WEBVTT - Trump Remaking Pentagon Leadership

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser. Every day

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<v Speaker 1>we're bringing you the latest news from the world's of

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<v Speaker 1>in the world of politics, economics, and it's all harnessing

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<v Speaker 1>watch us too on YouTube by searching Bloomberg Global News.

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<v Speaker 1>We have gone from talking about reopening to now dealing

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<v Speaker 1>with another wave. We heard about New York City's numbers,

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<v Speaker 1>the mayor saying that the city has one last chance

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<v Speaker 1>to halt a second wave. Texas caseload topping a million,

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<v Speaker 1>US hospitalizations rising to a record, and we're also seeing

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<v Speaker 1>a deadly resurgence continuing over in Europe. So we have

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<v Speaker 1>talked a lot about the search for a vaccine, the

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<v Speaker 1>race for a vaccine. We've talked a lot too about

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<v Speaker 1>the role of testing in our battle against the virus.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's get into that with Dr Heather Failing, Vice President

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<v Speaker 1>of Laboratory Sciences and Chief Scientific Officer of malcular Diagnostics

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<v Speaker 1>at Clinical Reference Laboratory. They're one of the largest privately

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<v Speaker 1>held clinical testing labs in the United States. She's also

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<v Speaker 1>former director of the genomics lab at Children's Mercy Hospital.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Failing. Joining us from Kansas, It is so nice

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<v Speaker 1>to have you here with us. I have to say,

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<v Speaker 1>it does feel like things are getting very tough again.

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<v Speaker 1>First of all, what's going on in Kansas when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to COVID. Oh absolutely, thank you for having me

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<v Speaker 1>and and correct. Similar to other states, we're seeing a

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<v Speaker 1>surge in cases as well um our our. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>latest numbers showed a positivity rate of about fourteen point

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<v Speaker 1>five percent um with about as of November eleventh, pushing

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<v Speaker 1>eighteen thousand positive cases. So yes, we're we're definitely seeing

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<v Speaker 1>the same surge. So what does this mean? I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>what are your expectations of how the next couple of

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<v Speaker 1>months ago for us? And we're going to get into

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<v Speaker 1>the testing that you guys are doing and what you've created.

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<v Speaker 1>But I do wonder um about what it looks like.

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<v Speaker 1>I've talked to uh eos of the pharmaceutical companies that

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<v Speaker 1>are on the leading edge of all of this when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to a vaccine, we've heard from a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of different individuals that they are anticipating a pretty dark winter. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>and and I would agree. I think we need to

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<v Speaker 1>continue to put public health measures in place. Uh, continue

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<v Speaker 1>with the masking, the social distancing, and of course the

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<v Speaker 1>testing in order to contain that virus and until we

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<v Speaker 1>can get to the point where we can get the

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine rolled out effectively. So what's going on when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to testing. I have to say our company here

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg has made it very very easy for all

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<v Speaker 1>of us to get tested UM. However, I tried to

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<v Speaker 1>get testing for family member. It's long lines, there's lists,

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<v Speaker 1>there's callbacks. It's really not a great system, correct, I

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<v Speaker 1>would agree. And you know, in response to complaints like that,

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<v Speaker 1>CRL just this week launched a direct consumer offering for

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<v Speaker 1>COVID testing. So it allows the consumer to initiate their

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<v Speaker 1>own test order for covid UM. And it's actually an

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<v Speaker 1>at home, self collected saliva based tests. So uh, some

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<v Speaker 1>of the home base test that you see out there

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<v Speaker 1>use a nasal slob and this one is a saliva

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<v Speaker 1>base test for the detection of stars. Coby two received

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<v Speaker 1>FDA emergency use approval at the end of July. UH

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<v Speaker 1>and it's highly accurate. Tests. In our FDA studies, we

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<v Speaker 1>demonstrated a hundred percent sensitivity and specificity, so no false

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<v Speaker 1>positives and negatives. Um. So we're we're excited for the

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<v Speaker 1>launch of this test in order to expand our offering. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>I believe as we get more folks tested, we can

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<v Speaker 1>really before the holidays helped to contain things. Okay, so

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<v Speaker 1>it sounds really easy, um, and I've done the saliva test. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>I've done an easier nasal test. I haven't done the

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<v Speaker 1>one where everyone says it feels like they're touching your brain.

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<v Speaker 1>So thankfully I'm lucky for that. But so talk to

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<v Speaker 1>me specifically about this test. You say a percent sensitivity

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<v Speaker 1>and specificity, What does that mean? Right? So our FDA studies,

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<v Speaker 1>we had to compare this test to what the FDA

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<v Speaker 1>considers is the gold standard, which is that long nasal

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<v Speaker 1>farengeal swab, And what we found is a known COVID

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen cases. We were able to successfully identify the presence

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<v Speaker 1>of the virus in a hundred percent of the cases

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<v Speaker 1>we tested, which was definitely good news and when we

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<v Speaker 1>compared in our study the results to the what they

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<v Speaker 1>call the anti nasal swabs, a shorter nasal swabs used

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<v Speaker 1>in other at home kits. Those swabs can only correctly

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<v Speaker 1>identify the presence of the virus in the cases. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>So what we found is that it's very technique dependence

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<v Speaker 1>with the swabs, both the nasal and the nasal farengeal UM.

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<v Speaker 1>You don't know how much material you necessarily get on

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<v Speaker 1>the end of that swab. UM, and when yourself administering

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's definitely tricky to get it up there. So

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<v Speaker 1>does that So does that mean dr failing that if

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<v Speaker 1>somebody doesn't do it right, like you said, it's pretty

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<v Speaker 1>um sensitivity and specificity. UM. Does that mean if you

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<v Speaker 1>don't do it correctly, there could be a false negative

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<v Speaker 1>or false positive false negative I guess more likely, right,

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<v Speaker 1>that's perfect more likely a false negative. UM. And when

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<v Speaker 1>you do this saliva test, it's much easier. You're just

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<v Speaker 1>spitting in a tube too. It's about a mill of

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<v Speaker 1>saliva that's collected. It's pretty full proof UM. So it's

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<v Speaker 1>a much more even sample source. And we've shown that

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<v Speaker 1>you're able to detect more viral material in that one

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<v Speaker 1>mill as opposed to what's on the end of that slab.

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<v Speaker 1>So we're talking about the test that you have their

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<v Speaker 1>saliva base. Do you have a rapid test and a

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<v Speaker 1>regular test? What I do wonder is how's your supply

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<v Speaker 1>chain for making sure that you have enough equipment materials

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<v Speaker 1>in order to meet any demand that's out there, because

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<v Speaker 1>I know that's been certainly a concern as we get deeper, deep,

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<v Speaker 1>deeper and deeper into COVID, there have been some concerns

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<v Speaker 1>that companies are just not going to have the supplies

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<v Speaker 1>that they need correct. That's been an ongoing issue and

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<v Speaker 1>one that we initially wanted to solve for in di

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<v Speaker 1>elopment of this lava based test because early on in

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic we were experiencing shortages of swabs, so we

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<v Speaker 1>wanted a self collect method that didn't depend on that

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<v Speaker 1>or the necessary ppe um. So we once we figured

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<v Speaker 1>out the test worked well and gave good results, we

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<v Speaker 1>started investing heavily in the devices that are used for

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<v Speaker 1>the sample collection, as well as building out the capacity

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<v Speaker 1>in the lab, meaning the automation as well as the

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<v Speaker 1>PCR instruments that are crucial for running the test. In

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<v Speaker 1>addition the consumables. Um So, we have inventoried substantial uh

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<v Speaker 1>quantities of all of those in order to support testing

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<v Speaker 1>moving forward. So no, no, So the supply chains working

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<v Speaker 1>as you want. Everything's going smoothly right now. Yes, we

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<v Speaker 1>did a lot of research in order to ensure that

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<v Speaker 1>that would be the case. What's the what's the demand

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<v Speaker 1>for these tests at this point? Can you give us

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<v Speaker 1>an idea? I know you're working with the University of Kansas,

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<v Speaker 1>you've worked with other um members of the academic academic world.

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<v Speaker 1>Excuse me, um, so give me an idea of what

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<v Speaker 1>kind of demand you're having for these tests. We're having

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<v Speaker 1>a nice demand for him, Like you said, we're working

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<v Speaker 1>with universities, l A, public schools, working with sports groups

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<v Speaker 1>like the Kansas City Chief Suite Spans as well as

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<v Speaker 1>Dancing with the Stars. Um So we're having a nice uptake.

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<v Speaker 1>And um one of the things that folks say after

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<v Speaker 1>they've gone through the experience is that they enjoyed the

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<v Speaker 1>test process and then want to offer it to their

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<v Speaker 1>friends and family. UM. That was really the backdrop for

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<v Speaker 1>us developing the consumer facing products so that we could

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<v Speaker 1>broaden the reach for the test and allow others not

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<v Speaker 1>in our customer groups to participate and get a test.

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<v Speaker 1>So this consumer product um DTOR failing, how how quickly

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<v Speaker 1>do you get the results? So I'm assuming you could

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<v Speaker 1>have the product at home, you take the test, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>assuming you have to get it into the mail within

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<v Speaker 1>twenty four hours or something like that. And I'm just

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<v Speaker 1>curious when when the test comes back. It comes back

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<v Speaker 1>within approximately twenty four hours from receipt at our lab

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<v Speaker 1>and have a nice, nice turnaround time. But how quickly

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<v Speaker 1>did somebody have to do They take the test and

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<v Speaker 1>they have to get it in the mail within a

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<v Speaker 1>certain time too, I'm assuming well, they typically they will

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<v Speaker 1>order the tests and then mail it back via priority

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<v Speaker 1>overnight to receive in our lab the next day. But

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<v Speaker 1>the device itself does have twenty one day room temperature

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<v Speaker 1>stability UM, so it does have a nice stability on it.

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<v Speaker 1>But folks definitely want to know the results right right,

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<v Speaker 1>So but my gut, but what I'm assuming is that

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<v Speaker 1>you do the test, you've got to get it in

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<v Speaker 1>the mail UM within twenty four hours. Then you're saying

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<v Speaker 1>within receipt you get it within twenty four hours, So

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<v Speaker 1>I'm assuming it like within a day or two, you

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<v Speaker 1>know what the results are? Yes, Yes, So that that's

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<v Speaker 1>our goal with that turnaround time and why we built

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<v Speaker 1>out capacity to just support that. We want folks to

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<v Speaker 1>get the results in their hands so that they can

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<v Speaker 1>appropriately take action. You know, they can quarantine if necessary

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<v Speaker 1>and notify others who might have been exposed. What are

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<v Speaker 1>your extations about ramp up of this. I mean you're watching,

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<v Speaker 1>like you said, you're working with tensing, with the stars,

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<v Speaker 1>you're working with you know, universities. It's it's interesting to

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<v Speaker 1>hear the populations that I've reached out to you. But

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<v Speaker 1>what are your expectations about do we essentially become kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a testing a home testing society. How quickly can

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<v Speaker 1>that happen? Yes? I think we can. We can pivot

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<v Speaker 1>to that with folks working from home more now, I

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<v Speaker 1>think they're expecting to do more things out of the home. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>so I think we're definitely going to see a nice

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<v Speaker 1>uptick using this consumer facing product. So we're very excited

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<v Speaker 1>about it. All right, We're gonna leave it on that note.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Heather Failing, thank you so much. She's a VP

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<v Speaker 1>of Lab Sciences and chief scientific officer at Clinical Reference Laboratory.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh and she is joining us on the phone from Kansas.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>Well talk about multitasking. It's the money transfer app that

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<v Speaker 1>provides relief from runaway inflation and a worthless currency. It's

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<v Speaker 1>also the subject of a story from Bloomberg business Week.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week editor Joe Webber and Bloomberg News Latin

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<v Speaker 1>America reporter Andrew Rosani joining us right now, both of

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<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from Brooklyn. And Joel, I gotta say,

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<v Speaker 1>I love when the magazine takes us to emerging markets

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<v Speaker 1>and things taking place that are innovative but kind of

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<v Speaker 1>also out of necessity. Yeah. When I when I first

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<v Speaker 1>heard about the story, I just thought it was phenomenal

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<v Speaker 1>because it is a service that a lot of us

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<v Speaker 1>know and then probably have used, which is Zel, which

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<v Speaker 1>a very common money transfer app here in America. But

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<v Speaker 1>believe it actually isn't it zeally totally so. So the

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<v Speaker 1>the thing that that Andrew brought up though, was that

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<v Speaker 1>this is actually this app is being used in Venezuela

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<v Speaker 1>basically unintendedly, Like you know, tons of people in Venezuela

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<v Speaker 1>have a currency that's basically worthless. The dollar has always

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<v Speaker 1>dominated transactions there, but instead of it being a hard currency,

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<v Speaker 1>what we're seeing is actually people using the app. So, Andrew,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just very curious, how did this story come to

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<v Speaker 1>light and why why this particular service. Yeah, it's it's funny.

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<v Speaker 1>Dollarization has been going on for a number of years

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<v Speaker 1>now in Venezuela, just as the inflation goes higher and

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<v Speaker 1>higher and higher. And you know, I was a correspondent

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<v Speaker 1>there for many years, and I recently came back to

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<v Speaker 1>New York and it's funny. When I came back, I

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<v Speaker 1>kept um, I kept trying to use it here and

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<v Speaker 1>it didn't really catch hung because in Venezuela, aside for

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<v Speaker 1>things like rent payments and you know, big transfers to

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<v Speaker 1>friends and families, but in Venezuela, if you use it

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<v Speaker 1>for everything like literally a candy bar or a pair

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<v Speaker 1>of sneakers, people use it multiple times, you know, multiple

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<v Speaker 1>times a day. And to this day, people are constantly

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<v Speaker 1>calling the in Venezuela to see if I can help

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<v Speaker 1>them out and make transfers. It's just so ubiquitous there,

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<v Speaker 1>and it kind of came about because you know, we

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<v Speaker 1>were seeing we got some numbers that was coming out

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<v Speaker 1>that like kind of confirmed, but we already knew that.

0:11:57.080 --> 0:11:59.280
<v Speaker 1>You know, in cities like Caracu is the capital. It

0:11:59.320 --> 0:12:05.120
<v Speaker 1>accounts for over sevent of all transactions there, which is huge.

0:12:05.160 --> 0:12:07.280
<v Speaker 1>And this is at a time that Venezuela's under U

0:12:07.360 --> 0:12:10.680
<v Speaker 1>S sanctions and ruled by a government that described itself

0:12:10.760 --> 0:12:13.160
<v Speaker 1>as proudly anti capitalists. So it's just kind of this

0:12:13.360 --> 0:12:16.120
<v Speaker 1>very ironic twist of things all going on at once.

0:12:16.120 --> 0:12:18.880
<v Speaker 1>So we thought it made for a really colorful, fun story.

0:12:19.160 --> 0:12:20.760
<v Speaker 1>What's great about it too? And you write this and

0:12:20.840 --> 0:12:23.240
<v Speaker 1>and I think there's somebody quoted about how, you know,

0:12:23.600 --> 0:12:26.480
<v Speaker 1>sanctions against the Venezuelan government right by the US, but

0:12:26.520 --> 0:12:29.640
<v Speaker 1>not necessarily against the people there, And so they're able

0:12:29.679 --> 0:12:32.640
<v Speaker 1>to kind of tap into the US financial system, which

0:12:32.720 --> 0:12:38.920
<v Speaker 1>is backed by some really major US players. That's right,

0:12:39.000 --> 0:12:42.319
<v Speaker 1>that's right. Zel is owned by seven of the US's

0:12:42.480 --> 0:12:47.360
<v Speaker 1>largest banks, and uh it's network stretches two hundreds of them.

0:12:47.440 --> 0:12:50.680
<v Speaker 1>And you know, these dollarizations often happened in other like

0:12:50.800 --> 0:12:55.040
<v Speaker 1>basket Case or or prior economies or prior states. You know,

0:12:55.080 --> 0:12:58.520
<v Speaker 1>you can see dollars on the streets of Havana or Tehran.

0:12:58.640 --> 0:13:02.800
<v Speaker 1>But this, this, you know, this distinction in Venezuela that

0:13:03.000 --> 0:13:08.240
<v Speaker 1>Venezuelan citizens aren't sanctioned UM and they still have access

0:13:08.280 --> 0:13:11.480
<v Speaker 1>to the US financial system really allowed ZELL to take

0:13:11.520 --> 0:13:14.320
<v Speaker 1>off there almost in a way that it hasn't taken

0:13:14.320 --> 0:13:17.880
<v Speaker 1>off here. It just people embrace it far more than

0:13:17.880 --> 0:13:20.120
<v Speaker 1>than than venmo, far more than pay per hour, that

0:13:20.840 --> 0:13:23.760
<v Speaker 1>uh cash app. You see science, homemade science for it

0:13:23.800 --> 0:13:26.240
<v Speaker 1>all over the streets, all over the streets in Caracas.

0:13:27.880 --> 0:13:29.720
<v Speaker 1>So one of the other interesting notes here is that

0:13:29.760 --> 0:13:33.000
<v Speaker 1>it's not only something that's used within Venezuela, but it's

0:13:33.040 --> 0:13:36.640
<v Speaker 1>also something that allows people out of Venezuela to to

0:13:36.840 --> 0:13:39.720
<v Speaker 1>transfer money into Venezuela. Can you tell us about some

0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:43.040
<v Speaker 1>of the stories that you found out about on that front. Yeah,

0:13:43.080 --> 0:13:46.680
<v Speaker 1>it's UM Venezuela right now, with the ongoing crisis there,

0:13:46.880 --> 0:13:51.160
<v Speaker 1>UM is suffering a refugee crisis comparable to that of Syries.

0:13:51.280 --> 0:13:55.280
<v Speaker 1>There's currently over five around five million Venezuelans now living

0:13:55.840 --> 0:13:59.080
<v Speaker 1>outside of their country, and you know, there's hundreds of

0:13:59.120 --> 0:14:01.199
<v Speaker 1>thousands that have to you can, you know, start a

0:14:01.240 --> 0:14:03.559
<v Speaker 1>new lives here in the United States. So this has

0:14:03.600 --> 0:14:05.680
<v Speaker 1>really been away for the d ask or how to

0:14:05.720 --> 0:14:08.640
<v Speaker 1>send money home as well. And we found all these

0:14:08.640 --> 0:14:12.199
<v Speaker 1>situations that people who maybe not have a Zell account

0:14:12.240 --> 0:14:15.559
<v Speaker 1>or a bank account themselves are texting friends and family

0:14:16.200 --> 0:14:18.880
<v Speaker 1>back in the States. One character or one person we

0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:24.000
<v Speaker 1>found is a guy named Hirado. He is frightened essentially

0:14:24.000 --> 0:14:25.680
<v Speaker 1>does all the shopping for um that he lives in

0:14:25.760 --> 0:14:29.000
<v Speaker 1>Los Angeles, and with a four hour time disterence, this

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:33.320
<v Speaker 1>poor guy Corretto can't do any shopping until afternoon when

0:14:33.320 --> 0:14:35.760
<v Speaker 1>its friend wakes up. So people who have to completely

0:14:35.760 --> 0:14:38.720
<v Speaker 1>adjust their lives when friends and family are willing to

0:14:38.360 --> 0:14:42.360
<v Speaker 1>be able to that money to a merchant or or

0:14:42.680 --> 0:14:48.000
<v Speaker 1>or another person in Venezuela. And so what about banks

0:14:48.000 --> 0:14:50.400
<v Speaker 1>in all of this? Um, you know you mentioned that

0:14:50.400 --> 0:14:52.760
<v Speaker 1>that there is um some little a little bit of

0:14:53.440 --> 0:14:57.320
<v Speaker 1>cagnis um and that you know wells Fargo in particular

0:14:57.360 --> 0:15:02.920
<v Speaker 1>as black right right. Um, So from what we would

0:15:03.160 --> 0:15:06.000
<v Speaker 1>tell from the sanctions and talking to legal experts that

0:15:06.040 --> 0:15:10.440
<v Speaker 1>there's nothing, uh, there's nothing explicit in the Treasury sanctions

0:15:10.440 --> 0:15:14.920
<v Speaker 1>that prohibit this going on. However, you know, banks us

0:15:15.040 --> 0:15:20.640
<v Speaker 1>really really sophisticated algorithms and uh in security software. And

0:15:21.080 --> 0:15:23.080
<v Speaker 1>what we're seeing is that some of the banks, with

0:15:23.160 --> 0:15:26.200
<v Speaker 1>all these UH, with all these transactions going on, and

0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:29.240
<v Speaker 1>so many of them, some of their algorithms and and

0:15:29.320 --> 0:15:35.120
<v Speaker 1>Wells Fargo especially has UH has put holds on or suspended,

0:15:35.160 --> 0:15:38.200
<v Speaker 1>at least briefly, hundreds of counts in Venezuela. And there's

0:15:38.200 --> 0:15:42.680
<v Speaker 1>like really through a wrench UH in the in the

0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:47.080
<v Speaker 1>basic you know, basic lives of hundreds of Venezuelan's there

0:15:47.120 --> 0:15:50.880
<v Speaker 1>because suddenly the service they're using to buy groceries, pay

0:15:50.960 --> 0:15:54.440
<v Speaker 1>for to their children's schooling, UH, home repairs, you name it,

0:15:54.520 --> 0:15:57.040
<v Speaker 1>they suddenly lost it and it sent them scrambling to

0:15:57.040 --> 0:15:59.880
<v Speaker 1>find new ways. And we reached out to Wells Fargo.

0:16:00.000 --> 0:16:04.840
<v Speaker 1>They only said that they would only flag accounts that

0:16:04.880 --> 0:16:07.320
<v Speaker 1>weren't inconsistent with the attended use. And some of these

0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:10.760
<v Speaker 1>accounts have that restored have been restored back. But it's

0:16:10.840 --> 0:16:13.520
<v Speaker 1>it's a situation with so many people and figuring the

0:16:13.560 --> 0:16:17.280
<v Speaker 1>government being sanctioned there. People are are worried about sending

0:16:17.320 --> 0:16:19.600
<v Speaker 1>money or letting their transfers go into the wrong hands.

0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:23.240
<v Speaker 1>Andrew really quickly thirty seconds Venezuelan government, I mean, are

0:16:23.240 --> 0:16:25.120
<v Speaker 1>they like wait a minute, we gotta stop this, are

0:16:25.160 --> 0:16:27.720
<v Speaker 1>they okay? I'm just curious what you're hearing. Just quickly,

0:16:28.960 --> 0:16:33.520
<v Speaker 1>the Venezuelan government president Nicholas Madureau himself has given his

0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:37.320
<v Speaker 1>blessing to Dollarization. They think it's become, you know, this

0:16:38.120 --> 0:16:40.440
<v Speaker 1>escape valve for all the other things going wrong in

0:16:40.480 --> 0:16:43.120
<v Speaker 1>the country. I mean they would be you know, even

0:16:43.160 --> 0:16:45.160
<v Speaker 1>if Dell would get shut down, there would be another

0:16:45.200 --> 0:16:48.360
<v Speaker 1>system to pop up right away, whether it's something like

0:16:48.440 --> 0:16:51.400
<v Speaker 1>venmore or more smaller one. So I don't think anyone

0:16:51.440 --> 0:16:54.280
<v Speaker 1>wants to see the go away anytime soon. Yeah. Interesting, well,

0:16:54.320 --> 0:16:57.440
<v Speaker 1>great read, um, and interesting to see how this is

0:16:57.480 --> 0:17:01.200
<v Speaker 1>working out in Venezuela. Andrew, thank you and much really appreciated.

0:17:01.280 --> 0:17:04.760
<v Speaker 1>Andrew Rossotti. He is Bloomberg News Latin America reporter on

0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:07.200
<v Speaker 1>the phone in Brooklyn, or thanks to Joe Webber, Bloomberg

0:17:07.200 --> 0:17:10.960
<v Speaker 1>Business Week editor, also joining us on the phone from Brooklyn.

0:17:11.080 --> 0:17:13.080
<v Speaker 1>Check out that full story. You can find it in

0:17:13.080 --> 0:17:17.480
<v Speaker 1>the magazine and also online at business Week dot com.

0:17:17.520 --> 0:17:21.200
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer on

0:17:21.320 --> 0:17:25.920
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. Yes, indeed, you are listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Hey,

0:17:25.960 --> 0:17:29.399
<v Speaker 1>our tough story at this hour, and it's top because

0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:31.400
<v Speaker 1>I gotta say it's a story that's parked a few

0:17:31.440 --> 0:17:34.119
<v Speaker 1>conversations in my own home, uh, and did on our

0:17:34.160 --> 0:17:36.639
<v Speaker 1>news call this morning. It's about a flurry of changes

0:17:36.680 --> 0:17:38.840
<v Speaker 1>that we've been seeing and talking about here at Bloomberg

0:17:39.160 --> 0:17:43.000
<v Speaker 1>in the Pentagon's top ranks, those changes brought on by

0:17:43.080 --> 0:17:45.240
<v Speaker 1>President Trump. I want to get into what it means,

0:17:45.240 --> 0:17:49.439
<v Speaker 1>why it's happening now. Bloomberg's Tony Capaccio is following it

0:17:49.520 --> 0:17:52.920
<v Speaker 1>for us. He is Bloomberg News, Pentagon and National Security Report.

0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:55.480
<v Speaker 1>He joins us on the phone from the nation's capital. Hey, Tony,

0:17:55.600 --> 0:17:59.080
<v Speaker 1>good to have you here with us. So what's going on.

0:18:00.560 --> 0:18:04.399
<v Speaker 1>What's going on is that we're seeing the kind of

0:18:04.440 --> 0:18:06.879
<v Speaker 1>the ramifications of the election in terms of we knew

0:18:07.000 --> 0:18:09.960
<v Speaker 1>Esper Mark Esper was going to be fired at some point.

0:18:10.080 --> 0:18:12.320
<v Speaker 1>That's been out there. Bloomberg goes on top of that,

0:18:12.680 --> 0:18:16.760
<v Speaker 1>but the shot came. It happened pretty quick. It happened

0:18:16.760 --> 0:18:20.320
<v Speaker 1>by tweet, and then followed yesterday by the head of

0:18:20.400 --> 0:18:24.560
<v Speaker 1>the acting head of Policy, James Anderson, tendering his resignation,

0:18:25.080 --> 0:18:28.560
<v Speaker 1>and then the head of intelligence for the Pentagon having

0:18:28.680 --> 0:18:32.800
<v Speaker 1>his retirement accelerated by like a month, and there was

0:18:32.840 --> 0:18:36.520
<v Speaker 1>this cumotive impact here there. It gives the impression there

0:18:36.600 --> 0:18:39.400
<v Speaker 1>there's a tornado going on on the Pentagon, and it's

0:18:39.400 --> 0:18:41.879
<v Speaker 1>it's actually a lot calmer than you might think. But

0:18:41.960 --> 0:18:44.520
<v Speaker 1>the big reason people are concerned here is because a

0:18:44.520 --> 0:18:48.840
<v Speaker 1>fellow named Anthony Tata, I quite a right winger, who

0:18:49.280 --> 0:18:52.359
<v Speaker 1>was up for the policy position back in June. His

0:18:52.440 --> 0:18:54.800
<v Speaker 1>name was pulled back by the White House because it

0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:58.199
<v Speaker 1>lacks Senate support from both Republicans and Democrats. Now he

0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:03.359
<v Speaker 1>becomes the acting Assistant under Secretary for policy. Why is

0:19:03.400 --> 0:19:06.080
<v Speaker 1>it happening now? I mean you said, I know, you

0:19:06.080 --> 0:19:09.640
<v Speaker 1>said esper was expected, but I'm just trying to understand.

0:19:09.680 --> 0:19:13.000
<v Speaker 1>You said it's pretty normal, Like help me understand, because

0:19:13.000 --> 0:19:14.280
<v Speaker 1>it feels like, let me say to me, is this

0:19:14.320 --> 0:19:19.159
<v Speaker 1>a consolidation of power underway? What's going on? There was

0:19:19.240 --> 0:19:23.000
<v Speaker 1>more problem there. It was more problematic when Maddis resigned

0:19:23.000 --> 0:19:27.399
<v Speaker 1>in December. That was that was a shock. Nobody expected that.

0:19:28.040 --> 0:19:31.040
<v Speaker 1>I was there. When Rumsfeldt was fired, that was a shock.

0:19:31.480 --> 0:19:34.640
<v Speaker 1>Two thousand four, Abu Grab the famous prison scandal broke.

0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:37.960
<v Speaker 1>That was a shock because we thought rumsfeld end the

0:19:38.040 --> 0:19:41.280
<v Speaker 1>joint chiefs of Staff chairman would be fired. So this,

0:19:41.760 --> 0:19:43.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, while it looks bad, it looks because it's

0:19:43.880 --> 0:19:46.919
<v Speaker 1>it's Trump, and it seems vindictive. And there's three in

0:19:46.960 --> 0:19:51.600
<v Speaker 1>a row here. The American people and the listeners can

0:19:51.600 --> 0:19:55.080
<v Speaker 1>take solace in the fact that the military there, they're

0:19:55.119 --> 0:19:59.080
<v Speaker 1>used to transitions, they've seen it. There's an area of

0:19:59.160 --> 0:20:01.920
<v Speaker 1>calm among the jo in chiefs of Staff, General Millie.

0:20:02.000 --> 0:20:05.159
<v Speaker 1>The chairman is not resigning. So they're waiting now for

0:20:05.320 --> 0:20:08.440
<v Speaker 1>signals from Christopher Miller, this new acting under this new

0:20:08.480 --> 0:20:11.600
<v Speaker 1>acting Defense Secretary in terms of what's going to be

0:20:11.640 --> 0:20:14.200
<v Speaker 1>his agenda for the next seventy days. So is this

0:20:14.280 --> 0:20:17.040
<v Speaker 1>and forgive me not being political, not pointing fingers, but

0:20:17.080 --> 0:20:19.640
<v Speaker 1>it's it's is it just more of kind of this

0:20:19.720 --> 0:20:21.959
<v Speaker 1>is how the president has run the administration, and so

0:20:22.080 --> 0:20:25.399
<v Speaker 1>changes happen. It doesn't matter what the clock says or

0:20:25.440 --> 0:20:28.800
<v Speaker 1>where he is, you know, in terms of a second

0:20:28.880 --> 0:20:32.960
<v Speaker 1>term or not um. But it's just you know, him

0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:34.920
<v Speaker 1>just kind of wanting to do what he wants to do.

0:20:35.520 --> 0:20:37.360
<v Speaker 1>It's kind of it. I think it's poking it's eye.

0:20:37.640 --> 0:20:40.320
<v Speaker 1>His eye had critics too. I mean, look at it

0:20:40.359 --> 0:20:42.439
<v Speaker 1>this way. You had three Defense. You have three service

0:20:42.480 --> 0:20:46.240
<v Speaker 1>secretaries and you have a deputy Defense secretary. They're all

0:20:46.280 --> 0:20:49.920
<v Speaker 1>passed over for a former Greenberg Navy I think his

0:20:50.040 --> 0:20:53.640
<v Speaker 1>navy still excuse me, who was a counter terrorism director

0:20:54.080 --> 0:20:56.960
<v Speaker 1>and he was brought in. You passed over all three

0:20:57.000 --> 0:20:59.639
<v Speaker 1>of those men and women to the Air Force secretary

0:20:59.680 --> 0:21:02.320
<v Speaker 1>is a woman, and the deputy Defense secretary. You pass

0:21:02.400 --> 0:21:05.639
<v Speaker 1>over them for this guy. Then you gotta wonder, is

0:21:05.680 --> 0:21:09.000
<v Speaker 1>there a is there a Trump agenda? That's that's the

0:21:09.000 --> 0:21:11.439
<v Speaker 1>worrisome part of this. Well, what what could be the

0:21:11.480 --> 0:21:14.800
<v Speaker 1>Trump agenda that we would be worried about? Well, if

0:21:14.840 --> 0:21:16.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, that's a good question. I keep I'm trying

0:21:16.600 --> 0:21:18.760
<v Speaker 1>to report that now. But there could be several ways

0:21:18.840 --> 0:21:21.800
<v Speaker 1>he could rat screw the public and the military, so

0:21:21.880 --> 0:21:24.760
<v Speaker 1>to speak. He could try to accelerate the drawing in

0:21:24.760 --> 0:21:29.080
<v Speaker 1>Afghanistan over the next seventy days. He can accelerate the

0:21:29.359 --> 0:21:34.880
<v Speaker 1>withdrawal troops from Germany. He can really put the blockers

0:21:34.920 --> 0:21:37.159
<v Speaker 1>on the the Biden transition team in terms of the

0:21:37.160 --> 0:21:41.080
<v Speaker 1>Pentagon budget, preparation of the budget. There are those types

0:21:41.119 --> 0:21:46.200
<v Speaker 1>of things. But the biggest danger of all is whether Iran, Iraq, Iran,

0:21:47.119 --> 0:21:50.320
<v Speaker 1>Russia and China will take advantage of this seeming turmoil

0:21:50.720 --> 0:21:54.400
<v Speaker 1>to push us in the South China see Ukraine, Europe

0:21:54.680 --> 0:21:58.919
<v Speaker 1>or a back in Iraq with Iranians attacking US troops,

0:21:58.640 --> 0:22:01.119
<v Speaker 1>and so that's the that is a real danger. I

0:22:01.119 --> 0:22:05.360
<v Speaker 1>think versus Washington seven days in seven days in May

0:22:05.400 --> 0:22:09.040
<v Speaker 1>and reverse where the civilians takeover type of thing, because

0:22:09.040 --> 0:22:11.960
<v Speaker 1>I have to unless there's like some kind of skirmish

0:22:12.320 --> 0:22:14.480
<v Speaker 1>right around the globe. I feel like we don't think

0:22:14.520 --> 0:22:17.760
<v Speaker 1>about the Pentagonal lot, but we should because it's really

0:22:18.000 --> 0:22:21.920
<v Speaker 1>important in terms of you know, the US and their

0:22:22.040 --> 0:22:26.159
<v Speaker 1>role around the world and keeping peace and being you know,

0:22:26.280 --> 0:22:27.720
<v Speaker 1>just kind of watching what's going on. But I do

0:22:27.760 --> 0:22:32.359
<v Speaker 1>wonder what the perception is globally right now, uh Tony

0:22:32.440 --> 0:22:34.760
<v Speaker 1>when we went, you know, global leaders are looking at

0:22:34.800 --> 0:22:37.880
<v Speaker 1>this and just kind of seeing again another round of turmoil,

0:22:37.880 --> 0:22:40.440
<v Speaker 1>if you will, are volatility in a very important agency

0:22:40.440 --> 0:22:43.880
<v Speaker 1>of the government, another rund volatility. I think there's collective

0:22:43.920 --> 0:22:46.760
<v Speaker 1>eye turning and I kind of waiting season. So he

0:22:46.880 --> 0:22:49.120
<v Speaker 1>just literally Melan just came in a couple of days ago,

0:22:49.359 --> 0:22:51.280
<v Speaker 1>So you want to give him some chance to articulate

0:22:51.359 --> 0:22:54.160
<v Speaker 1>his vision. You know, maybe it will be be nine

0:22:54.320 --> 0:22:56.200
<v Speaker 1>I was asking one analyst today, what's the best thing

0:22:56.240 --> 0:22:58.720
<v Speaker 1>that could happen. He says nothing, because that way the

0:22:58.760 --> 0:23:01.760
<v Speaker 1>Trump the Biden minister ration comes in the office and

0:23:01.840 --> 0:23:04.920
<v Speaker 1>they don't inherit a lot of turmoil. They're gonna have

0:23:05.000 --> 0:23:07.600
<v Speaker 1>enough turmoil to deal with in terms of the COVID relief,

0:23:08.000 --> 0:23:12.040
<v Speaker 1>but having additional artificial and turmoil induced in the next

0:23:12.080 --> 0:23:15.359
<v Speaker 1>coming seventy days, well I will make their their task

0:23:15.480 --> 0:23:18.360
<v Speaker 1>even stronger. So less is more in this case. That's

0:23:18.400 --> 0:23:22.399
<v Speaker 1>what we can help for. Fingers crossed ahead. My thought

0:23:22.480 --> 0:23:26.040
<v Speaker 1>is that there's there's probably gonna be more more uh

0:23:26.240 --> 0:23:29.960
<v Speaker 1>not fire, well, maybe firings, resignations, although there's not a

0:23:29.960 --> 0:23:32.560
<v Speaker 1>lot of people left in the building who are or permanent,

0:23:33.280 --> 0:23:37.680
<v Speaker 1>and you're you're gonna see some petty retribution against some

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:41.600
<v Speaker 1>employees there. I mean, Miller may fire some lower level

0:23:41.720 --> 0:23:46.000
<v Speaker 1>GS fifteen types, but I know that's not the guys

0:23:46.080 --> 0:23:48.160
<v Speaker 1>doesn't have a tracker could do in that. But you've

0:23:48.160 --> 0:23:51.240
<v Speaker 1>got to be suspicious because he was put in at

0:23:51.280 --> 0:23:54.399
<v Speaker 1>the over the tops of the service secretaries and the

0:23:54.720 --> 0:23:58.920
<v Speaker 1>number two deputy, David Norquis, So that is death suspicious. Listen,

0:23:58.920 --> 0:24:01.440
<v Speaker 1>this is interesting if you canna be quick twenty five seconds?

0:24:01.480 --> 0:24:04.159
<v Speaker 1>Does it slow this? You know the transition? We know

0:24:04.280 --> 0:24:06.679
<v Speaker 1>it's it's not going like it should normally go. Do

0:24:06.680 --> 0:24:08.919
<v Speaker 1>we have to be worried that? You know, the Biden

0:24:08.920 --> 0:24:11.359
<v Speaker 1>team isn't getting what it needs. Just quickly twenty seconds

0:24:12.640 --> 0:24:16.280
<v Speaker 1>g S. General gal Services Administration pushes the button that

0:24:16.359 --> 0:24:19.240
<v Speaker 1>says the transition should begin. You will know within the

0:24:19.280 --> 0:24:21.879
<v Speaker 1>next week or so if that if they're being stolen,

0:24:21.920 --> 0:24:23.720
<v Speaker 1>if the Biden people are being stolen, walled or not.

0:24:23.960 --> 0:24:25.879
<v Speaker 1>Right now, it's too early to tell, okay, because we

0:24:25.920 --> 0:24:28.440
<v Speaker 1>know the Pentagon and what they're doing is certainly important

0:24:28.720 --> 0:24:30.760
<v Speaker 1>in all of this. Hey, Tony, thank you so much.

0:24:31.240 --> 0:24:32.960
<v Speaker 1>I've been thinking about this story a lot, and I

0:24:33.000 --> 0:24:35.080
<v Speaker 1>know our listeners are as well, so I really appreciate

0:24:35.080 --> 0:24:38.159
<v Speaker 1>you getting us up to speed. Bloomberg's Tony Capaccio. He

0:24:38.240 --> 0:24:45.000
<v Speaker 1>is our Bloomberg News, Pentagon and National Security reporter, a

0:24:45.200 --> 0:24:51.879
<v Speaker 1>journal now, but you let me drive? Oh no, no, no no, no, please,

0:24:52.000 --> 0:25:02.680
<v Speaker 1>I'll excuse me. I want to drive. Just drive the question.

0:25:03.280 --> 0:25:13.479
<v Speaker 1>Try this is the Drive to the Globe com Thanks well,

0:25:13.560 --> 0:25:17.520
<v Speaker 1>try us on Bloomberg Radio. It is time for the

0:25:17.600 --> 0:25:21.040
<v Speaker 1>Drive to the close with us is Philip Palumbo. He's CEO,

0:25:21.160 --> 0:25:24.000
<v Speaker 1>c I O and founder Palumbo Wealth Management. It's a

0:25:24.000 --> 0:25:28.159
<v Speaker 1>boutique wealth management firm. And he joins us on the

0:25:28.200 --> 0:25:31.320
<v Speaker 1>phone in Great nick Long Island. Philip, It's nice to

0:25:31.359 --> 0:25:34.800
<v Speaker 1>have you here with us. How are you good, Carol?

0:25:34.880 --> 0:25:37.560
<v Speaker 1>Thank you? How are you? I'm doing okay. You're gonna

0:25:37.560 --> 0:25:40.920
<v Speaker 1>be watching those virus numbers climbing. I do wonder how

0:25:40.960 --> 0:25:43.119
<v Speaker 1>that kind of you know, you factor it in into

0:25:43.200 --> 0:25:45.960
<v Speaker 1>what that could potentially mean for the economy, what it

0:25:46.000 --> 0:25:49.359
<v Speaker 1>means that ultimately for companies and then the financial market.

0:25:49.400 --> 0:25:50.840
<v Speaker 1>So how do you see it? What do you are?

0:25:50.920 --> 0:25:55.520
<v Speaker 1>You a little nervous? Ah, So I'm actually not as

0:25:55.560 --> 0:25:57.760
<v Speaker 1>nervous says others are. And the reason why, I just

0:25:57.800 --> 0:25:59.480
<v Speaker 1>think we're in a much better place today than we

0:25:59.560 --> 0:26:02.320
<v Speaker 1>wore back in March in terms of understanding the virus.

0:26:02.520 --> 0:26:05.840
<v Speaker 1>Therapeutics really have come a long way since March. Death

0:26:05.920 --> 0:26:08.359
<v Speaker 1>rate seems to be a lot less than back in March.

0:26:08.840 --> 0:26:10.560
<v Speaker 1>And yeah, the number is definitely are ticking up, and

0:26:10.600 --> 0:26:13.280
<v Speaker 1>I do think it will create some shorts from volatility,

0:26:13.440 --> 0:26:16.320
<v Speaker 1>especially as we think about December January, especially when new

0:26:16.320 --> 0:26:20.280
<v Speaker 1>President elect Biden coming into office, and possibly he's more

0:26:20.320 --> 0:26:24.399
<v Speaker 1>on board with possible lockdowns, So that does concern me.

0:26:24.400 --> 0:26:26.640
<v Speaker 1>I think we'll create some volatility, but I think ultimately

0:26:26.680 --> 0:26:29.000
<v Speaker 1>the markets, you know, as we know, it does look forward,

0:26:29.240 --> 0:26:30.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, it doesn't look back. And I think the

0:26:30.920 --> 0:26:34.480
<v Speaker 1>markets looking forward to the vaccine, the advancement on these therapeutics,

0:26:34.480 --> 0:26:36.720
<v Speaker 1>and I think markets will trade based on that. Well,

0:26:36.720 --> 0:26:39.240
<v Speaker 1>that's what you'll get some volatility, yes, but I think overall,

0:26:39.280 --> 0:26:41.320
<v Speaker 1>I think markets will look past that. That's what I

0:26:41.359 --> 0:26:44.800
<v Speaker 1>wondered too. Um, you know that at this point we

0:26:45.040 --> 0:26:47.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of know this playbook. If it gets bad, we

0:26:47.119 --> 0:26:48.479
<v Speaker 1>kind of know what we need to do. We know

0:26:48.560 --> 0:26:51.160
<v Speaker 1>what probably will happen. Um, whether or not we get

0:26:51.160 --> 0:26:54.440
<v Speaker 1>more aid to help out companies, that's certainly up in question. Uh,

0:26:54.480 --> 0:26:56.600
<v Speaker 1>and it will be some time before that happens, but

0:26:56.680 --> 0:27:00.000
<v Speaker 1>we kind of understand it, you know. Do you see

0:27:00.200 --> 0:27:02.160
<v Speaker 1>is it a year from now that you think things

0:27:02.200 --> 0:27:04.080
<v Speaker 1>are much more normal and we start to see an

0:27:04.119 --> 0:27:08.080
<v Speaker 1>economy and demand that is much more normal. I really

0:27:08.119 --> 0:27:09.920
<v Speaker 1>do believe that we go we go back to the

0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:12.439
<v Speaker 1>reality second quarter of next year. So I think, you know,

0:27:12.480 --> 0:27:13.960
<v Speaker 1>as as it talked to people all the time, do

0:27:14.000 --> 0:27:17.639
<v Speaker 1>you say a reality. Did you actually say renality or normality?

0:27:19.440 --> 0:27:21.840
<v Speaker 1>Go back to normality with in terms of in terms

0:27:21.880 --> 0:27:23.399
<v Speaker 1>of life as we know what? I do think that

0:27:23.760 --> 0:27:25.760
<v Speaker 1>the second quarter of next year we really start to

0:27:25.760 --> 0:27:27.000
<v Speaker 1>see that. I think that, you know, we start to

0:27:27.000 --> 0:27:30.000
<v Speaker 1>see mass productions of the vaccine, you know, uh, the

0:27:30.080 --> 0:27:33.000
<v Speaker 1>first quarter of twenty one and going into the second quarter,

0:27:33.720 --> 0:27:35.359
<v Speaker 1>and I think, I think that when that's ought to

0:27:35.359 --> 0:27:37.199
<v Speaker 1>come to fruition, I think we start to really go

0:27:37.240 --> 0:27:38.639
<v Speaker 1>back to normal. And I think, you know, again, like

0:27:38.680 --> 0:27:40.480
<v Speaker 1>I said before, I think markets trade on that. And

0:27:40.480 --> 0:27:41.840
<v Speaker 1>the other thing we have to really think about as

0:27:41.880 --> 0:27:43.919
<v Speaker 1>investors is you know, where else are you gonna go

0:27:43.960 --> 0:27:46.400
<v Speaker 1>from an investment perspective, you know, interest rates or at

0:27:46.480 --> 0:27:48.720
<v Speaker 1>at all time lows, we know we're gonna get some

0:27:48.760 --> 0:27:52.399
<v Speaker 1>type of stimulus plan, and the inflation is low right now,

0:27:52.480 --> 0:27:54.800
<v Speaker 1>gas prices are low. So when you think about from

0:27:54.800 --> 0:27:56.920
<v Speaker 1>an investment perspective, if you have a long term time

0:27:56.960 --> 0:28:00.000
<v Speaker 1>arise and as most of my clients do in invest

0:28:00.040 --> 0:28:02.639
<v Speaker 1>to do that, I just think there there is uh

0:28:02.800 --> 0:28:05.280
<v Speaker 1>the potential to do well in the equity markets going forward.

0:28:05.359 --> 0:28:09.640
<v Speaker 1>So you're working with those higher net wealth net wealthy individuals,

0:28:09.800 --> 0:28:11.680
<v Speaker 1>So I do wonder, you know, what have you guys

0:28:11.720 --> 0:28:14.679
<v Speaker 1>been doing over the last six seven months. Have have

0:28:14.880 --> 0:28:17.720
<v Speaker 1>things changed in terms of strategy? Have you moved some

0:28:17.800 --> 0:28:21.240
<v Speaker 1>things to safer uh? As you said, it's long term strategy.

0:28:21.359 --> 0:28:24.000
<v Speaker 1>So I do wonder, did you change nothing for these

0:28:24.000 --> 0:28:28.119
<v Speaker 1>clients or what So, as I always tell my clients,

0:28:28.160 --> 0:28:30.040
<v Speaker 1>so I really believe in a balanced approach or the

0:28:30.040 --> 0:28:32.760
<v Speaker 1>way we bounce portfolios, as we use treasuries and we

0:28:32.880 --> 0:28:36.560
<v Speaker 1>use gold to hedge equities. And when the crisis occurred

0:28:36.600 --> 0:28:39.400
<v Speaker 1>from February February ninth peak to the trough of March,

0:28:40.400 --> 0:28:46.000
<v Speaker 1>treasuries moved up twenty when stocks wrough down. So what

0:28:46.080 --> 0:28:48.320
<v Speaker 1>I always told clients and where dynamic is, that's when

0:28:48.320 --> 0:28:52.240
<v Speaker 1>we make tactical changes. When asset classes are doing, are

0:28:52.360 --> 0:28:56.680
<v Speaker 1>are dislocated, and that we're managing, we look to sell treasuries.

0:28:56.960 --> 0:29:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Part of it looked to by stocks at trough levels

0:29:00.160 --> 0:29:02.720
<v Speaker 1>and that's what we did in terms of rotation during

0:29:02.720 --> 0:29:05.040
<v Speaker 1>this crisis. And now that equities have moved up, it

0:29:05.080 --> 0:29:07.560
<v Speaker 1>actually looked like obviously a great thing to have done.

0:29:07.840 --> 0:29:09.360
<v Speaker 1>I had no idea that that was the bottom at

0:29:09.400 --> 0:29:12.480
<v Speaker 1>that time. Obviously didn't know that if you do buy equities,

0:29:12.680 --> 0:29:16.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, as it thoughts of the clients more and

0:29:16.440 --> 0:29:18.320
<v Speaker 1>rebalance with with as the classes that I've been doing

0:29:18.360 --> 0:29:20.920
<v Speaker 1>well over time. You know, that's how you make a

0:29:20.920 --> 0:29:22.800
<v Speaker 1>lot of money, and that's one of our strategies. Well,

0:29:22.880 --> 0:29:24.600
<v Speaker 1>let me just ask you. So you guys were buying

0:29:24.640 --> 0:29:27.440
<v Speaker 1>treasuries right when it was getting a little crazy. Were

0:29:27.440 --> 0:29:30.760
<v Speaker 1>you selling equities? Now? So? We owned so, we we

0:29:30.840 --> 0:29:33.680
<v Speaker 1>built portfolios for clients part of our balance approaches to

0:29:33.760 --> 0:29:37.280
<v Speaker 1>own treasuries. Every one of our model portfolios owned treasuries

0:29:38.560 --> 0:29:40.680
<v Speaker 1>when into the crisis, and always we always have part

0:29:40.680 --> 0:29:43.840
<v Speaker 1>of our clients portfolios and treasuries to hedge against equities

0:29:43.840 --> 0:29:46.560
<v Speaker 1>when equities get hit hard. Got it? Okay, So it's

0:29:46.560 --> 0:29:49.520
<v Speaker 1>just it's not that you necessarily were changing anything. Um,

0:29:49.600 --> 0:29:51.640
<v Speaker 1>but it was just already in there to hedge. I

0:29:51.680 --> 0:29:54.320
<v Speaker 1>got it. Um. What about THEO when you started to

0:29:54.320 --> 0:29:57.160
<v Speaker 1>see you know? So, what has changed in terms of

0:29:57.200 --> 0:29:59.520
<v Speaker 1>any kind of strategy? Again? I understand you guys are

0:29:59.560 --> 0:30:01.800
<v Speaker 1>doing this for long term, so it's not like you're

0:30:01.840 --> 0:30:04.360
<v Speaker 1>in and out. But I do wonder if there's anything

0:30:04.960 --> 0:30:07.160
<v Speaker 1>that has changed. I mean, listen, if you wanted to

0:30:07.160 --> 0:30:08.960
<v Speaker 1>be you know, we've been talking a lot about value

0:30:08.960 --> 0:30:12.440
<v Speaker 1>and maybe finally it's that time to come back. Um,

0:30:12.480 --> 0:30:15.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, is it a time to be a little

0:30:15.120 --> 0:30:20.760
<v Speaker 1>bit more aggressive in in one of your investors portfolios. Yeah. So,

0:30:20.760 --> 0:30:22.680
<v Speaker 1>so the key thing that we're really looking at, so

0:30:22.720 --> 0:30:25.800
<v Speaker 1>everybody's talking about today, there's value growth shift that's occurred

0:30:26.080 --> 0:30:28.200
<v Speaker 1>over the past week and really over the past month.

0:30:28.240 --> 0:30:31.040
<v Speaker 1>You see value has outperformed growth, but obviously the past

0:30:31.080 --> 0:30:34.000
<v Speaker 1>fourteen fifteen years, growth has outperformed value. But if you

0:30:34.000 --> 0:30:36.360
<v Speaker 1>look over the last hundred years of value has beaten growth.

0:30:36.480 --> 0:30:38.920
<v Speaker 1>So there's always these periods that growth beats value. Value

0:30:38.920 --> 0:30:40.800
<v Speaker 1>beats growth, and that's why I believe it a long

0:30:40.880 --> 0:30:43.360
<v Speaker 1>term investor, you really have to be balanced between both

0:30:43.680 --> 0:30:45.480
<v Speaker 1>and not really try to time and figure that out,

0:30:45.480 --> 0:30:47.360
<v Speaker 1>because I think you could really get hurt over time

0:30:47.560 --> 0:30:51.520
<v Speaker 1>if interest rates they stay as low as they are today. Growth,

0:30:51.760 --> 0:30:54.720
<v Speaker 1>in my view, will continue to outperform value. But that

0:30:54.760 --> 0:30:57.400
<v Speaker 1>doesn't mean I'm going to overweight or sell all my

0:30:57.520 --> 0:30:59.480
<v Speaker 1>value stocks to by growth. I'm going to keep a

0:30:59.560 --> 0:31:03.000
<v Speaker 1>balanced approach. If growth stots becomes heavy, starts to become

0:31:03.040 --> 0:31:05.760
<v Speaker 1>heavy relative to the portfolio, then I'm going to rebound

0:31:05.800 --> 0:31:08.760
<v Speaker 1>into value to keep it even Stephen, rather than trying

0:31:08.800 --> 0:31:10.360
<v Speaker 1>to bet which area I think is can do better

0:31:10.400 --> 0:31:12.640
<v Speaker 1>over time. Hey, Phil, just good about forty seconds left here.

0:31:12.640 --> 0:31:14.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean, are most of the or most of the

0:31:14.600 --> 0:31:18.240
<v Speaker 1>portfolio is kind of traditional assets or is it also

0:31:18.360 --> 0:31:21.440
<v Speaker 1>are we looking at, you know, buying into private equity?

0:31:21.480 --> 0:31:23.880
<v Speaker 1>Are we buying into you know, different types of assets?

0:31:23.920 --> 0:31:26.120
<v Speaker 1>Just quickly yes, so yep, sure, So the answer your

0:31:26.160 --> 0:31:28.360
<v Speaker 1>question before you ask me about thought process in terms

0:31:28.360 --> 0:31:30.880
<v Speaker 1>of portfolio. So we're not looking at treasuries were concerned

0:31:30.880 --> 0:31:32.680
<v Speaker 1>about rates are low? Now what it offers the same

0:31:32.720 --> 0:31:35.200
<v Speaker 1>protection as it always has when stocks decline. So the

0:31:35.240 --> 0:31:37.880
<v Speaker 1>reality is that we have to look at alternatives such

0:31:37.880 --> 0:31:40.719
<v Speaker 1>as hedge funds that maybe provide low correlation or negative

0:31:40.720 --> 0:31:44.200
<v Speaker 1>correlation to stocks. We used the hedge stocks using options

0:31:44.200 --> 0:31:47.240
<v Speaker 1>and collars private equity. So yes, we do have to

0:31:47.240 --> 0:31:51.080
<v Speaker 1>look outside our normal universe to help protect because a

0:31:51.240 --> 0:31:52.800
<v Speaker 1>straits is so low and I'm not sure if treasury

0:31:52.840 --> 0:31:54.480
<v Speaker 1>will do the same or create that same balance as

0:31:54.520 --> 0:31:56.320
<v Speaker 1>it has in the past. Yeah, especially if you're looking

0:31:56.320 --> 0:31:59.200
<v Speaker 1>for some yield um longer. Jean, Hey, listen, thank you

0:31:59.240 --> 0:32:02.560
<v Speaker 1>so much, Philip Blumbo. He's CEO ce Io, founder of

0:32:02.640 --> 0:32:06.520
<v Speaker 1>Colombo Wealth Management. It's a boutique wealth management firm based

0:32:06.560 --> 0:32:09.680
<v Speaker 1>out there on Long Island, and Phil joining us on

0:32:09.800 --> 0:32:12.120
<v Speaker 1>the phone from Great Nick, thanks so much for listening

0:32:12.160 --> 0:32:15.719
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:32:15.840 --> 0:32:17.920
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0:32:17.960 --> 0:32:20.240
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0:32:20.360 --> 0:32:22.800
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0:32:22.880 --> 0:32:25.280
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