WEBVTT - Meta to Spend Billions on AMD Gear, AI Scare Trade Continues

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is a

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<v Speaker 1>live from coast to coast with Carolline Hide in New

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<v Speaker 1>York and Eva Low in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up. Meta agrees to buy

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<v Speaker 2>AMD chips and data center gear and a deal worth

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<v Speaker 2>tens of billions of dollars.

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<v Speaker 3>Plus AI whiplash in markets, It's erupts again as investors

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<v Speaker 3>navigate the disruptive power of agentic tools and unveil by

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<v Speaker 3>Anthropic and Warner Brothers.

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<v Speaker 2>Discovery is considering a new takeover bid from paramounts Guidearce,

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<v Speaker 2>with its board set to review the proposal and respond.

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<v Speaker 3>First, we check in on these markets that bounce back

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<v Speaker 3>after yesterday's sell off again, Anthropic Front and Center, the

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<v Speaker 3>latest AI tools that have been battering software and now

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<v Speaker 3>adding some fuel to them. We'll get into that story

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<v Speaker 3>a little bit later, but at the moment, that's that

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<v Speaker 3>one hundred up, my nine tensven percent reprieve. Remember also

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<v Speaker 3>consumer confidence from a macro perspective coming in better than anticipated.

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<v Speaker 3>I give a bitcoin, though does nothing better than anticipated with.

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<v Speaker 4>This particular asset.

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<v Speaker 3>We're currently at sixty three, nine hundred and ninety three.

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<v Speaker 3>The pressure still there, D But what have you got?

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<v Speaker 2>Let's get to our top story. Shares of AMD pushing higher.

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<v Speaker 2>Meta flat had been slightly softer. At one point in

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<v Speaker 2>the session, AMD was up about nine percent and on

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<v Speaker 2>track for its best day since November. This is a

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<v Speaker 2>six gigawa deal. Metas agreed to buy AMD chips and

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<v Speaker 2>data center supplies in a deal worth double digit billions

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<v Speaker 2>per gigawat. This is the social media giant looks to

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<v Speaker 2>prioritize it's AI ambitions. Here to break it down, Bloomberg's

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<v Speaker 2>Ian King on the chip side, Riley Griffin on the

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<v Speaker 2>Meta side, around the table, Ian, I'm going to start

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<v Speaker 2>with you the basics of the deal. Six gigawatts over

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<v Speaker 2>time AMD accelerators, but also other gear. It's a big

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<v Speaker 2>deal for them.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it's a real endorsement from one of the biggest

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<v Speaker 5>buyers of this kind of equipment. Obviously, they're playing catch

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<v Speaker 5>up with the in Video who had their own deal

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<v Speaker 5>with Meta last week. So this is a real strong

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<v Speaker 5>affirmation and it also includes a share warrants as well

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<v Speaker 5>that are going to Meta.

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<v Speaker 3>Riley, this is all about metacompute. Talk us through just

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<v Speaker 3>how large the scale is for demand for this sort

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<v Speaker 3>of infstructure right now.

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<v Speaker 6>It's insatiable demand from Meta. Mark Zuckerberg last month announced

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<v Speaker 6>Meta Compute, with ambitions to get hundreds of gigawatts to

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<v Speaker 6>fuel its data centers and ultimately reach that super intelligence

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<v Speaker 6>score where AI can outpace human intelligence. And this is

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<v Speaker 6>just the latest in a frenzy of deals. Again, we're

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<v Speaker 6>anticipating one hundred and thirty five billion in capex this year,

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<v Speaker 6>but now we know the spending won't stop.

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<v Speaker 2>The warrants part is very interesting. It's very similar to

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<v Speaker 2>what AMD did with open Ai. There are operational and

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<v Speaker 2>financial milestones in both directions in order for Meta to

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<v Speaker 2>potentially become a very big shareholder AMD. Could you explain

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<v Speaker 2>that in.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, the way to look at it, Lisas he said, Look,

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<v Speaker 5>this basically ties as closer to Meta. They get these

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<v Speaker 5>shares if we're in a very good position. I mean,

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<v Speaker 5>the last chalm I believe is about six hundred dollars there.

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<v Speaker 5>You know yesterday they closed at less than two hundred,

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<v Speaker 5>so we've got a room to go over before that

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<v Speaker 5>becomes a reality. But you know, her point was that

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<v Speaker 5>this kind of locks us together and tightens our relationship.

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<v Speaker 2>It was really interesting to read through the materials in

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<v Speaker 2>our reporting. Riley, like AMD has played this card before.

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<v Speaker 2>The emphasis is on inference. So m I four fifty

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<v Speaker 2>generation of accelerator. The engineering teams will work together, but

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<v Speaker 2>the inference part. Is there anything unique about this different

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<v Speaker 2>to what Meta is doing with nvidio because we had

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<v Speaker 2>a very similar deal very recently.

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<v Speaker 6>It's a really good question. Not only is it similar

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<v Speaker 6>to what Meta is doing with in a Video, but

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<v Speaker 6>Meta also has its own internal pipeline of custom chips

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<v Speaker 6>that it's building for AI purposes. What we heard yesterday

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<v Speaker 6>is that they see different applications, different workloads here being

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<v Speaker 6>supported by all three of those verticals, and so they're

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<v Speaker 6>trying to diversify as they pursue this massive scale in

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<v Speaker 6>terms of compute.

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<v Speaker 3>In take us back to in video because we've got

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<v Speaker 3>their earnings coming up tomorrow. And how much does this

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<v Speaker 3>show that there is anxiety that companies are diversifying looking

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<v Speaker 3>at MD, looking their own in house chips, or actually

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<v Speaker 3>does it still not a concerned in video is still dominant?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean at this point all we can do is say,

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<v Speaker 5>look at the numbers, and the numbers assuming in video

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<v Speaker 5>comes in and executes on what Wall Street thinks it's

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<v Speaker 5>going to do. The numbers say there's no anxiety here,

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<v Speaker 5>or boats are floating. Everybody is benefiting from the same

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<v Speaker 5>massive spending in equal measure. I guess what would change

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<v Speaker 5>that would be if in Vidia does not hit those targets,

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<v Speaker 5>does not exceed those targets, that I think would change

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<v Speaker 5>the conversation considerably.

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<v Speaker 3>And Riley, the conversation is nuanced when it comes to

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<v Speaker 3>capital expenditure. Many would say, yes, a lot of it

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<v Speaker 3>is about the chips, it is about the day centers,

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<v Speaker 3>but it's also about the power. Can we understand really

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<v Speaker 3>how much Meta is having to focus in on where

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<v Speaker 3>they can spend on GPUs or their own homegrown chips,

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<v Speaker 3>and where they do it globally as well.

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<v Speaker 6>So we asked yesterday where they thought they would deploy

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<v Speaker 6>these chips, and they couldn't specify which data centers. We

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<v Speaker 6>know that some of their biggest projects are targeting five

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<v Speaker 6>gigawatts right, but they need to get certain regulatory approvals

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<v Speaker 6>and they need energy companies to be able to deliver

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<v Speaker 6>there on the ground. So as for the merging of

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<v Speaker 6>the energy and the compute here time will tell as

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<v Speaker 6>we home in on where those chips will actually go.

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<v Speaker 2>It's probably time for a bit of a reality check in,

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<v Speaker 2>and I'm hoping that you'll provide it for us. Like

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<v Speaker 2>in any given quarter, right now, AMD is going to

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<v Speaker 2>do ten billion dollars of revenue all told, every single

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<v Speaker 2>segment in Vidia's data center business? Is it more than

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<v Speaker 2>fifty billion dollars a quarter? Yes, that includes networking. But

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<v Speaker 2>they're now one and the same, right, you can't have

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<v Speaker 2>chips without the other. How do we know if this

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<v Speaker 2>is evidence that MD's catching up.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean again, you have to go back to the percentages,

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<v Speaker 5>the growth percentages. At the moment, both of them would say,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, this isn't about competition. This is about there's

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<v Speaker 5>so much demand a company like Meta, which makes his

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<v Speaker 5>own chips, is buying from both of us. That would

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<v Speaker 5>be the answer. But ultimately, when the market slows down,

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<v Speaker 5>and you can be the judge of when that happens,

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<v Speaker 5>then we'll see the market share shift, because then it'll

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<v Speaker 5>really matter.

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<v Speaker 2>Meta is not a hyperscaler, but it operates its own

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<v Speaker 2>data centers at hyper scale, if you know what I mean.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm thinking back to when Mark Zackobog was sat next

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<v Speaker 2>to the president six hundred billion dollars over the next

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<v Speaker 2>few years, and then he's also talked about this idea

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<v Speaker 2>that they might misspend two hundred billion dollars here or there,

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<v Speaker 2>but that's no bad thing. He's front loading purchases. Just

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<v Speaker 2>explain his thesis a bit.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, His strategy is just that he's used the language

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<v Speaker 6>of front loading capacity. They're going to try to get

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<v Speaker 6>as much as they can gobble it up while there's

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<v Speaker 6>still availability. And this, he says, could be applied not

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<v Speaker 6>just for AI purposes, but for that core social media business,

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<v Speaker 6>which still drives more than ninety eight percent of their revenue.

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<v Speaker 6>Right so they see applications across the board and they're

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<v Speaker 6>not worried about getting too much in the interim.

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<v Speaker 3>In why do is AM do you have to keep

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<v Speaker 3>giving it shares away?

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<v Speaker 5>Again, we asked Lisa about this and she said that

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<v Speaker 5>this is Lisa to the CEO, and she said, this

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<v Speaker 5>is different than the open air idea. The open air

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<v Speaker 5>ideal is a slightly different arrangement. That is a company

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<v Speaker 5>obviously that is seeking liquidity. Meta clearly does not need liquidity.

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<v Speaker 5>This is just a way of showing Meta's commitment to

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<v Speaker 5>what they're doing. You've got to remember that, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>AMD is only a couple of generations into being any

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<v Speaker 5>type of presence at all in this market. So if

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<v Speaker 5>a big buyer of this stuff comes along and says, oh,

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<v Speaker 5>we like your gear, oh guess what, we also like

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<v Speaker 5>you as a company, like your prospects, and that is

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<v Speaker 5>somehow a bigger validation than just a straight purchase agreement.

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<v Speaker 5>And that really was what they were pushing as an idea. Look,

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<v Speaker 5>this is how closely we are tied.

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<v Speaker 4>Together, beneffecting from the upside.

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg's in King and Riley Griffin, thank you so much

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<v Speaker 3>for joining.

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<v Speaker 4>Us on that roundtable.

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<v Speaker 3>Meanwhile, coming up software earnings, they take center stage two.

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<v Speaker 4>What to expect as AI fears enter the picture. This

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<v Speaker 4>is Bloomberg Tech.

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<v Speaker 2>Shares of IBM had the worst day in more than

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<v Speaker 2>twenty five years Monday, after Mthropic announced that its clawed

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<v Speaker 2>code could help to modernize the dated coding language Cobol,

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<v Speaker 2>largely run on IBM computers. This is in Fropit continues

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<v Speaker 2>to unveil new AI tools for its cowork agent software

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<v Speaker 2>across human resources, investment, banking, and design. Bloomberg's Brady Foyd

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<v Speaker 2>joins us with the latest Cobol was invented in nineteen

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<v Speaker 2>fifty nine. There are two hundred billion lines of OBO

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<v Speaker 2>called the underpin financial systems, banking payments around the world.

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<v Speaker 2>And basically anthropics said it would be really useful to

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<v Speaker 2>use Claude to help maybe investigate looking to change that,

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<v Speaker 2>and then one of the most story technology companies in

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<v Speaker 2>history had its worst day in twenty five years. Take

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<v Speaker 2>it from that.

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<v Speaker 7>You've got to feel powerful if you're anthropic right now,

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<v Speaker 7>right if you just say the name of a product

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<v Speaker 7>the company associated with that project tanks. I mean, IBM

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<v Speaker 7>has been talking about using AI for cobal modernization and

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<v Speaker 7>it seems successfully offering that tool for a couple of

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<v Speaker 7>years now. And yeah, markets are really jumpy, right, I mean,

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<v Speaker 7>the potential that Claude or another AI tool can disrupt

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<v Speaker 7>the leaders in a given software category is really frightening

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<v Speaker 7>investors right now. And it's just it's an incredibly jumpy market.

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<v Speaker 3>Ibmci A VP Rob Thomas was pushing back against this

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<v Speaker 3>writing in a blog, and you quote him in your

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<v Speaker 3>story that the value of IBM mainframe delivers has nothing

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<v Speaker 3>to do with cobol is trying to talk about the

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<v Speaker 3>platform more broadly brody, but what you say is so brilliant.

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<v Speaker 3>How powerful anthropic must feel. Also to the upside, because look,

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<v Speaker 3>they do a partnership with Intuit today and that fuels

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<v Speaker 3>into it shares a little bit on the upside, so

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<v Speaker 3>it can be make or break in either direction.

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<v Speaker 7>It fuels into it a bit on the upside. But

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<v Speaker 7>the company's still down what forty percent this year. I

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<v Speaker 7>don't know if it's quite that dramatic, but it's a

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<v Speaker 7>scary time to be an application software vendor, right. I

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<v Speaker 7>mean the most extreme idea that companies are just going

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<v Speaker 7>to vibe code their own solutions. I don't think anybody

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<v Speaker 7>really believes that, But the idea that software vendors lose

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<v Speaker 7>the kind of pricing leverage they've enjoyed for so long

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<v Speaker 7>because of that potential disruption. It's really something that markets

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<v Speaker 7>are struggling to grapple with right now, and it's going

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<v Speaker 7>to be a really interesting earning cycle.

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<v Speaker 2>It's basically pitching itself now as a platform. Right. So

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<v Speaker 2>historically Claude is focused on code and making engineering more efficient,

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<v Speaker 2>and like if you're an into it customer, you're aready

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<v Speaker 2>used of into its platforms and data. You just have

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<v Speaker 2>an agent inside of it. If you're a small business

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<v Speaker 2>or or a consumer. It's the same with DocuSign. We're

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<v Speaker 2>seeing all these names move. How is it making these

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<v Speaker 2>companies better, Brodie, you cover this beat inside and out.

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<v Speaker 7>Well, it's forcing them to really try to drive adoption

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<v Speaker 7>and use among customers. Like we all know that a

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<v Speaker 7>lot of the AI height was a bit premature in

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<v Speaker 7>terms of how mature these tools were actually and how

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<v Speaker 7>ready they were to be used in the enterprise. And

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<v Speaker 7>it's really holding toes to the fire that hey, it's

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<v Speaker 7>time to make sure your customers are actually using your

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<v Speaker 7>AI tools or else the market's going to sell your

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<v Speaker 7>stock and act like you are going to go poof

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<v Speaker 7>in a couple of years.

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<v Speaker 3>Plombo's Brodie Ford always a perfect way with words.

0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:52.520
<v Speaker 4>We thank you.

0:11:52.920 --> 0:11:55.480
<v Speaker 3>Let's get more on the wider AI impact on tech

0:11:55.600 --> 0:11:58.920
<v Speaker 3>and software with Clearbridge Investments senior research analysts for Software

0:11:59.040 --> 0:12:02.240
<v Speaker 3>for IT services. Anyway, Fresh Henry the perfect person. I

0:12:02.280 --> 0:12:04.640
<v Speaker 3>go back to in many ways what Brady was just saying.

0:12:04.920 --> 0:12:07.960
<v Speaker 3>We're questioning just how good the tools are. How have

0:12:08.040 --> 0:12:12.240
<v Speaker 3>we seen a sudden shift in how brilliant these AI

0:12:12.320 --> 0:12:13.000
<v Speaker 3>agents are.

0:12:13.320 --> 0:12:15.360
<v Speaker 4>In the last few months we have.

0:12:16.800 --> 0:12:20.439
<v Speaker 8>We're seeing this sellof and software in particularly SaaS because

0:12:21.320 --> 0:12:24.240
<v Speaker 8>so much is changing so rapidly, and these tools are

0:12:24.280 --> 0:12:29.840
<v Speaker 8>evolving and tremendously. There's probably a pretty big disparity between

0:12:30.320 --> 0:12:33.720
<v Speaker 8>some of the capabilities of the tools and what's happening

0:12:33.800 --> 0:12:37.360
<v Speaker 8>and likely to happen, probably even intermediate term in the marketplace,

0:12:37.440 --> 0:12:43.400
<v Speaker 8>particularly the enterprise marketplace. But investors shoot first and ask

0:12:43.520 --> 0:12:46.640
<v Speaker 8>questions at some very distant dates. So we're seeing a

0:12:46.640 --> 0:12:50.200
<v Speaker 8>pretty dramatic compression in terminal multiples of many of the names.

0:12:51.360 --> 0:12:53.640
<v Speaker 3>At what point are they going to become discerning? Because

0:12:53.679 --> 0:12:55.880
<v Speaker 3>at the moment, it's very hard for a CEO, for

0:12:55.920 --> 0:13:00.000
<v Speaker 3>Aarvin krishnover IBM, for whether it's service now, Bill McDermott,

0:13:00.120 --> 0:13:04.240
<v Speaker 3>to disprove that they're not going to be impacted, that's right.

0:13:04.320 --> 0:13:06.000
<v Speaker 3>So how do they prove a negative? How do you

0:13:06.080 --> 0:13:08.120
<v Speaker 3>start to see people willing to catch falling knife and

0:13:08.120 --> 0:13:09.880
<v Speaker 3>be like, oh, these are platform companies are not going

0:13:09.880 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 3>to be disrupted.

0:13:10.559 --> 0:13:12.800
<v Speaker 8>Or maybe they will be sure sure, It's so hard

0:13:12.840 --> 0:13:15.760
<v Speaker 8>to tell the near term reaction to any kind of

0:13:15.760 --> 0:13:19.840
<v Speaker 8>event it's been asymmetrically skewed to the downside. I think

0:13:19.880 --> 0:13:21.760
<v Speaker 8>what the vendors really have to do is show that

0:13:21.800 --> 0:13:24.400
<v Speaker 8>AI is additive to the business, to beat and raise

0:13:24.920 --> 0:13:28.680
<v Speaker 8>and show that AI isn't just off setting into clients

0:13:28.679 --> 0:13:31.040
<v Speaker 8>on the core business, but it's actually adding to the business,

0:13:31.080 --> 0:13:33.160
<v Speaker 8>and that could really change the narrative. We actually saw

0:13:33.160 --> 0:13:35.200
<v Speaker 8>that with the Snowflakes of the World two years ago,

0:13:35.600 --> 0:13:39.640
<v Speaker 8>with MAMO d B last year into this year. But

0:13:39.960 --> 0:13:44.120
<v Speaker 8>that's typically what's required for investors to realize it's not

0:13:44.160 --> 0:13:45.040
<v Speaker 8>just a zero sum game.

0:13:47.000 --> 0:13:50.280
<v Speaker 2>On the Bloomberg terminal, there are let's say a dozen

0:13:50.360 --> 0:13:53.559
<v Speaker 2>reports of single name stocks that are moving because of

0:13:53.600 --> 0:13:56.360
<v Speaker 2>the association with Anthropic, who held an event this morning.

0:13:56.760 --> 0:14:00.640
<v Speaker 2>You studied the software sector right very closely. Any evidence

0:14:00.720 --> 0:14:04.360
<v Speaker 2>those names are moving because people genuinely believe there's a

0:14:04.360 --> 0:14:07.000
<v Speaker 2>fundamental change to how they do business, or is it

0:14:07.080 --> 0:14:10.800
<v Speaker 2>just simply name association At this point.

0:14:10.440 --> 0:14:13.200
<v Speaker 8>I think it has to do with the idea that

0:14:13.320 --> 0:14:16.359
<v Speaker 8>if Anthropic sees the need to partner with these companies,

0:14:16.480 --> 0:14:20.120
<v Speaker 8>and Thropics sees that they provide something that Anthropic doesn't,

0:14:20.280 --> 0:14:25.160
<v Speaker 8>and they understand these are incumbent vendors with installed customer

0:14:25.200 --> 0:14:27.840
<v Speaker 8>bases and loyalty and processes and things like that.

0:14:28.440 --> 0:14:29.200
<v Speaker 4>It doesn't mean.

0:14:29.080 --> 0:14:33.560
<v Speaker 8>There isn't future disintermediation disintermediation risk, we all know that,

0:14:34.520 --> 0:14:37.600
<v Speaker 8>but I think it's a signal to investors at these

0:14:38.280 --> 0:14:42.000
<v Speaker 8>companies are viable and important to the ecosystem, and investors

0:14:42.080 --> 0:14:43.480
<v Speaker 8>have not been assuming that.

0:14:43.560 --> 0:14:44.960
<v Speaker 4>Over the prior few weeks.

0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:48.760
<v Speaker 2>Hiary, there was a research report, a bearish research report

0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:52.040
<v Speaker 2>from a little known outfit called Catrini that basically outlined

0:14:52.120 --> 0:14:55.480
<v Speaker 2>various risks to different sectors from AI. One of the

0:14:55.520 --> 0:14:58.080
<v Speaker 2>co authors joined Bloomberg Television. I just want to play

0:14:58.080 --> 0:14:59.040
<v Speaker 2>you some of that conversation.

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:01.760
<v Speaker 9>I thought there was going to be a small reaction.

0:15:02.840 --> 0:15:05.800
<v Speaker 9>It was definitely larger than we expected. But I think

0:15:05.880 --> 0:15:07.720
<v Speaker 9>it's not that surprising when you take a step back

0:15:07.720 --> 0:15:09.680
<v Speaker 9>and consider kind of where the markets are in the US.

0:15:10.360 --> 0:15:11.880
<v Speaker 9>You know, the AI trade has been going on for

0:15:11.920 --> 0:15:13.720
<v Speaker 9>three and a half years. It's been more or less

0:15:13.720 --> 0:15:17.680
<v Speaker 9>a straight line up, and essentially like everyone is max

0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:20.560
<v Speaker 9>long today and so there really aren't many incremental buyers left,

0:15:20.960 --> 0:15:23.840
<v Speaker 9>and so it on the one hand, you know, spookspeople

0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:26.800
<v Speaker 9>when you do consider what is negative about this, But

0:15:26.800 --> 0:15:29.440
<v Speaker 9>I think specifically the market right now is trying to

0:15:29.440 --> 0:15:32.240
<v Speaker 9>digest this idea that AI has gotten a lot more

0:15:32.280 --> 0:15:33.520
<v Speaker 9>powerful in the last six months.

0:15:34.520 --> 0:15:36.080
<v Speaker 2>You know, in that he's kind of saying, well, this

0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:38.040
<v Speaker 2>is kind of the function of the market of the

0:15:38.120 --> 0:15:41.360
<v Speaker 2>last three years, but still poses the central question, which

0:15:41.440 --> 0:15:44.960
<v Speaker 2>is is AI rendering existing software obsolete or is it

0:15:45.000 --> 0:15:48.320
<v Speaker 2>making it better? Just your reaction to that research report

0:15:48.320 --> 0:15:50.160
<v Speaker 2>and the co author's thoughts there.

0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:51.600
<v Speaker 4>Sure, I think it's both.

0:15:51.640 --> 0:15:54.560
<v Speaker 8>I think AI represents represents a risk and it also

0:15:54.600 --> 0:15:57.640
<v Speaker 8>represents an opportunity for many of the incombent vendors. We

0:15:57.640 --> 0:16:01.200
<v Speaker 8>could take sas separately, but we've been talking internally about

0:16:01.200 --> 0:16:04.520
<v Speaker 8>what I call the great catchdown to sas. Every other sector,

0:16:04.760 --> 0:16:08.120
<v Speaker 8>every other part of software selling down to SAS on

0:16:08.200 --> 0:16:11.480
<v Speaker 8>disintermediation risks. But there are reasons why a lot of

0:16:11.560 --> 0:16:15.920
<v Speaker 8>subsectors should be relatively more defensible, and we could talk

0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:16.520
<v Speaker 8>about those a.

0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:20.240
<v Speaker 3>Few like, Okay, let's talk about what's just spent defensible

0:16:20.720 --> 0:16:24.160
<v Speaker 3>Because there's this drip feed of AI dooomerism, shall we say,

0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:27.360
<v Speaker 3>in these various reports and blog posts coming from the

0:16:27.400 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 3>CEO of Anthropic himself to over at Szuctrini. We've also

0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:33.400
<v Speaker 3>had Harvard coming out with their piece that we're seeing

0:16:33.440 --> 0:16:37.880
<v Speaker 3>it being incredibly effective when it comes to financial analysis

0:16:38.160 --> 0:16:41.560
<v Speaker 3>and portfolio decision making. The Harvard led study is talking

0:16:41.560 --> 0:16:44.840
<v Speaker 3>about how trading mutual fund training decisions. Seventy one percent

0:16:44.920 --> 0:16:48.600
<v Speaker 3>it predicted right the model was trained over a five

0:16:48.680 --> 0:16:51.480
<v Speaker 3>year window. But they're also talking about maybe the outperformance,

0:16:51.480 --> 0:16:54.360
<v Speaker 3>but is what it misses? So from your perspective, where's

0:16:54.360 --> 0:16:56.600
<v Speaker 3>the outperformance going to come from? Some of the companies

0:16:56.640 --> 0:16:59.600
<v Speaker 3>that can withstand this, that can show that they're really

0:16:59.600 --> 0:17:02.160
<v Speaker 3>effective while using the AI tools.

0:17:02.200 --> 0:17:05.840
<v Speaker 8>Sure Sure, I think of security as an example of that.

0:17:05.960 --> 0:17:09.960
<v Speaker 8>Anthropic introduced a vulnerability management tool, not even management, just

0:17:10.359 --> 0:17:14.040
<v Speaker 8>a scanner for vulnerabilities and code that's produced on the platform,

0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:18.000
<v Speaker 8>and that's a build time phenomenon. Most security vendors are

0:17:18.119 --> 0:17:20.679
<v Speaker 8>run time, but they bring a lot to bear that

0:17:20.720 --> 0:17:24.520
<v Speaker 8>we could talk about from a technological perspective that it's

0:17:24.560 --> 0:17:24.920
<v Speaker 8>going to.

0:17:24.840 --> 0:17:27.520
<v Speaker 4>Be hard for an l ELAM or an agent to have.

0:17:27.960 --> 0:17:31.240
<v Speaker 8>They have the physical infrastructure, they cover all the enforcement points.

0:17:31.280 --> 0:17:34.760
<v Speaker 8>It's partly a physical phenomenon, not just a digital phenomenon

0:17:34.760 --> 0:17:37.080
<v Speaker 8>per se. But on top of that, when you think

0:17:37.119 --> 0:17:43.520
<v Speaker 8>about it. I don't know how entities, and especially regulated

0:17:43.680 --> 0:17:46.679
<v Speaker 8>entities can have the fox guarding the henhouse when it

0:17:46.720 --> 0:17:50.320
<v Speaker 8>comes to security, and kind of the same existed in

0:17:50.400 --> 0:17:54.679
<v Speaker 8>cloud as well. Because AI creates so many vulnerabilities, so

0:17:54.720 --> 0:17:58.760
<v Speaker 8>many new vulnerabilities that we've never had, that it's a

0:17:58.800 --> 0:18:02.120
<v Speaker 8>major issue when you're looking to what's becoming the greatest

0:18:02.160 --> 0:18:06.520
<v Speaker 8>attack surface to be the solution to the problem. Similarly,

0:18:06.600 --> 0:18:11.159
<v Speaker 8>the data platform vendors are really the platforms for the

0:18:11.200 --> 0:18:14.000
<v Speaker 8>next generation of AI applications. We're seeing them build on

0:18:14.000 --> 0:18:17.560
<v Speaker 8>top of the snowflakes and Mango dbs, even potentially the

0:18:17.640 --> 0:18:21.320
<v Speaker 8>Oracles to some degree data dog that's slightly different, but

0:18:22.680 --> 0:18:26.440
<v Speaker 8>what customers are looking for is higher levels of automation

0:18:26.680 --> 0:18:30.159
<v Speaker 8>to make their lives easier when there's a tsunami.

0:18:29.560 --> 0:18:30.960
<v Speaker 4>Of data coming at them.

0:18:31.359 --> 0:18:34.800
<v Speaker 8>These infrastructures and oftentimes are quite different. The data models

0:18:34.800 --> 0:18:38.480
<v Speaker 8>are different from llms, the infrastructure on which they run

0:18:38.840 --> 0:18:42.359
<v Speaker 8>are far more efficient than what lmms do and seem

0:18:42.400 --> 0:18:45.480
<v Speaker 8>to be able to do. And so I believe the

0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:48.399
<v Speaker 8>greatest source of automation is going to come from these

0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:50.640
<v Speaker 8>incumbent vendors. I should have mentioned data bricks of course,

0:18:50.640 --> 0:18:55.359
<v Speaker 8>in which Clearbridge has a private investment, and so solving

0:18:55.400 --> 0:18:57.640
<v Speaker 8>and headaches for customers in the face of a ton

0:18:57.680 --> 0:19:00.800
<v Speaker 8>of complexity is going to be a Paramount Imports.

0:19:01.240 --> 0:19:04.880
<v Speaker 2>Hillary Fresh clear Bridge Investments, thank you very much. Now

0:19:04.880 --> 0:19:07.000
<v Speaker 2>coming up on the program, Paramount is said to have

0:19:07.080 --> 0:19:09.640
<v Speaker 2>raised its offer for Warner Brothers More on the Drama

0:19:10.040 --> 0:19:13.119
<v Speaker 2>to buy one of Hollywood's most story brands, the snackt

0:19:13.320 --> 0:19:14.520
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech.

0:19:21.440 --> 0:19:23.080
<v Speaker 4>Time now for Talking Tech and First Up.

0:19:23.080 --> 0:19:28.080
<v Speaker 3>Athropic has accused Deep Seat, Minimax and Moonshot of distilling.

0:19:27.560 --> 0:19:29.240
<v Speaker 4>Its clawed models to bolster their.

0:19:29.200 --> 0:19:32.240
<v Speaker 3>Own AI capabilities, adding to concerns in the US about

0:19:32.320 --> 0:19:34.960
<v Speaker 3>Chinese firms improperly gaining an edge.

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:38.200
<v Speaker 4>Representatives for the three firms didn't respond to requests for comment.

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:41.320
<v Speaker 3>Sticking with Anthropic look, sources say the company will let

0:19:41.480 --> 0:19:44.520
<v Speaker 3>some current and former employees sell their shares at evaluation

0:19:44.520 --> 0:19:45.920
<v Speaker 3>for about three hundred and fifty billion.

0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:48.080
<v Speaker 4>Dollars, the level reached during a recent fund raise.

0:19:48.359 --> 0:19:51.040
<v Speaker 3>Anthropic has lined up five to six billion dollars from

0:19:51.040 --> 0:19:54.000
<v Speaker 3>outside investors, though the amount and details have not yet

0:19:54.040 --> 0:19:58.119
<v Speaker 3>been finalized, and Canada Well It's summoned open AI executives

0:19:58.359 --> 0:20:01.760
<v Speaker 3>after it was revealed the company debate but ultimately didn't

0:20:01.920 --> 0:20:04.840
<v Speaker 3>refer a chat GBT user to the police. That person

0:20:04.960 --> 0:20:07.440
<v Speaker 3>became the sole suspect in one of Canada's worst ever

0:20:07.520 --> 0:20:10.760
<v Speaker 3>mass shootings. Opening I bound the use of months before

0:20:10.800 --> 0:20:13.560
<v Speaker 3>the attack, but said it found no credible or imminent

0:20:13.720 --> 0:20:14.639
<v Speaker 3>threat ed.

0:20:15.000 --> 0:20:17.920
<v Speaker 2>Okay, let's take a look at shares Warner Brothers, Discoveries, Paramount,

0:20:17.960 --> 0:20:19.560
<v Speaker 2>and Netflix and get the latest.

0:20:20.160 --> 0:20:21.600
<v Speaker 10>Paramount has raised.

0:20:21.320 --> 0:20:23.720
<v Speaker 2>Its offer for Warner Brothers from its thirty dollars a

0:20:23.760 --> 0:20:28.000
<v Speaker 2>share all cash proposal. That's according to Bloomberg Reporting. Now

0:20:28.160 --> 0:20:31.399
<v Speaker 2>Warner Brothers Discovery and its board is reviewing that revised proposal.

0:20:31.440 --> 0:20:34.680
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg's managing editor for Media and Entertainment leading the screen

0:20:34.760 --> 0:20:38.080
<v Speaker 2>Time team because sure, we actually don't have the specifics.

0:20:38.080 --> 0:20:40.600
<v Speaker 2>I don't think yet of how improved this offer is.

0:20:40.640 --> 0:20:43.240
<v Speaker 2>But it's on the desk of Warner Brothers Discovery, It's

0:20:43.320 --> 0:20:45.240
<v Speaker 2>leaders and its board. Take it from that.

0:20:46.080 --> 0:20:49.920
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I mean, you see both sides taking this more

0:20:50.080 --> 0:20:52.360
<v Speaker 11>seriously and being quiet. I mean there's been a kind

0:20:52.359 --> 0:20:55.800
<v Speaker 11>of a progression with these talks, where back when the

0:20:55.840 --> 0:20:58.680
<v Speaker 11>first bidding war was happening, you had Warner Brothers reviewing

0:20:58.760 --> 0:21:02.280
<v Speaker 11>offers from Comcast Netflix in Paramount, it was very quiet, right,

0:21:02.280 --> 0:21:04.239
<v Speaker 11>people didn't say a lot because everyone thought they were

0:21:04.240 --> 0:21:06.960
<v Speaker 11>in it. Then Warner Brothers picked Netflix, and I got

0:21:07.000 --> 0:21:09.680
<v Speaker 11>really loud, Paramount accusing Warner brother of doing things that

0:21:09.720 --> 0:21:12.760
<v Speaker 11>weren't right. Netflix and Warner Brothers often firing back. And

0:21:12.760 --> 0:21:14.960
<v Speaker 11>now it's gone quiet again, which to me is clearly

0:21:15.000 --> 0:21:18.000
<v Speaker 11>a sign that the board is seriously reviewing the Paramount offer.

0:21:19.119 --> 0:21:21.600
<v Speaker 11>If Paramount has increased it five a dollar to a share,

0:21:21.640 --> 0:21:24.720
<v Speaker 11>which we assume they have, it seems hard to believe

0:21:24.720 --> 0:21:26.679
<v Speaker 11>that they would outright reject it as they have the

0:21:26.720 --> 0:21:28.800
<v Speaker 11>recent ones, which means that they would have to go

0:21:28.840 --> 0:21:30.360
<v Speaker 11>to Netflix and sort of say, what do you got

0:21:30.400 --> 0:21:30.639
<v Speaker 11>for me?

0:21:31.920 --> 0:21:34.280
<v Speaker 3>Well, exactly, we'll get a drip feed of what it

0:21:34.359 --> 0:21:39.040
<v Speaker 3>is exactly that they've got. But if it is markedly better,

0:21:39.520 --> 0:21:41.320
<v Speaker 3>do we expect Netflix to respond in kind?

0:21:42.400 --> 0:21:46.240
<v Speaker 11>You know, it's a tough question to answered. Netflix has

0:21:46.280 --> 0:21:49.960
<v Speaker 11>communicated to some of its shareholders. I've heard from people

0:21:49.960 --> 0:21:52.320
<v Speaker 11>at Netflix that they feel they have the balance sheet

0:21:52.359 --> 0:21:52.840
<v Speaker 11>to go up.

0:21:52.920 --> 0:21:53.080
<v Speaker 9>Right.

0:21:53.119 --> 0:21:56.919
<v Speaker 11>We're talking about a growing business with a really significant

0:21:56.920 --> 0:21:58.840
<v Speaker 11>market cap. Even if this stalk's taken a little bit

0:21:58.840 --> 0:22:02.640
<v Speaker 11>of a beating during these negotiations. So relative to paramount

0:22:02.680 --> 0:22:05.080
<v Speaker 11>and even relative to the Ellison family, Netflix should have

0:22:05.119 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 11>the money to go there. It's a question of whether

0:22:07.040 --> 0:22:09.160
<v Speaker 11>they want to. You know, their stock is down. I've

0:22:09.200 --> 0:22:11.560
<v Speaker 11>lost track at this point. It's more than thirty percent

0:22:11.600 --> 0:22:15.440
<v Speaker 11>since these negotiations started, and they may decide that there's

0:22:15.480 --> 0:22:17.159
<v Speaker 11>a number that is too high for them. We just

0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:18.639
<v Speaker 11>don't know what that threshold is.

0:22:19.600 --> 0:22:21.760
<v Speaker 3>It continues to evolve and we know that you always

0:22:21.800 --> 0:22:24.040
<v Speaker 3>have the story, but mostly Beka, sure, thank you so much.

0:22:24.560 --> 0:22:28.479
<v Speaker 3>I'm coming up more on Meta and AMD's multi billion

0:22:28.520 --> 0:22:32.320
<v Speaker 3>dollar deal as the race to power AI intensifies and

0:22:32.560 --> 0:22:35.760
<v Speaker 3>AMD up coming off of those previous highs.

0:22:36.560 --> 0:22:39.760
<v Speaker 2>Yep, and then Meta flat as a pancake. Much more

0:22:39.800 --> 0:22:50.359
<v Speaker 2>to come. It is halftime. This is Bloomberg Tech. Welcome

0:22:50.359 --> 0:22:53.040
<v Speaker 2>back to Bloomberg Tech. We're continuing to track the impact

0:22:53.119 --> 0:22:57.439
<v Speaker 2>of AI on legacy software. Essentially lots of names actually

0:22:57.440 --> 0:22:58.400
<v Speaker 2>moving to the upside.

0:22:58.440 --> 0:22:59.080
<v Speaker 10>The story is.

0:22:59.080 --> 0:23:03.320
<v Speaker 2>An anthropic and basically taking its clawed AI agent and

0:23:03.400 --> 0:23:06.639
<v Speaker 2>linking it in a platform for everything from HR investment

0:23:06.720 --> 0:23:10.359
<v Speaker 2>banking documents, and that is pushing a lot of names higher.

0:23:10.680 --> 0:23:13.960
<v Speaker 2>IBM is up four percent, but remember yesterday Monday it

0:23:14.080 --> 0:23:17.000
<v Speaker 2>fell by the most since two thousand when it said

0:23:17.040 --> 0:23:21.479
<v Speaker 2>that Claude could be used basically to improve archive change

0:23:21.600 --> 0:23:25.000
<v Speaker 2>update cobol coding bases, a program that was invented in

0:23:25.119 --> 0:23:28.560
<v Speaker 2>nineteen fifty nine. Otherwise, our top story is a deal

0:23:28.880 --> 0:23:33.399
<v Speaker 2>between AMD and Meta six gigawatts of capacity over the

0:23:33.400 --> 0:23:36.720
<v Speaker 2>balance of the decade, largely focused in the first instance

0:23:36.760 --> 0:23:40.200
<v Speaker 2>on AMD's latest accelerator and the server that is based

0:23:40.240 --> 0:23:43.439
<v Speaker 2>on mi I four fifty, but this is basically sixty

0:23:43.480 --> 0:23:46.640
<v Speaker 2>billion dollars of potential revenue for AMD over that time period.

0:23:46.840 --> 0:23:49.440
<v Speaker 2>The stock up more than seven percent. MEATA has traded flat,

0:23:49.720 --> 0:23:52.359
<v Speaker 2>but I guess that it's hard to gauge if this

0:23:52.480 --> 0:23:55.920
<v Speaker 2>makes any different Semara at all given its existing spending commitments.

0:23:56.040 --> 0:23:57.720
<v Speaker 4>Karrac Well, someone's been writing on just that.

0:23:58.240 --> 0:24:01.240
<v Speaker 3>We meg Intelligence senior analyst Manday saying says that Meta's

0:24:01.359 --> 0:24:04.240
<v Speaker 3>six giga what IMD deal actually lowest chip spending is

0:24:04.240 --> 0:24:07.560
<v Speaker 3>a share of capex and secure supply tailored to AI inference.

0:24:08.240 --> 0:24:09.600
<v Speaker 4>Also right, so the stock.

0:24:09.400 --> 0:24:13.080
<v Speaker 3>Link structure could give Meta added leverage against Nvidia, Mande

0:24:13.119 --> 0:24:16.119
<v Speaker 3>saying joints us now, why does any leverage against Innvideo

0:24:16.200 --> 0:24:18.359
<v Speaker 3>It struck a deal last week with them. Is this

0:24:18.440 --> 0:24:20.240
<v Speaker 3>more like we've got other options?

0:24:20.640 --> 0:24:21.000
<v Speaker 9>Yeah?

0:24:21.040 --> 0:24:23.840
<v Speaker 12>And look, I mean the fact that they are planning

0:24:23.880 --> 0:24:27.639
<v Speaker 12>to use Nvidia's CPUs, to me, that was a sign that,

0:24:27.760 --> 0:24:30.200
<v Speaker 12>you know, if you had to get the GPU capacity

0:24:30.240 --> 0:24:33.199
<v Speaker 12>from Nvidia, you pretty much had to use everything they

0:24:33.240 --> 0:24:36.800
<v Speaker 12>had to offer. With this deal, I think AMD sort

0:24:36.800 --> 0:24:41.040
<v Speaker 12>of comes across as the more desperate partner in terms of,

0:24:41.119 --> 0:24:45.600
<v Speaker 12>you know, giving Meta their stock warrants and making sure

0:24:45.680 --> 0:24:48.159
<v Speaker 12>that you know, they are at Meta, which is going

0:24:48.240 --> 0:24:50.880
<v Speaker 12>to spend one hundred and thirty five billion dollars. Out

0:24:50.880 --> 0:24:53.880
<v Speaker 12>of that, half of that will be on chips approximately,

0:24:54.240 --> 0:24:56.760
<v Speaker 12>So think of it this way. They currently are about

0:24:56.760 --> 0:24:59.840
<v Speaker 12>a ten to twelve billion dollar rund rate. This could

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:02.480
<v Speaker 12>potentially double, you know, every year in terms of just

0:25:02.880 --> 0:25:06.280
<v Speaker 12>by adding one customer at the scale. Right, you know

0:25:06.320 --> 0:25:08.439
<v Speaker 12>they plan to buy the chips from AMD.

0:25:09.359 --> 0:25:11.719
<v Speaker 2>You know the way that that AMD puts say right,

0:25:11.800 --> 0:25:15.240
<v Speaker 2>single double digit sorry, billions of dollars per gigawa, but

0:25:15.280 --> 0:25:19.400
<v Speaker 2>the gigawatts need to get built, right, There are operational milestones.

0:25:19.760 --> 0:25:22.000
<v Speaker 2>Every time I go and cee AMD or we speak

0:25:22.040 --> 0:25:25.280
<v Speaker 2>to Lisasus she puts a lot of emphasis on inference,

0:25:25.600 --> 0:25:27.680
<v Speaker 2>you know, m I for fifty in particular, and what

0:25:27.760 --> 0:25:31.199
<v Speaker 2>those systems can do in the inference phase. Do you

0:25:31.320 --> 0:25:34.199
<v Speaker 2>in this deal see a point of differentiation for AMD

0:25:34.640 --> 0:25:36.600
<v Speaker 2>if they do go after the inference piece.

0:25:37.440 --> 0:25:40.760
<v Speaker 12>I do, and simply because all these companies are trying

0:25:40.800 --> 0:25:43.600
<v Speaker 12>to emulate what Google has been doing with TPUs. And

0:25:43.640 --> 0:25:47.399
<v Speaker 12>remember TPUs are used for both training and inferencing, not

0:25:47.640 --> 0:25:51.200
<v Speaker 12>just for Gemini but also for Entropics. So the fact

0:25:51.200 --> 0:25:53.320
<v Speaker 12>that you know they have signed this deal and are

0:25:53.840 --> 0:25:56.720
<v Speaker 12>willing to, you know, go from being a merchant silicon

0:25:56.760 --> 0:26:01.280
<v Speaker 12>provider to a custom silicon provider for Meta, and Meta's

0:26:01.320 --> 0:26:04.840
<v Speaker 12>workloads are more skew towards you know video and you

0:26:04.880 --> 0:26:08.280
<v Speaker 12>know the family of apps they have similar to Alphabet.

0:26:08.320 --> 0:26:11.400
<v Speaker 12>To me, this is a sign that's what Meta fields

0:26:11.440 --> 0:26:14.280
<v Speaker 12>they can accomplish, you know with the AMD chips. Yes,

0:26:14.600 --> 0:26:18.000
<v Speaker 12>they will continue to use in video for training, but

0:26:18.160 --> 0:26:22.080
<v Speaker 12>for inferencing, Meta's workloads are different from you know, any

0:26:22.119 --> 0:26:24.840
<v Speaker 12>other provider when it comes to the chat boards or

0:26:24.880 --> 0:26:26.600
<v Speaker 12>anything else that they're doing.

0:26:27.359 --> 0:26:29.320
<v Speaker 2>You know, AMD was it pains to point out they'll

0:26:29.400 --> 0:26:32.720
<v Speaker 2>kind of co engineer the roadmap to future server designs

0:26:32.720 --> 0:26:34.600
<v Speaker 2>starting m I four fifteen and go beyond that man

0:26:34.640 --> 0:26:37.359
<v Speaker 2>deep seeing a Boomberg intelligence with the React Thank you

0:26:37.400 --> 0:26:40.000
<v Speaker 2>so much. Now coming up on the program, Rayna Pope

0:26:40.040 --> 0:26:43.400
<v Speaker 2>from matt X joins us to discuss his chip startup's

0:26:43.480 --> 0:26:47.440
<v Speaker 2>latest fundraise as it aims to take on in Nvidia

0:26:47.680 --> 0:26:48.600
<v Speaker 2>that's coming up next.

0:26:48.720 --> 0:27:06.200
<v Speaker 10>This is Bloomberg Tech. AI startup Matt Eggs.

0:27:05.920 --> 0:27:08.520
<v Speaker 2>Has raised more than five hundred million dollars to build

0:27:08.600 --> 0:27:11.879
<v Speaker 2>hardware to compete with Nvidia. The chip company was founded

0:27:11.880 --> 0:27:15.440
<v Speaker 2>by two alumni of Google semiconductive business and its aim

0:27:16.000 --> 0:27:18.560
<v Speaker 2>is to make a product specifically designed to run large

0:27:18.600 --> 0:27:22.080
<v Speaker 2>language models. Co founder and CEO Ryana Pope joins us, Now,

0:27:22.480 --> 0:27:24.680
<v Speaker 2>I think we should get into the specifics, but my goodness,

0:27:24.680 --> 0:27:27.199
<v Speaker 2>five hundred million dollars is quite a large series B.

0:27:28.200 --> 0:27:31.080
<v Speaker 2>What do you need that level of capital for? And

0:27:31.080 --> 0:27:31.960
<v Speaker 2>what does it reflect?

0:27:32.600 --> 0:27:34.879
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, so, I mean I would say I'm very happy

0:27:34.880 --> 0:27:38.440
<v Speaker 13>to be here and thank you one of the Really

0:27:38.440 --> 0:27:41.200
<v Speaker 13>what it reflects is, on the one hand, very strong

0:27:41.200 --> 0:27:44.040
<v Speaker 13>confidence from some of our lead investors in the product.

0:27:45.440 --> 0:27:49.359
<v Speaker 13>This is from Jane Streets and situational awareness have have

0:27:49.480 --> 0:27:53.920
<v Speaker 13>led our around very strong on Jane Street sides. They're

0:27:53.920 --> 0:27:56.440
<v Speaker 13>absolute technical experts. They understand the kind of product we're doing.

0:27:56.760 --> 0:28:00.400
<v Speaker 13>And then situational awareness. That's Leopold ashen Renner's fund. He

0:28:00.480 --> 0:28:05.440
<v Speaker 13>wrote the book on AGI brand. He really understands where

0:28:05.440 --> 0:28:08.760
<v Speaker 13>this old space is going, what we like, what we

0:28:08.800 --> 0:28:11.240
<v Speaker 13>are looking to do with with this product and with

0:28:11.280 --> 0:28:15.680
<v Speaker 13>this money. Firstly, I would say the demand for l

0:28:15.840 --> 0:28:18.400
<v Speaker 13>M computer is just insatiable. All of the frontier labs

0:28:18.400 --> 0:28:20.840
<v Speaker 13>are looking at where this space is going, and they're

0:28:20.880 --> 0:28:22.479
<v Speaker 13>all concerned I'm going to run out of silicon.

0:28:22.520 --> 0:28:24.520
<v Speaker 4>I won't be able to solve all the demand I've got.

0:28:24.760 --> 0:28:28.000
<v Speaker 13>So our goal overall has been to make the highest

0:28:28.040 --> 0:28:31.520
<v Speaker 13>throughput per per square milorde of silicon that any product.

0:28:31.600 --> 0:28:34.400
<v Speaker 2>Right, this is about computational density, that's right. That's right.

0:28:34.440 --> 0:28:37.320
<v Speaker 2>And so you guys are basically saying through in terms

0:28:37.320 --> 0:28:40.560
<v Speaker 2>of flops per minimeter squared, like, this is something you

0:28:40.560 --> 0:28:42.880
<v Speaker 2>can own. What was the breakthrough?

0:28:43.040 --> 0:28:43.240
<v Speaker 14>You know?

0:28:43.240 --> 0:28:45.720
<v Speaker 2>What is it that you're so good at to achieve this?

0:28:46.320 --> 0:28:48.640
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, So there's really a combination of two things. If

0:28:48.680 --> 0:28:51.640
<v Speaker 13>you look at the products in the market. Previously, there's

0:28:51.680 --> 0:28:55.640
<v Speaker 13>been the HBM based family, which is in video Google, Amazon,

0:28:55.840 --> 0:28:57.720
<v Speaker 13>and then there's been the s RAM based family and

0:28:57.800 --> 0:29:01.720
<v Speaker 13>you are we are both actually uniquely so it's kind

0:29:01.720 --> 0:29:03.760
<v Speaker 13>of taking two good ideas and putting them together. It

0:29:03.840 --> 0:29:07.280
<v Speaker 13>is possible to do both very high throughput as you

0:29:07.320 --> 0:29:09.800
<v Speaker 13>get from HBM, but also very low latency as you

0:29:09.800 --> 0:29:12.040
<v Speaker 13>get from ASTRAAM, and do that in the same product.

0:29:12.360 --> 0:29:14.400
<v Speaker 13>What it gives you is actually a product that is

0:29:14.400 --> 0:29:16.720
<v Speaker 13>better than any other product in the market at through put.

0:29:17.200 --> 0:29:19.760
<v Speaker 13>This is exactly the flop Spisco milimeter that you described,

0:29:20.520 --> 0:29:22.760
<v Speaker 13>while also matching some of the best like the Cerebras

0:29:22.760 --> 0:29:23.880
<v Speaker 13>and the groc at latency.

0:29:24.560 --> 0:29:27.840
<v Speaker 3>Let's talk about how quickly people can start deploying this miner,

0:29:28.000 --> 0:29:28.880
<v Speaker 3>because what your.

0:29:28.760 --> 0:29:30.840
<v Speaker 4>Aim is to complete the final.

0:29:30.560 --> 0:29:34.320
<v Speaker 3>Design this year, you hope to start manufacturing shipping even

0:29:34.320 --> 0:29:36.320
<v Speaker 3>in twenty twenty seven. Who do you need to partner

0:29:36.320 --> 0:29:38.440
<v Speaker 3>with on that? How do you expect to be manufacturing

0:29:38.480 --> 0:29:38.800
<v Speaker 3>him in the.

0:29:38.840 --> 0:29:39.640
<v Speaker 4>US or abroad?

0:29:41.120 --> 0:29:41.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

0:29:41.440 --> 0:29:43.040
<v Speaker 13>So, I mean there's a few big parts of the

0:29:43.040 --> 0:29:45.200
<v Speaker 13>supply chain, and this is common for US as well

0:29:45.240 --> 0:29:49.680
<v Speaker 13>as many other semiconductor firms in this space. Really, you

0:29:49.720 --> 0:29:53.520
<v Speaker 13>need logic wafers, memory wafers, which is HBM, and then

0:29:53.560 --> 0:29:55.640
<v Speaker 13>you need rack buildouts, and so those are the big

0:29:55.680 --> 0:29:56.080
<v Speaker 13>parts of.

0:29:56.040 --> 0:29:56.760
<v Speaker 4>Our supply chain.

0:29:57.800 --> 0:30:00.680
<v Speaker 13>TSMC is well recognized as a the best provider of

0:30:00.680 --> 0:30:04.880
<v Speaker 13>logic wafers, and then the memory wafers. There's the big

0:30:04.920 --> 0:30:08.280
<v Speaker 13>three which are Skhiinix, Samsung, and Micron, and then there's

0:30:08.280 --> 0:30:13.720
<v Speaker 13>a whole range of providers across the rack and manufacturing side.

0:30:14.120 --> 0:30:16.320
<v Speaker 13>One of the big things that if you want to

0:30:16.400 --> 0:30:19.160
<v Speaker 13>manufacturing very large volumes we hear about these you know,

0:30:19.400 --> 0:30:23.480
<v Speaker 13>multi gig or what deals that are coming out. These

0:30:23.560 --> 0:30:27.600
<v Speaker 13>require you know, billions of dollars of manufacturing and then

0:30:27.600 --> 0:30:30.160
<v Speaker 13>actually setting up like hundreds of millions of dollars put

0:30:30.200 --> 0:30:32.720
<v Speaker 13>into setting up supply chains in advance of delivering that.

0:30:32.760 --> 0:30:35.320
<v Speaker 13>And so that's a big part of what we're excited.

0:30:35.000 --> 0:30:35.640
<v Speaker 4>To be able to do.

0:30:36.080 --> 0:30:36.320
<v Speaker 11>Now.

0:30:36.920 --> 0:30:39.760
<v Speaker 3>You left Google in twenty twenty two and the goal

0:30:39.840 --> 0:30:42.520
<v Speaker 3>was creating a better chit from scratch, Ryanan, But have

0:30:42.640 --> 0:30:43.800
<v Speaker 3>you been impressed by.

0:30:44.120 --> 0:30:46.320
<v Speaker 4>The leaps at TPU has taken. It seems to have

0:30:46.480 --> 0:30:47.360
<v Speaker 4>impressed the market.

0:30:47.440 --> 0:30:50.040
<v Speaker 3>What is it that you felt wasn't at Google for

0:30:50.120 --> 0:30:51.840
<v Speaker 3>you that you now can bild better?

0:30:53.400 --> 0:30:56.040
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, So I think what is really required is if

0:30:56.040 --> 0:30:58.240
<v Speaker 13>you want to absolutely nail the LLM workload, you have

0:30:58.280 --> 0:31:01.440
<v Speaker 13>to be willing to break compatibility with previous chips. And

0:31:01.480 --> 0:31:04.120
<v Speaker 13>so one of the strong guarantees you see all of

0:31:04.160 --> 0:31:06.760
<v Speaker 13>the existing players providing is you can take a program

0:31:06.760 --> 0:31:08.640
<v Speaker 13>that was written on my previous generation ship or my

0:31:08.880 --> 0:31:11.440
<v Speaker 13>generation of chips five years ago, and it will run

0:31:11.480 --> 0:31:14.360
<v Speaker 13>on my next generation chip. And so a lot of

0:31:14.360 --> 0:31:16.800
<v Speaker 13>what that means is there are constraints on my chip

0:31:16.840 --> 0:31:19.440
<v Speaker 13>has to support all of the previous number formats I supported.

0:31:19.520 --> 0:31:22.280
<v Speaker 13>It has to support all of the different programming model

0:31:22.280 --> 0:31:24.440
<v Speaker 13>the way I communicate between cores on the chip, but

0:31:24.560 --> 0:31:26.160
<v Speaker 13>all of those have to be the same as each other.

0:31:26.920 --> 0:31:28.680
<v Speaker 13>We felt that it would be necessary, like if you

0:31:28.760 --> 0:31:31.640
<v Speaker 13>really want to just absolutely nail this workload without regards

0:31:31.640 --> 0:31:34.680
<v Speaker 13>for backwards compatibility or other workloads or anything like that,

0:31:34.880 --> 0:31:38.920
<v Speaker 13>you need to something of a blank slate design is required.

0:31:39.160 --> 0:31:43.040
<v Speaker 13>For us, this means very large matrices, very low precision support,

0:31:43.560 --> 0:31:46.000
<v Speaker 13>and then in fact an ability to split your very

0:31:46.040 --> 0:31:46.960
<v Speaker 13>large cystolic.

0:31:46.720 --> 0:31:49.880
<v Speaker 2>Ray into small pieces. You name checked Grok, I think

0:31:49.920 --> 0:31:52.680
<v Speaker 2>with some admiration a Sesson Ago. I mean like when

0:31:53.200 --> 0:31:56.719
<v Speaker 2>in video acquired Grock Jensen. Wong's view is that they

0:31:56.720 --> 0:31:58.880
<v Speaker 2>were struggling to find their place in the world. In

0:31:59.080 --> 0:32:02.440
<v Speaker 2>markere forswere Sarah Brasse you named it as well, filed

0:32:02.440 --> 0:32:07.320
<v Speaker 2>confidentially for IPO yesterday. Why might you succeed where CROC

0:32:08.120 --> 0:32:10.800
<v Speaker 2>had to go to Nvidia And I guess they're working

0:32:10.800 --> 0:32:14.560
<v Speaker 2>on something you know, and the public markets you know

0:32:15.160 --> 0:32:16.720
<v Speaker 2>are needed for capital going forward.

0:32:17.160 --> 0:32:20.880
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, so I would say this is like historically the

0:32:20.920 --> 0:32:23.760
<v Speaker 13>market has been won by the HBM place based players,

0:32:23.800 --> 0:32:26.640
<v Speaker 13>that's the Google Amazon in VideA, and not by Grock

0:32:26.720 --> 0:32:31.960
<v Speaker 13>and SERIBRUSSTRAM only chips are very good for latency, but

0:32:32.840 --> 0:32:34.600
<v Speaker 13>when you want to run very long context models you

0:32:34.680 --> 0:32:35.640
<v Speaker 13>run out of memory capacity.

0:32:35.720 --> 0:32:36.560
<v Speaker 4>SRAM is too small.

0:32:36.600 --> 0:32:40.200
<v Speaker 13>It's fast, but too small. Really, the hybrid of doing

0:32:40.880 --> 0:32:43.640
<v Speaker 13>weights INSTRAM so you get the low latency as well

0:32:43.640 --> 0:32:46.240
<v Speaker 13>as having the HBM for for very long context support

0:32:46.360 --> 0:32:49.480
<v Speaker 13>is we believe that's what enables the low latency without

0:32:49.480 --> 0:32:51.640
<v Speaker 13>all of the compromises that you would get otherwise.

0:32:51.680 --> 0:32:54.160
<v Speaker 3>Minor Pope, thank you so much for joining us today,

0:32:54.280 --> 0:32:57.200
<v Speaker 3>Matt x CEO, Look we gotta stit with funding. News

0:32:57.480 --> 0:33:00.800
<v Speaker 3>Basis startup making AI tools for account unting, has raised

0:33:00.800 --> 0:33:03.320
<v Speaker 3>one hundred million dollars and an over one million dollar valuation.

0:33:03.520 --> 0:33:05.680
<v Speaker 4>This, of course is investors we're putting.

0:33:05.360 --> 0:33:08.360
<v Speaker 3>Wary of disruption from agentic AI here with us is

0:33:08.440 --> 0:33:12.040
<v Speaker 3>Matt Hart based as CEO. I go to the point,

0:33:12.080 --> 0:33:15.800
<v Speaker 3>how is BASIS different from anthropics cowork plug in for

0:33:15.840 --> 0:33:16.800
<v Speaker 3>an accounting business.

0:33:17.320 --> 0:33:19.200
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, well, first of all, great to be here, thanks

0:33:19.240 --> 0:33:22.960
<v Speaker 15>for having me, Caroline. Look, we have an excellent relationship

0:33:23.000 --> 0:33:26.400
<v Speaker 15>with Open Eye and with Anthropic, and I think Cowork

0:33:26.560 --> 0:33:28.640
<v Speaker 15>cha attribut the whole range of tools that they have

0:33:28.960 --> 0:33:32.200
<v Speaker 15>are absolutely fantastic. I think though you can only sort

0:33:32.200 --> 0:33:34.440
<v Speaker 15>of serve so many masters, and when it comes to

0:33:34.520 --> 0:33:38.320
<v Speaker 15>domain specific work specifically in our situation accounting, there's a

0:33:38.400 --> 0:33:41.000
<v Speaker 15>need to build with that domain specificity in mind. I

0:33:41.000 --> 0:33:42.840
<v Speaker 15>think comes down to a couple of things. First of all,

0:33:42.840 --> 0:33:45.520
<v Speaker 15>you want domain specific capabilities. So, for instance, we announced

0:33:45.520 --> 0:33:48.560
<v Speaker 15>today the first example of a long running agent completing

0:33:48.560 --> 0:33:52.040
<v Speaker 15>an entire business tax return workbook. That's something that you

0:33:52.080 --> 0:33:54.240
<v Speaker 15>can't really do in any other AI tool that exists

0:33:54.280 --> 0:33:57.120
<v Speaker 15>out there. You need domain specific accuracy. So we are

0:33:57.120 --> 0:33:59.400
<v Speaker 15>able to guarantee to the firms that we work with

0:33:59.600 --> 0:34:02.200
<v Speaker 15>that the I will meet the requisite level of accuracy

0:34:02.240 --> 0:34:04.440
<v Speaker 15>for it to be used in a real manner and

0:34:04.480 --> 0:34:06.920
<v Speaker 15>we can sort of guarantee that performance. You need demain

0:34:06.960 --> 0:34:10.480
<v Speaker 15>specific user experience so that it's fluid and it works

0:34:10.520 --> 0:34:13.080
<v Speaker 15>well for people who are experts in their field as

0:34:13.080 --> 0:34:15.480
<v Speaker 15>they go about doing their work. You can't just have

0:34:15.520 --> 0:34:17.439
<v Speaker 15>a chat pot or you know, the variety of other

0:34:17.480 --> 0:34:20.239
<v Speaker 15>sort of basic user experiences that you need need to

0:34:20.239 --> 0:34:25.080
<v Speaker 15>build enterprise sort of grade features. You know, collaboration, audit trails,

0:34:25.360 --> 0:34:26.239
<v Speaker 15>you know, audibility etc.

0:34:26.520 --> 0:34:27.320
<v Speaker 16>Things of this nature.

0:34:27.400 --> 0:34:31.040
<v Speaker 15>And finally you need demain specific deployment approaches. It's going

0:34:31.120 --> 0:34:33.200
<v Speaker 15>to you know, the capacity of a lot of these

0:34:33.560 --> 0:34:36.520
<v Speaker 15>AI tools to be extremely useful in workflows probably far

0:34:36.600 --> 0:34:38.960
<v Speaker 15>exceeds the adoption today and there's going to be a

0:34:39.000 --> 0:34:41.200
<v Speaker 15>great challenge over the next decade of figuring out how

0:34:41.200 --> 0:34:42.920
<v Speaker 15>to get AI into all the places it needs to

0:34:42.920 --> 0:34:44.799
<v Speaker 15>get into. And so we think for all those reasons,

0:34:44.840 --> 0:34:46.960
<v Speaker 15>being demained specific is very important. I think that's pretty

0:34:46.960 --> 0:34:47.440
<v Speaker 15>evident to this.

0:34:47.320 --> 0:34:50.280
<v Speaker 3>Stat And so is that one hundred million to ensure

0:34:50.400 --> 0:34:52.799
<v Speaker 3>the adoption curve is where you need it to be.

0:34:52.840 --> 0:34:54.480
<v Speaker 3>Where does that money get deployed first and.

0:34:54.400 --> 0:34:56.840
<v Speaker 15>Foremost, Yeah, it's a combination of things. I think for

0:34:56.960 --> 0:34:59.600
<v Speaker 15>us first and foremers who are always focused on building

0:34:59.600 --> 0:35:02.440
<v Speaker 15>the most capable and the most accurate AI for accounting,

0:35:02.480 --> 0:35:05.920
<v Speaker 15>So we are growing our engineering and mL teams dramatically.

0:35:06.239 --> 0:35:08.480
<v Speaker 15>We're a fully New York based company, and we essentially

0:35:08.480 --> 0:35:11.080
<v Speaker 15>want to be the home for applied AI work in

0:35:11.440 --> 0:35:13.640
<v Speaker 15>New York City, so that's always number one priority. But

0:35:13.719 --> 0:35:15.359
<v Speaker 15>the other aspect of it is we are now starting

0:35:15.360 --> 0:35:17.760
<v Speaker 15>to serve accounting firms across all of their practices CAS

0:35:18.000 --> 0:35:20.200
<v Speaker 15>and core accounting being the initial segment, but now also

0:35:20.600 --> 0:35:24.040
<v Speaker 15>tax audit, broader advisory, and over time. Figuring out how

0:35:24.040 --> 0:35:26.360
<v Speaker 15>we can get AI into all these various places is

0:35:26.400 --> 0:35:29.080
<v Speaker 15>extremely important. Demand has exceeded our capacity to serve it,

0:35:29.120 --> 0:35:30.800
<v Speaker 15>and so we felt it was important to bring additional

0:35:30.840 --> 0:35:32.120
<v Speaker 15>capital to make that puzsible.

0:35:32.920 --> 0:35:35.879
<v Speaker 2>So now I'm going through my taxes right now, and

0:35:35.920 --> 0:35:38.080
<v Speaker 2>through the poor too of my accountant, who I won't name.

0:35:38.200 --> 0:35:39.040
<v Speaker 4>They do a good job.

0:35:39.120 --> 0:35:42.439
<v Speaker 2>I upload all of the documents W two, ten ninety nine,

0:35:42.480 --> 0:35:45.080
<v Speaker 2>ten ninety eight whatever, but there is an element of

0:35:45.160 --> 0:35:48.120
<v Speaker 2>observability because I still have to go in and double

0:35:48.239 --> 0:35:50.239
<v Speaker 2>check all of the automated part of it. I know

0:35:50.280 --> 0:35:52.399
<v Speaker 2>that's not the same, but the case study you gave

0:35:53.040 --> 0:35:56.640
<v Speaker 2>of a business tax filing start to finish. The observability

0:35:56.680 --> 0:36:01.640
<v Speaker 2>piece must be critical if you're handling that for businesses

0:36:01.640 --> 0:36:02.200
<v Speaker 2>of scale.

0:36:03.840 --> 0:36:07.279
<v Speaker 15>Yeah, absolutely, good question. You know, we think that the

0:36:07.880 --> 0:36:10.920
<v Speaker 15>ability for an accountant to understand what's happening at a

0:36:10.920 --> 0:36:13.879
<v Speaker 15>granular level as the AI is helping them get work

0:36:13.920 --> 0:36:15.960
<v Speaker 15>done is extremely important. That goes back to a little

0:36:16.000 --> 0:36:18.160
<v Speaker 15>bit about what Caroline was referring to in terms of

0:36:18.200 --> 0:36:21.200
<v Speaker 15>the you know, what makes us different than generic tools.

0:36:21.440 --> 0:36:26.400
<v Speaker 15>Having demain specific user experiences and demain specific auditibility functionality

0:36:26.440 --> 0:36:29.160
<v Speaker 15>is extremely important. And then we also think that accounting

0:36:29.160 --> 0:36:30.920
<v Speaker 15>firms have a very important role to play at the

0:36:31.000 --> 0:36:32.920
<v Speaker 15>end of the day. Where people like yourself and what

0:36:32.960 --> 0:36:35.719
<v Speaker 15>businesses around America probably want is a human that they

0:36:35.760 --> 0:36:37.960
<v Speaker 15>have a relationship with, that they trust to do this

0:36:38.000 --> 0:36:40.360
<v Speaker 15>in chreatly important work. And so having the AI collaborate

0:36:40.360 --> 0:36:42.600
<v Speaker 15>with humans to make that possible in an even better

0:36:42.600 --> 0:36:45.000
<v Speaker 15>fashion maybe will improve the experience that you have on

0:36:45.040 --> 0:36:47.440
<v Speaker 15>your taxes in future years as firms figure out how

0:36:47.440 --> 0:36:49.680
<v Speaker 15>to bring these two things together is extremely important.

0:36:49.960 --> 0:36:52.760
<v Speaker 2>So here in the central question is is it an

0:36:52.880 --> 0:36:55.799
<v Speaker 2>aid to an existing job or does it displace an

0:36:55.840 --> 0:37:00.360
<v Speaker 2>existing role in accounting going forward, we just have thirty seconds' not.

0:37:00.360 --> 0:37:02.080
<v Speaker 15>A thirty second question, but I'll give you my best

0:37:02.080 --> 0:37:04.160
<v Speaker 15>answer on it. So I think, you know, if you

0:37:04.160 --> 0:37:06.160
<v Speaker 15>look at what's happened with software engineering over the course

0:37:06.160 --> 0:37:07.279
<v Speaker 15>of the last year, and you can look at this

0:37:07.360 --> 0:37:10.440
<v Speaker 15>internal into basis, pretty much today, no engineer at the

0:37:10.440 --> 0:37:13.360
<v Speaker 15>company should be writing any meaningful amount of code, and

0:37:13.440 --> 0:37:15.839
<v Speaker 15>yet our engineering team, our machine learning team is as

0:37:15.880 --> 0:37:18.200
<v Speaker 15>busy as its ever been. We're hiring as aggressively as

0:37:18.200 --> 0:37:20.960
<v Speaker 15>we possibly can be in those areas, and that's because

0:37:20.960 --> 0:37:22.920
<v Speaker 15>there's so much additional engineering work that we want to

0:37:22.960 --> 0:37:24.600
<v Speaker 15>be able to do. That when you free up time

0:37:24.640 --> 0:37:26.799
<v Speaker 15>to focus on more things, you can do more ambitious things.

0:37:26.840 --> 0:37:28.600
<v Speaker 15>You can build things you never thought you'd want, you

0:37:28.719 --> 0:37:30.319
<v Speaker 15>never thought you'd be able to do. And the same

0:37:30.320 --> 0:37:32.160
<v Speaker 15>thing is true for accounting. There's tons of accounting work

0:37:32.200 --> 0:37:33.920
<v Speaker 15>in the world that doesn't get done today. The Pentagon

0:37:34.120 --> 0:37:37.000
<v Speaker 15>just failed its eighth consecutive audit. You know, companies are

0:37:37.040 --> 0:37:40.520
<v Speaker 15>misstating financials because they don't have enough accounting resources. Beyond that,

0:37:40.600 --> 0:37:42.400
<v Speaker 15>you know the accounting. You know, if you go to

0:37:42.440 --> 0:37:44.640
<v Speaker 15>any hospital system in America, they can't tell you how

0:37:44.680 --> 0:37:47.080
<v Speaker 15>much it costs them to provide a simple procedure like

0:37:47.120 --> 0:37:49.640
<v Speaker 15>a knee surgery. These are all things that accounting can

0:37:49.640 --> 0:37:51.520
<v Speaker 15>make possible. It is sort of the fundamental way that

0:37:51.560 --> 0:37:54.479
<v Speaker 15>we understand economic activity that goes on in and around

0:37:54.520 --> 0:37:57.719
<v Speaker 15>our organizations, and so we think there's a huge opportunity

0:37:57.760 --> 0:38:00.719
<v Speaker 15>to do more accounting work. Most accounting firms the opportunity

0:38:00.760 --> 0:38:02.400
<v Speaker 15>as well, and need the capacity to be able to

0:38:02.400 --> 0:38:04.319
<v Speaker 15>do that. And so from our perspective, this is going

0:38:04.400 --> 0:38:06.440
<v Speaker 15>to allow firms and the accountants at those firms to

0:38:06.480 --> 0:38:08.640
<v Speaker 15>take on even more work and get things more done

0:38:08.680 --> 0:38:10.600
<v Speaker 15>and get more things done in the same way that

0:38:11.719 --> 0:38:13.560
<v Speaker 15>sort of software engineering has been able to take off

0:38:13.600 --> 0:38:14.880
<v Speaker 15>over the course of the last twelve months.

0:38:15.600 --> 0:38:17.880
<v Speaker 2>Matthew Hart, CEO and co founder of Basis. That was

0:38:17.880 --> 0:38:21.480
<v Speaker 2>a pretty good, pretty good summary. Actually a little more

0:38:21.480 --> 0:38:22.720
<v Speaker 2>than a pay seconds, so we'll.

0:38:22.560 --> 0:38:23.680
<v Speaker 4>Give you it. Thank you very much.

0:38:23.840 --> 0:38:25.920
<v Speaker 2>Now, coming up, we've got to look forward to what

0:38:26.040 --> 0:38:29.760
<v Speaker 2>to expect from President Trump's State of the Union address,

0:38:29.800 --> 0:38:30.640
<v Speaker 2>which is later tonight.

0:38:30.680 --> 0:38:31.480
<v Speaker 4>We have the preview.

0:38:31.760 --> 0:38:46.960
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech. All eyes are on President Trump's

0:38:47.040 --> 0:38:50.879
<v Speaker 2>State of the Union speech tonight. This only days after

0:38:50.920 --> 0:38:53.920
<v Speaker 2>the Supreme Court decided to strike down his tariff policies.

0:38:53.960 --> 0:38:57.840
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg TV's Washington correspondent Tyler Kendall joins us, what do

0:38:57.840 --> 0:38:59.360
<v Speaker 2>we need to expect?

0:39:00.160 --> 0:39:00.920
<v Speaker 4>Via Hey Edwar.

0:39:01.000 --> 0:39:03.960
<v Speaker 14>President Trump is expected to tout his economic policies that

0:39:04.040 --> 0:39:08.040
<v Speaker 14>are already enacted, but also push ahead some policy proposals

0:39:08.040 --> 0:39:10.719
<v Speaker 14>that he would like to see enacted related to affordability,

0:39:10.760 --> 0:39:13.360
<v Speaker 14>as the White House really plays defense on the issue

0:39:13.400 --> 0:39:15.920
<v Speaker 14>according to recent polling. In fact, the Wall Street Journal

0:39:15.960 --> 0:39:18.720
<v Speaker 14>is now reporting that President Trump is set to announce

0:39:18.760 --> 0:39:21.920
<v Speaker 14>a negotiated commitment from big tech companies to pay more

0:39:21.960 --> 0:39:25.800
<v Speaker 14>when it comes to electricity costs related to AI data centers,

0:39:25.840 --> 0:39:27.919
<v Speaker 14>in a bid to remove some of that burden from

0:39:28.000 --> 0:39:28.759
<v Speaker 14>US consumers.

0:39:28.800 --> 0:39:29.720
<v Speaker 4>I was here at the White.

0:39:29.560 --> 0:39:32.440
<v Speaker 14>House just last month speaking to the US Energy Secretary,

0:39:32.520 --> 0:39:36.360
<v Speaker 14>Christopher Wright, as the administration urged the nation's largest power

0:39:36.440 --> 0:39:40.239
<v Speaker 14>grid to hold an emergency power auction specifically for these

0:39:40.280 --> 0:39:43.000
<v Speaker 14>big tech companies. So perhaps we'll get some firmer details

0:39:43.280 --> 0:39:45.359
<v Speaker 14>on that tonight, because, as you well know, this has

0:39:45.400 --> 0:39:47.560
<v Speaker 14>been a White House trying to thread the needle between

0:39:47.600 --> 0:39:51.239
<v Speaker 14>bolstering artificial intelligence but also trying to quell some of

0:39:51.239 --> 0:39:54.000
<v Speaker 14>those concerns from Americans. When it comes to jobs, and

0:39:54.040 --> 0:39:57.360
<v Speaker 14>of course the cost of living related to electricity, because

0:39:57.360 --> 0:39:59.360
<v Speaker 14>that is going to be the number one issue as

0:39:59.360 --> 0:40:00.680
<v Speaker 14>we head into the MA in terms of a new

0:40:00.719 --> 0:40:03.480
<v Speaker 14>poll out this week from Ipsos finds that fifty seven

0:40:03.560 --> 0:40:07.359
<v Speaker 14>percent of US adults disapprove of the President's handling of

0:40:07.360 --> 0:40:10.120
<v Speaker 14>the economy. Front and centered, as you mentioned, is going

0:40:10.160 --> 0:40:12.359
<v Speaker 14>to be that tariff policy, and sitting there in front

0:40:12.360 --> 0:40:14.920
<v Speaker 14>of the presidents tonight is going to be those Supreme

0:40:15.000 --> 0:40:17.719
<v Speaker 14>Court justices that struck down those IPA teriffs.

0:40:17.440 --> 0:40:20.520
<v Speaker 3>Last week, Mex Tyler Kendall with a rundown, thank you

0:40:20.640 --> 0:40:21.120
<v Speaker 3>very much.

0:40:21.239 --> 0:40:22.879
<v Speaker 4>And look, the state of the Union.

0:40:22.719 --> 0:40:26.000
<v Speaker 3>Is also the target for bets on prediction markets like Cawshi,

0:40:26.080 --> 0:40:28.480
<v Speaker 3>like poly markets. Look a market that was once a

0:40:28.480 --> 0:40:30.280
<v Speaker 3>fringe obsession of economists.

0:40:29.840 --> 0:40:30.680
<v Speaker 4>And election longks.

0:40:30.760 --> 0:40:34.040
<v Speaker 3>Now traders are wagering on just about everything. Critics call

0:40:34.040 --> 0:40:37.359
<v Speaker 3>it unregulated gambling, and its today's big take deep dive

0:40:37.360 --> 0:40:39.600
<v Speaker 3>and please Save Blumberg contributor to Chris Beams here to

0:40:39.600 --> 0:40:40.520
<v Speaker 3>talk us through it.

0:40:40.520 --> 0:40:41.640
<v Speaker 4>It is a wonderful deep dive.

0:40:41.680 --> 0:40:43.440
<v Speaker 3>And just as we think about the state of the Union,

0:40:43.800 --> 0:40:47.400
<v Speaker 3>how has the idea of regulating this changed in the years.

0:40:48.760 --> 0:40:53.000
<v Speaker 16>So currently the status quo is that prediction markets are

0:40:53.040 --> 0:40:57.600
<v Speaker 16>regulated by the CFTC, and the reason is that the

0:40:58.880 --> 0:41:03.640
<v Speaker 16>technically offer what are called event contracts, and event contracts

0:41:03.680 --> 0:41:07.040
<v Speaker 16>are derivatives, and so the CFTC argues that falls under

0:41:07.080 --> 0:41:09.720
<v Speaker 16>their purview. Now, there's a lot of people who disagree

0:41:09.719 --> 0:41:14.960
<v Speaker 16>with the CFTC state gambling regulators. A lot of casinos

0:41:15.200 --> 0:41:19.800
<v Speaker 16>and other members of the gambling industry argue, yes, that

0:41:21.520 --> 0:41:24.600
<v Speaker 16>prediction markets should actually count as gambling and therefore be

0:41:24.640 --> 0:41:25.720
<v Speaker 16>regulated by the states.

0:41:27.000 --> 0:41:31.960
<v Speaker 2>How good are prediction markets at predicting the future.

0:41:32.880 --> 0:41:35.720
<v Speaker 16>So it depends what kind of market you're talking about.

0:41:36.600 --> 0:41:40.200
<v Speaker 16>A lot of scholars have looked at political markets and

0:41:40.280 --> 0:41:44.239
<v Speaker 16>prediction markets to predict elections and have overall found that

0:41:44.280 --> 0:41:48.080
<v Speaker 16>prediction markets are more accurate than polling, and certainly more

0:41:48.080 --> 0:41:51.680
<v Speaker 16>accurate than you or me or any individual trying to

0:41:51.840 --> 0:41:56.640
<v Speaker 16>prognosticate about elections. What's interesting, though, is that those markets

0:41:56.680 --> 0:42:00.880
<v Speaker 16>become less accurate the smaller they are. So, you know,

0:42:00.920 --> 0:42:04.000
<v Speaker 16>a presidential election market could be quite accurate, but then

0:42:04.040 --> 0:42:06.319
<v Speaker 16>once you get down to more you know, state and

0:42:06.400 --> 0:42:10.440
<v Speaker 16>local races, when there's less liquidity, that's going to be

0:42:10.520 --> 0:42:11.160
<v Speaker 16>less accurate.

0:42:11.600 --> 0:42:14.520
<v Speaker 4>I mean some of the bets that we see your extraordinary.

0:42:14.560 --> 0:42:16.360
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I don't know how much liquidity there is

0:42:16.400 --> 0:42:18.040
<v Speaker 3>on whether Jesus Christ is going to return in the

0:42:18.080 --> 0:42:20.160
<v Speaker 3>next couple of years, but that's literally something you can

0:42:20.200 --> 0:42:22.640
<v Speaker 3>go and place a wager or at least a prediction

0:42:22.760 --> 0:42:24.280
<v Speaker 3>on using these markets.

0:42:25.280 --> 0:42:27.839
<v Speaker 4>How have the companies themselves, CALCI.

0:42:27.560 --> 0:42:32.000
<v Speaker 3>And Polymarket navigated what has been them thrust into really

0:42:32.040 --> 0:42:34.840
<v Speaker 3>now success but also backlash at the same time and

0:42:34.920 --> 0:42:36.239
<v Speaker 3>worries about insider trading in.

0:42:36.200 --> 0:42:42.399
<v Speaker 16>Thus, Yeah, the companies have taken different approaches. CALSHI has

0:42:42.440 --> 0:42:45.840
<v Speaker 16>really tried to position itself as the adult in the room.

0:42:46.440 --> 0:42:52.000
<v Speaker 16>They emphasize the internal rules that they have around insider trading,

0:42:52.080 --> 0:42:57.239
<v Speaker 16>around market manipulation. They have whole teams and software algorithms

0:42:57.239 --> 0:43:01.400
<v Speaker 16>designed to detect trading patterns that might set off red flags,

0:43:01.920 --> 0:43:05.920
<v Speaker 16>which they then report to regulators. Polymarket is in a

0:43:05.960 --> 0:43:09.000
<v Speaker 16>slightly different position because so much of their trading happens

0:43:09.040 --> 0:43:12.520
<v Speaker 16>overseas and is not regulated by the CFTC, and they

0:43:12.520 --> 0:43:16.279
<v Speaker 16>also just haven't talked about it as much. So I'd

0:43:16.320 --> 0:43:21.040
<v Speaker 16>say CALSHI, particularly because it was the earlier entrant in

0:43:21.080 --> 0:43:26.680
<v Speaker 16>the US, has emphasized cooperating with regulators, trying to be

0:43:26.840 --> 0:43:29.920
<v Speaker 16>above board about the markets that they provide.

0:43:31.080 --> 0:43:32.840
<v Speaker 2>It's the latest Bloomberg, a big take, and it's a

0:43:32.920 --> 0:43:35.799
<v Speaker 2>must read. Bloomberg contributes its crispy thank you very much.

0:43:36.280 --> 0:43:38.600
<v Speaker 2>That does it for this edition of Bloomberg Tech. It's

0:43:38.600 --> 0:43:40.200
<v Speaker 2>not as if there's a shortage of things to come.

0:43:40.200 --> 0:43:42.120
<v Speaker 2>This week State of the Union and then in video

0:43:42.200 --> 0:43:43.280
<v Speaker 2>on Wednesday, Oh.

0:43:43.200 --> 0:43:45.160
<v Speaker 3>And earnings after the Bell today as well. Look, just

0:43:45.200 --> 0:43:47.160
<v Speaker 3>don't forget to check out our podcast. You can find

0:43:47.200 --> 0:43:49.280
<v Speaker 3>it on the terminal as well as online on Apple

0:43:49.400 --> 0:43:50.360
<v Speaker 3>or Spotify.

0:43:49.960 --> 0:43:53.160
<v Speaker 4>On iHeart. The tech news keeps coming as as a disruption.

0:43:53.440 --> 0:43:54.600
<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberg Tech