1
00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:03,040
Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

2
00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:05,240
Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey P. Joe P's a P

3
00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:08,160
Speaker 1: and today we're gonna be talking about the division round

4
00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:10,360
Speaker 1: of the playoffs. That's right, it is time to break

5
00:00:10,400 --> 00:00:14,000
Speaker 1: down the games, our props, our favorite things, and speaking

6
00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:15,920
Speaker 1: of favorite things to help me go through it. Of course,

7
00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:18,560
Speaker 1: is the Welsh who is clean shaven today. I don't

8
00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:20,239
Speaker 1: even know who he is right now. He shaved the

9
00:00:20,239 --> 00:00:23,160
Speaker 1: glorious goatee. It was so sexy. I don't know what's

10
00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,920
Speaker 1: going on there. And fresh off is college admissions exams.

11
00:00:27,000 --> 00:00:31,160
Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson wearing the collared shirt today, looking very good. Andrew,

12
00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:33,760
Speaker 1: I hope your college resume had a lot of volunteer

13
00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:35,600
Speaker 1: work on it. I know you joined a lot of

14
00:00:35,680 --> 00:00:39,000
Speaker 1: clubs in high school, So how is the college stuff going?

15
00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:42,239
Speaker 2: It was great. You know, I got to sit on

16
00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:43,159
Speaker 2: some job interviews.

17
00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:46,160
Speaker 3: I said that I knew Sean McVay, and immediately everyone's

18
00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:48,640
Speaker 3: eyes lit up, like, it's guy know Sean McVay.

19
00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:51,720
Speaker 1: Yeah great, Sean McVay will be done good. He's like

20
00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:53,360
Speaker 1: the only man that can win an argument with his

21
00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:57,640
Speaker 1: wife because he remembers literally every moment that's ever happened Welsh,

22
00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:00,200
Speaker 1: I imagine that's got to be a pretty valuable thing, right.

23
00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:01,920
Speaker 1: Do you think that makes his wife upset and annoyed

24
00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:04,640
Speaker 1: because he can remember play from like nineteen ninety seven

25
00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:06,119
Speaker 1: that he ran in Pop Warner.

26
00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:10,080
Speaker 4: Yeah. Yes, And I'm not sure Sean McVeigh is doing

27
00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:11,360
Speaker 4: anything to upset his wife.

28
00:01:11,400 --> 00:01:13,279
Speaker 1: If you've ever seen his wife, I have seen set.

29
00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:15,800
Speaker 4: Up here by the way, So like, are we are

30
00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:18,560
Speaker 4: we going with this? Like this is college exam version

31
00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:19,840
Speaker 4: of Andrew Erickson?

32
00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:22,720
Speaker 1: Is that what we're saying? Like a picture day, I'd

33
00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:23,920
Speaker 1: like to have Razers behind you.

34
00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:27,000
Speaker 4: I was thinking like maybe he just joined a fraternity.

35
00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:30,920
Speaker 4: It's like parlay kapa under. That'll be his uh, that'll

36
00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:35,279
Speaker 4: be his fraternity parlay kapa under or Andrew ericson nice.

37
00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:37,440
Speaker 1: Nice. I can't wait to pledge. All right, We're gonna

38
00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:39,520
Speaker 1: pledge to you the best betting content on the planet.

39
00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:42,720
Speaker 1: So make sure you subscribe to the YouTube channel wherever

40
00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:46,600
Speaker 1: you get. Obviously your your YouTube, which is dumb because

41
00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:48,880
Speaker 1: well it's just one app, but anyway, make sure you

42
00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:51,200
Speaker 1: subscribe to the podcast version wherever get your podcast That's

43
00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:53,240
Speaker 1: what I meant to say, and of course don't forget.

44
00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:55,000
Speaker 1: If you drop your comments below, you can win a

45
00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:58,600
Speaker 1: one year free premium upgrade to Betting Pros right now. Again,

46
00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:00,560
Speaker 1: the best betting tools of the planet can be yours.

47
00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:02,480
Speaker 1: If you want to try them out, go download them

48
00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:04,760
Speaker 1: right now because on iOS you get three three days

49
00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:07,160
Speaker 1: of premium. But again you can always upgrade to a

50
00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:10,760
Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot Com slash premium today. Lots of stuff going on,

51
00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:13,760
Speaker 1: not just NFL, also NBA with Matt Mody every Wednesday

52
00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:16,600
Speaker 1: every Friday right here on the channel live eleven am

53
00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:19,640
Speaker 1: Eastern with the best bets in NBA. Mody's a genius.

54
00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:21,440
Speaker 1: Go check him out. If you haven't already, go win

55
00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:24,880
Speaker 1: some cash. Gentlemen, Let's begin at the beginning Saturday, I

56
00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,799
Speaker 1: guess evening, late afternoon, however you want to call it. Houston,

57
00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:30,800
Speaker 1: Texans Baltimore Ravens Baltimore nine and a half point favorites

58
00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:32,120
Speaker 1: in this one. Forty three and a half is the

59
00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:35,120
Speaker 1: number right now on Betting Pros. Plus three sixty on

60
00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:37,160
Speaker 1: the money line for Houston's the best number you can get.

61
00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:40,920
Speaker 1: Andrew ericson Let's start with you, your thoughts on this

62
00:02:41,040 --> 00:02:42,920
Speaker 1: game and your favorite prop attached to it.

63
00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:46,200
Speaker 2: I'm taking the Texans plus nine and a half. Again.

64
00:02:46,280 --> 00:02:49,000
Speaker 3: The wildcard round is the round where the teams get

65
00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:50,799
Speaker 3: blown out. That's where the bad teams that made the

66
00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:53,560
Speaker 3: playoffs get weeded out. That's why the divisional round is

67
00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:56,120
Speaker 3: ves often viewed as this is the best teams is

68
00:02:56,120 --> 00:02:58,200
Speaker 3: the best week of football because you're getting the eight

69
00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:01,680
Speaker 3: best teams that legitimately be there. So the fact that

70
00:03:01,720 --> 00:03:04,800
Speaker 3: the Texans are getting this much disrespect at nine and

71
00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:08,200
Speaker 3: a half points, they just destroyed the Cleveland Browns, a

72
00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:11,400
Speaker 3: team that beat the Ravens this year, the team that

73
00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:13,240
Speaker 3: beat the forty nine ers, the only team that beat

74
00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:16,799
Speaker 3: both the number one seeds. The Texans destroyed them. So

75
00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:19,720
Speaker 3: I don't think it's nearly enough respect to put on

76
00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:21,280
Speaker 3: the Texans. I get they're playing on the road. I

77
00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:23,600
Speaker 3: get that they probably won't win this game, but plus

78
00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:25,880
Speaker 3: nine and a half, they're seventy percent against the spread

79
00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:28,760
Speaker 3: as an underdog this season. And the thing that gives

80
00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,079
Speaker 3: me the most confidence about backing them just covering here

81
00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:35,040
Speaker 3: is they've been really good playing teams for the second time.

82
00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:37,680
Speaker 3: You know, when you look at what they've done three

83
00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:40,920
Speaker 3: and one against the spread in second game matchups. So

84
00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:42,400
Speaker 3: we saw it with the Cleveland Browns. They lost to

85
00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:45,720
Speaker 3: Cleveland the first time, they beat them the second time. Jacksonville,

86
00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:48,280
Speaker 3: tennessee those types of teams. When they lost to them

87
00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:52,360
Speaker 3: the first time, they won the second game. So again,

88
00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:55,040
Speaker 3: don't necessarily think the text are gonna win outright. Maybe

89
00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:57,680
Speaker 3: they're just one year away. ABC Stroud and Texans get

90
00:03:57,680 --> 00:03:59,560
Speaker 3: back to the postseason next year. I think this is

91
00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:02,120
Speaker 3: more about the Ravens being it their year. But nine

92
00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,400
Speaker 3: and a half points. Look, we saw this team go

93
00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:06,640
Speaker 3: toe to toe in Week one. That game was seven

94
00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,080
Speaker 3: to six going into the second half of the game

95
00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:11,320
Speaker 3: seven to six, And I get the Baltimore Ravens offense

96
00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:14,880
Speaker 3: wasn't clicking, but the Texans offense wasn't clicking either, So

97
00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:17,320
Speaker 3: I think that nine and a half is really easy

98
00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:19,279
Speaker 3: here at plus nine and a half to just take CJ.

99
00:04:19,360 --> 00:04:21,719
Speaker 3: Stroud and just bet on the best rookie quarterback we've

100
00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:23,200
Speaker 3: seen and I don't know how long.

101
00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:25,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's where I stand with this game too. What

102
00:04:25,320 --> 00:04:27,200
Speaker 1: about the prop Andrew, where do you stand in terms

103
00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:28,680
Speaker 1: of the prop department on this one?

104
00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:32,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna go with an under here, shocking everybody.

105
00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:35,320
Speaker 3: Gus Edwards under fifty two and a half rushing.

106
00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:36,680
Speaker 1: Out fraternity would be so proud.

107
00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:41,640
Speaker 2: I know that's how they they are under currently under.

108
00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:46,000
Speaker 3: I just want to continue to fade against running backs

109
00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:48,720
Speaker 3: facing the Texans defense. Now, the only thing that concerns

110
00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:51,159
Speaker 3: is game script. If the Ravens do get up big,

111
00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:52,400
Speaker 3: even though I do think it's going to be more

112
00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:54,800
Speaker 3: back and forth, that could be an issue. But you

113
00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:56,800
Speaker 3: just can't run on the Texans. Three running backs have

114
00:04:56,800 --> 00:05:00,360
Speaker 3: surpassed the rushing tolls against Texans since Week eight. Eight

115
00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:02,119
Speaker 3: to last ten running backs have got under their rushing

116
00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:05,080
Speaker 3: yardage total, and among those running backs, three have gone

117
00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:07,920
Speaker 3: over fifty yards. So with his prop over fifty yards,

118
00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:10,800
Speaker 3: because I still splits time with Justice Hill, maybe we

119
00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:13,400
Speaker 3: get a little Dalvin Cook action. Maybe Dalvin Cook wakes

120
00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:15,560
Speaker 3: up in the playoffs after the team cut Melvin Gordon.

121
00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:17,800
Speaker 3: So just again another reasons why, just to get away

122
00:05:17,800 --> 00:05:18,720
Speaker 3: from Gus Edwards.

123
00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:21,040
Speaker 1: All right, Well, you've got a different story to tell

124
00:05:21,080 --> 00:05:22,359
Speaker 1: about this game, so let's hear it.

125
00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:25,599
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm kind of in the same general area as

126
00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:28,560
Speaker 4: Ericson here in that like I get where he's going.

127
00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:32,080
Speaker 4: You're gonna take some plus money bets, especially on some

128
00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:33,320
Speaker 4: of these big spreads here.

129
00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:35,040
Speaker 2: I in that.

130
00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:38,039
Speaker 4: Respect because a lot of those plus money things are

131
00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:40,920
Speaker 4: against the best teams in the NFL. Baltimore, when we're

132
00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:42,320
Speaker 4: gonna talk about here in a little bit, I just

133
00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:44,520
Speaker 4: don't feel as comfortable with it. So I'm moving away

134
00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:47,440
Speaker 4: and I'm going to totals, and I'm playing with the totals.

135
00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:49,520
Speaker 4: And like last week, I did the same thing. I

136
00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:51,680
Speaker 4: think I got this one on the me. It was

137
00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:54,400
Speaker 4: the Kansas City one or maybe the Buffalo one. But

138
00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:56,880
Speaker 4: I'm gonna play with some first half so I'm not

139
00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:59,120
Speaker 4: taking the spread. I'm not taking a money line, and

140
00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:01,960
Speaker 4: I'm not taking a full game total. I am gonna

141
00:06:01,960 --> 00:06:04,520
Speaker 4: go to the first half and I'm gonna take the

142
00:06:04,560 --> 00:06:09,640
Speaker 4: first half over for both of these teams here. Baltimore

143
00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:13,200
Speaker 4: fourth in scoring in the NFL overall. They're also fourth

144
00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:17,120
Speaker 4: highest scoring first half team with fifteen point four points,

145
00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:20,320
Speaker 4: though they give up the lowest first half points in

146
00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:24,359
Speaker 4: the NFL. Houston is the eleventh highest scoring first half teams.

147
00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:27,040
Speaker 4: You've got two top twelve first half scoring teams. They

148
00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:30,720
Speaker 4: are number one, though with nineteen point three points scored

149
00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:33,520
Speaker 4: in the first half over the last three games. So

150
00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:37,680
Speaker 4: give me a couple first half overall powerhouse offenses. I'm

151
00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:39,440
Speaker 4: gonna take twenty one and a half over in the

152
00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:41,520
Speaker 4: first half. That's what I feel comfortable with. I'm playing

153
00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:44,560
Speaker 4: with a lot of these totals, and I'm divvying out

154
00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:46,599
Speaker 4: a little bit different than our normal bets here. I

155
00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:48,280
Speaker 4: just I don't like like plus nine. I get if

156
00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:50,240
Speaker 4: I were to take a spread in that game, I

157
00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:53,760
Speaker 4: would take Houston. I don't like the first half spread

158
00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:56,479
Speaker 4: either on either side. So that's why I'm gonna play

159
00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:57,080
Speaker 4: with this total.

160
00:06:57,240 --> 00:06:59,400
Speaker 1: All right, let's play with the prop for this game.

161
00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:00,520
Speaker 1: Who do you have for us?

162
00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:02,920
Speaker 4: All right, We're gonna go to Zay Flowers and we

163
00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:07,120
Speaker 4: are gonna go back to the alternative receiving yard market.

164
00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:10,880
Speaker 4: We smashed David and Joku last week out of the

165
00:07:10,920 --> 00:07:13,440
Speaker 4: eighty plus. That was a big one. We're not going

166
00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:16,640
Speaker 4: as crazy. But Zay Flowers is you know what, I

167
00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:18,240
Speaker 4: forgot to write it down. I think it's like fifty

168
00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:20,400
Speaker 4: three and a half somewhere right around there. Maybe it's

169
00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:22,760
Speaker 4: fifty and a half on his receiving yard total I'm

170
00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:25,960
Speaker 4: gonna push that up to sixty plus, which you're gonna

171
00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:28,520
Speaker 4: get one, one, twenty five, one point thirty, depending on

172
00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:31,520
Speaker 4: the market you look at. Flowers has hit this prop

173
00:07:31,840 --> 00:07:34,320
Speaker 4: in three of his last four. Two of his last

174
00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:37,720
Speaker 4: four games, Flowers has had double digit targets the Texans.

175
00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:40,880
Speaker 4: They're coming off a three hundred plus yard passing performance

176
00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:45,000
Speaker 4: against Flacco with two of their wide receivers that got

177
00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:49,080
Speaker 4: sixty plus. Cleveland's wide receiver sixty plus against the Houston defense,

178
00:07:49,480 --> 00:07:53,880
Speaker 4: and four wide receiver tight ends went for fifty four

179
00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:57,960
Speaker 4: or more. So the overall prop looks good. I'm pushing

180
00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:00,520
Speaker 4: it up to get plus money, So give me sixty plus.

181
00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:03,240
Speaker 4: Zay Flowers receiving yards on the alt market.

182
00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:04,920
Speaker 1: Forty eight and a half. Welsh is the original forty

183
00:08:04,920 --> 00:08:06,280
Speaker 1: eight and a half. That's right. The best number you

184
00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:08,720
Speaker 1: can get is over at Caesars. It looks like looking

185
00:08:08,760 --> 00:08:10,720
Speaker 1: over at petting pros. And that's why I use betting pros.

186
00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:12,880
Speaker 1: So you have all these things at your fingertips. Minus

187
00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:14,720
Speaker 1: one oh one too. There's a wacky number you don't

188
00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:18,120
Speaker 1: see every day. Let's get to a lot of the

189
00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:21,640
Speaker 1: next contest here. Welsh's san Francisco forty nine Ers are

190
00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:24,240
Speaker 1: going to be hosting the Green Bay Packers, coming off

191
00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:28,320
Speaker 1: an absolutely huge victory. San fran is favored by ten Erickson.

192
00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:30,720
Speaker 1: We've seen a lot of teams favored by double digits,

193
00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:35,800
Speaker 1: not exactly always fall through with that huge number. Here,

194
00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:38,920
Speaker 1: Welsh will let you marinate on this for a while. Erickson,

195
00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:41,240
Speaker 1: let's start with you with this game. First of all,

196
00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:44,920
Speaker 1: what side or total do you like? And also, on

197
00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:46,319
Speaker 1: top of that, give me a prop that you think

198
00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:48,199
Speaker 1: is going to come through on Saturday night.

199
00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:50,280
Speaker 3: I mean, I'm just gonna rinse it. Repeat here again

200
00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:52,679
Speaker 3: another plus nine and a half. Again, we got rid

201
00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:55,360
Speaker 3: of the bad teams last week, Like the Packers are

202
00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:58,360
Speaker 3: not a bad team. So again we've seen the forty

203
00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:02,160
Speaker 3: nine Ers have massive spread at home throughout the season,

204
00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,760
Speaker 3: and for the most part, they don't cover these spreads.

205
00:09:05,040 --> 00:09:06,800
Speaker 3: The last five home games to the forty nine Ers

206
00:09:07,240 --> 00:09:10,600
Speaker 3: oh to five against the spread. The last ten games

207
00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:13,959
Speaker 3: for the forty nine Ers when they've played teams or

208
00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:16,080
Speaker 3: the road teams excuse me, road teams in forty nine

209
00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:19,040
Speaker 3: Ers games last ten have all covered the spread. And

210
00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:21,040
Speaker 3: who's been one of the better underdogs this season? Covering

211
00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:23,040
Speaker 3: the spread has been the Green Bay Packers. Seven of

212
00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:25,680
Speaker 3: the packers last nine games, the underdogs have not just

213
00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:28,480
Speaker 3: covered the spread, they've won outright. So again I think

214
00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:30,920
Speaker 3: the Packers are gonna win. Probably not they had the

215
00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:33,439
Speaker 3: magic last week, but nine and a half points it's

216
00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:36,160
Speaker 3: just too many points. Again, like again, we're talking about

217
00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:39,320
Speaker 3: the best of the best teams and Vegas is telling us, oh, well,

218
00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:41,960
Speaker 3: these teams are actually so bad against these number one

219
00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:45,080
Speaker 3: seeds just they're coming off, you know, they're getting rest,

220
00:09:45,280 --> 00:09:48,800
Speaker 3: et cetera. But the teams that when you have these underdogs,

221
00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:51,560
Speaker 3: you want them to have momentum, and they both have

222
00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:54,000
Speaker 3: momentum entering this game. The Texans have momentum and the Packers.

223
00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:55,800
Speaker 3: So I'm taking the Packers plus nine and a half.

224
00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:58,080
Speaker 3: They show they can score points, and if it's going

225
00:09:58,160 --> 00:09:59,840
Speaker 3: to be a shootout, yeah, the Packers are gonna give

226
00:09:59,920 --> 00:10:01,679
Speaker 3: up thirty. But the Packers can score thirty on the

227
00:10:01,720 --> 00:10:03,839
Speaker 3: four nine ers two, and that's the case, then I

228
00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:06,079
Speaker 3: think they can keep this well within nine and a

229
00:10:06,080 --> 00:10:07,800
Speaker 3: half points. So that's why I like the Packers plus

230
00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:11,360
Speaker 3: nine and a half. And then my prop isn't over

231
00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:13,600
Speaker 3: and it's my stone cold Lock of the Week Jayden

232
00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:16,559
Speaker 3: Reid over three and a half receptions receptions.

233
00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:21,320
Speaker 1: Reception totals with Sean Connery and Andrew Addiction. Oh, Jayden

234
00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:23,720
Speaker 1: Reid has been a rock when it comes to this offense.

235
00:10:24,520 --> 00:10:27,000
Speaker 3: He has been, but not last week. It was a

236
00:10:27,040 --> 00:10:29,640
Speaker 3: tough matchup for him in the slot against Dallas. But

237
00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:32,160
Speaker 3: this week the forty nine Ers allowing the fifth most

238
00:10:32,160 --> 00:10:34,880
Speaker 3: catches to wide receivers this season during the regular season.

239
00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:37,079
Speaker 3: They give up a lot of completions, just as Welsh

240
00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:39,319
Speaker 3: he knows they do. So I'm taking the over on

241
00:10:39,440 --> 00:10:42,320
Speaker 3: Jayden Reid. Before last week, Jadan Reed had gone eight

242
00:10:42,679 --> 00:10:46,719
Speaker 3: straight games with four catches at least eight straight so

243
00:10:46,960 --> 00:10:48,320
Speaker 3: last week was a total outlier.

244
00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:49,959
Speaker 2: This is my stone cold lock of the week. It's

245
00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:50,920
Speaker 2: my It's really juicy.

246
00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:53,200
Speaker 3: It's like minus one thirty ESPN bet is the best

247
00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:55,280
Speaker 3: line I could find. But if you want to parlay

248
00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:57,640
Speaker 3: it with the Packers, you know, plus nine and a half.

249
00:10:57,679 --> 00:10:59,280
Speaker 2: I think it's a really good way to make it,

250
00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:01,080
Speaker 2: you know, a little bit better payout.

251
00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:03,720
Speaker 1: The congratulations the first mention of ESPN bet on the

252
00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:05,760
Speaker 1: show too. I don't think we've done that quite yet,

253
00:11:05,800 --> 00:11:08,480
Speaker 1: so lots of new things. Yeah, Welsh, what the hell

254
00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:11,200
Speaker 1: is that? It's not a frock? It's like ald is it?

255
00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:13,439
Speaker 4: Not sure? This is the this is It's like a

256
00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:14,920
Speaker 4: backpack bag type of thing.

257
00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:17,800
Speaker 2: I guess it's going to watch it.

258
00:11:19,559 --> 00:11:21,720
Speaker 4: This is a magic bag. This is a magic bag.

259
00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:24,280
Speaker 1: Where what are we doing? Side of it? Points?

260
00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:29,120
Speaker 4: Points? I'm pulling out points, forty nine er points all

261
00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:32,240
Speaker 4: over the board. That's what we're pulling out here. Because

262
00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:37,000
Speaker 4: I'm not touching the spread on the Rickson laid it out.

263
00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:40,040
Speaker 4: Forty nine ers can underplay this. This is a big number.

264
00:11:40,040 --> 00:11:41,760
Speaker 4: If this was nine or six and a half, I

265
00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:44,400
Speaker 4: take it at the touchdown. I'm not doing that. What

266
00:11:44,559 --> 00:11:47,600
Speaker 4: is the forty nine Ers' biggest drag their secondary? What

267
00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:49,720
Speaker 4: has been working so well for the Green Bay Packers

268
00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:53,959
Speaker 4: the rowing the ball? So fifty and a half points

269
00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:56,960
Speaker 4: points points, I'm pulling it out of the bag. That's

270
00:11:57,000 --> 00:11:58,600
Speaker 4: going to be my bet if I'm going to be

271
00:11:58,600 --> 00:12:01,360
Speaker 4: betting on this actual forty nine ers side. And just

272
00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:05,120
Speaker 4: to point out, two of the top eight scoring teams

273
00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:07,880
Speaker 4: per game in the NFL are the Packers in the

274
00:12:07,920 --> 00:12:11,280
Speaker 4: forty nine ers. So we're pulling out all of the points.

275
00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:14,800
Speaker 1: It is magical satchel of points. That's great.

276
00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:17,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's got like a little like like a weird

277
00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:18,160
Speaker 4: thing to hook the bag.

278
00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:20,480
Speaker 1: And a little hook, that little weird hook that never works.

279
00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:22,240
Speaker 1: And then that's fifty and a half hook.

280
00:12:22,320 --> 00:12:24,520
Speaker 4: That might be a sign you buy it down, Buy

281
00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:25,760
Speaker 4: it down, forty nine and a half.

282
00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:28,560
Speaker 1: Lock it ago. There you go. Ericson the reason why

283
00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:30,200
Speaker 1: the Patriots in the score because we didn't have a

284
00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:32,400
Speaker 1: bag of points this year at all, just just no

285
00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:34,920
Speaker 1: bags full points, no nothing. That bag had a hole

286
00:12:34,920 --> 00:12:37,880
Speaker 1: in it. Give me a prop you like Welsh here

287
00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:39,520
Speaker 1: for the sane forty nine ers.

288
00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:42,320
Speaker 4: This is my craziest one. Now, if I were to

289
00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:42,800
Speaker 4: pull out a.

290
00:12:42,720 --> 00:12:45,400
Speaker 1: Magic with your little well, I'm trying to do this there.

291
00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:48,720
Speaker 4: Sorry, sorry, If I were doing a magic trick.

292
00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:50,520
Speaker 1: We couldn't be talking. We're gonna pull out of that

293
00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:52,520
Speaker 1: bag right now, pulling out a ladder.

294
00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:55,240
Speaker 4: We could be pulling out here. But I'm going to

295
00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:57,080
Speaker 4: present to you and get this thing off here, can

296
00:12:57,200 --> 00:13:00,880
Speaker 4: I I'm gonna give you my big alt bet of

297
00:13:00,920 --> 00:13:03,880
Speaker 4: the week. I'm going big. I gave you Brandon or

298
00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:05,880
Speaker 4: I gave you David Njoku last week. We are going

299
00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:12,920
Speaker 4: Brandon Ayuk alternate yards one hundred plus. Now you could

300
00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:16,520
Speaker 4: ladder that. I'm not necessarily saying we have to ladder that,

301
00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:21,440
Speaker 4: but obviously this breeds to sixty seventy eighty ninety. But

302
00:13:21,600 --> 00:13:24,600
Speaker 4: I'm gonna bet the plus one hundred because it is

303
00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:27,680
Speaker 4: plus four hundred four to one on the money. Ayuk

304
00:13:27,720 --> 00:13:30,160
Speaker 4: has hit this one hundred mark or two of the

305
00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:33,800
Speaker 4: last three weeks as well, obviously as his actual prop.

306
00:13:34,200 --> 00:13:37,120
Speaker 4: Here is this weird thing with Ayuk on the season

307
00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:42,000
Speaker 4: against whatever his receiving prop number is, he had this number,

308
00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:45,160
Speaker 4: he has only hit this sixty seven and a half

309
00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:49,839
Speaker 4: one time where he didn't go over one hundred yards,

310
00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:51,720
Speaker 4: So did it make sense with that? You know this

311
00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,840
Speaker 4: sixty seven and a half only one time this whole season?

312
00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:57,439
Speaker 4: Did it clear where he did not hit one hundred yards?

313
00:13:57,480 --> 00:14:00,760
Speaker 4: Ayuk has not had a sixty yard gamer receiving this year,

314
00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:03,760
Speaker 4: an eighty yard receiving game this year, or a ninety

315
00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:07,319
Speaker 4: yard receiving game this year. He went seventy once. Otherwise

316
00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:11,840
Speaker 4: he goes over one hundred yards. He did that seven

317
00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:15,119
Speaker 4: times this year. This weekend, he's also being given PFF's

318
00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:20,120
Speaker 4: best Cornerback wide receiver matchup, So plus one hundred yards

319
00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:23,080
Speaker 4: for plus four hundred is my aut bet, and obviously

320
00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:25,600
Speaker 4: there is a ladder that you can play if you

321
00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:26,560
Speaker 4: want to play along.

322
00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:29,520
Speaker 1: Don't forget everybody. Chris Wels and Scott Bachman will be

323
00:14:29,600 --> 00:14:32,760
Speaker 1: live on the Betting Pros YouTube channels Sunday afternoon at

324
00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:35,560
Speaker 1: two forty five pm Eastern for the Divisional round matchup

325
00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:38,920
Speaker 1: between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Detroit Lions. We'll

326
00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:42,320
Speaker 1: be showcasing live bets for every drive with Locker, an

327
00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:45,600
Speaker 1: interactive NFL experience that puts you right at the heart

328
00:14:45,680 --> 00:14:48,280
Speaker 1: of the NFL action. As you watch live games, make

329
00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:52,480
Speaker 1: predictions on upcoming offensive drives and make money quickly. It's simple,

330
00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:55,960
Speaker 1: it's fun, and rewards your sports savvy with real cash.

331
00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:57,840
Speaker 1: They have an offer going on right now where you

332
00:14:57,880 --> 00:15:00,680
Speaker 1: can compete against our top analysts for chance to grab

333
00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:03,760
Speaker 1: a share of five thousand dollars in prizes. Don't just

334
00:15:03,800 --> 00:15:06,400
Speaker 1: watch the game, be part of it with Locker. Download

335
00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:08,760
Speaker 1: the app now from the link in the description. Be

336
00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:11,800
Speaker 1: there for every thrilling play and turn your predictions into

337
00:15:11,840 --> 00:15:15,280
Speaker 1: profit with Locker, where the fans get off the bench

338
00:15:15,520 --> 00:15:18,600
Speaker 1: and into the game. All right, Ericson, Let's go back

339
00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:21,080
Speaker 1: to you as we go to Detroit where the Lions

340
00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:22,920
Speaker 1: are gonna take on the Buccaneers. Here, the Lions are

341
00:15:22,920 --> 00:15:25,240
Speaker 1: favored by six and a half at home. I keep saying,

342
00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:27,280
Speaker 1: if one game is gonna go sideways, this is the one.

343
00:15:27,760 --> 00:15:30,640
Speaker 1: So I personally think that Tampa plus two fifty on

344
00:15:30,680 --> 00:15:33,360
Speaker 1: the money line is very intriguing. I think the Lions

345
00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:34,840
Speaker 1: might have let it all hang out last week, that

346
00:15:34,920 --> 00:15:36,760
Speaker 1: with their super Bowl in a lot of ways, and

347
00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:38,400
Speaker 1: I think there's a lot of emotion running through them.

348
00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:40,520
Speaker 1: I'm not saying that the Lions aren't a better team.

349
00:15:40,560 --> 00:15:43,000
Speaker 1: They are, but the better team doesn't always win. Sometimes

350
00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:44,440
Speaker 1: the team that plays the best wins, and I think

351
00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:47,240
Speaker 1: they should be very afraid of what could happen there

352
00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:49,440
Speaker 1: with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin on that field against

353
00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:52,000
Speaker 1: that secondary. But Erickson, how do you see this contest

354
00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:55,320
Speaker 1: and who do you see coming out the better for it?

355
00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:59,240
Speaker 2: With a prop Well, I'm not picking sides in his

356
00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:00,440
Speaker 2: contest because I.

357
00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:03,280
Speaker 1: Have a loved my mind, Daddy, you love this right.

358
00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:05,240
Speaker 3: Because I'm sitting on a line super Bowl ticket, So

359
00:16:05,280 --> 00:16:07,200
Speaker 3: that's that's what I'm kind of holding out for so

360
00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:08,680
Speaker 3: it'd be it would be a buck's.

361
00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:09,960
Speaker 2: Edge if anything else.

362
00:16:10,160 --> 00:16:13,320
Speaker 3: But I just like the game total over because where

363
00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:16,080
Speaker 3: are we playing this guy's ford field? What do we

364
00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:18,320
Speaker 3: say every single week about for field? Of course field

365
00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:20,560
Speaker 3: the NFL? And somehow last week didn't go over even

366
00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:22,400
Speaker 3: though they scored like forty points in the first.

367
00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:25,440
Speaker 2: Half, there was like field goals. So again I'm just

368
00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:27,240
Speaker 2: gonna bet on that happening twice. Like that game.

369
00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:29,480
Speaker 3: If you had watched last week's Lines game and rams,

370
00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:31,680
Speaker 3: you'd be like, all, this game's going over like sixty points,

371
00:16:31,760 --> 00:16:33,080
Speaker 3: and then for some reason it just didn't.

372
00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:34,680
Speaker 2: You know, the team's stalled out.

373
00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:36,720
Speaker 3: That's not gonna happen two weeks in a row, especially

374
00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:40,240
Speaker 3: with the Buccaneers coming into this game four straight unders.

375
00:16:40,600 --> 00:16:42,320
Speaker 2: That's not going to continue.

376
00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:44,600
Speaker 3: Like regression to the moon here, folks, And where do

377
00:16:44,640 --> 00:16:47,400
Speaker 3: we see a regression hit at the highest rate. Fourteen

378
00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:50,880
Speaker 3: to last eighteen games played at four field have gone

379
00:16:50,960 --> 00:16:53,520
Speaker 3: over fifty one points. So this this total is not

380
00:16:53,560 --> 00:16:55,520
Speaker 3: even at fifty, it's at forty eight and a half.

381
00:16:55,800 --> 00:16:58,560
Speaker 3: So I think there's value on that, especially when it's

382
00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:00,560
Speaker 3: not up to that fifty line. That's where I start

383
00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:02,880
Speaker 3: to get a little is really value on this number anymore?

384
00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:04,320
Speaker 3: I like the over in this game more than the

385
00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:05,960
Speaker 3: over in the forty nine Ers Packers game. It's a

386
00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:06,520
Speaker 3: better number.

387
00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:07,359
Speaker 2: It's than a dome.

388
00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:10,880
Speaker 3: And there are two defenses that cannot stop anybody. They're

389
00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:13,400
Speaker 3: two of the worst pass defense in the NFL. So

390
00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:16,000
Speaker 3: I like both these quarterbacks in this matchup. I love

391
00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:18,320
Speaker 3: doing this with same game parlays with some of these

392
00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:20,760
Speaker 3: player props. So for me, it's the over on the

393
00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:23,160
Speaker 3: game and the over. I'm on Ross Saint Brown eighty

394
00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:25,080
Speaker 3: eight and a half receiving yards, one hundred receiving yards,

395
00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:26,800
Speaker 3: it doesn't matter, Like, just take the over.

396
00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:28,560
Speaker 2: I'm on Ama Ras Saint Brown.

397
00:17:28,880 --> 00:17:31,560
Speaker 3: He's just done it every single week, ninety five or

398
00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:34,000
Speaker 3: more receiving yards seven of his eight games played at

399
00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:36,600
Speaker 3: home this year. He's ninety plus receiving yards in four

400
00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:39,280
Speaker 3: straight games. And when he played the Buccaneers earlier this year,

401
00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:42,159
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty four receiving yards. Like there's no

402
00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:44,840
Speaker 3: one that's like just wakes up for one hundred yards

403
00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:47,440
Speaker 3: like the Sun God himself. So I'm gonna pray to

404
00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:48,520
Speaker 3: him and he's gonna get it.

405
00:17:48,560 --> 00:17:48,919
Speaker 2: Done.

406
00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:51,520
Speaker 1: Who do you have the Lions ad? When did you

407
00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:53,200
Speaker 1: lock them in for the Super Bowl? What's that number?

408
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:55,400
Speaker 1: Out of curiosity, I have.

409
00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:59,000
Speaker 2: To double check and reaking check where you can.

410
00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:01,560
Speaker 1: You could track all of any gave it? Did you

411
00:18:01,600 --> 00:18:01,800
Speaker 1: know that?

412
00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:03,200
Speaker 4: Is it a place you can cash out?

413
00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:05,400
Speaker 1: By the way, too, I'm gonna say, if they win

414
00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:07,600
Speaker 1: this week, this might be the time to do it.

415
00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:09,080
Speaker 1: It might not get much better than this.

416
00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:11,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, you're searching.

417
00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:13,760
Speaker 1: While you're searching for that, we'll go and get Welsh's

418
00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:15,800
Speaker 1: take on this game. Well, sometimes you like to chop

419
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:18,199
Speaker 1: up these games in the little bitty bits. So is

420
00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:19,280
Speaker 1: that what you're doing with this one too?

421
00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:22,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's what I did here. Again, I'm kind of

422
00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:25,040
Speaker 4: with Ericson, like I could play the over. I wanted

423
00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,320
Speaker 4: to chop it up, like you're saying in half, that's

424
00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:29,479
Speaker 4: weird how you said that. I'm going with the first

425
00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:33,119
Speaker 4: half over total at twenty three and a half. Both

426
00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:36,120
Speaker 4: of these teams in their games in the Wild Card

427
00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:39,399
Speaker 4: their first halves hit that against the respective teams they played.

428
00:18:39,840 --> 00:18:42,400
Speaker 4: Ericson said this, they are both one of the worst

429
00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:46,000
Speaker 4: pass defenses. In fact, they are both bottom five pass

430
00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:49,439
Speaker 4: defenses in the NFL, So I'm expecting a lot of

431
00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:52,199
Speaker 4: high flying I run defense I think with the Lions

432
00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:54,119
Speaker 4: is quite a bit better as well. But yeah, I

433
00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:56,360
Speaker 4: expect this game to have points, and that's why I'm

434
00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:59,200
Speaker 4: going to play that first half twenty three and a half,

435
00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:02,600
Speaker 4: three touchdowns, field goal gets me there. That is my gameplay.

436
00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:05,040
Speaker 1: All right. Now, let's talk about Sam Laporta, because that's

437
00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,000
Speaker 1: the prop you're talking about. Now, this one's a little

438
00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:09,680
Speaker 1: dicey for me because of the health of Laporta. Yeah,

439
00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:11,880
Speaker 1: so you're gonna have to sell me on the confidence

440
00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 1: level of why you like this one.

441
00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:16,120
Speaker 4: All right, low total thirty nine and a half and

442
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:18,440
Speaker 4: the health is definitely in question, though he was able

443
00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:20,320
Speaker 4: to get out there and he was able to kind

444
00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,560
Speaker 4: of get going. Laporta has hit this only once in

445
00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:24,879
Speaker 4: his last three games, and that's a big concern. But

446
00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:28,520
Speaker 4: the Bucks, we're giving up the most fantasy points to

447
00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:30,719
Speaker 4: tight ends in the final month of the season and

448
00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:33,840
Speaker 4: the second most receiving yards to tight ends in that

449
00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:36,520
Speaker 4: same period of time. On the year, the Bucks are

450
00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:40,640
Speaker 4: averaging six catches for sixty yards on tight ends. Laporta

451
00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:44,040
Speaker 4: projections putting him around fifty. He says the second best

452
00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:47,880
Speaker 4: tight end coverage matchup of the weekend, and he received

453
00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:52,159
Speaker 4: eleven targets but only four catches in the last matchup

454
00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:56,560
Speaker 4: they had against the Bucks. I also almost took the

455
00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:59,520
Speaker 4: the receptions at plus four and a half and that

456
00:19:59,640 --> 00:20:01,639
Speaker 4: was plas money, but I decided to play it a

457
00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:03,640
Speaker 4: little bit safer on the yards just in case it's

458
00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:06,639
Speaker 4: one big play. Definitely, the health is in question on

459
00:20:06,720 --> 00:20:08,240
Speaker 4: what the snaps are gonna look like. But it is

460
00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:11,479
Speaker 4: a fantastic matchup for tight ends for a low total

461
00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:14,680
Speaker 4: that is brought down because of this injury. But we're

462
00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:18,520
Speaker 4: further removed from it. Big game, lots of high flying passing.

463
00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:20,280
Speaker 4: So I like, Sam Laporta, did you.

464
00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:23,320
Speaker 1: Find your ticket, your golden ticket? Erickson, No, not yet.

465
00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:24,320
Speaker 2: I'm working on it.

466
00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:26,439
Speaker 1: Oh well, maybe you got to open a few more

467
00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:28,639
Speaker 1: Wonka bars to get there. All right, let's get to

468
00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:30,840
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be like Grandpa Joe too. We're just gonna

469
00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:32,960
Speaker 1: stay in bed all day and watch all these games.

470
00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:34,719
Speaker 1: That's what I'm gonna do. All right, Let's get to

471
00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:38,960
Speaker 1: the big primetime Sunday night contests. Kansas City going on

472
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,080
Speaker 1: the road for the first time in Patrick Mahomes' career

473
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:44,320
Speaker 1: to take on the Buffalo Bills this one obviously, right

474
00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:46,120
Speaker 1: now you have the Bills favorite mice two and a half,

475
00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:48,479
Speaker 1: which I just think is straight up wrong. I know

476
00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:51,359
Speaker 1: maybe I'm the minority here, but that's what I think.

477
00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:53,639
Speaker 1: I think. Kansas City playing underdog on the road is

478
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,400
Speaker 1: exactly the tonic that they need to a very weird season.

479
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:58,920
Speaker 1: Make them the underdogs, make them fight for it, make

480
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:01,520
Speaker 1: them hungry again. A little bit of hustle for Pat

481
00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:03,680
Speaker 1: Mahomes and Andy Reid is a good thing, and they're

482
00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:06,800
Speaker 1: tired of being at the top of the mountain. Sometimes

483
00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:09,400
Speaker 1: you got to chase, you know, sometimes the chase is good.

484
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:11,480
Speaker 1: So what are you chasing in this game?

485
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:15,240
Speaker 2: Andrew Erickson, Yeah, I like the Chiefs as well. With

486
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:15,760
Speaker 2: the spread.

487
00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 3: I'm not as polish on them to win outright, just

488
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:21,760
Speaker 3: because I do think that this game will go down

489
00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:23,200
Speaker 3: to the wire and it could just be whoever has

490
00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:24,760
Speaker 3: the ball last ends up winning the game.

491
00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:27,600
Speaker 2: But if you're just getting Mahomes with the points, that's.

492
00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:29,720
Speaker 3: Just the way I like approaching it, just especially just

493
00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:32,159
Speaker 3: looking at the trends, Like all the trends just suggest

494
00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 3: like okay, like you want to bet on Mahomes as

495
00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:35,440
Speaker 3: an underdog, Like they're two and zer against the spread

496
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:37,760
Speaker 3: as an underdog this season, and they've been profitable as

497
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:40,520
Speaker 3: an underdog. The Bills are not good as favorites forty

498
00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:41,760
Speaker 3: seven percent against the spread.

499
00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:43,800
Speaker 2: That's less than half their games at their favorite they covered.

500
00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:47,240
Speaker 3: So it's just not a spot where I feel like, yes,

501
00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:50,879
Speaker 3: baby Buffalo can win the game, but they're playing with

502
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:53,679
Speaker 3: all the pressure, like the Chiefs are coming in here like, well,

503
00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:55,760
Speaker 3: we're supposed to lose. This year has been really wonky

504
00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:58,359
Speaker 3: for us anyway, and it's like we already won the

505
00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:00,280
Speaker 3: Super Bowl last we already have multipuper Bowl, like we

506
00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:02,360
Speaker 3: don't have to win this year. Whereas the Bills it's

507
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:05,120
Speaker 3: like okay, like Buffalo, like you don't get it done

508
00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 3: this year, Like you can see things start to really

509
00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 3: spiral for this roster moving forward, whereas the Chiefs really don't.

510
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:13,240
Speaker 3: They're not in that position. So I think it's a

511
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:15,080
Speaker 3: little bit of pressure on the Bills. I think that

512
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,679
Speaker 3: works in the favor of the Chiefs. The underdog has

513
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:19,639
Speaker 3: covered the spread eight of the chiefs last eleven games,

514
00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:21,840
Speaker 3: and Chiefs covered the spread in nine games as road

515
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:24,720
Speaker 3: underdogs against AFC opponents. So again, just if you look

516
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:26,440
Speaker 3: at any type of trend, it's gonna be you want

517
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:28,280
Speaker 3: Mahomes as an underdog, you want Mahomes on the road,

518
00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:29,840
Speaker 3: and you don't want to bet on the Bills as

519
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:33,040
Speaker 3: heavy home favorites. So I like the Chiefs here with

520
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:36,640
Speaker 3: the points. But from a prop standpoint, my favorite has

521
00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:40,520
Speaker 3: to be Josh Allen in his rushing attempts because I

522
00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:42,960
Speaker 3: think with both these quarterbacks, you just see them take

523
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:47,200
Speaker 3: on a superman sque persona because they're like, I'm willing

524
00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:49,119
Speaker 3: to put this game all on my shoulders and I'm

525
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:50,879
Speaker 3: gonna do whatever it takes to win this game. So

526
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:52,680
Speaker 3: I think you're gonna see a lot of rushing attempts

527
00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:55,920
Speaker 3: from both quarterbacks, but specifically with Josh Allen. He's gone

528
00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:57,919
Speaker 3: over ten carries in three of his last six games.

529
00:22:58,080 --> 00:22:59,960
Speaker 3: You can get this number at plus money on DraftKings

530
00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:02,480
Speaker 3: plus one oh five over nine and a half rushing attempts.

531
00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:04,480
Speaker 3: You can get a better number at least earlier in

532
00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:06,320
Speaker 3: the week was on FANDUL eight and a half. It's

533
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:08,479
Speaker 3: obviously a little bit more juicy, but I think that

534
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:10,400
Speaker 3: Josh Allen is going to run wild here. And it's

535
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:12,800
Speaker 3: interesting because I looked at his gamespit in his career

536
00:23:13,280 --> 00:23:15,320
Speaker 3: and what team is he rushed against more than any

537
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:18,679
Speaker 3: other team over ten rushing attempts per game against the Chiefs,

538
00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:20,560
Speaker 3: So he knows, like when he's suiting up in the

539
00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:23,040
Speaker 3: locker room getting ready for this game, he's putting on

540
00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:24,920
Speaker 3: the Superman k like he knows he has to be

541
00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:26,960
Speaker 3: Superman for the Bills to win this game. So that's

542
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 3: why I'd approached the prop Josh Allen over his rushing yards.

543
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:31,440
Speaker 3: Rushing attempts is what I like the most.

544
00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:33,280
Speaker 1: And use the prop bet chee cheet everybody to find

545
00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:35,480
Speaker 1: these numbers we're talking about and find the best place

546
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:37,800
Speaker 1: to bet them. The rushing yards, by the way, forty

547
00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:39,480
Speaker 1: five and a half and the best number I'm looking

548
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:40,800
Speaker 1: at the prop bet chee cheet to get them as

549
00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:43,119
Speaker 1: a points bet at minus one point fifteen. This is

550
00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:45,639
Speaker 1: the power of betting pros. The power of the Welsh

551
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:48,560
Speaker 1: is seeing into the future. So I like Kansas City

552
00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:51,760
Speaker 1: more than Ericson. Where do you stand here with Kansas

553
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:53,040
Speaker 1: City in Buffalo, Mister.

554
00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:57,920
Speaker 4: Welsh, I'm gonna go three for here. Kansas City really

555
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:00,520
Speaker 4: Ericson got every single point, one of the big points

556
00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:02,920
Speaker 4: I had written down. I saw that note on DK

557
00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:05,800
Speaker 4: that the Chiefs have nine have a nine game win

558
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 4: streak against dogs as dogs against the AFC, and I

559
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:14,280
Speaker 4: pushed it a little bit. I didn't see a plus three.

560
00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:16,840
Speaker 4: I like that field goal marker. I saw a lot

561
00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:18,640
Speaker 4: of two and a half in the market right now,

562
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:20,640
Speaker 4: and that pushed me to go, you know what, I'm

563
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:23,000
Speaker 4: gonna go money line. This did screw me last week

564
00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:25,200
Speaker 4: with the Rams. This absolutely screwed me. I went Rams

565
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:27,760
Speaker 4: money line and it was the plus two, so had

566
00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:31,000
Speaker 4: I taken the spread? But I saw on FanDuel it's

567
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 4: around plus one twenty five for the money line on

568
00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 4: Kansas City. So if I were you guys out here,

569
00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:38,399
Speaker 4: the smart thing to do is have lots of books,

570
00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:40,040
Speaker 4: so you've got lots of options. But if you don't

571
00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:42,240
Speaker 4: and you're looking at a book that's two and a half,

572
00:24:42,320 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 4: I don't really love Kansas City at two and a half.

573
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:46,960
Speaker 4: I'd rather go into the money line, take the plus

574
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:49,480
Speaker 4: money on that shot because I think this is the U.

575
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 4: I think this is the better team in this matchup,

576
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:53,280
Speaker 4: So I'm going Kansas City. I will tell you this

577
00:24:53,359 --> 00:24:56,639
Speaker 4: in the prop market, found three different ones. I changed

578
00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:59,120
Speaker 4: this three different times. I'm gonna throw out the one

579
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:01,399
Speaker 4: weird one that I put out. It's not the one

580
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:03,600
Speaker 4: I'm going to say here, but Clyde Edwards Hilaire rushing

581
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:05,879
Speaker 4: yards was eight and a half and I kind of

582
00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:09,520
Speaker 4: couldn't help myself. He had seven attempts last week. He

583
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:12,840
Speaker 4: had eleven against Kansas City the last time. It's such

584
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:16,120
Speaker 4: a low total. It's not a crazy, crazy cold weather

585
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:18,119
Speaker 4: thing like it's negative degrees, but it is around like

586
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,639
Speaker 4: seventeen degrees, and they might try to keep it on

587
00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:23,080
Speaker 4: the ground, especially in trying to kind of like own

588
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,320
Speaker 4: and maintain possession of time that I think Clyde Edwards

589
00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:27,399
Speaker 4: o'laio get a shot. So that was one that I like,

590
00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:29,879
Speaker 4: but I did end up flipping it, and I'm going

591
00:25:29,920 --> 00:25:32,920
Speaker 4: to go with James Cook receptions two and a half over.

592
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:36,160
Speaker 4: He's hit this in his last two weeks. He's coming

593
00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:38,639
Speaker 4: off of a four catch games and the Chiefs so

594
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:41,760
Speaker 4: far averaging four receptions giving up to running backs per game,

595
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:45,160
Speaker 4: and Cook in their last meeting had five receptions. If

596
00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:47,680
Speaker 4: I think Kansas City is owning this game at all,

597
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:50,040
Speaker 4: they're going to be passing it and that short yardage

598
00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:52,840
Speaker 4: stuff Josh Allen can dump it off to James Cook

599
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:55,160
Speaker 4: is a good thing. I was also looking at Kinkaid.

600
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:57,320
Speaker 4: There's are so many options in this game that I

601
00:25:57,359 --> 00:25:59,119
Speaker 4: kept playing around with, but James Cook was what I

602
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:03,200
Speaker 4: settled on. This is my worst juiced bet. I think

603
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 4: it's around one twenty maybe one twenty five, but you

604
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:08,600
Speaker 4: know peak around James Cook receptions.

605
00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:10,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, but it's a low number. So it's one of

606
00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:12,560
Speaker 1: those things. If you like this one and you like

607
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:14,200
Speaker 1: the chiefs and the money line, you put them together

608
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:16,320
Speaker 1: a little skinny parlay. We talk about the little duo

609
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:18,000
Speaker 1: bet next thing. You know, all of a sudden you're

610
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:20,119
Speaker 1: well into the plus money and things are looking good.

611
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:22,359
Speaker 1: So hopefully things are looking good for all of you again,

612
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:25,240
Speaker 1: use the tools of betting pros, use the prop bitchet cheet,

613
00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:27,159
Speaker 1: use everything that we're laying out there. Make sure you

614
00:26:27,200 --> 00:26:29,760
Speaker 1: download the app today, Make sure you subscribe to the channel.

615
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:31,919
Speaker 1: Drop your picks in below too. I want to hear

616
00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:33,920
Speaker 1: all your picks in the YouTube comments. Drop the below.

617
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 1: Pick all the games and we can have some fun

618
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 1: together about them when we come back next week. Because

619
00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:41,120
Speaker 1: next week is Championship week, and who knows if Welsh's

620
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:43,480
Speaker 1: bag of points we'll make another appearance next week. We

621
00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:45,639
Speaker 1: can only hope There you Go is gonna make it

622
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:47,680
Speaker 1: ring with points. Ladies and gentlemen. That'll do it for us,

623
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:49,240
Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for the

624
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 1: Welsh and Andrew Erickson. I'm Joey p. We'll see you

625
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:56,879
Speaker 1: next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

626
00:26:57,119 --> 00:26:59,439
Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

627
00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:02,440
Speaker 1: us is by giving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

628
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:05,520
Speaker 1: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting

629
00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:09,359
Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

630
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:12,399
Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros