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Speaker 1: Paul Right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: Today we closed the door on the first half of

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Speaker 1: the college football season and move forward with our Week

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Speaker 1: eight early picks and line movement predictions. I'm your host,

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Speaker 1: Seth Wilcock, and as always I'm enjoyed my friend and

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Speaker 1: colleague Scott Bogman Boggs. We've made it through the first

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Speaker 1: half of the season. From here on out things will

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Speaker 1: go exactly as we handicap right.

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Speaker 2: Of course. Yeah, we've learned so much about these teams.

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Speaker 2: Not gonna miss any more picks at all. But I

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Speaker 2: tell you what I am enjoying this college football season.

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Speaker 2: My record, I think is just a little bit below

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Speaker 2: five hundred, maybe right above five hundred, right right around

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Speaker 2: that range. Look good to start this week, then bad,

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Speaker 2: and then okay. Is where it ended just a little

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Speaker 2: bit below five hundred. But all of that, none of

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Speaker 2: that matters to me. Texas is number one, baby and

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Speaker 2: looks so good. That's what I care about.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, dude, the new landscape has been awesome. We get

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Speaker 1: huge games every single week, not just a few times

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Speaker 1: of year. So really looking forward to breaking down the

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Speaker 1: early picks and predictions here for the Week eight slate.

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Speaker 1: We're also gonna be reacting to Week seven and some

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Speaker 1: of the rankings movements as well. And before we jump in,

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Speaker 1: I did want to remind everyone who's listening. If you

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Speaker 1: want a chance to win a signed Kyron Williams, Los

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Speaker 1: Angeles rams jersey for free courtsey our friends over at

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Speaker 1: Pristine Auction dot com, all you got to do is

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Speaker 1: subscribe to the Benn Pros YouTube channel right now, drop

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Speaker 1: a comment below on any of our videos, and that's it.

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Speaker 1: We'll be announcing a winner right here on the channel.

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Speaker 1: So make sure you turn on those notifications so you

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Speaker 1: can be alerted when new videos are up and acclaim

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Speaker 1: your prize. Week seven was just another example bog mean

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Speaker 1: as we are alluding to how great this new landscape is.

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Speaker 1: Penn State they clawed their way back to beat USC

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Speaker 1: thirty three to thirty in overtime. Tyler Warren looks like

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Speaker 1: the real deal seventeen for two twenty four for the

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Speaker 1: tight end there Drew aller Ice in this kids Vans

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Speaker 1: Oregon They outdoor Ohio State thirty two thirty one. Evan Stewart,

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Speaker 1: he looked like he was kind of back after I

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Speaker 1: know a lot of Debbie managers were freaking out about him.

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Speaker 1: One hundred and forty nine yards for him. Bama, they

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Speaker 1: barely survived South Carolina, just a two point conversion a

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Speaker 1: way of potential overtime there and then BYU and Iowa

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Speaker 1: State are continue to prove that they are the cream

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Speaker 1: of the crop in the Big twelve. What caught your attention,

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Speaker 1: my friend?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, you know, I say, all I care

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Speaker 2: about is Texas. But these picks are giving me gray hair.

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Speaker 2: So Penn State going and winning it at USC was

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Speaker 2: I mean not the dominant fashion that I thought, but

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Speaker 2: they won that game. Really, Lincoln Riley choking it away

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Speaker 2: is just I mean, that was unbelievable. Obviously a lot

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Speaker 2: of good games that the Alabama. Maybe Alabama's not that good, you.

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Speaker 3: Know, Yeah, there's some questions marks.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, maybe the whole SEC is really good, though, I mean,

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Speaker 2: that could just be it. The SEC is beating up

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Speaker 2: on each other this year, which may as we get

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Speaker 2: into Texas going into the tough part of the schedule

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Speaker 2: season here, you know, not against Oklahoma that was not

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Speaker 2: the hard part obviously, but Georgia this week, Yeah, it is.

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Speaker 3: It is making me nervous.

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Speaker 2: But it is making me nervous because Texas looks so

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Speaker 2: good right now. But A and M, you know, A

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Speaker 2: and M looks solid. LSU winning against All Miss was

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Speaker 2: just such an unbelievable disappointment. I thought I had that

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Speaker 2: one nailed, and I did until the last second when

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Speaker 2: LSU tied it and then won it in overtime. It

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Speaker 2: did hold on to my under which I like better

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Speaker 2: in that game that I mentioned on Wednesday with with Terrell.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, there was a lot of fun this weekend.

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Speaker 2: And every week it feels like we come on here

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Speaker 2: Monday and we go, God, what a crazy week. Because

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Speaker 2: there's so much more parody in college football. It's everything's

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Speaker 2: a little bit closer than it used to be because

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Speaker 2: of the transfer portal, because of NIL, which you know,

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Speaker 2: makes it more exciting product on a week to week basis.

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Speaker 2: And you know, people that were thinking that the regular

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Speaker 2: season isn't gonna matter, it obviously does a lot more

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Speaker 2: because everything is kind of bunched together in a little

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Speaker 2: bit closer. I mean, I saw Tom Finelli tweet out

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Speaker 2: this weekend about the Big twelve, like almost every game

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Speaker 2: was within five points of spread, Like the spread going

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Speaker 2: in was within five points. Everything is so close and

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Speaker 2: compacted together in a lot of these games, so it

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Speaker 2: makes them tougher to pick, but more exciting to watch,

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Speaker 2: and you know, raises my blood pressure a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Kind of reminds me of like the NFL feels like

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Speaker 1: it's starting to go that way where the games are

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Speaker 1: tougher to pick, all the teams are a bit closer

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Speaker 1: together as well.

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Speaker 3: So any given Saturday, now have any given Sunday? Right, yeah, yeah, certainly.

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Speaker 1: And looking at some of the AP rankings after week

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Speaker 1: number seven, here we have Texas Oregon, Penn State sitting

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Speaker 1: on top of the rankings there, and then LSU Clemson

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Speaker 1: they cracked the top ten once again, and some teams

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Speaker 1: are rounding out the top twenty five of the AP

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Speaker 1: rankings here twenty three Army, twenty five Navy. What is

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Speaker 1: most surprising to you as we sit halfway through the season,

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Speaker 1: my friend.

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Speaker 2: I think that there's just been so many upsets. I think, honestly,

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Speaker 2: that's what it is. So it's not crazy to see these.

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Speaker 3: These balls.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I think Texas Tech probably deserves to get

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Speaker 2: a little love and be up there in the top

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Speaker 2: twenty five as well, so.

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Speaker 3: I don't know that anything is.

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Speaker 2: So super surprising with the way the ranks go, because

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Speaker 2: I think this will all sort itself out. But I mean,

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Speaker 2: honestly to me, you know, everyone wants to say Texas

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Speaker 2: is back, Texas is back, but I think if they

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Speaker 2: beat Georgia, I don't know, maybe they are officially back,

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Speaker 2: and if they do it convincingly, maybe they are in

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Speaker 2: their own tier this season right now.

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Speaker 3: So we'll see.

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Speaker 2: But their strength of schedule is like fourteen and they're undefeated,

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Speaker 2: so pretty good team.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's gonna be a ride for us the rest

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Speaker 1: of the way. Penn State only really has Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: I was looking ahead at our schedule here and it's like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: we really just have them. We have another bye week

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Speaker 1: for whatever reason as well, So we'll take what we

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Speaker 1: can get and move forward here. Let's get to the

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Speaker 1: games here in week number eight, though, Bogman number thirteen.

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Speaker 1: BYU is back on Friday night as they host the

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Speaker 1: reeling Oklahoma State Cowboys. Provo Utah has proved to be

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Speaker 1: a tough place to play this season. The BYU Cougars

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Speaker 1: have outscored Kansas State and Arizona seventy nine to twenty

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Speaker 1: eight on this home turf. Jake Redsloth continues to be

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Speaker 1: the straw that stirs the drink here for the Cougars,

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Speaker 1: who are now six to zero against the spread. They

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Speaker 1: also have the twenty fourth ranked total defense. Meanwhile, Mike

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Speaker 1: Gundy squad has dropped three in a row here WVU,

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Speaker 1: Kansas State, Utah. So some pretty decent teams, but they

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Speaker 1: feel like they've totally lost their identity here. Bogman Alli

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Speaker 1: Gordon kind of a shell of hisself. BYU is favored

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Speaker 1: in this one by seven and a half. Feels like

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Speaker 1: it should be a slam dunk. But these Friday nights

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Speaker 1: have been wonky, to say the least. Do we lay

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Speaker 1: the seven and a half right now? Or is there

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Speaker 1: maybe a better number coming here later in the week.

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Speaker 2: No, I think if you want it, you're gonna have

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Speaker 2: to take take it now because Okay State has been bad.

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Speaker 2: But I will remind people Mike Gundy, a veteran coach

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Speaker 2: eighteen and eleven in his career, off of a bye week,

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Speaker 2: so I don't want to give him two weeks to

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Speaker 2: prep for this game. This is a tough place to play,

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Speaker 2: right So BYU at night provo elevation, all that stuff.

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Speaker 2: I'll say this, I don't really like the side here

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Speaker 2: either way, because the way Okay State has been playing,

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Speaker 2: maybe maybe they're giving up. Maybe even coming off a

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Speaker 2: bye week, they don't show a lot of enthusiasm he

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Speaker 2: or whatever. I think the number that I like more

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Speaker 2: in this game is the over the total fifty four

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Speaker 2: and a half, because I think BYUS can be able

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Speaker 2: to score. They're going to run the ball because Okay

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Speaker 2: State cannot defend the run one hundred and twenty fifth

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Speaker 2: in run defense grade. Right now in Rundy there are

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Speaker 2: one hundred and thirtieth giving up two hundred and thirty

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Speaker 2: five yards per game. They are going to get run

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Speaker 2: all over. So I think BYU is gonna score, and

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Speaker 2: I think given you two weeks to prep for this game,

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Speaker 2: Okay State's gonna be able to score. So I kind

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Speaker 2: of like the over here more than a side.

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Speaker 1: I think that's a good call to be honest with you,

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Speaker 1: Like we have seen these Friday dogs continue to cash.

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Speaker 1: Last week, you and I both kind of favored and

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Speaker 1: leaned Arizona State. I didn't actually lay anything down on

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Speaker 1: that probably should have looking back on it, but I

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Speaker 1: think like, regardless of the underdog cashing here, we've seen

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Speaker 1: a lot of points scored on Friday nights. I feel

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Speaker 1: like the defenses maybe they just aren't rested enough and

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Speaker 1: they kind of come in a little bit slow. So

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Speaker 1: I think the over I might be tailing that with you.

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Speaker 1: They're fifty five and a half. I think that's a

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Speaker 1: good number for us here. And keep in mind this

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Speaker 1: was a game that went to double overtime last year.

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma State won that game in Stillwater, So a fun

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Speaker 1: one there on Friday night. Let's see what Terrell has

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Speaker 1: to say on Wednesday. But I think right now you

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Speaker 1: and I both kind of liking that over there. And

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Speaker 1: let's move to the Saturday slate in Bloomington, where the

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Speaker 1: sixteenth ranked Indiana Hoosiers are now five and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorites against the four and one Nebraska Cornhuskers. Kirk

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Speaker 1: Signetti has the Boys not only undefeated, but six to

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Speaker 1: zero against the spread as well. Curtis Rourke, a transfer

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Speaker 1: from Ohio, feels like the perfect dude to kind of

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Speaker 1: lead this team under center. They also have a couple

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Speaker 1: of dogs in the backfield as well. They got Tyson

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Speaker 1: Lawton and Justice Ellison, who've been leading the way on

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Speaker 1: the ground for Indiana. There, they are fourth in total

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Speaker 1: offense and six in total defense. Currently, Nebraska has been

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Speaker 1: solid as well, though they did drop one to the

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Speaker 1: Illinois earlier this season at home, but they are still

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Speaker 1: five to one against the spread, coming off good wins

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Speaker 1: against Purdue and Rutgers before their bye week. True freshman

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Speaker 1: quarterback Dylan Riola, he's been solid. I really feel like

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Speaker 1: the story for the Cornhuskers is his twelfth ranked total defense.

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Speaker 1: Is this a look ahead spot?

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Speaker 3: Though?

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Speaker 1: Maybe for the corn Huskers you think they got Ohio

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Speaker 1: State on deck next week?

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Speaker 3: What say you, Bogman, You cannot look ahead.

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Speaker 2: You cannot look ahead and pass Indiana at this point

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Speaker 2: right now. So I don't think it's a look ahead spot.

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Speaker 2: Because of how well Indiana's been playing. I kind of

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Speaker 2: expect Indiana to cover the line here. The big question

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Speaker 2: to me is can Nebraska handle Indiana push them around

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Speaker 2: at the line of scrimmage. If they can do that,

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Speaker 2: then they're going to be in this game and it's

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Speaker 2: going to be a dogfight. But I don't really expect

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Speaker 2: that right now. I think that Indiana, especially given two

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Speaker 2: weeks to prepare under coach sig. I mean, he has

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Speaker 2: these guys playing so well, they're going to run the ball,

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Speaker 2: you know. And Nebraska's been good on Rundy, but so

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Speaker 2: has Indiana. So I think I'd like the under here,

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Speaker 2: probably more than anything currently. But I expect Indiana to

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Speaker 2: win this game. The tickets and cash are on the

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Speaker 2: Indiana side very heavily right now. So if you want Indiana,

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Speaker 2: I would say, maybe go ahead and take them now

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Speaker 2: before this line opens up, at least according to public

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Speaker 2: data Monday morning. Okay, see, you know, Nebraska is a

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Speaker 2: very popular team. I know their fans will bet this

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Speaker 2: up way more fans in Indiana for sure, But I

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Speaker 2: don't know. I'm not sure which way I really expect

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Speaker 2: this to roll. I think it is going to go

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Speaker 2: towards Indiana as a more popular pick. I don't know

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Speaker 2: if this is enough points, and I kind of expect

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Speaker 2: Indiana to.

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Speaker 3: Cover here, Okay, I'm gonna hope.

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Speaker 1: So man, I've really enjoyed this Indiana team. They've been

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Speaker 1: one of the real darlings of the early college football

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Speaker 1: season so far. So minus two ten for a money

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Speaker 1: line probably not a really betable number for you. Unless

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Speaker 1: you really want to drink a ton of juice. But

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Speaker 1: I think getting invested some way in this game, whether

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Speaker 1: it is Indiana, you like the under or you say

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Speaker 1: the under, you like the under.

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Speaker 2: Okander, I like the defenses here a little bit more

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Speaker 2: than the offenses. The strength of schedule has been weak

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Speaker 2: for both these teams, one hundred and thirteenth for Nebraska,

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Speaker 2: one hundred and ninth for Indiana, So I think I'll

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Speaker 2: rely on defense more than offense in that one.

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Speaker 1: Okay, sounds good. Indiana's ten ninety three all time against

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Speaker 1: the corn Huskers just something to keep in mind. Let's

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Speaker 1: go ahead and move forward, though, in the noon slate,

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Speaker 1: where the four and three Louisville Cardinals are three and

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Speaker 1: a half point dogs to the undefeated and six ranked

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Speaker 1: Miami Hurricanes. If there was ever a team that need

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Speaker 1: to buy, I think it was Miami. They failed to

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Speaker 1: cover back to back weeks, very narrowly escaped Cal and

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Speaker 1: then Vatech by just a combined two points. They've won

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Speaker 1: those games. Still number one in total offense, They're led

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Speaker 1: by Heisman hopeful cam Ward as well in this number

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Speaker 1: fourteen total defense for Louisville. They have lost to both

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame and SMU. However, they have also failed to

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Speaker 1: cover against Virginia this past week twenty four to twenty.

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Speaker 1: They won that game.

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Speaker 3: You would have lost that game. I mean, Virginia was

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Speaker 3: up for a lot of that game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Tyler shuck like I was kind of singing his

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Speaker 1: praises earlier this season, Bogman, But he's had one interception

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Speaker 1: in the last three games. And this is just like

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Speaker 1: a solid team. I feel like, twenty second in total offense,

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Speaker 1: forty third in total defense. But I don't really know

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Speaker 1: if I can get invested with them once again. Where

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Speaker 1: do you think the money's heading? And where are you

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Speaker 1: heading on this one? Friend?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going towards the Canes on this one. I

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Speaker 2: think you're absolutely rights that they needed that. By week

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Speaker 2: they were looking lackadaisical inspired, however you want to say it. Now,

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Speaker 2: they got to go on the road to Louisville, and

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Speaker 2: Louisville just had their scare. But I don't know, man,

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Speaker 2: I think Louisville gets a scare and then you think, Okay,

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Speaker 2: they're gonna come back, and then they lose again.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I don't like this story.

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Speaker 2: I don't think Louisville matches up very well with Miami

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Speaker 2: in this game, and really what it is is it's there.

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Speaker 2: It's their pass defense seventieth in the country and past

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Speaker 2: defense two and a sixteen and a half yards per game,

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Speaker 2: and their coverage great on PFF ninety fourth. You know,

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Speaker 2: their past frush grade is great, nineteen top twenty is

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Speaker 2: very good. They will put pressure on cam Moore, but

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Speaker 2: there's not a quarterback in the country that's better at

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Speaker 2: handling pressure than Cam Moore. So you put pressure on him,

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Speaker 2: he's just gonna move out of it and throw deep.

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Speaker 2: I expect a lot of big plays from Miami in

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Speaker 2: this game, and I will lay the points to take

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Speaker 2: the Canes. And public betting is on the Canes now.

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Speaker 2: They're a popular team. I think i'd go ahead and

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Speaker 2: get it early.

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Speaker 1: Okay, all right, Yeah, I don't think three and a

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Speaker 1: half's enough. Honestly, I know Miami's been been hard to

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Speaker 1: trust as of late, but I still like them. Here.

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Speaker 1: They're eleven and four and one all time against the

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Speaker 1: Cardinals here. They did lose this game last year, but

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Speaker 1: I think that was a totally different Miami team and

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Speaker 1: kind of have to throw that out the window there

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Speaker 1: and before we continue, I did want to remind you

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Speaker 1: to join our college football podcast group. You can sink

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Speaker 1: your picks and use the quick pick feature on the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pro Sports betting app to get a chance to

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Speaker 1: win some free prizes. Elevate your betting strategy and join

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Speaker 1: the conversation today at bettingpros dot com slash college Kicking

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Speaker 1: off the three point thirty slate, we have an all

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Speaker 1: ranked Big Ten affair in Champagne as a twenty second

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Speaker 1: ranked Illinois fighting a line, I host the Michigan Wolverines.

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Speaker 1: Michigan has been one of the most disappointing teams so

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Speaker 1: far this season. At the halfway point, we got Dave

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Speaker 1: Portnoy pledging to find the next Michigan quarterback and to

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Speaker 1: pay him Davis Warren Alex Orgi. They both failed in

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Speaker 1: their attempts under center. We don't have confirmation that it

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Speaker 1: will be six year man Jack Tuttle under center, but

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Speaker 1: that's kind of where I think things are heading here.

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Speaker 1: But does that even matter? I think that's the question here.

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Speaker 1: Michigan one and five against the spread, one and five

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Speaker 1: to the under, outside the top fifteen total offense, forty

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Speaker 1: fourth in total defense as well. Meanwhile, the fighting Alni

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Speaker 1: they did lose to my Penn State and Indy line

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Speaker 1: straight up, but they are five and one against the spread,

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Speaker 1: and they did fail to cover last week though against

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Speaker 1: that electric Purdue team all of a sudden that shot

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Speaker 1: out of a cannon. Luke Altmeyer four touchdowns in that one.

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Speaker 1: And Michigan they might be heavy favorites all time here

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Speaker 1: against Illinois, but they have failed to cover in the

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Speaker 1: last two meetings since twenty nineteen. How do you think

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Speaker 1: this one kind of shakes out here, Bogman? We just

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Speaker 1: have a one point spread favoring the Michigan Wolverines.

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Speaker 2: Hey, look, I've been bad at picking the Wolverines this year,

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Speaker 2: So if you want to ignore what I say here

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Speaker 2: and fade me, I completely understand that. But I like

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Speaker 2: them in this matchup against Illinois because I think Illinois

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Speaker 2: can be run on. Right now, they're run DYE seventy

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Speaker 2: seventh run grade one hundred and twenty six. We saw

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Speaker 2: Purdue run on them last week that game. You know

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Speaker 2: that that should have been an Illinois role, I think,

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Speaker 2: just the way Purdue has been playing. But Michigan is

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Speaker 2: strong on defense, you know, very very good on defense.

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Speaker 2: They're fifty sixth in scoring one hundred eleventh in passing

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Speaker 2: then get passed on a little bit, but third in

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Speaker 2: stopping the run. Vegan also, he was out out of

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Speaker 2: nowhere for Illinois. They're leading rusher. I don't know if

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Speaker 2: he's gonna end up playing in this game. I think

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Speaker 2: Tuttle brings just a little bit more balance to this offense,

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Speaker 2: which is exactly what Michigan needs. So I think if

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Speaker 2: they get up, they're going to be able to lean

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Speaker 2: on the run game on offense and rush Altmeyer on defense.

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Speaker 2: So I think that we could see this game maybe

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Speaker 2: look similar to the Penn State game, where it's like

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Speaker 2: real low scoring and you know, back and forth and

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Speaker 2: type of thing, because Michigan's offense has been so dreadful

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Speaker 2: and Illinois I think is gonna get stopped by Michigan.

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Speaker 2: So for me, I like Michigan here. I know it's

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Speaker 2: not a popular pick right now, but Michigan has played

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Speaker 2: the fourth toughest strength of schedule so far this season,

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Speaker 2: so you know they've had a hard road here, and

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Speaker 2: you know that I think that's a big end. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: big problems on offense with the quarterback. So I think

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Speaker 2: if we get this settled, I don't know if Jack

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Speaker 2: Tuttle is the permanent answer, but I think he's an

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Speaker 2: answer enough right now for them to go in and

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Speaker 2: beat Illinois.

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Speaker 3: So I'm gonna take Michigan lay the points.

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Speaker 1: Any interest in the under forty four points? Uh?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I have interest in it. I think

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Speaker 2: I like Michigan a little bit more right now. I'll

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Speaker 2: dig in a little bit because I do think it

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Speaker 2: is a slower pace game. I don't think it's gonna

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Speaker 2: go like Illinois Perdue went right, so I think it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be much slower. Illinois is good at adjusting, but yeah,

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Speaker 2: I think I can. I can dig that under as well.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Historically, actually really play Michigan tight here as well.

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Speaker 1: I remember when Chase Brown was back there in Illinois

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Speaker 1: most upset them one October afternoon a couple of years

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Speaker 1: ago as well. So yeah, looking forward to that one

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Speaker 1: there in the Big ten. I'll be staying away because

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Speaker 1: I won't bet Michigan. I can't do it.

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Speaker 2: Not the worst strategy ever even there, seth, I don't

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Speaker 2: hate that.

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Speaker 1: Let's move to your rival. Read that has more country songs.

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Speaker 1: Written about it than I can even count. The seventh

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Speaker 1: ranked Alabama Crimson Tide. They'll be laying two and a

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Speaker 1: half on Tennessee here the Tide, I've been reeling though.

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Speaker 1: They beat Georgia in Week five, but then they were

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Speaker 1: upset by Vanderbilt, and then they failed to cover last

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Speaker 1: week against South Carolina as well. Jalen Milrose thrown three

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Speaker 1: total picks in those games, and I don't think they

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Speaker 1: really have a run game outside of him either. Their

390
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Speaker 1: fifty first in total rushing and Tennessee though it has

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Speaker 1: been great for them either lately. We saw Bridge and

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Speaker 1: company storm the field a couple weeks ago in Arkansas,

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Speaker 1: and then they failed to cover as ten point favorites

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Speaker 1: against Florida last week, winning twenty three to seventeen. Dylan Sampson,

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Speaker 1: I think we can say he is the real deal.

396
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Speaker 1: He has five touchdowns in that span two hundred and

397
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Speaker 1: fifty two total yards as well. But maybe we jumped

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Speaker 1: the gun on Nico a little bit. He's only thrown

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Speaker 1: for two hundred yards so far once this season. This

400
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Speaker 1: is a game that I think the books will want

401
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Speaker 1: us to get invested with. But do we take the

402
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Speaker 1: bait here? Bogman.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you're absolutely right.

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Speaker 2: I mean, and by the way, this is the only

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Speaker 2: game that has not released ticket info and cash info

406
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Speaker 2: on the spread that we'll talk about today. Maybe I

407
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Speaker 2: think maybe the late night one, the last one that

408
00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:38,240
Speaker 2: we talked about, doesn't have odds either. But this this game,

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Speaker 2: it's surprising because this is such an enormous game. It's

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Speaker 2: gonna be the most watched game or second most watch

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Speaker 2: game of the weekend for sure. My feel in this

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Speaker 2: game is that the problems that Tennessee has on offense,

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Speaker 2: particularly passing the ball, are worse than anything that Bama

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Speaker 2: has going on. Trama has, like you know, maybe maybe

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Speaker 2: they're just you know, they're adjusting. Saban left, a lot

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Speaker 2: of players went out, so you have a new group,

417
00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:07,439
Speaker 2: a new coaching staff. Things are changing, things are moving.

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Speaker 2: Both these teams have been disappointments. I mean, I can't

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Speaker 2: believe Tennessee didn't go in and just wreck Florida. I

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Speaker 2: was really surprised by that, especially at home. So both

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Speaker 2: these teams are disappointing. But for me, I think there's

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Speaker 2: more outs to Alabama winning. We've seen them come back

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Speaker 2: and win, you know, we've seen them stick and you know,

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Speaker 2: make it through these games. I don't know that if

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Speaker 2: Tennessee gets down the way that Nico has been, that

426
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Speaker 2: they can come back and win this game. That's my

427
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Speaker 2: main concern here. So I think I'm gonna take Alabama

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Speaker 2: in this game and lay the points. And I honestly,

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Speaker 2: we don't have ticket info. I don't know which way

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Speaker 2: this is going to go, but I would assume that

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Speaker 2: it's going to go towards Alabama unless just the whole

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Speaker 2: country hates Alabama at this point, they're all wanting to

433
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:57,560
Speaker 2: bet against them and taking Tennessee here. So Tennessee's at

434
00:20:57,560 --> 00:21:00,280
Speaker 2: home going to be a rowdy environment. But I mean,

435
00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:02,280
Speaker 2: you look at the history of this game set and yes,

436
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 2: I mean Hendon Hooker and Crew I think won a

437
00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:05,560
Speaker 2: couple of years ago.

438
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:07,680
Speaker 1: Yeah. I was about to say, we remember Morgan Walling

439
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:09,800
Speaker 1: and Peyton Mann and party in their faces off back

440
00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:11,360
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two, and that happened.

441
00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:14,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, But I mean before that, I think was fifteen

442
00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:18,199
Speaker 2: years of misery. So I'm just going to stick to

443
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:19,800
Speaker 2: that and take BAM on the road here.

444
00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 3: I'm with you.

445
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:22,119
Speaker 1: If Bama is nine to one against the Balls in

446
00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:25,320
Speaker 1: their last ten in Atlanta. The twelfth ranked Notre Dame

447
00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:28,240
Speaker 1: Fighting Irish are eight and a half point favorites against

448
00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech on the road. The Yellowjackets are five and

449
00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:33,120
Speaker 1: two against the spread, but they have failed to cover

450
00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:37,400
Speaker 1: against tough competitions so far this season. Loulville Syracuse more

451
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:41,080
Speaker 1: specifically dole threat quarterback Haines King. He's kind of made

452
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:44,120
Speaker 1: this team pretty formidable on offense, a top twenty five

453
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:47,000
Speaker 1: rushing team, and this is a top thirty six total

454
00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:49,679
Speaker 1: defensive team as well. And we know the story for

455
00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:52,840
Speaker 1: this Marcus Freeman led Fighting Irish team. They lost to

456
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:56,119
Speaker 1: Northern Illinois back in Week two and then they've actually

457
00:21:56,200 --> 00:21:59,359
Speaker 1: done pretty well since then. They're eleventh ranked in total

458
00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:02,240
Speaker 1: defense right now. But Riley Lonard has passed for just

459
00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:04,719
Speaker 1: two hundred yards just once this season. Now is this

460
00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:07,760
Speaker 1: past week when they really stomp down on Stanford there,

461
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,240
Speaker 1: Bogman does Notre dame strong history against Georgia Tech three

462
00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:13,199
Speaker 1: and zero in last ten years make you want to

463
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:15,720
Speaker 1: get invested here. We have seen this line drop from

464
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:17,800
Speaker 1: thirteen and a half on open to just eight and

465
00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:19,440
Speaker 1: a half in favor of the Irish right now.

466
00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:24,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think and Haines King a little

467
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:27,960
Speaker 2: dinged up oak last game, I think had a concussion maybe,

468
00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:32,119
Speaker 2: Like it's undisclosed right now in that dub against North Carolina,

469
00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:35,840
Speaker 2: so there's there's some question as to whether he's gonna

470
00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:39,000
Speaker 2: play as well. I think, you know, I think Notre

471
00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:41,600
Speaker 2: Dame can cover this. This is on the road, you know,

472
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 2: on the road. It's in Atlanta. It's a neutral site game,

473
00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:46,880
Speaker 2: but it's really I mean, come on, George of Tech,

474
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:51,440
Speaker 2: so you're gonna there's Notre Dame fans everywhere. So for

475
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,480
Speaker 2: sure there will be a ton of Notre Dame alumni

476
00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:57,119
Speaker 2: and fans at this game as well. But I just

477
00:22:57,160 --> 00:22:59,960
Speaker 2: think for me, the thing here is, I think Note

478
00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:02,800
Speaker 2: Dame's defense is going to be able to hold Georgia Tech.

479
00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:08,680
Speaker 2: And you know, Georgia Tech they've had some impressive wins,

480
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,800
Speaker 2: you know, but North Carolina is not an impressive win.

481
00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:15,119
Speaker 2: Florida State's a less impressive win than we thought, right,

482
00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:18,280
Speaker 2: So I don't know, I don't I think Notre Dame

483
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:20,359
Speaker 2: is rolling right now. I think they're going to be

484
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:23,119
Speaker 2: able to run the ball. I think they're going to

485
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:25,760
Speaker 2: sit on this clock as well in this neutral site game.

486
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:29,480
Speaker 2: I just I like Notre Dame, but I think I

487
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:31,640
Speaker 2: like the under a little bit more, especially if Haines

488
00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:35,480
Speaker 2: King doesn't play, so his status will be important. Maybe

489
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:37,880
Speaker 2: I'm overblowing it, but I saw a couple of message

490
00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,919
Speaker 2: boards questioning whether Haines King is going to play or

491
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,359
Speaker 2: not this week, so let's get a report on that

492
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:44,639
Speaker 2: before we make an official bet.

493
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:47,040
Speaker 1: But I like the under, okay, And do you think

494
00:23:47,040 --> 00:23:49,600
Speaker 1: this line will continue to shrink? As I said, it

495
00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:51,399
Speaker 1: was opened at thirteen and a half, so I'm kind

496
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:53,159
Speaker 1: of surprised to see it all the way down to

497
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:54,040
Speaker 1: eight and a half now.

498
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,080
Speaker 2: No, I think that was I think that was an

499
00:23:57,080 --> 00:24:00,879
Speaker 2: earlier adjustment. This game probably opened a while ago, you know,

500
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:02,879
Speaker 2: because it's a neutral sych game and all that stuff.

501
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:06,360
Speaker 2: So I think that was just a weekly adjustment down

502
00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:09,280
Speaker 2: to what it should be. But I mean, BP, we

503
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,199
Speaker 2: have this closer to a twelve point game, so I

504
00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:15,080
Speaker 2: like Notre Dame here, but my favorite play is actually

505
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 2: the under.

506
00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:18,679
Speaker 1: Okay, let's go ahead and close out this afternoon slate

507
00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 1: in Starkville, Mississippi, where the one in five Bulldogs are

508
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,440
Speaker 1: fourteen and a half point home dogs to the fourteenth

509
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:28,040
Speaker 1: ranked Texas A and m Aggie's. It's been in down

510
00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 1: year four miss State, but they did cover in two

511
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,280
Speaker 1: straight on the road against Texas and Georgia.

512
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:34,200
Speaker 3: A and M.

513
00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:36,680
Speaker 1: They're two and four against the spread, but they absolutely

514
00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 1: laid the hammer to Missouri the last time we saw

515
00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 1: them before their bye week. They won that one forty

516
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 1: one to ten. Connor Wegman was back under center for

517
00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:46,920
Speaker 1: it as well. This feels like a spot to me,

518
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 1: Bogman where they have to really prove who they are,

519
00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,159
Speaker 1: and they are who we think they are against the

520
00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:55,280
Speaker 1: bottom feeders of the SEC. Here A and M won

521
00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:57,920
Speaker 1: this one at home fifty one to ten last year,

522
00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 1: but this rivalry five and five over the past decade.

523
00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:03,359
Speaker 1: What say you and your approach here in this one?

524
00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:06,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, listen, Mississippi State has won me some money.

525
00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:10,240
Speaker 2: So I like Mississippi State. They keep it great.

526
00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:12,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I had them.

527
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:15,679
Speaker 2: I it was plus thirty three and a half against

528
00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 2: Georgia and they lost by ten.

529
00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:20,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, so yeah, I was all over.

530
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:22,359
Speaker 1: A lot of that was second half that I feel

531
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:23,760
Speaker 1: like a lot of that was second half too.

532
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:28,080
Speaker 2: It was, but but it was what they're doing, what

533
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:30,639
Speaker 2: Jef Levy has been doing at Mississippi State is normally

534
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:32,640
Speaker 2: he runs this pace pace pace, pace pace.

535
00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:33,760
Speaker 3: It's fast, fast fast.

536
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 2: But since shape and went down and they have van

537
00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:40,000
Speaker 2: Buren in, the guy that Kirby Smart pushed by the way,

538
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:43,880
Speaker 2: that's that's who. Yeah, yeah, yeah, but since they put

539
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 2: van Buren in, they've been slowing it down playing. They've

540
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:51,720
Speaker 2: been playing much better on defense. Not great, you know,

541
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:56,000
Speaker 2: it's Mississippi State. They're not good, but you know they've

542
00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:58,359
Speaker 2: shown a little more on offense than they should. I

543
00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:02,000
Speaker 2: feel like here, so my problem with this game is

544
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,320
Speaker 2: Texas A and M playing with confidence, Texas A and

545
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:06,880
Speaker 2: M playing because we saw what it did. They when

546
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 2: they are good, it gets rolling downhill and they get

547
00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:14,360
Speaker 2: really good, real fast. So obviously tough loss to Notre

548
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:17,480
Speaker 2: Dame week one, yeah, but that was Mike Galco taking

549
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:21,480
Speaker 2: over that this game with a quarterback that knew his system.

550
00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:24,600
Speaker 2: You know, I like, I just that was a tough game.

551
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:28,360
Speaker 2: They've been rolling downhill ever since then. So it's hard

552
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:30,520
Speaker 2: for me to pick against A and M right now

553
00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:32,840
Speaker 2: in this game with such a weaker opponent. But I'll

554
00:26:32,840 --> 00:26:35,120
Speaker 2: say the money and cash are coming in towards miss

555
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:37,880
Speaker 2: State because they are winning people money right now by

556
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:40,439
Speaker 2: keeping these games a little bit closer, slowing down the

557
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:44,760
Speaker 2: pace and all that. So I don't have a great

558
00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:48,040
Speaker 2: feel for this game right now. I think my heart

559
00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:50,639
Speaker 2: says Mississippi State. My mind says Texas, A and M.

560
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 3: Do you think.

561
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 1: Fourteen and a half is probably as small as this line.

562
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,440
Speaker 2: Getting its se I think it's gonna shrink really, yeah,

563
00:26:58,160 --> 00:26:59,800
Speaker 2: because I think the money is coming in towards miss

564
00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:00,400
Speaker 2: sip State.

565
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:01,200
Speaker 3: People saw them.

566
00:27:01,880 --> 00:27:03,919
Speaker 2: They hung with Texas for a half, they hung with

567
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:06,520
Speaker 2: Georgia for the whole game. This team may be not

568
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:08,280
Speaker 2: as bad as we thought they were. I thought they

569
00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:11,720
Speaker 2: were closer to I called them. I think they're closer

570
00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:13,840
Speaker 2: to Vanderbilt and the rest of the SEC. Vanderbilt is

571
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 2: better than half the SEC. Two. Yes, so this is

572
00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:19,199
Speaker 2: what we're talking about early in the show Seth with

573
00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:23,960
Speaker 2: this whole SEC flipped upside down. So I don't like

574
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 2: this game right now. If it shrinks more, I'm gonna

575
00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:28,440
Speaker 2: take the Aggies. Yeah.

576
00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:30,280
Speaker 1: I think I'll be right on there with you. I

577
00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:31,920
Speaker 1: want to see if that shrinks a little bit more.

578
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:35,120
Speaker 1: Let's get underway here in the primetime slate, where at

579
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:38,920
Speaker 1: seven Eastern time in Fayetteville. The eighth ranked LSU Tigers

580
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:41,120
Speaker 1: hope to keep it rolling against the four and two

581
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:44,000
Speaker 1: Razorbacks as two and a half point favorites here. This

582
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:47,119
Speaker 1: line opened as a nine point line, but was quickly

583
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:51,200
Speaker 1: shifted down here. Arkansas they upset last time out Tennessee.

584
00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:53,480
Speaker 1: They have the eighth ranked total offense and the thirty

585
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 1: fourth ranked total defense as well. Meanwhile, LSU, they've notched

586
00:27:57,160 --> 00:28:00,800
Speaker 1: five straight wins since losing to USC back opening night

587
00:28:00,840 --> 00:28:03,159
Speaker 1: in Las Vegas, but it took a comeback win. It's

588
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:05,400
Speaker 1: a knockoff Old Miss last week. I know you're still

589
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:07,480
Speaker 1: reeling from that one. And they're still just two and

590
00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:10,679
Speaker 1: four against the spread fogs. Can Arkansas do it twice

591
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,280
Speaker 1: in a row? Or will LSU win the Battle of

592
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:15,760
Speaker 1: the Golden Boot here? The Tigers are seven to three

593
00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:18,000
Speaker 1: in the last ten in this rivalry.

594
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:22,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, So, I mean, is there a bigger letdown spot

595
00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:26,600
Speaker 2: right this week than this LSU winning this huge emotional

596
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:30,119
Speaker 2: game at home against the Old Miss, celebrating all week

597
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,760
Speaker 2: and now you got to go to Arkansas, right And

598
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:36,560
Speaker 2: we just saw Tennessee get trapped and lose in Arkansas.

599
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:39,680
Speaker 2: Arkansas two weeks to prepare for this game as well.

600
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:42,000
Speaker 2: You can't touch this game until we know. I think

601
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:45,280
Speaker 2: Taylor Green is a little banged up the quarterback for Arkansas.

602
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 2: I think he's going to play, but let's get an

603
00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:51,240
Speaker 2: official word before we touch this game because I don't

604
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 2: want to touch it if Taylor Green is not playing

605
00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:54,600
Speaker 2: or if he's going to be well less than one

606
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:55,200
Speaker 2: hundred percent.

607
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 3: So let's get some years.

608
00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,480
Speaker 2: You know, we're gonna get injury reports because as he

609
00:28:59,600 --> 00:29:02,920
Speaker 2: has to bring them in, so let's get those, see

610
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 2: what's going on with Taylor Green and go from there.

611
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:10,600
Speaker 2: I think right now people are really happy with what

612
00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 2: LSU did, and it's been two weeks since the Arkansas

613
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:16,880
Speaker 2: had the bye, so I think we're not really thinking

614
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:20,480
Speaker 2: this one through right now. And let you know, let's

615
00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 2: just go through Brian Kelly's history here. So an LSU

616
00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:27,360
Speaker 2: hater this year, I guess, and I'm going to continue

617
00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:30,480
Speaker 2: being an LSU hater. I probably won't have any action

618
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:32,920
Speaker 2: on this game because I've been so bad at picking

619
00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:36,240
Speaker 2: LSU this year, But my gut, everything is helling at me.

620
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:40,640
Speaker 2: Letdown spot for LSU after a huge emotional win going

621
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 2: on the road against a tough opponent who's already won

622
00:29:43,560 --> 00:29:45,880
Speaker 2: and beat an opponent that everybody thought was better than

623
00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 2: them in Tennessee. Maybe lightning doesn't strike twice. But I

624
00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:52,320
Speaker 2: don't know, is it lightning or is it just the

625
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:52,959
Speaker 2: way it is?

626
00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:55,680
Speaker 3: You know? So yeah, I think that may be the

627
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 3: way it is.

628
00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:58,120
Speaker 2: So I like Arkansas in this game, but I gotta

629
00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:00,800
Speaker 2: I gotta know Taylor Green up and rolling.

630
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, and keep in mind too, this has been a

631
00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 1: three point game the last four times these teams have

632
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,520
Speaker 1: played each other, Bogman, so it's been tight. Is there

633
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 1: any chance that maybe this opens up a little bit

634
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 1: we could find some value on Arkansas later in the week.

635
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:16,520
Speaker 2: I think so yeah, Especially with Talen Green being you know,

636
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:18,080
Speaker 2: up in the air, I think the money is going

637
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:20,760
Speaker 2: to come in towards LSU until we get real word

638
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:21,440
Speaker 2: about that.

639
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:24,720
Speaker 3: Soay for me? I yeah, just sitting wait, I think,

640
00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:26,920
Speaker 3: sit and wait if you want Arkansas for sure?

641
00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 1: All right, and we've made the people wait long enough.

642
00:30:29,600 --> 00:30:31,520
Speaker 1: Let's get to the game of the week here. We've

643
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:34,240
Speaker 1: got another top five matchup with Georgia taking on number

644
00:30:34,280 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 1: one Texas in Austin College Game Day. We'll be there

645
00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:39,880
Speaker 1: as well. Texas is a three and a half point

646
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:43,720
Speaker 1: favorite after handling the Sooners thirty four to three in

647
00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:46,440
Speaker 1: the Red River showdown quinn Ewers. He was back in

648
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:48,800
Speaker 1: action in that one, but really it was this number

649
00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 1: one ranked defense that owned the day for me. Texas

650
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 1: now has two wins against ranked opponents, but they may

651
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,680
Speaker 1: have not played a roster even close to as good

652
00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:01,320
Speaker 1: as the Bulldog should be. How I would argue Bogman

653
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,320
Speaker 1: that the Bulldogs have actually kind of underperformed throughout the

654
00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:06,920
Speaker 1: first half this season. I'd give them a CI or

655
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:08,920
Speaker 1: D on their report card. They're just two and four

656
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:12,080
Speaker 1: against the spread. They looked awesome in Week one against Clemson,

657
00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:14,640
Speaker 1: but right now they are outside the top twenty and

658
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:18,600
Speaker 1: five in both total offense and total defense. This line

659
00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:21,400
Speaker 1: opened at one and a half. It has since grown

660
00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:23,600
Speaker 1: to three and a half. Do you think we continue

661
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:24,600
Speaker 1: to see it expand?

662
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:24,840
Speaker 3: Here?

663
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,360
Speaker 2: Now, another thing that gives me pause on the Mississippi

664
00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:29,960
Speaker 2: State Texas A and M game is like, maybe Georgia

665
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:33,280
Speaker 2: was just looking ahead towards Texas. True that true, definitely

666
00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:36,400
Speaker 2: could have played a part in this. I hate that

667
00:31:36,440 --> 00:31:39,959
Speaker 2: I'm about to say this, Seth, because I you know,

668
00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:44,719
Speaker 2: I feel I lose twice when Texas loses. But I

669
00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:47,080
Speaker 2: don't think I felt more confident going into a game

670
00:31:47,120 --> 00:31:49,840
Speaker 2: in a long time as a Texas A big game,

671
00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:52,520
Speaker 2: and then I do this game with the way that

672
00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:56,520
Speaker 2: Georgia has looked and played down. They played down in Kentucky.

673
00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:58,960
Speaker 2: You know, they played down in the whole first half

674
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 2: against Alabama, showed us who they are roaring in that comeback,

675
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 2: but then only be Mississippi State by ten. You know,

676
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:10,800
Speaker 2: Texas started out tough against Mississippi State, but spanked Mississippi

677
00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 2: State with a backup quarterback. They went in and just demolished.

678
00:32:16,280 --> 00:32:19,720
Speaker 2: Oh you you know, Quinn shook the rust off, looked

679
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,600
Speaker 2: a little rusty in that first like quarter. Texas didn't

680
00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:25,520
Speaker 2: score a point after that. It was all Gas, no breaks.

681
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 2: And that's what I see in this game. Isaiah Bond

682
00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:31,640
Speaker 2: being missing in this game for Texas as big of course,

683
00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:34,280
Speaker 2: but they have so many playmakers at the wide receiver position.

684
00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:41,800
Speaker 2: It's at home for Texas as well. I take Texas

685
00:32:41,800 --> 00:32:43,920
Speaker 2: and lay the points and this can open up to

686
00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 2: probably a touchdown for.

687
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,320
Speaker 3: Me as well. I won't bet it.

688
00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:51,080
Speaker 2: It's bad luck for me every time I bet the Longhorns.

689
00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:53,840
Speaker 2: They will lose, so I lose twice. So I won't

690
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 2: have any of my personal money on this because I'm

691
00:32:56,360 --> 00:33:01,400
Speaker 2: such a crazy, diehard Texas fan with weird you know superstitions. Yeh,

692
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:04,720
Speaker 2: superstitions for sure are Steelers. I won't bet on them either.

693
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:08,080
Speaker 2: Every time I have, they've lost, so you know that's

694
00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:11,800
Speaker 2: a personal thing for me. But I just with confidence.

695
00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:13,040
Speaker 2: I like Texas in this game.

696
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,239
Speaker 1: I don't blame you, and maybe I'll bet them for

697
00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:17,480
Speaker 1: you because I wanted to bet Texas last week. But

698
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:21,240
Speaker 1: the Red River rivalry is just such an unpredictable game

699
00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 1: each and every season that you know, we said it

700
00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 1: last week, fourteen points was a lot and apparently was

701
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:29,280
Speaker 1: not enough because Texas is defense.

702
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:31,240
Speaker 2: Did you see how I got my under in the

703
00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:33,200
Speaker 2: first half, by the way, seth. I don't know if

704
00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:35,280
Speaker 2: you were watching the whole game, but I had.

705
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:37,720
Speaker 1: Fought four games in a NASCAR race going on, so

706
00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:38,960
Speaker 1: it was in the corner. Yes.

707
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:42,760
Speaker 2: So at the half Auburn our kicker came out with

708
00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:46,360
Speaker 2: the first attempt, but oh you called the time out,

709
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:48,360
Speaker 2: gave him a mulligan, and then he pushed it to

710
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:51,840
Speaker 2: the left on the second one. So that was that

711
00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 2: three points would have killed my under but it stayed

712
00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 2: because of that. So, yeah, I Texas, this is a

713
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:02,880
Speaker 2: good team, man. Yeah, they're very very good. So and

714
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:05,840
Speaker 2: they're deep as well, so they can overcome these injuries

715
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:07,000
Speaker 2: that they've they've already had.

716
00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 3: Look, they're down to the third starting running back.

717
00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:13,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, Quinn hasn't played every single game, Isaiah Bond went

718
00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:16,399
Speaker 2: out and they still dominated ou Like they're they're deep

719
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 2: at every position, they're strong at every position, they're well coached.

720
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:22,440
Speaker 2: This is it's hard. It's hard to see them losing

721
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:24,359
Speaker 2: a game right now. I say that, and they'll get

722
00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:26,400
Speaker 2: smoked in this one. It wouldn't be shocking and it

723
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:29,680
Speaker 2: wouldn't be you know, a season record to lose to Georgia.

724
00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:32,840
Speaker 2: George is a very good team still, But I just

725
00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 2: don't see where it happens or how to me.

726
00:34:35,200 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 1: I think Texas's offense is so much better than Georgia's,

727
00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:40,839
Speaker 1: and I think if Georgia gets down, I don't think

728
00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:44,319
Speaker 1: this defense is as suspect as Alabama's, where Georgia can

729
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:46,399
Speaker 1: bring himselves back into it. I think if they get

730
00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:49,319
Speaker 1: down two or three scores, sign seal and deliver it's over.

731
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:51,600
Speaker 1: So yeah, that's kind of how I feel. I'm with

732
00:34:51,680 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 1: you there on that one. Let's go ahead and move forward.

733
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:57,880
Speaker 1: Here in Ames, Iowa, the ninth ranked Iowa Cyclones host

734
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:01,000
Speaker 1: UCFS twelve and a half point favorites. You called this

735
00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:04,640
Speaker 1: UCF team overrated last week, and they've now dropped three

736
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:07,239
Speaker 1: in a row. Meanwhile, Iowa State they've lived up to

737
00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:09,799
Speaker 1: the tests this past week. They won twenty eight to

738
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,720
Speaker 1: fifteen there in Morgantown, moving to six and zero straight

739
00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:15,000
Speaker 1: up five and one against the spread as well. Our

740
00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:18,040
Speaker 1: co host Terrell he has sung the praises of quarterback

741
00:35:18,120 --> 00:35:21,040
Speaker 1: rock O Beck. But really it's this fifteenth ranked defense

742
00:35:21,080 --> 00:35:23,040
Speaker 1: and this trio running backs that I think is really

743
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:26,760
Speaker 1: keeping Iowa State in games and dominating in these games.

744
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:28,879
Speaker 1: Is twelve and a half points enough for the new

745
00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 1: Big twelve favorite here, Bogman? They opened it ten and

746
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:31,520
Speaker 1: a half.

747
00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:36,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, so this game. Look, I doubted Iowa State last

748
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:38,839
Speaker 2: week and they ate my lunch. Right, that was a

749
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:42,160
Speaker 2: bad game for me to pick WVU. I thought, hey,

750
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:44,879
Speaker 2: at home and the lights Iowas say it hasn't played

751
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:47,160
Speaker 2: many you know, a really tough pony.

752
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:49,520
Speaker 3: Yet No, they went.

753
00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:52,319
Speaker 2: In and smoked WVU. It wasn't It was not even

754
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:54,840
Speaker 2: a close game. I think Iowa State might be the

755
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:57,319
Speaker 2: best team in the Big twelve. I just don't like

756
00:35:57,440 --> 00:35:59,319
Speaker 2: the matchup here against.

757
00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:02,560
Speaker 3: You set last week. Man, I do hate UCF. I

758
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:03,319
Speaker 3: don't think they're good.

759
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,560
Speaker 2: I think Gusmelzan is gonna get fired right like I think,

760
00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:10,160
Speaker 2: I don't think UCF is a good team. But I

761
00:36:10,239 --> 00:36:14,319
Speaker 2: don't think that Iowa State matches up well against this

762
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 2: team because they're pretty strong at stopping the run. They

763
00:36:19,120 --> 00:36:22,640
Speaker 2: have been so far this year. They're incredibly imbalanced, though

764
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:26,640
Speaker 2: it's not I think Iowa State wins this game convincingly.

765
00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:29,000
Speaker 2: But I think they can win this game convincingly by

766
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:29,760
Speaker 2: ten points.

767
00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:30,400
Speaker 3: You know.

768
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:33,799
Speaker 2: I think it can be something where their defense just

769
00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:38,120
Speaker 2: dominates UCF. But Iowa State's been really good at stopping

770
00:36:38,160 --> 00:36:41,919
Speaker 2: the pass the run not so much sixty third run

771
00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:45,920
Speaker 2: defense grade eighty first for Iowa State as well tackling

772
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:49,040
Speaker 2: for Iowa State one hundred and seventh. You know, so,

773
00:36:49,160 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 2: I think I think UCF is going to come with

774
00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:53,319
Speaker 2: a physical game plan like they always do. I mean,

775
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:56,000
Speaker 2: they run at a fifty eight percent clip, they only

776
00:36:56,040 --> 00:36:58,560
Speaker 2: pass the ball forty two percent of the time. So

777
00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:01,759
Speaker 2: I think what my favorite thing in this game is

778
00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:04,719
Speaker 2: probably the under because I think that UCF is going

779
00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:08,759
Speaker 2: to possess the ball more than they should, and I

780
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:13,200
Speaker 2: think it's going to be annoying for Iowa State. I

781
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:14,799
Speaker 2: think this game is going to just play a little

782
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:18,600
Speaker 2: bit tighter. I think I always they can win convincingly.

783
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:22,759
Speaker 2: This might be a you know, a seventeen to three

784
00:37:22,880 --> 00:37:27,399
Speaker 2: game or something like that. Right, even the total is low,

785
00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:29,799
Speaker 2: it is forty seven and a half to start this game.

786
00:37:29,840 --> 00:37:32,120
Speaker 2: Anything under fifteen in a college game is somewhat surprising.

787
00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:36,719
Speaker 2: So for me, I I don't like this game. I'm

788
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:37,920
Speaker 2: gonna I'm gonna leave it alone.

789
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:38,080
Speaker 3: Now.

790
00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:40,320
Speaker 2: Come back to me Wednesday. Maybe I'll have a different opinion.

791
00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:42,520
Speaker 2: But I think this is too many points as it

792
00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:44,960
Speaker 2: stands right now. Maybe reading a little bit more on

793
00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:47,920
Speaker 2: Iowa State and watching more because I didn't see UCF

794
00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:49,839
Speaker 2: lose at all. I didn't watch any of that game,

795
00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:52,520
Speaker 2: and then all day Sunday and watching NFL stuff before

796
00:37:52,520 --> 00:37:55,800
Speaker 2: our show. So I'll go back and watch UCF see

797
00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,279
Speaker 2: just how bad it was. Maybe they're just pathetic, but

798
00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:01,759
Speaker 2: I really don't like the these teams match up in

799
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:04,480
Speaker 2: this game. For this line to be this big.

800
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:07,880
Speaker 1: It's understandable, completely understandable there. Like Iowa State being this

801
00:38:07,960 --> 00:38:09,640
Speaker 1: goes kind of still a new thing, you know, we

802
00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:11,160
Speaker 1: kind of have to get used to it a little bit.

803
00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:12,200
Speaker 3: They're a good team, man.

804
00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:14,200
Speaker 2: I always state it always gave Texas problems in the

805
00:38:14,200 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 2: Big Twelve and every single time. So Matt Campbell one

806
00:38:17,120 --> 00:38:19,959
Speaker 2: of the best coaches in college football for sure as well.

807
00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:23,520
Speaker 2: So I do like Iowa State, it's just this matchup that's.

808
00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:26,799
Speaker 1: All completely understandable there. And all right, that'll do it

809
00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:29,319
Speaker 1: for us today on the Betting Pros College Football Show.

810
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:31,399
Speaker 1: Thank you so much for watching. We'll be back later

811
00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:34,560
Speaker 1: in the week with Carell for our picks and Predictions episode.

812
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:37,279
Speaker 1: Until then, like this video. If you enjoy it, subscribe

813
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:40,000
Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and the podcast feed,

814
00:38:40,200 --> 00:38:43,320
Speaker 1: download that Betting Pros app and sink your sportsbooks today.

815
00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:46,080
Speaker 1: He is Scott Bogman. I'm Seth Wilcock. Thanks so much

816
00:38:46,080 --> 00:38:48,960
Speaker 1: for watching. Take care of y'all. Thanks for listening to

817
00:38:48,960 --> 00:38:51,640
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros podcast. If you love the show, the

818
00:38:51,680 --> 00:38:54,240
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819
00:38:54,239 --> 00:38:54,960
Speaker 1: review on.

820
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:56,560
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821
00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:59,480
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822
00:38:59,560 --> 00:39:03,240
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823
00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:05,800
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