1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast. 2 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go fifteen Cundy, forty five, 3 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 2: thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty and the kick 4 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:21,000 Speaker 2: as block Look College Football World stunner. 5 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:23,639 Speaker 1: Good bye, Oh. 6 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:27,280 Speaker 3: My goodness, please stumbled and football it's the. 7 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:30,479 Speaker 2: Lateral turn a counter on the job. 8 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 3: Get you the lad came off the. 9 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: Field to night. 10 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,480 Speaker 2: It's not the side of the dog in the fighting. 11 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 2: It's the side of the fight in the hall. Welcome 12 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:51,560 Speaker 2: to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast for a group 13 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 2: of five deep dive. I'm your hosts Mike Calabreys and 14 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:57,520 Speaker 2: the Jared Stearns to my Jared Dillard. That of course 15 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 2: is Mike Ianello joining us for the Conference US A preview, 16 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 2: as well as a special guest, Brett McMurphy. Let me 17 00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:05,160 Speaker 2: get a question to you quick here, Brett, right off 18 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 2: the top, Any chance that Conference USA just goes away 19 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:11,760 Speaker 2: because it seems like teams can't wait to leave and 20 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 2: the pieces geographically are all over the place and they're 21 00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:17,200 Speaker 2: clearly at the bottom of the pecking order for the 22 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:17,760 Speaker 2: G five. 23 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, you nailed it perfectly. They're at the 24 00:01:20,280 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 4: bottom of the pecking order. And if there's any movement 25 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 4: above them, it's all going to trickle down to them, 26 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 4: and schools will move up to conferences that pay more 27 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 4: with their meteorites. So long term, yeah, it's going to 28 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 4: be tough for Conference USA because they don't have the 29 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:36,880 Speaker 4: TV revenue of the other leagues in the group of five, 30 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 4: and it's unfortunate. I hate this. I hate college realignment, 31 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 4: but certainly when you see what happened with the Big ten, 32 00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:45,960 Speaker 4: what happened with the SEC, we're going to have super 33 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 4: mega conferences and then the other group of fives will 34 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 4: filter up. If I had a guess, I'd say the 35 00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 4: next ten years, there probably is not a Conference USA. 36 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 4: I don't like that, but that's the reality. Money talks, 37 00:01:57,160 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 4: and they just don't have a lot of money. 38 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 2: One follow up question, there is there any chance in 39 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 2: terms of these you know, contracts with the actual cable 40 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 2: providers or a streaming network that comforts USA could go 41 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 2: ahead and try to align themselves with a sunbelt, even 42 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 2: for just like a portion, bundling themselves in some way. 43 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 2: Is there any way for them to make themselves more 44 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 2: attractive as a TV real estate property. 45 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:22,440 Speaker 4: I mean, that's a great idea, but realistically, no, because 46 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 4: if you're the sun Belt, you value yourself more valuable 47 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 4: than Conference USA. So what you benefit by pairing up 48 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 4: with Conference USA, you're pairing up below you. 49 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:33,119 Speaker 1: So it would bring the sun. 50 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:35,800 Speaker 4: Belt value down, if you will. It would be great 51 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:38,119 Speaker 4: if Conference USA could do that. I just don't see 52 00:02:38,120 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 4: any incentive for the Sun Belt doing that, especially with them, 53 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:45,720 Speaker 4: you know, basically taking three Conference USA teams for this 54 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:47,840 Speaker 4: year plus James Madison. 55 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:49,079 Speaker 2: Well, we're going to go ahead and start with the 56 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:52,400 Speaker 2: very top of the conference with UAB. Their win total 57 00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 2: set at eight and a half, their plus one eighty 58 00:02:54,520 --> 00:02:57,480 Speaker 2: five to win Conference USA in terms of their S 59 00:02:57,520 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 2: and P plus projection offensively defensively, sixty third on the 60 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 2: offensive side of the ball, forty fourth defensively. And this 61 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 2: has been a Bill Clark rebuild. Unfortunately, Bill Clark won't 62 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 2: be able to see it all the way through he 63 00:03:09,560 --> 00:03:12,359 Speaker 2: steps away from the program. Bryan Vincent is now the 64 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 2: new head coach, replacing Clark, who's the former OC and 65 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:17,600 Speaker 2: quarterback coach. And when you look at this team, they're 66 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:21,720 Speaker 2: still very similar to the previous and you know, previous 67 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:24,240 Speaker 2: teams that we've seen on the field in terms of 68 00:03:24,440 --> 00:03:26,640 Speaker 2: they have a great running game. Dwayn McBride is a 69 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:29,960 Speaker 2: bell cow. He's back seven starters on defense. If there 70 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 2: was ever a time with a transition going on for 71 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 2: a cushy non conference schedule, this is it. They get 72 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:37,720 Speaker 2: Alabama A and M at Liberty to Georgia Southern, and 73 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 2: they spread out that one challenging, punching up moment against 74 00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 2: LSU late in November, so they can get plenty of 75 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:45,720 Speaker 2: positive momentum right out of the gate. I'm going to 76 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:47,320 Speaker 2: go to you I and LA. What are your thoughts 77 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 2: on UAB being the odds on favorite quote unquote here 78 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 2: in Conference USA and their win total set at eight 79 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 2: and a half. 80 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with that they stood out as probably 81 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 3: the best team in the conference. I actually do like 82 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 3: this over as you mentioned, their non con is very easy. 83 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:06,560 Speaker 3: They get UTSA at home late in the year, and 84 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 3: you mentioned they bring back they're starting quarterback, they're starting 85 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 3: running back, their best receiver, they bring back four offensive linemen. 86 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 3: Their secondary is nasty and brings back everyone they have. 87 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:18,279 Speaker 3: You know, their safeties are great, their corners are great. 88 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 3: They were sixteenth in total defense last year. Dylan Hopkins 89 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:23,200 Speaker 3: I thought did really well down the stretch. He didn't 90 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 3: really take over until like week four, I think was 91 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:29,160 Speaker 3: his first start. You know, eighteen touchdowns just seven picks. 92 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 3: He's got an absolute cannon. They just elevated the OC, so. 93 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 1: You you would assume that they can keep it going. 94 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:38,800 Speaker 3: I probably won't bet them to win the conference, just 95 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 3: because I don't think there's much value in that number. 96 00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 3: But giving out easy their non con is I do 97 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:44,720 Speaker 3: like you maybe, and I do like that over eight 98 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 3: and a half and. 99 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:48,040 Speaker 2: Just quickly you mentioned having their best wide receiver back 100 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:50,800 Speaker 2: Tray Shropshire. It was a great win and I love 101 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,159 Speaker 2: it when the small schools can actually retain their guys. 102 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:54,920 Speaker 2: I think he like dipped a toe in the transfer 103 00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:56,479 Speaker 2: portal and it's like, no, I'm going to come back. 104 00:04:56,600 --> 00:04:58,919 Speaker 2: That's a huge win for them. He's somebody that is 105 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:01,479 Speaker 2: pretty much irreplaced, you know, year over year, They're not 106 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:03,159 Speaker 2: going to be able to plug and play. So to 107 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:04,840 Speaker 2: have them back in the fold, I think it is 108 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 2: a huge get. And then I agree plus one to 109 00:05:06,640 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 2: eighty five. Why am I going to tie up my 110 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:10,920 Speaker 2: money for five months when I can probably just you know, 111 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 2: wait and play them down the stretch. There's lots of 112 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:16,040 Speaker 2: different ways that you can extract more or less the 113 00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:19,880 Speaker 2: same value with a different time horizon. Quick question for you, Brett, 114 00:05:19,960 --> 00:05:22,560 Speaker 2: do you have any particular stories from UAB. Is the 115 00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:24,479 Speaker 2: team you like to cover or break stories on? 116 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 4: You know, look, I like UAB, even with Brian mentioned 117 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 4: what he's done with the Blazers the past three years, 118 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 4: best offensive season three years ago. I'll look at a 119 00:05:34,440 --> 00:05:35,839 Speaker 4: sandwich spot with UAB. 120 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:39,040 Speaker 1: Sandwiches. Sandwiches, sandwiches. 121 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:43,839 Speaker 4: November nineteen at LSU, if you talked about UAB gets 122 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 4: up to that strong start, if they started undefeated, they 123 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:49,359 Speaker 4: possibly could be in the running for a group of 124 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:51,440 Speaker 4: five New Year six game. And you look at what 125 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 4: LSU has. They're coming off consecutive games against Alabama and Arkansas, 126 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 4: then they play UAB, and then they close the regular 127 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:02,400 Speaker 4: season against Texas. That could be a potential sandwich spot. 128 00:06:02,440 --> 00:06:04,280 Speaker 4: I would certainly look at the Blaze or it should 129 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:05,400 Speaker 4: be getting a ton of points. 130 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:07,600 Speaker 1: Sandwich just all. 131 00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:11,720 Speaker 2: Right now, turning our attention to a podcast favorite University 132 00:06:11,720 --> 00:06:18,040 Speaker 2: of Texas at San Antonio, Go Roadrunners, meet me. I'm 133 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:20,159 Speaker 2: excited about this team. Even though this is a group 134 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:22,200 Speaker 2: of five podcasts, I'm not a believer in that, Hey, 135 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:24,240 Speaker 2: you run the table, why aren't you in the college 136 00:06:24,279 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 2: football playoff conversation? That just should never be the case. 137 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 2: It's it's got to be based on who you beat, 138 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 2: where you play. Then it really comes down to scheduling. 139 00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:34,680 Speaker 2: It's one of my beliefs. I can't help myself on Twitter. 140 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:36,719 Speaker 2: I get arguments about this all the time. College table 141 00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:39,480 Speaker 2: has a scheduling problem. In some cases it's self inflicted. 142 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 2: In other cases, you know, you get a little bit 143 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 2: too big for your breitches and you don't want to play, 144 00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 2: you know, two games on the on the road, in 145 00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 2: a three game series something like that. There's lots of 146 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:51,960 Speaker 2: different reasons why these games don't get scheduled. But U TSA, 147 00:06:52,640 --> 00:06:54,320 Speaker 2: when you look at the beginning of their season, kind 148 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:57,719 Speaker 2: of tailor made for national attention. They get Houston at home. 149 00:06:57,960 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 2: How big is that? That's That's like GEF Kickoff Classic 150 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:03,719 Speaker 2: right away. I think it should have tons of attention, 151 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:05,600 Speaker 2: even though it's in Week one, up against some of 152 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 2: the other major games. Two really quality teams that won 153 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 2: a ton of games last year, both over ten wins. 154 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:13,760 Speaker 2: Then they're at Army and then at Texas, which I 155 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:16,240 Speaker 2: believe is right after they play Alabama, so talk about 156 00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:18,559 Speaker 2: a letdown spot one way or the other. Texas wins 157 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 2: that game, they can't be focused on r TSA. If 158 00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 2: they get their doors blown off, then they got to 159 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:25,600 Speaker 2: deal with all of the Texas's back jokes for an 160 00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:28,560 Speaker 2: entire week. I think this sets up when you look 161 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:31,680 Speaker 2: at what the Roadrunners bring back for potentially a hot 162 00:07:31,720 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 2: start and to get themselves firmly implanted into the new 163 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 2: year six automatic birth conversation. Frank Harris is back. Talk 164 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 2: about a guy who went from being a potential liability 165 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:44,360 Speaker 2: to an asset in one year. I mean, he was 166 00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 2: just so good last year. His three lead wide receivers 167 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 2: are back, headlined by Zakari Franklin. They bring in a 168 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 2: Juco All American and Ty Edwards to try to replace 169 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 2: Sincere McCormick. They're beat up in the spring, so there 170 00:07:55,680 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 2: weren't a lot of backs getting touches, but they're going 171 00:07:57,840 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 2: to have a pretty deep running back room. They also 172 00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:03,200 Speaker 2: have four returning starters on the O line and their defense. 173 00:08:03,240 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 2: Even though they have some new pieces to work in, 174 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:08,200 Speaker 2: they have experienced returning on all three levels. So I'm 175 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:10,480 Speaker 2: very excited about this team. The win total set at eight, 176 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 2: they're two to one to win Conference USA. Sp Plus 177 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:16,760 Speaker 2: has them thirty seventh on offense ninety first on defense. 178 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:19,560 Speaker 2: I think the offense, to be honest, I think this 179 00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 2: is a little bit overinflated about just how good since 180 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 2: cr McCormick was, and he was great. But I do 181 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:27,160 Speaker 2: think that Ty Edwards has a chance to replace ninety 182 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 2: percent of his production. And if he does that and 183 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:32,560 Speaker 2: the quarterback play from Harris remains at this level, I 184 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:35,160 Speaker 2: think they are my pick at least to win Conference USA, 185 00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:39,120 Speaker 2: and I think they're gonna split the Houston Texas games 186 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:42,240 Speaker 2: against Burnt Orange. How many Roadrunner fans do you think 187 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:43,880 Speaker 2: you're gonna show up in Austin. I think that's a 188 00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:46,920 Speaker 2: really fun opportunity for them. I think they're going to 189 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 2: play up in that game, so I'm gonna see them 190 00:08:48,880 --> 00:08:50,840 Speaker 2: going two and one out of the gate. What are 191 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 2: your thoughts on them, Lianella, I'm. 192 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 3: Highing them as well. I think you know, obviously we 193 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:56,120 Speaker 3: loved them last year. Meet Meet all Day. 194 00:08:57,280 --> 00:08:57,720 Speaker 1: I agree. 195 00:08:57,800 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 3: I think they're in the in the conference title game 196 00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 3: again against UAB. I'm a little more worried about the 197 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 3: non con because I wouldn't be shocked if UTSA starts 198 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:07,840 Speaker 3: one and two like you mentioned it. You know, Frank 199 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 3: Harris went from Okay, just give the ball the McCormick 200 00:09:10,400 --> 00:09:11,840 Speaker 3: and get out of the way to now. I mean, 201 00:09:11,840 --> 00:09:14,320 Speaker 3: he's probably the best quarterback in this conference. It's all 202 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 3: the weapons back. Rashad Wisdom is probably the best defender 203 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 3: in this conference. He's back again. He's one of those 204 00:09:19,400 --> 00:09:22,560 Speaker 3: do it all center fielder safeties that flies around, makes tackles, 205 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:24,839 Speaker 3: gets involved in the passing game. So I am I'm 206 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 3: bullsh on UTSA again. They're another team that I will 207 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:29,840 Speaker 3: be rooting for and probably betting on week to week, 208 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:32,160 Speaker 3: But I don't have anything in them as far as 209 00:09:32,200 --> 00:09:35,120 Speaker 3: preseason goes there. Their non kind just scares me enough 210 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:36,920 Speaker 3: to stay away the win total. 211 00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 2: Iancy this question ofugh for Brett Jeff Trailer nineteen and seven. 212 00:09:41,160 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 2: In his two years at UTSA, clearly he's done a 213 00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:46,680 Speaker 2: great job in terms of programmed building. Have you heard 214 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:49,280 Speaker 2: any buzz Did he turn any offers down? Was there 215 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 2: any you know, situations where he had to track the 216 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 2: flight number or anything like that? And I know they're 217 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 2: trying to keep them long term. He's got to come 218 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:00,439 Speaker 2: into the next hiring cycle as one the top G 219 00:10:00,640 --> 00:10:01,679 Speaker 2: five names. 220 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, you're right, he had some school snipping around. UTSA 221 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 4: stepped up and got a new contract. But I think 222 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 4: that just delays the inevitable. When you're having that six 223 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 4: much success that he has, people are going to come 224 00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:16,800 Speaker 4: along that are going to pay you more money. It's unfortunate, 225 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 4: but that's the way college football works. And I know 226 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 4: you guys talked about the Texas game. The Houston games. 227 00:10:22,320 --> 00:10:25,680 Speaker 4: Look they could ruin two teams seasons. Houston has a 228 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 4: shot to get to the New Year six game. Certainly 229 00:10:28,160 --> 00:10:29,520 Speaker 4: they've got to go and to feed it in on 230 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:32,600 Speaker 4: conference and if they beat Texas, Texas will be won 231 00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:35,600 Speaker 4: to fire Sark and a second after that game's over. 232 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:38,920 Speaker 4: I love this sandwich spot for UTSA. They're getting in 233 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:42,200 Speaker 4: the week after Alabama the Sark saving reunion that'll be 234 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:45,280 Speaker 4: played up and then Texas the following week opens Big 235 00:10:45,320 --> 00:10:46,520 Speaker 4: twelve play against Texas. 236 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 2: Tech are the strangest look I've ever seen it. 237 00:10:50,679 --> 00:10:53,800 Speaker 4: However, why I don't love it so much? UTSA is 238 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:56,520 Speaker 4: coming off army. I talked to Dave Dorn of wake 239 00:10:56,559 --> 00:11:00,360 Speaker 4: Forest at ACC Media Days, specifically about playing norms. He 240 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 4: told me Brett the week after we play on we 241 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:06,240 Speaker 4: have more injuries than we do against any other team 242 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:09,600 Speaker 4: on our schedule. A lot of cut blocks defensive line, 243 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:11,560 Speaker 4: a lot of guys are banged up. But certainly if 244 00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:14,200 Speaker 4: they have any kind of success this year, and nothing 245 00:11:14,240 --> 00:11:17,000 Speaker 4: against meet Meat, but I would be very surprised if 246 00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 4: Trailer is still around in twenty twenty three. He's just 247 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 4: that good of a coach. And I expect a lot 248 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:24,280 Speaker 4: of turnover in the Power five level this year. 249 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:27,520 Speaker 2: And now we turn to the home of nappy roots, 250 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:30,560 Speaker 2: the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. 251 00:11:30,800 --> 00:11:35,800 Speaker 4: The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, the Pride of the Commonwealth. 252 00:11:37,320 --> 00:11:44,559 Speaker 2: Oh no, no, hell no, oh no, hell no. Western 253 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:46,320 Speaker 2: Kentucky send an eight and a half on the win 254 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 2: total minus one thirty to the under five to one 255 00:11:49,160 --> 00:11:52,360 Speaker 2: to win Conference USA thirtieth and sp plus on offense 256 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 2: ninety six on defense. For me, I'm just going to 257 00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 2: get this out of the way immediately. This is a 258 00:11:56,480 --> 00:11:59,160 Speaker 2: Shawn Michaels Rick Flair moment where I'm about to say 259 00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:01,920 Speaker 2: I'm sorry before we're killing these guys, but I loved you. 260 00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:07,280 Speaker 2: Zach Kittley's gone, Bailey's Appy's gone. Jarrett Dagy is no 261 00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:10,640 Speaker 2: Bailey Zappy. I know that they have some interesting pieces 262 00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:14,480 Speaker 2: at wide receiver, but this defense was really bad last year, 263 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:17,320 Speaker 2: and I would be shocked if they cracked the top 264 00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:20,480 Speaker 2: one hundred defensively. Now it's going to be masked early 265 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:22,720 Speaker 2: on by the fact that week zero they play Austin 266 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 2: p at Hawaii at Indiana Auburn late in the season, 267 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:27,920 Speaker 2: so they're not going to get exposed by an SEC 268 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:30,520 Speaker 2: team lose by forty early. It's going to be a 269 00:12:30,559 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 2: team that potentially could be treading water through September, and 270 00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:35,240 Speaker 2: then I want to hammer them when they get to 271 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:38,199 Speaker 2: Conference USA because I just do not think that they 272 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:40,439 Speaker 2: have the offense to keep up. I understand that they 273 00:12:40,440 --> 00:12:42,440 Speaker 2: have community at the very top, you know, with their 274 00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:45,600 Speaker 2: head coach, but Kittley, it was magic and now he's 275 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:48,800 Speaker 2: in Lubbock, He's in Texas Tech. Bailey's gone. This is it. 276 00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:52,440 Speaker 2: I mean, there's no real pillars of the last year's 277 00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:55,040 Speaker 2: aerial attack that made them so special and so fun 278 00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:56,719 Speaker 2: to root for. Is this a team you're going to 279 00:12:56,760 --> 00:12:58,599 Speaker 2: stay away from for sentimental reasons? Are you going to 280 00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:00,560 Speaker 2: join me in fading the hills? Ione? 281 00:13:00,640 --> 00:13:06,679 Speaker 1: Loo, I hate it. I love this under. I absolutely 282 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 1: love this under. I hate to do it. 283 00:13:08,000 --> 00:13:10,520 Speaker 3: I'm wearing my Zapi shirt, but you said it, and 284 00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:12,959 Speaker 3: it's under is out of respect for Bailey Zappy because 285 00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:17,120 Speaker 3: he's gone. Cayley's gone, Their top two running backs are gone, 286 00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 3: their top two receivers are gone. Jared Dagi's this is 287 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 3: what like his seventh year playing college football. The idea 288 00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:25,559 Speaker 3: of having an offense that is predicated on Jared Dagy 289 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:28,439 Speaker 3: throwing the ball fifty times a game is terrifying. And 290 00:13:28,520 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 3: at the end of the day, as much as you know, 291 00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:32,920 Speaker 3: no one loved Western Kentucky more than you would make 292 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:34,119 Speaker 3: their win totals. 293 00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:34,560 Speaker 1: At eight and a half. 294 00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:37,840 Speaker 3: They only won eight regular season games last year. You're 295 00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 3: telling me this team's gonna win more games than last 296 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:43,040 Speaker 3: year's team. They're on their third straight season with the 297 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:45,800 Speaker 3: new defensive coordinator. Their defense you mentioned it wasn't good 298 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:46,480 Speaker 3: last year. 299 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know. 300 00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:49,800 Speaker 3: They start with Austin p at Hawaii, but then they 301 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:51,720 Speaker 3: go to Indiana who beat them last year. 302 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:54,559 Speaker 1: We don't know it, and Dan's late in the season. 303 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 3: They play at Auburn, at FAU, at Utsa, at Charlotte. 304 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 1: There's no away. 305 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:02,360 Speaker 3: I think this team wins more games than last year's 306 00:14:02,400 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 3: team did, So if you're gonna give me eight and 307 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:07,480 Speaker 3: a half, I have to take the under. We'll always 308 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:09,560 Speaker 3: have last year guys, but I'm going. 309 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:12,839 Speaker 2: Under any reason to buck the trend here, Brett Or 310 00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:15,840 Speaker 2: you also gonna get in on hashtag fade the Toppers 311 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:17,080 Speaker 2: after last. 312 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:20,240 Speaker 4: Year and Bailey Zappy and not winning a Conference USA title, 313 00:14:20,360 --> 00:14:22,360 Speaker 4: I've got to go against them, you know, as Mike 314 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:25,119 Speaker 4: mitching third straight year, you've got a new defensive coordinator. 315 00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 4: I talked with Joey maguire, Texas tex coach about Zach Keatley. 316 00:14:29,600 --> 00:14:32,360 Speaker 4: He obviously was a big fan of the Hilltoppers last year, 317 00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:35,240 Speaker 4: and it was impressed. That's why I hired Keatley. I 318 00:14:35,320 --> 00:14:38,120 Speaker 4: just think there's too many losses, and you nailed it perfectly. 319 00:14:38,160 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 1: If they had. 320 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 4: Nine wins last year, how in the world are they 321 00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:43,080 Speaker 4: going to match that this year with all the losses. 322 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:44,600 Speaker 4: I don't see it happening. 323 00:14:44,920 --> 00:14:47,600 Speaker 2: All right, We're gonna jump quickly to there's a bunch 324 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:49,520 Speaker 2: of middling teams here. We'll see if we can pull 325 00:14:49,560 --> 00:14:52,120 Speaker 2: out one that maybe like is a dark horse. Fau 326 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:54,080 Speaker 2: said at six and a half of the win total 327 00:14:54,200 --> 00:14:57,000 Speaker 2: over is minus one twenty on the juice ten to 328 00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,800 Speaker 2: one to win Conference USA. Pretty bad on both sides 329 00:14:59,800 --> 00:15:02,239 Speaker 2: of the at least by S and P plus projections 330 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 2: ninety first on offense, ninety eighth on defense. I still 331 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 2: think they could be decent. You know, Nikosi Perry has 332 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:09,880 Speaker 2: been there in at least the college schoole ranks forever. 333 00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:13,720 Speaker 2: He brings back his number one offensive weapon, Lejhonte Western, 334 00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:16,840 Speaker 2: and a promising offensive line. The schedule's not doing them 335 00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:18,840 Speaker 2: any favors, to be honest, though. You know, they start 336 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:22,400 Speaker 2: with Charlotte, they're at Ohio, they get UCF to on 337 00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:25,080 Speaker 2: the seventeenth, and then they're at Purdue in the non conference. 338 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:27,320 Speaker 2: I think they could get beat up. And this was 339 00:15:27,320 --> 00:15:29,000 Speaker 2: a team that it was the opposite Last year. They 340 00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 2: got off to a hot start, but they lost their 341 00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 2: last four when they were right on the precipice of 342 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:35,800 Speaker 2: Bowl eligibility. So maybe we see, you know, a role 343 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 2: reversal here. People selling quickly on the owls Underwially Taggart. 344 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:41,760 Speaker 2: There at least is stay away from me in the 345 00:15:41,800 --> 00:15:44,920 Speaker 2: month of September, just because I think they have experience. 346 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:48,360 Speaker 2: But there's a lot of new offensive line pieces, even 347 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:52,120 Speaker 2: though they have some experience there, they gotta be really 348 00:15:52,160 --> 00:15:54,560 Speaker 2: good in that element of the game in the trenches 349 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:56,960 Speaker 2: because if they're not. Nikosi, Perry is not a guy 350 00:15:57,000 --> 00:15:59,800 Speaker 2: who's going to make big plays under pressure constantly. So 351 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:03,200 Speaker 2: it's fair to say this await and see situation. But 352 00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:05,120 Speaker 2: do you have any hot takes on the l's right 353 00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 2: out of the gate? 354 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:08,840 Speaker 1: I L No, they're stay away from me too. You 355 00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:09,720 Speaker 1: mentioned Nikochi. 356 00:16:09,800 --> 00:16:11,680 Speaker 3: Perry is one of those guys where are like, every 357 00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 3: now and again, he'll make a play that you're like, oh, 358 00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:15,880 Speaker 3: that's why he was at Miami, and then the next 359 00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:17,920 Speaker 3: quarter he'll make a play that you're like, how the 360 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 3: hell is this guy even playing football? The defense should 361 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:23,800 Speaker 3: be solid again, their front sevens should still be pretty good, 362 00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:26,200 Speaker 3: but they do have some holes on defense to fill. 363 00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:29,000 Speaker 3: Falling off last year at the end is always a concern. 364 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:31,400 Speaker 3: I like the back teams that ended the year strong 365 00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:34,840 Speaker 3: versus just you know, losing four straight games. They lost 366 00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 3: the Middle Tennessee at the end of the year like that. 367 00:16:36,560 --> 00:16:38,120 Speaker 3: That shouldn't be happening to fau. 368 00:16:38,560 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 2: Let me tee up question for you, Brett in terms 369 00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:43,440 Speaker 2: of Tiggert. Obviously he said into year three, here he's 370 00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 2: ten and eleven. This is somebody who was one of 371 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:49,200 Speaker 2: the hottest rising stars in coaching, took his Gulf Coast 372 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 2: offense up to Eugene, then comes back to Florida State. 373 00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:55,400 Speaker 2: What's the best way forward for him, even if he's 374 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 2: just treading water, or the worst case, he gets fired 375 00:16:57,920 --> 00:17:01,120 Speaker 2: from this program. Just should he go back as a coordinator, 376 00:17:01,120 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 2: should he try to show off as a star recruiter? 377 00:17:03,560 --> 00:17:05,920 Speaker 2: What's his way back up the coaching mountain, Because it 378 00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:08,320 Speaker 2: seems as though this is one of the most dramatic 379 00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:10,800 Speaker 2: falls from Grace that I can remember for a coach 380 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 2: that you know, if he closed her eyes five years ago, 381 00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 2: he was in the conversation with a lot of top jobs. 382 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:18,200 Speaker 4: Obviously he wants to remain a head coach. I mean, 383 00:17:18,280 --> 00:17:20,800 Speaker 4: I think this situation he got put in at Florida State, 384 00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 4: he wasn't given enough time to do anything. People would question, well, 385 00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:27,800 Speaker 4: you shouldn't have left Oregon after one year, but Florida State. 386 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:30,639 Speaker 4: He grew up in Branington, Florida. Florida State was his 387 00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 4: dream job. He just didn't have enough time to fulfill that. 388 00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 4: The optimistic way to look at it is when he 389 00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:39,520 Speaker 4: was at Western Kentucky. When he was at USF, he 390 00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:41,760 Speaker 4: was in some bad situations and he was able to 391 00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:44,480 Speaker 4: turn that around. Can he do that at Florida Atlantic. 392 00:17:44,600 --> 00:17:46,879 Speaker 4: We'll have to see. I think he's content being at 393 00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:49,439 Speaker 4: Florida Atlantic. I think he likes being at that level. 394 00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:51,720 Speaker 4: But if he gets back to winning like he did 395 00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:54,199 Speaker 4: at USF, like he did at Western Kentucky, really have 396 00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:57,399 Speaker 4: an opportunity to go back to a Power five. I 397 00:17:57,440 --> 00:17:59,440 Speaker 4: don't know necessarily if he would take it. I think 398 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:02,560 Speaker 4: he's happy, but certainly he needs to be more successful. 399 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:04,680 Speaker 4: But you look at his track record when he's had 400 00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:07,080 Speaker 4: the time, if the other programs he's been able to 401 00:18:07,119 --> 00:18:10,639 Speaker 4: turn around. I was literally texting with some sources and 402 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:13,919 Speaker 4: conference to USA, asking you know their opinions on some 403 00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:16,919 Speaker 4: dark horses. Florida Atlantic's the first team they told me. 404 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:19,159 Speaker 4: They said, the talent and depth they've had there, they 405 00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:21,520 Speaker 4: could be a dark horse. I'm not expecting him to 406 00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:23,800 Speaker 4: win it, but I would keep an eye on keep 407 00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:25,000 Speaker 4: an eye on the als this year. 408 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:27,000 Speaker 2: So we're gonna switch it up a little bit here. 409 00:18:27,000 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 2: As I mentioned, there's a bunch of teams in the 410 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 2: middle that potentially, you know, could pop. But what I'd 411 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:34,560 Speaker 2: like to do is offer three teams. You tell me 412 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,480 Speaker 2: which one you like the best. We'll run through LATAC 413 00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:40,199 Speaker 2: North Texas utep all in that twelve to fifteen to 414 00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:43,920 Speaker 2: one range to win the conference. Lotac has fourteen returning starters. 415 00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:46,520 Speaker 2: The tidbit that I'll throw in here, I love when 416 00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:49,320 Speaker 2: there's a rising coordinator that comes up from the FCS level. 417 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 2: Scott Power was an amazing defensive coordinator. It's Stephen F. 418 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:55,639 Speaker 2: Austin always top twenty units, so I anticipate, you know, 419 00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:58,680 Speaker 2: them potentially improving by leaps and bounds on that side 420 00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:01,120 Speaker 2: of the ball. North Texas their win total at six. 421 00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:03,639 Speaker 2: As I mentioned, fifteen to one to win Conference USA. 422 00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:05,600 Speaker 2: Ceth of Dreil has been around for a long time. 423 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:07,960 Speaker 2: I mean he broke through that trick play against Arkansas 424 00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:10,440 Speaker 2: and their upset win on the front return. It looked 425 00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:12,359 Speaker 2: like he was gonna be one of those guys to 426 00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:15,040 Speaker 2: take a stepping stone job from North Texas up to 427 00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:17,719 Speaker 2: the Power five level. It didn't materialize for him, but 428 00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:19,679 Speaker 2: this team can really run the ball. They returned four 429 00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:22,160 Speaker 2: or five starters on the offensive line, and they won 430 00:19:22,240 --> 00:19:24,800 Speaker 2: five straight to end the regular season in twenty twenty one. 431 00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:29,240 Speaker 2: Also in terms of a potential breakout, candidate Tom treeb 432 00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:33,120 Speaker 2: juco All American twenty five tackles for loss last year, 433 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:36,400 Speaker 2: So even though they're eighty eight and projected defensive efficiency, 434 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:37,760 Speaker 2: I could see them being a little bit better and 435 00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:39,880 Speaker 2: outside of the ball. And then finally a team that's 436 00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:42,760 Speaker 2: been close to our heart, we had out to West Texas. 437 00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:46,120 Speaker 2: You know who we're talking about. We're talking minor nation 438 00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:52,000 Speaker 2: out in the West Texan town of a pastor picks 439 00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,960 Speaker 2: up the UTEP miners, a lot of familiar faces back, 440 00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:58,800 Speaker 2: we got hardested, we got a lot in the backfield, 441 00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:02,760 Speaker 2: better in line, higher front, seven back for bradley Dale 442 00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:06,160 Speaker 2: paveto defense. They finished thirty fifth in total defense last year. 443 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:08,600 Speaker 2: And what I love as a gambler, they did exactly 444 00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:10,119 Speaker 2: what they were supposed to do. They beat the teams 445 00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:12,000 Speaker 2: they were supposed to beat, and they were competitive and 446 00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:14,320 Speaker 2: lost to the teams they weren't supposed to beat. So 447 00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:17,440 Speaker 2: very reliable. Not a high variance team. They do lose 448 00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:20,280 Speaker 2: Jacob Cowing to Arizona, which hurts because he was their 449 00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:22,760 Speaker 2: only big play guy, but they do get both New 450 00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 2: Mexico schools in the non conference, so that's the Lobos 451 00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:28,680 Speaker 2: and the Aggies of this three pack. I and l 452 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:31,320 Speaker 2: O and feel free to answer multiple if you feel strongly. 453 00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:35,679 Speaker 2: But La Tech North Texas and UTEP who do you like? 454 00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:39,600 Speaker 1: There no real feel on lot Tech bear paths for me. 455 00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:41,960 Speaker 1: I do like UTEP. I do like they're over. 456 00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 3: Obviously, they lose Jacob Cowelling to Arizona as a big loss, 457 00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:49,480 Speaker 3: but they bring in Juco transfer Kelly Akari, Davin Harrison's back. 458 00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:50,280 Speaker 1: He's in their third year. 459 00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:53,040 Speaker 3: He's gotten better each year, so their defense should be 460 00:20:53,040 --> 00:20:56,040 Speaker 3: really good again. They return their entire front six. They 461 00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:58,960 Speaker 3: need to replace wide receivers in cornerbacks. But other than that, 462 00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:01,679 Speaker 3: you know, I do think the schedule is pretty manageable. 463 00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:05,960 Speaker 3: So I do like the UTEP over. I feel like 464 00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:07,720 Speaker 3: this's gonna be a fun conference because obviously you A 465 00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:10,119 Speaker 3: B and UTSA, I feel like are pretty much in 466 00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:12,480 Speaker 3: a tier of their own. You can make a case 467 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:17,159 Speaker 3: that there's seven teams that could finish anywhere from like 468 00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:19,439 Speaker 3: five to seven wins, So I think there's going to 469 00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:22,520 Speaker 3: be a lot of toss up games, which allows me 470 00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:26,720 Speaker 3: to kind of take more Dart throws on conference futures, 471 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:30,560 Speaker 3: because if one of those two big dogs slips up, 472 00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:33,919 Speaker 3: you know, if Frank Harris gets hurt, if Bill Clark 473 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:37,560 Speaker 3: leaving really up, you know, up ends UAB, any of 474 00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:40,679 Speaker 3: these teams could be positioned to play in that conference 475 00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:44,080 Speaker 3: championship game now with with no divisions. So I'm gonna 476 00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:46,480 Speaker 3: throw at Dart here, and I'm gonna throw at Dart. 477 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:48,760 Speaker 3: With the mean Green of North Texas, you know, they've 478 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:51,400 Speaker 3: always been kind of a thrown around team, and they 479 00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 3: really switch to a run first approach towards the end 480 00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:57,199 Speaker 3: of the year with DeAndre Tory. Obviously he leaves, but 481 00:21:57,280 --> 00:22:00,720 Speaker 3: they still return three freshman running backs who all had 482 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:04,639 Speaker 3: six touchdowns last at least five touchdowns last year, Ragsdale 483 00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:08,560 Speaker 3: a Die and Isaiah Johnson. On top of that, they 484 00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:12,520 Speaker 3: bring back Oscar Adaway, who was their leading rusher in 485 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:15,359 Speaker 3: twenty twenty I believe, and then he tours acl in 486 00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:18,359 Speaker 3: spring camp last year, so they are super death at 487 00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:20,959 Speaker 3: running back. They bring back their leading receiver from last year, 488 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:23,760 Speaker 3: Rodick Burns. They bring back Gyres Shorter, who is another 489 00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:26,280 Speaker 3: you know, highly talented wide receiver who got a season 490 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 3: an injury. Week three, you mentioned the defense bringing in 491 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:32,159 Speaker 3: some depth. Katie Davis led the whole conference at tackles 492 00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:35,359 Speaker 3: last year. He's nasty at linebacker. So for me with 493 00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:38,440 Speaker 3: North Texas, it really comes down to Austin on me. 494 00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:44,080 Speaker 3: Their quarterback who he's the Brandon Whedon where he turns 495 00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:47,240 Speaker 3: twenty nine in September. He spent six years as a 496 00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:50,000 Speaker 3: Yankees minor league prospect. He was an outfielder in the 497 00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:54,040 Speaker 3: Yankees system. Good arm and he you know, he definitely 498 00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:57,120 Speaker 3: struggled with turnovers, but he shows the talent, the arm talent. 499 00:22:57,160 --> 00:22:58,920 Speaker 1: He has a cannon and. 500 00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:01,359 Speaker 3: You'd hope a twenty nine year old and you know, 501 00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:05,080 Speaker 3: mature and be a team leader and cut down on 502 00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:09,040 Speaker 3: some of those turnovers. I believe it was draft Fando 503 00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:13,600 Speaker 3: maybe had a plus two thousand to win the conference. 504 00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:17,359 Speaker 3: So in a conference that we mentioned is so wide open, 505 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:20,679 Speaker 3: I'll take a dart thow on this team that just 506 00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:21,760 Speaker 3: they know how to run the ball. 507 00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:24,240 Speaker 1: They return four offensive line setters, so. 508 00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:26,400 Speaker 3: I think they have so many good pieces, in part 509 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:28,959 Speaker 3: if their quarterback and just cut down on the turnovers 510 00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:31,439 Speaker 3: and one of the top two falls I think, I mean, 511 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:33,360 Speaker 3: Green are in a good position to kind of take 512 00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:34,080 Speaker 3: a step forward. 513 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:37,280 Speaker 2: What do you think your brett between Lattech, North Texas 514 00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:42,600 Speaker 2: and UTEP there's as a group. It's clear that there's 515 00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:45,520 Speaker 2: some half teams here and they're going to be carried 516 00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:48,640 Speaker 2: by one unit. But you know, are you somebody who 517 00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:51,560 Speaker 2: feels comfortable with either of these or any of these 518 00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:54,639 Speaker 2: teams at these price points? Because as I alluded to, 519 00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:57,080 Speaker 2: if you shop around, you can get a twelve or 520 00:23:57,119 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 2: fifteen to one team at twenty to one and then 521 00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:01,560 Speaker 2: all of a sudden kind of changes the arithmetic on it. 522 00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 4: Austin Annie obviously the starting quarterback North Texas. I think 523 00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:08,280 Speaker 4: he turns forty nine this year, not twenty nine, but 524 00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:11,040 Speaker 4: I'll check my sources on that. And then also he's 525 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:13,399 Speaker 4: in a quarterback battle right now with one of the 526 00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:16,880 Speaker 4: greatest Texas quarterback names of all time transferred from Ablane 527 00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:21,280 Speaker 4: Christian Stone Earl. Also as far as Seth Patrell, Look, 528 00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:23,680 Speaker 4: he was going to get fired last year, there was 529 00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:24,680 Speaker 4: no doubt about that. 530 00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:25,280 Speaker 3: What did he do? 531 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:29,119 Speaker 4: North Texas closed with five consecutive wins, saved his job. 532 00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:31,680 Speaker 4: Now I think he uses that to build momentum, And yeah, 533 00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:34,280 Speaker 4: I like North Texas is a long shot. I love 534 00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:35,520 Speaker 4: the main Green all. 535 00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,760 Speaker 2: Right, going from some teams that, depending on how you 536 00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:40,119 Speaker 2: view it, you could view it optimistically to two teams 537 00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:42,640 Speaker 2: that I think potentially headed in the wrong direction. Rick 538 00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:46,760 Speaker 2: Stockstill enters his seventeenth year in Murfisborough leading the Blue 539 00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:50,080 Speaker 2: Raiders of Middle Tennessee. They only have eight returning starters 540 00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:52,680 Speaker 2: and they got some problems with the schedule at James 541 00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:56,160 Speaker 2: Madison James Madison's very first game at the FBS level, 542 00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:59,720 Speaker 2: A proud dominant FCS school. You know that's going to 543 00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:02,399 Speaker 2: be a wild sellout. Did they go to Colorado State, 544 00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:05,320 Speaker 2: which we alluded to in the previous Mount West podcast 545 00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:08,240 Speaker 2: as a team that could be very dangerous offensively? They're 546 00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:12,440 Speaker 2: at Miami, Florida as well, all in the month of September. 547 00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:14,720 Speaker 2: When you look at their win total at five, they're 548 00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 2: fifteen to one to win comfort to a site I'm 549 00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:20,160 Speaker 2: going under I'm totally passing on them as a quote 550 00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:24,440 Speaker 2: unquote long shot. One hundred and second in projected offensive efficiency, 551 00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:28,800 Speaker 2: ninety ninth in defense. I'm very very low on the 552 00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:31,760 Speaker 2: Blue Raiders here. Is there anything I'm missing in terms of, 553 00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:35,000 Speaker 2: you know, having optimism for a team that yes, went 554 00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:37,119 Speaker 2: to the Bahamas Bowl beat a good Toledo team, but 555 00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:38,960 Speaker 2: not many of those players are back. What are your 556 00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:39,840 Speaker 2: thoughts on in l Low. 557 00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:43,320 Speaker 3: I'm not going to bet the under probably, but they're 558 00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:45,080 Speaker 3: definitely a stay away for me. There are another one 559 00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:47,720 Speaker 3: of those teams that's like, they played four different quarterbacks 560 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:50,359 Speaker 3: last year, large, you know, some due to injury, large 561 00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,760 Speaker 3: some do to just they all weren't very good. 562 00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:53,280 Speaker 1: You know. 563 00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:55,680 Speaker 3: Bailey Hawkman had a lot of you know, promise coming 564 00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:58,760 Speaker 3: in from North Carolina or Anti State, just left the 565 00:25:58,760 --> 00:25:59,919 Speaker 3: program after week three. 566 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:01,560 Speaker 1: We don't even know why that happened. 567 00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:05,480 Speaker 3: Chase Cunningham appears like he'll be the starter, I would assume, 568 00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 3: but he got hurt he towards ACL week nine last year. 569 00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 3: Reports out of campus he's expected to be ready for 570 00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:14,000 Speaker 3: the start of the season, but again, you know, tearing 571 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:17,960 Speaker 3: your ACL in November, who knows what he'll be especially 572 00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:20,600 Speaker 3: early on in the year. The only return one offensive 573 00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:24,600 Speaker 3: line starter. The defense was not, you know, completely anemic 574 00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:26,240 Speaker 3: last year, but a lot of that was they led 575 00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:28,640 Speaker 3: the country in turnovers. So how much of that can 576 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:30,920 Speaker 3: you attribute to turnover luck or how much of it 577 00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:34,480 Speaker 3: was just you know, yeah, they definitely play that aggressive style, 578 00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:37,320 Speaker 3: but you can't bank on your team leading the country 579 00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:40,920 Speaker 3: in defensive touchdowns again. So I definitely agree with you 580 00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,399 Speaker 3: that there they're a stay away from me, and if not, 581 00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:45,480 Speaker 3: you know you lean to them for them to take 582 00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:46,080 Speaker 3: a step back. 583 00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:47,840 Speaker 1: I can't see this team bowling again. 584 00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,879 Speaker 2: Before gettings the absolute dregs of Conference USA. I'm going 585 00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:53,440 Speaker 2: to change the tenor a bit and bring up one 586 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,000 Speaker 2: of your favorite teams to discuss il O and that's 587 00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:59,800 Speaker 2: Charlotte Club Litt will heally head coach to Charlotte how 588 00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:01,159 Speaker 2: much jam miss Cubitt. 589 00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:02,960 Speaker 1: I am missing Club Lit a lot. 590 00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:06,400 Speaker 4: Been working extremely hard on my dad vod so look 591 00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:07,840 Speaker 4: forward to being I'm going to be back in there 592 00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:09,720 Speaker 4: a newly renovated club. 593 00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:14,560 Speaker 2: Lot four and a half for their win total here 594 00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:17,240 Speaker 2: thirty to one to win conference to USA, fifty sixth 595 00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:21,080 Speaker 2: on offense, respectable in SP plus projections, one hundred and 596 00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:24,840 Speaker 2: thirtieth on defense. So Chris Reynolds, now sixth year senior 597 00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:27,480 Speaker 2: playing forever, you know what you're gonna get with him. 598 00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:30,600 Speaker 2: His three top pass catchers are back, four offensive linemen. 599 00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:32,679 Speaker 2: The defense that was already really bad is breaking in 600 00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:36,480 Speaker 2: six new starters. Not a team that I'm gonna really 601 00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:38,640 Speaker 2: mess with all season. I don't think just because their 602 00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:41,600 Speaker 2: defense potentially could give up fifty plus points any game 603 00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:44,439 Speaker 2: that they roll, the football's out. So I don't know 604 00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:46,080 Speaker 2: what are your thoughts on the forty nine ers. Is 605 00:27:46,119 --> 00:27:48,800 Speaker 2: a team that is just a sentimental favorite for you. 606 00:27:48,840 --> 00:27:50,960 Speaker 2: One of your better upset calls in the beginning of 607 00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:54,199 Speaker 2: the podcast last year, where are you on Charlotte. 608 00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:58,080 Speaker 1: Play the music club? 609 00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:00,920 Speaker 3: Let we're firing it back up over four and a half. 610 00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:03,399 Speaker 3: Give it to me. Chris Reynolds is back at the Helm. 611 00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:06,159 Speaker 3: He's another one that's been in college football for ten years. 612 00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:09,520 Speaker 3: He's already the schools all time passing leader. I love him. 613 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,800 Speaker 3: He's a short, little stockey quarterback, but he is a gamer. 614 00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:15,399 Speaker 3: They bring back their top running back, all three of 615 00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:18,080 Speaker 3: their top running backs. They bring back their top three receivers. 616 00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:20,639 Speaker 3: You know Victor Tucker. Tucker's been a guy we've loved. 617 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:22,639 Speaker 3: We saw grant Y Boast. He kind of had that 618 00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:25,960 Speaker 3: big breakout game against Duke. Elijah Spencer was the conference. 619 00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:28,080 Speaker 3: He was a Freshman of the Year. He's back a receiver. 620 00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:30,520 Speaker 3: They have a solid tight end. Sure does the defense 621 00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:33,399 Speaker 3: concerned me a little bit maybe, but they had co 622 00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:36,480 Speaker 3: defensive coordinators last year, did not work. Got rid of 623 00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:39,320 Speaker 3: them both. Greg Brown they bring in. He's a veteran. 624 00:28:39,360 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 3: He's been coaching football since nineteen eighty one. He spent 625 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:45,000 Speaker 3: twelve years in the NFL as a dB coach. He's 626 00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:47,480 Speaker 3: dB coached for Purdue the last two years. And they're 627 00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:50,960 Speaker 3: really just overhauling this defense, completely overhauling their coverage schemes. 628 00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:52,920 Speaker 3: Their win totals four and a half. And if you 629 00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:54,920 Speaker 3: look at this schedule, all right, so they started with 630 00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:58,240 Speaker 3: at Florid Atlantic, probably a lost, William and Mary at home, 631 00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:00,760 Speaker 3: and they go to Maryland. Bet that I don't care 632 00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:03,120 Speaker 3: what it is over eighty nine and a half, give 633 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:06,240 Speaker 3: me that over. But they get you know, FYU, which 634 00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:08,280 Speaker 3: should be a win. They go at Rice, which should 635 00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:10,000 Speaker 3: be a win. And then they finished the year with 636 00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:13,600 Speaker 3: the Western Kentucky, Middle Tennessee LA Tech. All those kind 637 00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:15,560 Speaker 3: of middle teams we talked about all the toss up 638 00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:18,240 Speaker 3: games in here. If I can sit there and circle three, 639 00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:22,760 Speaker 3: you know, pretty confident wins between UTEP, Western Kentucky, Middle 640 00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:23,440 Speaker 3: Tennessee Law Tech. 641 00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:24,720 Speaker 1: They got to win two of those. They hit this 642 00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:25,480 Speaker 1: win total over. 643 00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,640 Speaker 3: So I love Will Healy, I love what he's done, 644 00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:31,560 Speaker 3: I love how much the offense brings back. I'm going 645 00:29:31,560 --> 00:29:34,280 Speaker 3: with the forty nine ers club. Litt is going to 646 00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:36,360 Speaker 3: be bouncing at least five times this year. 647 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:41,520 Speaker 2: Unfortunately we lose Brett McMurphy. News never sleeps. I think 648 00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:44,720 Speaker 2: Chad Chad Milman's face is now a silhouette up in 649 00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,200 Speaker 2: the sky, our own bat signal, so he has to 650 00:29:47,240 --> 00:29:50,000 Speaker 2: step away. But hopefully that means that there's some interesting 651 00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 2: stories to be broken here in the college from fall 652 00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:54,720 Speaker 2: landscape very soon. So I know it's back to us, 653 00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:57,080 Speaker 2: just a two man pod. No problem. We can carry 654 00:29:57,080 --> 00:29:59,560 Speaker 2: it home. We can discuss race in FYU. If we 655 00:29:59,560 --> 00:30:02,200 Speaker 2: have to hold our knows, I can deal with it. 656 00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 2: Race the Awls two and a half for the win 657 00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:07,080 Speaker 2: total minus one forty to the over one hundred to 658 00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:10,120 Speaker 2: one to win Conference USA, one hundred and twenty seventh 659 00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:14,040 Speaker 2: on offense, one hundred and twentieth in sp plus defensive projections. 660 00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:17,360 Speaker 2: Mike Bloomgren, you know you should be buying any green 661 00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:19,600 Speaker 2: bananas here. You got to win at least i'll say 662 00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:23,240 Speaker 2: four this season to you know, have your services retained 663 00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:25,880 Speaker 2: year over year. Here's a fun fact about his program. 664 00:30:26,120 --> 00:30:29,600 Speaker 2: He started fourteen quarterbacks in the last four years. Not 665 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:32,440 Speaker 2: a recipe for his success. They could be okay offensively 666 00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:34,600 Speaker 2: this year. They do return four on the offensive line. 667 00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:37,640 Speaker 2: Dean Connors comes in from the junior college ranks to 668 00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:41,040 Speaker 2: help what's actually a pretty decent running back room. But 669 00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:44,400 Speaker 2: the non con is brutal at USC home against Louisiana 670 00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:47,320 Speaker 2: at Houston. It's really not going to help them build 671 00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:50,480 Speaker 2: any momentum in the month of September. But overall, I 672 00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:52,280 Speaker 2: think this number is a little bit low. I think 673 00:30:52,320 --> 00:30:54,120 Speaker 2: you can you can see that by the minus one 674 00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:56,800 Speaker 2: forty juice on the over and then we'll just hop 675 00:30:56,840 --> 00:30:58,560 Speaker 2: to FIU and you can give me your thoughts on 676 00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:02,840 Speaker 2: these two dregs of USA. You know, FIU brings in 677 00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:05,960 Speaker 2: Mike McIntyre, and it's pretty rare to see a former 678 00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:08,880 Speaker 2: National Coach of the Year in Conference USA. He's done 679 00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:11,200 Speaker 2: a great job at previous stops. He won, that's you know, 680 00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:14,600 Speaker 2: the Bobby Dodd and Eddie Robinson Awards at Colorado. But 681 00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:16,560 Speaker 2: he's back now. He doesn't have much to work with 682 00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,160 Speaker 2: only five returning starters, so total rebuild one hundred and 683 00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:20,920 Speaker 2: thirteenth on the offensive side of the ball for the 684 00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,239 Speaker 2: projections one hundred and thirty first on defense. It's an 685 00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:26,760 Speaker 2: FIU team that is just really, really bad. Now. The 686 00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:30,200 Speaker 2: thing about it, though, is early on they get Bryant 687 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:32,960 Speaker 2: at home, you know, not to be messed around those 688 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:37,000 Speaker 2: ANYC Conference teams at Texas State at Texas States, and 689 00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:39,560 Speaker 2: then October first at New Mexico State, and then they 690 00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:42,320 Speaker 2: even get Yukon on October eighth. So I understand the 691 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:44,480 Speaker 2: three and a half one game better than Rice, even 692 00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:46,640 Speaker 2: though in terms of all the projections, both sides of 693 00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:48,800 Speaker 2: the ball are going to be worse. Another team where 694 00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:51,280 Speaker 2: I'm pulling for them to get those wins so that 695 00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:54,520 Speaker 2: when they slide into that game in mid October against 696 00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:58,160 Speaker 2: Utsa as probably called a three touchdown underdog, I gotta 697 00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,200 Speaker 2: slam the road Runners and that spot. I want a 698 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,520 Speaker 2: hot start for the Golden Panthers and then I just 699 00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:04,000 Speaker 2: want to fade him. What are your thoughts on Race 700 00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:06,200 Speaker 2: and FIU. Race is two and a half for their 701 00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:08,720 Speaker 2: win total, and it's juice minus one forty to the over. 702 00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:12,000 Speaker 3: So Fandel and DraftKings actually have it at three and 703 00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:15,680 Speaker 3: a half juice to the under DraftKings is minus one 704 00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:19,040 Speaker 3: thirty under. That is a little tempting because I don't 705 00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:22,360 Speaker 3: know how that team gets to four wins because they're bad. 706 00:32:22,560 --> 00:32:23,600 Speaker 1: They're going to be bad again. 707 00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:26,680 Speaker 3: You mentioned that they've played seven hundred different quarterbacks, one 708 00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:29,440 Speaker 3: of whom is now their starting wide receiver, so you know, 709 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:31,600 Speaker 3: we'll see how that's when. When the reports of camp 710 00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:34,280 Speaker 3: are like, oh, Luke McCaffrey's going to take take this 711 00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:37,080 Speaker 3: conference by storm, it's like, well, he's been a quarterback 712 00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:39,360 Speaker 3: for the last like four years, and there's a reason 713 00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:41,160 Speaker 3: that he didn't work there and no one wanted to 714 00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:44,920 Speaker 3: move to by receiver. Wiley Green projected starter, but he 715 00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:47,440 Speaker 3: started last year and then lost his job. He's battling 716 00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:50,000 Speaker 3: with TJ McMahon, who played well in the last game 717 00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:51,400 Speaker 3: of the year last year. But again it's like, why 718 00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:53,280 Speaker 3: didn't he play the rest of the season. If I 719 00:32:53,320 --> 00:32:55,440 Speaker 3: can get that three and a half, I may think 720 00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:58,840 Speaker 3: about that under Thorida International, you know, two and a 721 00:32:58,840 --> 00:33:01,280 Speaker 3: half three flat and where you look, they're another one 722 00:33:01,280 --> 00:33:04,400 Speaker 3: where I really don't have any interest in playing whatsoever. 723 00:33:04,600 --> 00:33:06,680 Speaker 3: When Butch Davis got fired last year, didn't he like 724 00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:08,120 Speaker 3: go scorched Earth on the way out and be like 725 00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:10,040 Speaker 3: they don't give a shit about football or winning at all, 726 00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:12,640 Speaker 3: and like basically just have misrated the entire staff. Now 727 00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:16,120 Speaker 3: they're bringing Memphis defensive coordinator. Pretty sure, Memphis defense was 728 00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:17,960 Speaker 3: pretty bad last year, So I don't know that that's 729 00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:21,520 Speaker 3: exactly aspiring Conference Gunner Holmberg another duke. You know, maybe 730 00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:24,440 Speaker 3: you get the duke transfer that throws a million interceptions 731 00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:26,880 Speaker 3: and drops down to the G five and all of 732 00:33:26,920 --> 00:33:30,960 Speaker 3: a sudden is not a turnover machine. Maybe that helps, 733 00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:33,840 Speaker 3: But both these teams are really bad. I would lean 734 00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:36,440 Speaker 3: under on the Rice three and a half, but they're 735 00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:38,960 Speaker 3: both gonna be bad, and they're they're what gives me 736 00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:41,600 Speaker 3: hope for the Charlotte over is because Charlotte plays them both. 737 00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:44,920 Speaker 2: Just a little fun fact for any fans who are like, 738 00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:46,720 Speaker 2: you know what, I know, you're making a lot of 739 00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:48,240 Speaker 2: good points on Rice three and a half. I want 740 00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:49,920 Speaker 2: to go under, but just go ahead and use a 741 00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:53,760 Speaker 2: free multiplayer. Just parlay it with Arkansas State under five, 742 00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,479 Speaker 2: because there's no chance Arkansas State is winning more than 743 00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:58,640 Speaker 2: five games this year. So that's the free one I'm 744 00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:01,520 Speaker 2: tagging onto all of my preseason bets just to you know, 745 00:34:01,640 --> 00:34:04,400 Speaker 2: flip the number around in my favor. I think you 746 00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,320 Speaker 2: did a great job summoning it up. These teams don't 747 00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:09,000 Speaker 2: have a lot of promise right now, and there's plenty 748 00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:11,439 Speaker 2: of teams in the middle of Conference USA. But things 749 00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,720 Speaker 2: go right, they're winning seven or eight games, which means 750 00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:16,239 Speaker 2: somebody's got to do the Lord's work and just rack 751 00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:19,839 Speaker 2: up this Conference USA conference losses so that all all 752 00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:21,800 Speaker 2: the math works that somebody's got to lose these games. 753 00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:24,960 Speaker 2: I think we're staring dead at them here because offensively, 754 00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:27,080 Speaker 2: both of them are going to be really challenged to 755 00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:29,359 Speaker 2: move the football and score and the explosive and all. 756 00:34:29,800 --> 00:34:31,319 Speaker 2: It doesn't even matter to the metrics you look can 757 00:34:31,400 --> 00:34:34,520 Speaker 2: at like the eyeball tests. They're gonna be bad on offense, all. 758 00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:36,840 Speaker 3: Right, So just threecap quick, you know, my best bets 759 00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:39,680 Speaker 3: for Conference USA. I'm taking that dart throw with North 760 00:34:39,719 --> 00:34:42,400 Speaker 3: Texas plus two thousand to win the conference. Love how 761 00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:44,120 Speaker 3: they fit and kind of at the middle of the pack. 762 00:34:44,200 --> 00:34:45,640 Speaker 3: If a couple of things break their way, I can 763 00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:47,360 Speaker 3: see them coming up from the flames. 764 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:48,279 Speaker 1: I hate to do it. 765 00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:50,440 Speaker 3: Love the West of Kentucky eight and a half, but 766 00:34:50,520 --> 00:34:52,959 Speaker 3: I also really like the UTEP over five and a half, 767 00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:55,600 Speaker 3: and then my honestly, my best BET's probably at Charlotte 768 00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:57,920 Speaker 3: four and a half. I love Charlotte, so I love 769 00:34:57,920 --> 00:35:00,239 Speaker 3: what they're very brain bring back on offense. If the 770 00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:02,440 Speaker 3: defense can be halfway decent, I think this will be 771 00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:03,879 Speaker 3: a fun team for. 772 00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:06,759 Speaker 2: My best bets for Conference USA. I'm locked in at 773 00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:09,760 Speaker 2: the soft, cushy middle of this conference where some teams 774 00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:12,600 Speaker 2: may be lying in wait. Gonna go with Middle Tennessee 775 00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:15,920 Speaker 2: under five. They return just eight starters. They have a 776 00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:18,319 Speaker 2: very difficult September schedule. I think they're going to get 777 00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:20,520 Speaker 2: burns and this could be one of the most challenging 778 00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:23,680 Speaker 2: seasons of the Rick Stockstill era, which goes way back 779 00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:27,080 Speaker 2: to the mid auts. And then for a long shot, 780 00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:28,680 Speaker 2: you got to shop around a little bit. You get 781 00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:31,000 Speaker 2: them fifteen to one, twenty to one, depending on the book. 782 00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:34,880 Speaker 2: UTEP Miners. They got a great defense again. Their front 783 00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:37,600 Speaker 2: six is really strong, lots of veteran players in the 784 00:35:37,680 --> 00:35:41,520 Speaker 2: too deep and starting quarterbacks back in Hardison a lot 785 00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:43,960 Speaker 2: as their belcow. I think if they can find a 786 00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:46,719 Speaker 2: way even if it's you know, collectively, with two or 787 00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:50,680 Speaker 2: three receivers to replace Cowing's production. I think UTEP is 788 00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:52,800 Speaker 2: going to be a thorn in the side of many teams. 789 00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:56,160 Speaker 2: And at twenty to one, we'll enroll the dice for 790 00:35:56,320 --> 00:35:59,120 Speaker 2: Mike Ganello on Mike Callaperies. This has been the big 791 00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:02,200 Speaker 2: bets on campus podcast our Group of five Deep Dive. 792 00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:05,000 Speaker 2: We are three fifths of the way through our GG 793 00:36:05,120 --> 00:36:07,200 Speaker 2: five preview, which means that we are going to welcome 794 00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:09,920 Speaker 2: Stucky into the fold and he's gonna help us with 795 00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:13,600 Speaker 2: the AAC and the Mac, the beloved Mac before we're 796 00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:16,279 Speaker 2: all done. So that's gonna come in the coming week. 797 00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:18,399 Speaker 2: We'll be done all of our G five previews by 798 00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:22,560 Speaker 2: August eighth, so be sure to check your feeds, subscribe like, 799 00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:24,360 Speaker 2: share with the friends, share with an enemy. You know 800 00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:26,480 Speaker 2: what to do. We really appreciate it. Thank you so 801 00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:40,400 Speaker 2: much for listening to the program.