1 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:12,480 Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast part of the Volume 2 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:16,360 Speaker 1: Podcast Network. I am Chad Mellman of the Action Network. 3 00:00:16,400 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: Today I'm joined as always by my co host, my companion, 4 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 1: Mike cam Padre, my BFF professional better Simon Hunter. Hello, 5 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:26,439 Speaker 1: So I'm in Chad. 6 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:28,160 Speaker 2: How we doing. We had a. 7 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: Great time with Warren on Tuesday. We went through potential 8 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: changes to playoff seedings. We went through tush push, We 9 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 1: went through the benefits of rest advantage, both from a 10 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:42,200 Speaker 1: betting point of view and from a one loss point 11 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 1: of view. But we dug very, very deep into the 12 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:48,600 Speaker 1: teams in this upcoming season that are getting the best 13 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 1: of the rest advantage and how that's indicating which teams 14 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: we might like the most when it comes to winning division, 15 00:00:56,720 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 1: win totals, futures, odds, et cetera. Again, a little bit 16 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:03,000 Speaker 1: deeper with our friend Warrensharp. 17 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:09,679 Speaker 3: Cisco. 18 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: Warren, you brought up the Niners and brock Perty just 19 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 1: signed this contract for fifty three million dollars a year. 20 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 1: And the Niners historically have been successful because they've generally 21 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 1: kept their costs under control, and they've kept their quarterback 22 00:01:24,560 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 1: costs under control. Specifically, while this is an outsized contract. 23 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:34,240 Speaker 1: It's not like a break the bank for a quarterback 24 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:37,920 Speaker 1: contract this year when you look at the Niners from 25 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 1: a rest advantage, and we've not We've said earlier they've 26 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 1: been getting screwed on rest advantages for the past three years, 27 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:45,960 Speaker 1: and I do think it really came back to haunt 28 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 1: them last year with players going down again and again 29 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 1: and again and again. You look at the Niners, how 30 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: do you position them in terms of rest Because Simon 31 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 1: and I have talked a lot about the Niners as 32 00:01:57,720 --> 00:01:59,920 Speaker 1: being a team that we like as a futures beat. 33 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 3: Yeah. So the other thing too, You mentioned all those 34 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 3: players going down. The one guy who should have probably 35 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 3: gone down but didn't is a dog Fred Warner who 36 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 3: broke his ankle in Week four and played one hundred 37 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:15,679 Speaker 3: percent of the snaps the next seven straight games, did 38 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:17,520 Speaker 3: not miss a game for the rest of the season, 39 00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 3: even though the Niners only won six games that were 40 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 3: eliminated from the playoffs. So if he with his and 41 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:24,919 Speaker 3: by the way, makes the Pro Bowl again. 42 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: And just signed a contract to make him the highest 43 00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:28,200 Speaker 1: paid linebacker. 44 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 3: Well deserved, I mean, and but but to your point, 45 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 3: where is all the money coming from and the forty 46 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 3: nine Ers are one of those teams that's very top heavy. 47 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 3: They have a lot of obous, say a lot. They 48 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 3: have more studs than many teams do, and they're paying 49 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 3: those studs what they deserve. So then they're going to 50 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 3: have to get by with better players that are playing 51 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 3: on their rookie deals to try to get a fifty 52 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 3: three man roster that is talented enough top to bottom 53 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:58,080 Speaker 3: that can withstand the rigors of an NFL season and 54 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:02,079 Speaker 3: produce success. The Niners have been generally solid when their 55 00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 3: guys are out on the field together, but I think 56 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:06,880 Speaker 3: last season when you're talking about like a Yuk and 57 00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:10,080 Speaker 3: Debo and CMC and Kittle, those guys were on the 58 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 3: field with Brock Perdy, I want to say less than 59 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:15,079 Speaker 3: forty snaps or something because of all of those injuries. 60 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:17,680 Speaker 3: And so when they're missing guys, that's when it becomes 61 00:03:17,720 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 3: more difficult for Kyle Shanahan to elevate the rest of 62 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:23,800 Speaker 3: the players. And it makes a lot of sense. Kyle 63 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 3: is such a genius when it comes to designing offense, 64 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:31,400 Speaker 3: but he he's taking advantage. He's building everything into I've 65 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:33,360 Speaker 3: got CMC here, here's all the things I can do 66 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 3: with CMC. Let's design unique things for CMC plus Kittle 67 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 3: over here, and we're going to work off of this. 68 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 3: We're going to use play action, whatever the case might be. 69 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 3: And then when those guys aren't there and the players 70 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:45,720 Speaker 3: that are replacing them don't have the same level of 71 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:50,360 Speaker 3: skill set, Kyle's working much many more steps behind than 72 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 3: most other offenses are able to because they don't have 73 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 3: such unique game plans designed to such unique talented players. 74 00:03:57,360 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 3: I mean Kyle Uschek and George Kittle, two of the 75 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 3: most unique players at their positions in the NFL that 76 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 3: can do so much. The Niners. Number one, we start 77 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 3: with something that doesn't even involve rest, and that's just 78 00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:11,360 Speaker 3: their general schedule. They play the easiest schedule of any 79 00:04:11,360 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 3: team in the NFL because they had that rare horrible 80 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:18,040 Speaker 3: season from a records perspective, they haven't played a schedule 81 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:20,360 Speaker 3: like this in a while. You know, they haven't had 82 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 3: a year where they've won only six games in a while. 83 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 3: This is a team that's going to the NFC Championship 84 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:28,960 Speaker 3: more often than they're having a losing record. So this 85 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:32,680 Speaker 3: team has been successful. Now they get an easy schedule. 86 00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 3: Now they're rest schedule. I've got them as the fourth 87 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 3: easiest net rest edge schedule of any team this year. 88 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:42,680 Speaker 3: And if I look at some of the details here 89 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 3: on the Niners, I rank them fifth best in total 90 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:48,039 Speaker 3: netrest edge. They don't have any massive edges, but they 91 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 3: do play four games with more rest than their opponent, 92 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 3: only two games with less rest than their opponent. And 93 00:04:55,640 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 3: to Simon's point, and if you guys are on board 94 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 3: with the forty nine, if they get their main players healthy, 95 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:06,200 Speaker 3: this team is a solid team. Everybody loves to hate 96 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:08,680 Speaker 3: Kyle shaneon but the key to me is this, and 97 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:12,080 Speaker 3: I said this before the draft. If they continue to 98 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:15,559 Speaker 3: botch their drafts, which they've done a little bit more 99 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,720 Speaker 3: than I think forty nine Ers fans would like, that 100 00:05:18,880 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 3: is why their team isn't getting over the hump. In 101 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:24,440 Speaker 3: my opinion, they need to hit. They needed to hit 102 00:05:24,520 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 3: as a secret team that I felt really needed to 103 00:05:26,760 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 3: hit in this year's draft to then be able to 104 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:32,720 Speaker 3: provide that lower end talent that's going to need to 105 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:35,719 Speaker 3: play some snaps when they're paying all those bigger named guys. 106 00:05:36,000 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 3: So I've got higher expectations than most, I think for 107 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 3: the San Francisco forty nine ers because of their rest schedule, 108 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 3: because of the strength of their schedule. But they're going 109 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:47,119 Speaker 3: to need this draft class to impact their twenty twenty 110 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:49,600 Speaker 3: five season if they're going to get to where they 111 00:05:49,640 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 3: need to get. I feel like paying brock Party is 112 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:55,360 Speaker 3: fine because of what he has been able to deliver 113 00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:58,599 Speaker 3: and how well he fits. He's obviously atypical. He's not 114 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:01,839 Speaker 3: a prototypical quarterback. You know, he doesn't have the size 115 00:06:01,880 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 3: and the stature back in the pocket. So people are 116 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:06,240 Speaker 3: going to say, well, this guy's not worth it. But 117 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 3: for Kyle Shanahan, he's worth it. And so in this 118 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 3: offense with Kyle, I'm fine with paying brock Party. You 119 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:16,240 Speaker 3: just have to build up that bottom end of the roster. 120 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 1: Simon. Now that we've seen the schedule, who you're playing, 121 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:23,360 Speaker 1: we've seen the win totals. We were talking a lot 122 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:26,159 Speaker 1: about the Niners before we saw any of this. It 123 00:06:26,240 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 1: was sort of based on their team being bad last 124 00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 1: year and getting healthy and what their odds were. Has 125 00:06:31,160 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 1: your opinion changed or is it strengthened. What's your status 126 00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 1: right now with the Niners. 127 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 4: Definitely strengthened because it was what we already knew. The 128 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:39,280 Speaker 4: teams that were gonna play. We just need how they 129 00:06:39,320 --> 00:06:40,600 Speaker 4: were going to lay the schedule off for them. And 130 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 4: then once you see the schedule, like Warren't talked about it, 131 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 4: it's like the dream. Them and the Bills, to me 132 00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 4: are two teams that really jumped out where the schedule 133 00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 4: really worked. 134 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:48,920 Speaker 2: In their favor. 135 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 4: And in the sense that this forty nine Ers team 136 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 4: we talked about, and Warren just alluded to it, that 137 00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 4: they needed to hit in these drafts because they've had 138 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:58,960 Speaker 4: to pay all these big time players and they're having 139 00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:01,160 Speaker 4: to make it all work chat and this this to 140 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:03,960 Speaker 4: me feels like a really tight window here, because we 141 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 4: could either see them be a really good team this 142 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:09,160 Speaker 4: season or one or two more key injuries away key 143 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:11,680 Speaker 4: positions and then it all falls apart, right because they 144 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 4: have not drafted well. And you know, we've seen teams 145 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 4: like Detroit, Philadelphia, like these other teams in their conference 146 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 4: that have drafted well right, hitting on big time rookies 147 00:07:21,600 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 4: that have progressed into year two, and that's something that's 148 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 4: been lacking a little bit with that forty Niners team. 149 00:07:26,440 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 4: So to me, Payne Party, we knew it was coming. 150 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 4: The way the schedule broke all of it. It's just 151 00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 4: lined up for this team. Like if McCaffrey's right, you 152 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:37,840 Speaker 4: know you got solid back coach in that defense. Like 153 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,679 Speaker 4: it feels like it's all lined up for this team. 154 00:07:40,720 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 4: And we know the Rams historically get off slow, so 155 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 4: it's gonna be all lined up for them, like get 156 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:48,200 Speaker 4: out to a fast start, stay healthy. 157 00:07:48,520 --> 00:07:49,920 Speaker 2: I mean, this is easy to be a team that 158 00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:50,760 Speaker 2: can make another run. 159 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:52,560 Speaker 4: And that's why, I mean you talked about them before 160 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:54,960 Speaker 4: the season started, just they fit the exact same build 161 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 4: the Eagles fit the year before the year from hell 162 00:07:58,080 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 4: tons of doubt from the public perception, and we took 163 00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 4: the early value. The number already moved up, so we 164 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:05,720 Speaker 4: got good value on that number wed better early. Now 165 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 4: everything Warren's telling me, it's making me feel good where 166 00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 4: it's like I want to hear other people saying they 167 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:12,000 Speaker 4: have the same view as I do, which is grading 168 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 4: them out as a very easy schedule. 169 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 1: Do you have the latest number on the Niners Super 170 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:22,000 Speaker 1: Bowl odds? Well, I asked my next question, see if 171 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:23,360 Speaker 1: you guys can look it up or if someone like 172 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 1: that can tell me what it is. 173 00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 4: So they're basically when we opened it up Chad, what'd 174 00:08:31,040 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 4: you think we got it? 175 00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:32,600 Speaker 2: Was it twenty to one? 176 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 1: I think it was twenty to one, so that's what. 177 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:36,920 Speaker 4: I think we originally got a twenty to one. I'm 178 00:08:36,920 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 4: seeing most books now fifteen sixteen to one, so again 179 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:42,320 Speaker 4: not being crazy, but still that's what we do it for. 180 00:08:42,480 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 4: Like that, plus four ngers are really nice something to 181 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:45,520 Speaker 4: hold on to. 182 00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:48,719 Speaker 1: I would not be afraid to still bet them at 183 00:08:48,720 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 1: fifteen or sixteen to one. 184 00:08:50,200 --> 00:08:51,439 Speaker 2: That's fair and I would not. 185 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:55,160 Speaker 1: Be surprised if come the start of the regular season. 186 00:08:55,920 --> 00:08:58,280 Speaker 1: You know, I love to do that round robin of 187 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:01,720 Speaker 1: the teams that are are I think twelve to one 188 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:06,520 Speaker 1: or less. I bet the Niners. As the season goes 189 00:09:06,559 --> 00:09:08,720 Speaker 1: on and more and more people take a bite of 190 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:12,080 Speaker 1: that fifteen to sixteen to one, especially after listening to 191 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:16,559 Speaker 1: the show, because we move numbers that it's going to 192 00:09:16,600 --> 00:09:21,199 Speaker 1: get under that twelve to one range. It'll be, you know, interestingly, 193 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:26,559 Speaker 1: I think it'll be the Lions, the Eagles, Niners, who 194 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:29,920 Speaker 1: are probably the three teams from the NFC with the 195 00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:35,440 Speaker 1: shortest odds that'll be part of that round robin. You 196 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 1: mentioned the Buffalo Bills. Buffalo Bills, the Athletic did a 197 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:45,679 Speaker 1: story about this yesterday or two days ago. There are 198 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:50,079 Speaker 1: numbers for literally spreads for every game right we saw 199 00:09:50,200 --> 00:09:52,440 Speaker 1: raybaun already put in a team total for the Eagles 200 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 1: in the first game of the year in the app. 201 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:59,120 Speaker 1: Simon and I have bet the Cowboys at plus seven 202 00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 1: and plus forty against the Eagles in the first game 203 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 1: of the year. But there are literally points spreads for 204 00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:07,839 Speaker 1: every single game, for every single week of the NFL 205 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:11,320 Speaker 1: season right now. The Buffalo Bills. The Athletic wrote about 206 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:14,360 Speaker 1: this the other day, the only team in the NFL 207 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:18,640 Speaker 1: that are favored in every single game. I put this 208 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:22,679 Speaker 1: in the Favorites podcast Slack channel last night and to 209 00:10:22,679 --> 00:10:25,400 Speaker 1: make sure Matt Mitchell was aware and he was not 210 00:10:25,520 --> 00:10:29,840 Speaker 1: in a good place with this. But Simon, you think 211 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:31,280 Speaker 1: they're worthy of that? 212 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:33,920 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, it's they're worthy of it. 213 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 4: But I mean, Warren's probably the same mindset I have 214 00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:40,320 Speaker 4: that Ravens opening week. That's a gift. You're getting Lamar 215 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:43,160 Speaker 4: as a dog. It's not the playoffs. Like the playoffs, 216 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 4: I got why the Bills had the number they had 217 00:10:44,960 --> 00:10:47,880 Speaker 4: against Lamar. This is totally different. This is Week one. 218 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:50,920 Speaker 4: Bill's historically come out slow as well, and then we've 219 00:10:50,960 --> 00:10:53,560 Speaker 4: seen it with Josh Allen that you know, he rallies 220 00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:55,800 Speaker 4: the team that carries them. We so much earlier in 221 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 4: the season when the guys are just figuring out. But 222 00:10:58,160 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 4: to me, the their schedule shots they play all the 223 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 4: big dogs. They're playing the Eagles, a team that Josh 224 00:11:03,679 --> 00:11:06,080 Speaker 4: Allen's never beat, and he's a favorite against them because 225 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 4: he is at home and he should be. It's it's 226 00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:12,040 Speaker 4: interesting for them though that you know, last year they 227 00:11:12,040 --> 00:11:13,840 Speaker 4: snuck up on us because they have seventy million in 228 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:16,200 Speaker 4: dead cap. We thought it was gonna be a rebuilding year. 229 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:19,360 Speaker 4: This year, it seems like everyone's on board. Right they're 230 00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:23,160 Speaker 4: what minus two to seventy five their division. They're big 231 00:11:23,160 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 4: time Super Bowl bet for a lot of bookmakers right now. 232 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 4: That's one of their biggest teams bet on right now 233 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:30,720 Speaker 4: by the general public. So the fact that this schedule 234 00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:33,760 Speaker 4: broke the way, did I love this for this Bills team. 235 00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:36,079 Speaker 4: So yeah, if you're if you're hedging and putting a 236 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:39,640 Speaker 4: lot of Bill's malefield, you know in your divisional parlays, 237 00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:41,679 Speaker 4: I can't hate it right now. They just seem look 238 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:44,320 Speaker 4: a team that's going to easily get to eleven twelve 239 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:45,800 Speaker 4: wins the way the schedules set up for them. 240 00:11:45,880 --> 00:11:52,480 Speaker 1: Chad, I might do a Bill's Niners' Super Bowl matchup 241 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 1: bet right now before the number on the Niners drops 242 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:01,319 Speaker 1: even more. Get better odds on that. What do you 243 00:12:01,320 --> 00:12:02,080 Speaker 1: think of that, Simon? 244 00:12:02,400 --> 00:12:02,880 Speaker 2: I love it? 245 00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 1: Thank you? I like it? What thing be? It makes 246 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 1: me feel vindicated and validated, Warren, give us your Bills 247 00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:10,959 Speaker 1: take Yeah, I. 248 00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:13,280 Speaker 3: Was going to throw in on the Buffalo Bills. You know, 249 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:15,200 Speaker 3: part of the reason that they're favorite in every single 250 00:12:15,280 --> 00:12:18,160 Speaker 3: game is their four toughest games that they play this 251 00:12:18,280 --> 00:12:21,160 Speaker 3: year are in Buffalo. So they play the Ravens, they 252 00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:23,360 Speaker 3: play the Chiefs, they play the Eagles, and they play 253 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:26,840 Speaker 3: the Bengals. Those aren't easy games, but they're all in Buffalo, 254 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 3: and so that definitely helps the Buffalo Bills. And then 255 00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:31,760 Speaker 3: if you're talking about a team that needs to exceed 256 00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:34,120 Speaker 3: their win total, obviously you want to play the toughest 257 00:12:34,160 --> 00:12:36,400 Speaker 3: games at home where you're most likely to have a 258 00:12:36,400 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 3: little bit of extra edge with your crowd. Easy games 259 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:42,520 Speaker 3: on the road are never a bad thing, and the 260 00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:46,559 Speaker 3: Buffalo Bills play the number one easiest strength of schedule 261 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:49,640 Speaker 3: of opponents on the road of this entire season. Their 262 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:52,640 Speaker 3: road schedule is the easiest, so that's a positive. The 263 00:12:52,679 --> 00:12:55,920 Speaker 3: only negative to throw in there is that the Bills 264 00:12:55,920 --> 00:12:59,320 Speaker 3: from Week ten through Week eighteen, they're playing four games 265 00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:03,040 Speaker 3: at a rest disadvantage, only one game at a rest advantage. 266 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:06,560 Speaker 3: They are minus ten days in net rest from Week 267 00:13:06,640 --> 00:13:09,640 Speaker 3: ten onwards, which is the third worst of any team 268 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:12,520 Speaker 3: in the NFL down the stretch. But these games are 269 00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:16,320 Speaker 3: Week ten versus the Dolphins, they're at a rest disadvantage 270 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:20,600 Speaker 3: of three days. Fourteen versus the Cincinnati Bengals, they're at 271 00:13:20,640 --> 00:13:24,800 Speaker 3: a rest disadvantage of three days Week fifteen against the Patriots. 272 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:27,040 Speaker 3: The very next week they play the Patriots who are 273 00:13:27,040 --> 00:13:30,600 Speaker 3: off of a bye. We just mentioned while buys aren't great, 274 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 3: it hasn't been as big of a benefit to most 275 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:38,480 Speaker 3: teams nowadays as it was back in the day. And 276 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:41,120 Speaker 3: then they play the Eagles week seventeen at a one 277 00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 3: day rest disadvantage, So that rest isn't beautiful. But everything 278 00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:51,040 Speaker 3: else with the way the schedule is falling for them, 279 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:53,840 Speaker 3: I think is really nice for the Buffalo Bills. And 280 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:55,680 Speaker 3: the other thing is if you just look visually, I'm 281 00:13:55,679 --> 00:13:58,240 Speaker 3: a very visual learner I like looking at things visually. 282 00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:01,800 Speaker 3: When I'm looking at the Buffalo Bills schedule, they have 283 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:05,240 Speaker 3: like clear tent polls on their schedule. Week one, Sunday 284 00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:08,560 Speaker 3: Night Football, Baltimore Ravens at home. Week nine, halfway through 285 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:11,920 Speaker 3: the season, Kansas City Chiefs at home. Two weeks off 286 00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:14,720 Speaker 3: after a bye week. They play the Carolina Panthers in 287 00:14:14,760 --> 00:14:17,320 Speaker 3: the middle there, so they got plenty of time to 288 00:14:17,360 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 3: rest and get healthy and focus on that since Kansas 289 00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:23,400 Speaker 3: City Chiefs game. And then Week seventeen, second to last 290 00:14:23,400 --> 00:14:26,200 Speaker 3: week of the season, they play at home against the 291 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:30,680 Speaker 3: Philadelphia Eagles after playing the Cleveland Browns. So again you're 292 00:14:30,680 --> 00:14:33,080 Speaker 3: hoping that when you play the Cleveland Browns, when you 293 00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 3: play the Carolina Panthers, you're putting up some points early 294 00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:37,880 Speaker 3: in that game, you're pulling out your guys a little 295 00:14:37,880 --> 00:14:41,640 Speaker 3: bit early, you're getting healthy, rested and focused on those 296 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:43,800 Speaker 3: other big games that you have. But there's only three 297 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:46,440 Speaker 3: of them beginning, middle and end of the schedule. So 298 00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:48,720 Speaker 3: I do think it sets up very well for the 299 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:52,080 Speaker 3: Buffalo Bills. But it seems, guys, every single year it's 300 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:54,640 Speaker 3: like if not now when like for the Buffalo Bulls, 301 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 3: it's always like when is the time that they're finally 302 00:14:57,280 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 3: going to get over the hump here? So maybe it's 303 00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 3: this year, but we've been saying that for several years now. 304 00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 1: Look, we say that about the Bills, we say it 305 00:15:05,680 --> 00:15:12,600 Speaker 1: about the Niners. Warren, you said the magic words Carolina 306 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 1: Panthers in a look ahead spot for the Buffalo Bills. 307 00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:24,280 Speaker 1: Oh my god, I feel like that's Week eight. I 308 00:15:24,320 --> 00:15:28,000 Speaker 1: feel like we gotta bet that game right now, do 309 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:31,080 Speaker 1: you know what I mean? It just feels like that's candy. 310 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 1: We got to take advantage of that. 311 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I love too, Like. 312 00:15:33,640 --> 00:15:35,720 Speaker 4: There's so many things that just break Buffalo's way. With 313 00:15:35,880 --> 00:15:39,000 Speaker 4: deskcover that Eagles game Chad in Week seventeen, it's in 314 00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:43,200 Speaker 4: between two Washington Commander games, so like again, just catching 315 00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:45,680 Speaker 4: the Eagles in a bad spot when they're gonna be 316 00:15:45,720 --> 00:15:48,520 Speaker 4: really focused on their division obviously if the Commanders be 317 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:50,520 Speaker 4: the team that everyone talks about them being the season. 318 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:54,280 Speaker 4: So it just it felt like it's all breaking Buffalo's way. 319 00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:56,640 Speaker 4: And you're right, like they're a team that you know, 320 00:15:56,960 --> 00:15:59,720 Speaker 4: this window for them it's gonna be what two to 321 00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:01,840 Speaker 4: three ys here if they do this rebuild right like 322 00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:04,120 Speaker 4: they're they've kind of gone in a new direction where 323 00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:08,000 Speaker 4: you know, the offense it's really about you know, cooking, 324 00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:10,880 Speaker 4: Josh Allen doing Josh Allen things, and then defense will 325 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:13,040 Speaker 4: be they're paying all their young guys. So I'm really 326 00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:14,640 Speaker 4: excited to see that the direction of this team this 327 00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:16,760 Speaker 4: pills the next two to three years, because yeah, it 328 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 4: feels like every year we're gonna be saying is this it? 329 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 2: Like? Is this final? The year this curse franchise gets 330 00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:22,840 Speaker 2: over the hump? 331 00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 4: And if there's one guy to do it, it's going 332 00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 4: to be Superman himself. Josh Allen like he's he's got 333 00:16:28,640 --> 00:16:30,800 Speaker 4: it all, Chad. Last year he was an inch short. 334 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:33,280 Speaker 4: This year, we'll see if he gets that extra inch 335 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:34,840 Speaker 4: and makes his way to the super Bowl. 336 00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:42,480 Speaker 1: What do we think of early season buys versus late 337 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:45,160 Speaker 1: season buys? You mentioned the Bears. I feel like the 338 00:16:45,160 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 1: Bears are getting screwed here. But how does that play out? Historically? 339 00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:55,480 Speaker 3: Warren Well more teams now have been able to request 340 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:58,120 Speaker 3: their preference in terms of when they take a bye. 341 00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:01,280 Speaker 3: All the international teams are low the request exactly when 342 00:17:01,280 --> 00:17:03,400 Speaker 3: they want to buy, and then other teams can kind 343 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:06,840 Speaker 3: of file a request. In the NFL, it wasn't long ago. 344 00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:08,719 Speaker 3: I mean, I guess it was. We're getting old now. 345 00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 3: But like in the early two thousands when they first 346 00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:15,040 Speaker 3: did division re alignment, there was four teams that had 347 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:19,880 Speaker 3: to buy every single week from week three to week ten, 348 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 3: and that was it, four four for every single week. 349 00:17:23,320 --> 00:17:26,359 Speaker 3: Now we've got four games in week four, teams in 350 00:17:26,440 --> 00:17:29,760 Speaker 3: Week fourteen that have a bye, and we've got four 351 00:17:29,760 --> 00:17:31,679 Speaker 3: teams in Week twelve that had to buy, and we 352 00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:33,680 Speaker 3: got a couple teams in Week eleven that out of buy. 353 00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:37,040 Speaker 3: Last year was a little bit more skewed to the 354 00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:39,200 Speaker 3: end of the season. We had six teams in Week 355 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 3: twelve that out of buy, and six teams in Week 356 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:44,399 Speaker 3: fourteen that had to buy. This year, we don't have 357 00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:46,880 Speaker 3: that the last two years. Each of the last two years, 358 00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:49,760 Speaker 3: just as a little note for anybody who cares, zero 359 00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:52,880 Speaker 3: bye week's Week thirteen, and they try to get everybody 360 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:56,119 Speaker 3: playing on that Thanksgiving Day weekend so they don't have buys. 361 00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:57,960 Speaker 3: Then they have buys the week before that, they buys 362 00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:00,280 Speaker 3: the week after that, and then it ends. But there 363 00:18:00,320 --> 00:18:06,120 Speaker 3: have been some teams with the seventeen game schedule that 364 00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:08,440 Speaker 3: and only one team getting a first round by in 365 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:15,160 Speaker 3: the playoffs that have done some homework internally and thought 366 00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:17,679 Speaker 3: to themselves it might be more advantageous to have a 367 00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:19,840 Speaker 3: buy later on in the season. We wouldn't want to 368 00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:23,200 Speaker 3: have a bye let's say week four, Week five, Week six, 369 00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:25,879 Speaker 3: and then have to go all through the playoffs not 370 00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:28,200 Speaker 3: have a shot at like being the first overall seed 371 00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:30,359 Speaker 3: and then playing all the way through until the Super 372 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:33,840 Speaker 3: Bowl having had no extra week off since you know, 373 00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:37,160 Speaker 3: early October. Many teams are trying to avoid that by 374 00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:39,520 Speaker 3: requesting a buy a lot later, but then you just 375 00:18:39,560 --> 00:18:42,640 Speaker 3: have to survive until you know, week twelve, Week fourteen. 376 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:45,439 Speaker 3: So I don't know that we have enough data because 377 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:49,640 Speaker 3: they just started doing these week fourteen Sorry, yeah, week 378 00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:52,600 Speaker 3: fourteen buys. The first season they started doing that was 379 00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:56,239 Speaker 3: twenty twenty one, So we don't have a whole lot 380 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:59,440 Speaker 3: of data to show how much that helps these teams yet, 381 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:02,679 Speaker 3: but it definitely has been a growing trend with the 382 00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:05,520 Speaker 3: extra game that they added to the schedule of some 383 00:19:05,640 --> 00:19:07,680 Speaker 3: teams requesting to have buys later in the year. 384 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:08,840 Speaker 2: Yeah. 385 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:13,679 Speaker 1: You look at how physical these games are and the 386 00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:17,440 Speaker 1: way these players get beat up, and you really marvel 387 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:22,439 Speaker 1: at the fact so many years went by without bye weeks, 388 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:25,360 Speaker 1: and these guys were just going week after week after 389 00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:28,639 Speaker 1: week for sixteen game schedules. I'm not talking about the 390 00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:33,760 Speaker 1: sixties and seventies when it was fourteen games. Like the 391 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:40,080 Speaker 1: bye is probably saving years on people's careers because it 392 00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:43,280 Speaker 1: is a signon this is a brutal, brutal game. 393 00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:45,719 Speaker 4: Yeah, and we talk all the time too about how 394 00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:47,520 Speaker 4: there's no mystery here. 395 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:48,439 Speaker 2: The reason that one. 396 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:51,119 Speaker 4: Or two seeds usually make a far run of the 397 00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:53,320 Speaker 4: playoffs right easy because they're going to rest a guy 398 00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:54,320 Speaker 4: early or. 399 00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:55,359 Speaker 2: They get that bye week. 400 00:19:55,480 --> 00:19:58,159 Speaker 4: Like it's it's not like remember years ago, it used 401 00:19:58,200 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 4: to be, well, we don't know if you want to 402 00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:01,679 Speaker 4: rest players, we don't want them to lose their rhythm. 403 00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:03,960 Speaker 4: That's kind of died out now with especially with the 404 00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:05,880 Speaker 4: extended season that we've had, where teams are. 405 00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:08,000 Speaker 2: Just no like we just need to make it to 406 00:20:08,040 --> 00:20:09,440 Speaker 2: that get the rest. 407 00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:12,720 Speaker 4: I mean, my favorite ever will always be Detroit last year, right, 408 00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:14,560 Speaker 4: they didn't take off the final week of the season 409 00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:16,080 Speaker 4: because Campbell's a psycho. 410 00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:17,320 Speaker 2: He wanted to lose that rhythm. 411 00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:19,359 Speaker 4: They had to buy a week and then they couldn't 412 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,880 Speaker 4: find it against Washington. So you know that is something 413 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:25,080 Speaker 4: that does happen. But yeah, my view of it, Like 414 00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:28,920 Speaker 4: my most interesting takeaway, especially with what we're talking about here, 415 00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:33,400 Speaker 4: is that you know, there's certain teams that you want 416 00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:35,560 Speaker 4: to look out there not on the main stage. Like 417 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:37,240 Speaker 4: last year, a team that jumped out that I got 418 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:39,880 Speaker 4: really wrong was the Vikings. Right, the Vikings had basically 419 00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:43,400 Speaker 4: no primetime games. They are a team that pretty standard 420 00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:47,360 Speaker 4: schedule chat always one o'clock, maybe four thirties, but they're there. 421 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:49,520 Speaker 4: They had a pretty simple setup that you're a team 422 00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:51,760 Speaker 4: this year that really jumps out to me, it's a 423 00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:52,640 Speaker 4: unicorn team. 424 00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:54,600 Speaker 2: Is Tennessee a team that took the. 425 00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:59,479 Speaker 4: Number one quarterback, number one pick zero games outside of 426 00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:01,359 Speaker 4: that one. I don't even think they gave him a 427 00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:05,080 Speaker 4: Thursday game, Chad Tennessee. So this is a team in 428 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:10,040 Speaker 4: a very unique scenario of very simple all season one o'clock, 429 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:13,359 Speaker 4: four thirty Sunday. I love that for a team that 430 00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:14,440 Speaker 4: I'm very interested in. 431 00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:15,680 Speaker 2: This upcoming season in Tennessee. 432 00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:17,680 Speaker 4: So those are the type of things where I like, Again, 433 00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:20,600 Speaker 4: once I get Warren's book, I'll dive into his information 434 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:22,880 Speaker 4: on Tennessee, because that jumped out to me right away 435 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:27,120 Speaker 4: of huge huge advantage a team that no one's talking about. 436 00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:30,000 Speaker 4: Born cam Ward barely talked about in the draft. The 437 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:33,960 Speaker 4: scheduling guys reflected that giving them zero primetime games, I 438 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:35,240 Speaker 4: could not believe when I saw it. 439 00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:38,960 Speaker 1: Well, Tennessee and New Orleans the only teams without primetime 440 00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:42,119 Speaker 1: games this year. Simon, you and I have talked in 441 00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:45,720 Speaker 1: abundance about the Tennessee Titans at eight to one in 442 00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:49,920 Speaker 1: the AFC South, where honestly, anything can happen, and there's 443 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:52,920 Speaker 1: no reason why they couldn't be the Texans of two 444 00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 1: years ago. I'm glad you mentioned Warren's book so I 445 00:21:56,600 --> 00:22:00,840 Speaker 1: can remind people go to Sharp dot Football all use 446 00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:07,080 Speaker 1: promo code action get his preseason Bible for one dollar. 447 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:12,040 Speaker 1: One dollar. That's ridiculous. I mean, you're basically giving away 448 00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:17,080 Speaker 1: the best preseason football book that there is one. You 449 00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:19,199 Speaker 1: should be a shame to yourself. You should be a 450 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:20,240 Speaker 1: shame to yourself. 451 00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:23,679 Speaker 3: I don't want to even promote the book. You did 452 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:25,159 Speaker 3: a great job with that. I appreciate that. I just 453 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:27,800 Speaker 3: want to get on my soapbox for one second about 454 00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:29,680 Speaker 3: the bye weeks and just say one more thing about 455 00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:33,640 Speaker 3: these bye weeks. Teams care about when their bye week 456 00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:35,399 Speaker 3: is and they're trying to focus on it, and we 457 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:37,680 Speaker 3: know there are seventeen games, and we know that only 458 00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 3: one team has a buye in the playoffs. Teams need 459 00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:44,520 Speaker 3: to play every single game that they play a little 460 00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:47,720 Speaker 3: bit more focused on the fact that if we're up big, 461 00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:50,280 Speaker 3: we can take our starters out and they avoid all 462 00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:53,080 Speaker 3: the wear and tear. Injuries are going to happen league wide. 463 00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:55,000 Speaker 3: You never know when a player is going to get injured, 464 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:58,240 Speaker 3: but what you do know is that they're more likely 465 00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:00,440 Speaker 3: to be injured if they're playing a hundred percent of 466 00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:02,640 Speaker 3: their snaps because the game is close all the way 467 00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:05,960 Speaker 3: to that final whistle. The twenty twenty two Philadelphia Eagles 468 00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,560 Speaker 3: were a prime example of this, jumping out to big 469 00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:11,040 Speaker 3: leads early in games so they could rest their guys, 470 00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:13,399 Speaker 3: they could stay healthier in the season. They made it 471 00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 3: all the way in Super Bowl. Obviously, we know it 472 00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:17,960 Speaker 3: didn't end the way that it did just this past year, 473 00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:21,040 Speaker 3: but the Philadelphia Eagles are a great example. More teams 474 00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 3: need to be aggressive early in games to jump out 475 00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:26,800 Speaker 3: to leeds, to be up at halftime, to put games 476 00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:29,520 Speaker 3: to bed by the middle of the third quarter so 477 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:31,919 Speaker 3: they could rest these guys to get through the season. 478 00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,719 Speaker 3: I don't know why it's not a bigger focus. Teams 479 00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:38,200 Speaker 3: want to be ahead. Their number one priorities being ahead 480 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:41,680 Speaker 3: at the final whistle after sixty minutes. Their priority should 481 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:45,119 Speaker 3: be to be up by double digits entering the fourth quarter. 482 00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:48,879 Speaker 3: That would help their players stay a lot healthier throughout 483 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,560 Speaker 3: the course of the season, and I wish more teams 484 00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:53,280 Speaker 3: cared about that than they do. 485 00:23:53,800 --> 00:23:56,639 Speaker 1: Look, you're preaching to the choir, war on, because that 486 00:23:56,640 --> 00:24:00,879 Speaker 1: would also mean a lot more backdoor covers. Hey, everybody wins. 487 00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:04,520 Speaker 1: Start resting your starters. NFL coaches Warren Sharp, thanks for 488 00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:07,120 Speaker 1: coming on, Simon and I will return with our next 489 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:09,680 Speaker 1: episode of The Favorites Tuesday on the Action Network YouTube 490 00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:13,400 Speaker 1: page with special guest Jason Bennetti. Download us from Spotify, 491 00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:15,960 Speaker 1: Apple Pods, wherever you get your pods, rate review, subscribe, 492 00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:19,320 Speaker 1: leave us five stars, say whatever you want feedback as 493 00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:27,480 Speaker 1: a gift until next time, I love you. Action Network 494 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:31,639 Speaker 1: reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you 495 00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:34,879 Speaker 1: care about has a gambling problem, help us. Available twenty 496 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 1: four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler