WEBVTT - Disney Names PepsiCo’s Hugh Johnston as New CFO

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business. Wait inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>global business finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>We'll talk about the Walt Disney Company, my company in

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<v Speaker 2>a Stockmere and dear to my heart, I've covered the

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<v Speaker 2>stock over thirty years. It is at a place in

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<v Speaker 2>time that that they'd never found themselves in. They're really

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<v Speaker 2>trying to figure out they and all the media industry

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<v Speaker 2>trying to figure out how they manage just pivot the

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<v Speaker 2>streaming and away from the traditional media distribution bundle that

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<v Speaker 2>was so lucrative. And then I got some changes at

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<v Speaker 2>the top. Here Chris Palmery joins us. He's entertainment editor

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<v Speaker 2>for Bloomberg News. He joins us on Zoom from our

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<v Speaker 2>LA bureau. And it is a awesome office out there.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>The last one they had was not great, I have

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<v Speaker 2>to tell you, but this one is smoking. It's in

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<v Speaker 2>What's so great about it? Oh, it's just it's in

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<v Speaker 2>a great part of town, Century City, right, Chris, And

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<v Speaker 2>you got smoking office. I think you overlook the bel

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<v Speaker 2>Air Country Club or something correct.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's just a Los Angeles Country.

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<v Speaker 2>Los Angeles Country, major upgrade. So when I went out

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<v Speaker 2>there the first time, I kind of talked to somebody

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<v Speaker 2>back here in New York. I said, we need to

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<v Speaker 2>upgrade our friends out in LA. Yeah, and then they did.

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<v Speaker 4>And it sounds like a missed opportunity that I did

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<v Speaker 4>not get there when I was there for forty eight hours.

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<v Speaker 2>Last week, Chris talked to us about Walt Disney here.

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<v Speaker 2>They're getting themselves a new CFO.

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<v Speaker 5>What do we know, very experienced executive in three decades

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<v Speaker 5>at Pepsi, where he's done a lot of businesses, run

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<v Speaker 5>their e commerce business, ran the Quaker Roads business in

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<v Speaker 5>North America's obviously been the CEO as the CFO for

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<v Speaker 5>since twenty ten, done mergers and acquisitions, been the face

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<v Speaker 5>of the company to the finance community. Is known for

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<v Speaker 5>being sort of conservative guidance and over delivering on the

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<v Speaker 5>financial targets. So just a real experienced hand at a

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<v Speaker 5>time of great turmoil.

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<v Speaker 3>She mentioned that Disney.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, you know, I'd love for you to tell us

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<v Speaker 4>a little bit more about that. And this is Hugh Johnston,

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<v Speaker 4>who we were talking about. If you didn't get his name,

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<v Speaker 4>that's who the CFO is at PEPSI right now, who's

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<v Speaker 4>coming into Disney. So Chris tell us a little bit

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<v Speaker 4>about the board right now at Disney at the c

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<v Speaker 4>suite level, that we have the CFO who vacated due

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<v Speaker 4>to a medical absence I believe it was. And what's

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<v Speaker 4>going on with Bob Iger. How much longer is he

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<v Speaker 4>going to stick around at the top.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, of course, brought back now one year ago after

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<v Speaker 5>the tumultuous reign of Bob J. Peck and Bob Iger,

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<v Speaker 5>known historically as the steady hand, has had his own

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<v Speaker 5>shaky first year back. There's been There's really so many

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<v Speaker 5>things in the air, and I think that's one of

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<v Speaker 5>the things he'll have to address on Wednesday when they

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<v Speaker 5>do the earnings call. We've reported they're potentially selling their

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<v Speaker 5>India media business. They've announced they're going to buy back

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<v Speaker 5>the one third of or buy the one third of

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<v Speaker 5>Hulu the Comcast owns, so potentially ten billion dollar deal.

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<v Speaker 5>He's talked I talked about selling their traditional DV channels

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<v Speaker 5>like ABC. He's looking for a strategic partner at ESPN.

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<v Speaker 5>There's so much going on outside of the normal course

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<v Speaker 5>of business there. So you know, they obviously need somebody

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<v Speaker 5>who can talk to the financial community and help raise

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<v Speaker 5>money and all that.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, so, christ you've covered the Walt Disney Company probably

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<v Speaker 2>as long as I have. You're right out there in

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<v Speaker 2>La You're you're in right the right where the entertainment

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<v Speaker 2>industry really lives here. Talk to us about kind of

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<v Speaker 2>where are they are on the actors strike. That seems

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<v Speaker 2>like something that should be a quick fix relative to

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<v Speaker 2>everything else that this industry is facing.

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<v Speaker 5>It certainly seems like we're very close on settling the

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<v Speaker 5>actors strike. But we've been hearing that for a couple

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<v Speaker 5>of weeks now. Bob Iger's been personally involved in both

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<v Speaker 5>with the actors and the writers.

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<v Speaker 3>He's one of the quote Big four studio.

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<v Speaker 5>Executives that's been in the room or at least on

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<v Speaker 5>Zoo during these negotiations. It seems like the actors are

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<v Speaker 5>going to get a pretty good deal, not everything they wanted.

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<v Speaker 3>But sizeable increases in pay.

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<v Speaker 5>And so we're all just sort of waiting when that

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<v Speaker 5>news comes and if there can now sort of pivot

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<v Speaker 5>to salvage the TV season, which was supposed to start

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<v Speaker 5>in September, and now is earliest maybe in February.

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<v Speaker 4>So tell us then, Chris, given all of these things

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<v Speaker 4>that you just mentioned, we've got the the actors strike,

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<v Speaker 4>We've got the new CFO coming in. There's also you know,

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<v Speaker 4>the potential sales of certain units or buying back some

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<v Speaker 4>other ones. How are how's the analyst community sizing up

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<v Speaker 4>Disney's earnings? You said we've got that coming on Wednesday.

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<v Speaker 5>I believe surprisingly given all we talked about, I think

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<v Speaker 5>it's actually supposed to be a good report.

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<v Speaker 4>That is surprising.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, there's been a lot of cost cutting at Disney

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<v Speaker 5>this year, remember seven thousand, you know, layoffs all of

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<v Speaker 5>these media companies have been surprising, both because of cost

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<v Speaker 5>cutting and the fact that there's no production going on.

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<v Speaker 5>They're saving a lot of money on those TV shows

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<v Speaker 5>and movies they would otherwise be spending money on. And

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<v Speaker 5>of course everyone will be looking at the streaming business

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<v Speaker 5>and how big the losses are. If making any progress

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<v Speaker 5>and reducing that. Disney has had said they're going to

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<v Speaker 5>break even by next year in that business, which has

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<v Speaker 5>just lost billions of dollars over the recent years.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Chris, I mean again, you're right out there in

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<v Speaker 2>La you go to all the Cocktait parties with the

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<v Speaker 2>power players, they've got to be really scared, I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>because they just don't know how their business is going

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<v Speaker 2>to evolve. It was such a good business where everybody

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<v Speaker 2>made money. The cable companies made money, the programmers made money,

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<v Speaker 2>the advertisers made money. Now this streaming model has really

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<v Speaker 2>upended all the economics that a whole couple of generations

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<v Speaker 2>of people have kind of grown accustomed.

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<v Speaker 1>To out there.

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<v Speaker 2>What's the feeling out there in terms of angst?

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<v Speaker 3>H It is anxious? You know, it's funny he mentioned

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<v Speaker 3>got two part as.

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<v Speaker 5>I went to an event the La County Museum on

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<v Speaker 5>Saturday night and and Bob Auger's wife Will Bays on

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<v Speaker 5>the board, and we kind of expected. It's literally right

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<v Speaker 5>next door to the SAG. The screen actors build building

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<v Speaker 5>too to put it all in contact. So we just

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<v Speaker 5>assumed he's been there, he was gonna be there, he's

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<v Speaker 5>been there in the past. Did not show up, So

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<v Speaker 5>whether I shouldn't read anything into that, but but but

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<v Speaker 5>definitely everyone was Everyone was talking about the strike. It's

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<v Speaker 5>a big deal, uh, And everybody just really wanting to

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<v Speaker 5>return to work. There are shows that are just you know,

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<v Speaker 5>waiting to get restarted, and uh and and and we're

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<v Speaker 5>seeing it in what we watched too. I mean there's uh,

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<v Speaker 5>there's reruns that are now the hottest shows on Netflix.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh.

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<v Speaker 5>Movies are getting postponed in some cases by years. Uh

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<v Speaker 5>So it's just it's really your beginning to see the impact.

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<v Speaker 4>Chris, I wanted to come back to Hugh Johnston here

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<v Speaker 4>for a minute, the incoming CFO, a longtime executive at PEPSI.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, my first thought, and maybe this is a

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<v Speaker 4>bit elementary, but maybe if I'm thinking it, someone else's too.

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<v Speaker 4>This is a guy who's working out a company who's

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<v Speaker 4>famous for soda and snack food and you know, more

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<v Speaker 4>like consumer discretionary goods of that nature, like what does

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<v Speaker 4>consumer staples rather? But I mean, how does that then

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<v Speaker 4>work for him coming into a company that is so

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<v Speaker 4>vastly different than that obviously still in the consumer space,

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<v Speaker 4>but on the media side of the business. And if

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<v Speaker 4>he could be potentially a CEO candidate down the line,

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<v Speaker 4>does he really have the background that Disney might be

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<v Speaker 4>looking for.

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<v Speaker 5>It's an issue I'm old enough to remember John Scully

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<v Speaker 5>coming from Pepsi Cattle and it was not a great

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<v Speaker 5>run he had there, And you know, there are some

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<v Speaker 5>interesting echoes here at Pepsi. They also faced a sort

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<v Speaker 5>of proxy fight with Nelson Peltz, activist who's now also

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<v Speaker 5>active in trying to get board seats at Disney. So

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<v Speaker 5>that may come in handy.

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<v Speaker 3>If you do some.

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<v Speaker 5>Research, you'll find it. When Hugh Johnson joined the Twitter

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<v Speaker 5>board a few years ago, there was a lot of

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<v Speaker 5>commotion because it was the first time he actually signed

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<v Speaker 5>up for a Twitter account. So, yeah, does he have

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<v Speaker 5>the media experience to lead one of the largest media

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<v Speaker 5>companies in the world. No, it doesn't seem that way,

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<v Speaker 5>but as we were talking about earlier, he is a

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<v Speaker 5>very seasoned corporate executive with a lot of experience in

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<v Speaker 5>consumer products.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, Chris, thanks so much for taking the time.

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<v Speaker 2>Appreciated as always, Chris Palmary. He's the entertainment editor for

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg News, joining us on Zoom from our La bureau

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<v Speaker 2>in Century City. Again a great office there, but again Disney,

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<v Speaker 2>it'd be really interesting for their earnings because they have

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<v Speaker 2>so many questions. As Chris was just talking about, so

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<v Speaker 2>many challenges ahead of them, as do most media companies

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<v Speaker 2>and investors are just like, I can't really own your

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<v Speaker 2>stock in size until I get a better sense of

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<v Speaker 2>where your industry is going.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, you've got to feel for this, Paul, you

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<v Speaker 4>said you covered it for yeah, you know, more than years,

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<v Speaker 4>and maybe you'd want to sail out.

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<v Speaker 2>But I'm glad that I'm not covering it or having

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<v Speaker 2>to come up because I just don't see it. I

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<v Speaker 2>don't see a clear path through this industry, at least

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<v Speaker 2>not right now, so I have to see how it plays.

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<v Speaker 1>App you're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch

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<v Speaker 1>us live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern Listen

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<v Speaker 2>All right, said, who is that band? I know that band?

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<v Speaker 2>Steve Miller band, Thank you very much, A great band

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<v Speaker 2>from back in the day. All Right, who releases earnings

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<v Speaker 2>on a Saturday? You know who releases earnings on a Saturday?

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<v Speaker 2>Somebody who can? Yeah, and that's Warren Buffett. He can,

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, and so he does it. And all these

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<v Speaker 2>insurance people Warren Buffett followers that say set it up

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<v Speaker 2>their day to follow it. One of those people is

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<v Speaker 2>Matt Palizola. He covers all the insurance stuff for Bloomberg Intelligence.

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<v Speaker 2>He joins his life here in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio.

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<v Speaker 2>We appreciate that he got the memo about four days

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<v Speaker 2>a week. What do we learn from Berkshire Hathaway from

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<v Speaker 2>the earnings announcement maybe kind of what we heard from

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<v Speaker 2>mister Buffett.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so.

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<v Speaker 6>Headline big gap loss. Okay, that is because that's accounting convention.

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<v Speaker 6>They run the changes in their equity portfolio through the

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<v Speaker 6>income statement. So Apple had a bad quarter. So you

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<v Speaker 6>see this top line number come through as I think

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<v Speaker 6>it was like twelve billion dollar.

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<v Speaker 2>If I look at the A or the be stock watch,

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<v Speaker 2>I look.

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<v Speaker 6>Either are they move They moved tandem. Okay, so headline

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<v Speaker 6>loss there, but the operating company earnings up like sixty percent,

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<v Speaker 6>and that was mostly on the insurance segments. The insurance

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<v Speaker 6>segment rebounds. It had a beadquarter in the year ago

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<v Speaker 6>because of Hurricane Ian. This quartery saw reinsurance underwriting booming.

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<v Speaker 6>Interesting come booming. You guys were just talking about the consumer.

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<v Speaker 6>Their consumer businesses actually did a little bit better. I'm

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<v Speaker 6>an insurance guy, so you know, it's not exactly my

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<v Speaker 6>forte it was. The top line was down like twenty

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<v Speaker 6>percent for that business in the second quarter, so I

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<v Speaker 6>expected that it to be down again, but it actually wasn't,

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<v Speaker 6>So I was kind of a positive surprise. But maybe

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<v Speaker 6>it might not look so good going into the fourth quarter.

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<v Speaker 4>And just tell us mac because Bruce Year is such

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<v Speaker 4>a massive congloborate of god knows how many businesses. What

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<v Speaker 4>exactly is the consumer business?

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<v Speaker 6>So they manufacture consumer products I don't have them all

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<v Speaker 6>in my head, and then they sell consumer products the

0:11:42.679 --> 0:11:46.520
<v Speaker 6>retail and sales. So you know, one interestingly they just

0:11:46.600 --> 0:11:50.480
<v Speaker 6>acquired with the Allegheny business was Jazzwares, which is a

0:11:50.480 --> 0:11:51.080
<v Speaker 6>toy maker.

0:11:51.280 --> 0:11:52.960
<v Speaker 3>I know that. You know.

0:11:53.640 --> 0:11:57.200
<v Speaker 6>When I told my kids that this company makes squish mellows,

0:11:57.320 --> 0:11:59.440
<v Speaker 6>they were over the moon, like it was the best

0:11:59.440 --> 0:12:02.240
<v Speaker 6>thing ever. So you know, perhaps that'll do bode well

0:12:02.280 --> 0:12:03.440
<v Speaker 6>going into the holiday season.

0:12:03.559 --> 0:12:07.240
<v Speaker 2>All right, cash, they got one hundred and fifty seven

0:12:07.400 --> 0:12:11.400
<v Speaker 2>billion in cash. What are they going to buy? I mean,

0:12:11.480 --> 0:12:12.520
<v Speaker 2>this is we've been asking.

0:12:12.320 --> 0:12:14.280
<v Speaker 6>This question for a long time a while, so.

0:12:14.440 --> 0:12:16.080
<v Speaker 2>But now the indust rates are up, I'm not that

0:12:16.600 --> 0:12:18.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm sure shareholders is like, not as concerned.

0:12:19.040 --> 0:12:21.920
<v Speaker 6>That's exactly right, Paul. So you know they have a

0:12:21.960 --> 0:12:24.400
<v Speaker 6>problem I wish I had. As they generate more money

0:12:24.280 --> 0:12:25.600
<v Speaker 6>they can actually spend.

0:12:25.880 --> 0:12:26.640
<v Speaker 4>It's a good problem.

0:12:26.840 --> 0:12:29.160
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, my wife might test it out on Amazon Prime

0:12:29.200 --> 0:12:32.880
<v Speaker 6>if we did. But yeah, they're just generating more money

0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:35.480
<v Speaker 6>than they than they know what to do with. The

0:12:36.120 --> 0:12:38.640
<v Speaker 6>great thing is the rise in interest rates, especially in

0:12:38.679 --> 0:12:41.520
<v Speaker 6>the short end, has helped them a ton. They were

0:12:41.559 --> 0:12:45.440
<v Speaker 6>earning about fifty million a year an interest income. Now

0:12:45.440 --> 0:12:48.480
<v Speaker 6>they're earning over five billion, wow, just on just on

0:12:48.600 --> 0:12:49.680
<v Speaker 6>interest on their cash.

0:12:50.880 --> 0:12:52.400
<v Speaker 2>So that's that's a model.

0:12:52.520 --> 0:12:53.000
<v Speaker 6>That's great.

0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:55.600
<v Speaker 2>I mean, why is the stock not ripping on rates?

0:12:55.600 --> 0:12:57.480
<v Speaker 6>Then it doesn't, it doesn't last forever.

0:12:57.600 --> 0:12:58.040
<v Speaker 1>I think it was.

0:12:58.160 --> 0:13:00.080
<v Speaker 6>I was honestly a little bit of surprise to me

0:13:00.200 --> 0:13:02.719
<v Speaker 6>that they benefited that much from it. I guess it

0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:05.520
<v Speaker 6>could have seen it. Maybe people expecting them to do

0:13:05.559 --> 0:13:08.880
<v Speaker 6>something with that cash, but you know, they keep it

0:13:09.520 --> 0:13:12.480
<v Speaker 6>liquid and that's been okay, won't be you know if

0:13:12.520 --> 0:13:14.240
<v Speaker 6>we start going the other way obviously yep.

0:13:14.320 --> 0:13:17.600
<v Speaker 4>Have there been whispers of what Burgs Year could possibly buy,

0:13:17.720 --> 0:13:19.480
<v Speaker 4>like what deals might be out there? I mean, like

0:13:19.520 --> 0:13:22.000
<v Speaker 4>we just said, this is a massive company, so many

0:13:22.080 --> 0:13:24.440
<v Speaker 4>businesses they're already involved in, Like, what more do they

0:13:24.440 --> 0:13:25.160
<v Speaker 4>possibly need?

0:13:25.480 --> 0:13:27.920
<v Speaker 6>So my big thing is I really thought they were

0:13:27.920 --> 0:13:30.439
<v Speaker 6>going to buy Occidental. They it was seemed out of

0:13:30.480 --> 0:13:32.959
<v Speaker 6>their playbook the way they were approaching it, taking kind

0:13:32.960 --> 0:13:37.800
<v Speaker 6>of little snips. Buffett was very positive on the management publicly,

0:13:37.880 --> 0:13:40.280
<v Speaker 6>which is things he had done before. Then at the

0:13:40.280 --> 0:13:42.160
<v Speaker 6>annual meeting, they came out and said, we have no

0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:45.800
<v Speaker 6>interest in owning this entire company. Then Chevron became one

0:13:45.840 --> 0:13:47.840
<v Speaker 6>of their biggest holdings, and I thought, okay, so they're

0:13:47.840 --> 0:13:50.920
<v Speaker 6>big energy players. Maybe maybe it's an energy business. They've

0:13:50.960 --> 0:13:54.400
<v Speaker 6>paired their holdings in Chevron. You know, I don't know.

0:13:54.520 --> 0:13:56.000
<v Speaker 6>I think it's going to be something we never heard

0:13:56.040 --> 0:13:57.000
<v Speaker 6>of that they end up buying.

0:13:57.080 --> 0:14:00.000
<v Speaker 2>Did they buy non US companies inside?

0:14:01.520 --> 0:14:02.240
<v Speaker 5>They haven't.

0:14:02.920 --> 0:14:05.360
<v Speaker 6>You know, Buffett made some investments in the Japanese trading

0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:08.080
<v Speaker 6>houses and that was I forget the exact number, but

0:14:08.120 --> 0:14:10.320
<v Speaker 6>it was in the billions of dollars. They didn't acquire them,

0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:11.800
<v Speaker 6>they just put the stocks of them.

0:14:12.280 --> 0:14:12.400
<v Speaker 5>Uh.

0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:16.480
<v Speaker 6>And they have some businesses with foreign operations, but because

0:14:16.480 --> 0:14:17.920
<v Speaker 6>they usually stick to the USA.

0:14:17.800 --> 0:14:19.760
<v Speaker 2>You know, with Tim craik Head, a Bloomberg intelligence you know,

0:14:19.800 --> 0:14:24.280
<v Speaker 2>explained to me years ago about the European stock index

0:14:24.400 --> 0:14:27.400
<v Speaker 2>doesn't have a lot of tech. Okay, what they have

0:14:27.520 --> 0:14:29.720
<v Speaker 2>is like they make stuff over there in your German

0:14:29.760 --> 0:14:32.720
<v Speaker 2>like Semens, and they make big stuff equipment and everything.

0:14:32.920 --> 0:14:36.520
<v Speaker 2>That seems like a play for a warn Buffett, go

0:14:36.680 --> 0:14:39.040
<v Speaker 2>buy a big machine company here.

0:14:39.040 --> 0:14:40.880
<v Speaker 6>I wouldn't be surprised. I mean, one of their biggest

0:14:40.880 --> 0:14:45.560
<v Speaker 6>companies is Precision Cast Parts, which makes precision parts for airplanes, right,

0:14:45.560 --> 0:14:48.000
<v Speaker 6>and it's just not something you know that much about

0:14:48.120 --> 0:14:50.160
<v Speaker 6>or hear about. That actually did pretty well in the

0:14:50.200 --> 0:14:53.840
<v Speaker 6>quarter too, but it's got a monopoly on these kind

0:14:53.840 --> 0:14:56.040
<v Speaker 6>of unique parts that no one else can make. And

0:14:56.000 --> 0:14:57.760
<v Speaker 6>I think those are the companies that they look for.

0:14:58.120 --> 0:15:01.680
<v Speaker 4>So if I'm a stockholder right now in Berkshire, do

0:15:01.760 --> 0:15:04.520
<v Speaker 4>I want to see the company buying backstock or giving

0:15:04.520 --> 0:15:07.200
<v Speaker 4>me a bigger dividend? Like, what do you think when

0:15:07.240 --> 0:15:08.120
<v Speaker 4>you see all this cash?

0:15:08.240 --> 0:15:10.240
<v Speaker 6>I think the market would love a dividends. I don't

0:15:10.240 --> 0:15:11.800
<v Speaker 6>think they're going to do that. As long as Warren

0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:12.560
<v Speaker 6>Buffet's around.

0:15:13.280 --> 0:15:16.440
<v Speaker 2>They were they so just go back. That's a great question.

0:15:16.960 --> 0:15:18.400
<v Speaker 2>Why don't they do a dividend.

0:15:18.800 --> 0:15:21.440
<v Speaker 6>I think, but they the Buffett likes getting dividends. He

0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:24.200
<v Speaker 6>doesn't like paying dividends. He I think he always assumes

0:15:25.040 --> 0:15:26.280
<v Speaker 6>he can do something better with the cash.

0:15:26.400 --> 0:15:28.760
<v Speaker 2>They okay, but that's now been proven beyond a doubt

0:15:28.800 --> 0:15:30.600
<v Speaker 2>that they can't because theres one hundred and fifty seven

0:15:30.600 --> 0:15:32.280
<v Speaker 2>bellion cash. Did they buy backstock?

0:15:32.560 --> 0:15:37.360
<v Speaker 6>So they buy backstock. Historically they were not big repurchasers either.

0:15:38.120 --> 0:15:41.480
<v Speaker 6>What happened in COVID the stock dipped and they really

0:15:41.520 --> 0:15:44.000
<v Speaker 6>started buying, and massive buying, like six billion a quarter

0:15:44.080 --> 0:15:46.960
<v Speaker 6>at one point. There's some limitations with the A and

0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:49.400
<v Speaker 6>B shares, they can only be so much of the volume,

0:15:50.240 --> 0:15:53.080
<v Speaker 6>but the share of purchase has gone down. It was

0:15:53.160 --> 0:15:55.640
<v Speaker 6>like a billion for the past two quarters, which obviously

0:15:55.680 --> 0:15:58.600
<v Speaker 6>has a lot of money, but not for them, and

0:15:58.680 --> 0:16:00.640
<v Speaker 6>it was honestly disappointing. I would have loved to see

0:16:00.640 --> 0:16:01.320
<v Speaker 6>them buy back more.

0:16:01.480 --> 0:16:04.360
<v Speaker 2>All right, let's have a broader insurance conversation. Shadows who

0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:05.080
<v Speaker 2>doesn't want to do that?

0:16:05.160 --> 0:16:05.520
<v Speaker 4>Please do?

0:16:06.280 --> 0:16:09.840
<v Speaker 2>What What are the big drivers A Howard insurance stocks

0:16:09.920 --> 0:16:12.360
<v Speaker 2>doing these days? And B what's kind of driving? What's

0:16:12.400 --> 0:16:14.280
<v Speaker 2>the driving thing that you guys need to get smart on?

0:16:14.440 --> 0:16:17.240
<v Speaker 6>So investors, So I mean interest rates are big things

0:16:17.240 --> 0:16:19.240
<v Speaker 6>that covered the P and C names, specifically, the life

0:16:19.360 --> 0:16:23.840
<v Speaker 6>names are very much interest rate plays and move a

0:16:23.840 --> 0:16:26.960
<v Speaker 6>lot with interest rates. The P and C ones property

0:16:27.000 --> 0:16:32.640
<v Speaker 6>and casualty, as we say in the biz. They they

0:16:32.680 --> 0:16:35.120
<v Speaker 6>were in a play on inflation, so the cost of

0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:38.880
<v Speaker 6>repairing things went up, so that increased their loss costs.

0:16:39.320 --> 0:16:41.920
<v Speaker 6>But their prices having going up as well, that's really

0:16:41.920 --> 0:16:45.160
<v Speaker 6>on the commercial side. It's hurting the personal side as well.

0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:48.440
<v Speaker 6>The thing is, these six Han's done that well this year.

0:16:48.520 --> 0:16:52.360
<v Speaker 6>They did their their defensive plays. The beginning of the year,

0:16:52.400 --> 0:16:56.760
<v Speaker 6>they all took a dive on the regional banking disaster,

0:16:56.920 --> 0:16:59.720
<v Speaker 6>which for no reason, there was absolutely no reason they

0:16:59.720 --> 0:17:02.680
<v Speaker 6>should fell in sympathy with them. We talked about it

0:17:02.720 --> 0:17:05.160
<v Speaker 6>at the time. So they spent all year recovering from

0:17:05.200 --> 0:17:08.320
<v Speaker 6>that just to bring into Berkshire a little bit. Berksher's

0:17:08.320 --> 0:17:10.240
<v Speaker 6>outperformed all of them, so they haven't really moved like

0:17:10.240 --> 0:17:12.320
<v Speaker 6>an insurance company this year. But so you want to

0:17:12.320 --> 0:17:15.320
<v Speaker 6>get small on insurance companies, it its rates, it's loss costs.

0:17:16.080 --> 0:17:18.639
<v Speaker 6>We just came out of the third quarter. Things were

0:17:18.680 --> 0:17:22.720
<v Speaker 6>actually better than I expected, and the stocks underperformed. I

0:17:22.720 --> 0:17:26.200
<v Speaker 6>think they have maybe another year of peak ros evaluations

0:17:26.200 --> 0:17:28.520
<v Speaker 6>can peak before the ROEZ, so there actually is probably

0:17:28.600 --> 0:17:29.320
<v Speaker 6>room in those stocks.

0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:32.760
<v Speaker 2>We haven't had any like big does it the hurricanes

0:17:32.760 --> 0:17:33.080
<v Speaker 2>and stuff?

0:17:33.080 --> 0:17:36.480
<v Speaker 4>That question next, Yeah, because you mentioned the imknock.

0:17:36.240 --> 0:17:36.960
<v Speaker 2>On wood here.

0:17:37.240 --> 0:17:40.080
<v Speaker 6>So we had a bunch of weird stuff happen in

0:17:40.119 --> 0:17:42.640
<v Speaker 6>the quarter, right. We had the Maui wildfires, we had

0:17:42.680 --> 0:17:46.000
<v Speaker 6>the we had the tropical storm hitting California, and these

0:17:46.000 --> 0:17:48.879
<v Speaker 6>were kind of they were odd events. The Mali fires

0:17:49.080 --> 0:17:53.679
<v Speaker 6>were very bad in humanitarian aspect, and the insured losses

0:17:53.680 --> 0:17:57.480
<v Speaker 6>were small for the industry. We haven't had a big event.

0:17:57.520 --> 0:17:59.360
<v Speaker 6>We haven't had like a hurricane e in this year,

0:18:00.240 --> 0:18:03.200
<v Speaker 6>and it's allowed these companies to build capital. But things

0:18:03.200 --> 0:18:07.159
<v Speaker 6>have been worrisome even this There was a big hurricane

0:18:07.240 --> 0:18:10.879
<v Speaker 6>in Mexico Otis, and I looked at it and my

0:18:11.200 --> 0:18:13.600
<v Speaker 6>just kind of very initial blush was, Okay, it's not

0:18:13.640 --> 0:18:15.560
<v Speaker 6>going to be big for the reinsurance community, might be

0:18:15.600 --> 0:18:19.119
<v Speaker 6>big for the domestic market. It's coming out. Maybe it's

0:18:19.160 --> 0:18:24.320
<v Speaker 6>six billion dollars, which is a modest industry loss. Again,

0:18:24.359 --> 0:18:26.600
<v Speaker 6>it's probably going to hit a lot of the Mexican companies,

0:18:26.960 --> 0:18:28.520
<v Speaker 6>but if you look at the damage there, it was

0:18:28.600 --> 0:18:32.680
<v Speaker 6>some of the strongest wins literally ever recorded. So we're

0:18:32.760 --> 0:18:35.600
<v Speaker 6>kind of on the precipice of maybe something big happening.

0:18:35.640 --> 0:18:38.639
<v Speaker 2>All right, Matt Patlozola, thanks so much. We appreciate property

0:18:38.640 --> 0:18:42.520
<v Speaker 2>and Casualty insurance senior analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence joining us

0:18:42.560 --> 0:18:46.000
<v Speaker 2>live here in our Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio here talking

0:18:46.000 --> 0:18:48.720
<v Speaker 2>about insurance's business, Warren Buffett one hundred and fifty seven

0:18:48.760 --> 0:18:51.960
<v Speaker 2>billion dollars of cash on the balance sheet. What is

0:18:52.000 --> 0:18:54.000
<v Speaker 2>he to do with that? That's kind of the big

0:18:54.080 --> 0:18:57.040
<v Speaker 2>question that investors been asking. A lot more coming up.

0:18:57.200 --> 0:18:58.000
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0:19:21.000 --> 0:19:28.080
<v Speaker 3>Bromarco a journal. Now bet you let me drive? Oh no, no, no, no,

0:19:28.320 --> 0:19:30.920
<v Speaker 3>who's going to drive? Honey?

0:19:30.960 --> 0:19:33.440
<v Speaker 1>Please, I'll do the travels.

0:19:33.280 --> 0:19:37.800
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0:19:41.600 --> 0:19:45.120
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0:19:45.160 --> 0:19:48.040
<v Speaker 1>drive up to jog Dawn on Bloomberg Radio.

0:19:50.760 --> 0:19:52.840
<v Speaker 2>Hi Mai Smith, Paul Sweeney live here on our Bloomberg

0:19:52.880 --> 0:19:56.400
<v Speaker 2>Interactive Brokers studio streaming live on YouTube as well. Don't

0:19:56.640 --> 0:20:00.120
<v Speaker 2>I don't know about you, Molly, but last week felt

0:20:00.160 --> 0:20:03.080
<v Speaker 2>like peak rates to me. And I know nothing about that,

0:20:03.119 --> 0:20:04.919
<v Speaker 2>but I just felt like peak rates to me when

0:20:04.960 --> 0:20:05.240
<v Speaker 2>I saw it.

0:20:05.280 --> 0:20:07.400
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, the Powell pivot, that's what we're talking about.

0:20:07.520 --> 0:20:07.879
<v Speaker 2>I don't know.

0:20:07.960 --> 0:20:08.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't know.

0:20:08.520 --> 0:20:09.320
<v Speaker 4>It could be the end.

0:20:09.520 --> 0:20:11.479
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk to somebody who actually gets paid to do this.

0:20:12.000 --> 0:20:14.159
<v Speaker 2>Liz Young, head of Investment Strategy, it's so far, She

0:20:14.240 --> 0:20:17.960
<v Speaker 2>joins us on Zoom from New York City. Hey, Liz,

0:20:18.200 --> 0:20:21.080
<v Speaker 2>what did you think of last week's action in the markets? Again?

0:20:21.320 --> 0:20:24.399
<v Speaker 2>Just to me, it kind of felt like peak rates,

0:20:24.400 --> 0:20:26.120
<v Speaker 2>both in the bond market, and I looked at how

0:20:26.119 --> 0:20:28.439
<v Speaker 2>the stocks were moving, and how did you get How

0:20:28.480 --> 0:20:29.200
<v Speaker 2>did you view it?

0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:33.119
<v Speaker 7>Well, first of all, it's difficult to call a peak

0:20:33.200 --> 0:20:35.280
<v Speaker 7>really in anything, so I won't do that because it's

0:20:35.320 --> 0:20:36.000
<v Speaker 7>a really easy.

0:20:36.040 --> 0:20:38.760
<v Speaker 2>Smart I did for a living.

0:20:37.920 --> 0:20:43.159
<v Speaker 7>It certainly does feel like we went down very quickly,

0:20:43.240 --> 0:20:45.360
<v Speaker 7>and it would be difficult to pop all the way

0:20:45.400 --> 0:20:49.080
<v Speaker 7>back up that quickly. So last week's action I would take.

0:20:49.160 --> 0:20:51.240
<v Speaker 7>You know, obviously it was a strong week in the markets.

0:20:51.840 --> 0:20:53.800
<v Speaker 7>Last week's action I would take as a bit more

0:20:53.800 --> 0:20:55.679
<v Speaker 7>of a relief rally. I know now we're in this

0:20:55.800 --> 0:20:57.879
<v Speaker 7>debate of whether or not it's a bear market rally

0:20:57.920 --> 0:21:00.679
<v Speaker 7>or new durable upside, but I would take it as

0:21:00.720 --> 0:21:03.920
<v Speaker 7>a relief rally. And I think the market interpreted what

0:21:04.080 --> 0:21:06.320
<v Speaker 7>Powell has said and what went on in the jobs

0:21:06.359 --> 0:21:10.000
<v Speaker 7>market on Friday as an indication that the Fed does

0:21:10.000 --> 0:21:12.760
<v Speaker 7>not have to go any further, and interpreting that so

0:21:12.880 --> 0:21:17.040
<v Speaker 7>far as reasonably positive. The problem with that interpretation is,

0:21:17.119 --> 0:21:19.680
<v Speaker 7>as Powell has pointed out, and as I think all

0:21:19.720 --> 0:21:21.920
<v Speaker 7>of us do know, that there are still some effects

0:21:21.960 --> 0:21:25.080
<v Speaker 7>that are in the pipeline waiting to come through the

0:21:25.080 --> 0:21:27.800
<v Speaker 7>rest of the economy and certainly come through the capital market.

0:21:27.960 --> 0:21:30.600
<v Speaker 7>So I don't think we're in the clear yet, but

0:21:30.640 --> 0:21:32.520
<v Speaker 7>I do think that there's been some relief in the

0:21:32.560 --> 0:21:35.880
<v Speaker 7>market and the expectation that we may actually be done

0:21:35.880 --> 0:21:36.760
<v Speaker 7>with the hiking cycle.

0:21:37.080 --> 0:21:40.240
<v Speaker 4>Not in the clear yet, Liz as in there maybe

0:21:40.280 --> 0:21:40.960
<v Speaker 4>another hike.

0:21:41.080 --> 0:21:44.720
<v Speaker 7>Is that what you're suggesting, not necessarily? I mean So

0:21:44.760 --> 0:21:46.119
<v Speaker 7>first of all, I don't think the FED is going

0:21:46.160 --> 0:21:48.320
<v Speaker 7>to declare the end of the hiking cycle. They really

0:21:48.359 --> 0:21:51.800
<v Speaker 7>can't do that, especially with inflation still as far above

0:21:51.840 --> 0:21:53.560
<v Speaker 7>target as it is. So they're going to leave the

0:21:53.600 --> 0:21:56.320
<v Speaker 7>door open no matter what until we get closer to

0:21:56.359 --> 0:21:59.159
<v Speaker 7>that two percent target. And they continue to reiterate that

0:21:59.200 --> 0:22:01.080
<v Speaker 7>two percent means to two percent, and I think that

0:22:01.119 --> 0:22:03.920
<v Speaker 7>we should listen to them until that changes, and I'm

0:22:03.960 --> 0:22:06.560
<v Speaker 7>not sure that it will change. So when I say

0:22:06.600 --> 0:22:08.479
<v Speaker 7>not out of the clear yet, I mean that if

0:22:08.520 --> 0:22:11.720
<v Speaker 7>you think back through this hiking cycle, we know that

0:22:11.760 --> 0:22:14.920
<v Speaker 7>it's been fast and furious, we know that it went really,

0:22:14.960 --> 0:22:18.119
<v Speaker 7>really far. But we even think back and forget that

0:22:18.200 --> 0:22:20.960
<v Speaker 7>we had seventy five basis point hikes, we had four

0:22:21.000 --> 0:22:22.840
<v Speaker 7>of those in a row, and then we had another

0:22:22.840 --> 0:22:25.320
<v Speaker 7>one hundred and fifty basis point of hikes after that.

0:22:25.720 --> 0:22:27.760
<v Speaker 7>I do not think that all of the effects of

0:22:27.800 --> 0:22:30.359
<v Speaker 7>those have come through the system yet. So that's what

0:22:30.400 --> 0:22:32.439
<v Speaker 7>I mean by in the clear. I still think that

0:22:32.480 --> 0:22:35.240
<v Speaker 7>we're going to see some credit tightening. We obviously have

0:22:35.320 --> 0:22:38.240
<v Speaker 7>this tapering program that continues to go on, and we're

0:22:38.240 --> 0:22:40.800
<v Speaker 7>waiting to find out if companies are going to be

0:22:41.080 --> 0:22:44.320
<v Speaker 7>squeezed by borrowing costs as they try to roll over

0:22:44.640 --> 0:22:47.600
<v Speaker 7>their bond. So I don't think all of those questions

0:22:47.640 --> 0:22:50.720
<v Speaker 7>have been answered yet. And getting through you know, earning

0:22:50.760 --> 0:22:53.480
<v Speaker 7>season that has been maybe a little better than average,

0:22:53.600 --> 0:22:57.320
<v Speaker 7>but we have a market that's been punishing companies even

0:22:57.359 --> 0:22:59.720
<v Speaker 7>as they beat earning. So that's why I say I

0:22:59.760 --> 0:23:02.840
<v Speaker 7>don't sentiment is quite all that positive.

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:04.960
<v Speaker 2>Yet that's kind of where I wanted to go, Liz,

0:23:05.080 --> 0:23:07.480
<v Speaker 2>just kind of earnings. As a former equity analyst, you know,

0:23:07.520 --> 0:23:10.640
<v Speaker 2>I do pay attention to what these management teams say,

0:23:10.680 --> 0:23:12.960
<v Speaker 2>particularly on their guidance. And while a lot of companies

0:23:13.000 --> 0:23:16.320
<v Speaker 2>have I guess beaten on their quarterly numbers, almost to

0:23:16.720 --> 0:23:20.320
<v Speaker 2>a company, they seem quite quite conservative on their outlook,

0:23:20.359 --> 0:23:22.679
<v Speaker 2>and I guess that's prudent given where we are. But

0:23:22.960 --> 0:23:24.480
<v Speaker 2>what level of concern is that race for you?

0:23:26.440 --> 0:23:28.320
<v Speaker 7>Well, I mean, I think it's good that companies are

0:23:28.359 --> 0:23:31.600
<v Speaker 7>being prudent, and that's really been what's gone on throughout

0:23:31.600 --> 0:23:34.159
<v Speaker 7>this earning season because the numbers, some of the numbers

0:23:34.200 --> 0:23:37.879
<v Speaker 7>have disappointed, but the numbers have not been all that bad,

0:23:38.040 --> 0:23:40.160
<v Speaker 7>and it's possible that we're going to have the first

0:23:40.240 --> 0:23:43.359
<v Speaker 7>positive quarter of earnings growth, which would technically take us

0:23:43.359 --> 0:23:46.080
<v Speaker 7>out of the earnings recession. The issue is that the

0:23:46.119 --> 0:23:48.800
<v Speaker 7>guidance has been soft, and investors are now in a

0:23:48.840 --> 0:23:51.359
<v Speaker 7>place where I think the tone has shifted. So for

0:23:51.400 --> 0:23:53.760
<v Speaker 7>the quarters before this, the bar was really low, and

0:23:53.840 --> 0:23:55.960
<v Speaker 7>it was easy to jump over that bar, and companies

0:23:55.960 --> 0:23:58.679
<v Speaker 7>got rewarded for jumping over that bar. Now we're in

0:23:58.680 --> 0:24:01.199
<v Speaker 7>a place where the bar is higher, and the expectations

0:24:01.200 --> 0:24:04.159
<v Speaker 7>for fourth quarter earnings and twenty twenty four earnings are

0:24:04.160 --> 0:24:07.320
<v Speaker 7>pretty lofty, and investors are hoping that companies can prove

0:24:07.400 --> 0:24:11.000
<v Speaker 7>that those can come true. The guidance has been soft

0:24:11.080 --> 0:24:14.439
<v Speaker 7>and probably a little disappointing versus what people wanted to

0:24:14.480 --> 0:24:18.240
<v Speaker 7>hear from CEOs about the following twelve months. So I

0:24:18.280 --> 0:24:20.600
<v Speaker 7>think it's good that companies are being prudent. I also

0:24:20.640 --> 0:24:23.199
<v Speaker 7>think that we need to remember, yes, it's good that

0:24:23.240 --> 0:24:26.760
<v Speaker 7>inflation has come down, but it also means that pricing

0:24:26.840 --> 0:24:30.080
<v Speaker 7>power likely comes down as well, and that revenue comes

0:24:30.080 --> 0:24:32.480
<v Speaker 7>down for some of these companies because they cannot pass

0:24:32.560 --> 0:24:33.520
<v Speaker 7>that all through anymore.

0:24:33.880 --> 0:24:36.480
<v Speaker 4>Something I wanted to ask you about, Liz, is looking

0:24:36.600 --> 0:24:40.760
<v Speaker 4>at financial conditions. Obviously, it's a wide, raging term of

0:24:40.800 --> 0:24:44.240
<v Speaker 4>what the FED looks at and evaluating how effective its

0:24:44.280 --> 0:24:46.760
<v Speaker 4>policy is. And a story that we did last week

0:24:46.800 --> 0:24:49.879
<v Speaker 4>going into the FED meeting was about the tightness of

0:24:49.960 --> 0:24:52.080
<v Speaker 4>credit spreads, and I wonder if that's something that you've

0:24:52.119 --> 0:24:54.560
<v Speaker 4>been looking at as well, because to me, when I

0:24:54.600 --> 0:24:58.359
<v Speaker 4>look at high yield spreads now under four hundred basis points,

0:24:58.960 --> 0:25:01.320
<v Speaker 4>and to think that the ED has been hiking rates,

0:25:01.359 --> 0:25:03.280
<v Speaker 4>you know, for the past year and a half, I'm

0:25:03.600 --> 0:25:06.240
<v Speaker 4>a bit confused here. I mean, you could, I'm hoping

0:25:06.240 --> 0:25:07.960
<v Speaker 4>you can help explain this one to me.

0:25:08.960 --> 0:25:11.600
<v Speaker 7>Unfortunately I can't. You and me both a little confused

0:25:11.600 --> 0:25:11.800
<v Speaker 7>by that.

0:25:11.960 --> 0:25:13.080
<v Speaker 4>What is going on here?

0:25:13.600 --> 0:25:16.239
<v Speaker 7>Well, it feels like it's like watching a pot that

0:25:16.320 --> 0:25:18.240
<v Speaker 7>you're waiting for it to boil and it's not boiling.

0:25:18.920 --> 0:25:21.760
<v Speaker 7>I honestly, I'm not sure yet. We've had a pretty

0:25:21.760 --> 0:25:24.720
<v Speaker 7>big correction in the equity market since the end of July,

0:25:24.840 --> 0:25:27.600
<v Speaker 7>and spreads didn't really respond to that a little bit,

0:25:27.680 --> 0:25:29.919
<v Speaker 7>but not the way that you would have expected, particularly

0:25:29.960 --> 0:25:32.840
<v Speaker 7>high yield spreads. So I think so far we've still

0:25:32.840 --> 0:25:35.760
<v Speaker 7>got a decent amount of companies with attractive borrowing costs

0:25:35.760 --> 0:25:38.080
<v Speaker 7>because they haven't had to do much with it. But

0:25:38.160 --> 0:25:40.399
<v Speaker 7>I do think again back to those legs and the

0:25:40.400 --> 0:25:42.160
<v Speaker 7>things that are in the pipeline. I do think as

0:25:42.200 --> 0:25:44.840
<v Speaker 7>we go forward into twenty twenty four, we're going to

0:25:44.880 --> 0:25:47.040
<v Speaker 7>hear more about that. The other thing that I would

0:25:47.080 --> 0:25:50.200
<v Speaker 7>say about, you know, spreads in general and just credit

0:25:50.280 --> 0:25:53.600
<v Speaker 7>that's available. If you look at the equity action in

0:25:53.720 --> 0:25:56.439
<v Speaker 7>small cap stocks. The reason one of the reasons that

0:25:56.440 --> 0:25:59.119
<v Speaker 7>small caps are getting hit so much harder is because

0:25:59.160 --> 0:26:01.280
<v Speaker 7>they are generally come meanies that are still trying to grow,

0:26:01.320 --> 0:26:04.679
<v Speaker 7>and they don't have enough capital to finance their own growth,

0:26:04.720 --> 0:26:06.880
<v Speaker 7>so they have to go to debt and equity markets.

0:26:07.200 --> 0:26:10.359
<v Speaker 7>Small caps continue to be under pressure and they can't

0:26:10.400 --> 0:26:13.280
<v Speaker 7>find durable upside. I think that is a signal that

0:26:13.320 --> 0:26:15.600
<v Speaker 7>the market is sniffing out. Small caps are going to

0:26:15.640 --> 0:26:18.880
<v Speaker 7>be under pressure because of this higher cost of capital

0:26:19.359 --> 0:26:22.280
<v Speaker 7>over time as that affects companies in the debt market.

0:26:22.320 --> 0:26:23.760
<v Speaker 7>I do think that you're going to see an increase

0:26:23.800 --> 0:26:25.560
<v Speaker 7>in spreads on.

0:26:25.520 --> 0:26:28.560
<v Speaker 2>The equity side. Liz, what are the sectors that you're

0:26:28.560 --> 0:26:29.440
<v Speaker 2>looking at these days?

0:26:30.800 --> 0:26:33.320
<v Speaker 7>This is going to be really boring, But because I

0:26:33.359 --> 0:26:36.879
<v Speaker 7>am cautious, I think the sectors, particularly in the equity market,

0:26:36.920 --> 0:26:40.000
<v Speaker 7>that investors can think about our consumer staples. I do

0:26:40.080 --> 0:26:42.159
<v Speaker 7>think that utilities is an okay thing to have in

0:26:42.200 --> 0:26:46.280
<v Speaker 7>the portfolio. I like energy, I like healthcare as in

0:26:46.320 --> 0:26:48.760
<v Speaker 7>the large cap space, a defensive play, but also kind

0:26:48.800 --> 0:26:51.320
<v Speaker 7>of a growth y defensive play that's not quite as

0:26:52.040 --> 0:26:56.000
<v Speaker 7>connected to interest rate moves as things like technology and communication.

0:26:56.280 --> 0:26:58.520
<v Speaker 7>So those are the sectors that I would be looking at.

0:26:58.800 --> 0:27:02.360
<v Speaker 7>I also think that there's still a decent opportunity in treasuries.

0:27:02.359 --> 0:27:04.639
<v Speaker 7>I mean, yields have come down a lot in the

0:27:04.680 --> 0:27:07.800
<v Speaker 7>last week or so, but there's still a pretty good opportunity.

0:27:07.800 --> 0:27:09.920
<v Speaker 7>And these are yields that are higher than I've seen

0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:13.240
<v Speaker 7>in my career, so you know, it's not necessarily too

0:27:13.320 --> 0:27:14.119
<v Speaker 7>late either.

0:27:14.440 --> 0:27:16.400
<v Speaker 2>Very good, all right, Liz, thanks so much for taking

0:27:16.400 --> 0:27:19.200
<v Speaker 2>the time. We really appreciate getting some of your insights.

0:27:19.440 --> 0:27:23.280
<v Speaker 2>Liz Young, she's head of investment strategy at SOFI. Joining

0:27:23.400 --> 0:27:26.280
<v Speaker 2>us on that zoom thing from New York City.

0:27:26.720 --> 0:27:30.520
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