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Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen, It's Bowl season.

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Speaker 2: It's the most wonderful time.

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Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 3: on Campus podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the

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Speaker 3: Bowl Betting Preview, Part two. I'm stucky and joining me

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Speaker 3: as always is Colin Wilson. A couple of days from

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Speaker 3: part one. By the way, if you haven't checked out

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Speaker 3: part one, make sure you do covered eleven bowls on

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Speaker 3: that podcast, all the way through the Boca Raton Bowl.

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Speaker 3: Today we're going to do ten bowls from December twenty

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Speaker 3: first through the twenty seventh, and then we'll love parts

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Speaker 3: three and four coming to you shortly. Make sure you

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Speaker 3: also check out the group of five guys. But Colin,

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Speaker 3: all righty, I mean, news isn't going to stop. You

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Speaker 3: have you know Aid O'Connell opt out and it's just

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Speaker 3: gonna be a moving needle on all a lot of

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Speaker 3: these games, especially today of the games. And uh, we're

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Speaker 3: recording this on a Friday morning. It's officially Bowl season,

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Speaker 3: Submary Bowl season to you.

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Speaker 4: But you know what this podcast is, right, this is

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Speaker 4: the San Diego State podcast that could not be a happier,

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Speaker 4: more merry time. To get Jalen Maiden out on the island.

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Speaker 4: Let's talk about how we're gonna hammer the Aztecs and

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Speaker 4: the over live overs, overs, overs, overs overs. I can't

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Speaker 4: wait for the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve.

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Speaker 1: Night, as tech Overs.

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Speaker 3: You're the San Diego State whisper, so I'm going to

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Speaker 3: defer to you when we get to that game, and

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Speaker 3: we'll close out with our best bet of these ten bowls.

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Speaker 3: Let's just jump right into it. We're going to start

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Speaker 3: on Wednesday, December twenty first with the RNL Carriers New

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Speaker 3: Orleans Bowl, the.

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Speaker 1: New Orleans Bowl.

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Speaker 3: Rich people, dreams, dreams do come true in New Western

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Speaker 3: Kentucky taking on South Alabama. South Avelino was a four

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Speaker 3: and a half point favorite here over under, sitting at

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Speaker 3: fifty six. You know a lot of interesting news with

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Speaker 3: Western Kentucky. At Austin Reid go into the portal, he's

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Speaker 3: maybe going to go to Louisville and then he got

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Speaker 3: a good nil do on he came back out of

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Speaker 3: the portal. You would assume he starts here. They did

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Speaker 3: lose one of their receivers, they lost two starting offensive linemen,

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Speaker 3: their center and tackled to the portal and they're one

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Speaker 3: of their best corners. Whereas South Alabama I don't think

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Speaker 3: has lost anybody. If you look at South Alabama this year,

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Speaker 3: they did lose. They did win five one possession games,

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Speaker 3: but they lost by one at UCLA and they lost

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Speaker 3: to Troy ten to six. Easily could have won both

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Speaker 3: those games. They would have been undefeated this year. But

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Speaker 3: they did win a number of other close games. Western Kentucky,

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Speaker 3: you know, they kind of faltered down the stretch a bit,

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Speaker 3: And it's hard when you look at that both of

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Speaker 3: these teas played overall bottom ten schedules. If you look

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Speaker 3: at South Alabama, they kind of want to control the ball.

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Speaker 3: Carter Bradley's their quarterback that transfer. They really rely on

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Speaker 3: a really good back in the Darius Web and Western

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Speaker 3: Kentucky's all pass just pass past pass air ra They're

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Speaker 3: going to throw it as much as anybody will see

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Speaker 3: how much the offensive line injuries cost them. But I

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Speaker 3: do think that their offensive line offensive numbers overall have

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Speaker 3: been inflated. I mean, you play like, you know they

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Speaker 3: put up sixty on Charlotte What's Up? Club lit they

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Speaker 3: you know they put up seventy three on FIU earlier

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Speaker 3: this season when they were a mess. They played Hawaii

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Speaker 3: early in the season when they were a mass Austin

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Speaker 3: p The schedule overall wasn't easy. I mean, it wasn't difficult.

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Speaker 3: The same can be said with South Alabama. I'm also

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Speaker 3: curious just how, like, what is Austin read like going

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Speaker 3: into the portal coming out like for preparation and does

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Speaker 3: that disrupt everything? It is worth noting that South Alabama

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Speaker 3: has never won a bowl and they're head coach. I'm

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Speaker 3: a big fan of Kane Womack. He this is his

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Speaker 3: first bowl, South Abama's first bowl overall since twenty sixteen.

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Speaker 3: Western Kentucky, of course, went to a bowl last year

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Speaker 3: under Tyson hill Enrolled. What do you see here?

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Speaker 4: Yeah? Canwillmeck a name you're going to need to know

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Speaker 4: from the Power five level. But really, the South Alabama

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Speaker 4: all the success they've had, a lot of it falls

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Speaker 4: on defensive coordinator Corey Batoon, a defense as top thirty

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Speaker 4: in almost every advanced analytical category. And then you mentioned

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Speaker 4: Western Kentucky's pass happy. Now that Austin Reid is back

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Speaker 4: out of the portal, that's great news for the Hilltoppers

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Speaker 4: because they had nothing at quarterback, And you're right, what

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Speaker 4: is the team dynamics from him going in him coming out?

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Speaker 4: Did he go fishing and pull up nothing from the portal?

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Speaker 4: Nobody wanted him? Who knows?

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Speaker 3: You know?

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Speaker 4: Wide receiver Day with Davis is opted out after getting

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Speaker 4: the second most targets on the team and he is

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Speaker 4: there leading white out and so that's going to be

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Speaker 4: a big miss. Leading target. Wide receiver Malachi Corley's playing

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Speaker 4: in a Bowl after one hundred and twenty three targets

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Speaker 4: this season. He's exclusively from the slot, so I expect

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Speaker 4: Western Kentucky to be a little less potent from the outside,

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Speaker 4: forcing him to hit a lot of crossers over the inside.

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Speaker 4: And the issue for Austin Reed might be pass blocking. Here.

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Speaker 4: He loses his center Russ Rusty stats, his tackle, his

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Speaker 4: blind side tackle Gunner Britain. They're both in the portal.

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Speaker 4: Britain was moved from right tackle to blind side tackle

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Speaker 4: week seven, and South Alabama is twenty seventh and pass rush,

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Speaker 4: but the most pressures and sacks on this defensive line

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Speaker 4: comes from edge Jamie Sheriff, Who's going to be lined

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Speaker 4: up directly on the blind side tackle. Who's going to

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Speaker 4: have is going to be a brand new person because

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Speaker 4: it's not going to be Gunner Britain.

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Speaker 3: So Stats was really good in past protection too, and

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Speaker 3: he obviously handles all of the calls and the coordination,

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Speaker 3: so it's definitely could be an issue.

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Speaker 4: This is an offense because it's so pass happy. They

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Speaker 4: sputter the closer that they get to the red zone.

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Speaker 4: They're eighty fifth and finishing drives, it's a specialty for

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Speaker 4: South Bama. They're fifteenth nationally in defensive finishing drives. They

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Speaker 4: have a better strength of schedule by far, they have

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Speaker 4: a better strength of record by far. So I trust

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Speaker 4: their defense a lot here in this situation.

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Speaker 3: As of now opt out, which and you would think, like,

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Speaker 3: you know, they're playing pretty close to home. Never won

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Speaker 3: a bowl game, so you think them, you know, you

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Speaker 3: would assume that the motivation is going to be there.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, And I had a sidebar here, stuck. I kind

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Speaker 4: of like found out that I'm somehow gravitating towards like

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Speaker 4: first second year coaches because they haven't been in bowls

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Speaker 4: and they're so motivated to build the program, Like I

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Speaker 4: am subliminally keep betting on these guys. But you know,

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Speaker 4: Carter Bradley is the quarterback for South Alabama. Here. He

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Speaker 4: finished the season on a roll ten tds, only three

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Speaker 4: I in t's over the last three games. They don't

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Speaker 4: really have any kind of run game, and Western Kentucky

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Speaker 4: is outside the top one hundred and line yards and stuff. Right,

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Speaker 4: So the Jags, even though they don't establish the run,

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Speaker 4: they can establish they run, and Western Kentucky's horrible on defense.

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Speaker 4: I don't know how they got so bad at our

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Speaker 4: Tyson Helton win. This was such a strong point before.

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Speaker 4: Now they're one hundred and tenth in tackling at South

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Speaker 4: Alabama top.

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Speaker 3: We have one other top corner two and yeah, South

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Speaker 3: Aalbman is not great at run blocking, which is their problem,

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Speaker 3: but Web can break some. He's a pretty talented back.

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Speaker 4: Yeah. I think the only thing hindering me with this bet,

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Speaker 4: which I love South Alabama. I was on the opener

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Speaker 4: of three and a half. I would play them at

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Speaker 4: four and a half. They're one hundred and twenty ninth

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Speaker 4: in penalties, so they can shoot themselves in the foot.

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Speaker 4: So I'm on South Alabama with Austin Reed in this game,

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Speaker 4: I make it three and a half, So I would

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Speaker 4: still play it at the number that it's at if

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Speaker 4: you don't have a wager on it. I kind of

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Speaker 4: suspect that the Austin Reed News will catch some steam

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Speaker 4: from maybe people that are just turning on Bowl season.

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Speaker 4: So I would kind of sit and wait till maybe

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Speaker 4: the night before or a few hours before and take

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Speaker 4: South Alabama.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. I like South Alabama as well. I think the

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Speaker 3: Western Kentucky. I think that their offensive numbers are, like

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Speaker 3: I said, inflated based on some of the competition. They

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Speaker 3: played early on their defense, which won't have one of

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Speaker 3: their top corners who's in the portal. They forced thirty

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Speaker 3: turnovers this year, so they have thirty takeaways, which I

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Speaker 3: think was second in the nation. South Amerma was pretty

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Speaker 3: good about taking care of the ball, so as long

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Speaker 3: as they're not, you know, the penalties are a bit

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Speaker 3: of an issue. But yeah, the motivation, the location some

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Speaker 3: of the players that Western Kentucky lost throw and you

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Speaker 3: know read potentially just you know, he wasn't fully in

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Speaker 3: while in the transfer portal. South abern also as a

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Speaker 3: coaching coaching advantage here. Yeah, I'd like the Jaguars. I agree.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to our second Bowl of

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Speaker 3: the Part two betting preview. Let's go to Thursday, December

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Speaker 3: twenty second, another day with just one bowl game. We're

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Speaker 3: going to the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl, the Armed

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Speaker 3: Forces Bowl. Your mukeets understand that bullshit? I can't hear you.

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Speaker 3: Thursday December twenty second, seven thirty Eastern on ESPN, Baylor

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Speaker 3: against air Force over under, sitting at forty eight and

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Speaker 3: a half. I played air Force here. I played him

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Speaker 3: at six. I was waiting for seven. Was never gonna come.

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Speaker 3: I think the line is five and a half. Most

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Speaker 3: ever would still play it there. If you've listened to

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Speaker 3: podcasts of ours in the past, I assumed that you

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Speaker 3: knew that I was going to play air Force ahead

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Speaker 3: of time, before I even't played it. Service academies and

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Speaker 3: bowls go on the Action Labs that database seventy percent

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Speaker 3: against the spread since two thousand and five, go all

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Speaker 3: the way back to nineteen ninety seventy percent against the

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Speaker 3: spread as well. Why, well, a lot of times these

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Speaker 3: teams aren't, you know, the Service gudms aren't playing in

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Speaker 3: the colletball plow. They're playing in bowls that some teams

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Speaker 3: might not take seriously. Well, one thing you can count

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Speaker 3: on a service academy will always be motivated, will always

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Speaker 3: be ready to play. And the other thing here is

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Speaker 3: like everyone's like, oh, there's you have more time to

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Speaker 3: prepare for an option, So it favors the team playing

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Speaker 3: at a service academy in a bowl. That would be

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Speaker 3: maybe true if a team actually spent like thirty full

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Speaker 3: days preparing for the option. That's not what these teams

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Speaker 3: are doing. They're traveling, they take a break, there's exam

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Speaker 3: and the last thing that anyone wants to do in

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Speaker 3: a meaningless bowl is number one, prepare for and then

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Speaker 3: during the bowl play a triple option. It's just a nightmare.

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Speaker 3: It's like going to the dentist. And that's why a

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Speaker 3: lot of times you see these teams that you know,

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Speaker 3: Baylor last year was in a big bowl game, they

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Speaker 3: won the Big twelve or six and six. Now they're

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Speaker 3: playing air force motivation angle here as air force. The

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Speaker 3: other thing is you look at Baylor's run defense stats,

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Speaker 3: take a look at the trenches. They're vulnerable there, and

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Speaker 3: I think air force can take advantage. This is easy

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Speaker 3: for me. It's air force all the way. Make this

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Speaker 3: line about a field goal and then throw in motivation,

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Speaker 3: and I think air Force wins this game.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't have money on this game on the

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Speaker 4: side or the total because I'm in such I spent

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Speaker 4: a deep dive going through Dave Randa and his history

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Speaker 4: of defending the triple option, because really this whole game

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Speaker 4: comes down to can Baylor defend his ZEEG Daniels and

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Speaker 4: Brad Roberts. Randa has not faced a triple option attacks

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Speaker 4: in his three years while he was a Baylor The

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Speaker 4: last time I could find any kind of remote thing

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Speaker 4: where Randa prepared for a triple option was the twenty

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Speaker 4: nineteen LSU National championship team. Their first game out of

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Speaker 4: the gate, they beat Georgia Southern fifty five to three.

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Speaker 4: But does that even count because you had multiple weeks

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Speaker 4: of you know, of camp in August to get prepared

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Speaker 4: for that triple option. So Baylor's just ninety second and

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Speaker 4: stuff rate. That's one of those primary things that we

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Speaker 4: look at when you go up against a triple option team.

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Speaker 4: They're not filling the AB and C gap. Don't think

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Speaker 4: they can keep contained either. They have one of the

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Speaker 4: lowest numbers nationally in tackles for loss, which kind of

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Speaker 4: surprised me, but that kind of leads to why they

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Speaker 4: fired their defensive coordinator, Ron Roberts. Not really a surprise.

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Speaker 4: And I think the one thing that really sticks out

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Speaker 4: in my mind is they got blown out thirty one

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Speaker 4: to three by Kansas State, and that was a really

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Speaker 4: hard bet for our podcast to make. Like I was

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Speaker 4: in on Baylor against TCU the following week, I think

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Speaker 4: the spread was like two. And Aranda came out in

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Speaker 4: the press. He didn't throw his defensive coordinator underneath the bus.

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Speaker 4: All he could talk about, how is our fundamentals are lacking,

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Speaker 4: We are not lined up in the right place, our

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Speaker 4: communication with the sideline is poor. Some weeks we show up,

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Speaker 4: we look great. Some weeks we show up, we look

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Speaker 4: like a disaster. David r Ann is like the nicest

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Speaker 4: guy in the world. He will he wouldn't come out

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Speaker 4: and say that Ron Roberts is not coaching our defense

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Speaker 4: up properly. So where I get a little where there's

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Speaker 4: like this area, this cloud over this game that I

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Speaker 4: can't handicap, is does Randa get hands on with his

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Speaker 4: defense say I'm not going to go in these thirteen

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Speaker 4: different schemes that he has where it's like, you know,

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Speaker 4: it's like a two four five, it's like a one

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Speaker 4: to seven five, Like I mean he or whatever, you know,

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Speaker 4: he's he's got so many different variations of how he

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Speaker 4: lines up his front seven. Does he chuck all that

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Speaker 4: out and say we're going to go four to three,

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Speaker 4: which he's a three to four guy. Like, there's just

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Speaker 4: everything the puzzle piece for what Aranda does doesn't fit

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Speaker 4: to defend the triple option and can he get that

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Speaker 4: done in the middle of recruiting. It just doesn't seem

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Speaker 4: likely now. On the others the ball, Baylor's all freshman everything,

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Speaker 4: Richard Reeze. He's got fourteen tds on the season. He

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Speaker 4: did not have a single fumble on the year, and

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Speaker 4: so that's going to be, you know, big for them.

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Speaker 4: It's really going to be their only offense because you

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Speaker 4: don't know what you're gonna get with Blake Shapin. You know,

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Speaker 4: his big time throws and turnover worthy plays. They're both

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Speaker 4: down from his freshman season. He's not making as many

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Speaker 4: good throws, he's not making as many mistakes, but he

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Speaker 4: has looked horrific in a few games this season. I

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Speaker 4: wouldn't be surprised if Baylor's out on the portal looking

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Speaker 4: for somebody else for this offseason. And you know, we

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Speaker 4: knew that their weapons. Baylor's weapons have been a problem

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Speaker 4: all season. We knew coming in. One of the reasons

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Speaker 4: we took an under underseason win total is because they

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Speaker 4: were completely depleted outside of the tackle box, right, Everybody,

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Speaker 4: a wide receiver, everybody you know that was a target

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Speaker 4: for Blake Shapen was gone. So I make the game

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Speaker 4: at five and a half. I can't go against you say,

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Speaker 4: and you're taking air Force. I just don't have enough

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Speaker 4: information to give anybody support on betting on Baylor. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: The other thing is that the Baylor passing attack was

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Speaker 3: is you know the way that shape and plays and

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Speaker 3: the weapons are limiting a neats time and air Forces

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Speaker 3: you can get after the quarterback the top twenty five

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Speaker 3: in sacraight, So that's another factor. But yeah, this is

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Speaker 3: just service Academy. Let's show value in the line blind

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Speaker 3: just almost a blind automatic play.

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Speaker 4: For me, it's worth noting that air Force's offense really

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Speaker 4: maybe it's style, maybe it's about in West Conference, but

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Speaker 4: there just was not a lot of points coming down

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Speaker 4: the stretch thirteen against San Diego State thirteen against Army,

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Speaker 4: fourteen against Boise, twenty four against Colorado State. Those are

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Speaker 4: four of the last five weeks that they played. None

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Speaker 4: of those defenses are world beaters there. I know, Armies

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Speaker 4: are rock fight always, so you can throw that out,

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Speaker 4: but only twenty four against Colorado State's defense. I it

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Speaker 4: just seemed like down the stretch they ran out a

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Speaker 4: little bit of a steam. Maybe that plays into the

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Speaker 4: under but you know, all you need to do is

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Speaker 4: get within five and a half. Though.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, but their defense played really well down the stretch,

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Speaker 3: I mean, and their defense has been real good all year.

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Speaker 3: And then San Diego State, for what it's worth, I mean,

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Speaker 3: they closed the year winning at San Diego State thirteen

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Speaker 3: to three. San Diego State is a really good defensive

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Speaker 3: line and always does a good job against the triple option.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, give me the Falcons here. All right, let's

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Speaker 3: move on to our next BOWLGA, and we're gonna go Friday,

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Speaker 3: December twenty third. Let's start off with Louisiana against Houston

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Speaker 3: in the Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl.

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Speaker 1: The Independence Bowl, do you know what that means?

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Speaker 3: May This is Friday, December twenty third, three pm. Eastern

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Speaker 3: on ESPN. Houston out to like a seven point favorite

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Speaker 3: over under fifty seven and a half. Big news here

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Speaker 3: is well, Louisiana's quarterback Ben Rowards he's out for the year,

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Speaker 3: so channel Field, who started the regal season finale, will

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Speaker 3: start both these. Louisiana finished six and six, Houston finished

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Speaker 3: seven and five. I've the big news for Houston is

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Speaker 3: that Tank Dill, who's going to be an NFL receiver,

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Speaker 3: one of the best in the country. He said he's

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Speaker 3: gonna play once the finished restarting, which means you could assume.

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Speaker 3: I think that Clayton Tuon is going to play, who's

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Speaker 3: probably going to get rafted a quarterback as well. The

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Speaker 3: Houston offense has an electric passing attack, but the Louisiana

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Speaker 3: defense has a pretty good secondary. And on the other side,

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Speaker 3: you know, you can really attack Houston through the air.

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Speaker 3: Will Louisiana be able to do that? I'm not sure.

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Speaker 3: I'm curious to get your thoughts on that. I think

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Speaker 3: I saw you play the over here. It is also

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Speaker 3: worth noting that Dana Holgerson has not been great in

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Speaker 3: bowl games. Part of that is like the air raid

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Speaker 3: doesn't lose some of its rhythm, which we've talked about

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Speaker 3: before with some of the air raid offenses in bowl games.

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Speaker 3: Break this one down. What do you see here?

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Speaker 4: I took Louisiana in this game off just right off

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Speaker 4: the bat, and mostly I was watching Dana Holdrison's presser about.

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Speaker 3: Getting this bowl.

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Speaker 4: It's just like it was the same thing that I

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Speaker 4: heard out of redl Ashley at SMU. It's like, we

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Speaker 4: have no, not a lot of interest in going to shreport.

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Speaker 3: It's a team that's coming into the year. They thought

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Speaker 3: they had a shot like a New Year six Bowl,

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Speaker 3: and they definitely had a disappointing year.

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Speaker 4: So dare is certainly a question. Dana's already thinking about

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Speaker 4: twenty twenty three. Dana is not thinking about this game whatsoever.

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Speaker 4: He is one of the worst bowl coaches out there.

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Speaker 4: He's covered two of the nine bowls that he's been in.

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Speaker 4: He made repeated comments about where the priorities are for

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Speaker 4: him and for this game. This game falls way down

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Speaker 4: his list of things to do. When it comes to

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Speaker 4: Texas high school recruits and transfer portal and Treeport's just

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Speaker 4: not a big area of recruiting for Houston when it

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Speaker 4: comes from a football perspective. There's no word. I have

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Speaker 4: a hard time like hearing that Tank Dell is declaring

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Speaker 4: for the draft. He's going to play in this game.

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Speaker 4: Clayton Tune is in the same boat, right, And I

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Speaker 4: would not be surprised if they opt out. Now they

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Speaker 4: have not opted out. We're recording this what six seven,

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Speaker 4: eight days in a bay of them whatever, Right, I

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Speaker 4: wouldn't be surprised if it's announced right before, but uh,

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Speaker 4: there hasn't. They're not going to fill all their practice.

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Speaker 4: Uh there their number of practices that they get. I

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Speaker 4: think it's fifteen. They're not going to fill all of that.

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Speaker 4: And uh, they're not gonna be very prepared coming into

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Speaker 4: this game. Now. On the Louisiana side, it's completely different story.

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Speaker 3: Right.

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Speaker 4: Chandler Fields is a quarterback once again. He was hurt

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Speaker 4: earlier in the season. Ben Woldwidge took over and he

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Speaker 4: was knocked out and Fields got starting duties again. Modest

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Speaker 4: numbers in the last two games. Uh, a three to

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Speaker 4: one t I in t ratio four turnover worthy plays

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Speaker 4: over twenty yards scrambling in each game. So he can

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Speaker 4: move just a little bit. But you know, then you

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Speaker 4: know the name to watch in this game is you know,

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Speaker 4: Michael Jefferson, he's not there for them. He has uh,

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Speaker 4: he's preparing for the NFL draft. Uh. He was two

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Speaker 4: point seven yards per route run seven tds on the season. So,

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Speaker 4: you know, the pass defense which is poor for Houston.

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Speaker 4: Louisiana really could have used Jefferson, but they do have

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Speaker 4: other options here. Houston saving grace on defense is their

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Speaker 4: top ranking and pass rush that's it. The rest of

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Speaker 4: the defense is is terrible. And you know, Fields was

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Speaker 4: really good in forty three passing attempts with pressure this year,

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Speaker 4: three tds, only one turnover worthy play. He never had

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Speaker 4: an Intercendwards was the.

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Speaker 3: Worst, actually the worst quarterback of the nation under pressure,

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Speaker 3: which that could actually, yeah, beneit Louisiana.

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Speaker 4: Here, this could be a boost. Houston's one hundred and

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Speaker 4: twenty fifth in penalties, there are one hundred and sixteenth

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Speaker 4: and third downs, they're one hundred and thirteenth in tackling.

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Speaker 4: Those three things are really important to me in Bowl games.

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Speaker 4: I think this is upset city all the way. Louisiana

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Speaker 4: is going to feel like they're playing at home. Playing

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Speaker 4: in the Independence and Bowl is a really big deal

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Speaker 4: for them, and they are just a more stable unit,

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Speaker 4: and they're the team that wants to be there. And

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Speaker 4: you know, it's first year coach. I'm back in a

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Speaker 4: first year coach again. But Dana Holgerson's proved that he

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Speaker 4: just doesn't care about bulls.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, laying seven with the Holgers and this, this Houston

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Speaker 3: team is a scary proposition. Yeah, I actually also would

401
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Speaker 3: look at the under I know, but Houston unders are petrifying.

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Speaker 3: But Houston's their past d is so bad. They lost

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Speaker 3: some they lost some pros from last year's team and

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Speaker 3: then mat injuries and their secondary was shredded routinely throughout

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Speaker 3: the season. But Louisiana's passing offense is not great. Like

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Speaker 3: you said, you're missing Jefferson. On the other side of

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Speaker 3: the ball, Houston just throws it. Louisiana secondary is one

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Speaker 3: of the best at the Group of five level, so

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Speaker 3: I think they can match up there. And then you,

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Speaker 3: like you said, there's the well also any of the

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Speaker 3: fact that like air raids and bowl games, they're a

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Speaker 3: little rusty. And then there's a chance that yeah, Dell,

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Speaker 3: maybe he doesn't either oups out or he doesn't play

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Speaker 3: the full game, right, he was dealing with some injuries

415
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Speaker 3: down the stretch, coming out for uh snaps here and there,

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Speaker 3: maybe tune ends up opting out.

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Speaker 4: So in what world does Tank Dell need to need

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Speaker 4: an Independence Bowle highlight reel to help his NFL draft stock.

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Speaker 4: None so shocked that he said he's gonna play.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's stay on Friday, December twenty third. We

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Speaker 3: have two bowls on Friday. The second one is in

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Speaker 3: primetime six thirty eastern on ESPN, wake Forest against Missouri.

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Speaker 3: This is the Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla.

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Speaker 1: Bowl, the Gasparilla Bowl.

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Speaker 3: Wake Forest is a This game has been floating around

426
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Speaker 3: one to one way far as one point favorite here

427
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Speaker 3: over under sixty and a half. The big news here is, well,

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Speaker 3: let's start. Wake Forest has a couple. They lost their

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Speaker 3: top corner. Isn't the transfer portal they're starting. Safety has

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Speaker 3: been hurt, missed the last three games. It looks like

431
00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:31,359
Speaker 3: Sam Hartman at Perry are going to play. And on

432
00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:34,639
Speaker 3: the Missouri side, they're missing their best receiver, love It

433
00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:36,320
Speaker 3: who hit the transfer portal. He is going to be

434
00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:40,400
Speaker 3: a good get for somebody. And on defense, and Missouri's

435
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 3: defense was excellent all year. They lose their two defensive

436
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 3: ends who declared for the NFL Draft, then Claire the

437
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:51,359
Speaker 3: NFL Draft or hit the portal. I think they might have.

438
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:53,560
Speaker 3: I think they might have declared the NFL draft. One

439
00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:56,120
Speaker 3: was our first team all SEC and the other really

440
00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:57,640
Speaker 3: came on the second half of the year and they

441
00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 3: were a huge part of that defense. And then also

442
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:03,879
Speaker 3: they lose their Martez Manual plays like the star position

443
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:06,640
Speaker 3: of safety who was really good as well. So that's

444
00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:09,120
Speaker 3: three key pieces on the defense and their best receiver.

445
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:13,840
Speaker 3: So without those two defensive ends, Ken Missouri mess up

446
00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:17,240
Speaker 3: the mesh point. The Missouri's defense was great all year.

447
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:20,480
Speaker 3: Wake Farest defense was pretty good against the run, extremely

448
00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:24,040
Speaker 3: vulnerable against the past. Ken Missouri, which offense was limited

449
00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 3: this year take advantage without love it, but against the

450
00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:31,840
Speaker 3: secondary that's missing some pieces in Wake. Really interesting game here.

451
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:32,920
Speaker 3: What do you see?

452
00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:37,359
Speaker 4: Yeah, Eli Drinkwitz gave up offensive play calling the last

453
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:40,520
Speaker 4: three games to his quarterback coach, and the results showed him.

454
00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:42,919
Speaker 4: Brady Cook, he had seven of his thirteen tds come

455
00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:46,480
Speaker 4: in the last three games. But the problem is he

456
00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 4: loses his most explosive wide receiver as you mentioned. You

457
00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:53,480
Speaker 4: know he was targeted ten times by Cook in the

458
00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:55,560
Speaker 4: final game against Arkansas. So I mean, that's just a

459
00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 4: huge piece to lose there. Love, it was exclusively in

460
00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 4: the slot. You expected Banister will take over all those

461
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,120
Speaker 4: routes and he was shy. I have two yards per

462
00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:06,320
Speaker 4: route run, which is really the definition of what an

463
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:10,200
Speaker 4: explosive wide receiver is. And I think the issues just

464
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:12,320
Speaker 4: are going to continue to persist with havoc allowed on

465
00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:16,600
Speaker 4: the Tigers offense, ninety one tackles for loss allowed. That's

466
00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:20,000
Speaker 4: there's only twelve teams in FBS that are worse than that.

467
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:23,639
Speaker 4: Missouri lets everybody olay through those A, B and C

468
00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:27,000
Speaker 4: gaps and get hands on Brady cook bad luck and

469
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:31,359
Speaker 4: fumbles This year twelve coughed up ten were lost, you know,

470
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:36,600
Speaker 4: so there's not really any kind of you know, awareness

471
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:38,560
Speaker 4: of when the ball is on the carpet and wake

472
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:42,400
Speaker 4: Forest thrives and pass rush second in the nation, thirtieth

473
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,400
Speaker 4: in havoc, and the high havoc ranting ranking comes from

474
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 4: forced fumbles and PBUs So Cook is you know, I'm

475
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,199
Speaker 4: glad Cook had this feel good story down the stretch,

476
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:54,479
Speaker 4: loses his best weapon, and he's got a defense that's

477
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:56,480
Speaker 4: going to be on top of them here, and you

478
00:23:56,880 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 4: talked about the mesh rpo. Can Missouri defend that? Losing

479
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 4: Isaiah McGuire, which all those guys you mentioned they opted

480
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:05,840
Speaker 4: out for the NFL Draft, that's just such a huge,

481
00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:08,840
Speaker 4: huge missing piece for them. No one generated more pressure

482
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 4: than McGuire. Linebacker DJ Coleman was third on the team

483
00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:15,440
Speaker 4: in pressures, second in sacks. He's gone, And there's just

484
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:17,680
Speaker 4: way too many contributors here that are going to be

485
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,440
Speaker 4: missing from this Missouri defense that kind of kept them

486
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:21,919
Speaker 4: close in a lot of their games. And you know,

487
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:23,800
Speaker 4: they kind of surprise us a lot here.

488
00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:24,000
Speaker 3: Now.

489
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:27,159
Speaker 4: Who is practicing for a ball wide receiver at Perry

490
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:29,679
Speaker 4: for Wake Force. I was a little shocked by that,

491
00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:31,720
Speaker 4: but he is in this game and that's the biggest,

492
00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:34,520
Speaker 4: you know, explosive weapon for Sam Hartman here. And Wake

493
00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 4: is one of the best teams nationally in scoring position.

494
00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:39,920
Speaker 4: They average four point eight points every time they get

495
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 4: past the forty yard line, you know, and also they

496
00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 4: want to put some narrative in this, or you want

497
00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 4: to put some motivation in this. Clawson came out and said,

498
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 4: we are super excited that we get an SEC team.

499
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 4: We didn't care where we went, we just wanted an

500
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:58,240
Speaker 4: SEC team. So this wake Forest team is like they're

501
00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:00,680
Speaker 4: running with the ACC flag. I know that we are

502
00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 4: completely fading the ACC and all of their bowls, but

503
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:07,159
Speaker 4: this is the only one where they're specifically calling out

504
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 4: the SEC and saying we are motivated to beat the SEC.

505
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:12,199
Speaker 4: And Missouri's down a bunch of players. Give me the

506
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:13,040
Speaker 4: Demon Deacons here.

507
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:16,639
Speaker 3: Yeah. Sam Hartman's last toura as long as he doesn't

508
00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:18,480
Speaker 3: have one of these games. You know, he has those

509
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:19,880
Speaker 3: games every once in a while, he just like turns

510
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 3: it over five times. But a lot of times that's

511
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,560
Speaker 3: like against a team that's blowing up the mesh. And

512
00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:27,840
Speaker 3: I think without Coleman and the McGuire, who were excellent

513
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:29,800
Speaker 3: all year, and then I think that they impacted their

514
00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:31,879
Speaker 3: past defense numbers as well because they were able to

515
00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:34,720
Speaker 3: get such great pressure. They're also good against the run,

516
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:38,880
Speaker 3: So yeah, oh weake. I think Kluston's four and two

517
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:42,760
Speaker 3: against the spread and bowls, and I think I think

518
00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:45,600
Speaker 3: they'll be motivated to like the fact that Hartman and

519
00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:47,800
Speaker 3: Parri are planning and last year they played like Rutgers

520
00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:50,040
Speaker 3: in a bowl, like at the last second, like like

521
00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:52,560
Speaker 3: this is a real Bowl for them.

522
00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:56,560
Speaker 4: Also, it's been it's been said multiple times that Hartman

523
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,760
Speaker 4: needs one more passing touchdown to be the all time ACC,

524
00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:04,439
Speaker 4: surpassing Taj Boyd. I'm sure a prop if you can

525
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:07,280
Speaker 4: find it on Hartman's passing touchdowns over one is going

526
00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:11,560
Speaker 4: to be you know, considerably juiced. But that's all that

527
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:15,240
Speaker 4: they've talked about. So Hartman two tds, three tds, we'll see.

528
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:16,919
Speaker 4: But he's breaking a record here for the ACC.

529
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 3: All right, yep, an agreeance there on the demon deecks.

530
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:25,240
Speaker 3: Let's move on to Saturday, Christmas Eve one yet his

531
00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:28,560
Speaker 3: NFL games on Saturday, and then at prime time we

532
00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:34,280
Speaker 3: have Middle Tennessee, my old nemesis taking on San Diego

533
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:38,439
Speaker 3: State in the easy Post Hawaii Bowl.

534
00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:40,200
Speaker 1: The Hawaii Bowl.

535
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:50,040
Speaker 3: The fuck's easy Post. That's like shipping shit, how to

536
00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:53,520
Speaker 3: ship fragile items. I guess it's a shipping the easy

537
00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 3: Post Hawaii Bowl. San Diego State is a seven point

538
00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:58,440
Speaker 3: favorite this line. I think they opened like a three

539
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:02,439
Speaker 3: point underdog over under forty nine and a half. You

540
00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:05,160
Speaker 3: are the San Diego State whisperer, and you started nailing

541
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:08,560
Speaker 3: their totals ever since, made and converted from State to

542
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,120
Speaker 3: the quarterback. He was their most dynamic quarterback by far.

543
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:16,080
Speaker 3: This Middle Tennessee secondary is vulnerable and this San Diego State. Look,

544
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:18,680
Speaker 3: they're gonna be going up against an air raid offense

545
00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 3: in Middle Tennessee. They are gonna throw the ball a lot.

546
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:25,480
Speaker 3: And the San Diego State defense was down this year

547
00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:27,480
Speaker 3: because of the secondary. They lost a lot of key

548
00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:31,680
Speaker 3: guys and they were vulnerable in the back end. Still

549
00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:34,400
Speaker 3: really good against the run. You got an all American

550
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:37,639
Speaker 3: up front divide, but they you can get some yards

551
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:40,760
Speaker 3: on them, unlike years pass through the air, which might

552
00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 3: be good news for San Diego State. What do you

553
00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:46,520
Speaker 3: see here? I assume based only what you said earlier

554
00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:48,879
Speaker 3: in the show and the lead and it's over. San

555
00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:51,160
Speaker 3: Diego State overs to close out the year one last time.

556
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,119
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I'm excited. I'm gonna be cracking a

557
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:58,399
Speaker 4: nineteen eighty nine Glamme Rangy Grand Vintage and enjoying my

558
00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:01,679
Speaker 4: Christmas Eve Scotch, enjoying a bunch of tickets that I

559
00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 4: have on San Diego State. And Brady Hokee. I trusted

560
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:06,680
Speaker 4: him going to the island. He was just there last year.

561
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:09,960
Speaker 4: They beat Hawaii seventeen to ten in this stadium. He

562
00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:11,840
Speaker 4: knows what a business trip is here. When you look

563
00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:14,719
Speaker 4: at Rick Stockstill, the last time he was on the

564
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:16,840
Speaker 4: island was in this very Bowl and he got blown

565
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:20,119
Speaker 4: out I think twenty sixteen. So you know, I just

566
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,479
Speaker 4: you can't look at the overall offensive numbers for San

567
00:28:22,560 --> 00:28:26,720
Speaker 4: Diego State on the season because Jeff Hecklinsky was fired

568
00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:29,280
Speaker 4: mid season, Jeff Horton took over the running backs coach.

569
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:31,879
Speaker 4: Jeff Horton took over his offensive coordinator. He made the

570
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:34,680
Speaker 4: switch at quarterback to Jalen Maiden, and it's just been

571
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 4: Gangbusters vertical and explosive. Yeah, vertical and explosive. And so

572
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:41,560
Speaker 4: what's funny is they actually changed the playbook for Maiden.

573
00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:44,800
Speaker 4: They shortened the crossing routes quarterback zone read, and they

574
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 4: told him you have a free pass to take off.

575
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,160
Speaker 4: He ends the season with over three hundred rushing yards,

576
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:51,520
Speaker 4: one hundred and seventy four of those on scrambles. He's

577
00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:54,720
Speaker 4: responsible for seventeen first downs off running. So if Jalen

578
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:57,160
Speaker 4: Maiden is not feeling it about what he sees downfield

579
00:28:57,240 --> 00:28:58,920
Speaker 4: or in the crossing routes, he's going to take off.

580
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:01,280
Speaker 4: And that's just going to be problem for Middle Tennessee.

581
00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:04,800
Speaker 4: They have one of the worst numbers and defensive passing

582
00:29:04,840 --> 00:29:07,520
Speaker 4: down success rate, meaning Maiden is going to get outside

583
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:09,240
Speaker 4: the tackles. He's going to make a lot of matchic

584
00:29:09,280 --> 00:29:12,280
Speaker 4: happen here. This Middle Tennessee offense is all about Chase

585
00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:15,400
Speaker 4: Cunningham and his lack of protection. It's been a problem

586
00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:18,440
Speaker 4: all season. One hundred and twentieth and pass blocking. A

587
00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:21,280
Speaker 4: third of all passing attempts have had pressure hands in

588
00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:25,040
Speaker 4: his face. The running game and finishing drives are both

589
00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:27,360
Speaker 4: outside the top one hundred for the Blue Raiders, and

590
00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:30,360
Speaker 4: even the explosive numbers from you know, from the pass

591
00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:33,680
Speaker 4: is ninety fourth, Middle was ninety third, and red zone efficiency.

592
00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:36,960
Speaker 4: It's just it's bad all over the offense. Can't protect,

593
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:40,120
Speaker 4: can't score, can't be efficient in moving the ball, and

594
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:43,080
Speaker 4: Sante State continues to be a great defense under Brady

595
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:47,360
Speaker 4: Hope top thirty and eliminating explosives twelfth and defensive finishing drives.

596
00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:53,000
Speaker 4: There's just not an analytical path to Middle Tennessee getting

597
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 4: points on the board, and the numbers inflated now it's

598
00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:58,680
Speaker 4: completely over sold. You're right, I mean I was like

599
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:02,280
Speaker 4: hitting submit on the opener and getting denied. Finally got

600
00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:05,080
Speaker 4: like a plus one, plus two in and minus three

601
00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:06,960
Speaker 4: and now we're all the way up at a huge number.

602
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:08,960
Speaker 4: But I can't go and say that Middle Tennessee is

603
00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 4: going to cover this. So the numbers inflated from the

604
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,880
Speaker 4: side and the over perspective. But then again, I don't

605
00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:15,960
Speaker 4: see anything for Middle Tennessee. They would keep me from

606
00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:18,240
Speaker 4: playing the Aztecs and playing the over on Christmas Eve.

607
00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:20,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, actually the middle side of STEA will get some

608
00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:24,320
Speaker 3: get some through the air, which you'll need to get

609
00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:27,040
Speaker 3: the over. I think that they can have some success

610
00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:29,720
Speaker 3: to there. This isn't the same quality of San Diego

611
00:30:29,800 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 3: State defense because of some of the deficiencies on the

612
00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:35,200
Speaker 3: back end. And if you look at San Diego State

613
00:30:35,240 --> 00:30:37,560
Speaker 3: this year, what do you have to remember is and look,

614
00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:41,680
Speaker 3: their past defense numbers are way down. They do limit explosives.

615
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 3: They're great, like you said, in finishing drives. But look

616
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:46,840
Speaker 3: who they played. I mean, you gotta remember that first

617
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:49,720
Speaker 3: give of the year, Arizona shredded them, put up thirty,

618
00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 3: and then they played Idaho State they get shredded by Utah.

619
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:57,760
Speaker 3: They played Toledo in that Toledo game. Finn gets hurt late,

620
00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 3: but he threw for two hundred and fifty arts against them.

621
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:03,520
Speaker 3: They play Boise, they gave up thirty five, you know.

622
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:08,840
Speaker 3: Then they play Hawaii Nevada to just you know, poverty offenses.

623
00:31:09,280 --> 00:31:11,959
Speaker 3: They play Fresno with Hayin or Hain, they give up

624
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,160
Speaker 3: thirty two. These are numbers that aren't You're not used

625
00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 3: to seeing San Diego State give up that much on

626
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:18,680
Speaker 3: their defense. Started to improve a little bit down the stretch,

627
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:20,760
Speaker 3: but it's like San Jose State, who put up twenty

628
00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:24,400
Speaker 3: seven New Mexico Air Force. So I actually think Middle

629
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:27,680
Speaker 3: Tennessee will contribute enough. I actually might be joining you

630
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:32,360
Speaker 3: on the San Diego State Christmas Eve over, hopefully an

631
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:37,320
Speaker 3: early Christmas present. All right, let's move on to nothing

632
00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:40,960
Speaker 3: on nothing on Christmas Day. On Sunday, they'll have NFL

633
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:45,920
Speaker 3: there Monday, December twenty sixth one Bowl. This is the

634
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 3: Gross Bowl. I don't even know what to call this.

635
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:50,400
Speaker 3: It's officially called the quick.

636
00:31:50,280 --> 00:31:52,640
Speaker 1: Lane Bowl, the Quick Lane Bowl.

637
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:55,920
Speaker 3: Between six and six New Mexico State and six and

638
00:31:56,000 --> 00:32:00,280
Speaker 3: six Bowling Green. As bad as it gets for teams

639
00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:03,720
Speaker 3: in a bowl game, New Mexico State out of nowhere

640
00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:07,080
Speaker 3: got a bowl. They petitioned to get an extra game

641
00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:10,960
Speaker 3: against Valparaiso after they beat Liberty forty nine to fourteen.

642
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:12,920
Speaker 3: Then they put up sixty five on Valpo to get

643
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:16,520
Speaker 3: bowl eligible. I don't even know val football team insane.

644
00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:18,080
Speaker 3: This is the team early in the year. I mean

645
00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:20,160
Speaker 3: they lost the Nevada at home and they got just

646
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:24,480
Speaker 3: blasted by Minnesota, lost to UTEP, blasted by Wisconsin, and

647
00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:26,800
Speaker 3: they beat Hawaii. Here are their wins. Then they lose

648
00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:29,959
Speaker 3: it home to FIU by fourteen. Here are their wins.

649
00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:38,560
Speaker 3: They beat New Mexico, Hawaii, UMass, Lamar, Liberty, and Valparaiso.

650
00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 3: I don't know why they were able to count to

651
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:42,960
Speaker 3: their the waiver they actually got approved against They kind

652
00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:44,800
Speaker 3: of theyd two FCS wins. Two of their wins are

653
00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:49,320
Speaker 3: against Lamar and Valparaiso, and UMass is basically an FCS team,

654
00:32:49,600 --> 00:32:52,880
Speaker 3: same with New Mexico and Hawaii this year. Like they

655
00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:54,800
Speaker 3: had that Liberty win, that was it. But then if

656
00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:57,000
Speaker 3: you look at Bowling Green talked about I think the

657
00:32:57,040 --> 00:33:00,040
Speaker 3: MAC is down by the way, Bowling Greens three and

658
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:04,720
Speaker 3: a half point favored here over Under, sitting at forty eight.

659
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:07,800
Speaker 3: Bowling Greens wins this year. They beat Toledo in a

660
00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:10,280
Speaker 3: miracle when Toledo was just didn't care and didn't need

661
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:14,560
Speaker 3: to win. They beat poverty Western Michigan team thirteen to nine.

662
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:18,400
Speaker 3: They beat Central Michigan, myav Ohio. All these are you know,

663
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 3: a lot of these are one possession. They beat Akron

664
00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:24,720
Speaker 3: by three, beat Marshall by three in overtime. They lost

665
00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 3: the Eastern Kentucky at home. I mean, this team stinks.

666
00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:31,280
Speaker 3: Both these offenses stink. The strength of the New Mexico

667
00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:34,360
Speaker 3: State defenses their you know, their safeties, their defenses playing

668
00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:37,360
Speaker 3: defensive way out of the offense. Still, I don't trust

669
00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:39,840
Speaker 3: the Bowling Green offense. I'm tempted. I imagine in Mexico

670
00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:43,320
Speaker 3: State filing waivers to get extra games to go to

671
00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 3: the Bowl. This is like huge for them, but I

672
00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:48,480
Speaker 3: guess it's maybe pretty important for Bowling Green as well.

673
00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:50,120
Speaker 3: I'm tempted by the three and a half in New

674
00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:53,080
Speaker 3: Mexico State, to be honest, but this game is horrendous.

675
00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 4: What do you say there's only one player in this game.

676
00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:57,000
Speaker 4: I made it on the open that was an under

677
00:33:57,200 --> 00:34:00,240
Speaker 4: New Mexico State gets the upset of Liberty lateness he's

678
00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:02,840
Speaker 4: in to get to get bowl eligible. And now Jerry Kill,

679
00:34:03,000 --> 00:34:05,800
Speaker 4: like you could tell the level of enthusiasm, like we

680
00:34:05,840 --> 00:34:09,279
Speaker 4: made a bowl. Oh boy, Detroit, Like he's like, we're

681
00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 4: gonna have to do everything we can to get our

682
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:14,400
Speaker 4: fans to get to Detroit. Which if you're in New Mexico,

683
00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:17,080
Speaker 4: I don't know why you're trying to fly to Detroit,

684
00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:20,960
Speaker 4: right it's day after Christmas. Yeah, I don't think that's

685
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:22,520
Speaker 4: what they were pulling for. I think they wanted New

686
00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:25,239
Speaker 4: Mexico Bowl, Arizona Bowl, and they definitely wanted to stay

687
00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:28,040
Speaker 4: in the Southwest. They didn't get it, and so you know,

688
00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:29,880
Speaker 4: I think there's a lot of Jerry Kill not just

689
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:31,640
Speaker 4: getting ready for this game, but he's got to get

690
00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:33,520
Speaker 4: his fan base fired up to buy some tickets to

691
00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:36,120
Speaker 4: fly there. So Kill has only covered one.

692
00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:38,480
Speaker 3: Bowl at Actually, sorry, I'm gonna call it the quick

693
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:42,120
Speaker 3: Lame Bowl. This is the lamest Bowl I've ever seen.

694
00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:46,040
Speaker 4: But ahead uh, Kill is only covered one game in

695
00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:49,399
Speaker 4: his entire career and he has not I'm sorry, He's

696
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:52,160
Speaker 4: covered one bowl game and he has never won a bowl.

697
00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 4: I believe he's been in six of them. He's coached

698
00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 4: six of them, so definitely some motivation for him to

699
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:59,960
Speaker 4: try to get this going. Uh, the Aggie's defense spends

700
00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:02,840
Speaker 4: plenty of time dropping as many players into coverage to

701
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:06,640
Speaker 4: eliminate explosive plays. That shows and their numbers that they

702
00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:08,880
Speaker 4: eliminate explosive. But they also have a pass rush at

703
00:35:08,960 --> 00:35:11,600
Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty second more of a rush three

704
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:13,960
Speaker 4: drop eight. You know, they're not trying to send any

705
00:35:14,000 --> 00:35:15,279
Speaker 4: extra blitzers whatsoever.

706
00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:15,960
Speaker 3: And for the.

707
00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:18,120
Speaker 4: Aggies to win this game, they've got to be better

708
00:35:18,120 --> 00:35:21,279
Speaker 4: against the pass because Bowling Green wants to have Matt

709
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:24,600
Speaker 4: McDonald throw all the time. Bowling Green does not have

710
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:27,520
Speaker 4: a running game. Jason Patterson average four point two a carry,

711
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:30,120
Speaker 4: but he couldn't reach that over his last three games.

712
00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:32,279
Speaker 4: He looked like he was kind of maybe worn down,

713
00:35:32,280 --> 00:35:35,320
Speaker 4: maybe fatigue on the season. He ended in the Ohio

714
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:38,120
Speaker 4: opener with just seven carries. You know, New Mexico State

715
00:35:38,280 --> 00:35:41,600
Speaker 4: was top twenty and standard passing downs explosives on defense

716
00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:45,600
Speaker 4: and limiting that top fifteen defensive pass EPA. I would

717
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:48,360
Speaker 4: expect this game to be very low scoring. I projected

718
00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:50,520
Speaker 4: at forty one. I didn't know what this opener was

719
00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:53,600
Speaker 4: in the fifties and I know what number we're sitting at,

720
00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 4: and like, I think, you know, I might have wrote

721
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:57,840
Speaker 4: this somewhere, but I just don't think this game is

722
00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:01,160
Speaker 4: getting enough attention. It doesn't have enough tickets. I think

723
00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 4: there's going to be major steam on the under. I'm

724
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 4: just kind of waiting for that to happen. I know

725
00:36:05,040 --> 00:36:07,720
Speaker 4: maybe people won't look at this bowl until after Christmas,

726
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:10,800
Speaker 4: but you know, I make it forty one, and I expect,

727
00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:13,319
Speaker 4: you know, with Bowling Green finishing the season one hundred

728
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 4: and twentieth in offensive finishing drives, they struggle to get

729
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,120
Speaker 4: points on the board too, So under all the way

730
00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:19,799
Speaker 4: for me, I mean, if these two teams go over,

731
00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:22,359
Speaker 4: then fine, take my money, but I gotta see it.

732
00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:26,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like the other as well, but I I

733
00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:29,320
Speaker 3: might be on this is another There might be another

734
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:31,799
Speaker 3: mac fade for me now that Bowling Green's got out

735
00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:34,480
Speaker 3: to a three and a half point favorite. All right,

736
00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:37,080
Speaker 3: Before we continue, as a reminder, the Big Bets on

737
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:40,879
Speaker 3: Campus podcast is probably presented by bet MGM. So kick

738
00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:43,040
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743
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744
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745
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754
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755
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756
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757
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758
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759
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760
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761
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762
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763
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764
00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:58,120
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765
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766
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:02,560
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767
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Speaker 5: states were promimated. Promotional offers not available in Nevada and

768
00:38:06,320 --> 00:38:06,759
Speaker 5: New York.

769
00:38:07,640 --> 00:38:14,239
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to December twenty seventh. Let's

770
00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:18,640
Speaker 3: tuck another MAC team. Buffalo will take on Georgia Southern

771
00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:22,360
Speaker 3: in the Chamella Bowl noon eastern in Montgomery, Alabama.

772
00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:24,439
Speaker 1: The Kamellia Bowl.

773
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:28,200
Speaker 3: Location wise obviously in advantage for Georgia Southern. This is

774
00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:32,960
Speaker 3: the Kyle Van Trees Revenge Bowl game. The quarterback for

775
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:37,040
Speaker 3: Georgia Southern, who has led their air raid offense this year,

776
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 3: was the quarterback for Buffalo last year before transferring to

777
00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:44,319
Speaker 3: Georgia Southern. I've talked at length all year about how

778
00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:49,000
Speaker 3: I think Buffalo is a fraud. I mean their wins,

779
00:38:49,560 --> 00:38:52,280
Speaker 3: a miracle win against Mayam, Ohio thanks to a penalty,

780
00:38:52,719 --> 00:38:58,400
Speaker 3: they beat Bowling Green UMass a miraculous comeback against Toledo,

781
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:03,840
Speaker 3: and then they beat Akrom by one to get Bowl

782
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:09,319
Speaker 3: eligible at home. This is a team that I was

783
00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:13,279
Speaker 3: fading down the stretch. Probably look to fade them here.

784
00:39:13,320 --> 00:39:16,520
Speaker 3: I want to get three. Georgia Southern is a three

785
00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:19,400
Speaker 3: and a half point favored here over unders at sixty seven.

786
00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:23,000
Speaker 3: Georgia Southern Air Raid wants to throw the ball as

787
00:39:23,080 --> 00:39:26,120
Speaker 3: much as anyone in the country. Their defense is really bad,

788
00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:29,080
Speaker 3: but I'm not a Cole Snyder guy. Still think he

789
00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:33,320
Speaker 3: has more regression coming his way, and I think Georgia

790
00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:36,600
Speaker 3: Southern will be able to have success throwing on Buffalo.

791
00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:39,200
Speaker 3: I think Buffalo the strength their defense is against the run.

792
00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:41,759
Speaker 3: This is a down year for the Buffalo defense. They

793
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:43,640
Speaker 3: have some guys in the portal. Doesn't look like Georgia

794
00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:49,640
Speaker 3: Southern does. Yeah, I like Georgia Southern here. I'm gonna

795
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:52,080
Speaker 3: wait to see if this ticks down. To three. But

796
00:39:52,880 --> 00:39:56,279
Speaker 3: I'm all about fading the back this Bowl season for

797
00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:58,560
Speaker 3: the most part, and Buffalo is at the top of

798
00:39:58,600 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 3: that list.

799
00:39:59,640 --> 00:40:04,080
Speaker 4: What do you I've got an explicit plan of attack

800
00:40:04,120 --> 00:40:06,960
Speaker 4: in this game. After five years as Buffalo quarterback, Kyle

801
00:40:07,040 --> 00:40:09,920
Speaker 4: Van Trees helped Georgia Southern move off the triple option

802
00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:11,839
Speaker 4: and become a pass first offense. He had thirty nine

803
00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:12,479
Speaker 4: hundred really.

804
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:15,040
Speaker 3: Successful year for them considering what they had their transition.

805
00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:17,799
Speaker 4: Shocking. I don't think we could have ever predicted that

806
00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:19,520
Speaker 4: Clay Hilton was coming in and they were going to

807
00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:21,879
Speaker 4: have this kind of offense. Where was this offense out

808
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:25,000
Speaker 4: on the West Coast? Buffalo was much better against the

809
00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:28,479
Speaker 4: run and not the pass. Ninety third coverage dead last

810
00:40:28,480 --> 00:40:31,280
Speaker 4: and allowing explosives in standard down. So Kyle Van Trees

811
00:40:31,360 --> 00:40:32,680
Speaker 4: is going to have a lot of success on first

812
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:35,920
Speaker 4: second down. Georgia Southern had three different receivers with one

813
00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:39,239
Speaker 4: hundred targets. Slot receiver Caleb Hood is the most explosive

814
00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:42,200
Speaker 4: of the bunch, and whiteout Derwin Burgess has the most touchdowns.

815
00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:44,279
Speaker 4: It's seven on the season. If you go to the

816
00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 4: other side of the ball, So I expect Georgia Southerner score.

817
00:40:46,520 --> 00:40:48,920
Speaker 4: If you go to the other side, Buffalo's rushing attack

818
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:51,160
Speaker 4: is going to have the same advantage as Mike Washington

819
00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:54,120
Speaker 4: Ron Cook Junior. They get a Georgia Southern defense, it's

820
00:40:54,160 --> 00:40:56,560
Speaker 4: one hundred and thirtieth in line yards one hundred and

821
00:40:56,560 --> 00:40:57,040
Speaker 4: twenty seventh.

822
00:40:57,440 --> 00:40:58,479
Speaker 3: That sucks all over.

823
00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:01,320
Speaker 4: Buffalo is going to run all time day. The spread

824
00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:05,080
Speaker 4: is exactly where it should be. The total is higher

825
00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:07,919
Speaker 4: than projected. I've got it more around in the low

826
00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:10,879
Speaker 4: sixties than the high sixties. But Georgia side, the reason

827
00:41:10,880 --> 00:41:12,759
Speaker 4: why it's in played is Georgia Southern runs at twenty

828
00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:16,520
Speaker 4: two seconds per play. There's no defensive resistance here, so

829
00:41:16,600 --> 00:41:20,080
Speaker 4: to be this is your live betting game of the day.

830
00:41:20,120 --> 00:41:22,880
Speaker 4: Four games on this Saturday. This is your live betting

831
00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:25,279
Speaker 4: game of the day. May take I don't know. I

832
00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:27,680
Speaker 4: can't talk myself into Buffalo side, but I would start

833
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:30,560
Speaker 4: with Buffalo. Look for Georgia Southern live. But this is

834
00:41:30,600 --> 00:41:32,640
Speaker 4: a live trading game. Try to get three on both sides,

835
00:41:32,680 --> 00:41:34,160
Speaker 4: try to get four on both sides. But I think

836
00:41:34,160 --> 00:41:35,480
Speaker 4: you're going to get it in this one. This will

837
00:41:35,480 --> 00:41:36,160
Speaker 4: be back and forth.

838
00:41:37,800 --> 00:41:40,520
Speaker 3: I'll be other Buffalo fade at least you want have

839
00:41:40,600 --> 00:41:43,160
Speaker 3: to hear from the caller. We'll called it and said

840
00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:45,719
Speaker 3: that there about Buffalo calvers threatening early in the year.

841
00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:50,160
Speaker 3: Let's move on on December twenty seventh, Tuesday, by the way,

842
00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:52,560
Speaker 3: two days after Chris, we have four bowl games. Let's

843
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:57,160
Speaker 3: move on to the Surf Pro First Responder Bowl between

844
00:41:57,239 --> 00:41:58,680
Speaker 3: Memphis and Utah.

845
00:41:58,440 --> 00:42:01,200
Speaker 1: State first Responderable.

846
00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:09,840
Speaker 3: This game is at three fifteen Eastern on ESPN. Memphis

847
00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:12,839
Speaker 3: is a seven point favored here over under sixty one

848
00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:15,800
Speaker 3: and a half. This game will be played at Gerald

849
00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:19,960
Speaker 3: Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas. I can't really get a

850
00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:22,840
Speaker 3: good read on Memphis this year, got a bit unlucky

851
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:26,240
Speaker 3: in certain games. Utah State, meanwhile, early in the season

852
00:42:26,280 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 3: this team was just they looked horrendous. I lost thirty

853
00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:33,319
Speaker 3: five to seven at home to Weaver State, then lose

854
00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:36,320
Speaker 3: it home to UNLV, and then they kind of figured

855
00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:40,160
Speaker 3: things out as the year progressed. You know, they did

856
00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 3: have that awful beat, bad beat against Boise State to

857
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:45,839
Speaker 3: close the year, but they found a way to get

858
00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:48,040
Speaker 3: to six and six seems like a team that was

859
00:42:48,040 --> 00:42:49,719
Speaker 3: trending up at the end of the year. So I

860
00:42:49,760 --> 00:42:52,840
Speaker 3: do think that they'll care Memphis. Meanwhile, they didn't have

861
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:55,319
Speaker 3: their bowl last year with Hawaii. You like pulled out.

862
00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:56,880
Speaker 3: They were on the plane. It wasn't Memphis on the

863
00:42:56,880 --> 00:43:01,239
Speaker 3: plane to Hawaii like the day before why he pulled out,

864
00:43:01,320 --> 00:43:04,759
Speaker 3: So maybe they'll be motivated in that sense. This is

865
00:43:04,800 --> 00:43:06,319
Speaker 3: a tough game for me to figure out, what do

866
00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 3: you got?

867
00:43:07,640 --> 00:43:09,359
Speaker 4: This is Memphis all the way here for me. Ryan

868
00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:12,640
Speaker 4: Silverfield's first game at Memphis within the twenty twenty regular

869
00:43:12,680 --> 00:43:16,120
Speaker 4: season was against Arkansas State. No issues with Blake Anderson here.

870
00:43:16,520 --> 00:43:18,479
Speaker 4: He won thirty seven to twenty four and a team

871
00:43:18,520 --> 00:43:21,000
Speaker 4: that I thought was much better than what the Utah

872
00:43:21,040 --> 00:43:24,880
Speaker 4: State version is now. Calvin Tyler Junior declared for the

873
00:43:25,000 --> 00:43:28,360
Speaker 4: NFL Draft. That makes Utah State a one dimensional offense.

874
00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:31,120
Speaker 4: Backup Robert Briggs was out the last two games season

875
00:43:31,200 --> 00:43:34,279
Speaker 4: ending shoulder surgery, so the next running back on the

876
00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:37,200
Speaker 4: depth chart is Tarrell Vaughn. Twelve carries for seventy five

877
00:43:37,280 --> 00:43:40,239
Speaker 4: yards on the season. Utah State's not gonna be It's

878
00:43:40,280 --> 00:43:42,200
Speaker 4: not gonna be hard to figure out what they're doing offensively.

879
00:43:42,800 --> 00:43:46,840
Speaker 4: Cooper Legas arm you know, nine big time throws, thirteen

880
00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:49,840
Speaker 4: turnover worthy plays, and his final two games against San

881
00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:52,640
Speaker 4: Jose State and Boise, he only had two big time throws.

882
00:43:52,680 --> 00:43:55,240
Speaker 4: He had eight turnover worthy plays. He was getting generally

883
00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:58,360
Speaker 4: worse as the run game. Kind of a looted Utah

884
00:43:58,360 --> 00:44:01,880
Speaker 4: State there. Memphis is the defense finished twenty second coverage.

885
00:44:01,920 --> 00:44:03,520
Speaker 4: So if Utah State, if the only thing they can

886
00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:05,239
Speaker 4: do is pass, they're throwing into one of the best

887
00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:09,439
Speaker 4: coverage units graded by PFF. Tigers are also top thirty

888
00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:12,560
Speaker 4: five and limiting explosives. There's just like I said, there's

889
00:44:12,560 --> 00:44:15,040
Speaker 4: no real path to see Utah get consistent Utah State

890
00:44:15,080 --> 00:44:17,760
Speaker 4: get consistent scores here, and then you have to ask,

891
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:21,760
Speaker 4: can the Aggies limit seth Innigan his explosive passing attack.

892
00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:23,640
Speaker 4: It may be a well balanced offense, but they are

893
00:44:23,640 --> 00:44:26,239
Speaker 4: definitely more lethal from throwing the ball, and I would

894
00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:29,319
Speaker 4: say probably not. They rank eighty six. Then coverage, they're

895
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:32,360
Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty third against the explosive pass, massive

896
00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:36,839
Speaker 4: advantage for Memphis and penalties, third downs, special teams. This

897
00:44:36,880 --> 00:44:39,239
Speaker 4: is all Tigers, all the way back in Ryan Silverfield.

898
00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:42,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, I got no feel there. I'm I'll take it

899
00:44:42,760 --> 00:44:44,080
Speaker 3: a little more now. Some of these games we're not

900
00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:46,360
Speaker 3: going to spend as much time on as we go

901
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:48,319
Speaker 3: in parts three and four, when we'll be closer to

902
00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:51,239
Speaker 3: the Bowl games. These are eleven. These last ones that

903
00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:53,880
Speaker 3: we're talking about are twelve days out from recording this,

904
00:44:53,960 --> 00:44:57,640
Speaker 3: so could have still some opt outs. And we'll obviously

905
00:44:57,800 --> 00:45:00,520
Speaker 3: preview these games on actionnetwork dot Com the Action of

906
00:45:00,520 --> 00:45:03,560
Speaker 3: work gap as we get closer. One I do feel

907
00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:05,759
Speaker 3: passionate about and did play is our next game, the

908
00:45:05,840 --> 00:45:11,960
Speaker 3: Ticket Smarter Birmingham Bowl between Coastal Carolina and East Carolina.

909
00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:13,240
Speaker 1: The Birmingham Bowl.

910
00:45:14,080 --> 00:45:17,200
Speaker 3: This game's at six forty five Eastern on ESPN December

911
00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:20,880
Speaker 3: twenty seventh. The East Carolina is an eight point favorite

912
00:45:20,920 --> 00:45:26,080
Speaker 3: over under sixty two. I love this over the only

913
00:45:26,160 --> 00:45:27,839
Speaker 3: thing and I played this. I played it a little

914
00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:29,400
Speaker 3: better number I still like at sixty two. I think

915
00:45:29,400 --> 00:45:31,040
Speaker 3: both teams are going to get into the thirties. Here

916
00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:35,920
Speaker 3: you have Grayson McCall who's playing, which signals that you know,

917
00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:40,239
Speaker 3: even with the coaching change Jamie Chadwell leaving, that they care.

918
00:45:40,440 --> 00:45:43,200
Speaker 3: I mean, Grace McCall's gonna play. I don't know why,

919
00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:46,719
Speaker 3: but he wants to finish what he started. And on

920
00:45:46,760 --> 00:45:50,040
Speaker 3: the other side, East Carolina's defense and by the way McCall,

921
00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:52,359
Speaker 3: who didn't look great in the sun Bell Championship, come

922
00:45:52,360 --> 00:45:56,000
Speaker 3: back from injury, you know, it gets a month to

923
00:45:56,000 --> 00:45:57,840
Speaker 3: continue to heal that injury, which was supposed to be

924
00:45:57,880 --> 00:46:00,279
Speaker 3: three to six weeks, this will be like seven eight.

925
00:46:00,320 --> 00:46:03,799
Speaker 3: So I expect them to be fully healthy, and I

926
00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:07,280
Speaker 3: don't think that he'll have any trouble moving the ball.

927
00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:12,839
Speaker 3: Against Sanise Carolina secondary that is bad, and they got

928
00:46:12,880 --> 00:46:16,640
Speaker 3: worse down the stretch as the season progressive me. They're

929
00:46:16,640 --> 00:46:18,440
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty first and passing success right, one

930
00:46:18,520 --> 00:46:22,400
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty six and epa per pass and they

931
00:46:22,440 --> 00:46:24,719
Speaker 3: gave up with a forty five to Temple, and the

932
00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:28,040
Speaker 3: finale defense was fading banged up a little bit down

933
00:46:28,040 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 3: the stretch. So East and in Coastal Carolina, when McCall

934
00:46:31,680 --> 00:46:34,200
Speaker 3: was healthy, was one of the best passing offenses in

935
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:37,239
Speaker 3: the country. They weren't as good a running the ball,

936
00:46:37,280 --> 00:46:41,759
Speaker 3: and that's Easyu's strength. But I just expect Coastal to

937
00:46:42,080 --> 00:46:44,239
Speaker 3: have a ton of success from third downs here through

938
00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:46,560
Speaker 3: the air with a healthier McCall on the other side

939
00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:51,960
Speaker 3: of the ball. The Coastal Carolina pass defense is also horrendous,

940
00:46:52,480 --> 00:46:55,840
Speaker 3: so I expect hold Naylers in company to have plenty

941
00:46:55,840 --> 00:47:00,399
Speaker 3: of success. The pace is my only concern. These teams

942
00:47:00,400 --> 00:47:03,200
Speaker 3: aren't really fast, But I just think this will be

943
00:47:04,040 --> 00:47:08,200
Speaker 3: exposed to plays all over the place, good quarterbacks with

944
00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:13,120
Speaker 3: huge advantages against very bad pass defenses. I love the

945
00:47:13,120 --> 00:47:14,880
Speaker 3: over here. I think both teams getting too the thirties

946
00:47:15,120 --> 00:47:15,960
Speaker 3: at a minimum.

947
00:47:16,200 --> 00:47:17,719
Speaker 4: I can't disagree with you on the over I like

948
00:47:17,760 --> 00:47:20,280
Speaker 4: East Carolina more here. I like them to cover the spread.

949
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:23,279
Speaker 4: Grayson McCall entered the portal fetched one of my couple

950
00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:26,959
Speaker 4: wagers on East Carolina up in the double digits. He's

951
00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:29,480
Speaker 4: taking visits to Auburn this week. It'd be Hugh Freeze's

952
00:47:29,520 --> 00:47:30,239
Speaker 4: next quarterback.

953
00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:31,359
Speaker 3: I hope he goes there.

954
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:34,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean Philip Montgomery is a great quarterback coach.

955
00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:37,680
Speaker 4: He was RG three's a quarterback coach of Baylor, just

956
00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:39,759
Speaker 4: recently fired from Tulsa. So I mean that's a really

957
00:47:39,760 --> 00:47:42,759
Speaker 4: great situation for Grayson McCall. Which, if you want to

958
00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:45,600
Speaker 4: preview next year's SEC pod, if Grayson McCalls at Auburn,

959
00:47:45,640 --> 00:47:48,800
Speaker 4: that's that's a game changer. But I think the problem

960
00:47:48,840 --> 00:47:50,919
Speaker 4: that I have with Coastal Carolina here is starting center

961
00:47:50,920 --> 00:47:52,800
Speaker 4: Willie Lampkin is in the portal. He will not be

962
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:55,719
Speaker 4: playing in this game, and that's just good. Yeah, he

963
00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:56,480
Speaker 4: was really good and.

964
00:47:56,880 --> 00:48:00,560
Speaker 3: The ECU Center might be out too though, But yeah, well.

965
00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:04,120
Speaker 4: I mean, so McCall, we need to make sure that

966
00:48:04,200 --> 00:48:07,359
Speaker 4: he's able, you know, fully recovered, because in that Troy game,

967
00:48:07,400 --> 00:48:10,000
Speaker 4: he was just he's not mobile whatsoever. You can't run

968
00:48:10,040 --> 00:48:12,840
Speaker 4: the triple option in space, the you know, the diamond

969
00:48:12,880 --> 00:48:14,839
Speaker 4: triple option, whatever it is that they want to call it,

970
00:48:15,200 --> 00:48:17,440
Speaker 4: unless you have a healthy ankle there. And McCall has

971
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:20,480
Speaker 4: not had a ten yard run since Week seven against

972
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:23,000
Speaker 4: Old Dominion. That is the missing piece that is with

973
00:48:23,040 --> 00:48:25,600
Speaker 4: this with this Coastal Carolina offense. So we'll see if

974
00:48:25,600 --> 00:48:28,799
Speaker 4: that's available. But East Carolina had no issues limiting a

975
00:48:28,840 --> 00:48:32,080
Speaker 4: different version of the triple option to less than three

976
00:48:32,160 --> 00:48:34,959
Speaker 4: yards per carry when they faced Navy in week two,

977
00:48:35,719 --> 00:48:38,960
Speaker 4: So East Carolina has at least seen some sort of

978
00:48:39,560 --> 00:48:45,200
Speaker 4: you know, quarterback pitch contained keeper. They've seen some version

979
00:48:45,280 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 4: of that. If Grace and McCall is able to run

980
00:48:47,239 --> 00:48:49,319
Speaker 4: this triple option on the other side of the ball,

981
00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:51,200
Speaker 4: Coast lasts to find a way to stop Keaton Mitchell.

982
00:48:51,680 --> 00:48:53,640
Speaker 4: I don't think anybody can stop Keaton Mitchell. I had

983
00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:55,920
Speaker 4: a couple bets against ECU this year, and Keaton Mitchell

984
00:48:55,960 --> 00:48:58,880
Speaker 4: made me cry three and a half yards after contact.

985
00:48:58,960 --> 00:49:02,560
Speaker 4: Eighty one misstack was created twenty nine explosive runs on

986
00:49:02,600 --> 00:49:05,600
Speaker 4: the season. That's crazy, twenty nine runs over fifteen yards.

987
00:49:06,120 --> 00:49:09,080
Speaker 4: Coastal finished one hundred and twelfth defensively against the explosive

988
00:49:09,120 --> 00:49:11,760
Speaker 4: run and edge. Josiah Stewart is in the portal along

989
00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:14,840
Speaker 4: with two other starting corners. I'd be nervous.

990
00:49:14,840 --> 00:49:16,319
Speaker 3: Their past defense is awful to I don't think we're

991
00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:17,880
Speaker 3: gonna stop don't think they stop Mitchell. I don't think

992
00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:20,719
Speaker 3: they're also going to stop ailers in those receivers.

993
00:49:21,000 --> 00:49:24,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree. So I am on East Carolina. You

994
00:49:24,120 --> 00:49:25,680
Speaker 4: know more that I hear you talk about it. Maybe

995
00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:27,600
Speaker 4: I should be in the East Carolina team total over

996
00:49:27,680 --> 00:49:31,200
Speaker 4: business instead of the spread. So we'll see how it progresses.

997
00:49:31,440 --> 00:49:34,239
Speaker 4: We get closer to the twenty seventh here, but for me,

998
00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:36,520
Speaker 4: it's ECU and I've got to see Grace McCall's ankle

999
00:49:36,560 --> 00:49:38,600
Speaker 4: before I believe in the chance.

1000
00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:41,399
Speaker 3: All right, let's go on to the final bowl game

1001
00:49:41,920 --> 00:49:45,959
Speaker 3: on Tuesday, December twenty seventh. It's the Guaranteed Rate Bowl

1002
00:49:46,000 --> 00:49:51,360
Speaker 3: between Wisconsin and Oklahoma State. Ten to fifteen Eastern on ESPN.

1003
00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:54,359
Speaker 3: This is the late night game in Phoenix, Arizona.

1004
00:49:54,480 --> 00:49:56,040
Speaker 1: The Guaranteed Rate Bowl.

1005
00:50:00,400 --> 00:50:05,440
Speaker 3: This is the Corpse Bowl. Two absolute corpses. Just I

1006
00:50:05,440 --> 00:50:08,319
Speaker 3: had no idea what to make of this game. Wisconsin's

1007
00:50:08,360 --> 00:50:12,600
Speaker 3: a three point favorite over under forty three. Luke Fickle

1008
00:50:12,680 --> 00:50:15,520
Speaker 3: going to Wisconsin. I heard they they wanted Jim Leonard.

1009
00:50:16,040 --> 00:50:19,000
Speaker 3: Maybe the players are mad about that. Mertz is in

1010
00:50:19,040 --> 00:50:23,160
Speaker 3: the portal going to Kentucky. Spencer Sanders in the portal

1011
00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:25,839
Speaker 3: with a bunch of other players for Oklahoma State. Her

1012
00:50:25,880 --> 00:50:30,160
Speaker 3: big for Wisconsin. Also, they're good linebackers out of this.

1013
00:50:30,600 --> 00:50:35,399
Speaker 3: There's so many guys that are out. Gundy's been really

1014
00:50:35,400 --> 00:50:37,640
Speaker 3: good in bowls, one of the most profitable against the

1015
00:50:37,640 --> 00:50:43,600
Speaker 3: spread coaches and bowls I have. I couldn't make it.

1016
00:50:43,760 --> 00:50:45,239
Speaker 3: Like if you were put a gun on behad and

1017
00:50:45,239 --> 00:50:47,160
Speaker 3: he said, I'm gonna kill your whole family unless you

1018
00:50:47,200 --> 00:50:49,880
Speaker 3: make a convincent case for something in the bet in

1019
00:50:49,960 --> 00:50:55,000
Speaker 3: this game, my whole family would be dead.

1020
00:50:55,040 --> 00:50:58,359
Speaker 4: Mike drop Calin take the lead. I don't know what

1021
00:50:58,400 --> 00:51:00,440
Speaker 4: to say here, Like does my Gutty just over to

1022
00:51:00,480 --> 00:51:02,279
Speaker 4: his son and like, go crazy, Pretend like we're in

1023
00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:05,200
Speaker 4: the backyard. Right We're in Payne County. We're in our

1024
00:51:05,200 --> 00:51:07,080
Speaker 4: backyard and still water. Just go out there and run

1025
00:51:07,120 --> 00:51:09,359
Speaker 4: around like you did when you're eight years I don't know, like.

1026
00:51:09,800 --> 00:51:14,120
Speaker 3: And who's Wisconsin. We're not going to be wolf? Probably yeah, yeah, wolf,

1027
00:51:14,719 --> 00:51:16,040
Speaker 3: which you know.

1028
00:51:17,840 --> 00:51:20,160
Speaker 4: I've also heard that the transition at Wisconsin is not

1029
00:51:20,200 --> 00:51:22,200
Speaker 4: going well with the current players that are on the roster.

1030
00:51:23,040 --> 00:51:24,839
Speaker 4: There was a lot of love for Jim Leonard there

1031
00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:27,319
Speaker 4: and everything's in transition right now. And the word coming

1032
00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:31,719
Speaker 4: in that Fickle wants to have a fingerprint on the

1033
00:51:31,719 --> 00:51:33,680
Speaker 4: design of this game on both sides of the ball.

1034
00:51:33,680 --> 00:51:35,520
Speaker 4: It's like, I don't know. If I was a player

1035
00:51:35,520 --> 00:51:38,800
Speaker 4: and I signed up for Paul Chris, I would probably

1036
00:51:38,840 --> 00:51:40,880
Speaker 4: not be interested in this game, especially if I was

1037
00:51:40,880 --> 00:51:43,120
Speaker 4: on my way out the door, so the posts and

1038
00:51:43,160 --> 00:51:44,399
Speaker 4: then on the other side of the ball, the post

1039
00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:48,680
Speaker 4: Spencer Sanders there at Oklahoma State, depleted roster linebacker Mason Cobb,

1040
00:51:48,800 --> 00:51:51,279
Speaker 4: running back Dominic Richardson not going to be in this game.

1041
00:51:52,160 --> 00:51:54,840
Speaker 4: There are too many missing pieces here. Yet Wisconsin has

1042
00:51:54,880 --> 00:51:57,720
Speaker 4: steamed up to a three and three and a half.

1043
00:51:57,920 --> 00:51:59,920
Speaker 3: It's it's really tough.

1044
00:51:59,800 --> 00:52:02,560
Speaker 4: To make heads or tails. Heal, right, because the Oklahoma

1045
00:52:02,640 --> 00:52:06,120
Speaker 4: State defense, they were done after halfway through the season,

1046
00:52:06,680 --> 00:52:08,680
Speaker 4: and you know, they still pulled up one of the

1047
00:52:08,680 --> 00:52:12,480
Speaker 4: worst tackling grades of anybody in college football. So that's

1048
00:52:12,480 --> 00:52:15,640
Speaker 4: going to be there. But Wisconsin's not explosive whatsoever. Ninety

1049
00:52:15,640 --> 00:52:18,759
Speaker 4: second rush explosiveness like Braylen Allen is on the back

1050
00:52:18,760 --> 00:52:22,480
Speaker 4: of a milk carton right now for missing persons. This

1051
00:52:22,560 --> 00:52:26,719
Speaker 4: Bowl is absolutely impossible. And I would say the bet

1052
00:52:26,800 --> 00:52:29,200
Speaker 4: that I would make in situations like this is the

1053
00:52:29,239 --> 00:52:31,920
Speaker 4: first half under. We're looking at forty three and a

1054
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:33,720
Speaker 4: half that's come down a little bit from an opener

1055
00:52:33,760 --> 00:52:36,520
Speaker 4: of forty five and a half. Maybe a first quarter under.

1056
00:52:36,560 --> 00:52:38,880
Speaker 4: I don't. I mean, there's no way that these coaches

1057
00:52:39,200 --> 00:52:41,000
Speaker 4: and the players and the product that's going to be

1058
00:52:41,000 --> 00:52:44,719
Speaker 4: on the field is good. Maybe the scripted portion is

1059
00:52:44,719 --> 00:52:47,400
Speaker 4: where they know what they're doing. I assume after everything

1060
00:52:47,440 --> 00:52:49,640
Speaker 4: breaks down and the defense doesn't know where the changes are,

1061
00:52:49,840 --> 00:52:52,720
Speaker 4: that's when the points will come in. But I would

1062
00:52:52,719 --> 00:52:54,359
Speaker 4: play a first half under in this if I had

1063
00:52:54,360 --> 00:52:55,879
Speaker 4: to play anything. If you had to give me one

1064
00:52:55,920 --> 00:52:58,840
Speaker 4: pick for the family. I'd go with the first half under.

1065
00:53:00,000 --> 00:53:02,759
Speaker 3: All right, well your family got saved mine and all right,

1066
00:53:02,800 --> 00:53:07,080
Speaker 3: good stuff there, going through all ten balls, all right,

1067
00:53:07,080 --> 00:53:09,160
Speaker 3: make sure you check out part one if you want

1068
00:53:09,160 --> 00:53:12,120
Speaker 3: to hear any if you're listening to this. Before the

1069
00:53:12,160 --> 00:53:14,560
Speaker 3: Marshall Yukon game, we covered that, and then the two

1070
00:53:14,640 --> 00:53:17,919
Speaker 3: on Tuesday, the Potato Bowl and the book Over Tone Bowl,

1071
00:53:18,120 --> 00:53:19,400
Speaker 3: and then also our group of five guys as I

1072
00:53:19,440 --> 00:53:22,560
Speaker 3: mentioned before, cover all the games with the any group

1073
00:53:22,560 --> 00:53:26,680
Speaker 3: of five team. We have Part three December twenty sixth.

1074
00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:29,920
Speaker 3: That'll be the Military through the Arizona Bowl, and then

1075
00:53:30,000 --> 00:53:33,160
Speaker 3: Part four, which we'll record on December twenty seventh. It'll

1076
00:53:33,200 --> 00:53:37,319
Speaker 3: be out December twenty eighth. That's the Music City all

1077
00:53:37,360 --> 00:53:40,000
Speaker 3: the way through the end, including the college Fooball playoffs.

1078
00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:42,520
Speaker 3: So I can't wait for that episode. And by that

1079
00:53:42,560 --> 00:53:45,239
Speaker 3: time when we record that December twenty seventh, you know,

1080
00:53:45,280 --> 00:53:47,239
Speaker 3: we'll have a pretty good idea of everyone who's in

1081
00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:50,760
Speaker 3: or out for those games, and most of those games

1082
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:53,640
Speaker 3: are pretty important and not as big of a concern

1083
00:53:53,680 --> 00:53:56,680
Speaker 3: on game day of surprise opt outs. All right, But

1084
00:53:56,719 --> 00:53:58,840
Speaker 3: before we get out of here, we just one, just

1085
00:53:58,880 --> 00:54:01,719
Speaker 3: one fine one order of business today, No three and out.

1086
00:54:02,080 --> 00:54:05,000
Speaker 3: We're just gonna give our favorite bet for all the

1087
00:54:05,040 --> 00:54:10,080
Speaker 3: bowls that we covered today, all ten. I'll kick things off.

1088
00:54:10,480 --> 00:54:13,920
Speaker 3: Give me air Force to almost an auto play for

1089
00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:17,200
Speaker 3: me Service academy during bold season. Go back to two

1090
00:54:17,200 --> 00:54:20,920
Speaker 3: thousand and five. Check out Action Labs both service academies

1091
00:54:21,239 --> 00:54:25,080
Speaker 3: in balls seventy percent. I have data back to nineteen ninety.

1092
00:54:25,320 --> 00:54:28,200
Speaker 3: Guess that's what service academies are seventy percent against the spread.

1093
00:54:28,320 --> 00:54:31,160
Speaker 3: They're always motivated. You could always count on them to

1094
00:54:31,239 --> 00:54:33,840
Speaker 3: show up in a bowl game, which isn't always the

1095
00:54:33,880 --> 00:54:38,000
Speaker 3: case for every other team. Baylor has major issues in

1096
00:54:38,040 --> 00:54:42,200
Speaker 3: the trenches within its run defense. Air Forces defense was excellent,

1097
00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:44,080
Speaker 3: trending up at the end of the year. They had

1098
00:54:44,120 --> 00:54:46,399
Speaker 3: some injuries earlier in the season. I don't think their

1099
00:54:46,440 --> 00:54:49,279
Speaker 3: defense is being properly a account of for here in

1100
00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:52,440
Speaker 3: the market. And they can give pressure on the quarterback,

1101
00:54:52,480 --> 00:54:55,239
Speaker 3: which is a key against this Baylor offense. Not sure

1102
00:54:55,280 --> 00:54:57,319
Speaker 3: Ball is going to be that interested in preparing for

1103
00:54:57,560 --> 00:55:00,959
Speaker 3: end or trying to defend the trip option. All game

1104
00:55:02,080 --> 00:55:07,399
Speaker 3: motivation matchup, Give me air Force here with the points

1105
00:55:08,239 --> 00:55:10,040
Speaker 3: favorite bet out of the ten we covered.

1106
00:55:10,320 --> 00:55:11,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going to take the six and a half

1107
00:55:11,800 --> 00:55:14,680
Speaker 4: points with Louisiana. This is a first year coach who's

1108
00:55:14,719 --> 00:55:17,520
Speaker 4: coming into the industry report in the Independence Bowl. Heavily

1109
00:55:17,560 --> 00:55:19,960
Speaker 4: motivated to get it done here against a coach that

1110
00:55:20,000 --> 00:55:22,319
Speaker 4: has consistently shown us that he does not care about

1111
00:55:22,320 --> 00:55:25,799
Speaker 4: bull season. And Dana Holgerson with Houston, only covered two

1112
00:55:25,880 --> 00:55:27,600
Speaker 4: of the nine bowl games that he's been in, and

1113
00:55:27,640 --> 00:55:31,640
Speaker 4: he has already mentioned that recruiting and high school coaching,

1114
00:55:32,040 --> 00:55:34,120
Speaker 4: you know, getting in touch with all of the players

1115
00:55:34,120 --> 00:55:35,720
Speaker 4: from a high school level in the state of Texas

1116
00:55:35,800 --> 00:55:37,960
Speaker 4: has got a little bit more importance on what's going

1117
00:55:38,000 --> 00:55:40,759
Speaker 4: on here in the Independence Bowl. And when you look

1118
00:55:40,760 --> 00:55:43,360
Speaker 4: at the rage in Cage's roster, the switch to Chandler

1119
00:55:43,360 --> 00:55:46,879
Speaker 4: fields probably is better against this Houston defense. And then

1120
00:55:47,120 --> 00:55:49,000
Speaker 4: on the other side of the ball, are we really

1121
00:55:49,040 --> 00:55:51,480
Speaker 4: sure that Tank Dell at wide receiver is not going

1122
00:55:51,480 --> 00:55:53,200
Speaker 4: to opt out for the NFL and not playing this game,

1123
00:55:53,239 --> 00:55:56,440
Speaker 4: And same thing for quarterback Clayton Tune here. There is

1124
00:55:56,520 --> 00:55:59,080
Speaker 4: just a huge difference in motivation here, especially with the

1125
00:55:59,080 --> 00:56:01,560
Speaker 4: location of where this bowl is. So look for Louisiana,

1126
00:56:01,640 --> 00:56:03,200
Speaker 4: get it done here. I like it out. I'll take

1127
00:56:03,239 --> 00:56:04,960
Speaker 4: the points I think they can do it out right

1128
00:56:05,000 --> 00:56:06,319
Speaker 4: against Houston Cougar's.

1129
00:56:06,960 --> 00:56:10,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, a rates historically struggled in Bolgans and the Louisiana's

1130
00:56:10,760 --> 00:56:13,919
Speaker 3: secondary is the strength of that defense, which is big

1131
00:56:13,960 --> 00:56:18,160
Speaker 3: against the past. Happy coogs. All right, that'll do it

1132
00:56:18,200 --> 00:56:21,480
Speaker 3: for us. Thanks for tuning in as always, context for

1133
00:56:21,600 --> 00:56:24,239
Speaker 3: joining me, thanks to our audio and video teams on

1134
00:56:24,280 --> 00:56:27,400
Speaker 3: the back end. It's time for us to go watch

1135
00:56:27,440 --> 00:56:30,000
Speaker 3: some balls and then continue to stay up the date

1136
00:56:30,080 --> 00:56:31,880
Speaker 3: on the news and try to find some more winners.

1137
00:56:31,920 --> 00:56:34,960
Speaker 3: Make sure you subscribe on subscribe, subscribe, tell friend, tell

1138
00:56:34,960 --> 00:56:37,600
Speaker 3: an enemy, leave a review. They really help us out.

1139
00:56:37,920 --> 00:56:40,680
Speaker 3: We'll do giveaways. You have any giveaways, producer, fill them

1140
00:56:40,680 --> 00:56:41,080
Speaker 3: in now.

1141
00:56:41,760 --> 00:56:43,799
Speaker 6: Hi, Thanks Douck. Yes we have a winner. It is

1142
00:56:43,960 --> 00:56:48,960
Speaker 6: omg HHK. Thank you for your five star review. Go

1143
00:56:49,000 --> 00:56:52,960
Speaker 6: ahead and email podcasts at at younetwork dot com to

1144
00:56:53,000 --> 00:56:57,560
Speaker 6: claim your prize and to everyone listening, Merry Christmas, Happy holidays,

1145
00:56:57,719 --> 00:57:01,160
Speaker 6: and whether you're betting with your family, betting to escape

1146
00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:04,640
Speaker 6: your family, or if your bull game bets are your family,

1147
00:57:05,040 --> 00:57:07,080
Speaker 6: We're glad you could spend a little bet of your

1148
00:57:07,080 --> 00:57:10,360
Speaker 6: holiday time with us here at Big Bets on campus.

1149
00:57:10,520 --> 00:57:13,120
Speaker 6: From the Action Network. Good luck with your bets. We'll

1150
00:57:13,120 --> 00:57:15,240
Speaker 6: see you right back here on Monday for a bull

1151
00:57:15,400 --> 00:57:17,000
Speaker 6: season betting preview.

1152
00:57:16,720 --> 00:57:17,240
Speaker 4: Part three.

1153
00:57:17,800 --> 00:57:20,479
Speaker 3: Appreciate all of you listening. Let's have a big Bowl

1154
00:57:20,560 --> 00:57:23,800
Speaker 3: seasons the most wonderful time of the year. And remember

1155
00:57:24,040 --> 00:57:26,320
Speaker 3: if you don't bet on a Bowl, does it even exist?

1156
00:57:26,880 --> 00:57:29,200
Speaker 3: Thanks again for tuning in. We'll catch all out of cheers.

1157
00:57:29,400 --> 00:57:29,880
Speaker 4: He's out.

1158
00:57:31,000 --> 00:57:44,080
Speaker 2: It's the most times, the most time, all the most time.

1159
00:57:43,240 --> 00:57:55,880
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1160
00:57:55,920 --> 00:57:58,400
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1161
00:57:58,440 --> 00:58:01,200
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler