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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna just mop that action also.

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Speaker 3: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 4: Throwing spect We're sitting up to cash TOUCHTI.

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Speaker 5: We see most gambleers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 5: go to win.

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Speaker 3: That's incredible being bank I like to make money. All right,

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Speaker 3: this is the ultimate combine.

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Speaker 4: You want to.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway and welcome in to NFL Week

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Speaker 1: three recap, episode Breading Glass Sheen joined by Evan Abrams,

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Speaker 1: our director of Research and Media at the Action Network

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Speaker 1: and Action Network NFL contributor Brandon Anderson. This is the

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Speaker 1: Action Network podcast. We are streaming live on YouTube the

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Speaker 1: Action Network YouTube page. Please subscribe to our channel if

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Speaker 1: you haven't done so already. We see some of you

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Speaker 1: populating into the feed now, so thanks for being here

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Speaker 1: with us. Like the video, it helps encourage people that

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Speaker 1: are in charge of us to keep doing this. Also,

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Speaker 1: make sure you hit the little bell that's the subscription

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Speaker 1: so that way you know, after Sunday night when we

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Speaker 1: go live, you can join us. In the nick of time,

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Speaker 1: we have a lot to get to. We have the

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Speaker 1: Hot Reed. Stay tuned for that. Brandon Anderson is rolling

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Speaker 1: with the Hot Reed. So we want to be keen

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Speaker 1: for that, be sure to lock in for that for

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Speaker 1: week four. What we're looking at Thursday night as well.

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Speaker 1: We'll get a little Monday night preview. Two games coming

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Speaker 1: of course Monday night between the Jags and the Bills

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Speaker 1: and the Commanders and the Bengals. But yes, this is

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Speaker 1: the recap we will start Sunday night. What we just

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Speaker 1: saw the Chiefs at the Falcons Evan Abrams Kansas City

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Speaker 1: wins outright. They covered the three total goes under forty

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Speaker 1: six and a half.

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Speaker 4: Based off what I heard about the hot read a

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Speaker 4: few seconds ago, and the fact that we're talking Casey

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Speaker 4: right now, and I know Casey's playing the Chargers. A

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Speaker 4: deadline is going down to eight and a half already,

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Speaker 4: so I can't wait for his hot reading a little bit.

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Speaker 4: But we'll talk about this Casey Atlanta game right now.

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Speaker 4: I honestly don't know how you talk about this without

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Speaker 4: discussing the third and five. It was passing interference over

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Speaker 4: the middle of the pits. It's just unfortunate because we

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Speaker 4: kind of talk about the same thing every single week

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Speaker 4: when it comes to the Chiefs. Obviously, one call going

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Speaker 4: their direction in the Bengals game likely was aut of bound.

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Speaker 4: So I don't think that was a call one way

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Speaker 4: or the other. But this call definitely should have been

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Speaker 4: pass interference in my opinion. It's going to be something

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Speaker 4: that everyone talks about in this, especially endgame situation. The

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Speaker 4: other thing is there were some makeup calls on the

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Speaker 4: drive later with Atlanta that almost got them to the

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Speaker 4: end zone and took them the lead.

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Speaker 2: But terrible play call, just like a.

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Speaker 4: Disgustingly awful, terrible, disgusting It's just so frustrating to see

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Speaker 4: the play call, see them blow it up at the

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Speaker 4: line of scrimmage and be like there had to have

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Speaker 4: been something else aside from that, you know, a bunch

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Speaker 4: of different things along the way, like the Bucker missed

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Speaker 4: extra point. I thought that would maybe come back to

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Speaker 4: haunt them.

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Speaker 2: It didn't.

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Speaker 4: Really. The interesting thing about the game from like a

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Speaker 4: betting perspective, obviously, the Mahomes kneels at the end brought

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Speaker 4: is a rushing total under for the game, which is

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Speaker 4: very Mahomesy in terms of the Super Bowl that happened

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Speaker 4: in the past. Kansas City as a whole, they've won

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Speaker 4: now six straight games by seven points or fewer. Last

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Speaker 4: team to do that is actually the Chiefs in twenty ten.

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Speaker 4: So they are winning by very, very slight margins. And

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Speaker 4: it is interesting if you look at some of the

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Speaker 4: numbers from like simply a box score point of view,

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Speaker 4: Rashi Rice fourteen targets, twelve receptions, one hundred and ten yards.

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Speaker 4: Here's the Chiefs to do that, Kelsey, Tyreek Bo and

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Speaker 4: Tony Gonzalez. So a really nice night for Rashi Rice.

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Speaker 4: Really across the board. The only stat I would leave

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Speaker 4: before we move on to the next game. Mahomes in

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Speaker 4: his last thirteen starts three and ten against the first

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Speaker 4: half spread, eleven and two against the second half spread.

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Speaker 2: He just finds a way.

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Speaker 4: He's covered eight in a row second half ats dating

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Speaker 4: back to last year.

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Speaker 1: And besides the Pits, no call. I understand why they

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Speaker 1: go for it there, because obviously you need the you

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Speaker 1: need the six as opposed to the three from Coup,

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Speaker 1: which would have covered if you had would have been

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Speaker 1: covering the number at the time if you had Atlanta.

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Speaker 1: But giving the ball to Mahomes with a chance to

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Speaker 1: just take the clock all the way down, you gotta

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Speaker 1: score touchdowns against the Chiefs is the bottom line. So

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Speaker 1: good job by Atlanta, considering how much their defense was

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Speaker 1: on the field. To get that three and out and

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Speaker 1: then give us a sweat down the stretch. What a

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Speaker 1: weird game. Even the punt that was bobbled but elbows

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Speaker 1: were down. There was another situation. I think Beijeon coughed

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Speaker 1: it up but he was down. Really wacky game. To

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Speaker 1: wrap up Week three, let's go to Giants and Browns.

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Speaker 1: This is You might be thinking, why in the world

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Speaker 1: is this which is totally fair? Twenty one to fifteen,

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Speaker 1: Giants victorious for the first time in twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 1: G Men cover the six and a half with the

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Speaker 1: outright win under thirty seven and a half. It's a

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Speaker 1: chance for Brandon Anderson to waive his pom poms and

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Speaker 1: how smarty is It's.

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Speaker 3: A chance for us all to celebrate. Hopefully you've tailed here.

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Speaker 3: We were in over our nose on this one. I

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Speaker 3: was on Giants plus six and a half. We'd played

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Speaker 3: the Giants to win by six or more and before

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Speaker 3: that the hot red last week we took the under

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Speaker 3: and then bet that again a second time. So of course,

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Speaker 3: what happens to start the game. The Giants fumble the

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Speaker 3: opening kickoff and give up a touchdown ten seconds into

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Speaker 3: the game. Literally the worst scenario you could possibly have

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Speaker 3: if you were trying to bet the Giants to win.

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Speaker 3: Buy a bunch and hit the under, Like the odds

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Speaker 3: of us hitting all those things at once are nearly

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Speaker 3: zero at that point. Somehow we're almost there. And if

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Speaker 3: you're watching, you know what's coming. Devin Singletary bus loose

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Speaker 3: breaking down the sideline. He's going in for the over.

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Speaker 3: If you're on and over, better on this one. I'm sorry,

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Speaker 3: this's a rough beat for you. He's out for like

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Speaker 3: what a thirty forty yard run slides down at the

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Speaker 3: one yard line. We kneel the clock out. We got

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Speaker 3: the under forty on the hot read the under thirty nine,

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Speaker 3: the Giants plus six and a half, Giants minus five

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Speaker 3: and a half. We cover by half a point plus

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Speaker 3: six thirty. Build Devin Singletary's statue. That's it. Build him

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Speaker 3: a statue. Crazy beat, either good or bad, depending which

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Speaker 3: side you're on. That's for the game itself.

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Speaker 1: Whatever.

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Speaker 3: Malik Neaghbor's looking really good. Seventy eight yards, two more scores.

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Speaker 3: He is. I believe the current wide receiver one in fantasy,

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Speaker 3: so certainly going to get a lot of conversation for

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Speaker 3: Rookie of the year. Brown's offense is just off for

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Speaker 3: right now. Deshaun Watson took eight sacks. Sacks or a

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Speaker 3: quarterback stat that Brown's had a thirty eight percent success rate.

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Speaker 3: It's not great for that offense right now. And I

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Speaker 3: still think Jamis is I'm hearing whispers, I'm hearing some

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Speaker 3: Jamis calls. I think we're gonna see him before too long.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: Also it helps with neighbors considering all the trailing game

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Speaker 1: scripts you'll have right not in this case today, but

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Speaker 1: going forward, and that's why he's been so productive if

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Speaker 1: you have him on your fantasy team. Baltimore and Dallas

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Speaker 1: got pretty close down to the wire, Like this is

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Speaker 1: classic Ravens in some ways. They build this big lead

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Speaker 1: and then let's just horse around, play with our food,

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Speaker 1: and they do deliver the victory. They were a short

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Speaker 1: favorite by the time this one kicked off at minus

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Speaker 1: one and a half. Some of you may have played

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Speaker 1: the money line twenty eight to twenty five. Baltimore total

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Speaker 1: does go over forty seven and a half. Your thoughts,

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Speaker 1: Evan Abrams on Baltimore getting there despite Dallas making it close.

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Speaker 4: They are who we thought they were. Dallas did nothing

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Speaker 4: in the off season, none of us like them. We

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Speaker 4: thought this is exactly who would they who they would

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Speaker 4: be as soon as the season started, and it began.

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Speaker 4: At this point, they've only beaten Cleveland, and we know

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Speaker 4: what Cleveland is now since we've seen Cleveland now lose

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Speaker 4: to the Giants. So I don't really see a shock here.

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Speaker 4: I guess the only shock would be Baltimore kind of

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Speaker 4: blowing the game late, which they.

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Speaker 2: Do all the time.

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Speaker 4: So it just everything in this kind of circumstance kind

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Speaker 4: of felt as script. Baltimore was very desperate. It went

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Speaker 4: so as script that Justin Tucker missed again, which is

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Speaker 4: now part of the script. I guess, very weird. But

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Speaker 4: even if you look at the half, right, let's just

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Speaker 4: look first half, Baltimore leads twenty one to six. Lamar's

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Speaker 4: ten of eleven one hundred and sixty one yards. He

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Speaker 4: is thirty nine yards rushing a touchdown. Baltimore's three of

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Speaker 4: three in the red zone. Like Baltimore did let up late,

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Speaker 4: which allowed dak to I believe, throw for three hundred

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Speaker 4: and seventy nine yards on fifty one attempts just a

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Speaker 4: massive day in the end. But I think for Baltimore

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Speaker 4: some good things, right, Derek Henry looked great. Yeah, But

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Speaker 4: if you think about the defensive side of the ball,

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Speaker 4: which is probably the decide I would look to the

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Speaker 4: most when I look forward for both these teams, Dallas

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Speaker 4: allowing five point four yards per rush most in the NFL,

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Speaker 4: Baltimore allowing two point eight yards per rush, lowest in

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Speaker 4: the NFL. I think that probably has way more of

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Speaker 4: an impact on like betting forward games, especially when you

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Speaker 4: think about both teams now in primetime this upcoming week,

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Speaker 4: Buffalo at Baltimore, Dallas at the Giants Thursday night and

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Speaker 4: Sunday night for both those games. So the only other

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Speaker 4: thing I think you'd probably mentioned is Brandon Aubrey, who

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Speaker 4: now fifteen to fifteen from fifty plus twenty three of

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Speaker 4: twenty three from forty or longer. He has thirty five

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Speaker 4: total points this season. He's an absolute weapon for the

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Speaker 4: Cowboys in terms of just points on the board when

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Speaker 4: you compare him to other kickers right now, even though

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Speaker 4: kicking has been up across the league. The one stat

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Speaker 4: I will give you kind of looking forward Dallas at

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Speaker 4: the Giants Thursday night football teams off straight up win

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Speaker 4: as a dog on short rest, just forty three percent

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Speaker 4: against the spread in their next week, So Giants looking

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Speaker 4: into this game after beating Cleveland.

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Speaker 2: Interesting spot with the Cowboys.

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Speaker 4: The one funny thing about tight ends though Isaiah Likely

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Speaker 4: from week one is still the leader in best tight

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Speaker 4: end performances in fantasy this year. So just been kind

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Speaker 4: of terrible across the board, which I thought was interesting enough, and.

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Speaker 1: You felt the sense of urgency too for Baltimore considering

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Speaker 1: their next two matchups with Buffalo and Cincinnati, which we

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Speaker 1: don't know how the Bengals will fare tomorrow, but still

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Speaker 1: it's a big game, division game, two teams we think

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Speaker 1: that will be there in the end, unless you know,

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Speaker 1: we'll get to Pittsburgh freaking team. Well, Pittsburgh also did

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Speaker 1: something similar to what Devin Singletary did. We'll get to

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Speaker 1: that later. If you're watching on YouTube, please like the

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Speaker 1: video subscribe to our channel. We see more of you

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Speaker 1: filtering into our feed, so thanks for being here. Also,

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Speaker 1: of course, if you're listening the next morning here Monday

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Speaker 1: morning on the Action Network podcast, thanks as well for

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Speaker 1: being with US Eagles New Orleans part of the gross

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Speaker 1: one o'clock window. Eagles do win fifteen twelve. They cover

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Speaker 1: as a dog plus two and a half under forty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half. Joe Davis was the play by

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Speaker 1: play guy and he goes to break right before they're

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Speaker 1: about to kick the thing off and says they we're

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Speaker 1: going to see some points today and Philly, Philly's offense anemic.

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Speaker 1: Brandon body language wise, Jalen Hurts looks disinterested with this operation.

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Speaker 1: I understand no Aj Brown for a consecutive week, but

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Speaker 1: this I know it's a win for Philly and they'll

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Speaker 1: take it, I suppose, but it just does not look

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Speaker 1: good in the Saints. Look, the Saints have been a

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Speaker 1: wagon here early on. They were going to eventually come

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Speaker 1: back down to earth. And Derek Carr is who we

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Speaker 1: thought he was.

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Speaker 3: You know, I want to push back in some of

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Speaker 3: your takes a little bit. Brand I think there's actually

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Speaker 3: a lot to unpack in this game. Super weird, Like

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Speaker 3: this is literally three nothing going into the fourth quarter.

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Speaker 3: Nobody thought that's what was coming. Like you'd see that

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Speaker 3: screing be like, oh okay, there's like a month soon

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Speaker 3: happening or something like no they just weren't scoring points,

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Speaker 3: but they weren't scoring points in different ways. The Eagles

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Speaker 3: out gained the Saints four hundred and sixty to two

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Speaker 3: hundred and nineteen yards. That is not an anemic offense.

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Speaker 3: That's almost seven yards per play. They just kept screwing

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Speaker 3: things up. They turned it over twice, they turned it

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Speaker 3: over on downs twice, they went one of three in

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Speaker 3: the red zone. And then, like I swear, if this

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Speaker 3: had gone a little bit otherwise, I think Nick Sirianni

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Speaker 3: would have had some serious questions about his job tomorrow

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Speaker 3: morning the way this went down. So we get fourth

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Speaker 3: and one on the fifteen yard line Eagles right before

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Speaker 3: the half. It's three to nothing, and they go forward

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Speaker 3: on fourth down with fourteen seconds left. The upside there

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Speaker 3: is not high like you go for it, and then

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Speaker 3: you get what one more play to try to get

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Speaker 3: a punch of touchdown, just kick the field goal, get

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Speaker 3: the three points. They get nothing out of it. So

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Speaker 3: we go to halftime, we come out. What happens We

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Speaker 3: go turnover on downs in near scoring range again right

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Speaker 3: back on a halftime Sirianni then late in the game.

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Speaker 3: So the side note here, Leagles are racking up injuries.

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Speaker 3: So Ajan Brown is out wicked hit to DeVante Smith,

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Speaker 3: he goes in for concussion. Lane Johnson stud tackle. He's

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Speaker 3: in for concussion Darius Slay the corner. Not what he

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Speaker 3: wants was, but still important to them. He's out hurt. Late.

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Speaker 3: This is the stars in scrubs roster, and the stars

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Speaker 3: are getting injured. That is worrisome long term, and it's

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Speaker 3: why I was like, oh no, Sirianni goes for a

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Speaker 3: sixty yard field goal to try to put the game away,

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Speaker 3: Like sixty yard field goal like that. You don't have

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Speaker 3: Brandon Aubrey. The Cowboys are Brandon Aubrey. So they missed

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Speaker 3: the field goal. Snymon close. Saints get the ball back.

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Speaker 3: After doing nothing all game, you finally stop them and

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Speaker 3: they get the short field, they get the touchdown. Suddenly

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Speaker 3: New Orleans is ahead and looks like okay. Leagles guys

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Speaker 3: are out, all their stars are hurt. Nick Siriani has

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Speaker 3: blown like three or four huge decisions this game. I'm

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Speaker 3: on like absolute panic watch for Eagles at this point.

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Speaker 3: And right after that, we got the big Dallas Goddard

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Speaker 3: long screen. We got a huge game from Saquon Barkley.

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Speaker 3: In this game, running backs maybe do matter. It turns

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Speaker 3: out the stars and scrub approach did work. Goddard and

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Speaker 3: especially Saquon made the big plays and came through. I

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Speaker 3: think they saved the Eagles season. I think they saved

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Speaker 3: Syriani's job. Quite frankly, the way that we saw the

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Speaker 3: Monday night meltdown and the way this was heading, I

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Speaker 3: really think it was headed that way. And it's the

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Speaker 3: Eagles were good. The Eagles were good, Brandon. The defense

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Speaker 3: I thought was pretty impressive. The Saints couldn't be stopped

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Speaker 3: and they held them to barely two hundred yards on

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Speaker 3: the game. Yeah, and the Saints, I think, actually it's

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Speaker 3: not a great showing for them. We were so excited

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Speaker 3: about this Clinton Kupiac offense. The Eagles run defense was

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Speaker 3: last in the league, and I don't know what happened,

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Speaker 3: but to me, that tells me the Saints offense maybe

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Speaker 3: wasn't ready for the big show. And you're right about

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Speaker 3: Jalen Hurts with that part. Hurts was not good. He

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Speaker 3: had both Eagles turnover, he said, ugly interception in the

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Speaker 3: end zone in a game where obviously every point ended

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Speaker 3: up mattering. He had negative EPA per play, even in

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Speaker 3: a game where the Eagles doubled them up in yardage.

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Speaker 3: So lots going on here. I'm kind of all over

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Speaker 3: the place on this one. But I think the Eagles

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Speaker 3: save the season today and save Sier and his job today.

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Speaker 3: But I'm still worried because all those stars are still

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Speaker 3: hurt going forward, and we'll see what's left going forward.

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Speaker 3: I think they're out of the woods for a day.

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Speaker 3: I don't think I'm ready to bury the Saints or

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Speaker 3: say Derek Curry is who we thought he was. Maybe

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Speaker 3: the Eagles are pretty good. So yeah, a strange game.

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Speaker 3: The Eagles get to win, they save things, but it's messy.

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Speaker 3: I'm all over the place on it.

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Speaker 1: Here we go again. Philadelphia is going to Tampa, just

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Speaker 1: like the wildcard round.

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Speaker 4: I think we live a lot next week, Tampa and

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Speaker 4: New Orleans and Atlanta.

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Speaker 2: I think you learn a lot about both teams.

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Speaker 1: And of course Tampa just got shellacked by Denver. That's fair.

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Speaker 1: They did move the ball pretty well, maybe Kellen Moore.

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Speaker 1: So maybe we're like we're kind of saying the same

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Speaker 1: thing in a way, like there were productive plays, but

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Speaker 1: the at the end of the day, the guy calling

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Speaker 1: the shots on those those head coaching situations. Yeah, there's

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Speaker 1: there's some problems there well.

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Speaker 3: And you think too, if you think back to what

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Speaker 3: the Eagles did so well the last couple of years,

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Speaker 3: it was the exact thing that's not happening now. It

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Speaker 3: was those little edges, the things in the special teams,

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Speaker 3: those fourth downs, the push pushes, all those little like

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Speaker 3: well we just get like a free guard here, a

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Speaker 3: free point here. That's the stuff that these same Eagles,

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Speaker 3: this same staff, really is what's messing up now. And

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Speaker 3: that's where it's so glaring because it's the thing that

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Speaker 3: they really had an edge on a lot of the

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Speaker 3: league just the last couple of years. So I don't know,

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Speaker 3: I don't know what's happening with that.

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Speaker 1: One big stat courtesy of Evan And then we'll work

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Speaker 1: into some more games.

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Speaker 4: I'm just turning this into what I'm seeing right now.

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Speaker 4: It's the new Uh, it's the way I'm looking at

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Speaker 4: this segment. But I'll give you a few notes here.

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Speaker 4: So public sides according to Action Every Data now seventeen

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Speaker 4: to twenty eight and one against the spread this season

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Speaker 4: so far, not great and didn't go well this week either.

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Speaker 4: So something to note after they were above five hundred

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Speaker 4: last year. Action never tweeted this out earlier. Still insane

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Speaker 4: big underdog, so dogs is six points or more now

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Speaker 4: eleven and one against the spread, seven and five straight

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Speaker 4: up and during Monday Night football tomorrow night, where looks

347
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Speaker 4: like we're gonna have Washington in that spot. And I

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Speaker 4: just tweeted this out with the link to this show.

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Speaker 2: But unders twenty seven.

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Speaker 4: Eighteen and one so far this season, twenty nine and

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Speaker 4: one last two weeks. That twenty seven and eighteen mark

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Speaker 4: is second best last twenty years. So not only are

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Speaker 4: we seeing low favorites and some low scoring, but we're

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Speaker 4: seeing unders as well. So those are some good notes

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Speaker 4: going into the week.

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Speaker 1: No preseason, not playing starters, guys aren't ready to go

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Speaker 1: faces in new places, young quarterbacks. This is kind of

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Speaker 1: what the league wanted, right They're gonna add another game. Well,

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Speaker 1: they're asking us to sign up for that so that

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Speaker 1: the product is better when we get to December January,

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Speaker 1: and then one day I think to President's Day when

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Speaker 1: the super Bowl will be or that weekend.

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Speaker 4: That is well, right now, it's going to be Vikings

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Speaker 4: and Steelers, so we'll see how that goes?

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Speaker 3: Right, Let's go go baby.

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Speaker 1: If you want all access to all of Action pros projections,

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00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:25,040
Speaker 1: make sure you sign up for our annual subscription that

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00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:28,800
Speaker 1: is currently on sale. Access includes exclusive player prop picks

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00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:32,800
Speaker 1: from Sean Kerner, Rip to the Streak, but Sean Fantastic

370
00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:35,879
Speaker 1: Job other members of the Action Analytics team. You'll also

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00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:39,640
Speaker 1: get access to exclusive expert articles are best Spread moneyline,

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00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:42,920
Speaker 1: total debts, and real ticket and money percentages. To sign up,

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00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:47,480
Speaker 1: visit actionnetwork dot com, slash pro today and use code

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00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:50,879
Speaker 1: live twenty at sign up one more time. That's Live

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00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:54,000
Speaker 1: twenty l I ve two zero at sign up for

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00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:58,480
Speaker 1: twenty dollars off. Those of you watching live on YouTube,

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00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,000
Speaker 1: stay locked in because we do have the hot reed

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00:19:01,080 --> 00:19:04,399
Speaker 1: coming from mister Brandon Anderson in just a couple minutes.

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Speaker 1: Let's hit on some of these other games. Yes, the

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Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings led by Sam Donald, they bring the Texans

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Speaker 1: back down to earth. The Texans one of the luckier

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Speaker 1: teams like there are Darling last year right oh and

383
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Speaker 1: two Brandon Texans Island and they just they get pasted

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Speaker 1: thirty four to seven. Vikings cover as a short dog

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Speaker 1: and the total does go under forty six and a half.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Minnesota Vikings three. And oh, I'm gonna keep wearing

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Speaker 3: my Vikings jersey every Sunday night until we are not

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Speaker 3: on pace to go twenty to zero on the season.

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Speaker 3: I guess that's my team. I did not see this coming.

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Speaker 3: No TJ. Howkinson yet, No Jordan Addison, no JJ McCarthy three.

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Speaker 3: And oh Sam Donald throws four touchdowns in this game

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Speaker 3: against the Texans defense. Everyone's real excited about. That's been

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Speaker 3: really good. In fact, Sam Donald briefly left with what

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Speaker 3: looked like a pretty bad knee injury, and my phone

395
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Speaker 3: blew up with all my bodies like Vikings fans like,

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00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:03,560
Speaker 3: oh my god, what's gonna happen? What about Sam Donald?

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Speaker 3: How did we get here so quickly? Three weeks in

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Speaker 3: KOC and Sam Donald suddenly looks like a real quarterback.

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Speaker 3: I think we're seeing that around the league. We had

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Speaker 3: the justin Field some of these other guys where it's like, hey,

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Speaker 3: you get in the right system with the right coaching,

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00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:19,760
Speaker 3: you actually can play some quarterback now, or you know,

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00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:23,960
Speaker 3: perhaps not. In other cases as well, the Vikings and

404
00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:27,359
Speaker 3: Texans kind of traded guys a little bit. Stefan Diggs

405
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Speaker 3: against his old team here at ten catches ninety four yards.

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Speaker 3: Jonathan Grenard was on the Texans last year. He and

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Speaker 3: Daniel Hunter kind of flipped spots. Grenard had three sacks today.

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Speaker 3: I think the story here. The takeaway is Minnesota's defense

409
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Speaker 3: looks real. They are the real deal right now. Houston's

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Speaker 3: offense only had a thirty percent success rate in this game,

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Speaker 3: which is the fourth percentile. That is a loaded offense.

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Speaker 2: CJ.

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Speaker 3: Stroud I think maybe at his worst game as a

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Speaker 3: pro so far. He threw two interceptions. He has only

415
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Speaker 3: had multi, only had five receptions all last season, so

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Speaker 3: two today is a big deal. Negative point three to

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Speaker 3: one epa per play. Took four sacks on the day,

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Speaker 3: three of those to Gunnard. The Vikings. We know what

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00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:09,960
Speaker 3: they are. Brian Floor is going to bring the pressure

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Speaker 3: and that's the thing that Stroud's numbers have been good at,

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Speaker 3: but the underlying metrics have not been so good at.

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Speaker 3: It's the thing you struggled at in college as well.

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Speaker 3: This is the first time we've really seen him do that.

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Speaker 3: The run attack was really good for Houston Week one.

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Speaker 3: No Joe Mixon. Not much running there today, and some

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Speaker 3: of the problems I worried about with this Houston offense

427
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Speaker 3: start to look there today. But I think this is

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Speaker 3: less Houston more that the Minnesota defense really does look

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Speaker 3: like the real thing going forward.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I forgot about the draft trade that they made.

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Speaker 1: Just think a week before the draft or two weeks

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Speaker 1: before the draft. Stefan Gilmour, who is a former Patriot

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Speaker 1: with Brian Flores, that he was good in this game too. So, yeah,

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00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:53,240
Speaker 1: Flores is really impressive against San Francisco. And then you

435
00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:55,399
Speaker 1: got purty in his ear or I think it was

436
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:57,800
Speaker 1: Party or Shanahan. I think it was Party who said like, oh,

437
00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:01,160
Speaker 1: your scheme is yeah, purty compliment. I get the word

438
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:05,639
Speaker 1: he used, but he said something pretty good. Yea. I

439
00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:07,440
Speaker 1: think he said something to the effect of your scheme

440
00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:11,240
Speaker 1: is insane, like complimenting the scheme of Brian Flores and

441
00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 1: the Vikings. Then to go from San Francisco while yes

442
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:19,440
Speaker 1: banged up, to then this outfit in Houston impressive Detroit Arizona.

443
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:20,200
Speaker 1: Oh good good.

444
00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:22,320
Speaker 4: I'll say this one thing and then I'll go into

445
00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:26,040
Speaker 4: Detroit Arizona. Five plus sacks first three games from Minnesota

446
00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:28,800
Speaker 4: hasn't been done since the one Saints I found that

447
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:34,040
Speaker 4: that's just absolutely ridiculous. Minnesota is confusing quarterbacks. And next

448
00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:36,640
Speaker 4: week and probably the reason Jordan Love maybe sat out,

449
00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:39,119
Speaker 4: you get green Bay in Green Bay, so that should

450
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:39,640
Speaker 4: be really.

451
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:42,840
Speaker 1: Fun, interesting, interesting, and the Packers will get to them.

452
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 1: They still handle their stuff. Detroit Arizona Lions get there.

453
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:50,919
Speaker 1: They cover the three twenty thirteen winners over the Cardinals.

454
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:54,400
Speaker 1: Total goes under fifty one and a half. Sam Laporta

455
00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:57,840
Speaker 1: appears to have an ankle sprain. That's per Dan Campbell postgame.

456
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:00,199
Speaker 1: It's a big injury takeaway for you fantasy owners. But

457
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:05,200
Speaker 1: despite that, Evan, the Lions doing up. I thought to

458
00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:08,080
Speaker 1: play with Saint Brown and Gibbs that was fantastic, but

459
00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:10,400
Speaker 1: the Lions. The Lions are fun and Jared Goff took

460
00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:11,080
Speaker 1: a deep breath.

461
00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:14,679
Speaker 4: Yeah, there was some chaos, which you alluded to with

462
00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:18,400
Speaker 4: the hook and ladder. There was also the goth fumble

463
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 4: that wasn't and then was and then wasn't when they

464
00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:25,000
Speaker 4: had called the whistle. There was a few weird plays

465
00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:27,399
Speaker 4: in the game. Then there was the injury side where

466
00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:30,639
Speaker 4: McBride got hurt as well, but I believe he's okay.

467
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:33,959
Speaker 4: So Laporta and McBride ended up going down. In the

468
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 4: first half. GoF goes twelve of twelve with two touchdowns

469
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:42,119
Speaker 4: Montgomery touchdown, Gibbs touchdown. They're rolling seven yards per play,

470
00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:46,760
Speaker 4: four drives, three touchdowns, and then nothing. In the second half.

471
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:50,360
Speaker 4: There was three total points from both teams, just twelve

472
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 4: points after the first three drives of the game went touchdown, touchdown, touchdown.

473
00:23:56,240 --> 00:24:00,600
Speaker 4: This one completely fell on its face and his historically

474
00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:03,560
Speaker 4: what we've seen, at least this season, so this total

475
00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:05,200
Speaker 4: was fifty one and a half. It was like three

476
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:08,320
Speaker 4: points above every other total we've seen this year total

477
00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:10,680
Speaker 4: of fifty or more, four and over to the under

478
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 4: going under by like thirteen points per game. It's sixteen

479
00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:18,160
Speaker 4: and four last two seasons high totals. We just aren't

480
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:21,320
Speaker 4: seeing scoring even in games we think that we're gonna

481
00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:22,080
Speaker 4: see high scoring.

482
00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:27,760
Speaker 1: So Lions involved in two of those back to back pass.

483
00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:30,359
Speaker 4: And I think from Arizona's point of view, they just

484
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 4: really abandoned the run. I believe Kyler was the leading

485
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:36,920
Speaker 4: rusher for most of the game. Connor didn't really ended

486
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 4: up getting involved. They Arizona did not look a part

487
00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 4: of this game. And I think Detroit got a little

488
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:44,439
Speaker 4: bit lucky because even GoF didn't look great in the

489
00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:46,160
Speaker 4: second half at all and not being able to put

490
00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:48,440
Speaker 4: any points on the board. So the Arizona had put

491
00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:51,440
Speaker 4: anything above on Detroit, I think it would have been closer.

492
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:54,879
Speaker 4: But again just nothing in the end there. And then

493
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:58,320
Speaker 4: the interesting point is Detroit gets Monday night football against Seattle,

494
00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:01,960
Speaker 4: who's been a whole different type of story. We'll see

495
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 4: if they get Kenneth Walker back for that game, and

496
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:07,560
Speaker 4: Arizona gets Washington, who's going to be off of a

497
00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:10,240
Speaker 4: short week, so maybe they get back on track.

498
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:16,120
Speaker 1: Chargers at Steelers Pittsburgh is three and oh twenty to ten.

499
00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:19,320
Speaker 1: They win, They cover the short number, some stuff going

500
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:24,159
Speaker 1: on with Herbert pregame and his status, and then we

501
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:26,200
Speaker 1: find out he leaves the game he's got a walking

502
00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:29,040
Speaker 1: boot on, so that's not good for Jim Harbaugh. The

503
00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:31,880
Speaker 1: total goes under. Brandon, one of the looks you had

504
00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 1: last week, and we did this episode just one of

505
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:36,639
Speaker 1: the hunches you had and some of your data to

506
00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:39,600
Speaker 1: go under and it gets there. Well, it could have

507
00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:42,639
Speaker 1: been it could have been problematic there, but thank you,

508
00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:43,400
Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin.

509
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, Steelers melted out at the end. As well. Actually,

510
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,040
Speaker 3: our hot read under was thirty seven and a half,

511
00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:52,440
Speaker 3: so we were already under by seven and a half

512
00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:54,359
Speaker 3: at that point, so we were sitting pretty I didn't

513
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:56,639
Speaker 3: even notice this at the time, but I know the total.

514
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:58,679
Speaker 3: I think closed more like thirty four and a half,

515
00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 3: goes thirty five and a half. Most of the week,

516
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:03,119
Speaker 3: all the unders end up hitting thanks to the kneel

517
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 3: down at the end. Steelers Unders. They're gonna feed families

518
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,520
Speaker 3: this season. We're just gonna keep Ryan the Steelers Unders thing.

519
00:26:08,720 --> 00:26:10,800
Speaker 3: We already played it for Week four. Otherwise it would

520
00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:12,280
Speaker 3: have been a hot read tonight, but it was already

521
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:16,720
Speaker 3: the look ahead on the last podcast. Somehow, Justin fields

522
00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 3: Pittsburgh Steelers are our first three and zero team this season.

523
00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:24,200
Speaker 3: That's a sentence that happened for the Chargers, obviously, Herbert,

524
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:26,960
Speaker 3: we're gonna tell you know, that's the focus. Taylor Heineke

525
00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:29,680
Speaker 3: comes in in mid season form, two completions and three

526
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:32,720
Speaker 3: sacks in his time on the field. Just Chef's kiss,

527
00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:37,000
Speaker 3: Taylor Heineke. Besides Justin Herbert, though, the names you need

528
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:40,160
Speaker 3: to pay attention to here. Besides him, Rayshawn Slater and

529
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,040
Speaker 3: Jill Alt. There two stud tackles. I think they're the

530
00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:44,960
Speaker 3: best tackle pairer in the NFL. By the end of

531
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:48,239
Speaker 3: the season, they both leave hurt for the Chargers, and

532
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:52,560
Speaker 3: joy Bosa leaves hurt. This entire team built its identity

533
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,240
Speaker 3: on winning in the trenches. They don't have any weapons,

534
00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:59,119
Speaker 3: they don't have much help. Otherwise, the trenches all got injured.

535
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:02,560
Speaker 3: All the stars today and Pittsburgh dominated. They double them

536
00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:05,239
Speaker 3: up in yards, double them up in first downs. They

537
00:27:05,280 --> 00:27:06,600
Speaker 3: were one of four in the red zone. Otherwise, I

538
00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:09,360
Speaker 3: think they win this one by much more so. Pittsburgh

539
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:11,720
Speaker 3: defense looks real, probably, but I don't know. They didn't

540
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 3: really face much when you get to the backup quarterback

541
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:18,200
Speaker 3: and no offensive line. But spoiler, we'll be coming back

542
00:27:18,200 --> 00:27:20,760
Speaker 3: to this Chargers team later on because of all these injuries.

543
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:23,760
Speaker 1: He will wrap it up with six more. We'll go

544
00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:28,160
Speaker 1: rapid fire on these. Miami at Seattle. Let's go Evan

545
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,119
Speaker 1: twenty four to three. Seattle gets there, they cover the

546
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 1: number goes under.

547
00:27:31,320 --> 00:27:34,280
Speaker 4: Miami absolutely didn't do anything. It's the craziest box where

548
00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:36,840
Speaker 4: I've ever seen. Fifty six plays and two hundred yards

549
00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:41,320
Speaker 4: one of fifteen on third down and fourth down. The

550
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:45,000
Speaker 4: Dolphins haven't led all season because they wanted the buzzer

551
00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:46,879
Speaker 4: against the Jaguars or the only team in the NFL

552
00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:49,760
Speaker 4: without a lead. The worst success rate for quarterbacks this

553
00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:53,399
Speaker 4: year Drake May, Bryce Young, Skyler Thompson. They need to

554
00:27:53,440 --> 00:27:55,840
Speaker 4: find a new quarterback because right now they're listed as

555
00:27:55,920 --> 00:27:58,920
Speaker 4: home dogs against will Levis and that's not possible.

556
00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:06,359
Speaker 1: Packers and Titans. I know a lot of folks at

557
00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:08,879
Speaker 1: Action liked will Levis and the Titans going in. It

558
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:11,840
Speaker 1: was no Jordan Love today quarterback Elik Willis. I didn't

559
00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:14,199
Speaker 1: even think of this when we did best bets Brandon

560
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:16,119
Speaker 1: on Thursday and earlier in the week. It was a

561
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:19,800
Speaker 1: revenge spot from Elik Willison. He was okay, he fit

562
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:22,800
Speaker 1: their scheme and the Packers score thirty points. They were

563
00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:25,280
Speaker 1: a short dog. They get there, of course, and the

564
00:28:25,359 --> 00:28:28,720
Speaker 1: total did go under thirty six and a half.

565
00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:32,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, will Levis speak of the douvil. The man just

566
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:35,439
Speaker 3: can't stop giving games away. He get sacked eight times

567
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:37,960
Speaker 3: in this game he lost to Fommable. He threw two

568
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:41,240
Speaker 3: more picks, including a pick six. We got to be

569
00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:43,760
Speaker 3: getting close to Mason Rudolph time at this point. I

570
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:45,680
Speaker 3: know that like this is the future, you hope, but

571
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:47,600
Speaker 3: I'm sure he is the future. The rest of the

572
00:28:47,600 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 3: team has been competitive in these games. This scare line

573
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:52,880
Speaker 3: looks a lot worse than I was. It's just that

574
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:56,120
Speaker 3: will Levis just can't help himself at this point. To me,

575
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:58,880
Speaker 3: here's the takeaway. The Packers run defense was really good.

576
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:01,680
Speaker 3: Their defense overalls well, came pretty good. We know they

577
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:04,520
Speaker 3: brought in Jeff Haffley the new defensive coordinators. So so far,

578
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:09,760
Speaker 3: starting to look pretty good to me. These two Malik

579
00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:11,840
Speaker 3: Willis wins, they beat the Colts and now they be

580
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:14,840
Speaker 3: the Titans. They Matt Lafleur came up with the way

581
00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:18,920
Speaker 3: to get through. These two Packers wins are, in my opinion,

582
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:22,480
Speaker 3: the most important wins of the NFL season so far.

583
00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:27,040
Speaker 3: No exaggeration. The Packers are a Super Bowl type contender,

584
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:32,000
Speaker 3: and we went from in Brazil two plays left. Packer's

585
00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:34,920
Speaker 3: season over. Jordan Love is done. They're cooked. He's gonna

586
00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:37,560
Speaker 3: be out a long time. We're definitely done with Green Bay.

587
00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:40,040
Speaker 3: To okay, he's out a while. To okay, he's gonna

588
00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:42,480
Speaker 3: miss a couple of games, so they'll be one and two.

589
00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:46,560
Speaker 3: We'll see after that. No, they won the two games

590
00:29:46,600 --> 00:29:49,800
Speaker 3: they got out of that, they get these two big wins.

591
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:52,880
Speaker 3: I think Packer's futures stay alive because of these two.

592
00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,760
Speaker 3: Quite frankly, even though it seems counterintuitive. I think Jordan

593
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:58,760
Speaker 3: Love MVP helps stay alive. Is you got to win games.

594
00:29:58,760 --> 00:30:01,680
Speaker 3: And I think Malik Willis just save Green Bays feature

595
00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 3: and joint Love futures. I think there are huge, huge wins,

596
00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:07,680
Speaker 3: the biggest ones on someday for me today.

597
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:12,360
Speaker 1: Wild comeback Rams. Sean McVay finally gets over the hump

598
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:16,920
Speaker 1: against Kyle Shanahan. What a game, twenty seven to twenty four.

599
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:19,719
Speaker 1: The Rams win. They were seven and a half point underdogs.

600
00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 1: Evan total goes over the punt return to set up

601
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:26,800
Speaker 1: the game winning field Goald and some penalties there. Stafford

602
00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:30,760
Speaker 1: knew it. Let'st what are your thoughts here on this one?

603
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 4: Just your typical Kyle Shanahan, you know, just dropping the ball. No,

604
00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:39,760
Speaker 4: I think there's probably more of the game than that.

605
00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 4: But Juwan Jennings is probably the story, right. Three touchdowns?

606
00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:45,880
Speaker 4: Think about like this, ten receptions, one hundred and seventy

607
00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:48,600
Speaker 4: five yards. Three touchdowns have been done by two forty

608
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:51,640
Speaker 4: nine ers. Jawan Jennings and Jerry Rice. Not a bad day,

609
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 4: Not a bad day for the guy. And if you

610
00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:56,760
Speaker 4: and what about this for the whole season in standard

611
00:30:56,760 --> 00:31:00,440
Speaker 4: fantasy the number one wide receiver Jawan Jennings number two

612
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:02,440
Speaker 4: of the league neighbors, so pretty.

613
00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 2: Good day overall. I think the.

614
00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:08,520
Speaker 4: Storyline is is Stafford's comeback. Obviously did a great job

615
00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:10,560
Speaker 4: at the end. They're just figuring out a way. But

616
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:12,600
Speaker 4: he's kind of been killed this year. He's been sacked

617
00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:17,520
Speaker 4: ten times through three games, most pass attempts in the NFL,

618
00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:21,000
Speaker 4: though with one interception or fewer, So he is doing

619
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,840
Speaker 4: a great job with what he's been given, which this week.

620
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:24,760
Speaker 2: Was very very little.

621
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:28,120
Speaker 4: And entering this week they had the worst run block,

622
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:31,760
Speaker 4: worst pass block, like bottom five in the NFLPFF in

623
00:31:31,800 --> 00:31:35,240
Speaker 4: both categories and didn't really do you know, much help today,

624
00:31:35,280 --> 00:31:39,120
Speaker 4: even though Kyron Williams had a pretty decent day. So

625
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 4: the one stat that did end up coming through here

626
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:45,320
Speaker 4: with the Rams is they lost by thirty one against

627
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:48,040
Speaker 4: the Cardinals. The week before teams lose by thirty plus

628
00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 4: dog of four points or more now eighty nine fifty

629
00:31:51,560 --> 00:31:53,960
Speaker 4: and three, So we don't believe in you, and you

630
00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 4: just got blown out. Usually kind of comes the other

631
00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:59,959
Speaker 4: way around, but something's wrong with those the forty nine.

632
00:32:00,320 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 4: And it's not all Brock party because he'd thirty is

633
00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:09,960
Speaker 4: thirteen passes completions of twenty plus yards this year, which

634
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:13,480
Speaker 4: leads the NFL. So he's doing his job to a degree.

635
00:32:13,520 --> 00:32:16,360
Speaker 4: But San Francisco had just down a bunch of players

636
00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 4: and then zero to four without Debo.

637
00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 1: Just tough to overcome, right right, They had the three

638
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 1: game losing streak last year. They got him back at

639
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:25,960
Speaker 1: Jacksonville and that kind of got them right back on

640
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:28,880
Speaker 1: the high horse. Trent Williams will keep an eye on

641
00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:31,960
Speaker 1: that left with a cramp injury. Remember he didn't really partake.

642
00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:33,520
Speaker 1: I don't think he partook really at all. They got

643
00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:35,600
Speaker 1: him into some practices for the Monday night game against

644
00:32:35,600 --> 00:32:39,960
Speaker 1: the Jets, but Trent Williams not right, so that doesn't

645
00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:45,640
Speaker 1: help either. Chicago at Indianapolis Colts victorious. Brandon is a

646
00:32:45,680 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 1: short favorite twenty one sixteen under delivers Caleb Williams not great,

647
00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 1: not great.

648
00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, some pretty terrible young quarterback play in this game.

649
00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:59,240
Speaker 3: That's my takeaway. Kelly Williams two interceptions, Anthony Richardson in

650
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:02,640
Speaker 3: two interceptions and some kind of ugly floated hurried passes.

651
00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:05,840
Speaker 3: Credit where it's due. Caleb Williams is on the board,

652
00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:08,719
Speaker 3: first touchdown of his career. Two roma dunes. They either

653
00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:10,640
Speaker 3: fighting over the ball who gets to keep it after

654
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:13,200
Speaker 3: that one spoiler, it's Caleb and number one pick is

655
00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:16,360
Speaker 3: to keep the ball. Sorry realm. Jonathan Taylor. Running backs

656
00:33:16,360 --> 00:33:18,960
Speaker 3: mattered on Sunday. Jonathan Taylor, I think was the difference.

657
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:20,920
Speaker 3: Twenty three carries, one hundred and ten yards and two

658
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:24,200
Speaker 3: scores help get the Colts over the line. Another kitchen

659
00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:26,280
Speaker 3: sink win. The Rams were kitchen sink team, the Colts

660
00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:29,480
Speaker 3: were kitchen sink team. Kitchen sink teams. All in two

661
00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:32,800
Speaker 3: coming into the week went six and the one ats

662
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:36,240
Speaker 3: and straight up on Sunday, and that included, you know,

663
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:39,200
Speaker 3: big wins by the Giants, big upset by the Rams,

664
00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:42,080
Speaker 3: by the Broncos. Who will get to Great Week for

665
00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:44,280
Speaker 3: kitchen sink love Week three Every.

666
00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:48,240
Speaker 1: Year kitchen sync theme continues. We'll get to these last

667
00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:50,480
Speaker 1: two very quickly before we get to Monday Night and

668
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:55,120
Speaker 1: then Brandon's Hot Red for next week. Carolina the Panthers,

669
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:58,240
Speaker 1: they have a pulse thirty six twenty two five and

670
00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:00,880
Speaker 1: a half point Dogs got as low as four and

671
00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:03,920
Speaker 1: a half, but hopefully whatever you got your good over

672
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:07,360
Speaker 1: forty and a half the Raiders. After upsetting the Ravens,

673
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:09,839
Speaker 1: they ran the ball. I guess a little bit better

674
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:12,920
Speaker 1: than they normal you have. But yeah, this is Dave Knalis.

675
00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:14,520
Speaker 1: Good for him, his first win as the head coach.

676
00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:17,839
Speaker 4: Evan I could do an entire podcast on this game,

677
00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:19,799
Speaker 4: so I'm going to attempt to try to keep this

678
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:23,640
Speaker 4: one just as small as possible. Dalton was unreal compared

679
00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:25,759
Speaker 4: to what we get from Bryce. I think the easiest

680
00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:29,040
Speaker 4: way to explain it is Dalton already has seventy five

681
00:34:29,080 --> 00:34:31,239
Speaker 4: more passing yards than Bryce has this year, and he's

682
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:36,080
Speaker 4: averaging four more yards per attempt, four more yards per attempt.

683
00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:38,040
Speaker 2: Just absolutely ridiculous.

684
00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:41,000
Speaker 4: All the stats you've heard them today, three hundred plus

685
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:44,440
Speaker 4: passing yards, three touchdowns. Dalton's the only quarterback this season,

686
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:47,879
Speaker 4: and all the Carolina stats are broken right. Carolina scored

687
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:50,680
Speaker 4: the most points for any team in Week three. They

688
00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:52,759
Speaker 4: led by twenty six, which is their largest leads since

689
00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:55,399
Speaker 4: twenty twenty one. They led in the fourth quarter. They

690
00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 4: held the lead at ten plus. Like all the stats

691
00:34:57,280 --> 00:34:59,840
Speaker 4: we know about Carolina out the door, and probably the

692
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:03,439
Speaker 4: most important is six point two yards per play After

693
00:35:03,520 --> 00:35:06,080
Speaker 4: three point five in weeks one and week two, they

694
00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:07,160
Speaker 4: just look completely different.

695
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:11,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, yards per past seven point eight, Rice Young was

696
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:15,680
Speaker 1: what over a yard? Just over a yard something, And I'll.

697
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:17,960
Speaker 2: Say from the Raiders point of view, their issues.

698
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:20,600
Speaker 4: They just can't run the ball, simply to the point

699
00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:24,680
Speaker 4: Zamir White was supposed to be this offseason Unicorn. One

700
00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:27,120
Speaker 4: hundred and fifty three rushing yards are the fewest through

701
00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:31,000
Speaker 4: three games since twenty nineteen Dolphins. It's the fewest in

702
00:35:31,080 --> 00:35:35,200
Speaker 4: Raiders history at this point, and I think, as a

703
00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:38,640
Speaker 4: Vegacy guy myself, it is sad.

704
00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 2: To hear through thirty five games.

705
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:43,120
Speaker 4: The Raiders are seventeen and eighteen in Vegas at Allegiance,

706
00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:44,680
Speaker 4: so they just need to figure it out.

707
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:50,840
Speaker 1: Last one, Denver in Tampa, the Buccaneers bow Knicks well,

708
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:54,399
Speaker 1: the Broncos and bo Knicks defeat the Bucks twenty six

709
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:56,640
Speaker 1: to seven. Denver was a seven and a half point

710
00:35:57,040 --> 00:35:59,279
Speaker 1: or part of me a seven point dog six and

711
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:02,200
Speaker 1: a half US seven six and a half mostly six

712
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:05,160
Speaker 1: and a half under does get there as well. Forty

713
00:36:05,160 --> 00:36:05,920
Speaker 1: and a half Brandon.

714
00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:08,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, just a big spot win for a lot of

715
00:36:08,160 --> 00:36:10,239
Speaker 3: us at Actually, I think we had this Broncos on

716
00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:12,279
Speaker 3: the six pack. I know Nick Kiffin and the luck

717
00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:14,720
Speaker 3: rankings were big on the Broncos. One of the biggest

718
00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:18,240
Speaker 3: luck ranking differentials we could get. We had the Broncos

719
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:20,879
Speaker 3: win by six or more, six to one. Hit didn't

720
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 3: even really have to sweat this one out. They just

721
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:25,400
Speaker 3: took the lead right away. And bow Knicks gets the

722
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 3: first win. He's making plays with his legs like he

723
00:36:28,680 --> 00:36:31,880
Speaker 3: throws twenty five or thirty six, twenty sixteen yards, no touchdowns,

724
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:35,000
Speaker 3: no picks, no sacks. I think that's like John, I

725
00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:36,759
Speaker 3: think that's like the wet dream of what they want

726
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:39,239
Speaker 3: to scheme up in Denver. That's what that's what Boenix

727
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 3: is supposed to be on this team. Just like dump

728
00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 3: it off and run around a little bit and let

729
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:45,279
Speaker 3: the defense play as well as they did the skate

730
00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:48,600
Speaker 3: and Baker had ugly in reception and seven sacks, so

731
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:51,480
Speaker 3: crowded to Denver's defense on this one, and then bow

732
00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:53,520
Speaker 3: Nicks did the rest. I guess you even get the

733
00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:55,360
Speaker 3: job done.

734
00:36:55,400 --> 00:37:07,200
Speaker 1: Monday night football, we have a double header Jaguars at

735
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:09,520
Speaker 1: the Bills. That one starts around seven thirty. Then I

736
00:37:09,560 --> 00:37:13,680
Speaker 1: think just after eight o'clock it's Washington taking on Cincinnati.

737
00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:15,960
Speaker 1: So we'll just combine this into two. I'll let each

738
00:37:16,040 --> 00:37:18,480
Speaker 1: of you weigh in on both games. Evan you first,

739
00:37:18,560 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 1: any strong lean as far as a side a total

740
00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:24,960
Speaker 1: a player prop go in order of games. So Jaguars

741
00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:25,640
Speaker 1: Bills first.

742
00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:28,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I'll make a bet each week on this.

743
00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:32,960
Speaker 4: I'll take an ETN touchdown on this Jacksonville game. He's

744
00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:35,120
Speaker 4: got ten touchdowns in his last twelve road games.

745
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:35,799
Speaker 2: He's got a.

746
00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:39,520
Speaker 4: Plus five percent delta road versus home in terms of touchdowns.

747
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:43,520
Speaker 4: I kind of like the Jaguars anyway, So I think

748
00:37:43,680 --> 00:37:48,520
Speaker 4: Lawrence will try to keep it a little bit not chaotic,

749
00:37:49,080 --> 00:37:50,840
Speaker 4: and when they get into the red zone, give it

750
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:53,040
Speaker 4: to the guy. I'll try to get past the goal line.

751
00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:54,400
Speaker 4: So I'll take an ETN touchdown.

752
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:55,440
Speaker 2: And in terms of the.

753
00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:58,680
Speaker 4: Other game, I might even look this might be a

754
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:00,879
Speaker 4: little crazy because I think the lines a little right.

755
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:03,240
Speaker 4: I don't know what I'm gonna get with either team.

756
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:06,560
Speaker 4: So maybe something like Jayden Daniels to score two touchdowns

757
00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:09,239
Speaker 4: or something like that. See if he gets into the

758
00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:10,320
Speaker 4: ends on multiple ways.

759
00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:10,640
Speaker 5: Not.

760
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:14,400
Speaker 4: I like Brian Robinson. I bet him last week didn't

761
00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:17,440
Speaker 4: get there. I still think he is a massive problem

762
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:19,759
Speaker 4: for defenses and the way he runs the ball. So

763
00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:22,200
Speaker 4: I think Washington probably gonna feed him a.

764
00:38:22,120 --> 00:38:25,880
Speaker 1: Bit sink spot for the Bengals at home at zero

765
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:28,359
Speaker 1: to two after the Patriots game opening week and then

766
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:30,400
Speaker 1: that nail bier with Kansas City.

767
00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:31,520
Speaker 2: You're laying over seven.

768
00:38:31,600 --> 00:38:34,440
Speaker 4: It's tough for a kitchen spot, that's not that's like

769
00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:37,359
Speaker 4: kitchen sink with a wrench is a problem like that?

770
00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:41,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, or you have to call the maintenance guy, multimance guy,

771
00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:45,239
Speaker 1: fix it and get me another touchdown please to cover

772
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 1: the back door. Brandon Anderson, I'll throw over to you.

773
00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:51,680
Speaker 1: Jags Bills and Commanders Bengals.

774
00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:54,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, there are both kitchen sync games. So I think

775
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:56,960
Speaker 3: it is a pretty good spot for the Jaguars kitchen

776
00:38:57,000 --> 00:39:00,160
Speaker 3: sink team. Since twenty ten, that's not updated from day

777
00:39:00,160 --> 00:39:03,040
Speaker 3: assuming better now, but coming into Sunday, sixty two percent

778
00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:06,560
Speaker 3: against the spread if their favored the previous game like Jacksonville,

779
00:39:06,680 --> 00:39:09,600
Speaker 3: was seventy three percent. If the opponent wasn't underdog like

780
00:39:09,640 --> 00:39:12,440
Speaker 3: the Bills worth seventy two percent. Those numbers all went

781
00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:14,840
Speaker 3: up today as well as the kitchen sink teams played,

782
00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:16,840
Speaker 3: and so I think it's a good spot for Jacksonville.

783
00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:18,839
Speaker 3: This line has been bet down, I think because of that,

784
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:21,440
Speaker 3: but I think there's still some value there, so I

785
00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:23,640
Speaker 3: add back them to like four and a half or

786
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:25,719
Speaker 3: better than that. So get the best number you can

787
00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:27,719
Speaker 3: out there. I only surprised that we'll get a little

788
00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 3: bit more Buffalo money coming into just Monday night that

789
00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:33,520
Speaker 3: you know, the home team two and zero one more

790
00:39:33,560 --> 00:39:37,360
Speaker 3: staff for that one. The Bills last week one. So

791
00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:40,840
Speaker 3: teams that won like Buffalo has a touchdown underdog or

792
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:44,399
Speaker 3: less and they won by seventeen or more. Since twenty ten,

793
00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:48,200
Speaker 3: those teams the following week are thirty five percent ats

794
00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:50,920
Speaker 3: and it's the first five weeks of the season twelve

795
00:39:51,120 --> 00:39:53,880
Speaker 3: forty and a one twenty three percent against the spread.

796
00:39:54,640 --> 00:39:58,239
Speaker 3: It's just the overinflated confidence we have. Look, they beat

797
00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:02,000
Speaker 3: up on the Dolphins. We watched the Dolphins today. Not

798
00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:04,279
Speaker 3: really exciting to be up on the Dolphins right now

799
00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:07,120
Speaker 3: when they're missing those guys. So maybe a little bit

800
00:40:07,160 --> 00:40:10,040
Speaker 3: less on the Bills, Commanders, Bangles. I think it's gonna

801
00:40:10,040 --> 00:40:11,040
Speaker 3: be a fun game. But I think we're just got

802
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 3: a lot of points. Commanders have actually had a pretty

803
00:40:14,000 --> 00:40:16,719
Speaker 3: solid offense so far. I can't say the name Cliff

804
00:40:16,800 --> 00:40:20,880
Speaker 3: Kingsbury very positively, but they're top half the league offense

805
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:24,560
Speaker 3: rushing and passing so far. So I think actually we

806
00:40:24,600 --> 00:40:26,800
Speaker 3: maybe get some more of a shootout in this one.

807
00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:30,120
Speaker 3: But that means that I want something for Cincinnati's offense

808
00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:32,560
Speaker 3: because they're gonna have to keep scoring here. And so

809
00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:35,160
Speaker 3: this is my touchdown bet Brandon. We talked about this

810
00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:39,040
Speaker 3: really briefly on our Friday podcast. Just give me Jamar Chase.

811
00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:42,480
Speaker 3: It's like the squarest, most obvious pick here. Jamar Chase

812
00:40:42,480 --> 00:40:45,719
Speaker 3: has had more than two games without a touchdown in

813
00:40:46,080 --> 00:40:49,759
Speaker 3: a row only twice his entire career. Right now, he's

814
00:40:49,800 --> 00:40:51,879
Speaker 3: gone six games in a row with that one. It's

815
00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:55,600
Speaker 3: time to break the streak. He's scored a touchdown about

816
00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:57,640
Speaker 3: sixty two percent of the time. He go twenty nine

817
00:40:57,680 --> 00:41:00,600
Speaker 3: touchdowns to forty seven games. And you look at what

818
00:41:00,600 --> 00:41:02,319
Speaker 3: the Commanders have allowed this season, I think this might

819
00:41:02,360 --> 00:41:04,800
Speaker 3: be the worst defense in the league. Yeah, Mike Evans

820
00:41:05,000 --> 00:41:08,160
Speaker 3: sixty one yards two touchdowns, Chris Godwin eighty three in

821
00:41:08,160 --> 00:41:11,319
Speaker 3: a touchdown Malik Neighbors ten one hundred and twenty seven

822
00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:14,840
Speaker 3: in a touchdown. So I looked at some escalators here

823
00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:17,320
Speaker 3: you could do like one hundred and a touchdown for Chase,

824
00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:20,080
Speaker 3: maybe like plus three hundred and three fifty. I'm just

825
00:41:20,080 --> 00:41:23,160
Speaker 3: gonna make the official pick the Chase touchdown round plus one,

826
00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:25,680
Speaker 3: twenty one, twenty five. I think we'll get a bunch

827
00:41:25,680 --> 00:41:27,719
Speaker 3: of scores in this one for once on a Monday night.

828
00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:29,840
Speaker 3: So let's get Jamar Chase into the end zone.

829
00:41:30,440 --> 00:41:34,120
Speaker 1: All right, excellent, there you go. And last, but not least,

830
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:37,280
Speaker 1: let's do the hot read. This is a numbers play

831
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:40,279
Speaker 1: by Brandon. So far, so good on the hot red

832
00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:43,439
Speaker 1: since we got those out there three to oho to one,

833
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:47,240
Speaker 1: the one push being Seattle minus three against New England

834
00:41:47,560 --> 00:41:51,360
Speaker 1: two to zero. Last week, Pats Jets Thursday Night goes under,

835
00:41:52,080 --> 00:41:55,600
Speaker 1: Giants and Browns goes under. We didn't courage the Charger Steelers,

836
00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:57,600
Speaker 1: but that will not go towards the record. So three

837
00:41:57,760 --> 00:42:02,080
Speaker 1: oh and one, week four, you are looking to Thursday

838
00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:02,920
Speaker 1: Nights Hot.

839
00:42:02,719 --> 00:42:10,600
Speaker 4: Wrap by on Ice Rights ice Cream nineteen sound nineteen

840
00:42:10,719 --> 00:42:13,239
Speaker 4: HOOI real soul, hot.

841
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:18,279
Speaker 3: I am. I'm gonna take the Cowboys right off the gate.

842
00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:20,560
Speaker 3: I'm just gonna go back to Dallas minus four and

843
00:42:20,600 --> 00:42:23,600
Speaker 3: a half in New York based on the Giants and luck,

844
00:42:23,760 --> 00:42:26,239
Speaker 3: we we know, we know what this Cowboys team is.

845
00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 3: They're gonna get beat up by the Ravens of the world.

846
00:42:29,480 --> 00:42:32,319
Speaker 3: Baltimore like disrespected them. They're like, we don't really need

847
00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:33,840
Speaker 3: to pass. We're just gonna run on you. We're just

848
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:36,279
Speaker 3: gonna run right down your throat. They knew they could.

849
00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:39,320
Speaker 3: Dallas is the second worst run defense coming into the weekend.

850
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:41,840
Speaker 3: The Giants can't do that. The Giants will have a

851
00:42:41,840 --> 00:42:44,680
Speaker 3: good offensive line, they have a great rushing attack, they

852
00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:47,799
Speaker 3: don't have the ability to just ravens you to death

853
00:42:47,840 --> 00:42:50,800
Speaker 3: with Derrick Henry. Meanwhile, the Giants, I think we're getting

854
00:42:50,840 --> 00:42:52,640
Speaker 3: some points on the line here because the Giants got

855
00:42:52,640 --> 00:42:56,080
Speaker 3: the win. More about the Browns to me. The Deshaun

856
00:42:56,120 --> 00:42:59,960
Speaker 3: Watson not looking good Giants secondary is not good to

857
00:43:00,120 --> 00:43:03,120
Speaker 3: matter against de Sean Watson. Might matter against Dak Prescott

858
00:43:03,160 --> 00:43:05,680
Speaker 3: and Ceedee Lamb. So I think this is a spot

859
00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:08,400
Speaker 3: where we've seen this game how many times with Dallas

860
00:43:08,400 --> 00:43:10,600
Speaker 3: against the Giants. In fact, I'll give you the number

861
00:43:11,040 --> 00:43:13,840
Speaker 3: Dallas has won thirteen to the last fourteen against the Giants.

862
00:43:14,080 --> 00:43:16,120
Speaker 3: The only one they lost was a week seventeen game

863
00:43:16,120 --> 00:43:18,640
Speaker 3: that didn't matter, and eleven of those thirteen wins where

864
00:43:18,680 --> 00:43:22,360
Speaker 3: by at least a touchdown. So a lot of spreads

865
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:25,319
Speaker 3: are a lot of ATS trends line up here. Dak

866
00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:28,719
Speaker 3: Prescott in the division seventy three percent. ATS in the

867
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:31,840
Speaker 3: division has a favorite twenty five and eight ATS seventy

868
00:43:31,880 --> 00:43:35,759
Speaker 3: six percent, So our second most profitable quarterback in our

869
00:43:35,800 --> 00:43:39,280
Speaker 3: system at bet Labs, behind only Aaron Rodgers Mike McCarthy

870
00:43:39,280 --> 00:43:41,879
Speaker 3: on a short week, Mike McCarthy has a division favorite.

871
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:44,160
Speaker 3: Just a great, great spot for Dallas, and I think

872
00:43:44,160 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 3: the line is probably going to get up back up

873
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:48,440
Speaker 3: to six or seven where it should be by kickoff.

874
00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:50,520
Speaker 3: I think the Sunday result a buying us a little

875
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:53,960
Speaker 3: bit of value here, so honestly, and now Dallas has

876
00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:56,120
Speaker 3: now lost two in a row. Sometimes the best thing

877
00:43:56,160 --> 00:43:57,719
Speaker 3: is just get back in the field. You'll go out

878
00:43:57,719 --> 00:43:59,840
Speaker 3: and play, and how about playing the Giants. That seems

879
00:43:59,840 --> 00:44:02,239
Speaker 3: like a pretty good plan for me. I already made

880
00:44:02,440 --> 00:44:05,360
Speaker 3: Thursday night plans. I'm gonna see this happen. Dallas gonna

881
00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:08,320
Speaker 3: win going away. So Cowboys minus four and a half.

882
00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:11,200
Speaker 1: Okay, And I know there was another one that you're

883
00:44:11,239 --> 00:44:13,439
Speaker 1: not doing it here, but a total that you liked.

884
00:44:13,800 --> 00:44:17,440
Speaker 1: But the number already fell was Pittsburgh and Indy. That

885
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:20,480
Speaker 1: one's already down to thirty eight and a half. But

886
00:44:20,520 --> 00:44:22,120
Speaker 1: there was a forty one. There was a forty and

887
00:44:22,160 --> 00:44:22,560
Speaker 1: a half.

888
00:44:24,120 --> 00:44:26,000
Speaker 3: But we did we did that one on the look

889
00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:28,920
Speaker 3: ahead already, so hope we got that one from Thursday

890
00:44:28,920 --> 00:44:30,520
Speaker 3: at the forty one. I do have a teaser for

891
00:44:30,560 --> 00:44:31,840
Speaker 3: you from rather hot read tonight.

892
00:44:32,040 --> 00:44:34,319
Speaker 1: Yes, this is the first this year.

893
00:44:34,880 --> 00:44:36,719
Speaker 3: It is the first this year. But you know, I

894
00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:38,920
Speaker 3: love these kind of just win baby teasers, as I

895
00:44:38,960 --> 00:44:40,680
Speaker 3: call them, So I like to take some of these

896
00:44:40,680 --> 00:44:43,000
Speaker 3: favorites the way I think, you know, really where I'm

897
00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:45,000
Speaker 3: going at the Jets and the Chiefs. The Jets right

898
00:44:45,040 --> 00:44:47,319
Speaker 3: now being grab it at seven and a half home

899
00:44:47,360 --> 00:44:50,080
Speaker 3: against the Broncos. The Chiefs are eight and a half

900
00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:54,040
Speaker 3: effectively home against the Chargers. Everybody's home against the Chargers

901
00:44:54,040 --> 00:44:55,959
Speaker 3: in Los Angeles, but that's a home game for the Chiefs.

902
00:44:56,040 --> 00:44:58,799
Speaker 3: Let's be real. So why do we want this now

903
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:01,600
Speaker 3: as a teaser because we're moving the line six points.

904
00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:03,279
Speaker 3: We get the Jets down to one and a half,

905
00:45:03,280 --> 00:45:05,120
Speaker 3: and importantly, we get the Chiefs down to two and

906
00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:07,520
Speaker 3: a half below the field goal. We just need to

907
00:45:07,520 --> 00:45:09,800
Speaker 3: get the win basically now. Two and a half was

908
00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:11,840
Speaker 3: a little more tenuous tonight than I wanted it to

909
00:45:11,880 --> 00:45:13,960
Speaker 3: be in the Falcons game. Hopefully don't get some of

910
00:45:14,000 --> 00:45:17,240
Speaker 3: that again. But the case is, really that's the number.

911
00:45:17,280 --> 00:45:20,400
Speaker 3: I think, because the number is there is why we

912
00:45:20,440 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 3: need to get this now. Because teaser protection is going

913
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:25,400
Speaker 3: to move this line up toward these favorites. That's how

914
00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:28,759
Speaker 3: these big spreads tend to go. Why these teams, I

915
00:45:28,800 --> 00:45:30,920
Speaker 3: don't know if I really need to explain too much.

916
00:45:31,200 --> 00:45:34,040
Speaker 3: The Jets are home with extra rest. Aaron Rodgers looked good.

917
00:45:34,040 --> 00:45:37,719
Speaker 3: It looked like himself. Again, Denver's been competitive, But come on,

918
00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:40,279
Speaker 3: Bonix on the road against the Jets defense. I think

919
00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:42,640
Speaker 3: that one speaks for itself. And then again I said, Chargers,

920
00:45:43,080 --> 00:45:47,000
Speaker 3: don't forget all those injuries. Both tackles probably out or limited,

921
00:45:47,440 --> 00:45:50,319
Speaker 3: Joey Bosa may be limited. And here's the key. The

922
00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:53,520
Speaker 3: Chargers play the Chiefs next week and then they have

923
00:45:53,560 --> 00:45:57,520
Speaker 3: a bye week. That tells me if I'm missing maybe

924
00:45:57,520 --> 00:46:00,800
Speaker 3: my quarterback and my tackles and if maybe not my quarterback,

925
00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:04,040
Speaker 3: if my tackles are out, maybe my quarterback. Maybe let's

926
00:46:04,080 --> 00:46:06,799
Speaker 3: not let them get killed with my tackles out. Right now,

927
00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:10,120
Speaker 3: this sort of feels to me. I know it's the Chiefs.

928
00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:12,479
Speaker 3: I know it's a division game you need, but that's

929
00:46:12,560 --> 00:46:15,359
Speaker 3: like four of your top seven or eight players. If

930
00:46:15,360 --> 00:46:17,840
Speaker 3: they all maybe can't go, you might just live to

931
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:20,359
Speaker 3: fight another day. Get to the bye week, give them

932
00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:23,279
Speaker 3: three weeks off. You got Denver in Arizona coming out

933
00:46:23,280 --> 00:46:25,959
Speaker 3: of the by Chiefs have won seventeen to twenty against

934
00:46:26,000 --> 00:46:28,520
Speaker 3: the Chargers anyway. Chargers haven't won a home game against

935
00:46:28,520 --> 00:46:31,880
Speaker 3: the Chiefs since twenty thirteen. So I'm gonna like this

936
00:46:31,880 --> 00:46:34,359
Speaker 3: one anyway. But there's a chance if some of these

937
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:37,279
Speaker 3: guys set out, this line could really balloon. So this

938
00:46:37,440 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 3: is one. That's why we're a little bit later tonight

939
00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:41,840
Speaker 3: because I said, we gotta wait. I need the Chiefs line.

940
00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:43,959
Speaker 3: Give me the line, get the eight and a half.

941
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:46,399
Speaker 3: You can take it at nine if you need to,

942
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:49,000
Speaker 3: but try to tease that to that key number three

943
00:46:49,160 --> 00:46:53,080
Speaker 3: or below. Jets Chiefs teaser just win baby, love it

944
00:46:53,120 --> 00:46:53,720
Speaker 3: real quick.

945
00:46:53,840 --> 00:46:57,280
Speaker 1: Good question. Someone in the chat has asked Riley Lopez

946
00:46:57,680 --> 00:46:59,319
Speaker 1: any interest in it, and you don't want to watch

947
00:47:00,080 --> 00:47:02,239
Speaker 1: Boys escalator potentially.

948
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:05,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I definitely. I don't think those lines are out yet,

949
00:47:05,000 --> 00:47:07,960
Speaker 3: but that's definitely something I will look at. I don't

950
00:47:08,000 --> 00:47:10,840
Speaker 3: necessarily love to go too aggressive on Thursdays because you

951
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:13,239
Speaker 3: just never know how those things get. But yeah, take

952
00:47:13,239 --> 00:47:16,200
Speaker 3: a look the Cowboys last year. I believe had if

953
00:47:16,200 --> 00:47:19,680
Speaker 3: I remember right nine, I think wins by twenty points

954
00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:23,520
Speaker 3: or more. So that was that the Cowboys are tremendous

955
00:47:23,520 --> 00:47:25,799
Speaker 3: front runners. There's certainly a team where you look at

956
00:47:25,840 --> 00:47:29,799
Speaker 3: that with them. I will say this. The other read

957
00:47:29,880 --> 00:47:32,000
Speaker 3: I looked at for the hot read that there are

958
00:47:32,000 --> 00:47:34,080
Speaker 3: a lot of trends popping on bet labs is an

959
00:47:34,160 --> 00:47:35,960
Speaker 3: under in this game, and that's why I was a

960
00:47:35,960 --> 00:47:38,360
Speaker 3: little hesitant and why it may not be like, Okay,

961
00:47:38,680 --> 00:47:41,839
Speaker 3: I'm not sure about an escalator. However, I also didn't

962
00:47:41,840 --> 00:47:44,280
Speaker 3: play the under because I think Dallas could drop forty

963
00:47:44,280 --> 00:47:46,200
Speaker 3: in this game, so I think that that kind of

964
00:47:46,239 --> 00:47:49,200
Speaker 3: speaks to the possibility here. So yeah, I think that

965
00:47:49,200 --> 00:47:51,560
Speaker 3: that's very much in play and we could get a

966
00:47:51,600 --> 00:47:54,320
Speaker 3: real snoozer and a good get right spot for the Cowboys.

967
00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:57,320
Speaker 1: Okay, well, that just gives you a better reason, folks,

968
00:47:57,320 --> 00:47:59,960
Speaker 1: to keep your eyes glued to the Action Network out.

969
00:48:00,239 --> 00:48:04,320
Speaker 1: Find Brandon Anderson there. Evan Abrams, our director of Research

970
00:48:04,440 --> 00:48:07,399
Speaker 1: and Media. Before we wrap up, let's hear from our

971
00:48:07,480 --> 00:48:12,200
Speaker 1: friend Patrick Everson over at Vegas Insider for a market report.

972
00:48:12,280 --> 00:48:14,560
Speaker 1: How did Las Vegas fare today?

973
00:48:14,960 --> 00:48:17,319
Speaker 5: All right, Brendan, thanks again for having me back on

974
00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:19,160
Speaker 5: the Action Network podcast.

975
00:48:19,880 --> 00:48:22,239
Speaker 6: Wrapping up NFL Week three.

976
00:48:23,600 --> 00:48:24,399
Speaker 1: Quite a lot like.

977
00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:27,279
Speaker 5: NFL Week two, the public did not have a very

978
00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:30,600
Speaker 5: good Sunday in the NFL. It was a little give

979
00:48:30,640 --> 00:48:32,120
Speaker 5: and take with some of the late stuff, with the

980
00:48:32,120 --> 00:48:34,560
Speaker 5: way the Chiefs ended up and so forth, and the

981
00:48:34,560 --> 00:48:37,400
Speaker 5: way the Ravens just ended up beating the Dallas Cowboys covering,

982
00:48:37,440 --> 00:48:40,080
Speaker 5: although that ended up being close late, but generally speaking,

983
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:43,600
Speaker 5: the public took a beating for the second straight week.

984
00:48:44,239 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 5: And just to give you an example of how this

985
00:48:47,280 --> 00:48:51,960
Speaker 5: went at BETMGM, the three most bet teams by spread

986
00:48:52,000 --> 00:48:57,480
Speaker 5: tickets Saints minus three, outright loser Buccaneers minus six, outright

987
00:48:57,520 --> 00:49:04,480
Speaker 5: loser Raiders minus six, outright loser most bet teams by

988
00:49:04,520 --> 00:49:08,920
Speaker 5: spread money Buccaneers minus six. As we've already said, outright

989
00:49:08,960 --> 00:49:14,720
Speaker 5: loser Saints minus three outright loser Titans minus three outright loser.

990
00:49:14,800 --> 00:49:17,239
Speaker 5: So the top three teams among spread tickets and the

991
00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:21,600
Speaker 5: top three teams among spread money all lost outright. They

992
00:49:21,600 --> 00:49:24,839
Speaker 5: were all favorites, so that didn't set the table too

993
00:49:24,840 --> 00:49:27,520
Speaker 5: well for the public. A lot of this happening in

994
00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:29,399
Speaker 5: the early games of the Raiders was a late game

995
00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:34,040
Speaker 5: Saints losing to Philly, the Buccaneers stunningly losing to my

996
00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:38,640
Speaker 5: Denver Broncos. And then another key game there was the

997
00:49:38,800 --> 00:49:42,160
Speaker 5: Browns losing to the New York Football Giants. That was

998
00:49:42,200 --> 00:49:45,160
Speaker 5: a surprise to everybody as well. And that was again

999
00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:47,720
Speaker 5: another one that didn't work out too well for the public.

1000
00:49:47,840 --> 00:49:50,480
Speaker 5: And I'll tell you Circus Survivor is an absolute mess

1001
00:49:50,560 --> 00:49:53,560
Speaker 5: right now. A whole lot of people lost lost their

1002
00:49:54,000 --> 00:49:58,319
Speaker 5: lost their entries today or Sunday, i should say, and

1003
00:49:58,440 --> 00:50:00,880
Speaker 5: that contest is way down. They're like under two thousand

1004
00:50:00,920 --> 00:50:03,279
Speaker 5: people now. I think after it started it more than

1005
00:50:03,320 --> 00:50:06,480
Speaker 5: fourteen thousand, six hundred, I believe something like that.

1006
00:50:06,960 --> 00:50:09,000
Speaker 6: So that feel has just been decimated.

1007
00:50:09,280 --> 00:50:13,680
Speaker 5: From Christian Sippolini behind the counter for benam Jam, he said,

1008
00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:15,959
Speaker 5: really the early window was the key there. He said,

1009
00:50:16,280 --> 00:50:20,440
Speaker 5: everybody pretty much everybody that we needed there got.

1010
00:50:20,160 --> 00:50:22,239
Speaker 6: There, and the early windows Sunday is what I'm alluding to.

1011
00:50:22,320 --> 00:50:25,040
Speaker 5: He said, the Giants and Broncos were huge, and at

1012
00:50:25,040 --> 00:50:26,960
Speaker 5: that point he said it should be a successful Sunday

1013
00:50:26,960 --> 00:50:28,919
Speaker 5: regardless of how the rest of the night shakes out.

1014
00:50:29,400 --> 00:50:32,400
Speaker 5: I think benham jam would have preferred the Cowboys, and

1015
00:50:32,880 --> 00:50:35,160
Speaker 5: certainly would have preferred the Falcons, but still ended up

1016
00:50:35,440 --> 00:50:38,800
Speaker 5: having a really good day there and checking in with

1017
00:50:39,239 --> 00:50:42,520
Speaker 5: a couple of other odds makers, Chase Michaelson at the

1018
00:50:42,560 --> 00:50:46,759
Speaker 5: Super Book noted that this was a really good weekend overall.

1019
00:50:46,800 --> 00:50:49,680
Speaker 5: He said, these are the kind of weekends they keep

1020
00:50:49,719 --> 00:50:52,080
Speaker 5: the lights on during the summer, so that gives you

1021
00:50:52,080 --> 00:50:54,200
Speaker 5: an idea of just how well they did. And again

1022
00:50:54,600 --> 00:50:58,560
Speaker 5: that's despite the book losing to the Chiefs on Sunday night.

1023
00:50:58,600 --> 00:51:01,440
Speaker 5: The Chiefs win and cover two to seventeen, holding off

1024
00:51:02,000 --> 00:51:06,239
Speaker 5: Atlanta there. But Chase also noted that the Rams were

1025
00:51:06,320 --> 00:51:10,240
Speaker 5: unexpected but helpful. I'm not going to phrase this exactly

1026
00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:11,839
Speaker 5: how he phrased this, because we're going to keep this

1027
00:51:11,840 --> 00:51:15,320
Speaker 5: good family programming, but he said, honestly, we weren't watching

1028
00:51:15,360 --> 00:51:17,919
Speaker 5: that Rams forty nine Ers game that closely. I kind

1029
00:51:17,920 --> 00:51:22,759
Speaker 5: of don't know how the hell that happened, So they

1030
00:51:22,760 --> 00:51:26,280
Speaker 5: were certainly surprised by that one. And again generally speaking,

1031
00:51:26,320 --> 00:51:30,080
Speaker 5: this was another pretty good Sunday for the books. One book,

1032
00:51:30,480 --> 00:51:34,480
Speaker 5: South Point Sportsbook in a rare position of actually needing

1033
00:51:34,520 --> 00:51:37,120
Speaker 5: the Chiefs, so they did good to the Sunday night

1034
00:51:37,160 --> 00:51:39,560
Speaker 5: game that she getting the Chiefs and the under That's

1035
00:51:39,600 --> 00:51:43,000
Speaker 5: exactly what they needed. It's rare that you need the favorite,

1036
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:45,319
Speaker 5: and certainly in a standalone game, and certainly rare that

1037
00:51:45,360 --> 00:51:48,040
Speaker 5: you need the Chiefs whether they're a favorite or an underdog.

1038
00:51:48,320 --> 00:51:50,319
Speaker 5: So that was a nice position for Chris Anders to

1039
00:51:50,360 --> 00:51:53,160
Speaker 5: be in and one where his book picked up a

1040
00:51:53,200 --> 00:51:56,960
Speaker 5: win as well. So again another difficult week for the public.

1041
00:51:57,040 --> 00:52:00,120
Speaker 5: Maybe it comes back in week four, we shall see.

1042
00:52:00,360 --> 00:52:03,279
Speaker 5: Looking ahead to Monday Night, I think it's easiest to

1043
00:52:03,280 --> 00:52:04,879
Speaker 5: put it just like this, and this is from Chase

1044
00:52:04,920 --> 00:52:08,319
Speaker 5: Michaelson again at the super Book. He said days ago,

1045
00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:09,960
Speaker 5: and I'm sure this is going to be the case

1046
00:52:10,040 --> 00:52:12,799
Speaker 5: now heading into Monday Night. He said, look, this is

1047
00:52:12,840 --> 00:52:16,440
Speaker 5: going to be take the Bills and the Bengals on

1048
00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:18,080
Speaker 5: your parlay and go to sleep.

1049
00:52:18,600 --> 00:52:21,320
Speaker 6: So certainly there's gonna be plenty of action, going.

1050
00:52:21,120 --> 00:52:26,080
Speaker 5: To Buffalo against the Jags and going to the Bengals

1051
00:52:26,120 --> 00:52:30,120
Speaker 5: against the Commanders, and again those are that's gonna be

1052
00:52:30,120 --> 00:52:32,640
Speaker 5: the easy parlay to line up, and any parlays Monday

1053
00:52:32,640 --> 00:52:35,560
Speaker 5: line parlays that are live still that made it through Sunday,

1054
00:52:36,040 --> 00:52:39,200
Speaker 5: those are going to run to the Bills and to

1055
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:41,680
Speaker 5: the Bengals as well, so you can count on them

1056
00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:45,279
Speaker 5: rooting for the underdogs in the sort of doubleheader on

1057
00:52:45,400 --> 00:52:48,560
Speaker 5: Monday Night football. Those games overlap, so they're having Brandon.

1058
00:52:48,560 --> 00:52:50,400
Speaker 6: Thanks a lot. We'll talk to you next week.

1059
00:52:50,440 --> 00:52:54,600
Speaker 1: Gentlemen, great stuff, good luck next weekend. I'll be here

1060
00:52:54,600 --> 00:52:58,000
Speaker 1: for the Roundtable episode on Tuesday. Yours truly is getting

1061
00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:02,600
Speaker 1: married on Friday, so I'm out on Sunday, So the

1062
00:53:02,719 --> 00:53:06,840
Speaker 1: Giants Cowboys game might just be on, but for the

1063
00:53:06,880 --> 00:53:10,680
Speaker 1: welcome party it might be a fun little thing, so

1064
00:53:11,280 --> 00:53:13,359
Speaker 1: but it probably won't be on. I have other things

1065
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:13,880
Speaker 1: to attend to.

1066
00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:16,480
Speaker 3: That's get your bet in, Brandon. Let's win you some

1067
00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:17,839
Speaker 3: money and send you off the right way.

1068
00:53:18,600 --> 00:53:20,160
Speaker 1: You want to tell my fiance that, I'll me go

1069
00:53:20,200 --> 00:53:24,279
Speaker 1: grab her and see what she thinks of that. I'm

1070
00:53:24,320 --> 00:53:26,719
Speaker 1: just kidding, all right, that's it. Thank you, guys very

1071
00:53:26,800 --> 00:53:28,640
Speaker 1: much for tuning in live on YouTube. Those of you

1072
00:53:28,719 --> 00:53:32,280
Speaker 1: tuning in on the Action Network Podcast from the audio side,

1073
00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:35,680
Speaker 1: thank you very much. Leave your five star ratings and reviews.

1074
00:53:35,840 --> 00:53:39,120
Speaker 1: We are back here with plenty to lead you into

1075
00:53:39,160 --> 00:53:41,640
Speaker 1: week four. We get the roundtable episode coming your way

1076
00:53:41,680 --> 00:53:44,440
Speaker 1: Tuesday afternoon, and all that other good stuff. Thanks for

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Speaker 1: tuning in to our NFL Week three recap episode here

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Speaker 1: on the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

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Speaker 5: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

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Speaker 5: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler