WEBVTT - Top 50 Rankings + New Year's Resolutions (Ep. 608)

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy

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<v Speaker 1>Baseball Podcast. It is me, Joey Pa Joe Pisapia and

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<v Speaker 1>with me back again as my boy, the Welsh, Chris

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<v Speaker 1>Welsh returning. It's January. You know what that means. It's

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<v Speaker 1>time to turn the page. We're talking baseball now. We're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna talk about the top fifty guys and the ranks

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<v Speaker 1>over Fantasy pros in the ECR. Welsh has done his ranks.

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<v Speaker 1>I've done mine. It's very early. Guys are still signing.

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<v Speaker 1>Carlos Carea could have three or more teams you could

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<v Speaker 1>try to sign with before the end of the show.

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<v Speaker 1>But no, he's actually gonna be a twin. It looks

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<v Speaker 1>like as we're recording this, so Welsh. It's great to

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<v Speaker 1>see her face. It's great to be back talking baseball

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<v Speaker 1>with you. Are you ready for twenty twenty three? Baby?

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<v Speaker 2>Oh?

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<v Speaker 1>Am?

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<v Speaker 2>I ready? Are you ready?

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<v Speaker 1>Buddy?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean I've got the transition, you got the crazy

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<v Speaker 2>football transition. I've been doing football obviously, but it is

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<v Speaker 2>full time fantasy fantasy. Joe's on the football side, but

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<v Speaker 2>now you're coming. You're comeing too, baseball with me. Which

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<v Speaker 2>I'm excited about, which you were just talking about ranks,

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<v Speaker 2>and my only anxiety is like, oh my god, I'm

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<v Speaker 2>already gonna have to go and change Carlos Korea. And

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<v Speaker 2>then we just got news broke about Trevor's story as well,

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<v Speaker 2>having a UCLA ucl surgery UCLA u SEL surgery that's

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<v Speaker 2>gonna leave him out four to six months, which might

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<v Speaker 2>push him post All Star breaks. This is another player

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<v Speaker 2>at also a really garbage position that we're gonna take

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<v Speaker 2>off the board, really glad.

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<v Speaker 1>I updated the Black Book for Carl's Korea a couple

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<v Speaker 1>hours ago before this I saw now I did. I

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<v Speaker 1>was like, well, I gotta go do it again, so

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<v Speaker 1>I'll update this, rewrite some things there, and then this happens.

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<v Speaker 1>So now I'm gonna have to go back tomorrow and

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<v Speaker 1>do some more. But I'm gonna I'm just got talk

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<v Speaker 1>baseball now. Enough of that. More injuries I'm sure to come.

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<v Speaker 1>But we've got a fresh slate, a new start, and

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<v Speaker 1>we're gonna talk about the top fifty. We're gonna break

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<v Speaker 1>down these tiers. Let's start at the top one through ten,

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<v Speaker 1>and we're gonna talk about these guys. Give you our

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<v Speaker 1>opinions here maybe who's too high, who's too low, who

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<v Speaker 1>should be in the top ten, who's not. Before we

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<v Speaker 1>do just reminder not only his baseball season open for

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<v Speaker 1>business here, but it's also open for business and Fantasy

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<v Speaker 1>pros because the Draft Wizard is now open for business.

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<v Speaker 1>That's right. You can go there and start doing mock drafts.

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<v Speaker 1>I got a B plus online yesterday. I did my

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<v Speaker 1>first one of the year. I'll take the B plus.

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<v Speaker 1>It was pretty good. Got a lot of Joe guys.

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<v Speaker 2>And now you know, i'd say, do we have it

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<v Speaker 2>yet where the analysts are on did you love your

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<v Speaker 2>own draft?

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<v Speaker 1>Or you know what? I didn't even see if I'm

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<v Speaker 1>sure I did. If anybody loves my own drafts, it's me.

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<v Speaker 1>You're right, I should go back and see who graded

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<v Speaker 1>me how. But look, you can spend five minutes, ten minutes,

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<v Speaker 1>three hours go to fantasypros dot com slash draft Wizard.

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<v Speaker 1>Check it out right now. You can have all the

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<v Speaker 1>settings you want, and obviously you have more settings available

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<v Speaker 1>to you when you're a premium member of Fantasy pro

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<v Speaker 1>So you can go do that. Fantasybros dot Com slash offers.

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<v Speaker 1>Go take one of our offers there upgrade six three

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<v Speaker 1>months of Fantasy Pro. You could do that, but I'm

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<v Speaker 1>telling you, I love the Draft Wizard. Welsh loves the

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<v Speaker 1>Draft Wizard. It's a great way to start getting prepared

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<v Speaker 1>for the season. To go check that out. Let's also

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<v Speaker 1>check out these top dogs. The consensus number one, it's

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<v Speaker 1>Trey Turner of the now Philadelphia Phillies. So he has

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<v Speaker 1>come to Philadelphia. Bryce Harper, we'll see sometime this season.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll see Aaron Judge is at the two spot. Julio

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<v Speaker 1>Rodriguez is at three, Jose Ramirez at four, Ron Laconi

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<v Speaker 1>at five, Kyle Tucker at six, Juan Soto at seven,

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<v Speaker 1>Jordan Alvarez or Jordan Alvarez, I have to call him

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<v Speaker 1>by his name now his number eight, Mookie Betts is nine,

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<v Speaker 1>and Vlad Guerrero at ten. Welsh, you and I have

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<v Speaker 1>a different number one. You have Ronald Acunia. So do

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<v Speaker 1>I let's talk about it, because Trey Turner is up

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<v Speaker 1>at the top. Why is not Ronald Acunia that guy?

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<v Speaker 1>Why is the consensus early on Trey Turner instead?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, it's really interesting, and to throw this

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<v Speaker 2>out as well, just to give some perspective. I know

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<v Speaker 2>this isn't everything. There's also NFBC Drafts out there, which

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<v Speaker 2>has really probably created all of the ADP, but it's

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<v Speaker 2>a different game. It's a little bit of a different

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<v Speaker 2>game than a lot of the consumer stuff we're going

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<v Speaker 2>to be playing. I did a sorting of Draft Champions,

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<v Speaker 2>which is probably a better way to look Draft Champions

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<v Speaker 2>twenty one drafts have happened so far since December first,

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<v Speaker 2>and check this out. Trey Turner is the number one

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<v Speaker 2>overall player again, so that if you really want to

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<v Speaker 2>find the consensus, I think we're kind of on the

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<v Speaker 2>consensus at Fantasy Pros with what's going on over there.

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<v Speaker 2>But the next four are not the same. Ronald Dacunya

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<v Speaker 2>is number two over on NFBC on the Draft Champions,

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<v Speaker 2>Julio's three, Jose Ramirez is four, and Aaron Judge is five.

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<v Speaker 2>So I'm bringing that all in to say that I

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<v Speaker 2>think what you've got with Ronald 'cuoney right now is

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<v Speaker 2>you've got a little bit of depressed power from last year,

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<v Speaker 2>and you've also got an injury, and then you're gonna

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<v Speaker 2>pair that with some crazy performances, and you've got Jose Ramirez,

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<v Speaker 2>who I think justified to be in this conversation because

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<v Speaker 2>you're getting elite stolen bases and really consistent production four

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<v Speaker 2>straight years I think of twenty twenty or even twenty

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<v Speaker 2>five to twenty five, and it's at a position that

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<v Speaker 2>kind of stinks, and you get the stolen bases. Aaron

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<v Speaker 2>Judge lop off twenty percent of his production and he's

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<v Speaker 2>still probably one of the number one Fantasy overall players,

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<v Speaker 2>and he steals, and then Julio Rodriguez with his elite steals,

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<v Speaker 2>So like, what's the common denominator here? It steals. It's

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<v Speaker 2>all the steals. So why is Zacunya coming back down

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<v Speaker 2>when his savant page is as red as red? It's

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<v Speaker 2>the red scene. It's still everything it was before. And

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<v Speaker 2>what did he do in the meantime when the power

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<v Speaker 2>was a little bit suppressed coming off of injury? Is

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<v Speaker 2>he just stolen the lead amount of basis? I think

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<v Speaker 2>he was still fourth in.

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<v Speaker 1>Baseball nineteen games, and while that was supposed to be,

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<v Speaker 1>like he's coming off knee surgery, so maybe this sole

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<v Speaker 1>base will be down. Literally we talked about everybody thought

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<v Speaker 1>would be the case, and it wasn't the case. At

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<v Speaker 1>all Acuni is my one turner two and then I've

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<v Speaker 1>got Julio three too. So it's funny how we see

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<v Speaker 1>things in a different light necessarily than the early consensus.

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<v Speaker 1>But I mean with a more time removed from that injury. Look,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, obviously, Coul you have played in the postseason two,

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<v Speaker 1>so a little bit more tread on the tires, and

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<v Speaker 1>then you know, maybe some other players coming off injury.

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<v Speaker 1>But regardless, I'm kind of where you are, Like, I

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<v Speaker 1>think he is that combination of those things and not

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<v Speaker 1>a knock on tray turner if you are in a

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<v Speaker 1>three active outfielder league and the supposed to five. Sure,

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<v Speaker 1>I can understand that because you get the flexibility of

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<v Speaker 1>that too. Plus I like the ballpark factor too, a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit easier place to hit home runs a Dodger Stadium.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And I just want to I want to add

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<v Speaker 2>like outfield is kind of a big key here as well,

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<v Speaker 2>and I just want to.

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<v Speaker 1>Throw out here, by the way, can we just.

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<v Speaker 2>It's one of my big issues that I'm going to

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<v Speaker 2>be dealing with, but you know, just the thing to

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<v Speaker 2>add lastly, when we're looking at it, you still had

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<v Speaker 2>top percent markers even though the power was down fifteen homers,

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<v Speaker 2>a lot less than you would have wanted to see

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<v Speaker 2>in normal years. I'm not looking at where his ISO was,

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<v Speaker 2>I don't have it, but I think his slugging was down.

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<v Speaker 2>But you've got a top two percent max ev top

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<v Speaker 2>eight percent in x slug and expected slugging top five

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<v Speaker 2>percent and expected wOBA wobacan top five percent. Hard hit

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<v Speaker 2>was top eight percent.

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<v Speaker 1>So like some of them going Wolbacon by the way,

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<v Speaker 1>great and it's going to be right. I'm dressing up

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<v Speaker 1>as a swinging strike rate, you.

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<v Speaker 2>Dressed up as a baseball, you drive as a baseball drift.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a big min that's exactly right. But my whole

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<v Speaker 2>point is is like the the stats weren't exactly there,

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<v Speaker 2>but all the underlying stuff is still there. With a

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<v Speaker 2>great team in a great ballpark, the factors are there.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm still with Ronald Lacunya, and you get him at

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<v Speaker 2>a deal. And it's actually kind of why I really

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<v Speaker 2>love that fourth pick in drafts right now, because it

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<v Speaker 2>allows you one of elite, these elite players to kind

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<v Speaker 2>of drop and then you get to make the decision

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit like maybe you're getting Judge, maybe're getting Hulio,

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<v Speaker 2>maybe you're getting Acuna. Any of those work Turner and

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<v Speaker 2>Ramirez obviously makes sense. But yeah, I think the guy

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<v Speaker 2>to focus on here is Akunya because you and I

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<v Speaker 2>have met one and he shows up at five on

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<v Speaker 2>the consensus rank, and I one one hundred percent believe

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<v Speaker 2>that will change over the next two or three months

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<v Speaker 2>and at least two months, and you're going to see

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<v Speaker 2>him jump up to maybe at three on consensus, but

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<v Speaker 2>he might not push one.

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<v Speaker 1>Real quick too. Kyle Tucker, I think one of the

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<v Speaker 1>guys is going to benefit some of the most from

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<v Speaker 1>the shift banning or changing modification whenever you want to

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<v Speaker 1>call it. Corey Seger another guy too, probably the most

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<v Speaker 1>guy to be helped from that shift change concept. I

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<v Speaker 1>look one, so to what seven is a great value?

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<v Speaker 1>Love this? Jose Ramirez is my early guy for MVP

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<v Speaker 1>this year. We're go to talk more about that as

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<v Speaker 1>we go. Lots to talk about there, because I do

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<v Speaker 1>think go Tani does get traded this year, so that's

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<v Speaker 1>going to make things really real lacky and wonky when

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<v Speaker 1>we get to that point. But look, I don't have

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<v Speaker 1>much of a problem with the top ten Actually, this

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<v Speaker 1>is a really solid top ten. I love that my

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<v Speaker 1>boy Alvarez is in there. I think Glad should be

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<v Speaker 1>in there. The only question is we get to that

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<v Speaker 1>next year, the eleventh or twenty. We start with Otani

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<v Speaker 1>at eleven. If you're in a league where you get

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<v Speaker 1>the two players in one, especially in a points league,

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<v Speaker 1>head to head, oh, Tani's a number one player, period,

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<v Speaker 1>end of story. Like it's not close, so's.

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<v Speaker 2>And that's my pretty adjustment, and that's my problem with it,

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<v Speaker 2>and that's why my focal point on this group of

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<v Speaker 2>ten is Showho Tani that we have to talk about

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<v Speaker 2>him in like four different ways. You got to talk

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<v Speaker 2>about his hitter only as pitcher, only as dual weekly

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<v Speaker 2>and dual daily, So dual daily, he's the number one

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<v Speaker 2>player in every format, points, head to head, roto dynasty, keeper, redraft.

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<v Speaker 2>It doesn't matter. He's the number one player. You and

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<v Speaker 2>I famously last year were obnoxious about Otani and how

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<v Speaker 2>he didn't win the titles and everything, but it is

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<v Speaker 2>what it is. He's a number one player in there.

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<v Speaker 2>Now you take away and he's a dual eligible player

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<v Speaker 2>in weekly leagues, that's tougher because he's probably primarily a hitter.

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<v Speaker 2>He's almost just a straight up hitter in that format.

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<v Speaker 2>And this is where I still think he's inside the

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<v Speaker 2>top ten. Though I still think even in that format

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<v Speaker 2>he's in the top ten. You can make adjustments, you

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<v Speaker 2>get the pitching edge. As a hitter, he's still an

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<v Speaker 2>insanely crazy high performer of thirty plus homers, double digitsole

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<v Speaker 2>and bases. The team is definitely looking to be better.

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<v Speaker 2>You're gonna have Anthony Rayn dooneback. They brought in Hunter Renfro. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>they just brought some more pieces into maybe offensively help.

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<v Speaker 2>And then when he's a sole eligible player, which at

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<v Speaker 2>this point I think is just like Yahoo, maybe there's

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<v Speaker 2>another one. This is where that's tough because Otani is

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<v Speaker 2>probably like between fifteen and twenty at SP at best,

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<v Speaker 2>and then hitter he's probably you know, he's util lonely.

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<v Speaker 2>That's the thing that holds him back. If he was

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<v Speaker 2>like an outfielder, if he was outfield and sp eligible,

0:09:57.760 --> 0:10:01.320
<v Speaker 2>the weekly would even move up. But only does drop

0:10:01.400 --> 0:10:02.920
<v Speaker 2>you just a tiny bit. But still as a hitter,

0:10:03.000 --> 0:10:05.280
<v Speaker 2>he's a top two round player. I just think that

0:10:05.520 --> 0:10:07.720
<v Speaker 2>you got to focus here because this is the one

0:10:07.720 --> 0:10:09.480
<v Speaker 2>player that is not traded equal. And I know like

0:10:09.520 --> 0:10:11.319
<v Speaker 2>points and head to head changes, but this is a

0:10:11.360 --> 0:10:13.560
<v Speaker 2>player that can go from number one overall down to

0:10:13.600 --> 0:10:15.679
<v Speaker 2>even in the late twenties if he's just a pitcher

0:10:15.760 --> 0:10:16.439
<v Speaker 2>or something like that.

0:10:16.520 --> 0:10:20.480
<v Speaker 1>But yeplayer variance depending on you know what where he is.

0:10:20.520 --> 0:10:23.600
<v Speaker 1>And again, the push I'm making is looking at the division,

0:10:24.400 --> 0:10:27.800
<v Speaker 1>seeing what the Texas Rangers did this offseason, seeing what

0:10:27.880 --> 0:10:30.200
<v Speaker 1>the Astros still are, seeing what the Mariners, I still

0:10:30.240 --> 0:10:32.720
<v Speaker 1>believe are and I think they're the fourth best team

0:10:32.720 --> 0:10:34.320
<v Speaker 1>in this division at best. And I just don't think

0:10:34.360 --> 0:10:35.560
<v Speaker 1>that's gonna be good enough at the end of the day.

0:10:35.559 --> 0:10:38.360
<v Speaker 1>And I think that's why the early market for Oton's

0:10:38.360 --> 0:10:40.240
<v Speaker 1>gonna be fastening, because you're gonna looking at teams who

0:10:40.240 --> 0:10:43.120
<v Speaker 1>can afford to make that kind of move, who have

0:10:43.160 --> 0:10:46.719
<v Speaker 1>the prospects to get it done, because you could get

0:10:46.840 --> 0:10:49.840
<v Speaker 1>the most enormous haul for prospects maybe we've ever seen

0:10:49.960 --> 0:10:52.280
<v Speaker 1>for a guy like shoey Otani, because it's one thing

0:10:52.280 --> 0:10:53.880
<v Speaker 1>to add a big picture of the deadline. It's a

0:10:53.880 --> 0:10:55.640
<v Speaker 1>nothing to add a big hitter, it's nothing to add

0:10:55.679 --> 0:10:58.360
<v Speaker 1>both with one player. It's something we've never seen in

0:10:58.360 --> 0:11:00.680
<v Speaker 1>our lifetimes. Happen, and I think it's gonna happen this

0:11:00.720 --> 0:11:02.640
<v Speaker 1>year because I think the Angels once again are going

0:11:02.679 --> 0:11:05.440
<v Speaker 1>to be irrelevant when push comes to show.

0:11:05.600 --> 0:11:08.480
<v Speaker 2>The interesting thing about that, though, I think there's a

0:11:08.520 --> 0:11:11.160
<v Speaker 2>lot of different sides to it. Like they've they've made

0:11:11.160 --> 0:11:12.920
<v Speaker 2>their push, this is the best thing Angels can do

0:11:12.960 --> 0:11:15.080
<v Speaker 2>with the money that they've spent and screwed up. Also,

0:11:15.120 --> 0:11:18.239
<v Speaker 2>by the way, well, and that's that's.

0:11:18.000 --> 0:11:18.520
<v Speaker 1>What it comes to.

0:11:18.679 --> 0:11:20.960
<v Speaker 2>Like they brought in, they traded for renfro and then

0:11:21.000 --> 0:11:23.400
<v Speaker 2>they bring in Tyler Anderson, and they get rin doone

0:11:23.400 --> 0:11:25.320
<v Speaker 2>back and they get to trying to put the pieces together.

0:11:25.600 --> 0:11:27.680
<v Speaker 2>If they don't win, I actually kind of agree if

0:11:27.720 --> 0:11:29.959
<v Speaker 2>they've done all of that, they really do need to

0:11:30.000 --> 0:11:32.240
<v Speaker 2>look at themselves and say, can we bring him back?

0:11:32.240 --> 0:11:34.040
<v Speaker 2>And do we just need to retool this. Here's my

0:11:34.080 --> 0:11:36.400
<v Speaker 2>only problem. I don't even know if the Mets. I mean,

0:11:36.400 --> 0:11:38.880
<v Speaker 2>there are other organizations that could have better Hall Mets happened.

0:11:38.880 --> 0:11:40.440
<v Speaker 2>I don't know if the Mets, well, I just don't

0:11:40.440 --> 0:11:42.560
<v Speaker 2>know if they do. I mean, Francisco Alvarez would be

0:11:42.600 --> 0:11:45.440
<v Speaker 2>the key piece, one of the biggest guys to it,

0:11:46.320 --> 0:11:48.400
<v Speaker 2>But where else are they going to go, they don't

0:11:48.480 --> 0:11:49.360
<v Speaker 2>treat well.

0:11:49.520 --> 0:11:51.720
<v Speaker 1>Do you think it's a Do you think it's a

0:11:51.880 --> 0:11:54.480
<v Speaker 1>surprise that they went out and got another catcher, had

0:11:54.559 --> 0:11:55.439
<v Speaker 1>more catcher depth.

0:11:55.280 --> 0:11:57.520
<v Speaker 2>This year with no, I don't mean yeah, well, I

0:11:57.559 --> 0:12:00.680
<v Speaker 2>mean Alvarez was in the rumored stuff with with one

0:12:00.720 --> 0:12:01.840
<v Speaker 2>Soto and that never ended up.

0:12:01.840 --> 0:12:03.800
<v Speaker 1>Well, well, I mean it is. But I think at

0:12:03.800 --> 0:12:05.960
<v Speaker 1>the end of the day, the Angels, more than any team,

0:12:06.080 --> 0:12:09.640
<v Speaker 1>need to restock the organization and they can't let Atani walk.

0:12:09.679 --> 0:12:11.000
<v Speaker 1>But let me, this is gonna be a topic. I'm

0:12:11.000 --> 0:12:13.439
<v Speaker 1>sure for many many shows to come, we're gonna talk

0:12:13.440 --> 0:12:15.080
<v Speaker 1>about this. Let's talk about the rest of the guys

0:12:15.080 --> 0:12:18.040
<v Speaker 1>eleven through twenty. In the next tier, we've got after

0:12:18.080 --> 0:12:21.480
<v Speaker 1>Otani eleven, Freddie Freeman at twelve, Bobby Wood Junior, What

0:12:21.559 --> 0:12:24.640
<v Speaker 1>a great season he had. We were right to be

0:12:24.679 --> 0:12:26.880
<v Speaker 1>as bullish as we were. Did it get off to

0:12:27.720 --> 0:12:31.760
<v Speaker 1>a dubious start? Yes? Did my boy close? You sure? Did?

0:12:32.040 --> 0:12:32.120
<v Speaker 2>You?

0:12:32.200 --> 0:12:36.120
<v Speaker 1>Sure? Did? Bobby Wood Junior looking fantastic. Corbyn Burns at fourteen,

0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:38.480
<v Speaker 1>great spot there, followed by Garrett Cole at fifteen, by

0:12:38.520 --> 0:12:41.200
<v Speaker 1>Trout at sixteen. Bobash had seventeen many Mischado at eighteen,

0:12:41.520 --> 0:12:44.560
<v Speaker 1>Raphaeld Devers staying put in Boston. That's at nineteen, at

0:12:44.559 --> 0:12:46.960
<v Speaker 1>Pete a Lonzo at twenty. Again love this. I liked

0:12:46.960 --> 0:12:49.800
<v Speaker 1>that Burns is ahead. I think that's all the guy

0:12:49.800 --> 0:12:52.640
<v Speaker 1>that could possibly be on the move this year Burns

0:12:52.640 --> 0:12:54.440
<v Speaker 1>and Cole makes sense to me? Is top fifteen? You

0:12:54.480 --> 0:12:58.000
<v Speaker 1>know me, I don't love these top pitchers going early

0:12:58.040 --> 0:13:00.920
<v Speaker 1>for them. That's not where I am with well Fantasy

0:13:00.960 --> 0:13:03.280
<v Speaker 1>baseball right now. But what are your thoughts on those

0:13:03.320 --> 0:13:05.760
<v Speaker 1>guys there? And what are your thoughts also about Bobby

0:13:05.760 --> 0:13:08.439
<v Speaker 1>Witt being a top fifteen player this year already in

0:13:08.480 --> 0:13:08.920
<v Speaker 1>the ranks.

0:13:09.080 --> 0:13:10.719
<v Speaker 2>Well, here's a couple things I want to point out.

0:13:10.880 --> 0:13:13.560
<v Speaker 2>First off, how insane is it that this is maybe

0:13:13.559 --> 0:13:15.160
<v Speaker 2>one of the first years we've ever seen that you

0:13:15.200 --> 0:13:16.880
<v Speaker 2>don't see in the consistent rank there's not a pitcher

0:13:16.880 --> 0:13:20.079
<v Speaker 2>inside the top ten or for twelve. Well, but it's

0:13:20.120 --> 0:13:21.920
<v Speaker 2>always the thing that happens. I think Roto is going

0:13:22.000 --> 0:13:23.760
<v Speaker 2>to push these guys up. I have that same order.

0:13:23.880 --> 0:13:25.880
<v Speaker 2>I've got Burns and Cole, and I've got them not

0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:28.439
<v Speaker 2>inside the top twelve. I might have. I mean, I

0:13:28.440 --> 0:13:30.719
<v Speaker 2>guess technically in a fifteen team, Roto both of them

0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:32.960
<v Speaker 2>do touch the first round if you're not looking at twelve.

0:13:33.000 --> 0:13:35.440
<v Speaker 2>But I think that's the general range. I will probably

0:13:35.440 --> 0:13:38.600
<v Speaker 2>have zero point zero shares of those guys at that cost.

0:13:39.000 --> 0:13:42.720
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to be predominantly hit or hitter in my drafts,

0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:44.760
<v Speaker 2>and Bobby Witt at this cost would be someone I'm

0:13:44.760 --> 0:13:47.160
<v Speaker 2>one hundred percent taking a look at. The funny thing

0:13:47.160 --> 0:13:49.720
<v Speaker 2>about it is Wit is going at an insanely different

0:13:49.760 --> 0:13:53.640
<v Speaker 2>costs than NFBC drafts in the Draft Champions seven, So

0:13:55.120 --> 0:13:57.760
<v Speaker 2>draft and rank is going to be something really interesting

0:13:57.760 --> 0:14:00.960
<v Speaker 2>to follow. NFBC drafts also are a lot more upside

0:14:01.000 --> 0:14:02.959
<v Speaker 2>you're chasing stolen bases, so I'm not I'm not a

0:14:03.000 --> 0:14:04.800
<v Speaker 2>surprised to see him there, but I got a hard

0:14:04.800 --> 0:14:07.319
<v Speaker 2>time looking at like Bobby Witt over you know some

0:14:07.400 --> 0:14:10.439
<v Speaker 2>really key veterans. So seven is way too high over

0:14:11.040 --> 0:14:11.400
<v Speaker 2>right now?

0:14:11.400 --> 0:14:12.240
<v Speaker 1>Do you think that's wrong?

0:14:12.600 --> 0:14:14.160
<v Speaker 2>See don't. I don't know if I agree with that

0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:16.760
<v Speaker 2>right now. Like I'm into Bobby WIT's progression, but I

0:14:16.760 --> 0:14:19.080
<v Speaker 2>think Bobaschett is underrated right now, and I think that's

0:14:19.120 --> 0:14:22.880
<v Speaker 2>a really tough pill to swallow, taking Wit over Boshett.

0:14:23.160 --> 0:14:25.240
<v Speaker 2>If you're looking for consistency, but you got to take

0:14:25.240 --> 0:14:27.680
<v Speaker 2>your shots in some places either way. Man, I think

0:14:27.680 --> 0:14:29.520
<v Speaker 2>this is a great spot for when you're looking for

0:14:29.560 --> 0:14:32.160
<v Speaker 2>twenty five plus stolen bases with an uptick in power,

0:14:32.160 --> 0:14:34.520
<v Speaker 2>which Bobby Witt can do. It's just a team context

0:14:34.560 --> 0:14:36.760
<v Speaker 2>sucks and if you look at where can I get

0:14:36.760 --> 0:14:40.840
<v Speaker 2>more runs in RBI, if you compare Baschett and Bobby Witt,

0:14:40.880 --> 0:14:43.440
<v Speaker 2>maybe you get more stolen bases with Bobby. You could

0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:45.560
<v Speaker 2>easily get more homers with Bishett. But you also have

0:14:45.560 --> 0:14:49.160
<v Speaker 2>a better run and RBI opportunity with the Blue Jays

0:14:49.160 --> 0:14:50.400
<v Speaker 2>than you do with the Royals. So I think they're

0:14:50.440 --> 0:14:52.640
<v Speaker 2>really close. But I'm in with Bobby Witt. No would

0:14:52.640 --> 0:14:55.000
<v Speaker 2>one hundred percent taken? Would you say it was seventeen sixteen?

0:14:55.520 --> 0:14:56.680
<v Speaker 1>He is at thirteen right now?

0:14:56.720 --> 0:14:57.680
<v Speaker 2>Or at thirteen okay?

0:14:57.720 --> 0:14:59.960
<v Speaker 1>Yes, which I think there's a chance that he might

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:02.320
<v Speaker 1>crack top ten at some point because I do think

0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:03.960
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna look at the stone bases and look at

0:15:03.960 --> 0:15:06.120
<v Speaker 1>the deficit in that category, and people like you said

0:15:06.520 --> 0:15:09.080
<v Speaker 1>was gonna push And I don't know if it's wrong,

0:15:09.440 --> 0:15:10.960
<v Speaker 1>but I love him right where he is right now.

0:15:11.000 --> 0:15:13.520
<v Speaker 1>I think that's perfect. I'm concerned it's gonna move up.

0:15:13.560 --> 0:15:14.920
<v Speaker 1>We'll see, we'll see what happened.

0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:17.280
<v Speaker 2>Well in the NFBC drafts. His his high pick was

0:15:17.400 --> 0:15:20.080
<v Speaker 2>five and his low pick was ten, so he never

0:15:20.120 --> 0:15:21.040
<v Speaker 2>went below ten.

0:15:21.280 --> 0:15:24.480
<v Speaker 1>And that's why I believe when people start seeing that

0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:26.400
<v Speaker 1>that will push up because of the stone bases. And

0:15:26.440 --> 0:15:29.360
<v Speaker 1>I think that early indicator is one that look, if

0:15:29.360 --> 0:15:31.880
<v Speaker 1>you're doing early best ball drafts right now, you're getting

0:15:31.880 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 1>a value on Bobby wid do it take it now

0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:37.440
<v Speaker 1>because it ain't gonna be there in six weeks. It's

0:15:37.480 --> 0:15:39.720
<v Speaker 1>is not going to be there the rest of these guys.

0:15:39.800 --> 0:15:42.800
<v Speaker 1>Like I said, another no problems here. I think he

0:15:42.880 --> 0:15:46.880
<v Speaker 1>did a tremendous value here with these corner guys, with Machado, Devers,

0:15:46.920 --> 0:15:48.480
<v Speaker 1>and Alonzo at the end of this tier and the

0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:51.400
<v Speaker 1>tops one in eighteen nineteen to twenty Mike Trout at sixteen.

0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:52.360
<v Speaker 1>Does that feel right to you?

0:15:54.200 --> 0:15:56.160
<v Speaker 2>I mean it feels right in that like I'm gonna

0:15:56.160 --> 0:15:58.840
<v Speaker 2>take him. I'm going to think in general range one

0:15:58.880 --> 0:16:02.280
<v Speaker 2>hundred percent. So yeah, I think it's about the general spot.

0:16:02.360 --> 0:16:05.800
<v Speaker 2>I actually think the like mid second round is pretty sweet.

0:16:05.880 --> 0:16:07.760
<v Speaker 2>You said those three corner in I mean I think

0:16:07.760 --> 0:16:09.920
<v Speaker 2>you said Machado Endeavors, but you gotta throw Austin Riley

0:16:10.000 --> 0:16:12.520
<v Speaker 2>in there as well. You throw him those guys in there.

0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:14.520
<v Speaker 2>You have Mike Trout, you've got some of those pitchers.

0:16:14.560 --> 0:16:16.360
<v Speaker 2>I think the mid second round is really nice. That's

0:16:16.360 --> 0:16:19.120
<v Speaker 2>also why remember I said I like that fourth pick,

0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:21.120
<v Speaker 2>maybe even if you want to go five, because then

0:16:21.160 --> 0:16:23.480
<v Speaker 2>that turnaround, you've got a legit shot at one of

0:16:23.520 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 2>those pitchers. You've got a legit shot at one of

0:16:25.320 --> 0:16:27.840
<v Speaker 2>those corner infielders. Third base is not deep this year.

0:16:28.120 --> 0:16:31.680
<v Speaker 2>You could theoretically get a Kune at five and then

0:16:31.760 --> 0:16:35.240
<v Speaker 2>Rafael Devers in the second round. That's a bonker start.

0:16:35.320 --> 0:16:37.240
<v Speaker 2>That's a bonker start to your draft. And then you

0:16:37.240 --> 0:16:38.560
<v Speaker 2>can touch pitching a little bit later.

0:16:39.000 --> 0:16:41.800
<v Speaker 1>Well, I think in the season long formats, look, you

0:16:41.840 --> 0:16:44.320
<v Speaker 1>take whatever one hundred games you can get out of

0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:46.520
<v Speaker 1>Mike Trout. It's great. You know, you had forty bombs

0:16:46.560 --> 0:16:48.840
<v Speaker 1>last year and one hundred and eighteen games whatever it was.

0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:51.560
<v Speaker 1>But at the same time, those head to head formats,

0:16:51.560 --> 0:16:53.160
<v Speaker 1>you got to really think long and hard about that

0:16:53.280 --> 0:16:55.920
<v Speaker 1>because one hundred and eighteen games, thirty six games, fifty

0:16:55.960 --> 0:16:57.720
<v Speaker 1>three games, one hundred and thirty four games, one hundred

0:16:57.720 --> 0:17:00.240
<v Speaker 1>and forty games, one hundred and fourteen game, Like I'm

0:17:00.280 --> 0:17:03.120
<v Speaker 1>literally giving just going backwards here, like those head to

0:17:03.160 --> 0:17:05.920
<v Speaker 1>head matches where we don't have that premium player. It's

0:17:05.960 --> 0:17:09.200
<v Speaker 1>a tough investment. It is a great point though, too,

0:17:09.600 --> 0:17:12.040
<v Speaker 1>to make as you go into the second tier, these

0:17:12.080 --> 0:17:14.960
<v Speaker 1>eleven through twenty guys, it's a really good year for

0:17:15.640 --> 0:17:18.560
<v Speaker 1>salary cap draft formats because there's some really good value

0:17:18.560 --> 0:17:19.960
<v Speaker 1>here where you don't have to pay for the very

0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:21.560
<v Speaker 1>top of the board guys. We can get some real

0:17:21.600 --> 0:17:24.240
<v Speaker 1>premium talent here in this next tier and get like

0:17:24.280 --> 0:17:26.280
<v Speaker 1>two or three guys supposed to just maybe one of

0:17:26.320 --> 0:17:29.800
<v Speaker 1>the big guys there. Next grouping twenty one through thirty,

0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:32.400
<v Speaker 1>we start with Sandy al Contrac coming off a fantastic season,

0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:36.480
<v Speaker 1>Cy young Worthy, then Fernando Tettis Junior starting point this

0:17:36.560 --> 0:17:39.399
<v Speaker 1>year twenty two. Remember that, because it ain't going to

0:17:39.440 --> 0:17:41.080
<v Speaker 1>be there in a month from now. It's not going

0:17:41.119 --> 0:17:44.399
<v Speaker 1>to be there. Fernando Tettis Junior at twenty two, Austin Riley,

0:17:44.400 --> 0:17:47.040
<v Speaker 1>who you mentioned before, at twenty three, Paul Goldschman at

0:17:47.080 --> 0:17:50.600
<v Speaker 1>twenty four, then Edwin Diaz at twenty five, going ahead

0:17:50.600 --> 0:17:54.240
<v Speaker 1>of Jacob de Gram at twenty six, Francisco Lindor twenty seven,

0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:57.240
<v Speaker 1>who I personally think is being undervalued here at this ranking,

0:17:57.560 --> 0:18:01.000
<v Speaker 1>Jose Altuve at twenty eight, Michael Harris who had himself

0:18:01.000 --> 0:18:02.720
<v Speaker 1>a heck of a season at twenty nine, and Dylan

0:18:02.800 --> 0:18:05.320
<v Speaker 1>Season at thirty. So this is where things start to

0:18:05.359 --> 0:18:08.320
<v Speaker 1>open up for interpretation. We gotta start with Tatis junior

0:18:08.560 --> 0:18:10.480
<v Speaker 1>because this is the wildcard guy. He could be a

0:18:10.560 --> 0:18:13.080
<v Speaker 1>league winner for you or he could be another year

0:18:13.160 --> 0:18:18.920
<v Speaker 1>of massive disappointment. I know you are the dice rolland

0:18:19.760 --> 0:18:22.920
<v Speaker 1>wheeling and deal in high flying Byron Buckston drafting kind

0:18:22.920 --> 0:18:25.520
<v Speaker 1>of guy. So how do you feel about Fernando Tetis

0:18:25.640 --> 0:18:26.360
<v Speaker 1>Junior this year?

0:18:26.720 --> 0:18:31.119
<v Speaker 2>You know what's a surprise you is I'm probably not

0:18:31.119 --> 0:18:32.880
<v Speaker 2>gonna have a lot of Tatis, And you are right.

0:18:32.960 --> 0:18:37.960
<v Speaker 2>I'm a limousine riding jeff Lyon jet Lyon son of

0:18:37.960 --> 0:18:41.560
<v Speaker 2>a Gun that'll draft the Buckston's and I listen, Tatis's

0:18:41.640 --> 0:18:44.240
<v Speaker 2>projections are nuts. There are still nuts, and he's gonna

0:18:44.240 --> 0:18:46.000
<v Speaker 2>miss a month. He's gonna miss a month of the season,

0:18:46.359 --> 0:18:48.720
<v Speaker 2>and he's still got you know, I think it's like

0:18:48.880 --> 0:18:52.439
<v Speaker 2>close to forty homers twenty plus stolen bases. Actually, as

0:18:52.480 --> 0:18:54.080
<v Speaker 2>we're doing this, fan grafts is down, so I can't

0:18:54.080 --> 0:18:56.240
<v Speaker 2>look at the Steamer projections or it's down for me

0:18:56.520 --> 0:18:58.359
<v Speaker 2>and I can't look at it. But he's got really

0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:01.840
<v Speaker 2>crazy numbers. But I would say something I don't love

0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:04.040
<v Speaker 2>is miss games off the top of the year. I

0:19:04.080 --> 0:19:06.359
<v Speaker 2>don't like coming out the gates bad, especially with this

0:19:06.440 --> 0:19:09.840
<v Speaker 2>Hiven investment. Tatisa is already moving up and those draft

0:19:09.920 --> 0:19:13.760
<v Speaker 2>champions that I'm citing. His ADP is now eighteen, so

0:19:13.800 --> 0:19:16.399
<v Speaker 2>he's now inside the top twenty. His high pick is

0:19:16.560 --> 0:19:18.400
<v Speaker 2>twelve and his low pick is twenty eight.

0:19:18.520 --> 0:19:20.280
<v Speaker 1>I'll tell you there's twenty two again.

0:19:20.680 --> 0:19:21.399
<v Speaker 2>No, I agree with you.

0:19:21.640 --> 0:19:23.480
<v Speaker 1>We are not going to see that number when we

0:19:23.520 --> 0:19:25.399
<v Speaker 1>come back into a show next week. I even guarantee you.

0:19:25.520 --> 0:19:27.119
<v Speaker 2>Well, you want to know what's crazy about it is

0:19:27.160 --> 0:19:29.400
<v Speaker 2>I'm pretty he should have no issue with this. He's

0:19:29.440 --> 0:19:30.960
<v Speaker 2>be able to play spring training and then he'll just

0:19:30.960 --> 0:19:33.360
<v Speaker 2>be suspended after the fact. You know what.

0:19:33.560 --> 0:19:35.720
<v Speaker 1>I know he had like a game surgery left on

0:19:35.760 --> 0:19:36.240
<v Speaker 1>there too.

0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:39.399
<v Speaker 2>I think it's twenty. I think it's like twenty something

0:19:39.400 --> 0:19:41.480
<v Speaker 2>games left, so he's gonna miss April. He's gonna miss

0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:43.960
<v Speaker 2>essentially April, but he also had this potentially.

0:19:43.920 --> 0:19:47.440
<v Speaker 1>D L stint. You know, like that's what you're missing.

0:19:47.160 --> 0:19:49.240
<v Speaker 2>But it's significant enough. I don't like coming out the

0:19:49.280 --> 0:19:52.119
<v Speaker 2>gates missing that, and that's just something I'm a little against,

0:19:52.200 --> 0:19:53.919
<v Speaker 2>especially with the high cost when you get if he's

0:19:53.920 --> 0:19:55.639
<v Speaker 2>out in spring training in less than a month, I'm

0:19:55.680 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 2>gonna be on the backfield the first day. My plan

0:19:57.680 --> 0:19:59.479
<v Speaker 2>is to go to San Diego because I've also got

0:19:59.560 --> 0:20:01.480
<v Speaker 2>Soto and everybody there now, and i want to see

0:20:01.520 --> 0:20:04.359
<v Speaker 2>what's going on when he's there and he's looking healthy

0:20:04.640 --> 0:20:07.359
<v Speaker 2>and he's hitting with Soto and he's crushing on the backfields.

0:20:07.560 --> 0:20:09.159
<v Speaker 2>It's going to start to tick up when he's in

0:20:09.200 --> 0:20:11.040
<v Speaker 2>spring training. Hims, it's gonna tick up. It's going to

0:20:11.080 --> 0:20:13.240
<v Speaker 2>push first round LEGiT's gonna push the first round, and

0:20:13.240 --> 0:20:15.040
<v Speaker 2>we're all gonna put blinders on for the first month.

0:20:16.040 --> 0:20:18.320
<v Speaker 2>This is not going to surprise anybody. The guy that

0:20:18.400 --> 0:20:20.640
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to probably have more shares of that's in

0:20:20.640 --> 0:20:25.200
<v Speaker 2>this round and it is my jet flying limousine ride

0:20:25.240 --> 0:20:29.000
<v Speaker 2>and who is Jacob de grom No, it's crazy, I

0:20:29.040 --> 0:20:29.960
<v Speaker 2>know it's crazy.

0:20:30.560 --> 0:20:32.080
<v Speaker 1>It's gonna make you feel like we should have an

0:20:32.119 --> 0:20:33.120
<v Speaker 1>intervention right now.

0:20:33.320 --> 0:20:34.199
<v Speaker 2>I can't listen to this.

0:20:34.320 --> 0:20:36.640
<v Speaker 1>Friends don't let friends draft Jacob de Grom anymore.

0:20:36.680 --> 0:20:39.000
<v Speaker 2>Here's my big thing, here's my big thing with him.

0:20:39.440 --> 0:20:41.720
<v Speaker 2>He is And I'm not saying I'm gonna take because

0:20:41.800 --> 0:20:43.280
<v Speaker 2>this would have to be like a lad I knew.

0:20:43.160 --> 0:20:44.919
<v Speaker 1>You were going to say, I know you held it

0:20:45.000 --> 0:20:46.600
<v Speaker 1>inside my bones. I knew it.

0:20:46.920 --> 0:20:49.840
<v Speaker 2>I'm not going to I'm gonna preface this. We're gonna

0:20:49.840 --> 0:20:52.720
<v Speaker 2>talk next round. I'm not going to probably have the

0:20:52.760 --> 0:20:56.040
<v Speaker 2>shares of him in this range because of the cost

0:20:56.080 --> 0:20:58.920
<v Speaker 2>of my draft strategy, but I'm more likely to take

0:20:58.960 --> 0:21:02.760
<v Speaker 2>the risk this year because Jacob deGrom win healthy, and

0:21:02.800 --> 0:21:05.440
<v Speaker 2>that is the caveat. Is the best picture in baseball,

0:21:05.760 --> 0:21:09.719
<v Speaker 2>the projections through the roof on him, but you can't

0:21:09.720 --> 0:21:12.520
<v Speaker 2>trust it's a whole new organization, it's a whole new place.

0:21:13.320 --> 0:21:15.640
<v Speaker 2>You can put a million questions into that as well.

0:21:15.680 --> 0:21:18.040
<v Speaker 2>What offensive support does he have versus what he had

0:21:18.080 --> 0:21:20.520
<v Speaker 2>with the Mets, What defensive support? I think there's a

0:21:20.520 --> 0:21:24.600
<v Speaker 2>lot in that. But he is statistically the best pitcher

0:21:24.600 --> 0:21:27.240
<v Speaker 2>in baseball when he's out there, and that's a risk

0:21:27.240 --> 0:21:30.600
<v Speaker 2>that I'm interested in. Though the caveat is this third round,

0:21:30.640 --> 0:21:33.360
<v Speaker 2>even though I said it, I'm probably not taking him,

0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:35.600
<v Speaker 2>probably not taking Tatis or him. And I'm gonna go

0:21:35.640 --> 0:21:36.640
<v Speaker 2>with a hitter in another.

0:21:36.400 --> 0:21:39.000
<v Speaker 1>Sit hasn't thrown a hundred. Look, I don't know. Look,

0:21:39.440 --> 0:21:41.879
<v Speaker 1>the twenty twenty season was what it was. But I mean,

0:21:41.960 --> 0:21:45.320
<v Speaker 1>ninety two innings, sixty four innings. We can't. I can't

0:21:45.320 --> 0:21:46.639
<v Speaker 1>do that. You don't want to know where I have

0:21:46.720 --> 0:21:49.920
<v Speaker 1>in y rankings. I've got an I bet it's twenty something. Yeah,

0:21:50.160 --> 0:21:54.480
<v Speaker 1>because I'm just it's ridiculous. It's ridiculous. It's a terrible. Look.

0:21:54.520 --> 0:21:58.080
<v Speaker 1>Everything you said is right in theory, But I live

0:21:58.119 --> 0:22:00.960
<v Speaker 1>in a place called the real world. And in that place,

0:22:01.280 --> 0:22:03.440
<v Speaker 1>Jacob de Grom does not throw one hundred innings ever.

0:22:03.600 --> 0:22:06.880
<v Speaker 1>And and uh, not to be fooled of my old

0:22:07.119 --> 0:22:09.760
<v Speaker 1>pal Nathan Bush, God Rest his soul from West Virginia

0:22:09.880 --> 0:22:11.600
<v Speaker 1>used to say, don't get fooled by a new paint

0:22:11.600 --> 0:22:14.399
<v Speaker 1>of coat. Uh yeah, that's right, pain of coat. Because

0:22:14.440 --> 0:22:16.479
<v Speaker 1>just because now he's wearing a different uniform and he's

0:22:16.520 --> 0:22:18.240
<v Speaker 1>signed for money and so he made an investment doesn't

0:22:18.240 --> 0:22:20.119
<v Speaker 1>mean you should. And it's really not be on this

0:22:20.160 --> 0:22:22.000
<v Speaker 1>train and it's not me hating him for leaving. I

0:22:22.000 --> 0:22:24.880
<v Speaker 1>could care less about it. This is business. It's never personal.

0:22:24.960 --> 0:22:28.120
<v Speaker 1>This is just about I get de Gram as an investment.

0:22:28.160 --> 0:22:30.000
<v Speaker 1>I told you last year he terrified the heck out

0:22:30.040 --> 0:22:30.960
<v Speaker 1>of me, and I wasn't wrong.

0:22:31.200 --> 0:22:33.160
<v Speaker 2>It's it's it's something you're gonna have to stomach. It's

0:22:33.200 --> 0:22:34.879
<v Speaker 2>just here's here's the things I have a problem with.

0:22:35.119 --> 0:22:37.840
<v Speaker 2>Top one percent of k percentage, also top one percent

0:22:37.880 --> 0:22:41.080
<v Speaker 2>of walk percentage. His expected era was in the top

0:22:41.160 --> 0:22:43.120
<v Speaker 2>two percent of best in the league.

0:22:43.280 --> 0:22:43.520
<v Speaker 1>Ex.

0:22:43.600 --> 0:22:47.000
<v Speaker 2>wOBA and Whoba both were in the best three percent

0:22:47.000 --> 0:22:48.840
<v Speaker 2>of the league. As far as pictures go, he's the

0:22:48.880 --> 0:22:51.840
<v Speaker 2>best picture out there. So it's a risk best picture

0:22:52.040 --> 0:22:54.920
<v Speaker 2>not out there when you know what that's and that's

0:22:54.920 --> 0:22:56.840
<v Speaker 2>a worry right into it.

0:22:57.000 --> 0:22:58.439
<v Speaker 1>Pa, Pal, there it was.

0:22:58.640 --> 0:22:59.800
<v Speaker 2>I gave you the I think you and I are

0:22:59.800 --> 0:23:02.280
<v Speaker 2>going to disagreeing a lot of pictures because we're about

0:23:02.280 --> 0:23:03.879
<v Speaker 2>someone in the round as well. I think we're kind

0:23:03.880 --> 0:23:04.800
<v Speaker 2>of disagree a lot this year.

0:23:04.800 --> 0:23:06.840
<v Speaker 1>I can't wait. This is why I love you, and

0:23:06.880 --> 0:23:09.880
<v Speaker 1>that's why I love this show so excited. Leading off

0:23:09.960 --> 0:23:12.399
<v Speaker 1>is how many days away we ninety days away were

0:23:12.440 --> 0:23:15.119
<v Speaker 1>even there? Probably less now I don't even know. All right,

0:23:15.160 --> 0:23:18.160
<v Speaker 1>let's get to the next grouping here, thirty one through forty.

0:23:18.240 --> 0:23:20.119
<v Speaker 1>Randy arose a Rain at thirty one. What a season

0:23:20.160 --> 0:23:22.080
<v Speaker 1>he had. I remember when he started slow and people

0:23:22.119 --> 0:23:23.159
<v Speaker 1>wanted to like another guy.

0:23:23.040 --> 0:23:23.639
<v Speaker 2>That people wanted to.

0:23:23.880 --> 0:23:27.720
<v Speaker 1>Oh my goodness, people losing their mind. Just relax. Nolan

0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:30.920
<v Speaker 1>Aeronauto at thirty two. Nice value there again. How can

0:23:30.960 --> 0:23:33.080
<v Speaker 1>I not take Nolan Aeronaudo over Jcob Grom Like those

0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:34.960
<v Speaker 1>are things I just can't physically do at this point

0:23:34.960 --> 0:23:37.600
<v Speaker 1>in my life. Aaron Nola at thirty three, Brandon Woodrif,

0:23:37.600 --> 0:23:39.600
<v Speaker 1>who I do like a lot at thirty four. Are

0:23:39.680 --> 0:23:41.920
<v Speaker 1>good friend. Eric Cross has some great stats on him

0:23:42.680 --> 0:23:45.199
<v Speaker 1>recently too, he was thrown out there. Luis Robert at

0:23:45.240 --> 0:23:49.000
<v Speaker 1>thirty five, my boy on a huge value, Emmanuel Casse

0:23:49.240 --> 0:23:51.480
<v Speaker 1>at thirty six, Spencer Striyder thirty seven, who you'll be

0:23:51.560 --> 0:23:53.280
<v Speaker 1>very proud of me. I am higher on than anybody

0:23:53.320 --> 0:23:58.600
<v Speaker 1>else ooh even me rankings No, I believe, even because

0:23:58.920 --> 0:24:02.119
<v Speaker 1>he knows getting that warning whenever I publish my ranking

0:24:02.200 --> 0:24:05.560
<v Speaker 1>says you are very very high on these on Christian Hobby,

0:24:05.560 --> 0:24:06.479
<v Speaker 1>aer and Spencers.

0:24:06.640 --> 0:24:08.760
<v Speaker 2>I didn't get a warning on my Strader. I have Strider,

0:24:08.760 --> 0:24:10.160
<v Speaker 2>I believe at sp six.

0:24:11.600 --> 0:24:13.320
<v Speaker 1>Let's see where I have him. Okay, maybe you I

0:24:13.400 --> 0:24:14.800
<v Speaker 1>have Oh my god, I am at six two.

0:24:14.960 --> 0:24:16.640
<v Speaker 2>Oh yeah, look at us. We're in the state.

0:24:17.000 --> 0:24:20.560
<v Speaker 1>We're friends again. So Strider right where he should be

0:24:20.760 --> 0:24:24.240
<v Speaker 1>a great value on Luis Robert if he becomes that dude,

0:24:24.280 --> 0:24:26.800
<v Speaker 1>which I think he can be. Thirty eighth A McClanahan

0:24:26.840 --> 0:24:29.439
<v Speaker 1>thirty nine hater Marcus Simian at forty. Now, I like

0:24:29.520 --> 0:24:33.199
<v Speaker 1>mcclanahan's resk more than de Gram's ten picks later, but

0:24:33.960 --> 0:24:35.359
<v Speaker 1>I just think this is the guy. This is the

0:24:35.359 --> 0:24:37.560
<v Speaker 1>next guy headed for the next arm surgery. You know,

0:24:38.200 --> 0:24:39.880
<v Speaker 1>I sat there on the show and leading off last

0:24:39.880 --> 0:24:42.359
<v Speaker 1>summer and I told everybody ran as soon as he

0:24:42.400 --> 0:24:45.800
<v Speaker 1>went past, justin Verlander. What did I tell? I said,

0:24:46.040 --> 0:24:49.359
<v Speaker 1>everybody go reinvest in Verlander because mcclanahan's not going to

0:24:49.400 --> 0:24:52.200
<v Speaker 1>make it to finish line. He didn't, and he didn't.

0:24:52.600 --> 0:24:54.919
<v Speaker 1>But I love the player, I love the talent. The

0:24:54.960 --> 0:24:57.879
<v Speaker 1>investment's tougher, ten spots less than de Gram. I'm in,

0:24:58.480 --> 0:25:01.520
<v Speaker 1>but I'm also still very loathing consensus. So sell me

0:25:01.560 --> 0:25:02.679
<v Speaker 1>on Shane mcclatahan.

0:25:03.080 --> 0:25:05.280
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean this is one of my guys. This

0:25:05.320 --> 0:25:07.880
<v Speaker 2>is one of my big guys this year. And monster

0:25:08.000 --> 0:25:09.880
<v Speaker 2>reds across the board again, there's another one of those

0:25:09.880 --> 0:25:12.120
<v Speaker 2>guys you get on a Baseball Savant page and it's

0:25:12.240 --> 0:25:14.919
<v Speaker 2>just it's the red Sea. There's literally nothing blew across

0:25:14.960 --> 0:25:18.240
<v Speaker 2>the board from with percentage to walks and everything like

0:25:18.280 --> 0:25:20.119
<v Speaker 2>that made a big change last year. This is one

0:25:20.119 --> 0:25:21.800
<v Speaker 2>of the big things that you love to see and

0:25:21.840 --> 0:25:24.280
<v Speaker 2>you love to see the success. And really this type

0:25:24.280 --> 0:25:26.720
<v Speaker 2>of pitch is when you can maintain it, and I'm

0:25:26.720 --> 0:25:29.280
<v Speaker 2>talking about his change up that he adjusted to is

0:25:29.280 --> 0:25:32.400
<v Speaker 2>something that's very sustainable. So he lowered his slider usage

0:25:32.440 --> 0:25:35.080
<v Speaker 2>from the previous year, increased his change up usage this

0:25:35.119 --> 0:25:37.360
<v Speaker 2>past year, and he started throwing around twenty five percent.

0:25:37.720 --> 0:25:41.520
<v Speaker 2>What's amazing about it is he upped in this usage

0:25:41.600 --> 0:25:45.439
<v Speaker 2>change and he predominantly threw the change up. I believe

0:25:45.480 --> 0:25:46.960
<v Speaker 2>it was to righties and he like never threw it

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:50.119
<v Speaker 2>against lefties. But he had a forty percent with percentage

0:25:50.160 --> 0:25:53.080
<v Speaker 2>on the change up and the slider, and that upticked

0:25:53.080 --> 0:25:55.520
<v Speaker 2>his slider percentage when he started using the change up more,

0:25:55.920 --> 0:25:58.399
<v Speaker 2>which equated to over forty percent of his pitches between

0:25:58.480 --> 0:26:01.920
<v Speaker 2>change ups. And sliders forty percent with freight on it.

0:26:02.080 --> 0:26:05.359
<v Speaker 2>His fastball. He also added some horizontal movement so he

0:26:05.400 --> 0:26:07.399
<v Speaker 2>was able to you know, dink and dunk on the

0:26:07.400 --> 0:26:09.120
<v Speaker 2>sides of the zone a little bit more. And he's

0:26:09.119 --> 0:26:11.040
<v Speaker 2>got close to a thirty percent withfth percentage on that.

0:26:11.720 --> 0:26:14.440
<v Speaker 2>This is a guy that pounds the zone. The curveball

0:26:14.560 --> 0:26:16.720
<v Speaker 2>is an what's so amazing about it is like the

0:26:16.760 --> 0:26:18.600
<v Speaker 2>curveball would seem like the big strikeout pitch, and it

0:26:18.640 --> 0:26:22.160
<v Speaker 2>gets strikeouts, but it's a great setup pitch. The curveball

0:26:22.160 --> 0:26:25.040
<v Speaker 2>I absolutely loved to set up. The fastball got better,

0:26:25.320 --> 0:26:29.119
<v Speaker 2>the change up became elite, and he's got a slider.

0:26:29.160 --> 0:26:30.639
<v Speaker 2>He's got four four I don't want to call them

0:26:30.680 --> 0:26:32.720
<v Speaker 2>four plus plus pitches, but these are four pitches that

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:35.200
<v Speaker 2>he can pound the zone. He can get big strikeouts

0:26:35.240 --> 0:26:37.720
<v Speaker 2>on big wif percentages. And he only put up one

0:26:37.760 --> 0:26:40.120
<v Speaker 2>hundred and sixty innings last year. So how I look

0:26:40.160 --> 0:26:41.920
<v Speaker 2>at it is like I think he would for the

0:26:41.960 --> 0:26:43.200
<v Speaker 2>first half of the year, he was the best pitcher

0:26:43.200 --> 0:26:45.680
<v Speaker 2>in baseball, and then he tapered off on the second half.

0:26:46.000 --> 0:26:50.280
<v Speaker 2>It's also like, I mean, he's a young pitcher. His belt,

0:26:50.400 --> 0:26:52.600
<v Speaker 2>so I think there's progression on board here. With a

0:26:52.600 --> 0:26:55.760
<v Speaker 2>great pitch mix, he's getting strikeouts, he also pounds the zone,

0:26:55.800 --> 0:26:57.600
<v Speaker 2>doesn't have the command issues that some of these other

0:26:57.640 --> 0:27:02.320
<v Speaker 2>guys do, and every bit of underlining stats work in

0:27:02.400 --> 0:27:04.359
<v Speaker 2>his favor. Though He's not like Jacob Durrahm in the

0:27:04.359 --> 0:27:05.879
<v Speaker 2>one percent or anything like that. But he had a

0:27:05.880 --> 0:27:08.560
<v Speaker 2>five percent walk rate with a thirty percent k rate,

0:27:08.680 --> 0:27:11.320
<v Speaker 2>and I think there is more progression on the board

0:27:11.320 --> 0:27:13.240
<v Speaker 2>for him to be potentially become the number one pitcher

0:27:13.280 --> 0:27:15.560
<v Speaker 2>in baseball, maybe not this year, but over the next year,

0:27:15.600 --> 0:27:16.040
<v Speaker 2>three years.

0:27:16.040 --> 0:27:18.959
<v Speaker 1>See, you're right. For the first half he was arguably

0:27:18.960 --> 0:27:20.920
<v Speaker 1>the best pitcher in baseball, if not the best ten

0:27:20.960 --> 0:27:26.280
<v Speaker 1>and three one seven one ERA. Second half for twenty ERA, yeah,

0:27:26.440 --> 0:27:31.080
<v Speaker 1>second half certainly far more hittable than he was. The

0:27:31.119 --> 0:27:36.879
<v Speaker 1>strikeout rate also declined significantly from twelve to seven point six.

0:27:37.520 --> 0:27:40.960
<v Speaker 1>The K per nine, that's k P nine. And my

0:27:41.359 --> 0:27:44.800
<v Speaker 1>concern with McClanahan is this, Now, what we saw last

0:27:44.880 --> 0:27:47.439
<v Speaker 1>year was that fatigue? Was that an injury that happened

0:27:47.440 --> 0:27:49.560
<v Speaker 1>that we can get past, or is that the beginning

0:27:50.080 --> 0:27:53.000
<v Speaker 1>of what could be the next bomb of up Shane

0:27:53.040 --> 0:27:55.960
<v Speaker 1>mcclanaham arm surgery, and that's why he's outside my top twenty.

0:27:56.200 --> 0:27:58.040
<v Speaker 1>And I get it why people want to say.

0:27:57.840 --> 0:28:00.880
<v Speaker 2>That's your top, not twenty. Of SP's to ground.

0:28:00.720 --> 0:28:04.600
<v Speaker 1>Both because I can't get enough out of them. The

0:28:04.800 --> 0:28:08.720
<v Speaker 1>quality is great I need. I'd rather have slightly lesser

0:28:08.800 --> 0:28:12.080
<v Speaker 1>quality and get more quantity. That's where I'm at with pitching,

0:28:12.160 --> 0:28:13.440
<v Speaker 1>and we'll get more about that and we get to

0:28:13.480 --> 0:28:16.280
<v Speaker 1>our New Year's resolutions for twenty twenty three and talk

0:28:16.359 --> 0:28:19.080
<v Speaker 1>more about that. But guys like Woodriff I feel more

0:28:19.080 --> 0:28:21.240
<v Speaker 1>confident in which I know he's missed some time too,

0:28:21.480 --> 0:28:24.520
<v Speaker 1>you know Nola for his warts. At times in his

0:28:24.520 --> 0:28:27.760
<v Speaker 1>career he shows up. You know, if I'm gonna spend

0:28:27.800 --> 0:28:30.600
<v Speaker 1>on the lead pitcher, col and Burns are those two guys.

0:28:30.640 --> 0:28:32.840
<v Speaker 1>I do agree with that there's a lot of age

0:28:32.880 --> 0:28:34.440
<v Speaker 1>and that other tier two when you start to get

0:28:34.440 --> 0:28:36.639
<v Speaker 1>to the Verlander guys and the Schurzers of the world,

0:28:36.680 --> 0:28:39.720
<v Speaker 1>like the older group. But boor to come on some

0:28:39.760 --> 0:28:40.600
<v Speaker 1>of these guys because.

0:28:40.440 --> 0:28:42.880
<v Speaker 2>It's interesting and we won't get into it here, but

0:28:42.920 --> 0:28:45.200
<v Speaker 2>it's interesting to hear you go, you go. You give

0:28:45.240 --> 0:28:48.080
<v Speaker 2>Woodruff the past, but a young guy who really hasn't

0:28:48.080 --> 0:28:50.560
<v Speaker 2>had a track record of Klanahan doesn't like.

0:28:50.720 --> 0:28:53.720
<v Speaker 1>What I'm worried about was that the precursor, the drop

0:28:53.760 --> 0:28:56.360
<v Speaker 1>off and the mistime the injury. And I was like, okay,

0:28:56.840 --> 0:28:58.440
<v Speaker 1>Like are we getting to a point with him? Like

0:28:58.800 --> 0:29:00.800
<v Speaker 1>because he's so young in this a lot we've seen

0:29:00.840 --> 0:29:03.440
<v Speaker 1>these young pitchers come up tease, they look great, and

0:29:03.480 --> 0:29:06.000
<v Speaker 1>then they have the arm surgery, they have the arm issues,

0:29:06.040 --> 0:29:08.480
<v Speaker 1>and then it kind of declines. Look, Woodroff is probably

0:29:08.480 --> 0:29:10.680
<v Speaker 1>a bad example of some of those guys, but even

0:29:10.840 --> 0:29:13.479
<v Speaker 1>like ahead of those guys, and look, I know I'm

0:29:13.840 --> 0:29:17.000
<v Speaker 1>going to be much lower than consensus. Like I look

0:29:17.040 --> 0:29:19.000
<v Speaker 1>at the Kevin Gosmin's and the Minoa's and the Joe

0:29:19.080 --> 0:29:21.120
<v Speaker 1>musk Groves of the world and Zach Allens and like,

0:29:21.200 --> 0:29:23.239
<v Speaker 1>I just feel like they're better investments for where they

0:29:23.280 --> 0:29:26.320
<v Speaker 1>are and in drafts rather than me draft early pitching.

0:29:26.640 --> 0:29:29.720
<v Speaker 1>I'd rather be locking in these hitters that are in

0:29:29.760 --> 0:29:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the same I'd rather be having Nolan Aronado, I'd rather

0:29:32.640 --> 0:29:36.360
<v Speaker 1>be having the guys like who else with Austin Reiley

0:29:36.440 --> 0:29:37.440
<v Speaker 1>type like those guys that right.

0:29:37.840 --> 0:29:39.760
<v Speaker 2>That's where I one hundred percent agree with you. Like

0:29:40.120 --> 0:29:42.880
<v Speaker 2>I talked up to Grom and hopefully everybody got it

0:29:42.960 --> 0:29:46.400
<v Speaker 2>in a I would rather probably de Grom in that

0:29:46.480 --> 0:29:49.240
<v Speaker 2>late third round or late second round, late third round

0:29:49.280 --> 0:29:52.600
<v Speaker 2>or whatever it was compared to the early top twenty

0:29:52.640 --> 0:29:54.600
<v Speaker 2>one pick of datis. But I'm not gonna take them.

0:29:54.640 --> 0:29:56.840
<v Speaker 2>I'm not gonna take pictures most likely in the top

0:29:56.960 --> 0:29:59.840
<v Speaker 2>three rounds. So what's what's unique about it is Strider

0:29:59.880 --> 0:30:02.720
<v Speaker 2>and Clanahan are probably gonna be my number one pitching

0:30:02.720 --> 0:30:05.440
<v Speaker 2>targets in that late third to fourth round. If you're

0:30:05.440 --> 0:30:07.680
<v Speaker 2>in head to head, I'm gonna target on those guys.

0:30:07.760 --> 0:30:10.080
<v Speaker 2>Then I'm gonna wait again, and then I love exactly

0:30:10.080 --> 0:30:12.320
<v Speaker 2>what you said. Give me deals on Minoa, give me

0:30:12.360 --> 0:30:15.640
<v Speaker 2>deals on Kevin Gosman, give me Luis Castillo, Zach Gallan. No,

0:30:15.800 --> 0:30:16.800
<v Speaker 2>that's how I'm gonna.

0:30:16.560 --> 0:30:19.200
<v Speaker 1>Build memation Javier this year too. And you know, I'm

0:30:19.320 --> 0:30:22.480
<v Speaker 1>Harder's guy from a couple of years ago, like this is.

0:30:22.480 --> 0:30:24.479
<v Speaker 1>So this has been a long time coming here. All right,

0:30:24.560 --> 0:30:27.000
<v Speaker 1>let's close out the rankings of the top fifty, which

0:30:27.040 --> 0:30:29.320
<v Speaker 1>is what we came here to do today. Max Schurz

0:30:29.320 --> 0:30:31.800
<v Speaker 1>are at forty one, Matt Olsen at forty two, Verlander

0:30:31.920 --> 0:30:34.920
<v Speaker 1>forty three, Cedric mallin steady issue goes at forty four.

0:30:35.000 --> 0:30:38.280
<v Speaker 1>Liam Hendrix, who again this is gonna change now because

0:30:38.320 --> 0:30:42.480
<v Speaker 1>of the non Hodgkins lymphoma diagnosis, so obviously that ranking

0:30:42.560 --> 0:30:44.720
<v Speaker 1>is going to change. I came just twenty four hours ago.

0:30:45.320 --> 0:30:48.479
<v Speaker 1>Carlos Ordan forty six, Shane Bieber forty seven, Kyeg Schwarber

0:30:48.600 --> 0:30:52.320
<v Speaker 1>forty eight, Zach Wieler forty nine, and at least Garcia

0:30:52.560 --> 0:30:55.239
<v Speaker 1>at fifty. Let's talk about Garcia, another guy who had

0:30:55.280 --> 0:30:59.040
<v Speaker 1>a fantastic season last year, another guy that's got swinging

0:30:59.120 --> 0:31:03.600
<v Speaker 1>miss batting average. Obviously can fluctuate, but what he gave

0:31:03.640 --> 0:31:06.440
<v Speaker 1>you last year was phenomenal from a fantasy perspective, especially

0:31:06.480 --> 0:31:08.440
<v Speaker 1>the value he gave you. Is he still a value

0:31:08.840 --> 0:31:10.320
<v Speaker 1>in this top fifty right now for you?

0:31:10.520 --> 0:31:12.920
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? I think that's the great question that you're asking,

0:31:13.000 --> 0:31:14.800
<v Speaker 2>is is he still the value? Because the one thing

0:31:14.840 --> 0:31:17.760
<v Speaker 2>that he did that's so unique was what were we doing,

0:31:17.880 --> 0:31:20.880
<v Speaker 2>Like in pre twenty twenty two were like he can't repeat,

0:31:20.920 --> 0:31:23.080
<v Speaker 2>Like he had this great season in two thousand, we

0:31:23.200 --> 0:31:23.840
<v Speaker 2>all thought the.

0:31:23.800 --> 0:31:25.680
<v Speaker 1>Power was real. It's just we wondered could he make

0:31:25.760 --> 0:31:27.760
<v Speaker 1>enough contact to really readelivery exactly?

0:31:27.760 --> 0:31:29.920
<v Speaker 2>That wasn't going to maintain well, like it kind of did.

0:31:30.000 --> 0:31:30.880
<v Speaker 2>He had two fifty.

0:31:30.920 --> 0:31:31.080
<v Speaker 1>He was.

0:31:31.280 --> 0:31:33.160
<v Speaker 2>He was one of the few twenty five guys in

0:31:33.240 --> 0:31:35.720
<v Speaker 2>year twenty seven to twenty five better well dude. On

0:31:35.760 --> 0:31:39.480
<v Speaker 2>the underlining stats, he improved his EV his barrel percentage

0:31:39.480 --> 0:31:42.000
<v Speaker 2>just hard hit percentage went up by two percent this

0:31:42.040 --> 0:31:44.840
<v Speaker 2>past year. His XBA went up. His XBA is still

0:31:44.840 --> 0:31:46.440
<v Speaker 2>not great, but here was. Here's one of the big

0:31:46.480 --> 0:31:48.560
<v Speaker 2>things why I think you can't pass on a dolls

0:31:48.600 --> 0:31:52.120
<v Speaker 2>at this point. Adulas had an expected XBA expected batting

0:31:52.120 --> 0:31:54.760
<v Speaker 2>average in twenty twenty one of two twenty so like

0:31:54.840 --> 0:31:58.560
<v Speaker 2>he you know, way overperformed them this past year and

0:31:58.720 --> 0:32:01.400
<v Speaker 2>XBF two forty four, which was almost in line exactly

0:32:01.480 --> 0:32:04.400
<v Speaker 2>his batting average. So he's starting to stabilize a little bit,

0:32:04.480 --> 0:32:06.200
<v Speaker 2>and he's stealing bases and he's hitting home.

0:32:06.320 --> 0:32:10.080
<v Speaker 1>That's the difference to man I don't like, is huge different.

0:32:10.200 --> 0:32:12.520
<v Speaker 2>I don't like the cost, but I do like a

0:32:12.600 --> 0:32:15.000
<v Speaker 2>Doulas Garcia, and he belongs in the generator. I gotta

0:32:15.000 --> 0:32:16.360
<v Speaker 2>tell you, I don't like a lot of these players

0:32:16.360 --> 0:32:19.240
<v Speaker 2>in this forty through fifty that you listed off. There's

0:32:19.280 --> 0:32:20.800
<v Speaker 2>not many targets in here for me.

0:32:21.560 --> 0:32:24.920
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I think this is the danger zone, and for me, KYLEE.

0:32:24.960 --> 0:32:26.920
<v Speaker 1>Schwarber is the biggest one of the danger zone because

0:32:26.920 --> 0:32:29.040
<v Speaker 1>I think falling into that trap of him repeating what

0:32:29.080 --> 0:32:32.000
<v Speaker 1>he did last year from a Powers perspective is is difficult.

0:32:32.120 --> 0:32:35.200
<v Speaker 1>I know it's a good ballpark for Power. I get that.

0:32:35.840 --> 0:32:38.240
<v Speaker 1>I think this is the guy that missus Bryce Harper

0:32:38.320 --> 0:32:41.280
<v Speaker 1>hitting behind him and did it hit directly behind him? No,

0:32:42.000 --> 0:32:43.600
<v Speaker 1>But you have to understand if you're a pro, you're

0:32:43.600 --> 0:32:45.680
<v Speaker 1>setting up approach as a picture right and you got

0:32:45.720 --> 0:32:47.320
<v Speaker 1>Kyleeg Schwarber at the top of the lineup. We also

0:32:47.360 --> 0:32:48.440
<v Speaker 1>have to see how that Philly line is going to

0:32:48.480 --> 0:32:50.800
<v Speaker 1>shake out now with Trey Turner too, Like, how does

0:32:50.840 --> 0:32:51.680
<v Speaker 1>that all work out?

0:32:51.680 --> 0:32:53.480
<v Speaker 2>Where is he going to hit three a schwar We're

0:32:53.480 --> 0:32:55.200
<v Speaker 2>gonna lead off, lead off?

0:32:55.280 --> 0:32:57.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, exactly. So there's a lot of unknown there for

0:32:57.840 --> 0:33:01.800
<v Speaker 1>me with Schwarber right now. Yeah, great season, love the player,

0:33:01.960 --> 0:33:06.200
<v Speaker 1>love the guy personality for days, big fan, But I

0:33:06.200 --> 0:33:09.160
<v Speaker 1>don't think people will respect enough that what a difference

0:33:09.240 --> 0:33:10.800
<v Speaker 1>Bryce Harper makes in the lineup when he's in it

0:33:10.840 --> 0:33:12.520
<v Speaker 1>ways out and it's not a knock on Trey Turner

0:33:12.960 --> 0:33:15.560
<v Speaker 1>or Reez Hoskins or anybody else in that lineup, But

0:33:15.800 --> 0:33:17.800
<v Speaker 1>you pitch differently to the top of the order. When

0:33:17.800 --> 0:33:19.760
<v Speaker 1>you've got Bryce Harper waiting in the three or four spot,

0:33:19.840 --> 0:33:22.760
<v Speaker 1>you just do. And I think that's he's gonna see

0:33:22.800 --> 0:33:24.520
<v Speaker 1>less fast balls this year. He's going to see a

0:33:24.560 --> 0:33:28.480
<v Speaker 1>little bit different and look, he could very well have

0:33:28.800 --> 0:33:31.800
<v Speaker 1>overcome that. Schwerro is always a high prospect, high profile

0:33:31.960 --> 0:33:35.040
<v Speaker 1>guy that were struggles there for many years. He bounced

0:33:35.080 --> 0:33:37.560
<v Speaker 1>around a little and he had a phenomenal season And

0:33:37.600 --> 0:33:39.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm not saying he can't repeat it. I'm saying I'm

0:33:39.520 --> 0:33:42.240
<v Speaker 1>not investing as though he's going to. I think that's.

0:33:42.120 --> 0:33:46.000
<v Speaker 2>An interesting point. Looking over at the NFBC info that

0:33:46.040 --> 0:33:48.600
<v Speaker 2>they've got he has, I would say of the top

0:33:48.960 --> 0:33:52.680
<v Speaker 2>sixty five players I'm looking at, no one has a

0:33:52.720 --> 0:33:56.640
<v Speaker 2>bigger top and bottom than Calshold Right now, he's got

0:33:56.680 --> 0:33:59.880
<v Speaker 2>the thirty nine, a thirty nine high with an a

0:34:00.040 --> 0:34:03.920
<v Speaker 2>eighty six low. So here's some perspective. Some other guys

0:34:03.920 --> 0:34:05.800
<v Speaker 2>that are in this generating sures Er has a high

0:34:05.800 --> 0:34:07.880
<v Speaker 2>of thirty nine and a low of sixty three. Completely

0:34:07.920 --> 0:34:11.000
<v Speaker 2>different players, sure, but I'm giving you Cedric Mullins high

0:34:11.000 --> 0:34:13.440
<v Speaker 2>a forty one low of fifty seven. Jazz chishem high

0:34:13.440 --> 0:34:15.480
<v Speaker 2>a thirty four to fifty five. No one in that

0:34:15.520 --> 0:34:18.880
<v Speaker 2>top sixty has remotely is close of a bigger gap

0:34:18.920 --> 0:34:22.000
<v Speaker 2>between the high and low that they go than Kyle Schwarber.

0:34:22.160 --> 0:34:24.520
<v Speaker 2>And he is tough. He's a monster in points league,

0:34:24.520 --> 0:34:26.399
<v Speaker 2>which is going to want to make people push up

0:34:26.800 --> 0:34:29.840
<v Speaker 2>head to head in rodo you know the batting average

0:34:29.920 --> 0:34:33.239
<v Speaker 2>stunk and is that going to stabilize? But can the

0:34:33.239 --> 0:34:35.000
<v Speaker 2>power maintain? There's so I agree with you. There's so

0:34:35.080 --> 0:34:38.080
<v Speaker 2>many questions on him that it's a little divisive. He's

0:34:38.120 --> 0:34:40.400
<v Speaker 2>not the type of player that I want to invest in.

0:34:40.400 --> 0:34:42.239
<v Speaker 2>I don't think it's a crazy cost right now, but

0:34:42.640 --> 0:34:45.600
<v Speaker 2>between thirty nine and mid eighties is ridiculous.

0:34:45.960 --> 0:34:48.480
<v Speaker 1>I think the cost is also because of what outfield

0:34:48.480 --> 0:34:51.480
<v Speaker 1>looks like right now, which is rough. Let's be honest,

0:34:51.560 --> 0:34:54.080
<v Speaker 1>like it is a Once you get past that twenty

0:34:54.120 --> 0:34:56.360
<v Speaker 1>five thirty, it's becomes a lot of question marks and

0:34:56.360 --> 0:34:59.239
<v Speaker 1>a lot of guys. So I get it, and I

0:34:59.320 --> 0:35:02.359
<v Speaker 1>understand why still, you know, in especially the deeper outfield leagues,

0:35:02.360 --> 0:35:03.680
<v Speaker 1>where you got to make that kind of call and

0:35:03.719 --> 0:35:05.000
<v Speaker 1>you got to take the god with the bed. If

0:35:05.000 --> 0:35:07.880
<v Speaker 1>he hits two to fifteen and then he hits two fifteen,

0:35:07.920 --> 0:35:09.680
<v Speaker 1>you hope that he hits thirty five bombs or something

0:35:09.719 --> 0:35:12.400
<v Speaker 1>like that. To expect him to hit forty again, I

0:35:12.400 --> 0:35:15.920
<v Speaker 1>think is foolish. I think that's not a good practice.

0:35:16.080 --> 0:35:18.719
<v Speaker 1>But this is just the first look we're doing here.

0:35:18.760 --> 0:35:20.759
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure we're gonna do many more. This is the

0:35:20.800 --> 0:35:23.279
<v Speaker 1>top fifteen, a nutshell, our first glance at what the

0:35:23.320 --> 0:35:25.440
<v Speaker 1>ECR is at Fantasy pros. And you can see that

0:35:25.520 --> 0:35:28.279
<v Speaker 1>too fantacybros dot Com slash rankings. Go check them out

0:35:28.360 --> 0:35:30.960
<v Speaker 1>over on the MLB page. They're there for you. They're

0:35:31.000 --> 0:35:32.600
<v Speaker 1>up and they're going to be moving all over the place,

0:35:32.680 --> 0:35:35.480
<v Speaker 1>especially with the Trevor story news that broke right before

0:35:35.520 --> 0:35:37.959
<v Speaker 1>the show too, about him missing what four to six months?

0:35:38.000 --> 0:35:41.399
<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, no big deal, no big really. Well, that's

0:35:41.400 --> 0:35:43.560
<v Speaker 1>close things out here. On a better note, though, it's

0:35:43.600 --> 0:35:46.960
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty three, it's a fresh start, so it's time

0:35:47.000 --> 0:35:49.000
<v Speaker 1>for some New Year's resolutions. Welsh, what do you have

0:35:49.120 --> 0:35:49.440
<v Speaker 1>for us?

0:35:49.800 --> 0:35:52.080
<v Speaker 2>Well, this is a I've actually talked about this, you

0:35:52.360 --> 0:35:54.960
<v Speaker 2>just mentioned it, and my this is a Fantasy Baseball

0:35:55.000 --> 0:35:56.000
<v Speaker 2>resolution right not.

0:35:56.040 --> 0:35:59.080
<v Speaker 1>To let Yeah, enough to do, but I think it's

0:35:59.080 --> 0:36:00.840
<v Speaker 1>probably better for this shit if you do baseball.

0:36:00.880 --> 0:36:03.920
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, we could. We could do some workout videos

0:36:03.920 --> 0:36:05.040
<v Speaker 2>with Welsh. That'll be fun.

0:36:06.120 --> 0:36:09.600
<v Speaker 1>Let's see that. I mean a videos. Let's go, baby, let's.

0:36:09.400 --> 0:36:13.040
<v Speaker 2>Go, let's go. I mean from a fantasy baseball perspective,

0:36:13.080 --> 0:36:16.600
<v Speaker 2>you just mentioned it. My biggest resolution is to not

0:36:16.760 --> 0:36:19.359
<v Speaker 2>let outfield get away from me. I can't say it enough.

0:36:19.440 --> 0:36:21.640
<v Speaker 2>I said this actually on CBS not too long ago,

0:36:22.000 --> 0:36:25.480
<v Speaker 2>like this, I think in my early runs of fantasy

0:36:25.520 --> 0:36:28.799
<v Speaker 2>baseball drafts and mox and basketball and all of this

0:36:28.840 --> 0:36:32.040
<v Speaker 2>stuff that I've been doing, is outfield.

0:36:31.600 --> 0:36:32.640
<v Speaker 1>Is fool's gold.

0:36:32.840 --> 0:36:35.239
<v Speaker 2>It will fool you because you're like, oh, there's so

0:36:35.239 --> 0:36:38.200
<v Speaker 2>many more players than third base. Everyone's gonna focus on

0:36:38.239 --> 0:36:41.560
<v Speaker 2>how a stinky second basis, which it is, how third

0:36:41.640 --> 0:36:45.040
<v Speaker 2>base lacks some depth, which it does. Which starting pitching

0:36:45.120 --> 0:36:47.640
<v Speaker 2>is gonna get nuts because people are gonna wait, it'll happen.

0:36:48.000 --> 0:36:50.839
<v Speaker 2>But nothing becomes more of a problem than outfield when

0:36:50.880 --> 0:36:53.040
<v Speaker 2>you get too confident and you move past it. I've

0:36:53.080 --> 0:36:56.480
<v Speaker 2>even had drafts already where I've taken two early outfielders

0:36:56.719 --> 0:36:59.239
<v Speaker 2>and it still can get kind of bad later. You

0:36:59.360 --> 0:37:01.480
<v Speaker 2>really have to be cognizant and know where you are

0:37:01.520 --> 0:37:04.560
<v Speaker 2>in a draft based on outfield, because if you start five,

0:37:04.920 --> 0:37:07.080
<v Speaker 2>it can get real bad. If you start three. Don't

0:37:07.080 --> 0:37:09.560
<v Speaker 2>get too confident that, hey, I only start three. It

0:37:09.600 --> 0:37:11.879
<v Speaker 2>gets away from you quick. And the tier jumps are

0:37:12.000 --> 0:37:14.719
<v Speaker 2>so big this year that everyone talks about that. Those

0:37:14.760 --> 0:37:16.560
<v Speaker 2>middle the same positions we talk about every year. Oh,

0:37:16.560 --> 0:37:19.600
<v Speaker 2>second base, third base. Outfield is not as deep as

0:37:19.600 --> 0:37:21.480
<v Speaker 2>you want it to be. You're gonna have to hit

0:37:21.560 --> 0:37:23.920
<v Speaker 2>on some guys late and just make sure you don't

0:37:24.120 --> 0:37:25.360
<v Speaker 2>get two behind early.

0:37:26.160 --> 0:37:28.440
<v Speaker 1>I would say this too. I think we know this

0:37:28.480 --> 0:37:30.359
<v Speaker 1>every year. Whenever we think is the deficit ends up

0:37:30.360 --> 0:37:31.800
<v Speaker 1>being something better than we thought of. This is just

0:37:31.840 --> 0:37:34.000
<v Speaker 1>the nature of the beast. But it's definitely a deficit

0:37:34.040 --> 0:37:35.680
<v Speaker 1>early on. You got to look for some of these

0:37:35.719 --> 0:37:38.160
<v Speaker 1>young players to step up to some of these young prospects.

0:37:38.200 --> 0:37:40.080
<v Speaker 1>So the guys in Arizona step up. You gotta look

0:37:40.120 --> 0:37:41.759
<v Speaker 1>for some of the other guys. We're gonna have opportunities

0:37:42.160 --> 0:37:43.919
<v Speaker 1>or some bounce back guys too, Like does a Michael

0:37:43.960 --> 0:37:46.560
<v Speaker 1>Gonfordo bounce back? Do you get guys like Riley Green

0:37:46.640 --> 0:37:49.520
<v Speaker 1>bouncing guys? I think if those guys you know, play

0:37:49.600 --> 0:37:50.840
<v Speaker 1>up to their abilities, and all of a sudden the

0:37:50.840 --> 0:37:55.120
<v Speaker 1>outfield is better. But I will say I could not

0:37:55.160 --> 0:37:59.040
<v Speaker 1>agree more. Address it early, and address it late, and

0:37:59.080 --> 0:38:00.560
<v Speaker 1>take some shots on a lot of guys who have

0:38:00.600 --> 0:38:03.279
<v Speaker 1>potential because you're gonna need that, because it is definitely thin,

0:38:03.320 --> 0:38:05.600
<v Speaker 1>and for me, you already kind of heard it. I'm

0:38:05.600 --> 0:38:08.279
<v Speaker 1>fading some of those early big pictures again this year.

0:38:08.480 --> 0:38:09.960
<v Speaker 1>I did it last year, it worked out, but I'm

0:38:09.960 --> 0:38:12.520
<v Speaker 1>doing even more this year. I'm going for those guys

0:38:12.520 --> 0:38:14.960
<v Speaker 1>that I think are just good return on investments. The

0:38:15.000 --> 0:38:17.360
<v Speaker 1>guys in Toronto, some of the guys in Seattle, like

0:38:17.440 --> 0:38:20.000
<v Speaker 1>those pitching staffs, to me, offer some really good rois

0:38:20.400 --> 0:38:22.920
<v Speaker 1>because they're playing in the lesser markets. Let's be honest,

0:38:23.120 --> 0:38:25.480
<v Speaker 1>you play for the Yankees, You're Garrett Cole. Everyone's gonna

0:38:25.520 --> 0:38:29.000
<v Speaker 1>want drafted early. People still don't give Sandy Alcantra enough credit,

0:38:29.040 --> 0:38:33.000
<v Speaker 1>or Pablo Lopez for that standpoint, or anybody really, so

0:38:33.040 --> 0:38:34.719
<v Speaker 1>you start to look around at guys that don't get

0:38:34.840 --> 0:38:37.279
<v Speaker 1>enough credit. I'm looking for some of those pictures, those

0:38:37.320 --> 0:38:39.319
<v Speaker 1>workhorse guys, and some of the smaller market teams too,

0:38:39.360 --> 0:38:42.120
<v Speaker 1>because they get less attention. They deserve a lot more,

0:38:42.200 --> 0:38:44.480
<v Speaker 1>but I'll tell you right now. Alec Manoa, Joe Musgrove,

0:38:44.560 --> 0:38:46.960
<v Speaker 1>Zach Gallon. That is the sweet spot for me. It's

0:38:47.000 --> 0:38:49.920
<v Speaker 1>gonna be fascinating to see, you know what happens to

0:38:50.040 --> 0:38:52.560
<v Speaker 1>the top twenty pitchers this year, because last year talk

0:38:52.600 --> 0:38:55.640
<v Speaker 1>about a complete reshuffling of the board, and this year

0:38:55.640 --> 0:38:57.520
<v Speaker 1>I think it could be very similar where some of

0:38:57.600 --> 0:39:00.600
<v Speaker 1>these other names that were used to seeing continue to

0:39:00.680 --> 0:39:03.360
<v Speaker 1>fade away and make room for more guys like the

0:39:03.360 --> 0:39:05.279
<v Speaker 1>Striders and Christian Hobviers.

0:39:04.760 --> 0:39:05.320
<v Speaker 2>Of the world.

0:39:05.480 --> 0:39:08.080
<v Speaker 1>So it's great to be back, Welsh. It's great to

0:39:08.120 --> 0:39:11.279
<v Speaker 1>see you talk baseball, hang out a little bit. It's

0:39:11.320 --> 0:39:13.880
<v Speaker 1>good times. Don't forget everybody. Good times. Also waits you

0:39:13.920 --> 0:39:18.239
<v Speaker 1>over fantasypros dot Com slash Draft Wizard. Go use the

0:39:18.280 --> 0:39:21.640
<v Speaker 1>draft Wizards. Start prepping right now. Go pick up your

0:39:21.640 --> 0:39:24.760
<v Speaker 1>Fantasy Black Book twenty twenty three too. It's on Amazon.

0:39:24.840 --> 0:39:27.200
<v Speaker 1>Welsh wrote a ton of stuff, all the draft strategy

0:39:27.480 --> 0:39:29.560
<v Speaker 1>for this guy right over here. I love this guy.

0:39:29.680 --> 0:39:30.239
<v Speaker 2>You got the book?

0:39:31.320 --> 0:39:34.879
<v Speaker 1>The book? Oh yeah, the book is there, my big

0:39:34.920 --> 0:39:37.960
<v Speaker 1>bald head. But all the great work that Welsh passport,

0:39:38.080 --> 0:39:41.239
<v Speaker 1>Eric Cross, Mike mayor your own esteemed Mike Mahyor and

0:39:41.400 --> 0:39:43.360
<v Speaker 1>a host of others all put into it. Great stuff

0:39:43.400 --> 0:39:46.680
<v Speaker 1>there as always, so that'll do it for us. But

0:39:46.760 --> 0:39:49.120
<v Speaker 1>the story of the game goes on. We're just getting

0:39:49.160 --> 0:39:52.399
<v Speaker 1>started here for the Welsh. I'm Joey P. We'll see

0:39:52.400 --> 0:40:01.279
<v Speaker 1>you next time. Kids, The do