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Speaker 1: I hold in my hands at least a copy of

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Speaker 1: probably the wildest conspiracy theory that's ever been floated about

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Speaker 1: this show, and it is my not privilege, but duty

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Speaker 1: to deliver it to you tonight. Wild One just slap

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Speaker 1: me in the face. I don't know where this morning,

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Speaker 1: So we got that A lot of stuff jam packed

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Speaker 1: Hiatapa distracted downtown Nashville, Tennessee. I got a computer over here.

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Speaker 1: I could be watching the West Virginia game. I could

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Speaker 1: be watching the Braves fight for their lives in Philadelphia tonight,

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Speaker 1: but I'm not because I'm locked in. I appreciate you

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Speaker 1: guys being locked in. It's Thursday, October, twelfth year of

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Speaker 1: our lower twenty twenty three. You know, you learned all

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Speaker 1: about the reproductive system. There will be no immunity here.

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Speaker 1: Let's be professional. You learned all about the reproductive system.

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Speaker 1: But tonight I'm gonna teach you about the addictive system

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Speaker 1: because we're going to repredict a lot of things, and

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Speaker 1: I fully expect you guys to forget whatever I said

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Speaker 1: in August. We're going to go by what I said tonight,

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Speaker 1: unless what I said in August happens to come to

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Speaker 1: fruition in December, and it'll be a judgment call at

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Speaker 1: that point. But I got some changes I need to

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Speaker 1: make in certain conferences, and I've got some lines that

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Speaker 1: I want to hold. I got some rope I want

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Speaker 1: to hold in some other conferences. I'm going to give

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Speaker 1: you how I see the playoff, how I see conference

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Speaker 1: championships happening. As of today, October twelfth, we've got the

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Speaker 1: Upset Alert meter, as we do every Thursday. It's also

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Speaker 1: time for us to have a very important conversation, probably

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Speaker 1: a long overdue conversation on this show, and it's about

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Speaker 1: the Texas A and m Aggie Yell leaders. That's all

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Speaker 1: I'm going to say right now. Colin has what I

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Speaker 1: think many of you will come to find as some

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Speaker 1: disturbing video. It's at the very least unique video, and

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Speaker 1: we're all going to go through it together. If you're

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Speaker 1: listening on podcast, don't worry. It will translate pretty well

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Speaker 1: on podcasts to all that. Plus, I got two added

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Speaker 1: best bets and I got something to tell you about

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Speaker 1: Friday Night lines in like thirty seconds, So stick with me.

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Speaker 1: Walla Walla Washington is tuned in Madison, Wisconsin, Roanoke, Virginia, Mobile, Alabama.

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Speaker 1: Speaking of Washington, we're flying to Seattle tomorrow and man,

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Speaker 1: looking very much forward to Oregon, Washington. Have never been

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Speaker 1: to Husky Stadium, looking forward to that. But since I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna get in pretty late by East Coast standards tomorrow night,

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Speaker 1: I am not gonna do Friday Night Lines on Friday night,

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Speaker 1: and thus the first paper pop of the show, I

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Speaker 1: can announce as of today that Friday Night Lines will

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Speaker 1: happen before lunchtime tomorrow. Nice note. I know some of

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Speaker 1: you have social lives. What's it like, By the way,

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Speaker 1: what's it like to have a social life that will

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Speaker 1: not let you participate in Friday Night Lines? Well, one time,

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Speaker 1: and one time only, you're gonna get to participate because

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Speaker 1: Friday Night Lines will happen live on my Instagram account

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Speaker 1: tomorrow sometime mid morning I think Central time at late kickjob.

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Speaker 1: Make sure you're there. Kids. We handed out what nine

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Speaker 1: winners last week, and no losers. Can't always guarantee winning

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Speaker 1: at that clip, but I can guarantee good, fairly clean fun.

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Speaker 1: Occasionally there's a dress hanging in the background, but by

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Speaker 1: and large it's good, clean fun, and I expect you

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Speaker 1: all to be there. Okay, we got a many many

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Speaker 1: different angles on the show tonight, but the first thing

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Speaker 1: we always have to do on Thursdays is we have

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Speaker 1: to peek around the corners and we have to ask

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Speaker 1: ourselves someone going down this weekend. So here we go, Colin,

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Speaker 1: here's your endpoint. The upset alert meter is kind of peaking.

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Speaker 1: I went back and watched the video we did last week,

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Speaker 1: and we were all over all these upsets that happened.

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Speaker 1: So is Auburn gonna upset LSU? Let's start with that one.

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Speaker 1: That one is a LSU minus eleven and a half

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Speaker 1: point line. Right now, Auburn's off a bye. You're gonna

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Speaker 1: see a lot of these situations this week. It's middle

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Speaker 1: of the season now, so you got a lot of

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Speaker 1: rested teams versus teams that have played in LSUS case,

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Speaker 1: back to back road games. You notice something that happened

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Speaker 1: last week, LSU went on the road, they won, and

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, it seems like a lot of

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Speaker 1: people's concerns were eased. And you shouldn't have your concerns

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Speaker 1: eased because they're still there and you're playing a team. Conversely,

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Speaker 1: in Auburn that everyone thinks is terrible and they just

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Speaker 1: had a bye week. And here's what I am concerned about.

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Speaker 1: Here's why I'm putting a seven point twenty five on

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Speaker 1: the upset alert meter. Here. This bear is close watching.

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Speaker 1: Auburn's defense is good enough to keep him in games.

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Speaker 1: And I also think that any offense runs the risk

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Speaker 1: of finding itself against LSU's defense. Now here's the bonus.

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Speaker 1: Here's the plus for LSU. They're giving you a home

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Speaker 1: game down there. I believe this is a night kickoff. Jesse,

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Speaker 1: please check that that's irresponsible of me. Okay, it's a

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Speaker 1: night game, all right, So it is their birthright in

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Speaker 1: Baton Rouge to have home night games in conference playing.

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Speaker 1: Here you go, here's one. I think LSU is gonna

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Speaker 1: win the game. I am not predicting the outright upset,

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Speaker 1: but I do think this one bears close watching because

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Speaker 1: I don't like. I don't like when very flawed teams

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Speaker 1: win a game. And then they've got a team that

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Speaker 1: they're barely favored by double digits over the next week,

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Speaker 1: and everyone goes, all right, well, we'll get right this week. No,

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Speaker 1: you could be in another dog fight this week. So

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Speaker 1: be heads up and be prepared. You're better than Auburn.

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Speaker 1: So was Georgia. I had that game look in the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter. Uh oh boy. Louisville. Louisville's at pitt this Saturday.

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Speaker 1: Did you know that Louisville, most famous recently for doing

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Speaker 1: things like upsetting Notre Dame, featured on this show prominently

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Speaker 1: last week. Might I add Louisville minus seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: I don't love the spot at all for Louisville, as

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Speaker 1: many friends as I made up in Louisville because we

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Speaker 1: picked them last week. I don't like the spot. So

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Speaker 1: you know that it's a natural letdown spot. Everyone can

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Speaker 1: see that. Did you know pitt was off last week?

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Speaker 1: Did you know they benched the quarterback? And we love

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Speaker 1: we love backup quarterbacks on this show. You find someone

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Speaker 1: in life who loves you like we love betting on

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Speaker 1: backup quarterbacks in college football, and you will live long

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Speaker 1: and healthy and happy for the remainder of your days.

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Speaker 1: Speaking of your days, if your days take you to Pittsburgh,

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Speaker 1: Pennsylvania this Saturday, carry a poncho. Bradley's been inexplicably walking

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Speaker 1: around the office with an umbrella of the past three days.

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Speaker 1: You'll need it. If you're in Pittsburgh Saturday. It's gonna rain.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna rain a lot, it's gonna be ugly. It's

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Speaker 1: basically like Pat and Oar Doozy got to personally dial

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Speaker 1: up the forecast for this one. Don't get in our doozy.

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Speaker 1: This is a very dangerous spot for Louisville. Everyone's starting

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Speaker 1: to look ahead here. It is Colin's showing you right now.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's looking after you beat Notre Dame at the remainder

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Speaker 1: of their schedule. Everyone's starting to realize what we told

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Speaker 1: you in July. They don't play a really difficult schedule.

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Speaker 1: And so they're looking at Duke and they're saying to themselves, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: Duke's good, but they got to come here. Riley Leonard's

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Speaker 1: been questionable lately. The two Virginia schools are trash right now.

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Speaker 1: We should beat them, no problem, and we go to Miami.

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Speaker 1: That could be tough, but by that point, maybe Miami's

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Speaker 1: a shell of themselves, maybe they've imploded. And also we're

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Speaker 1: on a roll. And then Kentucky's not a conference game,

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Speaker 1: you mark my words. They're starting to look at ACC

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Speaker 1: championship ticket prices. They're in Louisville and you got pitt

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Speaker 1: this Saturday, and it's a conference game. I put an

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Speaker 1: eight point seventy five on it. I think there is

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Speaker 1: a very very good chance this is close in the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter. Very good chance. Arkansas's at Alabama Saturday. Arkansas

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Speaker 1: is a twenty and a half point dog. The model

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Speaker 1: leans very very slightly towards Arkansas plus the points. It's

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Speaker 1: their fourth straight game on the road. Told you about

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Speaker 1: this in August, and this is it. This is the

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Speaker 1: end of that stretch. I was going over this with

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Speaker 1: Jesse earlier today and he said that can't be right.

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Speaker 1: That's impossible, and I said, go ahead, Jesse, take a look,

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Speaker 1: and sure enough, there it is. They went to LSU,

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Speaker 1: then they played A and M, but they played them

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Speaker 1: in Dallas. Translation, they got on an airplane, then they

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Speaker 1: went too Ole Miss and now they go to Alabama.

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Speaker 1: Should never ever happen in the NFL or college should

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Speaker 1: never happen, But it happened. Arkansas has been on the

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Speaker 1: road an entire month and the net result is you

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Speaker 1: get to end it against Alabama. Alabama coming off a

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Speaker 1: big time win. So anyway, there is the letdown potential

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Speaker 1: here with Bama coming off A and M, there's the

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Speaker 1: look ahead potential because they got Tennessee on deck. I

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Speaker 1: just think to myself, if you can't run the ball consistently,

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Speaker 1: and they can't, well they haven't been able to let

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Speaker 1: me not say they can't. They have been able to

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Speaker 1: run the ball consistently. The offense has been turnover prone

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Speaker 1: at times. They have racked up sacks allowed every single week.

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Speaker 1: What that means is there is a lot of variance

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Speaker 1: in potential outcomes week over week. You can't be taking

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Speaker 1: this stuff for granted. So I'm not calling an upset

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Speaker 1: here like I put it in the four and a

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Speaker 1: half range, but you gotta take this game seriously. This

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Speaker 1: Bama team's not cruising at an altitude where they canna

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Speaker 1: be overlooking conference opponents right now. Four and a half

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Speaker 1: and let's see how they look. Colorado is at Stanford

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Speaker 1: really quick. Last time Colorado was favored. Anyone remember how

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Speaker 1: that tune, how that turned out? Yes, you do, because

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Speaker 1: virtually every one of you was watching Colorado's state versus

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Speaker 1: Colorado at about two am on the East coast, Stanford

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Speaker 1: coming off the by This is Colorado's seventh game in

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Speaker 1: a row. Stanford's not good. I know that. That's why

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Speaker 1: Colorado's favored by double digits. Colorado is at their most

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Speaker 1: vulnerable from a health standpoint right now. Stanford is whatever

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Speaker 1: the best version of themselves. They'll be all year this weekend,

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Speaker 1: just don't I don't know, because it's still too early

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Speaker 1: to tell. I don't know how much we can trust

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Speaker 1: Colorado in the favorite role, I mean double digit favorite

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Speaker 1: role especially. We've seen it once and it was Colorado State,

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Speaker 1: and Colorado State took them down to the wire, took

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Speaker 1: them to overtime one more here. By the way, I

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Speaker 1: put a six on the upset Alert meter for that one.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna put a seven on this game. Utah is

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Speaker 1: going to col This game's totally off the radar. UTA's

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Speaker 1: minus eleven and a half. They're in the thick. It's

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Speaker 1: ten and a half now, they're in the thick of

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Speaker 1: the Pac twel championship race. We assume they'll be without

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Speaker 1: Jesse again this week, and by that I mean Cam

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Speaker 1: rising quarterback. May Or may not start, and there's been

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Speaker 1: a lot of question around that. If you don't have him,

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Speaker 1: this offense is not good. There is therefore a very

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Speaker 1: low margin for error, and that means even though there's

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Speaker 1: every reason in the world for you to be favored

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Speaker 1: by ten because you count on your defense showing up.

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Speaker 1: Cal has pretty quietly put up some decent performances as

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Speaker 1: of late. They hung with Oregon State last week. They

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Speaker 1: put thirty two on Washington and look if you can score,

201
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Speaker 1: just if you can randomly pop one or two here,

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Speaker 1: and Utah goes in there and maybe has limited possessions

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Speaker 1: and all of a sudden that they look pretty tough.

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Speaker 1: A well, it looks pretty tough on them. Again. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna put a seven on this one only because Utah's

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Speaker 1: got that by on deck. Oh it's so close. It's

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Speaker 1: so close. I don't know. I think weird things are

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Speaker 1: still to come out in the Pac twelve. I have concerns.

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Speaker 1: I'll be honest, I have concerns. So that's the upset

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Speaker 1: alert meter for this week. Remember, we are going to

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Speaker 1: be in Seattle, and there would be no big upset

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Speaker 1: either way there it's a three point line. But we

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Speaker 1: will be up there starting tomorrow, and who knows if

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna catch my flight Saturday. By the way, before

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Speaker 1: we get into several other things on the show. I'm

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Speaker 1: just gonna put this out there, all right, and you

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Speaker 1: guys can throw it right back at me. You can

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Speaker 1: do whatever you want to with it. I have got

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Speaker 1: a very tight window after this game, and we do

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Speaker 1: postgame stuff with CBS. I got a very tight window

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Speaker 1: to make it back down to SeaTac, which is the

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Speaker 1: airport up there, and I need a strategy, an exit strategy.

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Speaker 1: I know the light rail system runs from Husky Stadium

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Speaker 1: to the airport, but I don't know the frequency with

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Speaker 1: which it runs. I don't know how crowded that would be,

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Speaker 1: and I don't know how long it takes to get there.

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Speaker 1: I am not above walking several blocks away from a

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Speaker 1: venue to catch an uber or even car service. Do

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Speaker 1: we think it's possible, That's what I'm asking. Do we

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Speaker 1: think it is possible? Does anyone have any inside tips

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Speaker 1: and tricks up there? Cause this is my first trip

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Speaker 1: up there, so stranger in a strange lamb, but up

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Speaker 1: there we will be Okay, it's time to have probably

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Speaker 1: one of the most overdue conversations that we've had to

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Speaker 1: have on this show. I think this deserves not one,

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Speaker 1: but two SIPs from the Chalice, there's one and there's two.

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Speaker 1: I would say, I would say hide the kids. I

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Speaker 1: think the kids need to see this, so you know

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Speaker 1: what it's gonna happen eventually. Let's just dive into this

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M yel leaders. What do we think

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Speaker 1: Anyone who's watched a Texas A and M game, anyone

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Speaker 1: who's familiar with Aggie football, you have seen those guys

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Speaker 1: on the sidelines. It's different, it's unique onto anything else

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Speaker 1: in college football. I think we need to have a

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Speaker 1: serious discussion about this. A video has steriously resurfaced and

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Speaker 1: it shows the yell leaders practicing their yells and it's

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Speaker 1: not happening in front of one hundred and five thousand people.

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Speaker 1: It's in the stadium there at kyle Phield, but it's

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Speaker 1: just quiet. And the thing about it is you never

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Speaker 1: see them do that stuff quietly. You hear a bunch

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Speaker 1: of ambient noise because there's a big crowd. Well, I

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Speaker 1: don't want to ruin it for you. Colin's got the

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Speaker 1: video ready. We're about to tee it up, but I

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Speaker 1: caution you, if you've never seen this before, it's gonna

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Speaker 1: strike you a little sideways. Let's roll it colin.

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Speaker 2: Pass it back eggs, eggs, pupping eggs, pumps boo two

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Speaker 2: Hey dig eggis hey woo passing back eggs, pass back eggs,

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Speaker 2: pumping eggs bo two Hey gee gee a us.

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Speaker 3: Hey gee gee ah us hey but hey, m sorry.

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Speaker 1: Let's practice some of you our emotions. Let me ask

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Speaker 1: you a question. Why do you love college football? Just

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Speaker 1: say it out loud as you think it. How why

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Speaker 1: do you love college football? A lot of you are

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Speaker 1: saying the word tradition right now. You love tradition, and

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Speaker 1: I love tradition, love it, love it like nothing else

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Speaker 1: in sports. And you love the pageantry, and you probably

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Speaker 1: love a lot of the same stuff on Saturday that

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Speaker 1: I love. My question to you is what is tradition?

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Speaker 1: What is pageantry? What does it look like to you? Douse?

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Speaker 1: Let me tell you what it's not. It's not the

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Speaker 1: same thing, Rinston repeated. In every venue you go to,

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Speaker 1: you can get that on Sundays. It's called pro sports.

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Speaker 1: And the NFL's great, it's the greatest football product on earth.

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Speaker 1: But the environment's pale in comparison to college football. The

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Speaker 1: reason is cause we got different things in different corners

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Speaker 1: of the country. In the Saturday game that they may

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Speaker 1: not have necessarily in the Sunday game. I say that

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Speaker 1: to say this, You may have thought I was about

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Speaker 1: to hate on those dudes. You may have thought I

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Speaker 1: was about to try and dunk on A and M tradition.

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Speaker 1: It's weird to me too. Here's the difference between me

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Speaker 1: and an alarming number of my quote unquote college football

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Speaker 1: diehard buddies on the eye, Josh, I look at this weirdness,

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Speaker 1: and I say, Wow, that's weird. Oh good for them.

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Speaker 1: That's tradition to me, Like, that's what it looks like.

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Speaker 1: I want to go to your college football stadium and

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Speaker 1: see you doing some unique and maybe just outright weird

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Speaker 1: stuff that I don't see anywhere else. I could go

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Speaker 1: to fifty eight different stadium Saturday and hear him seeing

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Speaker 1: Hey Caroline or Sweet Caroline. I could go watch the

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Speaker 1: wave anywhere. I could go listen to the same fifteen

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Speaker 1: songs be blasted over the PA system. That's not tradition.

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Speaker 1: This stuff's tradition. I don't really care whether you get

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Speaker 1: it or not. I told you I grew up in

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Speaker 1: Georgia and I didn't know anything about A and M.

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Speaker 1: I thought it was just as weird as everyone else.

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Speaker 1: I've been out there several times now, so I've kind

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Speaker 1: of taken a step inside the bubble. It's not so

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Speaker 1: bad in there. It's not so bad. Especially if you

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Speaker 1: wear the white T shirt. They really think you're one

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Speaker 1: of them, and it is really not so bad. All

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Speaker 1: I'm saying is, think about your own family. Think about

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Speaker 1: your uncle that you know, has you pull his finger

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Speaker 1: at Christmas and then if you pull it just right,

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Speaker 1: he'll tell you a ghost story or something like that.

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Speaker 1: That stuff's weird. Every one of you has some weird

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Speaker 1: stuff in your family that from the street, from outside

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Speaker 1: the window looks at best weird or at worst felonious,

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Speaker 1: really creepy. It's yours. That's why it looks weird to

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Speaker 1: every other person, because it's not theirs. It's yours. Yell

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Speaker 1: leaders those dudes, that's A and M. It's frankly, it

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter to me if I think it's weird. It

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Speaker 1: certainly doesn't matter to me if you think it's weird.

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Speaker 1: And I can confidently tell you they don't care. If

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Speaker 1: you think it's weird, it's theirs. I actually would love

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Speaker 1: for something like that. Strange though this may sound, I'd

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Speaker 1: love for stuff like that to exist at every stadium

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Speaker 1: I go to. A lot of them do have unique things.

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Speaker 1: To me. That's the beauty of college football. I don't

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Speaker 1: even have to love everything. It's kind of like opinion.

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Speaker 1: I don't have to love every opinion to respect diversity

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Speaker 1: of opinion, even in our space. And so I feel

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Speaker 1: the same way about that. But when we were talking

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Speaker 1: about this earlier today, I brought this up on Twitter,

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Speaker 1: where we were talking about this earlier today, I said,

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Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna discuss this on the show tonight,

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Speaker 1: and a lot of people started to say different things,

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Speaker 1: and then I had what I would confidently say is

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Speaker 1: the wildest conspiracy theory about Late Kick to date thrown

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Speaker 1: at me. So basically, I said, I'm going to talk

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Speaker 1: about this on the show tonight. Paul comes back and says, oh,

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Speaker 1: you're going to talk about more Aggie stuff. Huh, there's

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Speaker 1: that bias again, And I kind of sarcastically said, yeah, man,

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Speaker 1: I grew up in West central Georgia, really strong A

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Speaker 1: and A and M country there. And he comes back.

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Speaker 1: Paul comes back and says, quote, no, you just happen

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Speaker 1: to share a massive Aggie sponsor. I live in Houston.

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Speaker 1: Brand consulting is one of my functional areas. I'm not

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Speaker 1: naive it's cool. This is the first time anyone's hit

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Speaker 1: me with this. And to be clear, if you don't

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Speaker 1: know what Paul is saying, Texas A and M is

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Speaker 1: right in the backyard of Academy Sports and Outdoors headquarters.

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Speaker 1: Are buddies over at tech SAgs are also sponsored by

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Speaker 1: Academy and Paul. Paul basically has uncovered the scandal of

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Speaker 1: the century, and that is that a publicly traded company,

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Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors, has taken their marketing budget and

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Speaker 1: has funneled money to national college football hosts to speak

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Speaker 1: positively about their personal favorite teams. Again, this is a

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Speaker 1: publicly traded company, So never mind what that actually means

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Speaker 1: in real world terms. Forget about all that. Let's just

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Speaker 1: go down this road for a second. Kit. Do we

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Speaker 1: think there's validity to this? Am I on the take

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Speaker 1: from Academy? Do I have a Texas A and M

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Speaker 1: licking stick tattoo on my lower back right now that

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Speaker 1: runs the duration of our deal with Academy. Do we

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Speaker 1: think it's possible? Is all I'm asking, don't give me

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Speaker 1: a definitive yes or no. Do I seem like the

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Speaker 1: kind of guy who would have done that, Because the

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Speaker 1: more I thought about it today, the more I went

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Speaker 1: from saying that's ridiculous to thinking, to myself, you know,

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Speaker 1: maybe that's not the wildest conspiracy theory I've ever heard,

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Speaker 1: because maybe I look in the mirror, maybe I am

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Speaker 1: the kind of guy who would do that. Real talk.

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Speaker 1: I've never considered that until today. Real Talk Texas, A

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Speaker 1: and M has come up in my conversations with our

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Speaker 1: academy reps. But so is Texas, So is USC. Strangely

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Speaker 1: so its Minnesota. And so yeah, they actually, believe it

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Speaker 1: or not, at a company of this size, have a

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Speaker 1: number of different rooting interests because, again, believe it or not,

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00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:26,040
Speaker 1: at a company of this size, they have this crazy

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Speaker 1: scheme to turn a profit in places other than just

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Speaker 1: East central Texas. So I think we're safe for now.

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Speaker 1: There is no considerable pro Aggie propaganda on the show,

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Speaker 1: at least not that I can tell. But I did

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Speaker 1: want to defend the yell leaders tonight. Now that will

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Speaker 1: be taken in and of itself as pro Aggie bias

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Speaker 1: because most people have a default position that is anti

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Speaker 1: yell leader. I'm just saying I'm pro tradition in college football,

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Speaker 1: and this is part of tradition in college station and

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Speaker 1: I don't really care if it seems unpalatable to you

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Speaker 1: or I because it doesn't have to. It doesn't have

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Speaker 1: to float our boat. It's Texas A and M. And

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Speaker 1: that's all I wanted to say on the matter. It's

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Speaker 1: not nearly as controversial as power rating Texas above Oklahoma. Still,

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00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:17,800
Speaker 1: you should see some of the videos and responses I've

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00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:22,399
Speaker 1: gotten to that speak of the devil conveniently following a

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M centric video or centric segment. Guess who.

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Speaker 1: I'm here to talk to you about Academy Sports and Outdoors,

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00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:32,040
Speaker 1: your one stop shop for all things outdoor sporting goods

390
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:35,720
Speaker 1: plus And they don't pay me to drip their ad

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00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:38,440
Speaker 1: read with sarcasm, but I cannot help it right now. Paul,

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00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,159
Speaker 1: I hope you're watching, and Paul, I would love to

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00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:42,639
Speaker 1: send you a gift card if you will send me

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00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:46,440
Speaker 1: your address. I am talking to the rest of you now.

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00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 1: The rest of you, along with myself, are entering into

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00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:52,920
Speaker 1: a very treacherous time in our lives. It's called the fall,

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00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:57,560
Speaker 1: and it means that all kinds of allergens are about.

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00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:00,040
Speaker 1: But it also means that weather is changing, and it

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00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 1: means habits are changing, clothing is changing, and why not

400
00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:05,919
Speaker 1: just go let Academy Sports and Outdoors take care of

401
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 1: it for you. They've got your clothing, they've got your tents,

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00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 1: they got your outdoor sporting good supplies. They got all

403
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:13,159
Speaker 1: kind of different stuff you don't even know about. So

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00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:15,359
Speaker 1: make sure you darken the doors of an Academy Sports

405
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:17,080
Speaker 1: and Outdoors. And if you can't get there in person,

406
00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:21,320
Speaker 1: that's fine, That's absolutely fine. Some of you are homebodies.

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00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:24,840
Speaker 1: I am Soacademy dot com boom. Long as you got internet,

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00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:27,600
Speaker 1: they're your hookup. I always tell you to tell them

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00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:30,119
Speaker 1: I sent you. I can't promise you a discount. I

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00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 1: can't even promise you the cashier has ever heard of

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Speaker 1: our show. But it will make me feel good if

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Speaker 1: I know that you've done that. Let's move on. I've

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00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:44,239
Speaker 1: got repredictions coming up, I have got best bets coming up. Like,

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Speaker 1: we've still got a number of things to get to.

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Speaker 1: All that, plus I am I am very tempted to

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Speaker 1: just I can't do it. I can't do it. I

417
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:55,320
Speaker 1: owe it to you not to pull up scores on

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Speaker 1: my computer right now. If you just tuned in, let

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00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:03,800
Speaker 1: me quickly quickly remind you no Friday night lines. Tomorrow night.

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Speaker 1: We're doing a special morning slash mid day version because

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00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:11,280
Speaker 1: I will be in the air at the time when

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00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:13,679
Speaker 1: we would normally do that. So make sure you're following

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Speaker 1: on Instagram at late kick Josh. I'll put out the

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00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:18,960
Speaker 1: exact time in the morning, so you just got to

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Speaker 1: be following there. It was very profitable for those who

426
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,440
Speaker 1: did follow last week. All right, let's dive into this.

427
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:26,399
Speaker 1: We had a game we didn't hit the other night,

428
00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:28,679
Speaker 1: so I wanted to hit this one right quick, and

429
00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:31,000
Speaker 1: then I'll get to all the repredictions and then we'll

430
00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 1: get ourselves out of here. Nice CRISP show tonight. You know,

431
00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:39,440
Speaker 1: Miami's playing North Carolina Saturday. They are in fact going

432
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:42,159
Speaker 1: to finish the schedule. Are the Hurricanes. They're not folding

433
00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:45,600
Speaker 1: up shop after the disaster against Georgia Tech. I've got

434
00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:47,760
Speaker 1: a weird way that I like to look at this sport.

435
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:50,120
Speaker 1: I don't like looking in the rear view mirror when

436
00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:53,359
Speaker 1: I try and predict games, because that is a fool's errand,

437
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:56,240
Speaker 1: as Mima would say, So instead, what I try and

438
00:23:56,280 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 1: do is acknowledge the past, but used forward thinking, predictive

439
00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:04,919
Speaker 1: mechanisms in order to try and land on winners for

440
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 1: these games. So let me do a little what if.

441
00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 1: What if I told you the Oregon Ducks are one

442
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:14,680
Speaker 1: of two teams in the country right now that are

443
00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:17,840
Speaker 1: top ten in total offense and total defense. They're playing

444
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,440
Speaker 1: Washington Saturday. We'll be on the sidelines for that game.

445
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:24,160
Speaker 1: Oregon's one of those teams. Who's the other team top

446
00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:26,800
Speaker 1: ten in offense and defense? Who's the other team? It

447
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 1: is the Miami Hurricanes. So let me do another little

448
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 1: what if with you little mental exercise here that it

449
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:35,960
Speaker 1: shouldn't be too much of a stretch. We all know

450
00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:40,000
Speaker 1: how the game ended against Georgia Tech. Let's just pretend

451
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:42,840
Speaker 1: for a second they took a knee, because really, nothing

452
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:45,119
Speaker 1: about that play is going to impact this Saturday, or

453
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:47,119
Speaker 1: at least we don't think it will. So let's pretend

454
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,399
Speaker 1: they took a knee against Georgia Tech. They won the

455
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:52,760
Speaker 1: game close, but they got out of there, well, they

456
00:24:52,760 --> 00:24:55,880
Speaker 1: would have gotten out of there being what were they

457
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 1: minus five turn They had five turnovers last week and

458
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:02,080
Speaker 1: still would have won the game. And also they would

459
00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:05,600
Speaker 1: have held Haines King Georgia Tech quarterback to ten of

460
00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:08,600
Speaker 1: twenty two for seventy seven yards and two picks. It

461
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:11,280
Speaker 1: would have been a close game. But how we would

462
00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:15,160
Speaker 1: be talking about Miami in that scenario is, Wow, they

463
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 1: won despite all those turnovers, and even in the midst

464
00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:22,520
Speaker 1: of all that near upset talk, they dominated defensively. That's

465
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:25,320
Speaker 1: how you'd be talking about him, and then you'd probably say, boy,

466
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 1: they clean up those turnovers, they could really have a

467
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:31,000
Speaker 1: good Saturday in Chapel Hill. My point is all that's

468
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:34,359
Speaker 1: still valid. So if you would have felt that way otherwise,

469
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:36,920
Speaker 1: what is the difference in taking a knee versus running

470
00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:40,720
Speaker 1: and fumbling? Change about this Saturday, not last Saturday. This Saturday.

471
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:44,840
Speaker 1: So all we did, because it played out the way

472
00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 1: it did, is we add wounded animal mode into the blender.

473
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:51,560
Speaker 1: So I got Miami with their backs against the wall

474
00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:53,440
Speaker 1: having to go on the road. And maybe it does

475
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:55,760
Speaker 1: impact this game. Maybe it just doesn't impact it in

476
00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 1: the way you think it will. They need to win

477
00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:01,320
Speaker 1: on the ground. That's what Miami. I actually think. What

478
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:04,680
Speaker 1: I believed they needed to do against Texas A and

479
00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:07,720
Speaker 1: m they actually will need to do here. They lead

480
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,639
Speaker 1: the ACC in rush yards per game North Carolina forty

481
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:14,120
Speaker 1: third in rush yards per game allowed. So the paper

482
00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:17,920
Speaker 1: that is in front of me indicates Miami's offensive line

483
00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 1: should travel, Their ground games should travel. They should have

484
00:26:20,320 --> 00:26:24,560
Speaker 1: some success here. Here's the issue. North Carolina is extremely good.

485
00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:28,120
Speaker 1: I told you last week I thought North Carolina in

486
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:32,640
Speaker 1: that spot schedule wise, should have theoretically struggled a little

487
00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:35,840
Speaker 1: bit with Syracuse. They didn't rip them to pieces. So

488
00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:39,359
Speaker 1: I have very little doubt about North Carolina right now.

489
00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:43,480
Speaker 1: There will be plays to be made against this Miami secondary.

490
00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:47,719
Speaker 1: Now they got a safety tandem in Miami that is

491
00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:51,680
Speaker 1: probably gonna face one of the most important tests of

492
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 1: this weekend. Regardless of where you're looking in which game

493
00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:57,400
Speaker 1: you're looking at. You got Williams back there, Camp Kitchens

494
00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:00,480
Speaker 1: back there, and there is a there's there's a train

495
00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:03,000
Speaker 1: of thought out there. There's a school of thought that

496
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:06,480
Speaker 1: North Carolina possesses the offense to light them up, to

497
00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:10,720
Speaker 1: expose them. I'm not I think they possessed the offensive

498
00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:13,600
Speaker 1: firepower to have success against pretty much anyone. I don't

499
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 1: know if you're gonna outright expose Miami safeties. I think

500
00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:18,359
Speaker 1: they're very, very good players. I actually think it's an

501
00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:22,600
Speaker 1: opportunity for them as well. But Drake May's fourth in

502
00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:26,119
Speaker 1: the country in pass yards per game right now, Everything

503
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:28,400
Speaker 1: about him is the real deal. Everything about this team

504
00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:32,000
Speaker 1: so far has been the real deal. Here's here's one

505
00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:36,399
Speaker 1: area where I don't think it's necessarily a weakness or

506
00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:38,639
Speaker 1: a negative. I just want you to know about it.

507
00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:44,760
Speaker 1: North Carolina. The offenses they've faced so so. North Carolina's

508
00:27:44,800 --> 00:27:46,840
Speaker 1: defense looked a lot better so far this year. The

509
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:53,600
Speaker 1: offenses they've faced, though, have been ranked sixty third, twenty third, one,

510
00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:58,360
Speaker 1: twenty one, twenty two, and forty eight. Now, the offense

511
00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:01,480
Speaker 1: that was ranked twenty third was I believe app State,

512
00:28:01,560 --> 00:28:04,960
Speaker 1: and they hung thirty four on North Carolina. So haven't

513
00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 1: exactly faced a murderer's row of offenses. Miami's got the

514
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:11,000
Speaker 1: thirteenth rated offense in the country right now. What's the

515
00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,600
Speaker 1: mentality of that Miami team right now? This is why

516
00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:15,919
Speaker 1: I have no clue who's gonna win this game. I

517
00:28:15,960 --> 00:28:19,280
Speaker 1: don't know what the mentality is. They could either come

518
00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:22,560
Speaker 1: out with their hair on fire determined not to let

519
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:26,040
Speaker 1: a repeat of last week happen, or they could just

520
00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:29,000
Speaker 1: implode Saturday and be down twenty four to three midway

521
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,919
Speaker 1: through the second quarter, and neither of those would surprise me.

522
00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:34,960
Speaker 1: We got a land on a side here, though. Miami's

523
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,200
Speaker 1: one hundred and twentieth in the country and penalties right now,

524
00:28:37,680 --> 00:28:41,600
Speaker 1: so that cannot the turnover thing and penalties that cannot

525
00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:44,360
Speaker 1: crop up, or they're done. They could be done if

526
00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 1: they play a clean game Saturday. They certainly can't afford that.

527
00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:49,560
Speaker 1: I want to take a look at what the model

528
00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,800
Speaker 1: thinks and Collins got on the board already, what Vegas thinks.

529
00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:55,160
Speaker 1: This line's at three and a half. Guys, it has

530
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,480
Speaker 1: not been steamed. I had a couple of buddies who

531
00:28:57,520 --> 00:29:01,600
Speaker 1: fancy themselves gambling experts, and they told me, ooh, I'm

532
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:04,080
Speaker 1: grabbing North Carolina while I can. That number is going

533
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:06,920
Speaker 1: to go all the way up to seven. No, it's not, No,

534
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 1: it's not. These teams are very evenly matched. You've got

535
00:29:10,800 --> 00:29:12,680
Speaker 1: home field baked in there, and if you take out

536
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 1: home field, Vegas is probably telling you Tar Hills minus

537
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:18,680
Speaker 1: one minus one and a half, depending on how you

538
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:24,080
Speaker 1: askignate home value there. I'm going to just go out

539
00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:27,600
Speaker 1: on a limb, and I think Miami is balanced enough

540
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 1: and can run the ball well enough to limit possessions

541
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 1: for North Carolina and is good enough on the back

542
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:35,440
Speaker 1: end of their secondary to limit the explosive plays that

543
00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:38,080
Speaker 1: they are going to give an inspired effort because of

544
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:40,720
Speaker 1: last week. And I actually think Miami is gonna find

545
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:43,080
Speaker 1: a way to win this game. I can't stress enough

546
00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:46,680
Speaker 1: how low a confidence this pick is. There will not

547
00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:48,560
Speaker 1: be a dime of my money bet on this. It's

548
00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:51,520
Speaker 1: not a ramin. It'll express best bet. I am, ever

549
00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:54,920
Speaker 1: so slightly leaning Miami here. I think it'll muddy up

550
00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:58,720
Speaker 1: the ACC championship picture if it does, because even now

551
00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:01,880
Speaker 1: the odds to win the a SEC Championship, North Carolina second,

552
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 1: Miami's fourth. So that was a conference loss Miami had

553
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:07,960
Speaker 1: last week. That's not one of those out of conference specials.

554
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:09,960
Speaker 1: They got to win this game. They still got a

555
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:12,200
Speaker 1: tough slate coming up. They gotta win this game. I'm

556
00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:15,160
Speaker 1: gonna take Miami to win and obviously take him to cover.

557
00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:23,600
Speaker 1: And that's my follow up. Just a deep nervous exhale. Jollyville,

558
00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:27,880
Speaker 1: Texas is tuned in tonight. Oakland, California, is tuned in tonight. Zebulin,

559
00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:31,800
Speaker 1: North Carolina, and Dixon, Tennessee. Appreciate you guys so much

560
00:30:31,840 --> 00:30:35,920
Speaker 1: being tuned in. If you're watching live, less than like

561
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:37,680
Speaker 1: a fifth of you have liked the video, so do

562
00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:39,640
Speaker 1: me a quick favor and like the video. If you're

563
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 1: listening on pod, which a ton of you do, thank you.

564
00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:45,760
Speaker 1: Make sure check if you haven't already, just make sure

565
00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 1: you're subscribed to it. Nothing changes on your end, like

566
00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:51,560
Speaker 1: it doesn't cost you anything. It just helps us internally,

567
00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:55,640
Speaker 1: so make sure you subscribe either way. It's that time, kids,

568
00:30:55,800 --> 00:31:01,080
Speaker 1: it's early October. It's time to get a little repredictive here.

569
00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:06,320
Speaker 1: Our repredictive system works like this. I predict things in August.

570
00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:09,600
Speaker 1: Some of them look like they're still on track. Others

571
00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:13,320
Speaker 1: just go down and utter flames. And therefore we arrive

572
00:31:13,320 --> 00:31:16,120
Speaker 1: in October and I do what people tell you you're

573
00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:18,000
Speaker 1: not supposed to do, but there's no law against it,

574
00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 1: so whatever. I just choose new teams and expect you

575
00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 1: guys to acknowledge the new teams in lieu of the

576
00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:28,360
Speaker 1: old teams. Let's start in the SEC. Not much to

577
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:32,280
Speaker 1: change here, really, in the SEC way way back in

578
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 1: the summer. I looked in the East and I said,

579
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 1: that's george just to win. And it still is, make

580
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 1: no mistake about it. And I looked over in the West,

581
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:44,640
Speaker 1: and I may have said some things about Alabama's offensive

582
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:48,440
Speaker 1: line that were aggressive. I may have thought they'd be

583
00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:51,080
Speaker 1: a little bit better running the ball than they have

584
00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 1: been so far. Certainly nailed it with their defense. Defense

585
00:31:55,360 --> 00:32:01,120
Speaker 1: has been wonderful. And I went Alabama over Georgia, and friends,

586
00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:04,080
Speaker 1: I'm gonna stick with the prediction. I'm gonna take Alabama,

587
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 1: and Georgia is still making it to Atlanta, and I'm

588
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:12,320
Speaker 1: still gonna take Alabama over Georgia. Now, there are varying

589
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:15,080
Speaker 1: degrees of confidence here, but I'm not doing power ratings

590
00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:17,320
Speaker 1: on this. I'm not doing anything along the lines of

591
00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 1: a confidence factor. Trust me, you don't want that from

592
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:22,080
Speaker 1: me right now. But there is no reason for me

593
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:23,760
Speaker 1: to change that at the moment. The odds to win

594
00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:28,160
Speaker 1: the SEC Championship are as such. Georgia is currently the

595
00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:31,400
Speaker 1: favorite and Alabama's next, and there is a long long

596
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:36,120
Speaker 1: way down to number three, which is still lsu so far,

597
00:32:36,640 --> 00:32:39,920
Speaker 1: no change that is about to change, though, let's go

598
00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:44,640
Speaker 1: to the Big Ten. It is such a shame. This

599
00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 1: is a personal commentary here. It is such a shame

600
00:32:48,000 --> 00:32:50,400
Speaker 1: that we have to wait another year for the Big

601
00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:54,400
Speaker 1: Ten to rid itself of the division format because the

602
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:57,400
Speaker 1: Big Ten West is, as expected, largely a tire fire,

603
00:32:57,840 --> 00:33:01,040
Speaker 1: and the East features three very prompt at teams and

604
00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:03,160
Speaker 1: only one of them can go to the conference title

605
00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:05,880
Speaker 1: game because of an imaginary line drawn in the conference

606
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 1: on a map. And so we got Michigan, Penn State,

607
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:12,520
Speaker 1: and Ohio State all ranked in the top six of

608
00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 1: the AP They're in the top ten of the JP pull.

609
00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:17,120
Speaker 1: I should not have even said that in that order.

610
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:21,960
Speaker 1: And so back in the summer, I picked Ohio State

611
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:26,440
Speaker 1: to win the East, and I flipped a coin and

612
00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:30,160
Speaker 1: it landed on Iowa to win the West. And I

613
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,800
Speaker 1: always got to play Wisconsin this Saturday, and I got

614
00:33:33,840 --> 00:33:36,920
Speaker 1: Wisconsin winning that game by about ten according to the model.

615
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,200
Speaker 1: I have no reason to argue with it. Don't like

616
00:33:39,280 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 1: that matchup for Iowa at all. I think Wisconsin may

617
00:33:42,040 --> 00:33:44,040
Speaker 1: be getting its act together this Saturday a little bit.

618
00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:46,680
Speaker 1: And so if they win that game, If the Badgers

619
00:33:46,680 --> 00:33:49,000
Speaker 1: win that game, their only loss is out of conference

620
00:33:49,080 --> 00:33:52,440
Speaker 1: I was already got a conference loss. So this sets

621
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:55,600
Speaker 1: up to be Wisconsin's division, especially if that's the way

622
00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 1: it pans out, which I think it will. So new prediction.

623
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:01,440
Speaker 1: Let's just go ahead and change it. I wish I

624
00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:03,560
Speaker 1: had a little touch screen back here. We are going

625
00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:07,440
Speaker 1: to call the Big Ten East now for Ohio State,

626
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 1: We're going to call the West predictively for Wisconsin. The

627
00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:15,560
Speaker 1: late Kick News desk is ready to call the Big

628
00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:18,800
Speaker 1: Ten West for Wisconsin. That's not official, that's not endorsed

629
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:22,120
Speaker 1: by CBS Paramount or twenty four to seven. That's just me.

630
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:25,600
Speaker 1: Next up in the ACC what did I have back

631
00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 1: in the summer, Well, I had Florida State and Clemson.

632
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,520
Speaker 1: I actually tried to do that thing where I said

633
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:34,480
Speaker 1: Clemson's gonna win Round one, but Florida State's gonna win

634
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,600
Speaker 1: Round two. Kids, there's just no skill in that. Don't

635
00:34:37,600 --> 00:34:39,319
Speaker 1: do it. I know there's no skill in it. And

636
00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:43,120
Speaker 1: somehow I felt for that. So Florida State is probably

637
00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:44,840
Speaker 1: going to be in this thing. I'm not changing that

638
00:34:44,920 --> 00:34:47,400
Speaker 1: part of it. Clemson's probably not going to be in it,

639
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:49,920
Speaker 1: So I am changing that part of it. But hoopst

640
00:34:50,160 --> 00:34:55,040
Speaker 1: do we go with the answer is Louisville, and the

641
00:34:55,040 --> 00:34:58,920
Speaker 1: answer is Louisville because of what their schedule looks like.

642
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:02,239
Speaker 1: Now I have person concern about Louisville going to pit

643
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 1: this Saturday, but they are favored by a touchdown a

644
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:07,480
Speaker 1: little over touchdown, So if they are to get through that,

645
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:10,959
Speaker 1: when we get to the bye week, you got duke

646
00:35:11,200 --> 00:35:14,719
Speaker 1: the two Virginia schools in Miami. And even if they

647
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:18,160
Speaker 1: lose to Miami, Miami's got a tough road still to

648
00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:21,600
Speaker 1: go in the ACC and they already got one conference loss,

649
00:35:21,640 --> 00:35:23,640
Speaker 1: So you would need Miami to drop one more game

650
00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:26,840
Speaker 1: and you'd still finish ahead of them. I don't know

651
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,320
Speaker 1: how you don't pick Louisville right now, there's a path

652
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:32,000
Speaker 1: I get. The North Carolina argument is a very strong

653
00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:34,799
Speaker 1: argument in North Carolina could beat Miami Saturday and just

654
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:37,520
Speaker 1: go on and win the rest of their games. Since

655
00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:41,080
Speaker 1: I picked Miami to beat North Carolina, that's where I

656
00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:43,720
Speaker 1: started to lean Louisville. Louisville does not even play Florida

657
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:46,120
Speaker 1: State or North Carolina in the regular season. The current

658
00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:49,200
Speaker 1: odds to win the ACC Florida State number one, North

659
00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:52,960
Speaker 1: Carolina number two, Louisville number three, so let's take a

660
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:55,279
Speaker 1: flyer on the cards. Why not, Let's go Fsu versus

661
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:59,280
Speaker 1: Louisville in the ACC. And then there's the Big Twelve.

662
00:36:00,560 --> 00:36:05,040
Speaker 1: In the Big twelve's really interesting conference, you know, Big twelve,

663
00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:08,959
Speaker 1: so many teams to choose from. And so I sat

664
00:36:09,040 --> 00:36:12,800
Speaker 1: there in the summer and I thought to myself self,

665
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:16,560
Speaker 1: is Texas for real? I think Texas is for real?

666
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:20,359
Speaker 1: Yeah no, no, no, no, no, take that down, Take it down,

667
00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:23,400
Speaker 1: take the graphic down. Please. Just if you're listening on podcasts,

668
00:36:23,400 --> 00:36:27,000
Speaker 1: pretend nothing ever happened. No, I'm not ready for it yet.

669
00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:31,200
Speaker 1: Here's what you guys need to know. I was sabotaged.

670
00:36:31,920 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 1: And what happened was at a very weak moment. I'm

671
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:40,160
Speaker 1: talking about week, probably hadn't eaten enough that day, terrible workout,

672
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:44,520
Speaker 1: came in and was trying to decide which shirt to

673
00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:47,920
Speaker 1: wear for the show. And I think what happened was

674
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:53,279
Speaker 1: I said Oklahoma, and then just just state came out

675
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:56,800
Speaker 1: of my mouth. We've all been there, and the staff

676
00:36:56,840 --> 00:37:00,680
Speaker 1: took that to mean I'm predicting Oklahoma State eight to

677
00:37:00,719 --> 00:37:03,319
Speaker 1: go to the Big Twelve championship game, which, as we

678
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:07,319
Speaker 1: all know, is ridiculous, and so this graphic, or as

679
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:10,239
Speaker 1: I like to call it, propaganda at this point from

680
00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:15,320
Speaker 1: my staff towards me, it seems to indicate I picked

681
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:18,920
Speaker 1: Texas versus Oklahoma State. But hoomst would do that. That

682
00:37:19,040 --> 00:37:21,799
Speaker 1: doesn't sound like me. That doesn't sound like something I

683
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:25,360
Speaker 1: would do. It sounds much more likely that I just

684
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:28,560
Speaker 1: expected Texas versus Oklahoma. And so I'm just gonna take

685
00:37:28,600 --> 00:37:31,440
Speaker 1: this opportunity to do the right thing, to do the

686
00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:37,240
Speaker 1: ethical thing, and clean up a very obvious August mistake. Colin,

687
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:41,200
Speaker 1: thank you. And we're just gonna put Texas against Oklahoma

688
00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:45,000
Speaker 1: in the Big twelve championship game the way it probably

689
00:37:45,280 --> 00:37:47,919
Speaker 1: was always meant to be, and we're all gonna forget

690
00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:52,040
Speaker 1: about this. Yes, no one spoke up against it, Okay,

691
00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:55,279
Speaker 1: so we're all gonna be an agreement there. Texas Oklahoma.

692
00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:59,440
Speaker 1: Now you will notice, you will notice that on that

693
00:37:59,520 --> 00:38:07,360
Speaker 1: graphic it did say Texas over Oklahoma. I think I

694
00:38:07,360 --> 00:38:09,000
Speaker 1: don't know. I was sitting in this very seat a

695
00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:11,400
Speaker 1: little while ago. I was on CBS Sports HQ with

696
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,879
Speaker 1: Chris Hassel, and he pressed me on that, and I said,

697
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:17,200
Speaker 1: I don't know. I think I'd pick Oklahoma if they

698
00:38:17,200 --> 00:38:19,560
Speaker 1: played again today. Although the model would disagree with me,

699
00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:21,839
Speaker 1: but they're not playing that game again today. That would

700
00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:26,200
Speaker 1: be well down the road. I don't know. It's like

701
00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 1: Texas fifty one percent, Oklahoma forty nine percent. I mean,

702
00:38:29,040 --> 00:38:32,680
Speaker 1: I did just stand in the Cotton Bowl crickets all

703
00:38:32,719 --> 00:38:34,799
Speaker 1: around me. Remind me to tell you that story another time.

704
00:38:35,239 --> 00:38:39,000
Speaker 1: And I did watch Oklahoma sort of control that game.

705
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:44,600
Speaker 1: And so December is what. December is long December, and

706
00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:46,520
Speaker 1: it's a long way to December. So let's just see

707
00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:49,480
Speaker 1: what the future holds. But I am going Longhorns sooners.

708
00:38:49,680 --> 00:38:53,360
Speaker 1: I think we will get another matchup in the second

709
00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:57,839
Speaker 1: best venue in the greater Dallas area, and we'll see

710
00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:00,880
Speaker 1: how the Chips fall there. Okay, last, but certainly not

711
00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:04,600
Speaker 1: least PAC twelve. Before I get to my playoff picks,

712
00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:10,160
Speaker 1: PAC twelve, I was bold. I went Oregon versus Ucla.

713
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:13,399
Speaker 1: I did not have USC in my conference championship game

714
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 1: back in the summer, and I'm still not gonna have

715
00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:19,920
Speaker 1: them there. I'm putting Oregon right where I had him

716
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:24,560
Speaker 1: in August. I'm keeping Ucla right where I had him

717
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:29,720
Speaker 1: in August. Now here's the caveat about forty eight hours

718
00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:33,359
Speaker 1: from now, UCLA plays Oregon State and this could all

719
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:35,800
Speaker 1: come crashing down on me. And they are a short

720
00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:39,880
Speaker 1: underdog in Corvallis, and if they lose that game, well,

721
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:44,200
Speaker 1: I'm probably losing this prediction. So if they can get

722
00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:48,560
Speaker 1: through that one Stanford, Colorado, the two Arizona schools, and

723
00:39:48,600 --> 00:39:51,239
Speaker 1: then they go to USC before they end against Cal,

724
00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:56,840
Speaker 1: that is a manageable schedule kids, UCLA. I would strongly

725
00:39:56,920 --> 00:39:58,640
Speaker 1: encourage you guys, by the way, to go to our

726
00:39:58,760 --> 00:40:01,799
Speaker 1: UCLA site on twenty four seven sports look at the

727
00:40:01,840 --> 00:40:05,000
Speaker 1: breakdown of how that offense sort of evolved during the

728
00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:08,360
Speaker 1: bye week. Great work took hours and hours and hours.

729
00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:11,840
Speaker 1: I think Chip Kelly and that offensive staff have found

730
00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:14,440
Speaker 1: enough that will work that they'll be able to get

731
00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:16,920
Speaker 1: through this and I think they'll be able to somehow,

732
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:20,759
Speaker 1: some way win Saturday. And so I'm going to keep

733
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:23,440
Speaker 1: UCLA in the conference championship game right now. I'm going

734
00:40:23,520 --> 00:40:26,200
Speaker 1: to keep Oregon winning the conference championship. Really high on

735
00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:29,120
Speaker 1: Oregon right now. So where does that leave us in

736
00:40:29,200 --> 00:40:34,080
Speaker 1: the college football playoff picture? Back in the summer, I

737
00:40:34,760 --> 00:40:37,360
Speaker 1: took a lot of ridicule. I have no idea why

738
00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:39,960
Speaker 1: you pick a bunch of teams that are ranked in

739
00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:43,120
Speaker 1: the top eight of the playoff odds, you put four

740
00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:46,280
Speaker 1: of them in the playoff. Half the country thinks it's ludicrous.

741
00:40:46,400 --> 00:40:51,120
Speaker 1: It's really interesting concept. So Ohio State was my number one.

742
00:40:51,400 --> 00:40:53,839
Speaker 1: I had Bama as the number two seed. I had

743
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:56,799
Speaker 1: Oregon as the three seed. I had Penn State as

744
00:40:56,840 --> 00:41:01,080
Speaker 1: the four seed. I am not changing this. My philosophy

745
00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:03,759
Speaker 1: is as long as my four teams are still in

746
00:41:03,800 --> 00:41:07,920
Speaker 1: it and none of them look like really, really really

747
00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:10,520
Speaker 1: long shots to make it, I'm gonna I'm gonna keep

748
00:41:10,560 --> 00:41:12,880
Speaker 1: them in there. I had Ohio State and Bama in

749
00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:15,600
Speaker 1: the title game. I had Bama winning the title game.

750
00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:18,319
Speaker 1: The odds are a lot longer on that than they

751
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:20,200
Speaker 1: were in the preseason. But I'm not gonna change that.

752
00:41:20,200 --> 00:41:24,280
Speaker 1: I'm not coming off that. Here's my problem. My problem

753
00:41:24,400 --> 00:41:28,200
Speaker 1: is if Georgia, let's just say they go undefeated and

754
00:41:28,239 --> 00:41:32,480
Speaker 1: they lose in Atlanta to Alabama, their strength of schedule

755
00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:34,160
Speaker 1: is gonna look more impressive than you thought it was.

756
00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:37,000
Speaker 1: Gonna look like that Kentucky game for examples, as a good,

757
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:39,840
Speaker 1: good indicator that their strength of schedule may be a

758
00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:42,120
Speaker 1: little bit stronger than you thought it would be. Are

759
00:41:42,160 --> 00:41:45,360
Speaker 1: they going to be kept out. What's gonna happen to

760
00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:47,600
Speaker 1: the OU Texas winner if they go to the Big

761
00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:50,520
Speaker 1: twelve championship game? Like, I think there's gonna be a

762
00:41:50,560 --> 00:41:53,000
Speaker 1: really strong case to be made for at least someone

763
00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:56,880
Speaker 1: from the Big twelve, unless Texas loses another game and

764
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:58,719
Speaker 1: so I goes to the conference title game and wins.

765
00:41:58,719 --> 00:42:01,440
Speaker 1: It's like Kansas State last year. Kansas State wins it,

766
00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:03,440
Speaker 1: but they already got multiple losses. They don't get in.

767
00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:06,480
Speaker 1: That's a stretch. And I haven't even mentioned the ACC,

768
00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:11,320
Speaker 1: like were keeping Florida State out of this. Louisville who Yes,

769
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:13,600
Speaker 1: I just mentioned Louisville in the playoff picture? I mean,

770
00:42:13,760 --> 00:42:16,680
Speaker 1: is the ACC gonna cannibalize itself to where they don't

771
00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:19,319
Speaker 1: have a quality contender? So it's gonna be tough. Now

772
00:42:20,239 --> 00:42:23,319
Speaker 1: I understand to get a second Big Ten East team

773
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:26,160
Speaker 1: in here, it's gonna be tough. And notice neither of

774
00:42:26,200 --> 00:42:28,520
Speaker 1: them's Michigan and Michigan's look better than everyone in the

775
00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:32,520
Speaker 1: Big Ten so far. Even I acknowledge that. So hmm,

776
00:42:34,200 --> 00:42:36,319
Speaker 1: I don't feel as confident, but I am going to

777
00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:38,439
Speaker 1: stick with them, which is more than I can say

778
00:42:38,440 --> 00:42:40,520
Speaker 1: for some of the predictions around this office. Because see

779
00:42:40,520 --> 00:42:42,799
Speaker 1: when I made these predictions back in the back in

780
00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:47,040
Speaker 1: the summer, I did it publicly for the whole world

781
00:42:47,080 --> 00:42:50,560
Speaker 1: to see. Some amongst us, and I don't want to

782
00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:54,960
Speaker 1: mention any names, but some amongst us took to harassing

783
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:57,560
Speaker 1: me off air, and so I said, why don't you

784
00:42:57,560 --> 00:42:59,520
Speaker 1: give me your predictions? And what do we have, Jesse,

785
00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:02,760
Speaker 1: We had some clemsons, had a couple of notre dames

786
00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:07,440
Speaker 1: think we had an LSU winning at all. And so, my, my, my,

787
00:43:07,680 --> 00:43:11,480
Speaker 1: when you have to put your name behind predictions, it's tough,

788
00:43:11,560 --> 00:43:14,640
Speaker 1: isn't it. It's tough now. I imagine these people slandering

789
00:43:14,719 --> 00:43:17,680
Speaker 1: you when LSU has already got two losses before Halloween.

790
00:43:18,120 --> 00:43:21,360
Speaker 1: It's treacherous out here, guys. I count it. I count

791
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:24,200
Speaker 1: it as a wonderful success story that all of my

792
00:43:24,200 --> 00:43:26,440
Speaker 1: playoff teams are still alive so far. You know, it

793
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:29,160
Speaker 1: was successful last week when the Rama Noudle Express went

794
00:43:29,239 --> 00:43:31,960
Speaker 1: nine to zero. So let's try and win some more

795
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:34,960
Speaker 1: money here. As you may have seen if you are

796
00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:38,440
Speaker 1: following on the socials at late kick, Josh, we added

797
00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:41,360
Speaker 1: West Virginia minus three to the ram Noodle Express today

798
00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:44,640
Speaker 1: they're playing as we speak, Jesse, only tell me what

799
00:43:44,640 --> 00:43:46,560
Speaker 1: the score is if it's good news. I don't even

800
00:43:46,560 --> 00:43:48,400
Speaker 1: want to know what's happening if it's bad news. In

801
00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:51,919
Speaker 1: the meantime, here's what we have. We're on Charlotte plus

802
00:43:52,000 --> 00:43:55,720
Speaker 1: four and a half. We're on Duke minus three, Notre

803
00:43:55,800 --> 00:43:59,720
Speaker 1: Dame minus two, Wake Forest minus one. You can actually

804
00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 1: get a or number on Wake right now. Fresno minus six.

805
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:04,959
Speaker 1: You can get a better number on that right now.

806
00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:11,000
Speaker 1: UAB plus ten. We're taking the under under fifty six

807
00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:14,120
Speaker 1: in Tennessee versus Texas A and M. The two games

808
00:44:14,120 --> 00:44:18,080
Speaker 1: that we have added today, West Virginia minus three. It's

809
00:44:18,120 --> 00:44:21,480
Speaker 1: already underway. That's why you gotta be following. I put

810
00:44:21,480 --> 00:44:23,520
Speaker 1: it on Twitter and Instagram at Lake Kick, Josh, make

811
00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:26,359
Speaker 1: sure you're following. And I'm adding this one too. We're

812
00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:29,839
Speaker 1: taking Michigan minus thirty three. The models putting that at

813
00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:34,160
Speaker 1: a seventy percent cover probability, just like off the charts,

814
00:44:34,719 --> 00:44:37,600
Speaker 1: like to the point where it seems to think Indiana's

815
00:44:37,640 --> 00:44:39,719
Speaker 1: bus is not gonna make it to the stadium. So

816
00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:43,399
Speaker 1: we're adding Michigan Michigan in West Virginia today. One more

817
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:48,560
Speaker 1: reminder tomorrow before I go to lunch and then go

818
00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:51,880
Speaker 1: to the gym, I'm doing Friday night lines from Nashville

819
00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:56,200
Speaker 1: before I go to Seattle. So those of you who

820
00:44:56,200 --> 00:44:58,520
Speaker 1: don't normally get to participate. The way that works is

821
00:44:58,560 --> 00:45:00,880
Speaker 1: I go live on Instagram, I give you heads up

822
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:03,840
Speaker 1: about an hour beforehand. At Lake Kick Josh, It'll be

823
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:06,359
Speaker 1: at a specific time, and I have the model pulled

824
00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:10,200
Speaker 1: up and for about fifteen minutes, you guys just throw

825
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:12,240
Speaker 1: games at me and I tell you what the model

826
00:45:12,280 --> 00:45:14,120
Speaker 1: thinks about it. Now, they may not be games I'm

827
00:45:14,160 --> 00:45:16,279
Speaker 1: gonna bet, but you may be interested in them. So

828
00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:19,319
Speaker 1: I give you the opinion of the model. But also

829
00:45:19,400 --> 00:45:21,920
Speaker 1: inevitably I'm going to add some more best bets. It

830
00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:25,799
Speaker 1: happens every week. We added three additional games on Friday Night.

831
00:45:25,880 --> 00:45:29,000
Speaker 1: Last week they went three and oh to go along

832
00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:30,920
Speaker 1: with the other six and oh that we had. So

833
00:45:31,680 --> 00:45:33,880
Speaker 1: make sure you're following. You're also going to get a

834
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:36,440
Speaker 1: lot of behind the scenes content from Field Level this

835
00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:39,799
Speaker 1: Saturday at Washington, and some other odds and ends that

836
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:41,840
Speaker 1: just happen to pop up from time to time on Instagram.

837
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:44,839
Speaker 1: All right, that's all, that's it. That's all. We got so,

838
00:45:45,000 --> 00:45:47,120
Speaker 1: we got a long way to travel this weekend. Looking

839
00:45:47,160 --> 00:45:50,319
Speaker 1: forward to packing the Columbia rain jacket for the first

840
00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:53,640
Speaker 1: time this year. Who stood of funking Producer Jesse, director Colin.

841
00:45:53,680 --> 00:45:56,840
Speaker 1: I'm Josh Bate. Take care, enjoy the start to your weekend.

842
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:59,279
Speaker 1: We'll see you back here Sunday night. Until then, take

843
00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:12,319
Speaker 1: care for Gobla.