WEBVTT - Big Tech Earnings Preview, SBF Testifies

0:00:01.400 --> 0:00:05.720
<v Speaker 1>From Mahart where Innovation, Money and Power Collie in Silicon

0:00:05.800 --> 0:00:06.800
<v Speaker 1>Valley n Beyond.

0:00:07.040 --> 0:00:30.360
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hide and Ed Ludlow.

0:00:25.720 --> 0:00:28.680
<v Speaker 3>Live from Bloomberg's World headquarters in New York. I'm Shanali

0:00:28.720 --> 0:00:31.160
<v Speaker 3>bask In for Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow.

0:00:31.320 --> 0:00:34.440
<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberg Technology. Coming up on this hour, full

0:00:34.479 --> 0:00:35.400
<v Speaker 4>earnings coverage ahead.

0:00:35.440 --> 0:00:37.720
<v Speaker 3>We're going to break down results from Meta and push

0:00:37.760 --> 0:00:41.200
<v Speaker 3>ahead to Amazon and Intel's earnings after the bell, Plus

0:00:41.240 --> 0:00:45.159
<v Speaker 3>Sam Megan Fried's testimony is the latest must see moment in.

0:00:45.120 --> 0:00:46.600
<v Speaker 4>The high profile fraud case.

0:00:46.680 --> 0:00:49.440
<v Speaker 3>Updates this hour, and we'll look at the thorny issues

0:00:49.520 --> 0:00:53.560
<v Speaker 3>over technology between the US and China as President Biden.

0:00:53.280 --> 0:00:55.120
<v Speaker 4>Plans to meet with China's foreign minister.

0:00:55.560 --> 0:00:57.720
<v Speaker 3>Now from Tech Earnings, let's bring in Alison Porter, a

0:00:57.800 --> 0:01:02.360
<v Speaker 3>portfolio manager from Janis Henderson on Global Technology Leader's Team. Alison,

0:01:02.400 --> 0:01:06.640
<v Speaker 3>we talk so much about this magnificent, magnificent seven dynamic.

0:01:07.120 --> 0:01:09.240
<v Speaker 3>When you look at some of the drawdowns, we're saying,

0:01:09.319 --> 0:01:11.480
<v Speaker 3>how do you play what's next?

0:01:12.360 --> 0:01:14.480
<v Speaker 5>I mean, when you look at today, you can see

0:01:14.480 --> 0:01:16.600
<v Speaker 5>that this is the first day in sometime that we've

0:01:16.640 --> 0:01:21.240
<v Speaker 5>actually seen all of those Magnificent seven stocks actually down together,

0:01:21.840 --> 0:01:25.880
<v Speaker 5>and we're definitely seeing some signs of profit taking, and

0:01:25.920 --> 0:01:29.560
<v Speaker 5>I think that's really a reflection of more where the

0:01:29.600 --> 0:01:32.759
<v Speaker 5>market is, where bond yields are, and some profit taking

0:01:32.920 --> 0:01:36.120
<v Speaker 5>than it is on earnings results. You know, when you

0:01:36.160 --> 0:01:39.040
<v Speaker 5>look at Meta's results last night, across the board, they

0:01:39.080 --> 0:01:42.640
<v Speaker 5>were really very strong, and you know, we've seen.

0:01:42.480 --> 0:01:43.880
<v Speaker 1>Expectations to tick up.

0:01:44.000 --> 0:01:48.560
<v Speaker 5>I think the Magnificent seven are very very There's a

0:01:48.760 --> 0:01:53.440
<v Speaker 5>wide dispersion of valuations, and even companies like Meta that

0:01:53.480 --> 0:01:56.240
<v Speaker 5>are trade at a discount to the broader equity market,

0:01:56.240 --> 0:02:00.760
<v Speaker 5>that trade at a discount to other technology stocks are being

0:02:00.880 --> 0:02:02.040
<v Speaker 5>hit hard today.

0:02:02.120 --> 0:02:02.919
<v Speaker 1>So it's not really.

0:02:02.760 --> 0:02:05.800
<v Speaker 5>About valuations, it's not been about earning estimates, but just

0:02:05.840 --> 0:02:06.760
<v Speaker 5>some profit taking.

0:02:07.200 --> 0:02:09.160
<v Speaker 1>I think, given as the market has been.

0:02:09.080 --> 0:02:11.839
<v Speaker 5>So concentrated and we're seeing a bond deals almost top

0:02:11.880 --> 0:02:12.960
<v Speaker 5>five percent.

0:02:12.760 --> 0:02:16.399
<v Speaker 3>When you're looking at the metal warning on economic uncertainty

0:02:16.440 --> 0:02:19.000
<v Speaker 3>and you look across the technology sector, who do you

0:02:19.000 --> 0:02:21.320
<v Speaker 3>think will be most hard to hit in this scenario

0:02:21.360 --> 0:02:23.680
<v Speaker 3>that has not been sold off significantly enough.

0:02:24.560 --> 0:02:27.480
<v Speaker 5>So you know, I don't think Meta warned on the

0:02:27.480 --> 0:02:31.320
<v Speaker 5>macro to be I think, you know, Meta commented that

0:02:31.480 --> 0:02:36.160
<v Speaker 5>you know, after major conflicts, there's sometimes a pause or

0:02:36.200 --> 0:02:41.200
<v Speaker 5>a slowdown, and actually their guidance be forward revenue bracketed.

0:02:40.800 --> 0:02:42.600
<v Speaker 1>Exactly where consensus laws.

0:02:42.680 --> 0:02:46.600
<v Speaker 5>But when we came into twenty twenty three, earnings estimates

0:02:46.639 --> 0:02:50.880
<v Speaker 5>for twenty twenty four for META or for about ten dollars.

0:02:51.520 --> 0:02:56.320
<v Speaker 5>Now as we're exiting this year, estimates are for seventeen dollars,

0:02:56.320 --> 0:02:59.880
<v Speaker 5>So we've seen that seventy percent increase in expectations already.

0:03:00.120 --> 0:03:03.200
<v Speaker 5>Maybe some disappointment that those aren't continuing to go up,

0:03:03.240 --> 0:03:05.880
<v Speaker 5>but I think, you know, given where bondis are, given

0:03:05.919 --> 0:03:11.600
<v Speaker 5>the macro uncertainty, not raising guidance has caused some profit taking.

0:03:12.320 --> 0:03:14.160
<v Speaker 1>Obviously with bond deals where they.

0:03:14.040 --> 0:03:18.679
<v Speaker 5>Are, there's concern about the consumer the stronger dollar in Europe.

0:03:18.919 --> 0:03:21.400
<v Speaker 5>But you know, we think most of the pressure that

0:03:21.400 --> 0:03:25.000
<v Speaker 5>we've seen has not been on retail spend on smaller items,

0:03:25.000 --> 0:03:28.280
<v Speaker 5>but on items where the consumer has to actually borrow.

0:03:28.560 --> 0:03:31.640
<v Speaker 5>So that's not really been an advertising sprind or smaller

0:03:31.680 --> 0:03:37.480
<v Speaker 5>cap or purchases, but more in terms of where consumers

0:03:37.480 --> 0:03:40.880
<v Speaker 5>have had to borrow, like autos, where we're definitely seeing

0:03:40.880 --> 0:03:42.280
<v Speaker 5>a bit of a slowdown.

0:03:42.000 --> 0:03:43.960
<v Speaker 3>You know, talking about bond yield a little more. You

0:03:44.040 --> 0:03:47.000
<v Speaker 3>do see a cooling today, but they have been extraordinarily

0:03:47.280 --> 0:03:50.120
<v Speaker 3>all at all. How do you think that this will

0:03:50.160 --> 0:03:52.880
<v Speaker 3>continue into this story When you're thinking about how tech

0:03:52.920 --> 0:03:55.120
<v Speaker 3>response to rates.

0:03:54.880 --> 0:03:58.040
<v Speaker 5>Well, you know, we think that in twenty twenty, which

0:03:58.040 --> 0:04:02.760
<v Speaker 5>obviously was a huge year for for technology, money was free.

0:04:02.960 --> 0:04:05.200
<v Speaker 5>Interest rates were almost at zero, and it caused some

0:04:05.760 --> 0:04:10.600
<v Speaker 5>irrational buying of stocks which are perennially unprofitable. But that

0:04:10.840 --> 0:04:14.320
<v Speaker 5>higher cost of capital now is really causing investors. It's

0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:18.400
<v Speaker 5>a great environment for active investors, actually, because investors have

0:04:18.480 --> 0:04:20.719
<v Speaker 5>got to really get back to fundamentals and focus on

0:04:20.760 --> 0:04:22.040
<v Speaker 5>those companies.

0:04:21.520 --> 0:04:24.200
<v Speaker 1>That actually have the strongest balance sheets.

0:04:24.240 --> 0:04:28.000
<v Speaker 5>And actually the technology sector has best balance sheet across

0:04:28.080 --> 0:04:31.040
<v Speaker 5>all of equities. You know, Meta has over twenty five

0:04:31.120 --> 0:04:34.359
<v Speaker 5>billion in net cash, Alphabet is over ninety billion in

0:04:34.400 --> 0:04:37.680
<v Speaker 5>net cash. And that means that those companies can not

0:04:37.720 --> 0:04:41.040
<v Speaker 5>only continue to reinvest in new areas such as artificial

0:04:41.040 --> 0:04:45.200
<v Speaker 5>intelligence and driving more innovation and earning scains, but it

0:04:45.279 --> 0:04:48.000
<v Speaker 5>also means that they can buy back stock and they

0:04:48.000 --> 0:04:50.680
<v Speaker 5>can start to really return money to shareholders. And we

0:04:50.680 --> 0:04:54.160
<v Speaker 5>saw that with Metal last quarter, buying over three billion

0:04:54.200 --> 0:04:58.039
<v Speaker 5>and stock back and Alphabet also continuing on that journey

0:04:58.040 --> 0:05:01.240
<v Speaker 5>of shareholder return, which we think is really strong long

0:05:01.320 --> 0:05:04.840
<v Speaker 5>term support for these companies and for shareholders.

0:05:05.200 --> 0:05:08.240
<v Speaker 3>Are you seeing any buying moments right now or do

0:05:08.320 --> 0:05:10.320
<v Speaker 3>you think that it's just too volerable and the sell

0:05:10.360 --> 0:05:11.680
<v Speaker 3>off as yet to come still.

0:05:12.200 --> 0:05:15.520
<v Speaker 5>Now, we think this is a great environment for active investors,

0:05:16.040 --> 0:05:19.240
<v Speaker 5>and we do think that valuation discipline is more important

0:05:19.240 --> 0:05:23.280
<v Speaker 5>than ever in this market given the pace of innovation

0:05:23.600 --> 0:05:25.360
<v Speaker 5>on artificial intelligence.

0:05:25.600 --> 0:05:27.080
<v Speaker 1>I think if you're trying to look.

0:05:26.880 --> 0:05:30.039
<v Speaker 5>Out for ten or twenty years and pick winners in

0:05:30.240 --> 0:05:34.080
<v Speaker 5>ten or fifteen years time, and you're willing to look

0:05:34.160 --> 0:05:37.840
<v Speaker 5>at losses every year, that's a very difficult environment. That's

0:05:37.880 --> 0:05:40.520
<v Speaker 5>not what we look for. We look for companies have

0:05:40.600 --> 0:05:45.000
<v Speaker 5>strong balance sheets, strong positive free cash flow, who can

0:05:45.040 --> 0:05:49.040
<v Speaker 5>continue to reinvest, and we do see some really attractive

0:05:49.120 --> 0:05:53.920
<v Speaker 5>valuations which are at a discount to the broader equity

0:05:53.960 --> 0:05:57.560
<v Speaker 5>market for actually what is much stronger long term growth?

0:05:58.640 --> 0:06:00.760
<v Speaker 3>How are you looking at this earning in as well?

0:06:00.800 --> 0:06:03.919
<v Speaker 3>We're looking forward to a host of more companies Intel, Amazon,

0:06:04.200 --> 0:06:05.040
<v Speaker 3>What are you going to.

0:06:04.960 --> 0:06:05.680
<v Speaker 4>Be looking for.

0:06:07.760 --> 0:06:10.159
<v Speaker 5>Look at You know, when you look at metas earnings,

0:06:10.279 --> 0:06:12.400
<v Speaker 5>some of the key factors that came out of.

0:06:12.360 --> 0:06:14.000
<v Speaker 1>Meta's earnings, where you know.

0:06:14.000 --> 0:06:18.680
<v Speaker 5>The strength of engagement, that's the user engagement user how

0:06:18.839 --> 0:06:21.839
<v Speaker 5>users react to the platform and the products that you serve,

0:06:22.760 --> 0:06:25.560
<v Speaker 5>and efficiency, a focus on capital allocation.

0:06:25.720 --> 0:06:27.440
<v Speaker 1>So when we look we hear.

0:06:27.440 --> 0:06:30.400
<v Speaker 5>Amazon's results tonight, again that's going to be key.

0:06:30.760 --> 0:06:32.640
<v Speaker 1>You know, what are prime members.

0:06:32.320 --> 0:06:36.200
<v Speaker 5>Doing, how are they responding to investments in their regionalization,

0:06:36.800 --> 0:06:39.560
<v Speaker 5>And then we'll look at AWS and I think the

0:06:39.600 --> 0:06:41.719
<v Speaker 5>growth in AWS is going to be a key driver

0:06:42.560 --> 0:06:46.800
<v Speaker 5>out of Amazon Web. Amazon's results tonight, expectations have come

0:06:46.839 --> 0:06:50.000
<v Speaker 5>down somewhat from sixteen percent growth.

0:06:49.800 --> 0:06:51.800
<v Speaker 1>Down closer to.

0:06:51.360 --> 0:06:53.760
<v Speaker 5>Twelve percent that people are looking for and I think

0:06:53.800 --> 0:06:56.839
<v Speaker 5>we're just looking for a stabilization in some of that

0:06:56.960 --> 0:07:01.599
<v Speaker 5>those optimization trends. After the strength that myso soul in

0:07:01.640 --> 0:07:05.359
<v Speaker 5>its cloud division, Investors want to see that Amazon is

0:07:05.440 --> 0:07:09.400
<v Speaker 5>ticket is also seeing some benefits all of that's investments

0:07:09.440 --> 0:07:13.640
<v Speaker 5>in artificial intelligence as well, that they are seeing some

0:07:13.920 --> 0:07:19.000
<v Speaker 5>stabilization and the optimization that they've seen from customers over

0:07:19.040 --> 0:07:19.800
<v Speaker 5>the last year.

0:07:20.760 --> 0:07:23.640
<v Speaker 3>Alice Importer of Janis Henderson, we thank you for your time.

0:07:24.040 --> 0:07:26.560
<v Speaker 3>Let's hone in now on the digital advertising space for

0:07:26.600 --> 0:07:29.280
<v Speaker 3>these companies and bring in. Rachel Tippograph, the founder and

0:07:29.400 --> 0:07:32.800
<v Speaker 3>CEO of Micmac and e commerce marketing platform for multi

0:07:32.840 --> 0:07:33.640
<v Speaker 3>channel brands.

0:07:33.720 --> 0:07:35.400
<v Speaker 4>Rachel, when you look at.

0:07:35.320 --> 0:07:38.040
<v Speaker 3>Meta itself, what did you take away?

0:07:38.920 --> 0:07:41.800
<v Speaker 6>I was super excited to see metas earnings because what

0:07:41.880 --> 0:07:46.720
<v Speaker 6>it demonstrated is that advertising is active in market and

0:07:46.840 --> 0:07:49.360
<v Speaker 6>Meta has made their ads more efficient.

0:07:49.760 --> 0:07:51.960
<v Speaker 7>And how have they done that with focus?

0:07:52.480 --> 0:07:56.000
<v Speaker 6>Meta stop focusing on the metaverse, Meta stop focusing on

0:07:56.080 --> 0:07:57.400
<v Speaker 6>trying to build native.

0:07:57.120 --> 0:08:00.880
<v Speaker 7>Commerce, and they went all in on improved their core business,

0:08:00.920 --> 0:08:03.720
<v Speaker 7>which is advertising. And a huge part of that is.

0:08:03.680 --> 0:08:07.000
<v Speaker 6>The investments that they one have made to combat changes

0:08:07.320 --> 0:08:10.560
<v Speaker 6>with Apple's iOS privacy changes where all of a sudden

0:08:10.640 --> 0:08:15.040
<v Speaker 6>the world moved from automatically opt in to now automatically

0:08:15.080 --> 0:08:19.120
<v Speaker 6>opt out, as well as AI. What AI is allowing

0:08:19.480 --> 0:08:22.320
<v Speaker 6>to happen within the advertising ecosystem is it's lowering the

0:08:22.320 --> 0:08:25.480
<v Speaker 6>barrier to entry. It's making it easier to buy ads

0:08:25.520 --> 0:08:28.560
<v Speaker 6>than ever before because one of the first areas that

0:08:28.640 --> 0:08:31.280
<v Speaker 6>Meta has invested in is on the creative side, and

0:08:31.400 --> 0:08:35.239
<v Speaker 6>creative has typically been a huge barrier to buying ads.

0:08:35.720 --> 0:08:38.360
<v Speaker 3>Rachel, when you think about the potential slow down the

0:08:38.400 --> 0:08:42.080
<v Speaker 3>economy could face, how much are you concerned that this

0:08:42.160 --> 0:08:45.079
<v Speaker 3>is going to eat into advertising dollars and who is

0:08:45.360 --> 0:08:48.720
<v Speaker 3>the kind of worst off here if things slow down materially.

0:08:50.640 --> 0:08:54.960
<v Speaker 6>I think the outlooking to four on advertising is shaky,

0:08:55.040 --> 0:08:57.920
<v Speaker 6>and the reason being is that the biggest brands in

0:08:57.960 --> 0:09:00.760
<v Speaker 6>the world are under an enormous amount of pressure.

0:09:01.320 --> 0:09:03.319
<v Speaker 7>Their margins are really compressed.

0:09:03.640 --> 0:09:06.800
<v Speaker 6>It's more expensive than ever before to bring goods to market,

0:09:07.160 --> 0:09:10.200
<v Speaker 6>to bring them to a retailer, and then negotiate those

0:09:10.240 --> 0:09:11.520
<v Speaker 6>relationships with retailers.

0:09:11.520 --> 0:09:13.720
<v Speaker 7>That's really where the margin compression is happening.

0:09:14.280 --> 0:09:16.720
<v Speaker 6>And so in order for them to meet Wall Street's numbers,

0:09:17.160 --> 0:09:19.160
<v Speaker 6>typically one of the first places that they.

0:09:19.040 --> 0:09:21.319
<v Speaker 7>Cut budget is in advertising.

0:09:22.440 --> 0:09:25.800
<v Speaker 6>That being said, we are entering the holiday season, so

0:09:25.920 --> 0:09:29.680
<v Speaker 6>typically you'll see brands allocate upwards seventy five percent of

0:09:29.679 --> 0:09:30.439
<v Speaker 6>their media.

0:09:30.200 --> 0:09:31.840
<v Speaker 7>Budget two Q four.

0:09:32.400 --> 0:09:34.320
<v Speaker 6>But I think that they're going to be really choosy

0:09:34.320 --> 0:09:36.600
<v Speaker 6>with their dollars and they're going to invest it in

0:09:36.720 --> 0:09:41.800
<v Speaker 6>platforms where there's consistent ROI Meta is one of those platforms.

0:09:42.080 --> 0:09:45.679
<v Speaker 6>At Nickmac, around eighty five percent of the paid brand.

0:09:45.400 --> 0:09:48.920
<v Speaker 7>Impressions that we see go through Meta. That's how significant

0:09:48.920 --> 0:09:51.880
<v Speaker 7>they are. But the other big area is retail media.

0:09:52.400 --> 0:09:57.640
<v Speaker 6>Meta's competition isn't just Snap and Pinterest and TikTok, it's Amazon,

0:09:57.760 --> 0:10:00.200
<v Speaker 6>it's Target, it's Walmart. And we'll see how that is

0:10:00.200 --> 0:10:01.800
<v Speaker 6>out in Amazon's earnings leader.

0:10:01.679 --> 0:10:04.440
<v Speaker 3>Today, Rachel, can the holiday season save these companies?

0:10:06.480 --> 0:10:08.880
<v Speaker 7>I don't think so. I think that the holiday season

0:10:08.960 --> 0:10:11.520
<v Speaker 7>is going to be really tough. What we have seen

0:10:11.559 --> 0:10:14.640
<v Speaker 7>in micmacs data this year is that there's been.

0:10:14.520 --> 0:10:19.000
<v Speaker 6>A seventeen percent decline in the average vasket size, and

0:10:19.040 --> 0:10:23.320
<v Speaker 6>that really has to do with inflation. Consumers are spending,

0:10:23.400 --> 0:10:25.680
<v Speaker 6>but they're being more selected and.

0:10:25.600 --> 0:10:27.760
<v Speaker 7>They're willing to trade down right now.

0:10:28.720 --> 0:10:31.920
<v Speaker 6>I believe that that's going to translate into the holiday season.

0:10:33.320 --> 0:10:36.720
<v Speaker 3>Rachel Tipograph of micmac, thank you for your time. Coming up,

0:10:36.760 --> 0:10:39.600
<v Speaker 3>we have more to expect on Amazon's earnings and preview

0:10:39.800 --> 0:10:43.240
<v Speaker 3>for Intel's earnings after the valve. And speaking of chips,

0:10:43.240 --> 0:10:46.600
<v Speaker 3>as we had to break watching shares of sk Heinex,

0:10:46.880 --> 0:10:49.320
<v Speaker 3>the South Korean memory chip maker, following the most in

0:10:49.360 --> 0:10:52.640
<v Speaker 3>the year after reporting a larger than expected loss.

0:10:52.960 --> 0:11:12.160
<v Speaker 4>More earnings coverage ahead. This is Bloomberg Technology. Now let's

0:11:12.200 --> 0:11:13.240
<v Speaker 4>get back to earnings.

0:11:13.320 --> 0:11:16.080
<v Speaker 3>Amazon do out after the bell today and Bloomberg Spencer

0:11:16.160 --> 0:11:17.199
<v Speaker 3>Soper is joining us.

0:11:17.400 --> 0:11:18.880
<v Speaker 4>Now, when you look.

0:11:18.679 --> 0:11:21.319
<v Speaker 3>At what has already happened in the big tech industry,

0:11:21.360 --> 0:11:24.400
<v Speaker 3>are you concerned that or are investors concerned rather that

0:11:24.440 --> 0:11:27.760
<v Speaker 3>Amazon could be facing a greater slowdown ahead in any fashion.

0:11:27.880 --> 0:11:29.680
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, this is going to be very telling because you

0:11:29.720 --> 0:11:34.679
<v Speaker 8>see the market already reacted to Alphabet's earnings on cloud sales,

0:11:34.720 --> 0:11:38.360
<v Speaker 8>and so they're already kind of expecting, you know, a

0:11:38.400 --> 0:11:41.760
<v Speaker 8>similar trajectory with Amazon. Let's from our Amazon last quarter,

0:11:42.679 --> 0:11:45.400
<v Speaker 8>it's cloud computing sales growth was the lowest it has

0:11:45.400 --> 0:11:48.560
<v Speaker 8>ever been, and investors are really hoping to see that

0:11:48.559 --> 0:11:51.040
<v Speaker 8>that's the bottom of the troth and we're and we're

0:11:51.080 --> 0:11:54.679
<v Speaker 8>moving back upward. So yeah, there's definitely concern around the

0:11:55.000 --> 0:11:58.880
<v Speaker 8>cloud market, and also concern on advertising sales, like your

0:11:58.960 --> 0:12:02.280
<v Speaker 8>previous guest was talking about the Facebook market, and Amazon

0:12:02.880 --> 0:12:06.080
<v Speaker 8>advertising is something that definitely contributes to its profit margin.

0:12:06.920 --> 0:12:09.200
<v Speaker 8>And then if people are pulling back there, investors are

0:12:09.240 --> 0:12:10.719
<v Speaker 8>going to be interested to see what that means for

0:12:11.120 --> 0:12:11.839
<v Speaker 8>Amazon's results.

0:12:11.880 --> 0:12:13.040
<v Speaker 4>So we're talking about a truck.

0:12:12.840 --> 0:12:14.640
<v Speaker 3>And a key business. Do you think that there's any

0:12:14.640 --> 0:12:16.040
<v Speaker 3>signs of turnaround?

0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:19.439
<v Speaker 8>Well, Microsoft, there's mixed messages, right, because Microsoft had a

0:12:20.200 --> 0:12:25.880
<v Speaker 8>good print and Alphabet didn't. So yet it will be

0:12:25.240 --> 0:12:28.800
<v Speaker 8>interesting to see where Amazon differentiates. And one thing I

0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:31.240
<v Speaker 8>think where investors are concerned about is maybe Amazon getting

0:12:31.240 --> 0:12:34.599
<v Speaker 8>a little bit quite a little flat footed on artificial intelligence.

0:12:35.120 --> 0:12:37.360
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Spencer so for thank you so much for your

0:12:37.360 --> 0:12:39.040
<v Speaker 3>time and out today after the bell.

0:12:39.160 --> 0:12:39.880
<v Speaker 4>Also is Intel.

0:12:39.960 --> 0:12:42.920
<v Speaker 3>The quarterly report will update investors on progress to turn

0:12:42.960 --> 0:12:46.839
<v Speaker 3>around its fortunes and regain lost sales. Bloomberg cy and

0:12:46.880 --> 0:12:49.400
<v Speaker 3>King joins us now from San Francisco. What do you

0:12:49.440 --> 0:12:52.280
<v Speaker 3>think the future looks like for Intel, particularly in this

0:12:52.559 --> 0:12:56.199
<v Speaker 3>very heated competitive space that they're walking into further.

0:12:57.240 --> 0:12:59.120
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I mean there are two things that play here.

0:13:01.000 --> 0:13:03.920
<v Speaker 9>Analysts are saying basically, look, the PC market is through,

0:13:04.000 --> 0:13:07.160
<v Speaker 9>it's worse. That's the big volume segment for Intel. So

0:13:07.200 --> 0:13:09.880
<v Speaker 9>we're going to get some kind of an improvement going forward.

0:13:09.920 --> 0:13:13.040
<v Speaker 9>But they are still concerned about, you know, what spencers

0:13:13.080 --> 0:13:16.800
<v Speaker 9>companies are doing, what Amazon is spending on servers, what

0:13:17.040 --> 0:13:19.760
<v Speaker 9>Google is spending on servers, and whether they're shifting away

0:13:19.800 --> 0:13:24.080
<v Speaker 9>from Intel technology and pouring more money into accelerators that

0:13:24.080 --> 0:13:25.240
<v Speaker 9>they're getting from in video.

0:13:25.800 --> 0:13:28.040
<v Speaker 3>Well, is there a sense that in PCs that the

0:13:28.080 --> 0:13:30.120
<v Speaker 3>worst is over in terms of any potential slump.

0:13:31.440 --> 0:13:33.920
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I mean, that's what a lot of analysts have

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:36.440
<v Speaker 9>been saying. That's what kind of Intel has indicated that

0:13:36.559 --> 0:13:40.079
<v Speaker 9>this mountain of inventory that we've been working through for

0:13:40.160 --> 0:13:43.840
<v Speaker 9>the last few quarters has perhaps been used up and

0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:47.560
<v Speaker 9>we're back to whatever normal shipments are. But again, there's

0:13:47.559 --> 0:13:50.720
<v Speaker 9>still a question of what our consumers and companies spending

0:13:50.760 --> 0:13:53.680
<v Speaker 9>on PCs and what level is the real normal for

0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:56.280
<v Speaker 9>the PC market, whether we go back to that pandemic

0:13:56.520 --> 0:13:59.440
<v Speaker 9>level of over three hundred million units or whether we're

0:13:59.480 --> 0:14:04.120
<v Speaker 9>somewhere in two hundred million units and that's the future now, Ian.

0:14:03.960 --> 0:14:08.199
<v Speaker 3>What do you think about the Nvidia Intel combine here?

0:14:08.280 --> 0:14:09.800
<v Speaker 3>Is there any sense that they're going to do a

0:14:09.800 --> 0:14:11.400
<v Speaker 3>better job taking back some share.

0:14:13.720 --> 0:14:15.960
<v Speaker 9>We'll really have to see what they say later today.

0:14:16.000 --> 0:14:19.000
<v Speaker 9>But the problem that everybody has, and not just Intel

0:14:19.040 --> 0:14:21.680
<v Speaker 9>has right now is in video are so far ahead

0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:25.280
<v Speaker 9>with these new products, and that Intel, AMD and anybody

0:14:25.320 --> 0:14:27.680
<v Speaker 9>else who's really going to try and make a dent

0:14:27.760 --> 0:14:30.720
<v Speaker 9>in what Invidia has done has to have new products,

0:14:31.040 --> 0:14:33.640
<v Speaker 9>really strong products with all of the software that backs

0:14:33.640 --> 0:14:36.600
<v Speaker 9>them up in the market right now, and frankly, they don't.

0:14:36.680 --> 0:14:39.040
<v Speaker 9>They're just at the beginnings of these efforts. They're just

0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:42.120
<v Speaker 9>at the beginnings of trying to get the Amazons the

0:14:42.160 --> 0:14:44.880
<v Speaker 9>Googles to buy their stuff and to sign off on

0:14:45.320 --> 0:14:48.120
<v Speaker 9>that because right now the solid bet is on video

0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:50.760
<v Speaker 9>because they have things in the market that people trust them.

0:14:50.760 --> 0:14:50.840
<v Speaker 10>Know.

0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:53.840
<v Speaker 3>You take a look at Intel still year to date,

0:14:53.880 --> 0:14:56.520
<v Speaker 3>it's still up more than twenty percent, further draw down

0:14:56.560 --> 0:14:59.880
<v Speaker 3>as of late. But do you think that valuation here

0:15:00.200 --> 0:15:02.760
<v Speaker 3>justifies kind of where the PC market is today?

0:15:03.680 --> 0:15:07.280
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I mean the valuation really is what the market sets.

0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:10.640
<v Speaker 9>That isn't something we can sort of focus on too tightly.

0:15:10.680 --> 0:15:14.080
<v Speaker 9>What really matters, I think in terms of investors right

0:15:14.120 --> 0:15:17.120
<v Speaker 9>now is the momentum. The last couple of quarters, things

0:15:17.160 --> 0:15:19.800
<v Speaker 9>have not got worse and that's been a positive for

0:15:19.840 --> 0:15:23.480
<v Speaker 9>Intel because before that it was getting worse.

0:15:23.280 --> 0:15:24.880
<v Speaker 11>At a horrible rate.

0:15:25.520 --> 0:15:28.440
<v Speaker 9>The bet now is we are approaching the bottom or

0:15:28.480 --> 0:15:32.000
<v Speaker 9>are through the bottom. And really what Intel needs to

0:15:32.000 --> 0:15:35.920
<v Speaker 9>do today is show another example of Hey, things didn't

0:15:35.920 --> 0:15:39.720
<v Speaker 9>get worse, they got incrementally better. But as the CEO,

0:15:39.880 --> 0:15:42.040
<v Speaker 9>Pat Gelsing has said over and over again, they've got

0:15:42.080 --> 0:15:44.760
<v Speaker 9>a long way to go. They're still twenty five billion

0:15:44.800 --> 0:15:47.560
<v Speaker 9>dollars south on an annual basis of where they were

0:15:47.600 --> 0:15:49.239
<v Speaker 9>at their peak in terms of revenue.

0:15:49.680 --> 0:15:50.920
<v Speaker 4>I thank you for your coverage.

0:15:50.920 --> 0:16:01.800
<v Speaker 3>We look forward to your coverage after earning today as well.

0:16:01.920 --> 0:16:04.840
<v Speaker 3>Sam Bigmanfried is testifying today in a New York court

0:16:04.880 --> 0:16:07.640
<v Speaker 3>room in a high profile fraud trial over the collapse

0:16:07.680 --> 0:16:10.680
<v Speaker 3>of his FTX crypto exchange. And for more on this,

0:16:10.720 --> 0:16:13.240
<v Speaker 3>we're going to bring in Bloomberg's Max Chafkin, who's been

0:16:13.240 --> 0:16:14.720
<v Speaker 3>following this trial very closely.

0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:18.120
<v Speaker 4>What is the defense even bringing forward.

0:16:17.800 --> 0:16:20.080
<v Speaker 3>At this point in terms of how they could prove

0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:21.240
<v Speaker 3>him to be not guilty.

0:16:21.480 --> 0:16:23.360
<v Speaker 12>Well, I mean, the most important thing to remember is

0:16:23.400 --> 0:16:27.000
<v Speaker 12>the defense doesn't have to tell a story. All they

0:16:27.040 --> 0:16:29.200
<v Speaker 12>have to do is poke some holes in the prosecution story.

0:16:29.600 --> 0:16:32.000
<v Speaker 12>The problem is that the prosecution story has been very,

0:16:32.200 --> 0:16:33.640
<v Speaker 12>very convincing.

0:16:33.760 --> 0:16:34.880
<v Speaker 11>I mean, again, it's hard to know.

0:16:35.680 --> 0:16:37.960
<v Speaker 12>We're not on the jury, we're not seeing exactly what

0:16:38.000 --> 0:16:41.040
<v Speaker 12>they're seeing. But we've seen witness after witness some of

0:16:41.160 --> 0:16:45.320
<v Speaker 12>Sam bankman Fried's closest friends, his employees, his confidants, including

0:16:45.320 --> 0:16:49.200
<v Speaker 12>his ex girlfriend Caroline Ellison, essentially put a lot of

0:16:49.200 --> 0:16:50.760
<v Speaker 12>the blame for this on him, show that he was

0:16:50.800 --> 0:16:56.160
<v Speaker 12>involved very detailed ways in the alleged misappropriation of a

0:16:56.280 --> 0:17:00.600
<v Speaker 12>huge amount of user money. The prosecution rested case. The

0:17:00.640 --> 0:17:04.920
<v Speaker 12>defense has called two expert witnesses. One is a lawyer

0:17:04.960 --> 0:17:09.960
<v Speaker 12>from Bahamas, the other is a tech like basically a tech.

0:17:09.760 --> 0:17:12.160
<v Speaker 11>Consultant, and then we're going to see Sam Bankman freed.

0:17:12.359 --> 0:17:15.760
<v Speaker 12>We got a signal earlier yet last night basically sent

0:17:15.960 --> 0:17:18.800
<v Speaker 12>saying that what he's going to talk about are advice

0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:20.520
<v Speaker 12>from his lawyers, sort of blaming this on his lawyer,

0:17:20.520 --> 0:17:24.040
<v Speaker 12>saying his lawyers told him was okay and industry practices,

0:17:24.200 --> 0:17:26.480
<v Speaker 12>essentially arguing that he didn't do anything wrong.

0:17:26.600 --> 0:17:28.359
<v Speaker 11>He thought this was okay all along.

0:17:28.520 --> 0:17:29.600
<v Speaker 4>Do you think that's convincing?

0:17:30.320 --> 0:17:34.399
<v Speaker 12>Again, the prosecution's case has been strong and very detailed,

0:17:34.560 --> 0:17:39.760
<v Speaker 12>and unfortunately for Sam Bankman freed. Again, we're seeing many witnesses,

0:17:39.800 --> 0:17:43.400
<v Speaker 12>basically everyone who is close to him except for his parents, frankly,

0:17:45.200 --> 0:17:47.920
<v Speaker 12>saying very damning things about him, and not just saying

0:17:47.960 --> 0:17:50.240
<v Speaker 12>damning things about him, but backing it up with kind

0:17:50.240 --> 0:17:52.719
<v Speaker 12>of documentary evidence that they've been showing the jury.

0:17:52.800 --> 0:17:55.359
<v Speaker 3>Why do you think he wants to testify? Typically, in

0:17:55.400 --> 0:17:59.080
<v Speaker 3>cases like this, their advice by their lawyers not to testify.

0:17:59.320 --> 0:18:01.600
<v Speaker 3>You've talked to him, you've covered him. Well, what's in

0:18:01.600 --> 0:18:02.080
<v Speaker 3>his mind?

0:18:02.320 --> 0:18:06.040
<v Speaker 12>Well, I think anyone who's traditional criminal defendants do not

0:18:06.080 --> 0:18:08.399
<v Speaker 12>testify in their own defense, especially not in cases like this.

0:18:08.520 --> 0:18:09.399
<v Speaker 11>It's not in their interest.

0:18:09.640 --> 0:18:13.080
<v Speaker 12>Sam bangman Fried is not a traditional criminal defendant. He

0:18:13.200 --> 0:18:15.520
<v Speaker 12>is somebody who loves to talk. I think, you know,

0:18:15.560 --> 0:18:17.080
<v Speaker 12>loves to hear the sound of his own voice and

0:18:17.160 --> 0:18:18.239
<v Speaker 12>is very effective at it.

0:18:18.280 --> 0:18:20.000
<v Speaker 11>He's a good talker, a good persuader.

0:18:20.359 --> 0:18:22.840
<v Speaker 12>Used it allowed him to kind of grow the valuation

0:18:22.880 --> 0:18:25.920
<v Speaker 12>of FTX to these crazy heights, to grow his own

0:18:25.960 --> 0:18:28.119
<v Speaker 12>net worth to something like thirty billion dollars. And I

0:18:28.160 --> 0:18:30.040
<v Speaker 12>think the plan here is to sort of talk his

0:18:30.119 --> 0:18:33.480
<v Speaker 12>way through this, which you know, not necessarily the most

0:18:33.560 --> 0:18:35.760
<v Speaker 12>legally sound strategy. I think if you talk to most

0:18:35.920 --> 0:18:36.760
<v Speaker 12>criminal lawyers.

0:18:36.880 --> 0:18:38.280
<v Speaker 11>But again, he is in trouble.

0:18:38.400 --> 0:18:41.240
<v Speaker 12>There have been a lot of very compelling witnesses for

0:18:41.240 --> 0:18:44.040
<v Speaker 12>the prosecution. This may be his only outlet, so I

0:18:44.040 --> 0:18:48.399
<v Speaker 12>think it's a high risk maneuver. I think the chances

0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:50.560
<v Speaker 12>of success are not necessarily super high. But I'm not

0:18:50.560 --> 0:18:51.760
<v Speaker 12>sure what his other options are.

0:18:51.840 --> 0:18:54.680
<v Speaker 3>Well, what about the idea here of the sentence, because

0:18:54.720 --> 0:18:56.080
<v Speaker 3>if he were to be found guilty.

0:18:56.119 --> 0:18:57.640
<v Speaker 4>He's facing a number of charges.

0:18:57.720 --> 0:19:00.760
<v Speaker 3>Do you think that by testifying he can lighten the

0:19:00.800 --> 0:19:01.720
<v Speaker 3>load for himself.

0:19:01.920 --> 0:19:04.040
<v Speaker 12>Well, I think for sure if he's able to somehow

0:19:04.080 --> 0:19:06.919
<v Speaker 12>complicate the story. It's just not clear that what he

0:19:06.960 --> 0:19:09.639
<v Speaker 12>has to offer is going to complicate that story. His

0:19:09.880 --> 0:19:13.320
<v Speaker 12>basic defense has been that he was relying on advice

0:19:13.320 --> 0:19:15.960
<v Speaker 12>of his lawyers and that FTX actually had a lot

0:19:16.000 --> 0:19:18.480
<v Speaker 12>of money that customers will eventually be made whole. That

0:19:18.680 --> 0:19:21.959
<v Speaker 12>second part very relevant to FTX creditors. They are going

0:19:22.000 --> 0:19:23.879
<v Speaker 12>to be super excited to hear that if it's true,

0:19:23.920 --> 0:19:26.760
<v Speaker 12>which again huge questions. Sam Bank mcfree doesn't necessarily have

0:19:26.760 --> 0:19:29.359
<v Speaker 12>the best track record at the moment. That'll mean a

0:19:29.359 --> 0:19:31.359
<v Speaker 12>lot to people who lost money on this thing. It

0:19:31.440 --> 0:19:34.879
<v Speaker 12>doesn't mean anything for the legal case, right, he's accused

0:19:34.880 --> 0:19:37.640
<v Speaker 12>of fraud, he's accused of taking the money and gambling it.

0:19:37.720 --> 0:19:40.600
<v Speaker 12>The fact that he won potentially maybe if you believe

0:19:40.600 --> 0:19:43.680
<v Speaker 12>what he's saying is legally irrelevant, and I don't think

0:19:43.720 --> 0:19:45.280
<v Speaker 12>we'll have a huge impact on.

0:19:45.200 --> 0:19:47.160
<v Speaker 3>His sentence, you know, quickly here last night we were

0:19:47.160 --> 0:19:50.280
<v Speaker 3>together watching the new Ruined documentary that Bloomberg Originals had

0:19:50.320 --> 0:19:54.119
<v Speaker 3>come out, with and you made this extremely strong case

0:19:54.160 --> 0:19:57.840
<v Speaker 3>against effective altruism. And I'm wondering you think with this

0:19:57.960 --> 0:20:00.239
<v Speaker 3>case that so many of the ideals that' say big

0:20:00.320 --> 0:20:02.320
<v Speaker 3>Bean freed and brought forward, do they just die off?

0:20:02.480 --> 0:20:05.920
<v Speaker 12>I think the effect of ultruous community is really struggling.

0:20:06.000 --> 0:20:08.760
<v Speaker 12>This is the charity that Sam Bangmfried was involved with.

0:20:09.119 --> 0:20:12.680
<v Speaker 12>He's so closely associated with it. You know, hundreds of

0:20:12.680 --> 0:20:17.479
<v Speaker 12>billions of dollars from FTX ostensibly profits, although at some

0:20:17.640 --> 0:20:19.280
<v Speaker 12>you know, you sort of wonder how much that money

0:20:19.320 --> 0:20:22.280
<v Speaker 12>may have come from customers. It's all tied up with this.

0:20:22.320 --> 0:20:23.840
<v Speaker 12>So it's going to really hurt the movement. It's going

0:20:23.920 --> 0:20:26.120
<v Speaker 12>to be hard to recruit new followers.

0:20:26.480 --> 0:20:28.280
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg's Max Chack, can we thank you so much for

0:20:28.320 --> 0:20:39.520
<v Speaker 3>your time. Welcome back to Bloomberg Technology. I'm Chanelli Bassett

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:42.760
<v Speaker 3>in New York. Now moving to a big meeting for

0:20:42.800 --> 0:20:45.200
<v Speaker 3>President Biden. He said to meet with China's foreign minister

0:20:45.240 --> 0:20:48.320
<v Speaker 3>tomorrow and Washington, potentially laying the groundwork for a leaders

0:20:48.359 --> 0:20:50.600
<v Speaker 3>meeting next month. And now for Mourroaw, let's bring in

0:20:50.680 --> 0:20:53.320
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg's Nick Wadhams. Nick, what's at stake?

0:20:54.400 --> 0:20:56.840
<v Speaker 13>Well, a lot of things are at stake here. The

0:20:56.960 --> 0:20:59.640
<v Speaker 13>chief thing is that we are looking for the US

0:20:59.640 --> 0:21:02.440
<v Speaker 13>and China basically to get a relationship back on track

0:21:02.520 --> 0:21:05.320
<v Speaker 13>after a whole series of setbacks. There have been a

0:21:05.359 --> 0:21:08.320
<v Speaker 13>fair number of meetings Secretary of State Anthony Blincoln, when

0:21:08.520 --> 0:21:14.080
<v Speaker 13>Commerce Secretary Gena Raimondo, several others. So they're going to

0:21:14.119 --> 0:21:16.840
<v Speaker 13>be laying the groundwork for Shijinping when he's expected to

0:21:16.840 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 13>come to San Francisco for an APEC meeting, and there

0:21:19.040 --> 0:21:21.680
<v Speaker 13>will be a one on one almost certainly with Joe

0:21:21.760 --> 0:21:24.600
<v Speaker 13>Biden there that that hasn't been announced yet. So what

0:21:24.640 --> 0:21:27.040
<v Speaker 13>you're really seeing as an administration that wants to get

0:21:27.040 --> 0:21:30.120
<v Speaker 13>things back on track and do what Joe Biden likes best,

0:21:30.119 --> 0:21:34.000
<v Speaker 13>which is those interpersonal relationships with other leaders around the world.

0:21:34.160 --> 0:21:36.440
<v Speaker 3>Now, Nick, if you think about that potential meeting over

0:21:36.440 --> 0:21:38.560
<v Speaker 3>in San Francisco, how does this set the stage for

0:21:38.600 --> 0:21:39.119
<v Speaker 3>that exactly?

0:21:39.160 --> 0:21:40.640
<v Speaker 4>And what do you expect?

0:21:41.119 --> 0:21:43.840
<v Speaker 13>Well, I think you know the big question is what

0:21:43.960 --> 0:21:46.000
<v Speaker 13>would come out of that meeting. Would it just be

0:21:46.040 --> 0:21:49.919
<v Speaker 13>another handshake, a sort of symbolic action, and then not

0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:52.600
<v Speaker 13>amount to really much of anything. The last time these

0:21:52.600 --> 0:21:57.400
<v Speaker 13>two leaders met in Bali Indonesia almost exactly a year ago,

0:21:57.560 --> 0:21:59.360
<v Speaker 13>there was a lot of talk about, Okay, we want

0:21:59.400 --> 0:22:02.760
<v Speaker 13>to set a flo under the relationship. We want to compete,

0:22:02.760 --> 0:22:05.840
<v Speaker 13>but we don't want conflict. And what we've really seen

0:22:05.920 --> 0:22:08.360
<v Speaker 13>is that hasn't necessarily been born out. While there has

0:22:08.400 --> 0:22:12.000
<v Speaker 13>been some improvement of the relationship bilaterally, you've seen a

0:22:12.040 --> 0:22:15.440
<v Speaker 13>lot of real tension points, battles over intellectual property, about

0:22:15.480 --> 0:22:18.640
<v Speaker 13>micro trips, about export controls, and obviously now the real

0:22:18.720 --> 0:22:21.520
<v Speaker 13>kinetic situation in the South China Sea, where the US

0:22:21.600 --> 0:22:23.920
<v Speaker 13>is CE has says it's seen a real uptick and

0:22:24.000 --> 0:22:28.480
<v Speaker 13>aggressive action by Chinese vessels against the US and its allies,

0:22:28.560 --> 0:22:31.439
<v Speaker 13>so that a lot of those disputes really remain unresolved.

0:22:31.520 --> 0:22:34.280
<v Speaker 13>It's not clear at all how a leader's meeting, which

0:22:34.320 --> 0:22:37.160
<v Speaker 13>wouldn't last all that long, would resolve any of those issues.

0:22:37.440 --> 0:22:39.840
<v Speaker 3>Blumberg's Nick Watams, thank you for your time. It's really

0:22:39.880 --> 0:22:42.720
<v Speaker 3>the perfect setup because now for more on US China relations,

0:22:42.720 --> 0:22:45.240
<v Speaker 3>we're going to bring in Liza Tobin, a senior director

0:22:45.280 --> 0:22:49.119
<v Speaker 3>for Research and analysis for the Economy at Special Competitive

0:22:49.160 --> 0:22:53.400
<v Speaker 3>Studies Project. She previously served on the National Security Council's staff.

0:22:53.440 --> 0:22:57.639
<v Speaker 3>As China director, and she led multiple US strategies and

0:22:57.680 --> 0:23:02.400
<v Speaker 3>policies related to China, Liza, when you think about these

0:23:02.600 --> 0:23:04.720
<v Speaker 3>meetings that are ahead of us, what can change?

0:23:05.840 --> 0:23:08.240
<v Speaker 14>Thank you so much, Sonali for having me on today.

0:23:08.359 --> 0:23:11.879
<v Speaker 14>So I think the administration's expectations for this meeting are

0:23:11.920 --> 0:23:16.680
<v Speaker 14>relatively low. As the previous reporter mentioned, they're really trying

0:23:16.720 --> 0:23:19.720
<v Speaker 14>to stabilize ties and make sure that there are open

0:23:19.760 --> 0:23:23.359
<v Speaker 14>lines of communication to deal with these various tensions that

0:23:23.400 --> 0:23:26.720
<v Speaker 14>are ongoing in the world. I think the administration would

0:23:26.800 --> 0:23:29.199
<v Speaker 14>like to make sure that should something happen, should there

0:23:29.240 --> 0:23:31.520
<v Speaker 14>be a contingency, they have someone to call in Beajing,

0:23:31.560 --> 0:23:33.600
<v Speaker 14>someone that will reliably pick up the phone.

0:23:33.800 --> 0:23:36.520
<v Speaker 3>Now, how do things start to change when you think

0:23:36.520 --> 0:23:39.680
<v Speaker 3>about China's economy and where it stands right now? Does

0:23:39.720 --> 0:23:44.320
<v Speaker 3>this lessen the aggressive posturing between the two nations in

0:23:44.400 --> 0:23:47.959
<v Speaker 3>terms of any potential to work together to advance economic initiatives.

0:23:49.160 --> 0:23:50.959
<v Speaker 14>So, I think you bring up a great point. The

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:54.080
<v Speaker 14>mood music on the Chinese economy has really changed in

0:23:54.119 --> 0:23:57.720
<v Speaker 14>the last several months. It used to be that we

0:23:57.800 --> 0:24:01.000
<v Speaker 14>thought of the Chinese economy just is on a upward

0:24:01.040 --> 0:24:03.600
<v Speaker 14>trajectory for a long time, and I think that really

0:24:03.640 --> 0:24:06.439
<v Speaker 14>has changed and taken an about face, and now I

0:24:06.440 --> 0:24:09.919
<v Speaker 14>think the global consensus is that China is past the

0:24:09.960 --> 0:24:13.399
<v Speaker 14>era of miracle economic growth and they're possibly caught in

0:24:13.440 --> 0:24:17.680
<v Speaker 14>a middle income trap indefinitely where they will never return

0:24:17.760 --> 0:24:19.800
<v Speaker 14>to that rapid growth. However, I think one thing we

0:24:19.840 --> 0:24:22.520
<v Speaker 14>have to keep in mind is that the Chinese economy

0:24:22.640 --> 0:24:26.000
<v Speaker 14>is already quite large. It's the second largest economy in

0:24:26.040 --> 0:24:29.040
<v Speaker 14>the world, so there's still a lot of resources they

0:24:29.080 --> 0:24:31.879
<v Speaker 14>can bring to bear to develop their military and to

0:24:32.160 --> 0:24:35.720
<v Speaker 14>pursue their technology ambitions, so they're not going to be

0:24:36.040 --> 0:24:38.760
<v Speaker 14>too constrained on that side. I think where they will

0:24:39.520 --> 0:24:42.920
<v Speaker 14>really kind of pair back is on the social services side.

0:24:43.000 --> 0:24:44.720
<v Speaker 3>Well, it's been interesting because how do you think about

0:24:44.760 --> 0:24:47.840
<v Speaker 3>the potential to invest from both countries. When you think

0:24:47.880 --> 0:24:51.679
<v Speaker 3>about the United States and the existing financing needs the

0:24:51.800 --> 0:24:55.720
<v Speaker 3>Chinese economy and any potential slowdowns, where do you see

0:24:55.800 --> 0:24:59.600
<v Speaker 3>the investments in future technology artificial intelligence paying off more.

0:25:00.880 --> 0:25:03.160
<v Speaker 14>I think that's a really great point. In the last

0:25:03.200 --> 0:25:06.159
<v Speaker 14>several years, the US government has been caught with some

0:25:06.320 --> 0:25:10.560
<v Speaker 14>unwelcome technology surprises where China was able to race ahead

0:25:10.880 --> 0:25:13.520
<v Speaker 14>and get ahead of the United States on several important

0:25:13.520 --> 0:25:18.359
<v Speaker 14>technologies like hypersonic missiles, EV batteries, five GI network hardware,

0:25:18.720 --> 0:25:21.080
<v Speaker 14>and so really I think we learned the lesson that

0:25:21.119 --> 0:25:24.600
<v Speaker 14>we can't be complacent, that China is a determined rival

0:25:24.680 --> 0:25:27.159
<v Speaker 14>and it's willing to put a lot of resources behind

0:25:27.160 --> 0:25:27.719
<v Speaker 14>its goals.

0:25:28.040 --> 0:25:29.960
<v Speaker 7>And what has happened in the last.

0:25:29.680 --> 0:25:32.960
<v Speaker 14>Year is you've seen that the AI revolution is really

0:25:33.080 --> 0:25:35.280
<v Speaker 14>upon us, and so I think that's given us a

0:25:35.320 --> 0:25:38.280
<v Speaker 14>shot in the arm in the United States because most

0:25:38.359 --> 0:25:41.760
<v Speaker 14>of the really great firms in the generative AI space

0:25:42.000 --> 0:25:44.800
<v Speaker 14>that we're really excited about are US firms, and so

0:25:44.840 --> 0:25:47.280
<v Speaker 14>I think it shows that the US can still innovate.

0:25:47.640 --> 0:25:50.480
<v Speaker 14>We can't still lead, but we can't take our lead

0:25:50.520 --> 0:25:53.399
<v Speaker 14>for granted. We have to invest at home and do

0:25:53.560 --> 0:25:55.320
<v Speaker 14>more to run faster.

0:25:55.720 --> 0:25:58.720
<v Speaker 3>Now, giving you and focus so much on strategy, look

0:25:58.880 --> 0:26:02.560
<v Speaker 3>ten years out, when you think about how global the

0:26:02.560 --> 0:26:05.280
<v Speaker 3>world has been and how interconnected the US and China

0:26:05.359 --> 0:26:07.399
<v Speaker 3>have been, does that need to be the case in

0:26:07.440 --> 0:26:07.920
<v Speaker 3>the future.

0:26:09.440 --> 0:26:12.360
<v Speaker 14>So, I think what we've seen over the last few

0:26:12.440 --> 0:26:17.080
<v Speaker 14>years of experiencing Chinese economic coercion, where China's putting pressure

0:26:17.160 --> 0:26:20.479
<v Speaker 14>on foreign businesses, pushing them out and all of that,

0:26:20.800 --> 0:26:23.080
<v Speaker 14>is that over the long term, we do need to

0:26:23.119 --> 0:26:26.520
<v Speaker 14>reduce our exposure to China. We really should be trading

0:26:26.560 --> 0:26:31.879
<v Speaker 14>and investing more with other democratic market economies, other economies

0:26:31.920 --> 0:26:34.720
<v Speaker 14>that respect the rules and that want to trade fairly,

0:26:35.240 --> 0:26:38.879
<v Speaker 14>and that promote transparency and the rule of law. I

0:26:38.960 --> 0:26:41.200
<v Speaker 14>think the track record of China over the last twenty

0:26:41.320 --> 0:26:43.800
<v Speaker 14>years is that is not the direction they're heading. In fact,

0:26:43.800 --> 0:26:48.639
<v Speaker 14>the opposite Undersijenping, where really they've made a choice to

0:26:48.680 --> 0:26:50.919
<v Speaker 14>go in a different direction. So I think we really

0:26:50.960 --> 0:26:54.240
<v Speaker 14>need to be reducing our exposure. And this doesn't mean

0:26:54.280 --> 0:26:57.080
<v Speaker 14>in cutting everything off, but I think we should when

0:26:57.160 --> 0:27:00.639
<v Speaker 14>it comes to strategic technologies and our investments and trade

0:27:00.680 --> 0:27:03.440
<v Speaker 14>in those sectors, it really should be doing it more

0:27:03.440 --> 0:27:04.560
<v Speaker 14>with other democracies.

0:27:04.800 --> 0:27:08.200
<v Speaker 3>When you think about President Biden's approach to China here

0:27:08.320 --> 0:27:13.399
<v Speaker 3>and the initiatives already put in place to boost American competitiveness,

0:27:14.040 --> 0:27:15.960
<v Speaker 3>what do you find to be the most effective.

0:27:17.600 --> 0:27:20.320
<v Speaker 14>So I think there's an emerging kind of two pronged

0:27:20.400 --> 0:27:24.040
<v Speaker 14>approach promote and protect. So the promote side is this

0:27:24.160 --> 0:27:28.800
<v Speaker 14>emerging American industrial strategy. You have massive investments in the

0:27:28.840 --> 0:27:32.440
<v Speaker 14>semiconductor sector as well as the Inflation Reduction Act, which

0:27:32.480 --> 0:27:36.800
<v Speaker 14>puts a lot of domestic investment into renewable energy evs

0:27:36.880 --> 0:27:39.879
<v Speaker 14>and the like, and so that's all a really great start,

0:27:39.880 --> 0:27:41.840
<v Speaker 14>and we need to be doing more of that and

0:27:41.960 --> 0:27:47.360
<v Speaker 14>investing spending more on research and development. There's a lot

0:27:47.359 --> 0:27:49.840
<v Speaker 14>of bang for the buck if we invest in these things,

0:27:49.880 --> 0:27:52.719
<v Speaker 14>they tend to pay off economically and also for our

0:27:52.760 --> 0:27:54.919
<v Speaker 14>security and resilience. So I think we need to keep

0:27:55.000 --> 0:27:55.919
<v Speaker 14>going in these areas.

0:27:56.800 --> 0:28:00.119
<v Speaker 3>Liza Tobin of the Special Competitive Studies Project, we think

0:28:00.119 --> 0:28:02.880
<v Speaker 3>you for your time now coming up. Coinbase is out

0:28:02.920 --> 0:28:05.520
<v Speaker 3>with its second State of the Crypto Report, and they

0:28:05.520 --> 0:28:06.440
<v Speaker 3>are sharing.

0:28:06.160 --> 0:28:08.040
<v Speaker 4>The details exclusively with Bloomberg.

0:28:08.280 --> 0:28:11.920
<v Speaker 3>Jesse Pollock, Senior director of Engineering at Coinbase, joins us next,

0:28:12.240 --> 0:28:34.840
<v Speaker 3>this is Bloomberg. As crypto continues to come into its own,

0:28:35.000 --> 0:28:38.320
<v Speaker 3>so do attitudes about how it's used. Coinbase is putting

0:28:38.320 --> 0:28:40.600
<v Speaker 3>out its second State of the Crypto Report, and it

0:28:40.640 --> 0:28:44.000
<v Speaker 3>analyzes how Americans from different age groups and backgrounds feel

0:28:44.040 --> 0:28:46.960
<v Speaker 3>about crypto and the financial system as a whole. More

0:28:47.000 --> 0:28:50.160
<v Speaker 3>than half of those surveyed said they don't use or

0:28:50.360 --> 0:28:53.880
<v Speaker 3>rarely use traditional finance tools, and thirty eight percent say

0:28:53.920 --> 0:28:57.719
<v Speaker 3>that crypto and blockchain can increase economic opportunities joining us

0:28:57.760 --> 0:29:00.120
<v Speaker 3>now with more on this is Jesse Pollock's senior director

0:29:00.120 --> 0:29:03.360
<v Speaker 3>of engineering at Coinbase. It's interesting because, you know, we

0:29:03.400 --> 0:29:05.760
<v Speaker 3>always think about crypto as in part being born out

0:29:05.800 --> 0:29:09.080
<v Speaker 3>of the financial crisis, people turning to crypto out of

0:29:09.160 --> 0:29:12.400
<v Speaker 3>mistrust of the financial system. But we're standing here today

0:29:12.560 --> 0:29:15.760
<v Speaker 3>and Sam bankman Freed is about to potentially testify it

0:29:15.800 --> 0:29:21.440
<v Speaker 3>as own trial. And you've had many investors be very

0:29:21.480 --> 0:29:25.400
<v Speaker 3>burned by the downfall of crypto last year, So how

0:29:25.440 --> 0:29:26.640
<v Speaker 3>then do they regain trust?

0:29:26.720 --> 0:29:26.960
<v Speaker 2>Now?

0:29:28.160 --> 0:29:28.600
<v Speaker 4>Yeah?

0:29:28.640 --> 0:29:30.600
<v Speaker 15>Absolutely, And I think if you look at the Sam

0:29:30.680 --> 0:29:33.320
<v Speaker 15>Bank free trial, but we don't think that that's representative

0:29:33.320 --> 0:29:34.880
<v Speaker 15>of the crypto industry. You know, if you look at

0:29:34.880 --> 0:29:37.320
<v Speaker 15>businesses like Coinbase, I think what you've seen is that

0:29:37.360 --> 0:29:40.240
<v Speaker 15>for the last decade we've been building in a trusted way,

0:29:40.360 --> 0:29:43.200
<v Speaker 15>helping people understand how to use crypto in an easy,

0:29:43.240 --> 0:29:46.320
<v Speaker 15>secure way, and people have really leaned into that. And

0:29:46.360 --> 0:29:48.400
<v Speaker 15>I think the challenge that we've seen at the same

0:29:48.440 --> 0:29:51.600
<v Speaker 15>time is that because of a lack of clear regulatory environment,

0:29:52.080 --> 0:29:56.320
<v Speaker 15>increasingly folks have also been pushed into offshore, unregular environments

0:29:56.360 --> 0:29:58.560
<v Speaker 15>like SBF, which has led to bad outcomes. And so

0:29:58.600 --> 0:30:00.000
<v Speaker 15>I think the thing that we need to be doing

0:30:00.120 --> 0:30:04.840
<v Speaker 15>rebuild trust is to be investing in these clearer policy frameworks,

0:30:05.120 --> 0:30:07.120
<v Speaker 15>and that's exactly what we looked at with this report,

0:30:07.320 --> 0:30:09.080
<v Speaker 15>and we think that there's a ton of appetite and

0:30:09.120 --> 0:30:12.120
<v Speaker 15>a ton of urgency from the American people around getting

0:30:12.160 --> 0:30:14.880
<v Speaker 15>clear regulations in place so that crypto can be used

0:30:14.920 --> 0:30:16.880
<v Speaker 15>as this powerful tool to upgrade our systems.

0:30:16.960 --> 0:30:18.800
<v Speaker 3>Now, when we're talking about crypto, or are we talking about

0:30:18.800 --> 0:30:22.280
<v Speaker 3>crypto at large or are we talking about bitcoin Jesse, I.

0:30:22.200 --> 0:30:24.160
<v Speaker 15>Think we're talking about crypto at large. You know, Bitcoin

0:30:24.320 --> 0:30:27.239
<v Speaker 15>was obviously the first crypto that kind of brought this

0:30:27.320 --> 0:30:29.960
<v Speaker 15>technology onto the scene, But over the last decade, we've

0:30:29.960 --> 0:30:32.040
<v Speaker 15>seen how crypto can be used in a ton of

0:30:32.040 --> 0:30:34.640
<v Speaker 15>different ways beyond just money. And I think increasingly people

0:30:34.680 --> 0:30:36.560
<v Speaker 15>are seeing this kind of like the next generation of

0:30:36.600 --> 0:30:38.680
<v Speaker 15>the Internet, where they're seeing crypto as a tool that

0:30:38.720 --> 0:30:41.280
<v Speaker 15>can take these financial systems which in many cases have

0:30:41.360 --> 0:30:43.920
<v Speaker 15>been around for you know, one hundred years and haven't

0:30:43.920 --> 0:30:47.680
<v Speaker 15>really been upgraded, and use that technology to upgrade those

0:30:47.720 --> 0:30:50.840
<v Speaker 15>systems and make them actually work better for everyday people.

0:30:51.240 --> 0:30:55.360
<v Speaker 3>Now, what are people actually using crypto mostly for at

0:30:55.440 --> 0:30:56.400
<v Speaker 3>large these days?

0:30:56.440 --> 0:30:57.640
<v Speaker 4>Is it an investment.

0:30:57.680 --> 0:30:59.880
<v Speaker 3>Is it a payment rail and if it's a pain

0:31:00.400 --> 0:31:02.720
<v Speaker 3>when you look at how it's used in America, why

0:31:02.760 --> 0:31:05.040
<v Speaker 3>would it be any better than how we use any

0:31:05.080 --> 0:31:08.240
<v Speaker 3>other credit card company or other type of form of payment.

0:31:09.120 --> 0:31:09.320
<v Speaker 11>Yeah.

0:31:09.360 --> 0:31:11.840
<v Speaker 15>I think when crypto originally kind of started, it was

0:31:11.840 --> 0:31:14.000
<v Speaker 15>definitely mostly used as an investment. That was kind of

0:31:14.000 --> 0:31:15.960
<v Speaker 15>the early days of crypto. I think what we're seeing

0:31:15.960 --> 0:31:19.880
<v Speaker 15>increasingly now is that crypto is expanding its utility, and

0:31:19.920 --> 0:31:22.520
<v Speaker 15>that's really where we're focused as a business, seeing how

0:31:22.520 --> 0:31:24.760
<v Speaker 15>crypto can be used for payments, how can we use

0:31:24.760 --> 0:31:27.280
<v Speaker 15>for commerce, How it can we use to support creators

0:31:27.360 --> 0:31:30.560
<v Speaker 15>who are making music and doing other kinds of activities

0:31:30.600 --> 0:31:32.600
<v Speaker 15>on the Internet. And I think that's where we see

0:31:32.640 --> 0:31:35.640
<v Speaker 15>the most opportunity in the future in terms of how

0:31:35.640 --> 0:31:37.520
<v Speaker 15>this is actually going to be better than the systems

0:31:37.520 --> 0:31:39.280
<v Speaker 15>that we have today. I think if you look at

0:31:39.280 --> 0:31:42.760
<v Speaker 15>these systems, in many cases, people are paying really high fees.

0:31:42.880 --> 0:31:46.280
<v Speaker 15>For instance, the average small business pays three percent of

0:31:46.320 --> 0:31:49.719
<v Speaker 15>their profit, which is fifty percent of their overall margin,

0:31:49.880 --> 0:31:52.600
<v Speaker 15>to credit card processors. We think there's an opportunity to

0:31:52.680 --> 0:31:55.600
<v Speaker 15>use crypto to lower those fees for small businesses to

0:31:55.640 --> 0:31:58.720
<v Speaker 15>make payments faster and easier for everyday people, and to

0:31:58.800 --> 0:32:00.880
<v Speaker 15>open up a ton of access the people who don't

0:32:00.880 --> 0:32:01.760
<v Speaker 15>have access today.

0:32:02.280 --> 0:32:05.040
<v Speaker 3>You think about colleges and universities when you look at

0:32:05.040 --> 0:32:08.520
<v Speaker 3>what's happening on campus, is there anything that's happening there

0:32:08.600 --> 0:32:11.400
<v Speaker 3>that tells you the direction of travel for the industry.

0:32:12.520 --> 0:32:12.800
<v Speaker 4>Yeah?

0:32:12.840 --> 0:32:17.160
<v Speaker 15>Absolutely, you know, I think Americans have been promised this

0:32:17.240 --> 0:32:19.320
<v Speaker 15>American dream for a long time, and I think for

0:32:19.400 --> 0:32:22.160
<v Speaker 15>older generations that was very much the case. But people

0:32:22.200 --> 0:32:24.520
<v Speaker 15>in my generation, I think what we've seen is we

0:32:24.520 --> 0:32:26.640
<v Speaker 15>were told go to college, you'll get a good job,

0:32:26.800 --> 0:32:27.400
<v Speaker 15>you will.

0:32:27.520 --> 0:32:28.560
<v Speaker 4>Get to buy a house.

0:32:29.120 --> 0:32:31.360
<v Speaker 15>In fact, we went to college and we got debt,

0:32:31.680 --> 0:32:33.959
<v Speaker 15>and there weren't jobs and it was impossible to buy

0:32:34.000 --> 0:32:35.800
<v Speaker 15>a house. And I think that this is leading to

0:32:35.840 --> 0:32:38.760
<v Speaker 15>people to say, hey, these systems aren't working for us

0:32:38.840 --> 0:32:42.920
<v Speaker 15>and we need new systems. And people are looking to say, hey,

0:32:43.040 --> 0:32:45.120
<v Speaker 15>how can I find new ways to make money? How

0:32:45.120 --> 0:32:48.360
<v Speaker 15>can I have different kinds of jobs that give me

0:32:48.400 --> 0:32:51.080
<v Speaker 15>access in different ways to the economy. And they see

0:32:51.120 --> 0:32:55.520
<v Speaker 15>crypto as a really, really powerful tool for upgrading these systems.

0:32:55.680 --> 0:32:58.000
<v Speaker 15>And so I think what we're seeing on college campuses

0:32:58.200 --> 0:33:00.200
<v Speaker 15>and what we're seeing in folks too. Maybe our drop

0:33:00.280 --> 0:33:02.920
<v Speaker 15>out of colleges aren't following the traditional path. Is this

0:33:03.040 --> 0:33:06.680
<v Speaker 15>excitement and this energy to find new pathways that can

0:33:06.760 --> 0:33:09.800
<v Speaker 15>lead to that American dream that currently today is unachievable.

0:33:10.280 --> 0:33:13.000
<v Speaker 3>You were also very involved in the creation of Base,

0:33:13.200 --> 0:33:17.080
<v Speaker 3>and when you look at what not just clients and

0:33:17.120 --> 0:33:20.600
<v Speaker 3>customers and people who are buying using crypto in terms

0:33:20.640 --> 0:33:23.960
<v Speaker 3>of coin based customers, how are other members of the

0:33:24.000 --> 0:33:26.520
<v Speaker 3>community thinking about new use cases.

0:33:27.640 --> 0:33:30.080
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, people are building all sorts of things on Base,

0:33:30.440 --> 0:33:32.680
<v Speaker 15>and we like to think about Base as kind of

0:33:32.720 --> 0:33:36.040
<v Speaker 15>on chain like online happened in the early two thousands.

0:33:36.040 --> 0:33:38.880
<v Speaker 15>And what this means is this really powerful platform where

0:33:38.960 --> 0:33:42.200
<v Speaker 15>new kinds of applications are emerging. So we're using people

0:33:42.200 --> 0:33:45.840
<v Speaker 15>build applications that are helping small businesses with loyalty. We're

0:33:45.840 --> 0:33:48.560
<v Speaker 15>seeing people build new kinds of games. We're seeing people

0:33:48.640 --> 0:33:51.600
<v Speaker 15>bring music on chain, and in general, we're seeing people

0:33:51.680 --> 0:33:55.640
<v Speaker 15>embrace crypto as this incredibly powerful platform that's actually making

0:33:55.640 --> 0:34:00.040
<v Speaker 15>it easier, better, faster, cheaper for people to transact and

0:34:00.080 --> 0:34:01.320
<v Speaker 15>to engage on the Internet.

0:34:01.680 --> 0:34:03.440
<v Speaker 3>I'm going to push you a little here, Jesse, because

0:34:03.480 --> 0:34:05.680
<v Speaker 3>I get pushed on this too. Why is it a

0:34:05.680 --> 0:34:07.360
<v Speaker 3>better mouse trap than what we already have.

0:34:08.680 --> 0:34:09.040
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:34:09.200 --> 0:34:11.600
<v Speaker 15>So, like I said, again, most of the systems that

0:34:11.680 --> 0:34:14.759
<v Speaker 15>we're operating in are tens or hundreds of years old.

0:34:14.840 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 15>And what that means, it means that people are paying

0:34:16.680 --> 0:34:18.960
<v Speaker 15>high fees. It means that when they're trying to move

0:34:18.960 --> 0:34:21.520
<v Speaker 15>money it maybe takes three to five days. It means

0:34:21.520 --> 0:34:24.719
<v Speaker 15>that the people who are controlling those systems are very

0:34:24.760 --> 0:34:28.000
<v Speaker 15>select few. And I think the opportunity was on chain

0:34:28.440 --> 0:34:31.880
<v Speaker 15>is the opportunity to bring more people in, to lower

0:34:31.920 --> 0:34:34.719
<v Speaker 15>those fees, to make transactions faster, and to make it

0:34:34.760 --> 0:34:37.839
<v Speaker 15>so we can rebuild these systems that can give better

0:34:37.880 --> 0:34:40.440
<v Speaker 15>outcomes to everyday people. And again going back to our

0:34:40.480 --> 0:34:43.880
<v Speaker 15>State of Crypto report, what we're seeing is that excitement

0:34:43.880 --> 0:34:46.759
<v Speaker 15>about crypto is not a partisan issue. You know, Democrats

0:34:46.760 --> 0:34:50.880
<v Speaker 15>and Republicans and independents are adopting crypto at the same rates. Instead,

0:34:50.960 --> 0:34:54.239
<v Speaker 15>it's a generational issue. And what that means it means

0:34:54.239 --> 0:34:57.239
<v Speaker 15>that young people today, because they're seeing this opportunity to

0:34:57.320 --> 0:34:59.880
<v Speaker 15>use this technology to update the systems, they're almost three

0:35:00.080 --> 0:35:03.800
<v Speaker 15>times is likely to own crypto. Young people are saying

0:35:04.000 --> 0:35:07.040
<v Speaker 15>they're majority likely to go and vote for candidates who

0:35:07.040 --> 0:35:09.640
<v Speaker 15>are supporting crypto, and I think young people are saying,

0:35:10.840 --> 0:35:13.560
<v Speaker 15>you're either with us or you're behind us. We are

0:35:13.560 --> 0:35:16.000
<v Speaker 15>going to take these new technologies, we are going to

0:35:16.080 --> 0:35:18.960
<v Speaker 15>upgrade these systems, and we're going to make a better America.

0:35:19.080 --> 0:35:21.719
<v Speaker 15>Whether you are on our team or not, we want

0:35:21.760 --> 0:35:23.440
<v Speaker 15>you to be here. We want to work with you.

0:35:23.560 --> 0:35:25.120
<v Speaker 4>Jesse Dear, We want to do this together.

0:35:25.200 --> 0:35:27.319
<v Speaker 3>Do you ever feel like sometimes the industry is trying

0:35:27.320 --> 0:35:29.560
<v Speaker 3>to accomplish too much? You give us a ton of

0:35:29.560 --> 0:35:33.040
<v Speaker 3>potential use cases. You know, it's interesting to see that

0:35:33.480 --> 0:35:36.600
<v Speaker 3>many exist, But if it's trying to compete with so

0:35:36.719 --> 0:35:39.080
<v Speaker 3>many existing systems, what's the narrative?

0:35:40.280 --> 0:35:42.399
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, well, I think you know, you could have said

0:35:42.400 --> 0:35:45.000
<v Speaker 15>the same thing about the Internet in the early two thousands, Right,

0:35:45.200 --> 0:35:47.760
<v Speaker 15>is the Internet trying to upgrade all of our world

0:35:47.800 --> 0:35:49.839
<v Speaker 15>to come online? And I think if we look now,

0:35:49.960 --> 0:35:52.120
<v Speaker 15>you know, a decade, two decades later, what we've seen

0:35:52.200 --> 0:35:54.319
<v Speaker 15>is the Internet has transformed the world. And I think

0:35:54.360 --> 0:35:56.759
<v Speaker 15>we see the same opportunity here and we're not just

0:35:56.800 --> 0:35:58.800
<v Speaker 15>seeing it kind of in the abstract. We are seeing

0:35:58.800 --> 0:36:01.520
<v Speaker 15>it in the concrete. Every single day, you know, I

0:36:01.600 --> 0:36:04.400
<v Speaker 15>talk to people who are using crypto to transact to

0:36:04.480 --> 0:36:07.520
<v Speaker 15>people who are using an adopting crypto, like at Blackbird

0:36:07.840 --> 0:36:11.200
<v Speaker 15>in New York City restaurants to make better connections with

0:36:11.239 --> 0:36:13.880
<v Speaker 15>their customers and drive more revenue for their small businesses.

0:36:14.040 --> 0:36:16.760
<v Speaker 15>To artists who are using crypto to build more meaningful

0:36:16.760 --> 0:36:20.319
<v Speaker 15>connections with their fans. And to financial institutions you know,

0:36:20.400 --> 0:36:23.239
<v Speaker 15>like JP Morgan, like Coinbase, that are using crypto to

0:36:23.360 --> 0:36:26.759
<v Speaker 15>lower settlement times and to increase the efficiency of these systems.

0:36:26.840 --> 0:36:28.799
<v Speaker 11>And so we believe that, like the.

0:36:28.800 --> 0:36:32.040
<v Speaker 15>Internet, on chain has the opportunity to completely transform our

0:36:32.040 --> 0:36:32.760
<v Speaker 15>world for the better.

0:36:33.680 --> 0:36:46.680
<v Speaker 3>Jesse Pollocks, Senior director of Engineering at Coinbase. Morgan Stanley's

0:36:46.680 --> 0:36:50.000
<v Speaker 3>succession race is over, and boy was it a long

0:36:50.000 --> 0:36:53.000
<v Speaker 3>and heated succession race. Earlier today I spoke with Morgan

0:36:53.040 --> 0:36:56.400
<v Speaker 3>Stanley CEO James Gorman and incoming CEO Ted Pick, and

0:36:56.440 --> 0:36:59.719
<v Speaker 3>what they told me is they expect dealmaking to make

0:36:59.760 --> 0:37:03.160
<v Speaker 3>a back and to lead the next cycle. Take a listen.

0:37:04.160 --> 0:37:08.120
<v Speaker 16>Organizations grow because you have change. I mean, you're not

0:37:08.160 --> 0:37:10.200
<v Speaker 16>going to grow by doing the same thing again and again.

0:37:10.800 --> 0:37:13.560
<v Speaker 16>And I feel like we set this up several years

0:37:13.560 --> 0:37:17.400
<v Speaker 16>ago with the board. We've had a very very intentional

0:37:17.400 --> 0:37:20.800
<v Speaker 16>process and we ended up with a phenomenal outcome, which

0:37:20.840 --> 0:37:24.160
<v Speaker 16>is Ted, and we've got other unbelievably good executives who

0:37:24.160 --> 0:37:27.800
<v Speaker 16>are taking leadership roles as co presidents Andy Sepson and

0:37:27.880 --> 0:37:28.480
<v Speaker 16>Dan Sinkret.

0:37:28.600 --> 0:37:31.000
<v Speaker 10>So it's sort of what you hope for. I mean,

0:37:31.040 --> 0:37:33.240
<v Speaker 10>you try and drive strategy, you try and put together

0:37:33.280 --> 0:37:36.800
<v Speaker 10>a team, you try and deal with the inevitable knocks

0:37:36.840 --> 0:37:39.560
<v Speaker 10>that you get from the market and the disappointments that

0:37:39.640 --> 0:37:42.480
<v Speaker 10>come in times in any complex business. But at the

0:37:42.560 --> 0:37:44.120
<v Speaker 10>end of the day, you're also trying to hand it

0:37:44.160 --> 0:37:47.120
<v Speaker 10>off for the next generation. So it feels great and

0:37:47.160 --> 0:37:47.839
<v Speaker 10>it feels right.

0:37:47.920 --> 0:37:50.239
<v Speaker 3>You've been rumored to be a CEO contender for oh

0:37:50.239 --> 0:37:52.399
<v Speaker 3>so long, Ted, How does it finally feel to step

0:37:52.400 --> 0:37:53.359
<v Speaker 3>into the role next year?

0:37:53.719 --> 0:37:54.200
<v Speaker 1>Finally?

0:37:54.680 --> 0:37:57.000
<v Speaker 17>Morgan Stanley was the first place that I worked out

0:37:57.040 --> 0:38:00.239
<v Speaker 17>of college, and thirty three years later, I'm sitting next

0:38:00.280 --> 0:38:01.400
<v Speaker 17>to mister James Gorman.

0:38:01.840 --> 0:38:03.120
<v Speaker 11>It's the thrill of a lifetime.

0:38:03.200 --> 0:38:04.080
<v Speaker 2>I'm so excited.

0:38:04.719 --> 0:38:08.279
<v Speaker 3>Now you've really inherited a gift here, a massive transformation

0:38:08.440 --> 0:38:11.520
<v Speaker 3>over fourteen years, one of the best valuations here in

0:38:11.560 --> 0:38:14.319
<v Speaker 3>global banking. But there are investors who are worried this

0:38:14.360 --> 0:38:15.680
<v Speaker 3>is as good as a guests what do you.

0:38:15.680 --> 0:38:17.680
<v Speaker 17>Tell them there's more to come.

0:38:18.200 --> 0:38:19.040
<v Speaker 11>There's more to come.

0:38:19.360 --> 0:38:22.160
<v Speaker 17>We look at the five year chart, the ten year chart,

0:38:22.640 --> 0:38:23.799
<v Speaker 17>the fifteen year chart.

0:38:24.600 --> 0:38:25.160
<v Speaker 11>The wealth and.

0:38:25.080 --> 0:38:29.440
<v Speaker 17>Asked management businesses have these remarkable, durable earnings. The Global

0:38:29.480 --> 0:38:32.560
<v Speaker 17>Investment Bank has lots of miles to go. So we're

0:38:32.680 --> 0:38:35.360
<v Speaker 17>thrilled about the business strategy we have in place and

0:38:35.400 --> 0:38:37.520
<v Speaker 17>it's going to continue to deliver a long term value

0:38:37.520 --> 0:38:38.040
<v Speaker 17>for Sheerald.

0:38:38.239 --> 0:38:39.680
<v Speaker 3>Now for both of you, we've been in such a

0:38:39.719 --> 0:38:43.279
<v Speaker 3>prolongedble market that has hit such volatile times as of late.

0:38:43.560 --> 0:38:45.359
<v Speaker 4>Do you expect the next couple.

0:38:45.040 --> 0:38:48.160
<v Speaker 3>Of years from Morgan Stanley to be a little more choppy?

0:38:48.200 --> 0:38:51.640
<v Speaker 10>You know, I don't know's I thought this year would

0:38:51.680 --> 0:38:54.839
<v Speaker 10>be tough than it was. A lot of what's going

0:38:54.840 --> 0:38:57.799
<v Speaker 10>in the market conspise against our particular business makes some

0:38:57.840 --> 0:39:01.160
<v Speaker 10>of the more commercial retail banks mortgage bank very different

0:39:01.160 --> 0:39:04.120
<v Speaker 10>business model. But our turn will come. I think, you know,

0:39:04.560 --> 0:39:08.799
<v Speaker 10>I personally think the US has dodged a recession. I

0:39:08.800 --> 0:39:12.040
<v Speaker 10>think the FED is very close to being final within

0:39:12.200 --> 0:39:16.640
<v Speaker 10>probably twenty five basis points. We're starting to see activity.

0:39:16.680 --> 0:39:18.680
<v Speaker 10>Look for the Chevron deal we just announced the other day.

0:39:18.719 --> 0:39:22.080
<v Speaker 10>I'm in phenomenal so we're seeing activity in different sectors.

0:39:21.880 --> 0:39:25.040
<v Speaker 10>It's coming alive now. So no, I think the next

0:39:25.080 --> 0:39:26.920
<v Speaker 10>couple of years will be great. But what I care

0:39:26.960 --> 0:39:29.799
<v Speaker 10>about is over the really long run. When we set

0:39:29.840 --> 0:39:32.040
<v Speaker 10>about on this journey, we weren't focused on a quarter,

0:39:32.640 --> 0:39:34.319
<v Speaker 10>and if the stock takes a dip in a quarter,

0:39:34.400 --> 0:39:37.160
<v Speaker 10>I say, that's kind of good news because we're buying

0:39:37.200 --> 0:39:39.840
<v Speaker 10>back stock and every share you buy back, you're retiring

0:39:39.880 --> 0:39:42.560
<v Speaker 10>a dividend, So shareholders who hang tough at getting a

0:39:42.600 --> 0:39:45.879
<v Speaker 10>four and a half percent yield and we're buying back

0:39:45.960 --> 0:39:49.239
<v Speaker 10>stock and the stock's cheap, so it's it's kind of

0:39:49.239 --> 0:39:52.399
<v Speaker 10>a good situation being But medium term, no, I think

0:39:52.440 --> 0:39:53.560
<v Speaker 10>we're I think the film is going.

0:39:53.520 --> 0:39:53.919
<v Speaker 11>To do great.

0:39:54.239 --> 0:39:55.960
<v Speaker 3>Ted, what are the biggest challenges for you as you

0:39:56.040 --> 0:39:57.120
<v Speaker 3>navigate this environment?

0:39:57.640 --> 0:40:01.080
<v Speaker 17>There's just so much opportunity. We're definitely a new paradigm.

0:40:01.880 --> 0:40:03.799
<v Speaker 17>Interest rates are going to be higher for longer, and

0:40:03.840 --> 0:40:07.600
<v Speaker 17>the world's gotten smaller, which means the clients need advice

0:40:08.080 --> 0:40:09.960
<v Speaker 17>they need in the wealth and asked and management space

0:40:10.000 --> 0:40:13.279
<v Speaker 17>they need in the institutional space our corporate clients, and

0:40:13.320 --> 0:40:16.120
<v Speaker 17>we're going to have lots of activity around those clients.

0:40:16.120 --> 0:40:18.839
<v Speaker 17>So I just want to make sure that we are

0:40:19.080 --> 0:40:22.600
<v Speaker 17>completely aligned in the business strategy we have in place.

0:40:22.640 --> 0:40:26.400
<v Speaker 17>It's something that James is painstakingly put together for fourteen years.

0:40:26.680 --> 0:40:29.560
<v Speaker 17>The market knows we want to do so I'm incredibly

0:40:29.600 --> 0:40:31.279
<v Speaker 17>optimistic over the next couple of years.

0:40:31.400 --> 0:40:31.560
<v Speaker 4>Now.

0:40:31.560 --> 0:40:33.920
<v Speaker 3>That does it for this edition of Bloomberg Technology, And

0:40:33.960 --> 0:40:36.759
<v Speaker 3>don't forget to check out the VTech podcast. You can

0:40:36.800 --> 0:40:40.440
<v Speaker 3>find it on the terminal as well as online on Apple, Spotify,

0:40:40.640 --> 0:40:43.279
<v Speaker 3>and iHeart This is Bloomberg