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Speaker 1: Election coverage is brought to you by AMAC.

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Speaker 2: Okay, welcome back.

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Speaker 3: We're on top of the Willard Hotel, the historic Willard Hotel,

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Speaker 3: in the heart of the Imperial Perial Capital, right across

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Speaker 3: the street from the Treasury Department, right across the street

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Speaker 3: from the White House, the Ellipse where the famous speech

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Speaker 3: of President Trump on January sixth was given. Also, Kamala

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Speaker 3: Harris I think symbolically decided to end her campaign, or

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Speaker 3: what they called her closing argument, in front of seventy

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Speaker 3: five hundred thousand people about a week ago. We chose

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Speaker 3: this one to thank you rual America's voice. There's so

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Speaker 3: much history to the Willard and quite frankly, so much

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Speaker 3: history with our movement about the hotel and what everyone's

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Speaker 3: gone through over the last four years. John Solomon, I'm

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Speaker 3: gonna go back to zer here in a moment. The

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Speaker 3: Great David Zier is at the Republican headquarters in North Carolina.

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Speaker 3: Your thoughts, people are getting a little jiggy on North

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Speaker 3: Carolina over the last hour as these numbers have come in,

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Speaker 3: You and boll be saying, hey, take a deep breath.

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Speaker 2: There's a long way to go. Hear your thoughts.

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Speaker 4: North Carolina's tracking exactly the way it did in twenty sixteen,

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Speaker 4: about a three to three point three margin of victory

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Speaker 4: for Donald Trump based on where the vote is and

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Speaker 4: how you overlay it to the model. I think North

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Speaker 4: Carolina is going to be Okay, I'm going to make

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Speaker 4: a prediction. I think Michigan seven, the Slocking seat is

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Speaker 4: going to go republic And I'm just looking at some exit.

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Speaker 2: Pollingta look, hang on, hang on, stop, I know.

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Speaker 5: I just moved to No.

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Speaker 2: No, that's just a bombshell. Correct me if I'm wrong.

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Speaker 3: If you're saying, then Slocking's running against Rogers in the

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Speaker 3: Senate seat.

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Speaker 2: If you're saying Slock.

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Speaker 3: And seat in the House is going to go Republican,

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Speaker 3: you're telling me that Donald Trump's going to win Michigan

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Speaker 3: in so many words, are you not?

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Speaker 5: I'm not yet.

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Speaker 4: No, I'm not quite there yet because I got to

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Speaker 4: see that Detroit vote more. It's all about Detroit, and

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Speaker 4: I do think listening, but that wouldn't let me go. Patrick,

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Speaker 4: I think will be the story in Michigan if we win.

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Speaker 2: You think what will be this?

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Speaker 4: Kwame Kikpatrick, the former mayor that President Trump bardon. He

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Speaker 4: has been an ardent supporter of going out and having

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Speaker 4: great conversations with young black men all across Wayne County

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Speaker 4: in Detroit.

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Speaker 5: And he'll be the story if he wins.

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Speaker 3: But if hey, John Solomon's given you super inside baseball

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Speaker 3: because you're the only.

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Speaker 2: Guy across the country. He's been talking about.

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Speaker 3: This, that this guy's gone because of what Trump did. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: he part relationship that they built. That he's going out

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Speaker 3: to young black men and say, hey, guys like Trump

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Speaker 3: are delivered. The Democrat Party has not delivered. The Democrat

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Speaker 3: Party cut him loose to have basically, you know, a

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Speaker 3: very long spell in prison.

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Speaker 2: Trump stepped in there is that the inside baseball and.

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Speaker 5: Is inside baseball.

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Speaker 4: And I've talked to some African American pastors, African American

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Speaker 4: voters in Michigan last week who said that Kwame Kakpatrick's

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Speaker 4: message has been very powerful, which is he understands us.

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Speaker 4: He understands what the prison systems like. That's why he

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Speaker 4: did first Step. He understands the economic plight, and he

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Speaker 4: understands every four years, Democrats give you this great vision,

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Speaker 4: We'll make sure you have welfare for the next four years.

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Speaker 4: And uh, it's a generation of young black men that

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Speaker 4: would like to get something better than welfare, that the

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Speaker 4: racism of soft expectations had worn off a lot of

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Speaker 4: the voters in Detroit. And I think if that message

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Speaker 4: UH is going to win, you're going to see it

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Speaker 4: in the Detroit numbers that either black voters will have

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Speaker 4: stayed home or they'll shifted to Trump like we just

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Speaker 4: saw in Georgia. Slotkin winning tells you that red Michigan

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Speaker 4: is overperforming right now. Doesn't mean that Trump can win,

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Speaker 4: but it does mean.

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Speaker 2: That means slock and winning the second.

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Speaker 4: I'm sorry, s going to Republicans. Excuse me, Michigan seven

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Speaker 4: right now. If the exit polling's correct. Now, we got

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Speaker 4: to overlay the data. But if the if the data

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Speaker 4: overlays and the dexipole's good, Uh, the Slotkin seat this

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Speaker 4: is now currently a Democrat, would go Republican.

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Speaker 5: That's a good sign for the House.

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Speaker 3: You're telling me, Okay, if I can't get out of

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Speaker 3: you that it serves that Trump's going to win Michigan.

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Speaker 3: I got to get out of you that there's almost

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Speaker 3: no pathway to take the House if slocking seeds goes

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Speaker 3: and we know we got We're feeling better about the

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Speaker 3: New York seats.

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Speaker 2: Yep, they have almost no path to pick up the seats.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that's why the model shifted this morning.

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Speaker 4: We started most models with a fifty five percent Democrat

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Speaker 4: chance of keeping the house, and now they're moving taking

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Speaker 4: the house, taking the house right, sorry, excuse me, taking

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Speaker 4: the house, and now it's flipped the other way around

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Speaker 4: fifty six, fifty seven, fifty eight percent depending on the

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Speaker 4: market model that you're looking at, that Republicans.

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Speaker 5: Will keep the House.

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Speaker 4: And that suggests the whole Republican ticket all across the

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Speaker 4: country starting to perform. Well, now we have a long

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Speaker 4: way to go. I want to see California House. I

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Speaker 4: want to see New York House results. But if slocking goes,

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Speaker 4: the path for Democrats taking the House gets a lot harder.

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Speaker 4: If that's so and seat goes to Republicans, which my

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Speaker 4: sources are telling me that could happen.

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Speaker 2: Before I go back to Zoo, anything to report anyway.

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Speaker 6: I'm concurrently listening and watching MSNBC as I'm standing.

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Speaker 3: Here, and nothing was. Lawrence o'donald's still is still bitching

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Speaker 3: a moan about the electoral College.

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Speaker 6: Now they're doing their overall sort of previewd everything, but

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Speaker 6: the last segment it was just your typical meltdown overall things.

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Speaker 6: Electoral College love It, which I think is the only

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Speaker 6: poll that we need to.

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Speaker 2: Best only broadcast we really need to focus on.

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Speaker 3: Let's go to David Zer in North Carolina. David, we're

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Speaker 3: gonna come back to you. Anything to update us on

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Speaker 3: before we shove off.

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Speaker 7: Yeah, well, I just wanted to add you know, Tim

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Speaker 7: moorees in District fourteen and Jeff Jackson decided not to

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Speaker 7: run again because the way I think it was redistricted,

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Speaker 7: he thought he couldn't win again.

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Speaker 2: So that's one.

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Speaker 8: Possible pick up for the Republican Party. And now he's

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Speaker 8: winning by a large margin with about fifteen percent, and

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Speaker 8: he's up about twenty five thirty points here. But remember

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Speaker 8: you got Addison McDowell. Kathy Manning sixth district not running

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Speaker 8: again as well here in North Carolina picking up that

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Speaker 8: and if Lori Buckout's able to pull this out against

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Speaker 8: Don Davis, the incumbent, even though she's behind, now that's

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Speaker 8: at least three, so you have seven to seven split

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Speaker 8: now in the House, you could have ten of the fourteen,

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Speaker 8: you know, going Republican here and that may offset you know, we.

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Speaker 2: Could lose a seat or two in New York.

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Speaker 7: Between the seventh district in Michigan and other areas, uh,

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Speaker 7: you know, Virginia seven and other things, it could be

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Speaker 7: a moderate gain in the House.

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Speaker 3: David, what's your social media so people can follow you

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Speaker 3: before we come back to you.

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Speaker 7: Yeah, I'm at Dave Zeer on X and David zer

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Speaker 7: on everything else.

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Speaker 3: Pretty much, David Zeer, thank you. We'll come back to

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Speaker 3: your little while brother as soon as my crack production

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Speaker 3: staffs and let us know when we have things to

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Speaker 3: report from Georgia. President Trump has won Texas. Do we

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Speaker 3: know what the spread is there? And Ted Cruz? I

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Speaker 3: guess Ted cru has been uh hasn't been called yet.

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Speaker 2: Looking good, President Trump has won Texas.

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Speaker 3: Let's go to Cliff Maloney from Pennsylvania. Chase great report

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Speaker 3: this morning, Cliff. People are a little nervous about Pennsylvania.

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Speaker 3: So make us give us a reality check but make

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Speaker 3: us feel better at the same time.

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Speaker 9: Well, the good news is, look.

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Speaker 10: Steve, right now, if you look at mail and voting,

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Speaker 10: we said when we started this thing that if Trump

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Speaker 10: gets thirty three percent of the mail in vote share

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Speaker 10: that he would have a very strong win. Right now

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Speaker 10: he is at thirty seven percent. And I want to

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Speaker 10: break down a couple counties for you that I think

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Speaker 10: are extremely important. Number one, Bucks County has come in.

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Speaker 10: In twenty twenty, Trump only won twenty three percent of

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Speaker 10: the mail in votes in Bucks. Right now he is

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Speaker 10: at thirty three percent, so he has a ten percent

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Speaker 10: increase in Bucks County. Better yet, in York County, which

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Speaker 10: is not just Trump but also Scott Perry at top

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Speaker 10: target to keep and defend for the congressional seat. Trump

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Speaker 10: and Perry back in twenty twenty got thirty two percent

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Speaker 10: of the mail in vote. Right now they're at forty

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Speaker 10: five percent, so you see those gains.

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Speaker 9: And the last one Luzerne County, which has had tons

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Speaker 9: of issues, tons of legal fights.

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Speaker 10: Right now we have a seven percent increase compared to

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Speaker 10: twenty twenty for Donald Trump. The biggest to date for you, Steve,

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Speaker 10: is Alleghany County.

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Speaker 9: Alleghany County.

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Speaker 10: I want to say this very clearly because we care

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Speaker 10: about Philadelphia and the Cower County, but Alleghany County has

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Speaker 10: one hundred percent of their mail in votes in and

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Speaker 10: Donald Trump has increased his share of mail in votes

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Speaker 10: by eleven point six percent. I don't know what the

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Speaker 10: path is right now for Democrats unless Philadelphia County shows

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Speaker 10: up and really does something miraculous in terms of their

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Speaker 10: election day votes.

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Speaker 9: But it's very good news for us right now.

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Speaker 2: Pant me back through that.

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Speaker 3: Why do we think what is happening in Philadelphia? I mean,

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Speaker 3: we heard early in the evening that Biden got six

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Speaker 3: hundred thousand votes, Hillary got five hundred thousand, plus that

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Speaker 3: Kamala Harris are going to need seven hundred thousand votes.

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Speaker 3: Am I correct game day votes in to win this?

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Speaker 3: Where do we stand with philadelp Helia? Where do we

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Speaker 3: staying with the black vote? If we can break down

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Speaker 3: African American men, I mean, is this thing getting tighter

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Speaker 3: right now?

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Speaker 10: So here's the basics. When you look at Philadelphia County specific.

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Speaker 9: Let me break that down.

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Speaker 10: Number one, there's been one hundred and thirty thousand roughly

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Speaker 10: mail in votes that have counted. And so when I

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Speaker 10: tell you we're at thirty seven percent statewide with mail

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Speaker 10: in votes, that includes one hundred and thirty thousand in Philadelphia.

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Speaker 10: So then you'd ask, well, how many mail in votes

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Speaker 10: are left. There's only about sixty thousand votes left for

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Speaker 10: them to count in Philly. So the reason Steve, that

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Speaker 10: I say that seven hundred thousand number is so important

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Speaker 10: is because they're going to have to get seven, maybe

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Speaker 10: even eight hundred thousand to make up the difference on

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Speaker 10: election day. And as you pointed out early on the program,

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Speaker 10: Bot wasn't able to do that. Clinton wasn't able to

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Speaker 10: do that, And so that's their hail Mary. The only

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Speaker 10: path they have to win is to have a record

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Speaker 10: setting turnout of election day voters in Philadelphia. Now we

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Speaker 10: don't have the numbers yet, right, they're not in yet

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Speaker 10: from Philadelphia, but I'm telling you, based on mail in

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Speaker 10: and Alleghany and Philly, the only path left for them

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Speaker 10: is to have some astronomical number of turnout in the

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Speaker 10: seven hundred thousands range in Philadelphia, which is going to

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Speaker 10: be very difficult to do.

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Speaker 3: But your point is is that Biden didn't do this,

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Speaker 3: Clinton didn't do this.

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Speaker 2: I don't think Obama did this. You're saying that the.

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Speaker 3: Big three that they had did not do this, And

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Speaker 3: you're asking Kamala Harris, who we know has had some

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Speaker 3: weakness there and had to come back to kind of

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Speaker 3: close her deal on the last night of her campaign.

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Speaker 3: So it looks like that could be problematic.

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Speaker 2: Is that your point?

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Speaker 9: Absolutely problematic? Black men are not excited.

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Speaker 10: As we talked about earlier, She's not seeing the women

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Speaker 10: turn out at the levels that she's going to need.

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Speaker 9: And by the way, she needs these crazy numbers.

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Speaker 10: She's got okay numbers, but she needs to have something

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Speaker 10: we've never seen before. Not Obama, Clinton or Biden did it.

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Speaker 10: How in the world is Kamala Harris going to pull

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Speaker 10: that off? But they're sitting at their headquarters right now

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Speaker 10: and they're trying to figure out how they find the

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Speaker 10: votes in Philadelphia County because that county and the Cower

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Speaker 10: County's election day vote, they don't have the math anywhere else.

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Speaker 10: They have to do something miraculous there, which is why

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Speaker 10: I'm saying it looks very good for Trump right now.

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Speaker 2: Okay, Cliff, I want you to hang. I'm going to

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Speaker 2: take you through a break here in a hole with us.

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Speaker 2: You have breaking.

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Speaker 3: News in Wisconsin on an exit poll about the same topic,

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Speaker 3: African American I'm.

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Speaker 6: Nearly doubling his black support, pulling about twenty percent as

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Speaker 6: opposed to eight percent last year and just to carry

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Speaker 6: that over in North Carolina, predominantly black county that Biden

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Speaker 6: allegedly carried by about four points. Trump is now beating

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Speaker 6: Harris there by three points ninety two percent in only

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Speaker 6: looking to expand that lead.

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Speaker 3: Yep, John, we pride our sales in the worm and

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Speaker 3: pattern recognition.

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Speaker 2: Do you see a pattern here?

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Speaker 5: I do. And here's one of the things.

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Speaker 4: If you're Kamala Harrison, you need to drive a lot

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Speaker 4: of black voters in Philadelphia bolls. You might be driving

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Speaker 4: some black Republican Trump voters to the polls today because

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Speaker 4: you're seeing a shift and that makes the game to

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Speaker 4: win Pennsylvania, which is really her blue wall only opportunity

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Speaker 4: that I'm seeing right now, it makes.

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Speaker 5: It real hard.

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Speaker 4: I'm just watching and I'm begetting a little bit. I'm

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Speaker 4: on a chat board with some Kamala Harris people. They're

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Speaker 4: they're talking about they're using birds like the path to

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Speaker 4: victory is closing, and so I think, you know.

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Speaker 2: I want to get into this. We're going to take

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Speaker 2: a short commercial break.

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Speaker 3: We've got John Solomon and Natalie Winners here on the

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Speaker 3: roof with at the Willow Hotel. Brother Cliff Maloney is

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Speaker 3: here in Pennsylvania.

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Speaker 2: Chase all next more room, welcome back.

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Speaker 3: We're on the roof of the famous Willow Hotel. We've

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Speaker 3: got Natalie Winners with us, John Solomon, We're go to Pennsylvania, Chase,

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Speaker 3: Pa Chase, Cliff Maloney in a moment.

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Speaker 6: But I think we want to start the electoral college

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Speaker 6: rant counter for Laurence o'donald at MSNBC, because I think

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Speaker 6: there's a direct correlation to how well we're doing.

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Speaker 2: They both are going up.

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Speaker 3: So John on Nellie's point, a very prominent inside baseball journalist,

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Speaker 3: one of the most prominent guys in town, has been

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Speaker 3: in communication with me tonight and he said, Hey, now

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Speaker 3: at nine o'clock, nine thirty, nine fifteen, how.

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Speaker 2: Do you think it's going?

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Speaker 3: And I just answered, I said, Lawrence o'donald is doing

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Speaker 3: another his first rent of the night from last night

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Speaker 3: on the electoral.

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Speaker 2: College, bitching about it. What do you think.

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Speaker 3: The guy goes, Wow, they're looking for excuses.

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Speaker 2: When you look at CNN and you look at.

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Speaker 3: MSMEBC, they're not making arguments of what's out there.

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Speaker 2: They're now all of a sudden, the victimization.

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Speaker 3: It's all the electoral we just had the popular vote,

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Speaker 3: and you know, four or five more million people would vote.

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Speaker 3: This electoral college is a thing of the past. It's racist,

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Speaker 3: it's native, it's all that your thoughts.

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Speaker 4: I think Donald Trump has a fighting chance to win

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Speaker 4: the electoral vote, or be very close under a point.

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Speaker 5: Popular vote excuse me, the electric take.

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Speaker 2: He actually come close to winning the popular.

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Speaker 4: I do what I'm seeing right now with the underperformance

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Speaker 4: of democratic constituencies in many categories in many states. Now

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Speaker 4: it's not one or two unusual states, He's going to

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Speaker 4: be much closer in the popular vote than he's been

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Speaker 4: at any time previously. And I think the path, as

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Speaker 4: one Democrat just said to me in the text message,

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Speaker 4: the path for Kamala Harris to win is tightening quickly.

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Speaker 4: Just there aren't that many options. I think North Carolina

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Speaker 4: will be safe for Republicans, probably at about three to

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Speaker 4: three point two to three point three percent win is

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Speaker 4: what I'm hearing. Georgia looks like a win for President Trump.

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Speaker 4: I think Arizona's going to be a win for President Trump.

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Speaker 4: But people need to keep voting until the last poll

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Speaker 4: closes there and then it just takes one blue wall

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Speaker 4: and it's over and I think we just got to

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Speaker 4: watch the blue walls. But once North Carolina and Georgia

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Speaker 4: are called for Trump, if Trump takes one more blue wall,

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Speaker 4: this is pretty close to of depression for Democrats.

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Speaker 2: Uh, we've it's.

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Speaker 3: Been called CNN called Ohio for President Trump. Yes, And

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Speaker 3: where does Bernie Marino stand in this? Because Shared Brown

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Speaker 3: I think in this cycle he is the single toughest

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Speaker 3: guy to be agree because he's he's, he's he and

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Speaker 3: Fetterman are as close to Maga on the economics as

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Speaker 3: you can get and in contact with working class people

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Speaker 3: and blue collar people. Also, Shared Brown never goes on

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Speaker 3: very rarely goes on MSNBC, does local TV, local media.

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Speaker 3: I mean, he's not a guy that wants a huge

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Speaker 3: national profile. He's very focused for Marino to beat. That

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Speaker 3: shows that cottails of Trump, right the spread that Trump

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Speaker 3: could have, And I think this pretends well for Carrie

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Speaker 3: Lake in Arizona.

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Speaker 5: I agree, right and Brown.

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Speaker 6: And then two point lead forty nine point seven to

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Speaker 6: forty five Moreno is now building a lead, building right

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Speaker 6: two point two points with fifty.

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Speaker 2: Percent of the vote in And it would be nice

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Speaker 2: to know if that was in Cleveland, if it's like.

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Speaker 5: fIF do this blue, He's moved up even more.

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Speaker 3: What about Marcia Capta, one of my favorites.

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Speaker 2: Is she getting a.

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Speaker 6: Care of the Ukraine coucas?

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Speaker 3: We had chair the Ukraine Caucusocrats told me a putin

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Speaker 3: pond for exposing that Democrats.

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Speaker 4: Are worried about her seats, and I basically turn out

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Speaker 4: that they've seen day of So we'll see. But that's

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Speaker 4: a seat to keep an eye on under the bell

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Speaker 4: weather for a bad Democratic night if she loses.

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Speaker 3: Okay, let's go back to I want to go to

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Speaker 3: Cliff Maloney before he let him go on. Yes, absolutely

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Speaker 3: the uh yeah, let's get burissed back up. Let's go

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Speaker 3: to Cliff Maloney one more time. Cliffs as numbers, keep

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Speaker 3: the coming in, walk our audience through the difficulty as

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Speaker 3: you see it in Harris's path to victory in Pennsylvania,

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Speaker 3: because if she didn't win Pennsylvania, it's game, set match,

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Speaker 3: it's over.

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Speaker 2: This is She's got to win Pennsylvania. Right now, your

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Speaker 2: thoughts are, yeah, let.

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Speaker 10: Me break down Philadelphia County even a little deeper, Steve,

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Speaker 10: and let me know if I get two in the

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Speaker 10: weeds here.

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Speaker 9: So back in twenty twenty.

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Speaker 10: When you look at Philadelphia County specifically, Joe Biden ran

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Speaker 10: it up. As we were saying, he had six hundred

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Speaker 10: and three thousand total votes. But understand how he pulled

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Speaker 10: that off. Okay, this is Philadelphia County Joe Biden in

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Speaker 10: twenty twenty.

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Speaker 9: He had three hundred and forty thousand.

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Speaker 10: Mail in votes, Okay, and on election day he got

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Speaker 10: two hundred and fifty thousand, you know, in some change.

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Speaker 9: That's how he got the six hundred and three.

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Speaker 10: Thousand when you had in some of the provisionals. So

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Speaker 10: how does Harris compare when he had three hundred and

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Speaker 10: forty thousand mail in votes and she's coming in right

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Speaker 10: now at only one hundred thousand.

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Speaker 9: Now, that'll trick up a little bit.

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Speaker 10: But if we're right and we're looking at these numbers,

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Speaker 10: she's got roughly one hundred thousand votes right now through

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Speaker 10: the mail and we're saying she needs to get an

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Speaker 10: additional six hundred thousand because this is where they have

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Speaker 10: to run up the score. Biden only got two fifty

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Speaker 10: on election day, so she would have to not only

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Speaker 10: beat that two fifty steve, she would have to double it,

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Speaker 10: or almost two and a half times the number to

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Speaker 10: come up with the votes to make up the difference.

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Speaker 10: The Democrats don't have the population in any other part

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Speaker 10: of the state. And so right now, one more time,

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Speaker 10: I'll say this, Kamala Harris is one hundred thousand votes,

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Speaker 10: most of them through the mail right now, compared to

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Speaker 10: Joe Biden having three hundred and forty thousand mail votes

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Speaker 10: just in Philadelphia County. Biden's six hundred and three thousand

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Speaker 10: total votes in Philadelphia That's how he won the election

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Speaker 10: by eighty thousand votes. Harris needs to outperform that, so

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Speaker 10: she needs to add an additional six hundred thousand votes

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Speaker 10: between the handful of mail ins that are left and

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Speaker 10: election day voters. Now, I'm not going to count my

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Speaker 10: chickens before they rouse, but I'm telling you the numbers

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Speaker 10: right now. They're panicking because she's not going to hit

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Speaker 10: that seven hundred thousand number unless something crazy happens in

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Speaker 10: Philadelphia County.

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Speaker 3: John Solomon before Lackcliffe go for any observations on Pennsylvania.

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Speaker 4: It's a dogfight, but think Trump will probably pull it

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Speaker 4: out based on the strength of the early vote and

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Speaker 4: the just the cheered number of what Kamala Harris would

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Speaker 4: have to draw out in Philadelphia County is pretty daunting,

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Speaker 4: and we're seeing her underperformed with young black voters in

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Speaker 4: other states. So there's no reason to think that isn't

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Speaker 4: happening right now in Philadelphia. But it's gonna be dog right.

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Speaker 4: We're going to get real data in between nine and ten,

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Speaker 4: and we'll have a really good sense of how Philadelphia

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Speaker 4: is looking.

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Speaker 3: Cliff, we let you go back to work, but we

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Speaker 3: want to pull you back in here, probably in the

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Speaker 3: ten o'clock hour, so my staff will reach out. Tremendous

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Speaker 3: report folks. It's coming down to Pennsylvania, North Carolina very

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Speaker 3: very quickly. So Cliff, thank you so much.

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Speaker 2: Great job, Pa Chase, you guys really lit it up.

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Speaker 2: Fantastic job. Thank you. Look forward to getting you back.

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Speaker 2: Do we have Barriss? Is Richard Barris up?

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Speaker 5: There is some Baltimore we pull up?

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Speaker 2: We got Richard Barris? Or I would love to go

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Speaker 2: to Gruber in.

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Speaker 3: Michigan or the Chairman in Wisconsin.

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Speaker 2: You pick it. Let's us do it. No Barras there

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Speaker 2: we go. Who we got?

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Speaker 5: Oh?

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Speaker 2: Do we have Steve? We have Steve Groener? Gruber?

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Speaker 3: Can you give me an update in Michigan.

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Speaker 2: I'm hearing that we might be able to take Slockin's

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Speaker 2: House seat. What's going on.

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Speaker 11: That's almost sure, Yeah, that's almost for sure. That's my

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Speaker 11: house seat, by the way, that's my home district. I'm

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Speaker 11: glad to see it. That's also the place where Mike Rodgers,

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Speaker 11: who's running for Senate, was my member.

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Speaker 5: Of Congress a few years ago. It's about a thirty.

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Speaker 11: Thousand vote lead, About a quarter of the votes are in.

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Speaker 11: Tom Barrett has run a very good campaign. Look, he's

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Speaker 11: an Iraq war veteran, a helicopter pilot. He was in

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Speaker 11: the State House, the state Senate. He's a great candidate,

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Speaker 11: good friend of mine now as well. Really like the guy.

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Speaker 11: It's pretty clear that Tom Barrett is way ahead of

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Speaker 11: Curtis Hotel, who, by the way, is one of Gregua

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Speaker 11: Whitmer's lieutenants. So that's going to be kind of a

441
00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:44,080
Speaker 11: setback for her.

442
00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:45,320
Speaker 5: And think about this.

443
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:47,879
Speaker 11: The optimism in the room is growing as well, Steve.

444
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:51,360
Speaker 11: I just talked to Pete Hookster, who's the GOP chair,

445
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:54,200
Speaker 11: a former House Intelligence committe Chair, served in Congress.

446
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:54,600
Speaker 5: For eighteen years.

447
00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:57,280
Speaker 11: Pete Hookster did he said, look, the numbers in Wayne

448
00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:59,760
Speaker 11: County are doing the same thing and tracking similar to

449
00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:02,439
Speaker 11: other parts in the country, like Philadelphia, like Atlanta. The

450
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:05,919
Speaker 11: numbers are not coming in the way Democrats fed.

451
00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:07,359
Speaker 5: Them to come in. I don't have the raw number

452
00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:08,120
Speaker 5: totals right now.

453
00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:10,200
Speaker 11: We're trying to get those, but I can tell you

454
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,919
Speaker 11: anecdotally they're not getting the numbers they need out of

455
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:15,800
Speaker 11: Wayne County or Oakland County. And I know that McComb County,

456
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:20,119
Speaker 11: a Bellweather county that's really predicted. Republicans were super happy

457
00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:22,399
Speaker 11: about where their numbers were here when Donald Trump was

458
00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:24,359
Speaker 11: in town a couple of days ago. They had had

459
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:27,560
Speaker 11: about eighty five percent return on mail in ballots. They

460
00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:30,720
Speaker 11: had great response oring those nine days of early in

461
00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:35,000
Speaker 11: person voting. So right now they're very bullish on Michigan.

462
00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:36,800
Speaker 11: I thought Michigan was going to be the heaviest lift

463
00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:39,680
Speaker 11: of all. Very glad to see Tom Barrett doing very well.

464
00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:44,240
Speaker 11: And here's the thing. If Donald Trump wins Michigan, Mike

465
00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:47,120
Speaker 11: Rodgers wins as well. For one hundred years, whoever wins

466
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:49,720
Speaker 11: at the top of the ticket, the Senate seat goes

467
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:50,600
Speaker 11: with the same party.

468
00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:52,720
Speaker 5: So if Donald Trump can squeak.

469
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 11: Out of victory like he did in twenty sixteen, which

470
00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:57,359
Speaker 11: was just over ten thousand votes. You could put Mike

471
00:21:57,480 --> 00:22:00,840
Speaker 11: Rogers on that list with Tim Sheehey and Bernie Marino

472
00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:04,560
Speaker 11: and maybe some more. Because you cannot overstate how important

473
00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 11: the US Senate is in all of this. And so

474
00:22:07,480 --> 00:22:09,480
Speaker 11: I just tell you the energy in this room right

475
00:22:09,560 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 11: now really positive. They really feel upbeat about their chances.

476
00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:17,840
Speaker 11: The numbers that they were looking for the Democrats out

477
00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:19,800
Speaker 11: of Southeast Michigan not materializing.

478
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:21,920
Speaker 5: And then you bring it back to that that.

479
00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:26,400
Speaker 11: Muslim vote, where did that play into it? The muslims

480
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,879
Speaker 11: endorsing Donald Trump, the UAW vote, I mean the UW

481
00:22:30,040 --> 00:22:33,080
Speaker 11: vote and the team's just in the union vote didn't materialize,

482
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:35,119
Speaker 11: and if it didn't materialize for Kamala Harris because a

483
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:38,120
Speaker 11: complete lack of enthusiasm. Same thing I'm hearing from Amanda Head,

484
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,120
Speaker 11: same thing I'm hearing from David zyr and other people

485
00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:43,280
Speaker 11: around the country. And you guys there in the studio, Look,

486
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 11: Michigan's still in play here.

487
00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:45,960
Speaker 5: I'll just tell you that.

488
00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:49,560
Speaker 2: Hang on one second.

489
00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:52,640
Speaker 3: Breaking news from Decision Desk, Natalie Winners.

490
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:53,320
Speaker 2: Donald J.

491
00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:57,360
Speaker 6: Trump wins the election North Carolina decision desk called it.

492
00:22:57,480 --> 00:23:00,480
Speaker 2: Wow, that surprised me from let's get zero back up

493
00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,120
Speaker 2: gets here right away, Steve Gruber, can you.

494
00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:06,280
Speaker 3: Talk to me about numbers right now, the percentages with

495
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:10,920
Speaker 3: President Trump in the race and also with Mike Rogers.

496
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:14,760
Speaker 11: Steve, they just call it Ted Cruz a winner in

497
00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:16,600
Speaker 11: Texas too. I don't know if you guys caught. That

498
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:18,879
Speaker 11: just happened right behind me. So Ted Cruz wins that

499
00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:22,600
Speaker 11: Senate race in Texas, and apparently Donald Trump is one

500
00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:23,440
Speaker 11: North Carolina.

501
00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:26,080
Speaker 5: So that's very good news. What was your question? I'm

502
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:27,159
Speaker 5: sorry I got distracted.

503
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:31,240
Speaker 3: Can you talk about what are the percentages right now

504
00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:34,879
Speaker 3: with Rogers versus slock In and about Trump versus Harris?

505
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 3: Where do we stand? How much vote percentage of vote in?

506
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:38,679
Speaker 3: And what's the spread?

507
00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:43,359
Speaker 11: Well, the spreads about four points in each of those races.

508
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:45,240
Speaker 11: We've got about a third of the vote in right now.

509
00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:46,440
Speaker 5: Again, it's very hard.

510
00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:49,719
Speaker 11: Michigan is not as responsive, shall we say, as some

511
00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:51,760
Speaker 11: other states. Look, we've got a secretary of state here

512
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,080
Speaker 11: who knows we have five hundred thousand more people on

513
00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:56,680
Speaker 11: our voter rolls than eligible people to vote in Michigan.

514
00:23:57,000 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 11: We've got a whole system here that was games pretty

515
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:02,160
Speaker 11: well durned. You know that, Steve, you covered it extensively.

516
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:04,480
Speaker 11: But Jocelyn Benson, the Secretary of Stats, said she'll be

517
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:06,959
Speaker 11: happy to clean up the voter roles as required by

518
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:09,520
Speaker 11: the Constitution right after election day.

519
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:12,400
Speaker 5: So the numbers trickle.

520
00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,760
Speaker 11: Out slowly here in Michigan, but I can tell you anecdotally,

521
00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:18,680
Speaker 11: and that's what's really important, is that the Democrat vote

522
00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:20,679
Speaker 11: has not turned out the way they thought it would.

523
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:24,359
Speaker 11: And right now it looks pretty bullish here in Michigan.

524
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:26,760
Speaker 11: And for you know, I've never seen Florida get called

525
00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:31,000
Speaker 11: that fast. I'm surprised here North Carolina called. Now Georgia

526
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:35,160
Speaker 11: looks like he could tip over anytime soon. Pennsylvania looking

527
00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:38,719
Speaker 11: very good. Look I think that Donald Trump. You know,

528
00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 11: I go back to Mark Mitchell and Rasmussen. He was

529
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:44,479
Speaker 11: on my show this morning. He said, look, I'm going

530
00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:47,120
Speaker 11: to stand by my numbers. Donald Trump's going to take

531
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:47,440
Speaker 11: them all.

532
00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:48,359
Speaker 5: Well.

533
00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:51,040
Speaker 11: I thought I was a little skeptical about that. But

534
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:54,400
Speaker 11: look at what's happening right now, looking at the turnout,

535
00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:56,639
Speaker 11: looking at the lack of enthusiasm for the for the

536
00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:59,200
Speaker 11: Blue team, and looking at the energy in this room

537
00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:01,960
Speaker 11: and the other correspondence I've heard from Real America's Voice

538
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:05,439
Speaker 11: all over the country. This could be quite a night that,

539
00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:07,320
Speaker 11: you know, would kind of take the bad taste of

540
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:09,719
Speaker 11: those midterms and the redwave of twenty twenty two out

541
00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:11,920
Speaker 11: of our mouths and set the stage for a new

542
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:13,400
Speaker 11: era in America.

543
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:18,880
Speaker 2: Frankly, Steve Gerber, We're gonna let you go for right now.

544
00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:19,840
Speaker 2: We're gonna come back to you.

545
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:23,199
Speaker 3: Michigan is a dogfight, but I'm telling you, people are

546
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:25,199
Speaker 3: feeling good. David Searr is going to join us in

547
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:29,080
Speaker 3: a moment from North Carolina. Decision Dess has called the

548
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:33,400
Speaker 3: Tarhill State for President Trump. Blockbuster news, short commercial break,

549
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,159
Speaker 3: Solomon Winter's Bannon next.

550
00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:45,880
Speaker 1: Real America's Voice. Twenty twenty four election coverage is brought

551
00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:48,879
Speaker 1: to you by Trump knifest dot Com. This is the

552
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:52,160
Speaker 1: number one Trump Christmas Gift for twenty twenty four Trump

553
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:57,640
Speaker 1: knifest dot Com. Before election coverage is brought to you

554
00:25:57,680 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 1: by AMAC.

555
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,640
Speaker 3: Okay, welcome back. The news is breaking hot and heavy.

556
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:12,880
Speaker 3: Do we have David zero in North Carolina? I would

557
00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:17,399
Speaker 3: love to get zero, because Decision Deak just called just

558
00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:20,639
Speaker 3: called North Carolina for President Trump, and I got to

559
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,119
Speaker 3: tell you people are breathing a big sigh of relief,

560
00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:27,560
Speaker 3: a little consternation earlier in the early in the night, David.

561
00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:29,000
Speaker 2: Zerr, what do you got for us?

562
00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:34,399
Speaker 12: So it looks like with fifty four percent of the

563
00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:36,800
Speaker 12: vote and Trump up at three and a half, is

564
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:40,199
Speaker 12: a huge margin so far, because you know, this was

565
00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 12: the smallest margin of victory for Donald Trump in the

566
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 12: last election or two of any of the battleground states here.

567
00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:50,160
Speaker 2: So that is major, major news.

568
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:52,080
Speaker 7: I don't know if they know about it yet in

569
00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:54,600
Speaker 7: the room here at the Wake County GOPO. Maybe they're

570
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:58,280
Speaker 7: looking for further confirmation. They haven't announced it yet, but

571
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:01,080
Speaker 7: I see the numbers coming. It would be an extraordinary

572
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:03,640
Speaker 7: night for North Carolina State because I forgot to bring

573
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:06,240
Speaker 7: up to you not only the sixth and the fourteenth

574
00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:09,480
Speaker 7: districts where people have decided not to run again because

575
00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 7: of the jerrymandering that took place that was held up

576
00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 7: by the Supreme Court in twenty twenty two. I believe

577
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:19,800
Speaker 7: after the state legislature have voted to redistrict you also

578
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:23,240
Speaker 7: have the seat that Wiley Nickel abandoned when she when

579
00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:26,920
Speaker 7: he beat bo Hines by three points in twenty twenty two.

580
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:30,600
Speaker 7: And now brad Nott is running against Pierce and he's

581
00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:33,600
Speaker 7: up by ten with forty percent of the vote, and

582
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:36,359
Speaker 7: so that would be a net three gain for the House.

583
00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:39,440
Speaker 2: A big news.

584
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:42,679
Speaker 3: Hangar for one second, Dave, just stay right there. The

585
00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:45,760
Speaker 3: news of North Carolina is monumental. It is because now

586
00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:47,480
Speaker 3: we have focused on the blue Wall.

587
00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:50,320
Speaker 2: She has no other pass, only one more blue wall.

588
00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:52,159
Speaker 2: She has no more pass to the presidency.

589
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,360
Speaker 3: It can't be North Carolina in an Arizona North Carolina

590
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:59,359
Speaker 3: and I lose a Michigan. She's got to win Wisconsin, Michigan,

591
00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:03,639
Speaker 3: and Pennsylvania and throw in and throw in Nebraska too.

592
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:06,960
Speaker 3: Now let's talk about Nebraska. People have been worried about

593
00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:09,840
Speaker 3: this for a while. Deb Fisher is a very establishment

594
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,720
Speaker 3: character in the Senate. They've got kind of this hinky

595
00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:18,359
Speaker 3: funky independent who's really a Democrat. But I think places

596
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:21,679
Speaker 3: more to Omega is deb Fisher. And because if you

597
00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:25,080
Speaker 3: put deb Fisher losing the seat, you've thrown a huge

598
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:27,200
Speaker 3: monkey wrench into this thing of taking the Senate.

599
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:27,800
Speaker 2: What's going on?

600
00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:31,560
Speaker 4: So deb Fisher's underperforming Governor Ricketts by more than five points.

601
00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 4: She's down ten points with a third of the vote

602
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 4: in now that is Omaha vote, so it tends to

603
00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 4: be more Democrat. But she's substantially underperforming Pete Rickets, who's

604
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 4: a very popular governor. They are down actually nine point

605
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:47,960
Speaker 4: seven right now. If she doesn't start to pick up soon,

606
00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 4: this is going to be on our upset alert watch tonight.

607
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:52,480
Speaker 4: But this is a race I've been worried about for

608
00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:55,720
Speaker 4: quite some time. I've been in Washington all six years

609
00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:57,480
Speaker 4: of deb Fisher's ten here, and I've never heard her

610
00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:59,280
Speaker 4: name once until last month when they sent you the

611
00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:02,240
Speaker 4: tuble just hasn't been distinguished. You hadn't done anything that

612
00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:04,680
Speaker 4: you can remember. But she could be in some trouble.

613
00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:06,120
Speaker 4: I will keep an eye on this one. This is

614
00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:07,880
Speaker 4: an alert watch race right now.

615
00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:12,000
Speaker 3: Okay, if the dead Fisher situation is real, that means

616
00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:17,160
Speaker 3: carry Lake or Rogers in Michigan, Kerry Lake, Pennsylvania.

617
00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:18,480
Speaker 2: McCormick in Pennsylvania.

618
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:22,520
Speaker 5: Was it hovedy He's doing very well nearly.

619
00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 3: In Wisconsin, because Wisconsin could be our state here, Sam

620
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 3: Brown in Nevada. Right, We've got a couple of alturned

621
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:31,160
Speaker 3: beside she he who is supposed to put us over

622
00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 3: the top it fishers out, we got to play.

623
00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:34,480
Speaker 2: We need to win three.

624
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,240
Speaker 4: You got to win two, two or two in the presidency,

625
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 4: and you have Dad Evans planted at the center.

626
00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:44,280
Speaker 6: A couple of things. The projected that Cruz has won

627
00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:48,000
Speaker 6: re election fifty three percent of the odds of Republicans

628
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:51,800
Speaker 6: keeping the House per Decision Desk out of the Fine

629
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:54,960
Speaker 6: and then just going big picture of the New York Times,

630
00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:59,280
Speaker 6: their needle forecast every minute or so, they're ticking upwards

631
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:02,240
Speaker 6: on the overall chance of winning, leaning Trump with a

632
00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:04,840
Speaker 6: sixty nine percent chance sixty x three.

633
00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:08,040
Speaker 2: Yep. Wow, we're having him at two eighty.

634
00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 6: Seven, Harris at two point fifty one, him at two

635
00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:12,080
Speaker 6: eighty seven.

636
00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:15,720
Speaker 2: That means they're calling that he would win. I think

637
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:18,280
Speaker 2: Michigan and Michigan.

638
00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:22,240
Speaker 5: In Pennsylvania or Michigan. No, I don't think Pensentona, right A, Michigan, Wisconsin.

639
00:30:22,360 --> 00:30:25,400
Speaker 3: Right. My number actually was do right seven as I remember,

640
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:29,400
Speaker 3: put on the board, Dan, he loses Omaha, Yeah, which

641
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:30,480
Speaker 3: is the thing we got to talk.

642
00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 2: About, David Zeer.

643
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 3: Closing thoughts will come back to, but closing thoughts on

644
00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 3: North Carolina now called for President Trump. People are breathing

645
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:43,280
Speaker 3: a huge sigh of relief because this has cut Kamala

646
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:46,360
Speaker 3: Harris's pass to the White House down to the blush.

647
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:48,680
Speaker 2: She's got to run the tables in the blue Wall.

648
00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:50,240
Speaker 2: Closing thoughts are.

649
00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:55,840
Speaker 8: Republicans have added over one hundred and fifty thousand voters

650
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:59,280
Speaker 8: here since twenty twenty, and on affiliated voters have added

651
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:02,560
Speaker 8: more than four hundred fifty thousand voters here since twenty twenty,

652
00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:05,960
Speaker 8: and I wonder how much of that on affiliated vote

653
00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:06,680
Speaker 8: have gone.

654
00:31:06,520 --> 00:31:07,400
Speaker 2: To Donald Trump.

655
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:10,360
Speaker 7: Forty five percent of the unaffiliateds are under the age

656
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:12,920
Speaker 7: of thirty five, and everybody I've interviewed on the ground

657
00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:15,440
Speaker 7: here for all the Times who covered rallies over the years,

658
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 7: they're young. People can't buy houses, they can't pursue the

659
00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:21,120
Speaker 7: American dream. So I'm thinking that that it may have

660
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:23,800
Speaker 7: something to do with it. Maybe rfkke and taken off

661
00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:26,600
Speaker 7: the ballot here may have opened that up too for

662
00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:30,520
Speaker 7: on affiliateds here. But there's no doubt about it that

663
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:34,160
Speaker 7: there's some type of enthusiasm gap for Kamala Harris in

664
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:36,440
Speaker 7: the state of South North Carolina.

665
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 2: David Zero, what's your social media sovie? Want to keep

666
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 2: up with you.

667
00:31:44,360 --> 00:31:48,280
Speaker 8: At Dave Zeer on Twitter, David zer on almost everything else,

668
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:48,880
Speaker 8: and David W.

669
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:50,280
Speaker 2: Z on Insta.

670
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:52,360
Speaker 7: Thank you so much, David's so great to be with you.

671
00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:55,640
Speaker 2: Thank you brother. Fantastic report.

672
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:58,640
Speaker 3: Do we have any luck with Wisconsin if we try

673
00:31:58,640 --> 00:31:59,239
Speaker 3: to track that down?

674
00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:00,720
Speaker 2: I know he's quite busy right now.

675
00:32:00,760 --> 00:32:03,200
Speaker 4: I think New Hampshire is going to go to Kamala Harris, Okay,

676
00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:07,760
Speaker 4: datam Manchester. Data mimics what a Democrat needs to win

677
00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 4: that state. So that was going to be a really,

678
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:12,240
Speaker 4: really really big Donald Trump. I'd be one to New Hampshire,

679
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:13,680
Speaker 4: but I think New Hampshire probably is going to stay

680
00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:14,400
Speaker 4: in her coll.

681
00:32:14,760 --> 00:32:18,040
Speaker 3: So in the expansion of the map, right of Virginia,

682
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 3: New Hampshire, New Mexico, Minnesota may not have happened. But

683
00:32:24,800 --> 00:32:26,600
Speaker 3: if you think about the heavy lift we have in

684
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:30,840
Speaker 3: twenty sixteen, right now, we could be on the path

685
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:34,480
Speaker 3: to repeat twenty sixteen or with cutting off North Carolina.

686
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:36,080
Speaker 2: He just needs one.

687
00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:39,800
Speaker 3: He just needs Wisconsin or Michigan, the heavy lift of Pennsylvania,

688
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:41,840
Speaker 3: of which I think Cliff Maloney, I mean, give me

689
00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 3: your thoughts. Cliff Maloney makes a very compelling case that

690
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:48,400
Speaker 3: given the problem she's had on the early voting, she

691
00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:54,040
Speaker 3: almosts she has to outperform Obama or Clinton, Hillary Clinton

692
00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:57,480
Speaker 3: or Joe Biden in the COVID year. You haven't seen

693
00:32:57,520 --> 00:32:59,600
Speaker 3: around the rest of the nation anywhere where she's.

694
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:02,000
Speaker 4: Put of those think that's it. The constituency she needs

695
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,480
Speaker 4: to deliver. Philadelphia is not breaking her way the way

696
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:06,760
Speaker 4: it has in other states. And that's a belt whether

697
00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:09,840
Speaker 4: these things don't happen in a vacuum. And so I

698
00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:13,080
Speaker 4: think the demographic shifts were seeing probably hold up in Philadelphia.

699
00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:15,520
Speaker 5: I have some early intel on Detroit voting.

700
00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 4: Kamala Harris's pattern in Detroit is not matching Biden or Obama,

701
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:22,240
Speaker 4: and that is going to be bad news for Kamala

702
00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 4: Harris trying to save Michigan, especially knowing that slot.

703
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:28,920
Speaker 3: Get you're saying that she's she's underperforming in Wayne Counties,

704
00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:32,240
Speaker 3: She's underperforming with African American voters.

705
00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 4: African American voters, steel you know, the car worker, autoworkers,

706
00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:39,640
Speaker 4: steel workers. I'm going to put something on the map

707
00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:41,680
Speaker 4: that a lot of people didn't probably pay much attention to.

708
00:33:42,040 --> 00:33:44,280
Speaker 4: So I think Donald Trump brilliantly went in with the

709
00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:46,760
Speaker 4: ev argument early and often in Michigan.

710
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:50,400
Speaker 3: But last week to the UAW about how the deals

711
00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 3: they were making.

712
00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:53,280
Speaker 2: Senator Job the car industry.

713
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:58,040
Speaker 3: The whole bloodbath saying that they got him on really

714
00:33:58,080 --> 00:33:59,440
Speaker 3: came from really came from this.

715
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:02,320
Speaker 4: It came from the truth that Kamala Harris and Joe

716
00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:05,120
Speaker 4: Biden were betting out an EV industry that would shift

717
00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:08,080
Speaker 4: jobs and the market control to China. And while that

718
00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:10,080
Speaker 4: was going on, they had this thing called Goshen and

719
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:12,400
Speaker 4: Upper Michigan where they were trying to give a factory

720
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 4: to create EV batteries to a Chinese company that's been

721
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:17,080
Speaker 4: stopped by the Great furor. And by the way, the

722
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:19,080
Speaker 4: party chairman there has done a great job of making

723
00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:21,640
Speaker 4: that an issue. But last week, without Donald Trump or

724
00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:23,800
Speaker 4: anyone making an issue of it, you know what, Ford announced,

725
00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:27,640
Speaker 4: They're suspending electric vehicles for the Ford pickup truck.

726
00:34:27,640 --> 00:34:28,759
Speaker 5: Why is that significant.

727
00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:31,880
Speaker 4: It's Ford admitting that Kamala Harrison Joe Biden screwed up

728
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:36,120
Speaker 4: on this EV bet. That sends a shockwave through workers.

729
00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:38,840
Speaker 4: And you know, we think of the UAW workers, but

730
00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:42,120
Speaker 4: there's all of these support industries in Michigan, the electronics components,

731
00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:42,960
Speaker 4: the tire makers.

732
00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:46,759
Speaker 2: I think that the under the hood guy so making

733
00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:48,120
Speaker 2: all those component pieces, this.

734
00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:50,320
Speaker 4: Intel from Detroit, if it holds up in the first

735
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:52,960
Speaker 4: another round of data, it would be a good sign

736
00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:54,839
Speaker 4: that Donald Trump could put Michigan in play and win

737
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:55,280
Speaker 4: it tonight.

738
00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:01,160
Speaker 3: The other thing shows you the lack of respect of

739
00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:05,000
Speaker 3: MSNBC and CNN in the New York Times to African

740
00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:07,440
Speaker 3: American men, and it's not lost in them. I can

741
00:35:07,480 --> 00:35:10,720
Speaker 3: say from my prison years, what I did is I listened,

742
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:15,680
Speaker 3: I observed, and I learned. You never heard think about

743
00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:20,280
Speaker 3: where we stand tonight across the country. She is dramatic

744
00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:25,919
Speaker 3: as an African American, she's dramatically underperforming in that demographic.

745
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:28,359
Speaker 3: And it's coming as kind of news we talk about

746
00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:30,160
Speaker 3: all the time in the war room. You talk about it.

747
00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:32,920
Speaker 3: Real America's Voice talks about it. We see as an

748
00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:37,880
Speaker 3: opportunity to expand the base of MAGA, and of course

749
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:41,959
Speaker 3: we do get attacked from the far right right, the racist.

750
00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:43,480
Speaker 2: Attack us all the time. Oh, you're trying to make.

751
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:48,080
Speaker 3: This populous movement have expanded to blacks and Hispanics and Asians,

752
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:49,759
Speaker 3: which is absolutely what we're trying to do.

753
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:53,319
Speaker 2: But the mainstream media it was crickets on this.

754
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:57,880
Speaker 3: It was so how could you possibly be progressives and

755
00:35:57,960 --> 00:36:00,680
Speaker 3: possibly be serious people. And here we are on an

756
00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:02,879
Speaker 3: election night, and one of the central things that are

757
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:07,040
Speaker 3: coming out is this massive shift of Hispanic folks to

758
00:36:07,200 --> 00:36:09,719
Speaker 3: actually vote for Trump. And you have a pattern in

759
00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:12,600
Speaker 3: African Americans either A didn't come out to support her

760
00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:16,000
Speaker 3: or B twenty five percent of African American men are

761
00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:19,359
Speaker 3: voting for Trump. Both of those are blockbusters, and they've

762
00:36:19,360 --> 00:36:21,000
Speaker 3: really been avoided by the liberal media.

763
00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:23,880
Speaker 4: You know, I think Barack Obama did the greatest amount

764
00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:26,439
Speaker 4: of damage to Kamala Harris this one because he tried

765
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:28,840
Speaker 4: to replicate two thousand and eight, which is this is

766
00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:30,879
Speaker 4: a racial race and you Black men have to vote

767
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:33,239
Speaker 4: for Kamala Harris, who there's something wrong. And what Black

768
00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:35,840
Speaker 4: America is saying tonight is you can't just like Hispanic

769
00:36:35,880 --> 00:36:38,600
Speaker 4: America is saying tonight, you can't take us for granted anymore.

770
00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:41,279
Speaker 4: You have to win us on the issues. And I

771
00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:42,480
Speaker 4: think that's the big message.

772
00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:44,640
Speaker 2: Blocking can treat us like any consistency.

773
00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:47,440
Speaker 3: You've got to come and deal with our issues and

774
00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:48,120
Speaker 3: give solutions.

775
00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:50,279
Speaker 6: And I think the issue is that it's a coalition

776
00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:53,360
Speaker 6: that arranges itself not based off race or gender, but

777
00:36:53,440 --> 00:36:55,960
Speaker 6: on the fact that you are an American citizen. But

778
00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:58,480
Speaker 6: to their core, the leftist media rejects the idea that

779
00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:01,400
Speaker 6: your citizenship should have any value because how can you

780
00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:04,120
Speaker 6: defend an open border if you think that citizenship doesn't

781
00:37:04,160 --> 00:37:07,240
Speaker 6: mean anything. Right, So you see this, as you always

782
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:11,040
Speaker 6: call it, the sedimentary rock of all these coalitions coming together,

783
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:13,400
Speaker 6: but it's rooted in something that the less media, the

784
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:15,160
Speaker 6: Democrats fundamentally rejected.

785
00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:17,080
Speaker 3: We have to be layered with these different groups, but

786
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 3: the unifying thing is citizenship. I think the next phase

787
00:37:21,680 --> 00:37:24,560
Speaker 3: of the MAGA movement in America. First, it's not simply

788
00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:28,200
Speaker 3: American first. It's not simply America first. It's American citizens first.

789
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:32,000
Speaker 3: Every executive order, every law, everything that we think of,

790
00:37:32,080 --> 00:37:34,680
Speaker 3: particular as President Trump goes into first one hundred days,

791
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:38,279
Speaker 3: has to be around the axle of what does it

792
00:37:38,360 --> 00:37:40,600
Speaker 3: do for the basic average American.

793
00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:40,879
Speaker 2: Right.

794
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:43,759
Speaker 3: If it's good for the basic average American, it's going

795
00:37:43,800 --> 00:37:44,760
Speaker 3: to be good for the country.

796
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:45,640
Speaker 2: And that's where you're going.

797
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:49,240
Speaker 3: To see larger proportions, larger portions of the African American community,

798
00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:51,840
Speaker 3: the Hispanic, the Asian, the South Asian.

799
00:37:52,120 --> 00:37:54,680
Speaker 6: And that's why Springfield struck such a chord because it

800
00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:58,520
Speaker 6: oriented this country through the lens of citizens versus non citizens,

801
00:37:58,560 --> 00:37:59,840
Speaker 6: and for the first time we were allowed to have

802
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:00,880
Speaker 6: have that discussion.

803
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:01,920
Speaker 2: Do you have the.

804
00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:04,520
Speaker 3: Meme of the now they have the meme of the

805
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:09,319
Speaker 3: poor Haitians down the meme where they're they're eating a

806
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:11,160
Speaker 3: dog leg and voting for the third time.

807
00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:13,320
Speaker 2: It's nonsense that that's the kind of stuff.

808
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:18,400
Speaker 3: Four, you've got all that stuff you got to knockout

809
00:38:18,480 --> 00:38:21,200
Speaker 3: because it's uh, it's not helpful. Okay, we're going to

810
00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:24,839
Speaker 3: take a short commercial breaker and return a big sigh

811
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:29,080
Speaker 3: of relief because the tar Hill State has gone to

812
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:30,919
Speaker 3: President Trump according to the decision desk.

813
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:33,359
Speaker 2: We're here on the roof of the Willow Hotel back

814
00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:33,840
Speaker 2: in a moment.

815
00:38:49,600 --> 00:38:51,719
Speaker 3: Okay, welcome back to our election night coverature. On.

816
00:38:51,719 --> 00:38:52,759
Speaker 2: I thank Real America's voice.

817
00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:55,560
Speaker 3: We've got folks all over the place. I would love

818
00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:58,560
Speaker 3: to get Wisconsin. If we get somewhere Wisconsin, go back

819
00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:03,840
Speaker 3: to Pennsylvania. On. I want to go about how ap

820
00:39:04,040 --> 00:39:06,759
Speaker 3: the Associated Press goes through the mechanics.

821
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:08,920
Speaker 2: We're to a point. This is not over.

822
00:39:09,120 --> 00:39:10,919
Speaker 3: We have not won that when everybody in the ote

823
00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:15,880
Speaker 3: understanding and particularly people out west Nevada and Arizona. You

824
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:17,720
Speaker 3: got to get out there and you've got to represent,

825
00:39:17,760 --> 00:39:18,399
Speaker 3: You've got to vote.

826
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:20,319
Speaker 2: We got a lot. You can't leave anything on the

827
00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:20,919
Speaker 2: table here.

828
00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:27,479
Speaker 3: But taking North Carolina and the structural problems she has

829
00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:32,279
Speaker 3: in Pennsylvania right now, coupled with Michigan where it is,

830
00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:36,759
Speaker 3: in Wisconsin where it is, her oxygen is getting cut

831
00:39:36,800 --> 00:39:38,680
Speaker 3: off every minute.

832
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:40,719
Speaker 2: In Associated Press because.

833
00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:43,080
Speaker 3: Remember we did not call this race until two thirty

834
00:39:43,120 --> 00:39:49,279
Speaker 3: in the morning the morning after sixteen and twenty ten

835
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:50,840
Speaker 3: was not called till Saturday.

836
00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:53,040
Speaker 2: Associated Press. The Associated Press.

837
00:39:52,840 --> 00:39:55,000
Speaker 3: Also makes something because everybody says Bandon says to get

838
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:58,239
Speaker 3: up there at eleven o'clock and say you're victorious. By

839
00:39:58,280 --> 00:40:01,560
Speaker 3: the way, to president, get up there eleven o'clock at

840
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:07,480
Speaker 3: night tonight and say you're victorious. But the Associated Press

841
00:40:07,640 --> 00:40:09,600
Speaker 3: has no legal basis in doing that.

842
00:40:09,680 --> 00:40:11,000
Speaker 2: It is custom and tradition.

843
00:40:11,160 --> 00:40:11,440
Speaker 5: Trust.

844
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:12,160
Speaker 2: Trust.

845
00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:13,799
Speaker 3: They're the ones that have been around for over one

846
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:17,440
Speaker 3: hundred years doing this. It's custom and tradition. In fact,

847
00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:21,400
Speaker 3: when in sixteen Robbie Mook sent Kelly In and myself

848
00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:24,040
Speaker 3: a very snarky email that said, hey, look here's that

849
00:40:24,040 --> 00:40:25,560
Speaker 3: it's going to be, he didn't look for a response

850
00:40:25,600 --> 00:40:30,360
Speaker 3: said basically fifteen minutes to the minute after Associated Press

851
00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:35,120
Speaker 3: calls it. If they call it for you, she will

852
00:40:35,120 --> 00:40:38,000
Speaker 3: go out and give a concession speed on the fifteenth minute.

853
00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:41,440
Speaker 3: And if they call it for us in the fifteenth minute,

854
00:40:41,600 --> 00:40:42,640
Speaker 3: she will walk out and.

855
00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:45,640
Speaker 2: Give her her victory speech, regardless of whether you heard

856
00:40:45,640 --> 00:40:46,040
Speaker 2: from you or not.

857
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:49,520
Speaker 3: Right, because you know you Trump and you and Bandon

858
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:52,280
Speaker 3: and Kelly an and writes you're never going to concede,

859
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:53,359
Speaker 3: so we're going to do it.

860
00:40:53,560 --> 00:40:55,600
Speaker 2: That's the power the Associated Press has.

861
00:40:55,800 --> 00:40:57,879
Speaker 4: Yeah, and it has a long history of being right,

862
00:40:58,080 --> 00:41:00,880
Speaker 4: going back to two thousand in Florida, where they didn't

863
00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:03,680
Speaker 4: call Florida when almost every other network did. And I

864
00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:06,359
Speaker 4: think that that credibility has continued to today. Here's what's

865
00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:08,759
Speaker 4: going on at the Associated Press right now. Having done

866
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:12,719
Speaker 4: this for eight years and uber elections, it's primaries every

867
00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:15,680
Speaker 4: night through the primary season, you're now looking at the

868
00:41:15,760 --> 00:41:18,400
Speaker 4: national map and saying what we saw in Georgia the

869
00:41:18,480 --> 00:41:21,000
Speaker 4: shift of black voters to Trump and Georgia' is that

870
00:41:21,120 --> 00:41:24,640
Speaker 4: going on in Michigan is the underperformance of black and

871
00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:27,719
Speaker 4: Hispanic voters for Kamala Harris going on in Pennsylvania and

872
00:41:27,800 --> 00:41:32,399
Speaker 4: in Wisconsin and Arizona. And as those trends become more

873
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:34,920
Speaker 4: national trends in a race that really what they call breaks,

874
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:39,040
Speaker 4: it makes the confidence level of the analysts a little.

875
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:41,520
Speaker 5: Higher that I might call Michigan.

876
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:42,799
Speaker 4: A little quicker because of what I saw in North

877
00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:44,400
Speaker 4: Carolina and in Georgia.

878
00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:46,840
Speaker 3: You would think about calling Michigan a little quicker tonight

879
00:41:47,160 --> 00:41:47,920
Speaker 3: gives it possible.

880
00:41:48,360 --> 00:41:51,000
Speaker 4: These early numbers from Detroit are just not good enough

881
00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:53,480
Speaker 4: for Kamala to win. Now, maybe she's made it up

882
00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:55,799
Speaker 4: somewhere else in the suburbs, but I've been looking at

883
00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:58,160
Speaker 4: Wayne County in Detroit. That's my bell weather for knowing,

884
00:41:58,440 --> 00:42:00,000
Speaker 4: and I just don't think she can make it up.

885
00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:02,680
Speaker 4: And you know that when I'm talking to both Democrats

886
00:42:02,680 --> 00:42:05,200
Speaker 4: in Michigan, they're depressed, and when I'm talking to Republicans

887
00:42:05,200 --> 00:42:06,839
Speaker 4: in Michigan, they're getting more optimistic.

888
00:42:07,200 --> 00:42:09,160
Speaker 5: It just feels like a state that's baking. Now.

889
00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:12,200
Speaker 4: You know, they may wait to drop some vote to

890
00:42:12,680 --> 00:42:15,480
Speaker 4: play with our heads. But the demographic data, the real

891
00:42:15,560 --> 00:42:19,040
Speaker 4: vote overlaying the polling down them suggests that the path

892
00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:21,920
Speaker 4: for Kamala Harris winning Michigan is much more difficult than

893
00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:25,279
Speaker 4: I think she would have started the night thinking we're here.

894
00:42:25,440 --> 00:42:28,399
Speaker 3: We're getting reports that some of these victory parties for Harris,

895
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:29,680
Speaker 3: they've cut the music off.

896
00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:33,200
Speaker 2: They're not playing Katie Perry started playing your intro music exactly.

897
00:42:33,200 --> 00:42:34,280
Speaker 2: They're not playing Beyonce.

898
00:42:34,640 --> 00:42:38,080
Speaker 6: They're not playing Beyonce or and when we have the

899
00:42:38,200 --> 00:42:40,880
Speaker 6: sad violence playing, maybe we should have a dramatic reading

900
00:42:40,920 --> 00:42:42,719
Speaker 6: of your favorite Tim Miller's hold.

901
00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:46,000
Speaker 2: Speaking of Tim Miller, Yeah, Tim Miller's up on Twitter.

902
00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:46,640
Speaker 2: What's he's saying?

903
00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:49,000
Speaker 6: Is this a bad time to mention that the theory

904
00:42:49,040 --> 00:42:52,640
Speaker 6: of the case behind prominent established for Republicans not engaging

905
00:42:52,640 --> 00:42:55,040
Speaker 6: in this campaign so they can have influence over the

906
00:42:55,080 --> 00:42:59,000
Speaker 6: future of the party was a misjudgment of disastrous proportions

907
00:42:59,520 --> 00:43:00,440
Speaker 6: no matter result.

908
00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:02,760
Speaker 2: Wow, you know who's.

909
00:43:02,560 --> 00:43:03,240
Speaker 5: Been really quiet?

910
00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:04,359
Speaker 2: I just want to throw this out there.

911
00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:05,680
Speaker 6: We know they watched the show a lot, and we're

912
00:43:05,760 --> 00:43:10,240
Speaker 6: very grateful for that. Ron Filkowski and Mark Elias.

913
00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:18,560
Speaker 3: Where's Mark Elias, Normizen, where's pelts Our marketing director Madeline Pelchi's.

914
00:43:18,080 --> 00:43:19,800
Speaker 2: Not checking on Liz Cheney.

915
00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:23,560
Speaker 3: Liz Cheney, there's some so far, there's some sad faces.

916
00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:30,719
Speaker 6: Five hours ago, pretty extraordinary, pretty extraordinary.

917
00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:32,560
Speaker 2: The effort here pretty shortenary, what's going on?

918
00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:37,960
Speaker 3: So just to re re capture this number one, the

919
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:41,840
Speaker 3: president that's been called by Decision desk. He has won Georgia, right,

920
00:43:42,360 --> 00:43:46,360
Speaker 3: the has this decision that Georgia it's getting.

921
00:43:46,920 --> 00:43:51,480
Speaker 2: They called North Carolina. Georgia is lean Trump lean. Georgia

922
00:43:51,560 --> 00:43:52,280
Speaker 2: is lean Trump.

923
00:43:52,640 --> 00:43:55,280
Speaker 3: Everything we're hearing out of Georgia is solid, strong effect.

924
00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:57,160
Speaker 2: Can we get Amanda Head, Let's get a man ahead

925
00:43:57,160 --> 00:43:57,480
Speaker 2: and Georgia.

926
00:43:57,480 --> 00:44:00,680
Speaker 6: Georgia is currently seventy seven percent of votes in with

927
00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:02,560
Speaker 6: Trump having a five point lead.

928
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:06,480
Speaker 5: Five point lead, I got one. I'll blow your mind.

929
00:44:06,520 --> 00:44:07,040
Speaker 2: Hey, go ahead.

930
00:44:07,080 --> 00:44:09,800
Speaker 4: We're sixty two percent of the vote counted in Virginia,

931
00:44:09,960 --> 00:44:11,840
Speaker 4: a lot of urban areas. Now when Donald Trump is

932
00:44:11,840 --> 00:44:14,399
Speaker 4: still winning Virginia forty nine point five to forty eight

933
00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:16,160
Speaker 4: point six, this.

934
00:44:16,200 --> 00:44:16,960
Speaker 2: Is my decision.

935
00:44:17,000 --> 00:44:18,759
Speaker 3: That's you think they're a little earlier than that, or

936
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:20,880
Speaker 3: they modeled this thing out pretty well.

937
00:44:20,960 --> 00:44:22,600
Speaker 5: You gotta wait for some more vote. That's pretty tired.

938
00:44:22,680 --> 00:44:26,319
Speaker 4: But it's he's way overperforming, as Joe Biden, yes say

939
00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:28,640
Speaker 4: over performing. He's looking more like a youngin Race twenty

940
00:44:28,640 --> 00:44:31,040
Speaker 4: twenty one, youngkin now obviously presidentially, you can't model the

941
00:44:31,080 --> 00:44:31,640
Speaker 4: same way.

942
00:44:31,640 --> 00:44:36,360
Speaker 3: She's here's the problem with with Harris right now, decision

943
00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:38,400
Speaker 3: desk is called North Carolina, which I thought was the

944
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:43,800
Speaker 3: most problematic. She's significantly behind in Georgia, with some pockets

945
00:44:43,840 --> 00:44:47,040
Speaker 3: still to go, right, urban pockets still to go, but

946
00:44:47,200 --> 00:44:50,959
Speaker 3: as a five point lead, she's in trouble right now

947
00:44:51,040 --> 00:44:54,480
Speaker 3: in Wisconsin, in Michigan, in Pennsylvania. She's got to run

948
00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:56,839
Speaker 3: the table in all three and she's got a heavy

949
00:44:56,880 --> 00:44:57,359
Speaker 3: lift there.

950
00:44:57,640 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 4: It is, especially with the black vote changing the way

951
00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:02,000
Speaker 4: it is, and we're seeing it across the country changing

952
00:45:02,040 --> 00:45:05,280
Speaker 4: this way down and those who are voting are voting

953
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:07,840
Speaker 4: more Republican this time around. Donald Trump could end up

954
00:45:07,840 --> 00:45:10,560
Speaker 4: around fourteen or fifteen percent of the black quote I'm seeing. Wow,

955
00:45:11,120 --> 00:45:13,239
Speaker 4: that's a real demographic problem when you're trying to play

956
00:45:13,239 --> 00:45:13,560
Speaker 4: catch up.

957
00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:16,520
Speaker 2: And here's the punchline.

958
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:21,120
Speaker 3: Given that they've called North Carolina, looks like Georgia's heading

959
00:45:21,120 --> 00:45:24,640
Speaker 3: our way. If you look at Arizona, Nevada or particularly Arizona.

960
00:45:25,239 --> 00:45:29,680
Speaker 3: Picks up Arizona, he doesn't need Pennsylvania. Yeah, that's right, Wisconsin,

961
00:45:29,760 --> 00:45:32,840
Speaker 3: which could be the ripest apple the fall, or even

962
00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:35,560
Speaker 3: John Solomon is all over Michigan says, hey.

963
00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:38,319
Speaker 13: I think mission's coming off way. He just needs to

964
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:40,360
Speaker 13: win one of those two. And I've been more bullish

965
00:45:40,400 --> 00:45:42,960
Speaker 13: on Wisconsin going into today. I just the dynamic has

966
00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:46,520
Speaker 13: felt better for Republicans in Wisconsin, but Michigan's starting to

967
00:45:46,520 --> 00:45:49,120
Speaker 13: feel a little bit better to Pennsylvania's a dogfight.

968
00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:52,400
Speaker 3: Walk us through all three of those, walk us through Wisconsin.

969
00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:54,560
Speaker 2: What to look for? Why you were more bullish?

970
00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:57,440
Speaker 3: Mark Alprin was the first guy to really break this

971
00:45:57,800 --> 00:46:00,480
Speaker 3: your assessment in Michigan and then Pennsylvany.

972
00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:04,200
Speaker 4: Some outstanding early vote efforts by people like afw Lee, Zelden,

973
00:46:04,560 --> 00:46:07,239
Speaker 4: Charlie Kirk. Until he pulled out to help on other locations,

974
00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:10,719
Speaker 4: that early vote ramped up. The second thing is that

975
00:46:10,920 --> 00:46:16,719
Speaker 4: Eric Houghty, the Senate candidate, actually made women sports and

976
00:46:16,920 --> 00:46:20,239
Speaker 4: transgenderism an issue as well as the Brits made it

977
00:46:20,280 --> 00:46:21,880
Speaker 4: before they turned on transgenderism.

978
00:46:22,200 --> 00:46:23,879
Speaker 5: And I think that for women who.

979
00:46:23,880 --> 00:46:25,880
Speaker 4: Might have been thinking I don't want to go Donald Trump,

980
00:46:26,480 --> 00:46:28,520
Speaker 4: Eric Cofty got him thinking do I want my daughter

981
00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:30,440
Speaker 4: in a locker room with a guy, or on a

982
00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:33,319
Speaker 4: volleyball match, in a basketball match, or a boxing match

983
00:46:33,360 --> 00:46:36,400
Speaker 4: with some guy's gonna bust FORER knows because he's got

984
00:46:36,600 --> 00:46:40,319
Speaker 4: male chromosomes. I think that issue has been resonating in

985
00:46:40,320 --> 00:46:42,640
Speaker 4: Wisconsin different than anywhere else now, Still listening, economy is

986
00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:45,560
Speaker 4: still very important there, But I Wisconsin has just had

987
00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:48,200
Speaker 4: a great ground game. Brian Shimming, who I know very well,

988
00:46:48,840 --> 00:46:50,840
Speaker 4: has run a great ground game. Ron Johnson has a

989
00:46:50,840 --> 00:46:53,120
Speaker 4: little bit of a machine there too. Remember Ron Johnson

990
00:46:53,160 --> 00:46:56,680
Speaker 4: outperformed the ticket in twenty twenty two. So I think

991
00:46:56,719 --> 00:46:59,160
Speaker 4: Wisconsin was the one that was most bullish on. Now

992
00:46:59,200 --> 00:47:02,160
Speaker 4: seeing the urban vote, I'm getting more bullish on Michigan,

993
00:47:02,480 --> 00:47:04,000
Speaker 4: and then we'll have to wait and see Pennsylvania in

994
00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:06,480
Speaker 4: stall dogfight. But I wouldn't be surprised if Donald Trunk

995
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:08,480
Speaker 4: took call three blue walls, wouldn't.

996
00:47:08,160 --> 00:47:11,680
Speaker 2: You You would not be surprised. Well, first off, not

997
00:47:11,760 --> 00:47:12,239
Speaker 2: predicting it.

998
00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:15,279
Speaker 3: But as Maloney walks us through, she's got a very

999
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:18,600
Speaker 3: heavy lift in Pennsylvania right now, as Gruber's walked us through.

1000
00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:21,239
Speaker 3: Michigan is very uncertain, and you're saying, hey, if you're

1001
00:47:21,239 --> 00:47:23,400
Speaker 3: looking at Detroit, I just will see the votes that

1002
00:47:23,480 --> 00:47:26,719
Speaker 3: it savor. And Wisconsin's been a problem for her for

1003
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:29,279
Speaker 3: the last couple of weeks, so you can actually see

1004
00:47:29,280 --> 00:47:31,839
Speaker 3: Trump winning all three. If you do that, we're back

1005
00:47:31,880 --> 00:47:35,080
Speaker 3: to twenty sixteen numbers. Yeah, you're right, three oh six,

1006
00:47:35,160 --> 00:47:38,160
Speaker 3: and if you add Nevada, if you add Nevada, you.

1007
00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:40,720
Speaker 2: Actually top, so you actually get gets to three twelve.

1008
00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:41,479
Speaker 5: Right twelve.

1009
00:47:41,520 --> 00:47:45,479
Speaker 2: I think this is sixty six in Nevada. I didn't think.

1010
00:47:45,600 --> 00:47:47,640
Speaker 2: The other thing is we have to talk.

1011
00:47:47,400 --> 00:47:51,880
Speaker 3: About is how early in the evening we are. I

1012
00:47:52,160 --> 00:47:55,399
Speaker 3: was a they're going to drag this out. This will

1013
00:47:55,440 --> 00:47:58,279
Speaker 3: be a Wednesday, and may even be a Thursday with

1014
00:47:58,360 --> 00:48:02,640
Speaker 3: Mark Elis and these guys here. If things go as

1015
00:48:02,680 --> 00:48:05,120
Speaker 3: they look like they continue to go, you could be

1016
00:48:05,200 --> 00:48:06,000
Speaker 3: before midnight.

1017
00:48:06,120 --> 00:48:08,560
Speaker 2: I mean, I think that Trump is at eleven o'clock.

1018
00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:11,239
Speaker 3: He should come before the microphones and explain, explain to

1019
00:48:11,239 --> 00:48:14,799
Speaker 3: the American people exactly where we are, what his vote's been,

1020
00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 3: what he's won, what's outstanding, and frame this so they

1021
00:48:18,760 --> 00:48:20,359
Speaker 3: can't drag it out to two thirty in the morning,

1022
00:48:20,360 --> 00:48:23,520
Speaker 3: which they did in sixteen, or even worse to have

1023
00:48:23,600 --> 00:48:25,080
Speaker 3: what happened in twenty twenty.

1024
00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:28,360
Speaker 6: They keep ticking up the New York Times chance of winning.

1025
00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:30,759
Speaker 6: It's now at seventy one percent leaning.

1026
00:48:30,520 --> 00:48:33,640
Speaker 2: Trump seventy percent. What you need to do right now

1027
00:48:33,680 --> 00:48:35,280
Speaker 2: and Grace Chung. I'll talk to Grace.

1028
00:48:35,640 --> 00:48:38,880
Speaker 3: We need to be all over at Philip Kowski. Tim Miller.

1029
00:48:39,320 --> 00:48:41,000
Speaker 3: You know Tim Miller. I made a comment the other

1030
00:48:41,080 --> 00:48:45,120
Speaker 3: day and he goes bookmarked right. I said, bookmarked, Hey, Tim,

1031
00:48:45,320 --> 00:48:46,440
Speaker 3: bookmark this right?

1032
00:48:47,640 --> 00:48:51,160
Speaker 6: Is Tim for Congress. I don't think I will have

1033
00:48:51,280 --> 00:48:52,960
Speaker 6: Tim Miller come in as one of my.

1034
00:48:53,000 --> 00:48:54,520
Speaker 2: Styles or your stylists.

1035
00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:56,000
Speaker 9: Is Tim.

1036
00:48:58,120 --> 00:49:00,000
Speaker 3: Tim Miller is actually going to see Tim Miller's made

1037
00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:03,800
Speaker 3: desk in New York with NBC News and MSNBC tonight.

1038
00:49:04,200 --> 00:49:08,520
Speaker 3: The question is is the pearls or pukas is a puka?

1039
00:49:08,680 --> 00:49:11,560
Speaker 6: Because the Deep State has been very kind to both

1040
00:49:11,560 --> 00:49:14,759
Speaker 6: Tim Miller's career and my career. If you think about it, right,

1041
00:49:14,840 --> 00:49:18,520
Speaker 6: you going to prison has indirectly I guess yes, raised

1042
00:49:18,560 --> 00:49:18,920
Speaker 6: you up.

1043
00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:22,279
Speaker 3: At least at least an agent's telling me that if

1044
00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:24,520
Speaker 3: nobody else so how relish?

1045
00:49:25,640 --> 00:49:27,359
Speaker 2: How did Tim Miller in the Deep State? Oh you're

1046
00:49:27,360 --> 00:49:29,160
Speaker 2: saying he drafted off that also?

1047
00:49:29,520 --> 00:49:31,360
Speaker 6: Well, because they say you to prison, and when you

1048
00:49:31,400 --> 00:49:33,719
Speaker 6: went to prison, I feel like his starbro be like

1049
00:49:34,040 --> 00:49:34,319
Speaker 6: you know.

1050
00:49:34,920 --> 00:49:37,880
Speaker 2: Grit and he was the first guy back in the prison.

1051
00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:39,960
Speaker 2: We should try to invite him on the show tonight.

1052
00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:41,960
Speaker 2: We'd have him on, but I think he's too busy.

1053
00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:44,480
Speaker 3: I think what he does, he winds about his MSNBC

1054
00:49:44,560 --> 00:49:47,000
Speaker 3: contract now like they don't. What I'd like to do

1055
00:49:47,040 --> 00:49:49,520
Speaker 3: is get Lawrence A. Donald on the show. Can we

1056
00:49:49,520 --> 00:49:53,200
Speaker 3: put a request out for Lawrence Donald MSNBC? The most

1057
00:49:54,320 --> 00:49:57,680
Speaker 3: roof Yeah, no, no, the most exactly, the most obnoxious

1058
00:49:58,239 --> 00:50:01,480
Speaker 3: of all the obnoxious people at msn because he's the

1059
00:50:01,520 --> 00:50:04,759
Speaker 3: most you know, officious, I guess it is. I would

1060
00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:06,520
Speaker 3: like to have him come on tonight and lecture the

1061
00:50:06,520 --> 00:50:08,920
Speaker 3: war and posse on the pros and cons of the

1062
00:50:08,960 --> 00:50:09,840
Speaker 3: electoral college.

1063
00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:14,000
Speaker 2: You know they're in a bad place when they're sitting there.

1064
00:50:13,840 --> 00:50:17,000
Speaker 3: At MSNBC with the long sad faces and they're talking

1065
00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:18,320
Speaker 3: about the electoral college.

1066
00:50:18,120 --> 00:50:20,239
Speaker 6: Well, and they're giving a whole spiel about how, you know,

1067
00:50:20,320 --> 00:50:23,839
Speaker 6: bomb threats are such a poor watermark of what our

1068
00:50:23,880 --> 00:50:28,000
Speaker 6: democracy has come to. They're interviewing election officials about these

1069
00:50:28,320 --> 00:50:31,200
Speaker 6: so called bomb threats. That's what their coverage really is.

1070
00:50:31,600 --> 00:50:35,240
Speaker 6: It's very I would say, monotone sort of depressing news

1071
00:50:35,280 --> 00:50:37,239
Speaker 6: coming from them. But like I said, all those we'll

1072
00:50:37,239 --> 00:50:40,680
Speaker 6: call him influencers will demean them, the Ron Field Kowskis

1073
00:50:40,680 --> 00:50:41,200
Speaker 6: of the world.

1074
00:50:41,320 --> 00:50:43,160
Speaker 2: Yes, silence crickets.

1075
00:50:43,160 --> 00:50:44,200
Speaker 6: They're not tweeting anything.

1076
00:50:44,280 --> 00:50:44,560
Speaker 2: Okay.

1077
00:50:44,640 --> 00:50:47,560
Speaker 3: I have a number of nephews I'm very close to them,

1078
00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:53,040
Speaker 3: that are very much of the Charlie Kirk protastic. You know,

1079
00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:58,040
Speaker 3: they love that protest. They're sending me all night updates

1080
00:50:58,120 --> 00:51:01,520
Speaker 3: on bitcoin and Trump media. Trump media is up to

1081
00:51:01,560 --> 00:51:05,320
Speaker 3: I think ten percent or something in aftermarket trading. Bitcoin

1082
00:51:05,400 --> 00:51:08,800
Speaker 3: just hit seventy three thousand, right, So I think people

1083
00:51:08,920 --> 00:51:11,040
Speaker 3: see a and I think this is great.

1084
00:51:11,560 --> 00:51:12,279
Speaker 5: You have a.

1085
00:51:13,760 --> 00:51:14,440
Speaker 2: Movement that is.

1086
00:51:14,480 --> 00:51:17,520
Speaker 3: Peter Navarro, these hardcore economic nationalists.

1087
00:51:17,920 --> 00:51:19,280
Speaker 2: Yet we also have.

1088
00:51:19,520 --> 00:51:23,080
Speaker 3: The gaming community, you have the bitcoin community, you have

1089
00:51:23,440 --> 00:51:26,240
Speaker 3: the Trump Media, the guys that trade, the day traders

1090
00:51:26,280 --> 00:51:29,160
Speaker 3: of trade Trump Media. So it's a broad coalition. Here.

1091
00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:32,480
Speaker 2: At short commercial break, we're going to be back on

1092
00:51:32,600 --> 00:51:35,760
Speaker 2: top of the Willard, the historic Willard Hotel in a moment.

1093
00:51:42,680 --> 00:51:46,319
Speaker 1: Real America's Voice twenty twenty four election coverage is brought

1094
00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:49,319
Speaker 1: to you by Trump knifeset dot com. This is the

1095
00:51:49,400 --> 00:51:52,600
Speaker 1: number one Trump Christmas gift for twenty twenty four. Trump

1096
00:51:52,719 --> 00:51:55,719
Speaker 1: knifeset dot Com