WEBVTT - Kyrie is Back featuring Matthew McEwan

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<v Speaker 1>No, no, come home, Come home, Come home, come home.

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<v Speaker 2>On this episode of the Heat Check, guess who's back

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<v Speaker 2>back again.

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<v Speaker 3>Kyrie's back, still not vaccinated. He's out here trying to

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<v Speaker 3>save the net season. How did he do? What does

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<v Speaker 3>it mean for the.

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<v Speaker 2>Nets and how will it affect Brooklyn's chances going forward?

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<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about it from the betting side, and let's

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<v Speaker 2>have on a special guest, Matt Mhewan of the Sports

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<v Speaker 2>Betting Dime.

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<v Speaker 3>So do me a favorite brock and drop that.

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<v Speaker 4>Motherfa I love the fielding crimson me cern me is

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<v Speaker 4>exactly a upon and bucking.

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<v Speaker 2>Kyrie is back after the world and all of the

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<v Speaker 2>Nets said that there was no possibility that they would

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<v Speaker 2>have Kyrie back as a.

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<v Speaker 3>Part time player. Turns out that was a lie. That

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<v Speaker 3>was a lie.

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<v Speaker 2>So he made his twenty twenty one, twenty twenty two

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<v Speaker 2>debut on January fifth, twenty twenty two. And the man

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<v Speaker 2>who has become, I guess an icon of the unvaccinated

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<v Speaker 2>had a pretty good stat line just coming off the

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<v Speaker 2>street twenty two points nine to seventeen shooting in Brooklyn's.

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<v Speaker 3>Win over Indiana one twenty nine one twenty one.

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<v Speaker 2>And of course this was on the road, which is

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<v Speaker 2>the only place that Kyrie can play, and although he

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<v Speaker 2>was I think he said he was.

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<v Speaker 3>Like very nervous, very rusty.

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<v Speaker 2>He missed his first shot, which was apparently scripted by

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<v Speaker 2>Steve Nash as a gift to Kyrie Irving and later said.

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<v Speaker 3>Like, I was so nervous, That's why I missed. Dude's

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<v Speaker 3>a bucket.

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<v Speaker 2>And the only real stat that matters is that in

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<v Speaker 2>thirty two minutes Kyrie was plus sixteen.

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<v Speaker 3>On the floor. And that is what the Nets have

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<v Speaker 3>been missing this year. They've been missing the death.

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<v Speaker 2>Now they have Patty Mills coming off the bench, and

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<v Speaker 2>now they have another scorer who can get his own shot,

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<v Speaker 2>where all the burden doesn't have to just be on

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<v Speaker 2>Kevin Durant and a hamper James Harden and Katie of

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<v Speaker 2>course was happy he had thirty nine points on sixty

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<v Speaker 2>three percent shooting. That's what happens when you don't have

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<v Speaker 2>to shoulder the entire burden offensively for your franchise.

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<v Speaker 3>And for once this year, all was well in Nets world.

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<v Speaker 2>Currently Brooklyn twenty four and twelve, just one and a

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<v Speaker 2>half games behind the Bulls for the one seed, so

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<v Speaker 2>was now the right time to bring Kai back.

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<v Speaker 3>I guess it depends on how.

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<v Speaker 2>You look at things, right, Like, it's not ideal having

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<v Speaker 2>a part time player, it's just not. But the Nets

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<v Speaker 2>are They are better. They are undeniably better with Kyrie

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<v Speaker 2>on the floor. And even if that's only on the

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<v Speaker 2>road and I didn't realize it to the full extent,

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, I've seen it, but the only he's really

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<v Speaker 2>the only key to unlocking what's best about James Harden

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<v Speaker 2>Harden eighteen five and six and the Pacers win. But

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<v Speaker 2>that was really actually great because he wasn't asked to

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<v Speaker 2>be superhuman at a time when.

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<v Speaker 3>He's just Stella trying to get his groove back.

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<v Speaker 2>So what does Kyrie Irving returning as the Road Warrior

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<v Speaker 2>actually even mean? What can we expect going forward? Has

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<v Speaker 2>there ever been a team more different at home on

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<v Speaker 2>the road than these Nets?

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<v Speaker 3>Probably not.

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<v Speaker 2>So to get to the bottom of this, we're interviewing

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<v Speaker 2>Matt McEwan, national sportsbook expert and editor in chief at.

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<v Speaker 3>The Sports Betting Dime.

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<v Speaker 2>We had a great conversation with Matt at the start

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<v Speaker 2>of the NBA season where he explained how COVID affects

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<v Speaker 2>the way that the Vegas looks at NBA lines, what

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<v Speaker 2>it means for players like Kyrie Irving and Bradley Beal,

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<v Speaker 2>Bradley Beal recently getting vaccinated, and whether the league had

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<v Speaker 2>prepared for the eventuality of another wave or another lockdown.

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<v Speaker 3>Spoiler alert, they did not, so without form or a doom.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's get into it.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, Welcome back to the heat check, matt Man.

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<v Speaker 2>We got a lot of news to break into two parts. First,

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<v Speaker 2>big news Kyrie Irving's return, what do you think it

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<v Speaker 2>means to the net so? And then let's after that,

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<v Speaker 2>let's return to a conversation that we had on the

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<v Speaker 2>season eve of COVID.

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<v Speaker 3>First, do you think that at that point, like throughout.

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<v Speaker 2>The course of the season, half the almost half the

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<v Speaker 2>season is up, did you think that Kyrie would play

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<v Speaker 2>this year?

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<v Speaker 3>Or did you believe.

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<v Speaker 2>That Josie was being truthful when he said we're not

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<v Speaker 2>going to have any part time players.

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<v Speaker 5>I personally thought Kyrie was going to play this season.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, as much as we all loved the idea

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<v Speaker 5>of you know, just just a Kevin Durant, James Harden

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<v Speaker 5>led that team with you know, some decent role players

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<v Speaker 5>there and Aldridge, Patty Mills. I mean, unless they were

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<v Speaker 5>running the table here, how do you not fight for

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<v Speaker 5>someone like Kyrie Irving coming back?

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<v Speaker 6>Right?

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<v Speaker 5>I mean it makes sense, so I figured he would play,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, I think this is a small step towards

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<v Speaker 5>him becoming a more full time player. You know, that's

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<v Speaker 5>not any I don't have any insider info on New

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<v Speaker 5>York politics, just for the record, but I did expect

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<v Speaker 5>to see this, and obviously sportsbooks did too, based off

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<v Speaker 5>of you know, the nets very short championship futures.

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<v Speaker 3>Right right, and COVID.

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<v Speaker 2>This holdout, I think has made a lot of news

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<v Speaker 2>because Kyrie his history and it's tie into this larger story,

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<v Speaker 2>right Like, ever since being in Brooklyn, he's played twenty

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<v Speaker 2>games the first season. He's played fifty four regular season

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<v Speaker 2>games last year and nine games in the playoffs before

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<v Speaker 2>he hurt his ankle. You know, do you think we

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<v Speaker 2>should feel safe or better, should feel safe that because

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<v Speaker 2>he missed the early part of the season, that he'll

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<v Speaker 2>be good to go for the remainder.

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<v Speaker 3>Of this season.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, that's really tough.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, injuries just strike whenever, right, I mean, you

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<v Speaker 5>always hear of you know, the pitch counts and things

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<v Speaker 5>like that, you know, trying to keep somebody, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>less strain on the body. Right, So, I think there's

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<v Speaker 5>definitely a case to be made here with Kyrie being

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<v Speaker 5>a part time player, maybe right up until the playoffs.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean maybe full time sorry, full time part time

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<v Speaker 5>player funny there, Like, maybe he does continue sitting out

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<v Speaker 5>home games in the playoffs. Like it's all possible now.

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<v Speaker 5>I think there's a strong case to be made that

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<v Speaker 5>that could keep Kyrie healthy and we could see him

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<v Speaker 5>in every single road game outside of you know, Toronto

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<v Speaker 5>and Golden State there.

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<v Speaker 6>But I think that's definitely.

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<v Speaker 5>Something to you know, you could lean on a little

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<v Speaker 5>more than you could in previous years with Kyrie.

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<v Speaker 2>There's a lot of people who consider this team to

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<v Speaker 2>be a super team, right, Like two to four all

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<v Speaker 2>star MVP level players just means it's.

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<v Speaker 3>A super team.

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<v Speaker 2>But to me, that like, there are real super teams

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<v Speaker 2>that not only have all stars, but they also have

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<v Speaker 2>deep benches, they also have role players. There's a chemistry

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<v Speaker 2>to them outside of just the stars playing on it.

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<v Speaker 3>And to me, the only teams that really.

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<v Speaker 2>Match the star power between outside of the nets are

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<v Speaker 2>Warriors and the Lakers, right, I guess you could maybe

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<v Speaker 2>say the Bucks sort of, and one of those teams

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<v Speaker 2>is terrible this year, like the Lakers have been awful,

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<v Speaker 2>and then you have the Suns and the Bucks who

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<v Speaker 2>have stars and they have depth and they have chemistry. Like,

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<v Speaker 2>do you think even with Kyrie there, even if he

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<v Speaker 2>comes back full time, would you consider the Nets in

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<v Speaker 2>that same class Because Jeff Green's gone, Blake is dropped off,

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<v Speaker 2>and the two leading scorers after Harden and Katie are

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<v Speaker 2>Paddy Mills and LaMarcus Audridge.

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<v Speaker 5>Now, you know, I don't get me wrong, I'm not

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<v Speaker 5>a Patty Mills super fan over here, but I think

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<v Speaker 5>Patty Mills getting moved to the bench, you know, for

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<v Speaker 5>road games essentially, I think that gives them like that,

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<v Speaker 5>that's a big shot of depth to me. I think

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<v Speaker 5>Patty Mills was doing just fine, you know, in that

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<v Speaker 5>starting lineup. You know, it'll be interesting to see what

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<v Speaker 5>Steve Nash does with lineups there. But I do I

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<v Speaker 5>think this is the super team, you know, I think

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<v Speaker 5>without Kyrie Irving they are a super team. And you

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<v Speaker 5>throw him back into the mix, I it's gonna be really,

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<v Speaker 5>really difficult to make an argument that that this team

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<v Speaker 5>gets stopped in the East and you know, further in

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<v Speaker 5>the NBA Finals as well.

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<v Speaker 3>Other than the Bucks, this Eastern Conference is full of parody,

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<v Speaker 3>I guess is a gentle way of saying it. Do

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<v Speaker 3>you think that there.

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<v Speaker 2>Are any good teams good enough in the East to

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<v Speaker 2>throw a future bed on that can contend with like

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<v Speaker 2>a healthy Brooklyn or maybe even push into six or

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<v Speaker 2>seven games?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, you know, the Bulls right now obviously

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<v Speaker 5>are the team that has to come to mind, right

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<v Speaker 5>with just just looking at their record round twenty five

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<v Speaker 5>and ten at the time that that we're talking here.

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<v Speaker 6>But I'm looking you know, you can get.

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<v Speaker 5>Twenty five to one there not a bad price for

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<v Speaker 5>you know, the top team in the East right now. However,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, like we've seen with a lot of DeMar

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<v Speaker 5>To to Rosen lead teams, they tend to be very good

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<v Speaker 5>in the regular season, you know, and and all of

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<v Speaker 5>a sudden, the whistles go into the rest pockets a

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<v Speaker 5>little more and they're they're you know, play gets a

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<v Speaker 5>little more physical in the playoffs tomorrow hasn't been able

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<v Speaker 5>to keep up, right. I'm a big Raptors fan, so

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<v Speaker 5>you know, I lived through that far too many years,

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<v Speaker 5>so I don't personally believe that the Bulls have what

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<v Speaker 5>it takes to keep up with the nets right now,

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<v Speaker 5>even at twenty five to one, I don't feel great

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<v Speaker 5>about that bet. I think Miami is the one team

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<v Speaker 5>that comes to mind that I think, you know, even

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<v Speaker 5>though we haven't, they haven't been outstanding yet, I think

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<v Speaker 5>they have the pieces in place where if they can

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<v Speaker 5>just continue, you know, with building that chemistry, kind of

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<v Speaker 5>learning each person's role on that team. Here, they're about

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<v Speaker 5>fourteen to one right now, I would love like if

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<v Speaker 5>they got to twenty to one, I would be very

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<v Speaker 5>comfortable putting a bet on the heat.

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<v Speaker 3>I took them early preseason twenty five to one heats.

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<v Speaker 5>There you go, that's a great price there. Yeah, you

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<v Speaker 5>must be feeling pretty good.

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<v Speaker 3>Plus nine hundred as well. Both those feel good. That's

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<v Speaker 3>the time to place those futures bets. It's hard to

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<v Speaker 3>do that.

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<v Speaker 2>Last time we talked, you talked a lot about how

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<v Speaker 2>Vegas was going to deal with COVID this year, and

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know if any of us, UH including Vegas,

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<v Speaker 2>was prepared for omicron right like it didn't even I

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<v Speaker 2>don't think exist when you and I spoke, no, considering

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<v Speaker 2>that the last two years have been COVID plagued, either

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<v Speaker 2>partially or fully. You know, why do you think this

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<v Speaker 2>surge caught not only just the NBA, but but Vegas

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<v Speaker 2>by by surprise?

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<v Speaker 6>Why? You know what?

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<v Speaker 5>I think everyone was just starting to look forward and

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<v Speaker 5>into you know, better times, a non COVID world. And

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<v Speaker 5>you know, even though they had this you know a

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<v Speaker 5>bit of a playbook on how to deal with this, right,

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<v Speaker 5>because they had to do it, you know that, I

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<v Speaker 5>think they kind of threw it out a little too

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<v Speaker 5>quick obviously, right, and and forgot some of these lessons

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<v Speaker 5>they learned.

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<v Speaker 6>It's it's been absolutely nuts, you know.

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<v Speaker 5>I I hope that at the worst, you know, is

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<v Speaker 5>behind us here, but you know, it's it's going to

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<v Speaker 5>continue being a struggle here as long as you know,

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<v Speaker 5>these these new variants keep coming along. And you know

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<v Speaker 5>how you know how how bad are are.

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<v Speaker 6>Each one of these variants?

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<v Speaker 2>Right?

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<v Speaker 6>I mean, we we know what we've heard of omicron

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<v Speaker 6>is it's.

0:12:17.880 --> 0:12:20.840
<v Speaker 5>Not as deadly, but who knows the next one that

0:12:20.880 --> 0:12:22.439
<v Speaker 5>comes along what that one's.

0:12:22.200 --> 0:12:22.600
<v Speaker 2>Going to be?

0:12:23.280 --> 0:12:25.520
<v Speaker 5>And and the other part here is all all these

0:12:25.520 --> 0:12:27.800
<v Speaker 5>all this talk about boosters right now, right if if

0:12:27.880 --> 0:12:30.959
<v Speaker 5>you know, if the government decides, if all these states

0:12:30.960 --> 0:12:33.880
<v Speaker 5>start deciding two isn't enough now you have to have

0:12:33.920 --> 0:12:35.839
<v Speaker 5>all three shots? You know, does that all of a

0:12:35.880 --> 0:12:38.560
<v Speaker 5>sudden rule out how many players is that potentially you know,

0:12:38.600 --> 0:12:41.200
<v Speaker 5>put on this same list as as Kyrie Irving is

0:12:41.200 --> 0:12:44.280
<v Speaker 5>now being seen as unvaccinated? Right and and do other

0:12:44.320 --> 0:12:46.640
<v Speaker 5>states start trying to step up and impose these same

0:12:47.080 --> 0:12:48.880
<v Speaker 5>types of rules that we've seen at in New York,

0:12:49.760 --> 0:12:54.559
<v Speaker 5>California up here in Canada. It's it's going to be

0:12:55.440 --> 0:12:59.959
<v Speaker 5>very interesting to see how Vegas continues dealing with them.

0:13:00.400 --> 0:13:02.720
<v Speaker 2>Last time we talked this is this was your quote

0:13:02.800 --> 0:13:08.120
<v Speaker 2>about Vegas. Vegas prize themselves on having inside information and

0:13:08.160 --> 0:13:10.840
<v Speaker 2>being one step ahead of the public, but a lot

0:13:10.840 --> 0:13:13.960
<v Speaker 2>of this stuff they're going at the same speed as

0:13:14.040 --> 0:13:16.760
<v Speaker 2>the public, and there was such a lot of uncertainty

0:13:16.880 --> 0:13:17.920
<v Speaker 2>from the sportsbooks.

0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:20.559
<v Speaker 3>Do you think what it's like a couple of.

0:13:20.520 --> 0:13:23.800
<v Speaker 2>Months into the season now thirty plus games, almost forty

0:13:24.480 --> 0:13:28.240
<v Speaker 2>many like different variations with guys coming into these ten

0:13:28.320 --> 0:13:33.520
<v Speaker 2>day hardships and like lines swinging huge amounts last minute scratches.

0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:36.120
<v Speaker 2>Do you think that Vegas has gotten better at dealing

0:13:36.480 --> 0:13:38.600
<v Speaker 2>with NBA lines this year.

0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:44.680
<v Speaker 5>I personally believe they have from what I have experienced

0:13:44.720 --> 0:13:48.880
<v Speaker 5>here just watching you know, the last couple of months there.

0:13:49.440 --> 0:13:51.439
<v Speaker 5>You know, it seems like they've just got people with

0:13:51.480 --> 0:13:54.720
<v Speaker 5>their finger on the trigger ready to just pull games

0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:57.800
<v Speaker 5>off the board, right that like the moment there's any

0:13:57.840 --> 0:14:01.400
<v Speaker 5>sort of doubt over anything, instead of trying to quickly

0:14:01.520 --> 0:14:04.240
<v Speaker 5>you know, adjust a line, you know, move a total

0:14:04.440 --> 0:14:07.880
<v Speaker 5>anything like that, it's just gone off the board. Let's

0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:11.680
<v Speaker 5>sit down, let's talk about it before we reopen this

0:14:11.800 --> 0:14:15.679
<v Speaker 5>line and potentially, you know, expose themselves with a bad

0:14:15.760 --> 0:14:20.720
<v Speaker 5>line to you know, any sort of yeah, potential money exposures.

0:14:20.800 --> 0:14:20.960
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:14:21.360 --> 0:14:25.680
<v Speaker 2>We also talked about how Vegas doesn't need to break

0:14:25.720 --> 0:14:28.720
<v Speaker 2>COVID news, but they just need to read the public.

0:14:29.600 --> 0:14:32.400
<v Speaker 2>How well do you think they've done at reading the

0:14:32.440 --> 0:14:34.920
<v Speaker 2>public this year as it concerns the NBA.

0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:38.760
<v Speaker 5>So, you know what, there was a great example last

0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:41.920
<v Speaker 5>night actually in this Nets game where I.

0:14:41.840 --> 0:14:44.360
<v Speaker 6>Can't believe they weren't more prepared for this.

0:14:46.840 --> 0:14:49.840
<v Speaker 5>You know, the line in this Nets Pacers game, the

0:14:50.160 --> 0:14:52.640
<v Speaker 5>total opened up at about two eighteen or so to

0:14:52.760 --> 0:14:56.600
<v Speaker 5>eighteen and a half, depending where you looked, and I

0:14:56.600 --> 0:15:00.320
<v Speaker 5>mean it seemed like it was, you know, a pretty

0:15:00.320 --> 0:15:04.680
<v Speaker 5>popular opinion that Kyrie's back, We're gonna get more points.

0:15:05.080 --> 0:15:06.880
<v Speaker 6>Everybody just bet the hell.

0:15:06.760 --> 0:15:09.800
<v Speaker 5>Out of the over, you know, And they did, and

0:15:10.120 --> 0:15:12.400
<v Speaker 5>the line went all the way up to two twenty

0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:14.600
<v Speaker 5>five at one point before it kind of settled back

0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:16.000
<v Speaker 5>down to.

0:15:15.480 --> 0:15:16.360
<v Speaker 6>Two twenty four.

0:15:16.440 --> 0:15:20.040
<v Speaker 5>But they just exposed themselves to a pretty big window

0:15:20.120 --> 0:15:21.520
<v Speaker 5>for people to middle them right.

0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:24.120
<v Speaker 6>And I was amazed to see that.

0:15:24.520 --> 0:15:27.800
<v Speaker 5>I suspected last night that we would be facing a

0:15:27.880 --> 0:15:31.320
<v Speaker 5>bit of a sharp versus square game where you'd see,

0:15:31.440 --> 0:15:33.880
<v Speaker 5>you know, the majority of the public money all on

0:15:33.960 --> 0:15:37.560
<v Speaker 5>Brooklyn and you'd have these sharps just kind of come

0:15:37.600 --> 0:15:40.280
<v Speaker 5>in late pick off the plus eight and a half

0:15:40.360 --> 0:15:44.200
<v Speaker 5>plus nine lines, which admittedly I was, you know, I'm

0:15:44.200 --> 0:15:47.360
<v Speaker 5>no sharp myself, but I found myself on that side

0:15:47.440 --> 0:15:49.880
<v Speaker 5>last you know, last night, I picked off them at

0:15:49.880 --> 0:15:52.120
<v Speaker 5>at eight and a half. Thank you for that layup

0:15:52.160 --> 0:15:55.960
<v Speaker 5>with three seconds left to go. Appreciate that one. But

0:15:56.920 --> 0:15:59.440
<v Speaker 5>they you know what I've been I've been surprised by

0:15:59.480 --> 0:16:03.320
<v Speaker 5>some of the risks this year that they have, you know,

0:16:03.360 --> 0:16:06.800
<v Speaker 5>created these liabilities for themselves. Now, you know, don't get

0:16:06.800 --> 0:16:09.560
<v Speaker 5>me wrong when when they're pulling in the handles they

0:16:09.560 --> 0:16:13.160
<v Speaker 5>are and the you know, the whole, the whole percentage

0:16:13.200 --> 0:16:15.080
<v Speaker 5>that they have. I mean, you've got some room to

0:16:15.120 --> 0:16:17.240
<v Speaker 5>play with. So I don't think any of these sports

0:16:17.240 --> 0:16:21.040
<v Speaker 5>books are by any means going broke. They're they're doing

0:16:21.200 --> 0:16:25.160
<v Speaker 5>just fine. So, you know, little losses here and there.

0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:26.520
<v Speaker 5>I guess they're willing to just put up with.

0:16:26.640 --> 0:16:29.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's interesting, especially I guess if it drives engagement

0:16:29.440 --> 0:16:32.480
<v Speaker 2>on a really heavily like marketed game too, right, like

0:16:32.520 --> 0:16:35.640
<v Speaker 2>people jumping all over a line. Yeah, that was a

0:16:35.720 --> 0:16:38.040
<v Speaker 2>shaky line, like that felt fishy.

0:16:38.280 --> 0:16:40.720
<v Speaker 3>It started at what it opened at seven seven and

0:16:40.720 --> 0:16:41.120
<v Speaker 3>a half.

0:16:42.240 --> 0:16:46.000
<v Speaker 5>I saw six and a half, actually as low as

0:16:46.000 --> 0:16:49.400
<v Speaker 5>six and a half, which I felt like that was Honestly,

0:16:49.560 --> 0:16:53.000
<v Speaker 5>I felt that was probably a decent line based off

0:16:53.040 --> 0:16:53.520
<v Speaker 5>of my own.

0:16:53.680 --> 0:16:54.840
<v Speaker 6>This is just my opinion that.

0:16:54.880 --> 0:16:58.200
<v Speaker 5>I figured Kyrie would you know, kind of harm the

0:16:58.280 --> 0:16:59.280
<v Speaker 5>chemistry a little bit?

0:16:59.440 --> 0:17:02.240
<v Speaker 6>Might might not? You know, have his legs underneath them

0:17:02.280 --> 0:17:02.680
<v Speaker 6>right away?

0:17:02.720 --> 0:17:08.240
<v Speaker 5>First game back in a while, but I it was, yeah,

0:17:08.280 --> 0:17:11.480
<v Speaker 5>so you know, every dog has its day, right, that

0:17:11.560 --> 0:17:12.400
<v Speaker 5>was mine last night?

0:17:13.720 --> 0:17:15.280
<v Speaker 6>I yeah, wild.

0:17:15.400 --> 0:17:19.479
<v Speaker 2>Do you think omicron has changed your opinion about the

0:17:19.600 --> 0:17:24.879
<v Speaker 2>value of watching NBA opening lines, like with all the

0:17:25.280 --> 0:17:29.240
<v Speaker 2>uncertainty about how these things change, like you'll see lines

0:17:29.640 --> 0:17:31.000
<v Speaker 2>from the night before.

0:17:32.359 --> 0:17:34.720
<v Speaker 3>To the to tip off ten.

0:17:34.560 --> 0:17:37.240
<v Speaker 2>Point swing sometimes like do you feel like it's more

0:17:37.320 --> 0:17:41.120
<v Speaker 2>important now than ever to kind of assess what games?

0:17:41.359 --> 0:17:43.399
<v Speaker 3>And like I now have the NBA.

0:17:43.240 --> 0:17:46.720
<v Speaker 2>Injury report list bookmarked on my laptop every thirty minutes

0:17:46.800 --> 0:17:50.080
<v Speaker 2>i'm watching. So is there now like more importance than

0:17:50.119 --> 0:17:52.480
<v Speaker 2>ever to kind of like not only look at the

0:17:52.560 --> 0:17:55.400
<v Speaker 2>opening lines, but maybe punt all the way until tip off?

0:17:56.960 --> 0:18:00.280
<v Speaker 5>I I yeah, absolutely, Now, I'm I am someone who's

0:18:00.280 --> 0:18:03.920
<v Speaker 5>always been a you know, very big on opening lines.

0:18:03.960 --> 0:18:06.360
<v Speaker 5>I I do believe that, you know, before the public

0:18:06.560 --> 0:18:09.320
<v Speaker 5>touches them. You know, books have bad.

0:18:09.160 --> 0:18:12.520
<v Speaker 6>Lines sometimes, right, and and there are some some.

0:18:12.480 --> 0:18:15.280
<v Speaker 5>Very good betters out there that you know, expose those

0:18:15.320 --> 0:18:17.760
<v Speaker 5>lines and and informed the public of them, and then

0:18:17.960 --> 0:18:21.280
<v Speaker 5>you know that's it's no longer a bad line, you know,

0:18:21.359 --> 0:18:24.720
<v Speaker 5>speaking to to NFL just really quickly here, I know

0:18:24.760 --> 0:18:26.760
<v Speaker 5>we're we're talking NBA, but I mean it's been the

0:18:26.760 --> 0:18:29.240
<v Speaker 5>same thing in NFL where I've I've picked off what

0:18:29.359 --> 0:18:32.360
<v Speaker 5>I thought were terrible lines. Uh, you know, first thing

0:18:32.440 --> 0:18:36.159
<v Speaker 5>Sunday night when they open, only for Wednesday to roll around,

0:18:36.200 --> 0:18:38.320
<v Speaker 5>and all of a sudden, this player, this player, and

0:18:38.359 --> 0:18:41.040
<v Speaker 5>this player have been ruled out with COVID. Okay, well,

0:18:41.320 --> 0:18:43.080
<v Speaker 5>you know I'm not sitting on a good line anymore,

0:18:43.160 --> 0:18:45.880
<v Speaker 5>right So, it's it's been the same with NBA. It's

0:18:45.920 --> 0:18:49.520
<v Speaker 5>it's you know, everyone, you kind of have to change

0:18:49.600 --> 0:18:52.679
<v Speaker 5>some of your betting habits right now, right where, you know,

0:18:52.760 --> 0:18:55.920
<v Speaker 5>not permanently, but at least temporarily during this this time

0:18:55.920 --> 0:18:59.520
<v Speaker 5>of uncertainty where I would have a really hard time

0:18:59.560 --> 0:19:02.479
<v Speaker 5>placing it significant wager on an opening line right now.

0:19:02.560 --> 0:19:03.400
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's interesting.

0:19:03.480 --> 0:19:06.879
<v Speaker 2>I think early on in the day yesterday, the Milwaukee

0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:11.800
<v Speaker 2>Bucks were ten point favorites over the.

0:19:10.560 --> 0:19:12.480
<v Speaker 3>Goodness gracious Detroit Pistons.

0:19:12.520 --> 0:19:16.000
<v Speaker 2>I want to say, somebody trash and I forget who

0:19:16.040 --> 0:19:20.440
<v Speaker 2>it was. And I took Milwaukee minus four and a

0:19:20.520 --> 0:19:24.680
<v Speaker 2>half first half, and I'm thinking to myself, this is great,

0:19:24.840 --> 0:19:26.919
<v Speaker 2>like I'll take this, and then all of a sudden,

0:19:27.000 --> 0:19:29.600
<v Speaker 2>Yannis gets called out for a non COVID related injury

0:19:29.960 --> 0:19:33.800
<v Speaker 2>and our illness, and now not only has the line changed,

0:19:33.840 --> 0:19:36.399
<v Speaker 2>it's flipped. Like now I have to just kind of

0:19:36.440 --> 0:19:41.080
<v Speaker 2>sit there and wait in those situations first and foremost,

0:19:41.160 --> 0:19:43.199
<v Speaker 2>they then became dogs, and then they they were like

0:19:43.240 --> 0:19:45.040
<v Speaker 2>three and a half point favorites for the full game,

0:19:45.080 --> 0:19:49.480
<v Speaker 2>and then they became full dogs in those situations. What's

0:19:49.480 --> 0:19:52.000
<v Speaker 2>your best advice? I sat there and ate it. I

0:19:52.560 --> 0:19:55.680
<v Speaker 2>still ended up winning the full that first half spread,

0:19:56.119 --> 0:19:58.200
<v Speaker 2>but it didn't feel good, didn't feel comfortable, and I

0:19:58.320 --> 0:20:00.679
<v Speaker 2>kind of like my initial instinct was like to just

0:20:00.760 --> 0:20:01.840
<v Speaker 2>go and try to hedge.

0:20:03.280 --> 0:20:04.000
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:20:04.160 --> 0:20:07.200
<v Speaker 5>Now, first of all, I think this trash team that

0:20:07.240 --> 0:20:09.600
<v Speaker 5>you mentioned was my Toronto rapt That's what it was.

0:20:09.640 --> 0:20:12.200
<v Speaker 3>It was the Raptors. Ye. Actually, you guys are playing

0:20:12.240 --> 0:20:14.000
<v Speaker 3>a lot better right now. You guys are.

0:20:13.880 --> 0:20:15.159
<v Speaker 6>Playing a lot thank you.

0:20:15.240 --> 0:20:18.200
<v Speaker 5>That's that's very nice of you to say, we're finally healthy. Now,

0:20:18.280 --> 0:20:21.399
<v Speaker 5>finally got all all of our players on the floor.

0:20:22.560 --> 0:20:25.560
<v Speaker 6>That's okay. So it was my wrap.

0:20:25.640 --> 0:20:29.480
<v Speaker 5>Now, I mean this is very situationally based, right, but

0:20:30.880 --> 0:20:31.240
<v Speaker 5>it is.

0:20:31.280 --> 0:20:32.840
<v Speaker 6>It is tough, and it's it can.

0:20:32.760 --> 0:20:36.520
<v Speaker 5>Be extremely difficult to try to find that hedge on it, right,

0:20:39.960 --> 0:20:42.080
<v Speaker 5>It's it's so situational. I don't want to give any

0:20:42.080 --> 0:20:44.840
<v Speaker 5>advice to say this is what you always do. I

0:20:45.040 --> 0:20:46.800
<v Speaker 5>think a lot of the time you just you have

0:20:46.840 --> 0:20:49.119
<v Speaker 5>to eat it. And and and this is kind of

0:20:49.160 --> 0:20:51.560
<v Speaker 5>what I was just saying, where I I haven't been

0:20:51.600 --> 0:20:54.960
<v Speaker 5>making any significant bets on the NBA, on any early

0:20:55.040 --> 0:20:57.720
<v Speaker 5>lines in the NBA this year for for this exact reason.

0:20:58.880 --> 0:21:01.320
<v Speaker 5>You know, I still haven't necessarily learned my lesson with NFL.

0:21:03.200 --> 0:21:05.920
<v Speaker 5>I'm still trying to pick off some of those early lines.

0:21:06.560 --> 0:21:10.879
<v Speaker 5>But if there's a hedge opportunity, you take it. Otherwise,

0:21:11.400 --> 0:21:13.720
<v Speaker 5>if it's not obvious, you know, I think you do

0:21:13.920 --> 0:21:14.640
<v Speaker 5>just have to eat it.

0:21:15.000 --> 0:21:16.280
<v Speaker 3>Do you think, Matt.

0:21:17.040 --> 0:21:19.879
<v Speaker 2>Finally, you know, we've talked about a lot of scenarios

0:21:19.880 --> 0:21:22.760
<v Speaker 2>and eventualities, and I spoke with Jake Fisher from the

0:21:22.800 --> 0:21:25.080
<v Speaker 2>Bleacher Report today and he says that the NBA is

0:21:25.280 --> 0:21:29.120
<v Speaker 2>in contact with immunal virologists every day and they believe

0:21:29.200 --> 0:21:29.600
<v Speaker 2>that the.

0:21:29.520 --> 0:21:32.000
<v Speaker 3>Worst of all of this is over.

0:21:32.720 --> 0:21:35.200
<v Speaker 2>I think that's a little optimistic, given what you said

0:21:35.200 --> 0:21:37.640
<v Speaker 2>about all the new variants that may come and probably

0:21:37.680 --> 0:21:41.960
<v Speaker 2>will come, and then how that ends up affecting Okay, well,

0:21:42.440 --> 0:21:46.480
<v Speaker 2>you allow non vaccinated players or even vaccinated players to

0:21:46.520 --> 0:21:49.640
<v Speaker 2>not be tested for COVID, so they could end up

0:21:49.960 --> 0:21:55.280
<v Speaker 2>playing with COVID spreading, said COVID and infecting possibly the

0:21:55.280 --> 0:21:59.720
<v Speaker 2>fans right there in the stands. Is Vegas prepared for

0:22:00.080 --> 0:22:04.080
<v Speaker 2>the eventuality, including maybe a surge in places that make

0:22:04.119 --> 0:22:06.959
<v Speaker 2>fans in attendance impossible kind of like Toronto is right

0:22:07.000 --> 0:22:08.000
<v Speaker 2>now due to lockdown.

0:22:10.119 --> 0:22:12.840
<v Speaker 5>So are they prepared as in like their lines, like,

0:22:12.880 --> 0:22:14.880
<v Speaker 5>are they ready to kind of alter lines based off

0:22:14.920 --> 0:22:18.200
<v Speaker 5>of yeah? So you know, we we I think they've

0:22:18.200 --> 0:22:23.600
<v Speaker 5>they've experienced enough games now with and without fans. You

0:22:23.600 --> 0:22:26.280
<v Speaker 5>know that that entire NBA Playoffs that was played in

0:22:26.280 --> 0:22:29.520
<v Speaker 5>the bubble there, right, I mean that was that was

0:22:29.560 --> 0:22:32.280
<v Speaker 5>really something else. So they've they've at least, you know,

0:22:32.440 --> 0:22:36.480
<v Speaker 5>got a bit of a playbook. Here should understand at

0:22:36.480 --> 0:22:40.119
<v Speaker 5>this point, which home crowds are really giving, you know,

0:22:40.200 --> 0:22:42.560
<v Speaker 5>that boost to the team. What are they worth? Is

0:22:42.600 --> 0:22:46.000
<v Speaker 5>it somewhere between one too? You know, I mean zero

0:22:46.200 --> 0:22:48.280
<v Speaker 5>to you know three points ish?

0:22:48.359 --> 0:22:49.960
<v Speaker 6>Right? Where's where's that range?

0:22:50.480 --> 0:22:54.520
<v Speaker 5>So I do believe they are ready to deal with that.

0:22:54.440 --> 0:22:56.200
<v Speaker 6>They have the data anyways.

0:22:56.680 --> 0:22:59.240
<v Speaker 5>But again, you know, as I kind of said last time,

0:22:59.240 --> 0:23:02.600
<v Speaker 5>and you quote me again here, just read the public, right,

0:23:02.680 --> 0:23:04.960
<v Speaker 5>and and that's that's really all they have to do.

0:23:05.760 --> 0:23:09.720
<v Speaker 5>So it's opening a line and having somebody there ready

0:23:09.760 --> 0:23:12.800
<v Speaker 5>to to you know, respond with either whether that's a

0:23:12.800 --> 0:23:16.560
<v Speaker 5>line you know, quick line shift or you know, pull

0:23:16.600 --> 0:23:19.120
<v Speaker 5>the game off the board for a minute and and

0:23:19.640 --> 0:23:21.960
<v Speaker 5>you know, think about what what has just happened here? Right,

0:23:22.080 --> 0:23:24.120
<v Speaker 5>So I think they should be prepared.

0:23:23.760 --> 0:23:24.600
<v Speaker 3>For that quick add on.

0:23:24.640 --> 0:23:27.280
<v Speaker 2>I didn't think about until just now when you were

0:23:27.320 --> 0:23:30.119
<v Speaker 2>talking about how they adjust for home court advantage or

0:23:30.160 --> 0:23:33.600
<v Speaker 2>the absence of if you know, I don't know if

0:23:33.640 --> 0:23:37.160
<v Speaker 2>you do. Like Toronto's famous for their home court advantage,

0:23:37.280 --> 0:23:40.119
<v Speaker 2>like that is one of the most electric places to

0:23:40.240 --> 0:23:40.880
<v Speaker 2>watch a game.

0:23:40.960 --> 0:23:42.080
<v Speaker 3>I watched the finals there.

0:23:42.119 --> 0:23:45.360
<v Speaker 2>The home crowds crazy, the fans outside the stadium crazy,

0:23:45.560 --> 0:23:47.800
<v Speaker 2>adds like a level of atmosphere that I think really

0:23:47.920 --> 0:23:50.400
<v Speaker 2>is meaningful. So like without fans for the Raptors, it's

0:23:50.480 --> 0:23:54.760
<v Speaker 2>it's a meaningful difference, Like what who's the I guess

0:23:54.760 --> 0:23:56.520
<v Speaker 2>can you give kind of like a somewhat of a

0:23:56.600 --> 0:24:00.240
<v Speaker 2>ranking between like the zero in terms of home court

0:24:00.240 --> 0:24:01.600
<v Speaker 2>advantage and like the three.

0:24:03.560 --> 0:24:09.320
<v Speaker 5>So you know, sadly, I do believe for the for

0:24:09.359 --> 0:24:12.680
<v Speaker 5>the most part, this comes down to star teams, right,

0:24:12.760 --> 0:24:16.120
<v Speaker 5>which that teams that have star players that are putting

0:24:16.320 --> 0:24:19.160
<v Speaker 5>fans in the stands, right that's those are the teams

0:24:19.160 --> 0:24:22.040
<v Speaker 5>that you're gonna find near the top here. Then you

0:24:22.400 --> 0:24:24.960
<v Speaker 5>do have your other teams, you know, like Toronto, like

0:24:25.000 --> 0:24:27.639
<v Speaker 5>you've said where I mean it's a very passionate fan base,

0:24:28.800 --> 0:24:32.880
<v Speaker 5>don't have necessarily that that one superstar on the team.

0:24:32.920 --> 0:24:35.400
<v Speaker 5>Fingers crossed for Scottie Barnes here. I really think he's

0:24:35.440 --> 0:24:39.680
<v Speaker 5>gonna be a player. But you know, it's it's it's Toronto,

0:24:39.920 --> 0:24:43.200
<v Speaker 5>It's Golden State. You know, they were they've always kind

0:24:43.200 --> 0:24:46.000
<v Speaker 5>of been known down the Oracle days right where where

0:24:46.000 --> 0:24:51.359
<v Speaker 5>that was a very loud, rowdy stadium. But it's you know,

0:24:51.359 --> 0:24:52.680
<v Speaker 5>on top of that, it's gonna be it's gonna be

0:24:52.680 --> 0:24:55.840
<v Speaker 5>the Lakers, it's gonna be the Nets, it's gonna be

0:24:55.840 --> 0:24:57.360
<v Speaker 5>everyone that has these star players.

0:24:57.359 --> 0:24:58.159
<v Speaker 6>The zeros are.

0:24:58.040 --> 0:25:01.520
<v Speaker 5>Gonna be the teams that don't and and just struggle

0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:02.920
<v Speaker 5>to fill that that stadium.

0:25:03.080 --> 0:25:03.280
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:25:04.119 --> 0:25:07.240
<v Speaker 5>So that's you know that that's going to be essentially

0:25:07.280 --> 0:25:10.600
<v Speaker 5>you're your ranking look for the star players. Thanks Toronto

0:25:10.640 --> 0:25:12.080
<v Speaker 5>being I think the one.

0:25:11.920 --> 0:25:14.080
<v Speaker 3>Exception in that circumstance.

0:25:15.000 --> 0:25:17.879
<v Speaker 2>Now you in from Sports Betting Dime, thank you for

0:25:17.960 --> 0:25:22.240
<v Speaker 2>joining us. You can find him on Twitter at s

0:25:22.480 --> 0:25:26.480
<v Speaker 2>b d underscore Matt, editor in chief of The Sports

0:25:26.480 --> 0:25:29.040
<v Speaker 2>Betting Dime, thank you so much for joining us.

0:25:29.040 --> 0:25:31.040
<v Speaker 3>I'm sure we'll do it again soon. I'm sure there'll

0:25:31.080 --> 0:25:31.800
<v Speaker 3>be more to come.

0:25:32.880 --> 0:25:35.040
<v Speaker 6>Thanks for having Trista. I always appreciate it. Look forward

0:25:35.040 --> 0:25:35.480
<v Speaker 6>to the next time.

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<v Speaker 2>Ey