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Welcome 24 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 1: to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 25 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:35,920 Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. 26 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 1: I am joined as always by my bff, my companion, 27 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: Mike and Padre professional Better Simon Hunter. We gotta go, man, 28 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 1: we gotta freaking go. No smooth talk right, just right 29 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: into football. We'll go right on in. We're not gonna 30 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 1: dilly dally here. I want to frame the premise of 31 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 1: this show, which is essentially you and I who love football, 32 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 1: love betting on football, love talking to betting on football, 33 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 1: taking a smorgas board of everything we've talked about for 34 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 1: the past couple of months as the summer was ramping 35 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 1: up into the season, and just gathering our favorite topics 36 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:19,360 Speaker 1: and our favorite bets and throwing them out there. So 37 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: here's something that you've kind of convinced me on. And 38 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 1: you know, I got a lot of jobs, right, I'm 39 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:30,800 Speaker 1: really important. I gotta executive eyes all the time, and 40 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 1: I gotta built strategies. I gotta hire people, and I 41 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:39,080 Speaker 1: gotta fight battles and put out fires, but I also 42 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:42,799 Speaker 1: find time to do my research. And you've really had 43 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: me come around on the Jags. Well half our listeners 44 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:52,519 Speaker 1: just stop listening. Yeah right, But I look at the 45 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 1: a f C South, and you know how what I 46 00:02:55,800 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 1: think of the South divisions in football don't matter, doesn't 47 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:09,639 Speaker 1: leave their very small provincial region. But the Jazz are interesting. 48 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:14,800 Speaker 1: And to me, it comes down to two things. The 49 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 1: Doug Peterson Frank Reich mythology and I want to lay 50 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: it out for you. Doug Peterson went a super Bowl 51 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 1: with the Eagles. He creates an offense that is ahead 52 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 1: of the curve in terms of thinking analytically, going for 53 00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 1: it with the Super Bowl with the backup quarterback in 54 00:03:34,920 --> 00:03:37,920 Speaker 1: Nuke Falls, Frank Reich was the quarterback coach. He leaves 55 00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 1: goes to Indie. Has had some success. I think more 56 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:47,240 Speaker 1: credit than he deserves, given he hasn't won the division 57 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:50,920 Speaker 1: and has tended to have his teams lose important games 58 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:55,800 Speaker 1: when it matters the most. He banked on Carson Wentz 59 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 1: last year. Everyone believed he was a genius who could 60 00:03:58,240 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 1: turn them around. I think the genius is Peterson and 61 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: I think he's got a generational talent and Trevor Lawrence 62 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 1: and I think this division is right for the taking. 63 00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 1: Jack's plus eight hunter to win the division. Now. Shout 64 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 1: out to our loyal fans, who when I say crazy things, 65 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 1: they don't question it. They just bet it. And they 66 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 1: were able to get the Jaguars at twelve to one 67 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:23,960 Speaker 1: to win this division when we gave it out so 68 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 1: to meet chats, exactly what you talked about. We were 69 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 1: just ahead of it in the sense that we looked 70 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:31,040 Speaker 1: at the landscape, we saw who is the most doubted 71 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:34,479 Speaker 1: team right now football because of last year's performance, and 72 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 1: it's I mean, the Jags just stuck out. We knew 73 00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 1: all they had, all this talent. We just knew it 74 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:40,760 Speaker 1: was the coach, right we all we knew how long 75 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:43,160 Speaker 1: it was Urban Meyer. I mean we I can't tell 76 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 1: you how much money I lost. Chris ray Burn every 77 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:47,920 Speaker 1: week was laughing and say you don't bet on this man, 78 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 1: Do not stop betting on him. I just couldn't do 79 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:51,840 Speaker 1: it because I just kept looking at Jaguars seven saying 80 00:04:52,160 --> 00:04:54,400 Speaker 1: they have the talent at least now have the coaching. 81 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:56,919 Speaker 1: So now that's Ward this season, and I feel like 82 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 1: you nailed it. Chat. It's we're being on We're betting 83 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: on Doug. We're also betting on Trevor Lawrence. It was 84 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:05,039 Speaker 1: the number one pick. Who I mean, coming out, this 85 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:07,120 Speaker 1: guy was getting by people who know what they're talking 86 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 1: about that can scout talent, compared to Andrew Luck the 87 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:11,719 Speaker 1: John Elway kind of thing where it's like, this is 88 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:14,640 Speaker 1: a can't miss prospect. We saw what happened last year, 89 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:17,159 Speaker 1: Joe bro You took that year two step as the 90 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:20,200 Speaker 1: first pick, and again we were getting really good odds. 91 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:22,600 Speaker 1: Were betting now on the Jaguars, and I feel like 92 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 1: you just touched on it. Though it's still pretty good odds. 93 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:27,040 Speaker 1: It's still moving though, because I feel like the public 94 00:05:27,080 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 1: is joining us now. They're kind of coming around again. 95 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 1: This is a part of the I view have just 96 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:35,039 Speaker 1: the division you just talked about, like we all have 97 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,160 Speaker 1: these question marks with this Colts team, with this Titans team, 98 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 1: I mean, Houston, no one even wants to talk about them. 99 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: So to me, it's just funny we're in your division 100 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:45,159 Speaker 1: that you know, coming to the year, I still think 101 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:48,080 Speaker 1: Houston has the best value technically in this division. Just 102 00:05:48,120 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 1: because they're not gonna be as terrible as people think, 103 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: but realistically a team that could actually make a good 104 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:57,159 Speaker 1: run in this division and make a playoff birth and 105 00:05:57,200 --> 00:05:59,800 Speaker 1: win a playoff game. It's the Jaguars. It's always been 106 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:02,479 Speaker 1: to me, So I love that you've come around. Uh 107 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:04,760 Speaker 1: it hurts. That's a little late. You know, it's late 108 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:08,720 Speaker 1: August year, early September, but you know it's better late 109 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:10,600 Speaker 1: than ever. So it's gonna be fun this season going 110 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:12,599 Speaker 1: into where people are gonna be like, well, how are 111 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 1: we when are you going to get the Jaguars. With 112 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 1: the Jaguars your favorite team, once the season starts, it's over, 113 00:06:17,279 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 1: like done the future talks. But right now mean Chad 114 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,920 Speaker 1: projecting out, I still love this Jaguars team. I love 115 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:26,360 Speaker 1: the Value Division, super Bowl, all of it. Again, it's 116 00:06:26,360 --> 00:06:28,560 Speaker 1: all about taking positions that we can hedge later on. 117 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 1: So to me, yeah, one of the no brainers I 118 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:33,160 Speaker 1: love you started with the Jaguars. It's it's an easy 119 00:06:33,200 --> 00:06:37,320 Speaker 1: bet for me, just because again, second year quarterback, new coach, 120 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:40,600 Speaker 1: tons of talent all around him. It's it's a big 121 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 1: year for this offense. I'm interested to see how they're 122 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:44,919 Speaker 1: gonna start out this year just because like he has 123 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 1: nailed a chet. It's it's a lot on Doug Peterson 124 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 1: right now. He has all the tools. Can he put 125 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:52,440 Speaker 1: it together again? He did run a really good offense. 126 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:54,640 Speaker 1: It was part of the RPO offense and kind of 127 00:06:54,640 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 1: took the league by surprise. So can that often still work? 128 00:06:57,480 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 1: We'll see. Do you want me to continue with my series? 129 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:04,119 Speaker 1: I would imagine you have something to add that could 130 00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:07,719 Speaker 1: be a potential best bet. Yeah, I got everything you need. 131 00:07:07,920 --> 00:07:10,240 Speaker 1: I literally I would just going through my books before 132 00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:11,960 Speaker 1: he came on, because you asked me for my best bets, 133 00:07:11,960 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 1: which is like almost impossible to do. I just have 134 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:17,720 Speaker 1: so many bets. And it's funny, I like no bets 135 00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:19,920 Speaker 1: on teams with people expect like I've almost had zero 136 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:22,240 Speaker 1: dollars invested in the Bills, just a couple of teams 137 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 1: where it's like I have no money in them just 138 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 1: because I think they're over rated, overvalued, And it's just 139 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 1: like I know Bills might be the best in the FC, 140 00:07:28,840 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 1: but are they that much better than every other team 141 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 1: that everyone's betting against. No, It's like we saw Rebell yesterday. 142 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:36,800 Speaker 1: Rebel said the most money, most tickets Super Bowl winner 143 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 1: is on the Bills. Everyone's all in on the Bills. 144 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:41,680 Speaker 1: It's not even close. So that's what's gonna be funny 145 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:43,480 Speaker 1: going through this. People are just gonna hate these gross teams. 146 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 1: Were betting well before we walk away from the Jaguars. 147 00:07:47,360 --> 00:07:52,440 Speaker 1: Are the Jaguars to win the Division? Jaguars in any circumstance. 148 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:54,240 Speaker 1: And I want to say a couple of things. A 149 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 1: lot of good best bets content on the Action Network podcast. 150 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:01,040 Speaker 1: People should go listen to it. But also any other 151 00:08:01,160 --> 00:08:05,559 Speaker 1: Jaguars bets that you were thinking as the best bet. 152 00:08:05,600 --> 00:08:07,480 Speaker 1: If I hadn't said the Jaguars right now, would they 153 00:08:07,520 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 1: be the the first best bet you're offering. No, but 154 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 1: I would have gave out their Super Bowl odds just 155 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:14,720 Speaker 1: because it's a good number. But I would say to anyone, 156 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:17,280 Speaker 1: if your heads down the Jags, look at their look 157 00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 1: at their schedule, you're you can afford to wait a 158 00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 1: little bit with this team. Just because that week one 159 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 1: that that line stinks, It's then verse the Commanders. I 160 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:27,560 Speaker 1: know plenty of pros have taken the four, taken the 161 00:08:27,600 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: four and a half of the Jaguars think it's down 162 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 1: to three and a half now. So if you already 163 00:08:31,040 --> 00:08:32,560 Speaker 1: missed the boat of the Jaguars. You want to wait 164 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 1: a week. I got no issue on it because they 165 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:36,960 Speaker 1: could lose Commanders and bam, You've got great odds once 166 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:39,319 Speaker 1: again on the Jaguars team. So to me, if you're 167 00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: hesited on it, just waited out. Me and Chad we 168 00:08:42,000 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 1: invested early and often on this team, so we're kind 169 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 1: of already in on the Jaguars exactly. So give me 170 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:52,920 Speaker 1: something else. Chad knows I like doing. I'm not sure things. 171 00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:55,480 Speaker 1: There are no short things on football. But if I'm 172 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 1: gonna bet these favorites, I like the parlam of them together. 173 00:08:58,520 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 1: So I'm looking for are parley breakers. I feel like 174 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:03,720 Speaker 1: all the time. That's the kind of thing I'm looking for. 175 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:05,680 Speaker 1: It's like what trap am I stepping into? One? Am 176 00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 1: I falling into? Again? The hype has been building around them, 177 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 1: but I still think you're getting a good number on 178 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:12,760 Speaker 1: this team, and that's Miami, so their plus fourth fith 179 00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:15,200 Speaker 1: ye right now to win the division. I get the 180 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 1: Bills left like the Bills on paper, unbelievable team. But 181 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 1: the biggest clearing weakness to Bills team is their offensive line. 182 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 1: And if I'm looking for a team in Miami that 183 00:09:25,000 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 1: they've put the pieces around to uh. They have the offensive, 184 00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: they have this system right, they're one of the most 185 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 1: spread offenses in football. I have to take this number 186 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:34,600 Speaker 1: like this should be closer to plus three hundred rather 187 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:37,040 Speaker 1: than plus four fifty plus four join fandels. So, to me, 188 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:39,520 Speaker 1: one of my best bets this year is just betting 189 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:43,320 Speaker 1: against what people consistently think is going to happen, which 190 00:09:43,360 --> 00:09:44,719 Speaker 1: is the Bill is to take a big step this 191 00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:47,560 Speaker 1: year and be that number one seed. I just can't 192 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 1: see it working that way. It felt like last year 193 00:09:50,000 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 1: was a better team than is this year. And again, 194 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 1: I know they've made offense season moves. They were just 195 00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:56,680 Speaker 1: so they were put together so perfectly last year. I know, 196 00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:58,839 Speaker 1: again the money isn't kicking yet for Josh Allen, so 197 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 1: they went out and added more players at that defense. 198 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 1: It's just gonna be a really tough road in the 199 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 1: a f C. And I just think their division got 200 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:08,360 Speaker 1: that much better with Miami. And again, I know England's 201 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:09,760 Speaker 1: gonna get a step back, but they're still gonna be 202 00:10:09,760 --> 00:10:12,640 Speaker 1: improved for the second year quarterback than a rookie and Max. 203 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:15,599 Speaker 1: So to me, it's just it's too much love with 204 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 1: the Bills and not thinking about how improved their division is. 205 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:22,880 Speaker 1: And in Miami itself, where everything I've read about them 206 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:26,320 Speaker 1: defensively and offensively is they are so fast. People are 207 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 1: gonna be shocked about how fast this Miami team is 208 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:30,719 Speaker 1: just because they really haven't seen it yet on we've 209 00:10:30,760 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 1: only read about it. So to me, if I'm looking 210 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 1: at a dark horse that it's kind of gaining gaining 211 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 1: steam here, especially down in Florida. I mean, I can't 212 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:41,240 Speaker 1: get over the two and on fans like these guys. 213 00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 1: If I even mentioned Miami, they're just on me about it. 214 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:46,840 Speaker 1: But I do love them. I just love this offensive 215 00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 1: scheme And to me, am I putting too much on 216 00:10:49,520 --> 00:10:52,480 Speaker 1: a rookie head coach. But it's all they're like, it's 217 00:10:52,520 --> 00:10:55,560 Speaker 1: all their schedule wise, matchup wise, certain times they have 218 00:10:55,720 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 1: games rest disparency against these other teams. It just lined 219 00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 1: up very well for this Miami team that out of 220 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 1: taking this all way down to plus three hundred, in fact, 221 00:11:03,520 --> 00:11:08,320 Speaker 1: I'm getting plus f fifties certain books, I'm gonna take 222 00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:10,920 Speaker 1: that on Miami to win this division. And it's not 223 00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 1: just a hedge against this Bill's team. It's simply, I 224 00:11:13,320 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 1: think you're getting good value and later on I believe 225 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:16,839 Speaker 1: you will will come back, and if you want to 226 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 1: get back on the Bills, I think you will to it. 227 00:11:19,040 --> 00:11:22,040 Speaker 1: Maybe all minus one minus one fifty, because again the 228 00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 1: Bills have a very tough schedule early on. Can we 229 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:26,320 Speaker 1: go back to the a f C South for a second, 230 00:11:26,679 --> 00:11:31,160 Speaker 1: I would love to. I'm thinking about three things. League 231 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:37,400 Speaker 1: passing leaders, most yards passing, I'm thinking about most yards receiving. 232 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:42,960 Speaker 1: So I'm thinking about Matt Ryan, I'm thinking about Michael Pittman, 233 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:47,040 Speaker 1: and I'm thinking about Trevor Lawrence. This brings it back 234 00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:50,240 Speaker 1: to the question of do I believe in Frank Right? 235 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:53,480 Speaker 1: Do I think that he has just been, you know, 236 00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:58,000 Speaker 1: the victim of bad luck with his quarterbacks, and with 237 00:11:58,040 --> 00:12:00,360 Speaker 1: Matt Ryan, he's kind of getting a guy who can 238 00:12:00,400 --> 00:12:02,120 Speaker 1: do most of what he needs a quarterback to do. 239 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:04,480 Speaker 1: Because I believed that Matt Ryan before. I remember last 240 00:12:04,559 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 1: year we were like Matt Ryan, Kyle Pitts, Calvin Ridley, 241 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:10,760 Speaker 1: like he's gonna be amazing. We had him to lead 242 00:12:10,800 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 1: the league in passing yards. It didn't go very well. 243 00:12:14,559 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: Now we're saying Matt Ryan could lead the league in 244 00:12:17,040 --> 00:12:19,679 Speaker 1: passing yards with Frank Reich as his coach, and Michael 245 00:12:19,679 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: Pittman could be a guy he's gonna passing yards. Have 246 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 1: you actually heard someone say that about Matt Ryan. I 247 00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:29,280 Speaker 1: don't know, Jonathan Taylor offense, It's it's just Matt Ryan's 248 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:31,560 Speaker 1: just there to manage, you know what I mean. So 249 00:12:31,600 --> 00:12:34,560 Speaker 1: that's a dead bet. I like you're going with Pittman though, 250 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 1: what you're about to say with Pittman? So why are 251 00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 1: we saying that about Pittman Because he's the only one, 252 00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:40,040 Speaker 1: He's the one man show there. I think that's what 253 00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:42,760 Speaker 1: Chris is looking at where it's like he is, we're 254 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:45,360 Speaker 1: talking about Chris Raybond by the way, Chris raybo Sorry, yes, 255 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:48,080 Speaker 1: talk to us about Michael Pittman to lead the league 256 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:50,079 Speaker 1: in receiving yards. And I got I see what he's 257 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:51,880 Speaker 1: coming from. Where I look for that. I look for 258 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:53,680 Speaker 1: the Island players. So a guy that's on a team, 259 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 1: he's the only guy. Um to me, that's my question 260 00:12:57,280 --> 00:12:59,679 Speaker 1: mark is the Matt Ryan thing. It's like again, I 261 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:02,400 Speaker 1: saw Philip Rivers. I've seen this cold team put a 262 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 1: corpse back there and make it work somehow. And that's 263 00:13:04,880 --> 00:13:07,200 Speaker 1: what they're hoping I want to do. I mean Rivers. 264 00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:09,320 Speaker 1: You can say all you want about him, and literally retired. 265 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 1: The following year. He got that team to the playoffs 266 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,040 Speaker 1: and they won. They beat the Ravens in the playoffs 267 00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:16,920 Speaker 1: with him, and so I'm with you, it's Frank. Frank 268 00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:20,439 Speaker 1: has done it before with these quarterbacks. He just I 269 00:13:20,480 --> 00:13:22,200 Speaker 1: don't know what's up with him. He just can't win 270 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:24,199 Speaker 1: this division. So that's my only reason of being out 271 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:26,880 Speaker 1: on them. It's like Frank, for some some reason, he 272 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:29,680 Speaker 1: just can't. You kept losing divisional games, all right, you 273 00:13:29,679 --> 00:13:32,360 Speaker 1: can't beat the Jaguars in these stupid games, can't beat 274 00:13:32,440 --> 00:13:34,960 Speaker 1: the Tennessee Italians these last couple of years. But man, 275 00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 1: do they kill this Texas team. So that's what's so funny. 276 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:40,240 Speaker 1: I mean, Chad, we love the Texas Week one where 277 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:43,559 Speaker 1: the simple fact that Frank starts slow. You go through 278 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:46,400 Speaker 1: Frank's record as a cold sid coach. I mean almost 279 00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:48,679 Speaker 1: every season they're either starting one in three, one in 280 00:13:48,760 --> 00:13:52,200 Speaker 1: two oh and four last year. Um, it's it's been 281 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:54,600 Speaker 1: a problem from as a coach. And I'm interesting if 282 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:56,120 Speaker 1: they actually can get out a hot start with because 283 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:59,120 Speaker 1: again Matt Ryan that I think he's that much better 284 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:02,679 Speaker 1: than Carson. But we again, that's something we talked about 285 00:14:02,679 --> 00:14:05,640 Speaker 1: with Ross. It's like these players, they're probably gonna look 286 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:08,360 Speaker 1: at Matt Ryan way differently than look at Wentz. Right, 287 00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:12,080 Speaker 1: It's like a confidence belief thing. So to me, a 288 00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:13,800 Speaker 1: couple of couple people asked why we're not in on 289 00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:16,480 Speaker 1: Tennessee or the Colts, and it's just a value based bet. 290 00:14:16,559 --> 00:14:18,320 Speaker 1: It's just I don't see that big of a difference 291 00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 1: between them. Again, people hate the Houston. I'm telling Houston 292 00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:24,640 Speaker 1: on paper is not as bad as people think. And 293 00:14:24,680 --> 00:14:27,480 Speaker 1: the Jaguars. I just think both those teams are closer 294 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:29,920 Speaker 1: to plus four hundred plus five hundred to win this 295 00:14:30,000 --> 00:14:32,800 Speaker 1: division than you know, twenty five to one, which is 296 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:35,800 Speaker 1: what Houston is, and eight to one, which Jaguars are. 297 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:38,600 Speaker 1: All right, we can get off the a f C South. Now, 298 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:41,840 Speaker 1: we spent too much time on a division that nobody 299 00:14:41,840 --> 00:14:45,080 Speaker 1: cares about. We talk about the most controversial division right now? 300 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 1: Are we talking about the a f C West. I'll 301 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:50,120 Speaker 1: doc West. I was gonna throw NFC East. That's the 302 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:52,840 Speaker 1: buzz this week is the Eagles Cowboys. The egos are 303 00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:55,760 Speaker 1: all the way down to even I think it's plus 304 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 1: and the Cowboys are plus one forty five now, so 305 00:14:57,880 --> 00:15:01,120 Speaker 1: they're finally mutually the same odds right now for this 306 00:15:01,160 --> 00:15:03,760 Speaker 1: division after six months. Well, I'm glad you bring it 307 00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:06,640 Speaker 1: up because I do have a thought here, which is, 308 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 1: Jalen hurts to win m v P. Jalen hurts to 309 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:13,920 Speaker 1: win m v P. Hold on, I'm looking it up 310 00:15:13,920 --> 00:15:17,200 Speaker 1: on the Action Network. Jalen hurts one to win m 311 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 1: v P. Do you not like those odds right now? 312 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 1: You think they're too short? You think they've been cut 313 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:25,120 Speaker 1: in half? Like, what's you're thinking here? I like it? 314 00:15:25,640 --> 00:15:27,840 Speaker 1: You know how I view Week one? I do think 315 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:30,000 Speaker 1: the lines are gonna upset this team, the all hype 316 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 1: team of the Eagles on the road as a big favorite. 317 00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:35,200 Speaker 1: And I've been telling people again, if you really want 318 00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:36,920 Speaker 1: to do it, go ahead and bet on the Eagles. 319 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:38,880 Speaker 1: But I'm a big believer in value betting, and you've 320 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 1: missed the value. The value is when we've been talking 321 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:42,960 Speaker 1: about them all off season, about how good their d 322 00:15:43,040 --> 00:15:45,440 Speaker 1: line is, how good their offensive line. Now you see 323 00:15:45,680 --> 00:15:48,200 Speaker 1: everyone's all in on this team now, so you wait, 324 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 1: you wait in this spot. You hope the Lions can 325 00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:52,600 Speaker 1: do what we think they can do pull the upset 326 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 1: off week one at home against this Eagles team, where again, 327 00:15:56,440 --> 00:15:59,160 Speaker 1: I just think this team, they're feeling good right now, 328 00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 1: and you're hoping they get humbled real quick by this 329 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:04,720 Speaker 1: Detroit Lions team, because that's what this Eagles team is 330 00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:06,440 Speaker 1: gonna need. Everyone's just been blown to smoke up their 331 00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:10,640 Speaker 1: ass this whole whole preseason. So to me, if you're 332 00:16:10,640 --> 00:16:12,760 Speaker 1: gonna get on the Eagles, I've already talked about just wait. 333 00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:15,480 Speaker 1: I do think they're gonna have a little bout trouble 334 00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:17,720 Speaker 1: come out of the gates, just because it took him 335 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 1: a little while last year to find their rhythm, find 336 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:22,880 Speaker 1: their groove, and it's just different. Every year is different 337 00:16:22,920 --> 00:16:25,840 Speaker 1: where if you're if you're taking a team on the 338 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:28,680 Speaker 1: road that's more than three points of a favorite, they 339 00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:31,560 Speaker 1: better be damn good and that better be an established quarterback. 340 00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 1: Week one, this Eagles team has proven nothing to be 341 00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:38,000 Speaker 1: getting that kind of respect other than the betting public's 342 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:40,760 Speaker 1: favoring this team. So to me, it's just weight because 343 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 1: I again we're gonna talk about who we think, uh, 344 00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 1: you know, teams are gonna be in the the super Bowl, 345 00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:46,960 Speaker 1: everything like that down the show. I'm all in on 346 00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:48,680 Speaker 1: this Egos team. I've been in all in on them 347 00:16:48,720 --> 00:16:50,920 Speaker 1: since the start. They're just one of the best teams 348 00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:53,080 Speaker 1: how he's ever put together on paper, the GM of 349 00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:56,280 Speaker 1: the Eagles. The only question is Hurts. That is literally 350 00:16:56,280 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 1: the only question. Can this get read a defense? Because 351 00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:00,440 Speaker 1: he cannot. He could not laugh. Sure, you can not 352 00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:03,600 Speaker 1: read a defense. His first instinct was read one, pull 353 00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:06,400 Speaker 1: it down and run it, which I love for fantasy. 354 00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:08,560 Speaker 1: They will never win your playoff games. Teams can scheme 355 00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:11,280 Speaker 1: against that. So that's my biggest question where coming in to 356 00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:13,479 Speaker 1: to the shore of the Seagos team. Love all the 357 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:16,920 Speaker 1: talent on this team, best offensive line, top five, top 358 00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:20,960 Speaker 1: three defensive line just because of rotation. But Hurts man, 359 00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:24,040 Speaker 1: I just there's just so much hype around him. It's 360 00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:26,760 Speaker 1: it's it is honest to get terrifying because he again 361 00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:29,159 Speaker 1: he hasn't done enough for him to be observing of 362 00:17:29,200 --> 00:17:35,679 Speaker 1: the hype. They're giving him every opportunity to secure a 363 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:42,840 Speaker 1: massive long term deal like they desperately want him to succeed. 364 00:17:43,720 --> 00:17:47,720 Speaker 1: They desperately want him to be the quarterback. Uh, It's 365 00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:52,960 Speaker 1: clear if he doesn't win with this team, It's really fascinating. 366 00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:56,680 Speaker 1: How they've positioned themselves because they'll probably be good enough 367 00:17:57,400 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 1: to make the playoffs or maybe you know, be a 368 00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:05,400 Speaker 1: seven eight win team, which won't let them the high 369 00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:08,480 Speaker 1: draft pick they would need to get a quarterback. Uh, 370 00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:10,520 Speaker 1: so there'll be an interesting spot next year because I'll 371 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:12,000 Speaker 1: have to play the free agent market or the trade 372 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:14,920 Speaker 1: market or something. So they got the Saints pick, That's 373 00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:17,000 Speaker 1: that's what he's banking. He has the Saints pick as well, 374 00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:19,520 Speaker 1: so he's hoping that Winston Calayan egg for the Saints 375 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 1: team and then he gets a high pick. But I'm 376 00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 1: honestly have the view that it's a two year plan. 377 00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:25,600 Speaker 1: How he's given him this year and next year and 378 00:18:25,640 --> 00:18:28,640 Speaker 1: he'll just keep moving moving. Either Hill draft quarterback next 379 00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:31,359 Speaker 1: year because he doesn't care. He took hurts when Wentz 380 00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:33,720 Speaker 1: was here. People people back like that didn't happen. That 381 00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:36,280 Speaker 1: was just two years ago. So to me, how he 382 00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:39,080 Speaker 1: doesn't care. He gets It's like I've said this since 383 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,560 Speaker 1: the I've been doing this show, like if I was 384 00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:44,600 Speaker 1: a GM of a team, unless I had Aaron Rodgers, 385 00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 1: which even his team did, I'd be drafting a quarterback 386 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:51,880 Speaker 1: every other year just because it doesn't matter. It's like, again, 387 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:53,639 Speaker 1: it's one of my favorite things ever. People shifting on 388 00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:55,879 Speaker 1: Green Bay for drafting Jordan Love. How stupid of a 389 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 1: draft pick? Have you ever looked at what Rogers was 390 00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:01,080 Speaker 1: doing before they drafted him. He has been doing a 391 00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:03,080 Speaker 1: bunch of nothing and they drafted him went back to 392 00:19:03,080 --> 00:19:05,879 Speaker 1: back m v P. So smartest draft pick ever, I 393 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:09,440 Speaker 1: would argue, But what do I know? Uh So that's again, 394 00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:12,160 Speaker 1: that's just to me. I'm giving how the credit right now. 395 00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 1: But he's kind of set up this team. Like Chad 396 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:17,239 Speaker 1: just said that, he owes nothing to Hurts. He's put 397 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:19,440 Speaker 1: Hurts in the best position he could, gives him a 398 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:21,760 Speaker 1: year or two, and it Hurts doesn't produce. It's a business. 399 00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:24,080 Speaker 1: We're onto the next one. So I love the way 400 00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:27,359 Speaker 1: this Egos team set up for this season. And again 401 00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:29,520 Speaker 1: that's why I want to ask you who's betting this 402 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:31,600 Speaker 1: Dallas team? Because I talked to a bookmaker a couple 403 00:19:31,600 --> 00:19:34,359 Speaker 1: of days ago. There's still money coming in on Dallas 404 00:19:34,440 --> 00:19:36,640 Speaker 1: to win this division. That's why it hasn't dropped again. 405 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:38,720 Speaker 1: The Eagles our favorite one this division. They're they're they're 406 00:19:39,359 --> 00:19:42,639 Speaker 1: literally the equal of the Dallas Cowboys. Right now, I 407 00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:44,480 Speaker 1: would love to hear how you going this Cowboys team 408 00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:46,679 Speaker 1: heading in because it feels like everyone's really down on 409 00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:48,320 Speaker 1: them and people are gonna be surprised they're one of 410 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:50,760 Speaker 1: the seven I have making the playoffs this upcoming season. 411 00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:55,399 Speaker 1: I have them making the playoffs as a wild card 412 00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:59,080 Speaker 1: previewing Simon and I will go through our top seven 413 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:04,520 Speaker 1: in each friends. Um, but I do think as far 414 00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 1: as expectations look, it's the Cowboys, right. They have Dak Prescott. 415 00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:12,560 Speaker 1: People still think of Ezekiel Elliott as a top flight 416 00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:16,720 Speaker 1: running back. Uh, they have Michael Parsons, who is a 417 00:20:16,760 --> 00:20:20,879 Speaker 1: defensive Player of the Year candidate. Casual fans do not 418 00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:24,800 Speaker 1: look at offensive line of woes the same way that 419 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 1: hardcore fans and betters look at offensive line line woes. 420 00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:32,159 Speaker 1: Jerry Jones makes a lot of noise. He runs a 421 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:35,960 Speaker 1: train wreck of an organization, right, and people who pay 422 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:40,000 Speaker 1: attention to the league recognize that. Forget about their valuation, 423 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:45,160 Speaker 1: forget about the fact there worth more than any professional franchise. Ever. Internally, 424 00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:51,000 Speaker 1: they stink so like they're on pace with the Lions 425 00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:53,879 Speaker 1: since like in the past thirty years for having won 426 00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:57,360 Speaker 1: a playoff game, They're gonna get the money. That's why 427 00:20:57,400 --> 00:20:59,760 Speaker 1: they're still favorites. And you're also looking at a division 428 00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:04,880 Speaker 1: with the Giants and the Washington Commanders, so the money 429 00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 1: has got to come in on somebody, and there was more. 430 00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:10,520 Speaker 1: Dak Prescott is a higher profile quarterback than Jalen Hurts. 431 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:12,399 Speaker 1: People bet on the quarterback, so you're gonna bet on 432 00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:14,679 Speaker 1: the Cowboys, You're gonna bet on Dak Prescott. So that's 433 00:21:14,720 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 1: why the money's coming in. But this is the Eagles 434 00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:21,400 Speaker 1: division to lose to me, So that's we're an agreement 435 00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:23,399 Speaker 1: where I think my biggest of you is if you 436 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:26,040 Speaker 1: didn't get on their wind total with US early, their 437 00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:29,360 Speaker 1: division odds early, or for them to you know when 438 00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:31,959 Speaker 1: d NFC, I would just wait, like you've already kind 439 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:33,679 Speaker 1: of missed the boat here. And that's again that's my 440 00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 1: best advice. It's like, don't don't put your money into 441 00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:38,360 Speaker 1: something just because you feel like you you're missing out. 442 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:40,040 Speaker 1: It will come back around. You'll be able to get 443 00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:43,119 Speaker 1: value on this kind of dog. 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What's your next best bet on your list? 480 00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:46,640 Speaker 1: No chakra to people Ravens super Bowl still one. Nothing's changed. 481 00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:48,600 Speaker 1: I just love this bet and the sense that they're 482 00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:51,840 Speaker 1: my favorite high profile team. People are still doubting them. 483 00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:53,760 Speaker 1: A lot of question marks about Lamar right now because 484 00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:56,120 Speaker 1: he hasn't signed a deal. I love that I loved 485 00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:58,480 Speaker 1: Lamar has assigned this deal yet, when you're trying to 486 00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:00,639 Speaker 1: be great, it's gonna be negative of what you know. 487 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:02,720 Speaker 1: They hated Jesus and I'm not Jesus, so I want 488 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:04,280 Speaker 1: me to worry about it. I don't know if you 489 00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 1: guys remember the last time a Raven's quarterback went to 490 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:09,200 Speaker 1: a season without signing a deal. He wants Super Bowl 491 00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:11,600 Speaker 1: Joe Flacco, So to me, it's setting up for one 492 00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:14,480 Speaker 1: of those career years. I love how they're scheming this 493 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:17,480 Speaker 1: team out like people. If you look at who their 494 00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:21,000 Speaker 1: running backs were last season, I believe all five guys 495 00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:24,320 Speaker 1: who played for them at one point are not on 496 00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:26,959 Speaker 1: a roster or on a practice squad right. And they 497 00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,200 Speaker 1: brought in a new a bunch of new faces, and 498 00:24:29,280 --> 00:24:31,879 Speaker 1: Kenyan Drake's there now too. They're supposed to get j K. 499 00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:34,399 Speaker 1: Dobbins back soon. I know the question marks about a 500 00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:36,760 Speaker 1: ride receiver position, but to me, that's not that big 501 00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,159 Speaker 1: of a deal. Where you're kind of a tight end 502 00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:41,640 Speaker 1: based team and everything's thrown out of a scheme. Like 503 00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:45,520 Speaker 1: half the time Lamar's doing two receivers, they're schemed open 504 00:24:45,640 --> 00:24:47,680 Speaker 1: just because of the linebackers have to step up to 505 00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:50,080 Speaker 1: get you know, counteract with Lamar is doing in the 506 00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,879 Speaker 1: run game and there's always these little openings that Lamar 507 00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:56,080 Speaker 1: can fit the ball into. So I I've come in 508 00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:58,840 Speaker 1: realized that the Bengals are always going to be that 509 00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:01,600 Speaker 1: team now with Joe, that's gonna be talked about this division. 510 00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:03,600 Speaker 1: And again we talked about Pittsburgh, which is my other 511 00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:05,480 Speaker 1: favorite bets for this division, and not at nine o 512 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:07,720 Speaker 1: one or ten to one to win this division, but 513 00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:11,320 Speaker 1: just strictly Super Bowl bet. The two biggest ones I've 514 00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:14,959 Speaker 1: done for like highest odds are the Ravens and the Chiefs, 515 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,359 Speaker 1: Like those are the two teams. I bet that Chiefs 516 00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:20,760 Speaker 1: are tend to one, Ravens twenty to one. But the 517 00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:23,480 Speaker 1: Ravens thing, again, I know Lamar has done in the playoffs, 518 00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:27,040 Speaker 1: but you just can't. You can't get a defense like 519 00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:30,119 Speaker 1: that they have out of nowhere, Like the the way 520 00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,280 Speaker 1: they built their team is an incredible defense with an 521 00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:35,480 Speaker 1: incredible running team. And like I love that kind of 522 00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:40,080 Speaker 1: style heading into you know, January, because it's hard to 523 00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:42,160 Speaker 1: prep for that, Like only certain teams can really defend 524 00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:43,879 Speaker 1: that well. You need a certain type of linebacker, a 525 00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:46,080 Speaker 1: certain type of speed to defend this kind of offense. 526 00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:48,359 Speaker 1: So I'm a little nervous about it just in the 527 00:25:48,400 --> 00:25:52,760 Speaker 1: sense that everything I've heard about Lamar is he's improved. 528 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:55,000 Speaker 1: I haven't seen it. I haven't seen him play any 529 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:56,800 Speaker 1: preseason football. I've only seen a little bit and read 530 00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:58,560 Speaker 1: a little bit from the Beat writers about the Ravens 531 00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:00,560 Speaker 1: and put a lot of faith in this Ravens team 532 00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:03,000 Speaker 1: the sense that I know the talent to have on defense, 533 00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:04,960 Speaker 1: and I know what they have on all offense. There 534 00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:07,560 Speaker 1: should be twenty one. They should be closer to one 535 00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:10,760 Speaker 1: than they are. But again, it's the Bengals affect the 536 00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:13,720 Speaker 1: Bengals because they're in division. They've made that number a 537 00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:15,520 Speaker 1: little a little higher for you, just because the Bangles 538 00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:17,320 Speaker 1: are at twenty two to one to win the Super Bowl. 539 00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,400 Speaker 1: So that's that's why that's kind of move bigess doesn't 540 00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:20,520 Speaker 1: really have to do with either teams, so that just 541 00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:31,840 Speaker 1: put them right next to each other. I love this. 542 00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:35,080 Speaker 1: I've played this as well. It's amazing to me that 543 00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:38,280 Speaker 1: they've just been sitting at twenty one for basically the 544 00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:42,480 Speaker 1: entire offseason, even though so many people have said that's weird. Right, 545 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:45,359 Speaker 1: And if you're talking about value, which we talk about 546 00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:48,720 Speaker 1: all the time, we tend to want to bet on 547 00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:52,159 Speaker 1: teams at odds that are twenty to one or longer, 548 00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:53,960 Speaker 1: and this has been a team that's getting a lot 549 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 1: of attention. I'm just completely surprised that it hasn't dropped 550 00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:00,560 Speaker 1: at all, which why the bang was having either just 551 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:02,639 Speaker 1: because we know after the Watson news came out, I 552 00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:05,640 Speaker 1: swore both these teams odds would go up just because 553 00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,359 Speaker 1: who's bet in the Browns coming out of this division 554 00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:10,720 Speaker 1: to win a Super Bowl. But again, I just think 555 00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:13,120 Speaker 1: people forget this team, the Ravens. They were the one 556 00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:16,159 Speaker 1: seed before Lamar got hurt. Yeah, that that's what was 557 00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:20,359 Speaker 1: happening last year. As also they had like they bably 558 00:27:20,359 --> 00:27:23,639 Speaker 1: had any defensive backslash Yeah yeah. And now they have 559 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:27,159 Speaker 1: won the one best the best defensive backfields according Pro 560 00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:30,240 Speaker 1: Football Focus of all the teams, I think their top 561 00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:33,439 Speaker 1: three right now rated. So again it's I tried to 562 00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:35,480 Speaker 1: build a time. You can't really think so much about 563 00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:39,119 Speaker 1: last year. It's completely new year, and I get the 564 00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:40,960 Speaker 1: doubt with Lamar in the playoffs and stuff, but like, 565 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 1: just look at this team on paper, they should not 566 00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:47,800 Speaker 1: be twenty one. For my next best bet, I'm offering 567 00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:52,639 Speaker 1: to Bears under five and a half wins and By 568 00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:54,920 Speaker 1: the way, the Bears right now under five and a 569 00:27:54,960 --> 00:28:00,520 Speaker 1: half wins that is uh plus at FanDuel and the 570 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:05,600 Speaker 1: Jets under five and a half wins plus one. The 571 00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 1: Bears are a dreadful team. There's no two ways about it. 572 00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:12,760 Speaker 1: Alex Leatherwood is the savior of this team. A first 573 00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:17,200 Speaker 1: round pick from who played the offensive line for the Raiders, 574 00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,040 Speaker 1: was cut they couldn't find a trade. He went on 575 00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:22,720 Speaker 1: the waivers. The Bears picked him up. That's who they're 576 00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:27,719 Speaker 1: counting on to solidify their offensive line around their quarterback 577 00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:32,280 Speaker 1: that they have invested no protection in. I'm just not 578 00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:36,560 Speaker 1: a believer. They're in complete rebuilding mode. A defensive coach 579 00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:40,400 Speaker 1: with a in Matt Eberflus, who I have no opinion 580 00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:45,720 Speaker 1: on other than I wanna build on Justin Field as 581 00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:49,080 Speaker 1: a generational talent and I'm not getting that opportunity. And 582 00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:50,960 Speaker 1: that's what It's gonna be a fun year for bearsmans, 583 00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:54,160 Speaker 1: as much as gonna be miserable if your team is terrible, awful. 584 00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:56,040 Speaker 1: It's awfu when your team is bad, but when you 585 00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:58,920 Speaker 1: have a young quarterback and makes a little less painful 586 00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:01,680 Speaker 1: because you're just just excited, Like even in that priests. Again, 587 00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:04,000 Speaker 1: there are certain throws where it's like, oh my god, 588 00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:08,360 Speaker 1: Fields upside is so high. Again, I I'll never understand 589 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:12,760 Speaker 1: why Zach Wilson went above him. Um, it's so crazy 590 00:29:12,760 --> 00:29:14,560 Speaker 1: if you think about these certain things. I came from 591 00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:16,960 Speaker 1: b y U and higher than a kid that played 592 00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:19,360 Speaker 1: Ohio State, and I mean, I know that doesn't matter, 593 00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:22,080 Speaker 1: if at the same time it kind of does. Um. Yeah, 594 00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:24,920 Speaker 1: it's just that the talents there. With Fields, We'll see 595 00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 1: if they can scheme it up, because last year they 596 00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:28,560 Speaker 1: just did nothing for him, but they literally put him 597 00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:30,760 Speaker 1: in the worst position every time. If this team just 598 00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:33,280 Speaker 1: schemes it right for a Fields, I can see him 599 00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:35,280 Speaker 1: putting up good numbers on a fun team and this 600 00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:37,320 Speaker 1: Bears team. And the same thing with the Jets. Like 601 00:29:37,360 --> 00:29:40,320 Speaker 1: the Jets have Unlike the Bears have a ton of town. 602 00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 1: The Bears have no talent. They've just drafted terribly. I 603 00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:45,280 Speaker 1: think the Jets have drafted really well. I just have 604 00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:47,560 Speaker 1: way too many questions of the coaching position. I have 605 00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:49,840 Speaker 1: way to make question of the quarterback position. So I'm 606 00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:52,520 Speaker 1: on both those unders um And it's funny where I'm 607 00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:54,000 Speaker 1: in the opposite of like I'm all in on the 608 00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:57,440 Speaker 1: Houston being over, Atlanta being over, and the lines being over. 609 00:29:57,440 --> 00:29:59,400 Speaker 1: But there's some bad teams I just can't get behind, 610 00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:01,600 Speaker 1: and Jets and the Bears. Of those two teams where 611 00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:05,040 Speaker 1: I just I think both them are not spinning their 612 00:30:05,040 --> 00:30:07,200 Speaker 1: tires this year. But it's just like they just weren't 613 00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:09,400 Speaker 1: put in position to do well with the team that's 614 00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:11,280 Speaker 1: puilt around them. And the Jets one is just because 615 00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:13,280 Speaker 1: of a division. They're just in such a hard division, 616 00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:16,040 Speaker 1: including the a f C. Like you would really need 617 00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:18,840 Speaker 1: Zach Wilson to take a major second year step to 618 00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:21,600 Speaker 1: do anything. No Joe Flacco. Like Joe Flacco might be 619 00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:23,800 Speaker 1: fun for a game against his old team, you do 620 00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:25,400 Speaker 1: not I want that man playing this show you if 621 00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:26,719 Speaker 1: you're a Jets fan, you want to know you got 622 00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:29,000 Speaker 1: in Zack Wilson. You need that kid to play. So 623 00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:31,040 Speaker 1: hopefully you can get back soon we can really figure 624 00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:34,040 Speaker 1: out what this Jets team is gonna be. Jets under 625 00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:36,120 Speaker 1: five and a half, largely because they're one of those 626 00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:40,400 Speaker 1: teams that is so public right now. Since the draft, 627 00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:45,080 Speaker 1: they had three first round draft picks, Sauce Gardner a corner, 628 00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:49,040 Speaker 1: Garrett Wilson at receiver, Jermaine Johnson on the defensive line. 629 00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:53,280 Speaker 1: Everyone assumed, all right, we're betting the over because they 630 00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:57,200 Speaker 1: won the draft. That's when you buy the under, especially 631 00:30:57,560 --> 00:30:59,520 Speaker 1: plus money on the under. A five and a half 632 00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:02,960 Speaker 1: plus just for the NFC North for my best bet 633 00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 1: that division. Everyone knows I love the lines are like that, 634 00:31:05,360 --> 00:31:08,080 Speaker 1: but it's actually the Vikings under and the Vikings that 635 00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:10,680 Speaker 1: missed the playoffs. I think you're getting really good value. 636 00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:12,440 Speaker 1: They're one of the most hyped up teams heading into 637 00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 1: the season based off them getting a new head coach, 638 00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,000 Speaker 1: which I agree. The guy can't be worse than Zimmer. 639 00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:20,600 Speaker 1: He still is Kirk Cousins, like he's still gonna Kirk 640 00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:22,960 Speaker 1: Cousins to make big plays, um not just put up 641 00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:26,480 Speaker 1: junk time yards and touchdowns. So fading Kirk when the 642 00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:28,560 Speaker 1: public is all over Kirk, and that's what they are 643 00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:31,120 Speaker 1: this year, they're everyone's darling. I still think Green Bay 644 00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,480 Speaker 1: is far and above the best team's division, So for 645 00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:36,520 Speaker 1: looking at divisional bet green Bay, they're probably the best 646 00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:39,400 Speaker 1: value now minus won fifty. But my favorite bet is 647 00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:41,400 Speaker 1: Vikings not to make the playoffs. I believe that's up 648 00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:45,280 Speaker 1: to plus one s plus one sixty because they've just 649 00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:47,440 Speaker 1: been getting bet up. So you like the Vikes and 650 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,000 Speaker 1: not to make the playoffs better than the Vikes under 651 00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:52,280 Speaker 1: the season win total. Yeah, just because you're getting a 652 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:55,480 Speaker 1: better plus number, Okay, which is probably the same thing. 653 00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:58,239 Speaker 1: That's a good that's a smart way to look at it, right, 654 00:31:58,280 --> 00:32:01,040 Speaker 1: If they're not gonna win nine games, then they're probably 655 00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:04,000 Speaker 1: not going to make the playoffs in the NFC, because 656 00:32:04,280 --> 00:32:06,160 Speaker 1: again we're just assuming we're last year. I think the 657 00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:07,880 Speaker 1: Eagles made in at nine and eight, but if they 658 00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:09,680 Speaker 1: had to play starters, they probably would have made that 659 00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:11,560 Speaker 1: tenant seven. So like that's one of those that's where 660 00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:13,959 Speaker 1: you're really you're kind of banking on is teams need 661 00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:15,720 Speaker 1: to play at the end of the season, but I 662 00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:18,080 Speaker 1: want to take the risk of like getting the team's 663 00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:19,720 Speaker 1: over and them just sitting all their starters and you 664 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,560 Speaker 1: get nothing out of it. All, Right, I want to 665 00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:27,080 Speaker 1: recap the five best bets we've given so far. Tell 666 00:32:27,120 --> 00:32:30,680 Speaker 1: me if I'm missing anything. Jags plus eight hundred to 667 00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:33,040 Speaker 1: win the NFC South. It's actually down to seven fifty 668 00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:38,680 Speaker 1: uh Ravens, the Bears, and the Jets under five and 669 00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:42,680 Speaker 1: a half. The Vikings not to make the playoffs plus 670 00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:50,880 Speaker 1: one st Miami plus four fifty to win the AFC East. 671 00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:54,680 Speaker 1: Did I miss any Nope? I mean and we could 672 00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:56,560 Speaker 1: throw in Pittsburgh. Also think that is one of my 673 00:32:56,560 --> 00:32:59,280 Speaker 1: better bets. Divisional winner nine or ten to one, depend 674 00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:01,640 Speaker 1: on the book you're getting that. I wonder what Mike 675 00:33:01,680 --> 00:33:04,040 Speaker 1: Tomlin is going to say about that. We all talk 676 00:33:04,120 --> 00:33:07,680 Speaker 1: too much. Sharp dudes can just see it because sharp 677 00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:10,240 Speaker 1: dudes don't care what you say anyway, They're just watching, 678 00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:13,240 Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So what I think we 679 00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:16,200 Speaker 1: need to do because people have asked for this, even 680 00:33:16,200 --> 00:33:20,600 Speaker 1: though as Matt Mitchell, who is nothing if not stringent 681 00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:25,360 Speaker 1: about the need for every Action Network podcast to only 682 00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:29,120 Speaker 1: be about actionable information, just go out there and try 683 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:31,120 Speaker 1: to have fun, you know, you know, having fun is 684 00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:33,360 Speaker 1: the name of the game. People want to know what 685 00:33:33,400 --> 00:33:35,800 Speaker 1: we think the seating is going to be for the 686 00:33:35,840 --> 00:33:39,280 Speaker 1: a f C and the NFC. Simon do the NFC, 687 00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:42,040 Speaker 1: which this is all actionable, but it's just not a 688 00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:43,920 Speaker 1: good value now because like a team I'm about to 689 00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:46,720 Speaker 1: give out, there are to be the one seed in 690 00:33:46,800 --> 00:33:49,520 Speaker 1: the middle of July. Nowither down to ten to one, 691 00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:53,120 Speaker 1: So I'll start from the bottom for the NFC, my 692 00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:56,560 Speaker 1: seventh guy, my last guy in you know who it's 693 00:33:56,560 --> 00:33:59,520 Speaker 1: gonna be. Each Detroit Lions are squad. They finally make 694 00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:02,000 Speaker 1: it in the layoffs, and I got them getting their 695 00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,640 Speaker 1: first playoff one. So I've got Lions at seven at 696 00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:07,920 Speaker 1: the six spots, I got the Cowboys five spot. I 697 00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:09,880 Speaker 1: got the Rams, So that means I got the forty 698 00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:12,320 Speaker 1: Niners winning the division. I got them as a four seed, 699 00:34:12,680 --> 00:34:14,200 Speaker 1: got the Bucks when their division. I got them the 700 00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:16,480 Speaker 1: three seed, got Green Bay when in their division, and 701 00:34:16,520 --> 00:34:18,479 Speaker 1: they got them as a two seed and the one 702 00:34:18,520 --> 00:34:22,279 Speaker 1: seed for the easiest schedule in football. The Philadelphia Eagles 703 00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:25,680 Speaker 1: that one seed, so they were one to have the 704 00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:27,440 Speaker 1: best record in football. Now they're down to ten to 705 00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:30,400 Speaker 1: one to have the best record on football. It's interesting 706 00:34:30,600 --> 00:34:34,920 Speaker 1: how similar some of our Surprise Pixar. We spent a 707 00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:38,920 Speaker 1: lot of time together. That's true. I have the Niners. 708 00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:41,080 Speaker 1: Is the one seed. I'll go the other way. I 709 00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:44,880 Speaker 1: go seven. You already ruined the Surprise, Okay, seven. I 710 00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:50,360 Speaker 1: have the Vikings. Six, I have the Cowboys, five, I 711 00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:56,440 Speaker 1: have the Rams, four, the Saints. Wow. Three, I have 712 00:34:56,600 --> 00:35:02,000 Speaker 1: the Packers. Two, I have the Goals one. I have 713 00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:06,280 Speaker 1: the Niners. I've decided. You know, I love Kyle Shanahan. 714 00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:10,040 Speaker 1: I think he is one of the best play calling 715 00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:15,080 Speaker 1: schematic coach him up coaches in the NFL. I think 716 00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:19,120 Speaker 1: he's he's so close. I don't think Matt Ryan was 717 00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:23,319 Speaker 1: a great quarterback. I blame Kyle Shanahan for the fourth 718 00:35:23,400 --> 00:35:26,560 Speaker 1: quarter collapse. I don't think Jimmy G was a great quarterback. 719 00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:29,879 Speaker 1: I blame Kyle Shanahan for the fourth quarter collapse. Give 720 00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:33,720 Speaker 1: him a great quarterback and he fixes his fourth quarter 721 00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:37,439 Speaker 1: collapse tendencies. And I see this guy winning the Super Bowl. Yeah, 722 00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:39,920 Speaker 1: I got Jimmy G coming in Week seven. Get them 723 00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:43,080 Speaker 1: to the playoffs, winning their division. That's all I'm sneaking 724 00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:45,480 Speaker 1: in the fourth seed. Okay, I'm going to go in 725 00:35:45,520 --> 00:35:48,760 Speaker 1: on the Niners. The Niners right now plus uh seven 726 00:35:48,840 --> 00:35:55,120 Speaker 1: fifty to win the NFC. We had a lot of 727 00:35:55,120 --> 00:35:58,600 Speaker 1: similarities though, Yeah, I mean right, we're literally the lockstep 728 00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:01,000 Speaker 1: on the Cowboys and the Ramps. Yep. Interesting that you 729 00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:02,520 Speaker 1: can think the books that they're not gonna make it. 730 00:36:02,600 --> 00:36:05,239 Speaker 1: You just think Brady's got too much going on. I 731 00:36:05,280 --> 00:36:07,720 Speaker 1: think their offensive line is a mess, and the best 732 00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:11,120 Speaker 1: way to pressure Brady is up the middle. I think 733 00:36:11,120 --> 00:36:15,719 Speaker 1: with a new coach, I think for whatever reason, and 734 00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:18,000 Speaker 1: this is you know, what the fun do. I know. 735 00:36:18,600 --> 00:36:20,360 Speaker 1: I'm literally gonna put ten k on them after we 736 00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:22,399 Speaker 1: get off the show to make the playoffs. I love you, Chat. 737 00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:26,160 Speaker 1: He feels disengaged to me, this is what Tom needs. 738 00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:28,040 Speaker 1: He needs us a couple of assholes and media doubt 739 00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:29,719 Speaker 1: because I do have my doubts too, But like I 740 00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:32,040 Speaker 1: gave them the three seed just because it's Brady. It's like, 741 00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:35,080 Speaker 1: if there's anyone that can adjust to any little thing, 742 00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:37,640 Speaker 1: and you have him around with talent and Mike Evans 743 00:36:37,719 --> 00:36:40,680 Speaker 1: and Leonard Fournett and got Gront coming back eventually. I 744 00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:42,040 Speaker 1: don't know. I just think they're gonna figure it out 745 00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:44,359 Speaker 1: where Like as we sit here right now with Chat, 746 00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:47,200 Speaker 1: I'm so down on them, Like I wanted to bet 747 00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:49,000 Speaker 1: them so bad against the cows. Yeah, we're gonna talk 748 00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:52,120 Speaker 1: about week one, but it's like, oh man, just bad ju. 749 00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:55,279 Speaker 1: I've never seen Tom so despondent and one of those 750 00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:57,320 Speaker 1: things where he's like, I'm forty five, I've got a 751 00:36:57,320 --> 00:36:59,680 Speaker 1: lot of ship going on my life, and it's like, holy, 752 00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:02,880 Speaker 1: this guy is human. So that that was definitely weird 753 00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:07,120 Speaker 1: seeing him be more human than normal. Um, all right, 754 00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:11,319 Speaker 1: let's go now to the American Football Conference. Go from 755 00:37:11,320 --> 00:37:14,839 Speaker 1: the bottom. You want me to go? All right? So 756 00:37:15,120 --> 00:37:18,000 Speaker 1: people think I hate him, I disrespect them constantly. People 757 00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:20,520 Speaker 1: forget we are the We were a huge Bengal fans 758 00:37:20,560 --> 00:37:22,000 Speaker 1: last year. We gave him out ten to one to 759 00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:24,279 Speaker 1: win their division. I still love the Bengals, just don't 760 00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:26,120 Speaker 1: love him the value they're going at. So I have 761 00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:28,400 Speaker 1: the Bengals the seventh seed I got, I'm getting not 762 00:37:28,600 --> 00:37:30,560 Speaker 1: in eight. I like again, I think they're going under 763 00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:32,359 Speaker 1: their wind total. I think they do sneak in because 764 00:37:32,440 --> 00:37:34,319 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow is that good. Like they're gonna have so 765 00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:37,480 Speaker 1: much bullshit this year because of Joe. I still think 766 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:39,680 Speaker 1: they somehow get it because he's that could have a quarterback. 767 00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:43,320 Speaker 1: So in the seventh seed, I got Joe and the Bengals. Six, 768 00:37:43,480 --> 00:37:47,960 Speaker 1: I got the Chargers. Five, I got the Bills, four Jaguars, 769 00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:53,160 Speaker 1: three Miami two Ravens at number one, the Kansas City Chiefs. Man, 770 00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:55,800 Speaker 1: nothing nothing changes for me. I just love the Chiefs 771 00:37:55,800 --> 00:37:57,920 Speaker 1: this year that they're just far and above to me, 772 00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:04,279 Speaker 1: the best team. So interesting, so interesting. We have a 773 00:38:04,280 --> 00:38:08,120 Speaker 1: lot of the same teams but different order. So US 774 00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:10,400 Speaker 1: got four new teams making the a f C Playoffs. 775 00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:14,040 Speaker 1: The four new teams are Chargers, Jaguars, Miamien Races. I 776 00:38:14,120 --> 00:38:18,480 Speaker 1: have the Chargers at seven, I have the Bangles at six. 777 00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:22,240 Speaker 1: So you and I are flipping. You had the Bengals 778 00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:26,160 Speaker 1: at seven, the Chargers at six. I have the Chiefs 779 00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:32,399 Speaker 1: at five. Wow. Okay. Then I have the Jags at four, 780 00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:39,920 Speaker 1: the Broncos at three, the Ravens at two, the Bills 781 00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:44,160 Speaker 1: at one. Wow. So you got the Bills playing out 782 00:38:44,200 --> 00:38:46,600 Speaker 1: as the one seed. I mean that makes sense. It 783 00:38:46,600 --> 00:38:48,480 Speaker 1: doesn't mean I think they're gonna win the conference or 784 00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:52,960 Speaker 1: the Super Bowls. I do think that the Bills will 785 00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:54,880 Speaker 1: end up with the best record, and and you know 786 00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,319 Speaker 1: that will play the form I can't. I kept my 787 00:38:57,360 --> 00:39:00,680 Speaker 1: surprises for later, the Jags, the Broncos, that kind of thing. 788 00:39:01,120 --> 00:39:04,440 Speaker 1: Give me your a f C and NFC green A 789 00:39:04,680 --> 00:39:08,000 Speaker 1: playing the Buccaneers in the NFC Championship game with the 790 00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:11,120 Speaker 1: Bucks winning. And then I have the Chiefs over the 791 00:39:11,200 --> 00:39:14,319 Speaker 1: Jaguars in the a f C Championship game. So I 792 00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,200 Speaker 1: have Chiefs Bucks with the Chiefs winning at all. So 793 00:39:17,239 --> 00:39:19,239 Speaker 1: a rematch, but it's gonna be flipped. It's gonna be 794 00:39:19,280 --> 00:39:22,320 Speaker 1: a revenge tour for the Chiefs. I like the Eagles 795 00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:25,719 Speaker 1: of the Niners. I like the Niners to win. I 796 00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:28,520 Speaker 1: like the Ravens and the Bills. I like the Ravens 797 00:39:28,560 --> 00:39:30,960 Speaker 1: to win, and I want the Ravens to win the 798 00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:33,839 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. That would be another rematch. The last time 799 00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:36,560 Speaker 1: they played. It was Kaepernick Flacco, the lights going off. 800 00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:39,720 Speaker 1: I was at that game. That was an amazing weekend. 801 00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:42,359 Speaker 1: I barely remembered it was. So that was amazing super 802 00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:44,320 Speaker 1: Bowl too. I mean, the four inarially came all the 803 00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:49,880 Speaker 1: way back, so good. So this is interesting. I like 804 00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:52,600 Speaker 1: the way this ended, isn't it fun? The Chiefs are 805 00:39:52,640 --> 00:39:54,480 Speaker 1: we we didn't talk about it looks like we're gonna 806 00:39:54,520 --> 00:39:57,319 Speaker 1: look like geniuses are huge assholes in six months. Well look, 807 00:39:57,360 --> 00:39:58,880 Speaker 1: that was always my theory when I was running the 808 00:39:58,920 --> 00:40:01,200 Speaker 1: USP in the magazine, like had to make Super Bowl picks, 809 00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:05,080 Speaker 1: and my theory was always just do something stupid, because 810 00:40:05,080 --> 00:40:07,080 Speaker 1: in six months you're either gonna look like a genius 811 00:40:07,200 --> 00:40:09,880 Speaker 1: or no one's gonna remember. But like, why choose the 812 00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:12,600 Speaker 1: same two teams all the time? You know? I just 813 00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:15,480 Speaker 1: ran mind through a simulation. It was just like, just 814 00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:17,480 Speaker 1: just give me the odds of the best chance of 815 00:40:17,520 --> 00:40:20,000 Speaker 1: whatever is gonna happen. And it was no shocker like 816 00:40:20,080 --> 00:40:23,080 Speaker 1: Brady Verse Aaron Rodgers. No one will be shocked if 817 00:40:23,080 --> 00:40:26,080 Speaker 1: that's an NC Championship game. I do think the Chiefs though, 818 00:40:26,120 --> 00:40:28,480 Speaker 1: that would be pretty wild if it was Chiefs first. 819 00:40:28,520 --> 00:40:30,480 Speaker 1: Jaguars like, if Trevor Lawrence can make a year two 820 00:40:30,560 --> 00:40:33,000 Speaker 1: to the a f C Championship Game, I mean they're hype, 821 00:40:33,040 --> 00:40:34,719 Speaker 1: will be like Joe Burrows next year. It would just 822 00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:37,440 Speaker 1: be out of this world. As Jaguars team, yep, I 823 00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:40,480 Speaker 1: like it. I like it. Go Jacks. Last year we 824 00:40:40,480 --> 00:40:43,719 Speaker 1: were in Atlanta Falcons podcast. This year we're a Jacksonville 825 00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:46,520 Speaker 1: Jaguars podcast. Yeah, we've we've upgraded to the lines on 826 00:40:46,520 --> 00:40:49,880 Speaker 1: the Jaguars. We continue to love teams from conferences, nobody 827 00:40:49,920 --> 00:40:52,840 Speaker 1: from divisions, nobody cares about in the an NFC South. 828 00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:57,120 Speaker 1: I think we've wrapped it up for Simon Hunter, for 829 00:40:57,440 --> 00:41:00,120 Speaker 1: producer Matt Mitchell, I am Chad Millman. This is the 830 00:41:00,160 --> 00:41:04,520 Speaker 1: Favorites podcast from the Volume podcast Network. Downloads from Apple podcast, Spotify, 831 00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:07,719 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcast, rate, review, subscribe, say whatever 832 00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:10,480 Speaker 1: you want leave us five stars. Feedback is a gift. 833 00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:13,960 Speaker 1: Next time we talk, folks were going down the rout 834 00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:18,400 Speaker 1: the lineup. We're going down every single game. We're gonna 835 00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:21,719 Speaker 1: start picking out our favorite five. Until next time, I 836 00:41:21,760 --> 00:41:22,200 Speaker 1: love you,