WEBVTT - Interview With Arun Sundararajan: Masters in Business (Audio)

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<v Speaker 1>Brought to you by Bank of America Merrill Lynch committed

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<v Speaker 1>to bringing higher finance to lower carbon named the most

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<v Speaker 1>innovative investment bank for climate change and sustainability by the banker.

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<v Speaker 1>That's the power of Global Connections. Bank of America North

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<v Speaker 1>America member f D I C. This is Masters in

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<v Speaker 1>Business with Barry Riddles on Bloomberg Radio. This week on

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<v Speaker 1>the podcast, I sit down with Professor Arun Sundarajan of

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<v Speaker 1>n y U Sterns School of Business. The professor is

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<v Speaker 1>a technologist and an economist and studies what we have

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<v Speaker 1>come to call the sharing economy. He likes to call

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<v Speaker 1>it crowdsourcing capitalism, and we look at a whole bunch

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<v Speaker 1>of different companies and platforms and technologies that are changing

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<v Speaker 1>the way people interact with each other. If you've ever

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<v Speaker 1>used Uber for a ride, if you've bought or sold

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<v Speaker 1>something on eBay or eggs List or or Etsy, if

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<v Speaker 1>you've stayed at an air b and B. There are

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<v Speaker 1>hundreds and hundreds of different companies, platforms, etcetera that allow

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<v Speaker 1>people to either monetize they're unused real estate, hardware, ortomobiles, whatever,

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<v Speaker 1>or other people to only purchase a fractional usage of it. UH.

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<v Speaker 1>The professor is is certainly well known amongst technology circles.

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<v Speaker 1>You might not have heard of him if you go

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<v Speaker 1>on YouTube and look at any of his presentations. They're

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<v Speaker 1>quite fascinating and they're always filled with these amazing tidbits.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't want to spoil anything from the actual podcast,

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<v Speaker 1>but I have to just share this one little data

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<v Speaker 1>point with you. In the United States, there are approximately

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<v Speaker 1>eighty million electric drills. I have one, actually I have

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<v Speaker 1>to the second one UH is out at the vacation house,

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<v Speaker 1>and the data point on those drills is quite amazing.

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<v Speaker 1>The average usage over the lifespan of that drill is

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<v Speaker 1>a mere thirteen minutes. Now, stop and think about it.

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<v Speaker 1>A decent drill you're paying a hundred or two hundred

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<v Speaker 1>dollars for and essentially you're barely using it. So a

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<v Speaker 1>platform that allows people to rent or loan or what

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<v Speaker 1>have you drills has a certain appeal because it you're

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<v Speaker 1>taking something that actually has a value on a cost

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<v Speaker 1>and you're recapturing some of that cost. On the other hand,

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<v Speaker 1>if you only need a drill for five minutes, why

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<v Speaker 1>do you want to spend two hundred dollars. That is

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<v Speaker 1>the essence of the sharing economy, whether it be a

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<v Speaker 1>spare room or a ride in someone's car, or rent

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<v Speaker 1>the runway, a a any sort of couture dress that

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<v Speaker 1>you don't want to spend five thousand dollars on to

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<v Speaker 1>wear just once. Uh. The professor not only thinks this

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<v Speaker 1>is the future of retail, but he thinks that's going

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<v Speaker 1>to have a very beneficial impact on people in the

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<v Speaker 1>bottom half of the economic strata in terms of income. So,

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<v Speaker 1>without any further ado, here is my conversation with Un Sundarajan.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Masters in Business with Barry Ridholes on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>My special guest this week is Aurun Sundarajan. He is

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<v Speaker 1>a professor at n y U Stern School of Business

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<v Speaker 1>and is fascinated by how digital technology shapes the economy

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<v Speaker 1>and transforms our lives. His scholarly research analyzes what makes

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<v Speaker 1>the economics of technology, products and industries so unique. He

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<v Speaker 1>is a member of the World Economic Forums Global Council

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<v Speaker 1>on Technology Value and Policy, and he advises governments around

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<v Speaker 1>the world on digital regulation. He is also the author

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<v Speaker 1>of a new book called The Sharing Economy, The End

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<v Speaker 1>of Employment and the rise of crowd based Capitalism are

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<v Speaker 1>in Sundarajan. Welcome to Bloomberg. Thank you, Barry. I'm delighted

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<v Speaker 1>to be on your show. Well, it's a pleasure to

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<v Speaker 1>have you. I enjoyed the book very much and it

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<v Speaker 1>raised a whole lot of questions. Let's jump right into

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<v Speaker 1>this from a broad perspective, what exactly is the sharing economy? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a great question to start with, because that's the

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<v Speaker 1>question that I hope to answer in the book. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>The label sharing economy can often be distracting because it

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<v Speaker 1>conjures up an image of something that it's not, which

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<v Speaker 1>is why I prefer the term crowd based capitalism. But

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<v Speaker 1>in the battle between what should we called the book

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<v Speaker 1>between me and my publisher, sharing economy one of a

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<v Speaker 1>crowd based capitalism um. So. I think of it as

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<v Speaker 1>a new way of organizing economic activity where we are

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<v Speaker 1>taking out a lot of what used to happen within

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<v Speaker 1>an organization and decentralizing it to a distributed crowd of providers.

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<v Speaker 1>So A, B and B hosts who are running their

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<v Speaker 1>small short term accommodation businesses through the platforms. Uber drivers

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<v Speaker 1>who are driving through the platform get around renters who

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<v Speaker 1>are running tiny car rental businesses, et C sellers, funding

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<v Speaker 1>circle lenders, and I expect that this model will sit

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<v Speaker 1>aside the traditional industrial capitalism model in the twenty one

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<v Speaker 1>century as one of the dominant ways in which we

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<v Speaker 1>organize economic activity. So what you're describing sounds very much

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<v Speaker 1>like what used to be called peer to peer or

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<v Speaker 1>many too many as opposed to a centralized distribution where

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<v Speaker 1>one company manufactured, they ship it, it goes to their stores,

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<v Speaker 1>and then consumers come and buy it. That model seems

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<v Speaker 1>to be challenged by let's call it, crowd based capitalists. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>I think that peer to peer is certainly a precursor.

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<v Speaker 1>You might think of the eighteenth century economy as being

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<v Speaker 1>almost entirely peer to peer, the Adam Smith market economy

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<v Speaker 1>us individuals or small businesses sold to other individuals. And

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<v Speaker 1>then we saw a resurgence of some of that kind

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<v Speaker 1>of activity in the late nineties with eBay and with Craigslist.

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<v Speaker 1>But what's different about the sharing economy and crowd based

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<v Speaker 1>capitalism is two things. One is that it scales this

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<v Speaker 1>kind of activity to the point where the crowd based

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<v Speaker 1>alternative can be the largest provider in the industry. A

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<v Speaker 1>B and B is already the largest provider of short

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<v Speaker 1>term accommodation in the world. They have three times as

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<v Speaker 1>many listings as Marriott's Star would have rooms. If I

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<v Speaker 1>recall hearing one of your presentations, once you mentioned last

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<v Speaker 1>night a hundred and fifty thousand people stayed at an Airbnb.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that number still accurate? Well, that was probably a

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<v Speaker 1>couple of years ago. Um, that's amazing, that really is right.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, they own no assets. This is entirely other

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<v Speaker 1>individuals running their businesses through the platform. So the ramifications

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<v Speaker 1>of this or are going to be significant. And you've

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<v Speaker 1>you've discussed the blurred lines between personal and professional, between

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<v Speaker 1>casual labor and someone who's working full time for someone else.

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<v Speaker 1>So how does this new change affect everything? What is

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<v Speaker 1>the ramifications of the way these digital technologies are going

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<v Speaker 1>to impact our lives? Um? See the blurring of lines

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<v Speaker 1>between personal and professional I think is central to a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of the challengers that the sharing economy has faced

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<v Speaker 1>in the last decade, because if you think about it,

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<v Speaker 1>there are lots of activities that fall under the personal umbrella. Naturally,

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<v Speaker 1>if you own a car, you've probably picked someone up

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<v Speaker 1>from the airport. Sure, you've probably cooked a meal for

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<v Speaker 1>someone at your and had them eat it at your home.

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<v Speaker 1>You've had house guests. You may have picked your friends

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<v Speaker 1>kids up from soccer practice. You may have lent money

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<v Speaker 1>to a friend. You didn't need any special permit for this.

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<v Speaker 1>This was all under the personal umbrella. And then you

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<v Speaker 1>had taxi drivers, you had professional bankers, you had restaurant owners,

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<v Speaker 1>you had bed breakfast owners who were on the professional

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<v Speaker 1>side and for whom all of the regulations were developed.

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<v Speaker 1>And so we're now entering an economy where these lines

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<v Speaker 1>between personal and professional up blurring, and so the regulatory

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<v Speaker 1>structures that we have developed to regulate, say accommodation or transportation,

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<v Speaker 1>which expect a full time professional provider on the supply side,

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<v Speaker 1>are being challenged because you've got people who are hosting

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<v Speaker 1>occasionally on a B and B, who are driving occasionally

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<v Speaker 1>for left, who have become little car rental businesses, who

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<v Speaker 1>have become little bankers. Here in New York City, there's

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<v Speaker 1>been a number of complaints from condos and co ops

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<v Speaker 1>about buildings originally not made for taking guests, And suddenly

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<v Speaker 1>you think you own a private co op in a

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<v Speaker 1>apartment building and you discover there's random strangers in your building.

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<v Speaker 1>How does an Airbnb deal with that? How does the

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<v Speaker 1>city of New York deal with that? Well? Um dealing

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<v Speaker 1>with the new world of short term accommodation I think

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<v Speaker 1>requires a fundamental rethinking of a lot of different dimensions

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<v Speaker 1>of regulation, because we are creating, in some sense, a

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<v Speaker 1>new form of mixed use real estate where the personal

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<v Speaker 1>home can also become a commercial, short term accommodation source

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<v Speaker 1>for people who are visiting the city. We're challenging ideas

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<v Speaker 1>of zoning, and we're challenging sort of this separation between

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<v Speaker 1>long term and short term accommodation. It's really a situation

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<v Speaker 1>where we have to think about how do we change

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<v Speaker 1>the laws in a way that accommodates this activity. Because

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people want to host on a B

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<v Speaker 1>and B, A lot of guests want a B and B,

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<v Speaker 1>so society wants this service. What I think will happen

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<v Speaker 1>in the long run is a couple of things. One

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<v Speaker 1>is that we will in fact change the laws around

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<v Speaker 1>that prevent people from renting for less than thirty days

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<v Speaker 1>and go on. But I think but also going to

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<v Speaker 1>delegate a lot of the responsibility to partties other than

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<v Speaker 1>the government. I'm Barry Ridholts. You're listening to Masters in

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<v Speaker 1>Business on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest this week is

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<v Speaker 1>our on Sundarajan. He is a professor at n y

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<v Speaker 1>U Stern School of Business and is an expert in

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<v Speaker 1>digital technologies and sharing economy. So there are sort of

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<v Speaker 1>three levels of of sharing economies when it comes to accommodations.

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<v Speaker 1>On the high end, you have one fine Stay, which

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<v Speaker 1>is a way for people with lovely high end homes

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<v Speaker 1>or other properties to generate a little income with them.

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<v Speaker 1>You have Airbnb, which is pretty middle of the road.

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<v Speaker 1>It's way that anybody can rent out a room or

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<v Speaker 1>an apartment or what have you. And then I kind

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<v Speaker 1>of like CouchSurfing dot com, whose business model essentially, hey,

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<v Speaker 1>we have a couch for you to crash on and

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<v Speaker 1>no money exchange his hands. What is that business model?

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<v Speaker 1>How does that company that has venture investors, how do

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<v Speaker 1>they make money? Well, their revenue sources. The revenue sources

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<v Speaker 1>that couch surfing have are pretty limited. Um, they have

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<v Speaker 1>been making money for a while by charging people for

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<v Speaker 1>a verification service, where if you want to stay with

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<v Speaker 1>people who have been verified, then couch surfing gets a fee. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>They switched recently from disavowing advertising to adopting an advertising

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<v Speaker 1>business model. This is in the Google tradition of like,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, sort of going from anti advertising the pro

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<v Speaker 1>advertising um. But you know, I think focusing on the

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<v Speaker 1>revenue model of couch surfing UM takes us away from

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<v Speaker 1>what's fundamentally different about them. They haven't been set up

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<v Speaker 1>as a commercial business. They are a pure gift economy,

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<v Speaker 1>so it's really more of a social network than anything else. Really. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean the typical couch surfing user when they go

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<v Speaker 1>to a new city, they're not saying where do I

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<v Speaker 1>find accommodation? They're saying, you know, where's the party? Or

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<v Speaker 1>you know, how do I meet the interesting people? And

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<v Speaker 1>the exchange of accommodation is sort of the gift that

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<v Speaker 1>cements the connection. It makes a lot of sense. And

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<v Speaker 1>there are some people who only seem to host others,

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<v Speaker 1>and there are other people who are traveling around the

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<v Speaker 1>country only. Couch surfing absolutely and ABNB in some ways

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<v Speaker 1>represents a middle ground between the commercial and the gift.

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<v Speaker 1>In that sense, I mean, it's decidedly commercial. You are pricing,

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<v Speaker 1>you are managing inventory. If you're a supplier. As a guest,

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<v Speaker 1>you are paying for something that is a service that

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<v Speaker 1>you're getting from the host. But there is also some

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<v Speaker 1>gift element and some sort of embracing of imperfection that

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<v Speaker 1>the guest experiences, where you don't expect all the towels

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<v Speaker 1>will be the same color and perfectly folded. Um. There's

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<v Speaker 1>a connection that forms with the host. Even if the

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<v Speaker 1>host is not there, you get to see how they

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<v Speaker 1>have made up their home. There's an intimacy associated with

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<v Speaker 1>staying at someone else's home. It's like a bend and breakfast.

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<v Speaker 1>And I was amused I learned in your book that

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<v Speaker 1>the name Airbnb came out from the idea of an

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<v Speaker 1>air mattress as as a place for people to to crash.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's let's shift away from a combination and talk a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit about travel. So uber has been a huge

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<v Speaker 1>success globally. Lift also has experienced a tremendous amount of growth. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>So here's the question, how much of this is a

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<v Speaker 1>function of the entrenched industries complacency. And let's be honest,

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<v Speaker 1>at least as a New Yorker who who here doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>eight taxis. There aren't enough of them. As soon as

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<v Speaker 1>it starts to ring, you can't get one, and heaven forbid,

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<v Speaker 1>if you want one during rush hours, some idiot has

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<v Speaker 1>decided that's when we're gonna do the shift change, and

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<v Speaker 1>there's no taxis available. So would Uber have been this

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<v Speaker 1>successful if you didn't have a complacent, dominant and trench business. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>I certainly think that the placency of the entrenched businesses

0:14:02.200 --> 0:14:05.000
<v Speaker 1>opened the door for Uber and left because the bar

0:14:05.240 --> 0:14:08.520
<v Speaker 1>was pretty low and it was easy to create a product,

0:14:08.800 --> 0:14:12.720
<v Speaker 1>a service that was dramatically superior. You know, I've lived

0:14:12.720 --> 0:14:14.600
<v Speaker 1>in New York for a long time and I've had

0:14:14.600 --> 0:14:17.120
<v Speaker 1>the same frustrations with the yellow cabs. But if you

0:14:17.160 --> 0:14:20.160
<v Speaker 1>think about the United States, New York has by far

0:14:20.280 --> 0:14:23.160
<v Speaker 1>the best taxi service in the country, really, and so

0:14:23.200 --> 0:14:26.080
<v Speaker 1>that that's horrible. Yeah, I know last Las Vegas maybe

0:14:26.160 --> 0:14:28.400
<v Speaker 1>comes close, but that's pretty much it. I mean, I

0:14:28.440 --> 0:14:30.800
<v Speaker 1>used to go to l A and I wouldn't know

0:14:30.840 --> 0:14:33.600
<v Speaker 1>how to get around without renting a car, and then

0:14:33.600 --> 0:14:36.240
<v Speaker 1>I'd be driving on the highway at sixty miles an

0:14:36.240 --> 0:14:39.160
<v Speaker 1>hour having not driven for three months. So you know,

0:14:39.480 --> 0:14:42.240
<v Speaker 1>that's how the door was open. But that's not going

0:14:42.320 --> 0:14:45.480
<v Speaker 1>to determine the long run success of the company's because

0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:48.400
<v Speaker 1>they're not really going after the taxi industry. They're going

0:14:48.400 --> 0:14:52.360
<v Speaker 1>after the automobile industry. They want to shift our spending

0:14:52.480 --> 0:14:57.320
<v Speaker 1>on buying new and used cars towards getting transportation on

0:14:57.480 --> 0:15:00.280
<v Speaker 1>demand as a service. So they're not going to the

0:15:00.320 --> 0:15:03.280
<v Speaker 1>eleven billion dollars we spend on taxi every year. They're

0:15:03.320 --> 0:15:05.840
<v Speaker 1>going after the one point two trillion dollars we spend

0:15:05.920 --> 0:15:08.720
<v Speaker 1>on buying new and used cars. So, so let's talk

0:15:08.800 --> 0:15:12.800
<v Speaker 1>about that for a moment. You discuss the importance of

0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:18.000
<v Speaker 1>idle capacity and share ability. So, and it's not just cars.

0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:20.520
<v Speaker 1>Let me throw a statistic out, and again this is

0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:24.120
<v Speaker 1>from an earlier presentation of yours. There are eighty million

0:15:24.280 --> 0:15:28.080
<v Speaker 1>power drills in the United States. Each drill is used

0:15:28.200 --> 0:15:31.920
<v Speaker 1>over the course of its total lifetime a grand total

0:15:32.000 --> 0:15:35.720
<v Speaker 1>of thirteen minutes. Yes, that seems like an enormous waste

0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:40.600
<v Speaker 1>of idle capacity. Absolutely, And I think that the sharing

0:15:40.600 --> 0:15:45.120
<v Speaker 1>economy sort of came to be because we decided that

0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:50.200
<v Speaker 1>there must be ways of tapping into capacity that is underutilized.

0:15:50.440 --> 0:15:53.640
<v Speaker 1>And once we got the smartphones, we were equipped with

0:15:53.680 --> 0:15:56.640
<v Speaker 1>the technology that allowed us, in some ways to think

0:15:56.680 --> 0:15:59.800
<v Speaker 1>about re engineering our consumption in the same way as

0:15:59.840 --> 0:16:02.440
<v Speaker 1>that the company sort of re engineered their businesses twenty

0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:04.920
<v Speaker 1>years ago when they got the PCs and the Internet

0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:08.800
<v Speaker 1>and the ethernet. UM. But and if you think about

0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:12.600
<v Speaker 1>the two industries we're talking about accommodation and transportation. UM.

0:16:12.640 --> 0:16:15.080
<v Speaker 1>Part of the reason why they're so visible is that

0:16:15.120 --> 0:16:18.840
<v Speaker 1>they reflect the two most valuable personal assets that the

0:16:18.880 --> 0:16:22.840
<v Speaker 1>average individual has, their home and their car. And so

0:16:22.880 --> 0:16:27.160
<v Speaker 1>we've managed to create sharing markets for these assets, even

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:30.520
<v Speaker 1>though the transaction costs are still pretty high. It's been

0:16:30.600 --> 0:16:34.080
<v Speaker 1>harder to create markets for power drill rental, or for

0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:37.560
<v Speaker 1>vacuum cleaner rental, or for you know, tent rental. All

0:16:37.560 --> 0:16:40.680
<v Speaker 1>of these underutilized assets. What what about some of them?

0:16:41.360 --> 0:16:46.560
<v Speaker 1>The high end designer clothing. I know there's a number

0:16:46.560 --> 0:16:50.240
<v Speaker 1>of companies that rent high end dresses and I forgot

0:16:50.280 --> 0:16:53.080
<v Speaker 1>some of the names of Absolutely, there's rent the Runway.

0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:56.520
<v Speaker 1>It does this on demand as a business. There's another

0:16:56.520 --> 0:16:58.800
<v Speaker 1>one called Style and that I really like that does

0:16:58.840 --> 0:17:01.760
<v Speaker 1>this peer appear where you can sort of monetize your

0:17:01.840 --> 0:17:06.080
<v Speaker 1>wardrobe by renting things out? Um. The logistics are still

0:17:06.160 --> 0:17:08.600
<v Speaker 1>sort of the economics, the unit economics of the logistics

0:17:08.600 --> 0:17:11.480
<v Speaker 1>are still being worked out on that front um, but

0:17:11.560 --> 0:17:13.000
<v Speaker 1>I think that things are going to get a lot

0:17:13.040 --> 0:17:17.000
<v Speaker 1>easier once drone technologies take off and we have the

0:17:17.040 --> 0:17:19.640
<v Speaker 1>ability to sort of tap into you know, if an

0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:22.560
<v Speaker 1>object knows how much it's being used where it is

0:17:22.960 --> 0:17:26.399
<v Speaker 1>and can call on transport on demand, which will be

0:17:26.440 --> 0:17:29.280
<v Speaker 1>possible in about a decade um. You know, with drone

0:17:29.280 --> 0:17:31.760
<v Speaker 1>technology so far off in the future, not at all,

0:17:31.800 --> 0:17:33.560
<v Speaker 1>then we have the spectra of not just sort of

0:17:33.640 --> 0:17:37.520
<v Speaker 1>drones flying above, but carrying power drills. I'm very results

0:17:37.600 --> 0:17:41.119
<v Speaker 1>you're listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My

0:17:41.200 --> 0:17:45.119
<v Speaker 1>special guest today is Professor Arun Sundarajan. He is a

0:17:45.160 --> 0:17:49.000
<v Speaker 1>professor at n y U Sterns School of Business specializing

0:17:49.400 --> 0:17:52.760
<v Speaker 1>in the impact of digital technologies and how they shape

0:17:53.280 --> 0:17:56.480
<v Speaker 1>our economies. He is not only a member of the

0:17:56.520 --> 0:18:01.120
<v Speaker 1>World Economic Forums Global Agenda Council on Technowlogy, he is

0:18:01.240 --> 0:18:05.119
<v Speaker 1>also the author of a new book called The Sharing Economy,

0:18:05.359 --> 0:18:09.359
<v Speaker 1>The End of Employment and the Rise of crowd based Capitalism.

0:18:09.440 --> 0:18:13.040
<v Speaker 1>Let's jump right into the technology backdrop of of the

0:18:13.080 --> 0:18:18.840
<v Speaker 1>collaborative economy. Um, you've talked about the iPod as the

0:18:18.920 --> 0:18:24.240
<v Speaker 1>first successful mass market product that was developed for consumers

0:18:24.400 --> 0:18:29.399
<v Speaker 1>rather than businesses or governments. So what is the consumerization

0:18:29.640 --> 0:18:33.520
<v Speaker 1>of digital technology mean for us? Well, I think that

0:18:33.560 --> 0:18:37.960
<v Speaker 1>this was the consumerization of digital technology represented a radical

0:18:38.119 --> 0:18:43.480
<v Speaker 1>shift in the focus of the industry producing the technology.

0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:46.600
<v Speaker 1>Because if you think about the sixties, seventies, eighties, and nineties,

0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:51.040
<v Speaker 1>technology products were built for business or government and meaning

0:18:51.240 --> 0:18:57.440
<v Speaker 1>meaning computers, phones, all those various texts. Didn't consumers eventually

0:18:57.560 --> 0:19:00.520
<v Speaker 1>take advantage of those. They did, But if you think

0:19:00.520 --> 0:19:03.520
<v Speaker 1>about the primary focus of R and D in all

0:19:03.560 --> 0:19:07.200
<v Speaker 1>of the companies except Apple, the business was the primary focus.

0:19:07.240 --> 0:19:10.280
<v Speaker 1>The PC was built for business, and then a home

0:19:10.359 --> 0:19:15.160
<v Speaker 1>computer version was developed. The larger computers were built for business.

0:19:15.160 --> 0:19:19.280
<v Speaker 1>Software was built for business frames, databases, etcetera. That's that's

0:19:19.280 --> 0:19:22.160
<v Speaker 1>really very interesting. So and so there was a shift

0:19:22.440 --> 0:19:25.760
<v Speaker 1>in like you know, the late nineties, because computer technology

0:19:25.880 --> 0:19:28.480
<v Speaker 1>got cheap enough and fast enough that you could conceive

0:19:28.560 --> 0:19:31.840
<v Speaker 1>of mass market consumer products, and the iPod was the

0:19:31.880 --> 0:19:34.480
<v Speaker 1>first big one. But what this has done is that

0:19:34.560 --> 0:19:38.000
<v Speaker 1>it shifted the focus of the technology industry away from

0:19:38.000 --> 0:19:40.760
<v Speaker 1>businesses and to consumers. If you look at the big

0:19:40.800 --> 0:19:45.040
<v Speaker 1>innovations of the last ten years, social media, tablet, smartphones.

0:19:45.280 --> 0:19:48.480
<v Speaker 1>They were built for consumers and then adapted for businesses.

0:19:48.720 --> 0:19:52.000
<v Speaker 1>So so let's talk about you mentioned Apple. Let's let's

0:19:52.000 --> 0:19:55.920
<v Speaker 1>talk about from iPod to I phone. How much of

0:19:56.000 --> 0:20:01.119
<v Speaker 1>the sharing economy is really directly dependent on the iPhone

0:20:01.200 --> 0:20:04.919
<v Speaker 1>coming out and just upending the mobile phone market and

0:20:04.960 --> 0:20:08.040
<v Speaker 1>then everything else that that fouled from there. Is that

0:20:08.119 --> 0:20:11.640
<v Speaker 1>the prime enabler of all these technologies. Um, I think

0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:15.720
<v Speaker 1>that the iPhone or smartphones becoming mass market is one

0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:18.439
<v Speaker 1>of the enablers of a number of industries that have

0:20:18.480 --> 0:20:21.680
<v Speaker 1>been changed by the sharing economy. You can't imagine uber

0:20:21.800 --> 0:20:24.560
<v Speaker 1>without a g Press enabled smartphone or knows where you are,

0:20:24.680 --> 0:20:26.880
<v Speaker 1>knows where the car is yep. And there's a whole

0:20:26.880 --> 0:20:30.199
<v Speaker 1>bunch of labor markets that have become possible because you know,

0:20:30.480 --> 0:20:32.919
<v Speaker 1>if I have a smartphone, then I become a potential

0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:35.679
<v Speaker 1>source of labor to a market. They don't have to

0:20:35.720 --> 0:20:38.120
<v Speaker 1>equip me with one of those devices that the ups

0:20:38.240 --> 0:20:41.840
<v Speaker 1>drivers have. But I think that there was a broader

0:20:42.080 --> 0:20:46.440
<v Speaker 1>adoption of digital technology and a comfort level we got

0:20:46.640 --> 0:20:51.000
<v Speaker 1>using this technology and interacting with other people through an interface.

0:20:51.640 --> 0:20:55.280
<v Speaker 1>We digitized a lot of our social capital on networks

0:20:55.320 --> 0:20:58.760
<v Speaker 1>like Facebook and LinkedIn. Explain that because you you discuss

0:20:58.920 --> 0:21:02.399
<v Speaker 1>that frequently the what do you mean by we've digitized

0:21:02.840 --> 0:21:06.959
<v Speaker 1>our identity and we've digitized our our trust? Well, if

0:21:07.000 --> 0:21:10.160
<v Speaker 1>you think about pre two thousand five, we carried around

0:21:10.320 --> 0:21:13.960
<v Speaker 1>a driver's license, and this established through a government system

0:21:14.000 --> 0:21:16.399
<v Speaker 1>that you were who you said you were, and you

0:21:16.440 --> 0:21:19.800
<v Speaker 1>had a professional and a personal network that was known

0:21:19.840 --> 0:21:24.480
<v Speaker 1>to you, but wasn't translatable into information that could make

0:21:24.560 --> 0:21:26.840
<v Speaker 1>someone else who didn't know you trust you. So what

0:21:26.960 --> 0:21:30.359
<v Speaker 1>Facebook and LinkedIn now represent is a lot of connections

0:21:30.359 --> 0:21:33.119
<v Speaker 1>on Facebook and LinkedIn are meaningless, I agree, but a

0:21:33.119 --> 0:21:37.240
<v Speaker 1>lot of it represents real world social capital, professional capital

0:21:37.600 --> 0:21:40.440
<v Speaker 1>that you have built up over your lifetime that makes

0:21:40.480 --> 0:21:43.560
<v Speaker 1>you more credible as a trading partner. When someone says,

0:21:43.600 --> 0:21:46.879
<v Speaker 1>well should I rent my car to this person? Or

0:21:47.520 --> 0:21:49.720
<v Speaker 1>should I trust this person enough to sleep in their

0:21:49.720 --> 0:21:52.760
<v Speaker 1>spare bedroom, or should I sort of like you know,

0:21:53.080 --> 0:21:55.639
<v Speaker 1>borrow money from them? Should I lend them money? This

0:21:55.800 --> 0:22:00.440
<v Speaker 1>becomes part of a trust infrastructure. Along with tech oologies

0:22:00.480 --> 0:22:03.359
<v Speaker 1>that allow you to hold up your driver's license in

0:22:03.400 --> 0:22:06.879
<v Speaker 1>front of your webcam and have it verified. So you

0:22:07.000 --> 0:22:12.439
<v Speaker 1>referenced earlier Craigslist and alf Rowan Wikipedia, But one of

0:22:12.440 --> 0:22:15.879
<v Speaker 1>the earliest of the tech companies was eBay. And the

0:22:15.920 --> 0:22:19.359
<v Speaker 1>way eBay built in their trust verification is if you

0:22:19.400 --> 0:22:21.920
<v Speaker 1>want to buy something from someone and you say, oh,

0:22:21.960 --> 0:22:24.360
<v Speaker 1>this guy has a five star rating and there's ten

0:22:24.400 --> 0:22:29.800
<v Speaker 1>thousand transactions, they're fairly trustworthy. Is eBay the first entity

0:22:29.880 --> 0:22:34.359
<v Speaker 1>to digitize that trust factor. eBay was definitely the pioneer

0:22:34.359 --> 0:22:38.920
<v Speaker 1>in using these pure feedback systems or to create reputation

0:22:39.440 --> 0:22:42.880
<v Speaker 1>some ways. They created the equivalent of a digital institution.

0:22:43.520 --> 0:22:45.800
<v Speaker 1>You didn't have to have courts of law or contract.

0:22:45.840 --> 0:22:48.399
<v Speaker 1>You could just rely on the feedback. The thing with

0:22:48.520 --> 0:22:51.960
<v Speaker 1>eBay is that, um, the stakes were low receiving a

0:22:52.000 --> 0:22:54.959
<v Speaker 1>package from someone, or you need to get paid by someone.

0:22:55.440 --> 0:22:57.480
<v Speaker 1>The worst thing that happens is that you don't get

0:22:57.520 --> 0:23:00.760
<v Speaker 1>the product, the products broken, you don't get paid. These

0:23:00.800 --> 0:23:04.160
<v Speaker 1>are very different stakes from trusting someone enough to let

0:23:04.200 --> 0:23:07.400
<v Speaker 1>them into your apartment, trusting someone enough to get into

0:23:07.440 --> 0:23:10.439
<v Speaker 1>their car and be driven to another city. Um. And

0:23:10.520 --> 0:23:14.320
<v Speaker 1>so we needed the social capital and the identity to

0:23:14.400 --> 0:23:17.320
<v Speaker 1>come in and to pair up with the peer to

0:23:17.400 --> 0:23:20.560
<v Speaker 1>peer feedback systems, which all of the sharing economy platforms

0:23:20.680 --> 0:23:24.800
<v Speaker 1>use before we could see these high stakes activities emerge

0:23:24.880 --> 0:23:28.520
<v Speaker 1>and assume these sort of population scale businesses that we're

0:23:28.520 --> 0:23:32.119
<v Speaker 1>seeing today. I'm very hults. You're listening to Masters in

0:23:32.160 --> 0:23:35.680
<v Speaker 1>Business on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest today is Professor

0:23:35.960 --> 0:23:39.439
<v Speaker 1>Arun Sundarajan. He is a professor at n y U

0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:44.200
<v Speaker 1>Stern School of Business, an expert on digital technologies and

0:23:44.240 --> 0:23:48.080
<v Speaker 1>the sharing economy. Let's talk a little bit about crowdfunding

0:23:48.119 --> 0:23:54.480
<v Speaker 1>because there's some really interesting companies. Kickstarter, Kivalone Angel List

0:23:54.920 --> 0:23:57.600
<v Speaker 1>are the first three that come to mind. Let's start

0:23:57.600 --> 0:24:01.879
<v Speaker 1>with simply, what is crowd based capitalism. Well, crowd based

0:24:01.880 --> 0:24:05.880
<v Speaker 1>capitalism is my conception of a new model of how

0:24:05.960 --> 0:24:09.480
<v Speaker 1>we organize the world's economic activity. So if you apply

0:24:09.600 --> 0:24:12.720
<v Speaker 1>it to the funding space, what we're talking about is

0:24:12.800 --> 0:24:16.600
<v Speaker 1>shifting the way we finance things out of the hands

0:24:16.680 --> 0:24:19.320
<v Speaker 1>of an institution that gives you money. Could be a bank,

0:24:19.359 --> 0:24:23.080
<v Speaker 1>could be a venture capital fund fund, could be like

0:24:23.119 --> 0:24:26.000
<v Speaker 1>a foundation that is giving grants to support the building

0:24:26.000 --> 0:24:29.720
<v Speaker 1>of a theater, and shifting that towards a platform that

0:24:29.800 --> 0:24:32.879
<v Speaker 1>still collects all the information that you would give a

0:24:32.920 --> 0:24:36.320
<v Speaker 1>bank or a foundation or a VC but then gets

0:24:36.359 --> 0:24:40.200
<v Speaker 1>the financing through a distributed crowd of financiers, whether it's

0:24:40.320 --> 0:24:43.880
<v Speaker 1>um individuals buying equity in your company through angel list,

0:24:43.920 --> 0:24:47.760
<v Speaker 1>whether it's individuals contributing towards a loan that is then

0:24:47.800 --> 0:24:50.560
<v Speaker 1>given to you through funding circle, whether it's individuals who

0:24:50.600 --> 0:24:54.000
<v Speaker 1>are you know, becoming philanthropists through a platform like Kickstarter.

0:24:54.760 --> 0:24:58.040
<v Speaker 1>So angel list, I think is the easiest to understand.

0:24:58.520 --> 0:25:01.480
<v Speaker 1>There's a list of potential cl it needs to interview.

0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:04.879
<v Speaker 1>You could either invest in anyone or into a whole

0:25:04.920 --> 0:25:11.359
<v Speaker 1>group at once. That that follows the traditional angel investing model,

0:25:11.480 --> 0:25:15.760
<v Speaker 1>only minus the uh, the venture capitalists or the angels.

0:25:15.800 --> 0:25:18.760
<v Speaker 1>It's the crowdfunding. So I think most people get that.

0:25:19.240 --> 0:25:21.640
<v Speaker 1>Let's let's talk about Kickstarter a bit, because I think

0:25:21.720 --> 0:25:26.159
<v Speaker 1>Kickstarter sort of crosses the lines. We we've seen and

0:25:26.359 --> 0:25:30.360
<v Speaker 1>other similar groups to Kickstarter, there's a few of them.

0:25:30.880 --> 0:25:33.919
<v Speaker 1>We've seen people who have said I'm thinking about recording

0:25:33.960 --> 0:25:37.119
<v Speaker 1>an album I'm not, and people who are famous musicians.

0:25:37.600 --> 0:25:40.520
<v Speaker 1>If enough people say they're interested, if we raise fifty tho,

0:25:41.240 --> 0:25:43.880
<v Speaker 1>I'll record this album and they do. Or we want

0:25:43.880 --> 0:25:46.720
<v Speaker 1>to put on a play, we need this much money here.

0:25:46.800 --> 0:25:49.040
<v Speaker 1>My prior plays if you like to see me do

0:25:49.080 --> 0:25:52.199
<v Speaker 1>another one that makes perfect sense. And you're a contributor,

0:25:52.320 --> 0:25:54.639
<v Speaker 1>you're you don't get any of the upside of that,

0:25:54.680 --> 0:25:58.120
<v Speaker 1>but you helped bring something to light. But then there's

0:25:58.160 --> 0:26:02.400
<v Speaker 1>something like oculus left and I thought that was sort

0:26:02.440 --> 0:26:05.280
<v Speaker 1>of I thought that was sort of a great, great

0:26:05.320 --> 0:26:08.840
<v Speaker 1>situation and wrote about it. Look, it's clear the people

0:26:08.840 --> 0:26:13.080
<v Speaker 1>who were contributing to Kickstarter, no, they're not equity investors.

0:26:13.119 --> 0:26:15.439
<v Speaker 1>But you get a company that raises a couple of

0:26:15.480 --> 0:26:19.480
<v Speaker 1>million dollars and then turns around and sells himself to

0:26:20.280 --> 0:26:23.800
<v Speaker 1>Facebook for a couple of billion dollars. That sort of

0:26:23.880 --> 0:26:26.800
<v Speaker 1>leaves a bad taste in people's mouth. How do we

0:26:26.840 --> 0:26:31.520
<v Speaker 1>define what kickstarter is and how do we make sure

0:26:31.600 --> 0:26:34.919
<v Speaker 1>that we're not being taken advantage of if we like,

0:26:35.000 --> 0:26:37.719
<v Speaker 1>oh that's a cool idea, let's fund that, and and

0:26:37.720 --> 0:26:40.879
<v Speaker 1>then the founders cash out. Well, I think the Oculus

0:26:41.000 --> 0:26:45.480
<v Speaker 1>rift investment on Kickstarter happened at a time when kick

0:26:45.520 --> 0:26:47.880
<v Speaker 1>startle was a lot of different things to a lot

0:26:47.880 --> 0:26:52.280
<v Speaker 1>of different people. Um, they were a philanthropic crowdfunding platform.

0:26:52.440 --> 0:26:56.200
<v Speaker 1>They were a platform for demand generation where you say,

0:26:56.240 --> 0:26:59.639
<v Speaker 1>here's my product. If you sort of contribute to my campaign,

0:27:00.040 --> 0:27:03.480
<v Speaker 1>you will get one of the early instances of that product.

0:27:03.520 --> 0:27:06.280
<v Speaker 1>And so they were sort of estimating demand there, and

0:27:06.320 --> 0:27:09.919
<v Speaker 1>there were companies like Oculus that were getting off the ground. Um.

0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:12.399
<v Speaker 1>I don't think we're going to see another Oculus on

0:27:12.560 --> 0:27:16.000
<v Speaker 1>Kickstarter for two reasons. One is that for a company

0:27:16.119 --> 0:27:19.359
<v Speaker 1>like that, there are far better platforms today where you

0:27:19.359 --> 0:27:22.720
<v Speaker 1>actually do sell equity and you get access to a

0:27:22.840 --> 0:27:25.840
<v Speaker 1>much more sophisticated bunch of equity investors. Give us a

0:27:25.840 --> 0:27:28.920
<v Speaker 1>few examples of those platforms. Well, angel Lists is certainly

0:27:28.960 --> 0:27:31.840
<v Speaker 1>one of them. There's another one called circle up. Um.

0:27:31.840 --> 0:27:34.199
<v Speaker 1>I've been hearing a lot about one called we funder.

0:27:35.160 --> 0:27:38.359
<v Speaker 1>All of these are where you can become a tiny

0:27:38.480 --> 0:27:41.719
<v Speaker 1>venture capitalist by like you know, tapping into people who

0:27:41.800 --> 0:27:46.000
<v Speaker 1>are listing their businesses. Um. But Kickstarter has also shifted

0:27:46.040 --> 0:27:50.639
<v Speaker 1>direction and positioned themselves more squarely as a philanthropic site,

0:27:51.320 --> 0:27:55.560
<v Speaker 1>and so they're less likely to attract investors into the

0:27:55.600 --> 0:27:58.679
<v Speaker 1>next Oculus Rift. That's that's quite fast. And I mean,

0:27:58.680 --> 0:28:00.680
<v Speaker 1>if you ask me, I figure that the right thing

0:28:00.680 --> 0:28:02.679
<v Speaker 1>for Oculus Rift to have done would have been to

0:28:02.720 --> 0:28:04.639
<v Speaker 1>sort of give back some of the equity to all

0:28:04.680 --> 0:28:06.760
<v Speaker 1>of its early funders, even though they didn't have to.

0:28:07.160 --> 0:28:08.719
<v Speaker 1>I think that would have been that would have been

0:28:08.760 --> 0:28:11.080
<v Speaker 1>the right thing to do. Yeah, much nicer end to

0:28:11.280 --> 0:28:14.600
<v Speaker 1>end to that story, turns out that some folks are

0:28:14.640 --> 0:28:16.639
<v Speaker 1>nice than others. What are you gonna do? And and again,

0:28:16.840 --> 0:28:19.040
<v Speaker 1>they didn't do an oculus rift, didn't do anything wrong.

0:28:19.240 --> 0:28:22.440
<v Speaker 1>They never promised that they were going to actually give

0:28:22.720 --> 0:28:26.240
<v Speaker 1>capital back to people. But anytime there's a two billion

0:28:26.640 --> 0:28:30.800
<v Speaker 1>dollar windfall on a two million dollar investment, it's piggish

0:28:30.880 --> 0:28:34.080
<v Speaker 1>not to at least do something for the people who

0:28:34.119 --> 0:28:36.240
<v Speaker 1>got you off the ground with that. But that that's

0:28:36.280 --> 0:28:38.480
<v Speaker 1>just my perspective, and I think we're going to see

0:28:38.560 --> 0:28:41.520
<v Speaker 1>sort of a similar thing, a similar sentiment among the

0:28:41.560 --> 0:28:44.760
<v Speaker 1>providers and the sharing economy when Uber and Lyft and

0:28:45.080 --> 0:28:49.280
<v Speaker 1>b and Big Public because the providers on these platforms

0:28:49.320 --> 0:28:53.960
<v Speaker 1>on shareholders, especially the drivers or the host So what

0:28:54.120 --> 0:28:57.200
<v Speaker 1>have you? And didn't Etsy do something with some of

0:28:57.240 --> 0:29:00.760
<v Speaker 1>its early I may be misremembering this is either Etsy

0:29:00.920 --> 0:29:05.760
<v Speaker 1>or another um. Well, there's a new platform called Juno

0:29:06.000 --> 0:29:10.280
<v Speaker 1>that is an Uber competitor that has reserved fifty of

0:29:10.320 --> 0:29:14.640
<v Speaker 1>its equity for providers for drivers whoever the driver will

0:29:14.640 --> 0:29:18.400
<v Speaker 1>participate in the upside YEP, it's funny because you know

0:29:18.480 --> 0:29:22.200
<v Speaker 1>there's the old joke the second maskets the cheese. Uber

0:29:22.440 --> 0:29:25.160
<v Speaker 1>was the pioneer. They they did all the heavy lifting.

0:29:26.240 --> 0:29:28.239
<v Speaker 1>I wonder if someone else could come in and jiu

0:29:28.360 --> 0:29:32.160
<v Speaker 1>jitsu them with the technology. Hey, we're just like Uber,

0:29:32.280 --> 0:29:34.400
<v Speaker 1>only you get equity and when we go public, it's

0:29:34.440 --> 0:29:37.400
<v Speaker 1>part of yours. It seems like a really interesting twist

0:29:37.720 --> 0:29:41.360
<v Speaker 1>um on the model. It really is, And I think

0:29:41.400 --> 0:29:45.240
<v Speaker 1>it's compounded further by the fact that the relationship between

0:29:45.320 --> 0:29:49.080
<v Speaker 1>providers and platform is not employment, but it's more hands

0:29:49.120 --> 0:29:51.000
<v Speaker 1>a So there's nothing like a non compete. I mean,

0:29:51.000 --> 0:29:53.800
<v Speaker 1>you couldn't sort of build a Walmart next to Walmart

0:29:54.240 --> 0:29:56.600
<v Speaker 1>and steal all their um, you know, sort of well

0:29:56.680 --> 0:29:59.400
<v Speaker 1>qualified and highly screened workers. But you can do that

0:29:59.480 --> 0:30:02.760
<v Speaker 1>with Uber. So so let's talk about what you just reference,

0:30:02.920 --> 0:30:07.560
<v Speaker 1>the gig economy. So we have fifty three million freelance

0:30:07.600 --> 0:30:10.800
<v Speaker 1>workers here in the United States. Um, I think the

0:30:10.880 --> 0:30:13.400
<v Speaker 1>numbers are one in far one in four? Do it

0:30:13.520 --> 0:30:18.640
<v Speaker 1>for some supplemental income? Is this gonna ever replace full

0:30:18.680 --> 0:30:20.800
<v Speaker 1>time work or is this always going to be a

0:30:20.960 --> 0:30:24.320
<v Speaker 1>side gig um? I think it's gonna replace full time

0:30:24.400 --> 0:30:26.920
<v Speaker 1>work for a lot of the workforce over the next

0:30:27.000 --> 0:30:30.400
<v Speaker 1>couple of decades. Um. I think what we're gonna see

0:30:30.520 --> 0:30:33.080
<v Speaker 1>is a shift in the role of the individual in

0:30:33.120 --> 0:30:37.280
<v Speaker 1>the economy away from someone who provides talent and labor

0:30:37.440 --> 0:30:41.360
<v Speaker 1>for a wage and towards someone who runs a tiny

0:30:41.400 --> 0:30:44.960
<v Speaker 1>business through a platform in exchange for a share of

0:30:45.000 --> 0:30:47.880
<v Speaker 1>the revenue that the business generates. And you you called

0:30:47.920 --> 0:30:50.680
<v Speaker 1>this a micro business, yep, or I call these people

0:30:50.760 --> 0:30:54.920
<v Speaker 1>micro entrepreneurs, and you know, I think that that's really

0:30:55.000 --> 0:30:57.640
<v Speaker 1>the future of work because a lot of things that

0:30:57.760 --> 0:31:00.720
<v Speaker 1>are done by human labor today are going to be

0:31:00.800 --> 0:31:04.040
<v Speaker 1>done by machines in the future. Algorithms are reading everything

0:31:04.120 --> 0:31:08.560
<v Speaker 1>absolutely and um. We're also seeing the emergence at scale

0:31:08.680 --> 0:31:11.800
<v Speaker 1>of these crowd based capitalism platforms, both on the finance

0:31:11.840 --> 0:31:14.720
<v Speaker 1>side and on the sort of the real world services side.

0:31:15.040 --> 0:31:18.160
<v Speaker 1>I expect we'll see platforms like this in the energy sector.

0:31:18.320 --> 0:31:21.760
<v Speaker 1>Once battery technology gets good enough to store the solar

0:31:21.760 --> 0:31:24.800
<v Speaker 1>power that you generate, we'll see it emerge on the

0:31:24.840 --> 0:31:27.800
<v Speaker 1>low end or the easy end of healthcare, once trust

0:31:27.840 --> 0:31:30.200
<v Speaker 1>gets high enough that you can sort of go onto

0:31:30.200 --> 0:31:32.160
<v Speaker 1>the platform and get a registered nurse to come and

0:31:32.200 --> 0:31:35.160
<v Speaker 1>stitch up the finger that you cut cooking and so

0:31:35.280 --> 0:31:38.320
<v Speaker 1>at that point, and you know, I'm already seeing platforms

0:31:38.360 --> 0:31:43.640
<v Speaker 1>like this for accounting, for law, for architecture, forum sales,

0:31:43.760 --> 0:31:46.760
<v Speaker 1>for high end computer programming, where you can start to

0:31:46.920 --> 0:31:49.920
<v Speaker 1>run your own tiny business as an individual rather than

0:31:49.960 --> 0:31:53.320
<v Speaker 1>working for someone else. So it's definitely the work model

0:31:53.360 --> 0:31:56.000
<v Speaker 1>of the future. And we've really got to rethink our

0:31:56.200 --> 0:31:59.760
<v Speaker 1>education system in a way that prepares our kids for

0:31:59.840 --> 0:32:02.160
<v Speaker 1>this world of work where they're not going to be

0:32:02.240 --> 0:32:05.480
<v Speaker 1>joining a well structured job that gives them a career path,

0:32:05.760 --> 0:32:07.640
<v Speaker 1>but they're gonna have to make it up on their own.

0:32:08.040 --> 0:32:12.480
<v Speaker 1>It's ongoing skills and continuing to accumulate and improve them

0:32:12.560 --> 0:32:17.000
<v Speaker 1>in order to do those micro entrepreneurial tests. That that's

0:32:17.000 --> 0:32:20.800
<v Speaker 1>how fascinating. So all of this raises a fascinating question.

0:32:20.840 --> 0:32:25.560
<v Speaker 1>We we know GDP is not a terrific measure of

0:32:25.600 --> 0:32:29.760
<v Speaker 1>what the economy is totally producing. And then what's probably

0:32:30.000 --> 0:32:34.600
<v Speaker 1>my least favorite data point in terms of its accuracy

0:32:34.640 --> 0:32:37.880
<v Speaker 1>is the productivity numbers, which I think completely failed to

0:32:37.960 --> 0:32:41.560
<v Speaker 1>capture all of the impact of technology and how it

0:32:42.480 --> 0:32:44.520
<v Speaker 1>the fact that we have tens of millions of people

0:32:44.600 --> 0:32:48.280
<v Speaker 1>running micro businesses is not reflected in those data. So

0:32:48.720 --> 0:32:53.080
<v Speaker 1>two questions. First, are we no longer accurately measuring the

0:32:53.120 --> 0:32:57.120
<v Speaker 1>economy based on the changes in digital technology? And second,

0:32:57.680 --> 0:33:00.000
<v Speaker 1>how do we catch up? How can we accurately capture

0:33:00.000 --> 0:33:02.520
<v Speaker 1>of those metrics. Well, on the first point, I do

0:33:02.640 --> 0:33:05.480
<v Speaker 1>think that there is a growing gap between what the

0:33:05.520 --> 0:33:08.840
<v Speaker 1>government statistics say and what the state of the economy

0:33:08.920 --> 0:33:11.560
<v Speaker 1>really is in terms of the size of the economy,

0:33:11.560 --> 0:33:14.720
<v Speaker 1>in terms of the amount of employment, and in terms

0:33:14.720 --> 0:33:19.520
<v Speaker 1>of like the value creation from technological innovation. Um. You know,

0:33:19.560 --> 0:33:22.680
<v Speaker 1>the BLS has a tough job because, um they've got

0:33:22.680 --> 0:33:25.920
<v Speaker 1>to capture these changes in real time, in real time,

0:33:25.960 --> 0:33:29.280
<v Speaker 1>but they also need to maintain historical consistency because we

0:33:29.320 --> 0:33:30.800
<v Speaker 1>want to see trends, so they can't just sort of

0:33:30.840 --> 0:33:33.080
<v Speaker 1>throw out their survey and pull in a new one.

0:33:33.560 --> 0:33:36.160
<v Speaker 1>I do know that they worked over the summer and

0:33:36.240 --> 0:33:40.080
<v Speaker 1>adding new questions to the current Employment survey to try

0:33:40.120 --> 0:33:42.280
<v Speaker 1>and capture some of these effects, but I don't know

0:33:42.320 --> 0:33:45.680
<v Speaker 1>if they will be enough. They make these changes very

0:33:45.720 --> 0:33:50.440
<v Speaker 1>slowly over long periods of time. It's a real gradual shift,

0:33:50.600 --> 0:33:52.959
<v Speaker 1>and it's almost imperceptible, and by the time they make

0:33:53.040 --> 0:33:58.240
<v Speaker 1>the change, it's already having a substantial deviation from from

0:33:58.240 --> 0:34:00.560
<v Speaker 1>what they should be measured absolute Lee and I think

0:34:00.560 --> 0:34:03.040
<v Speaker 1>that the fundamental shift that we're going to see is

0:34:03.080 --> 0:34:08.920
<v Speaker 1>away from measuring employment by counting jobs and towards measuring

0:34:09.320 --> 0:34:13.480
<v Speaker 1>um activity by human beings in terms of the total

0:34:13.480 --> 0:34:16.880
<v Speaker 1>amount of work. We've been speaking with Professor are runs

0:34:16.960 --> 0:34:21.160
<v Speaker 1>Underajan of n y u Stern. If you enjoy this conversation,

0:34:21.239 --> 0:34:24.120
<v Speaker 1>be sure and stick around for our podcast extras, where

0:34:24.120 --> 0:34:27.759
<v Speaker 1>we keep the digital tape rolling and continue discussing all

0:34:27.880 --> 0:34:32.759
<v Speaker 1>things economic, finance and investing. You can check out my

0:34:32.880 --> 0:34:35.880
<v Speaker 1>daily column on Bloomberg View dot com or follow me

0:34:35.920 --> 0:34:40.320
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at Rid Halts. We love your comments, feedback

0:34:40.400 --> 0:34:44.920
<v Speaker 1>and suggestions right to us at m IB podcast at

0:34:44.960 --> 0:34:48.960
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot net. I'm Barry Ri Halts. You've been listening

0:34:49.000 --> 0:34:57.080
<v Speaker 1>to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio, brought to you

0:34:57.120 --> 0:35:00.560
<v Speaker 1>by Bank of America Merrill Lynch seeing what other have seen,

0:35:00.800 --> 0:35:04.319
<v Speaker 1>but uncovering what others may not. Global Research that helps

0:35:04.360 --> 0:35:08.280
<v Speaker 1>you harness disruption. Voted top global research firm five years running,

0:35:08.560 --> 0:35:12.640
<v Speaker 1>Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Finner and Smith Incorporated. Welcome to the podcast,

0:35:12.840 --> 0:35:14.839
<v Speaker 1>um Aaron, thank you so much for doing this. This

0:35:14.880 --> 0:35:17.520
<v Speaker 1>is really interesting. I enjoyed the book. I found it

0:35:17.560 --> 0:35:21.560
<v Speaker 1>to be an intriguing way to sort of reorganize in

0:35:21.600 --> 0:35:24.239
<v Speaker 1>my mind what's going on in the broader economy, and

0:35:24.239 --> 0:35:27.560
<v Speaker 1>and there's some really fascinating things in it. UM. Let's

0:35:27.600 --> 0:35:30.400
<v Speaker 1>talk about a few things that we missed during the

0:35:30.480 --> 0:35:34.200
<v Speaker 1>broadcast portion. There was something you had written early in

0:35:34.239 --> 0:35:40.000
<v Speaker 1>the book that I thought was interesting about three technological invariants.

0:35:40.160 --> 0:35:47.400
<v Speaker 1>I thought that was really intriguing digitalization, exponential growth, and modularity.

0:35:47.440 --> 0:35:50.560
<v Speaker 1>I think most listeners know what each of those three

0:35:50.600 --> 0:35:55.200
<v Speaker 1>things are. Why is that unique to technology and why

0:35:55.280 --> 0:35:59.719
<v Speaker 1>is it unvarying? Well, it's UM trying to come up

0:35:59.800 --> 0:36:04.040
<v Speaker 1>with three things that don't change about digital technology was

0:36:04.080 --> 0:36:07.840
<v Speaker 1>in response to the fact that so many things do

0:36:08.040 --> 0:36:11.440
<v Speaker 1>seem to change or digital technology, and so how do

0:36:11.480 --> 0:36:14.359
<v Speaker 1>you frame what the future is going to look like?

0:36:15.239 --> 0:36:18.239
<v Speaker 1>And so UM to me, these the combination of these

0:36:18.280 --> 0:36:22.279
<v Speaker 1>three things, like, you know, the digitization of information UM,

0:36:22.400 --> 0:36:26.600
<v Speaker 1>exponential growth in bandwidth and computing power and storage, and

0:36:26.680 --> 0:36:29.880
<v Speaker 1>the idea that you can call on the capabilities of

0:36:29.880 --> 0:36:34.000
<v Speaker 1>a digital machine through software UM and you don't have

0:36:34.040 --> 0:36:37.200
<v Speaker 1>to sort of rebuild the capabilities into a new machine

0:36:37.239 --> 0:36:39.399
<v Speaker 1>you can just call on it. All of these are

0:36:39.560 --> 0:36:42.680
<v Speaker 1>unique to digital technologies. There's what they sort of set

0:36:42.680 --> 0:36:45.720
<v Speaker 1>them apart from say the steam engine or the other

0:36:46.239 --> 0:36:49.560
<v Speaker 1>general purpose technologies in the past. And I think that

0:36:49.560 --> 0:36:53.879
<v Speaker 1>that's These are the three things that are causing um

0:36:54.040 --> 0:36:58.359
<v Speaker 1>the pace at which digital technology is changing the world.

0:36:58.600 --> 0:37:03.560
<v Speaker 1>The second derivative, the rate of change is accelerating and

0:37:03.600 --> 0:37:07.840
<v Speaker 1>accelerating in a in an ever faster mode. Yeah, in

0:37:07.719 --> 0:37:10.880
<v Speaker 1>in some ways, the consumerization of digital the fact that

0:37:10.920 --> 0:37:14.120
<v Speaker 1>we've got sort of handheld computers that we can use

0:37:14.160 --> 0:37:18.000
<v Speaker 1>and carry around with a morble portable. Yeah. And then

0:37:18.040 --> 0:37:21.480
<v Speaker 1>on top of that, the app economy has allowed for

0:37:21.800 --> 0:37:28.840
<v Speaker 1>these really specialty, narrow purpose driven products, and that continues

0:37:28.880 --> 0:37:32.840
<v Speaker 1>to explode because the digitization and the exponential growth or

0:37:32.840 --> 0:37:35.760
<v Speaker 1>what put the smartphone in your hand at an affordable price,

0:37:36.280 --> 0:37:39.160
<v Speaker 1>and it's what makes one be able to predict twenty

0:37:39.200 --> 0:37:42.040
<v Speaker 1>years ago that this is going to happen. And then

0:37:42.080 --> 0:37:45.000
<v Speaker 1>the modularity means that you don't have to build all

0:37:45.040 --> 0:37:47.920
<v Speaker 1>the capabilities into the phone when you buy it. You

0:37:47.960 --> 0:37:51.040
<v Speaker 1>can start to sort of download them and extend what

0:37:51.200 --> 0:37:54.120
<v Speaker 1>your phone does for you in a modular way. Over

0:37:54.239 --> 0:37:58.960
<v Speaker 1>time and well, and that basically is what's going to

0:37:59.000 --> 0:38:03.680
<v Speaker 1>be the ongoing development of information technology. Those three and

0:38:04.120 --> 0:38:07.279
<v Speaker 1>and this is gonna explode even further as three D

0:38:07.360 --> 0:38:10.480
<v Speaker 1>printing comes of age. So your reference that it's it's

0:38:10.560 --> 0:38:14.719
<v Speaker 1>the old format was reductive. You you know, I I

0:38:14.880 --> 0:38:18.720
<v Speaker 1>forgot whose quote I'm stealing. Um, maybe it was michel Angelo.

0:38:18.760 --> 0:38:21.520
<v Speaker 1>I start with a block of marble and take everything away.

0:38:21.600 --> 0:38:24.720
<v Speaker 1>That's not the final sculpture, which is a little glib.

0:38:25.520 --> 0:38:29.200
<v Speaker 1>But three D printing is the opposite. It's additive. You're

0:38:29.239 --> 0:38:32.480
<v Speaker 1>adding layer on top of layer, and it's the design

0:38:32.600 --> 0:38:36.759
<v Speaker 1>that matters, not not necessarily the physical skill and in

0:38:36.840 --> 0:38:41.080
<v Speaker 1>producing it. And so what happens because of additive manufacturing

0:38:41.200 --> 0:38:43.960
<v Speaker 1>is that you might start to see what happened to

0:38:44.000 --> 0:38:47.520
<v Speaker 1>the newspaper industry happened to other industries where, you know,

0:38:47.600 --> 0:38:51.960
<v Speaker 1>the newspaper industry also relied on the movement of physical goods.

0:38:52.320 --> 0:38:55.520
<v Speaker 1>The newspapers, the distribution networks. Music was the same thing,

0:38:55.560 --> 0:38:58.520
<v Speaker 1>the retailing channels. All of that went away when the

0:38:58.520 --> 0:39:03.960
<v Speaker 1>products became digitized. Now, if you're selling jewelry in ten years, um,

0:39:04.000 --> 0:39:06.920
<v Speaker 1>you may not need a physical distribution network. You may

0:39:07.000 --> 0:39:09.200
<v Speaker 1>just have to come up with the best designs because

0:39:09.200 --> 0:39:12.880
<v Speaker 1>everybody is printing the jewelry that they want and adapting

0:39:12.920 --> 0:39:15.720
<v Speaker 1>it on their home three D printers, So a whole

0:39:15.760 --> 0:39:19.920
<v Speaker 1>host of new products start to become purely digital in

0:39:20.040 --> 0:39:24.680
<v Speaker 1>terms of selling them, and the consumer by themselves sort

0:39:24.680 --> 0:39:27.960
<v Speaker 1>of renders the design into physical form in the same

0:39:28.000 --> 0:39:30.799
<v Speaker 1>way that we're rendering the news into something that we

0:39:30.800 --> 0:39:34.480
<v Speaker 1>could read, or rendering the music. So so h three

0:39:34.560 --> 0:39:38.600
<v Speaker 1>D printing. Has There been some nice three D printers,

0:39:38.640 --> 0:39:41.160
<v Speaker 1>but it's not the sort of thing. Just about every

0:39:41.200 --> 0:39:44.280
<v Speaker 1>house in the United States has refrigerator, has a television

0:39:44.320 --> 0:39:46.880
<v Speaker 1>as a washing machine, but not every house has a

0:39:46.920 --> 0:39:50.600
<v Speaker 1>digital printer, a three D digital printer. How far off

0:39:50.640 --> 0:39:52.959
<v Speaker 1>in the future is that and what does that mean

0:39:53.080 --> 0:39:58.040
<v Speaker 1>for consumption of future goods and physical retail stores. Well,

0:39:58.080 --> 0:40:00.640
<v Speaker 1>I think that it's about ten years in to the future.

0:40:00.719 --> 0:40:05.120
<v Speaker 1>On two fronts. Um you will probably have a sort

0:40:05.120 --> 0:40:08.040
<v Speaker 1>of a limited functionality three D printer in your own home,

0:40:08.920 --> 0:40:11.520
<v Speaker 1>but there will be a network of print shops in

0:40:11.560 --> 0:40:14.319
<v Speaker 1>your neighborhood that will start to play some of the

0:40:14.440 --> 0:40:17.640
<v Speaker 1>role that the local retailer plays. Where you know, you

0:40:17.680 --> 0:40:21.040
<v Speaker 1>may not you for the more complicated items that need

0:40:21.080 --> 0:40:22.440
<v Speaker 1>to be printed. You may not want to do it

0:40:22.480 --> 0:40:24.000
<v Speaker 1>at home, but you just sort of walk down the

0:40:24.000 --> 0:40:26.799
<v Speaker 1>street and you know, send your design to the three

0:40:26.840 --> 0:40:28.960
<v Speaker 1>D printing shop and then pick up the object and

0:40:29.000 --> 0:40:31.960
<v Speaker 1>bring it back. This. You know, this is one of

0:40:32.040 --> 0:40:35.919
<v Speaker 1>many forces that is going to change physical retailing over

0:40:35.960 --> 0:40:39.359
<v Speaker 1>the coming decade. UM And I assume you're not a

0:40:39.400 --> 0:40:44.680
<v Speaker 1>big investor in large retail shopping malls. No, I'm not

0:40:44.719 --> 0:40:46.840
<v Speaker 1>a big investor in shopping malls. I'm not an investor

0:40:46.880 --> 0:40:50.319
<v Speaker 1>in power companies either. Why is that that's interesting? Well,

0:40:50.360 --> 0:40:53.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm starting to see us getting close to a point

0:40:53.880 --> 0:40:58.920
<v Speaker 1>where there will be good enough battery technology for us

0:40:58.920 --> 0:41:02.360
<v Speaker 1>to start to think of the individual as the producer

0:41:02.440 --> 0:41:04.839
<v Speaker 1>of power for the neighborhood. I mean, there are some

0:41:04.880 --> 0:41:07.080
<v Speaker 1>people who have a lot of roof space and they

0:41:07.080 --> 0:41:09.839
<v Speaker 1>don't need as much power. There are other people who

0:41:09.880 --> 0:41:12.600
<v Speaker 1>need more power they don't have enough roof space. And so,

0:41:13.360 --> 0:41:16.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, solar power technology right now is a I

0:41:16.960 --> 0:41:21.200
<v Speaker 1>install it for myself now, once we have good battery

0:41:21.239 --> 0:41:25.799
<v Speaker 1>technology that can store the power um and ways in

0:41:25.840 --> 0:41:28.799
<v Speaker 1>which we can retransmit it to people in our neighborhoods,

0:41:28.800 --> 0:41:31.920
<v Speaker 1>either overrid or smart grid where that routes it and

0:41:32.000 --> 0:41:35.120
<v Speaker 1>knows who's supplying and who's consuming it. Yeah, that's one way.

0:41:35.160 --> 0:41:39.240
<v Speaker 1>Another way is to actually transport the batteries themselves, physical batteries,

0:41:39.239 --> 0:41:42.960
<v Speaker 1>the physical batteries. That happens when it's local. Then then

0:41:43.000 --> 0:41:46.840
<v Speaker 1>you start to sort of realize that the fundamental underlying

0:41:46.840 --> 0:41:52.240
<v Speaker 1>economics of producing solar power dramatically superior to the coal

0:41:52.360 --> 0:41:56.200
<v Speaker 1>and gas technologies because they're not mechanicals. You don't lose

0:41:56.239 --> 0:41:58.560
<v Speaker 1>so much of the power as you're generating it. But

0:41:58.640 --> 0:42:04.200
<v Speaker 1>there's still solar still relatively inefficient. The photovoltaic cells capture

0:42:04.239 --> 0:42:08.480
<v Speaker 1>a tiny percentage of the solar energy that hits it.

0:42:08.880 --> 0:42:11.520
<v Speaker 1>We lose some in transmission, we lose some in storage.

0:42:12.000 --> 0:42:15.480
<v Speaker 1>How far away is that technology from? How many years

0:42:15.480 --> 0:42:19.279
<v Speaker 1>away is technology from what you're describing a higher efficiency

0:42:19.400 --> 0:42:22.680
<v Speaker 1>photo vote ex l and a much lower loss and

0:42:22.840 --> 0:42:27.239
<v Speaker 1>much longer lasting battery for for the storage of that energy. Well,

0:42:27.320 --> 0:42:33.000
<v Speaker 1>both those technologies are progressing rapidly, the photovoltaic technology perhaps

0:42:33.000 --> 0:42:36.120
<v Speaker 1>sort of more rapidly. Um, But I think what the

0:42:36.160 --> 0:42:39.600
<v Speaker 1>real key missing piece of the infrastructure here is is

0:42:39.640 --> 0:42:42.520
<v Speaker 1>the storage technology where you don't sort of lose it,

0:42:42.680 --> 0:42:46.320
<v Speaker 1>use it or lose it um And once that happens,

0:42:46.360 --> 0:42:50.160
<v Speaker 1>the critical infrastructure won't be the distribution infrastructure of the

0:42:50.200 --> 0:42:53.600
<v Speaker 1>production infrastructure. It will be the platform that sort of

0:42:53.680 --> 0:42:57.799
<v Speaker 1>ties together all these generators of power individual generators of

0:42:57.840 --> 0:43:02.520
<v Speaker 1>power and creates a market where this becomes comparable to

0:43:02.560 --> 0:43:05.799
<v Speaker 1>getting your power from the power plant. And so I

0:43:05.840 --> 0:43:08.239
<v Speaker 1>think we're going to see the emergence of this more

0:43:08.360 --> 0:43:12.759
<v Speaker 1>rapidly in countries where the traditional power infrastructure isn't quite

0:43:12.760 --> 0:43:15.640
<v Speaker 1>as reliable as it is in the United States. And

0:43:15.680 --> 0:43:18.680
<v Speaker 1>that's those are the fringes where you will see these

0:43:18.880 --> 0:43:22.040
<v Speaker 1>energy platforms come of age more in emerging markets than

0:43:22.120 --> 0:43:25.879
<v Speaker 1>developed nations. Initially, Yeah, but then once these grow up

0:43:25.920 --> 0:43:28.879
<v Speaker 1>and mature there, then they will start to take on, like,

0:43:28.960 --> 0:43:31.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, sort of the traditional energy industry. You know,

0:43:31.239 --> 0:43:34.400
<v Speaker 1>it's funny when you look at the emerging markets. They

0:43:34.680 --> 0:43:38.280
<v Speaker 1>jumped over plane old telephone lines. They went right to mobile.

0:43:38.840 --> 0:43:41.239
<v Speaker 1>Why do we want to wire an entire country for

0:43:41.320 --> 0:43:44.719
<v Speaker 1>phone when they're playing all telephone service. When mobile is

0:43:44.760 --> 0:43:48.759
<v Speaker 1>here and it's relatively cheap, and we're gonna more or

0:43:48.840 --> 0:43:51.600
<v Speaker 1>less see the same thing in energy is that is

0:43:51.600 --> 0:43:55.120
<v Speaker 1>that the expectation absolutely I think that the you know,

0:43:55.160 --> 0:43:58.920
<v Speaker 1>sort of the future for a lot of emerging markets

0:43:59.320 --> 0:44:02.719
<v Speaker 1>that don't reliable power supply is going to be a

0:44:02.719 --> 0:44:06.560
<v Speaker 1>more advanced future than the present for us today. And

0:44:06.920 --> 0:44:09.720
<v Speaker 1>again during the broadcast portion, we were talking about uber

0:44:09.760 --> 0:44:12.480
<v Speaker 1>and we were talking about lift. We didn't talk about

0:44:12.600 --> 0:44:15.920
<v Speaker 1>the car rent. So those are driving services where someone

0:44:16.000 --> 0:44:20.000
<v Speaker 1>will drive you. But you tell told the story of

0:44:20.560 --> 0:44:22.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, you live in New York, you don't have

0:44:22.640 --> 0:44:25.200
<v Speaker 1>a car, and then here are all these cars that

0:44:25.280 --> 0:44:28.640
<v Speaker 1>spend twenty three hours a day sitting there doing nothing.

0:44:29.280 --> 0:44:31.920
<v Speaker 1>You just wanted to borrow a car, do something for

0:44:32.000 --> 0:44:34.520
<v Speaker 1>half hour, put it back and leave a leave a

0:44:34.560 --> 0:44:38.080
<v Speaker 1>twenty on the dashboard. There are a bunch of these

0:44:38.120 --> 0:44:44.400
<v Speaker 1>services from zip car to get around to drive e um.

0:44:44.520 --> 0:44:47.080
<v Speaker 1>How what is their future like and and are there

0:44:47.680 --> 0:44:50.640
<v Speaker 1>what does this mean for the future of ownership To

0:44:50.920 --> 0:44:54.600
<v Speaker 1>someone like me who grew up a car meant freedom.

0:44:55.040 --> 0:44:57.960
<v Speaker 1>Kids the current generation they don't perceive it that way.

0:44:57.960 --> 0:45:00.640
<v Speaker 1>They could always get a car from somewhere. Yeah. I mean,

0:45:00.680 --> 0:45:02.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, you look at the number of sixteen to

0:45:02.560 --> 0:45:05.720
<v Speaker 1>nineteen year roles who have driver's licenses in the United States.

0:45:06.040 --> 0:45:08.360
<v Speaker 1>I think back in the eighties, it was over eighty

0:45:08.360 --> 0:45:12.640
<v Speaker 1>five percent. Today it's under fifty. That's amazing. So so

0:45:12.840 --> 0:45:15.120
<v Speaker 1>some of them are just going to stick with Uber. Yeah,

0:45:15.239 --> 0:45:18.640
<v Speaker 1>and some of them, the half that has a license,

0:45:19.000 --> 0:45:20.839
<v Speaker 1>they don't need to buy a car, They could just

0:45:21.640 --> 0:45:25.080
<v Speaker 1>rent one on demand from one of these services. Absolutely because, um,

0:45:25.080 --> 0:45:28.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, that notion that your car defines who you are,

0:45:28.680 --> 0:45:31.080
<v Speaker 1>all of this work that the auto industry put into

0:45:31.120 --> 0:45:35.200
<v Speaker 1>sort of making it a lifestyle, um, that's starting to

0:45:35.560 --> 0:45:38.759
<v Speaker 1>wither away for two reasons. One is that you know,

0:45:38.800 --> 0:45:40.840
<v Speaker 1>you call an uber on demand or a lift on

0:45:40.880 --> 0:45:42.560
<v Speaker 1>demand when you need, you don't really care what the

0:45:42.560 --> 0:45:44.760
<v Speaker 1>brand of the car is. You don't send it away

0:45:44.760 --> 0:45:46.560
<v Speaker 1>saying I wanted a Cadillac and you send me a

0:45:46.640 --> 0:45:50.040
<v Speaker 1>Chevy Um. But it's also that that statement of identity

0:45:50.080 --> 0:45:53.120
<v Speaker 1>among the youth is more through the mobile phone, that

0:45:53.239 --> 0:45:57.360
<v Speaker 1>they own their Instagram, Snapchat, Facebook profile, and so the

0:45:57.480 --> 0:46:00.279
<v Speaker 1>role of the automobile and defining who you are your

0:46:00.360 --> 0:46:03.520
<v Speaker 1>peers has become a lot less. So these you know,

0:46:03.600 --> 0:46:06.400
<v Speaker 1>I think that there are great prospects for platforms like

0:46:06.440 --> 0:46:10.080
<v Speaker 1>get Around on Turo in the United States, Drive, which

0:46:10.120 --> 0:46:13.359
<v Speaker 1>is taking over different countries in Europe, there's one called

0:46:13.400 --> 0:46:16.120
<v Speaker 1>pp Douche, which is, um, you know, sort of the

0:46:16.160 --> 0:46:20.400
<v Speaker 1>largest peer to peer car rental platform in China. Um.

0:46:20.440 --> 0:46:24.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, in twenty years, we would have shifted automobile,

0:46:24.440 --> 0:46:27.279
<v Speaker 1>the automobile industry to a place where for a lot

0:46:27.320 --> 0:46:31.120
<v Speaker 1>of people, it's an on demand service where the car

0:46:31.200 --> 0:46:33.719
<v Speaker 1>without the steering wheel is coming to pick you up

0:46:33.880 --> 0:46:35.520
<v Speaker 1>and take you where you want to go. So at

0:46:35.520 --> 0:46:38.520
<v Speaker 1>a certain point it's not just drivers on demand, it's

0:46:38.600 --> 0:46:41.080
<v Speaker 1>autonomous drivers on the Yeah. I mean, you know, I

0:46:41.120 --> 0:46:43.320
<v Speaker 1>know that Uber projects that that future is going to

0:46:43.400 --> 0:46:46.360
<v Speaker 1>come in five years. I think that that's aggressive, ten years,

0:46:46.360 --> 0:46:49.719
<v Speaker 1>twenty years on that range. Yeah, it's um you know,

0:46:49.800 --> 0:46:52.240
<v Speaker 1>I think the path through which we'll see it emerge

0:46:52.280 --> 0:46:56.279
<v Speaker 1>initially is through the on demand platforms, because they can

0:46:56.360 --> 0:46:58.799
<v Speaker 1>vouch for the autonomous vehicles. They can say, listen, we'll

0:46:58.880 --> 0:47:01.200
<v Speaker 1>keep the speeds under two any we'll make sure they

0:47:01.239 --> 0:47:03.960
<v Speaker 1>don't drive in front of schools, and so they will

0:47:04.000 --> 0:47:08.440
<v Speaker 1>sort of introduce them before say Tesla has a car

0:47:08.520 --> 0:47:12.000
<v Speaker 1>without a steering wheel. I'm thinking long haul truckers are

0:47:12.040 --> 0:47:16.600
<v Speaker 1>probably the first place we see that really adapted because

0:47:16.680 --> 0:47:19.759
<v Speaker 1>it's mostly highway and it's really easy to keep that defined.

0:47:20.400 --> 0:47:23.759
<v Speaker 1>Local driving is a little more challenging. Absolutely. I think

0:47:23.880 --> 0:47:26.640
<v Speaker 1>Uber bought a sort of a long haul saw the

0:47:26.760 --> 0:47:31.080
<v Speaker 1>Less trucking company. It's kind of it's kind of fascinating. Um.

0:47:31.120 --> 0:47:33.880
<v Speaker 1>And then there was before we get to my favorite questions, Uh,

0:47:34.200 --> 0:47:40.680
<v Speaker 1>there was a company mentioned in the book, Feastly. What

0:47:40.880 --> 0:47:44.120
<v Speaker 1>is Feastly, Well, Feastly is one of a number of

0:47:44.160 --> 0:47:48.040
<v Speaker 1>platforms that allow you to convert your dining room into

0:47:48.239 --> 0:47:52.160
<v Speaker 1>a restaurant occasionally. So if you like to prepare food

0:47:52.280 --> 0:47:54.839
<v Speaker 1>and you're good at it, um, you prepare a meal

0:47:54.960 --> 0:47:58.440
<v Speaker 1>you listed on Feastly, and you know that, you say, well,

0:47:58.480 --> 0:48:00.880
<v Speaker 1>here's the menu, and it's forty five dollars a seat,

0:48:01.520 --> 0:48:04.520
<v Speaker 1>and people will either book the entire table or if

0:48:04.520 --> 0:48:06.000
<v Speaker 1>you're in a new city and you want to hang

0:48:06.000 --> 0:48:08.239
<v Speaker 1>out and sort of eat at someone's home with a

0:48:08.239 --> 0:48:11.680
<v Speaker 1>bunch of locals, that's the way to do it. How

0:48:11.840 --> 0:48:15.080
<v Speaker 1>widespread has that been in terms of being adopted. So

0:48:15.120 --> 0:48:18.480
<v Speaker 1>in other words, we've already done taxis, we've already done hotels.

0:48:18.560 --> 0:48:21.320
<v Speaker 1>Now we're looking at restaurants. Yep. I think that restaurants

0:48:21.320 --> 0:48:24.440
<v Speaker 1>are being challenged by you know, these supper clubs on

0:48:24.520 --> 0:48:27.200
<v Speaker 1>demand like Feastly. And there's another one called Eat with

0:48:28.160 --> 0:48:32.080
<v Speaker 1>um with Yep, and it's essentially just a supper club

0:48:32.120 --> 0:48:35.200
<v Speaker 1>on demand. Ye. People who enjoy cooking, people who enjoy

0:48:35.480 --> 0:48:38.439
<v Speaker 1>entertaining and serving. It's a way for them to meet

0:48:38.440 --> 0:48:40.719
<v Speaker 1>people and other people to get together. Yeah, there's also

0:48:40.719 --> 0:48:44.840
<v Speaker 1>a platform called Josephine, which is not um I feed

0:48:44.840 --> 0:48:46.840
<v Speaker 1>you in my home, but I prepare it in my

0:48:46.960 --> 0:48:49.399
<v Speaker 1>kitchen and send it to you. So this is sort

0:48:49.400 --> 0:48:53.520
<v Speaker 1>of the next generation of restaurants and seamless UM. All

0:48:53.520 --> 0:48:57.920
<v Speaker 1>of these platforms are starting to face regulatory pushback from

0:48:57.960 --> 0:49:00.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, the departments of Health. I mean you've been

0:49:00.680 --> 0:49:02.680
<v Speaker 1>in a number of New York City kitchens. I mean

0:49:02.719 --> 0:49:04.600
<v Speaker 1>none of our kitchens is going to sort of pass

0:49:04.719 --> 0:49:08.279
<v Speaker 1>the Department of Health inspection, right, So probably not. And

0:49:08.320 --> 0:49:11.280
<v Speaker 1>so although it used to be that have the restaurants

0:49:11.280 --> 0:49:14.640
<v Speaker 1>in New York before the abc D grades, a lot

0:49:14.640 --> 0:49:18.040
<v Speaker 1>of those restaurants didn't have the greatest kitchens. And as

0:49:18.120 --> 0:49:20.920
<v Speaker 1>much as the restaurant industry pushed back on those grades,

0:49:22.120 --> 0:49:24.120
<v Speaker 1>it's the healthiest has ever been to go out to

0:49:24.160 --> 0:49:28.520
<v Speaker 1>eat in terms of food poisoning and things along those lines.

0:49:28.680 --> 0:49:31.000
<v Speaker 1>And I think Yelp has played a role as well

0:49:31.040 --> 0:49:34.560
<v Speaker 1>in being able to sort of direct the government attention

0:49:34.680 --> 0:49:37.800
<v Speaker 1>to the restaurants that need it. You know, most city

0:49:37.840 --> 0:49:41.439
<v Speaker 1>governments actually have automated systems that mine Yelp and sort

0:49:41.480 --> 0:49:44.200
<v Speaker 1>of look for things like food railing. And I had

0:49:44.200 --> 0:49:49.200
<v Speaker 1>no idea, and I feel sick when those that word

0:49:49.320 --> 0:49:52.440
<v Speaker 1>will kick out something and or um, you know, just

0:49:52.520 --> 0:49:55.279
<v Speaker 1>that a bunch of keywords that signal that something needs

0:49:55.280 --> 0:49:57.160
<v Speaker 1>to be done, and then they send an inspector there.

0:49:57.320 --> 0:50:01.719
<v Speaker 1>That's fascinating, the interplay of of the ratings and social

0:50:02.000 --> 0:50:05.440
<v Speaker 1>with government, and I think that's the future of regulation

0:50:05.680 --> 0:50:09.840
<v Speaker 1>for this sort of more fluid sort of personal professional blurring,

0:50:10.440 --> 0:50:13.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, restaurant and food delivery industry where you can't

0:50:13.760 --> 0:50:16.440
<v Speaker 1>have government inspectors sort of doing all the work. If

0:50:16.480 --> 0:50:19.360
<v Speaker 1>you've got half a million people who are occasionally delivering food,

0:50:19.760 --> 0:50:23.279
<v Speaker 1>you need some sort of peer feedback system, maybe pere monitoring,

0:50:23.760 --> 0:50:26.360
<v Speaker 1>looking at the data on the platform and using the

0:50:26.400 --> 0:50:29.799
<v Speaker 1>government resources more judiciously. Mess up enough time, get a

0:50:29.800 --> 0:50:32.839
<v Speaker 1>bit enough rating in the government will will shut you down,

0:50:32.920 --> 0:50:35.160
<v Speaker 1>prevent you from doing this in the Yeah, and meanwhile

0:50:35.200 --> 0:50:37.680
<v Speaker 1>the platform will send an expert to you to sort

0:50:37.719 --> 0:50:41.280
<v Speaker 1>of help you sort of get up to speed and UM,

0:50:41.320 --> 0:50:43.319
<v Speaker 1>like you know, sort of get on board before the

0:50:43.400 --> 0:50:46.080
<v Speaker 1>need for like government intervention comes along. I know I

0:50:46.160 --> 0:50:48.359
<v Speaker 1>only have you for another ten or so minutes, so

0:50:48.480 --> 0:50:52.520
<v Speaker 1>let me jump into some of my favorite questions. You've

0:50:52.560 --> 0:50:54.680
<v Speaker 1>been at in h you for a while before that.

0:50:55.560 --> 0:50:58.319
<v Speaker 1>You are a couple of other schools. Who are some

0:50:58.400 --> 0:51:01.920
<v Speaker 1>of your early mentors who really influenced your the development

0:51:02.000 --> 0:51:06.200
<v Speaker 1>of your career, And you're thinking, well, Um, I'd have

0:51:06.280 --> 0:51:10.400
<v Speaker 1>to say that um, as a researcher, the person who

0:51:10.400 --> 0:51:13.279
<v Speaker 1>perhaps was the most influential to me is an economist

0:51:13.320 --> 0:51:17.520
<v Speaker 1>called Roy Radner. Um. He's like a world class economist.

0:51:17.600 --> 0:51:19.640
<v Speaker 1>I worked a lot with him right after joining n

0:51:19.800 --> 0:51:23.400
<v Speaker 1>y U, and he really shaped my thinking on two fronts.

0:51:23.480 --> 0:51:26.880
<v Speaker 1>One is what does it mean to ask an answer

0:51:27.000 --> 0:51:30.560
<v Speaker 1>questions that really matter, to not think of research as

0:51:30.600 --> 0:51:33.000
<v Speaker 1>sort of an end to itself, but a means to

0:51:33.200 --> 0:51:36.359
<v Speaker 1>understanding the world better. And I think he's also got

0:51:36.360 --> 0:51:42.200
<v Speaker 1>an approach to treating other human beings as equals that

0:51:42.440 --> 0:51:46.160
<v Speaker 1>is really remarkable and was very influential and sort of

0:51:46.160 --> 0:51:50.600
<v Speaker 1>how I interact with the world very interesting. Um, what

0:51:50.719 --> 0:51:55.760
<v Speaker 1>about other technologists venture capitalists, other folks like that. Who's

0:51:55.840 --> 0:51:58.920
<v Speaker 1>influenced your thought process when looking at some of these

0:51:59.520 --> 0:52:02.920
<v Speaker 1>luma rolls, new companies, new ideas in the in the

0:52:02.960 --> 0:52:06.279
<v Speaker 1>sharing economy, Well, um, if I look at the sort

0:52:06.280 --> 0:52:09.040
<v Speaker 1>of the most recent crop of UM, like, you know,

0:52:09.080 --> 0:52:13.120
<v Speaker 1>technology leaders. Um. I've been very impressed by the way A.

0:52:13.239 --> 0:52:16.560
<v Speaker 1>B and B is run. And I really think that

0:52:16.600 --> 0:52:20.200
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of inspiring thought that has come out

0:52:20.239 --> 0:52:26.200
<v Speaker 1>of Brian Chesky, Jgba, and Nate the three co founders UM.

0:52:26.239 --> 0:52:30.200
<v Speaker 1>In particular sort of Brian's idea that, um, you know,

0:52:30.280 --> 0:52:34.319
<v Speaker 1>everything is a design problem that you know, you've got

0:52:34.320 --> 0:52:38.160
<v Speaker 1>to design the world that you want because otherwise someone

0:52:38.239 --> 0:52:41.080
<v Speaker 1>else is going to design it for you and you

0:52:41.120 --> 0:52:43.759
<v Speaker 1>may not like what you get, and so sort of

0:52:43.800 --> 0:52:47.319
<v Speaker 1>take control and design your own reality. I've read things

0:52:47.400 --> 0:52:49.960
<v Speaker 1>he's written about that and they're quite fascinating. Yeah, and

0:52:50.000 --> 0:52:52.400
<v Speaker 1>I think that that's core actually to why A. B

0:52:52.560 --> 0:52:55.840
<v Speaker 1>and B is successful, because the idea that you can

0:52:56.000 --> 0:52:59.640
<v Speaker 1>build a platform that will connect individuals with spare space

0:52:59.800 --> 0:53:02.600
<v Speaker 1>was to a new one. It was really the design

0:53:02.640 --> 0:53:05.840
<v Speaker 1>of the experience for both the person who's staying and

0:53:05.960 --> 0:53:10.040
<v Speaker 1>the person who is hosting and designing it carefully as

0:53:10.040 --> 0:53:13.239
<v Speaker 1>an experience that doesn't just work for someone renting out

0:53:13.239 --> 0:53:17.080
<v Speaker 1>a vacation property, but works for someone renting out their bedroom,

0:53:17.120 --> 0:53:19.759
<v Speaker 1>renting out their entire apartment. I mean this is this

0:53:19.840 --> 0:53:23.160
<v Speaker 1>is really a design accomplishment and not a technology accomplishment.

0:53:23.400 --> 0:53:25.560
<v Speaker 1>Very interesting. Let's let's talk a little bit about books.

0:53:25.560 --> 0:53:28.680
<v Speaker 1>What are some of your favorite books, be they fiction

0:53:28.800 --> 0:53:33.160
<v Speaker 1>or nonfiction and related to technology or or finance or

0:53:33.200 --> 0:53:36.839
<v Speaker 1>not so. Apart from Code and other laws of cyberspace,

0:53:36.880 --> 0:53:39.120
<v Speaker 1>another book that I've really been influenced by is a

0:53:39.120 --> 0:53:42.239
<v Speaker 1>book called Collapse by Jared Diamond. I think that it

0:53:42.320 --> 0:53:46.160
<v Speaker 1>sort of lays out this pattern of why civilizations rise

0:53:46.200 --> 0:53:50.000
<v Speaker 1>and fall in a way that was incredibly compelling through

0:53:50.280 --> 0:53:53.320
<v Speaker 1>sort of research that was done over thousands of years,

0:53:54.160 --> 0:53:58.000
<v Speaker 1>over a thousand year period um. I've personally been influenced

0:53:58.040 --> 0:54:01.520
<v Speaker 1>by this wonderful book called siddarth Uh by Herman Hess.

0:54:02.120 --> 0:54:04.640
<v Speaker 1>I think anybody who's a parent should read this book

0:54:04.680 --> 0:54:09.399
<v Speaker 1>because it's sort of defines what to expect um like,

0:54:09.440 --> 0:54:11.759
<v Speaker 1>you know, later in the process of parenting, and it's

0:54:11.800 --> 0:54:15.000
<v Speaker 1>just you know, it's a slim volume really sort of

0:54:15.080 --> 0:54:17.760
<v Speaker 1>changes the way that you think about the world. UM,

0:54:17.960 --> 0:54:22.480
<v Speaker 1>Jared Diamond had written a book what is it, um, Guns,

0:54:22.560 --> 0:54:25.359
<v Speaker 1>Germs and Steel. Is that I remember reading that for

0:54:25.400 --> 0:54:27.600
<v Speaker 1>a while ago and thinking it was fascinating. I haven't

0:54:27.640 --> 0:54:30.960
<v Speaker 1>read collaption. Collapse and the Third Chimpanzee are both like

0:54:31.040 --> 0:54:33.480
<v Speaker 1>really interesting. All we'll put we'll put that down on

0:54:33.520 --> 0:54:37.360
<v Speaker 1>our last third Chimpanzee. UM. So, since you started looking

0:54:37.360 --> 0:54:42.440
<v Speaker 1>at technology and the sharing economy, what's been the single

0:54:42.480 --> 0:54:47.480
<v Speaker 1>biggest change? What is what has altered this? Well? UM,

0:54:47.520 --> 0:54:50.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, I started programming when I was a teenager,

0:54:50.760 --> 0:54:54.240
<v Speaker 1>and so I used computers for many years before the Internet.

0:54:54.840 --> 0:54:56.839
<v Speaker 1>And so while this is a cliche to answer, it's

0:54:56.840 --> 0:55:01.200
<v Speaker 1>pretty clear that the commercialization of the Internet at has

0:55:01.239 --> 0:55:05.040
<v Speaker 1>been the single biggest technological shift that I've seen, like

0:55:05.120 --> 0:55:08.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, in my studying digital technology. I think the

0:55:08.520 --> 0:55:11.840
<v Speaker 1>consumerization of digital that we saw in the late nineties

0:55:12.280 --> 0:55:14.480
<v Speaker 1>is perhaps sort of like you know, the most significant

0:55:14.480 --> 0:55:18.920
<v Speaker 1>manifestation of this. UM. I'm expecting great things from the

0:55:18.920 --> 0:55:21.560
<v Speaker 1>blockchain and I think we're at I think a lot

0:55:21.560 --> 0:55:26.279
<v Speaker 1>of people are, and so far it's been unfulfilled promises.

0:55:26.440 --> 0:55:28.560
<v Speaker 1>Is that a fair statement? UM? I think that it's

0:55:28.640 --> 0:55:31.520
<v Speaker 1>really early days. UM. I put sort of where we

0:55:31.560 --> 0:55:34.520
<v Speaker 1>are with the block chain today as where we were

0:55:34.600 --> 0:55:39.200
<v Speaker 1>with the internet. Um in like this was like a

0:55:39.239 --> 0:55:42.479
<v Speaker 1>couple of years before the emergence of Netscape or any

0:55:42.520 --> 0:55:44.879
<v Speaker 1>of the browsers, before the world wide Once we got

0:55:44.880 --> 0:55:47.719
<v Speaker 1>to a graphical interface, suddenly everythink took off. And so

0:55:47.760 --> 0:55:49.640
<v Speaker 1>they're going to be layers built on top of the

0:55:49.640 --> 0:55:52.800
<v Speaker 1>blockchain that will suddenly bring it to life, and then

0:55:52.840 --> 0:55:55.719
<v Speaker 1>over the next decade it will start to change a

0:55:55.760 --> 0:55:59.960
<v Speaker 1>lot of businesses. I don't think it's gonna disintermediate as

0:56:00.080 --> 0:56:01.760
<v Speaker 1>much of a lot as a lot of other people

0:56:01.840 --> 0:56:03.680
<v Speaker 1>think it is, but I think it's going to be

0:56:03.719 --> 0:56:08.399
<v Speaker 1>a tremendous source of efficiency. So outside of your work,

0:56:08.520 --> 0:56:13.200
<v Speaker 1>what do you do to relax and kick back? Oh? Um,

0:56:13.239 --> 0:56:15.960
<v Speaker 1>you know a lot of different things. Um. I I

0:56:16.040 --> 0:56:20.280
<v Speaker 1>like to ski. UM. I like beaches. I like quiet beaches.

0:56:20.480 --> 0:56:24.320
<v Speaker 1>I try to travel too. I try to travel to

0:56:24.480 --> 0:56:28.600
<v Speaker 1>beaches that I don't know about as much as I can. UM.

0:56:28.640 --> 0:56:32.719
<v Speaker 1>I like to read. Um, I like parks. Um you

0:56:32.760 --> 0:56:35.880
<v Speaker 1>know I um you know, I do strength training in

0:56:35.920 --> 0:56:38.160
<v Speaker 1>the gym when I can. I sort of yeah. I

0:56:38.200 --> 0:56:43.520
<v Speaker 1>focus on movements that replicate what you do in everyday

0:56:43.560 --> 0:56:46.560
<v Speaker 1>life as opposed to machines, and so I would do

0:56:46.640 --> 0:56:49.600
<v Speaker 1>a dead lift or a squat over sort of machines

0:56:49.640 --> 0:56:53.520
<v Speaker 1>that isolate particular muscles. That's interesting that, by the way,

0:56:53.560 --> 0:56:56.480
<v Speaker 1>that is a question that has come to a come

0:56:56.520 --> 0:56:58.920
<v Speaker 1>to us from a reader who said, you ask all

0:56:58.920 --> 0:57:01.520
<v Speaker 1>these same questions of your guests at the end of

0:57:01.560 --> 0:57:04.040
<v Speaker 1>the interview, here's something that I'd really like to know.

0:57:04.160 --> 0:57:07.560
<v Speaker 1>And you're the second person we've we've worked that in with.

0:57:07.960 --> 0:57:11.640
<v Speaker 1>So so now we're down to my two favorite questions.

0:57:11.800 --> 0:57:14.960
<v Speaker 1>And you work with students, and many of whom are millennials.

0:57:15.600 --> 0:57:18.640
<v Speaker 1>What sort of advice would you give to a recent

0:57:18.720 --> 0:57:23.080
<v Speaker 1>college graduate or a millennial who wanted to go into

0:57:23.240 --> 0:57:29.600
<v Speaker 1>either technology or venture capital as a field. Well, the

0:57:29.640 --> 0:57:33.480
<v Speaker 1>one consistent piece of advice I give recent college college

0:57:33.520 --> 0:57:38.080
<v Speaker 1>graduates or millennials is to expect that the world of

0:57:38.120 --> 0:57:40.520
<v Speaker 1>work that they're going to be facing in twenty years

0:57:41.040 --> 0:57:45.120
<v Speaker 1>is very different from the world of work today. UM

0:57:45.240 --> 0:57:50.440
<v Speaker 1>STEM capabilities are going to matter less science, technology, engineering

0:57:50.440 --> 0:57:59.000
<v Speaker 1>and math and design, thinking, creativity, ent apprenticeship, um interpersonal interaction.

0:57:59.160 --> 0:58:01.400
<v Speaker 1>These are the skills that are going to matter more

0:58:02.240 --> 0:58:05.560
<v Speaker 1>UM and so think of your career as not working

0:58:05.680 --> 0:58:08.840
<v Speaker 1>for someone else, but as sort of defining your own

0:58:08.960 --> 0:58:13.520
<v Speaker 1>path and accumulate the skills for that. Um. For the

0:58:13.520 --> 0:58:16.520
<v Speaker 1>ones who want to go into venture capital, I tell

0:58:16.560 --> 0:58:18.760
<v Speaker 1>them that the only way to learn how to be

0:58:18.840 --> 0:58:22.720
<v Speaker 1>a venture capitalist is to do it. There are lots

0:58:22.720 --> 0:58:25.680
<v Speaker 1>of platforms that allow you to do it today. And

0:58:25.800 --> 0:58:29.200
<v Speaker 1>so you know, if you want to become an investment banker,

0:58:29.280 --> 0:58:31.040
<v Speaker 1>you try and join one of the big banks as

0:58:31.040 --> 0:58:34.480
<v Speaker 1>an associate, that isn't really the path in venture capital.

0:58:34.920 --> 0:58:38.000
<v Speaker 1>And so you know, if you really wanna either by

0:58:38.120 --> 0:58:42.360
<v Speaker 1>working for early stage companies or by investing yourself build

0:58:42.400 --> 0:58:44.920
<v Speaker 1>up a portfolio, if you want to be a venture capitalist.

0:58:45.320 --> 0:58:49.120
<v Speaker 1>Very interesting and our final question, what is it that

0:58:49.160 --> 0:58:53.240
<v Speaker 1>you know about technology in the rise of the new

0:58:53.320 --> 0:58:57.720
<v Speaker 1>digital sharing environment today that you wish you knew ten

0:58:57.800 --> 0:59:02.040
<v Speaker 1>or fifteen years ago. Well, Um, one of the things

0:59:02.080 --> 0:59:06.360
<v Speaker 1>I wish I had seen is, um, just how dramatic

0:59:06.680 --> 0:59:10.840
<v Speaker 1>the consumerization of digital was going to be. Um, you know,

0:59:10.920 --> 0:59:13.680
<v Speaker 1>back in two thousand, sort of looking on the horizon,

0:59:13.800 --> 0:59:16.960
<v Speaker 1>seeing the iPod, UM, it wasn't as clear to me

0:59:17.040 --> 0:59:20.440
<v Speaker 1>that we were going to see as rapid apace of

0:59:20.520 --> 0:59:23.560
<v Speaker 1>consumer technology adoption and all of the changes that came

0:59:23.600 --> 0:59:27.120
<v Speaker 1>with it, because had I seen that coming out of

0:59:27.200 --> 0:59:29.440
<v Speaker 1>bought a ton of Apple stock at the time, because

0:59:29.480 --> 0:59:31.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, they were really the only game in town

0:59:31.320 --> 0:59:33.240
<v Speaker 1>at that point. I mean, you know, they had a

0:59:33.280 --> 0:59:36.920
<v Speaker 1>tenure headstart over everybody else in terms of thinking about

0:59:36.960 --> 0:59:40.320
<v Speaker 1>the consumer as you know, sort of the audience for

0:59:40.400 --> 0:59:47.440
<v Speaker 1>technology products. Um, that's quite interesting. We've been speaking with

0:59:47.480 --> 0:59:52.000
<v Speaker 1>Professor Arons UNDERAJN of n y u's Stern School of Business.

0:59:52.720 --> 0:59:55.320
<v Speaker 1>If you enjoy this conversation, be sure and look up

0:59:55.320 --> 0:59:57.760
<v Speaker 1>an Inch or down an Inch on iTunes and you

0:59:57.760 --> 1:00:00.600
<v Speaker 1>could see the other hundred and nine in or so

1:00:00.720 --> 1:00:04.160
<v Speaker 1>such conversations we've had over the past two years. I

1:00:04.200 --> 1:00:07.320
<v Speaker 1>would be remiss if I did not thank Taylor Riggs,

1:00:07.360 --> 1:00:11.880
<v Speaker 1>my booker, Charlie Volmer, our recording engineer, and Michael Batnick,

1:00:12.240 --> 1:00:15.040
<v Speaker 1>our head of research, for helping to put together these

1:00:15.080 --> 1:00:20.200
<v Speaker 1>interviews and podcasts. We love your comments, feedback and suggestions.

1:00:20.320 --> 1:00:22.880
<v Speaker 1>Be sure and write to us at m I B

1:00:23.240 --> 1:00:27.640
<v Speaker 1>podcast at Bloomberg dot net. I'm Barry Ridults. You've been

1:00:27.680 --> 1:00:31.840
<v Speaker 1>listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio, brought to

1:00:31.880 --> 1:00:35.000
<v Speaker 1>you by Bank of America. Merrill Lynch committed to bringing

1:00:35.080 --> 1:00:38.640
<v Speaker 1>higher finance to lower carbon named the most innovative investment

1:00:38.640 --> 1:00:42.240
<v Speaker 1>bank for climate change and sustainability by the Banker. That's

1:00:42.280 --> 1:00:45.880
<v Speaker 1>the power of global connections. Bank of America North America

1:00:46.000 --> 1:00:46.920
<v Speaker 1>member f d i C