WEBVTT - PGA Championship (Ep. 88)

0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:03.360
<v Speaker 1>It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.

0:00:15.560 --> 0:00:18.600
<v Speaker 1>Welcome in everybody to betting pros right here. It is

0:00:18.640 --> 0:00:20.800
<v Speaker 1>me Joey p Joe Pi's APA, and today we're going

0:00:20.840 --> 0:00:24.160
<v Speaker 1>to talk about the PGA Championship, which begins in just

0:00:24.200 --> 0:00:26.640
<v Speaker 1>a day or so. Here we are on the precipice

0:00:26.640 --> 0:00:28.800
<v Speaker 1>of another major here in golf, and we have a

0:00:28.800 --> 0:00:31.720
<v Speaker 1>great guest for you from Sportsbook Wire. He's the one,

0:00:31.720 --> 0:00:34.920
<v Speaker 1>the only Esta McLaren Esden. Thank you so much for

0:00:35.200 --> 0:00:37.519
<v Speaker 1>taking the time out to talk to us today, and

0:00:37.760 --> 0:00:40.839
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna dig into some of the favorites, some of

0:00:40.880 --> 0:00:42.840
<v Speaker 1>the props, and some of the stuff that I've seen

0:00:42.840 --> 0:00:45.400
<v Speaker 1>that you've verse put on betting pros as well. So

0:00:45.520 --> 0:00:47.479
<v Speaker 1>are you excited for another major?

0:00:47.520 --> 0:00:47.960
<v Speaker 2>My friend?

0:00:48.520 --> 0:00:52.479
<v Speaker 3>Very excited, excited for every major ever, but this week especially,

0:00:52.520 --> 0:00:56.200
<v Speaker 3>you know Wednesday, the videos coming in on Twitter, these

0:00:56.240 --> 0:00:58.600
<v Speaker 3>practice rounds, and guys have in trouble. Just before the

0:00:58.640 --> 0:01:01.360
<v Speaker 3>show started, I just saw Rory put one in the

0:01:01.400 --> 0:01:03.680
<v Speaker 3>water on seventeen three what off the tee on a

0:01:03.680 --> 0:01:06.479
<v Speaker 3>part of three into a twenty mile pour wind. So

0:01:06.920 --> 0:01:09.120
<v Speaker 3>if he's doing that at a course where he's had

0:01:09.840 --> 0:01:14.720
<v Speaker 3>unbelievable success before it's gonna be quite a tournament. And

0:01:15.000 --> 0:01:17.800
<v Speaker 3>you now we write up all of that in content

0:01:17.920 --> 0:01:22.240
<v Speaker 3>we do these podcasts. You know, we can't really do

0:01:22.440 --> 0:01:26.720
<v Speaker 3>much about a twenty mile pour wind in part three

0:01:26.800 --> 0:01:28.080
<v Speaker 3>with the water hazard in front.

0:01:28.160 --> 0:01:30.960
<v Speaker 1>But no, not a fun day at the office there

0:01:30.959 --> 0:01:32.759
<v Speaker 1>with that kind of a win. But look, let's talk

0:01:32.760 --> 0:01:34.679
<v Speaker 1>about the course first, because I think that's always the

0:01:34.680 --> 0:01:36.039
<v Speaker 1>thing we want to break down. Then we'll kind of

0:01:36.040 --> 0:01:38.759
<v Speaker 1>get to the weather as well. So it's in South Carolina.

0:01:38.920 --> 0:01:41.039
<v Speaker 1>Rory obviously is one of the headliners of the event.

0:01:41.200 --> 0:01:44.080
<v Speaker 1>And you know, when you're looking at right now this course.

0:01:44.400 --> 0:01:47.600
<v Speaker 1>Does this course favor guys like Rory is or somebody

0:01:47.600 --> 0:01:49.560
<v Speaker 1>else in this field that you feel like from the

0:01:49.600 --> 0:01:51.680
<v Speaker 1>course before you even get into the wind factors and

0:01:51.720 --> 0:01:53.800
<v Speaker 1>some other of the elements in there, who do you

0:01:53.800 --> 0:01:57.200
<v Speaker 1>think it really favors? Just from let's say a perfect setting.

0:02:00.320 --> 0:02:03.360
<v Speaker 3>It favors the long hitters. This is the longest major

0:02:03.440 --> 0:02:06.280
<v Speaker 3>venue there's ever been on the PGA Tour, seven eight

0:02:06.360 --> 0:02:11.000
<v Speaker 3>hundred and seventy six yards. There's five par fours between

0:02:11.080 --> 0:02:13.880
<v Speaker 3>four hundred and fifty and five hundred yards too longer

0:02:13.880 --> 0:02:17.200
<v Speaker 3>than that so driving distance drokes ganed off the green,

0:02:17.360 --> 0:02:20.320
<v Speaker 3>but also power four efficiency four fifty to five hundred.

0:02:20.960 --> 0:02:23.280
<v Speaker 3>It always seems like a cop out to say the

0:02:23.320 --> 0:02:26.040
<v Speaker 3>longest hitters have an advantage. That's not really the case

0:02:26.200 --> 0:02:28.800
<v Speaker 3>anymore in today's day and age of golf, where everyone

0:02:28.800 --> 0:02:31.040
<v Speaker 3>can hit it long. But when you're hitting it long

0:02:31.200 --> 0:02:33.680
<v Speaker 3>and into a ten to twenty mile per hour wind,

0:02:34.360 --> 0:02:37.720
<v Speaker 3>that length matters, and it's it's gonna be something. And

0:02:38.320 --> 0:02:41.400
<v Speaker 3>outside of the length, obviously, I'm gonna and more for

0:02:41.520 --> 0:02:45.280
<v Speaker 3>my long shot picks. I'm looking to guys around the green,

0:02:45.480 --> 0:02:50.240
<v Speaker 3>short game, sand play. There's bunkers guarding almost every green

0:02:50.280 --> 0:02:54.760
<v Speaker 3>on this course, sand dunes as well. So outside of

0:02:54.760 --> 0:02:57.600
<v Speaker 3>the long hitters, you got to focus on that short

0:02:57.639 --> 0:03:00.359
<v Speaker 3>game and the sand play, and that brings a lot

0:03:00.400 --> 0:03:01.959
<v Speaker 3>of long shots back into play here.

0:03:02.400 --> 0:03:04.040
<v Speaker 1>All right, So I know one of the long shots

0:03:04.040 --> 0:03:06.040
<v Speaker 1>you like is well, I don't know how much of

0:03:06.040 --> 0:03:07.760
<v Speaker 1>a long shot he really is. A plus eight hundred

0:03:07.760 --> 0:03:10.280
<v Speaker 1>Brooks Koepka one of the better golfers out there. We

0:03:10.360 --> 0:03:12.720
<v Speaker 1>know McElroy somewhere in that plus two hundred range over

0:03:12.720 --> 0:03:14.519
<v Speaker 1>on betting pros. And if you're trying to make sure

0:03:14.560 --> 0:03:16.680
<v Speaker 1>that you get the consensus, you can always head over

0:03:16.720 --> 0:03:19.000
<v Speaker 1>to betting pros to get those numbers. But who are

0:03:19.000 --> 0:03:20.800
<v Speaker 1>some of the other long shots, because I know last

0:03:20.800 --> 0:03:23.120
<v Speaker 1>time when we talked about the Masters, we talked with

0:03:23.160 --> 0:03:25.480
<v Speaker 1>Pat Mayo about taking shots on some of these guys

0:03:25.480 --> 0:03:27.919
<v Speaker 1>because that's how you make money in golf wagering. Who

0:03:27.919 --> 0:03:29.600
<v Speaker 1>are some of these long shots now that you think

0:03:29.600 --> 0:03:32.440
<v Speaker 1>go to the forefront because of the elements and because

0:03:32.480 --> 0:03:34.600
<v Speaker 1>of the course and that combination coming to fruition.

0:03:35.680 --> 0:03:39.640
<v Speaker 3>Well, as you mentioned with Brooks, Koepka, absolutely bizarre to

0:03:39.720 --> 0:03:41.680
<v Speaker 3>have to call him a long shot, but a plus

0:03:41.680 --> 0:03:44.680
<v Speaker 3>five thousand, he pretty much is. And he missed the

0:03:44.680 --> 0:03:48.440
<v Speaker 3>cut last week at the ATNT Byron Nelson. But if

0:03:48.440 --> 0:03:50.760
<v Speaker 3>you look at the strokes gain stats for that tournament,

0:03:50.840 --> 0:03:52.760
<v Speaker 3>he did well in the areas that he needs to

0:03:52.920 --> 0:03:55.200
<v Speaker 3>This week, he was near the top of the field

0:03:55.240 --> 0:03:57.360
<v Speaker 3>and strokes gained around the green and strokes seeing out

0:03:57.400 --> 0:04:00.880
<v Speaker 3>the tee looking forward to that translated this course out

0:04:00.920 --> 0:04:03.280
<v Speaker 3>a very high number. We saw him at the Waste

0:04:03.320 --> 0:04:06.360
<v Speaker 3>Management Phoenix Open earlier this year with a number way

0:04:06.440 --> 0:04:08.280
<v Speaker 3>higher than he should have and he went out and

0:04:08.320 --> 0:04:11.200
<v Speaker 3>won the things. So that very much can happen again.

0:04:11.840 --> 0:04:16.719
<v Speaker 3>Obviously a lot longer than that, we have Shane Lowry.

0:04:16.760 --> 0:04:20.000
<v Speaker 3>He's hovering around plus eight thousand, plus nine thousand, depending

0:04:20.000 --> 0:04:22.880
<v Speaker 3>on where you're looking. To me. This course has a

0:04:22.920 --> 0:04:26.479
<v Speaker 3>lot of similarities to royal Port Rush where he won

0:04:26.520 --> 0:04:29.880
<v Speaker 3>the Open Championship in twenty nineteen, and you know, maybe

0:04:29.920 --> 0:04:33.280
<v Speaker 3>not so much in whole design that sort of thing,

0:04:33.360 --> 0:04:36.839
<v Speaker 3>but a course that runs along the coast of the ocean,

0:04:37.320 --> 0:04:39.880
<v Speaker 3>just like royal Port Rush in Northern Ireland. If that

0:04:39.960 --> 0:04:42.800
<v Speaker 3>weather gets bad and tough, that favores a guy like

0:04:42.839 --> 0:04:46.920
<v Speaker 3>Shane Lowry. Longer than that. Even still, South Africans really

0:04:46.960 --> 0:04:49.960
<v Speaker 3>popping to me this week. Christian Bisweden, Hoot and Dylan

0:04:50.040 --> 0:04:54.320
<v Speaker 3>for Tlly in particular, guys great short game and great

0:04:54.360 --> 0:04:57.720
<v Speaker 3>sand players. For Kelly is also top ten on tour

0:04:57.760 --> 0:05:00.880
<v Speaker 3>in driving distance as well, so he's dark horse here.

0:05:01.160 --> 0:05:04.000
<v Speaker 3>He had a top five, finished tied for fifth and

0:05:04.040 --> 0:05:07.359
<v Speaker 3>the Fall Masters didn't do so well in April, but

0:05:09.480 --> 0:05:11.440
<v Speaker 3>he's competed in a major before, so that's good enough

0:05:11.480 --> 0:05:16.080
<v Speaker 3>for me. This week, and with that wind and whatever

0:05:16.120 --> 0:05:19.200
<v Speaker 3>weather we get, kind of leveling things off between the

0:05:19.200 --> 0:05:21.960
<v Speaker 3>long hitters. If guys have to play that shorter, more

0:05:22.000 --> 0:05:24.599
<v Speaker 3>controlled game. I'm going to trust in his play in

0:05:24.640 --> 0:05:26.000
<v Speaker 3>the sand and around the greens.

0:05:26.320 --> 0:05:28.400
<v Speaker 1>Now, let's talk about some of those top ten finishers

0:05:28.400 --> 0:05:30.680
<v Speaker 1>and kind of change from who's gonna win the tournament

0:05:30.720 --> 0:05:32.960
<v Speaker 1>to some other fun props and some other fun wagers

0:05:32.960 --> 0:05:35.240
<v Speaker 1>that we got. Now, now you like for Telly also

0:05:35.360 --> 0:05:36.560
<v Speaker 1>to finish in that top ten?

0:05:36.600 --> 0:05:38.479
<v Speaker 2>Correct? Is that still the case now with the weather?

0:05:38.560 --> 0:05:40.159
<v Speaker 1>I know this right up was a few days ago,

0:05:40.240 --> 0:05:41.839
<v Speaker 1>but again when the elements started to creep in, just

0:05:41.839 --> 0:05:43.880
<v Speaker 1>want to make sure we're still on the same path

0:05:43.960 --> 0:05:45.640
<v Speaker 1>here with some of these guys, or perhaps there's a

0:05:45.640 --> 0:05:47.800
<v Speaker 1>few other guys that you start to see now on

0:05:47.839 --> 0:05:49.880
<v Speaker 1>that landscape that you think could finish in that top

0:05:49.920 --> 0:05:52.240
<v Speaker 1>ten that really could make them want some money.

0:05:52.360 --> 0:05:54.799
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, for Telly at top ten is worth a shot

0:05:54.839 --> 0:05:58.280
<v Speaker 3>for me at the odds, probably a safer play as

0:05:58.279 --> 0:06:01.240
<v Speaker 3>a top twenty. Shane Lower he just mentioned I like

0:06:01.320 --> 0:06:03.920
<v Speaker 3>him as a top ten play as well, And then

0:06:04.240 --> 0:06:07.400
<v Speaker 3>Brooks Koepka again we mentioned his outright odds are far

0:06:07.440 --> 0:06:11.200
<v Speaker 3>too high. His odds for placings are also higher than

0:06:11.200 --> 0:06:13.560
<v Speaker 3>they should be. So a guy who missed the cut

0:06:13.560 --> 0:06:15.400
<v Speaker 3>of the Masters missed the cut last week at a

0:06:15.480 --> 0:06:19.240
<v Speaker 3>lesser tournament. You know, if you can get good value

0:06:19.240 --> 0:06:21.599
<v Speaker 3>on him for a top five, even the top ten finish,

0:06:21.920 --> 0:06:25.360
<v Speaker 3>you gotta jump at it. Patrick can't lay even as

0:06:25.400 --> 0:06:28.480
<v Speaker 3>as a top ten guy with plenty of top ten

0:06:28.520 --> 0:06:32.280
<v Speaker 3>finishes of majors. I like that at plus values. So

0:06:32.360 --> 0:06:36.160
<v Speaker 3>if you you need to hedge against these outrights, whether

0:06:36.160 --> 0:06:39.159
<v Speaker 3>you're picking among the favorites or the long shots, it's

0:06:39.240 --> 0:06:43.640
<v Speaker 3>you know, arguably never seen a better time to load

0:06:43.760 --> 0:06:46.480
<v Speaker 3>up on these top five, top ten finishes rather than

0:06:46.680 --> 0:06:48.120
<v Speaker 3>just thrown out at right shots.

0:06:48.440 --> 0:06:49.680
<v Speaker 2>Well, here's the question for you too.

0:06:49.680 --> 0:06:51.159
<v Speaker 1>Is there anybody right now that you think is a

0:06:51.200 --> 0:06:53.320
<v Speaker 1>trap where you see it's maybe it's a bigger name

0:06:53.360 --> 0:06:55.200
<v Speaker 1>on the board. Do you think maybe the course doesn't

0:06:55.200 --> 0:06:57.000
<v Speaker 1>really suit as much as some other people might think,

0:06:57.120 --> 0:06:59.320
<v Speaker 1>or the odds makers might think, or also with the

0:06:59.360 --> 0:07:02.040
<v Speaker 1>elements that might be at a disadvantage because I think

0:07:02.080 --> 0:07:03.800
<v Speaker 1>obviously now we're starting to see a little bit of

0:07:03.800 --> 0:07:05.599
<v Speaker 1>a different turn here as you're kind of pointing out

0:07:05.600 --> 0:07:07.679
<v Speaker 1>to us, is there somebody that you would stay away

0:07:07.720 --> 0:07:09.160
<v Speaker 1>from them because of it? You think, you know what,

0:07:09.200 --> 0:07:11.360
<v Speaker 1>maybe this guy isn't a top ten finisher, or maybe

0:07:11.480 --> 0:07:14.080
<v Speaker 1>somebody who might be, you know, one of the favorites

0:07:14.160 --> 0:07:16.400
<v Speaker 1>quote unquote, it might not be the best wager.

0:07:17.520 --> 0:07:22.320
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, they're you know, the odds aren't horribly wrong for them.

0:07:22.400 --> 0:07:24.240
<v Speaker 3>But two guys who are going to get the public

0:07:24.240 --> 0:07:27.840
<v Speaker 3>attention that they shouldn't Hideki Matsuyama and Colin Morricawa, the

0:07:27.880 --> 0:07:34.120
<v Speaker 3>Masters and PGA Championship PGA Championship winner respectively. You know,

0:07:34.200 --> 0:07:37.640
<v Speaker 3>this course just doesn't suit them. Well, it's so much

0:07:37.680 --> 0:07:40.640
<v Speaker 3>longer than TPC Herding Park for Calin more Akawa, he's

0:07:40.760 --> 0:07:43.360
<v Speaker 3>not a long hitter. He's first on tour and stroke

0:07:43.400 --> 0:07:46.680
<v Speaker 3>Saint approach and that is a key here. But he

0:07:46.800 --> 0:07:48.760
<v Speaker 3>just doesn't have the length to contend if that's going

0:07:48.840 --> 0:07:52.320
<v Speaker 3>to be the issue on Saturday Sunday and then Hideki Mountsuyama.

0:07:52.400 --> 0:07:54.360
<v Speaker 3>We saw him return to play last week. Did they

0:07:54.440 --> 0:07:58.200
<v Speaker 3>keep Iron and Nelson at top forty finish, but just

0:07:58.280 --> 0:08:00.680
<v Speaker 3>really made a mess of things around the green and

0:08:00.880 --> 0:08:04.320
<v Speaker 3>putting was very inconsistent. We saw him missing within ten

0:08:04.400 --> 0:08:07.680
<v Speaker 3>feet and gain strokes with the flat stick for the week.

0:08:07.800 --> 0:08:11.040
<v Speaker 3>But yeah, the player around the green wasn't there for him,

0:08:11.120 --> 0:08:14.040
<v Speaker 3>and you know, obviously he came out and put everything

0:08:14.040 --> 0:08:17.000
<v Speaker 3>together to win the Masters. I just don't see that

0:08:17.000 --> 0:08:18.760
<v Speaker 3>happening here where whether it's going to be a much

0:08:18.760 --> 0:08:19.360
<v Speaker 3>bigger factor.

0:08:19.960 --> 0:08:22.880
<v Speaker 1>You have an interesting take here too on best finishing

0:08:22.920 --> 0:08:25.760
<v Speaker 1>position where you have a Decie Matsuyama Midas won ten

0:08:25.840 --> 0:08:28.960
<v Speaker 1>versus Patrick Cantley at minus one ten. That's over at

0:08:29.040 --> 0:08:31.920
<v Speaker 1>MGM Sports Book. What's your what's your feelings on this

0:08:31.960 --> 0:08:32.360
<v Speaker 1>one here?

0:08:33.120 --> 0:08:33.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

0:08:33.440 --> 0:08:37.200
<v Speaker 3>I really like Patrick cantleigh this week. He's hasn't been

0:08:37.200 --> 0:08:39.760
<v Speaker 3>great this year. He won the Zozo Championship last fall,

0:08:40.120 --> 0:08:43.400
<v Speaker 3>but the twenty twenty one form just hasn't been there consistently,

0:08:43.800 --> 0:08:46.680
<v Speaker 3>coming off a couple of miss chats that the Masters included.

0:08:47.360 --> 0:08:51.959
<v Speaker 3>But this course suits him well. He's you know, very early.

0:08:52.000 --> 0:08:54.840
<v Speaker 3>He's fourth I think on tour in strokes gained around

0:08:54.840 --> 0:08:57.640
<v Speaker 3>the green and he's averaging over a half stroke per

0:08:57.720 --> 0:09:00.320
<v Speaker 3>round off the tee as well. So I go, who

0:09:00.400 --> 0:09:03.320
<v Speaker 3>can hit it long and has that short game. That's

0:09:03.440 --> 0:09:06.080
<v Speaker 3>the great combo for me. So he's the only player

0:09:06.440 --> 0:09:09.640
<v Speaker 3>onto or and in this field who's averaging point five

0:09:09.679 --> 0:09:11.920
<v Speaker 3>strokes per round around the green and off the tee.

0:09:12.080 --> 0:09:15.280
<v Speaker 3>So if he can put that together, I'm we're getting

0:09:15.320 --> 0:09:17.760
<v Speaker 3>a high number because of the recent miss cuts. I'm

0:09:17.760 --> 0:09:19.599
<v Speaker 3>going to overlook those.

0:09:20.040 --> 0:09:20.880
<v Speaker 2>In your opinion too.

0:09:21.040 --> 0:09:23.240
<v Speaker 1>Who's coming into this tournament very hot? Like, who do

0:09:23.240 --> 0:09:24.920
<v Speaker 1>you like in terms of how they're playing right now?

0:09:24.960 --> 0:09:26.760
<v Speaker 1>I know you kind of talked about, you know, Kopka,

0:09:26.840 --> 0:09:28.800
<v Speaker 1>but there's somebody else too that you think is kind

0:09:28.800 --> 0:09:31.640
<v Speaker 1>of trending in the right direction here, because we all know,

0:09:31.760 --> 0:09:34.600
<v Speaker 1>like every other sport, you know, typically there's a you know,

0:09:34.720 --> 0:09:36.680
<v Speaker 1>catching lightning in a bottle or somebody who hits a

0:09:36.679 --> 0:09:38.360
<v Speaker 1>hot streak. Who do you think right now is playing

0:09:38.480 --> 0:09:40.480
<v Speaker 1>very well that we should keep our eyes on maybe

0:09:40.640 --> 0:09:44.400
<v Speaker 1>as well this weekend.

0:09:44.880 --> 0:09:48.040
<v Speaker 3>The obvious name is Jordan Spief and you know there's

0:09:48.080 --> 0:09:50.640
<v Speaker 3>been no hotter player in golf this year, with the

0:09:50.679 --> 0:09:53.680
<v Speaker 3>win a bunch of top tens, even another one last week.

0:09:53.800 --> 0:09:57.760
<v Speaker 3>So yeah, it's tough to bet against Jordan's beef whenever

0:09:57.800 --> 0:10:00.640
<v Speaker 3>he's playing like he is. But this is a guy,

0:10:00.800 --> 0:10:03.240
<v Speaker 3>even still as good as he has been, he's still

0:10:03.320 --> 0:10:06.920
<v Speaker 3>erratic with the driver, and I'm going to be interested

0:10:06.920 --> 0:10:09.360
<v Speaker 3>to see how this course plays for a guy like that.

0:10:09.520 --> 0:10:13.320
<v Speaker 3>This week I'm fading Jordan's peith entirely, and I'm i

0:10:13.440 --> 0:10:17.079
<v Speaker 3>have to live and die by that. So the driver

0:10:17.280 --> 0:10:19.720
<v Speaker 3>is still his biggest problem. If you have to pinpoint

0:10:19.800 --> 0:10:22.720
<v Speaker 3>a problem in his twenty one game, and you know

0:10:23.280 --> 0:10:25.880
<v Speaker 3>the wide fairways here at the Ocean course, but if

0:10:25.920 --> 0:10:28.360
<v Speaker 3>that win picks up, they may not be long enough

0:10:28.360 --> 0:10:30.960
<v Speaker 3>for a guy like him, especially if he's already spraying

0:10:31.000 --> 0:10:33.680
<v Speaker 3>it and then that win catches the ball that's headed

0:10:33.840 --> 0:10:36.240
<v Speaker 3>left or right, it's going to be trouble for him.

0:10:36.800 --> 0:10:39.240
<v Speaker 1>All right, let's get to some fun wagers too. Will

0:10:39.280 --> 0:10:41.880
<v Speaker 1>there be a playoff? What are your thoughts on this one?

0:10:41.960 --> 0:10:44.079
<v Speaker 1>I see on DraftKings you get a plus four hundred

0:10:44.080 --> 0:10:46.160
<v Speaker 1>on the sports book there for the yes. Is that

0:10:46.240 --> 0:10:47.400
<v Speaker 1>something that you're on board with?

0:10:48.120 --> 0:10:50.400
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, if you look back at that twenty twelve PGA

0:10:50.480 --> 0:10:53.080
<v Speaker 3>Championship leader board, really the only one we have for

0:10:53.160 --> 0:10:58.000
<v Speaker 3>Keo Island after Rory McIlroy winning by eight strokes, that

0:10:58.080 --> 0:11:01.720
<v Speaker 3>leaderboard bunched up in a hurry David Lynn for anyone

0:11:01.720 --> 0:11:05.600
<v Speaker 3>who remembers him at five under solo runner up. But

0:11:05.640 --> 0:11:10.000
<v Speaker 3>then after that there are eighteen players between one under

0:11:10.040 --> 0:11:13.120
<v Speaker 3>power and four under powers. So yeah, if you take

0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:17.200
<v Speaker 3>out a performance like Rory mclroy had, it's gonna be close.

0:11:17.280 --> 0:11:19.560
<v Speaker 3>Then I think plus four hundred for the value for

0:11:19.600 --> 0:11:21.120
<v Speaker 3>a play off that's good enough for me.

0:11:21.720 --> 0:11:23.840
<v Speaker 1>And then when it comes down to wire to wire winner,

0:11:23.880 --> 0:11:26.440
<v Speaker 1>do you think right now that is a wager you

0:11:26.440 --> 0:11:28.440
<v Speaker 1>want to get in on or not, Because obviously the

0:11:28.480 --> 0:11:31.120
<v Speaker 1>elements sometimes can really kind of make certain days erradic,

0:11:31.720 --> 0:11:34.559
<v Speaker 1>especially what time people are teeing off two because that's

0:11:34.640 --> 0:11:37.199
<v Speaker 1>what groupings everyone's in might affect them very differently in

0:11:37.240 --> 0:11:39.480
<v Speaker 1>the morning versus as you get later to the afternoon.

0:11:39.559 --> 0:11:41.600
<v Speaker 1>So does that now become a wager to stay away

0:11:41.600 --> 0:11:43.600
<v Speaker 1>from or something that you actually think you can make

0:11:43.640 --> 0:11:44.000
<v Speaker 1>money on.

0:11:44.559 --> 0:11:46.560
<v Speaker 3>No, I like this one, especially when you look at

0:11:46.600 --> 0:11:49.160
<v Speaker 3>the Thursday morning tea times. You have a power group

0:11:49.360 --> 0:11:55.000
<v Speaker 3>of McElroy, Koepka and more Kawa I believe no, sorry,

0:11:55.080 --> 0:11:59.440
<v Speaker 3>Thomas McElroy and cap So yeah, you'll look at those

0:11:59.480 --> 0:12:01.439
<v Speaker 3>three three players in the world. If one of them

0:12:01.520 --> 0:12:05.320
<v Speaker 3>goes out and posts a low score Thursday morning before

0:12:05.400 --> 0:12:08.760
<v Speaker 3>the wins potentially get much worse, then those guys are

0:12:08.760 --> 0:12:11.920
<v Speaker 3>gonna be tough to beat come Friday and the weekends.

0:12:12.000 --> 0:12:15.200
<v Speaker 3>So yeah, that's the angle you have to play. And

0:12:15.240 --> 0:12:19.679
<v Speaker 3>it kind of piggybacks off of the playoff prop as well, if, oh,

0:12:19.760 --> 0:12:22.120
<v Speaker 3>if any of those guys or somebody else goes out

0:12:22.160 --> 0:12:25.360
<v Speaker 3>and posts a low round Thursday morning, there's gonna be

0:12:25.360 --> 0:12:27.440
<v Speaker 3>a tough course in tough conditions to play backed up on.

0:12:28.520 --> 0:12:29.320
<v Speaker 2>All Right, there you go.

0:12:30.200 --> 0:12:32.240
<v Speaker 1>Before we part ways with the Eston again, you can

0:12:32.280 --> 0:12:34.839
<v Speaker 1>follow him over on the Twitter machine over at Esten

0:12:34.920 --> 0:12:38.240
<v Speaker 1>McLaren on Twitter, and please check out his work not

0:12:38.280 --> 0:12:40.520
<v Speaker 1>only on betting pros, but also check out his work

0:12:40.520 --> 0:12:44.360
<v Speaker 1>at sportsbook Wire. Eston, what are your other parting shots here?

0:12:44.360 --> 0:12:46.480
<v Speaker 1>Other things that you look at the board that you

0:12:46.559 --> 0:12:50.080
<v Speaker 1>feel like there's opportunity from the wagering side or maybe

0:12:50.120 --> 0:12:51.640
<v Speaker 1>even from the DFS side.

0:12:51.400 --> 0:12:52.960
<v Speaker 2>Too, if people want to get involved with that.

0:12:53.240 --> 0:12:54.560
<v Speaker 1>How do you kind of see the rest of this

0:12:54.600 --> 0:12:57.920
<v Speaker 1>weekend now as we're getting closer to everyone teeing off

0:12:57.920 --> 0:12:59.000
<v Speaker 1>here after the practice round.

0:12:59.720 --> 0:13:05.760
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So for DFS especially, I would diversify the Thursday

0:13:05.800 --> 0:13:10.200
<v Speaker 3>tea times. You gotta have some more early morning and

0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:12.800
<v Speaker 3>some late afternoon. I think last I checked the weather

0:13:12.840 --> 0:13:17.920
<v Speaker 3>for Kiowa. The weather or the winds are down early

0:13:17.960 --> 0:13:20.640
<v Speaker 3>in the morning and then down again late afternoons. So

0:13:21.600 --> 0:13:24.640
<v Speaker 3>you got to try to split your six man team

0:13:24.800 --> 0:13:27.360
<v Speaker 3>whoever's going to catch either end of those waves, I

0:13:27.400 --> 0:13:30.160
<v Speaker 3>would stay away from kind of that mid day tier.

0:13:30.880 --> 0:13:35.400
<v Speaker 3>But yeah, it's you know, it's an ocean course, so

0:13:35.559 --> 0:13:37.960
<v Speaker 3>that weather forecast it may not mean much, and that's

0:13:38.040 --> 0:13:40.640
<v Speaker 3>that's why you got to just kind of spread it around,

0:13:41.200 --> 0:13:43.679
<v Speaker 3>do those one hundred and fifty lineups whatever many you're

0:13:43.720 --> 0:13:46.800
<v Speaker 3>able to do, and get the best mix of tea

0:13:46.800 --> 0:13:49.400
<v Speaker 3>times throughout the day, and then obviously things can turn

0:13:49.440 --> 0:13:52.800
<v Speaker 3>around on Friday as well. But yeah, to mention again,

0:13:52.920 --> 0:13:55.400
<v Speaker 3>for those lineups, the favorites are going to be the

0:13:55.400 --> 0:13:59.280
<v Speaker 3>long hitters, their prices such a draftkingspan, duel, orever. And

0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:02.120
<v Speaker 3>then a lot of the values are in those good

0:14:02.160 --> 0:14:04.760
<v Speaker 3>short game guys and the bottom tiers that you can

0:14:04.760 --> 0:14:07.280
<v Speaker 3>save your money there. So I like that as a

0:14:07.320 --> 0:14:10.960
<v Speaker 3>split as well, and kind of hedging either way in

0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:15.440
<v Speaker 3>both you fast and in betting. I like long hitters

0:14:15.480 --> 0:14:16.760
<v Speaker 3>and the best short game guys.

0:14:17.160 --> 0:14:19.360
<v Speaker 2>There you go. It's a really good approach. So hopefully

0:14:19.400 --> 0:14:21.280
<v Speaker 2>all the approaches look as good as yours.

0:14:21.040 --> 0:14:23.280
<v Speaker 1>Do this week as we go ahead, it should be

0:14:23.320 --> 0:14:25.720
<v Speaker 1>an interesting week of golf. Nonetheless, Eston, I want to

0:14:25.720 --> 0:14:27.560
<v Speaker 1>thank you again so much for your time and hopping

0:14:27.640 --> 0:14:29.720
<v Speaker 1>in with us, just talk a little PGA. I hope everybody

0:14:29.760 --> 0:14:31.680
<v Speaker 1>feels that they are confident now to go out there

0:14:32.040 --> 0:14:34.360
<v Speaker 1>and go make some fun wagers over that, and again

0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:36.720
<v Speaker 1>make sure you're following us over at Betting Pros and

0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:38.800
<v Speaker 1>check out all the great content at Betting Pros, including

0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:42.240
<v Speaker 1>all of our consensus over there as well. Again, follow

0:14:42.280 --> 0:14:45.080
<v Speaker 1>him on Twitter at Eston McLaren and of course you

0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:47.880
<v Speaker 1>can follow me at jops APS seventeen. That'll do it

0:14:47.920 --> 0:14:49.920
<v Speaker 1>for us, but the story of the game goes on.

0:14:50.200 --> 0:16:52.720
<v Speaker 1>We'll see you next, Dodd kids,