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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. And this is me Joey p Joe Pi's Apia

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Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL with me as always my

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Speaker 1: co host Andrew ericson the Undertaker, and we're gonna give

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Speaker 1: you our best bets for week twelve. The holidays have

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Speaker 1: not hit quite yet, so I know next week will

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Speaker 1: be madness and we'll have it all on Lockdown for you.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna have Thanksgiving game coverage. We're gonna have that special,

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Speaker 1: We're gonna have the Black Friday Special. It's gonna be

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Speaker 1: a special giving time of a lot of picks and

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Speaker 1: a lot of takes next week. But Week twelve is

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Speaker 1: just regular old straight picking.

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Speaker 2: Here.

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Speaker 1: And Andrew Ricks and I are coming off well. Andrew's

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Speaker 1: coming off a great week. Let's just call what it

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Speaker 1: is here four and one. Last week, I was unfortunately

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Speaker 1: two and three. I missed being three and two by

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Speaker 1: half a point. Thanks Cleveland Browns. Thanks you're the worst.

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Speaker 1: But anyway, what are we gonna do? We move on

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Speaker 1: to week twelve here, but a great showing by Andrews.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully everybody followed him last week and tracked him over

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Speaker 1: at Betting Pros, which you can do for all of us.

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Speaker 1: So go over there, download the app, and you can

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Speaker 1: follow along with us. Andrew ericson, I know you're super

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Speaker 1: excited about that at Troit Lions games, So let's just

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Speaker 1: get after it. Giants Lions. We talked about this and

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Speaker 1: the look Ahead show on Monday. I know we're talking

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Speaker 1: about big totals, the Lions bouncing back offensively. So what

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Speaker 1: is your way to bet Lions Giants?

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Speaker 3: I'm going to lay the points with the Lions minus

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Speaker 3: ten and a half against the New York Giants.

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Speaker 2: Detroit is back at home in the Dome.

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Speaker 3: They're playing indoor games every single week until Week eighteen,

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Speaker 3: so we're gonna see a ton of fantasy points for

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Speaker 3: the Lions players through the rest of the season, and

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Speaker 3: this particular matchup they're going to get back on track.

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Speaker 3: Dan Campbell has a way of figuring out what went

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Speaker 3: wrong the week before. If they lose a game, they're

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Speaker 3: ten to zero against the spread after a loss. Since

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Speaker 3: twenty twenty three, they've covered the spread fourteen of their

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Speaker 3: last fifteen games following loss, including thirteen straight. This is

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Speaker 3: just a process play. You bet on the Lions after

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Speaker 3: they lose, especially when they're playing at home against one

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Speaker 3: of the worst defenses in the NFL, the New York Giants.

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Speaker 3: So whether it's Jackson Dart, whether it's Jamius Winston, I

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Speaker 3: don't really care. The Lions are going to win this

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Speaker 3: game by two touchdowns, and they're gonna score a boatload

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Speaker 3: of points, which I know you really like. As an

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Speaker 3: angle in this game.

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Speaker 1: I do I do a quiz, hot shot pop quiz.

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Speaker 2: You ready?

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Speaker 1: What is the average total points for the Detroit Lions

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Speaker 1: at home this year?

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Speaker 2: This year?

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Speaker 1: This year?

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna say fifty five points?

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Speaker 1: Oh come on now, seriously, come on that. Don't be hyperbolic.

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Speaker 1: What do you think it is? Honestly, fifty six is ridiculous.

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Speaker 1: What do you think the average points are for them

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Speaker 1: at home this year? Why?

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Speaker 2: Why is fifty six ridiculous? Game score? Fifty six?

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Speaker 1: Fifty six points per game?

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Speaker 3: I thought you were talking about total games with the

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Speaker 3: Lions at home.

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Speaker 1: No, no, no, no, no, just both Lions. Just the Lions. Okay,

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Speaker 1: thirty five points lower than you are. Just missed it

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Speaker 1: there by one point. Thirty six, thirty six points per game. Now,

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Speaker 1: what's the team total for this game. It's thirty and

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Speaker 1: a half. Boys and girls, it's thirty and a half.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the over at minus one fifteen

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Speaker 1: on that thirty and a half because it's the Giants

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Speaker 1: defense and it's the Lions at home. So I'm pretty

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Speaker 1: confident that I got a wide margin of error here

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Speaker 1: by six points. I'm sorry if I wasn't clear enough

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Speaker 1: there with the over. I meant the team total over.

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Speaker 1: I thought you heard me on that one. But I'm

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Speaker 1: going team total here. I'm not trying to rely on

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Speaker 1: the Giants. Jackson Dart, who knows right now is the

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Speaker 1: recording this. We're hopeful he's gonna play. It seems like

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Speaker 1: things are moving in the right direction. What if he

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Speaker 1: gets knocked out again? Too many ifs for me, So

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Speaker 1: just give me the Lions now. Look if they hit

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Speaker 1: thirty six, hopefully Andrew Erickson's helpful and hopeful that we'll

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Speaker 1: get over that main total as well. We'll talk about

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Speaker 1: that later in the show. Also, so the Lions by

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Speaker 1: a wide margin. The Lions though, to go over thirty

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Speaker 1: and a half points, that's my favorite way to start.

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Speaker 2: Next.

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Speaker 1: I want to go with our new England Patriots taking

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Speaker 1: on the Cincinnati Bengals. Now, the Bengals defense has been

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Speaker 1: absolutely just atrocious. They're basically eliminated here from the playoffs, folks.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I know the hope of Joe Burrow returning

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Speaker 1: was something that every Bengals fan was lighting candles for

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Speaker 1: in church, but it's not gonna save the season here.

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Speaker 1: And Jamar Chase being out for this game makes things

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Speaker 1: infinitely harder when you don't have him on the docket.

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Speaker 1: So we talked about this on a look ahead. We

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Speaker 1: thought there was early value on the Patriots. The line

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Speaker 1: did move a little bit too, even more towards the Patriots,

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Speaker 1: but I still like minus six and a half. Patriots

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Speaker 1: have been good on the road this year and they've

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Speaker 1: been broad warriors. I think they're confident. They've got extra rest.

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Speaker 1: They got a terrible defense they're playing against in Cincinnati.

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Speaker 1: Drake May's playing out of his mind. The explosiveness of

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Speaker 1: Trevion Henderson is something that the Bengals just can't handle.

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Speaker 1: They can't tackle anybody. It's a joke on The Patriots

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Speaker 1: are more physical team too, and I think that's going

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Speaker 1: to show up big time in this game. So I

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Speaker 1: will take the Patriots with the six and a half

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Speaker 1: points here against Cincinnati. Ericson where are you going for

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Speaker 1: your second pick for Week twelve?

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Speaker 3: Going to Nashville, Tennessee with Tennessee Titans. We're getting double

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Speaker 3: digits as a home underdog. Look, I'm just a sucker

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Speaker 3: for getting this many points with a home team, even

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Speaker 3: though it is the Tennessee Titans. And give to credit

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Speaker 3: where credit is due. The Titans have covered back to

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Speaker 3: back home games, so since they got rid of Brian Callahan,

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Speaker 3: we actually have seen some types of improvements. Now, it's

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Speaker 3: not anything earth moving when it comes to the Tennessee Titan.

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Speaker 3: Still probably the worst team in the NFL, but they

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Speaker 3: are finding ways to cover some of these games, especially

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Speaker 3: when they're playing at home. And I'm looking at Seattle.

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Speaker 3: Usually it's an auto smash for me. Seattle on the road,

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Speaker 3: doesn't matter, it doesn't matter who they're playing. They always cover.

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Speaker 3: They usually win outright. Even last week I was on

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Speaker 3: Seattle plus three. But I feel like the football regression

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Speaker 3: gods are going to come down on Sam Donald hard

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Speaker 3: here because the fact that they not only covered and

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Speaker 3: they actually almost won the game.

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Speaker 2: He kicks that sixty wing yard field goal.

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Speaker 3: They could win that game against the Los Angeles Rams,

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Speaker 3: he threw four interceptions. What are the odds that you

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Speaker 3: can actually cover a game that close and throw four picks.

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Speaker 3: I just think that this is a bad situation for

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Speaker 3: the Seattle Seax playing on the road, going from West

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Speaker 3: coast to East coast, playing in the one o'clock window,

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Speaker 3: and they have offensive line injuries back to back weeks.

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Speaker 3: They've lost a starter on that O line, Jeffrey Simmons,

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Speaker 3: Devondi Schweat. Those guys were getting after the Texans in

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Speaker 3: their last matchup. So I think that, yeah, Seahawks are

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Speaker 3: going to find a way to win this game, but

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Speaker 3: is it going to be by two touchdowns? With the injuries?

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Speaker 3: Sam Darman turned back into a pumpkin. So again, I

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Speaker 3: usually love betting on Seattle as a road team. It's

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Speaker 3: one of my best and most profitable. You know, the

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Speaker 3: betting systems like Seattle's road team, bet them every single time.

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Speaker 3: But this particular matchup, I'm squeamish to bet on on

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Speaker 3: my Hawks. So I'm going to go with the Titans

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Speaker 3: here plus thirteen and a half?

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Speaker 1: All right, I struggled here with number three. There's not

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Speaker 1: a lot of things that I'm in love with this week,

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Speaker 1: but I'm just gonna trust the process and what my

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Speaker 1: eyes have seen here. And they're early going from JJ McCarthy,

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Speaker 1: which are things just aren't good justin Jefferson seems disenfranchised.

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Speaker 1: JJ can't hook up with the other JJ here at all.

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Speaker 1: They can't get on the same page. And now they're

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Speaker 1: going on the road here to Green Bay, and with

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Speaker 1: that pass rush that Green Bay is going to provide

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Speaker 1: with Michael Parsons, I'm just concerned that that's going to

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Speaker 1: be too much for the young QB to handle. If

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Speaker 1: it was a cookie matchup here, I might feel better

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Speaker 1: about him getting right. But right now, the Green Bay

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Speaker 1: Packers are fighting for their life in the playoff hunt.

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Speaker 1: Right now, they have that stubborn little tie that they

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Speaker 1: had from earlier in the season, So they're in a

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Speaker 1: tough situation in this game. They've really got to come

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Speaker 1: away with the victory here, put Minnesota in their place,

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Speaker 1: and put Minnesota behind them and the Vikings I know

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Speaker 1: need this game desperately, And I said before, this is

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Speaker 1: the time of year I'm looking at teams and I'm

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Speaker 1: trying to bet teams that have something to play for,

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Speaker 1: and I feel like the Minnesota Vikings season is practically

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Speaker 1: on the line here. But I just don't believe in

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Speaker 1: what they're doing. The defense has given up too many

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Speaker 1: big plays. I don't love the offense. I don't love

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Speaker 1: the fact that the green Bay Packers are dealing with

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Speaker 1: the Josh Jacobs injury. I don't love a lot of

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Speaker 1: things when it comes to green Bay, but I like

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Speaker 1: very little when I look at Minnesota and what they've

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Speaker 1: been able to do on both sides at a football recently.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you can't lose to the Bears at home.

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Speaker 1: To me, that was kind of a knife in the

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Speaker 1: heart moment for them. So can I belie leave that

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Speaker 1: they can go to Green Bay and win. No? Do

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Speaker 1: I think they can cover? Maybe, But instead I'm just

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Speaker 1: gonna put my eggs into the basket of green Bay

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Speaker 1: and the Packers, and I think that basket's full of cheese,

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Speaker 1: and hopefully it's full of at least six and a

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Speaker 1: half points, because that is the line right now. So

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Speaker 1: give me the green Bay Packers plus six and a half.

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Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson, we talked earlier this week about the Nordlands Saints.

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Speaker 1: Are you still on that bandwagon.

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Speaker 3: Yes, Saints minus one half because it's not enough points

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Speaker 3: when you're facing Kirk Cousins with Outdrake London.

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Speaker 2: Cousins on the road.

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Speaker 3: Offensive line has been dealing with a ton of injuries

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Speaker 3: for the Atlanta Falcons, and he can't move, can't move,

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Speaker 3: and he can't move the ball downfield. Darnold Mooney has

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Speaker 3: been terrible this season. Kyle Pitts another disappointing year. So

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Speaker 3: I just like the Saints in this spot. And I've

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Speaker 3: talked about a lot on this show this year about

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Speaker 3: betting against rookie quarterbacks on the road, but conversely, you

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Speaker 3: want to bet on them when they are favored at home.

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Speaker 3: One of my best bets, I think all year was

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Speaker 3: when the Browns were hosting the Miami Dolphins and Dylan

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Speaker 3: Gabriel was a favorite quarterback as a fourth round pick

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Speaker 3: minus one and a half and the Browns destroyed the

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Speaker 3: Miami Dolphins in that game. It was one of my

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Speaker 3: favorite bets all year. And I'm getting similar vibes here

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Speaker 3: with the New Orleans Saints. You look at rookie quarterbacks

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Speaker 3: at home and so this is from visen so since

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Speaker 3: the start of the twenty twenty season, rookie starting quarterbacks

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Speaker 3: have been taking care of business at home in the

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Speaker 3: favorite role of going forty one and eleven straight up

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Speaker 3: thirty eight thirteen and one against the spread. That's seventy

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Speaker 3: five percent of a hit rate. And just this season, look,

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Speaker 3: I talked about it with cam Ward. He started out

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Speaker 3: zero to three at home. He's now two and oh

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Speaker 3: over his last two games. And obviously he hasn't been

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Speaker 3: favored in any of his games this year. Jackson dart

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Speaker 3: is two and one against the spread at home, one

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Speaker 3: in three against the spread on the road, Dylan Gabriel

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Speaker 3: two and oher at home, and he's the only rookie

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Speaker 3: quarterback this year to be favored in a game at home,

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Speaker 3: and it was in that aforementioned game against the Dolphins

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Speaker 3: which they destroyed Miami. So I love the New Orleans

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Speaker 3: Saints in this spot. Tyler Schuck making his first home

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Speaker 3: start again the last two games he's been on the road.

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Speaker 3: Rookie quarterbacks is here combined six and four kins of

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Speaker 3: spread at home, three and one in divisional contest. So

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Speaker 3: even though it is a divisional game which sometimes give

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Speaker 3: us like the heavy gbs of like I don't know.

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Speaker 3: I've seen enough of Atlanta this year. It's more their

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Speaker 3: team is more cooked than Thanksgiving turkey you're gonna have

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Speaker 3: next week. So I love taking the Saints here mins

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Speaker 3: one and a half minus three. Go, let's go, sayes, all.

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Speaker 1: Right, fair enough there, all right, let's continue, and I'll

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Speaker 1: make turkey on Thanksgiving. I do short ribs because turkey

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Speaker 1: is so much work and it's gross and you gotta

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Speaker 1: stick your hands up the bird and do the stuffing

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Speaker 1: and all, and it's it's too much work and turkey

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Speaker 1: is just kind of blah. It's fine, it's not worth it.

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Speaker 1: All the short ribs, however, you do them in the morning.

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Speaker 1: You make them and then they're just ready. You put

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Speaker 1: them in the pot. They braize for a couple hours,

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Speaker 1: five hours. Beautiful. That's my recommendation, everybody, pivot off the

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Speaker 1: turkey you do you out there for Thanksgiving. And also

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Speaker 1: if you're looking for more opinions just like that, go

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Speaker 1: to our discoord bettingpros dot com. Last Shot. It's free,

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Speaker 1: it's fun, and of course we've got expert handicappers there

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Speaker 1: to help you with all the sports that you want

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Speaker 1: to wait, So join our Discord community today. It's growing

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Speaker 1: every single day, and we want you to be a

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Speaker 1: part of it.

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Speaker 2: Again.

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Speaker 1: No matter what your sport, no matter what type of

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Speaker 1: bet you want to make or what time of better

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Speaker 1: you want to become, Discord can help you. Bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: Com slast chat. All right, let's get to the next

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Speaker 1: one here. And I got it saying, you know, the

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Speaker 1: Indianapolis Colts have been good. I've said they're not just

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Speaker 1: AFC South good. They're good this year and I want

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Speaker 1: to respect them. However, now we're starting to punch in

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Speaker 1: a higher way class.

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Speaker 2: This is kind of like old school.

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Speaker 1: Back in the day before Andrew's time, we had a

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Speaker 1: little game called Mike Tyson's punch Out, and we had

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Speaker 1: Mike Tyson's punch Out.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 1: You know, started out with Glass Joe, and you started

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Speaker 1: out with King Hippo. You kind of moved your way

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Speaker 1: up the ranks, right and eventually you fought some guys

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Speaker 1: that were much tougher. And I feel like that's kind

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Speaker 1: of what's happening little Mac. You know, scrappy Indianapolis Colts.

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Speaker 1: I know they're coming off of buy and that's great,

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Speaker 1: but now they're going to face the Kansas City Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: who have been there, done that. Now the Chiefs are

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Speaker 1: in a position and again where this is must win territory.

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Speaker 1: They are at home. This is big stuff here for

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Speaker 1: the Kansas City Chiefs and the opponents. Right now this

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Speaker 1: season for the Indianapolis Colts have a winning percentage under

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Speaker 1: five hundred. So if you look back at what they've

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Speaker 1: done here, sure you want against Miami. You should have

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Speaker 1: lost against Denver, but you eat out of victory misted Field,

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Speaker 1: go okay, whatever things happen. They beat the Titans, they

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Speaker 1: lost to the Rams though when they got tested, and

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Speaker 1: then wins against the Raiders, the Cardinals, the Chargers, the Titans,

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Speaker 1: even the Steelers. When they played the Steelers, what they do.

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Speaker 1: They lost, and the Steelers aren't a great football team.

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Speaker 1: Now they beat Atlanta, I think we all know what

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Speaker 1: kind of team Atlanta is. Now they get Kansas City,

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Speaker 1: and I think Kansas City is the first real opponent

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Speaker 1: they're gonna have to face, and I think they're gonna

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Speaker 1: punch in the mouth, and unfortunately, I don't think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna be able to hit that a button fast enough

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Speaker 1: to try to get up in order to get back

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Speaker 1: and stand up again. I think it's a TKO here

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Speaker 1: for the Indianapolis Colts. So give me the Kansas City

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Speaker 1: Chiefs minus three and a half, and I'm gonna stop

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Speaker 1: now because I can't take the Mike Tyson punch out

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Speaker 1: metaphor any further than I already have. That's it, It's

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Speaker 1: all I can do. Andrew Erickson, what is your next

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Speaker 1: pick here for.

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Speaker 2: Week twelve, same game?

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Speaker 3: I am not picking sides here though, because the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: Lady Luck has found somebody else right like, she is

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Speaker 3: no longer hanging out in Kansas City. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: avoid the three and a half points spread too close

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Speaker 3: for me. I'm gonna take the under in this game

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Speaker 3: under fifty and a half points. Yes, the Colts offense

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Speaker 3: has been really, really explosive this season, but to your point,

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Speaker 3: they've faced a easier schedule of opponents, so I think

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Speaker 3: that might hurt their offense a little bit, especially going

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Speaker 3: up against a really strong Kansas City Chiefs defense. If

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Speaker 3: you look at the way the Chiefs have played their games,

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Speaker 3: the last five games that they've played all done under

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Speaker 3: the projected total. Casey has the highest under hit rate

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Speaker 3: in totals at home seventy one percent since twenty twenty three,

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Speaker 3: and just this year the Chiefs are seventy to three

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Speaker 3: towards the under. So I think that they will play

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Speaker 3: defensively pretty well here at home at Arrowhead against Daniel Jones.

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Speaker 3: Playing on the road. We've seen the last two weeks

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Speaker 3: Daniel Jones has kind of turned back a little bit

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Speaker 3: more into his giant self. Five turnovers, two interceptions, three

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Speaker 3: fumbles over the Colts lasts two games. So I think

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Speaker 3: this is more a defense about a little bit more

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Speaker 3: of low scoring. I know that the Colts are going

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Speaker 3: to come in here try to establish a run with

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Speaker 3: Jonathan Taylor, like that's how they win this game. And

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Speaker 3: I think that if Colts want to come away with

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Speaker 3: the victory, it is a low scoring game that they

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Speaker 3: squeak out a field goal type of win. So I

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Speaker 3: like the under here at fifteen and a half points.

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Speaker 3: I think that's just way too high for a Chiefs

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Speaker 3: home game. When we find that Chiefs home games tend

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Speaker 3: to not be really high scoring. You look at since

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Speaker 3: the start of last year, the only games that have

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Speaker 3: gone over fifty points have been Ravens, Chiefs, Bills, Chiefs

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Speaker 3: Bengals chiefs so and Bucks chiefs in overtime. So again,

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Speaker 3: I just don't think that Daniel Jones is the same

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Speaker 3: as those types of quarterbacks heading into airhead Nless, of

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Speaker 3: course we get like an overtime type of game environment.

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Speaker 1: All right, fair enough there, fair enough, so we both

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Speaker 1: got strong feelings. Now tune into the Parlay show here

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Speaker 1: on the channel because I've got an SGP for that

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Speaker 1: game too. You're not gonna want to miss, so make

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Speaker 1: sure you subscribe to the channel here a betting pros

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Speaker 1: and of course Partley shows super fun. We have a

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Speaker 1: good time there.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: Speaking of parlays, we're gonna do one of those in

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Speaker 1: this show as well. But we've also got one more

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Speaker 1: pick to make, plus the Upset special, plus our hard

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Speaker 1: rock favorite bets of the week. We got a lot

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Speaker 1: still to go here, Andrew Erickson for my fifth and

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Speaker 1: final selection here, I'm gonna go with the Arizona Cardinals

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Speaker 1: plus two and a half verst to Jacksonville Jaguars. I know,

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Speaker 1: I said last week, I've officially thrown in the towel

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Speaker 1: of ever knowing what the Jaguars are going to do,

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Speaker 1: and I stand by that. So here's my thought process

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Speaker 1: this week. I know I'm going against kind of what

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Speaker 1: I said by even considering wagering in a game that

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Speaker 1: they are taking part in, but these out of conference

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Speaker 1: games get a little weird sometimes, and going on the

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Speaker 1: road out of conference, I think Arizona can actually handle

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Speaker 1: their business. You know, Jacoby were said completed forty seven

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Speaker 1: passes last week. I know San Francisco has its problems

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Speaker 1: on the secondary. I think we all agree a lot

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Speaker 1: of injuries of ravage that defense. But at the same time,

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Speaker 1: I think Arizona's trying to make a statement here, and

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Speaker 1: I think against the Jacksonville Jaguars, I think they can

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Speaker 1: at least keep this game close. Maybe it's a one

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Speaker 1: point game or something to that effect. Tech I think

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Speaker 1: Arizona's even a play to win out right, So I'll

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Speaker 1: think the Arizona Cardinals at home plus two and a

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Speaker 1: half against the Jacksonville Jaguars out of conference game. Again,

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Speaker 1: those are a little trickier to gauge, especially when that

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Speaker 1: team is traveling. So I'm gonna go ahead and take

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Speaker 1: my shot at the Jagson Who knows, maybe I'll officially

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Speaker 1: crack the code of the Jaguars for once.

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Speaker 2: All Right.

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Speaker 1: I know we've had our ups and downs with Baker Mayfield.

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Speaker 1: I am passing on him this week, but Andrew Rickson,

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Speaker 1: you are dipping your toes in the water once again.

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Speaker 3: Look, no trend is going to hit at one hundred

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Speaker 3: percent rate. You know, sometimes Baker Mayfield's gonna go on

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Speaker 3: the road and he's not gonna cover. But it happens.

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Speaker 2: But I was still encouraged by what I saw last week.

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Speaker 3: So spoiler, I'm taking the Bucks again plus seven on

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Speaker 3: the road against the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday Night football.

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Speaker 3: So after we have a four and O Sunday, you'll

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Speaker 3: be able to top it off with a five and

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Speaker 3: OL start after the Sunday night football game. Because I

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Speaker 3: just I'm gonna go right back to it. I'm not

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Speaker 3: going to be dissuaded by one week where I wasn't

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Speaker 3: like on in pressed by the Buccaneers. They had chances

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Speaker 3: to win that game in Buffalo. That game was back

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Speaker 3: and forth, and look, give credit to Josh Allen. He

399
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Speaker 3: scored six touchdowns, all right, the guy superman. And that's

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Speaker 3: what it took for the Buccaneers not to cover in

401
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Speaker 3: Buffalo despite I think a pretty strong game from Baker Mayfield.

402
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Speaker 3: He was running more, which is something that we had

403
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Speaker 3: not seen the last couple of games, so I think

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Speaker 3: he is a little bit more healthy. You have him

405
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Speaker 3: coming off a loss, playing on the road as an

406
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Speaker 3: underdog in a revenge game. Spot for Baker Mayfield, who

407
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Speaker 3: formerly played for the Rams. He had a cup of

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Speaker 3: coffee with Sean McVay one a Thursday night football game.

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Speaker 2: Was was a ton of fun.

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Speaker 3: So I think that he's going to be fired up

411
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Speaker 3: for this particular matchup, going up against the MVP front

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Speaker 3: runner with Matthew Stafford. Are gonna be the best team

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Speaker 3: in the NFL. This is just like prime. Oh, Baker

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Speaker 3: Mayfield's going to have himself a day now. Do they

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Speaker 3: win the game, Probably not, But I think that it's

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Speaker 3: going to be much tighter than seven points, especially when

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Speaker 3: you look at the Rams. They're one of the most

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Speaker 3: overrated teams when they're playing at home of terms of

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Speaker 3: against the spread, So I like going after Baker Mayfield here.

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Speaker 3: Quentin Lay, the starting safety for the Rams, is out

421
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Speaker 3: of this game. He plays nearly every single snap defensively,

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Speaker 3: so I think that's an overlooked injury on the defensive

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Speaker 3: side of the football for the Los Angeles Rams. I

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Speaker 3: like Bucks here, Rams as home favorites three and five

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Speaker 3: against the spread since twenty twenty four. That's not that

426
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Speaker 3: impressive a record, especially when you compare it to Faker

427
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Speaker 3: Mayfield on the road as an underdog after a loss,

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Speaker 3: going right back to the Bucks.

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Speaker 1: All right, it's time everybody for our hard rock best

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Speaker 1: bet of the week for Andrew Rickson and myself, Joey Peace.

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Speaker 1: So we are going to be sticking both in the

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Speaker 1: same game again. We're gonna start right here where we

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Speaker 1: began the show, and we're gonna go right back to

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00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:41,320
Speaker 1: that Lions contest here with the New York Giants. I'm

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00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:43,720
Speaker 1: taking the team total over thirty and a half again.

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00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:46,080
Speaker 1: It's my favorite bet of the week. Why because they're

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00:18:46,080 --> 00:18:48,640
Speaker 1: averaging thirty six points at home this year in twenty

438
00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:50,919
Speaker 1: twenty five, the Lions has come off a bad loss.

439
00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:53,920
Speaker 1: They're gonna go home where they crush life at home,

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00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:57,159
Speaker 1: and the Giants defense is beginning crushed all season. They

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00:18:57,280 --> 00:19:00,480
Speaker 1: just can't stop anybody. So give me the team total

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00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:03,359
Speaker 1: over thirty and a half for Detroit. Andrew, what's your

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00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,800
Speaker 1: take again? Just to remind everybody on this game, and

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00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:06,600
Speaker 1: why is your.

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00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:10,040
Speaker 3: Favorite Lions minus ten and a half. The process says,

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00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:12,880
Speaker 3: anytime the run the Lions lose, you bet on them

447
00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:15,280
Speaker 3: the next week, especially when they play at home. Ten

448
00:19:15,320 --> 00:19:17,920
Speaker 3: and zero against the spread since a loss. Since twenty

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00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:20,760
Speaker 3: twenty three, Jackson Dart is one in three against the

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00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:23,879
Speaker 3: spread in his four roads starts this season. And to

451
00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:25,800
Speaker 3: just add more field to the fire of how many

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00:19:25,840 --> 00:19:27,640
Speaker 3: points the Lions are going to score in this game,

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00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:31,480
Speaker 3: the Giants defense thirty second in red zone defense this season,

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00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:34,440
Speaker 3: So anytime the Lions getting close to scoring, they're punching

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00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:37,119
Speaker 3: in for a touchdown because Dan Campbell doesn't know what

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00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:40,320
Speaker 3: a field goal is anymore. It's gonna be touchdown, touchdown,

457
00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:41,880
Speaker 3: go for two, touchdown, touchdown.

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00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:44,800
Speaker 1: It'll work against the Giants. The problem is it doesn't

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00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:47,679
Speaker 1: work in real games against real teams. So that's the problem,

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00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:49,400
Speaker 1: and that's why the Lions won't get to the Super

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00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:52,359
Speaker 1: Bowl again this year. So sorry Lions fans, but the

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00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:54,359
Speaker 1: good news is you can still download the hard Rock

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470
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Speaker 1: we've got NFL, we've got college hoops, NBA, NHL. It's

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Speaker 1: So download it today again. Bet five bucks, get one

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifteen bonus bets when you win and bet

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Speaker 1: on these things you just might this week. Payble and

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Speaker 1: and physically president Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,

479
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Speaker 1: gambling in Florida called one eight eight eight admit it

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Speaker 1: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and

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Speaker 1: nine with it. Gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois,

484
00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:53,639
Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. All right, let's get

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00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:56,240
Speaker 1: to the upsets special of the week here Andrew Erickson,

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00:20:56,320 --> 00:20:58,960
Speaker 1: And you know, I got a feeling like the Eagles

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00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:01,440
Speaker 1: are a little broken right now. Like I know they're

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00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:05,360
Speaker 1: the Ranning defending champs, but let's do a little assessment

489
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:07,040
Speaker 1: of what we've seen from the Eagles the last couple

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00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:09,000
Speaker 1: weeks here, because I think things are a little off,

491
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:12,639
Speaker 1: a little askew. So they lost to the Denver Broncos

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00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:15,680
Speaker 1: in Week five, remember that at home. Then they lost

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00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:17,720
Speaker 1: to the New York Giants on a Thursday night on

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00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:20,439
Speaker 1: the road. Ooh, that was gross. Now they rotted off

495
00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:22,880
Speaker 1: a couple wins there where they beat the Minnesota Vikings. Okay,

496
00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:25,200
Speaker 1: that's not really super impressive to me. They beat the

497
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:28,159
Speaker 1: New York Giants again, again, not that impressive to me.

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00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:30,560
Speaker 1: And then they had their bye, came back and then

499
00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:32,159
Speaker 1: they played a very ugly game against a Green Bay

500
00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:34,840
Speaker 1: Packers where they only scored ten points. And then an

501
00:21:34,920 --> 00:21:37,560
Speaker 1: ugly game last week against the Detroit Lions. This one

502
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:40,120
Speaker 1: was at home, but they scored just sixteen points. That's

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00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:41,680
Speaker 1: twenty six points in the last two weeks.

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00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:42,760
Speaker 2: Now.

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00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:45,240
Speaker 1: I know the Dallas Cowboys defense has had struggled this year,

506
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:48,800
Speaker 1: but twenty six points in the last two weeks, that's

507
00:21:48,800 --> 00:21:51,160
Speaker 1: not gonna get it done at home against the Dallas Cowboys,

508
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:53,840
Speaker 1: the team that scores well over thirty at home this year.

509
00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:56,399
Speaker 1: So if you're gonna keep pace here with the Dallas

510
00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:59,480
Speaker 1: Cowboys in what this amalgamation of what they are now,

511
00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:01,760
Speaker 1: don't tell me about week one. I don't want to

512
00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:03,840
Speaker 1: hear about Week one. Every team is just kind of

513
00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:06,520
Speaker 1: figuring itself out still in week one. We're in week

514
00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:08,879
Speaker 1: twelve now. The Cowboys, I feel like, are starting to

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00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:10,960
Speaker 1: feel themselves a little bit, starting to have a little

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00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:14,119
Speaker 1: inspired football potentially. I know they've got problems. They are

517
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:17,639
Speaker 1: far from perfect, but this is an Indivision game. This

518
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,560
Speaker 1: is an important game for the Dallas Cowboys. If the

519
00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:22,320
Speaker 1: Cowboys are gonna go on a run, it's gonna be

520
00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:25,120
Speaker 1: off of a win like this being the Philadelphia Eagles.

521
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:27,920
Speaker 1: And I gotta tell you, Andrew Rickson, I think they're

522
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:30,320
Speaker 1: gonna do just that this week. Plus one forty five

523
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:32,440
Speaker 1: on the money line, give me the Dallas Cowboys for

524
00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:34,400
Speaker 1: the big upset. What do you think of my upsets

525
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:36,840
Speaker 1: special this week? Andrew? Am I crazy?

526
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:37,760
Speaker 2: Now?

527
00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:41,000
Speaker 3: I think this is a really good one. I consider

528
00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:43,040
Speaker 3: Dallas as part of my card this week with the

529
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:45,520
Speaker 3: points at home. Like, I know, they're coming off a

530
00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:48,000
Speaker 3: short week, but they're coming off an early strong performance,

531
00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:50,639
Speaker 3: and this defense is not what it was back in

532
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:51,080
Speaker 3: Week one.

533
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:52,400
Speaker 2: Like you said, it was kind of a weird Week

534
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 2: one game.

535
00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 3: Anyway, they had that weather delay and it looked like

536
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:57,240
Speaker 3: the offense is we're gonna score both thirty points and

537
00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,680
Speaker 3: then we saw no points scored after the light stormed away.

538
00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,520
Speaker 3: So I think that Eagles are gonna have their work

539
00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:04,120
Speaker 3: cut out for them.

540
00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:07,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I'm looking at betting pros right now.

541
00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 1: I see some markets you can even give this a

542
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:11,440
Speaker 1: plus one sixty. Now, just as we started the show,

543
00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:14,240
Speaker 1: I just went back to look just because and there

544
00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:15,720
Speaker 1: you have it. So that's why you have the Betting

545
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: Pros app. You stay up to date on all these lines. Man,

546
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:20,240
Speaker 1: when they're changing. Betting Pros Singer sports books. Man, I'm

547
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:21,960
Speaker 1: telling you you can get the best line at any

548
00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:24,080
Speaker 1: given time on the VP app. All right, last one

549
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:26,680
Speaker 1: here for you, a little SG actually not ship you,

550
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:28,720
Speaker 1: just a parlay of the week here. So I'm gonna

551
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:30,119
Speaker 1: go ahead and take, of course, my favorite bet of

552
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:31,399
Speaker 1: the week with the thirty and a half of the Lions.

553
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:33,959
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Dallas Cowboys on the upset special

554
00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:35,720
Speaker 1: and the money line at the plus one fifty or

555
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:37,760
Speaker 1: whatever I can get it won sixty in some other spots,

556
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:40,520
Speaker 1: and then just give me San Franz to win at night. Now,

557
00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:42,760
Speaker 1: this is the one four to seven, Okay. This gives

558
00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:44,680
Speaker 1: you something in the one o'clock games on the East Coast,

559
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:46,639
Speaker 1: the four o'clock games, and the night game. Right, so

560
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:49,600
Speaker 1: this way you can watch football all day and have

561
00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:52,400
Speaker 1: steak in it. Okay, So you take that team total

562
00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:54,680
Speaker 1: with the Lions, you take the Cowboys to win outright,

563
00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:56,360
Speaker 1: you get those two things. You could just cash out,

564
00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:58,399
Speaker 1: or you could just let it ride with a simple

565
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:01,159
Speaker 1: money line bet at big minus three six for the

566
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:02,920
Speaker 1: forty nine ers to figure things out at home against

567
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:04,920
Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers. And if you can get all three right,

568
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:08,520
Speaker 1: it's plus four ninety seven almost five to one. So

569
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:10,920
Speaker 1: that is my partlay of the week. And if you've

570
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 1: got a fun call, you want to make your favorite

571
00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:16,159
Speaker 1: bet of the week. Drop your comments below, Subscribe to

572
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,920
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros channel, and of course ring that bill

573
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:20,920
Speaker 1: to it goes ding so you never miss a piece

574
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:22,879
Speaker 1: of content here on the channel. That'll do it for us,

575
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:24,879
Speaker 1: but the story of the game goes on for Andrew

576
00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:27,560
Speaker 1: ericson I'm Joey p. Those are the best bets for

577
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:28,160
Speaker 1: week twelve.

578
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:31,760
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

579
00:24:31,840 --> 00:24:34,200
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

580
00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:37,600
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

581
00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

582
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:44,320
Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

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00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:46,840
Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros