1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:05,000 Speaker 1: Playing for keeps, let's talk to the pros. Welcome in 2 00:00:05,040 --> 00:00:08,039 Speaker 1: everybody to Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy Baseball Podcast. 3 00:00:08,039 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 1: To this b Joey p Joe Pizapia, and today we're 4 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: talking about. 5 00:00:11,920 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 2: The keeper league targets. 6 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: We're talking about leagues that are starting up that have 7 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: keepers involved. Some are one, some are ten, some are more, 8 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:23,000 Speaker 1: some are less. But we're gonna talk about some of 9 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: our favorite targets. If you were in one of those 10 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:27,120 Speaker 1: drafts this year, that's just starting up guys in some 11 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 1: of the later rounds and some of the early rounds 12 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:30,760 Speaker 1: too that we want to target, or if you're in 13 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: those salary cap drafts, the one you want to spend 14 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 1: some money on or maybe get some nice discounts on 15 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:38,280 Speaker 1: later on. The Welsh of course, is here to help 16 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:39,519 Speaker 1: me figure it all out. 17 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 2: And don't forget. 18 00:00:40,080 --> 00:00:41,839 Speaker 1: If you've got drafts coming up, make sure you use 19 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:44,199 Speaker 1: your draft simulator because it's right here. 20 00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 2: Right now. 21 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:47,640 Speaker 1: The MLB Draft Wizard is open for business here at 22 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros. So go to fantasypros dot com slash Draft 23 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:53,239 Speaker 1: Wizard and you could start your mock drafts. You can 24 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:55,640 Speaker 1: do it in ten minutes. Go through undo. I just 25 00:00:55,680 --> 00:00:57,960 Speaker 1: did one right before here. Actually I did two. I 26 00:00:57,960 --> 00:01:00,360 Speaker 1: got a B plus on one and I'm an over 27 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 1: so I went to another one got an A plus 28 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:05,280 Speaker 1: on the second one. So clearly my strategy is starting 29 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:07,039 Speaker 1: to take shape here. But you got to get your 30 00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 1: strategy straight before you get into the twenty twenty three season. 31 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:12,559 Speaker 1: You could do that fantasypros dot Com slash Draft Wizard again. 32 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:15,960 Speaker 1: Go get your draft on Welsh while you start off 33 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:18,120 Speaker 1: with one of your guys on your top ten list 34 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:20,679 Speaker 1: of keeper league targets for twenty twenty three. 35 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:23,720 Speaker 3: I also just want to add real quick that not 36 00:01:23,760 --> 00:01:25,320 Speaker 3: only can you draft and use the Draft Wizard, but 37 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:27,280 Speaker 3: you can connect them to your own leagues, which I 38 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 3: just did last week, and it is incredibly invaluable. When 39 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 3: you even if you're drafting somewhere else, you connect it. 40 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:36,200 Speaker 3: You get the projections, you get us who we hate you, 41 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 3: we love you, You get all the incredibly fun information 42 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:41,520 Speaker 3: even if you're not drafting on Fantasy Pro. So I 43 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 3: just want to point that out because it is one 44 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:46,000 Speaker 3: of the most fun tools to use in the offseason, 45 00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 3: is a draft wizard. And it is not just one thing. 46 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:52,000 Speaker 3: It is many things. Okay, we're talking about keeper buys. 47 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:56,600 Speaker 3: This one is weird because it doesn't feel like this 48 00:01:56,640 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 3: would be a guy that would be a keyper buye. 49 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:02,080 Speaker 3: But mister Mike Mayer is going to love me for 50 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 3: it on Fantasy Pros, and I'm a big buy in 51 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 3: on this guy. My number ten as far as keeper 52 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:13,320 Speaker 3: pickups this year, going with Ryan Mountcastle. Ray Mountcastle, by 53 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:16,520 Speaker 3: the way, is only twenty five years old. He'll start 54 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 3: the season as a twenty six year old. Last two seasons, 55 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 3: he's put up fifty five homers and an average of 56 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:25,560 Speaker 3: eighty seven RBI. In that time, he's hit a round 57 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 3: two fifty with a couple stolen bases that have been 58 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 3: thrown in. But a couple of things I've really loved 59 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 3: on him over this past season. Expected slug rate this 60 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:37,079 Speaker 3: past year was the eighth best in the league at 61 00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:40,360 Speaker 3: five oh nine. Eighth best. That also went with a 62 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:43,600 Speaker 3: huge increase from his batting average was expected batting average 63 00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 3: a two point fifty batting average with a two seventy 64 00:02:46,440 --> 00:02:49,680 Speaker 3: seven expected batting average. Then on top of it, this 65 00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 3: isn't a one for one because they did change the 66 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:53,800 Speaker 3: dimensions and this might just be a part of Orioles. 67 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 3: In general, we had the third biggest home run to 68 00:02:56,600 --> 00:02:59,639 Speaker 3: expected home run differential in the league last year of 69 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 3: qualif fight batters with an over five home run differential 70 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 3: five homers. He had twenty two this past year. That 71 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:09,760 Speaker 3: would be twenty seven homers. And you put all of 72 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 3: that together with really good, strong, hard hit numbers an 73 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 3: offense that is trying to rebuild a team that is 74 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:18,560 Speaker 3: building itself back up. I have a hard time not 75 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 3: buying into a post one hundred player who's under twenty 76 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:25,960 Speaker 3: seven years old. He's got a ton of underline analytics 77 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 3: in his favor in an expected home run ratio that 78 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 3: just looks like it's going to pop back up. I 79 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 3: think Ryan Mountcastle is a nice, good, cheap option, even 80 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:35,520 Speaker 3: if he's not your first baseman, he's your corner infielder 81 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 3: and he just qualifies on that young keeper range. 82 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:41,520 Speaker 1: So give me Ryan Mountcastle, all right, number ten for 83 00:03:41,600 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 1: me on my list. Typically, I'm a little antsy when 84 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 1: it comes to catchers. Francisco Alvarez just missed this list 85 00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 1: for me because he hasn't quite proven it yet. 86 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 2: In the show. 87 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 1: Got a little cup of coffee, but not enough to 88 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 1: really know yet. 89 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 2: It's more of a dynasty league selection. But instead I'm. 90 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:57,839 Speaker 1: Looking at Adlie Ruschman, catcher for the Baltimore Orioles. Last 91 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 1: year thirteen home runs, forty two. He's hit two and 92 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 1: fifty four for the Baltimore Oriols. If you'll get the 93 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 1: minor league numbers of one hundred and eighty games, thirty dingers, 94 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:08,839 Speaker 1: one hundred and eleven RBI, hit two eighty one, three 95 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 1: ninety OVP, forty seven slogging practically a three four to 96 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:14,280 Speaker 1: five guy. Everybody knows I love the three four to 97 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 1: five guys. He's gonna be twenty five years old this year. 98 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 1: He's in a better ballpark situation now that you know 99 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: they've kind of made some adjustments last year where I 100 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 1: think that it's going to look. I know it took 101 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: away for some and I know the pitchers in some 102 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: situations were very pleased. We saw the Orioles make a 103 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:32,920 Speaker 1: run last year. But I think Addley Rutchmand's one of 104 00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:35,480 Speaker 1: these special players where it doesn't matter what the ballpark 105 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:37,239 Speaker 1: is like. You go back and look at him in college. 106 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 1: I remember watching them at Oregon State. The guy just 107 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:41,479 Speaker 1: absolutely mash. I mean, he was just unbelievable. He's a 108 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:44,159 Speaker 1: first rate guy too, and I think that stuff matters 109 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:45,560 Speaker 1: when you look at a keepers, like guys who are 110 00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 1: going to be leaders of teams, guys who are going 111 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:50,280 Speaker 1: to be out there. Typically with the catchers, you're worried 112 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 1: about them giving up some of the offense to learn 113 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:54,400 Speaker 1: the pitching staff. I think we got some of that 114 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:57,840 Speaker 1: adjustment last year. I think this year it's going forward now. 115 00:04:57,880 --> 00:05:00,839 Speaker 1: Adley Rutchman's going to be a superstar in the major leagues, 116 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:03,799 Speaker 1: and a catcher just not a lot of great options there. 117 00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 1: There's a few, not a lot of great ones. So 118 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:07,400 Speaker 1: when keeper leagues, I think Rushman's were of those guys 119 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:08,840 Speaker 1: who was number nine on your list. 120 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:10,920 Speaker 3: Welsh, Well, I'm going to go with the pitcher. There's 121 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:12,479 Speaker 3: a guy that I've talked up a little bit over 122 00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:16,160 Speaker 3: this offseason. It's Nicolodolo. First half last year and only 123 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 3: about twenty six innings. It really took up a big 124 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 3: portion of what he lacked in success. He had a 125 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:24,360 Speaker 3: five to eight one ERA. He was pitching to batters 126 00:05:24,839 --> 00:05:27,480 Speaker 3: four hundred babbit four thirty five babbitb and over three 127 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:30,280 Speaker 3: hundred batting average in the second half, which equated to 128 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,080 Speaker 3: essentially three fourths of his season. He had a two 129 00:05:33,200 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 3: nine to two ERA batters had an under three hundred 130 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:39,840 Speaker 3: BAB and a two hundred batting average overall. What's interesting 131 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:42,320 Speaker 3: about him there are twenty pitchers. If we're looking at Steamer, 132 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:43,839 Speaker 3: I want to point out the bat and the bat 133 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 3: X is now out and these numbers look lower. But 134 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:49,839 Speaker 3: Steamer had projected two hundred strikeout pitchers. There were twenty 135 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 3: of them this year. I believe the bat has around fourteen. 136 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:54,960 Speaker 3: There were only two pitchers that were outside the top ten, 137 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 3: top one hundred in overall eightp that had those two 138 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 3: hundred strikeouts. Those teammates and Nickelodolo. The difference Nickelodolo used 139 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:06,680 Speaker 3: ten percent or more on pitches compared to a two 140 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:09,480 Speaker 3: pitch pitcher. That Hunter Green is ten percent or more 141 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:13,200 Speaker 3: on four different pitches. For Nicolodolo, Green had a really 142 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 3: great twenty eight percent whiff rate on his slider last 143 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:18,680 Speaker 3: year with a forty percent usage. Lodolo on his curve, 144 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:20,279 Speaker 3: which he used thirty percent of the time, had a 145 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:24,479 Speaker 3: forty six percent whiff rate, almost the exact same k 146 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 3: percentage and a full mile per hour less on his 147 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:29,839 Speaker 3: ev Nickelodolo. I think he's just really prime for a 148 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 3: big breakout. He's more of a control pitcher where a 149 00:06:32,000 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 3: hunter Green's little bit more of a power pitcher. He's 150 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 3: also a big analytics guy Niicolodolo outside the top one 151 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 3: hundred overall, a young pitcher on maybe not a great 152 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 3: team in a bad pitcher environment all things to consider, 153 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 3: think makes Green more volatile. And I'm a Nickelodolo guy, 154 00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 3: so he's someone I'd be buying in on Dynasty and 155 00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:51,040 Speaker 3: even keeper leagues who doesn't cost especially in keeper is 156 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 3: not going to probably cost you top one hundred. 157 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,360 Speaker 2: Here's a sneaky guy in keeper leagues too. 158 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:57,039 Speaker 1: I don't think it's going to cost you as much 159 00:06:57,080 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 1: as you might think at twenty three years old last 160 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:02,840 Speaker 1: year for the leveland and almost at Indians Nope, Guardians, 161 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:06,839 Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, Collars season without saying it. And this 162 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 1: is what happens, you know, when you're still coming off 163 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:13,360 Speaker 1: of football, your mind is still fuzzy. Seventeen homers, twenty steals. 164 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: I think in roatal leagues Andres Jimenez is a guy 165 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:19,560 Speaker 1: that people are just really sort of coming around on. 166 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:23,119 Speaker 1: Certainly a breakout year last year he's so young still, 167 00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 1: he's gonna have that job for the foreseeable future. He's 168 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 1: in a good situation there. I think that the Guardians 169 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 1: did well here in this trade when they gave up 170 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 1: Francisco Lindor. Having watched him come up through the Mets system, 171 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 1: you know, I saw a lot of Jimenez. It was 172 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:39,119 Speaker 1: just whether or not you would grow into any power. 173 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:42,360 Speaker 1: And I think last year flashing that for sixty six 174 00:07:42,440 --> 00:07:44,880 Speaker 1: lugging that was a big positive for him, and two 175 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 1: ninety seven batting average was terrific. I mean, this is 176 00:07:47,080 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 1: a guy who's gonna hit for batting average, hit for power, 177 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 1: give him soul bases in roatal leagues. He might be 178 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 1: one of the best return on investments in keeper leagues 179 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 1: right now. So I like the adp in those situations, 180 00:07:57,640 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 1: and I like the player. I think he's got maybe 181 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:02,119 Speaker 1: another year, but even if he just becomes this guy, 182 00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 1: this guy's pretty good to keep, especially in those deeper 183 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:07,840 Speaker 1: keeper leagues. All right, Welsh, who is number eight for 184 00:08:07,960 --> 00:08:10,840 Speaker 1: you on your list of twenty twenty three keeper league targets. 185 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:13,480 Speaker 3: Well, it's another one of these young guys. It's really 186 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 3: interesting and redraft. He comes at a cheaper cost. He's 187 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:18,240 Speaker 3: going to be a little bit more expensive in keeper leagues, 188 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 3: but you know what, it might not tick up to 189 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 3: a crazy degree. Go with Vinnie Pasquinino with the Kansas 190 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 3: City Royals is one of those guys that's on a 191 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 3: little ho home of a team overall offensively that I 192 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 3: don't think really helps. But you know, Vinnie was pull 193 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 3: heavy and the power wasn't insane and about three hundred 194 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:37,640 Speaker 3: plate appearances he had ten overall. But we need to 195 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 3: talk about those home run to expected home run differentials. 196 00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 3: Mount Castle's number three. Paus Quentino number four was number 197 00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 3: four in the league ten homers with an expected fourteen 198 00:08:47,280 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 3: point eight on that home run total. You pair that 199 00:08:50,559 --> 00:08:54,160 Speaker 3: with an expected batting average that was within right on 200 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 3: his overall batting average two ninety five, batting average two 201 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 3: eighty nine expected, no big difference how to higher x 202 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 3: slug slug of four fifty and almost four. It was 203 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 3: four to seventy six on his expect slug, which you've 204 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 3: gotta love. And overall when you just take a look 205 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:09,720 Speaker 3: at him, there's big EV numbers. Had almost one hundred 206 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 3: and thirteen max EV overall, I think a lot is 207 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:14,439 Speaker 3: working in favor of a guy that doesn't strike out. 208 00:09:14,440 --> 00:09:16,840 Speaker 3: A whole bunch is going to hit for power that 209 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:19,480 Speaker 3: doesn't show up quite yet. A lot of underlining things 210 00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:21,920 Speaker 3: work in favor of it. And if you do have 211 00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 3: a Royals team that tries to manufacture and you get 212 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:26,719 Speaker 3: modesty back in there, they're running a little bit more. 213 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 3: It's more RBI opportunity, even though they kind of stink overall. 214 00:09:30,120 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 3: Minny Pascuatino doesn't he walks, he doesn't strike out, He 215 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 3: makes lots of contact, and there's power that's gonna come 216 00:09:36,000 --> 00:09:38,280 Speaker 3: in there. A little Italian breakfast there for you, Joe, 217 00:09:38,400 --> 00:09:39,360 Speaker 3: Minni pass. 218 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 2: Have a good Italian breakfast. 219 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 1: Can't get enough little espresso, you know, maybe a biscothy, 220 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:48,319 Speaker 1: very nice biscoti. 221 00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:50,439 Speaker 3: Yeah, what are you Bisconti? I don't I don't know 222 00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:52,840 Speaker 3: what biscuit? Well, a biscuit, you like a biscuit. 223 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:55,200 Speaker 2: Bisconti, You don't know what bisconti is. 224 00:09:55,280 --> 00:09:57,599 Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, after the show, I'm gonna have to 225 00:09:57,600 --> 00:10:01,080 Speaker 1: send you a whole case. Uh it's a you dunk 226 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 1: him in the coffee. It's like this Italian little biscuit 227 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 1: cookie thing. And it's kind of shaped almost like a 228 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:09,440 Speaker 1: long you ish kind of thing in this chocolate. There's 229 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:12,200 Speaker 1: different one. I mean, we're gonna have to educate you 230 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:13,200 Speaker 1: on some of the Italians. 231 00:10:13,960 --> 00:10:15,440 Speaker 3: Maybe Veny can educate men. 232 00:10:15,679 --> 00:10:20,839 Speaker 1: You can Wander Franco by low Okay, geez, can we can? 233 00:10:20,880 --> 00:10:24,199 Speaker 1: We not overreact. He's barely old enough to drink. I mean, 234 00:10:24,280 --> 00:10:27,240 Speaker 1: twenty two years old here. And I know last year 235 00:10:27,280 --> 00:10:29,960 Speaker 1: was disappointing. I was disappointed. I was expecting big things. 236 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:32,640 Speaker 1: I was expecting a power surge. It didn't happen. Injury 237 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:35,600 Speaker 1: happened instead. But there's a reason why the Rays committed 238 00:10:35,640 --> 00:10:38,840 Speaker 1: so much money to this player. He is a special player. 239 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:42,800 Speaker 1: He is still just twenty two years old. In the 240 00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:45,320 Speaker 1: minor leagues, he hit three thirty five with a four 241 00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 1: hundred OBP over two hundred and twenty four games. And 242 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 1: if you combine and look at the last two seasons, 243 00:10:51,280 --> 00:10:53,000 Speaker 1: you know he's got one hundred and fifty games there, 244 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:56,679 Speaker 1: thirteen home run, seventy two RBI, ten steals, two eighty 245 00:10:56,720 --> 00:10:57,680 Speaker 1: two batting average. 246 00:10:57,840 --> 00:10:58,960 Speaker 2: That's something to build on. 247 00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 1: I mean, I just don't think we're being fair to 248 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:04,280 Speaker 1: the Wander Franco evaluation system yet. 249 00:11:04,600 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 2: And Wander Franco. 250 00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:08,160 Speaker 1: Maybe he'll never be a forty home run guy, but 251 00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:09,480 Speaker 1: I do think at some point he's going to be 252 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:10,920 Speaker 1: a twenty five to thirty home run guy, and I 253 00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 1: think it's gonna be sooner than you realize. And I 254 00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:15,920 Speaker 1: think you're in the unique position to buy low almost 255 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:18,440 Speaker 1: in keeper leagues on him for the first time and 256 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:20,360 Speaker 1: maybe the last time you're gonna be able to do that. 257 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:22,439 Speaker 1: Certainly the last couple years he was very hyped. He 258 00:11:22,559 --> 00:11:25,600 Speaker 1: should be hyped. He's that good of a player. The 259 00:11:25,760 --> 00:11:28,000 Speaker 1: Rays are the raised and they're always gonna have some 260 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:31,240 Speaker 1: deficits there offensively. But I think for me, Wander Franco 261 00:11:31,360 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 1: is that perfect price this year to buy low in 262 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 1: these keeper league drafts on him, or if you're in 263 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 1: a keeper league, buy low on him and just enjoy 264 00:11:38,480 --> 00:11:40,600 Speaker 1: this player for the next decade, because I think he's 265 00:11:40,640 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 1: gonna be an absolute star. And we're just getting started 266 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:46,959 Speaker 1: still with Wander Franco. Let's not overreact to a down 267 00:11:47,040 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 1: and disappointing year. All right, Next on the list here, 268 00:11:50,640 --> 00:11:53,520 Speaker 1: that's my number eight, number seven for you, your keeper 269 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:55,040 Speaker 1: league target for twenty twenty three. 270 00:11:55,320 --> 00:11:57,080 Speaker 3: So I'm gonna jump up the board now. This doesn't 271 00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:59,160 Speaker 3: necessarily have to be a board where we're up at 272 00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:01,280 Speaker 3: the top and then we down to the top guys. 273 00:12:01,280 --> 00:12:04,040 Speaker 3: A draft overall necessarily not mine. This is kind of 274 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:06,079 Speaker 3: ranking and how I'm approaching this. So I'm going to 275 00:12:06,160 --> 00:12:09,640 Speaker 3: jump up the board to a definitely a higher ADP player, 276 00:12:09,640 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 3: but in a keeper league, I don't know if there's 277 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:13,960 Speaker 3: a priority, and I think there's still some value to 278 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 3: be had at third base, and I'm gonna go with 279 00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 3: Austin Riley. And I know you're thinking to yourself, like, well, okay, 280 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:21,679 Speaker 3: Austin Riley might be a second round player. Keeper leaks 281 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:23,320 Speaker 3: you start to get some of the young guys in 282 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:25,439 Speaker 3: there that might push down. If you're talking about dynasty, 283 00:12:25,640 --> 00:12:27,840 Speaker 3: Austin Riley is a player that actually could push into 284 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:31,720 Speaker 3: the third round in some places because he doesn't steal bases. 285 00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:34,080 Speaker 3: And I think there's an overall question. I think people 286 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:37,240 Speaker 3: overall have maybe in the power. My point here is 287 00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:39,200 Speaker 3: Austin Riley is the type of guy that I think 288 00:12:39,520 --> 00:12:42,200 Speaker 3: can still push higher and can you maybe get you 289 00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:44,959 Speaker 3: into a first round overall value, That's what I still 290 00:12:45,000 --> 00:12:47,080 Speaker 3: think is on the table, especially if he pushes back 291 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:50,000 Speaker 3: a little bit and Austin Riley this past year had 292 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:53,680 Speaker 3: the eighth best slug percentage in the league or number, 293 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:57,559 Speaker 3: and he had the six best expected x slug. I mean, 294 00:12:57,559 --> 00:12:59,959 Speaker 3: that's crazy, that's crazy to improve off of that, though, 295 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:04,959 Speaker 3: those power numbers are absolutely real. Seventy one homers over 296 00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:08,559 Speaker 3: the last two years. His RBIs ticked down a little bit, 297 00:13:08,640 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 3: his strikeout numbers came down, but his batting average came off. 298 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,240 Speaker 3: He was a three hundred hitter the year before he 299 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 3: ticked down to two seventy three. And I think there's 300 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:19,840 Speaker 3: some value. I would not be surprised if Austin Riley 301 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:22,600 Speaker 3: pushed forty homers this year and pushes up one hundred hundred. 302 00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:26,200 Speaker 3: He's more of a fat four category player, maybe three. 303 00:13:26,400 --> 00:13:28,719 Speaker 3: But I would buy in on keeper leagues because he's 304 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 3: still really young. And this is a player that could 305 00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:32,720 Speaker 3: be a first run overall talent if you can get 306 00:13:32,800 --> 00:13:34,720 Speaker 3: him in the late second or third round. 307 00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:35,360 Speaker 2: Yeah. 308 00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:36,800 Speaker 1: And some of these guys are going to talk about 309 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:39,160 Speaker 1: today that obviously the prices are going to vary. We're 310 00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:40,959 Speaker 1: going to talk about the premium guys and the reason 311 00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:43,280 Speaker 1: why you want to pay for some of them. And 312 00:13:43,280 --> 00:13:44,800 Speaker 1: we're talking about some guys in the middle, and some 313 00:13:44,800 --> 00:13:47,280 Speaker 1: of the guys we just mentioned too, Pas Galentino probably 314 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:49,960 Speaker 1: going a little later in drafts. There still a little unknown, 315 00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:53,720 Speaker 1: still divisiveness there on the opinion Wander Franco kind of 316 00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:57,000 Speaker 1: coming off a down year. Lots of different evaluations of 317 00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:58,599 Speaker 1: a lot of these players, and again we're trying to 318 00:13:58,600 --> 00:14:01,640 Speaker 1: give you a range, you know exactly, you know how 319 00:14:01,679 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 1: you're can to approach some of these drafts. And look, 320 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:05,240 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about some big time players and why 321 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:06,640 Speaker 1: they're still worth that big investment. 322 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:09,640 Speaker 3: And Franco's fascinating. By the way, it's a time for 323 00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 3: another conversation we could have, but Fronco is ultimately fascinating 324 00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 3: because I'm not sure there's a player in Keeper and 325 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 3: dynasty formats that has a wider range of valuation than 326 00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:23,320 Speaker 3: Wander Franco anywhere from the top twenty five down to 327 00:14:23,400 --> 00:14:25,720 Speaker 3: maybe his redraft value, which is in the nineties. So 328 00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 3: there is a wide, wide spectrum of outcomes for him 329 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:31,680 Speaker 3: as far as how people value him, and that's what 330 00:14:31,760 --> 00:14:34,160 Speaker 3: makes him really intriguing, especially if you're in a league 331 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 3: where that value is quite a bit lower and someone's 332 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:39,360 Speaker 3: in the sixties or seventies is kind of given up 333 00:14:39,400 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 3: because the counting stats will never catch up, and I 334 00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:43,960 Speaker 3: agree with you, I don't think that's necessarily the case. 335 00:14:44,680 --> 00:14:46,360 Speaker 1: And for me, I'm trying to look for guys too, 336 00:14:46,360 --> 00:14:48,560 Speaker 1: who have proven something in the major leagues already. Like 337 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,760 Speaker 1: these are guys that you know, again, not pure minor 338 00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 1: league talent, guys, guys who have shown you at least 339 00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:56,240 Speaker 1: something here in the major league level. And one guy's 340 00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 1: shown you a lot so far, and he's still just 341 00:14:58,240 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 1: twenty five years old. Again, a lot of these guys 342 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,960 Speaker 1: and stay in that twenty six and under range too, 343 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:05,280 Speaker 1: so I know, like the prime of their career is 344 00:15:05,280 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 1: still ahead of them, which is the twenty eight to 345 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:10,200 Speaker 1: thirty one years that's the prime typically of these players. 346 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:11,800 Speaker 2: So Kyle Tucker. 347 00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 1: Hasn't hit the prime yet, but he's got two back 348 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:17,840 Speaker 1: to back thirty home run seasons with ninety plus rebies. 349 00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:20,800 Speaker 1: He's gonna steal bases twenty five last year. The batting 350 00:15:20,800 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 1: average did take a tumble year over here. 351 00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:24,080 Speaker 2: That's fine. But if there's one guy too, along with. 352 00:15:24,040 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 1: Corey Seeger, where the shift change is going to help him, 353 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:31,000 Speaker 1: it's gonna be Kyle Tucker back to back years playing 354 00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:33,520 Speaker 1: over one hundred and forty games as well. You know, 355 00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 1: he plays in a go ballpark surrounded by good lineup support. 356 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:38,120 Speaker 1: There's a lot to like here with Kyle Tucker. And 357 00:15:38,160 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 1: this is a player too that is going to continue, 358 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:44,160 Speaker 1: I think, to even get better. But you've seen, my goodness, 359 00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 1: what a high ceiling he has. There might be another 360 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 1: gear in Kyle Tucker where you get all the high 361 00:15:49,720 --> 00:15:52,880 Speaker 1: batting average, you get all of the thirty plus homers, 362 00:15:52,920 --> 00:15:55,280 Speaker 1: you get fifteen steals, you get everything in there in 363 00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:57,760 Speaker 1: one season all together. I think it's very possible. I 364 00:15:57,760 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 1: think it's probably coming very quickly. So he's one of 365 00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 1: these guys that I think is starting to you know, 366 00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:05,120 Speaker 1: like he's a first round talent in any redraft leagues already. 367 00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:08,040 Speaker 1: But we're talking about salary cap leagues and issues where 368 00:16:08,080 --> 00:16:09,680 Speaker 1: we're gonna look at how much you want to pay 369 00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:11,840 Speaker 1: for a player. This is the guy who's already shown 370 00:16:11,880 --> 00:16:14,120 Speaker 1: you what he is and I think the best is 371 00:16:14,160 --> 00:16:16,000 Speaker 1: still yet to come with him, which is huge. And 372 00:16:16,040 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 1: I think Kyle Tucker is in a good spot right 373 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 1: here at twenty six years old, to be a great 374 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:23,320 Speaker 1: investment where you might even overpay to get him. What 375 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:24,960 Speaker 1: do you think about Kyle Tucker Welsh? 376 00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:28,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm into this. I mean, actually this really fascinating debate. 377 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:31,160 Speaker 3: Just the other day we were talking about Mookie bats 378 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:34,480 Speaker 3: versus Kyle Tucker, and that's the range that he's living 379 00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 3: in right now. Stolen bases, we can question how real 380 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:39,760 Speaker 3: they're going to be, but the powers there, the hit 381 00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 3: tools there were just one of those guys too that 382 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:44,040 Speaker 3: just you look and you're just like, why are you 383 00:16:44,120 --> 00:16:48,480 Speaker 3: not hitting for more average? And kind of like Austin Riley, 384 00:16:48,960 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 3: I also kind of think people are just not caught 385 00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:54,080 Speaker 3: up on like the true value that he holds in 386 00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:56,920 Speaker 3: keeper leagues, especially with top end power and speed. So yeah, 387 00:16:56,960 --> 00:16:59,600 Speaker 3: I'm with that. I'm pretty aggressive on him. He's a 388 00:16:59,640 --> 00:17:01,680 Speaker 3: top ten and no doubt, so anytime you can get 389 00:17:01,720 --> 00:17:05,560 Speaker 3: him outside of that, whether it's dynasty keeper, that's another 390 00:17:05,600 --> 00:17:07,479 Speaker 3: thing to point out as well. Dynasty's and keepers are 391 00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:10,280 Speaker 3: not necessarily valued in the same way. That's something I 392 00:17:10,320 --> 00:17:12,440 Speaker 3: had to adjust because I do a huge top four 393 00:17:12,560 --> 00:17:16,480 Speaker 3: hundred dynasty list, but keepers they're all not created equal 394 00:17:16,560 --> 00:17:18,800 Speaker 3: because you could be keeping two or three, or five 395 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:20,840 Speaker 3: or ten. So there's so many different ways to look 396 00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:23,360 Speaker 3: at it, so proximity is more important. And that's also 397 00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:25,439 Speaker 3: why we're not sitting here talking about Ellie Day, La 398 00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:29,160 Speaker 3: Cruz or Jackson Curio in these keeper formats, because there's 399 00:17:29,200 --> 00:17:31,240 Speaker 3: just so many different ways you can go right. 400 00:17:31,280 --> 00:17:33,320 Speaker 1: And when you're talking with a player like Moogi Bets, 401 00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:36,080 Speaker 1: he's gonna be thirty this year, Kyle Tucker, I'd rather 402 00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:38,399 Speaker 1: have Kyle Tucker the Moogie Bets, even if the stolen 403 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:43,000 Speaker 1: base has never reached Moogie Bets levels or sustainability. That's 404 00:17:43,040 --> 00:17:44,840 Speaker 1: why I prefer Kyle Tucker because I think you know, 405 00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:46,720 Speaker 1: when you give me five extra years on a guy, 406 00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:49,119 Speaker 1: it's a no brainer. 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And now back to the action. 437 00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:27,639 Speaker 1: Next guy on the list for you? Number six? 438 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:28,159 Speaker 2: Who is it? 439 00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:31,680 Speaker 3: Number six? I'm gonna go with the exact opposite of 440 00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:33,280 Speaker 3: everything we just talked about. I'm gonna go with a 441 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:35,720 Speaker 3: player that has very little track record, but he's a 442 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:39,639 Speaker 3: player that in a keeper format he still is prospect eligible. 443 00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:41,480 Speaker 3: But he's a player that you're gonna want to get. 444 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 3: And you know his price is a little bit higher 445 00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:46,119 Speaker 3: right now in a redraft, which pushes it up, but 446 00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:48,679 Speaker 3: there is top two round upside. I'm talking about Corbyn 447 00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:52,560 Speaker 3: Carroll with my Arizona Diamondbacks, and Corbyn Carroll is coming 448 00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:55,680 Speaker 3: off of a phenomenal Minor league season where he had 449 00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:59,280 Speaker 3: twenty eight home runs. I got to go through because 450 00:19:59,280 --> 00:20:01,639 Speaker 3: he had some complex level time here. He had twenty 451 00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:05,240 Speaker 3: eight homers between complex and the major leagues. And I 452 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:07,320 Speaker 3: think there's a lot of questions that people have on 453 00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:09,760 Speaker 3: him overall about like where is this power going to 454 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:12,320 Speaker 3: come from? Because he looks like a smaller guy. One 455 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 3: thing I have cited multiple times Corman Carroll in his 456 00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 3: entire minor league since in twenty nineteen, has only once 457 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 3: had an ISO under two hundred. So I want you 458 00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:26,280 Speaker 3: to think about that ISO a measure of like overall power, 459 00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:29,439 Speaker 3: and it has only been under two hundred once and 460 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:31,480 Speaker 3: that was that rookie ball as an eighteen year old 461 00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:34,560 Speaker 3: in twenty nineteen. Since then, not a single level has 462 00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:38,080 Speaker 3: it ever been under that. It's not crazy strikeout numbers. 463 00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:40,960 Speaker 3: It's always been a good batting average, and it's elite speed. 464 00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,480 Speaker 3: It is top one percent in the overall in the 465 00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:48,320 Speaker 3: league for speed totals. And you look at projections, listen, Steamer, 466 00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:51,600 Speaker 3: I think is more aggressive twenty homers nineteen stolen bases. 467 00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:53,440 Speaker 3: The bat X kind of kills them a little bit 468 00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 3: down to twelve homers and sixteen stolen bases. I think 469 00:20:56,840 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 3: you can make arguments across the board on where the 470 00:20:58,480 --> 00:20:59,840 Speaker 3: power is going to be. But here's what I know. 471 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:02,880 Speaker 3: Everybody is understelling the speed. The speed numbers will beat 472 00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:05,600 Speaker 3: every projection system this year. If he leads off for 473 00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:09,160 Speaker 3: the Diamondbacks even half the time lefties and righty's, he's 474 00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:11,119 Speaker 3: gonna have some good run totals. They are going to 475 00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:14,440 Speaker 3: manufacture runs. And I am a believer in Corman Carroll. 476 00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:16,919 Speaker 3: He costs a little bit more in all formats, but 477 00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:19,720 Speaker 3: I think the upside in the return. I don't want 478 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:22,000 Speaker 3: to do the old Bobby Wit stuff, but I'm just 479 00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:24,320 Speaker 3: saying thirty stolen bases is in my mind, and we 480 00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:26,520 Speaker 3: might have fifteen to twenty homers. And there's a similar 481 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:28,120 Speaker 3: player that put those numbers up last year. 482 00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:31,680 Speaker 1: Sure was Carol's a guy on my radar two. Gonna 483 00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:34,800 Speaker 1: talk more about him later in the week, but twenty 484 00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:37,399 Speaker 1: twenty three rookie of the Year in National League should 485 00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:39,159 Speaker 1: be top of the board guy in my opinion, like 486 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:41,240 Speaker 1: that's you know, if you're going to be making those 487 00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:43,720 Speaker 1: wagers right now, like that's the guy you're looking at. 488 00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:44,840 Speaker 2: I think one of them anyway. 489 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:47,600 Speaker 1: But another great point too about just because a small 490 00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:49,639 Speaker 1: player doesn't me can't hit for power. I mean, doesn't 491 00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:51,720 Speaker 1: Betroit hit for power. Hoseel two a hit for power. 492 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:56,879 Speaker 3: Miki yeah, MOOKI. Actually, I've always been very intrigued. I 493 00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:58,200 Speaker 3: never went and did this. I was going to do 494 00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:00,000 Speaker 3: this a while back. I wanted to do this big 495 00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:03,760 Speaker 3: minor league comparison on Corvin Carroll and Mookie Bets. I mean, 496 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:05,760 Speaker 3: he is smaller than Mooki at this point, but MOOKI 497 00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:09,000 Speaker 3: never built into some big, crazy, big physical specimen or 498 00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:12,119 Speaker 3: anything like that. And Corban Carroll's completely transformed his body. 499 00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:15,080 Speaker 3: And this is a guy that for his size is jacked. 500 00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:18,400 Speaker 3: Is very smart analytical. I really believe in the hit tool. 501 00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:20,399 Speaker 3: I worry about slumps that are going to go on 502 00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:22,000 Speaker 3: and how he's gonna adjust, but he's done it at 503 00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:23,640 Speaker 3: every stop of his minor league career. 504 00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:26,640 Speaker 2: Yeah. Next guy on my list is actually the oldest 505 00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:30,320 Speaker 2: guy on my list. Old Man Show. Heyo Tommy at 506 00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:31,720 Speaker 2: twenty eight years old. 507 00:22:31,960 --> 00:22:33,800 Speaker 1: And that's kind of why he is not higher on 508 00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:37,560 Speaker 1: the list, even though he is probably the best player 509 00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:40,359 Speaker 1: in baseball, even though in most leagues he should be 510 00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:42,120 Speaker 1: the guy. It's the pitcher and the hitter. There's also 511 00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:44,320 Speaker 1: a huge risk in this because he's the pitcher and 512 00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:45,920 Speaker 1: the hitter. It's the same thing we come through every 513 00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:47,640 Speaker 1: single year with this player, which is if he has 514 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:51,200 Speaker 1: a pitching related injury, it takes him out most likely 515 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:52,720 Speaker 1: of being the hitter as well. 516 00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 2: So this is the go. 517 00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:57,919 Speaker 1: Bigger, go home. But in the situations, I think, especially 518 00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 1: in the keeper leagues where you're limited to a three 519 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,480 Speaker 1: year window on a player, Otani you could argue is 520 00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:05,760 Speaker 1: the number one because it is go bigger, go home. 521 00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:07,560 Speaker 1: You can go win a couple years with Otani at 522 00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:10,160 Speaker 1: that peak. You are in the peak of Otani right now. 523 00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:13,199 Speaker 1: It's not going to get potentially better than this. I 524 00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:16,680 Speaker 1: think you've seen the absolute top. If it does get 525 00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:19,960 Speaker 1: better than this, that's unbelievable. But you're experiencing the prime 526 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:21,720 Speaker 1: of Otani. And if you're in a keeper league that 527 00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:23,440 Speaker 1: again has the limitations on it's one thing where you 528 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:26,040 Speaker 1: can keep the player forever, or you have the escalating 529 00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 1: contracts on them, or anyo situations. But if you're in 530 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 1: one of those situations where it's just you know, you 531 00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:33,720 Speaker 1: can keep the player three years and that's it, this 532 00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:35,880 Speaker 1: is the time to go in on showey Otani because 533 00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:38,440 Speaker 1: you are getting a player in his prime. We're getting 534 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:41,200 Speaker 1: a pitcher and a hitter in those leagues specifically where 535 00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:42,320 Speaker 1: you can use him as such. 536 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:45,760 Speaker 2: It's a special talent and he's going to be playing. 537 00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:48,840 Speaker 1: Somewhere else other than LA and there's a good chance 538 00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:52,080 Speaker 1: wherever that place is could be an even better environment 539 00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:54,919 Speaker 1: for him potentially, because you know, Mike Trout just hasn't 540 00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:57,840 Speaker 1: been around that much these last couple of years to 541 00:23:57,920 --> 00:24:01,199 Speaker 1: play with him. Unfortunately, the rest of that team is 542 00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:05,080 Speaker 1: very I would say, how do I put it nicely here? 543 00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:08,600 Speaker 2: With the Los Angeles Angels of Vanna, him and scrubs? 544 00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:10,359 Speaker 2: Is that the best way to say it? Is that 545 00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:11,239 Speaker 2: the best way to say it? 546 00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:12,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a top party. 547 00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:13,680 Speaker 2: I guess it's total. 548 00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:17,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's like an auction valued stars and Suns and scrubs. 549 00:24:17,800 --> 00:24:19,560 Speaker 3: It's like they spell their money on two spots and 550 00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:21,600 Speaker 3: they're trying to make it up in other areas. 551 00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:24,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's not going to work. But shoo Tani. 552 00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:26,240 Speaker 1: I mean, you know the talent, you know what we're 553 00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:30,600 Speaker 1: talking about here, perennial MVP candidate. But look, the oldest player. 554 00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:33,520 Speaker 1: For a reason I don't have him in the top five. 555 00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:35,800 Speaker 1: It's because of the danger you still have with him. 556 00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 1: But you can't argue the next three year window for Showyotani. 557 00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:42,359 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to your number five. We're in 558 00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:44,680 Speaker 1: the top five, guys, Now things are getting exciting. Was 559 00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 1: your top five keeper League target of twenty twenty three? 560 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:49,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, And the only thing I just want to add 561 00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:51,440 Speaker 3: to that is I do try to think very much 562 00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:53,840 Speaker 3: and keep her dynasty in three year windows. So I 563 00:24:53,840 --> 00:24:56,560 Speaker 3: think It's why you can also give a little bit 564 00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:58,320 Speaker 3: more of a leeway to even twenty nine to thirty 565 00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:00,560 Speaker 3: year old players that they can push or ma tin value. 566 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:02,480 Speaker 3: Atani is one of those guys. I really think in 567 00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:03,280 Speaker 3: that window. 568 00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:06,560 Speaker 1: When you're talking about, like, you know, Ronald Acunya, who's 569 00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 1: going to show up on our list here? 570 00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:09,240 Speaker 2: Yes, it's different. 571 00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:11,920 Speaker 1: You know, when you've got an extra five years potentially 572 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:14,520 Speaker 1: or four years on a player who's already shown you 573 00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:17,680 Speaker 1: who's elite, it's no comparison, especially when you're trying to 574 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:19,400 Speaker 1: spend money on salary cap league on there. 575 00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:23,360 Speaker 3: I actually think an incredible debate is Akunya at his 576 00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:27,560 Speaker 3: age and level right now versus Otwani in a daily 577 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:30,920 Speaker 3: moves one player between pitcher and hit or format like 578 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:33,800 Speaker 3: interesting that there's an ultimate debate that we're not going 579 00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:36,639 Speaker 3: to have. But yeah, it's some other time. It may 580 00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:38,440 Speaker 3: be some other time. My guy, I'm going to point 581 00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:41,080 Speaker 3: out here is almost laughable to people who followed us 582 00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,119 Speaker 3: all year last year because I'm going to tell you 583 00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:46,840 Speaker 3: about O'Neill Cruz. Yes, O'Neill Cruz is on this list. 584 00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:50,479 Speaker 3: Because now we're not dealing with the insane expectations of 585 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:53,080 Speaker 3: a rookie coming up, and he's had some time and 586 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:55,440 Speaker 3: we actually saw some improvement on O'Neill cruise. Obviously a 587 00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:59,920 Speaker 3: strikeout numbers overall, we're the biggest concern, almost thirty five percent. 588 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 3: It was in the forties early on. It was a 589 00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:05,159 Speaker 3: big worry. His batting average kind of struggled, but he 590 00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:08,160 Speaker 3: improved a decent amount on the second half of the season. 591 00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:09,879 Speaker 3: He hit two o four in the first half in 592 00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,520 Speaker 3: limited games. Second half, he ended up hitting two forty five. 593 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:16,400 Speaker 3: Still a few more bases. Power numbers came up. Projections 594 00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,199 Speaker 3: pretty favorable across the board. Here was something I had 595 00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:22,400 Speaker 3: put together and this is based on Steamer, just really quickly. 596 00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:25,000 Speaker 3: Was based on Steamer's projection. They had him at twenty 597 00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:27,639 Speaker 3: seven homers in eighteen stolen bases in alle hundred and 598 00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:29,760 Speaker 3: thirty games of the two fifty batting average. Those are 599 00:26:29,760 --> 00:26:32,960 Speaker 3: insane numbers. Well, there's only three players that put up 600 00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:36,080 Speaker 3: those type of numbers last year Kyle Tucker who went 601 00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:39,080 Speaker 3: thirty twenty five, Jose Ramirez who went twenty nine to 602 00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 3: twenty and Julio Rodriguez who went twenty eight and twenty five. 603 00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:44,440 Speaker 3: So you take those second half numbers. You take those 604 00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:46,800 Speaker 3: projections and you're looking, what do all those guys have 605 00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:49,480 Speaker 3: in common. I've said this before, first rounders the first 606 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,800 Speaker 3: round talent. So there's first round talent built in the 607 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:55,560 Speaker 3: upside of Oneokruz. Now, if you want to get down 608 00:26:55,560 --> 00:26:57,480 Speaker 3: to earth a little bit, the strikeout numbers are still 609 00:26:57,480 --> 00:26:59,960 Speaker 3: a concern, but even the bat x still is projecting 610 00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,639 Speaker 3: essentially as a twenty twenty guy twenty two homers, nineteen 611 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:06,080 Speaker 3: stolen bases under thirty k percentage, and an almost two 612 00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:09,200 Speaker 3: to fifty batting average. Listen, if he hits two fifty, 613 00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:12,480 Speaker 3: he's hitting thirty homers. He broke stat cast last year, 614 00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:15,080 Speaker 3: the hardest hit ball ever, one hundred and twenty two 615 00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,840 Speaker 3: miles per hour. I think there are tons of warts 616 00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:21,320 Speaker 3: in his game, but I do think O'Neill Cruz is 617 00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,119 Speaker 3: going to be streaky with enough talent that he's going 618 00:27:24,160 --> 00:27:26,720 Speaker 3: to put up ridiculous numbers. It's like old school Javier 619 00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:29,320 Speaker 3: Baya's stuff, with maybe even less of a swing and 620 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:31,560 Speaker 3: miss in there. But the stolen base and the power 621 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:33,800 Speaker 3: numbers are real. The context of the team limits the 622 00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:36,399 Speaker 3: runs in RBI. You should buy in on him. I 623 00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:39,440 Speaker 3: would buy in on him, even if he's risky. It's 624 00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:41,560 Speaker 3: outside the top forty or fifty in a lot of 625 00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:43,960 Speaker 3: places with first round potential. Those are the type of 626 00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:46,399 Speaker 3: guys in keeper leagues I'm going to take a shot on. 627 00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:48,280 Speaker 3: And that's why Oneil Cruz is on the list. 628 00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 1: What a difference a year makes last year just trying 629 00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:53,800 Speaker 1: to push people away from Monyo Cruz, this. 630 00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:56,480 Speaker 2: Year of pushing towards an Yeo Cruz. But I think 631 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:57,200 Speaker 2: you're right. 632 00:27:57,240 --> 00:27:59,440 Speaker 1: I think it was a much better circumstance now and 633 00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:01,680 Speaker 1: a much better concept of how much he can give 634 00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 1: you this year as opposed to what he could give 635 00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:08,080 Speaker 1: you last year, and projectability thirty twenty could be this year. 636 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:10,760 Speaker 1: It's very possible he could put that season together. It 637 00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:12,399 Speaker 1: was unlikely he was going to do it last year, 638 00:28:12,440 --> 00:28:14,959 Speaker 1: which is why that was my problem. We were kind 639 00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:15,920 Speaker 1: of pushing away from him. 640 00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:19,399 Speaker 3: I mean also just pointing out the day it was 641 00:28:19,440 --> 00:28:22,960 Speaker 3: like the day he debuted, he became the NL favorite 642 00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:25,320 Speaker 3: for Rookie of the Year, which was like absurd to me. 643 00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:28,480 Speaker 1: You're not finish in the top two award. But he 644 00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:31,280 Speaker 1: was not amidlanded it. He was not a brief well 645 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:33,879 Speaker 1: that happened sometimes. Number five on my list, and the 646 00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:37,280 Speaker 1: only reason he's not top three is because he has 647 00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:39,560 Speaker 1: had some injuries around the knee. 648 00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:40,920 Speaker 2: He is a bigger guy too. 649 00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:43,760 Speaker 1: Series wondering about how those guys are going to age sometimes, 650 00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:46,720 Speaker 1: but Jordan Alvarez is that dude. 651 00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:48,400 Speaker 2: I mean, he is a special talent. 652 00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:53,360 Speaker 1: And depending on your league eligibility situations too, there's limitations here, 653 00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 1: and there are some concern whenever you have a younger 654 00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:58,320 Speaker 1: player who's had a history of some knee issues early on, 655 00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:01,080 Speaker 1: that doesn't always bode well for the bigger guy. 656 00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:03,760 Speaker 2: But we've seen plenty of big guys like. 657 00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:06,640 Speaker 1: David Ortiz play well into their late thirties and being 658 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:10,200 Speaker 1: extremely productive, So I think he is worth the risk. 659 00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:13,080 Speaker 1: I think he's an incredible talent. Obviously, we all know 660 00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:15,000 Speaker 1: he is. If you look at that one sixty two 661 00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:18,320 Speaker 1: average for this guy, forty three home runs, one hundred 662 00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:21,760 Speaker 1: and twenty five RBI already to ninety six, batting average 663 00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:24,600 Speaker 1: nine to seventy three ops. I mean, it's just it's 664 00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,240 Speaker 1: off the chart. He makes baseball look so damn easy. 665 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:29,760 Speaker 1: He's only twenty six years old too, so he's again 666 00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:32,480 Speaker 1: still a few ways away. From entering his prime. But 667 00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:34,160 Speaker 1: I think when you get to the true prime of 668 00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:36,880 Speaker 1: this player, you're looking at like a forty one to 669 00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:40,440 Speaker 1: twenty kind of guy. Like that's how unbelievable. I think 670 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:42,840 Speaker 1: the ceiling of Alvarez is and we haven't even gotten 671 00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 1: there yet. I think we are just kind of getting 672 00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:47,400 Speaker 1: teased a little bit. If you're asking me the early 673 00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:50,320 Speaker 1: wager guy for leading the major leagues at home runs, 674 00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:52,520 Speaker 1: for me, it's Alvarez. He's just got to play enough 675 00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:55,560 Speaker 1: games to do it, and I think he can. And look, 676 00:29:55,600 --> 00:29:57,800 Speaker 1: I expect a little regression from Judge who hit sixty 677 00:29:57,880 --> 00:29:59,920 Speaker 1: last year, like you can't get Yeah, you can't get 678 00:29:59,920 --> 00:30:01,760 Speaker 1: a I hit in sixty on runs every year, at least, 679 00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:02,680 Speaker 1: we don't think. 680 00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:04,040 Speaker 2: So we'll find out more. 681 00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:06,960 Speaker 1: But Alvarez to me again, yourson, he's not top three 682 00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:10,000 Speaker 1: because of those little issues. I would put him right 683 00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:12,200 Speaker 1: at number five though, because the bat is just too 684 00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:13,040 Speaker 1: good to ignore. 685 00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:15,080 Speaker 2: Is he gonna steal the bases? No? 686 00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:17,440 Speaker 1: Is he gonna give me incredible power and everything else? 687 00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:19,960 Speaker 1: I want to cross the board. Yes, that's good enough 688 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:22,600 Speaker 1: for me. I want him on the squad. Now we're 689 00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:25,320 Speaker 1: getting into the top four here, very exciting stuff. Welsh, 690 00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:27,880 Speaker 1: who's your number four guy and the keeper League targets 691 00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:28,680 Speaker 1: for twenty twenty three. 692 00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:32,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, you won't like this one from previous conversations, but uh, 693 00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:35,600 Speaker 3: Sean McClanahan. I'm very much on Sean McClanahan. My one 694 00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:38,240 Speaker 3: of my favorite things about him, and I mentioned this before, 695 00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:41,680 Speaker 3: was he had a dramatic change in his pitch mix 696 00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:43,800 Speaker 3: and he ended up going from an eight percent change 697 00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:46,600 Speaker 3: up to the second most thrown pitch of all pitches. 698 00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,400 Speaker 3: And what's so great about that is it ended up 699 00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:52,560 Speaker 3: pushing his slider, which he now has. Four pitches he 700 00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:54,640 Speaker 3: throws over fifteen percent of the time, so it's a 701 00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:57,720 Speaker 3: really good mix. Four pitches have an over forty four 702 00:30:57,760 --> 00:30:59,960 Speaker 3: percent with rate, one of those being the change up. 703 00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:02,080 Speaker 3: I haven't gone to look at this. I'd be fascinated 704 00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:04,600 Speaker 3: to know. I don't know if there is a pitch 705 00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:08,000 Speaker 3: being used twenty five percent or more that any pitcher 706 00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:10,600 Speaker 3: has a lower exit velocity hit against it. Is it 707 00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:15,320 Speaker 3: under eighty four eighty three point six percent ev or 708 00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:18,400 Speaker 3: eighty three point six mile per hoor ev on average 709 00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:20,080 Speaker 3: against that change up? I don't know if there's another 710 00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:22,680 Speaker 3: pitch that's used that much who has a lower hard 711 00:31:22,760 --> 00:31:25,400 Speaker 3: hit rate against, and he was able to dead knit 712 00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:27,440 Speaker 3: a little bit more. I love the whiff rate, I 713 00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:29,320 Speaker 3: love the mix. He struggled a little bit in the 714 00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:31,640 Speaker 3: second half where the K numbers dropped as era went 715 00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:33,080 Speaker 3: from like two and a half to three and a half. 716 00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:34,880 Speaker 3: But I think he's an elite pitcher. I think you're 717 00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:36,640 Speaker 3: actually going to get more of a discount on him 718 00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:39,320 Speaker 3: in Dynasty. He's my number one Dynasty pitcher because you're 719 00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:41,160 Speaker 3: still looking at a very young mean, especially when you're 720 00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:43,560 Speaker 3: comparing against the rest of the crew. He's twenty five 721 00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:46,280 Speaker 3: years old. Twenty five year old pitchers with a little 722 00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:48,320 Speaker 3: bit of a discount and a keeper format with I 723 00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:52,400 Speaker 3: think really sustainable changes pounds the zone he gets his cas. 724 00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:55,760 Speaker 3: Don't love the second half, but listen, like, this is 725 00:31:55,760 --> 00:31:57,680 Speaker 3: still an adjustment period. This isn't a guy who's twenty 726 00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 3: years old and has multiple two hundred seasons under him. 727 00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:02,320 Speaker 3: So I'm very big on buying on Shae McClanahan. 728 00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:06,240 Speaker 2: You'll see no pictures on my top ten lists. Just 729 00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:06,720 Speaker 2: fair enough? 730 00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:07,640 Speaker 3: Why not? 731 00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:10,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, And that's and that's how I look at this. Like, 732 00:32:10,080 --> 00:32:12,360 Speaker 1: if you're talking about elite keepers, like the ten guys 733 00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:14,880 Speaker 1: that I like in terms of target value either their 734 00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:17,200 Speaker 1: round or the player they are, or I'm willing to 735 00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:22,080 Speaker 1: overpay for them in salary cap leagues. No pictures, because 736 00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:24,360 Speaker 1: I will figure that out later. I will find a 737 00:32:24,360 --> 00:32:27,600 Speaker 1: way to pieces together. They're just not great investments anymore. 738 00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:30,440 Speaker 1: Long gone with the days of Randy Johnson, Pedro Martinez. 739 00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:32,480 Speaker 1: I mean, Randy Johnson was such a great keeper back 740 00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:34,960 Speaker 1: in the day. Every year, you know, two hundred and 741 00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:38,200 Speaker 1: age strikeouts, three hundred strikeouts, eight hundred and thirty innings, 742 00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:41,600 Speaker 1: Pedro even. You know, there were a lot of guys 743 00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:44,080 Speaker 1: in that era not that long ago. There were very 744 00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:46,080 Speaker 1: good investments every single year. Knew what you were getting 745 00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:46,800 Speaker 1: out of them. 746 00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:49,000 Speaker 2: Not now. I just can't get there with these. 747 00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:51,880 Speaker 3: It's back as sure, I mean sures there was another 748 00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:53,720 Speaker 3: one of those guys as well, But yeah, I sree. 749 00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 3: I guess my definition is more defining players that I 750 00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:01,320 Speaker 3: think I can sugger upsides from where they're being valued. 751 00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:03,000 Speaker 3: And that's why only two come up on this list. 752 00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:04,920 Speaker 3: But they're kind of like my two key guys this year. 753 00:33:05,360 --> 00:33:07,480 Speaker 1: Well, one guy came up on my list last year. 754 00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:08,960 Speaker 1: He is going to come up on my list this year. 755 00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:12,880 Speaker 1: Still twenty three years old. Bobby Witt, junior shortstop for 756 00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:15,160 Speaker 1: the Kansas City Royals. One hundred and fifty games last year, 757 00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:19,280 Speaker 1: twenty home runs, thirty steals. Definitely a rough start, there's 758 00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 1: no doubt about that. But if you stayed true and 759 00:33:22,640 --> 00:33:24,840 Speaker 1: you trusted the process and we did. 760 00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:26,000 Speaker 2: You got rewarded. 761 00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:29,120 Speaker 1: Now, he hurt you last year in head to head 762 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:31,160 Speaker 1: formats in the beginning of the year, there's no doubt 763 00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:33,080 Speaker 1: about the guy hurts you. He is no other way 764 00:33:33,120 --> 00:33:35,880 Speaker 1: to put it. But in the rotal formats, if you 765 00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:38,040 Speaker 1: stayed patient, you got rewarded. And let that be a 766 00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:39,560 Speaker 1: lesson for you too. With the young players. In the 767 00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:41,960 Speaker 1: rotal format, you can have more patients. It's hard in 768 00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:43,640 Speaker 1: the head to head formats to have the patients. But 769 00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:46,400 Speaker 1: I think we're just getting started with this guy again. 770 00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 1: This is another player that has even more upside. 771 00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:49,000 Speaker 2: Well. 772 00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:52,040 Speaker 1: She mentioned that it's not the greatest offense. The guy 773 00:33:52,120 --> 00:33:54,400 Speaker 1: still had eighty run score and eighty RBI with the 774 00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:56,880 Speaker 1: Royals last year. I still think that's something that we 775 00:33:57,200 --> 00:34:00,680 Speaker 1: kind of overlook. We talk about the power in the speed, 776 00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:03,440 Speaker 1: but he still scored eighty runs and he still drove 777 00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:06,400 Speaker 1: in eighty runs is a rookie. As a rookie, that's 778 00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:07,600 Speaker 1: an incredible. 779 00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:09,880 Speaker 2: Thing to do. He's a star in the making. 780 00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:12,359 Speaker 1: Eventually, the OBP will come up, the batting average will 781 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:14,200 Speaker 1: come up. You saw the second half numbers of the ops. 782 00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:16,440 Speaker 1: All that stuff came up in the second half. It's 783 00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:18,360 Speaker 1: only going to get better from here. This is a 784 00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:21,440 Speaker 1: player twenty three years old in the premium position two that. 785 00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:22,440 Speaker 2: You go when you target. 786 00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:25,000 Speaker 1: So while some people might be looking at, you know, 787 00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:29,000 Speaker 1: some other big time shortstops, I would still be paying 788 00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:32,160 Speaker 1: extra for Bobby Witt, and I understand why some people 789 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:33,239 Speaker 1: would still want some. 790 00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:35,000 Speaker 2: Of the guys ahead of him on the list. 791 00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:36,919 Speaker 1: And you see him on the ranks and Fantasy pros two, 792 00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:38,840 Speaker 1: I think this is the guy that I'd. 793 00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:40,120 Speaker 2: Be targeting Welsh. That's my dude. 794 00:34:40,120 --> 00:34:42,640 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to your number three top three 795 00:34:42,680 --> 00:34:45,840 Speaker 1: time for the twenty twenty three Keeper League targets. 796 00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:46,600 Speaker 2: Who's number three? 797 00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:48,880 Speaker 3: Well, a guy that I thought was actually valued like 798 00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:51,920 Speaker 3: Bobby Witt is no longer and it's Bobachett. And Bobachett 799 00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:53,640 Speaker 3: is one of those he used to be Bobby Witt 800 00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:56,600 Speaker 3: and now as a twenty four year old is cast 801 00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:59,319 Speaker 3: aside and redraft and even keeper where I think he's 802 00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:01,720 Speaker 3: barely even a second round pick in a lot of places. 803 00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:04,960 Speaker 3: And I'm just not done. He has had a kind 804 00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:07,879 Speaker 3: of significant decrease over four years if you look at 805 00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:09,600 Speaker 3: it as a total as far as like batting average 806 00:35:09,600 --> 00:35:12,000 Speaker 3: and slugging has gone. But this is a guy that 807 00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:15,239 Speaker 3: actually pushed his hard hit numbers higher than they'd ever 808 00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:19,520 Speaker 3: been before. Barreling is still there, and even those expected stats, 809 00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:22,360 Speaker 3: they're not going that much further down. I don't know 810 00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:24,680 Speaker 3: if projections know what quite to do with the stolen bases, 811 00:35:24,680 --> 00:35:26,919 Speaker 3: because he went from twenty five to thirteen the power 812 00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:30,480 Speaker 3: numbers were relative, but he's consistently playing. This is a 813 00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:33,280 Speaker 3: sub twenty five year old guy that has twenty twenty 814 00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:36,640 Speaker 3: upside in a great offense, who still hits the ball 815 00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:39,279 Speaker 3: incredibly hard. I'm not ready to give up on Bobaschett. 816 00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:40,880 Speaker 3: I think you actually get him in kind of a 817 00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:43,759 Speaker 3: good deal, Like you couldn't even imagine trading Bashett for 818 00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:46,040 Speaker 3: Bobby Witt at this point, and I don't think they're 819 00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:48,640 Speaker 3: incredibly far off now. If the stolen base numbers go away, 820 00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:51,040 Speaker 3: it's gonna cap them a little bit, but Bobashet is 821 00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:52,720 Speaker 3: still a great buy in keeper leagues. 822 00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:55,600 Speaker 1: All right, speaking of great buys, this might be the 823 00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:58,680 Speaker 1: one year maybe you get any kind of discount on 824 00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:01,080 Speaker 1: Wan Soto four years old. 825 00:36:01,120 --> 00:36:03,160 Speaker 2: I'm just never going to give up on Juan Soto 826 00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:05,279 Speaker 2: and all my love for him. Now he's not one 827 00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:05,600 Speaker 2: or two. 828 00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:07,520 Speaker 1: Maybe last year we do this list, he maybe he's 829 00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:12,240 Speaker 1: my number one guy, he's number three. Still, the consistency 830 00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:15,480 Speaker 1: of Juan Soto is just unbelievable. Now, I understand last 831 00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:18,000 Speaker 1: year down year for him. This is a player with 832 00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:20,239 Speaker 1: a two to eighty seven career batting average, So I'm 833 00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:22,400 Speaker 1: not going to freak out the fact that he played 834 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:24,759 Speaker 1: with a Washington team that was dreadful, had nobody in 835 00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:27,760 Speaker 1: front of him, nobody behind him. It was absolutely the drags, 836 00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:30,960 Speaker 1: all the rumors about being traded, contracts. 837 00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:32,920 Speaker 2: All that stress. He's still a young player. I think 838 00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:33,960 Speaker 2: that affected him mentally. 839 00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:36,680 Speaker 1: He's a tough kid, but still I think that affected him, 840 00:36:36,719 --> 00:36:37,880 Speaker 1: and I think the change affected him. 841 00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:40,120 Speaker 2: I think he just flat out pressed too much. How 842 00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:41,480 Speaker 2: many times have we seen. 843 00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:43,520 Speaker 1: The guys, whether it be Bryce Harper, Carlos Belcher, all 844 00:36:43,520 --> 00:36:46,440 Speaker 1: these years. The guys who end up somewhere else are 845 00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:49,279 Speaker 1: in a big contract. They press, they pressed, they pressed, 846 00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:50,640 Speaker 1: they pressed. This is the same kind of thing you 847 00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:52,279 Speaker 1: went to a situation was like, okay, I gotta be 848 00:36:52,640 --> 00:36:56,919 Speaker 1: you know, Juan Soto, superstar guy in San Diego, and 849 00:36:57,520 --> 00:37:00,520 Speaker 1: it just didn't happen. Relax, be fine. 850 00:37:00,560 --> 00:37:00,960 Speaker 2: This year. 851 00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:03,200 Speaker 1: They've got so much talent around this guy. He's a 852 00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:06,200 Speaker 1: phenomenal player. He's gonna be playing for a contract pretty 853 00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:08,400 Speaker 1: soon too, and you're getting a player once again. 854 00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:11,760 Speaker 2: I'm looking for upside. Yeah, they're still upside. 855 00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:14,920 Speaker 1: His best season thirty four to one to ten. I 856 00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:17,440 Speaker 1: think he can go forty one to twenty easily. I 857 00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:19,640 Speaker 1: think there might even be more in the right circumstance 858 00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:23,200 Speaker 1: for him. Juan Soto is a generational talent. Does he 859 00:37:23,239 --> 00:37:24,960 Speaker 1: give you the stolen bases and that stuff. No, But 860 00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:27,799 Speaker 1: in those OBP leagues especially, he's about as good as 861 00:37:27,800 --> 00:37:29,719 Speaker 1: a gets. I mean, a career four to twenty four 862 00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:32,319 Speaker 1: OBP guy, and that is something that's really hard to 863 00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:35,360 Speaker 1: find these days. So if you're in that format, you 864 00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:37,960 Speaker 1: could even argue one Sodo over some of the other 865 00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:40,200 Speaker 1: guys too, because you can find stolen bases. 866 00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:41,959 Speaker 2: I think guys that get on bas at. 867 00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:44,800 Speaker 1: The clip that Jan Soto does consistently, with the power 868 00:37:44,840 --> 00:37:48,560 Speaker 1: he has consistently, with the batting average he typically has consistently, 869 00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:51,799 Speaker 1: it's hard to find. Give me Juan Soto still the 870 00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:55,160 Speaker 1: one to one in my heart. Going to your number 871 00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:56,520 Speaker 1: two guy, Welsh, who is it? 872 00:37:56,920 --> 00:37:59,279 Speaker 3: Well, let's do this. I'm gonna make an alteration here 873 00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:03,879 Speaker 3: because we I purposely tried to be different from your list. 874 00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:06,759 Speaker 3: I agree with lots of your players. This is one 875 00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:08,840 Speaker 3: that I missed. I didn't see that we had the 876 00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:11,200 Speaker 3: same guys. This is my number one, he's your number two, 877 00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:13,279 Speaker 3: so let's talk about him together. I think it's one 878 00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:15,359 Speaker 3: of the most important ones and I can give you 879 00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:18,080 Speaker 3: I actually think maybe the most fascinating conversation as my 880 00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:20,440 Speaker 3: number one, and it's ronald' Kunya, who we both have. 881 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:22,080 Speaker 3: I did not notice that you had him at too. 882 00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:25,640 Speaker 3: I have him at one, and I think this is 883 00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:28,520 Speaker 3: the number one overall player in Redraft this year. I 884 00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:31,000 Speaker 3: think there is debate in question as far as keeper 885 00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:34,479 Speaker 3: in Dynasty. He is in the top elite top three 886 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:37,160 Speaker 3: conversation of overall players. I think go Tani and daily 887 00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:39,480 Speaker 3: leagues you have to still look at the guy that 888 00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:41,200 Speaker 3: as your number one. You have to look at and 889 00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:43,640 Speaker 3: Acunya is in that list. And even when he struggled 890 00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:46,120 Speaker 3: last year, still was able to put up power, had 891 00:38:46,200 --> 00:38:50,000 Speaker 3: top fifteen biggest differential between home run and expected home run. 892 00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:52,960 Speaker 3: He still was in like the top two or three 893 00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:55,520 Speaker 3: or five in stolen bases and under one hundred and 894 00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:58,200 Speaker 3: twenty games last year he compensated, which is exactly what 895 00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:00,839 Speaker 3: you want to great line up. Ronald Cunya is young, 896 00:39:01,120 --> 00:39:03,960 Speaker 3: the power he is don't It's a non worry. The 897 00:39:03,960 --> 00:39:06,400 Speaker 3: hard hit numbers are there, everything is still there. Ronald 898 00:39:06,520 --> 00:39:10,000 Speaker 3: Cunya is an easy buy. He's your number two. I'll 899 00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:12,239 Speaker 3: place him at too, so we can be together. And 900 00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:16,120 Speaker 3: what's important here is us focusing that Ronald d'acunya at 901 00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:18,800 Speaker 3: any discount in a keeper league based off of maybe 902 00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:21,920 Speaker 3: suppressed power numbers or people worried about injury is a 903 00:39:21,960 --> 00:39:23,279 Speaker 3: buye And I know you agree with you. 904 00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:24,360 Speaker 2: One hundred percent. 905 00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:26,600 Speaker 1: Look, he is the only reason he's not my two 906 00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:29,600 Speaker 1: is because of who number one is, which I'm shocked 907 00:39:29,640 --> 00:39:31,560 Speaker 1: that your number one is not the same as my 908 00:39:31,680 --> 00:39:32,080 Speaker 1: number one. 909 00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:33,680 Speaker 3: Well he is, but I tried to be different. I 910 00:39:33,719 --> 00:39:35,200 Speaker 3: tried to be different. I didn't want to have all 911 00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:37,359 Speaker 3: the same names. He would easily be my number one 912 00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:41,200 Speaker 3: buying keeper in Dynasty overall. So that just know that 913 00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:42,360 Speaker 3: I completely agree. 914 00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:46,000 Speaker 2: Look Ronald Cunya doing what he has done. 915 00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:48,000 Speaker 1: And it's funny because we even touched on it last 916 00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:50,040 Speaker 1: time we did the show, which is people were worried 917 00:39:50,080 --> 00:39:52,480 Speaker 1: about the stolen bases after the knee injury. Well, I 918 00:39:52,520 --> 00:39:55,000 Speaker 1: mean came back, so twenty nine, one hundred nineteen games. 919 00:39:55,080 --> 00:39:56,480 Speaker 1: It's just it's stunning. 920 00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:57,320 Speaker 2: The power. 921 00:39:57,719 --> 00:40:00,040 Speaker 1: I didn't drag, but I mean the power was the 922 00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,439 Speaker 1: thing that you know wasn't quite where it was. I'm 923 00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:05,040 Speaker 1: not worried about Acunya. He's gonna be twenty five years 924 00:40:05,080 --> 00:40:07,879 Speaker 1: old this year. The prime is still way ahead of him. 925 00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:08,200 Speaker 2: Now. 926 00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:11,520 Speaker 1: Is there a time where you might start to look 927 00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:14,600 Speaker 1: at Acunya and say, okay, is the forty one home 928 00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:16,240 Speaker 1: run season and outlier? 929 00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:18,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think we'd have that conversation. 930 00:40:18,760 --> 00:40:20,839 Speaker 1: I mean might be, but is he a player that's 931 00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:23,759 Speaker 1: still maybe your best bet for thirty thirty every year 932 00:40:23,840 --> 00:40:24,920 Speaker 1: or one of the top guys. 933 00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:26,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think. 934 00:40:26,000 --> 00:40:27,359 Speaker 1: That's what you have to come back to, is that 935 00:40:27,440 --> 00:40:30,920 Speaker 1: thirty thirty situation, and not to mention, you know, I 936 00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:32,760 Speaker 1: have three outfielders in my top three. 937 00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:34,080 Speaker 2: Outfield is not good. 938 00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:35,839 Speaker 3: Nope, take a pack. 939 00:40:36,560 --> 00:40:37,400 Speaker 2: It is bad. 940 00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:39,880 Speaker 1: And in those leagues where you have to play five 941 00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:44,319 Speaker 1: or four even it's rough. Acunya's value is very high, 942 00:40:44,360 --> 00:40:48,600 Speaker 1: SODA's value is very high. So for me, Acunya is 943 00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:51,759 Speaker 1: again number two. I can argue number one, but the 944 00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:54,440 Speaker 1: guy like at number one is just I think you 945 00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:57,600 Speaker 1: know another special generational talent where we're looking at players 946 00:40:57,640 --> 00:40:59,640 Speaker 1: with even more upside. Why don't you go for your 947 00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:01,879 Speaker 1: number one too? Since we both had a Kunya there 948 00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:02,760 Speaker 1: towards the well. 949 00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:06,279 Speaker 3: And again understanding the context of it, you know this 950 00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:07,840 Speaker 3: is I think is an important guy. This is my 951 00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:11,040 Speaker 3: number one important conversation attempting to be different from your 952 00:41:11,160 --> 00:41:13,279 Speaker 3: list because I think your guy is the number one 953 00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:17,000 Speaker 3: keeper dynasty player in general, again taking Otani's context out, 954 00:41:17,160 --> 00:41:19,200 Speaker 3: but it's Fernando Tatis Junior, and I think it's one 955 00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:22,040 Speaker 3: of the most important keeper league. Keep your eye on 956 00:41:22,160 --> 00:41:25,760 Speaker 3: situations where Fernando Tatis is coming off of in twenty 957 00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:28,680 Speaker 3: twenty one, of course, a forty twenty forty two, twenty 958 00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:33,600 Speaker 3: five overall season insane numbers. Where in fifty games in 959 00:41:33,640 --> 00:41:36,279 Speaker 3: twenty twenty still with seventeen and eleven, I mean he 960 00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:39,080 Speaker 3: was pacing to put up these same incredible numbers. Obviously, 961 00:41:39,080 --> 00:41:43,239 Speaker 3: there's questions around whatever steroid usage was out there and 962 00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:46,200 Speaker 3: what effect that's going to have. But what you're still 963 00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:48,919 Speaker 3: doing is you're still looking at a twenty four year old. 964 00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:50,920 Speaker 3: He just turned twenty four years old. All year he'll 965 00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:54,200 Speaker 3: be twenty four years old. He's had some injury stuff obviously, 966 00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:56,760 Speaker 3: might be moving more to an outfielder with them bringing 967 00:41:56,760 --> 00:41:58,279 Speaker 3: in Zanto Bogarts and everything like that. 968 00:41:58,600 --> 00:42:00,920 Speaker 1: Because I look at shortstop, I'm looking for the guys 969 00:42:00,960 --> 00:42:04,520 Speaker 1: like you got with Lindor Simmey and you know seeger 970 00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:07,040 Speaker 1: Trey Turner, Boba Schett, you know all these guys, you know, 971 00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:10,719 Speaker 1: Xander Bogar, sim Anderson Swanson, Anio Cruz Franco and man 972 00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:12,920 Speaker 1: is like Shortze's pretty good. I almost feel like he 973 00:42:13,040 --> 00:42:14,960 Speaker 1: is more valuable in Fantasy in the outfield now. 974 00:42:15,080 --> 00:42:17,719 Speaker 3: I couldn't agree more. I could care any of the 975 00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:19,640 Speaker 3: guys that I take in the first round. I really 976 00:42:19,640 --> 00:42:21,400 Speaker 3: don't care about your position for the most part, Like 977 00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:24,520 Speaker 3: Cosey Ramirez, the differentiating factor between maybe him and Trey 978 00:42:24,560 --> 00:42:26,080 Speaker 3: Turner might be that he has third base, and you 979 00:42:26,200 --> 00:42:28,480 Speaker 3: might side on that, but I don't care. I don't 980 00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:30,640 Speaker 3: care that I have Trey Turner as a shortstop. I 981 00:42:30,680 --> 00:42:32,720 Speaker 3: don't care about Tatus as a short stop. I actually 982 00:42:32,800 --> 00:42:34,920 Speaker 3: care that I get him more an outfield. There's more value. 983 00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:37,840 Speaker 3: I could go and take Dansby or Xander later and 984 00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:39,840 Speaker 3: I can go and put Tatis out in the outfield 985 00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:42,080 Speaker 3: because it stinks this year. So no, it might keep 986 00:42:42,120 --> 00:42:44,920 Speaker 3: him a little bit healthy. He's still an elite power 987 00:42:45,040 --> 00:42:48,680 Speaker 3: speed combo player. You are obviously stepping into a situation 988 00:42:49,000 --> 00:42:51,320 Speaker 3: where maybe he's more volatile because you don't know what 989 00:42:51,480 --> 00:42:53,680 Speaker 3: you're getting coming off of a two surgeries in the 990 00:42:53,719 --> 00:42:57,200 Speaker 3: offseason and be steroid allegations. But I still I don't think. 991 00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:00,560 Speaker 3: I don't think that retracts from the in same talent 992 00:43:00,719 --> 00:43:03,440 Speaker 3: of who he truly is. And I'm willing to take 993 00:43:03,480 --> 00:43:05,640 Speaker 3: the buy. And he's under twenty five years old, he's 994 00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:08,120 Speaker 3: got a suspension coming up for this year. You take 995 00:43:08,160 --> 00:43:10,960 Speaker 3: all of that in, you could do a keeper you 996 00:43:11,000 --> 00:43:13,040 Speaker 3: guys could do a keeper league where he's not drafted 997 00:43:13,080 --> 00:43:15,360 Speaker 3: in the first round. His ADP is in the second 998 00:43:15,440 --> 00:43:18,080 Speaker 3: round for redraft, but you might have a wheel pick 999 00:43:18,120 --> 00:43:19,960 Speaker 3: in a keeper league where he has not taken, and 1000 00:43:20,080 --> 00:43:24,120 Speaker 3: he's a must take. He's a top three overall overall 1001 00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:28,320 Speaker 3: keeper league dynasty player regardless of this stupid month he's missed. 1002 00:43:28,520 --> 00:43:30,719 Speaker 3: And it's a great buying opportunity. So if you want 1003 00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:35,040 Speaker 3: to chalk this up as top twenty, top ten keeper league, 1004 00:43:35,200 --> 00:43:38,120 Speaker 3: pay attention to buys. Guys, you need to know Tatis 1005 00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:41,160 Speaker 3: is as important as anybody on this list, because there's 1006 00:43:41,239 --> 00:43:44,320 Speaker 3: inherent value compared to who we both agree is like 1007 00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:46,680 Speaker 3: the number one keeper player who you have on your list. 1008 00:43:46,960 --> 00:43:48,399 Speaker 2: Well, you know it's funny too if you go back 1009 00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:50,080 Speaker 2: two years ago to Tis is probably number one on 1010 00:43:50,080 --> 00:43:50,560 Speaker 2: this list. 1011 00:43:50,800 --> 00:43:52,840 Speaker 3: On both It was number one on my list before 1012 00:43:52,920 --> 00:43:53,920 Speaker 3: any of these rights, and. 1013 00:43:54,200 --> 00:43:56,600 Speaker 2: I think we can't forget that. Does he have a 1014 00:43:56,640 --> 00:43:58,560 Speaker 2: lot of risk? Yeah? Is it a little bit more 1015 00:43:58,600 --> 00:44:01,799 Speaker 2: inherent now I got to know the player better. Yeah, maybe. 1016 00:44:02,080 --> 00:44:04,160 Speaker 1: And there's a chance that San Diego could flip him 1017 00:44:04,200 --> 00:44:06,800 Speaker 1: somewhere else, Like he's got a huge contract, but you know, 1018 00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:09,439 Speaker 1: maybe they decided they like Soto instead and they're gonna 1019 00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:11,400 Speaker 1: move tat Teas and that contract might be appealing to 1020 00:44:11,480 --> 00:44:13,640 Speaker 1: somebody else and say lock up this young kid instead. 1021 00:44:13,640 --> 00:44:15,000 Speaker 3: I mean, who the teams are? Gonn bring him on? 1022 00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:17,680 Speaker 3: By the way, like, is anybody gonna dislike Tatia? I 1023 00:44:17,760 --> 00:44:20,120 Speaker 3: was about to say, is anyone gonna dislike tatis if 1024 00:44:20,120 --> 00:44:22,440 Speaker 3: he's a New York Yankee? I mean maybe personally, but 1025 00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:23,680 Speaker 3: not fantasy wise. 1026 00:44:23,800 --> 00:44:26,480 Speaker 1: No, not fantasy wise, well, the number one fantasy guy. Look, 1027 00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:29,480 Speaker 1: we tried our best to be patient last year and 1028 00:44:29,640 --> 00:44:32,799 Speaker 1: calm about Julio Rodriguez. And I give Welsh a lot 1029 00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:34,560 Speaker 1: of credit too, because he's been a Julio guy for 1030 00:44:34,719 --> 00:44:37,640 Speaker 1: years and I've liked the player a lot too, and 1031 00:44:37,719 --> 00:44:40,239 Speaker 1: both of us were trying very hard to be reasonable, 1032 00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:43,640 Speaker 1: and you know what, Julio Rodriguez makes it fun to 1033 00:44:43,680 --> 00:44:46,120 Speaker 1: be unreasonable. Twenty eight home runs is his rookie season. 1034 00:44:46,160 --> 00:44:48,399 Speaker 1: Twenty five steals. He only played one hundred and thirty 1035 00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:51,080 Speaker 1: two games. But that's okay, two eighty four batting average. 1036 00:44:51,120 --> 00:44:53,920 Speaker 1: It's just about this guy stays healthy. This is the 1037 00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:56,840 Speaker 1: perennial MVP candidate in the American League. I mean, this 1038 00:44:57,040 --> 00:45:00,320 Speaker 1: is who this guy is. He is a forty forty 1039 00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:03,439 Speaker 1: type player, Like, that's who this guy is. Those guys 1040 00:45:03,480 --> 00:45:06,920 Speaker 1: do not grow on trees. He has a good thirteen 1041 00:45:07,040 --> 00:45:09,400 Speaker 1: years ahead of him. If you could keep a player forever, 1042 00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:11,600 Speaker 1: I don't care what you gotta pay, what you got 1043 00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:14,480 Speaker 1: to do to get that first pick. Maybe you know, 1044 00:45:14,719 --> 00:45:16,759 Speaker 1: if you have an extra kid or laying around your house, 1045 00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:18,520 Speaker 1: you're like, you know, I got a bunch of kids. 1046 00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:20,680 Speaker 1: Put this kid up and you'll see what we get 1047 00:45:20,719 --> 00:45:24,160 Speaker 1: to look find a way to get Julio Rodriguez. Okay, 1048 00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:27,000 Speaker 1: I'm joking everybody. I don't really want to sell kids, 1049 00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:31,080 Speaker 1: although I mean, well, you know, when they start to 1050 00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:33,600 Speaker 1: get to that preteen years, you know your kids are 1051 00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:36,400 Speaker 1: still tiny, You're you're gonna start changing your tune about 1052 00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:37,279 Speaker 1: their availability. 1053 00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:40,320 Speaker 2: You're gonna start at least looking at, you know, kicking 1054 00:45:40,360 --> 00:45:40,880 Speaker 2: the tires. 1055 00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:44,480 Speaker 3: But you're just hoping for good education with those kids. 1056 00:45:44,520 --> 00:45:45,320 Speaker 3: You're pretty good. 1057 00:45:45,200 --> 00:45:48,080 Speaker 2: Off with Julio Rodriguez. Let me tell you. 1058 00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:50,239 Speaker 1: I mean, look, the thing is you want him to 1059 00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:52,680 Speaker 1: obviously dial back on the strikeouts a little bit. 1060 00:45:52,800 --> 00:45:54,319 Speaker 2: That's something you hope over time can happen. 1061 00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:56,480 Speaker 1: Will the league make adjustments to him, Yes, but I 1062 00:45:56,520 --> 00:45:57,960 Speaker 1: think this is a player that is going to adjust 1063 00:45:58,000 --> 00:45:59,719 Speaker 1: back well, Julio, is your. 1064 00:45:59,680 --> 00:46:01,080 Speaker 2: Guy talk to it? 1065 00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:04,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I mean it's everything that you said. I'm 1066 00:46:04,560 --> 00:46:08,120 Speaker 3: still enamored personally, just off of my experience, and you 1067 00:46:08,160 --> 00:46:10,359 Speaker 3: know my interview way back that we all joke about. 1068 00:46:10,360 --> 00:46:12,440 Speaker 3: It's like everyone's like, have you ever interviewed Julio. We 1069 00:46:12,520 --> 00:46:14,799 Speaker 3: talked about it a lot, but like it's a fascinating 1070 00:46:14,960 --> 00:46:16,560 Speaker 3: He was never gonna be a stolen based guy, and 1071 00:46:16,640 --> 00:46:18,600 Speaker 3: he literally tells me like, I want to steal more 1072 00:46:18,640 --> 00:46:20,480 Speaker 3: bases and that was his focus. And look at him now, 1073 00:46:20,560 --> 00:46:22,799 Speaker 3: I mean, this is a guy that could be an 1074 00:46:23,080 --> 00:46:25,000 Speaker 3: easy thirty thirty, It could be a forty forty if 1075 00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:27,400 Speaker 3: you want to put on it. It's an incredible it's 1076 00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:30,640 Speaker 3: an incredible bat. It's elite skills across the board. He's 1077 00:46:30,719 --> 00:46:34,080 Speaker 3: made himself into a premial five tool player, and he 1078 00:46:34,480 --> 00:46:38,160 Speaker 3: is what Akunya and Tatis were last year the year 1079 00:46:38,200 --> 00:46:40,760 Speaker 3: before that, Like what you envisioned in those type of players. 1080 00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:43,920 Speaker 3: You have that with Julio. He overcame being pinched by 1081 00:46:44,600 --> 00:46:47,680 Speaker 3: umps early on in the season. He overcame all of 1082 00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:50,080 Speaker 3: the rookie struggles that you might think are going to 1083 00:46:50,120 --> 00:46:52,960 Speaker 3: surround a player. They continuously try to surround him with 1084 00:46:53,120 --> 00:46:56,920 Speaker 3: more talent. This is it's an easy bet. Also just 1085 00:46:56,960 --> 00:46:58,719 Speaker 3: with the age, you know, I mean he's got two 1086 00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:01,439 Speaker 3: or three years on pretty much everybody. So like where 1087 00:47:01,560 --> 00:47:05,800 Speaker 3: Otani is, a daily moves player is so above and 1088 00:47:05,920 --> 00:47:08,920 Speaker 3: beyond everybody else because if you can daily move him 1089 00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:10,280 Speaker 3: to a hitter and pitcher, there's. 1090 00:47:10,920 --> 00:47:13,799 Speaker 1: In the leagues where you have windows of time where 1091 00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:17,360 Speaker 1: you have restrictions of keeper keeper restrictions. Otani probably is 1092 00:47:17,400 --> 00:47:19,839 Speaker 1: my number one, especially in this scenario you're paying. 1093 00:47:19,920 --> 00:47:22,120 Speaker 3: But that's why it's so fascinating. A twenty one year 1094 00:47:22,160 --> 00:47:25,680 Speaker 3: old thirty thirty potential bat versus a you know, closing 1095 00:47:25,760 --> 00:47:29,040 Speaker 3: in on thirty multi position. It's a fascinating debate on 1096 00:47:29,160 --> 00:47:32,040 Speaker 3: where the top goes. And the reiteration of all of 1097 00:47:32,120 --> 00:47:33,880 Speaker 3: this is, we give you guys a lot of players. 1098 00:47:34,000 --> 00:47:36,840 Speaker 3: It wasn't a top ten overall keepers or anything like that. 1099 00:47:37,120 --> 00:47:39,080 Speaker 3: It's twenty keepers that you guys need to be paying 1100 00:47:39,080 --> 00:47:42,840 Speaker 3: attention to. But keeper leagues are not all equal, So 1101 00:47:43,040 --> 00:47:45,640 Speaker 3: understand that in your evaluation of these. Some keeper leagues 1102 00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:48,480 Speaker 3: you can pay more attention to redraft values, some closer 1103 00:47:48,560 --> 00:47:52,320 Speaker 3: to dynasty. These are twenty regardless of your format, that 1104 00:47:52,360 --> 00:47:53,360 Speaker 3: you've got to pay attention to. 1105 00:47:53,960 --> 00:47:57,200 Speaker 1: And those twenty are Ryan Mountcassel on Welsh's list at ten, 1106 00:47:57,360 --> 00:48:02,280 Speaker 1: Nick Lodolo, Austin Riley, Vinie Pasquentina Corbyn, Carol Annio Cruz, 1107 00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:05,960 Speaker 1: Shane McClanahan, Boba Sheet, Fernando Tatis Junior and Ronald Acunya. 1108 00:48:06,080 --> 00:48:08,760 Speaker 1: My top ten list of the guys again, different reasons 1109 00:48:08,920 --> 00:48:12,560 Speaker 1: all of them. Adlie Ruschman at ten, Andres Jmenez at nine, 1110 00:48:12,640 --> 00:48:15,960 Speaker 1: Wander Franco at eight, Kyle Tucker at seven, Joey o'tanni 1111 00:48:16,040 --> 00:48:19,319 Speaker 1: at six, Jordan Alvarez, he almost at the Jordnal because 1112 00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:22,640 Speaker 1: I just like saying so much Jordan Alvarez, Jordan. I 1113 00:48:22,760 --> 00:48:28,400 Speaker 1: like to say Jordan, but Jordan Alvarez, the Houston Astros, 1114 00:48:28,880 --> 00:48:32,720 Speaker 1: Bobby Whitt Houston. Something I told you, dude, it's techno 1115 00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:33,800 Speaker 1: tonof football season. 1116 00:48:34,080 --> 00:48:37,200 Speaker 2: Alvarez Houston Astros, not Texans. 1117 00:48:37,520 --> 00:48:40,640 Speaker 1: Bobby Witt from the Kansas City Royals, not the Chiefs, 1118 00:48:40,880 --> 00:48:43,520 Speaker 1: Juan Soto from the Well there are no more Chargers 1119 00:48:43,560 --> 00:48:48,040 Speaker 1: in San Diego, Ronald Acunya from Theolanta Braves and Julia Rodriguez. 1120 00:48:48,280 --> 00:48:50,200 Speaker 2: Who are your guys? We want to know? 1121 00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:52,600 Speaker 1: Let us know we always tweet us at is it 1122 00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:54,680 Speaker 1: the Welsh at Joe piece of PS seventeen and of 1123 00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:59,239 Speaker 1: course don't forget start preparing now. The Wizard is open 1124 00:48:59,320 --> 00:49:02,040 Speaker 1: for business Fantasypros dot com slash Draft Wizard. Go get 1125 00:49:02,080 --> 00:49:04,360 Speaker 1: your draft on. I want to thank the sponsor of 1126 00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:06,840 Speaker 1: today's show, and that's Fantrack. Sign up for free today 1127 00:49:07,120 --> 00:49:10,080 Speaker 1: and be entered to win that Vladimir Guerrero Junior Jersey 1128 00:49:10,160 --> 00:49:13,680 Speaker 1: by simply going to fantracks dot com slash Fantasyprosagain, that's 1129 00:49:13,719 --> 00:49:16,840 Speaker 1: fantracks dot com slash Fantasy Pros to win that Vladdie 1130 00:49:17,040 --> 00:49:20,680 Speaker 1: Junior Jersey fan tracks, the home of Fantasy Sports. That'll 1131 00:49:20,719 --> 00:49:22,000 Speaker 1: do it for us, but the story of the game 1132 00:49:22,080 --> 00:49:23,000 Speaker 1: goes on for the Welsh. 1133 00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:26,719 Speaker 2: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids. Thanks 1134 00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:30,319 Speaker 2: for listening to the Fantasy Pros Baseball Podcast. Follow us 1135 00:49:30,400 --> 00:49:33,960 Speaker 2: on Twitter at Fantasy Pros MLB and subscribe to our 1136 00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:37,760 Speaker 2: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB.