WEBVTT - U.S. Hiring Stays Robust as Jobless Rate Falls

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanivk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>can also listen to our radio show at two pm

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<v Speaker 1>Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on YouTube

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<v Speaker 1>search Bloomberg Clovel News. Let's set the Business week agenda

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<v Speaker 1>in the house. Abigail Doolittle, she's markets reporter at Bloomberg News.

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<v Speaker 1>She is in our interactor broker studio, Yolenna, she is

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<v Speaker 1>our senior US economist, a Bloomberg Economics on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>from Long Island. We're going to get to the jobs

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<v Speaker 1>report in just a moment, but let's talk markets a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit. Abigail, the trade. How did investors read that

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<v Speaker 1>job's report, which was really a good one. Yeah, it

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<v Speaker 1>was a solid report. It's funny. I think everybody's tired

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<v Speaker 1>after the month. We just had reporter, We just ad

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<v Speaker 1>stocks are really not doing all that much. The S

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<v Speaker 1>and P five hundred down slightly, the Dow up slightly,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, just fluctuating here, a little bit more weakness

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<v Speaker 1>for tech. And that of course is because where there

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<v Speaker 1>was a huge reaction to the Job's report. The bond market.

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<v Speaker 1>We have yields absolutely spiking. The two year yield currently

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<v Speaker 1>up ten basis points at two, the ten year yield

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<v Speaker 1>up three basis points at two thirty seven. We know

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<v Speaker 1>what that means, an inverted yield curve, and not just

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<v Speaker 1>for a blip, but right now that to ten yield

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<v Speaker 1>curve is at its flattest going back to two thousands six,

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand seven. Okay, so what's the bond market telling us,

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<v Speaker 1>abigail that the FED has gotten the go ahead, the

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<v Speaker 1>green light to go ahead and raise away. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>there was one guest on the open this morning that

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<v Speaker 1>I was talking not just fifty basis point uh yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>two back to back full point raises in the next

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<v Speaker 1>two meetings. That's get ahead. Yeah. Alright, So so you Laida,

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<v Speaker 1>come on in on this. It was a very upbeat report.

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<v Speaker 1>How did you see it and then in the context

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<v Speaker 1>of the broader economic backdrop here in here in the

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<v Speaker 1>United States. Absolutely, and one of the biggest things for

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<v Speaker 1>me in this report was a significant increase in participation

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<v Speaker 1>rate and apart from a very healty payrolls game, so

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<v Speaker 1>we saw three tents of an increase in prime age participation,

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<v Speaker 1>which is just telling me that finally in all these

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<v Speaker 1>workers who are waiting on the sidelines deciding to come back,

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<v Speaker 1>whether it is because you know, we don't get any

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<v Speaker 1>more uh COVID there payments from the government, or just

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<v Speaker 1>because the cases are subsiding, so whatever that is. We

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<v Speaker 1>are seeing significant strong participation in the labor markets. So

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<v Speaker 1>that is really a good point because that will help, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, keep wage pressures a little bit more contained,

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<v Speaker 1>even though we will see continue to see a strong

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<v Speaker 1>wage growth this year, uh, particularly early among um you know,

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<v Speaker 1>uh professions that have a little bit lower income so satisficion,

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<v Speaker 1>hospitality and healthcare. Was there was there anything particularly concerning

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<v Speaker 1>in there to you well, not not not in the report. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>there was a little bit of a disappointment in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of ours work, but that is expected. You know, in

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<v Speaker 1>the first quarter, we we are going to see slow

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<v Speaker 1>down in economic growth and ours work just simply because

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<v Speaker 1>of uh, you know, a micron in the beginning of

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<v Speaker 1>the quarter. But other than that, I think the the

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<v Speaker 1>employment report today was really really strong in the game. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>there are a lot of good signs that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the labor market continues to recover and and actually there

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<v Speaker 1>is quite a lot of room to still recover because

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<v Speaker 1>we had seven million jobs below where we would have

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<v Speaker 1>been if jobs continue to grow at trends, so one

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<v Speaker 1>point six millions below the February mark, fis. But if

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<v Speaker 1>we have seven million below where we would have been

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<v Speaker 1>had grown at the trend, Wow, that's some interesting perspective, right,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, back out COVID and kind of where we

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<v Speaker 1>would have been versus uh, you know where we are

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<v Speaker 1>because of it, um so abigail those treasury yields, like

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I keep saying, like, you know, have we

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<v Speaker 1>reached a top with yields and stuff? What did today's

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<v Speaker 1>moves perhaps maybe remind us about where we still might

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<v Speaker 1>go when it comes to higher yields. That is an

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<v Speaker 1>excellent question, Carol, and I would say that relative to

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<v Speaker 1>the ten year yield, if you look at a long

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<v Speaker 1>term chart, and you see in yield the forty or

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<v Speaker 1>fifty at this point year bull market for bonds, which

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<v Speaker 1>is represented by that down trend. We right now are

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<v Speaker 1>hitting up against it. So the question is will that

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<v Speaker 1>very strong resistance hold. And uh, it's funny, it has

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<v Speaker 1>every time over the last forty or fifty years, so

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<v Speaker 1>there's good reason to think that it will, which would

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<v Speaker 1>suggest that you're going to see some money go back

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<v Speaker 1>into bonds. And it's funny. I was hearing one um

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<v Speaker 1>from Pigim, an expert bond expert from Pigim saying that

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<v Speaker 1>right now bonds, the pricing is so attractive that it

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<v Speaker 1>almost makes sense in the new quarter to rebalance portfolios

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit, take advantage of the prices and the

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<v Speaker 1>low bonds, which would suggest that that that trend may

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<v Speaker 1>may hold. So maybe yields are going to come back in,

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<v Speaker 1>and some of the near term technicals suggests that as well.

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<v Speaker 1>As for what that means for stocks, you know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>interesting were it's hard to you know, we're talking about

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<v Speaker 1>this the other day. You know, So long as there's

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<v Speaker 1>the lower highs, it suggests that the buyers aren't as

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<v Speaker 1>enthusiastic as the sellers, meaning the sellers are willing to

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<v Speaker 1>sell more than the buyers will buy at higher levels.

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<v Speaker 1>But if that breaks, you know, who knows, it could

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<v Speaker 1>be a very different story. And also I would say

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<v Speaker 1>the meme stocks as a measure of risk on you know, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>game stop today on the idea. Let's see if it's

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<v Speaker 1>still it was earlier. It's actually it's were first now change.

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<v Speaker 1>It's really the retail traders. But in any case, if

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<v Speaker 1>they you know, the stock is up so much since

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<v Speaker 1>it's low last year, right, yeah, alright, so it's another

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<v Speaker 1>thing to be looking at. Abigail, Thank you so much,

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<v Speaker 1>Abigail do Little Markets reporter on the phone is Elena

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<v Speaker 1>are saying thanks to her as well. Member of our

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Economics team. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

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<v Speaker 1>Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll talk about firing on all cylinders. As Charlie was

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<v Speaker 1>talking about the jobs report today, Uh, that US labor

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<v Speaker 1>market report really just coming in strong, adding close to

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<v Speaker 1>half a million jobs in the month of Marxi, unemployment

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<v Speaker 1>rate falling by more than expected, highlighting a robust labor market.

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<v Speaker 1>I know you've heard it a lot here on Bloomberg,

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<v Speaker 1>but it is our top story and it's really strong, Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>throwing you know, revisions of close to a hundred thousand

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<v Speaker 1>also the last couple of months also pretty good. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>So let's see what our next guest has to say.

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<v Speaker 1>Peter Quigley is the president and CEO of Kelly It's

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<v Speaker 1>safe point five billion dollar revenue global staffing solutions company. Peter,

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<v Speaker 1>good to have you back with us. Hey, you have

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<v Speaker 1>some really interesting insight given what you do at Kelly,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm wondering what sticks out to you about today's report. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks to Tim, it's going to be back with you. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>Clearly another round of good news. His job growth continued

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<v Speaker 1>at a solid pace in March. UM labor markets are

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<v Speaker 1>steadily recovering to pre pandemic level. It's the eleventh straight

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<v Speaker 1>month of four thousand plus, longest strets since started tracking

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<v Speaker 1>that UM, so clearly good news. I think there's some

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<v Speaker 1>other encouraging signs UM. Carol mentioned the unemployment rate coming down,

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<v Speaker 1>but every demographic group saw unemployment drop, with the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>drop among black workers, which is very encouraging. And I

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<v Speaker 1>took away from the job to report some signs that maybe, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>the COVID, the worst of COVID is behind us. You

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<v Speaker 1>take into account that the number of people prevented from

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<v Speaker 1>looking for work declined significantly, the number of people who

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<v Speaker 1>missed work because of COVID declined significantly, UM, the number

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<v Speaker 1>of people who didn't work because their employer closed or

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<v Speaker 1>because of business closed declined significantly, and the number of

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<v Speaker 1>employees that tell worked declined, suggesting that maybe offices are

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<v Speaker 1>reopening and people are going back UM to brick and mortar. Alright,

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<v Speaker 1>So yeah, I mean it just feels so positive. So

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of particular areas, where are you seeing kind

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<v Speaker 1>of overwhelming strength and where are you not? Well, today's

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<v Speaker 1>jobs report revealed that the recovery is broad based. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>every almost every vertical UM saw decent job growth. So

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<v Speaker 1>that's that's positive, and that's reflected in the demand that

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing from our customers. Across all of five of

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<v Speaker 1>our business units are seeing strong demand UM and in

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<v Speaker 1>particularly you wouldn't be surprised technology, life sciences, UM, warehousing,

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<v Speaker 1>manufacturing are all very very strong. Uh. And so you

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<v Speaker 1>know it's it's broad based. UM. What about when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to demographics on your own platform, and I'm glad

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<v Speaker 1>you pointed out that every demographic groups unemployment drop in

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<v Speaker 1>the most recent month. Is that something that you're also

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<v Speaker 1>seeing when it comes to Kelly, Yeah, wee information, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we don't to the extent we can UM when employees

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<v Speaker 1>volunteer the information. But the thing is with this great

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<v Speaker 1>jobs report, I recalled that when I came home with

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<v Speaker 1>a report card that was pretty decent, my mom would

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<v Speaker 1>always tell me, this is good, but you can do better,

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<v Speaker 1>And I think of us. But the I think in

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<v Speaker 1>the labor market, we can do better by removing barriers

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<v Speaker 1>that prevent more people from accessing meaningful work UM because

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<v Speaker 1>despite the record number of job openings, too many barriers

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<v Speaker 1>exist for hidden workers, including job seekers with non violent

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<v Speaker 1>UH criminal records. And and just to quantify that for you,

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<v Speaker 1>more than seventy eight million Americans, so thirty three percent

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<v Speaker 1>of our working age population have a criminal record. That's

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<v Speaker 1>nearly of those are non violent offenders. That's amazing. Well

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<v Speaker 1>that and the unemployment rate among those workers is it's

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<v Speaker 1>the highest it's ever been UM. And it's it's just

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<v Speaker 1>good business to consider opening the funnel in this time

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<v Speaker 1>of a dire labor shortage, and Americans frankly supported two

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<v Speaker 1>other three. Americans believed that non violent mistakes in the

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<v Speaker 1>past should not be an automatic disqualifier for a person

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<v Speaker 1>from work. More agree companies should do more to eliminate

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<v Speaker 1>discriminatory hiring practices, and um more than say they prefer

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<v Speaker 1>to work for a company that UM doesn't have discriminatory

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<v Speaker 1>hiring practices. So um it's a good business. Yeah, No, absolutely, Peter.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, but as this is a do as I say,

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<v Speaker 1>not as I do, because I feel like most of

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<v Speaker 1>most people would say absolutely they should be included, and

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<v Speaker 1>that you know, when it comes down to it, you

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<v Speaker 1>don't see it put into practice. We certainly have talked

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<v Speaker 1>to CEOs in various heads of institutions who who have

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<v Speaker 1>put that into action and are hiring people, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>with as you said, UM, you know, maybe questionable backgrounds

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<v Speaker 1>or non violent offenders. Um. When you have conversations with

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<v Speaker 1>heads of companies and CEOs who are all dealing with

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<v Speaker 1>these tight labor markets, how many of them are actually

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<v Speaker 1>taking steps to to hire those individuals. I would say

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<v Speaker 1>there's a lot more conversations happening, and and the best

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<v Speaker 1>way to promote it is to show them the proof.

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<v Speaker 1>So we had UM PROGRAMM in Toyota with Toyota in Lexington, Kentucky.

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<v Speaker 1>We screened more than a thousand applicants of them are

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<v Speaker 1>clear to apply for jobs. UM in Toyota increased its

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<v Speaker 1>talent flow by increased its diversity by almost ten percent,

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<v Speaker 1>and it reduced turnover by SEU. And it's in just

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<v Speaker 1>one example, but more companies need to do. Uh to

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<v Speaker 1>do that. In April is National Second Chances Month, so

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<v Speaker 1>it's a perfect time to start. Yeah. No, it's something

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<v Speaker 1>for certainly people to think about in generally tight labor

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<v Speaker 1>market or not. Peter quickly, thank you so much, President

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<v Speaker 1>and chief executive officer over at Kelly joining us on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone from Michigan. You know this is where others

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<v Speaker 1>would argue in terms of immigration, right, UM, Because I

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<v Speaker 1>do wonder one of the big macro things that I'm

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about, Tim is that if indeed you don't get

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<v Speaker 1>the labor participation that we saw pre pandemic, that not

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<v Speaker 1>everybody comes back. You know, where are companies going to

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<v Speaker 1>line workers? And if they can't find workers, how does

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<v Speaker 1>that then slow down profit growth? Revenue growth? And how

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<v Speaker 1>does that slow down the economy. Look how many jobs

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<v Speaker 1>are open versus how many people are available to work

0:13:10.160 --> 0:13:13.280
<v Speaker 1>exactly exactly, so something will continue to cover. All right,

0:13:13.400 --> 0:13:16.120
<v Speaker 1>So getting started on this Friday. It is Friday, and

0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:20.400
<v Speaker 1>this is Bloomberg. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with

0:13:20.600 --> 0:13:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio.

0:13:25.720 --> 0:13:27.720
<v Speaker 1>There's a story in the new issue of Bloomberg Business

0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:30.640
<v Speaker 1>Week that's just out on the Bloomberg at Bloomberg dot com,

0:13:30.640 --> 0:13:33.360
<v Speaker 1>business Week dot com and of course on newsstands. Is

0:13:33.400 --> 0:13:35.160
<v Speaker 1>what about cash less a t m s that have

0:13:35.240 --> 0:13:39.080
<v Speaker 1>grown into a seven billion dollar marijuana loophole? Cash less

0:13:39.160 --> 0:13:41.679
<v Speaker 1>a t m s? Do you get that? No, that's

0:13:41.679 --> 0:13:43.559
<v Speaker 1>why we gotta talk to Tiffany carry All about it.

0:13:43.640 --> 0:13:46.040
<v Speaker 1>She's consumer reporter for Bloomberg News. She's with us on

0:13:46.040 --> 0:13:48.520
<v Speaker 1>the phone from Westchester, New York. Also joining us is

0:13:48.559 --> 0:13:51.280
<v Speaker 1>Joel Webber, editor at Bloomberg Business Week. He joins us

0:13:51.280 --> 0:13:55.440
<v Speaker 1>on the access line from Brooklyn. Joel, this is really interesting. UM.

0:13:55.480 --> 0:13:57.600
<v Speaker 1>I want to hear though, before we get into the story,

0:13:57.679 --> 0:13:59.880
<v Speaker 1>how it came together and and you know, in terms

0:13:59.880 --> 0:14:02.600
<v Speaker 1>of UM, really what Tiffany had to do in order

0:14:02.640 --> 0:14:05.400
<v Speaker 1>to understand of the cash less ATMs. Did it involve

0:14:05.720 --> 0:14:09.960
<v Speaker 1>getting people to buy marijuana? Uh? No comment, Yes, UM

0:14:10.080 --> 0:14:14.560
<v Speaker 1>the story. I honestly found out about this one late. UM.

0:14:14.640 --> 0:14:19.920
<v Speaker 1>But if you make a legal transaction for cannabis and

0:14:20.040 --> 0:14:24.960
<v Speaker 1>most of the country but um our reporting was in Massachusetts. UM.

0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:28.920
<v Speaker 1>If you go to pay cash is not encouraged because

0:14:28.960 --> 0:14:30.360
<v Speaker 1>they don't want to have a whole lot of cash

0:14:30.400 --> 0:14:34.000
<v Speaker 1>on hand. UM. And you will find that you can

0:14:34.040 --> 0:14:38.680
<v Speaker 1>make a payment with plastic, except that it doesn't know

0:14:38.760 --> 0:14:41.200
<v Speaker 1>at the point of sale, they'll basically say, by the way,

0:14:41.320 --> 0:14:43.040
<v Speaker 1>you're not gonna this isn't gonna show up as a

0:14:43.040 --> 0:14:45.560
<v Speaker 1>credit card transaction. We're gonna have an a t M fee.

0:14:45.600 --> 0:14:48.360
<v Speaker 1>And it's all very confusing, it's all very legal, but

0:14:48.440 --> 0:14:52.680
<v Speaker 1>it turns out that it it basically is masking the

0:14:52.720 --> 0:14:57.080
<v Speaker 1>transactions that so that the banking system, which is all

0:14:57.200 --> 0:15:02.040
<v Speaker 1>trying to be in compliance with federal law, UH, is

0:15:02.040 --> 0:15:05.920
<v Speaker 1>basically this massive workaround. UM. And it also turns out

0:15:05.960 --> 0:15:08.160
<v Speaker 1>that there's a number of providers who are making a

0:15:08.240 --> 0:15:13.480
<v Speaker 1>lot of money on this how much money diviny. You

0:15:13.640 --> 0:15:16.640
<v Speaker 1>look at the fact that you know we've got eight

0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:20.000
<v Speaker 1>billion in marijuana sales expected this year, and a lot

0:15:20.040 --> 0:15:23.120
<v Speaker 1>of folks I spoke with estimated you know that these

0:15:23.160 --> 0:15:26.040
<v Speaker 1>cash of a t m s are a quarter probably

0:15:26.040 --> 0:15:29.640
<v Speaker 1>of those. You know, this is bringing seven billion dollars

0:15:29.680 --> 0:15:33.440
<v Speaker 1>into the banking system disguised as something else. And then

0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:36.360
<v Speaker 1>you know what people are profiting from in this industry

0:15:36.400 --> 0:15:39.280
<v Speaker 1>really is the fees every time you use one of

0:15:39.320 --> 0:15:42.880
<v Speaker 1>these technologies, you're paying you know, anywhere from to to

0:15:42.960 --> 0:15:46.480
<v Speaker 1>three fifty for the privilege of using your debit card

0:15:46.520 --> 0:15:51.760
<v Speaker 1>in this, you know, potentially illegal form of transaction. And then, um,

0:15:51.800 --> 0:15:54.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, someone is making the profits off those. And

0:15:54.480 --> 0:15:56.760
<v Speaker 1>what I found in this story is this whole high

0:15:56.840 --> 0:16:01.520
<v Speaker 1>risk payment processing industry which exists side of cannabis. Um.

0:16:01.560 --> 0:16:03.760
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's pretty hard to to figure out who's

0:16:04.080 --> 0:16:06.120
<v Speaker 1>who's doing it, but there are a lot of players

0:16:06.200 --> 0:16:11.000
<v Speaker 1>that are becoming more well known in the space. Tiffany How,

0:16:11.360 --> 0:16:16.680
<v Speaker 1>how is this Okay? It's it jold, you know, use

0:16:16.760 --> 0:16:19.640
<v Speaker 1>some terminology, use some terminology, but the fact is is

0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:23.840
<v Speaker 1>that it's the marijuana industry. It's billions of dollars a year.

0:16:24.440 --> 0:16:27.240
<v Speaker 1>It just seems like it's kind of existing in this

0:16:27.560 --> 0:16:31.520
<v Speaker 1>really strange space between something that is being hidden but

0:16:31.600 --> 0:16:35.120
<v Speaker 1>at the same time allowed. That's right, And I think

0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:37.520
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people think that, you know, safe banking

0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:41.400
<v Speaker 1>legislation or other legislation might pass this year, and maybe

0:16:41.400 --> 0:16:43.880
<v Speaker 1>this problem is going to go away. But the problem

0:16:43.920 --> 0:16:46.040
<v Speaker 1>has been around for quite a few years, and as

0:16:46.080 --> 0:16:49.960
<v Speaker 1>the cannabis industry grows, these transactions continue to grow, which

0:16:50.080 --> 0:16:52.160
<v Speaker 1>I think is why they're getting more on visa and

0:16:52.200 --> 0:16:55.080
<v Speaker 1>master cards radar. So, you know, a lot of the

0:16:55.120 --> 0:16:59.200
<v Speaker 1>folks I spoke with who are not lawyers to the

0:16:59.240 --> 0:17:03.359
<v Speaker 1>company's involve said, you know, trying to look at it objectively.

0:17:03.560 --> 0:17:05.159
<v Speaker 1>I mean, if you're lying to a bank, how is

0:17:05.200 --> 0:17:07.080
<v Speaker 1>that not fraught on the bank, or how is this

0:17:07.160 --> 0:17:11.520
<v Speaker 1>not a form of transaction laundering because you're essentially disguising

0:17:11.520 --> 0:17:14.280
<v Speaker 1>the nature of the transaction. So this is very legal

0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:18.080
<v Speaker 1>interesting legal issues here. It'll be interesting to see, you know,

0:17:18.119 --> 0:17:21.239
<v Speaker 1>if this problem sort of quietly goes away, or if

0:17:21.240 --> 0:17:24.159
<v Speaker 1>it gets considered as as the Senate decides what to

0:17:24.200 --> 0:17:27.960
<v Speaker 1>do about legislation, and as the industry evaluates the alternative,

0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:29.960
<v Speaker 1>if it's not going to be a while until we

0:17:30.000 --> 0:17:33.440
<v Speaker 1>get safe banking and no clues as to who's setting

0:17:33.520 --> 0:17:37.600
<v Speaker 1>this up and kind of putting this in place. You know,

0:17:37.720 --> 0:17:42.159
<v Speaker 1>this is part of the fascination of the story is that, um,

0:17:42.200 --> 0:17:44.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, there's so many different companies in this space,

0:17:44.920 --> 0:17:49.160
<v Speaker 1>and they all operate through something called an ISO, which

0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:52.480
<v Speaker 1>is like a reseller. So in essence, I was finding

0:17:52.520 --> 0:17:55.080
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the names of the companies who seem

0:17:55.160 --> 0:17:59.280
<v Speaker 1>to offer the payment processing are actually repelling it for

0:17:59.440 --> 0:18:02.440
<v Speaker 1>someone else who's maybe even reselling it from someone else

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:05.240
<v Speaker 1>who licensed it from someone else. So that's what you

0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:08.200
<v Speaker 1>have to maybe read the story as it goes into

0:18:08.240 --> 0:18:12.480
<v Speaker 1>it and see what how that whole industry works. It's

0:18:12.520 --> 0:18:16.520
<v Speaker 1>so hazy, hazy, hazy ha um. But but Tiffically, I mean,

0:18:16.560 --> 0:18:18.200
<v Speaker 1>I just come out and there's like so many jokes

0:18:18.160 --> 0:18:20.480
<v Speaker 1>that we made here, but um, Tiffany. And I'm also

0:18:20.520 --> 0:18:24.040
<v Speaker 1>curious because a number of companies have really um shown

0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:26.679
<v Speaker 1>that they can thrive in this hazy little space, right,

0:18:26.760 --> 0:18:29.359
<v Speaker 1>Who are some of the providers and and how are

0:18:29.400 --> 0:18:34.200
<v Speaker 1>they competing with one another? Well, you know, ultimately, when

0:18:34.240 --> 0:18:36.879
<v Speaker 1>I spoke to people in the industry, they talked a

0:18:36.880 --> 0:18:42.600
<v Speaker 1>lot about companies UM Transact first and Michael Schwartzman UM,

0:18:42.640 --> 0:18:44.959
<v Speaker 1>who founded the company is not clear what his role

0:18:45.040 --> 0:18:48.600
<v Speaker 1>is now uh and pabotic. But then what happens is

0:18:48.600 --> 0:18:51.479
<v Speaker 1>there's been this whole rise in the pop fintech world

0:18:52.080 --> 0:18:54.600
<v Speaker 1>of these companies like Duchy and slow Hub. They have

0:18:54.680 --> 0:18:57.440
<v Speaker 1>some very famous investors like Jay Z and Snoop Dogg,

0:18:58.000 --> 0:19:01.480
<v Speaker 1>and they end up doing what they integrating with these

0:19:01.520 --> 0:19:05.960
<v Speaker 1>payments processors because they want to offer the marijuana dispensaries

0:19:06.000 --> 0:19:09.680
<v Speaker 1>like holistic software to manage everything from tax accounting to

0:19:10.280 --> 0:19:13.200
<v Speaker 1>how they run the cash registers. So, you know, some

0:19:13.240 --> 0:19:15.960
<v Speaker 1>folks said, look, you know, they're basically promoting the payment

0:19:16.040 --> 0:19:18.720
<v Speaker 1>processes by integrating with them, and in some cases, I'm

0:19:18.760 --> 0:19:21.560
<v Speaker 1>not sure if they know all the details about how

0:19:21.600 --> 0:19:24.560
<v Speaker 1>the industry works. So it'll be interesting to see. I

0:19:24.560 --> 0:19:27.040
<v Speaker 1>think a lot of companies have new technologies that they're

0:19:27.040 --> 0:19:29.640
<v Speaker 1>planning on launching, and I'll actually be writing more about

0:19:29.680 --> 0:19:33.399
<v Speaker 1>that next week. Hey, tiffany um, can you explain a

0:19:33.440 --> 0:19:36.880
<v Speaker 1>little bit about how these transactions are misidentified in some

0:19:36.920 --> 0:19:42.800
<v Speaker 1>cases as businesses that are adjacent to the actual weed shop.

0:19:42.880 --> 0:19:46.280
<v Speaker 1>You still you share a story of a McDonald's that

0:19:46.680 --> 0:19:51.120
<v Speaker 1>is looks like it's getting credit for at M transactions,

0:19:51.160 --> 0:19:54.200
<v Speaker 1>but they're actually being bought at a weed store next door.

0:19:55.320 --> 0:19:57.160
<v Speaker 1>That's right. Yeah, So that was sort of the foundation

0:19:57.200 --> 0:20:00.520
<v Speaker 1>of the story, was actually trying to trade a single

0:20:00.560 --> 0:20:03.840
<v Speaker 1>transaction or in this case, we looked at eight transactions

0:20:03.960 --> 0:20:06.720
<v Speaker 1>um and finding that when they show up on the

0:20:06.720 --> 0:20:11.639
<v Speaker 1>customer's bank statements, they show up under an address. But

0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:13.600
<v Speaker 1>if you google the address, it's not the address of

0:20:13.600 --> 0:20:17.040
<v Speaker 1>the dispensary, it's the address of the McDonald's next door,

0:20:17.200 --> 0:20:19.640
<v Speaker 1>or the piece of shop next door, or in one case,

0:20:19.720 --> 0:20:23.320
<v Speaker 1>the business called New Dude Food clearly not a marijuana

0:20:23.840 --> 0:20:27.159
<v Speaker 1>um shops. And then you know, when you look at

0:20:27.560 --> 0:20:30.240
<v Speaker 1>at those you can see clearly there's some mis labeling

0:20:30.359 --> 0:20:33.600
<v Speaker 1>or miss cooding going on. But in general they do

0:20:33.680 --> 0:20:36.840
<v Speaker 1>show up as a t M withdrawals on customers bank statements,

0:20:37.040 --> 0:20:41.040
<v Speaker 1>and in fact, that's so effective at disguising them that

0:20:41.240 --> 0:20:43.800
<v Speaker 1>in some of the instances we saw City Bank and

0:20:43.840 --> 0:20:47.600
<v Speaker 1>Bank of America, we're reimbursing the people the three dollars

0:20:47.600 --> 0:20:50.760
<v Speaker 1>and fifty cents or the two dollars and cents or

0:20:50.800 --> 0:20:56.159
<v Speaker 1>their purchase. So here you have this crazy technology that is,

0:20:56.880 --> 0:21:00.919
<v Speaker 1>you know, existing in this weird legal intersown and then

0:21:00.960 --> 0:21:04.320
<v Speaker 1>you have these big banks actually reimbursing customers for using it,

0:21:04.359 --> 0:21:07.800
<v Speaker 1>which just seemed like the ultimate irony here. But McDonald's

0:21:07.840 --> 0:21:11.640
<v Speaker 1>glad to have them nearby the dispensary because you're right.

0:21:12.600 --> 0:21:15.280
<v Speaker 1>Great story, Tiffany Carry, Thank you so much, Consumer reporter

0:21:15.320 --> 0:21:18.000
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg News, Jill Weber, Editor Business Week, or thanks

0:21:18.000 --> 0:21:19.320
<v Speaker 1>to you as well. Check out the new issue of

0:21:19.359 --> 0:21:22.720
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week on newsstands, online and on the Bloomberg

0:21:22.960 --> 0:21:26.920
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg

0:21:27.040 --> 0:21:31.960
<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Among today's crypto headlines,

0:21:32.320 --> 0:21:34.560
<v Speaker 1>one is on the U s SEC leaning on crypto

0:21:34.560 --> 0:21:37.439
<v Speaker 1>firms to report assets that they are holding on behalf

0:21:37.440 --> 0:21:39.480
<v Speaker 1>of customers on their balance sheets. And then to myself

0:21:39.480 --> 0:21:42.760
<v Speaker 1>one about India basically saying it's going to frame cryptocurrency

0:21:42.840 --> 0:21:46.440
<v Speaker 1>law only after a global consensus emerges on regulating such

0:21:46.440 --> 0:21:48.679
<v Speaker 1>assess According to a person familiar, I mean that is

0:21:48.720 --> 0:21:51.000
<v Speaker 1>the world we are in. It absolutely is, and we've

0:21:51.000 --> 0:21:52.879
<v Speaker 1>got a great voice. Bill Hind, the co founder of

0:21:52.920 --> 0:21:55.480
<v Speaker 1>Soma Finance, joining us on the phone from Connecticut. We

0:21:55.520 --> 0:21:59.280
<v Speaker 1>should note Soma Finance it's a FINNRA registered multi asset

0:21:59.359 --> 0:22:04.400
<v Speaker 1>token issuance platform also a deck decentralized exchange for digital assets,

0:22:04.720 --> 0:22:07.760
<v Speaker 1>not just for retail investors, but for institutional investors as well. Bill,

0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:10.679
<v Speaker 1>good to have you with us. Great to be here,

0:22:10.680 --> 0:22:12.159
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for having me on. I think a lot of

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:14.920
<v Speaker 1>people would have just you know, he heard me read

0:22:15.000 --> 0:22:17.760
<v Speaker 1>that and said, wow, that was quite a mouthful. Uh. So,

0:22:17.840 --> 0:22:22.840
<v Speaker 1>explain what some of Finance does in lay persons terms. Yeah, so, um,

0:22:22.960 --> 0:22:27.200
<v Speaker 1>Some of Finance is a joint venture with Tritorian Capital

0:22:27.280 --> 0:22:30.359
<v Speaker 1>and another firm called Montre Dao. Tritorian Capital as a

0:22:30.400 --> 0:22:33.720
<v Speaker 1>registered broker dealer, as you mentioned, UM, and through the

0:22:33.800 --> 0:22:36.880
<v Speaker 1>joint venture, we're able to offer UM or. We're going

0:22:36.920 --> 0:22:43.119
<v Speaker 1>to offer a decentralized platform like crypto traders like, but

0:22:43.240 --> 0:22:47.840
<v Speaker 1>in a regulated and compliant fashion. Okay, So give us

0:22:47.880 --> 0:22:50.520
<v Speaker 1>an idea I'm always curious about We're all still trying

0:22:50.560 --> 0:22:52.920
<v Speaker 1>to figure a way through anything to do with crypto

0:22:53.040 --> 0:22:54.800
<v Speaker 1>and f t s and so on. But give us

0:22:54.800 --> 0:22:56.840
<v Speaker 1>an idea of the growth that you're seeing on your platform,

0:22:56.840 --> 0:23:01.240
<v Speaker 1>where the most activity is uh and so on. So

0:23:01.280 --> 0:23:03.400
<v Speaker 1>we the platform has yet to launch to the launch

0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:05.800
<v Speaker 1>in a couple of months, but where we're seeing a

0:23:05.800 --> 0:23:10.240
<v Speaker 1>ton of interest is in UM gaming UM n f

0:23:10.280 --> 0:23:12.800
<v Speaker 1>t s obviously, and one of the things we're hoping

0:23:12.840 --> 0:23:15.520
<v Speaker 1>to offer very soon would be token ized versions of

0:23:15.560 --> 0:23:18.359
<v Speaker 1>public equities UM, and that's drawn a lot of interest.

0:23:18.680 --> 0:23:22.320
<v Speaker 1>What does that mean? A tokenized version of like equity? So,

0:23:22.640 --> 0:23:24.560
<v Speaker 1>in effect, if you wanted to be able to trade

0:23:24.960 --> 0:23:28.640
<v Speaker 1>UM a public shafer site tesla UM, you could bring

0:23:28.920 --> 0:23:33.359
<v Speaker 1>the share itself onto our platform, into our broken dealer accounts,

0:23:33.680 --> 0:23:37.720
<v Speaker 1>and be issued a corresponding cryptographic token that you could

0:23:37.760 --> 0:23:40.240
<v Speaker 1>then trade the same way you would UM in an

0:23:40.280 --> 0:23:44.040
<v Speaker 1>automatiumatic market maker UM as if we're a token, so

0:23:44.080 --> 0:23:45.520
<v Speaker 1>you could do all the fun things people like to

0:23:45.520 --> 0:23:48.280
<v Speaker 1>do with crypto, you know, yield farming, staking in those things,

0:23:48.600 --> 0:23:51.639
<v Speaker 1>but still own the underlying UH stock asset. We'll go

0:23:51.680 --> 0:23:53.439
<v Speaker 1>through some of those reasons why someone would want to

0:23:53.480 --> 0:23:55.840
<v Speaker 1>do that, because I think for a lot of our

0:23:55.880 --> 0:23:58.280
<v Speaker 1>audience that's still getting up to speed on crypto, they're

0:23:58.280 --> 0:23:59.879
<v Speaker 1>staying to themselves. Wait a second, if I can just

0:24:00.080 --> 0:24:02.439
<v Speaker 1>trade a stock on a platform, you know, a retail

0:24:02.480 --> 0:24:04.960
<v Speaker 1>trading platform, why do I want to token eze it?

0:24:06.320 --> 0:24:07.840
<v Speaker 1>Of course, And that's all that's been a bit of

0:24:07.840 --> 0:24:11.600
<v Speaker 1>the rub to date is why right with crypto y

0:24:11.720 --> 0:24:14.160
<v Speaker 1>um And here's this and this is a situation where

0:24:14.640 --> 0:24:17.399
<v Speaker 1>you would remain the owner of that share, so you

0:24:17.400 --> 0:24:21.080
<v Speaker 1>would get all the benefits of owning the underlying share, dividends,

0:24:21.160 --> 0:24:24.200
<v Speaker 1>voting rights, all of those things that people want and

0:24:25.240 --> 0:24:28.200
<v Speaker 1>need from their their equity ownership. But you could then

0:24:28.240 --> 0:24:32.679
<v Speaker 1>also stake it into yield pools like people do on

0:24:32.920 --> 0:24:36.000
<v Speaker 1>sushi swap or unit swap, which are unfortunately not compliant,

0:24:36.240 --> 0:24:37.840
<v Speaker 1>but we can do it in a compliant manner. So

0:24:37.880 --> 0:24:40.679
<v Speaker 1>in effect, you're not only getting the benefit of the

0:24:40.720 --> 0:24:44.160
<v Speaker 1>underlying investment, but you're getting an additional investment additional return

0:24:44.200 --> 0:24:47.679
<v Speaker 1>on top of it. Wait, so you're basically able to

0:24:47.840 --> 0:24:51.240
<v Speaker 1>leverage it then, is that what you're saying? Correct? Yes? Um,

0:24:51.359 --> 0:24:55.119
<v Speaker 1>so you know um stoke token staking is is actually

0:24:55.200 --> 0:24:57.920
<v Speaker 1>very similar to fully paid stock lending, which Wall Street

0:24:57.920 --> 0:25:00.200
<v Speaker 1>has been doing for decades. Obviously, how did you there's

0:25:00.240 --> 0:25:03.320
<v Speaker 1>demand for that? Although I say that kind of naively

0:25:03.359 --> 0:25:07.240
<v Speaker 1>because we know when it comes to the financial markets, Uh, anyway,

0:25:07.240 --> 0:25:08.720
<v Speaker 1>we can kind of dice and slice and come up

0:25:08.760 --> 0:25:10.520
<v Speaker 1>with some new things. There's a way to play it,

0:25:10.560 --> 0:25:13.480
<v Speaker 1>like people are ready for it, but anyway, what do

0:25:13.560 --> 0:25:16.120
<v Speaker 1>you know about the demand to be able to play

0:25:16.160 --> 0:25:19.080
<v Speaker 1>the market this way. So we're hearing a lot from

0:25:19.119 --> 0:25:21.120
<v Speaker 1>the communities that were involved in that this is something

0:25:21.200 --> 0:25:22.959
<v Speaker 1>that would be of interest. And then you look at

0:25:23.000 --> 0:25:26.920
<v Speaker 1>things like the meme stock phenomenon that's come on, and

0:25:27.280 --> 0:25:30.719
<v Speaker 1>retail investors obviously are very interested in getting involved in

0:25:30.760 --> 0:25:32.960
<v Speaker 1>the market in a broader way, and we think this

0:25:33.040 --> 0:25:34.679
<v Speaker 1>is a great way for them to do it. The

0:25:34.720 --> 0:25:37.400
<v Speaker 1>system will be built so it's easy and comfortable to use,

0:25:37.440 --> 0:25:40.639
<v Speaker 1>it will be completely safe and compliant and UM and

0:25:40.680 --> 0:25:43.280
<v Speaker 1>in this respect you'll effectively be able to I don't

0:25:43.280 --> 0:25:44.960
<v Speaker 1>want to say double dip, but in a certain way

0:25:45.000 --> 0:25:47.480
<v Speaker 1>you are because you're getting the benefit of the underlying

0:25:47.520 --> 0:25:50.560
<v Speaker 1>security but also the additional yield on the crypto platform.

0:25:50.680 --> 0:25:53.879
<v Speaker 1>UM would this be for all investors, approvative investors or

0:25:53.880 --> 0:25:57.560
<v Speaker 1>what so the goal is to have as many investors

0:25:57.640 --> 0:26:00.679
<v Speaker 1>as possible. So UM we're going to go globally and

0:26:00.840 --> 0:26:03.159
<v Speaker 1>each investor as they come onto the platform and our

0:26:03.200 --> 0:26:06.480
<v Speaker 1>k y C M L then checked will be effectively

0:26:06.520 --> 0:26:09.840
<v Speaker 1>tiered so that if you con is investor, you'll be

0:26:09.880 --> 0:26:12.639
<v Speaker 1>able to see certain offerings but not other offerings. But

0:26:12.680 --> 0:26:14.560
<v Speaker 1>if you came, want to say, an accredited investor, you

0:26:14.640 --> 0:26:17.239
<v Speaker 1>might have access to different different offerings. We had some

0:26:17.480 --> 0:26:19.399
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of jargon in there, KYC know your

0:26:19.440 --> 0:26:22.840
<v Speaker 1>customer m l Anti money launderings. For those people who

0:26:23.320 --> 0:26:26.160
<v Speaker 1>heard that and we're maybe scratching their heads. Um, Bill,

0:26:26.359 --> 0:26:29.000
<v Speaker 1>how I know that you're set to begin offering free

0:26:29.000 --> 0:26:32.679
<v Speaker 1>transfer of assets from some retail brokerages, including robin Hood

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:35.080
<v Speaker 1>and each Trade. Um, how do you break into that

0:26:35.119 --> 0:26:39.359
<v Speaker 1>competitive space? Well, we're just gonna get the word out there.

0:26:39.359 --> 0:26:42.360
<v Speaker 1>We're gonna go market and explain to people. Um, we've

0:26:42.359 --> 0:26:45.000
<v Speaker 1>got to It's gonna be a tough heild to climb,

0:26:45.080 --> 0:26:46.720
<v Speaker 1>no doubt, but we want to get the word out

0:26:46.880 --> 0:26:50.640
<v Speaker 1>that this is for anybody who wants to enhance the

0:26:50.680 --> 0:26:53.760
<v Speaker 1>experience of being an investor in these these stocks in

0:26:53.800 --> 0:26:58.119
<v Speaker 1>the compliant regulated way can do so on our platform

0:26:58.160 --> 0:27:00.360
<v Speaker 1>and in terms of tokenization, especially in the any side

0:27:00.400 --> 0:27:03.160
<v Speaker 1>of things. Is this just in terms of giving ease

0:27:03.200 --> 0:27:05.960
<v Speaker 1>and access to being able to kind of trade at

0:27:06.040 --> 0:27:10.080
<v Speaker 1>any time? Is that also part of it? The goal

0:27:10.160 --> 0:27:14.159
<v Speaker 1>is absolutely to offer trade. Um, there are obviously a

0:27:14.200 --> 0:27:17.400
<v Speaker 1>lot of issues to deal with their you know, obviously

0:27:17.480 --> 0:27:20.080
<v Speaker 1>during the day when nastac is open, it's not a

0:27:20.080 --> 0:27:22.160
<v Speaker 1>problem at all. But at night when they're closed, Um,

0:27:22.359 --> 0:27:24.119
<v Speaker 1>there are some challenges there and that's part of what

0:27:24.160 --> 0:27:25.760
<v Speaker 1>we're working through to make sure we can do that

0:27:25.800 --> 0:27:28.000
<v Speaker 1>in a safe and complying fashion. Bill, very briefly, when

0:27:28.040 --> 0:27:31.320
<v Speaker 1>do you think you can do that? We're looking towards

0:27:31.320 --> 0:27:33.160
<v Speaker 1>the end of the summer is sort of the goal.

0:27:33.240 --> 0:27:37.760
<v Speaker 1>But with something that's technologically complex, obviously that's a that's

0:27:37.760 --> 0:27:40.560
<v Speaker 1>not not a hard date. Just quickly ten seconds. You

0:27:40.560 --> 0:27:44.840
<v Speaker 1>having conversations with regulators about all of this. Absolutely, we

0:27:45.280 --> 0:27:48.680
<v Speaker 1>love the regulators, the SEC and finer are. They're they're

0:27:48.680 --> 0:27:51.280
<v Speaker 1>doing great work out there. Um, they're what makes this

0:27:51.280 --> 0:27:53.239
<v Speaker 1>place safe. So we talked them all the time. All right,

0:27:53.320 --> 0:27:55.680
<v Speaker 1>Bill Ham, we gotta go keep in touch. Bill Hid,

0:27:55.760 --> 0:27:59.480
<v Speaker 1>co founder of Soma Finance, joining us on the phone

0:27:59.520 --> 0:28:04.680
<v Speaker 1>in connect. Get you're listening to Bloomberg Radio. I'm road Yeah,

0:28:04.680 --> 0:28:06.600
<v Speaker 1>how bebout you let me drive? Oh no, no, no,

0:28:08.200 --> 0:28:15.600
<v Speaker 1>home honey, please, I'll I don't want to drive. It's

0:28:15.600 --> 0:28:25.439
<v Speaker 1>a good question, he's good. Drive to the clothes on

0:28:25.600 --> 0:28:27.919
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. All right, what a week and we've just

0:28:27.960 --> 0:28:30.680
<v Speaker 1>got about ten minutes left to wrap up the Friday

0:28:30.720 --> 0:28:33.119
<v Speaker 1>trading day, the first trading day of the second quarter,

0:28:33.600 --> 0:28:35.560
<v Speaker 1>and as you know, as we broke down yesterday, it

0:28:35.600 --> 0:28:38.200
<v Speaker 1>was quite a first quarter. Bouncing around again today on

0:28:38.360 --> 0:28:40.840
<v Speaker 1>a big jobs report. Yeah, I was going to make

0:28:40.840 --> 0:28:42.760
<v Speaker 1>a joke about the quarter, but it's not that funny

0:28:42.760 --> 0:28:45.360
<v Speaker 1>that we're you know, on pace for a winning quarter

0:28:45.400 --> 0:28:51.280
<v Speaker 1>at this point. Higher by just let's get into it

0:28:51.280 --> 0:28:54.760
<v Speaker 1>with Cole Smeade, President and portfolio manager at Smead Capital Management.

0:28:54.800 --> 0:28:57.040
<v Speaker 1>He joins us on the phone from Phoenix, Arizona. Cole,

0:28:57.080 --> 0:28:59.720
<v Speaker 1>how are you doing well? How about you guys? We're

0:28:59.720 --> 0:29:02.480
<v Speaker 1>doing all thanks? Hey, um, how is the quarter for you? Guys?

0:29:04.040 --> 0:29:05.720
<v Speaker 1>It was a great quarter. It was quite a bit

0:29:05.720 --> 0:29:10.200
<v Speaker 1>of fun because when when everyone thought that energy is

0:29:10.240 --> 0:29:11.920
<v Speaker 1>the problem of the world and they wake up finding

0:29:11.920 --> 0:29:15.200
<v Speaker 1>out that it's it's what creates h order and security.

0:29:15.880 --> 0:29:17.520
<v Speaker 1>You can make a lot of money when those changes

0:29:17.560 --> 0:29:19.640
<v Speaker 1>take place. So what did you see in your in

0:29:19.640 --> 0:29:22.080
<v Speaker 1>the quarter? In your portfolio? What can you talk about about?

0:29:22.080 --> 0:29:24.920
<v Speaker 1>How how you did at the quarter? Yeah, so, I mean,

0:29:25.120 --> 0:29:28.120
<v Speaker 1>we we're the largest energy owner you practically could find

0:29:28.120 --> 0:29:30.560
<v Speaker 1>out there in the mutual fund space, both in our

0:29:30.720 --> 0:29:34.600
<v Speaker 1>US fund and our international fund um and you know

0:29:34.600 --> 0:29:36.480
<v Speaker 1>that that means in a prior time you had to

0:29:36.600 --> 0:29:39.200
<v Speaker 1>look stupid or feel stupid as you wanted to be

0:29:39.240 --> 0:29:42.160
<v Speaker 1>a buyer those things, and you finally started to see

0:29:42.160 --> 0:29:44.400
<v Speaker 1>some of the reward. But I think what investors are

0:29:44.440 --> 0:29:47.200
<v Speaker 1>still completely missing is, you know they just use use

0:29:47.280 --> 0:29:49.840
<v Speaker 1>what Warren's doing right now. You know, buffets up buying

0:29:49.880 --> 0:29:52.920
<v Speaker 1>Accidental and he controls close to twenty pcent the business,

0:29:53.520 --> 0:29:56.480
<v Speaker 1>and he's just looking at what the capital structure looks

0:29:56.520 --> 0:29:59.200
<v Speaker 1>like versus you know, what it looked at a prior time.

0:29:59.200 --> 0:30:01.960
<v Speaker 1>And he's looking at the free cash creation versus what

0:30:02.080 --> 0:30:03.560
<v Speaker 1>it looks like at the prior time, and the return

0:30:03.560 --> 0:30:05.400
<v Speaker 1>of equity and things like that, and it's like a

0:30:05.440 --> 0:30:10.120
<v Speaker 1>Bend Graham exercise occidentals producing return in equity like Coca

0:30:10.200 --> 0:30:12.720
<v Speaker 1>Cola did an eight eight when he bought Coca Cola

0:30:13.080 --> 0:30:14.960
<v Speaker 1>at much higher prices than you could have boughttom in

0:30:14.960 --> 0:30:19.320
<v Speaker 1>the ten prior years. And investors are unwilling to follow

0:30:19.880 --> 0:30:22.000
<v Speaker 1>Warrant into that. And it just goes to show you

0:30:22.280 --> 0:30:26.240
<v Speaker 1>how despise the energy spaces today. But as people raising

0:30:26.280 --> 0:30:29.280
<v Speaker 1>capital and you know, seeking out new capital from investors

0:30:29.320 --> 0:30:32.719
<v Speaker 1>and our funds. It's great because we got great companies,

0:30:32.840 --> 0:30:36.400
<v Speaker 1>great prices and money coming in. So do you think

0:30:36.440 --> 0:30:39.280
<v Speaker 1>there's still room to move higher on these commodities, on

0:30:39.320 --> 0:30:43.160
<v Speaker 1>these energy stocks or is the turbulence and disruption that

0:30:43.200 --> 0:30:46.560
<v Speaker 1>we anticipate lasting for you know, X number of months

0:30:46.600 --> 0:30:49.960
<v Speaker 1>into the future. Is that pricedn already? Yeah? From a

0:30:50.000 --> 0:30:52.560
<v Speaker 1>from a historical framework, this looks a lot like the

0:30:52.840 --> 0:30:55.800
<v Speaker 1>price shocks of the nineteen seventies. And what those did

0:30:55.880 --> 0:30:57.880
<v Speaker 1>is they became the new The prices you moved to

0:30:58.120 --> 0:31:01.480
<v Speaker 1>became the new floor. Okay, so nineties the new floor.

0:31:01.600 --> 0:31:04.640
<v Speaker 1>That's how I think about it. And Um, in the

0:31:04.640 --> 0:31:07.800
<v Speaker 1>inn room, you're you're we could see squeezes that continue

0:31:07.800 --> 0:31:10.560
<v Speaker 1>to take us high because there's just not there's not

0:31:10.600 --> 0:31:13.240
<v Speaker 1>supply out there. So if you're Vicky Hall of running

0:31:13.240 --> 0:31:16.120
<v Speaker 1>Occidental Petroleum, who I consider maybe the best in the business,

0:31:16.600 --> 0:31:18.920
<v Speaker 1>or you're like Derek Evans who runs Meg Energy up

0:31:18.920 --> 0:31:22.160
<v Speaker 1>in Canada, you have the greatest oil salesman in the

0:31:22.440 --> 0:31:26.600
<v Speaker 1>history of presidents right now. Where he comes in, he

0:31:26.680 --> 0:31:28.320
<v Speaker 1>does what he wants to do, and that just drives

0:31:28.320 --> 0:31:31.840
<v Speaker 1>the price oil high. Um. And it's a great environment

0:31:31.840 --> 0:31:34.800
<v Speaker 1>for these producers so it's it's it's wonderful. Now that

0:31:34.880 --> 0:31:37.440
<v Speaker 1>being said, you know, people are using what's going on

0:31:37.480 --> 0:31:39.560
<v Speaker 1>in that world to say, oh, you know, share of

0:31:39.600 --> 0:31:42.719
<v Speaker 1>wallet and the consumers to be really hurting them. Um,

0:31:42.760 --> 0:31:44.640
<v Speaker 1>we're nowhere near the share of wallet that we had

0:31:44.640 --> 0:31:46.760
<v Speaker 1>back in O eight because cars are more cost you know,

0:31:46.760 --> 0:31:49.600
<v Speaker 1>fuel effective. Um. And then secondly we're just not back

0:31:49.600 --> 0:31:51.640
<v Speaker 1>at a hundred forty seven dollars a barrel. Yeah, I

0:31:51.680 --> 0:31:53.520
<v Speaker 1>thought I just saw something that the president was doing too.

0:31:54.120 --> 0:31:57.800
<v Speaker 1>Even force companies are push them in that direction to

0:31:57.840 --> 0:31:59.760
<v Speaker 1>be even more fuel efficient. So there's there's a lot

0:31:59.800 --> 0:32:02.200
<v Speaker 1>of inesting dynamics. But you're right in terms of right

0:32:02.280 --> 0:32:05.720
<v Speaker 1>the transition to a non fossil fuel world, it is

0:32:06.000 --> 0:32:09.440
<v Speaker 1>going to take time. And so as as we move,

0:32:09.640 --> 0:32:13.680
<v Speaker 1>as we recalibrate, as we readjust to maybe embracing more

0:32:13.760 --> 0:32:18.160
<v Speaker 1>to alternative energy that fossil fuel world, maybe there won't

0:32:18.160 --> 0:32:19.920
<v Speaker 1>be as much investment into it. And those you do

0:32:19.960 --> 0:32:21.400
<v Speaker 1>feel like there's going to be a floor, a higher

0:32:21.480 --> 0:32:26.280
<v Speaker 1>floor under certainly the price of various energy commodities. The

0:32:26.440 --> 0:32:29.520
<v Speaker 1>more alternative energy we want to do or green energy

0:32:29.600 --> 0:32:31.480
<v Speaker 1>that we want to do, the higher it takes oil

0:32:31.520 --> 0:32:35.480
<v Speaker 1>prices because those things, unsubsidized, compete at higher price levels.

0:32:36.080 --> 0:32:39.000
<v Speaker 1>So at sixty dollars a barrel, your wind and solar

0:32:39.080 --> 0:32:42.080
<v Speaker 1>look really stupid economically speaking. At a hundred dollars or

0:32:42.080 --> 0:32:44.600
<v Speaker 1>a hundred fifty dollars a barrel, those compete more in

0:32:44.640 --> 0:32:47.440
<v Speaker 1>the open market. So if you want to transition sooner,

0:32:47.600 --> 0:32:50.920
<v Speaker 1>you want actually higher oil prices. So when the president says, hey,

0:32:51.400 --> 0:32:54.280
<v Speaker 1>I want to bring the price down, well, that actually

0:32:54.360 --> 0:32:56.240
<v Speaker 1>does not go well with a green future, because you

0:32:56.280 --> 0:32:59.120
<v Speaker 1>want high oil prices for a green future. Hey, let's

0:32:59.120 --> 0:33:01.320
<v Speaker 1>go from energy to home elders. Because Carol and I've

0:33:01.320 --> 0:33:04.040
<v Speaker 1>been talking about them all week. With rising interest rates

0:33:04.080 --> 0:33:06.840
<v Speaker 1>for mortgages, they've been getting beat up a little bit,

0:33:06.880 --> 0:33:10.360
<v Speaker 1>but you're still bullish on them. Why because it's a

0:33:10.400 --> 0:33:12.920
<v Speaker 1>secular growth story. I mean, we have millennials who have

0:33:13.200 --> 0:33:15.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, really decided post pandemic in a meaningful way

0:33:15.760 --> 0:33:19.440
<v Speaker 1>that they want own homes. And what Yeah, what the

0:33:19.520 --> 0:33:21.360
<v Speaker 1>traders are doing is really and saying, oh, if the

0:33:21.440 --> 0:33:24.160
<v Speaker 1>tenure goes up, you know, mortgage has increased, no one's

0:33:24.160 --> 0:33:26.360
<v Speaker 1>gonna want to buy a house. But what they're under

0:33:26.440 --> 0:33:29.800
<v Speaker 1>assuming is the confidence that group now has in housing

0:33:30.360 --> 0:33:33.280
<v Speaker 1>and the net worth that they've built up looking back

0:33:33.360 --> 0:33:35.880
<v Speaker 1>anywhere from two years ago, if they bought early on

0:33:36.000 --> 0:33:38.800
<v Speaker 1>in that process, or I'm thirty eight, I had kids younger,

0:33:39.160 --> 0:33:41.120
<v Speaker 1>I've been a homeowner for quite a long time. Now.

0:33:41.840 --> 0:33:44.120
<v Speaker 1>Is that net worth they've built up. Um. When you

0:33:44.280 --> 0:33:46.040
<v Speaker 1>build up that net worth, you look and say, well,

0:33:46.080 --> 0:33:47.320
<v Speaker 1>I want to go get a bigger house, in a

0:33:47.400 --> 0:33:51.479
<v Speaker 1>nicer house, and that is a huge multiplier in the economy. Um.

0:33:51.560 --> 0:33:53.080
<v Speaker 1>But like I said, most people are looking saying if

0:33:53.160 --> 0:33:55.400
<v Speaker 1>rates go higher, that's not gonna work. The problem is

0:33:55.400 --> 0:33:58.440
<v Speaker 1>the seventies were a boom era for housing, and they

0:33:58.480 --> 0:34:01.560
<v Speaker 1>were terribly unaffordable. And that's where we think the markets wrong.

0:34:01.720 --> 0:34:04.600
<v Speaker 1>We see it also in our international We own lumber companies, right,

0:34:04.640 --> 0:34:06.520
<v Speaker 1>so watch lumber paying around right now. We saw four

0:34:07.040 --> 0:34:09.840
<v Speaker 1>dollars in the quarter and at those prices you can

0:34:09.880 --> 0:34:12.239
<v Speaker 1>get fabulously wealthy in the lumber of business. You know.

0:34:12.320 --> 0:34:14.960
<v Speaker 1>It's interesting too, is even an older population. You know,

0:34:15.000 --> 0:34:17.200
<v Speaker 1>I think everybody thought they'd all go to retirement communities

0:34:17.239 --> 0:34:18.960
<v Speaker 1>or wouldn't want to own it, and they didn't. And

0:34:19.120 --> 0:34:22.239
<v Speaker 1>and actually I just know from anecdotally even members of

0:34:22.280 --> 0:34:24.879
<v Speaker 1>my families and my older siblings who are still either

0:34:25.000 --> 0:34:27.920
<v Speaker 1>working or something, but they're not going into retirement communities.

0:34:27.920 --> 0:34:30.160
<v Speaker 1>They're buying homes and they're just going to places where

0:34:30.160 --> 0:34:33.640
<v Speaker 1>there's lower taxes or nicer weather basically, or warmer weather.

0:34:33.920 --> 0:34:36.839
<v Speaker 1>So it's interesting Boomers like their houses. And I think

0:34:36.880 --> 0:34:39.480
<v Speaker 1>the other dynamic that brings up to Caroline, he is

0:34:39.520 --> 0:34:42.880
<v Speaker 1>really important. The person in control right now of the

0:34:42.960 --> 0:34:45.680
<v Speaker 1>economy in so many respects is a working mother with

0:34:45.760 --> 0:34:48.359
<v Speaker 1>two kids. I say that because if she doesn't want

0:34:48.400 --> 0:34:52.040
<v Speaker 1>to go back into you know, downtown to go work, congratulations,

0:34:52.320 --> 0:34:55.799
<v Speaker 1>office has got a shift. If if her parents, um

0:34:56.040 --> 0:34:57.880
<v Speaker 1>don't aren't going to be as far away as they

0:34:57.960 --> 0:35:00.320
<v Speaker 1>used to, They're going to move closer to her, you know, otherwards.

0:35:00.320 --> 0:35:02.320
<v Speaker 1>I think the economics are moving to that type of

0:35:02.360 --> 0:35:05.239
<v Speaker 1>consumer and household and that decision maker. And so I

0:35:05.320 --> 0:35:07.680
<v Speaker 1>look and say, hey, we got these malls. They've got

0:35:07.760 --> 0:35:10.000
<v Speaker 1>great property. But you know, to your point, there's boomers

0:35:10.040 --> 0:35:12.640
<v Speaker 1>the health character growing malls. Office could grow on malls

0:35:12.680 --> 0:35:15.600
<v Speaker 1>because there's suburban locations close to her all right, really

0:35:15.680 --> 0:35:18.120
<v Speaker 1>quickly twenty seconds. If you have new money to commit,

0:35:18.160 --> 0:35:21.520
<v Speaker 1>where do you put it? Very quickly? Uh? Absolutely love

0:35:21.560 --> 0:35:24.160
<v Speaker 1>the energy business. It's the most underallocated space. It's the

0:35:24.239 --> 0:35:27.239
<v Speaker 1>easiest game in town. Go buy Oxy, Go buy some

0:35:27.320 --> 0:35:30.239
<v Speaker 1>oil fans business in Canada, Go buy Continental. It's just

0:35:30.320 --> 0:35:32.000
<v Speaker 1>too much fun. Well, and it's been such an help

0:35:32.040 --> 0:35:34.960
<v Speaker 1>performer in the last year. It's a help performer this year.

0:35:35.280 --> 0:35:38.279
<v Speaker 1>We certainly saw it in the quarter as well. Hey Cole,

0:35:38.520 --> 0:35:40.239
<v Speaker 1>great to have you back with us. Cost Meat. He's

0:35:40.239 --> 0:35:43.439
<v Speaker 1>present portfolio manager. It's Meat Capital Management. Their value fund,

0:35:43.440 --> 0:35:45.880
<v Speaker 1>the Speed Value Fund, by the way, beating beating just

0:35:45.920 --> 0:35:47.759
<v Speaker 1>about all of its peers of the past five years,

0:35:47.840 --> 0:35:52.920
<v Speaker 1>returning on average nearly annually. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg

0:35:52.960 --> 0:35:56.600
<v Speaker 1>Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg

0:35:56.680 --> 0:35:58.520
<v Speaker 1>dot com, and you can also listen to our radio

0:35:58.560 --> 0:36:01.120
<v Speaker 1>show at two pm Eastern I'm Boomberg Radio, or watch

0:36:01.239 --> 0:36:05.440
<v Speaker 1>us on YouTube search Bloomberg Global News m