1 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:10,960 Speaker 1: Welcome everybody to our brand new podcast from the Action Network, 2 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: The Favorites. If you're tuning in thinking, hey, where's the Buffet, 3 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 1: You've now got the Favorites. We've got a brand new 4 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:21,960 Speaker 1: series that we're launching three times a week during the 5 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 1: football season Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. You're still gonna get Scooch. 6 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 1: Later on in the show, He's gonna come on and 7 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about all the things that you, as 8 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:33,879 Speaker 1: Buffet listeners, have always loved. We're gonna play Scooch Roulette 9 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: where we make our best picks. We're gonna go through 10 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 1: every single game, figure out where the wise guys are, 11 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 1: figure out why the money is moving, figure out what 12 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 1: the market is doing. But we're adding some extra special 13 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 1: sauce to our podcast. To the Favorites. On Friday's you're 14 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:52,159 Speaker 1: gonna get me and my Action Network brother, black Jack Fletcher, 15 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 1: and we're gonna try to pick five games from the 16 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:59,360 Speaker 1: NFL slate to enter into the Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest, 17 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 1: where the end of the season, if we win the contest, 18 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: we're going to win one million dollars. Blackchat, do you 19 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 1: think we can do it? I know we can do it. 20 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 1: We will do it. There's no if. It's only a 21 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:13,640 Speaker 1: question of when. If you're gonna be gambling on the 22 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:16,399 Speaker 1: NFL this season, Chat, this is the only podcast you 23 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:18,679 Speaker 1: need to listen to because we're gonna give five games 24 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 1: a week, brother, and those are going to be winners 25 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:23,720 Speaker 1: because we meet them. We get over a million dollars 26 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: at stake. Here. What are we gonna do If you 27 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 1: and I disagree in a game, We're gonna fight over 28 00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 1: it physically. I would like to see that happen on 29 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:35,280 Speaker 1: a podcast. I think people would enjoy a little bit 30 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 1: of a rumbo between you and me. It's gonna be great. Yeah. Well, 31 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:40,320 Speaker 1: the other stuff we're doing on the podcast is on 32 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 1: Monday's Me and our other Action Network colleagues Jeff Schwartz 33 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:50,760 Speaker 1: and Paul Laduca to former professional athletes. Paul Duca ten 34 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 1: years in the major leagues as a catcher, four time 35 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 1: All Star. Jeff Schwartz eight years in the NFL is 36 00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 1: an offensive lineman. We are going to come up with 37 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 1: a nine parlay bet. It's gonna be your first look 38 00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 1: at all the action that's coming up the following weekend 39 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 1: in college football, the NFL, plus anything else is happening 40 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 1: during the week. The three of us are going to 41 00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 1: come up with nine games that we love. We are 42 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 1: going to enter the parlay into our favorite sports books, 43 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:20,880 Speaker 1: and we are going to win a nineteen thousand to 44 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 1: one bet and we're all going to retire to Del 45 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 1: Boca Vista. Jeff and Polly, let's bring him in. How 46 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 1: you guys doing, I'm doing well. I'm fantastic, man, I'm 47 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:32,799 Speaker 1: gonna started to get this thing going. Jeff, you're driving, 48 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 1: Let's get you in first before you get pulled over 49 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:37,360 Speaker 1: by a stadie. How you feeling about our podcast? I 50 00:02:37,440 --> 00:02:39,840 Speaker 1: love this. It's gonna be a fantastic look ahead to 51 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:42,519 Speaker 1: the week and get everyone excited for the week ahead 52 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 1: after hopefully everyone wins a little bit on Saturday, Sunday 53 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 1: and heading in the Monday night. So I'm I'm pumped 54 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 1: for this. It's great to look at to the week 55 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 1: and get excited for some action the following weekend. I'm 56 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 1: excited just to hear the trash that Paula Duca brings 57 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:58,120 Speaker 1: into our parlor that we have to suffer through. Polly, 58 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 1: what are you gonna do about that? I mean, there's 59 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 1: gonna be more fading than a barber shop on the show, 60 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 1: like Swarts already fading one of my picks that I 61 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:08,960 Speaker 1: like a couple of weeks ago when we talked, he's 62 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 1: already fading me and he's in a car. I hope 63 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 1: your bets are better than that. That's all I can say. 64 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 1: Paul Duca, Jeff Schwartz, black Jack Fletcher, You're all part 65 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:25,639 Speaker 1: of the Favorites. We will be bringing this podcast to 66 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:31,080 Speaker 1: people on Monday, Wednesday and Friday. Next up, we have, 67 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 1: as promised Bob Scucci, but stick around for the very 68 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 1: end because this is the first episode of the Favorites. 69 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:41,800 Speaker 1: We have a very special bonus interview with Mike Francessa. 70 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 1: And when Mike Francessa says he wants to do an interview, 71 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 1: you don't say no, you just go, and that's what 72 00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 1: we did. So stick around for the very end. Coming 73 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 1: up next Bookmaker Bob Scucci as promised, together with me 74 00:03:58,240 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 1: again book may Acre Extraordinaire, representing the Orleans and all 75 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 1: the Boyd Gaming books in the state of Nevada and 76 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 1: the ever expanding Boyd Gaming Empire. Pretty soon Bookmaker to 77 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 1: the World, Mr Bob Scoochie Hey, Chad what was that? 78 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:21,600 Speaker 1: Did you come into early? Did were you confuse? What happened? 79 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:24,280 Speaker 1: Did I come into early? Well? I don't know. It 80 00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:26,800 Speaker 1: sounded like you started and then you pause, But that's okay, 81 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:29,400 Speaker 1: I did not. Are you nervous? Are you nervous? Because 82 00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:34,880 Speaker 1: we're now a fully professionalized organization working with Cadence thirteen 83 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:38,080 Speaker 1: and we're in a studio and you've got like a 84 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 1: machine that makes you sound like you're in a studio 85 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 1: when you're at your palatial Italian villa in Las Vegas. Yeah, 86 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:48,040 Speaker 1: a little bit makes makes me a little jumpy. Really, 87 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,160 Speaker 1: it's very daunting. It is daunting. It's scared. Well you 88 00:04:52,160 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 1: know what it means, Well, we're gonna have to be 89 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 1: better than we've ever been. I gotta up my game. 90 00:04:56,760 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 1: Here's the scary thing. And people don't know this yet, 91 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:02,920 Speaker 1: but before we came on the air, Uh, we went 92 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: to start and you were like, I gotta I gotta 93 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 1: call you back because uh the powers out in the 94 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:13,280 Speaker 1: hero leans and um it made all of us here 95 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:18,280 Speaker 1: think of Oceans eleven and um it made us think. 96 00:05:18,320 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 1: You know what's interesting is we have this new theme 97 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:23,160 Speaker 1: music now, which sounds like something out of the Ocean's 98 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:26,920 Speaker 1: eleven soundtrack, And so is there a heist going on? 99 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 1: Like is the orlean? We'll know tomorrow, right, We've been 100 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:34,400 Speaker 1: down for about an hour and a half. Uh. You 101 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:36,120 Speaker 1: know what came to my mind is that U and 102 00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:39,719 Speaker 1: LV Wisconsin game about about ten twelve years ago when 103 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:41,880 Speaker 1: when the power went out at the end of the game, 104 00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: when Wisconsin was up by forty points and everyone thought 105 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:48,840 Speaker 1: we did something there too. Oh my god, I so 106 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:52,280 Speaker 1: remember that game. You remember that, Ye, the refund all 107 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:55,039 Speaker 1: the bets. Wisconsin was up by like forty points and 108 00:05:55,080 --> 00:05:56,840 Speaker 1: it was almost close to the end of the game, 109 00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:59,480 Speaker 1: and that the power went out and they were never 110 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:01,440 Speaker 1: able to get power back on, so they just had 111 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 1: to cancel the rest of the game. We had to 112 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:07,479 Speaker 1: refund all those wagers on Wisconsin. Have you ever been 113 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:09,599 Speaker 1: a part of the heist in Vegas? And I don't 114 00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:12,680 Speaker 1: mean like you know, were you Bob Scucci, you know 115 00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:16,599 Speaker 1: holding up the MGM? I mean like, have you ever 116 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:20,680 Speaker 1: seen someone try to take down a casino? I've never 117 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 1: seen it, but and I'm not being facetious, but I 118 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 1: but I knew someone that was professional, uh safecracker. He did. 119 00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 1: He did some time but I'm not Joe. I wish 120 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 1: I was joking, I'm not. I knew this. I knew 121 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:36,320 Speaker 1: this guy for a lot of years. He came to 122 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:38,799 Speaker 1: me when he knew I was a broadcast journalism major, 123 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 1: and he wanted me to write his story and he won't, 124 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:45,720 Speaker 1: but he wanted to write it in like a trilogy 125 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:48,840 Speaker 1: with like four different parts. But the guy was legit 126 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:51,280 Speaker 1: and he was gonna he was part of this ring 127 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:54,800 Speaker 1: that was supposed to rob one of the repositories where 128 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 1: they keep all the cash of a hundred million dollars. 129 00:06:58,040 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 1: And but he didn't know that the f I had 130 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:02,600 Speaker 1: been wire tapping him and that he was going to 131 00:07:02,720 --> 00:07:07,000 Speaker 1: be killed right after the um right after the robbery, 132 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 1: and so the FBI had to show him through these 133 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:14,120 Speaker 1: wire taps. They actually pulled him out right before it happened. 134 00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 1: So it was an incredible story. But no, I've never 135 00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: been part of anything. Are you kidding me? No? No, 136 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 1: this is what I love about you, Scooch. Every time 137 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:28,240 Speaker 1: I asked like a throwaway question, You've got a story 138 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:31,640 Speaker 1: that goes like so much further than anything I could 139 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 1: have imagined. Remember the dude. So for those of you 140 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:36,360 Speaker 1: who are new to the favorites and just listening. Scooch 141 00:07:36,360 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 1: and I go way back, and many many years ago, 142 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 1: UH I wrote a book called The Odds, which now 143 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 1: Scooch gets credit for UH, in which Scooch was one 144 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 1: of the characters, where I followed guys who bet on 145 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:49,840 Speaker 1: sports for a living from a bookmaking perspective and the 146 00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 1: guys who actually make the bets. And Scooch was Um 147 00:07:53,240 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 1: one of the bookmakers at the Startust Hotel, which is, 148 00:07:56,280 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 1: you know, a classic old school hotel in one of 149 00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:04,520 Speaker 1: the sports books. And the movie Casino was based on 150 00:08:04,560 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 1: the guy who was the original bookmaker at the Stardust, 151 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:10,240 Speaker 1: And so it was full of characters. And there was 152 00:08:10,280 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 1: a guy. Remember the guy what was his name? Uh? 153 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 1: I forgot it. I know what we're talking. We were 154 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 1: allowed to say, I don't even know we're allowed to 155 00:08:18,360 --> 00:08:20,280 Speaker 1: say the name. But let's say we called him Johnny. 156 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: Johnny was basically UM a pimp. And Johnny stood at 157 00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 1: the end of the counter at the Stardust and he 158 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:33,559 Speaker 1: would talk to Scooch Knight And one day I swear 159 00:08:33,600 --> 00:08:36,000 Speaker 1: to god, he like, didn't he pull out a bag 160 00:08:36,040 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: of bullets? Yes? And it was the strange like there 161 00:08:42,000 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 1: was always something strange happening to the stars. Remember the 162 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:48,000 Speaker 1: time the guy got shot and like Joe Lupo was 163 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:52,400 Speaker 1: putting up like almost like velvet ropes so he could 164 00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:55,280 Speaker 1: use it as a tourist attraction. Well, he was showing 165 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:58,079 Speaker 1: people where the bullet holes were because the guy was shot. 166 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:01,320 Speaker 1: He ended up getting killed, and but the bullet holes 167 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:03,400 Speaker 1: were in one of the TV screens and one of 168 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 1: the countertops. And then so yeah, Joe, Joe had the 169 00:09:08,679 --> 00:09:11,480 Speaker 1: police tape out there and everything. He was a real marketer, 170 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:17,840 Speaker 1: that Joe. Those were the good old days. Now you're running, yeah, 171 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 1: now you run the or leads. You're in all the 172 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:21,559 Speaker 1: BOYD gaming books in the state of Nevada. We are 173 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:24,120 Speaker 1: very shortly going to make you bookmaker to the world. 174 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:27,560 Speaker 1: I know your ambitions are no less than that, but 175 00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:29,960 Speaker 1: you know what we've got to do. After months and 176 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:33,760 Speaker 1: months of not having any football to talk about, we 177 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:36,559 Speaker 1: finally have football to talk about. We got so many 178 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:38,440 Speaker 1: games that we have to go through. We gotta get 179 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:41,440 Speaker 1: to it all right. So first up, let's talk about 180 00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:45,440 Speaker 1: the Eagles and the Falcons Thursday night game. This is 181 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 1: a great game to me. I feel like the this 182 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:51,000 Speaker 1: game opened at four and a half. It's now two 183 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 1: and a half. The Eagles are favored by two and 184 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 1: a half points. I feel like bookmakers were just they 185 00:09:57,360 --> 00:09:59,480 Speaker 1: were just playing the public in this. They're like, we're 186 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:02,800 Speaker 1: gonna post high number. You guys are suckers. You're gonna 187 00:10:02,840 --> 00:10:04,920 Speaker 1: take it because the Eagles won the super Bowl and 188 00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 1: you don't know any better, and you saw the Falcons 189 00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:11,200 Speaker 1: losing the playoffs, and like you were hoping against hope 190 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:14,520 Speaker 1: that the public was just gonna steam in on that 191 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:22,360 Speaker 1: Eagle side. Yeah, you almost hit it right on the head. Um. Well, 192 00:10:22,520 --> 00:10:24,960 Speaker 1: I mean we we anticipate, we didn't get caught off guard. 193 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 1: You made it sound like we kind of were like 194 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:29,320 Speaker 1: flat footed with it or that we were surprised by it. 195 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:32,400 Speaker 1: But I mean no, and I said it without a judgment. 196 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:35,040 Speaker 1: I'm just saying that's what I did, that's what you did, 197 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:37,560 Speaker 1: and how you said so then so then you hit 198 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:41,280 Speaker 1: the nail right on the head. How about that? So? So, 199 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:43,600 Speaker 1: I mean every year when the Super Bowl champs play 200 00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 1: on this opening game, we always inflate the line a 201 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:49,440 Speaker 1: little bit, but usually it actually goes even further. So 202 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:52,720 Speaker 1: obviously the public caught on the wise guys were always 203 00:10:52,720 --> 00:10:55,800 Speaker 1: onto this. The ticket count and this one's pretty good 204 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 1: two ways. So there's they're not really that the public 205 00:10:58,360 --> 00:11:01,000 Speaker 1: isn't really shading one way or the other. Most of 206 00:11:01,000 --> 00:11:04,679 Speaker 1: this is sharp money. Uh. But but it did come 207 00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:06,160 Speaker 1: down quite a bit. We're down to two and a 208 00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:10,199 Speaker 1: half on the game, so, um, I guess there are 209 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:13,959 Speaker 1: more a lot more underdog believers in this one than 210 00:11:14,080 --> 00:11:16,840 Speaker 1: than favorites. Do you know what I did? You took 211 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 1: at land a plus four and a half. I took 212 00:11:18,880 --> 00:11:21,000 Speaker 1: it at three and a half. I don't remember seeing 213 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:22,440 Speaker 1: it at four and half, Like it might have opened 214 00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:24,960 Speaker 1: at four and a half the second the line's open, 215 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:26,280 Speaker 1: and I think it got that down to three and 216 00:11:26,280 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 1: a half almost a media like someone just took a 217 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:32,040 Speaker 1: pop and went after it and everybody moved it. Yeah, 218 00:11:32,120 --> 00:11:33,760 Speaker 1: this is no It's one of the few times I 219 00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:36,400 Speaker 1: can remember where the line has actually come down. Usually 220 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:39,079 Speaker 1: usually the Super Bowl champ No matter what line we 221 00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 1: hang that opening game, it always usually gets driven up. 222 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:43,719 Speaker 1: So this is one of the few times it's it's 223 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:47,120 Speaker 1: come down, and it's quite come down significantly. Yeah, like 224 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:50,000 Speaker 1: you're gonna end up needing the Eagles in this game. Yeah, 225 00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 1: for sure, which isn't a bad thing. I mean, I 226 00:11:53,320 --> 00:11:55,240 Speaker 1: took the Falcons. I took the Falcons at three and 227 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:58,880 Speaker 1: a half. Um. I actually feel like the Falcons are 228 00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:00,280 Speaker 1: gonna win this game. I would take them on the 229 00:12:00,320 --> 00:12:03,760 Speaker 1: money line to win straight up. And I think that 230 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:08,200 Speaker 1: their defense is really good and their offense they have 231 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:13,320 Speaker 1: like talent at every position. The Eagles Nick Foles, he's 232 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:15,760 Speaker 1: been really bad in the preseason. Which guy is going 233 00:12:15,840 --> 00:12:18,920 Speaker 1: to show up? He doesn't have the full compliment of receivers. 234 00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:23,800 Speaker 1: I don't know that that they're equipped to beat the Falcons, 235 00:12:23,840 --> 00:12:28,240 Speaker 1: and I think there's potential for a Thursday night let down. Yeah. 236 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:30,559 Speaker 1: I think the game's gonna land exactly three. I think 237 00:12:30,559 --> 00:12:32,280 Speaker 1: we're and then I think we're gonna get metal done it. 238 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:34,800 Speaker 1: You do. It's gonna come right down to the wire. 239 00:12:34,880 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 1: Eagles kick the field goal lands on three. That would 240 00:12:38,520 --> 00:12:43,520 Speaker 1: be too bad for you. Yeah, that would be a 241 00:12:43,600 --> 00:12:46,440 Speaker 1: rough way to start the year. Big Tony is knocking 242 00:12:46,440 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 1: out well, you know it's already well, you know, just 243 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:51,880 Speaker 1: judging by the power routage and everything, it seems like 244 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 1: it's already on that that path. You know, it's not 245 00:12:54,360 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 1: it's not a good oldmen. You guys might not have 246 00:12:56,640 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 1: any in the any money in the cage anyways to 247 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:02,560 Speaker 1: pay anybody, because because Danny Ocean would be stealing all 248 00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:07,239 Speaker 1: of your money right now. He might be there right now. Exactly. 249 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 1: Good thing. You're you're a state, smoking a cigar, having 250 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 1: a scotch, talking on a real podcast. All right. Uh, 251 00:13:15,240 --> 00:13:19,680 Speaker 1: this next game is totally totally super interesting, right because 252 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:24,520 Speaker 1: the Baltimore Ravens are seven and a half point favorites 253 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:27,320 Speaker 1: over the Buffalo Bills. Again, we're talking about opening lines 254 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:30,760 Speaker 1: um in a second that really opened in the spring, 255 00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:32,920 Speaker 1: where in these games we're all being announced and everyone 256 00:13:32,920 --> 00:13:35,400 Speaker 1: got excited and throughout lines this game open to four 257 00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:37,120 Speaker 1: and a half. It's like hard to say that's the 258 00:13:37,160 --> 00:13:39,600 Speaker 1: real opening line, but that's what it is. So there's 259 00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 1: a big three point move. So much happening in this game, 260 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:45,960 Speaker 1: and there has been even within like the Action Network. 261 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:48,560 Speaker 1: You know you know that I work at the Action Network, right, 262 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:52,400 Speaker 1: I've heard they So even within the Action Network work 263 00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:54,719 Speaker 1: with all of our friends here, This big game has 264 00:13:54,760 --> 00:13:57,160 Speaker 1: caused a huge amount of contention because there's so many 265 00:13:57,160 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 1: of us who would never bet the Ravens is touchdown favorites, 266 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 1: and so many people are like, are you kidding me? 267 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:04,320 Speaker 1: The Bills are so bad that Ravens have a great defense. 268 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 1: This game is now at seven and a half. I 269 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:10,199 Speaker 1: feel like I have now bet the Ravens. I bet 270 00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:12,439 Speaker 1: in the minus seven. It's now at seven and a half. 271 00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:15,240 Speaker 1: Tell me what's happening on your side of the fence. Well, 272 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:18,640 Speaker 1: like you said, we opened this game months ago, and uh, 273 00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 1: we were as low as four on this game when 274 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:24,680 Speaker 1: we opened four. Um, Buffalo had gone through a lot 275 00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 1: of changes that we didn't know who was quarterback until 276 00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:33,040 Speaker 1: recently that they announced the name uh Peterson Peterman quarterback 277 00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 1: and for uh for Buffalo. So that drove the line. 278 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:37,640 Speaker 1: As soon as they made that announcement, that drove it 279 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:41,080 Speaker 1: up even more. Uh. You got Lashawn McCoy with the 280 00:14:41,120 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 1: possible suspension. That was another uh when that was announced, 281 00:14:45,280 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 1: that drove the line up. This is probably our most 282 00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:50,920 Speaker 1: lopsided game on the board. Uh. That the line move 283 00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:52,800 Speaker 1: was not just on air. There was a lot of 284 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: money on this. UH. So this is one of our 285 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:57,920 Speaker 1: biggest decisions. It's not a public game at all. It's 286 00:14:57,920 --> 00:15:01,120 Speaker 1: not like the public is just coming and I'm on Baltimore, 287 00:15:01,160 --> 00:15:04,880 Speaker 1: but it's uh, it's mostly sharp money. Uh, it's a 288 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 1: lot of Uh. I think the value obviously is now 289 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:10,440 Speaker 1: out of it at minus seven and a half. But 290 00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:13,720 Speaker 1: if somebody was going to take a side, they'd be 291 00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 1: more inclined to bet on Baltimore than than Buffalo on 292 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:18,760 Speaker 1: this one. The last time. Uh. You know, they saw 293 00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:21,960 Speaker 1: this quarterback through for like five interceptions, so that's what 294 00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:24,520 Speaker 1: sticks out in their mind the most. Uh, So there's 295 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:26,640 Speaker 1: nothing to to make them want to bet on Buffalo 296 00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:28,080 Speaker 1: in this one. You know what else I love in 297 00:15:28,080 --> 00:15:30,880 Speaker 1: this game? I love the under well, and that makes 298 00:15:30,880 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 1: sense to it open forty two and a half and 299 00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 1: it's down. It's down to forty. So when you have 300 00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:40,720 Speaker 1: a very inexperienced quarterback going up against a pretty good defense, 301 00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:42,760 Speaker 1: then that that seems like the play. It's not a 302 00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:45,400 Speaker 1: bad play if I win all of my bets the 303 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:48,680 Speaker 1: first weekend, which right now is looking likely. Uh do 304 00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 1: you think you will then start moving lines entirely based 305 00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:56,600 Speaker 1: on what I say in this podcast? I'm getting there. 306 00:15:56,600 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 1: You're making a believer out of me, like a wise guy, Right, 307 00:16:00,440 --> 00:16:03,360 Speaker 1: you're a wise guy. Yeah, it took a while, but 308 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 1: you're there. I'm not saying it with much conviction. Yeah, 309 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 1: a little sarcasm and I'm pretty thick, all right. Uh, 310 00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 1: I love this next game to Houston at New England. 311 00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:21,800 Speaker 1: This game opened at seven. Uh. New England has seven 312 00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 1: point for ever. It's been bent down to six and 313 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 1: a half. Interestingly, the money's on New England. Uh. One 314 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:33,160 Speaker 1: of us on this phone call is all over the 315 00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:36,680 Speaker 1: Texans as an underdog in this game. What do you 316 00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:42,880 Speaker 1: think what's happening? Um? Well, again, we've had these lines 317 00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:44,840 Speaker 1: up for a long time and at one point, Deshaun 318 00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 1: Watson had had a knee injury. Uh so the line 319 00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 1: did uh kind of vacillated, kind of. We've got a 320 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:54,640 Speaker 1: lot of New England money early. We're up to like 321 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:57,520 Speaker 1: seven minus twenty at one point, and when it looked 322 00:16:57,520 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 1: like Deshaun Watson is going to be okay, we started 323 00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: getting all the Houston money. I went down to six 324 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:05,520 Speaker 1: and a half. We're back up to seven even money, 325 00:17:05,560 --> 00:17:07,320 Speaker 1: and I think we're gonna stay there. Even though we're 326 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 1: getting some sharp money on Houston. All the public money 327 00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 1: is on New England. That the ticket count is about 328 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:15,360 Speaker 1: four to one New England over Houston. Most of that's 329 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:19,440 Speaker 1: in Parlay's and uh, just from from the general public. Uh. 330 00:17:19,480 --> 00:17:21,439 Speaker 1: Like I said that the sharp guys are on Houston 331 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:23,359 Speaker 1: and this one. But I think we're one of the 332 00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:25,720 Speaker 1: only sevens that are still out there. Most places in 333 00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 1: town are at six six and a half. Um, but 334 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:30,320 Speaker 1: I think we're gonna stay at seven and just uh 335 00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:33,760 Speaker 1: take our chances with a seven. You're taking a side. Yeah, 336 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:36,520 Speaker 1: We're gonna let you bet Houston and that might be 337 00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 1: the right side, but uh, it's not a bad thing 338 00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:42,400 Speaker 1: going into a game needing the Patriots. Now. Well, as 339 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:44,320 Speaker 1: we have often said on this podcast in the many 340 00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:49,000 Speaker 1: iterations in which it existed, you don't make money betting 341 00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 1: against Bill Belichick. No, not at all. Except guess what 342 00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 1: today this week? Maybe this could be the year. Yeah, uh, 343 00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:03,040 Speaker 1: all right, The next game is my favorite game, been 344 00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:05,960 Speaker 1: on it since the second the line's open. I think 345 00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:09,680 Speaker 1: you're gonna get toasted. Uh. The New York Giants are 346 00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:13,440 Speaker 1: hosting the Jacksonville Jaguars. They opened his four point underdogs 347 00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:19,160 Speaker 1: that has been bent down. Um about the tickets are 348 00:18:19,280 --> 00:18:22,240 Speaker 1: split as far as I can tell. Looking at the 349 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:24,959 Speaker 1: Action Network app. Everyone should download it. They can get 350 00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:30,840 Speaker 1: a lot of information about what the betting markets are doing. Um, 351 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:34,359 Speaker 1: but I freaking love the Giants in this game. Oh 352 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:38,600 Speaker 1: my god, I love them so much. I love them. 353 00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:41,959 Speaker 1: I would marry them. Do you know. I'm almost at 354 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:46,280 Speaker 1: the point so many people have just made a complete 355 00:18:46,280 --> 00:18:48,560 Speaker 1: turnaround on the Giants from last year to this year, 356 00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:52,640 Speaker 1: and everyone's a believer in the Giants, everyone you talk to. Uh, 357 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:54,680 Speaker 1: I'm almost at the point where I'm starting to think 358 00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:57,439 Speaker 1: that Jacksonville is the is the play here just to 359 00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:00,360 Speaker 1: be a contrarian because and we did all be three 360 00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:03,440 Speaker 1: and a half and at the time, uh, we did 361 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,920 Speaker 1: see early money on the Giants, and we figured that 362 00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:08,080 Speaker 1: probably was a little too high. Let's move to the 363 00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:11,240 Speaker 1: solid number of three and just stay there. The ticket account, 364 00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:13,360 Speaker 1: like you said, is about dead even on this one, 365 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,240 Speaker 1: So it's not like the public has really taken aside. 366 00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:19,280 Speaker 1: But there are just a lot of insiders that have 367 00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:21,680 Speaker 1: been watching the Giants moves in the off season. They 368 00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:25,560 Speaker 1: have a whole new regimed coaching, Quon Barkley, the whole, 369 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,280 Speaker 1: and everyone's kind of jumping on. But I think just 370 00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:32,240 Speaker 1: too many people are just forgetting about how good Jacksonville 371 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,920 Speaker 1: really was last year. So I think three three is 372 00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:41,679 Speaker 1: the right number here. M hmm. Nothing, Well, I just 373 00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:44,560 Speaker 1: feel like you make a good point about the number. Well, 374 00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:46,800 Speaker 1: I'm glad. I'm glad I got it at four, number one, 375 00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:51,560 Speaker 1: number two. Uh. What intrigues me about the Giants isn't 376 00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 1: so much that what they've done. It's what the public 377 00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 1: thinks of the Jacks. There's too much attention on the Jacks. 378 00:19:59,760 --> 00:20:02,760 Speaker 1: I'm ever gonna bet on Blake Bortles as a road favorite, 379 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:07,520 Speaker 1: right bottom line, Well, you've never liked their logo too, 380 00:20:07,560 --> 00:20:09,680 Speaker 1: so there's that against their logo. I feel like it's 381 00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:12,399 Speaker 1: kind of nondescript. I don't think anyone's ever going to 382 00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 1: be like a fan of a two tone helmet that 383 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:17,240 Speaker 1: looks sort of like there's ill defined. It's one of 384 00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:20,560 Speaker 1: those like Southeastern teams that nobody cares about. It's like 385 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 1: the Titans can change their uniform all they want. No 386 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:25,040 Speaker 1: one's ever gonna care about the Titans. I don't think 387 00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:27,560 Speaker 1: the Panthers are ever gonna get a really huge fan base. 388 00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:30,480 Speaker 1: The Jags forget about it, Like all those teams in 389 00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:33,600 Speaker 1: the Southeast. It's just not gonna happen for him. Yeah, 390 00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:35,600 Speaker 1: and I think this is one of the most intriguing 391 00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:39,200 Speaker 1: games for me to just to watch as just a 392 00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:43,159 Speaker 1: handicapper to see because there's so many expectations for the 393 00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:47,840 Speaker 1: Giants and Jacksonville has always had the expectations last couple 394 00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:50,600 Speaker 1: of years and kind of never quite lived up to them. 395 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:54,479 Speaker 1: So I'm really interested in this matchup. But from the 396 00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:57,639 Speaker 1: bookmaking standpoint of this particular game, that being that the 397 00:20:57,680 --> 00:20:59,879 Speaker 1: ticket counts dead even and the numbers of solid the 398 00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 1: uh probably not going to see a lot of movement 399 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:04,919 Speaker 1: on it. Even the Falcons. Like the Falcons have been 400 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 1: around for ever, nobody cares about the Falcons, name like 401 00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:11,400 Speaker 1: five people outside of Atlanta who care about the Falcons. 402 00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:15,040 Speaker 1: The only team from the Southeast that's ever resonated is 403 00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 1: the Saints, and that's because they were so bad that 404 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, when they got good, people got excited. 405 00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:22,280 Speaker 1: And then there was Katrina, so there was like a 406 00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:25,560 Speaker 1: national outpouring of sentiment for them, and people love Drew 407 00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:28,560 Speaker 1: Brees and so like, that's why they have a national filing. 408 00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:30,720 Speaker 1: Other than that, there's no team from the Southeast that 409 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:32,479 Speaker 1: can come out of it with the uniforms they have 410 00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:36,080 Speaker 1: and the logos they have. I agree with you. I 411 00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:38,040 Speaker 1: really yeah, no, I'm with you there. I mean, look 412 00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 1: how good teams like the you know, the Panthers that 413 00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:44,160 Speaker 1: going to the Super bowls uh and still just nobody 414 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 1: believes in this team. So I agree with you. There's 415 00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:51,160 Speaker 1: just something about the Saints, like you said, that attracts people. 416 00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:54,320 Speaker 1: They loved Drew Brees, they love the passing game, and 417 00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:57,199 Speaker 1: uh so so that is the only team. And for 418 00:21:57,320 --> 00:21:59,520 Speaker 1: us in particular, now that we have a casino and 419 00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:03,000 Speaker 1: Bullocks in Mississippi, the Saints are the team down there. 420 00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:06,000 Speaker 1: So uh, we're getting more Saints action than we've ever 421 00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:11,920 Speaker 1: gotten before. Nice blood. We're not just in Vegas anymore. 422 00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:15,520 Speaker 1: You are bookmaker to the world, or at least bookmaker 423 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:21,760 Speaker 1: to Nevada and Biloxi and yeah, and Mississippi and well 424 00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:24,040 Speaker 1: blox is in Mississippi, but we have two in Mississippi, 425 00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:27,000 Speaker 1: So there you go. Yeah, it's slowly, but surely you're 426 00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,679 Speaker 1: reaching Listen, we're gonna go fast through these next two 427 00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:33,879 Speaker 1: craptastic games because um, they're the corner TV games. For 428 00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:36,000 Speaker 1: people who don't know the corner TV games, those are 429 00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 1: the ones that like Scooch puts on in the corner 430 00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:39,840 Speaker 1: of the sports book because nobody's gonna want to watch him, 431 00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 1: but some people might have bets on him, so he's 432 00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:44,040 Speaker 1: got to put them up. Uh, we're talking about Tennessee 433 00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:48,560 Speaker 1: in Miami. Yeah, I mean, uh, we opened two and 434 00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:50,040 Speaker 1: a half. We're down to one and a half on 435 00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,560 Speaker 1: Tennessee there minus one and a half. But one of 436 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:55,720 Speaker 1: the least amount of bets on on on a game 437 00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:57,639 Speaker 1: on the board, This has the least amount of action 438 00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 1: by far. Yeah, you know, why be because it's a 439 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:05,080 Speaker 1: nondescript team against a really bad team. Uh, Cincinnati Bengals 440 00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:09,080 Speaker 1: at Indianapolis the culture minus three. They opened a two 441 00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 1: and a half. If they went up, it's only because 442 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:15,280 Speaker 1: people saw Andrew Luck through the football. But again, like 443 00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:21,159 Speaker 1: who cares cares about these teams? There's a couple of 444 00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:23,800 Speaker 1: wise guys that care. And we actually took some some 445 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,800 Speaker 1: nice sized bets on Cincinnati. I was a little surprised. 446 00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:28,880 Speaker 1: I mean, we did move it up because of Luck 447 00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:31,119 Speaker 1: just a little bit. Uh, and we're up to we 448 00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:33,400 Speaker 1: went up to three, and they took the three. So 449 00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:36,840 Speaker 1: we may end up need in Indianapolis. Although a lot 450 00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:39,399 Speaker 1: of parlay money is on the Colts, a lot of 451 00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:41,480 Speaker 1: the public feel that you know with Luck in there, 452 00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:45,120 Speaker 1: that they're the team to beat here. People are stupid. 453 00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:47,040 Speaker 1: That's just a dumb game to bet on. Tell me 454 00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:49,880 Speaker 1: how you really feel. Well, it's just like it's like 455 00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:52,480 Speaker 1: a bad team. I would actually bet on the Bengals 456 00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:55,200 Speaker 1: in this game just because they're getting the points, you feel. 457 00:23:56,119 --> 00:23:58,480 Speaker 1: I feel like they're getting the points. I don't know 458 00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:00,440 Speaker 1: what Andrew Luck is going to be. I don't know 459 00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:02,399 Speaker 1: anything about his offense right now. I don't think he 460 00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 1: has any good running backs. Um, their offensive line hasn't improved, 461 00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:09,320 Speaker 1: like they're not just because Andrew Luck is back. They 462 00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:12,800 Speaker 1: still have the same personnel, the same offensive line that 463 00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:16,040 Speaker 1: got him hurt to begin with. It's just like it's 464 00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:19,719 Speaker 1: nothing better there the Bengals. Look at what the Bengals 465 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:21,760 Speaker 1: could turn it around like they you know, they've been 466 00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:25,800 Speaker 1: a playoff team with that, with that group, Yeah, I 467 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,000 Speaker 1: think I I agree with you in on on every 468 00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:31,880 Speaker 1: front there. You look at what what the Giants did 469 00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:34,959 Speaker 1: and compare them to what Indianapolis did. One team did 470 00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:38,080 Speaker 1: a lot and Indianapolis did nothing. So why do we 471 00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:40,480 Speaker 1: have any faith in this team? None? I don't even 472 00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:42,200 Speaker 1: think you should put this game on a television set. 473 00:24:42,840 --> 00:24:45,960 Speaker 1: It's a corner TV game, Like you said, the most Yeah, 474 00:24:46,080 --> 00:24:49,680 Speaker 1: put it on by the buffet. Okay, New Orleans is 475 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:52,240 Speaker 1: hosting Tampa Bay their ten point favorites. Boy, this one 476 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:55,640 Speaker 1: is just getting so high. It's ridiculous. How can you bet? 477 00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:58,240 Speaker 1: I listen, I love the Saints, you know, I bought 478 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:00,560 Speaker 1: like a Saints to win this. We're both take it 479 00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:02,560 Speaker 1: at eighteen to one. I think they're the best team 480 00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:05,199 Speaker 1: in the conference. I have full faith in them, but 481 00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 1: I don't want to bet ten points. No, it's it's 482 00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:09,960 Speaker 1: a lot of points. This one got driven up with 483 00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:14,200 Speaker 1: the uh the jamis Winston suspension. So so the line 484 00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:17,960 Speaker 1: opened seven with that announcement, the line went up to 485 00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:21,400 Speaker 1: nine and a half. Everybody kind of jumped on it 486 00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:23,720 Speaker 1: from and then you have the public, like I said that, 487 00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:27,959 Speaker 1: they like the Saints anyway, so just drove the number up. 488 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:30,399 Speaker 1: It's a tough number. I mean, as good as the 489 00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:33,120 Speaker 1: Saints are the first game of the season to lay 490 00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 1: that many points, uh, that's a lot so u um. 491 00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:40,000 Speaker 1: But then again, there's not a whole lot of people 492 00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:41,680 Speaker 1: that are going to back the Buccaneers and the wise 493 00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 1: guys doing anything on this game or everyone just like 494 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,400 Speaker 1: the wise Guy's got New Orleans early at minus seven, 495 00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:49,240 Speaker 1: minus seven and a half, and then, like I said, 496 00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:52,679 Speaker 1: after the jamis Winston announcement. But they've done nothing since, 497 00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:56,359 Speaker 1: nothing recent, and none of them have taken the Bucks, 498 00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:59,640 Speaker 1: even at the higher number here, So it's we're gonna 499 00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:03,960 Speaker 1: be big Buccaneers fans the next game. I am so 500 00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:08,560 Speaker 1: excited about the Pittsburgh Steelers at the Cleveland Browns because 501 00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:10,720 Speaker 1: the Steelers opened to six and a half point favorites. 502 00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:14,719 Speaker 1: It's now down to four as the Steelers are four 503 00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,800 Speaker 1: point favorites on the road. I was all over the 504 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:21,000 Speaker 1: Browns at six and a half just because I feel 505 00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:22,919 Speaker 1: like that's a lot of points for anybody to have 506 00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:26,479 Speaker 1: to go on the road and win by now because 507 00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:29,120 Speaker 1: of all the hard knocks hype and everyone thinks, oh, 508 00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:31,080 Speaker 1: this team isn't so bad, and they've been on national 509 00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:35,360 Speaker 1: TV like four times during the preseason and leviyan Bell, 510 00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:37,000 Speaker 1: no one knows what's happening, so you don't know if 511 00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:38,879 Speaker 1: you're gonna get him at full strength or get him 512 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:40,880 Speaker 1: on the field at all. So all of a sudden, 513 00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:45,119 Speaker 1: this game's at four. Did it move to four? Because 514 00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 1: of hard knocks, because of what was happening with the 515 00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:51,160 Speaker 1: Browns in the preseason, because of Levian Bell. Why didn't 516 00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:55,280 Speaker 1: it move mostly Leviyan Bell. There was an early move. 517 00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:57,600 Speaker 1: I wouldn't say it was necessarily because of hard knocks, 518 00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:00,320 Speaker 1: but there was just an early move. We opened that 519 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:03,560 Speaker 1: as high as we thought we could, uh with Pittsburgh 520 00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:05,320 Speaker 1: on the road here minus six and a half. So 521 00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,120 Speaker 1: some of the sharp guys took six and a half 522 00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:11,919 Speaker 1: really early. Uh, but the levy On Bell uh was 523 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:14,719 Speaker 1: really the thing that drove the line down to as 524 00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:16,440 Speaker 1: low as three and a half. So there was a 525 00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:18,119 Speaker 1: matter of fact, I think there's still some three and 526 00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:20,399 Speaker 1: a half's out out there. We're at four and a half. 527 00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:23,720 Speaker 1: We did take the game down off the board, uh 528 00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:28,199 Speaker 1: most of yesterday. Uh so, I mean it was it 529 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:30,320 Speaker 1: was mainly just to see whether or not we thought 530 00:27:30,320 --> 00:27:32,479 Speaker 1: he was gonna Levyan Bell was gonna be playing or not. 531 00:27:33,080 --> 00:27:36,640 Speaker 1: Uh still not in camp. Um. We hate getting into 532 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:39,119 Speaker 1: a situation where we're taking some pretty large beds from 533 00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:41,760 Speaker 1: the wise guys at plus six and a half, then 534 00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:43,560 Speaker 1: go down to three and a half, and let's say 535 00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:46,119 Speaker 1: Levan Bell does play and the public is gonna be 536 00:27:46,160 --> 00:27:49,000 Speaker 1: on Pittsburgh no matter what, whether Bell is in or out. 537 00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:50,520 Speaker 1: So we just don't want to be in a position 538 00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:52,959 Speaker 1: where we're getting a ton of Parley money at minus 539 00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:55,639 Speaker 1: four minus four and a half, when we've taken all 540 00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:57,520 Speaker 1: of the sharp money at plus six and a half 541 00:27:57,520 --> 00:27:59,560 Speaker 1: and plus six, it just opens us up to a 542 00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:02,200 Speaker 1: big all. So I really don't like this game at all. 543 00:28:02,560 --> 00:28:06,160 Speaker 1: I just I don't want it to fall obviously. Uh so. 544 00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:09,879 Speaker 1: Uh the ticket count is about five to one Pittsburgh 545 00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:15,240 Speaker 1: to Cleveland. Even with the publicity around hard Knocks and 546 00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:19,600 Speaker 1: and with Levy on Bell possibly not not playing, um so, uh, 547 00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,119 Speaker 1: the general public still sees a you know, an Owen 548 00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:26,800 Speaker 1: sixteen team here. Do you know how else you get 549 00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:30,520 Speaker 1: a big middle? How you go to the buffet at 550 00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:34,520 Speaker 1: the Orleans I've got that. I didn't even go to 551 00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:36,399 Speaker 1: the buffet, and I've got the big middle. Do we 552 00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:38,960 Speaker 1: get sound effects at the New Cadence podcast? Do we 553 00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:43,720 Speaker 1: get like but ump bum wow? Yeah, we're so professional 554 00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:47,000 Speaker 1: now stepping it up. Minnesota is hosting the San Francisco 555 00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,840 Speaker 1: forty nine ers another one. This is such an interesting game. 556 00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:52,480 Speaker 1: I've got a very strong opinion on this game. This 557 00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:56,479 Speaker 1: came open five. Now it's at six and a half. UM, 558 00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 1: when this and this moved recently because it was at 559 00:28:59,760 --> 00:29:02,040 Speaker 1: you lingering around five and a half for a long time. 560 00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:04,000 Speaker 1: I loved it at five and a half. I love 561 00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:05,560 Speaker 1: the Vikings at five and a half in this game. 562 00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:07,920 Speaker 1: Why did it move to six and a half? Why 563 00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:10,000 Speaker 1: is all this money coming in on the Vikings? Who 564 00:29:10,080 --> 00:29:12,920 Speaker 1: is it? Well? I mean, we did open what we 565 00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,440 Speaker 1: thought would be on the low side, knowing that the 566 00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:18,160 Speaker 1: way San Francisco ended the season last year and the 567 00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:20,640 Speaker 1: way the general public felt about him. But there's two 568 00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 1: teams at the general public both are in love with UH. 569 00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:28,640 Speaker 1: I mean that they're in love with Minnesota too, so UH. 570 00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:30,320 Speaker 1: But I really, I really felt like we'd get a 571 00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:32,680 Speaker 1: little bit more money on San Francisco than what we did. 572 00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:35,320 Speaker 1: It turns out both the public and the sharp guys 573 00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:39,720 Speaker 1: are on on Minnesota here. UM. I did feel like, UH. 574 00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:43,000 Speaker 1: Some of we talked about it in another podcast that 575 00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:46,200 Speaker 1: I felt the UH season win total was a little 576 00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:49,719 Speaker 1: high with UH with San Francisco, and I thought that 577 00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:52,840 Speaker 1: the hype in the way that they finished the season 578 00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:55,000 Speaker 1: last year, I, you know, it was just a little 579 00:29:55,120 --> 00:29:59,880 Speaker 1: little too much. Uh so. Uh, I mean, Minnesota's got 580 00:29:59,920 --> 00:30:03,160 Speaker 1: a great defense, best in the nfls and uh I 581 00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:06,160 Speaker 1: could understand the move, but I did think we'd get 582 00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:08,520 Speaker 1: a little bit more San Francisco money than what we did. 583 00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:11,480 Speaker 1: I have to skip this game. I'd have to pass it. 584 00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:12,880 Speaker 1: I would not be able to bet in this game 585 00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:17,240 Speaker 1: at this number. But you'd like Minnesota earlier at the 586 00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:20,000 Speaker 1: at the lower number. Right. As they say in the 587 00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:23,320 Speaker 1: sports betting business Scooch, you gotta get the best in 588 00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:27,880 Speaker 1: the number. Yeah, you do. You know, it's like the 589 00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:31,280 Speaker 1: stock market, you know, bye bye bye and bye low 590 00:30:31,320 --> 00:30:34,760 Speaker 1: and sell high. You know what? Um I forgot to 591 00:30:34,760 --> 00:30:37,360 Speaker 1: mention at the beginning of the podcast, you might like this. 592 00:30:38,040 --> 00:30:41,400 Speaker 1: Later on in the podcast, Mike Francessa is gonna come on? 593 00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:46,200 Speaker 1: We interviewed Mike Francessa. What do you really I don't 594 00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:48,480 Speaker 1: like it. He's good, he's good. I'll have to listen 595 00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:50,760 Speaker 1: to that. You already already did that one. Yeah, he 596 00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:53,080 Speaker 1: So you're gonna listen to the podcast. You're gonna listen 597 00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:55,520 Speaker 1: to the podcast. I'm gonna listen from Mike Francessa. We'll 598 00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:57,840 Speaker 1: have to tell you how to face Uh, let's move 599 00:30:57,880 --> 00:30:59,600 Speaker 1: on to the four o'clock games. We got the l 600 00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:03,600 Speaker 1: H Chargers, another team that the public is all over 601 00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:07,200 Speaker 1: just loving right now. Um, three and a half point 602 00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:09,960 Speaker 1: favorites over Kansas City. This game opened at three, it's 603 00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:13,120 Speaker 1: moved to three and a half. At this point, I 604 00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:17,400 Speaker 1: would say take the Kansas City Chiefs. Yeah, Uh, the 605 00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:20,000 Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs. I don't know why the public doesn't 606 00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:22,920 Speaker 1: like this team. This is a really good team, and 607 00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:24,720 Speaker 1: and I expect them to be better than they were 608 00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:28,600 Speaker 1: last year. Um. I know that the they also loved 609 00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:32,320 Speaker 1: the Chargers, but uh, and they're the home home favorite, 610 00:31:32,320 --> 00:31:34,040 Speaker 1: so I know we're gonna get public money on the 611 00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:37,200 Speaker 1: home favorite. We always do. But uh, this is another 612 00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:41,040 Speaker 1: surprising one to me because I thought we'd get a 613 00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:43,760 Speaker 1: little bit more Chiefs money than what we did. You 614 00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:45,760 Speaker 1: know what's interesting to me, I don't know why you 615 00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:48,920 Speaker 1: guys give the Chargers any home field advantage at all. 616 00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:51,680 Speaker 1: They're playing on like a see stadium that they can't 617 00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:55,120 Speaker 1: even fill. Yeah, there's no home there's no home field there. 618 00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:59,240 Speaker 1: So basically what you're saying is that like they're like, 619 00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:03,680 Speaker 1: this is this acentually a neutral field? To me? Yeah? Yeah, yeah, 620 00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:06,800 Speaker 1: And I mean, there's really nothing that. Yeah, I don't 621 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:09,280 Speaker 1: think there's three points favorite on a field. I think 622 00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:15,040 Speaker 1: maybe they're even I welcome the Chargers money here. I'm 623 00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:17,200 Speaker 1: we're at three. I know there's some three and a 624 00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:19,920 Speaker 1: half's out there, and I'm okay with needing needing the 625 00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:21,720 Speaker 1: Chiefs in this one. I think there's a lot of 626 00:32:21,800 --> 00:32:25,440 Speaker 1: value on plus three. This next game, Arizona and Washington 627 00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:31,600 Speaker 1: is pick Arizona at home. And I can't think of 628 00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:36,959 Speaker 1: three interesting things to say about this game. It's just 629 00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:40,160 Speaker 1: two programs that are going in the wrong direction. So 630 00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:42,560 Speaker 1: there's not there's not a whole lot to get excited 631 00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:47,120 Speaker 1: about them. I mean, I guess the uh, the Cardinals 632 00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:50,080 Speaker 1: have Josh Rosen. Maybe Sam Bradford gets hurt and Josh 633 00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 1: Rosen plays um. Maybe Patrick Peterson runs an interception back 634 00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:02,680 Speaker 1: for a touchdown. May a b Jay Gruden's head explodes 635 00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:07,960 Speaker 1: when he realizes that having Kirk Cousins was better than 636 00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:13,440 Speaker 1: having Alex Smith. Yeah, I'd like to see that. But 637 00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:15,959 Speaker 1: is anybody even playing this game? Let me look at 638 00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,160 Speaker 1: the bet totals right now. I can also in the 639 00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:21,320 Speaker 1: Action Network app see the total number of bets. UM 640 00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:24,360 Speaker 1: not a lot of bets on this game. No, I 641 00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:26,320 Speaker 1: mean next to the other two corner games that we 642 00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:28,440 Speaker 1: mentioned that this is right up there with them. They 643 00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:30,320 Speaker 1: can make a run for the money on this being 644 00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:33,560 Speaker 1: another corner game. This actually has right now. If you're 645 00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:36,400 Speaker 1: talking about the three least beat games, you're talking about 646 00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:40,840 Speaker 1: Tennessee Miami is one, Washington Arizona two Since the in 647 00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:45,720 Speaker 1: d three. Wow, yeah, that's that's about what we got, uh, 648 00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:49,480 Speaker 1: Carolina Dallas. I think this is an interesting game as 649 00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:54,280 Speaker 1: opposed to the other one. I like the under. This under, Uh, 650 00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:56,480 Speaker 1: it's been bent down quite a bit. There's so many 651 00:33:56,480 --> 00:34:00,480 Speaker 1: things to think about here, because, um it, it opened 652 00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:03,760 Speaker 1: it two and a half, it's now three. The under 653 00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:06,520 Speaker 1: was forty four, it's now forty two and a half. 654 00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:10,160 Speaker 1: Um I got the under at forty four, by the way, 655 00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:14,360 Speaker 1: And UH like a lot of a lot of narratives 656 00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:18,440 Speaker 1: happening here, Cam Dak. Uh. The Cowboys offensive line is 657 00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:23,040 Speaker 1: in shambles. Um. The Panthers playing at home with nobody 658 00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:26,520 Speaker 1: caring because it's a Southeastern team, but they've got new ownership. 659 00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:29,680 Speaker 1: Uh tell me how you set this line and where 660 00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:33,040 Speaker 1: the wise guys are going? Well, I mean we have 661 00:34:33,120 --> 00:34:39,040 Speaker 1: them basically two very evenly matched teams. Uh that Uh, 662 00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:42,200 Speaker 1: Carolina is really just the home field advantage of the 663 00:34:42,239 --> 00:34:46,640 Speaker 1: only thing that gives them the um um land land 664 00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:50,480 Speaker 1: points here is the only reason is because they're at home. Uh. 665 00:34:50,520 --> 00:34:53,319 Speaker 1: Our ticket account is almost dead even on this one. Uh. 666 00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:55,279 Speaker 1: There's not a whole lot of wise guy money on 667 00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:57,400 Speaker 1: either side, and this one, I don't think there's any value, 668 00:34:57,920 --> 00:35:00,560 Speaker 1: uh to to either side. It's basically a p come game. 669 00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:03,440 Speaker 1: A lot of I mean there's a lot of interest 670 00:35:03,520 --> 00:35:07,600 Speaker 1: only because it's Dallas. Uh. People just follow this team 671 00:35:07,640 --> 00:35:10,400 Speaker 1: like uh, like they do the Lakers in basketball and 672 00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:13,960 Speaker 1: the Yankees in baseball, so they'll they'll always draw um, 673 00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:17,440 Speaker 1: a lot of attention people just there's just a lot 674 00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:21,240 Speaker 1: of Dallas fans. But in terms of money on the game, 675 00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:24,719 Speaker 1: uh not, I mean there's not a whole lot either 676 00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:28,600 Speaker 1: way here. That's that was a boring answer, Yeah, it was. 677 00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:33,680 Speaker 1: That's Dallas. They're gonna they're gonna they're gonna get a 678 00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:35,120 Speaker 1: ton of money. They're gonna get a ton of money. 679 00:35:35,120 --> 00:35:38,960 Speaker 1: They're a public team, like they're the the biggest public team. Well, 680 00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:42,319 Speaker 1: you already covered Carolina. You cover all the teams in 681 00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:44,520 Speaker 1: the South that they're they just don't draw a whole 682 00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 1: lot of attention. People don't like them no matter how 683 00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:50,600 Speaker 1: good they are. So true, Uh, here's an interesting game 684 00:35:50,640 --> 00:35:54,560 Speaker 1: to me, Denver in Seattle. Denver is a three point favorite. 685 00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:56,560 Speaker 1: This game opened to two. You know you and I 686 00:35:56,600 --> 00:36:01,120 Speaker 1: talked about this previously in other versions of the podcast. Uh, 687 00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:05,160 Speaker 1: Denver got a ton of money, uh in the futures 688 00:36:05,160 --> 00:36:08,080 Speaker 1: market with wise guys coming in betting the Broncos down 689 00:36:08,080 --> 00:36:09,839 Speaker 1: from fifty one to thirty five to want to win 690 00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:13,320 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I thought that was so utterly stupid 691 00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:15,319 Speaker 1: when I heard it, Like I couldn't believe people were 692 00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:17,480 Speaker 1: doing that, And then I thought about it. I'm like, 693 00:36:17,719 --> 00:36:22,320 Speaker 1: their defense is amazing. They drafted really well, the defense improved. 694 00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:25,239 Speaker 1: They signed case Keenum their quarterback and was so bad 695 00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:28,600 Speaker 1: last year. Anything that happens is an improvement. So if 696 00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:31,680 Speaker 1: you have like a middling quarterback, even with a really 697 00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:33,719 Speaker 1: good defense, all of a sudden you got a team 698 00:36:33,760 --> 00:36:36,880 Speaker 1: that could be on the make. Yeah. I mean this team, 699 00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:39,200 Speaker 1: they take a good hard look at themselves and they 700 00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:42,040 Speaker 1: I mean they just cut Paxton Lynch telling you that 701 00:36:42,360 --> 00:36:46,120 Speaker 1: they you know, here, here's a number first round draft 702 00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:49,080 Speaker 1: that we're willing to just part ways with because we 703 00:36:49,160 --> 00:36:52,279 Speaker 1: see a direction here. So um, that's the difference of 704 00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:56,400 Speaker 1: I mean, like, uh, of a program that you know 705 00:36:56,480 --> 00:36:58,600 Speaker 1: that the front office can really make moves that can 706 00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:00,799 Speaker 1: improve the team, and sometimes they have to make those 707 00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:03,880 Speaker 1: hard choices. Uh. So I I think some of the 708 00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:06,440 Speaker 1: sharp guys did see some potential here and they probably 709 00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:09,239 Speaker 1: saw a little little bit of value in terms of 710 00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:12,760 Speaker 1: the line here. Again, there's nothing to really get excited 711 00:37:12,800 --> 00:37:15,359 Speaker 1: about Seattle with that. Here's a team that's been uh, 712 00:37:15,440 --> 00:37:17,640 Speaker 1: you know, struggling the last couple of years with their 713 00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:20,400 Speaker 1: offensive line and their their defense was getting long in 714 00:37:20,440 --> 00:37:23,880 Speaker 1: the tooth the last couple of years. And so uh, 715 00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:28,040 Speaker 1: Denver uh minus two and a half probably probably a 716 00:37:28,040 --> 00:37:31,000 Speaker 1: little value on Denver here went up to three. Uh. 717 00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:33,719 Speaker 1: Three seems to be the solid number. We're getting still 718 00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:37,560 Speaker 1: some some more Denver money than Seattle money. And uh, 719 00:37:38,200 --> 00:37:41,880 Speaker 1: both from public and wise guys. When we play Scooch Roulette, 720 00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:44,160 Speaker 1: we're gonna have some hard choices to make. You know, 721 00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:47,520 Speaker 1: I forgot all about Scooch Roulette to you know why, 722 00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:50,560 Speaker 1: I wasn't think you know why you know why? Why? No? 723 00:37:51,239 --> 00:37:56,560 Speaker 1: Because I keep winning Okay, do you know why I 724 00:37:56,640 --> 00:38:03,920 Speaker 1: keep winning? Tell me why I'm dying to here? Why 725 00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:13,200 Speaker 1: are you so disgusted with me? Is it me? Or 726 00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:15,600 Speaker 1: is it the fact that the Orleans is being robbed 727 00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:19,279 Speaker 1: as we speak? And You're like, I cannot believe I 728 00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:21,279 Speaker 1: have to do this podcast Instead of running to the 729 00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:26,799 Speaker 1: Orleans to save everybody, I've got to go. I've got 730 00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:29,120 Speaker 1: to go be super Scoots right now, and instead I've 731 00:38:29,160 --> 00:38:33,080 Speaker 1: got to record this stupid podcast. All right. Um, I 732 00:38:33,120 --> 00:38:35,080 Speaker 1: always want to screw up because I'm a wise guy, 733 00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:38,160 Speaker 1: and I know the numbers that you're making better than 734 00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:45,600 Speaker 1: you do. I know all the perspectives. Yeah, okay, sounds 735 00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:48,600 Speaker 1: good to me. The Chicago Bears opened as eight point 736 00:38:48,680 --> 00:38:51,359 Speaker 1: underdogs to the Green Bay Packers for the Sunday night game. 737 00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:54,520 Speaker 1: You know, I'm a Bears fan. I normally would avoid 738 00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:57,600 Speaker 1: the Bears like the plague, but I am very high 739 00:38:57,680 --> 00:39:00,080 Speaker 1: on Khalil Mack. I like what I've seen from the 740 00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:02,799 Speaker 1: Bears offense in the preseason. Uh, you must have gotten 741 00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:04,480 Speaker 1: a little bit of money unless you just moved that 742 00:39:04,560 --> 00:39:07,440 Speaker 1: half a point on the Khalil Mack signing or a trade. 743 00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:13,440 Speaker 1: But um, that number feels high to me right now. Uh, yeah, 744 00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:15,120 Speaker 1: it was probably a little high. It was at eight 745 00:39:15,120 --> 00:39:17,440 Speaker 1: and a half. Uh, you know, it came over the 746 00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:20,600 Speaker 1: wire got six o'clock in the morning Vegas time. Is 747 00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:24,080 Speaker 1: as I think when we got the alert with Khalil 748 00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:27,840 Speaker 1: Mack and immediately after we got a we took a 749 00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:30,760 Speaker 1: ten thousand dollar bet on on the Bears a plus 750 00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:33,920 Speaker 1: eight and a half and we moved it quickly to 751 00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:36,120 Speaker 1: eight and then we took some more money went down 752 00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:38,719 Speaker 1: that went down to seven and a half even with 753 00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:41,480 Speaker 1: the sharp money on Chicago. And I agree with you, 754 00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:46,080 Speaker 1: Khalil back is just a phenomenal player. Uh, We're still 755 00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:47,839 Speaker 1: gonna end up needing the Bears in this one. It's 756 00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:51,279 Speaker 1: the late game Sunday nights the Green Bay Packers. Yes, 757 00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:53,640 Speaker 1: it's a high line, we know it's high, but every 758 00:39:53,719 --> 00:39:57,640 Speaker 1: parlay is tied to the Packers. So, um, we probably 759 00:39:57,680 --> 00:39:59,920 Speaker 1: don't mind being a little heavy and straight bets on 760 00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:03,319 Speaker 1: in Chicago and this one. Um. But uh, and I 761 00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:06,000 Speaker 1: think that the value certainly is there or was there 762 00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:07,839 Speaker 1: with eight and a half and probably still is there 763 00:40:07,840 --> 00:40:11,360 Speaker 1: with seven and a half. Um. But uh, but but 764 00:40:11,600 --> 00:40:14,120 Speaker 1: still with the public play green Bay and we'll still 765 00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:16,600 Speaker 1: need the Bears. I might do the stupidest thing in 766 00:40:16,640 --> 00:40:19,680 Speaker 1: the world. And actually I have to pick the Bears 767 00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:23,080 Speaker 1: and the sculpture let just because I'm going to pick 768 00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:25,560 Speaker 1: them too. Oh, but go ahead, no no, no, no, 769 00:40:25,560 --> 00:40:27,960 Speaker 1: no no. If you want them, if you want them, 770 00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:30,399 Speaker 1: it's your podcast. If you want them, you have them. 771 00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:33,040 Speaker 1: I'll find something else to do. I'll find something else. 772 00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:36,600 Speaker 1: Why do we have like really bad Monday night games? 773 00:40:36,920 --> 00:40:39,759 Speaker 1: The Jets at the Lions. The Jets are six and 774 00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:42,759 Speaker 1: a half point dogs. What's that about. I don't think 775 00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:44,920 Speaker 1: there's I don't think they're bad. Well, one of them 776 00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:47,520 Speaker 1: might be. But the Rams and the Raiders, I think 777 00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:49,800 Speaker 1: it's a phenomenal Monday night games. I don't get excited 778 00:40:49,800 --> 00:40:51,239 Speaker 1: about that. I don't think the Raiders are gonna be 779 00:40:51,320 --> 00:40:54,440 Speaker 1: very good. I think it's I think it's a great 780 00:40:54,960 --> 00:40:57,440 Speaker 1: story just to see how good they are and and 781 00:40:57,520 --> 00:41:00,479 Speaker 1: going up against this Rams team that everybody was all 782 00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:03,160 Speaker 1: over last year. I think it's a great game to 783 00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:06,520 Speaker 1: to open up the season. But the Jets in Detroit. 784 00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:08,680 Speaker 1: I agree. But if you're gonna have two games and 785 00:41:08,719 --> 00:41:11,160 Speaker 1: you want one to be a throwaway, make the early one. 786 00:41:11,200 --> 00:41:13,640 Speaker 1: The Jets in Detroit I think the only the only 787 00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:16,640 Speaker 1: thing that I'd like to see is is Sam Donald. 788 00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:19,800 Speaker 1: It's always interesting to see a rookie quarterback in his 789 00:41:19,920 --> 00:41:22,760 Speaker 1: first game. Uh, no matter how good or how highly 790 00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:26,560 Speaker 1: touted they are. Uh, the pace of the game is 791 00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:31,040 Speaker 1: just so much for uh a rookie quarterback and uh 792 00:41:31,360 --> 00:41:34,600 Speaker 1: going up against Detroit's defense, it's going to be a struggle. 793 00:41:34,640 --> 00:41:36,759 Speaker 1: But uh, that's why the number is so high. We're 794 00:41:36,760 --> 00:41:39,440 Speaker 1: one of the only sevens in town on Detroit. Um. 795 00:41:39,800 --> 00:41:43,400 Speaker 1: The money came in early on Detroit. UM, not a 796 00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:47,080 Speaker 1: whole lot. It's not it's not overwhelming, but the public 797 00:41:47,120 --> 00:41:49,760 Speaker 1: moneys on Detroit as well. So we're gonna need the Jets. 798 00:41:49,960 --> 00:41:52,120 Speaker 1: I am dying for a reason to take the over 799 00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:57,120 Speaker 1: in this game. Yeah, and I can't, you know, especially 800 00:41:57,200 --> 00:42:00,040 Speaker 1: like we talked about before with uh, you know, a 801 00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:03,800 Speaker 1: rookie quarterback and going up against a good defense. It's 802 00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:06,839 Speaker 1: not a game you want to bet the over. I mean, 803 00:42:06,840 --> 00:42:08,640 Speaker 1: it could happen if you have a four or five 804 00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:12,040 Speaker 1: turnovers and get the over real quick with interception returns. 805 00:42:12,560 --> 00:42:16,360 Speaker 1: But can't Detroit score forty five points alone with Matthew Stafford, 806 00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:19,920 Speaker 1: Yeah they can. We're at forty five. I mean they 807 00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:22,439 Speaker 1: could easily rack up well. The Jets had a pretty 808 00:42:22,480 --> 00:42:24,759 Speaker 1: good defense though, so I don't know if they could 809 00:42:25,200 --> 00:42:29,279 Speaker 1: rack it up on their own. All right, I can't 810 00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:30,920 Speaker 1: can't give you a reason about there. I think you 811 00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:33,480 Speaker 1: know what's interesting in this game. I actually was really 812 00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:40,400 Speaker 1: feeling strongly about the Jets um at plus seven all summer, 813 00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:42,959 Speaker 1: and then like for some reason, with Sam Donald starting, 814 00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:46,279 Speaker 1: I feel differently, do you know what I mean? Like 815 00:42:46,680 --> 00:42:50,919 Speaker 1: I watched the Jets team last year. Josh McCown kept 816 00:42:50,960 --> 00:42:53,640 Speaker 1: them in games through the first half and into the 817 00:42:53,680 --> 00:42:57,480 Speaker 1: second half. Their defense was really good. Um, they played 818 00:42:57,520 --> 00:43:00,400 Speaker 1: with a lot of heart, they didn't give up, and 819 00:43:00,760 --> 00:43:03,359 Speaker 1: they just weren't talented enough, but they could keep keep 820 00:43:03,400 --> 00:43:06,000 Speaker 1: games close enough throughout most of the game that like 821 00:43:07,120 --> 00:43:09,439 Speaker 1: you had a sweat going and it was always within 822 00:43:09,520 --> 00:43:13,080 Speaker 1: like a score one way or the other. Um. I 823 00:43:13,120 --> 00:43:14,560 Speaker 1: just and and I don't think the lines are very 824 00:43:14,560 --> 00:43:18,360 Speaker 1: good at all, and they haven't improved that I'm I'm 825 00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:21,200 Speaker 1: sort of just feeling like in a division with the Bears, 826 00:43:21,239 --> 00:43:24,280 Speaker 1: the Packers and the Vikings, the Lions are like a distant, 827 00:43:24,480 --> 00:43:28,040 Speaker 1: distant fourth. But I can't get behind Sam Donald as 828 00:43:28,080 --> 00:43:31,640 Speaker 1: a seven point under Dug. Yeah, I think we're gonna 829 00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:33,640 Speaker 1: need more. You, I would need more if I'm gonna 830 00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:36,319 Speaker 1: if I'm gonna bet the Jets with Sam Darnald, I'm 831 00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:38,680 Speaker 1: gonna need more than seven points, all right. I've just 832 00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:41,239 Speaker 1: seen it too many times with a rookie quarter. Yeah, 833 00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:43,600 Speaker 1: I just don't. I don't have any faith. Oakland is 834 00:43:43,640 --> 00:43:47,080 Speaker 1: hosting the Los Angeles Rams, everybody's favorite team. Boy, the 835 00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:50,319 Speaker 1: public loves the Rams. Right now, the Rams are on 836 00:43:50,400 --> 00:43:53,720 Speaker 1: the road as four point favorites. Where are the wise 837 00:43:53,719 --> 00:43:56,600 Speaker 1: guys on this game? They were on the Rams? This 838 00:43:56,760 --> 00:43:58,960 Speaker 1: This game moved more than any other game that we 839 00:43:59,000 --> 00:44:01,080 Speaker 1: put up on the board. We we opened up at 840 00:44:01,080 --> 00:44:04,000 Speaker 1: one and a half, and this thing just jumped and 841 00:44:04,200 --> 00:44:08,160 Speaker 1: just went way up. We just went to four this week. 842 00:44:08,239 --> 00:44:12,839 Speaker 1: So it went to three about a week ago, went 843 00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:15,680 Speaker 1: to three and a half um just before the weekend, 844 00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:18,160 Speaker 1: and then, uh, we just went up to four. And 845 00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:21,880 Speaker 1: it's all Rams money. Uh So, not that we need 846 00:44:21,920 --> 00:44:24,080 Speaker 1: a reason to be Oakland fans here in Las Vegas, 847 00:44:24,120 --> 00:44:29,919 Speaker 1: but uh, we're Raider fans, I should say exactly, yeah, 848 00:44:29,960 --> 00:44:32,120 Speaker 1: but but we're gonna be a big Raider fan And 849 00:44:32,160 --> 00:44:34,280 Speaker 1: I think it adds to the story. You got Gruden's return. 850 00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:36,560 Speaker 1: Every everyone wants to see that and they want to 851 00:44:36,880 --> 00:44:40,960 Speaker 1: especially now that he's trying to justify reasons for for 852 00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:45,160 Speaker 1: dealing Khalil Mack. It's and it's gonna be interesting to see. 853 00:44:45,200 --> 00:44:47,480 Speaker 1: You know if if they have a winning season, is 854 00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:50,319 Speaker 1: he's gonna be a genius and without Khalil Mack and 855 00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:52,799 Speaker 1: then if he if they bomb, it's gonna be you know, 856 00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:55,880 Speaker 1: why did you? Why did you get rid of him? So? Um, 857 00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:57,960 Speaker 1: it's an interesting story and it's a nice way to 858 00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:03,959 Speaker 1: open the season. Excuse it's time to play everybody's favorite game, 859 00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:08,919 Speaker 1: except maybe yours because you forgot all about it. Yeah, 860 00:45:09,120 --> 00:45:20,200 Speaker 1: Scooch Roulette. In this game, you get one chance to 861 00:45:20,320 --> 00:45:23,719 Speaker 1: make the right pick. What's it gonna be? I like 862 00:45:23,840 --> 00:45:26,759 Speaker 1: the Bears. I think it's too many points. I would 863 00:45:26,760 --> 00:45:28,239 Speaker 1: have loved to get in that eight and a half. 864 00:45:28,280 --> 00:45:30,200 Speaker 1: I think that's probably why you keep beating me too, 865 00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:33,319 Speaker 1: because I keep getting the worst of the number. Why 866 00:45:33,400 --> 00:45:35,120 Speaker 1: is whyse guys always get the best of the number, 867 00:45:35,160 --> 00:45:37,640 Speaker 1: not the number. That's why. That's why in this game, 868 00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:40,560 Speaker 1: Like I look, I love the Giants, but I don't 869 00:45:40,600 --> 00:45:42,200 Speaker 1: like it at plus three as much as I liked 870 00:45:42,200 --> 00:45:44,279 Speaker 1: it at plus four, So I'm not going to bet 871 00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:46,560 Speaker 1: that game. I actually like the Ravens now, but I 872 00:45:46,560 --> 00:45:48,799 Speaker 1: don't like it at seven and a half. Um, so 873 00:45:48,880 --> 00:45:52,000 Speaker 1: I so that takes that off the board. Um. I 874 00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:53,880 Speaker 1: liked the Broncos, but I liked them better at two 875 00:45:53,920 --> 00:45:57,520 Speaker 1: and a half than three. So the one game where 876 00:45:57,560 --> 00:45:59,600 Speaker 1: I still have a lot of confidence no matter what 877 00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:03,399 Speaker 1: the number is Houston Texans plus six and a half 878 00:46:03,400 --> 00:46:07,520 Speaker 1: against the New England Patriots. Nobody gets rich betting against 879 00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:11,400 Speaker 1: Bill Belichick. Nobody wins Scooch Roulette betting against Bill Belichick. 880 00:46:11,600 --> 00:46:14,200 Speaker 1: But I just feel like this team doesn't really have 881 00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:17,719 Speaker 1: great receivers right now. Their defense isn't that good. The 882 00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:22,000 Speaker 1: Texans are getting Deshaun Watson back, They're getting JJ Watt back. Um, 883 00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:25,879 Speaker 1: they're basically getting two you know, first rounders, uh in 884 00:46:25,880 --> 00:46:29,800 Speaker 1: one case the defensive MVP back into their team. And 885 00:46:30,280 --> 00:46:33,479 Speaker 1: this team is loaded with talent to me, so I'm 886 00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:35,759 Speaker 1: all over them. I think it's I think it's an 887 00:46:35,760 --> 00:46:38,760 Speaker 1: inflated number. I think you're you're making the book based 888 00:46:38,800 --> 00:46:41,319 Speaker 1: on the team they were last year, not on the 889 00:46:41,320 --> 00:46:44,239 Speaker 1: team they are now. Well, I hope you and I 890 00:46:44,320 --> 00:46:46,000 Speaker 1: both win because these are going to be two of 891 00:46:46,040 --> 00:46:48,160 Speaker 1: our biggest games on the board. I know the listeners 892 00:46:48,200 --> 00:46:51,000 Speaker 1: are like what you're going against New England and against 893 00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:55,799 Speaker 1: the Packers. If they're new, they're gonna learn how sharp 894 00:46:55,880 --> 00:47:00,640 Speaker 1: we really are or balloons and they'll never listen again. 895 00:47:03,080 --> 00:47:07,280 Speaker 1: But that's called gambling, Scooch. Yeah, it is listen. Everybody 896 00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:11,319 Speaker 1: should stick around to hear Mike Francessa. Everyone should come 897 00:47:11,360 --> 00:47:13,680 Speaker 1: back next week to hear you. And yeah, it's great 898 00:47:13,680 --> 00:47:15,640 Speaker 1: to be back. I'm looking forward to this year. I'm 899 00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:20,120 Speaker 1: hoping that the Orleans is still open. I've got to run. 900 00:47:20,160 --> 00:47:22,160 Speaker 1: I've gotta go check it out. See what's going on. Okay, 901 00:47:22,200 --> 00:47:24,960 Speaker 1: good luck, go get the bad guys. All right, thanks, 902 00:47:24,960 --> 00:47:31,600 Speaker 1: thanks Buddy. The man who created sports radio in New York, 903 00:47:31,800 --> 00:47:37,000 Speaker 1: Broadcasting Legend, just launched his new app mix on Everyone 904 00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:42,440 Speaker 1: should go downloaded and subscribe. Mike Francessa, how are you doing, Mike, 905 00:47:43,000 --> 00:47:45,320 Speaker 1: how are you? Thanks for coming up my pleasure. So 906 00:47:45,800 --> 00:47:48,320 Speaker 1: first tell me about the app. Well, it's been in 907 00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:51,640 Speaker 1: the works for a while. It's really a big part 908 00:47:51,640 --> 00:47:54,880 Speaker 1: of why I came back to Bloodcast Radio, and I 909 00:47:55,040 --> 00:47:58,600 Speaker 1: had this idea of doing something different for a while, 910 00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:01,480 Speaker 1: a lot of mad I will produce a lot of content. 911 00:48:01,520 --> 00:48:04,480 Speaker 1: I'll do my NFL show, my Football Sunday show, which 912 00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:06,680 Speaker 1: I've done on Sunday mornings for thirty years. I will 913 00:48:06,719 --> 00:48:09,319 Speaker 1: do that exclusively on the app. I'll do We'll do 914 00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:11,960 Speaker 1: a college football show on the app. We will also 915 00:48:12,840 --> 00:48:16,920 Speaker 1: be on before after enduring all the big events in 916 00:48:17,120 --> 00:48:19,960 Speaker 1: the next count of the year. Thirty years ago, you're 917 00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:22,319 Speaker 1: working with Jimmy the Greek right like, you're talking to 918 00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:26,399 Speaker 1: guys about gambling. You're in that world. How much could 919 00:48:26,440 --> 00:48:29,759 Speaker 1: you envision then what was going to be happening today? 920 00:48:30,040 --> 00:48:32,160 Speaker 1: You know, It's funny. Thirty years ago, I was even 921 00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:36,040 Speaker 1: starting the fan I started with those guys almost a 922 00:48:36,080 --> 00:48:39,000 Speaker 1: decade before that. It's almost forty years ago. I started 923 00:48:39,040 --> 00:48:42,440 Speaker 1: at the NFL Today in night So I was a 924 00:48:42,480 --> 00:48:45,720 Speaker 1: baby so and I worked with Brent Musburger and Jimmy 925 00:48:45,719 --> 00:48:47,919 Speaker 1: the Greek. I work closely with them. I wrote Jimmy 926 00:48:47,960 --> 00:48:50,640 Speaker 1: the Greek syndicated column. The gambling in America is a 927 00:48:50,719 --> 00:48:53,359 Speaker 1: very different place now than it was then, that's for sure, 928 00:48:53,480 --> 00:48:56,080 Speaker 1: all right. So, I remember when you were doing March 929 00:48:56,120 --> 00:48:59,200 Speaker 1: Madness stuff on CBS. Do you guys want to talk 930 00:48:59,239 --> 00:49:02,200 Speaker 1: about gambling and the brackets and things like that. When 931 00:49:02,239 --> 00:49:04,319 Speaker 1: you were on that chat, it would have made it more. 932 00:49:04,480 --> 00:49:06,719 Speaker 1: You know, in those days, it was completely taboo. I mean, 933 00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:08,799 Speaker 1: we used to sit there. Now, in those early years, 934 00:49:08,840 --> 00:49:11,840 Speaker 1: people don't realize that CBS ESPN used to have the 935 00:49:11,880 --> 00:49:15,200 Speaker 1: games all day, and CBS on Thursday and Friday wouldn't 936 00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:17,000 Speaker 1: come on until they had eleven thirty game at night 937 00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:19,280 Speaker 1: and then they have all the games Saturday and Sunday 938 00:49:19,280 --> 00:49:20,880 Speaker 1: and the rest of the tournament. But we wouldn't have 939 00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:23,360 Speaker 1: those first two days in those early years of the tournament. 940 00:49:23,680 --> 00:49:26,160 Speaker 1: But we would be sitting in a room, a room 941 00:49:26,160 --> 00:49:28,919 Speaker 1: what we called MP two where we would view all 942 00:49:28,960 --> 00:49:30,560 Speaker 1: the games, and we have all the games brought in, 943 00:49:30,600 --> 00:49:32,239 Speaker 1: and there'd be people who would come visit us. You know, 944 00:49:32,719 --> 00:49:35,120 Speaker 1: Dan Rather would come in and sit down and watch games. 945 00:49:35,560 --> 00:49:37,520 Speaker 1: Hunt the Thompson actually came in a couple of times 946 00:49:37,560 --> 00:49:39,319 Speaker 1: and watch games of date. So I mean, and he 947 00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:42,360 Speaker 1: was crazy, as everyone knows. But these guys we were 948 00:49:42,440 --> 00:49:44,920 Speaker 1: sitting there and talk about games and you know, who 949 00:49:45,000 --> 00:49:47,360 Speaker 1: was gonna win and upsets and everything else. But you 950 00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:49,200 Speaker 1: didn't talk about that stuff on the air. That was 951 00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:52,320 Speaker 1: completely taboo in those days. And you know, a couple 952 00:49:52,320 --> 00:49:54,840 Speaker 1: of things early on got me a lot of attention. 953 00:49:54,960 --> 00:49:57,239 Speaker 1: One was picking seat in the hall to go, you 954 00:49:57,280 --> 00:49:59,520 Speaker 1: know with I MS and get the push, which we 955 00:49:59,600 --> 00:50:02,640 Speaker 1: got the on national attention. Another time, I picked ten 956 00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:07,160 Speaker 1: Bowl games straight out and straight up against the spread 957 00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:10,200 Speaker 1: and straight up winners on ten to ten and actually 958 00:50:10,239 --> 00:50:12,440 Speaker 1: got written about, not only in newspapers, here have been 959 00:50:12,520 --> 00:50:15,080 Speaker 1: Time magazine and stuff like that. There was a couple 960 00:50:15,080 --> 00:50:19,440 Speaker 1: of times where predictions seemed to further my brand early on, 961 00:50:19,640 --> 00:50:23,359 Speaker 1: and I would pick upsets, and I would only pick 962 00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:25,640 Speaker 1: up sets if they were actually betting. I see, I 963 00:50:25,640 --> 00:50:27,880 Speaker 1: would never I would use the point spread while I 964 00:50:27,920 --> 00:50:30,480 Speaker 1: was making predictions. People would use the seeds. I would 965 00:50:30,600 --> 00:50:32,360 Speaker 1: use and say, that's not an upset, and maybe do 966 00:50:32,400 --> 00:50:34,960 Speaker 1: you know what I was talking about? But seven ten game, Hey, 967 00:50:35,000 --> 00:50:36,800 Speaker 1: that team wasn't an upset. They were three points favorite. 968 00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:38,839 Speaker 1: I knew that they didn't know that. So I would 969 00:50:38,880 --> 00:50:41,400 Speaker 1: pick legitimate upsets and call them upsets. And I was 970 00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:43,560 Speaker 1: using the point spread in those days they were using seeds, 971 00:50:43,560 --> 00:50:45,000 Speaker 1: so it was a little different than you know, we 972 00:50:45,040 --> 00:50:48,200 Speaker 1: had different standards. Mike Leeboff, who you know who works 973 00:50:48,239 --> 00:50:51,640 Speaker 1: at Action, who started the legendary Francesicon, has already told 974 00:50:51,640 --> 00:50:54,840 Speaker 1: me that we are on opposite side of the Giants. 975 00:50:55,040 --> 00:50:57,319 Speaker 1: I am all in on the Giants over. I think 976 00:50:57,320 --> 00:50:59,319 Speaker 1: the Giants can win the NFC East. I think the 977 00:50:59,320 --> 00:51:01,040 Speaker 1: Giants can go to the super Bowl. You're not wrong. 978 00:51:01,120 --> 00:51:02,839 Speaker 1: I am on the same side. You're on the same side. 979 00:51:02,960 --> 00:51:05,360 Speaker 1: I think the Giants went over and I and have 980 00:51:05,520 --> 00:51:08,560 Speaker 1: already invested in that at six and a half. So yes, 981 00:51:09,080 --> 00:51:11,719 Speaker 1: so a while ago, I happen to be of that opinion. Now, 982 00:51:11,760 --> 00:51:14,439 Speaker 1: I think what's scaring people off? For twofold one. There 983 00:51:14,520 --> 00:51:16,480 Speaker 1: is this prevailing quote out of the year, I can't 984 00:51:16,480 --> 00:51:19,600 Speaker 1: play anymore, which is completely wrong, completely wrong. I know 985 00:51:19,680 --> 00:51:22,160 Speaker 1: I'm an Elis supporter. I like Eli Eli, I have 986 00:51:22,400 --> 00:51:25,400 Speaker 1: I have a very good relationship, But it's not that 987 00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:28,080 Speaker 1: I know we like can still play. I watched them. 988 00:51:28,120 --> 00:51:30,080 Speaker 1: I know he can still throw the ball. The one 989 00:51:30,080 --> 00:51:31,640 Speaker 1: thing he has to do is he has to be protected. 990 00:51:31,680 --> 00:51:34,320 Speaker 1: He doesn't have any escapability, he doesn't have any mobility. 991 00:51:34,600 --> 00:51:37,719 Speaker 1: But I like the way they rebuilt this team this year. 992 00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:40,520 Speaker 1: The key is the offensive line and the pass rush. 993 00:51:40,600 --> 00:51:42,719 Speaker 1: The one thing I fear and I like them as 994 00:51:42,719 --> 00:51:46,080 Speaker 1: an over The one thing I fear is this. I 995 00:51:46,239 --> 00:51:50,000 Speaker 1: worry about teams that are marginal as far as playoffs, 996 00:51:50,040 --> 00:51:51,879 Speaker 1: and I don't think the Giants are are a super 997 00:51:51,920 --> 00:51:54,760 Speaker 1: Bowl heavywhere I think there are. You know, they're teams 998 00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:56,800 Speaker 1: the number six and a half. They're not supposed to 999 00:51:56,800 --> 00:51:58,920 Speaker 1: go to the super Bowl. So I liked them as 1000 00:51:58,960 --> 00:52:00,880 Speaker 1: a winning team this year. But what I worry about 1001 00:52:01,000 --> 00:52:04,200 Speaker 1: is something can go south early. That Jacksonville game is 1002 00:52:04,320 --> 00:52:07,640 Speaker 1: enormous because they play the roughest seven games you could 1003 00:52:07,680 --> 00:52:11,239 Speaker 1: possibly play. They play seven teams, they're all good. They 1004 00:52:11,280 --> 00:52:15,239 Speaker 1: play Jacksonville week one. If that game doesn't work out, 1005 00:52:15,320 --> 00:52:19,800 Speaker 1: the next two weeks they're in Dallas prime time and Houston, 1006 00:52:19,840 --> 00:52:21,320 Speaker 1: which is a very good team, and then they don't 1007 00:52:21,360 --> 00:52:24,960 Speaker 1: play the Saints. Then they go at Carolina Thursday night, 1008 00:52:25,200 --> 00:52:29,719 Speaker 1: Philadelphia at home, and then Monday night in Atlanta. That's 1009 00:52:29,719 --> 00:52:32,920 Speaker 1: a brutal schedule. Three prime time games, four road games, 1010 00:52:32,920 --> 00:52:35,759 Speaker 1: seven tough games. They have to win that first week 1011 00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:38,200 Speaker 1: or this thing could cascade on them. If they can 1012 00:52:38,239 --> 00:52:41,440 Speaker 1: just be three and four, they will win ten games. 1013 00:52:41,680 --> 00:52:45,480 Speaker 1: I think that the most crooked line on the board 1014 00:52:45,680 --> 00:52:49,240 Speaker 1: in Week one is Jags as a road favorite against 1015 00:52:49,239 --> 00:52:52,040 Speaker 1: the Giants. I have already bet the Giants as home underdogs, 1016 00:52:52,040 --> 00:52:54,480 Speaker 1: and I will say this, I agree with you on 1017 00:52:54,560 --> 00:52:57,200 Speaker 1: the game, but I'll tell you this, not only is 1018 00:52:57,320 --> 00:52:59,560 Speaker 1: it a good bet, but it's a must win. The 1019 00:52:59,560 --> 00:53:03,399 Speaker 1: Giants have to have that game. The schedule plays so 1020 00:53:03,480 --> 00:53:06,120 Speaker 1: much against them if they don't get that game, because 1021 00:53:06,120 --> 00:53:07,680 Speaker 1: the Dallas game is gonna be tough, as you know, 1022 00:53:08,040 --> 00:53:09,520 Speaker 1: and the Houston game is gonna be one of the 1023 00:53:09,520 --> 00:53:11,919 Speaker 1: harder games on the schedule. On three playing the Saints, 1024 00:53:11,960 --> 00:53:13,960 Speaker 1: this isn't gonna be over. You can't go on floor 1025 00:53:14,000 --> 00:53:17,400 Speaker 1: in this league and win because what happens is everything fractures. 1026 00:53:17,400 --> 00:53:20,240 Speaker 1: Every little problem becomes a big problem. Every little injury 1027 00:53:20,280 --> 00:53:21,960 Speaker 1: becomes a big injury. Just like if you can be 1028 00:53:21,960 --> 00:53:25,200 Speaker 1: four and oh, teams are already good become good when 1029 00:53:25,200 --> 00:53:27,760 Speaker 1: they're four and old because they buy in. In football, 1030 00:53:27,800 --> 00:53:30,479 Speaker 1: you must buy in as a group. And that's why 1031 00:53:30,680 --> 00:53:34,600 Speaker 1: good starts are imperative in the NFL, and that schedule, 1032 00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:36,560 Speaker 1: I think is scaring everybody off. The six and a 1033 00:53:36,600 --> 00:53:38,799 Speaker 1: half as a joke. As far as I'm concerned. Two 1034 00:53:38,800 --> 00:53:41,759 Speaker 1: other teams, the Saints and the Texans, they happen to 1035 00:53:41,800 --> 00:53:44,560 Speaker 1: be two teams where I am holding one tickets to 1036 00:53:44,560 --> 00:53:47,400 Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl in my pocket right now. How 1037 00:53:47,480 --> 00:53:50,160 Speaker 1: much do you think the Saints the way they ended 1038 00:53:50,200 --> 00:53:53,239 Speaker 1: the season last year impacts then early and what do 1039 00:53:53,280 --> 00:53:56,200 Speaker 1: you think of the Saints at stants have a chance. 1040 00:53:56,239 --> 00:53:59,200 Speaker 1: I just don't expect the Saints to put it together. 1041 00:53:59,239 --> 00:54:01,879 Speaker 1: I think something happens. I don't trust them. I don't 1042 00:54:01,920 --> 00:54:03,440 Speaker 1: trust them as a team and don't trust him as 1043 00:54:03,440 --> 00:54:06,160 Speaker 1: a defense. The one problem I have with Euston I 1044 00:54:06,239 --> 00:54:10,880 Speaker 1: was the biggest biggest supporter on my show of Clemston. 1045 00:54:10,920 --> 00:54:12,719 Speaker 1: I picked him within a national championship a couple of 1046 00:54:12,760 --> 00:54:14,480 Speaker 1: years ago when they did when no one had even 1047 00:54:14,560 --> 00:54:18,920 Speaker 1: talked about them the first year. And Deshaun Watson, who 1048 00:54:18,920 --> 00:54:21,759 Speaker 1: I said should have won the Husmansophie twice. I did 1049 00:54:21,840 --> 00:54:24,600 Speaker 1: not think he was going to have the success he 1050 00:54:24,640 --> 00:54:26,960 Speaker 1: had in the pros because I thought the way he played, 1051 00:54:27,040 --> 00:54:29,440 Speaker 1: he would get hurt and he would be extremely vulnerable 1052 00:54:29,640 --> 00:54:32,160 Speaker 1: and may go the way of an of a griffin. 1053 00:54:33,120 --> 00:54:35,520 Speaker 1: I still fear that with him. I think the way 1054 00:54:35,600 --> 00:54:38,320 Speaker 1: he exposes himself two hits and the way he plays, 1055 00:54:38,800 --> 00:54:41,640 Speaker 1: he's gonna have a hard time staying healthy. He's got talent. 1056 00:54:41,680 --> 00:54:43,840 Speaker 1: We know that, but I thought he would have a 1057 00:54:43,920 --> 00:54:45,920 Speaker 1: rough time in the pros. He scares me. I just 1058 00:54:45,960 --> 00:54:47,960 Speaker 1: think he's very vulnerable to being hurt all the time. 1059 00:54:48,239 --> 00:54:52,080 Speaker 1: That's what scares me about the Texans. Texans are talented, um, 1060 00:54:52,560 --> 00:54:56,160 Speaker 1: But I think the teams that are gonna be very 1061 00:54:56,239 --> 00:54:58,920 Speaker 1: interesting in the a f C. If the Ravens get 1062 00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:00,840 Speaker 1: any offense, their defense could be the best defense in 1063 00:55:00,840 --> 00:55:02,719 Speaker 1: the league. They're gonna be, and they're world coached. They 1064 00:55:02,719 --> 00:55:05,359 Speaker 1: could be a team that's better than people think. And 1065 00:55:05,480 --> 00:55:07,759 Speaker 1: everyone's talking about the charges, which I never believe in, 1066 00:55:07,840 --> 00:55:10,600 Speaker 1: So that's a weird one. But Kansas City's offense could 1067 00:55:10,640 --> 00:55:13,880 Speaker 1: be very interesting to watch because the strong, long quarterback 1068 00:55:13,920 --> 00:55:16,120 Speaker 1: with all those weapons, that could be fun to watch 1069 00:55:16,600 --> 00:55:19,200 Speaker 1: that a f C West. I don't know who I'm 1070 00:55:19,200 --> 00:55:21,880 Speaker 1: buying there. The wise guys, the professional betters. They have 1071 00:55:21,960 --> 00:55:24,879 Speaker 1: actually bought the Broncos down from about fifty to one 1072 00:55:25,320 --> 00:55:27,360 Speaker 1: to thirty five to one, a little bit lower in 1073 00:55:27,360 --> 00:55:29,120 Speaker 1: a lot of places to win the Super Bowl, which 1074 00:55:29,120 --> 00:55:30,600 Speaker 1: was shocking. But I don't know where to go in yet. 1075 00:55:30,600 --> 00:55:33,680 Speaker 1: Everybody likes the charge. The real NFL guys are talking 1076 00:55:33,719 --> 00:55:36,560 Speaker 1: of the charges big time. I don't believe in the charges. 1077 00:55:36,600 --> 00:55:39,280 Speaker 1: They never do. They have talent, absolutely, but something always 1078 00:55:39,320 --> 00:55:44,920 Speaker 1: goes wrong. I think Andy Reid people always look away 1079 00:55:44,960 --> 00:55:47,800 Speaker 1: from them because he has so many problems. He's become 1080 00:55:47,880 --> 00:55:50,839 Speaker 1: the Mrty Schottenheimer of this generation. You know, there's three 1081 00:55:50,880 --> 00:55:52,680 Speaker 1: coaches who did so well in the regular season and 1082 00:55:52,760 --> 00:55:56,400 Speaker 1: was struggled in the postseason. Chuck Knox, did Morty Shot Nima, 1083 00:55:56,600 --> 00:55:59,560 Speaker 1: and now when he read I think though he's always 1084 00:55:59,600 --> 00:56:01,480 Speaker 1: good in the regular season, they have a world of 1085 00:56:01,480 --> 00:56:05,160 Speaker 1: talent when you talk about having the receivers they have, 1086 00:56:05,680 --> 00:56:08,080 Speaker 1: with the tight end they have, and the running back 1087 00:56:08,120 --> 00:56:10,200 Speaker 1: they have with now a quarterback who could throw the 1088 00:56:10,200 --> 00:56:12,560 Speaker 1: ball ninety yards of the air and you know has 1089 00:56:12,640 --> 00:56:15,799 Speaker 1: a arm you know, left by God. I mean, he's 1090 00:56:15,800 --> 00:56:18,640 Speaker 1: gonna make mistakes, but that could be a very interesting offense. 1091 00:56:18,680 --> 00:56:21,120 Speaker 1: And Andy's very good in the regular season. I just worry. 1092 00:56:21,239 --> 00:56:23,799 Speaker 1: Is he gonna drivet Andy re Nuts. Yeah he will, 1093 00:56:24,200 --> 00:56:27,160 Speaker 1: but Andy will buy in when he sees how productive 1094 00:56:27,200 --> 00:56:30,920 Speaker 1: this will be. And really the drop stire gonna have 1095 00:56:31,000 --> 00:56:34,320 Speaker 1: to take to protect the speed at the outside receivers 1096 00:56:34,680 --> 00:56:36,920 Speaker 1: means the tight end and the running back are going 1097 00:56:36,960 --> 00:56:41,040 Speaker 1: to have a party. Absolute party up or down on 1098 00:56:41,120 --> 00:56:44,960 Speaker 1: the Los Angeles Rams. I'm gonna stay down from this standpoint. 1099 00:56:45,320 --> 00:56:48,359 Speaker 1: Everybody is canonizing them. Everyone's a ready, acting like they're 1100 00:56:48,360 --> 00:56:52,080 Speaker 1: in the super Bowl. I'm not buying it yet. Also, 1101 00:56:52,120 --> 00:56:54,959 Speaker 1: I just don't think they're ready yet. I just think 1102 00:56:55,160 --> 00:56:58,359 Speaker 1: you have to show me more. I would be more 1103 00:56:58,400 --> 00:57:01,880 Speaker 1: confident that the Atlanta Falcons bounce back, then the Rams 1104 00:57:01,880 --> 00:57:06,520 Speaker 1: step up. Minnesota Vikings up or down. They're good. They 1105 00:57:06,560 --> 00:57:09,200 Speaker 1: have a lot of players. Their defense is very solid. 1106 00:57:09,320 --> 00:57:12,360 Speaker 1: They should be very solid. I don't think they're a 1107 00:57:12,480 --> 00:57:14,879 Speaker 1: championship team, but I think they're definitely a playoff team. 1108 00:57:15,120 --> 00:57:17,640 Speaker 1: I love the Vikings. I didn't buy a super Bowl 1109 00:57:17,640 --> 00:57:20,160 Speaker 1: ticket on him. I have them winning over ten games. 1110 00:57:20,400 --> 00:57:23,120 Speaker 1: Their defense, like you said, is ridiculous, and it's the one. 1111 00:57:23,160 --> 00:57:26,280 Speaker 1: It's sort of the better's stat, right. Yards per play 1112 00:57:26,480 --> 00:57:28,520 Speaker 1: is the stat that every better pays attention to you 1113 00:57:28,520 --> 00:57:29,919 Speaker 1: when you look at the box square. It's the best 1114 00:57:29,920 --> 00:57:34,120 Speaker 1: indicator of like how a team performed, regardless of the score. 1115 00:57:34,680 --> 00:57:37,920 Speaker 1: Their yards per play on defense is insane. You get 1116 00:57:38,000 --> 00:57:40,760 Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins, you get the running back back, you get 1117 00:57:40,840 --> 00:57:43,520 Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins playing in an offense that is much more consistent, 1118 00:57:43,560 --> 00:57:46,040 Speaker 1: that has better management than the Redskins ever did, and 1119 00:57:46,040 --> 00:57:48,480 Speaker 1: a defense that can support him. That's a team that 1120 00:57:48,600 --> 00:57:50,760 Speaker 1: has a lot of upset. Kirk Cousins has to show 1121 00:57:50,760 --> 00:57:52,959 Speaker 1: me he's a winning quarterback. What sticks in my head 1122 00:57:53,040 --> 00:57:55,560 Speaker 1: is the night all we had to do was have 1123 00:57:55,720 --> 00:57:58,800 Speaker 1: one drive to make the playoffs and he couldn't do 1124 00:57:58,800 --> 00:58:01,000 Speaker 1: it against the giant team that people play for. He 1125 00:58:01,040 --> 00:58:03,200 Speaker 1: went way down in my book that night, bad pick 1126 00:58:03,240 --> 00:58:04,720 Speaker 1: at the end of the game. That's the night he 1127 00:58:04,800 --> 00:58:06,680 Speaker 1: has to drive his team to the playoffs and there 1128 00:58:06,760 --> 00:58:08,520 Speaker 1: was no reason not to, and he didn't, And that 1129 00:58:08,600 --> 00:58:10,640 Speaker 1: stuck in my head. I don't like quarterbacks who don't 1130 00:58:10,680 --> 00:58:13,439 Speaker 1: put up in those spots. That's like will you make 1131 00:58:13,880 --> 00:58:19,000 Speaker 1: during INTERNFL weekend? You know, it varies, it really depends. 1132 00:58:19,400 --> 00:58:22,600 Speaker 1: I've even sometimes now gone to in game stuff, which 1133 00:58:22,680 --> 00:58:24,840 Speaker 1: in the beginning I stayed away from. But some of 1134 00:58:24,840 --> 00:58:28,480 Speaker 1: the values are outrageous, absolutely outrageous, you know, and you 1135 00:58:28,520 --> 00:58:30,919 Speaker 1: can continually make them. I mean, you know, you can't 1136 00:58:30,920 --> 00:58:32,960 Speaker 1: put big money on them. They don't let you. There's 1137 00:58:33,080 --> 00:58:34,720 Speaker 1: there's always a limit. It's not that you can't make 1138 00:58:34,760 --> 00:58:37,440 Speaker 1: a big bet on them, but or what you consider 1139 00:58:37,480 --> 00:58:39,960 Speaker 1: a big bed okay, but the thing is you can 1140 00:58:40,000 --> 00:58:43,040 Speaker 1: bet every three or five minutes. You know, whenever the 1141 00:58:43,080 --> 00:58:45,200 Speaker 1: stop as the plays are, they're gonna keep changing him. 1142 00:58:45,600 --> 00:58:47,480 Speaker 1: I don't like how hard they hit you with the 1143 00:58:47,560 --> 00:58:49,320 Speaker 1: big on those And that's one of the things that 1144 00:58:49,400 --> 00:58:52,760 Speaker 1: I don't like about what they've gone to now is 1145 00:58:52,960 --> 00:58:56,320 Speaker 1: they like trying to really charge you as much as 1146 00:58:56,360 --> 00:58:58,520 Speaker 1: they possibly can. They try to get too many bets 1147 00:58:58,560 --> 00:59:00,840 Speaker 1: off at one twenty and one twenty five or one thirty. 1148 00:59:00,840 --> 00:59:04,640 Speaker 1: And anybody who knows that if you are a player, 1149 00:59:05,160 --> 00:59:07,760 Speaker 1: you cannot win at those odds, you know, the thing 1150 00:59:07,840 --> 00:59:10,160 Speaker 1: that wipes you out to begin with is the is 1151 00:59:10,200 --> 00:59:12,280 Speaker 1: the Big. The Big is always gonna get you. It 1152 00:59:12,320 --> 00:59:14,720 Speaker 1: makes you have to play a fifty to break even 1153 00:59:15,680 --> 00:59:18,760 Speaker 1: or to even have any appreciable you know, advantage. Uh. 1154 00:59:18,760 --> 00:59:21,960 Speaker 1: And you can't live playing at one thirty and one forty, 1155 00:59:22,000 --> 00:59:23,920 Speaker 1: and they try to make you play at at least 1156 00:59:23,920 --> 00:59:27,320 Speaker 1: one all the time on those games. Their breakage is 1157 00:59:27,360 --> 00:59:29,640 Speaker 1: way too big. I think I think they've taken too 1158 00:59:29,640 --> 00:59:32,080 Speaker 1: big a chunk now. When those breakages way too big 1159 00:59:32,160 --> 00:59:33,680 Speaker 1: because they think people are gonna do it and they're 1160 00:59:33,720 --> 00:59:35,560 Speaker 1: gonna take it, then then it is way too much. 1161 00:59:35,600 --> 00:59:38,640 Speaker 1: They're taken way too big a bite. Now, I don't 1162 00:59:38,640 --> 00:59:40,800 Speaker 1: disagree with you at all, it's really really hard to 1163 00:59:40,840 --> 00:59:43,320 Speaker 1: do it. Do you feel like the media is going 1164 00:59:43,360 --> 00:59:46,640 Speaker 1: to change the way sports betting is talked about and 1165 00:59:46,720 --> 00:59:49,880 Speaker 1: covered with the new rules, with the new laws, with 1166 00:59:49,920 --> 00:59:52,000 Speaker 1: the new opportunities, Like look, I left this and then 1167 00:59:52,080 --> 00:59:54,520 Speaker 1: I work at Action Network. Now it's gonna become much 1168 00:59:54,560 --> 00:59:56,920 Speaker 1: more commonplace. It's not gonna happen overnight. And you can 1169 00:59:56,960 --> 00:59:59,320 Speaker 1: see how slow some of these states aren't even move. 1170 00:59:59,440 --> 01:00:01,760 Speaker 1: They're not you know, California's talking about it might not 1171 01:00:01,840 --> 01:00:03,760 Speaker 1: even be on the balance. It's not twenty one. So 1172 01:00:03,840 --> 01:00:05,880 Speaker 1: they're in no hurry. And the money will not be 1173 01:00:05,960 --> 01:00:09,280 Speaker 1: as much as people think in the beginning, because it's 1174 01:00:09,280 --> 01:00:13,000 Speaker 1: gonna be very difficult to chase guys from. And I've 1175 01:00:13,000 --> 01:00:16,000 Speaker 1: told people that you know people in sports who are 1176 01:00:16,040 --> 01:00:19,439 Speaker 1: so naive about betting. It's unbelievable. The numbers they put 1177 01:00:19,520 --> 01:00:24,200 Speaker 1: talk about nationally that are waged on sports are low 1178 01:00:24,480 --> 01:00:29,200 Speaker 1: by three to five hundred percent. It's debt that much more. Like, 1179 01:00:29,200 --> 01:00:32,000 Speaker 1: how do I know that? Because I know the volumes 1180 01:00:32,040 --> 01:00:35,960 Speaker 1: that some bookmakers taken, and the volume is enormous. I said, 1181 01:00:35,960 --> 01:00:38,520 Speaker 1: tell me about the biggest bet you've ever made. Why 1182 01:00:39,080 --> 01:00:41,440 Speaker 1: I don't like to talk about because you know what, 1183 01:00:42,080 --> 01:00:44,640 Speaker 1: First of all, it's personal. Secondly, you know what if 1184 01:00:44,640 --> 01:00:46,840 Speaker 1: you did well, ever you it sounds like Breggan. So 1185 01:00:46,840 --> 01:00:49,080 Speaker 1: I don't like to talk about gambling that way. I'd 1186 01:00:49,120 --> 01:00:51,800 Speaker 1: rather just talk about picks, wins and losses rather than money. 1187 01:00:51,880 --> 01:00:54,200 Speaker 1: Money is not the is not the issue. But I 1188 01:00:54,280 --> 01:00:56,840 Speaker 1: like the wage you're on golf. First of all, it's 1189 01:00:56,880 --> 01:01:02,120 Speaker 1: a very challenging handicapping science because so many people can win. Secondly, 1190 01:01:02,440 --> 01:01:04,480 Speaker 1: you're only looking for long shots. You know you're not 1191 01:01:04,480 --> 01:01:06,120 Speaker 1: gonna go in there and bet Dustin Johnson has six 1192 01:01:06,200 --> 01:01:08,120 Speaker 1: and one. You know it's not worth it because you 1193 01:01:08,120 --> 01:01:10,479 Speaker 1: need to get a pay off. So I'm looking at guys. 1194 01:01:10,520 --> 01:01:12,000 Speaker 1: But what you can get is you can get live 1195 01:01:12,040 --> 01:01:17,160 Speaker 1: guys at thirty sixty eight to one. I've got guys 1196 01:01:17,200 --> 01:01:19,439 Speaker 1: this year at sixty one. I'll tell you right now. 1197 01:01:19,480 --> 01:01:21,720 Speaker 1: I had kept good eighteen to one. I got in 1198 01:01:21,760 --> 01:01:23,920 Speaker 1: the last major. Like ket I've got three guys, and 1199 01:01:24,040 --> 01:01:26,480 Speaker 1: I got kept good at eighteen to one. He was 1200 01:01:26,520 --> 01:01:28,920 Speaker 1: my my short guy. I usually got two to three 1201 01:01:28,920 --> 01:01:31,960 Speaker 1: guys and I will bet one guy was a real 1202 01:01:32,040 --> 01:01:34,560 Speaker 1: long shot. I'll bet one that's an intermediate eighteen to 1203 01:01:34,560 --> 01:01:36,360 Speaker 1: twenty years who I think they'll really win, and then 1204 01:01:36,360 --> 01:01:38,920 Speaker 1: I'll bet it in between guy. But I really like it. 1205 01:01:39,200 --> 01:01:41,840 Speaker 1: And my rule of thumb is there'll be times where 1206 01:01:41,840 --> 01:01:43,439 Speaker 1: I'll go with a guy just because I think he's 1207 01:01:43,480 --> 01:01:45,160 Speaker 1: playing the best. I thought kept was playing the best 1208 01:01:45,160 --> 01:01:48,000 Speaker 1: in the world. But I like horses for courses. I 1209 01:01:48,120 --> 01:01:50,320 Speaker 1: look at guys and I will take the last five 1210 01:01:50,400 --> 01:01:53,240 Speaker 1: years and the guy will have to have played well 1211 01:01:53,280 --> 01:01:55,760 Speaker 1: in that tournament and he will have to play well. 1212 01:01:55,840 --> 01:01:58,040 Speaker 1: I hit Bubba Watson twice this year. Why because Bubba 1213 01:01:58,080 --> 01:02:00,280 Speaker 1: only wins on three courses. So if you know, uh, 1214 01:02:00,440 --> 01:02:02,200 Speaker 1: every once in a while, Bubba is gonna come up. 1215 01:02:02,240 --> 01:02:04,880 Speaker 1: It's gonna win the Masters, He's gonna win Rivieria, He's 1216 01:02:04,920 --> 01:02:08,000 Speaker 1: gonna win at the Greenbriant. There's a couple of places 1217 01:02:08,040 --> 01:02:10,760 Speaker 1: where Bubba will win. You know, he wins a couple 1218 01:02:10,800 --> 01:02:13,200 Speaker 1: of times. He wins up in Connecticut too. Up there, 1219 01:02:13,560 --> 01:02:16,080 Speaker 1: there's only Bubba only wins on three or four courses. Really, 1220 01:02:16,120 --> 01:02:17,480 Speaker 1: most of his big wins in his life have been 1221 01:02:17,480 --> 01:02:19,520 Speaker 1: at the Masters, in the Riviera. That's pretty much it 1222 01:02:19,720 --> 01:02:21,320 Speaker 1: all right. People want more, they can go to the 1223 01:02:21,360 --> 01:02:24,120 Speaker 1: Mike's on app. Thanks my friends, good to see you 1224 01:02:24,160 --> 01:02:27,400 Speaker 1: in good Luck. Thank you. I want to thank everybody 1225 01:02:27,440 --> 01:02:30,840 Speaker 1: for coming on the podcast today, Mike, Francessa, Bob Scucci. 1226 01:02:30,920 --> 01:02:33,280 Speaker 1: At the very beginning, it was Jeff Schwartz and Paula 1227 01:02:33,360 --> 01:02:36,640 Speaker 1: Duke and black Jack Fletcher. Don't forget coming up Friday 1228 01:02:36,640 --> 01:02:40,160 Speaker 1: and the Favorites. Me and black Jack will secure five 1229 01:02:40,240 --> 01:02:43,720 Speaker 1: picks for the Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest that will 1230 01:02:43,720 --> 01:02:47,400 Speaker 1: win US one million dollars by the end of the season. 1231 01:02:48,040 --> 01:03:01,760 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to episode one of the Favorites, Bida