1 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: Happy Friday, guys, What's up? 2 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Deal Juice Podcast 3 00:00:18,040 --> 00:00:20,440 Speaker 2: with me Matt Peralta at Sports Talk. Matt to follow 4 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 2: me across all socials in this podcast being brought to 5 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:26,920 Speaker 2: you by Omaha Steaks dot Com the customized url Omaha 6 00:00:26,960 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 2: Steaks dot com slash Juice. You go and pick up 7 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 2: a subscription that's the new offer with Omaha Steaks olmah 8 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:38,040 Speaker 2: Steaks dot com slash juice is that customized url. You 9 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 2: get to lock in your price, plus an extra ten 10 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 2: percent off every subscription order, and you get free burgers 11 00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 2: for life when you go to Oma Steaks dot com 12 00:00:47,440 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 2: slash juice. Everything always backed by their money back unconditional 13 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:58,160 Speaker 2: guarantee at Omah Steaks dot Com slash Juice. Okay, two 14 00:00:58,160 --> 00:01:00,319 Speaker 2: and one night last night. So this is the life 15 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 2: of a sports gambler, right, three and oh one and 16 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:07,720 Speaker 2: two oh and three, two and one, six and six. 17 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 2: So a flat week down the juice. Let's finish off 18 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:16,120 Speaker 2: the weekend strong. Friday, Saturday Sunday. Still have a chance 19 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 2: for another winning week after a very successful winning week 20 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:19,880 Speaker 2: last week. 21 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 1: Let's see if we can bounce back. 22 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 2: Here and get another winning week, and I have my 23 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:29,160 Speaker 2: first golf bet of twenty twenty four. If you guys 24 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 2: remember my golf wagering, I am not that great betting golf, 25 00:01:32,959 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 2: but there's a golf play that I like. It's a 26 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:38,639 Speaker 2: little juicy miss one twenty five, but it's a second 27 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:42,200 Speaker 2: round Genesis Open, head to head. So let's see how 28 00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 2: I wind up faring. I'm not great with the futures. 29 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 2: I'm not great with taking guys outright. It can be 30 00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 2: a crazy wacko sweat. But I think there's a chance 31 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:52,880 Speaker 2: here to kind of come on in and you know, 32 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 2: have some fun here with the Genesis Open. We'll get 33 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 2: into that here in just one second. Quick update on 34 00:01:59,880 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 2: our college basketball as we got that bet right one 35 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 2: and one in hockey, so we are now seven and 36 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 2: eight in hockey, and we go to forty seven and 37 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 2: thirty five in college basketball. That puts us up nearly 38 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:16,120 Speaker 2: twelve units in college basketball. De Vermont bet was an 39 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 2: easy walk. I've got two bets in college basketball for 40 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:20,919 Speaker 2: us coming up here tonight. Let's start with the late 41 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 2: night game New Mexico at San Diego State. The number 42 00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 2: six and a half kempom has this as a four 43 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 2: point win for San Diego State. New Mexico has been 44 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:36,519 Speaker 2: a little bit of a road demon lately. They're eight 45 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:37,839 Speaker 2: and four ATS. 46 00:02:38,080 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 1: Now. 47 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:40,280 Speaker 2: San Diego State's got one of the best home court 48 00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 2: advantages in college basketball. I'll give you that they're seven 49 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:47,000 Speaker 2: and three ATS at home this season, but they're six 50 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:50,519 Speaker 2: and six in conference in the Mountain West New Mexico. 51 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:53,560 Speaker 1: On the road, they went to Nevada. 52 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:55,800 Speaker 2: We faded them. Were not officially, but I bet against 53 00:02:55,840 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 2: them and I lost. I learned something New Mexico. Nevada 54 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 2: outright on the road. They beat Wyoming outright on the road, 55 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 2: laid ten and a half, won by covered with eighteen. 56 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:12,720 Speaker 2: They went two. San Jose State laid eight, one by twenty. 57 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 2: They went to Air Force, laid ten and a half, 58 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:19,400 Speaker 2: they won by nineteen. The only loss on the road 59 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 2: recently was back on the ninth of November of January 60 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 2: and they lost by ten to UNLV. They also lost 61 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:31,360 Speaker 2: on the road to Colorado State, catching four but lost 62 00:03:31,400 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 2: by eight. But since they've been pretty good. The only 63 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 2: games they've lost recently have been at home, which is crazy. 64 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 2: I mean Nevada, sorry. New Mexico is one of the 65 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:44,240 Speaker 2: best home court advantages in college basketball, but they're the 66 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 2: nine and three ats. This year, they're seventeen and seven 67 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:50,560 Speaker 2: against the number. I got six and a half last night. 68 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 2: Give me six and a half New Mexico plus six 69 00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:58,800 Speaker 2: and a half here on the road up against San Diego. 70 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 2: Statentain West Conference is going to be awesome down the stretch. 71 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:03,920 Speaker 2: We're gonna look to bet a lot of mount West 72 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 2: Conference games in the Mountain West Conference tournament because look, 73 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 2: there's some really good teams. They could have five teams 74 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:13,680 Speaker 2: in the NAA Tournament. It's kind of crazy to go, wait, 75 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:16,159 Speaker 2: how many ACC teams are gonna get in four? 76 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 1: Maybe five? Mountain West may have five. 77 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 2: I don't think they'll get six, but it's not like 78 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:24,799 Speaker 2: incredibly impossible to think that they might wind up getting 79 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:27,799 Speaker 2: themselves six. So this is gonna be a fun game. 80 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:30,239 Speaker 2: It's a late night game for you West Coast people. 81 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:32,359 Speaker 2: It's a pretty it's a common number for us, but 82 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:34,160 Speaker 2: for you late night people, this game is gonna be 83 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:36,280 Speaker 2: a lot of fun to watch. I'm taking six and 84 00:04:36,279 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 2: a half plus six and a half here Circus Sports 85 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:40,640 Speaker 2: in Vegas. 86 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:42,200 Speaker 1: The numbers climbing by the way. 87 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:45,599 Speaker 2: People are betting on San Diego state number in Vegas 88 00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:48,159 Speaker 2: is already up to seven at certain books. Heck, you 89 00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:51,719 Speaker 2: know what, take seven. I got six and a half. Yeah, 90 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 2: that's what I bet, so I'll leave it as is. 91 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 2: But there's a book in Vegas at seven. I already 92 00:04:55,760 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 2: bet it. It just went to seven. So super book, 93 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 2: if you have super book sports, take seven. I like 94 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:05,960 Speaker 2: New Mexico. Maybe somebody's out for New Mexico that we 95 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 2: don't know about as yet, that hasn't been announced, and 96 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 2: that's why the number is going up. But opened it 97 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 2: five and a half up to six and a half 98 00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:15,840 Speaker 2: seven in certain books. I'll take the six and a half, 99 00:05:15,880 --> 00:05:17,719 Speaker 2: but you guys should get the seven at plus seven 100 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 2: to four San Diego State or sorry for New Mexico. 101 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:23,080 Speaker 2: New Mexico plus six and a half officially, even though 102 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:25,000 Speaker 2: you could get a seven out there as well for that. 103 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 2: For one point one units, bet number two VCU is 104 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:33,280 Speaker 2: on the road at Saint Louis VCU on the year. 105 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 1: Get this. 106 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,800 Speaker 2: They are six one in one ATS eight and two 107 00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 2: over their last ten, eight and three in conference Saint 108 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:45,160 Speaker 2: Louis is five and six at home, four and seven 109 00:05:45,600 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 2: in the A ten, and they haven't been great at home. 110 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 2: Recently against Fordham they lost as one point favorites, they 111 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 2: lost by two by UMass catching four and a half. 112 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 2: They lost by eleven against Davidson they were laying two. 113 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:02,160 Speaker 2: They lost by twenty three three at home. On the 114 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 2: flip side, VCU has been tremendous one by two as 115 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 2: two point dogs against Dayton at home. On the road 116 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:12,480 Speaker 2: against Fordham they laid four. They won by fifteen. At 117 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:15,880 Speaker 2: home against Richmond, laid five. They won by eleven. They 118 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 2: lost to Saint Bonnie's by five as four and a 119 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 2: half point dogs. Didn't cover there, but the previous five 120 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:26,440 Speaker 2: games for that they covered eight of nine. Davidson on 121 00:06:26,480 --> 00:06:28,559 Speaker 2: the road, laying one and a half one by five, 122 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 2: Leo Chicago laying four and a half, at home one 123 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 2: by seven, Saint Louis laying eight and a half on 124 00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:37,080 Speaker 2: by twenty four. LaSalle laid five and a half one 125 00:06:37,120 --> 00:06:40,880 Speaker 2: by six against George Mason caught four one by four. 126 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:41,839 Speaker 1: On the road. 127 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:46,360 Speaker 2: VCU has been red hot fourteen eight and two overall 128 00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:50,080 Speaker 2: ats numbers four and a half. We're jumping on VCU 129 00:06:50,160 --> 00:06:54,920 Speaker 2: here on the road it's going down, which is kind 130 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:57,080 Speaker 2: of surprising. Number opened up at five and a half. 131 00:06:57,160 --> 00:07:00,960 Speaker 2: I got four and a half. Those books in America 132 00:07:01,000 --> 00:07:03,360 Speaker 2: are at four and a half or five. You might 133 00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:05,840 Speaker 2: be able to get a lower number. You might be 134 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:08,799 Speaker 2: able to get four. I'm going against the line movement early, 135 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 2: the first move I'm going against both of them here. 136 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 2: Money coming in on Saint Louis saying, Okay, tough to 137 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:17,000 Speaker 2: win on the road. I got you, but I'm taking 138 00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 2: the hotter team. Give me VCU VCU minus four and 139 00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:24,480 Speaker 2: a half for one point one units with a road favorite. 140 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:26,440 Speaker 2: In college basketball, no, it's like, oh my gosh, Matt, 141 00:07:26,440 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 2: that could be really scary. But kempom has this as 142 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 2: a six point win. So a couple points of value there, 143 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:34,080 Speaker 2: a point and a half of value there with kempom 144 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 2: on this game. So I'm taking the road favorite VCU 145 00:07:38,480 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 2: minus four and a half for one point one units. 146 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 2: Now to golf. Patrick can't lay and I used to 147 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:50,560 Speaker 2: say can't delay, but can't lay. First round leader at 148 00:07:50,600 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 2: the Geniss Open shot seven under tremendous. Justin Thomas really struggled. 149 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 2: It's only my minus one twenty at DraftKings for Patrick 150 00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:06,720 Speaker 2: can't lay against Justin Thomas head to head Round two, 151 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:13,480 Speaker 2: eighteen hole head to head, it's only minus one twenty. 152 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:16,440 Speaker 2: Now you might go like, well, Matt can't. It's probably 153 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:18,760 Speaker 2: gonna come back down to earth. He shot sixty four yesterday. 154 00:08:19,280 --> 00:08:22,000 Speaker 2: But here's the thing. Last year at the Genesis he 155 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 2: shot a sixty seven in round two. Now you could say, look, 156 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 2: different tournament, different settings, but can't Lay plays really well 157 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:33,239 Speaker 2: in California. It's from California. Plays really well played at UCLA. 158 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:38,280 Speaker 2: This is in La. He's very comfortable where he plays here. Okay, 159 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 2: so you look at the swing last year out for 160 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 2: the West. He's played really well at the Genesis Open. 161 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:49,679 Speaker 2: He came in third last year, sixty eight sixty seven, 162 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:54,079 Speaker 2: sixty eight sixty seven, really impressive, came away with one 163 00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 2: point three million dollars went to that. Arnold Palmer tied 164 00:08:57,960 --> 00:09:01,880 Speaker 2: for fourth. He missed the cut at the Phoenix Open, 165 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:05,120 Speaker 2: which you know, not that shocking, but that was last year. 166 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 1: So he loves this golf course. 167 00:09:08,240 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 2: Sixty four first round leader Justin Thomas is the exact opposite. 168 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 1: Justin Thomas does not like this golf course. 169 00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 2: I don't know where JT's game has gone, to be 170 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 2: quite honest, it's just been very, very inconsistent and there's 171 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:25,719 Speaker 2: I mean, he probably makes the cut because a lot 172 00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:28,439 Speaker 2: of golfers kind of blew up down the bottom. Got 173 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:31,520 Speaker 2: a bunch of golfers are two over, four, over five over, 174 00:09:32,200 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 2: So top fifty will make the cut here. Of the 175 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:38,280 Speaker 2: seventy golfers, Tiger Woods maybe one of them, but Tiger 176 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:40,920 Speaker 2: needs to get going here a little bit. Didn't play great, 177 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:46,680 Speaker 2: one over par for Tiger. But I just think last 178 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:49,440 Speaker 2: year Justin Thomas shot a seventy three in round two, 179 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:53,240 Speaker 2: he made the cut, didn't play great shot okay in 180 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:56,920 Speaker 2: round one, seventy three in round two. Now again, not 181 00:09:56,960 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 2: to say that round two's from last year have really 182 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 2: I'm going to do with round twos of this year, 183 00:10:01,480 --> 00:10:04,320 Speaker 2: different weather, different everything. But just the way Justin Thomas 184 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:07,160 Speaker 2: is playing, I just don't buy it. I'm just not 185 00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 2: believing in Justin Thomas is available ability here to step 186 00:10:11,880 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 2: up and really like shoot the lights out. I think 187 00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:16,120 Speaker 2: you can probably pencil in a sixty eight or sixty 188 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:19,120 Speaker 2: seven for can't lay And where are we going to 189 00:10:19,200 --> 00:10:23,760 Speaker 2: go here for Justin Thomas, I don't know, to be frank, 190 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:26,280 Speaker 2: I mean, he shot one over a par yesterday, shout 191 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:29,320 Speaker 2: a seventy two shot a seventy three in round two. 192 00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 2: He played the back much better than the front. You know. 193 00:10:32,840 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 2: He made four bogies and one birdie on the front 194 00:10:36,720 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 2: and then two birdies on the back. Gonna save the 195 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 2: round a little bit for himself to come in and 196 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:42,480 Speaker 2: shoot a seventy two. 197 00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 1: But I don't know. 198 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 2: Seventy seventy one. That feels about right for Justin Thomas. Here, 199 00:10:48,800 --> 00:10:52,839 Speaker 2: can't lay shooting a sixty seven sixty eight. He teas 200 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:56,480 Speaker 2: off at eleven forty two Pacific time about two forty 201 00:10:56,480 --> 00:11:00,480 Speaker 2: two Eastern time. I'm going miss one twenty. Give me 202 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:03,360 Speaker 2: cantlay one point two units down head to head. Let's 203 00:11:03,400 --> 00:11:05,520 Speaker 2: make our first golf bet of twenty twenty four to 204 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:08,080 Speaker 2: decent price for a guy in Justin Thomas. I just 205 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:11,000 Speaker 2: don't trust, to be quite honest, Give me can't lay. 206 00:11:11,240 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 2: Patrick cantlay one point two units minus one twenty head 207 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:17,240 Speaker 2: to head, eighteen hole matchup for round two at the 208 00:11:17,280 --> 00:11:23,920 Speaker 2: Genesis Invitational out in La at Riviera, Okay so Vcu 209 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 2: minus four and a half, New Mexico plus six and 210 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 2: a half and Patrick cantlay head to head up against 211 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 2: Justin Thomas for round two of the Genesis Open minus 212 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 2: Matt Paroltz. Follow me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt. 213 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:40,000 Speaker 2: Every morning Dale Juice Podcast being brought to you by 214 00:11:40,160 --> 00:11:56,319 Speaker 2: Omaha Steaks dot Com