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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy Friday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast

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Speaker 2: with me Matt Parolt at Sports Talk. Matt to follow

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Speaker 2: me on Twitter. This podcast being brought to you by

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Speaker 2: our friends at bet MGM, and right now in the

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Speaker 2: code Juice at sign up at betmgm dot com. All right,

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Speaker 2: for and one day yesterday, we sweep the board for

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Speaker 2: our college basketball bets. We go three and oh one

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Speaker 2: in one in hockey Bruins under I had that game

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Speaker 2: read perfectly, swam and played in net not allmark, but

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Speaker 2: got the shut out. I thought it would be two

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Speaker 2: to one, you know, potential shutout for the Bruins goaltender.

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Speaker 2: The Bruins had been giving up way too many goals.

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Speaker 2: That was very unlike the Bruins, so they locked it

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Speaker 2: down defensively as I thought. Jim Montgomery, their coach, would

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Speaker 2: do three to nothing win against Winnipeg. Nice win there

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Speaker 2: for the Bruins. And the under three to the final

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Speaker 2: for Vancouver. Unfortunately, they couldn't get that third tying goal

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Speaker 2: against the Coyotes. If they got that the over, what

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Speaker 2: a hit it would have been a five and oh

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Speaker 2: it would have been a sweep of a day. So

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Speaker 2: two point nine units up. It puts us up for

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Speaker 2: the week heading into the weekend here on a Friday.

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Speaker 2: So this is great as we head into another big

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Speaker 2: day of college basketball. I've got a lot going today.

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Speaker 2: This is like buckle up. This podcast is going to

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Speaker 2: be a little bit of a you know, it's going

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Speaker 2: to be lengthy, Okay. I got a lot of picks

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Speaker 2: to give you guys here.

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Speaker 1: I have four college basketball picks. I have a lean

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Speaker 1: to give you.

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Speaker 2: I have two NHL bets to give you as well,

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Speaker 2: I guess this one and one NHL bet to give

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Speaker 2: you and one NBA Lean that I'll give you as

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Speaker 2: well today. So yeah, big big show for us here today.

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Speaker 2: So let me tell you quickly here about what's going

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Speaker 2: YouTube channel, Hit the subscribe button, hit the like button.

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Speaker 2: Come on, people, get in here right four and one yesterday.

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Speaker 2: Means you could do is click a little button comment

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Speaker 2: underneath this video tell me yes, no, good, bad, whatever?

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Speaker 2: What what's your favorite bet for today on Friday? Tell

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Speaker 2: me your favorite bet in the comment section underneath me.

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Speaker 1: Whether you're looking for.

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Speaker 2: Access to exclusive picks, top rated player props, custom analysis,

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Speaker 1: Is that simple.

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Speaker 1: All right, three and oho.

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Speaker 2: In college basketball, I have a bet quickly to give

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Speaker 2: you at the top. Auburn plus five and a half

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Speaker 2: against Houston. Not one but two players, Marcus Satzer and

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Speaker 2: another starter. Big questions for Calvin Sampson's team with injuries.

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Speaker 2: No Sasser in the first game in Northern Kentucky pushed

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Speaker 2: them Auburn looked great at times, and it's a darn

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Speaker 2: home game. All right. This is where we took Auburn yesterday.

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Speaker 2: I'm wearing the Auburn hat now Auburn money line. But

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Speaker 2: the official bet is Auburn plus five and a half.

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Speaker 2: My gut tells me this number closes closer to three. Okay,

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Speaker 2: maybe even below three for Houston. Okay, Auburn is live.

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Speaker 2: Let's take the plus five and a half already here

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Speaker 2: for Saturday. Let's jump in with that. Don't need to

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Speaker 2: break it down much because you just watched Auburn play,

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Speaker 2: so you know how good they are. You know where

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Speaker 2: they are in Birmingham. You know what's going on with Houston.

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Speaker 2: No boy, no right now. For Houston without Marcus Sasser,

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Speaker 2: different team, got another starter who's nicked up as well.

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Speaker 1: No good.

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Speaker 2: Plus five and a half Auburn one point one units.

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Speaker 2: That bet is for Saturday. Okay, Gonzaga plays tonight. The

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Speaker 2: totals coming down, you can get one fifty six. I

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Speaker 2: bet over one fifty seven against Grand Canyon.

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Speaker 1: Grand Canyon's gear didn't show up. You have to get Bryce.

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Speaker 2: Drew had to get his brother to go ahead and

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Speaker 2: give him the Baylor practice gear so they could practice

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Speaker 2: so bad. It was tough when you've never been in

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Speaker 2: the dance before. My goodness, gracious. So we've got that

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Speaker 2: going tonight, Grand Canyon against Gonzaga over one fifty seven.

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Speaker 2: We made that bet on Monday. Auburn was my first

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Speaker 2: bet at minus one that came in easily. Over one

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Speaker 2: fifty seven is was my second bet for Gonzaga. Numbers

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Speaker 2: two down. We were with the Steam with Auburn closed

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Speaker 2: it minus one and a half or two. We're against

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Speaker 2: the Steam here a numbers coming down a bit, but

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Speaker 2: I'm still comfortable with it.

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Speaker 1: We're going over.

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Speaker 2: Gonzaga and Grand Canyon. Should be a really fun basketball

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Speaker 2: game going back and forth. I can't wait to watch

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Speaker 2: that game later on tonight for those two for the

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Speaker 2: Zags against the I forget what Grand Canyon is, forget

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Speaker 2: what they are, but they're at unbelievable party school. They

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Speaker 2: are so fun. Can't wait to see how many kids

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Speaker 2: are there from Grand Canyon. Their student section is awesome.

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Speaker 2: But over one fifty seven. Now, I'm not giving you

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Speaker 2: a parlay today, all right, if you want one, I

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Speaker 2: hit an eight team moneyline parlay yesterday A five to one.

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Speaker 1: I hit it.

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Speaker 2: I posted in the Discord channel. I'm gonna give you

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Speaker 2: another one. But it's only plus one eighteen. So if

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Speaker 2: you have to bet a parlay today, I avoided the minefields,

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Speaker 2: you know. I avoided Virginia. I avoided who is the Arizona?

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Speaker 2: I avoided those teams. Here's six teams that I think

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Speaker 2: are going to win today, Yukon, Purdue, Xavier, Kansas State, Baylor,

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Speaker 2: and Gonzaga. Okay, six teams. It's a plus one eighteen parlay.

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Speaker 2: It's not great, but if you have to have.

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Speaker 1: I bet it.

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Speaker 2: If you have to have a moneyline parlay today, if

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Speaker 2: you have to have this, there you go.

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Speaker 1: It's not official, Okay, misgiving it to you.

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Speaker 2: Yukon, Purdue, Xavier, Kansas State, Baylor, Gonzaga, all money lines.

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Speaker 2: They are all at least minus three sixty five. The

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Speaker 2: one danger zone is Kansas State, but I think they

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Speaker 2: win their game. Yukon MAUS five hundred, think they win

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Speaker 2: their game. Those are the two lowest on this. Everything

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Speaker 2: else is above five hundred or MIAs five hundred on that.

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Speaker 2: You can jump in with that if you want. If

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Speaker 2: you have to have a parlay, there you go with

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Speaker 2: a parlay.

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Speaker 1: Obviously.

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Speaker 2: Personally, I'm on Creighton minus four and a half. Okay, obviously,

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Speaker 2: right Jays against NC State. I'm not making it official,

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Speaker 2: not gonna make you guys sweat that.

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Speaker 1: Game with me.

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Speaker 2: But I'm in, I'm in, I'm involved. Okay, not official,

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Speaker 2: but you know I'm betting Creighton today.

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Speaker 1: Okay, go Blue Jays. See what happens. What I have bet?

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Speaker 2: What I am betting officially, Okay, Gonzaga over one fifty seven.

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Speaker 1: First bet.

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Speaker 2: Second bet Memphis minus one and a half against Florida Atlantic.

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Speaker 2: FAU is a trendy dog. It's a popular pick. Memphis

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Speaker 2: twelve six and one ats this year on the road.

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Speaker 2: FAU eleven and six ats on the road in twenty

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Speaker 2: ten and one against the number this year. Als have

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Speaker 2: been tremendous seven and three Memphis though ats over the

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Speaker 2: last ten up against a five and five FAU over

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Speaker 2: their last ten against the number. Kempum has this as

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Speaker 2: a one point win for Memphis. I don't really care

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Speaker 2: about that. These two teams are basically mirror images of

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Speaker 2: each other in terms of when we start breaking down

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Speaker 2: the numbers, it's the thirty first and twenty six offenses

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Speaker 2: for adjusted efficiency playing against each other, the thirty sixth

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Speaker 2: adjusted efficiency defense for Memphis versus the thirty seventh for FAU.

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Speaker 1: Okay, these two.

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Speaker 2: Teams play very similar paces effective field goal percentage. Fau's

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Speaker 2: defense is fifteenth, Memphis is twenty ninth. Offensively, FAU is eighteenth,

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Speaker 2: Memphis is forty ninth. The difference is, you know, a

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Speaker 2: little more turnover prone Memphis is, but not that bad.

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Speaker 2: Offensive rebounding wise, Memphis is much better on the glass

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Speaker 2: than FAU is, but FAU is much better at shooting

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Speaker 2: threes top thirty in the country at three point percentage,

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Speaker 2: nearly outside the top one hundred for Memphis. Memphis shoots

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Speaker 2: and it's pretty much a wash at two points. Free

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Speaker 2: throws a little bit better on Memphis, but not that

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Speaker 2: much better. These teams are extremely similar to each other.

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Speaker 2: Fourteen and three on the road straight up for FAU,

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Speaker 2: thirteen and six on the road for Memphis. Both these

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Speaker 2: teams won their conference tournaments. The difference is competition, okay,

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Speaker 2: just a different competition level for what Memphis played this

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Speaker 2: year versus what FAU played this year. You go through

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Speaker 2: the schedule for teams in the tournament that we've seen

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Speaker 2: in terms of non conference. Memphis played Vanderbilt, they beat them.

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Speaker 2: Memphis played VCU, they beat them. Memphis played Seaton Hall,

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Speaker 2: they lost to them by one. Memphis played Auburn, they

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Speaker 2: beat them. Memphis played Alabama, they lost to them by three.

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Speaker 1: They took them.

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Speaker 2: Memphis played Texas A and M. They beat them by four.

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Speaker 2: I mean, these are all tournament teams. Teams in the

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Speaker 2: field that Memphis played against this year. Obviously Houston, they

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Speaker 2: lost to them twice and then beat them without Marcus

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Speaker 2: Sasser in the conference final. Okay, these are all tournament teams.

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Speaker 2: There's really nobody Northern Kentucky, the team that just took

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Speaker 2: Houston down to the wire a little bit, you know,

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Speaker 2: or guests pushed them for a three cords of a game.

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Speaker 2: That's the only tournament team on the entire schedule for

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Speaker 2: Florida Atlantic. I'm just taking the pedigree here, Okay. I

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Speaker 2: think the conference stinks for FAU. I think Memphis has

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Speaker 2: played a higher caliber of competition. And Memphis is playing

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Speaker 2: in Columbus, Ohio. There'll be a lot Memphis fans making

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Speaker 2: the drive over to get up there to this game.

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Speaker 1: Memphis minus one and a half.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking the Tigers here and penny hardaway to advance

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Speaker 2: the second round. I like Memphis to make a run

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Speaker 2: here in this tournament. By the way, on my own bracket,

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Speaker 2: I got Memphis going deep. I like Memphis a lot.

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Speaker 2: I love their guard play, they're their senior Leyden. They

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Speaker 2: have a lot of really talented kids on this roster.

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Speaker 2: Give me Memphis minus one and a half. Now, I

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Speaker 2: haven't taken a big dog yet, Okay, I am.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: Vermont is plus ten and a half against Marquette. Do

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Speaker 2: I think Vermont wins the game? No, I don't. But

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Speaker 2: this is a team in UVM that's won fifteen straight games.

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Speaker 2: They're one of the oldest teams in college basketball. Seniors

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Speaker 2: all over the place. This team knows how to play

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Speaker 2: in their system. They're not going to go away. They're

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Speaker 2: not going to be intimidated by anybody. And Marquette, are

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Speaker 2: they really a two seed? Like, doesn't this feel really heavy?

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Speaker 2: All the numbers point to Marquette, alright, I totally they

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Speaker 2: get You start looking at the numbers for Marquette, they

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Speaker 2: have the seventh most efficient offense in the country up

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Speaker 2: against ninety eighth for Vermont. You have the forty seventh

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Speaker 2: just an efficiency for defense for Marquette up against one

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Speaker 2: hundred and fifty second for Vermont. Marquette offense seventh an

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00:11:20,240 --> 00:11:24,959
Speaker 2: effective field goal percentage now Vermont's twentieth not bad. Vermont

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Speaker 2: does not turn the basketball over. They protect the ball.

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Speaker 2: The one thing that Vermont does is they make you

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Speaker 2: defend and they make you run offense. All right, They're

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Speaker 2: not fast. Vermont's offense two hundred and eighty eighth average

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Speaker 2: possession length off on offense, on defense, even on defense

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Speaker 2: similar two hundred and thirtieth. They do not go fast.

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Speaker 2: Marquette's defense is similar Marquette's defense. They make you run

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Speaker 2: your offense as well. You expect Shaka Smart's team defensively laden,

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Speaker 2: they get after it three hundred and fifty sixth. It's

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Speaker 2: one of the worst longest possessions of the entire college

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Speaker 2: basketball Division.

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Speaker 1: One. When you play Marquette, you don't shoot fast.

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Speaker 2: They make you run offense, which Vermont is totally fine with.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I watched the American East Tournament. Vermont's comfortable

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Speaker 2: and though jack threes, Vermont top seventy five in the

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Speaker 2: country in three point percentage, they shoot them Marquette does not.

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Speaker 1: Marquette is number three.

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Speaker 2: And two point percentage fifty eight point eight, third best

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Speaker 2: in the country. They shoot a ton of twos seventeenth

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Speaker 2: for Vermont as well. They hit their shots. That's where

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Speaker 2: the effective field goal percentage comes in here for them. Again,

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Speaker 2: this is a senior laden team. I know Marqette's gonna

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Speaker 2: have a lot of people in Columbus. Okay, not that

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Speaker 2: hard for the get over to Ohio from Milwaukee to

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Speaker 2: come on down and go over. But I don't think

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Speaker 2: this from Vermont team wants to go anywhere. I think

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Speaker 2: this Vermont team wants to make some noise. We just

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Speaker 2: saw a fifteen seed in Princeton beat Arizona. Now, I

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Speaker 2: don't think mark Kit's as sloppy as Arizona's going to be.

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Speaker 2: But I think Vermont's gonna be right there the entire game.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna be a pain in the neck, and if

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Speaker 2: their three point shots are falling, they could pull the upset.

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Speaker 2: I think Marquette wins the game. I think Marquette makes

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Speaker 2: a run after this, but I think Vermont puts a

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Speaker 2: scare on him. I'm gonna take the plus ten and

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Speaker 2: a half points Vermont plus ten and a half up

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Speaker 2: against Marquette. Now, while I'm not gonna make you guys

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Speaker 2: trail me on Creighton laying four and a half, I

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Speaker 2: am betting Drake and I am gonna take the b

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Speaker 2: Drake Bulldogs here plus the two. Drake is eight and

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Speaker 2: two ats over their last ten games, Miami's one and

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Speaker 2: four over the last five five and nordched Omir their

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Speaker 2: star Big He's a game time decision, six foot seven active,

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Speaker 2: and when he's not on the floor, Drake is gonna

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Speaker 2: be able to guard. I really believe this that Drake's

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Speaker 2: gonna be able to guard Miami if they don't have

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Speaker 2: their full complement of post players.

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Speaker 1: You saw what.

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Speaker 2: Look, they're not gonna attack them on the inside. But

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Speaker 2: the major weakness for Miami was big play. Drake can guard,

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Speaker 2: and Drake can get the ball inside, and Drake can

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Speaker 2: use their shooters to spread the floor and make life difficult,

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Speaker 2: and they can go and rebound. Look, Miami's offense is

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Speaker 2: very good right eleventh best adjusted efficiency, nineteenth effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage, but Drake's defense is forty six and forty

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Speaker 2: first in those categories. Effective field goal percentage fifty fourth

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Speaker 2: Drake ninety ninth for adjusted efficiency on offense. But drake

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Speaker 2: three point shooting could be a massive factor in this game. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Drake's gonna have to hit a bunch of threes. Miami

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Speaker 2: shoots a bunch of threes too, That's how they separate

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Speaker 2: from their teams. Thirty six point eight percent, that's forty first.

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Speaker 2: Thirty six point seven that's forty third. All right, who

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Speaker 2: hits more threes? Here's a stat to look at, and

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Speaker 2: it's not that stunning, right, we start looking at stats,

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Speaker 2: but Drake is night teen and zero. When they shoot

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Speaker 2: forty six percent or better. This season, Miami averages forty

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Speaker 2: five percent given up defensively shooting. Miami's defense is one

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Speaker 2: hundred and thirty second for adjusted efficiency, and Miami's defense

286
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Speaker 2: is two hundred and twenty first effective field goal percentage.

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Speaker 2: If they let Drake get hot, and if Drake starts

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Speaker 2: to believe, Darren Devrees's son, Tucker Devrees, is the Missouri

289
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Speaker 2: Valley Conference Player of the year, I think Drake wins

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Speaker 2: this game. I have Drake shock in the world. I

291
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Speaker 2: have Drake going to the Elite eight. I have them running.

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Speaker 2: As I said when I posted my bracket yesterday. I

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Speaker 2: don't just post my bracket. I bet my bracket, all right.

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Speaker 2: Drake losing could blow everything up. I had Virginia making

295
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Speaker 2: a run. They they lost. My bracket on that side

296
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Speaker 2: got blown up. If Drake loses to Miami, my bracket

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Speaker 2: on the other side gets blown up. But you gotta

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Speaker 2: take chances on the tournament because crazy things happen. Princeton

299
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Speaker 2: won Firman one. Gotta take some chances. I think Miami

300
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Speaker 2: without their star post player much like Houston. Okay, injuries

301
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Speaker 2: this time of the year are catastrophic. Drake plus two

302
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Speaker 2: up against Miami one point one units. All right, So

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Speaker 2: four games in college basketball, Gonziga over fifty seven, one

304
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Speaker 2: to fifty seven, Memphis minus one and a half, Vermont

305
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Speaker 2: plus ten and a half, and Drake plus two, all right.

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Speaker 2: Are these bets a bit more shaky than yesterday? Yeah, okay,

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Speaker 2: they're a little bit more boom or bust.

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Speaker 1: I'll give you that.

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Speaker 2: It could really blow up in my face, but I'm

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Speaker 2: taking it. One hockey bet to tell you about Saint

311
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Speaker 2: Louis Is playing up against Washington.

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Speaker 1: Saint Louis Is nineteen to.

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Speaker 2: Nine and five to the over on the road this year,

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Speaker 2: but they are three four and three over their last ten.

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Speaker 1: However, how about this.

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Speaker 2: Here are the goals given up or goals scored in

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Speaker 2: games involving the Blues over their last five games thirteen, eight, seven,

318
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Speaker 2: six and eight eight straight games involving the Saint Louis Blues,

319
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Speaker 2: six goals or more have been scored. Now Washington their

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Speaker 2: goals over the last five nine, eight, six, five and

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Speaker 2: six projected goaltenders. It can change Jordan Bington, who wanted

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Speaker 2: to fight but then wasn't allowed to fight in his

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Speaker 2: last game after getting shelled eight goals scored by the

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Speaker 2: Wild in his last game. He was awful in that

325
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Speaker 2: game before he got ejected, to give up five goals

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Speaker 2: before he got tossed. Probably would have given up more

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Speaker 2: up against Linger in the backup goaltender for Washington two

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Speaker 2: point six to two goals against at home, four to two,

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Speaker 2: three and three goals given up over the last four.

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Speaker 2: This is a minus one ten much like we saw yesterday.

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Speaker 2: I didn't understand why Vancouver was six and a half

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Speaker 2: game went under or why it was mis won ten

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Speaker 2: six and a half at not seven.

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Speaker 1: It went under.

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Speaker 2: This is the same play I don't really get this.

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Speaker 2: I might lose this bet for that reason, but I

337
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Speaker 2: don't know. I just think it's a kind of a

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Speaker 2: system play. Saint Louis games are going crazy over over

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Speaker 2: six and a half one point one units Saint Louis

340
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Speaker 2: and Washington in the NHL. The one bet that I

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Speaker 2: want to give you from a lean perspective in the

342
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Speaker 2: NBA that I might make later today depending on how

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Speaker 2: the games wind up going. The Chicago Bulls are at

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Speaker 2: home against Minnesota, and Chicago at home is has been

345
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Speaker 2: a really crazy under team. They're twenty one and thirteen

346
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Speaker 2: to the under at home. Minnesota is eighteen and fifteen

347
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Speaker 2: to the over, but they are seven and three to

348
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Speaker 2: the under over their last ten games. Total is two

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Speaker 2: twenty four and a half, which is right where most

350
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Speaker 2: of these games have been. We talked about it two

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Speaker 2: nights ago when we were on the under for the Blazers,

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Speaker 2: sorry for the for the Kings and the Bulls. Two

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Speaker 2: twenty five has been pretty much the number, and they

354
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Speaker 2: teeter right around that number, but under for Sacramento. Chance

355
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Speaker 2: to go under here against the Timberwolves and Minnesota played

356
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Speaker 2: at home last time with a two thirty three game

357
00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:19,200
Speaker 2: went over by forty three points, but that was at home.

358
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Speaker 1: That was on the road. This is the first time

359
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Speaker 1: they played at home. I believe. Yeah, this is the

360
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Speaker 1: return game.

361
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Speaker 2: So I'm a little hesitant because of what happened in

362
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Speaker 2: the first matchup. But under against Boston at home for

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00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:36,240
Speaker 2: Milwaukee last two road against Atlanta, it went over by

364
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Speaker 2: ten points. Against Brooklyn it went over by twenty one points.

365
00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:42,280
Speaker 2: Sacramento on the road went over by thirty four points.

366
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Speaker 2: But against the Lakers, Clippers, and Golden State Warriors, all

367
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Speaker 2: those games went under on the road. So it's a

368
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Speaker 2: three and two mark to the under over the last

369
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Speaker 2: five games for Minnesota. But I can't make it official.

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Speaker 1: I'm not there yet.

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Speaker 2: Got to watch and see how the day goes and

372
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Speaker 2: everything else. But one NBA play there it is all right.

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Speaker 2: So I've given you a lot. Let me break it

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Speaker 2: down here. Here is the official card for US here

375
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Speaker 2: today on the daily juice four and one yesterday. It

376
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Speaker 2: now is a seven and four week going uh Gonzaga

377
00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:21,040
Speaker 2: over one fifty seven against GCU Memphis. Mine is one

378
00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:23,840
Speaker 2: and a half against FAU. These are all one point

379
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Speaker 2: one unit bets. Vermont plus ten and a half against Marquette,

380
00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:32,840
Speaker 2: Drake plus two against Miami and Saint Louis Washington over

381
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:36,120
Speaker 2: six and a half one point one units, so five

382
00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 2: point five units in play here today, much like that yesterday.

383
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Speaker 2: I oftentimes don't string together great back to back days.

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Speaker 1: Just warning you.

385
00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:49,600
Speaker 2: It's happened before where I've been great for one day,

386
00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,480
Speaker 2: gone four and one and then one and four. Let's

387
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Speaker 2: hope that doesn't happen here today for us on a Friday,

388
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:58,320
Speaker 2: again that parlay. Go back and listen to it if

389
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Speaker 2: you want. It's not official, but if you need a

390
00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:04,280
Speaker 2: it's there. Five bets Auburn plus five and a half

391
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Speaker 2: is Saturday, but that bet is in officially for them

392
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Speaker 2: against Houston coming up on Saturday. More bets on Saturday

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Speaker 2: minus Matt Parrel. Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: Each and every morning, it's the Eligy Podcast, being brought

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Speaker 2: to you by BETMGM