WEBVTT - 2025 NFL Draft Betting Preview (Ep. 694) 0:00:01.080 --> 0:00:04.520 Oh right, and welcome into the Betting Pros Podcast. It's 0:00:04.559 --> 0:00:07.040 time to place your bets for the twenty twenty five 0:00:07.240 --> 0:00:10.760 NFL Draft. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and I'm absolutely 0:00:10.800 --> 0:00:12.920 buzzing as we enter one of the best weeks on 0:00:12.960 --> 0:00:15.880 the entire sports calendar. And today I'm joined by quite 0:00:16.000 --> 0:00:19.040 the cast of characters, including my colleague who's had boots 0:00:19.040 --> 0:00:21.800 on the ground for this entire NFL Draft process, Derek 0:00:21.840 --> 0:00:25.880 Brown Ak deepro Well, deepro. The work has been done. 0:00:26.079 --> 0:00:27.880 Now it's time to cash in with your knowledge of 0:00:27.920 --> 0:00:30.560 the rookie class. How you feeling roughly eighty hours out 0:00:30.880 --> 0:00:32.720 of the action getting going in Green Bay. 0:00:33.960 --> 0:00:36.400 I'm so ready for the draft to be here, and 0:00:36.440 --> 0:00:38.960 then I have so much work before we get to Thursday, 0:00:39.000 --> 0:00:41.280 and I'm like, no, it's okay, we can move it 0:00:41.320 --> 0:00:44.919 back a week, But no, dude, this is I am 0:00:44.960 --> 0:00:46.839 ready for the picks to be here and for the 0:00:46.880 --> 0:00:47.840 first round to be here. 0:00:48.120 --> 0:00:48.320 Yeah. 0:00:48.440 --> 0:00:52.680 Saw the water carrying by big sports media, all the BS, 0:00:52.720 --> 0:00:55.320 all the smoke out. Can we just I'm just ready 0:00:55.320 --> 0:00:57.280 for it all to be gone. I'm ready for the 0:00:57.280 --> 0:00:59.880 picks to happen and things to be live. Boys, the 0:01:00.080 --> 0:01:00.520 further we. 0:01:00.480 --> 0:01:03.480 Get in this process, man, the further you know vs 0:01:03.480 --> 0:01:06.560 you find out they're on the internet. Everyone's given their opinion. 0:01:06.600 --> 0:01:09.679 We've walked through pretty much the entire position groups for 0:01:09.720 --> 0:01:12.640 the skilled players over on the NFL Draft Show, over 0:01:12.680 --> 0:01:14.520 on the Fantasy pro side of things. So excited to 0:01:14.520 --> 0:01:16.959 break it down from a betting perspective today. We also 0:01:17.000 --> 0:01:19.200 got two very special guests in house today to share 0:01:19.240 --> 0:01:22.080 their NFL betting knowledge, starting with an analyst for four 0:01:22.120 --> 0:01:25.360 for four in the director of business development and betting 0:01:25.400 --> 0:01:28.440 for the Betsburg Group. He's Chai Town's Connor. Allen Connor, 0:01:28.480 --> 0:01:30.319 Thanks for joining us, man. How are the vibes out 0:01:30.319 --> 0:01:32.880 there in the Windy City as Draft week gets going here? 0:01:33.160 --> 0:01:35.760 Yeah, vibes are great. Ben Johnson's in town. You know, 0:01:35.760 --> 0:01:38.600 they address the offensive line. Everyone is just praying that 0:01:38.680 --> 0:01:41.600 Ashon Gent falls to the Bears. I don't know if 0:01:41.600 --> 0:01:44.120 it'll happen, but you know, they're they're praying. But I 0:01:44.160 --> 0:01:46.479 think things are looking up. You know, the Bears fans, 0:01:46.560 --> 0:01:48.800 Chicago Cubs are winning, like finally they have some winning 0:01:48.800 --> 0:01:50.800 teams for the last couple of years. 0:01:50.840 --> 0:01:52.720 Basically it's been a while. Love it. 0:01:52.840 --> 0:01:55.600 Connor It's always a weird vibe for you. I'm sure, 0:01:55.720 --> 0:01:58.320 like as you're you know, you're in Windy City, but 0:01:58.400 --> 0:02:00.840 you're sweating Denver, Bronco pick some bets. 0:02:00.920 --> 0:02:02.560 It always makes for a weird conundra for you. 0:02:02.960 --> 0:02:04.880 Yeah, No, it's I would say at this point, I'm 0:02:04.920 --> 0:02:07.160 so removed from fandom with us just paying attention to 0:02:07.200 --> 0:02:10.359 every little nuance of everything with every team. 0:02:10.440 --> 0:02:10.760 It was it. 0:02:10.840 --> 0:02:12.519 I found it really tough to like root for a 0:02:12.560 --> 0:02:14.280 single team. So you know, I got a de Marius 0:02:14.320 --> 0:02:16.919 Thomas jersey for those on video you know behind me, uh, 0:02:16.960 --> 0:02:19.079 you know, rest in peace. But and I was a 0:02:19.639 --> 0:02:21.679 Broncos fan for a long time. Now at this point, 0:02:21.680 --> 0:02:23.840 I'm just just too much other stuff to sweat and 0:02:23.880 --> 0:02:24.239 think about. 0:02:24.280 --> 0:02:25.720 I just can't. I can't. 0:02:25.280 --> 0:02:31.040 That's that we're watching too much true local duty really Yeah. 0:02:31.120 --> 0:02:34.079 Also joining us today is the content manager for four 0:02:34.080 --> 0:02:37.200 for four bets and Bett Spurts, Golf, host of Move 0:02:37.400 --> 0:02:40.520 the Line NFL. Ryan, Noonan, Ryan, thanks for joining us 0:02:40.600 --> 0:02:42.400 as well and putting up some more Connor today. 0:02:42.400 --> 0:02:43.960 How are you you have more Connor time? 0:02:44.000 --> 0:02:44.080 Like? 0:02:44.200 --> 0:02:45.520 I can deal with that in my life, you know, 0:02:45.600 --> 0:02:47.919 could be could be worse, you know, like you know, 0:02:47.960 --> 0:02:51.040 it was my was my work wife been married for 0:02:51.080 --> 0:02:52.720 a long time. But again you can be married to 0:02:52.760 --> 0:02:55.400 worst people. Uh yeah, he's a die He's a die 0:02:55.480 --> 0:02:58.160 easy Broncos fan, So I wouldn't give him too much, 0:02:58.240 --> 0:02:58.440 you know. 0:02:58.800 --> 0:02:58.920 Uh. 0:03:00.240 --> 0:03:02.040 You know again at this point, like Connor said, at 0:03:02.080 --> 0:03:04.640 this point, you know our fandom that brought us to 0:03:04.680 --> 0:03:08.800 this existence, it still yeah, covers low it's low burn. 0:03:09.760 --> 0:03:11.680 Most part of what we're cheering for a week in 0:03:11.680 --> 0:03:14.320 the week out is uh whatever wherever the money is. 0:03:14.360 --> 0:03:17.200 So draft is definitely no different than that too, though 0:03:17.240 --> 0:03:19.680 you know phantom pop up a little bit. Yeah, you know, 0:03:20.080 --> 0:03:22.720 as a Patriots fan, hold out of that fandom still 0:03:22.760 --> 0:03:24.120 a little bit. And you know when we have a 0:03:24.280 --> 0:03:26.880 draft pick like we do at the top, those things 0:03:26.919 --> 0:03:29.440 matter a little bit more than maybe years past when 0:03:29.440 --> 0:03:31.800 we were picking a thirty two or you know, trading 0:03:31.840 --> 0:03:33.520 out of thirty two all the time. 0:03:34.400 --> 0:03:36.760 Noonon's gonna be running naked laps around his neighborhood when 0:03:36.760 --> 0:03:39.760 they take a guard at four over us four overall. 0:03:40.840 --> 0:03:42.960 So the strange is not that far out of memory. 0:03:43.040 --> 0:03:50.360 So we'll see, uh what happens again the dam. 0:03:48.520 --> 0:03:50.440 I feel you at the fandom guys, because I'm like, 0:03:50.480 --> 0:03:52.280 as a Steelers fan this year, I'm like, just don't 0:03:52.360 --> 0:03:54.600 draft Jalen mill Rowan. I'm cool, like, like, let's just 0:03:54.680 --> 0:03:57.480 keep it shock here, grab us at a defensive vand 0:03:57.480 --> 0:03:59.400 at the top, and I'm okay or Jackson Dart. However 0:03:59.440 --> 0:04:02.400 this thing plays out on today's program, it will look 0:04:02.480 --> 0:04:04.600 like this though. We're gonna cover each of these gentlemen's 0:04:04.640 --> 0:04:07.920 top five best NFL Draft bets for a total fifteen plays. 0:04:08.160 --> 0:04:10.480 As reminder, please give this video a thumbs up. If 0:04:10.520 --> 0:04:12.760 you enjoy this type of content, also subscribe right here 0:04:12.840 --> 0:04:14.840 to the Bang Pros YouTube channel or wherever you get 0:04:14.840 --> 0:04:17.440 your podcasts. Also make sure you're plugged in over on 0:04:17.480 --> 0:04:21.440 the fancy pro side of things this week. On Thursday Friday, Debro, 0:04:21.600 --> 0:04:24.960 Joey p fits Ericson Boggs, myself, and many more will 0:04:25.000 --> 0:04:27.320 be live throughout Day one and Day two of the 0:04:27.440 --> 0:04:31.200 NFL Draft, breaking down each pick from a fantasy football perspective. 0:04:31.200 --> 0:04:33.040 You're gonna keep me busy over on the YouTube bend 0:04:33.240 --> 0:04:35.560 this weekend Debro with all those hot takes. I'm looking 0:04:35.600 --> 0:04:37.800 forward to that, man, Yeah. 0:04:37.760 --> 0:04:40.159 Man, it's gonna be fire man. The first round, I 0:04:40.200 --> 0:04:42.760 think the powers that be they gave me a small break. 0:04:43.600 --> 0:04:45.760 I think I got three picks off in the first round. 0:04:45.760 --> 0:04:47.520 So I'm on on air for twenty nine to the 0:04:47.520 --> 0:04:48.680 thirty two, but I get I get to go to 0:04:48.720 --> 0:04:51.440 the bathroom for a second. Oka like stuff a sandwich 0:04:51.480 --> 0:04:52.760 into my face for I'm back on air. 0:04:52.920 --> 0:04:54.960 You're gonna need like Scott Hansen it and just make 0:04:55.000 --> 0:04:58.360 sure no liquids after like twelve dme. I think Wednesday night. 0:04:59.320 --> 0:05:00.919 And you know I'm gonna say that I'm gonna go 0:05:00.920 --> 0:05:05.039 to depend route, you know, but it is in play, 0:05:05.560 --> 0:05:07.279 but it will be severely a plus money. 0:05:07.800 --> 0:05:10.360 All right, let's go ahead. Let's get started with everyone's 0:05:10.440 --> 0:05:13.280 number five best bet for the NFL Draft, Connor thrown 0:05:13.320 --> 0:05:14.960 over to you first. What do you got over here? 0:05:14.960 --> 0:05:15.159 Man? 0:05:15.680 --> 0:05:18.000 Yeah, I'm gonna go with an exact pick here, a 0:05:18.040 --> 0:05:20.400 little bit of a long shot ninth overall pick to 0:05:20.480 --> 0:05:22.640 be Tyler Warren. You can find this is as eight 0:05:22.680 --> 0:05:25.760 to one. Now it's a little bit unique, I think. 0:05:25.839 --> 0:05:27.839 Right now, the opinion is that the Saints are for 0:05:27.839 --> 0:05:31.120 sure taking a quarterback. By all accounts, they don't love 0:05:31.120 --> 0:05:33.839 Shudar Sanders, and that's what it seems like is happening. 0:05:33.880 --> 0:05:36.719 They're not a Shuitar Sanders team, and so the market 0:05:36.800 --> 0:05:38.960 right there is already inefficient. We're looking at him to 0:05:39.000 --> 0:05:40.800 be the current favorite right now to be a Saints pick, 0:05:40.839 --> 0:05:42.000 So I think that leaves a lot of value in 0:05:42.040 --> 0:05:45.360 other places. Maybe it's Jackson Dart. We feel pretty good 0:05:45.360 --> 0:05:47.720 that they like Jackson Dart. Is that a ninth overall? 0:05:48.160 --> 0:05:49.880 You know, I think that there could it could be 0:05:49.880 --> 0:05:51.560 a ninth overall. But if it's not, and I think 0:05:51.600 --> 0:05:54.000 there's reasons that it might not be, Tyler Warren could 0:05:54.040 --> 0:05:56.039 be on the board. I think defensive line could be 0:05:56.040 --> 0:05:58.080 in play. The point of this pick is that Tyler 0:05:58.120 --> 0:06:00.839 Warren's a fantastic talent, probably gonna go in the top ten, 0:06:01.640 --> 0:06:04.800 and so eighth over or ninth overall, eight to one 0:06:04.839 --> 0:06:07.080 on a guy that you know, I think could be there. 0:06:07.120 --> 0:06:08.480 Like, I think this is great value. 0:06:08.520 --> 0:06:10.000 So I think that that's an interesting look and a 0:06:10.000 --> 0:06:12.080 little bit contrarian relative to the rest of the market right now. 0:06:12.600 --> 0:06:15.480 Yeah, I've compared Tyler Warren to Tastom Hill and George 0:06:15.520 --> 0:06:17.200 Kittle if they had a baby, and so it would 0:06:17.240 --> 0:06:20.200 be a great place for Tyler Warren to land and 0:06:20.400 --> 0:06:22.760 Ryan sticking with Tyler Warren tight end out of Penn 0:06:22.760 --> 0:06:26.800 State here, fifth place in the Heisman voting this past year. 0:06:26.839 --> 0:06:28.680 Where do you like him to possibly shake out with 0:06:28.680 --> 0:06:29.320 your first bet? 0:06:29.640 --> 0:06:31.120 Yeah, it was the last in with my pick. So 0:06:31.200 --> 0:06:33.240 I was able to strategically place them in order that 0:06:33.279 --> 0:06:34.919 I thought would make for you know, a little production 0:06:35.279 --> 0:06:37.000 value here and put it right in where it makes 0:06:37.000 --> 0:06:39.000 a ton of sense. I like what color did there, 0:06:39.600 --> 0:06:41.520 but it would take the easier right The Connor went 0:06:41.600 --> 0:06:43.040 gave you a little bit of plus money, I think 0:06:43.120 --> 0:06:45.719 is a great value. I agree there are a lot 0:06:45.720 --> 0:06:48.600 of outs for Tyler Warren inside the top ten, even 0:06:48.680 --> 0:06:52.200 before we get to the Saints at nine. So right now, 0:06:52.680 --> 0:06:55.000 laying a little bit of juice minus one forty five 0:06:55.320 --> 0:06:57.240 Tyler Warren to go in the top ten, I think 0:06:57.279 --> 0:06:59.760 they're legit outs. We'll see what happens to the next 0:07:00.160 --> 0:07:02.440 forty eight hours. Maybe even at five when you look 0:07:02.440 --> 0:07:04.040 at that roster, that might be a little bit early, 0:07:04.120 --> 0:07:06.479 but I don't think it's dead. Then you get into 0:07:06.600 --> 0:07:08.640 you know, pretty much anyone other than the Raiders. I 0:07:08.680 --> 0:07:11.480 think the Jets at seven, I think even Carolina at eight, 0:07:11.960 --> 0:07:13.840 Saint at nine, and then the Bears at ten. I 0:07:13.840 --> 0:07:16.720 think are all legitimate outs for Tyler Warren inside the 0:07:16.720 --> 0:07:18.920 top ten, even though we're laying minus one forty five 0:07:18.960 --> 0:07:22.200 minus one fifty. I think on Fandel to go start, 0:07:22.480 --> 0:07:24.480 this is the draft season is different, right, This is 0:07:24.520 --> 0:07:26.560 information based, right. They don't have to go out and 0:07:26.560 --> 0:07:28.800 play the game. So once you actually start to get 0:07:28.800 --> 0:07:30.680 a sense of not that we know the answers to 0:07:30.720 --> 0:07:33.040 the test, we start to get you know, formatting all 0:07:33.040 --> 0:07:34.920 these different outs and the way the board can shake out, 0:07:35.280 --> 0:07:37.320 I'm a little bit more comfortable, and I think Connor agrees. 0:07:37.320 --> 0:07:39.840 We talk about this on move line. I'm a little 0:07:39.840 --> 0:07:42.880 to lay, you know, two hundred. I'm going to lay 0:07:42.880 --> 0:07:44.600 minus three hundred if I think it should be minus 0:07:44.600 --> 0:07:47.320 one thousand, right, So lan the minus one forty five 0:07:47.360 --> 0:07:48.560 in the spot where I feel like there are a 0:07:48.600 --> 0:07:51.200 lot outs, very comfortable with. So Tyler Warren top ten 0:07:51.840 --> 0:07:53.360 minus one forty five minus one fifty. 0:07:53.400 --> 0:07:56.760 Love it, okay, de bro your thoughts on Tyler Warren 0:07:56.840 --> 0:07:59.560 potentially coming off the board in the top ten overall 0:07:59.560 --> 0:08:01.960 picks and as well, what's your first bet of the day? 0:08:02.640 --> 0:08:03.120 Uh one? 0:08:03.440 --> 0:08:05.960 I love both these bets. I think there's multiple outs 0:08:05.960 --> 0:08:07.480 for both these bets. I mean, if you look at 0:08:07.480 --> 0:08:11.480 Tyler Warren, yeah, like seven and nine, ten, Like, I mean, 0:08:11.480 --> 0:08:13.640 you got four teams in Sutton nestled inside the top 0:08:13.680 --> 0:08:16.679 ten that are perfect spots for Tyler Warren. And really 0:08:16.720 --> 0:08:19.440 the only thing that you need for Connor's bet to 0:08:19.480 --> 0:08:22.600 cash is that the word gets out that Chicago is 0:08:22.640 --> 0:08:24.800 dead read to take Tyler Warren. And I'm not saying 0:08:24.800 --> 0:08:28.280 that the New Orleans Saints trade back, but they could 0:08:28.480 --> 0:08:30.640 if they're not in the ninth slot. Say, because we 0:08:30.720 --> 0:08:32.960 know Mickey Loomis loves to trade up, he will not 0:08:33.000 --> 0:08:35.679 trade back. Go google it, people, It's not gonna happen. 0:08:35.960 --> 0:08:38.360 So if the Saints aren't gonna stick and pick at nine, 0:08:38.400 --> 0:08:40.280 if they're not even the team in the ninth spot, 0:08:40.559 --> 0:08:43.719 the only thing you need to hit for Connor's bet 0:08:43.800 --> 0:08:47.080 specifically is that a team says, screw that you're not 0:08:47.120 --> 0:08:49.960 getting Tyler Warren at ten, we're trading ahead of Chicago 0:08:50.400 --> 0:08:52.640 at ten, and he goes ninth overall. So I love 0:08:52.760 --> 0:08:56.200 both those bets, but I'm gonna go with something a 0:08:56.240 --> 0:08:58.400 little bit. I'm not gonna say it's popular chalk, but 0:08:58.960 --> 0:09:01.439 total running backs and round one over two and a 0:09:01.480 --> 0:09:04.679 half and right now you get this at DK at 0:09:04.679 --> 0:09:07.960 plus one seventy. I think that as we go through 0:09:07.960 --> 0:09:10.800 the week, this bed is gonna move to maybe not 0:09:10.920 --> 0:09:13.040 steamed up enough to where it's like even or maybe 0:09:13.080 --> 0:09:14.960 minus one ten, but I do think it's gonna move 0:09:15.280 --> 0:09:17.360 the more that we get news out this week. There's 0:09:17.360 --> 0:09:19.600 already been a lot of buzz that maybe it's not 0:09:19.679 --> 0:09:23.320 a Marion Hampton, maybe it's Trevion Henderson going to Denver 0:09:23.400 --> 0:09:26.760 at twenty, and if that happens, then you're looking at 0:09:26.800 --> 0:09:28.760 all we need is just that one running back, and 0:09:28.800 --> 0:09:33.360 there's multiple outs there. But like Travion Henderson specifically, let's 0:09:33.400 --> 0:09:35.920 just say that domino falls he goes to twenty at Denver. 0:09:36.360 --> 0:09:38.840 There's a bunch of other teams that's also not like 0:09:39.320 --> 0:09:42.319 we're making assumptions that if he goes to twenty, maybe 0:09:42.360 --> 0:09:44.880 it's a fallout of maybe you get a Marion Hampton 0:09:45.000 --> 0:09:48.200 going to Dallas at twelve or up the board. So 0:09:48.360 --> 0:09:51.560 either way, I think there's multiple outs for this to hit. Really, 0:09:51.640 --> 0:09:54.560 the lynchpin of this pick is that Travion Henderson makes 0:09:54.559 --> 0:09:56.079 it into round one. I don't know any of the 0:09:56.160 --> 0:09:58.240 running backs that we're really talking about that have the buzz. 0:09:58.480 --> 0:10:00.720 But he's getting a lot of buzz this week and 0:10:00.800 --> 0:10:03.320 last week of going down only just to Denver, but 0:10:03.400 --> 0:10:06.440 going round one. So really that's the domino that we 0:10:06.480 --> 0:10:08.000 need to fall here. And then I think you're going 0:10:08.080 --> 0:10:10.760 to see a team make a move for Hampton. Whether 0:10:11.280 --> 0:10:13.560 we could talk about maybe it's Pittsburgh. I mean they 0:10:13.600 --> 0:10:15.560 got the history. I know everybody's like, oh, they won't 0:10:15.559 --> 0:10:17.520 do it again, but I mean there is a history 0:10:17.520 --> 0:10:20.640 of them paying first round capital for a running back. 0:10:20.840 --> 0:10:22.960 You could say the Chargers, and again I know they 0:10:23.080 --> 0:10:25.120 have Nausey, but he's only on a one year deal. 0:10:25.280 --> 0:10:28.520 So telling me that, you know, Roman and Harball want 0:10:28.520 --> 0:10:30.080 to run the everleven hell out of the ball, they 0:10:30.120 --> 0:10:32.400 want two big running backs to do that. Or we 0:10:32.400 --> 0:10:34.800 could see Hampton. Another team that's like still in the 0:10:34.840 --> 0:10:36.760 first round that could be connected to a running back, 0:10:36.800 --> 0:10:40.439 whether it's Henderson or Hampton or somebody else. Washington Commanders 0:10:40.679 --> 0:10:43.040 at twenty nine if they don't trade back, yeah there. 0:10:43.280 --> 0:10:45.080 I mean, they're a team that it could either go 0:10:45.160 --> 0:10:47.439 one of a few different I also was going to 0:10:47.520 --> 0:10:50.600 add Washington to go maybe safety pick, but that's gotten 0:10:50.640 --> 0:10:54.000 steamed up a little bit very quickly. I think Washington, 0:10:54.000 --> 0:10:56.240 you're looking at three big needs on that roster. It's 0:10:56.320 --> 0:10:59.360 running back, it's cornerback, and it's safety. So if they 0:10:59.360 --> 0:11:01.439 feel like they can address two of those three needs 0:11:01.520 --> 0:11:03.880 later in the draft, maybe they go running back round one. 0:11:04.080 --> 0:11:06.320 But I'm curious, Noon and Connor, how do y'all feel 0:11:06.320 --> 0:11:08.199 about the three running backs going a round one? 0:11:08.280 --> 0:11:10.680 Played it, played it last week, so. 0:11:10.840 --> 0:11:12.640 Love it, love it, love it. 0:11:12.960 --> 0:11:13.200 Yeah. 0:11:13.240 --> 0:11:16.319 Also that the commander's bet too is ten to one 0:11:16.400 --> 0:11:20.880 right now. Commanders took a running back one. I think 0:11:19.960 --> 0:11:23.760 that's great value. I totally agree with the Henderson. Uh, 0:11:23.920 --> 0:11:26.719 you know, Handicap there or if Hampton's there. I mean, 0:11:27.040 --> 0:11:28.920 it would surprise me a little bit if any of 0:11:28.920 --> 0:11:32.040 those three, anyone else besides those three snuck in. But like, yeah, 0:11:32.440 --> 0:11:35.040 I mean, no one was projecting Ricky Piersall or Xavier 0:11:35.080 --> 0:11:37.920 Lagette as first rounders either last year in a class 0:11:37.960 --> 0:11:39.640 that they thought wide receiverer class that thought was deep. 0:11:39.640 --> 0:11:41.240 The running back class is really strong at. 0:11:41.120 --> 0:11:43.600 The top of the second uh and has a couple 0:11:43.600 --> 0:11:45.120 of guys and maybe they maybe they sneak in. Maybe 0:11:45.120 --> 0:11:47.560 the commanders prefer someone else so yeah, I think that 0:11:47.559 --> 0:11:49.280 that ten to one is a great little add a 0:11:49.400 --> 0:11:51.480 little bonus bet here, not an official bonus bet. 0:11:51.760 --> 0:11:53.920 Uh, you know to Deebro's bet. 0:11:54.200 --> 0:11:57.000 Okay, all right, do you want to boost your bets 0:11:57.080 --> 0:11:59.920 new Fandel customers. You can bet five dollars to win 0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:02.880 two hundred fifty dollars in bonus bets. If that first 0:12:02.920 --> 0:12:06.160 bet hits, just head to bettingpros dot com slash fandele 0:12:06.240 --> 0:12:09.600 to get started. That's Bettingpros dot com slash Fandel and 0:12:09.640 --> 0:12:13.040 make your plays on Fandel today. Deep Bro sending it 0:12:13.120 --> 0:12:15.920 over to you, man, you have a ton of bets 0:12:16.000 --> 0:12:19.640 in this team. First position draft in market? Where are 0:12:19.640 --> 0:12:20.240 you going here? 0:12:21.160 --> 0:12:21.520 All right? 0:12:21.760 --> 0:12:23.960 So I am. 0:12:23.880 --> 0:12:26.080 Gonna go a little bit off the board here. I 0:12:26.120 --> 0:12:28.839 think this is one of the markets, like looking at 0:12:28.880 --> 0:12:32.320 first position drafted where I'm really hammering these markets right 0:12:32.360 --> 0:12:34.400 now because I think there's a few obvious ones here 0:12:34.679 --> 0:12:36.320 to where and I want to bring this one up 0:12:36.320 --> 0:12:40.600 early because I think it is a just standout bet 0:12:40.760 --> 0:12:44.720 of the Buffalo Bills drafting a cornerback with their first 0:12:44.720 --> 0:12:47.840 pick in the NFL Draft. They're in a perfect spot 0:12:47.880 --> 0:12:49.720 where you're looking at the back end of the first 0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:53.400 round and where the cornerbacks probably go off the board 0:12:53.400 --> 0:12:55.200 at the back end of the first round top into 0:12:55.200 --> 0:12:59.280 the second round, especially with I mean, outside of Maxwell Harrison, 0:12:59.320 --> 0:13:01.400 a lot of these corner like Will Johnson, his testing 0:13:01.480 --> 0:13:03.400 wasn't great, so maybe he falls down the board and 0:13:03.400 --> 0:13:05.599 you're looking at the corners kind of get pushed a 0:13:05.640 --> 0:13:08.600 little bit here. But like I just you look at 0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:10.800 the Bills roster and I know people are gonna say, well, 0:13:10.880 --> 0:13:14.440 do they just brought Tridevius White back? You see, year 0:13:14.480 --> 0:13:19.720 after year after year, teams sign basically kind of safety 0:13:19.840 --> 0:13:22.440 plans or safety nets as far as players. A lot 0:13:22.480 --> 0:13:24.240 of teams will do this at the running back position, 0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:26.320 but they'll also do this at other positions. And I 0:13:26.320 --> 0:13:28.880 think Buffalo is basically doing this with cornerback right now, 0:13:29.240 --> 0:13:32.520 Like bringing Tradevius White back on basically approve a deal. 0:13:32.880 --> 0:13:34.440 I don't even know if he makes it out of camp. 0:13:34.480 --> 0:13:37.760 So that doesn't mean anything for me outside of maybe 0:13:37.840 --> 0:13:41.160 we do get this the market to move because right 0:13:41.200 --> 0:13:43.280 now it's a plus two to seventy five on DK. 0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:45.440 Maybe we get it to move back into like the 0:13:45.480 --> 0:13:48.840 plus three hundred era of like, But whether or not, 0:13:49.000 --> 0:13:51.840 I still love this bet because you're staring at their 0:13:52.000 --> 0:13:55.240 roster right now. They shift off kyer Elam because basically 0:13:55.240 --> 0:13:57.120 they're like, Okay, we've tried this and tried it, it 0:13:57.120 --> 0:14:01.400 didn't work. They have Dane Jackson cam Lewis, are either 0:14:01.440 --> 0:14:03.240 one of those guys we're looking at, like they know 0:14:03.320 --> 0:14:05.360 what they have and those guys or what they don't have, 0:14:05.760 --> 0:14:07.679 and are they going to be walking into Week one 0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:09.880 going to war with one of those guys or maybe 0:14:09.880 --> 0:14:13.560 even tre devious White opposite Christian Benford, I don't see it, man, 0:14:13.679 --> 0:14:16.120 Like to me, the Buffalo Bills, this should be the 0:14:16.400 --> 0:14:18.840 the chalk Pick. This should be of like plus one 0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:23.880 hundred and only because it hasn't gotten talked about enough 0:14:24.600 --> 0:14:27.600 and we're giving other outs to like people are like, okay, 0:14:27.600 --> 0:14:30.080 maybe they go safety and maybe they go other directions 0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:33.160 with this, but like to me, it's like, I just 0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:36.840 I think this The odds on this are absolutely wrong. 0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:38.840 This should be closer to plus one hundred. 0:14:39.400 --> 0:14:41.520 Yeah, I mean, great call. I would have probably had 0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:43.840 this on my list even if I would have been 0:14:43.880 --> 0:14:46.280 you to the show sheet here. I think it's a 0:14:46.280 --> 0:14:48.480 great I think it's mispriced. Should not be close to 0:14:48.480 --> 0:14:50.760 three to one. You know, I think you know, defensive 0:14:50.760 --> 0:14:53.920 lines probably in play as well, but I think there 0:14:54.000 --> 0:14:55.560 were a little bit offline in terms of where the 0:14:55.600 --> 0:14:59.560 market price is. Look, the Rams need a lot of 0:14:59.560 --> 0:15:02.720 CD or like secondary help as well. Right, Sadik's White 0:15:02.720 --> 0:15:04.160 was on that roster last year and he couldn't find 0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:07.600 his way in the field. That's how bad he played 0:15:07.640 --> 0:15:11.080 last year. This is not your slightly older uncle's Grenavius White. 0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:14.160 This is a very very good at this point, Dane Jackson, 0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:16.720 I would have ahead of him. They had cam Lewis 0:15:16.760 --> 0:15:20.400 last year. Cam Lewis Moore of a nickel inside the 0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:23.160 slock guy. So they need a perimeter corner, and I 0:15:23.160 --> 0:15:24.640 think it's a great spot for it. So I think 0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:26.080 it's a great call out almost three to one. 0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:29.040 Good look, Ryan, you're staying in this market and you're 0:15:29.040 --> 0:15:30.800 heading down to Dallas trying to get in the head 0:15:30.840 --> 0:15:34.000 of Jerry Jones. What do you think in the Cowboys do? 0:15:35.120 --> 0:15:35.360 Yeah? 0:15:35.560 --> 0:15:37.400 I pretty much you want to live mostly in this market. 0:15:37.440 --> 0:15:39.520 I think it's a great market to take advantage of 0:15:40.600 --> 0:15:42.680 because I think there's a lot of unknown there's a 0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:45.280 lot of like just assumptions in this market. But really, right, 0:15:45.320 --> 0:15:48.160 now one of the assumptions that I think is correct. 0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:50.240 We can getting in the semantics with the ted Hive, 0:15:51.000 --> 0:15:53.880 the Golden and all this stuff. I think Debro areligant 0:15:54.160 --> 0:15:55.680 kind of working on Connor. I think I got him 0:15:55.680 --> 0:15:58.800 a little bit more to our side, Deebro. We got 0:15:58.880 --> 0:16:02.280 him over here. But you look, basically, haven't seen I 0:16:02.280 --> 0:16:04.160 think a mock that's worth its weight in the last 0:16:04.280 --> 0:16:06.320 week or two that has Dallas doing anything other than 0:16:06.360 --> 0:16:08.520 taking a receiver. You can argue about which one is 0:16:08.520 --> 0:16:11.120 gonna be, but they're gonna take one right and right now. 0:16:11.160 --> 0:16:14.480 Minus one fifteen on DraftKings Caesars are fandual minus one 0:16:14.520 --> 0:16:17.960 twenty first position drafted for Dallas gonna be a wide receiver. 0:16:18.120 --> 0:16:21.560 They need something to kind of help alleviate all of 0:16:21.600 --> 0:16:25.760 the weight that falls on Ceedee Lamb's shoulders. And that 0:16:25.880 --> 0:16:28.960 depth chart is pretty poor. I feel like they should be, 0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:31.520 you know, maybe closer than maybe minus two hundred this point. 0:16:31.520 --> 0:16:33.840 So I love basically we were getting you know, fifty 0:16:33.840 --> 0:16:36.480 to fifty odds on them to take you know, wide receiver. 0:16:36.560 --> 0:16:38.600 We're just not seeing anything else mocked there. I don't 0:16:38.600 --> 0:16:40.160 think this is a running back loot. I don't think 0:16:40.600 --> 0:16:42.000 really the ones that they want to take are going 0:16:42.040 --> 0:16:43.840 to be worth it, are gonna be there at all. 0:16:43.880 --> 0:16:46.200 So I'm happy to lay the minus one fifteen for Dallas. 0:16:46.440 --> 0:16:48.280 Would you hedge it all? Maybe with a tight end 0:16:48.320 --> 0:16:50.360 as well. I haven't seen it mocked at all, but 0:16:50.640 --> 0:16:52.640 I felt like if Warren would fall here, he would 0:16:52.680 --> 0:16:54.840 be a great pass catching option. Or maybe that even 0:16:54.880 --> 0:16:56.680 they reach for Loveland. So would you hedge it all? 0:16:56.760 --> 0:16:59.120 Or you just laying you know, because you're gonna probably 0:16:59.120 --> 0:17:00.440 have to lay a unit or two down on this 0:17:00.480 --> 0:17:02.560 to see some profit. So are you just sticking with 0:17:02.560 --> 0:17:04.919