1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:05,160 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:11,040 Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan. Without further adow. 3 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:13,080 Speaker 2: That's what the game's all about. 4 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:21,280 Speaker 3: Almost you feel like you can't miss, I'm gonna. 5 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: Up there could make if you try that again. Absolutely, 6 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:33,200 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. This is our very 7 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 1: special Christmas Day NBA Betting Edition. I'm Matt Moresenior NBA 8 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 1: writer for the Action Network. Joining me justin Fan, the Man, 9 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 1: the myth, the legend. Justin. How you doing. 10 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 3: I'm doing well. Excited to get into slate of games. 11 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 4: Nothing better than ignoring your family and betting on basketball 12 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 4: during the holidays. 13 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'm actually gonna be going to a game 14 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 1: for the first time. Denver's hosting a Christmas Day game 15 00:00:53,080 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 1: versus the Pelicans. Then no one's gonna watch, and I'll 16 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 1: be very excited to be one of the few people 17 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:59,360 Speaker 1: actually watching that game. Reminder, before we get started, the 18 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 1: Action Network Cast will be coming down your chimney with 19 00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 1: three more episodes this week, our NFL Fantasy Flex, the 20 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:07,759 Speaker 1: NFL Week seventeen betting Preview which I listened to every 21 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:11,839 Speaker 1: single week, and the College Football Bowl Preview Part three episodes. 22 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:14,320 Speaker 1: They'll all be out before Friday. They're gonna get caught 23 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:16,480 Speaker 1: up after the holiday, so be sure to keep listening 24 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,319 Speaker 1: and happy holidays from all of us here at Action Network. 25 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:21,080 Speaker 1: So let's go ahead and get started with this slate 26 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 1: for Christmas. You know, not as good as a slate 27 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 1: I think is maybe we would have hoped to start 28 00:01:25,560 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 1: the year. There's been injuries, there's been teams have obviously 29 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: kind of fallen off that aren't as good. The Zion 30 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 1: Williamson injury, I think is a big part of this. 31 00:01:32,959 --> 00:01:35,480 Speaker 1: This Curry injury is maybe an even bigger part of this. 32 00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:38,680 Speaker 1: Let's start with Celtics or Raptors. The Raptors are banged up. 33 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,039 Speaker 1: They've got a number of injuries on that team, but 34 00:01:41,080 --> 00:01:44,839 Speaker 1: they have covered the last two games without all those guys. 35 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:48,280 Speaker 1: Marcas Saul's out, Norman Pals out, Pascal Siakam's got a 36 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 1: growing injury, Stanley Johnson's got to grow in injury. Matt Thomas, 37 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 1: the legend of Alex Wong up there for Yahoo, is out. 38 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:58,559 Speaker 1: Marcus Smart's gonna be out in this game. Gordon Hayward 39 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 1: is probable. I just saw a t from Tim Bontam's 40 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: talking about how the quarter zone shot for him has 41 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:06,880 Speaker 1: worked and he's probably gonna play. You know, Visit Poitier 42 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:10,640 Speaker 1: is injured, he's out. Robert Williams is gonna hip, he's out. 43 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:14,000 Speaker 1: Taco Falls gonna be he's out. Two banged up squads. 44 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: This opened at Celtics minus two and a half. It's 45 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 1: now moved all the way to three. The Celtics are 46 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 1: three point favorites on the road the over the totals 47 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:24,799 Speaker 1: two thirteen currently as we're recording this after opening a 48 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 1: two thirteen and a half, justin what are your kind 49 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:27,799 Speaker 1: of thoughts on this one. 50 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:30,360 Speaker 4: Yeah, I've already bet the Celtics at two and a half. 51 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 4: And you look at this Raptors team without all those 52 00:02:32,680 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 4: guys Siakam, Marcus oltnarm Powell, they've really been an average 53 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 4: team in those three games since their fourteenth in offens efficiency, 54 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 4: sixteenth in defense. And you got Fred van vliet To 55 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 4: he's still not one hundred percent like he's been recovering 56 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 4: that knee injury. Three games since he's shot thirty three 57 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:49,799 Speaker 4: percent from the field, three for nineteen from three. So 58 00:02:50,240 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 4: they're really a banked up squad they're facing on Celtics 59 00:02:52,600 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 4: side that's getting Gordon Hayward back that's been really really 60 00:02:56,600 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 4: solid throughout the throughout the season. 61 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 3: Their their top six in all defense and defense. 62 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:04,600 Speaker 4: And this this Scraptors team, I mean, they were already 63 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 4: kind of thin before and their bench is just extremely problematic. 64 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:10,639 Speaker 4: I mean their bench right now is Ronnie Hollis Sheffer, 65 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 4: sin Terrence Davis, Chris Bousche, Malcolm Miller, and the corpse 66 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 4: of Stanley Johnson. So I mean they're also the Raptors 67 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 4: are also playing their third game in four days on Christmas, 68 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 4: and they're coming off an overtime game. So for me, 69 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 4: this is a spot where I'm pretty optimistic about the Celtics, 70 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:29,720 Speaker 4: just given the state of the Raptors, the injuries, and 71 00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 4: the schedule kind of going against them. 72 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna stay away on this one. I don't 73 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 1: like it. I don't like division games in which one 74 00:03:36,640 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 1: team has like got an injury advantage. It just seems 75 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:41,840 Speaker 1: like a setup for a letdown spot, even on Christmas. 76 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:44,920 Speaker 1: It's a road game. Stevens for his career is ten 77 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 1: and fourteen against the spread versus the Raptors. He's five 78 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: to four and one as a favorite. That's not big 79 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 1: enough differential for me to feel good about that, I 80 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:55,560 Speaker 1: want to wait and see, you know, what the actual 81 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 1: injury status has look like. Sometimes the Raptors are a 82 00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 1: little bit tricky with some of those guys. Fred van 83 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: Vliet's obviously a big deal, but Kyle Lowry's been carrying them. 84 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 1: They do have all the guys are really well coached 85 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 1: in the system. That makes me a little bit nervous. 86 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:12,160 Speaker 1: I understand leaning towards the Celtics. I kind of lean 87 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:14,720 Speaker 1: a little bit in that direction based off of the 88 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:18,800 Speaker 1: Celtics are seventh in jump shot field goal percentage off 89 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 1: of the dribble. The reason I like that number is 90 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:23,280 Speaker 1: if you're gonna face a team on the road, you 91 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:25,080 Speaker 1: want to be able to hit shots. And I think 92 00:04:25,320 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 1: a team that's more consistent in that area, like Boston 93 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:29,840 Speaker 1: is like Boston's a jump shooting team, and so I 94 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 1: feel a little bit more confident about that. I still 95 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 1: don't really understand how the Celtics are this good defensively. 96 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 1: It doesn't make any sense whatsoever. But like you mentioned, 97 00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:39,320 Speaker 1: with all the injuries, it's likely they're going to be 98 00:04:39,320 --> 00:04:40,840 Speaker 1: able to go ahead and hold it down. I mean, 99 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 1: you know, they should be able to there's no real 100 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:46,080 Speaker 1: disadvantage there because it's not like a Saul is any 101 00:04:46,080 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: sort of like big scoring punch anyway, So it doesn't 102 00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:51,120 Speaker 1: take anything off that he's not there. But the Celtics 103 00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:53,280 Speaker 1: the Raptors just also don't have any sort of interior 104 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 1: scoring weapons really, so I lean towards staying away. I 105 00:04:57,400 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 1: do kind of like the over at two thirteen and 106 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 1: a half. I just feel like there's a good chance 107 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,559 Speaker 1: that this one because that numbers. That's the lowest total 108 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 1: on the board for Christmas. And while I get that 109 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 1: they're injured, I think when guys are injured, they're more 110 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 1: likely to play. When they're down, guys are more likely 111 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 1: to play up tempo, try and get the offense going. 112 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:16,200 Speaker 1: I think defense is actually what suffers there. So I 113 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:17,680 Speaker 1: kind of like the over in that spot. 114 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:21,919 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think with that Siakam, especially the Raptors defense 115 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 4: comes out more vulnerable. So I think I agree with 116 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 4: you on that on that call. 117 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:27,920 Speaker 1: All right, Bucks sixers, which is the sneaky good game 118 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:31,280 Speaker 1: of the day the Eastern Conference title favorites. Obviously, this 119 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: open is Bucks minus two and a half. It's still 120 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:35,640 Speaker 1: Bucks two and a half. It did open if at 121 00:05:35,680 --> 00:05:39,080 Speaker 1: Fandel and DraftKings as Sixers minus one, which was just laughable, 122 00:05:39,160 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 1: Like I just I was really. I will say though, 123 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:43,360 Speaker 1: like if we factor in home court, depending on how 124 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:45,279 Speaker 1: many points do you want to switch around for home court, 125 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:47,279 Speaker 1: that means that the Bucks would be favored by a 126 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:50,040 Speaker 1: pretty healthy amount in Milwaukee, and I get how good 127 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:52,239 Speaker 1: they are, but then I'm like, that's probably too much. 128 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 1: This is a hard game. I think the cap like 129 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,360 Speaker 1: just to try and figure out. The Sixers are inconsistent 130 00:05:57,400 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 1: and they're not as good as Milwaukee, but they are 131 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:01,919 Speaker 1: home where they've been great. And the Sixers do have 132 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 1: the talent to go out there, like we've seen them 133 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:06,120 Speaker 1: in some impressive victories and we've seen them just lay 134 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 1: complete eggs. Total here is two twenty one. I like 135 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:12,839 Speaker 1: Milwaukee just based off of look they went two and 136 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:15,640 Speaker 1: one versus them last year in the regular season meeting. 137 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:18,480 Speaker 1: I don't think Horford helps them all in this matchup 138 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:22,040 Speaker 1: because Horford's not good and drop coverage. The Sixers don't 139 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:24,479 Speaker 1: bomb threes, and those are the teams that I worry 140 00:06:24,520 --> 00:06:26,520 Speaker 1: about versus Milwaukee, the teams that are going to be 141 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:29,600 Speaker 1: able to hit all the threes that Milwaukee gives up. 142 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 1: The Sixers are a low three point rate team comparatively speaking, 143 00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 1: So I like Milwaukee here and I like the under. 144 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: I don't have a lot of faith a Milwaukee, even 145 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 1: at a high pace. Philly's good enough. I think to 146 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:44,720 Speaker 1: keep the number below, you know, anything out landish. I 147 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 1: think Milwaukee's defense will be able to handle things like 148 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:48,920 Speaker 1: the Bucks one points in the paint and all three 149 00:06:48,920 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 1: matchups last season. So I lean towards Bucks here and 150 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 1: the under. 151 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 3: What do you think? Yeah? 152 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:57,840 Speaker 4: I already garbed the Bucks myself, and you mentioned a 153 00:06:57,839 --> 00:07:00,119 Speaker 4: lot of the match up things I like in the spot. 154 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:02,360 Speaker 4: Bucks defense are priorities to pack the pain and protect 155 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:04,600 Speaker 4: the rim. I lle the league and not only defending 156 00:07:04,600 --> 00:07:07,320 Speaker 4: their restrict area but preventing shots there. And the Sixers 157 00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 4: just lost their best three point shooter this season in 158 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 4: Mattie's Stible, So the starting unit has been really rough 159 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:15,320 Speaker 4: in terms of three point shooting. Their best three point 160 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 4: shooters this season have been off their fense, like James 161 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 4: Ennis helding that's out. 162 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:19,880 Speaker 3: They've kind of overperformed. 163 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 4: But the three point shooting remains a pretty big concern 164 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:26,120 Speaker 4: in this spot against this Bucks team that really forces 165 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:29,160 Speaker 4: you and funnels shot attempts in that direction, and I 166 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 4: can already see the Sixers offense really struggling, installing a 167 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 4: crunch time. I mean, I can see playing out already 168 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 4: when the Bucks start sagging off. 169 00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 3: Ben Simmons at the half. 170 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 4: Court forced him to beat them, and he's really tentative. 171 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 4: He's forcing things, turnovers come, and for me, the Sixers 172 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:47,400 Speaker 4: offense just remains a pretty big concern the way they've looked. 173 00:07:47,400 --> 00:07:48,880 Speaker 3: They've lost three straight. 174 00:07:48,720 --> 00:07:52,120 Speaker 4: Earlier, you know, last week because Brat Brown couldn't solve 175 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 4: his own defense, and now they're facing the best defense 176 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:55,080 Speaker 4: in the league. 177 00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:58,040 Speaker 3: So I'm pretty optimistic on the Bucks here. 178 00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 4: I like them quite a bit, and they've been they've been. 179 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:05,560 Speaker 4: You know, they've shown consistently they're able to control the paint. 180 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 4: And if you sort of neutralize goal and make Ben 181 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 4: Simmons and their preimeter players beat you, then you're just 182 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 4: in really good shape. 183 00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:16,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna go here. I'm gonna grab the Bucks 184 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,320 Speaker 1: as soon as we go off this call, because sixty 185 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:20,760 Speaker 1: one percent of the tickets are on the Bucks, but 186 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:22,720 Speaker 1: seventy six percent of the money, so the sharps are 187 00:08:22,720 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 1: already coming in on Milwaukee They're also coming in on Boston. 188 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 1: By the way, they're like on the road teams and 189 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:28,680 Speaker 1: a lot of these matchups Bloodsoe. I don't think it 190 00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:30,640 Speaker 1: hurts them as much in this one just because of 191 00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:34,880 Speaker 1: Bloodsoe has had really inconsistent games versus the Sixers. He 192 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:38,480 Speaker 1: just hasn't really shown and shown out the bench you mentioned. 193 00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:40,959 Speaker 1: I feel pretty confident Milwaukee's gonna do that. That's my 194 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:43,960 Speaker 1: only concern really with the over is I'm worried about 195 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:47,760 Speaker 1: the bench put it like de Vincenzo just going nuts 196 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 1: and putting up a big number. That's my concern for 197 00:08:51,280 --> 00:08:54,680 Speaker 1: the over. Let's talk Rockets Warriors. I hate this game. 198 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:59,120 Speaker 1: This game sucks. This game shit. It's unfortunate the Curry's 199 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,520 Speaker 1: not playing because there's no real reason to watch it, 200 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:05,559 Speaker 1: and it sucks. The Rockets are eleven point favorites. The 201 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 1: over under is two twenty six and a half. That's 202 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:09,720 Speaker 1: down from two twenty seven at open. The Rockets are 203 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:11,800 Speaker 1: already up a full point, and that's with not a 204 00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 1: lot of bets coming in and open at ten, it's 205 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 1: already eleven. Seventy percent of the tickets are on Houston. 206 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 1: Ninety six percent of the money. I don't have a 207 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:23,520 Speaker 1: real strong feel either way here. Golden State's been good 208 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:27,199 Speaker 1: against the spread. Recently, they've been they've been pesky. Houston 209 00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:29,679 Speaker 1: seems to always every time the things are going well, 210 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:31,480 Speaker 1: and they've been going well for Houston, they seem to 211 00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:34,439 Speaker 1: kind of face plant and hurt themselves. I don't want 212 00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:38,480 Speaker 1: to trust Houston laying double digits on the road at 213 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 1: Chase Center. I don't want to trust whatever's left of 214 00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:43,520 Speaker 1: Golden State. If I had to take a lean, I'm 215 00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 1: probably taking the Rockets. I'm probably taking the Rockets in 216 00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:50,880 Speaker 1: the over. But I just genuinely like loathe this matchup 217 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:52,560 Speaker 1: and don't want to bet it or watch it. 218 00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:55,439 Speaker 3: Your thoughts I could not agree more. This is the 219 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:57,439 Speaker 3: game I'm probably gonna stay away from completely. 220 00:09:57,559 --> 00:09:59,360 Speaker 4: I think if there's a side I'm going to come 221 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 4: in on, it's the and I probably want to discount 222 00:10:01,920 --> 00:10:04,080 Speaker 4: and take the first half. I don't trust the full game. 223 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 4: I think the like you mentioned the Warriors, a little 224 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:08,120 Speaker 4: pest game. They might make it a game. They might 225 00:10:08,200 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 4: back door cover late. You know, the Rockets have been 226 00:10:12,440 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 4: known to blow some leads. I've hit us at firsthand. 227 00:10:15,679 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 4: So yeah, this is a game I don't really have 228 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:21,000 Speaker 4: too big a lean on. I mean, the Rockets have 229 00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 4: been playing really really well lately though, so I mean 230 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 4: they're arguably playing their best basketball this season. That the 231 00:10:26,920 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 4: Clippers comeback was extremely impressive, and Russ has been you know, 232 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:34,160 Speaker 4: his efficiency, shooting efficiency has been much better as of late. 233 00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:36,320 Speaker 4: And you know, Russ and Harden together, I just don't 234 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 4: see how this twenty third ranked Warriors defense has any 235 00:10:39,640 --> 00:10:40,559 Speaker 4: shot out defending them. 236 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 1: Let's go to the actual good game on the slate 237 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 1: Clippers and Lakers. Fascinating line movement here, Like while we're talking, 238 00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:49,200 Speaker 1: this thing is the blanket on my screen over at 239 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:51,679 Speaker 1: Sports Insights, which you can find if you subscribe to 240 00:10:51,720 --> 00:10:54,880 Speaker 1: the Action Network Valley of products. I'll call it the 241 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 1: over unders two twenty three. This open with Clippers minus 242 00:10:57,920 --> 00:11:01,640 Speaker 1: one and a half. It's already moved to Lakers minus 243 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 1: two and a half. Apparently the words out the Lebron's 244 00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:05,680 Speaker 1: gonna play, an ad is going to be in this one. 245 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:09,200 Speaker 1: I can't imagine with either of them out, the Clippers 246 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:10,079 Speaker 1: wouldn't be favored. 247 00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:13,440 Speaker 4: That's been confirmed by Woes yet that they're expected to play. 248 00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 3: So that's that triggered all that line movement. 249 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:18,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, so I was. I apologize. I was playing slapjack 250 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:20,960 Speaker 1: with my kids while Wolves was dropping bombs the over 251 00:11:21,040 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 1: Runners two twenty three. Here, I think, especially if you're 252 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 1: getting the Clippers as dogs, I like the Clippers in 253 00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:29,400 Speaker 1: the spot, I don't have a lot of confidence in 254 00:11:29,960 --> 00:11:31,839 Speaker 1: like the Lakers have to prove. I bet the Lakers 255 00:11:31,880 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: in the first matchup and they posted up Anthony Davis 256 00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:36,839 Speaker 1: sixteen times. But really my issue here is mostly it's 257 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:39,000 Speaker 1: the math problem. The Clippers don't take a high amount 258 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 1: of threes, but they take enough. They take enough threes, 259 00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:44,680 Speaker 1: and the Lakers take so few that they're always trying 260 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:47,480 Speaker 1: to do all of this, like they're trying to catch 261 00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:52,160 Speaker 1: up ground mathematically, trading threes for two's and department where 262 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:56,840 Speaker 1: that really kind of winds up impacting things. I feel like, 263 00:11:58,360 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 1: here's a staff album with the Bette the Unders five 264 00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:04,760 Speaker 1: and two this season when the Lakers face teams with 265 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 1: the defensive rating below one O two and a half 266 00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:09,839 Speaker 1: in our system, and the Clippers qualify under that and 267 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:13,320 Speaker 1: our bet lab system, so like, uh, it's a home 268 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:16,320 Speaker 1: game for the for both teams, right, there's no like 269 00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:21,079 Speaker 1: real disadvantage there will travel the Lakers had such a 270 00:12:21,120 --> 00:12:24,199 Speaker 1: bad game plan in the first matchup, I can't imagine 271 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:26,800 Speaker 1: they're going to post ad that much. But as much 272 00:12:26,800 --> 00:12:29,839 Speaker 1: as I don't necessarily think highly of the Clippers rim 273 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:33,920 Speaker 1: protectors in Montrez, Harrol and Zubach, the numbers continue to 274 00:12:33,920 --> 00:12:35,719 Speaker 1: say that they're very good. Now they give up some 275 00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:38,040 Speaker 1: stuff on cuts, the Lakers are going to get cut points. 276 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:40,679 Speaker 1: Javal's going to duck in on some stuff and score 277 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:43,120 Speaker 1: some buckets there. But what the Clippers really give up 278 00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 1: with their drop schemes. They give up jumpers off of 279 00:12:45,240 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 1: the pick and roll. And that's not what Lebron wants 280 00:12:47,200 --> 00:12:49,520 Speaker 1: to do. Now he can get ahead of steam, get 281 00:12:49,520 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 1: into the rim and draw fouls on Zubach and Harrol 282 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:53,760 Speaker 1: and cause problems. But you can survive a big day 283 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:55,800 Speaker 1: with Lebron going to the rim. It takes some of 284 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:58,480 Speaker 1: his energy away, et cetera. I think my favorite bet 285 00:12:58,520 --> 00:13:00,640 Speaker 1: here though, is probably the Lakers or the probably the 286 00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:05,560 Speaker 1: under I just I feel like the Lakers have the 287 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:07,320 Speaker 1: link to disrupt what the Clippers want to do on 288 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:09,440 Speaker 1: the perimeter, even though like Kawhi is going to do 289 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:11,240 Speaker 1: his thing, Paul George is going to do his thing. 290 00:13:11,840 --> 00:13:13,839 Speaker 1: But I don't feel like I'm not worried about the 291 00:13:13,880 --> 00:13:16,120 Speaker 1: overhitting if those guys are having to score one hundred 292 00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:18,920 Speaker 1: points combined, right Like, I just feel like anytime it's 293 00:13:18,920 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 1: like those guys can do whatever, okay, but you're gonna 294 00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:23,720 Speaker 1: have issues getting the whole team going. I feel that 295 00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 1: the Lakers interior defense will be good enough to kind 296 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:29,199 Speaker 1: of contain Mantrez Harrell on the roll. And meanwhile, the 297 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:33,319 Speaker 1: Lakers offense when it's when it struggles, it really struggles. 298 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:35,800 Speaker 1: And the Clippers have the link to disrupt things and 299 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:38,560 Speaker 1: can make some plays inside and force some turnovers. So 300 00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:40,720 Speaker 1: I like the under here, I think the best. Do 301 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 1: you have feelings or Leans on this game? 302 00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:45,120 Speaker 4: I agree with you on the under and your your 303 00:13:45,160 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 4: analysis pretty spot on. And I kind of worry that 304 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:50,920 Speaker 4: Lebron and Brow aren't exactly a full one hundred percent either. 305 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:53,600 Speaker 4: That kind of affects their their offense obviously as well. 306 00:13:53,679 --> 00:13:56,319 Speaker 4: So I actually bought the Clippers ready on the buyback. 307 00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 4: I was kind of waiting for the market to overreact 308 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 4: a little bit to the on an eighty expected to 309 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:03,800 Speaker 4: play news, and it did. It moved obviously four points, 310 00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:06,840 Speaker 4: and I think that's just way too much, given I 311 00:14:06,840 --> 00:14:09,840 Speaker 4: already kind of expected those guys to play, and I'd 312 00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:12,840 Speaker 4: never really thought there was really any real risk of 313 00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:14,480 Speaker 4: either city in asthmis. 314 00:14:14,640 --> 00:14:17,079 Speaker 3: So yeah, I like. 315 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 4: The buyback on that if you can get the Clippers 316 00:14:19,640 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 4: that plus two and a half. 317 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:23,440 Speaker 3: For me, the most important. 318 00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:25,240 Speaker 4: Thing, one of the most important things I'm looking at 319 00:14:25,240 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 4: this game is how their role Doc Rivers is going 320 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:29,800 Speaker 4: to be with Kawhi's minutes limit. 321 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 3: If Kawhi can go thirty five minutes in this one. 322 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,520 Speaker 4: I really like the Clippers because they've just been a 323 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:40,080 Speaker 4: dramatically better team with him on the court. There are 324 00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:42,600 Speaker 4: thirteen point seven points for one hundred possessions worse when 325 00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:44,960 Speaker 4: he's on the bench. One of the biggest disparities that 326 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:46,720 Speaker 4: we've seen when Kawhi's been on the bench is their 327 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:49,520 Speaker 4: defensive rebounding. It drops from the league's best mark when 328 00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:51,320 Speaker 4: he's on the court to the league's worst mark when 329 00:14:51,320 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 4: he's off the floor. And when you kind of look 330 00:14:53,440 --> 00:14:56,400 Speaker 4: at his substitution pattern when he comes out, it's usually 331 00:14:56,760 --> 00:14:58,040 Speaker 4: midway through the first quarter. 332 00:14:58,160 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 3: He'll come back at midway through the second qu order. 333 00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:04,320 Speaker 4: The Laker SECTE unit doesn't really punish teams on the 334 00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 4: offensive glass, and given that's been the kind of the Clippers' 335 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:11,160 Speaker 4: biggest issue when Kawai has been on the floor, it 336 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:14,440 Speaker 4: makes me like the Clippers even more so. I'm on 337 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:17,360 Speaker 4: the Clippers in this one in the buyback, and I 338 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 4: like lee under. 339 00:15:18,560 --> 00:15:20,240 Speaker 1: Last game of the slate, I'll be at this one. 340 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:23,680 Speaker 1: The Pelicans are on the road versus the Nuggets. Pelican 341 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:26,720 Speaker 1: has been a little frisky lately. The Nuggets are nine 342 00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:28,800 Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. It'll open it ten. It's 343 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:31,680 Speaker 1: down to nine and a half, signaling some sort of 344 00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:35,160 Speaker 1: sharp movement there, but I would expect this to probably 345 00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:38,000 Speaker 1: go tick back up. I think eventually there will be 346 00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:39,800 Speaker 1: some money put on the Nuggets that pushes it back 347 00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:42,280 Speaker 1: up to double digits, even a nine and a half, 348 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 1: though you're getting approximate value the over unders two nineteen 349 00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 1: and a half. I like the over I think in 350 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:49,200 Speaker 1: this one. I think the Nuggets offense has kind of 351 00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 1: been going a little bit more lately, and with the 352 00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:57,040 Speaker 1: Pelicans having just the worst perimeter contain of any team 353 00:15:57,080 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 1: in the league, I feel like there's a good opportunity 354 00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:02,280 Speaker 1: to get in on when the over under is like 355 00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 1: it's below two twenty. It's two nineteen and a half, 356 00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:06,680 Speaker 1: so I'm able to get basically the idea of like, 357 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:09,280 Speaker 1: I think the Nuggets could wind up dropping one twenty five, 358 00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:11,920 Speaker 1: one twenty eight in this game, and so then it 359 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:14,600 Speaker 1: doesn't really matter what the Pelicans do because at their pace, 360 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:16,800 Speaker 1: they're probably gonna score over one hundred anyway. So I 361 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 1: feel pretty good about the over on this one, more 362 00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 1: than the than the spread. The under is ten and 363 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:23,920 Speaker 1: six and Nuggets home games this season, but that was 364 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:26,600 Speaker 1: in large part thanks to the Nuggets offense early in 365 00:16:26,640 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 1: the season. The Pelicans are bottom five and points allowed 366 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:33,000 Speaker 1: off of turnovers, and the over on those teams on 367 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 1: the road this season has gone forty thirty five and 368 00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:37,200 Speaker 1: one via bet Labs, So I checked that stat out. 369 00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:40,160 Speaker 1: Here's the other one. Denver's eight six, eight and six 370 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:42,560 Speaker 1: against the spread at home the last two seasons versus 371 00:16:42,560 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 1: teams with a forty percent win rate or under, so 372 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:48,840 Speaker 1: not stellar. They already lost the Pelicans once this season. 373 00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:51,200 Speaker 1: I don't I think they win this game, Like, I 374 00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:52,640 Speaker 1: love them. If you're gonna if you want to do 375 00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:54,400 Speaker 1: a parlay on a bunch of these teams, I love 376 00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:56,760 Speaker 1: the Nuggets in the spot to win, but I was 377 00:16:56,800 --> 00:16:59,680 Speaker 1: also I'm also scarred because I took them minus nine 378 00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 1: and a half versus the Wolves the other night, and 379 00:17:02,040 --> 00:17:05,480 Speaker 1: Jalen Noel, who I had to learn about the other night, 380 00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:08,479 Speaker 1: back door covered me with a score at twenty two 381 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,840 Speaker 1: seconds remaining and ruined what would have been a four 382 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,200 Speaker 1: and one evening for me. So I was pretty annoyed. There. 383 00:17:15,359 --> 00:17:18,760 Speaker 1: They're ten and six at home versus teams against the spread, 384 00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:21,680 Speaker 1: with teams with a one to ten defensive rating or worse. 385 00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:25,400 Speaker 1: So there are signals here that the Nuggets should handle this, 386 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:28,000 Speaker 1: but with the Pelicans playing like a little bit better, 387 00:17:28,359 --> 00:17:30,439 Speaker 1: I think Oka four matches I did. I look at 388 00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 1: some of the numbers. OKA four matches up pretty well 389 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:36,160 Speaker 1: with Yokis. Jokich hasn't scored over twenty points versus OKA 390 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 1: four in their four meetings. He's a big body that 391 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:42,920 Speaker 1: just kind of will slug with him. Think I think 392 00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 1: the Nuggets win, but I don't feel great. I think 393 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:48,000 Speaker 1: they'll get up for this game, but I do worry 394 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:49,680 Speaker 1: about a backdoor cover here, so I'm going to stay 395 00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:52,159 Speaker 1: away from the spread. I like the over quite a 396 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:52,479 Speaker 1: bit there. 397 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:55,280 Speaker 4: Who do you think the Pelicans Jla Noel is the 398 00:17:55,320 --> 00:17:57,200 Speaker 4: back door cover this game? 399 00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:00,640 Speaker 1: Oh god, no, it's Lonzo ball. That's what it'll be. 400 00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:02,760 Speaker 1: Because of my history with Lonzo and how much I've 401 00:18:02,760 --> 00:18:05,239 Speaker 1: pointed out how much a defensive rating is terrible and 402 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 1: how bad he is. 403 00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:10,040 Speaker 3: He's gonna pull up from thirty and drena three. That's 404 00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:11,360 Speaker 3: a back door cover. I can't wait. 405 00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:13,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's what it'll be. It'll be a pull 406 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:17,040 Speaker 1: up three pointer. Alonzo ball in transition is Lakers fans 407 00:18:17,040 --> 00:18:21,440 Speaker 1: sweet Lonzo as the Lakers as they're down by by 408 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 1: by eleven before he shoots that and they just cover. 409 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:25,600 Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm gonna stay away from that one. It 410 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:27,359 Speaker 1: really sucks the Zion's one in this game. It'd be 411 00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:29,960 Speaker 1: a really fascinating matchup of so. But yeah, I just 412 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 1: don't want to spread. That's too high, And I do 413 00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:34,080 Speaker 1: like the over do you have Aleen here? 414 00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:37,880 Speaker 4: I kind of was looking at the under initially, probably 415 00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:40,720 Speaker 4: stay away from it overall. Coming into the season, this 416 00:18:40,840 --> 00:18:43,480 Speaker 4: Pelicans team, we were talking about them maybe challenging for 417 00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:46,840 Speaker 4: the league record and pace. Obviously that went to hell 418 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:51,399 Speaker 4: with when Zion got injured. But they've they've slowed down, 419 00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 4: like recently their eighteenth and pace over the last five, 420 00:18:54,600 --> 00:18:56,880 Speaker 4: ninth ninth and pace over the last ten, and their 421 00:18:56,920 --> 00:18:58,360 Speaker 4: defense has improved quite a bit. 422 00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 3: I mean, their fourth and defensive ratio of the last 423 00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:01,040 Speaker 3: five games. 424 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:04,679 Speaker 4: There aren't like a huge, huge defensive seave anymore like 425 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:06,840 Speaker 4: they were kind of in the early stretch of the season. 426 00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:09,840 Speaker 4: So I've been encouraged kind of by how I've you know, 427 00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:13,400 Speaker 4: how the Pelicans have looked lately, playing slower, playing better defense, 428 00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:16,399 Speaker 4: and this Nuggets pace, this Nuggets team is still dead 429 00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 4: lasting pace on the season. So you're right, You're totally 430 00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:23,000 Speaker 4: right that the Nuggets offense has looked a lot better lately. 431 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:25,879 Speaker 4: They've been just dominant on the offensive glass, which has 432 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,160 Speaker 4: led to a lot of their success. But to be fair, 433 00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:30,880 Speaker 4: like two last three games they played a Wolves team 434 00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:33,240 Speaker 4: with a cap, a Lakers team without Lebron, So I 435 00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:35,520 Speaker 4: don't know how much really to to put into that, 436 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,800 Speaker 4: uh you know, those games in that sample. So it's 437 00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,040 Speaker 4: probably a stayaway for me, a stay away game for 438 00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 4: me for from both ends of this, you know. 439 00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:46,639 Speaker 3: But I'm I'm rooting for that back to recover. I 440 00:19:46,760 --> 00:19:48,760 Speaker 3: just it's it's coming. I can feel it. 441 00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:51,200 Speaker 1: Are there three teams that you would want to take. 442 00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:54,360 Speaker 1: I know this is not your jam. I'm doing this basically. 443 00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 1: I'm curbing this from Raybaon and Stucky on their podcast 444 00:19:57,600 --> 00:19:59,679 Speaker 1: on the NFL Pod. If we're gonna put together a 445 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:01,840 Speaker 1: three team parlay for tomorrow, what would you want to 446 00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:04,680 Speaker 1: do just with money lines? Just with the money lines. 447 00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:08,960 Speaker 3: I mean, Rockets, Nuggets, and Bucks. 448 00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:11,440 Speaker 1: Not bad. I like that Rockets, Nuggets and Bucks and 449 00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:15,640 Speaker 1: it seems solid. Stay away from Celtics, Raptors, and d Clippers, Lakers. 450 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:17,400 Speaker 1: I like that. That's a that's pretty good. 451 00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:19,920 Speaker 4: On the On the spot, that's obviously pretty chalky because 452 00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:21,399 Speaker 4: those are like the three biggest spreads. 453 00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:24,680 Speaker 3: But I do feel pretty good about the Bucks. 454 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:27,000 Speaker 4: In their spot, better than I do about the Celtics, 455 00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:29,080 Speaker 4: and better than I do about the Clippers or the Lakers. 456 00:20:29,320 --> 00:20:30,960 Speaker 1: All right, let's got to wrap it up for this addition, 457 00:20:31,080 --> 00:20:32,960 Speaker 1: for the Christmas episode, you can check out all of 458 00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 1: our content at Action Network. We've got a bunch of 459 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:37,400 Speaker 1: stuff up. Will wrote a bunch of stuff. I wrote 460 00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:39,200 Speaker 1: about the Bucks and how they're the best team going 461 00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:41,840 Speaker 1: into Christmas, and how the Clippers and Lakers we shouldn't 462 00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,440 Speaker 1: crown the ass yet we've got betting guys on all 463 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:48,119 Speaker 1: five games with all this detailed info and more. A reminder, 464 00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,120 Speaker 1: the podcast will be coming down your chimney with three 465 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 1: more episodes this week, the NFL Fantasy Flex, the Week 466 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:55,520 Speaker 1: seventeen betting Preview for the NFL, and the College Football 467 00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:58,000 Speaker 1: Bowl Preview Part three. Make sure to check out all 468 00:20:58,080 --> 00:21:00,320 Speaker 1: those in your feed. Thanks for subscribing, make sure to 469 00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:03,000 Speaker 1: rate review, leave us five star reviews, and we will 470 00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:05,399 Speaker 1: be back after football season with more episodes from the 471 00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:08,920 Speaker 1: NBA section on this The Action Network podcast. 472 00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:16,919 Speaker 5: The Flame that weekendle hasn't twind a little. It just 473 00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,920 Speaker 5: keeps burning, burning, burning. 474 00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:26,320 Speaker 2: It won't cool on. Your smile is a gold that 475 00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:30,760 Speaker 2: leads it. Your kiss is a cold that feeds it 476 00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:32,960 Speaker 2: and keeps. 477 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:34,400 Speaker 5: Me yearning, yearning. 478 00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:38,879 Speaker 1: It won't Coola