WEBVTT - The Mark Moss Show Oct 25, 2021

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to the Mark Moa Show, where I

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<v Speaker 1>am bringing to you the latest information on bitcoin, cryptocurrencies,

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<v Speaker 1>and the decentralized revolution each and every week. Ah, this

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<v Speaker 1>is the most important part of your week. This is

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<v Speaker 1>the part of the week that you do not want

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<v Speaker 1>to miss because this is literally the biggest opportunity you

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<v Speaker 1>will ever have, you'll ever see in your lifetime, and

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<v Speaker 1>not just your lifetime, probably the biggest opportunity that people

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<v Speaker 1>will see in generations. It's that big. Now, as a

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<v Speaker 1>as a pretty much career long professional investor, we look

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<v Speaker 1>for something known as an asymmetric opportunity, means we have

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<v Speaker 1>more upside than downside. That's how you always think about investing.

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<v Speaker 1>And the best way to get that asymmetric upside is

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<v Speaker 1>to have a symmetric information. That means that you have

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<v Speaker 1>information that most people don't know about. And so that's

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<v Speaker 1>what I'm bringing to you each and every week. So

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<v Speaker 1>make sure to tune in if you can real quick.

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<v Speaker 1>Just go ahead and pull out your phone or whatever,

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<v Speaker 1>set a reminder to come back to the station at

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<v Speaker 1>this time and join in with me. Now we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>dig right into it. I want to give you the the

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<v Speaker 1>information that you need. And the big news this week,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, is all time highs. We are back to

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<v Speaker 1>all time highs. We are seeing cryptocurrencies smashed through previous

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<v Speaker 1>all time highs and go into what we would call

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<v Speaker 1>uncharted territory. Now. I started out this show the first

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<v Speaker 1>episode we did and I had my good friend Alex

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<v Speaker 1>Gladstein on and the reason why I stated, um, and

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<v Speaker 1>if you missed that episode, go back and listen to it.

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<v Speaker 1>But the reason why I stated I want to have

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<v Speaker 1>Alex on for that show is because he is head

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<v Speaker 1>of the Human Rights Foundation and bitcoin is doing more

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<v Speaker 1>for human rights, global human rights than any other thing

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<v Speaker 1>we've ever seen happen in this world today. And I

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to put it um on the first episode, the

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<v Speaker 1>first show, because I wanted people to know that is

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<v Speaker 1>the most important thing. I didn't want to talk about

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<v Speaker 1>the price. I've continued to say that I think price

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<v Speaker 1>is a distraction. Of course, I've gone deep into that

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<v Speaker 1>um and I don't want to spend a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>time on that. If you've been tuning in every single week,

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<v Speaker 1>you've already heard that. But I do just want to

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<v Speaker 1>just kind of reiterate that before. Of course, we jump

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<v Speaker 1>in and talk about the price because everybody's excited. We

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<v Speaker 1>are sitting at all time highs again right now. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>As a matter of fact, we saw a bitcoin smashed

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<v Speaker 1>through its previous all time high that was set right

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<v Speaker 1>around sixty four, just under sixty five thousand, and in

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<v Speaker 1>last night's and early morning trading we got up as

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<v Speaker 1>high as sixties seven thousand U S. Dollars per bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 1>Now I've seen many people joking, um that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the U. S. Government has printed about eight trillion dollars

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<v Speaker 1>over the last year, which means that your dollars buy less.

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<v Speaker 1>They inflated the money monetary supply by about so now

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<v Speaker 1>your dollars will buy about less goods and services. So

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<v Speaker 1>if we're adjusted for inflation, maybe we're not back up

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<v Speaker 1>to all time eyes. But we're not going to dig

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<v Speaker 1>too much into that right now. But we have smashed

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<v Speaker 1>that that previous all time high. Ethereum, the other big

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<v Speaker 1>token was up as high as forty three hundred, about

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<v Speaker 1>forty three seventy five and has now settled back down

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<v Speaker 1>about four thousand. Of course, that is taking us into

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<v Speaker 1>uncharted territory again. The price is a little bit of

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<v Speaker 1>a of a distraction. I don't dig super deep into this,

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<v Speaker 1>but just from pure technical analysis standpoint, which of course

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<v Speaker 1>technical analysis is used for people to try to kind

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<v Speaker 1>of forecast where these price movements are going. And you

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<v Speaker 1>would look at the price action, you look at the candles,

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<v Speaker 1>the bars, and then you would look at areas that

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<v Speaker 1>had support and resistance and things like that. Well, when

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<v Speaker 1>you get over the all time high, there is no

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<v Speaker 1>resistance above head, so there's nothing, there's no ceiling, and

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<v Speaker 1>so we get into what's known as a price discovery.

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<v Speaker 1>Anytime you have a new product, or really anything in

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<v Speaker 1>the free market, it goes through a process of price discovery,

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<v Speaker 1>no different if it was real estate or any other asset.

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<v Speaker 1>And basically what that is is the price needs to

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<v Speaker 1>find the equilibrium of what or or the kind of

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<v Speaker 1>the middle between what buyers want to pay for it

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<v Speaker 1>and what sellers are willing to sell it for. Of Course,

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<v Speaker 1>like all prices, they're driven by supply and demand. So

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<v Speaker 1>if you have more buyers, more people that want to buy,

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<v Speaker 1>then you do have people willing to sell, the price

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<v Speaker 1>is going to go up. Those buyers will have to

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<v Speaker 1>be willing to pay more um and likewise, the opposite

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<v Speaker 1>is true, and so we're above the all time high.

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<v Speaker 1>We're into that area known as UM. Like I said,

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<v Speaker 1>price discovery. Now you might have heard if you're paying attention,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course if not, don't worry, I got your back.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm bringing it to each and every week. But the

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<v Speaker 1>big news this week, the big, big, big, big news

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<v Speaker 1>was that we got a bitcoin e t F that

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<v Speaker 1>came out. It was released. Now, I believe it's been

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<v Speaker 1>seven or eight years now that Wall Street has been

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<v Speaker 1>trying to get a b bitcoin e t F into

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<v Speaker 1>the marketplace, like seven years. Dozens and dozens a dozen

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<v Speaker 1>of them have been submitted and continually have been denied

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<v Speaker 1>over and over and over again. And so it's really

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<v Speaker 1>big news at this point that we finally got a

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin e t F to go through, And of course

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<v Speaker 1>that is part of what got the market so excited

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<v Speaker 1>and blew it wide open. Now, I would definitely not

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<v Speaker 1>say it was because of that UM. As a matter

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<v Speaker 1>of fact, you know, the price of bitcoin has been

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<v Speaker 1>on the rise ever since. I would say that it

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<v Speaker 1>might be more due to a few other things. But

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<v Speaker 1>that Bitcoin e t F is really big news, and

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<v Speaker 1>I want to dig into that UM I think there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of dangers in this e t F that

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people aren't aware of. I think there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of dangers for individual people that they're not

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<v Speaker 1>aware of. I think there's a lot of dangers to

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin UM that a lot of people aren't aware of.

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<v Speaker 1>So I want to spend some time talking about that

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<v Speaker 1>so you can navigate this correctly, not just for your

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<v Speaker 1>own investments, but also UM, so you can just understand

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<v Speaker 1>and how to sidestep this danger. But before we do that,

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<v Speaker 1>I just kind of want to dip back into kind

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<v Speaker 1>of this this price talk a little bit, because really

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<v Speaker 1>we saw that that previous all time high was set

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<v Speaker 1>back in April, so it's been basically, you know, since April,

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<v Speaker 1>we've we've been at that price level since we hit

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<v Speaker 1>that all time high of about sixty UM in April.

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<v Speaker 1>We then watched the market plunge right from there and

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<v Speaker 1>it got down, you know, dropped about fifty down into

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<v Speaker 1>the thirty thousand range, and then it kind of bounced

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<v Speaker 1>up and kind of sat in this like thirty two

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<v Speaker 1>to thirty five thousand dollar range for a couple of months,

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<v Speaker 1>basically from May eighteenth till about you know June, so

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<v Speaker 1>about six weeks it kind of sat in that range,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think, um, it's an understanding why the price

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<v Speaker 1>shot back up is you kind of have to go

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<v Speaker 1>back to why did the price drop in you know previously. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>the first thing I would say is that, you know

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people are trying to figure out the price. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>there's not always a reason why it moves every single

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<v Speaker 1>day or every single week or whatever. You want to

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<v Speaker 1>look at whatever timeframe, and UM, I would say, like

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<v Speaker 1>I said, right, I'm looking at the price a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit of a distraction, but it's still fun to try

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<v Speaker 1>to understand this a little bit. And so um, what

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<v Speaker 1>the big news was back when we hit that previous

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<v Speaker 1>all time high is that China was banning bitcoin mining.

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<v Speaker 1>That was a really big deal. They banned bitcoin mining,

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<v Speaker 1>and so um, I actually had made a video about

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<v Speaker 1>this on my YouTube channel where I break these subjects

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<v Speaker 1>down with visuals my white board. If you want to

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<v Speaker 1>check those out, just go to YouTube and type in

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<v Speaker 1>Mark Moss. And I made a video about this and

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<v Speaker 1>I called it China's second fatal mistake, China's second fatal mistake,

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<v Speaker 1>and I talked about how um them kicking the bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>miners out of the country was going to be a

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<v Speaker 1>fatal mistake for them. They made a big mistake. And

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<v Speaker 1>you know a lot of people going up into that

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<v Speaker 1>point before that happened, back in May, a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people would would often talk about bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>and say, how, um, you know, it's it's a problem

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<v Speaker 1>because the government's could shut it down. And uh, it's

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<v Speaker 1>also a problem because bit because China controls the majority

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<v Speaker 1>of the mining. That was something they would always say, um.

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<v Speaker 1>And so what was interesting is in China were trying

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<v Speaker 1>to banned all the bitcoin mining, they literally forced all

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<v Speaker 1>the miners to shut their equipment down and they kicked

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<v Speaker 1>it all out. All those people had to pack up,

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<v Speaker 1>and they had to move, and they had to leave

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<v Speaker 1>the country. And again right they controlled over half of

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<v Speaker 1>the networks. That was what people are afraid of. And

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<v Speaker 1>it was a testament for how strong, how resilient bitcoin is.

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<v Speaker 1>It was a testament because they literally shut down over

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<v Speaker 1>half of the network literally a brute force attack, boom

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<v Speaker 1>shut it down, and Bitcoin didn't skip a beat, didn't

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<v Speaker 1>even skip a beat. They continued to pump out a

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<v Speaker 1>new block every ten minutes. Of course, transaction times went

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<v Speaker 1>slowed down a little bit, maybe transaction fees went up

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit, but it didn't affect the network itself,

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<v Speaker 1>but it did affect the price, and I think that

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<v Speaker 1>was a big reason, probably the predominant reason why we

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<v Speaker 1>saw the price dropped from that previous high all the

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<v Speaker 1>way down, like I said about fifty now, but understanding

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<v Speaker 1>that also helps us to know why it bounced back up.

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<v Speaker 1>As a matter of fact, there's it's one of the

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<v Speaker 1>two reasons that we would always look at to understand

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<v Speaker 1>where these technologies are and more importantly um where the

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<v Speaker 1>adoption will be and the price will be um, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I want to get into that. You need

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<v Speaker 1>to understand this now. If you're just tuning in, you

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<v Speaker 1>are listening to the Mark Mass Show, where I bring

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<v Speaker 1>to you the latest information on bitcoin, cryptocurrencies and the

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<v Speaker 1>decentralized revolution each and every week. Again, like I say,

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<v Speaker 1>this is an asymmetric opportunity, and I'll be right back

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<v Speaker 1>with this asymmetric information you need to win with bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 1>You are back with the Markma Show where we talk

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<v Speaker 1>about bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and the decentralized revolution come to

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<v Speaker 1>you each and every week to bring you the latest

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<v Speaker 1>up to up to the most current information you need

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<v Speaker 1>so you can navigate this correctly. Now, before the break,

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<v Speaker 1>we were talking about the price. I'll talk about how

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<v Speaker 1>the price is a little bit of a in, a

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<v Speaker 1>bit of a distraction. It's not something you should be

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<v Speaker 1>focused on as an investor. If you're focusing on your

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<v Speaker 1>portfolio on a daily, weekly, or even a monthly basis,

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<v Speaker 1>it's not gonna work out too well for you. You

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<v Speaker 1>need to be zoomed out. And so if you're focused

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<v Speaker 1>on the price, you're definitely gonna be missing out on

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<v Speaker 1>some things. But we're talking about how bitcoin got to

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<v Speaker 1>a new all time high um and the previous high

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<v Speaker 1>was set back in April, and I talked I was

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<v Speaker 1>I was setting up to explain how the price of

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin tumbled because China destroyed half of the network, literally

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<v Speaker 1>shut down over half of the network and force them

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<v Speaker 1>to get out of the country. Now, if you run

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<v Speaker 1>a business, or let's say you even run a household,

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<v Speaker 1>but let's say that you ran a business and you

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<v Speaker 1>have to shut yours, you know, your business was forced

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<v Speaker 1>shut down, sort of like what happened with the pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>last year. But guess what, you still have expenses. That's

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<v Speaker 1>pretty difficult, right, I mean, you still got to cover

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<v Speaker 1>your expenses. You don't have any income coming in. So

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<v Speaker 1>what are you gonna do. Well, You're probably gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>forced to start selling some assets, put some things on fire,

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<v Speaker 1>cell clear out some inventory, something to try to get money. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>imagine that times ten were Now not only are you

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<v Speaker 1>shut down, but you literally have to pack your entire

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<v Speaker 1>data center and move it halfway around the world. And

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<v Speaker 1>so what happened is when those when when over half

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<v Speaker 1>of the bitcoin network was forced to be shut down

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<v Speaker 1>by China, they were forced to liquidate their bitcoin, right,

0:11:18.640 --> 0:11:20.520
<v Speaker 1>so they sit on a bunch and their treasury reserves,

0:11:20.800 --> 0:11:23.280
<v Speaker 1>and so they were dumping their bitcoin onto the market

0:11:23.280 --> 0:11:26.319
<v Speaker 1>to try to raise the capital they needed to move

0:11:26.760 --> 0:11:29.200
<v Speaker 1>across the world. Now, of course, as I said earlier,

0:11:29.240 --> 0:11:31.600
<v Speaker 1>supply and demand. So when you have the same amount

0:11:31.640 --> 0:11:34.880
<v Speaker 1>of buyers but you have an increase in supply, then

0:11:34.960 --> 0:11:37.200
<v Speaker 1>typically you would expect prices to go down. And that's

0:11:37.320 --> 0:11:41.000
<v Speaker 1>exactly what happened. Now, I think you know, the price

0:11:41.040 --> 0:11:44.160
<v Speaker 1>of bitcoin stayed down, like I said, for about six weeks,

0:11:44.160 --> 0:11:45.640
<v Speaker 1>and then it kind of jumped up and got into

0:11:45.640 --> 0:11:49.400
<v Speaker 1>the forty dollar range. And then we saw something else

0:11:49.440 --> 0:11:52.240
<v Speaker 1>from China. Thank you very much, China. Uh, something else

0:11:52.320 --> 0:11:55.360
<v Speaker 1>from China, and that was that. About a month ago,

0:11:56.360 --> 0:11:59.920
<v Speaker 1>China said it's not just enough to ban the bitcoin mining,

0:12:00.400 --> 0:12:03.520
<v Speaker 1>we need to ban all cryptocurrencies. As a matter of fact,

0:12:03.760 --> 0:12:06.040
<v Speaker 1>nobody in the country can do anything with cryptocurrencies. They

0:12:06.040 --> 0:12:07.520
<v Speaker 1>can't buy them, they can't trade them, they can't own them,

0:12:07.520 --> 0:12:10.640
<v Speaker 1>they can't do anything. And that was about six weeks ago.

0:12:10.720 --> 0:12:13.560
<v Speaker 1>And since that time, since the time that they went

0:12:13.600 --> 0:12:16.720
<v Speaker 1>ahead to ban it again courtesy of them, we have

0:12:16.840 --> 0:12:22.080
<v Speaker 1>now seen the price of bitcoin jump up over and

0:12:22.120 --> 0:12:24.560
<v Speaker 1>I think I think there's a couple of reasons why. Right,

0:12:24.559 --> 0:12:28.680
<v Speaker 1>this is important to understand. So basically, what China did

0:12:28.880 --> 0:12:30.640
<v Speaker 1>was they said, you don't have the right to hold

0:12:30.640 --> 0:12:32.800
<v Speaker 1>your wealth in a way that we can't censor and

0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:36.440
<v Speaker 1>steal and inflate away. Now when they tell you that,

0:12:37.240 --> 0:12:39.800
<v Speaker 1>it kind of makes you want to find a way

0:12:39.800 --> 0:12:42.440
<v Speaker 1>to do that. And so they're almost doing their own

0:12:42.480 --> 0:12:45.400
<v Speaker 1>marketing or bitcoins marketing for us. And I think, um,

0:12:45.440 --> 0:12:47.600
<v Speaker 1>it showed the rest of the world how important it

0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:50.240
<v Speaker 1>was to get your wealth outside of their system. Um

0:12:50.280 --> 0:12:52.720
<v Speaker 1>and I think also in China, it's also increased the

0:12:52.720 --> 0:12:55.439
<v Speaker 1>demand not only for bitcoin. UM. I had some reports

0:12:55.440 --> 0:12:57.800
<v Speaker 1>from some gold people I was talking to today and

0:12:57.840 --> 0:13:01.760
<v Speaker 1>they said that gold, the gold sales, the volume of

0:13:01.760 --> 0:13:04.560
<v Speaker 1>gold sales are off the chart in China. Of course,

0:13:04.600 --> 0:13:06.440
<v Speaker 1>the people aren't buying gold boy on that you would

0:13:06.440 --> 0:13:08.840
<v Speaker 1>typically store and you're safe. They're buying gold jewelry because

0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:10.960
<v Speaker 1>that's what they have available to them, and so they're

0:13:11.000 --> 0:13:13.840
<v Speaker 1>literally standing. There's long lines. At least I have been

0:13:13.840 --> 0:13:16.440
<v Speaker 1>reported long lines at all the jewelry stores of people

0:13:16.480 --> 0:13:18.280
<v Speaker 1>just trying to buy gold. They're trying to do anything

0:13:18.360 --> 0:13:20.600
<v Speaker 1>they can to get their money out of the system.

0:13:20.679 --> 0:13:23.720
<v Speaker 1>And so since that time, basically China told the world, hey,

0:13:23.840 --> 0:13:25.959
<v Speaker 1>if if you don't want your government stealing your money,

0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:27.560
<v Speaker 1>you should get out of the system. And since that time,

0:13:27.559 --> 0:13:31.560
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin has responded and to me, and maybe I'm just

0:13:31.760 --> 0:13:33.839
<v Speaker 1>looking at this with some rose colored or we actually

0:13:33.880 --> 0:13:36.560
<v Speaker 1>call them orange colored glenses and orange colored glasses. But

0:13:36.640 --> 0:13:39.959
<v Speaker 1>maybe maybe it's just me, but it's like, um, maybe

0:13:40.000 --> 0:13:44.160
<v Speaker 1>the world the sane, they're ready for a separation of

0:13:44.160 --> 0:13:48.200
<v Speaker 1>money and state. Maybe they're ready to see the end

0:13:48.240 --> 0:13:51.360
<v Speaker 1>of this government monopoly on money at least that's what

0:13:51.400 --> 0:13:53.440
<v Speaker 1>the price action is telling us. And so, UM, that

0:13:53.520 --> 0:13:56.360
<v Speaker 1>happened at the same time though, and so here's where

0:13:56.400 --> 0:13:59.200
<v Speaker 1>we have to continue to get into this. So at

0:13:59.240 --> 0:14:01.600
<v Speaker 1>the same time it's Kindah was cracking down on it,

0:14:01.679 --> 0:14:04.400
<v Speaker 1>and the price of bitcoin responded. Um. People in the

0:14:04.480 --> 0:14:06.719
<v Speaker 1>United States still say, oh, yeah, but the US will, well,

0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:08.880
<v Speaker 1>we'll make it illegal, the US will ban it. Right,

0:14:08.880 --> 0:14:10.439
<v Speaker 1>It's still I still hear that all the time. I

0:14:10.480 --> 0:14:13.440
<v Speaker 1>think it's a ridiculous argument, one of dispelled many many times.

0:14:13.480 --> 0:14:15.120
<v Speaker 1>As a matter of fact, I have multiple videos on

0:14:15.120 --> 0:14:18.520
<v Speaker 1>my YouTube channel UM dedicated towards just answering that question.

0:14:18.559 --> 0:14:21.160
<v Speaker 1>Why I don't think they could, why they couldn't, why

0:14:21.200 --> 0:14:24.360
<v Speaker 1>they won't, why it would destroy the United States economy

0:14:24.400 --> 0:14:27.760
<v Speaker 1>if they did, all these different topics. But at the

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:29.480
<v Speaker 1>same time, right, like I said, people still think it's

0:14:29.480 --> 0:14:32.240
<v Speaker 1>going to happen in the US. But we had Jerome Powell,

0:14:32.280 --> 0:14:34.600
<v Speaker 1>who's the head of the Federal Reserve of the Central

0:14:34.600 --> 0:14:37.160
<v Speaker 1>Bank of the United States, and we had the head

0:14:37.160 --> 0:14:39.160
<v Speaker 1>of the SEC gar Agains. They're both come out and

0:14:39.200 --> 0:14:44.600
<v Speaker 1>say we will not ban it, point blank. If you

0:14:44.600 --> 0:14:47.320
<v Speaker 1>need any more clear, that's about how clear they were. Um.

0:14:47.360 --> 0:14:49.480
<v Speaker 1>And so they've come out and told you that they're

0:14:49.480 --> 0:14:51.120
<v Speaker 1>not going to ban it. They've said that, and some

0:14:51.160 --> 0:14:53.680
<v Speaker 1>people are still people don't want to believe it, and

0:14:53.680 --> 0:14:55.800
<v Speaker 1>they're like, yeah, they don't really mean it to someone

0:14:55.840 --> 0:14:58.000
<v Speaker 1>else is going to do it. But I think that

0:14:58.120 --> 0:15:01.440
<v Speaker 1>this e t F being approved is the final nail

0:15:01.520 --> 0:15:03.560
<v Speaker 1>in the coffin, Like this is like this is it

0:15:03.640 --> 0:15:06.200
<v Speaker 1>Like there's just there's just no way. I mean, I

0:15:06.240 --> 0:15:08.800
<v Speaker 1>don't want to say no way. I would say the probability,

0:15:09.160 --> 0:15:12.400
<v Speaker 1>the probability of the government banning it at this point

0:15:12.640 --> 0:15:16.240
<v Speaker 1>is just barely better than zero. Um. At this point,

0:15:16.280 --> 0:15:22.160
<v Speaker 1>we have approximately fifty million Americans own bitcoin. Fifty million Americans,

0:15:22.200 --> 0:15:23.560
<v Speaker 1>so that would be a big problem if they want

0:15:23.600 --> 0:15:25.840
<v Speaker 1>to suck the wealth out of fifty million Americans. On

0:15:25.960 --> 0:15:28.560
<v Speaker 1>top of that, um, the United States has become the

0:15:28.600 --> 0:15:31.680
<v Speaker 1>biggest beneficiary of the bitcoin mining because it was all

0:15:31.760 --> 0:15:34.400
<v Speaker 1>kicked out of China. A good majority of it came

0:15:34.440 --> 0:15:36.800
<v Speaker 1>to the United States, mostly just in Texas, which is

0:15:36.840 --> 0:15:39.720
<v Speaker 1>working to become a bitcoin state, which is a very

0:15:39.760 --> 0:15:43.360
<v Speaker 1>interesting story in itself. And now we we have you know,

0:15:43.480 --> 0:15:48.080
<v Speaker 1>most of Wall Street, from Fidelity to Goldman Sacks to

0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:51.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, smaller players, UM, New York Stock Exchange, even

0:15:51.360 --> 0:15:55.080
<v Speaker 1>you know cash app and PayPal, Vinmo, Now, etcetera. UM,

0:15:55.120 --> 0:15:58.400
<v Speaker 1>they're all they've all built out Bitcoin products and services

0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:00.640
<v Speaker 1>and so UM if the GUP we tried to ban it,

0:16:00.640 --> 0:16:02.720
<v Speaker 1>that'ld be not only have fifty million Americans on their

0:16:03.360 --> 0:16:05.360
<v Speaker 1>on their case, they'd also have all of Wall Street

0:16:05.360 --> 0:16:08.600
<v Speaker 1>on their case. And now with an e t F

0:16:08.600 --> 0:16:11.640
<v Speaker 1>finally approved and um, as a matter of fact, it

0:16:11.720 --> 0:16:16.280
<v Speaker 1>was the second fastest growing, the second biggest e t

0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:19.280
<v Speaker 1>F launch in history. And really it's kind of the

0:16:19.280 --> 0:16:22.480
<v Speaker 1>biggest because the first one has an asterisk beside it.

0:16:22.480 --> 0:16:24.920
<v Speaker 1>It was a carbon fund that was launched and it

0:16:24.960 --> 0:16:27.160
<v Speaker 1>had a pre sell, so the pre sale kind of

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:29.320
<v Speaker 1>helped goose the numbers a little bit. UM, So it

0:16:29.440 --> 0:16:31.760
<v Speaker 1>was the top one or two, let's call it, that

0:16:32.240 --> 0:16:35.000
<v Speaker 1>biggest e t F s in history. And I think

0:16:35.080 --> 0:16:37.880
<v Speaker 1>that just basically seals the deal. That's it. No way

0:16:37.920 --> 0:16:40.400
<v Speaker 1>the government's going to make it illegal. I mean, all

0:16:40.400 --> 0:16:42.720
<v Speaker 1>these things of course add up in in Bitcoin's favor.

0:16:42.760 --> 0:16:45.520
<v Speaker 1>There's dozens of Senators and congress people that own it,

0:16:46.000 --> 0:16:48.480
<v Speaker 1>all of Wall Street has products on it. UM, fifty

0:16:48.480 --> 0:16:51.240
<v Speaker 1>million Americans own it. But today, as of today, as

0:16:51.240 --> 0:16:53.880
<v Speaker 1>of this week, we now have any E t F

0:16:54.680 --> 0:16:56.640
<v Speaker 1>and that's it, in my opinion, game over. And I

0:16:56.680 --> 0:16:58.920
<v Speaker 1>think that so it was a combination of China shutting

0:16:58.960 --> 0:17:02.160
<v Speaker 1>it down and seeing the Resolo really ziliency there and

0:17:02.960 --> 0:17:06.840
<v Speaker 1>the E t F coming on board that really put

0:17:06.920 --> 0:17:09.160
<v Speaker 1>this optimism back into the market and we are off

0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:11.720
<v Speaker 1>to the races. Now. I don't typically talk a lot

0:17:11.760 --> 0:17:14.600
<v Speaker 1>about the price, but I'm gonna talk about the price

0:17:14.600 --> 0:17:17.639
<v Speaker 1>and more because it could be going some place. As

0:17:17.680 --> 0:17:20.440
<v Speaker 1>a matter of fact, based off of the fun flow

0:17:20.520 --> 0:17:23.480
<v Speaker 1>that's been going on in a t f UM. There's

0:17:23.560 --> 0:17:27.840
<v Speaker 1>some people making some predictions that you might not even believe.

0:17:27.840 --> 0:17:29.480
<v Speaker 1>And I bet you all want to know where the

0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:31.480
<v Speaker 1>price of bitcoin could be by the end of the year.

0:17:31.520 --> 0:17:34.240
<v Speaker 1>Let's say, by Christmas. Uh, let me just tell you.

0:17:34.320 --> 0:17:35.960
<v Speaker 1>If your own bitcoin, it's going to be a very

0:17:36.040 --> 0:17:37.800
<v Speaker 1>merry Christmas for you. Let me tell you that. So

0:17:37.840 --> 0:17:39.720
<v Speaker 1>I'll come back, I'll tell you where I think the

0:17:39.760 --> 0:17:43.040
<v Speaker 1>price could be by Christmas. We'll talk about where the

0:17:43.080 --> 0:17:45.800
<v Speaker 1>price could be over the next year, two, three, four,

0:17:45.880 --> 0:17:49.639
<v Speaker 1>and five years. Now, you might not believe some of

0:17:49.680 --> 0:17:50.960
<v Speaker 1>these numbers. I have to report to you. But I

0:17:50.960 --> 0:17:52.879
<v Speaker 1>am going to back it up with some credible information,

0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:54.879
<v Speaker 1>so we'll talk about that, and then I want to

0:17:54.880 --> 0:17:57.000
<v Speaker 1>dig more into this e t F because, um, like

0:17:57.040 --> 0:17:59.199
<v Speaker 1>I said, there's some dangers here, not only just for you,

0:17:59.280 --> 0:18:01.720
<v Speaker 1>but also danger for bitcoin overall. And I think that's

0:18:01.720 --> 0:18:04.760
<v Speaker 1>important to understand. There's two different types of bitcoin e

0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:07.240
<v Speaker 1>t F s. Again, you listen to the Markma Show

0:18:07.280 --> 0:18:10.840
<v Speaker 1>talking about bitcoin, cryptocurrencies and the decentralized Revolution, and I

0:18:10.840 --> 0:18:13.880
<v Speaker 1>will be right back. All right, welcome back. You are

0:18:13.920 --> 0:18:16.560
<v Speaker 1>listening to the Mark Ma Show, where I am bringing

0:18:16.680 --> 0:18:19.480
<v Speaker 1>to you each end every week the latest information, the

0:18:19.600 --> 0:18:22.880
<v Speaker 1>latest news, the breaking news, the news that you need

0:18:22.960 --> 0:18:27.520
<v Speaker 1>to know about bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and the decentralized revolution

0:18:27.560 --> 0:18:33.520
<v Speaker 1>that's happening right now. I'm talking about the largest technological

0:18:33.600 --> 0:18:36.320
<v Speaker 1>revolution we have ever seen in history. Now I'm not

0:18:36.359 --> 0:18:39.119
<v Speaker 1>talking about a new technology. I'm not talking about the

0:18:39.200 --> 0:18:42.800
<v Speaker 1>uber app or the iPhone. I'm talking about a technological

0:18:42.880 --> 0:18:47.280
<v Speaker 1>revolution that literally changes the way humanity works. The other

0:18:47.320 --> 0:18:51.040
<v Speaker 1>thing about a technological revolution is that drives financial markets.

0:18:52.080 --> 0:18:57.359
<v Speaker 1>Technological revolution drives financial markets. They happen about every fifty years,

0:18:57.400 --> 0:19:00.919
<v Speaker 1>the previous financial mark, the previous technological revolution was the

0:19:00.920 --> 0:19:04.440
<v Speaker 1>age of the microprocessor, which led to personal computers, telecommunications,

0:19:04.440 --> 0:19:06.680
<v Speaker 1>and the Internet. And of course, if you look back

0:19:06.680 --> 0:19:09.679
<v Speaker 1>over the last thirty or forty years, what what's been

0:19:09.760 --> 0:19:13.000
<v Speaker 1>driving the financial markets? And of course it's the telecommunications

0:19:13.080 --> 0:19:15.840
<v Speaker 1>and the internet stocks, right, the things Facebook, Apple, Netflix, Google,

0:19:15.880 --> 0:19:19.000
<v Speaker 1>et cetera. And if you went back to the technological

0:19:19.080 --> 0:19:23.760
<v Speaker 1>revolution before that, that would be oil and automobiles, and

0:19:23.840 --> 0:19:28.600
<v Speaker 1>of course Ford Chrysler GM, oil companies, etcetera. And so

0:19:28.640 --> 0:19:30.520
<v Speaker 1>you get the point. And that is what we're doing.

0:19:30.880 --> 0:19:34.320
<v Speaker 1>And so now we are talking about bitcoin, this technological revolution.

0:19:34.320 --> 0:19:36.679
<v Speaker 1>It's going to drive the financial markets. And we're talking

0:19:36.680 --> 0:19:39.920
<v Speaker 1>about the financial markets. Finally got in after like seven

0:19:40.000 --> 0:19:41.680
<v Speaker 1>or eight years of trying to get their e t

0:19:41.880 --> 0:19:44.439
<v Speaker 1>F approved and it was denied every single time, dozens

0:19:44.440 --> 0:19:48.159
<v Speaker 1>and dozens of times, they finally got approved and it

0:19:48.359 --> 0:19:52.000
<v Speaker 1>is going to drive the financial markets big time. Now,

0:19:52.200 --> 0:19:53.880
<v Speaker 1>I told you before the break, I would tell you

0:19:54.240 --> 0:19:57.239
<v Speaker 1>where some analysts are predicting the price of bitcoin to go.

0:19:57.880 --> 0:20:02.239
<v Speaker 1>Um And and I was going to explain to the

0:20:02.320 --> 0:20:05.400
<v Speaker 1>different types of of of bitcoin e t F because

0:20:05.400 --> 0:20:08.960
<v Speaker 1>there's two actually, and I think it's important that you understand, Um,

0:20:09.000 --> 0:20:12.560
<v Speaker 1>what the differences of these are because there's there's some

0:20:12.640 --> 0:20:14.760
<v Speaker 1>danger if you don't get it, if you don't get

0:20:14.800 --> 0:20:16.840
<v Speaker 1>it the right way. I think there's also some danger

0:20:16.880 --> 0:20:18.840
<v Speaker 1>to bitcoin itself that I want to talk about. So

0:20:19.280 --> 0:20:21.600
<v Speaker 1>before we get into the different types of the bitcoin

0:20:21.680 --> 0:20:23.359
<v Speaker 1>E T F and talk about some of the dangers,

0:20:23.359 --> 0:20:25.800
<v Speaker 1>because you definitely need to know that, let's talk about

0:20:25.960 --> 0:20:28.760
<v Speaker 1>real quickly, probably what you've been waiting on, which is

0:20:28.880 --> 0:20:33.000
<v Speaker 1>where could the potential price of bitcoin go? All right?

0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:36.439
<v Speaker 1>So we'll talk about that now. Um, some people, I mean,

0:20:36.480 --> 0:20:38.200
<v Speaker 1>there's there's a lot of different opinions, and of course

0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:40.879
<v Speaker 1>nobody has a crystal ball, um, and so let me

0:20:40.920 --> 0:20:43.200
<v Speaker 1>just say that. But I will say that there's a

0:20:43.240 --> 0:20:44.639
<v Speaker 1>lot of people who have been studying this for a

0:20:44.640 --> 0:20:46.520
<v Speaker 1>long time and they kind of understand the way money

0:20:46.520 --> 0:20:48.240
<v Speaker 1>flows and things like that, and so I think there's

0:20:48.240 --> 0:20:51.040
<v Speaker 1>a few credible people to listen to. What I like

0:20:51.040 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 1>to do is I look to look like to look

0:20:52.320 --> 0:20:54.640
<v Speaker 1>for indicators or models, and then I like to look

0:20:54.680 --> 0:20:57.840
<v Speaker 1>for a multiple of them, different ones, and I try

0:20:57.880 --> 0:21:00.719
<v Speaker 1>to find out where there's some congruence where they agree.

0:21:00.960 --> 0:21:02.600
<v Speaker 1>And so I think that's pretty important. So I'll show

0:21:02.600 --> 0:21:04.880
<v Speaker 1>you three different models. UM, and we'll also just listen

0:21:04.920 --> 0:21:06.320
<v Speaker 1>to a few different people that I think are are

0:21:06.320 --> 0:21:10.280
<v Speaker 1>pretty credible. Um. And so the first thing I would

0:21:10.280 --> 0:21:13.720
<v Speaker 1>say is that, um, we have based off of a

0:21:13.800 --> 0:21:18.120
<v Speaker 1>study researchers at a platform for x suggests that bitcoin

0:21:18.160 --> 0:21:22.280
<v Speaker 1>could reach a five trillion market cap value by the

0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:28.200
<v Speaker 1>start of al right, So um, right now it's at

0:21:28.240 --> 0:21:31.320
<v Speaker 1>about a one trillion dollar value. So that means it

0:21:31.359 --> 0:21:34.639
<v Speaker 1>would have a five x or a five percent return

0:21:35.000 --> 0:21:38.480
<v Speaker 1>by the start of which is basically two years away.

0:21:38.720 --> 0:21:43.000
<v Speaker 1>So five return over the next two years, which, of

0:21:43.040 --> 0:21:46.360
<v Speaker 1>course that actually sounds pretty reasonable. Um. We can see

0:21:46.400 --> 0:21:49.440
<v Speaker 1>that over the last decade basically since bitcoin has been

0:21:49.520 --> 0:21:53.919
<v Speaker 1>out since day one, it's averaged a two hundred percent

0:21:54.320 --> 0:21:57.280
<v Speaker 1>annual compounded growth. Three that's what it's average since it's

0:21:57.280 --> 0:22:02.600
<v Speaker 1>been around. And so to get a gain in the

0:22:02.640 --> 0:22:04.680
<v Speaker 1>next you know, a little over two years, two and

0:22:04.720 --> 0:22:08.240
<v Speaker 1>a half years, that sounds like it's about right on track. Now.

0:22:08.280 --> 0:22:11.800
<v Speaker 1>That means if you were to put a thousand dollars in,

0:22:12.359 --> 0:22:15.520
<v Speaker 1>it would be worth five thousand dollars. If you put

0:22:16.200 --> 0:22:18.560
<v Speaker 1>half a million in, it could be worth two point

0:22:18.680 --> 0:22:20.880
<v Speaker 1>five million dollars. You kind of get the idea, that's

0:22:20.880 --> 0:22:22.800
<v Speaker 1>a pretty big number. Now to put that into kind

0:22:22.840 --> 0:22:28.040
<v Speaker 1>of context, the stock market has averaged depending on what

0:22:28.080 --> 0:22:29.440
<v Speaker 1>time frame you want to look at it, but somewhere

0:22:29.440 --> 0:22:33.520
<v Speaker 1>around a six like like zero six like six percent

0:22:33.720 --> 0:22:37.879
<v Speaker 1>to eight percent gain, six to eight percent gain, and

0:22:37.920 --> 0:22:40.600
<v Speaker 1>so bitcoin has been average in a two hundred percent gain.

0:22:40.680 --> 0:22:42.280
<v Speaker 1>Just to kind of put that into perspective. If some

0:22:42.320 --> 0:22:44.880
<v Speaker 1>of you guys don't understand some of these numbers. UM

0:22:45.040 --> 0:22:48.200
<v Speaker 1>fund Strat Global Advisors, Tom Lee, who has been charting

0:22:48.240 --> 0:22:50.640
<v Speaker 1>and looking at the bitcoin price for a really long time,

0:22:51.040 --> 0:22:53.639
<v Speaker 1>says it could attract based based off this new ETF,

0:22:53.680 --> 0:22:56.919
<v Speaker 1>it could attract fifty billion dollars in flows into this

0:22:57.000 --> 0:23:00.040
<v Speaker 1>new et F fund. And he thinks that we a

0:23:00.200 --> 0:23:04.080
<v Speaker 1>see bitcoin getting to a hundred and sixty eight thousand

0:23:04.119 --> 0:23:08.080
<v Speaker 1>dollars on this on this news d sixty eight thousand,

0:23:08.119 --> 0:23:10.920
<v Speaker 1>which puts it uh about a hundred and fifty percent

0:23:11.040 --> 0:23:14.800
<v Speaker 1>return from here, which again, these numbers maybe they don't

0:23:14.800 --> 0:23:17.040
<v Speaker 1>make sense to but when a stock market is going

0:23:17.080 --> 0:23:19.679
<v Speaker 1>up by six percent, to get a hundred and fifty

0:23:19.720 --> 0:23:23.840
<v Speaker 1>percent is just incredible. Um So, so those are a

0:23:23.840 --> 0:23:25.440
<v Speaker 1>couple of numbers, but I think there's some even better

0:23:25.520 --> 0:23:27.800
<v Speaker 1>numbers than that. UM. Some of the better numbers that

0:23:27.840 --> 0:23:31.119
<v Speaker 1>I like to look at our UM Fidelity. So Fidelity

0:23:31.200 --> 0:23:35.480
<v Speaker 1>is one of the largest financial institutions in the United States. UM,

0:23:35.560 --> 0:23:38.679
<v Speaker 1>and they've been doing a lot of research into bitcoin.

0:23:38.680 --> 0:23:40.159
<v Speaker 1>As a matter of fact, they've been involved into bitcoin

0:23:40.200 --> 0:23:42.280
<v Speaker 1>for a really really long time since kind of the

0:23:42.320 --> 0:23:44.840
<v Speaker 1>beginning since well not the beginning, but I'm going back

0:23:44.880 --> 0:23:47.960
<v Speaker 1>to about two thousand and seventeen, and they've done a

0:23:48.000 --> 0:23:50.680
<v Speaker 1>lot of research. They've been they've been mining bitcoins since

0:23:50.720 --> 0:23:53.560
<v Speaker 1>that time. UM. They set up a digital assets side,

0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:56.480
<v Speaker 1>UM they do loans against bitcoin UM and of course

0:23:56.520 --> 0:23:59.600
<v Speaker 1>then they forecast it out to their you know, subscribers

0:23:59.600 --> 0:24:02.600
<v Speaker 1>and whatnot. And UM they put out some reports just

0:24:02.640 --> 0:24:04.400
<v Speaker 1>a couple of months ago, it's two three months ago,

0:24:04.400 --> 0:24:07.200
<v Speaker 1>I think, and it was from Jury and Timmer he's

0:24:07.200 --> 0:24:10.760
<v Speaker 1>the director of Global Macro at Fidelity, and he put

0:24:10.760 --> 0:24:13.280
<v Speaker 1>together this whole slide deck. UM. There's a lot of charts,

0:24:13.320 --> 0:24:16.040
<v Speaker 1>a lot of graphics. UM. Again, I have a have

0:24:16.080 --> 0:24:18.879
<v Speaker 1>a video on YouTube channel that breaks all these slides

0:24:18.920 --> 0:24:20.800
<v Speaker 1>down if you want to see them to get a

0:24:20.840 --> 0:24:24.160
<v Speaker 1>little bit more sense of it. But basically he predict

0:24:24.440 --> 0:24:27.960
<v Speaker 1>or basically his research. What Fidelity put forward was that

0:24:28.320 --> 0:24:31.520
<v Speaker 1>he predicted that the value of bitcoin would reach one

0:24:31.880 --> 0:24:37.320
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars her coin in about two decades, so twenty years,

0:24:37.640 --> 0:24:39.960
<v Speaker 1>which is a long time. It's a long way off,

0:24:40.000 --> 0:24:43.159
<v Speaker 1>but that's what he was saying. Now, he combined a

0:24:43.200 --> 0:24:45.960
<v Speaker 1>couple of charts um one something that's called a stock

0:24:46.040 --> 0:24:48.560
<v Speaker 1>to flow model. Uh. The stock to flow model is

0:24:48.600 --> 0:24:51.399
<v Speaker 1>basically what it sounds like. But the stock is the

0:24:51.440 --> 0:24:54.200
<v Speaker 1>existing supply, how much do we have right now today,

0:24:54.240 --> 0:24:57.560
<v Speaker 1>the existing stock that's available, and then the flow is

0:24:57.640 --> 0:25:01.560
<v Speaker 1>the new incoming supply, like the inflow ation rate. And

0:25:01.640 --> 0:25:04.359
<v Speaker 1>so you can take scarce assets like gold and silver,

0:25:04.440 --> 0:25:07.919
<v Speaker 1>for example, and then you can overlay them with this

0:25:08.000 --> 0:25:10.880
<v Speaker 1>stock to flow model. Like, for example, you take all

0:25:10.920 --> 0:25:12.520
<v Speaker 1>the gold that we have in the world, which, by

0:25:12.520 --> 0:25:15.080
<v Speaker 1>the way, if you took all the gold in existence

0:25:15.119 --> 0:25:17.440
<v Speaker 1>today and melted it all into one giant cube, I

0:25:17.480 --> 0:25:19.119
<v Speaker 1>think it fits like in a football field. It's not

0:25:19.160 --> 0:25:21.720
<v Speaker 1>that not that big, um, But that's the existing stock,

0:25:21.760 --> 0:25:23.760
<v Speaker 1>and then we have the flow. So there's obviously gold

0:25:23.800 --> 0:25:25.720
<v Speaker 1>miners all around the world that are digging gold out

0:25:25.720 --> 0:25:28.119
<v Speaker 1>of the ground, um, and that's the new incoming flow.

0:25:28.240 --> 0:25:31.480
<v Speaker 1>So we have the inflation is by a couple percent

0:25:31.560 --> 0:25:34.280
<v Speaker 1>couple points um, and so you you kind of look

0:25:34.280 --> 0:25:36.560
<v Speaker 1>at that, and then you could also use that same

0:25:36.640 --> 0:25:38.720
<v Speaker 1>kind of a chart and you could look at bitcoin

0:25:38.760 --> 0:25:39.919
<v Speaker 1>with that. And so that's one way to do that.

0:25:40.200 --> 0:25:42.160
<v Speaker 1>Another way that they went to look at the price

0:25:42.280 --> 0:25:45.880
<v Speaker 1>is using something known as Metcalf's law. And Metcalf's law

0:25:46.000 --> 0:25:50.320
<v Speaker 1>is basically something that says that UM, a networks value

0:25:50.440 --> 0:25:53.800
<v Speaker 1>grows by the number of users. And so they looked

0:25:53.800 --> 0:25:55.640
<v Speaker 1>at that, and they looked at the users the networks

0:25:55.640 --> 0:25:57.320
<v Speaker 1>grows and they kind of use that to extrapolate some

0:25:57.359 --> 0:26:00.600
<v Speaker 1>of the value, and they said that bitcoins value should

0:26:00.600 --> 0:26:04.320
<v Speaker 1>grow much faster than it does, um than the network

0:26:04.320 --> 0:26:07.560
<v Speaker 1>of buyers and sellers grow. But they went on to UM.

0:26:07.600 --> 0:26:09.920
<v Speaker 1>They also went on to say some stuff that kind

0:26:09.920 --> 0:26:13.200
<v Speaker 1>of walked back some of that talk. So to say

0:26:13.240 --> 0:26:17.080
<v Speaker 1>that bitcoin would be worth one I know, it cracks

0:26:17.080 --> 0:26:20.200
<v Speaker 1>me up just saying it, but a billion dollars per

0:26:20.280 --> 0:26:23.200
<v Speaker 1>coin in twenty years, But they went and walked to

0:26:23.320 --> 0:26:25.840
<v Speaker 1>that back a little bit. And what do I mean, UM,

0:26:25.880 --> 0:26:29.879
<v Speaker 1>They said that you know, money is changing, Money is

0:26:29.960 --> 0:26:33.200
<v Speaker 1>losing its value really really really fast, and it's it's

0:26:33.240 --> 0:26:35.199
<v Speaker 1>losing value faster and faster as time it was on.

0:26:35.240 --> 0:26:36.840
<v Speaker 1>As a matter of fact, the dollar, as I think

0:26:36.840 --> 0:26:39.280
<v Speaker 1>I started out in the first UM part talking about

0:26:39.320 --> 0:26:42.000
<v Speaker 1>that the value of the dollars lost of its purchasing

0:26:42.000 --> 0:26:46.359
<v Speaker 1>power just this year, and so UM basically, when bitcoin

0:26:46.440 --> 0:26:48.800
<v Speaker 1>is worth a billion dollars, a billion dollars isn't worth

0:26:48.920 --> 0:26:51.760
<v Speaker 1>very much. That's basically what it comes down to. UM

0:26:51.800 --> 0:26:54.920
<v Speaker 1>and and Timber went on to have like an example

0:26:55.320 --> 0:26:57.520
<v Speaker 1>and said that like a dollar invested in stocks in

0:26:57.520 --> 0:27:01.560
<v Speaker 1>the now worth like almost four billion dollars, and and

0:27:01.600 --> 0:27:04.960
<v Speaker 1>like twenty years ago, UM and in twenty years, basically

0:27:05.119 --> 0:27:08.959
<v Speaker 1>one billion dollars would be worth what about one million

0:27:09.320 --> 0:27:11.159
<v Speaker 1>is kind of currently buying. And so you have to

0:27:11.200 --> 0:27:13.280
<v Speaker 1>kind of think about things in terms of purchasing power.

0:27:13.359 --> 0:27:16.560
<v Speaker 1>What would one million dollars buy me today in goods

0:27:16.560 --> 0:27:19.879
<v Speaker 1>and services? And so they're basically saying that potentially in

0:27:19.880 --> 0:27:22.320
<v Speaker 1>twenty years from now, a billion dollars would buy you

0:27:22.359 --> 0:27:25.120
<v Speaker 1>the same amount of goods and services that one million

0:27:25.520 --> 0:27:27.600
<v Speaker 1>buy you today. So it is important to kind of

0:27:27.680 --> 0:27:30.040
<v Speaker 1>keep that in uh in in a friend of mind

0:27:30.040 --> 0:27:32.880
<v Speaker 1>when you start thinking about these big numbers. But they're

0:27:32.880 --> 0:27:35.360
<v Speaker 1>saying that in twenty years time, you could see um

0:27:35.400 --> 0:27:38.000
<v Speaker 1>a chillion dollars being a quite common number. I want

0:27:38.000 --> 0:27:39.719
<v Speaker 1>to come back and tell you where I think bitcoin

0:27:39.760 --> 0:27:43.119
<v Speaker 1>price will be before by Christmas time and by the

0:27:43.119 --> 0:27:45.160
<v Speaker 1>first quarter of next year. You're listening to the Markma Show,

0:27:45.520 --> 0:27:47.360
<v Speaker 1>don't go away. I want to bring the price when

0:27:47.359 --> 0:27:50.760
<v Speaker 1>I come right back. All right, welcome back. You are

0:27:50.840 --> 0:27:53.200
<v Speaker 1>back with the Markma Show where we are talking about

0:27:53.240 --> 0:27:57.560
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin and cryptocurrencies and the decentralized revolution, where I bring

0:27:57.600 --> 0:28:00.199
<v Speaker 1>it to you each and every week right here, the

0:28:00.320 --> 0:28:03.280
<v Speaker 1>same time, on the same channel. So just do me

0:28:03.280 --> 0:28:05.879
<v Speaker 1>a favorite, real quick, pull out your phone, put a

0:28:05.920 --> 0:28:08.359
<v Speaker 1>calendar reminder on there and put this channel, put this

0:28:08.480 --> 0:28:10.720
<v Speaker 1>time so you can join me each and every week.

0:28:10.800 --> 0:28:14.600
<v Speaker 1>Because I'm bringing to you the most important information. You

0:28:14.680 --> 0:28:17.320
<v Speaker 1>do not want to miss this, I can guarantee you.

0:28:17.359 --> 0:28:18.880
<v Speaker 1>And the reason why I say that and I can

0:28:18.880 --> 0:28:21.359
<v Speaker 1>put a guarantee on it is because I can guarantee

0:28:21.400 --> 0:28:24.359
<v Speaker 1>you that this is going to be the biggest opportunity

0:28:24.400 --> 0:28:26.399
<v Speaker 1>that you've ever had in your lifetime, and not just

0:28:26.400 --> 0:28:28.680
<v Speaker 1>your life, to multiple lifetimes. And so in order to

0:28:28.720 --> 0:28:31.360
<v Speaker 1>take advantage of it, you need to understand what's going

0:28:31.440 --> 0:28:33.480
<v Speaker 1>on and that's what I'm gonna bring you each and

0:28:33.520 --> 0:28:35.720
<v Speaker 1>every week. Now, do me another favor. While you have

0:28:35.760 --> 0:28:37.880
<v Speaker 1>your phone out, while it's in your hand, why don't

0:28:37.920 --> 0:28:39.640
<v Speaker 1>you just go ahead and go over to Twitter if

0:28:39.640 --> 0:28:42.959
<v Speaker 1>you're on Twitter, or if you're on Instagram, and just

0:28:43.000 --> 0:28:46.400
<v Speaker 1>pull it open and type in one Mark Moss. That's

0:28:46.400 --> 0:28:49.080
<v Speaker 1>the number one. Just one Mark Moss and give me

0:28:49.120 --> 0:28:51.600
<v Speaker 1>a follow, Give me a follow on Twitter, on Instagram

0:28:51.720 --> 0:28:54.240
<v Speaker 1>and give me a common shout out. Give me an

0:28:54.280 --> 0:28:56.560
<v Speaker 1>app and ask me a question. Tell me heard me

0:28:56.600 --> 0:28:58.239
<v Speaker 1>on the radio and ask me a question, and I'll

0:28:58.280 --> 0:29:01.280
<v Speaker 1>make sure to answer that for you next week. I

0:29:01.280 --> 0:29:04.440
<v Speaker 1>don't have live calling yet. We'll get that going at

0:29:04.440 --> 0:29:06.160
<v Speaker 1>some point, but for now, you can tweet at me

0:29:06.360 --> 0:29:08.959
<v Speaker 1>or hit me up on Instagram. Now we're going. We

0:29:08.960 --> 0:29:11.200
<v Speaker 1>were talking about where the price of bitcoin could go.

0:29:11.280 --> 0:29:14.080
<v Speaker 1>Of course, we went with some crazy numbers. I know,

0:29:14.120 --> 0:29:16.680
<v Speaker 1>I went way crazy with that Fidelity. Their fidelity put

0:29:16.680 --> 0:29:18.680
<v Speaker 1>the numbers out. That wasn't me. But they talked about

0:29:18.680 --> 0:29:21.840
<v Speaker 1>the price of bitcoin getting up to one billion dollars

0:29:21.880 --> 0:29:24.160
<v Speaker 1>per coin in the next twenty years. But then of

0:29:24.160 --> 0:29:26.240
<v Speaker 1>course we walked that back and said that yes, but

0:29:26.480 --> 0:29:29.400
<v Speaker 1>in twenty years from now, a billion dollars will buy

0:29:29.440 --> 0:29:31.520
<v Speaker 1>you about the same amount of goods and services that

0:29:31.680 --> 0:29:34.680
<v Speaker 1>one million would be able to buy you right now.

0:29:34.720 --> 0:29:36.200
<v Speaker 1>So we did kind of walk that back a little bit.

0:29:36.320 --> 0:29:38.520
<v Speaker 1>But let's look at some other numbers. So UM, going

0:29:38.560 --> 0:29:41.080
<v Speaker 1>back to the stock to flow model. UM I kind

0:29:41.080 --> 0:29:42.840
<v Speaker 1>of explained before we went to the break. It's basically

0:29:42.920 --> 0:29:46.080
<v Speaker 1>the stock the existing supply, how much supply is available,

0:29:46.280 --> 0:29:48.560
<v Speaker 1>and then the flow, which is the new incoming supply

0:29:48.680 --> 0:29:52.080
<v Speaker 1>or the inflation rate. UM. And so that's one model

0:29:52.160 --> 0:29:54.920
<v Speaker 1>that the guy who created that is a is a

0:29:54.920 --> 0:29:59.360
<v Speaker 1>guy named Plan Bes, a renowned quantitative analyst UM and

0:29:59.480 --> 0:30:01.000
<v Speaker 1>he he's the kind of the one that came up

0:30:01.040 --> 0:30:04.320
<v Speaker 1>with a stock to flow model. He says that he'll

0:30:04.360 --> 0:30:06.800
<v Speaker 1>be caught off guard. He'll be caught off guard. He'll

0:30:06.800 --> 0:30:11.240
<v Speaker 1>be surprised if bitcoin remains below the six figure mark

0:30:11.280 --> 0:30:14.840
<v Speaker 1>by the end. That's what he says. Now he's he's

0:30:15.000 --> 0:30:16.560
<v Speaker 1>he's a pretty smart guy. I mean he looks at

0:30:16.600 --> 0:30:19.440
<v Speaker 1>this a lot, he says, quote quoting him, I would

0:30:19.440 --> 0:30:21.680
<v Speaker 1>be very surprised that bitcoins price would be below a

0:30:21.720 --> 0:30:24.240
<v Speaker 1>hundred thousand dollars the end of the year. That would

0:30:24.240 --> 0:30:26.960
<v Speaker 1>sort of invalidate my view my models, and that would

0:30:27.000 --> 0:30:30.200
<v Speaker 1>certainly surprise me. He went on to say, get ready

0:30:30.640 --> 0:30:32.320
<v Speaker 1>ready for a merry Christmas, because here we go. I

0:30:32.400 --> 0:30:34.680
<v Speaker 1>do think we will see a price that is at

0:30:34.760 --> 0:30:38.440
<v Speaker 1>least a hundred and thirty five thousand by Christmas, because

0:30:38.520 --> 0:30:41.120
<v Speaker 1>that's what my floor model says. Basically, I'm using three

0:30:41.200 --> 0:30:45.400
<v Speaker 1>kinds of models that all say the same thing end quote.

0:30:45.440 --> 0:30:48.000
<v Speaker 1>So remember I talked about having that different models, different

0:30:48.000 --> 0:30:51.280
<v Speaker 1>indicators that that have kind of the same message, and

0:30:51.280 --> 0:30:55.480
<v Speaker 1>that's exactly what he's saying. So, um, shoot, man, if

0:30:56.080 --> 0:30:59.000
<v Speaker 1>if you doubled your money between now and Christmas, would

0:30:59.000 --> 0:31:01.560
<v Speaker 1>that make for a pretty merry SMAs? I think it

0:31:01.600 --> 0:31:06.040
<v Speaker 1>would promote. Now, the problem is money is not wealth.

0:31:07.000 --> 0:31:11.320
<v Speaker 1>Money only communicates wealth. Money tells you how much wealth

0:31:11.360 --> 0:31:14.400
<v Speaker 1>you can go acquire. Wealth is goods and services. If

0:31:14.400 --> 0:31:15.480
<v Speaker 1>you have a bunch of money, if you're on a

0:31:15.520 --> 0:31:18.160
<v Speaker 1>deserted island with no boat, no phone, no food, no nothing,

0:31:18.400 --> 0:31:20.040
<v Speaker 1>you have money with you. It does you know good? Right?

0:31:20.080 --> 0:31:21.560
<v Speaker 1>You need to be able to have good and services,

0:31:21.560 --> 0:31:24.680
<v Speaker 1>of course, And they're saying that by Christmas. Like I

0:31:24.720 --> 0:31:26.760
<v Speaker 1>saw Apple revise their numbers and they said that they

0:31:26.760 --> 0:31:28.560
<v Speaker 1>may not be able to get enough iPhones out for Christmas.

0:31:28.600 --> 0:31:32.920
<v Speaker 1>But basically we're forecasting to have massive shortages on everything

0:31:33.000 --> 0:31:36.200
<v Speaker 1>from food to electronics to automobiles. Everything is gonna be

0:31:36.240 --> 0:31:38.960
<v Speaker 1>in short supply by Christmas. So while you might have

0:31:39.000 --> 0:31:41.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of money in your account, you may not

0:31:41.040 --> 0:31:42.680
<v Speaker 1>be able to buy as much stuff. But we're going

0:31:42.720 --> 0:31:45.000
<v Speaker 1>to talk about that a little bit later in the show.

0:31:45.040 --> 0:31:46.800
<v Speaker 1>We'll get into some of that stuff because, as we

0:31:46.840 --> 0:31:49.800
<v Speaker 1>always say, bitcoin fixes this, and it can certainly fix

0:31:50.080 --> 0:31:52.680
<v Speaker 1>that problem, but we're gonna stay talking about the price

0:31:52.720 --> 0:31:55.960
<v Speaker 1>for right now. And so we have that stock to

0:31:55.960 --> 0:31:59.360
<v Speaker 1>flow model. That's that's one of the three models. Another

0:31:59.360 --> 0:32:02.800
<v Speaker 1>one we look at is on chain signals are on

0:32:02.880 --> 0:32:06.080
<v Speaker 1>chain data. Now, one thing that makes Bitcoin unique from

0:32:06.200 --> 0:32:09.080
<v Speaker 1>any other asset class out there in the whole world

0:32:09.920 --> 0:32:13.040
<v Speaker 1>is what's called on chain data. And on chain data

0:32:13.200 --> 0:32:16.320
<v Speaker 1>is interesting because basically, you know, the Bitcoin network is

0:32:16.320 --> 0:32:19.760
<v Speaker 1>is what's called open. It's anonymous, so you can see

0:32:19.760 --> 0:32:22.240
<v Speaker 1>all the transactions that are happening on it, but you

0:32:22.280 --> 0:32:24.160
<v Speaker 1>don't know who it belongs to. So it's anonymous, but

0:32:24.200 --> 0:32:26.800
<v Speaker 1>it's open and you can see that. And and because

0:32:26.800 --> 0:32:29.600
<v Speaker 1>of that, it allows us to see this data and

0:32:29.720 --> 0:32:32.560
<v Speaker 1>helps us to really understand what's going on in the network.

0:32:33.040 --> 0:32:37.080
<v Speaker 1>And so, for example, if we're looking at on chain data,

0:32:37.760 --> 0:32:40.120
<v Speaker 1>what we can see is um like, we can see

0:32:40.280 --> 0:32:44.320
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin balances that are sitting on exchanges. We can see

0:32:44.560 --> 0:32:47.600
<v Speaker 1>how many new wallets are being created. We can see

0:32:47.600 --> 0:32:51.840
<v Speaker 1>what the average purchase sizes. Another one that's super interesting

0:32:52.400 --> 0:32:56.000
<v Speaker 1>is we can see the age of the coins, so

0:32:56.040 --> 0:32:58.720
<v Speaker 1>we can see how long those coins have stayed put

0:32:58.880 --> 0:33:01.800
<v Speaker 1>or or moved, and that helps us to understand who

0:33:01.800 --> 0:33:04.280
<v Speaker 1>were the short term traders and who were the long

0:33:04.400 --> 0:33:07.400
<v Speaker 1>term hoddlers, the ones that are holding for the long term.

0:33:07.440 --> 0:33:09.800
<v Speaker 1>So there's some some really really interesting things that we

0:33:09.840 --> 0:33:11.600
<v Speaker 1>can get from that on chain data that you just

0:33:11.640 --> 0:33:14.120
<v Speaker 1>can't get for anything. There's nothing else in the world

0:33:14.120 --> 0:33:16.160
<v Speaker 1>that you can do that with, and so that's pretty helpful.

0:33:16.560 --> 0:33:18.120
<v Speaker 1>One one thing that we saw with on change data,

0:33:18.160 --> 0:33:24.240
<v Speaker 1>it's pretty interesting. Um just just today, over seventeen thousand

0:33:24.720 --> 0:33:29.640
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin were withdrawn off of exchanges over the last hour.

0:33:29.960 --> 0:33:32.720
<v Speaker 1>That's just over the last hour, that's today, seventeen thousand

0:33:32.840 --> 0:33:37.360
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin pulled off of exchanges. Now what does that mean exactly? Well,

0:33:37.680 --> 0:33:41.880
<v Speaker 1>first of all, seventeen thousand just to give you some perspective,

0:33:41.960 --> 0:33:44.640
<v Speaker 1>that's over a billion dollars. At one point one billion

0:33:44.680 --> 0:33:47.760
<v Speaker 1>dollars was taken off of exchanges. And so when it's

0:33:47.760 --> 0:33:50.000
<v Speaker 1>taken off of exchanges, that means it's going into like

0:33:50.520 --> 0:33:53.280
<v Speaker 1>a private wallet like cold storage or something like that.

0:33:53.680 --> 0:33:55.760
<v Speaker 1>And so when it's pulled off of exchange, that means

0:33:55.800 --> 0:33:58.440
<v Speaker 1>it's not going to be exchanged or traded. Right, So

0:33:58.440 --> 0:34:01.719
<v Speaker 1>if people bought bitcoin and then exchange it for another cryptocurrency,

0:34:01.840 --> 0:34:05.200
<v Speaker 1>or they moved into a stable coin, um, they're buying, selling, buying, selling,

0:34:05.240 --> 0:34:07.280
<v Speaker 1>buy and selling, that'd be one thing. This is taking

0:34:07.280 --> 0:34:09.840
<v Speaker 1>it off of the supply, taking off the exchange. And

0:34:09.880 --> 0:34:13.919
<v Speaker 1>again remember supply and demand. And so if you take

0:34:14.400 --> 0:34:17.360
<v Speaker 1>if you take seventeen thousand coins out of supply and

0:34:17.360 --> 0:34:19.640
<v Speaker 1>the demand stays the same, then the price continues to

0:34:19.640 --> 0:34:22.960
<v Speaker 1>go up. So that's one thing that's UM pretty interesting,

0:34:23.040 --> 0:34:25.640
<v Speaker 1>I would say from that. Another thing that's pretty interesting

0:34:25.640 --> 0:34:29.000
<v Speaker 1>with some on chained data is we can see, um,

0:34:29.040 --> 0:34:30.799
<v Speaker 1>we can see, like I was saying, the age of

0:34:30.840 --> 0:34:33.239
<v Speaker 1>the coins, and what we can see is that over

0:34:33.560 --> 0:34:38.319
<v Speaker 1>UM I think it's coins haven't moved for more than

0:34:38.440 --> 0:34:42.440
<v Speaker 1>ninety days, and so that means that long term hoddlers

0:34:42.880 --> 0:34:45.319
<v Speaker 1>are in control of the market. So that means there's

0:34:45.400 --> 0:34:48.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, ten or of the supply that's available to

0:34:48.120 --> 0:34:51.000
<v Speaker 1>buy and sell. The rest of it's locked up, it's

0:34:51.000 --> 0:34:54.680
<v Speaker 1>off the market. And that's another thing. And so that

0:34:54.680 --> 0:34:57.200
<v Speaker 1>that helps us see that um. And then there's another

0:34:57.200 --> 0:34:59.040
<v Speaker 1>thing called a floor model that helps us find them

0:34:59.080 --> 0:35:02.080
<v Speaker 1>with the lowest possible prices, and that would use things

0:35:02.120 --> 0:35:05.160
<v Speaker 1>like cost to mind, etcetera, things like that. But what

0:35:05.239 --> 0:35:06.799
<v Speaker 1>we can see is that when we look at all

0:35:06.840 --> 0:35:08.480
<v Speaker 1>of those, when we look at all three of those,

0:35:08.640 --> 0:35:10.279
<v Speaker 1>and as plan B says, right there all kind of

0:35:10.280 --> 0:35:14.879
<v Speaker 1>showing the same thing. He says, uh quote, I would

0:35:14.920 --> 0:35:18.960
<v Speaker 1>say that the top is at least um, say, six

0:35:19.000 --> 0:35:21.440
<v Speaker 1>months from here, so the end of Q one of

0:35:21.480 --> 0:35:24.920
<v Speaker 1>two or maybe later. He went on to say that

0:35:25.000 --> 0:35:27.200
<v Speaker 1>the top end of his stock to flow model pins

0:35:27.239 --> 0:35:29.719
<v Speaker 1>the price of bitcoin at two hundred and eighty eight

0:35:29.760 --> 0:35:33.160
<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars at the peak of this cycle, the big

0:35:33.239 --> 0:35:35.160
<v Speaker 1>number where it's sixty five thousand a day to get

0:35:35.200 --> 0:35:37.080
<v Speaker 1>to eighty eight. Now, and let me just say real quick,

0:35:37.120 --> 0:35:39.799
<v Speaker 1>this is not financial advice. I am not telling you

0:35:39.800 --> 0:35:42.160
<v Speaker 1>to go buy bitcoin. Don't hold me to it. All

0:35:42.200 --> 0:35:45.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm doing is reading to you what other analysts are thinking. Again,

0:35:45.760 --> 0:35:48.000
<v Speaker 1>I am not telling you to go buy it um.

0:35:48.000 --> 0:35:49.759
<v Speaker 1>This is not financial advice, so I'll just go ahead

0:35:49.760 --> 0:35:51.879
<v Speaker 1>and say that. But basically he says that these three

0:35:51.920 --> 0:35:54.799
<v Speaker 1>models are pointing to that a price target of two

0:35:54.840 --> 0:35:56.760
<v Speaker 1>eighty eight, So we kind of have this range somewhere

0:35:56.760 --> 0:35:59.600
<v Speaker 1>between one thirty five to eighty eight, which, of course

0:35:59.640 --> 0:36:01.400
<v Speaker 1>any of the those numbers I think would be okay with.

0:36:01.960 --> 0:36:03.880
<v Speaker 1>He went on to say that I wouldn't not be

0:36:03.920 --> 0:36:06.680
<v Speaker 1>surprised even to see in Q one or Q two

0:36:06.719 --> 0:36:10.240
<v Speaker 1>of next year prices from three four or even five

0:36:10.360 --> 0:36:14.680
<v Speaker 1>hundred thousand dollars um. And so that's interesting. That's really interesting.

0:36:14.719 --> 0:36:18.640
<v Speaker 1>Now going back to what Fidelity said, remember that also

0:36:18.719 --> 0:36:21.880
<v Speaker 1>means that the dollars just aren't buying as much anymore.

0:36:22.000 --> 0:36:24.440
<v Speaker 1>So I want you to just kind of keep that

0:36:24.480 --> 0:36:26.759
<v Speaker 1>in mind as we're talking about this. But that's where

0:36:26.800 --> 0:36:30.360
<v Speaker 1>things would go. Now, that's all about the price. I

0:36:30.400 --> 0:36:32.479
<v Speaker 1>want to dig in and talk about more than just price.

0:36:32.560 --> 0:36:34.680
<v Speaker 1>There's more We're gonna talk about these e t f s.

0:36:34.719 --> 0:36:36.520
<v Speaker 1>As I was kind of saying, there's two different types

0:36:36.560 --> 0:36:39.280
<v Speaker 1>of ETFs UM, and you really need to be aware

0:36:39.320 --> 0:36:41.560
<v Speaker 1>of the two different types that are available. One is

0:36:41.600 --> 0:36:43.440
<v Speaker 1>way more risky than the other. So I want you

0:36:43.480 --> 0:36:46.360
<v Speaker 1>to understand that what we're gonna talk about that, dangers

0:36:46.520 --> 0:36:48.880
<v Speaker 1>of that, and so forth. When we get back. You

0:36:48.920 --> 0:36:51.279
<v Speaker 1>are listening to the Mark mass Show, where I bring

0:36:51.320 --> 0:36:57.960
<v Speaker 1>to the latest information for bitcoin, cryptocurrencies and this decentralized revolution.

0:36:58.040 --> 0:37:00.919
<v Speaker 1>Each and every week, UM, put aleut your phone, put

0:37:00.920 --> 0:37:03.160
<v Speaker 1>it on your calendar, don't miss me next week on

0:37:03.160 --> 0:37:05.040
<v Speaker 1>this channel. Like I said, this is going to be

0:37:05.160 --> 0:37:07.239
<v Speaker 1>the information that you need to know. It's literally going

0:37:07.280 --> 0:37:09.840
<v Speaker 1>to be life changing information because this is gonna be

0:37:09.840 --> 0:37:14.440
<v Speaker 1>the biggest opportunity that you will ever witness in your lifetime.

0:37:14.760 --> 0:37:16.279
<v Speaker 1>And I don't want you to get caught up with

0:37:16.320 --> 0:37:18.400
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the sheep and the rest of the mania.

0:37:18.880 --> 0:37:20.600
<v Speaker 1>I want to bring you that information that you need

0:37:20.640 --> 0:37:23.200
<v Speaker 1>to know. Um, you're listening to the Mark Moss Show.

0:37:23.760 --> 0:37:26.200
<v Speaker 1>Don't go away. I'm going to be right back.