1 00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:15,000 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Wednesday morning episode of 3 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:20,320 Speaker 2: the DL Juices podcast with me Matt Perrault, my handle 4 00:00:20,360 --> 00:00:25,800 Speaker 2: across all socials at Sports Talk Matt. This podcast is 5 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 2: on a little bit of a heater two and one 6 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 2: last night, three and one. If you played everything I 7 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:35,320 Speaker 2: think I mentioned Penn State last night, I'm pretty confident 8 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 2: I did that one Arkansas outright, Penn State outright? And 9 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:47,800 Speaker 2: what was the third bet that came in outright? I'm 10 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 2: blanking on the third game that came in outright, Oh, 11 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 2: Kansas State outright covered? Yes, one outright, Oklahoma State got killed, 12 00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 2: but three and one for me on the night two 13 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 2: and one officially outright. You should be sprinkling money line, okay, anytime, 14 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 2: this is kind of an old adage, right, anytime you 15 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 2: bet the dog, you should always place about ten percent 16 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 2: of the bet on moneyline, just in case. If you 17 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:18,960 Speaker 2: did that last night, we did pretty well, okay, not 18 00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 2: just getting the cover but the win outright. So there 19 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 2: are three games that fit the trend tonight. I'm not 20 00:01:26,240 --> 00:01:28,320 Speaker 2: going to bet all three. I'm gonna bet two of them. 21 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 2: There's a monster game in the Big East, which you 22 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:33,039 Speaker 2: know where I'm going with Creighton and Yukon that We'll 23 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 2: get to here in a second. I'll give you a 24 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:37,320 Speaker 2: couple other bets you can make. I'll give you a 25 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:39,960 Speaker 2: couple of leans if you like as well here, But 26 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 2: I am really going to zone in on college basketball 27 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 2: for the next couple of days Tuesdays and Wednesdays. Thursdays, 28 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 2: we'll start looking at NBA Friday, NBA for sure, but 29 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 2: then we've got obviously the NFL on Saturday, with two 30 00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 2: games on Saturday and two games on Sunday. So then 31 00:01:55,960 --> 00:01:58,880 Speaker 2: next weekend we're only going to have two games on Sunday, 32 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 2: and then we have the suit Super Bowl. Okay, So 33 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 2: like I'm going to start to get more heavily into 34 00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 2: college basketball, and I did very well last year in 35 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 2: college basketball. 36 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 1: I'm going to hope to. 37 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 2: Keep it going here and do well in college basketball. 38 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 2: Let me see what we've done so far in twenty 39 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:18,280 Speaker 2: twenty four in college basketball, because after going two and 40 00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:22,799 Speaker 2: one last night, let's see. 41 00:02:22,400 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 1: So we are Wow? 42 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 2: Is that right? That's college football? Sorry, college basketball. We're 43 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:31,840 Speaker 2: now thirteen and seven in college basketball. We're up point 44 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:35,399 Speaker 2: five five point three units so far in twenty twenty four. 45 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:37,760 Speaker 2: That's good. Okay, so we're going to keep on going here. 46 00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 2: We're hitting at about sixty five percent clip, so that's great. 47 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:43,520 Speaker 2: I mean, we won't keep that going all year long, 48 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 2: but I'll take that. We've been good with the NFL. 49 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 2: Eleven and five so far in the NFL. That's sixty 50 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:54,920 Speaker 2: eight percent in the NFL. In twenty twenty four, college 51 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:57,640 Speaker 2: football and didn't end great, but the future came in 52 00:02:57,680 --> 00:02:59,359 Speaker 2: because we were hedging off of it, so that kind 53 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 2: of injured that little bit. NBA hasn't been good. We're 54 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 2: one in four in the NBA, that's only twenty percent. 55 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:07,959 Speaker 2: We're down three point four units there, and amazingly enough, 56 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 2: hockey hasn't been great in twenty twenty four, only two 57 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 2: in three. So the podcast we're up ten point six 58 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:19,239 Speaker 2: units so far here in twenty twenty four, so that's 59 00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 2: great to start the year. You know, in January up 60 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 2: ten units. So having a really good start to twenty 61 00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 2: twenty four. Let's keep it going after and you would look, 62 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:29,360 Speaker 2: this is kind of what happens right. December stunk and 63 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:31,840 Speaker 2: now January is good. 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If you don't like Benning college basketball, sorry. 101 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 2: There's a really small NHL slate tonight, and I don't 102 00:05:45,440 --> 00:05:49,279 Speaker 2: really love anything on it. There is a relatively small 103 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:51,400 Speaker 2: NBA slate. Well it's kind of it's kind of big, 104 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:54,800 Speaker 2: but nothing there. NBA and me just I'm not feeling 105 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:56,400 Speaker 2: it all that much at the moment. I can only 106 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 2: watch so many things, like I only have so many 107 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:00,720 Speaker 2: hours in the day, so I'm liking the colleg like 108 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 2: in college basketball a lot. We're going to stay with 109 00:06:03,000 --> 00:06:05,760 Speaker 2: college basketball. Let's start with the game of the night. 110 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 2: The Great and Blue Jays are up against the number 111 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:10,159 Speaker 2: one team of the country. Now Ken Palm has Yukon 112 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:13,279 Speaker 2: at number eight. The big discrepancy here between who Yukon 113 00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:17,279 Speaker 2: is on paper and who Yukon is with the voters. 114 00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 2: Now everyone's been losing, so this has been kind of 115 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:22,040 Speaker 2: a house of horrors as to who has the number 116 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 2: one name, the number one little number next to their 117 00:06:24,839 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 2: next to their brand. They've been getting beat and beat consistently. 118 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:30,880 Speaker 2: This is the first time in a long time, since 119 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:33,440 Speaker 2: two thousand and nine, that we've seen Yukon be the 120 00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 2: number one team in the country, which they are right now. 121 00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:42,000 Speaker 2: They don't have their big their Klean is not playing okay, 122 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 2: he is out for this game. And Donovan Klean is 123 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 2: a seven foot two monster who matches up really well 124 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:54,599 Speaker 2: against Ryan Kochbrunner. They don't have him, huge advantage for 125 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 2: the Jays tonight in the paint. Yukon will know this 126 00:06:57,880 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 2: couple of stats to throw at you here. 127 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:00,480 Speaker 1: Okay. 128 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:04,479 Speaker 2: Greg McDermott, the head coach of the Creighton Blue Jays, 129 00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 2: is six and one against Yukon all time. He is 130 00:07:09,040 --> 00:07:13,200 Speaker 2: also six and two against Yukon head coach Dan Hurley 131 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:16,080 Speaker 2: beat him when he was the coach of Rhode Island 132 00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:18,880 Speaker 2: in the NUBA Tournament with the J's bat m eighty 133 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:21,120 Speaker 2: four to seventy two. Back in the twenty seventeen ns 134 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 2: Double A Tournament, the Jays are one and one at 135 00:07:23,800 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 2: Gamble Pavilion, one to zero at the Excel Center. This 136 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 2: game is on campus, right, This is a campus game 137 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:34,440 Speaker 2: for Yukon. Two in one in these these games are 138 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 2: always tight. All seven games between Yukon and Creighton have 139 00:07:38,920 --> 00:07:42,080 Speaker 2: been decided by single digits and by a grand total 140 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 2: of thirty one points. Okay, so we're talking four or 141 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 2: five points here. The number to Kempom has it as 142 00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:54,200 Speaker 2: a six point win for Yukon. Number is six. This 143 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 2: comes down to one thing, and one thing only to me, 144 00:07:57,960 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 2: the Creighton Blue Jay's ability. 145 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:04,200 Speaker 1: To hit the three. Yukon stinks at guarding the three. 146 00:08:04,840 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 2: They are two hundred and twenty ninth in the country 147 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:12,280 Speaker 2: in three point defense. The Jays are seventieth and three 148 00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 2: point percentage thirty six percent from behind the arc. 149 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:17,640 Speaker 1: Here's the thing about the Jays. 150 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:21,640 Speaker 2: They get thirty nine percent of their points from behind 151 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:24,360 Speaker 2: the three point line. That is a top twenty number. 152 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 2: It is literally a make or miss game for the 153 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:32,319 Speaker 2: Blue Jays. They do not shoot free throws. They get 154 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 2: fourteen percent of their total points at the foul line. 155 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 2: That is three hundred and fiftieth out of three hundred 156 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:44,360 Speaker 2: and fifty one teams in college basketball. That's amazing. I mean, 157 00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 2: that is an amazing stat. They don't have anybody who 158 00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 2: can dribble, drive and get to the rim. It's a 159 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 2: shooting contest for the Jays, and they're playing a team 160 00:08:56,559 --> 00:09:00,080 Speaker 2: who isn't good at stopping the three, so you you 161 00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:03,679 Speaker 2: have Cowkbrunner inside to play defense. The jas are going 162 00:09:03,760 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 2: up against the third most efficient team in college basketball. 163 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 2: Yukon is tremendous on the offensive end. They are third 164 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:13,240 Speaker 2: in effective field goal percentage, but the J's are twelfth 165 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:17,920 Speaker 2: in adjusted efficiency and thirteenth in effective field goal percentage. 166 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:21,960 Speaker 2: Both these teams are top fifteen. I mean, it's it's amazing. 167 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:25,800 Speaker 2: The J's are the number one team. They don't foul. 168 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:30,160 Speaker 2: They only give up fourteen free throw attempts per game, 169 00:09:30,480 --> 00:09:33,400 Speaker 2: number one in the country. They don't foul you, so 170 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:36,240 Speaker 2: while they don't get to the free throw line, they 171 00:09:36,240 --> 00:09:39,520 Speaker 2: don't put you on the free throw line either. So defensively, 172 00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:42,840 Speaker 2: the Jays thirty eighth and three point defense. That's better 173 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 2: than Yukon. They're seventy six and three point percentage, twenty 174 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:50,080 Speaker 2: six in two point percentage up against the second best 175 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:53,200 Speaker 2: two point shooting team in the country. Yukon takes really 176 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:56,200 Speaker 2: good shots, but they don't have their big tonight. He's 177 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:57,000 Speaker 2: out with an ankle. 178 00:09:57,600 --> 00:10:00,199 Speaker 1: It's big, it's a huge factor. He here. 179 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:04,440 Speaker 2: Yukon gets thirty two percent of their points from behind 180 00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 2: the arc to one hundred and thirty fifth forty nine 181 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:09,840 Speaker 2: percent or fifty percent of their points inside the arc 182 00:10:09,920 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 2: two point shots two hundred and third in the country, 183 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:15,000 Speaker 2: eighteen percent from the foul line. 184 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:16,840 Speaker 1: That's two hundred and seventeenth. 185 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 2: The J's are the number one team in terms of 186 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:24,080 Speaker 2: what they give up at inside the arc. Sixty five 187 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:27,360 Speaker 2: percent of the points scored against the Jas come from 188 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:31,880 Speaker 2: inside the three point line. Now again, this JAS team, 189 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:35,920 Speaker 2: sixteen thirty nine percent come from the free point line, 190 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 2: where up against Yukon, they give up twenty seven percent 191 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:41,600 Speaker 2: of all their points defensively or from behind the arc. 192 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:46,160 Speaker 2: That's two hundred and ninety first in college basketball. This 193 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:49,160 Speaker 2: is a three point shooting contest tonight. I'm going to 194 00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:50,920 Speaker 2: back on the Jas playing the number one team in 195 00:10:50,960 --> 00:10:53,839 Speaker 2: the country. Kids get fired up when that number one 196 00:10:53,920 --> 00:10:56,719 Speaker 2: kin talks bleeping, he looks blinking, and you know you're 197 00:10:56,800 --> 00:11:00,320 Speaker 2: on national TV, Fox Sports one, the number one team 198 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 2: in the country, and you're on the road in a 199 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:07,240 Speaker 2: hostile environment. Have you seen what's been happening college basketball lately? 200 00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 2: I'm taking the six points Creighton Blue Jays plus six 201 00:11:11,120 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 2: up against Yukon. 202 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:16,160 Speaker 1: If you know me, you know I freaking hate Yukon. 203 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:20,840 Speaker 2: Okay, I called this a bias bet, call this whatever, 204 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 2: but I think the justification to take the Jay's plus 205 00:11:23,480 --> 00:11:25,840 Speaker 2: six is there. The Jays are five and three this 206 00:11:25,960 --> 00:11:29,040 Speaker 2: year on the road. Yukon is four and five ats 207 00:11:29,360 --> 00:11:32,000 Speaker 2: at home this year. I don't mind a bet on 208 00:11:32,040 --> 00:11:34,240 Speaker 2: the over. By the way, this game opened at one 209 00:11:34,360 --> 00:11:37,560 Speaker 2: forty two. It's now one forty four. The Jays are 210 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 2: two and six. However, to the over on the road 211 00:11:40,240 --> 00:11:44,160 Speaker 2: this year scared back a Creighton team to the over, 212 00:11:44,520 --> 00:11:46,800 Speaker 2: given what they've done on the road this year, Yukon's 213 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:49,160 Speaker 2: five to three and one to the over at home. 214 00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 2: That makes you feel a little bit better. But one four, 215 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:56,920 Speaker 2: I don't know that that concerns me. I'm more comfortable 216 00:11:56,920 --> 00:12:01,040 Speaker 2: taking the dog Jays plus six for one point one unit. 217 00:12:01,480 --> 00:12:04,320 Speaker 2: That does not come into the trend that I bet 218 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:06,800 Speaker 2: last night. So, in case you weren't with us last night, 219 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 2: here's the trend in conference play, a team that loses 220 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:15,960 Speaker 2: a road conference game in the previous game to turn 221 00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:19,480 Speaker 2: around and come home where they are a home dog. 222 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:24,160 Speaker 2: We're taking the points and taking the team outright. Arkansas 223 00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:28,920 Speaker 2: won Case State one, Penn State one. Outright, forget the points. 224 00:12:29,080 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 2: They won outright. That was the number eleven and number 225 00:12:31,920 --> 00:12:33,959 Speaker 2: nine team in the country. By the way, Baylor was 226 00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 2: number nine, Wisconsin was number eleven. They both went down. 227 00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:39,599 Speaker 2: Now they were at home. Okay, winning winning on the 228 00:12:39,679 --> 00:12:42,440 Speaker 2: road in college basketball is really hard. Winning at home 229 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 2: much easier. Arkansas State and Southern Miss, Yes, you're gonna go, 230 00:12:47,320 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 2: what are we doing? 231 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:48,560 Speaker 1: Yep? 232 00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:52,520 Speaker 2: Okay, there's only three games that factor into this. Okay, 233 00:12:52,679 --> 00:12:55,040 Speaker 2: that Southern myths that we're going to tell you about. 234 00:12:55,240 --> 00:12:56,800 Speaker 2: I'll tell you about the Vanderbilt game in a second, 235 00:12:56,840 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 2: and then another game I'll tell you about as well, 236 00:12:58,240 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 2: but only three games come into play here for this trend. Okay, 237 00:13:02,280 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 2: you lose the previous game on the road, you come 238 00:13:04,120 --> 00:13:06,240 Speaker 2: back home next game, you're a dog at home both 239 00:13:06,280 --> 00:13:09,920 Speaker 2: conference games. Okay, Arkansas State and Southern Miss. So Southern 240 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:12,160 Speaker 2: Miss in their previous game on the road against Troy 241 00:13:12,200 --> 00:13:16,679 Speaker 2: got destroyed eighty two to fifty six. Won their previous 242 00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 2: three games before that. They're nine and eight overall, three 243 00:13:19,480 --> 00:13:21,920 Speaker 2: and two in conference play. Kempom has this as a 244 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:25,000 Speaker 2: one point win for Arkansas State, which is interesting because 245 00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 2: Arkansas State they lost their last game as well, at 246 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 2: home to Louisiana eighty four to eighty. They're seven and 247 00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:34,480 Speaker 2: ten on the year, three and two in conference play. 248 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:37,679 Speaker 2: They don't have anybody any great wins to write home about. 249 00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:40,160 Speaker 2: Their best wins over UAB, which is one hundred and 250 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:45,400 Speaker 2: sixty six on Kenpom number is two Southern Miss plus two. 251 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:48,760 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna go through the stats because they're really ugly, 252 00:13:48,840 --> 00:13:51,680 Speaker 2: like some of them are awful, like the efficiency for 253 00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:56,360 Speaker 2: Southern Missus offense two hundred and forty first. But defensively, 254 00:13:56,640 --> 00:13:59,160 Speaker 2: Arkansas State is two hundred and seventy ninth in efficient 255 00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:03,200 Speaker 2: defense effective field goal percentage, Southern Miss two hundred and 256 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:07,360 Speaker 2: eighty second. Defensively for effective field goal percentage one hundred 257 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:10,560 Speaker 2: and ninety ninth, you want to talk about two point 258 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:15,120 Speaker 2: percentage three hundred and seventh for Southern Miss. They shoot 259 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:17,400 Speaker 2: a lot of threes. They you know, they also are 260 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:19,280 Speaker 2: kind of a team that's make or miss. They get 261 00:14:19,280 --> 00:14:22,120 Speaker 2: twenty seven percent of their offense from behind the arc, 262 00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:25,760 Speaker 2: fifty one percent from inside the arc. We'll see what 263 00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:29,080 Speaker 2: the defense looks like because defensively, Arkansas State's okay. On 264 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 2: the other side, Orkansas or I say, it's not horrible. Offensively, 265 00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:35,080 Speaker 2: they just haven't really done much. They are a team 266 00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:37,840 Speaker 2: that really relies on three point shooting, just like the 267 00:14:37,920 --> 00:14:41,360 Speaker 2: Creighton Blue Jays. Thirty eight percent of their shots of 268 00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:43,800 Speaker 2: their points rather come from behind the three point line. 269 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 2: They're one hundred and tenth and three point shooting. Southern 270 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:49,480 Speaker 2: Miss is not great at defending the three, but they're 271 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:52,840 Speaker 2: at home. Let's fry the trend here. This is a 272 00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:54,680 Speaker 2: real test for it. By the way, if we get this, 273 00:14:54,960 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 2: if Southern Miss wins this game outright Southern miss plus 274 00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:01,800 Speaker 2: two one point one. We'll jump in here with that, 275 00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:04,560 Speaker 2: and then finally we're going back to the Big East. 276 00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:07,360 Speaker 2: This is the second game on Fox Sports one to 277 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 2: Paul at home against Providence. DePaul has lost four games 278 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:16,440 Speaker 2: in a row. They've lost unfortunately six of seven. Okay, 279 00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:19,240 Speaker 2: it's not been pretty. They just lost to Villanova on 280 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:23,600 Speaker 2: the road ninety four to sixty nine. The numbers eight 281 00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 2: and a half. Now, the one benefit here is that 282 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:30,000 Speaker 2: Providence equally is ice cold. They've lost four games in 283 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:32,200 Speaker 2: a row. They're coming off a lost to Xavier at 284 00:15:32,240 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 2: home eighty five sixty five. They got destroyed to Paul 285 00:15:37,240 --> 00:15:40,360 Speaker 2: eight and a half point dogs. A couple of things 286 00:15:40,400 --> 00:15:45,680 Speaker 2: going into Paul's favor here, mostly on the offensive end, 287 00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 2: where like, defensively to Paul is not very good. The 288 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:52,000 Speaker 2: number being eight and a half kind of indicates that. 289 00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:54,680 Speaker 2: But if you look at the way they've played, they've 290 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:57,240 Speaker 2: lost four games in a row. They only covered one 291 00:15:57,400 --> 00:16:00,240 Speaker 2: time on the road, but they lost by two twenty 292 00:16:00,280 --> 00:16:02,040 Speaker 2: six to the creaton Blue Jays, they are catching fifteen 293 00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:03,880 Speaker 2: and a half points. They were catching nineteen on the 294 00:16:03,960 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 2: road to Nova, they lost by twenty five points, but 295 00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:10,000 Speaker 2: they're three six and one this year at home ats 296 00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:13,640 Speaker 2: Providence is three and two. They covered against the Jays 297 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:16,160 Speaker 2: and against Saint John's on the road, but they lost 298 00:16:16,200 --> 00:16:18,720 Speaker 2: both games. They were catching seven and a half and 299 00:16:18,760 --> 00:16:21,520 Speaker 2: catching eleven. They lost by nine and they lost by two. 300 00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:24,000 Speaker 2: They were laying points against Seat and Haul at home 301 00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:26,200 Speaker 2: and they lost by four. Their last game at home, 302 00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 2: They'll got destroyed by Xavier. Like I mentioned, they were 303 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:31,040 Speaker 2: favored in that game by two. They got killed. Okay, 304 00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 2: both these teams need it desperately. To Paul's four to 305 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:38,120 Speaker 2: eleven and one ats Province is nine to seven and one. 306 00:16:38,400 --> 00:16:40,720 Speaker 2: Both teams are going to be hungary to Paul's on 307 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:44,680 Speaker 2: national TV here in the winter time in Chicago, which 308 00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:48,080 Speaker 2: is freezing cold. Let's just keep this game close. They 309 00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:51,040 Speaker 2: can lose it, but let's keep it close. Kempom has 310 00:16:51,080 --> 00:16:53,280 Speaker 2: this as a little bit of a larger number. It's 311 00:16:53,360 --> 00:16:55,200 Speaker 2: kind of surprising when you look at kempom. They have 312 00:16:55,280 --> 00:16:58,320 Speaker 2: this as an eleven point win for Providence numbers eight 313 00:16:58,320 --> 00:17:00,480 Speaker 2: and a half, opened at nine and a half. It's 314 00:17:00,520 --> 00:17:03,280 Speaker 2: been bet down, so there's definitely some people are taking 315 00:17:03,280 --> 00:17:06,440 Speaker 2: They taken the shot here saying something's wrong with Providence. 316 00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:08,880 Speaker 2: It's too many points. Let's jump in with de Paul 317 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:11,560 Speaker 2: here at plus eight and a half. Again, you don't 318 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 2: have to bet these, Okay, this is a trend that 319 00:17:14,080 --> 00:17:16,240 Speaker 2: I am riding, that I've done well with here, that 320 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:19,120 Speaker 2: I've uncovered, and we're going to keep it rolling here. 321 00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:21,440 Speaker 2: We hit it with Michigan. We went two and one 322 00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:24,640 Speaker 2: so far. I'm three and one betting this trend. Two 323 00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:27,000 Speaker 2: games that factor into it to Paul plus eight and 324 00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:30,520 Speaker 2: a half, Southern Miss plus two. The other game the 325 00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:35,600 Speaker 2: Creighton Blue Jays plus six taking dogs here, two of 326 00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 2: them at home, one of them on the road. Biggest 327 00:17:38,040 --> 00:17:39,760 Speaker 2: game of the night is Yukon against Creighton. It's going 328 00:17:39,800 --> 00:17:41,720 Speaker 2: to be phenomenal to watch that game tonight on Fox 329 00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:48,080 Speaker 2: Sports One. Now, Vanderbilt does factor into this trend. My 330 00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 2: worry with taking Vandy here is that it could get 331 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:56,840 Speaker 2: ugly really fast for Vanderbilt. And kempalm has this as 332 00:17:56,880 --> 00:18:01,560 Speaker 2: a massive win for Auburn eighty one sixty five. So 333 00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:05,760 Speaker 2: kempom has as a sixteen point win, where if you 334 00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:09,639 Speaker 2: shop and look around at the numbers, it's anywhere between 335 00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:13,040 Speaker 2: eleven to twel eleven and a half to twelve. Okay, 336 00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:17,159 Speaker 2: not enough points, but I'm going to bet this because 337 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:19,720 Speaker 2: it does factor into this trend, much like Penn State 338 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:22,640 Speaker 2: last night when I bet Penn State Vandy Also, now 339 00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:27,040 Speaker 2: Vanderbilt beats Auburn, that would be something. Okay, Auburn's got 340 00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:29,600 Speaker 2: two losses on the year. They lost on the road 341 00:18:29,640 --> 00:18:32,840 Speaker 2: to Appalachian State in somewhat stunning fashion. They lost to 342 00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:35,399 Speaker 2: Baylor and the first game of the year on a 343 00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:39,280 Speaker 2: neutral eighty eight to eighty two. But they've beaten during 344 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 2: this wind streak. They've beaten LSU A and m Arkansas 345 00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:50,000 Speaker 2: USC Indiana. They've been rolling people. Vanderbilt's at home. Vanderbilt 346 00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:52,400 Speaker 2: needs a win. In their last game on the road, 347 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:55,200 Speaker 2: they lost to Ole Miss sixty nine to fifty six. 348 00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:58,240 Speaker 2: They've lost three games in a row, They've lost seven 349 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:01,720 Speaker 2: of eight. Their best wins or against Alabama A and 350 00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:05,880 Speaker 2: m U NC Greensboro. You know, it's just this would 351 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:08,840 Speaker 2: be the upset of upsets for Jerry Stackhouse's team if 352 00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:12,360 Speaker 2: you can beat Auburn tonight. But it does factor into 353 00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:14,120 Speaker 2: the trend, so I will take that. You can bet 354 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:18,159 Speaker 2: that I like Arizona's team total tonight Arizona's laying twenty 355 00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:23,200 Speaker 2: one points tonight. Arizona's gonna absolutely house USC. But kempom 356 00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:27,000 Speaker 2: has this as a sixteen point win, not a twenty 357 00:19:27,080 --> 00:19:29,600 Speaker 2: one point win, which is what the line currently is. 358 00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:33,680 Speaker 2: And Arizona lost their last game, so everyone's assuming that 359 00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 2: they're gonna come in and just destroy much like when 360 00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:38,680 Speaker 2: they lost to Stanford on the road. They turned around 361 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:43,040 Speaker 2: and beat Colorado ninety seven to fifty. So that's I 362 00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 2: think why the number is twenty one, because everyone's assuming 363 00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:49,320 Speaker 2: that Arizona's gonna kill USC today. Look what the team 364 00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:51,440 Speaker 2: total is, and the team total is around like eighty five. 365 00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:54,119 Speaker 2: There's no team tolls out at the moment, but if 366 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:56,400 Speaker 2: there is one, you see, I like Arizona's team total 367 00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:58,560 Speaker 2: like eighty five, eighty six and a half, somewhere in 368 00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:01,800 Speaker 2: that range. I like Arizona team total tonight. And then 369 00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:05,680 Speaker 2: the other game you can jump in on is, oh, 370 00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:08,120 Speaker 2: well the Vandy game. Yeah, So those are those those 371 00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:10,119 Speaker 2: are the plays you could make coming up here for today. 372 00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 2: By the way, Dallas last night in the NHL, their 373 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 2: home streak of over ten straight games going over ended 374 00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:20,639 Speaker 2: last night five to one. Final total was six and 375 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:22,840 Speaker 2: a half for Dallas at home, so they won the game. 376 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:25,159 Speaker 2: But that streak, well, it's good because now we can 377 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,159 Speaker 2: get back onto it because I was waiting, like when that, 378 00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:27,760 Speaker 2: when's that going. 379 00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:28,240 Speaker 1: To be a loss? 380 00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:31,120 Speaker 2: I'm glad I didn't bet it, but Dallas at home, 381 00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:35,760 Speaker 2: but the Jets second holding their opponent to under two 382 00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:38,639 Speaker 2: and a half goals. If you guys are on the 383 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:42,199 Speaker 2: Discord channel bettingpros dot Com slash Chat, some of our 384 00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:45,919 Speaker 2: guys in the NHL channel are uncovering some amazing nuggets 385 00:20:46,000 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 2: Addison handle go look at what they've they're uncovering second 386 00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:52,520 Speaker 2: period or sorry, tune under team total rather under two 387 00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:55,000 Speaker 2: and a half. I kept some second period under two 388 00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 2: and a half goals. Team total against the Jets has 389 00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:59,919 Speaker 2: hit thirteen straight times. It's pretty good. I didn't bet 390 00:20:59,920 --> 00:21:02,520 Speaker 2: a last night, but thirteen straight times, so it's amazing 391 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:04,840 Speaker 2: it's hit, I believe now it's been twenty two of 392 00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:08,080 Speaker 2: twenty six games that that has come in. So watch 393 00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:09,960 Speaker 2: for the Winnipeg Jets when they played they don't play 394 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,600 Speaker 2: again to the twentieth, but holding their opponents under two 395 00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:14,560 Speaker 2: and a half goals for the game, it's been a 396 00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:16,680 Speaker 2: very good bet. Now the books are starting to juice 397 00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 2: it up. But last night you could have gotten it 398 00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:20,760 Speaker 2: mis one to eight, so that did come in. They 399 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:22,919 Speaker 2: won the game four to two. So watch for what 400 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:25,240 Speaker 2: Winnipeg is doing with Connor Hellibuck, who is the Vesna 401 00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:26,399 Speaker 2: Trophy favorite. 402 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:27,320 Speaker 1: He's killing it. 403 00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:29,639 Speaker 2: So all right, those are picks, plays and things you 404 00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:31,960 Speaker 2: can jump into if you want. Here on a Wednesday again, 405 00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:34,359 Speaker 2: officially we're taking to Paul plus eight and a half 406 00:21:34,560 --> 00:21:37,560 Speaker 2: sell their miss plus two Creighton Blue Jays plus six 407 00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:41,240 Speaker 2: here officially for us on the Daily Juice Podcast. My 408 00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:43,520 Speaker 2: name is Matt Parolchi. Guesn't follow me across all socials 409 00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:46,840 Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt. Each very morning the Daily Juice Podcast, 410 00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:48,800 Speaker 2: I was being brought to you by almost stakes dot 411 00:21:48,800 --> 00:22:02,879 Speaker 2: com