1: and a half wins. I'm worried about the skill positions.

487
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:19,640
Speaker 1: Davante Smith has missed some time. Urs may be traded,

488
00:24:19,800 --> 00:24:21,760
Speaker 1: and I think the old line will be decent. I

489
00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:23,960
Speaker 1: think the defense has some question marks as well, and

490
00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 1: let's not forget it's a new coaching staff, so I

491
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:28,440
Speaker 1: think there's gonna be some growing pains in year one

492
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:32,400
Speaker 1: for Philadelphia. All right, let me summarize for everybody. Eagles

493
00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:36,959
Speaker 1: under six and a half, Giants at seven or under seven.

494
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:41,399
Speaker 1: Definitely like Washington football team over eight. Simon left the

495
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys under nine. Raybond likes the Dallas Cowboys over

496
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 1: nine wins. Both of you and me like the value

497
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:51,560
Speaker 1: on the Washington football team to win the division at

498
00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 1: plus two thirties. Simon like the number better, so he

499
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:58,719
Speaker 1: doesn't recommend betting it now. Raybond still likes it either way.

500
00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:01,480
Speaker 1: If you think the Washington football team will lose to

501
00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:03,360
Speaker 1: the Charters in Week one, that might be a better

502
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:07,280
Speaker 1: shot to get better value of all the teams in

503
00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 1: the division to win the Super Bowl. Uh. Simon and

504
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:11,920
Speaker 1: I have already bet heavily on the Washington football team.

505
00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 1: Raybond likes that one as well. This has been the

506
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:21,360
Speaker 1: favorites from the Volume podcast Network. Download rate review from

507
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:24,119
Speaker 1: Apple podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts. We

508
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,159
Speaker 1: will see you again on Tuesday as we continue to

509
00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:29,840
Speaker 1: break down every division since the offseason, betting value for

510
00:25:29,920 --> 00:25:33,919
Speaker 1: every single team as we head towards NFL kickoff. Until

511
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:35,520
Speaker 1: next time, I love you,