1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast. 2 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:11,200 Speaker 2: All right, here we go. Every pitch is your pitch, 3 00:00:11,680 --> 00:00:13,080 Speaker 2: the greatest show on Dirk. 4 00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:21,640 Speaker 3: Deep to Left, Fail way back that God, what is that? 5 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 1: So now they can add college baseball to their trophy case. 6 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. Colin Wilson 7 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 1: and I will be hitting the college diamond once more 8 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 1: for the final week of the regular season in college baseball. 9 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 1: Will be mixing our thoughts on the futures market as 10 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 1: well as his projections Thursday through Saturday in terms of 11 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:49,240 Speaker 1: those matchups. But if you've been listening to the past 12 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:52,000 Speaker 1: few weeks, we've been peppering in teams and players to 13 00:00:52,080 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: keep an eye on, and it's like we've had a 14 00:00:54,000 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 1: crystal ball Because we talked about the Oregon Ducks. They 15 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 1: were at fifty to one. I wrote it up in 16 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: the New York Post. You were in their praises, Colin. 17 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 1: They're now the fifth team in the country. In terms 18 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 1: of the ranking, they're down to about twenty five thirty 19 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 1: to one in the market. And a big part of 20 00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:11,759 Speaker 1: that is the fact that you know, it's such an 21 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 1: sec dominated sport that people can kind of fall asleep 22 00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 1: at the wheel a bit. So what we've been doing 23 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: throughout this entire you know time here on the pod 24 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:23,039 Speaker 1: stretching back about six episodes, has been walking you through 25 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 1: the teams to keep an eye on, to be able 26 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:27,679 Speaker 1: to put yourself in a position to have really good 27 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 1: value entering the tournament, and also just from an entertainment standpoint, 28 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 1: like take, for example, Ike Irish for Auburn. We talked 29 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: about him in the last episode. Not only has he 30 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 1: been a demon at the plate, but then he goes 31 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:42,199 Speaker 1: ahead and saves the Tigers thrown out a guy about 32 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 1: two hundred and fifty feet from home plate, thrown from 33 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:47,400 Speaker 1: left center, and you know that was a critical out 34 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:49,800 Speaker 1: against South Carolina. They end up winning that game by 35 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 1: a single run. They sweep the Gang Cocks, who have 36 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:54,960 Speaker 1: now essentially replaced Mazoo as the free square in the SEC, 37 00:01:55,200 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 1: and they remain absolutely red hot. So, as we said, 38 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:01,880 Speaker 1: you know, this is all about identifying those teams ahead 39 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: of time so that you can be in the know early. 40 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:07,360 Speaker 1: But with all of that being said, the long shots, 41 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 1: the mid tiers, we've kind of paid lip service a 42 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:12,360 Speaker 1: little bit in the futures market, at least to those 43 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,639 Speaker 1: top teams, those big dogs. And that's what the top 44 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: of this episode is all about, Colin. I want you 45 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:19,400 Speaker 1: to kick the tires on about six to eight teams 46 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:21,840 Speaker 1: at the very top of the odds board to say 47 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:24,400 Speaker 1: which of these teams should we add to the portfolio 48 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:26,919 Speaker 1: now to be able to have kind of a balanced 49 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 1: portfolio heading into the NCAA Tournament selection next week. So 50 00:02:31,160 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 1: we're finally going to have our regionals, You're going to 51 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:35,560 Speaker 1: have your path to the super Regionals and Omaha, So 52 00:02:35,680 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 1: let's get it started there. Who are some teams at 53 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:40,519 Speaker 1: the top of the rankings kind of peaked your interests 54 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: at their current price? 55 00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 3: Well, first off, I'm going to kick the tires on 56 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 3: your outfit. I appreciate you bringing Tennessee gear to our 57 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 3: podcast on the week that they are coming to Fayetteville. 58 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 3: Is going to be heated. It's going to be contested. 59 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 3: If you don't know the history between Tony Botello and 60 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 3: Dave Van Horn, do a little research. There could be 61 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:58,359 Speaker 3: some extracurriculars on the field this week and in Bam 62 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:01,800 Speaker 3: Walker Stadium for a Tennessee team that is really fighting 63 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 3: to make a super regional seed and for an Arkansas 64 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:06,520 Speaker 3: team that needs to win a series. You're right, Calvaries, 65 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:09,640 Speaker 3: let's talk about So what we've done all year is 66 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:12,920 Speaker 3: try to position ourselves into futures that are thirty to 67 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 3: one or better, into teams that we know are going 68 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:18,840 Speaker 3: to be regional hosts, into possible situations where they'll have 69 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 3: a good navigation path to get to Omaha. This podcast 70 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 3: being the last one of the regular season, it's time 71 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 3: to flip that script. It's time to look at probably 72 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:30,359 Speaker 3: the top eight, figure out which one is the best, 73 00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:32,520 Speaker 3: who's going to have a good path to get to Omaha, 74 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 3: and fire in on that team no matter what the 75 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 3: number is. It's time to get down on the super 76 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 3: teams of the season. So I'm going to start off 77 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 3: real quick with LSU. Now they're going to play at 78 00:03:41,840 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 3: out South Carolina. They won their series against against Arkansas 79 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 3: this past week in an alex Box stadium. Arkansas absolutely 80 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:50,480 Speaker 3: imploded in game one, a game that went till two 81 00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 3: three o'clock in the morning. Arkansas came back in Game three, 82 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 3: but LSU took the series. Kate Anderson is healthy. That's 83 00:03:57,680 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 3: the most important thing people need to know about LSU 84 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 3: is the He left that first game against Arkansas with 85 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:04,960 Speaker 3: some discomfort. He came out the next day. He did 86 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 3: his whole pitching routine the day after his start. Kate 87 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 3: Anderson is going to be fine, but I would watch 88 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:12,280 Speaker 3: him in Game one here against South Carolina. Anthony Anson 89 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:19,000 Speaker 3: is untouchables. He has been so unbelievable. I think four 90 00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:21,480 Speaker 3: earned runs given up in his last four games. He's 91 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:23,560 Speaker 3: striking out about a billion. I think we're going to 92 00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 3: talk about him a little bit later. When you look 93 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:27,600 Speaker 3: at what LSU has done on the road, I think 94 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 3: people will complain about their strength to schedule. They didn't 95 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:33,280 Speaker 3: play anybody out of conference. My argument is, why in 96 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:34,720 Speaker 3: the hell do you need to play at teams out 97 00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 3: of conference when you're playing SEC. Who's going to send 98 00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 3: what fourteen of sixteen teams? So LSU is battle tested. 99 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:44,359 Speaker 3: They have lost two of their last three road the 100 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 3: last two of their last road series against Texas A 101 00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 3: and M and Auburn. But we consider them because they're 102 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:51,400 Speaker 3: going to be a super regional seed and they're going 103 00:04:51,440 --> 00:04:53,159 Speaker 3: to host an alex Box. They don't have to worry 104 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:53,680 Speaker 3: about the road. 105 00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:55,800 Speaker 2: Until they get to Omah. Yeah. 106 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:58,599 Speaker 1: Just to follow up there, you mentioned their top two pitchers. 107 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 1: They're striking everybody out the pressing runs. But by SEC standards, 108 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:05,280 Speaker 1: this is just a really good lineup, not necessarily one 109 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 1: of those monster lineups. Do you have any concerns once 110 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:11,000 Speaker 1: they get to Omaha and the opportunity where teams just 111 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 1: mash the ball and outscore opponents. Do you think they 112 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 1: could find themselves in deep water if they need to 113 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: score six or seven runs in a critical game there 114 00:05:18,960 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 1: in Nebraska. 115 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:21,880 Speaker 3: Of the eight teams we're going to talk about here 116 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:25,239 Speaker 3: at the top, they don't have the best hitting stats, 117 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 3: but that being said, they don't have the worst, right 118 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:29,840 Speaker 3: I mean, they're thirty second, no on base, they're seventeenth, 119 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 3: the twenty ninth and homers per nine and they're nineteenth 120 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:35,480 Speaker 3: and slugging. They can hit when they need. It's gonna 121 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 3: have to be clutch, and it's gonna have to be timely. 122 00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 3: The pitching is what is leading this staff, and they 123 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:43,360 Speaker 3: are by far the best from a team fit perspective, 124 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:45,080 Speaker 3: out of all the teams we're going to talk about. 125 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 1: Now, the most intriguing non SEC series really of the 126 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 1: year could be here in Tallahassee. This week we got 127 00:05:52,480 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 1: FSU and North Carolina, a top four matchup on paper, 128 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:57,839 Speaker 1: lots to love about the Knowles. They can pound the 129 00:05:57,839 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 1: ball out of the ballpark. They've been strong in the 130 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 1: road this year. They obviously an elite arm in Jamie Arnold. 131 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:04,240 Speaker 1: He's someone who's going to be a top three pick 132 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 1: in the Major League Baseball Draft upcoming. There's a lot 133 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:08,960 Speaker 1: of publications that list him as the number one prospect, 134 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:11,160 Speaker 1: when when you look under the hood with him a 135 00:06:11,200 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: little bit and you'll get his advanced pitching stats, there's 136 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: some concerns there, right. 137 00:06:15,720 --> 00:06:19,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, there is, And I think saying something about Jamie 138 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 3: Arnold that's in a negative light is kind of sacrilegious. 139 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 3: But he does have a three two ERA and he 140 00:06:24,160 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 3: has a four x FIP, so that shows that there 141 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:28,000 Speaker 3: has been a little bit of luck and there is 142 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:29,919 Speaker 3: going to be some regression here. And Jamie Arnold is 143 00:06:29,960 --> 00:06:31,919 Speaker 3: not you know, he hasn't been elite in some of 144 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:34,440 Speaker 3: his starts. Sometimes he has the ability to do that. 145 00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 3: Now this week they're going to host North Carolina. That 146 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 3: is such a huge series because this series could absolutely 147 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 3: flip the pecking order in the top eight of which 148 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 3: ACC team is the best listen Florida State. They won 149 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:50,120 Speaker 3: every ACC road series except for Louisville on April twenty fifth. 150 00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 3: They're going to be a super regional seed. They are 151 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:57,040 Speaker 3: going to host, and I kind of have a soft 152 00:06:57,040 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 3: spot in my heart for them. Florida State in Arkansas 153 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:02,320 Speaker 3: prienally super regional hosts. Neither of them have ever won 154 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:04,600 Speaker 3: the College World Series, so we'll have our eyes on 155 00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:05,680 Speaker 3: Florida State this weekend. 156 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:08,839 Speaker 1: You mentioned LSU being the new number one. The former 157 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:11,960 Speaker 1: number one Texas has been taken on water lately, swept 158 00:07:11,960 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 1: by Ark and saw truly outclassed in that series. They 159 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 1: dropped all three games by combined nineteen runs. Then the 160 00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: Gators take two out of three in Austin from them. 161 00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 1: Have we flipped the narrative though, from them being overrated 162 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 1: and the drop off coming to them now being undervalued 163 00:07:26,200 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 1: at twenty to one out in the market. 164 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 3: I believe they're priced almost properly, although I would like 165 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 3: to see a dip twenty five thirty to one. And listen, 166 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:38,600 Speaker 3: last month, you and I have been harping on regression 167 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 3: coming for this Texas team, but they are not as 168 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 3: good as what their numbers say, especially from a pitching 169 00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 3: staff perspective. Ruger ri joas ever since he got moved 170 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:48,760 Speaker 3: as the Friday night starter because of injury. His ERA 171 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 3: and his ex FIP is over five. You know, the 172 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:54,000 Speaker 3: staff has ranked top ten and staff ERA, but that's 173 00:07:54,080 --> 00:07:56,120 Speaker 3: kind of where the Magic Show is because the team 174 00:07:56,280 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 3: xFIP is way lower than it is from a TVRA standpoint, 175 00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:02,040 Speaker 3: which means going to be regression. They lost a series 176 00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 3: at home to the Gators. By the way, Florida's really hot. 177 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 3: They were swept by Arkansas. I think Texas with the 178 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:11,000 Speaker 3: right number two and three seed in Austin is going 179 00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 3: to be fade material. They're definitely not going to be 180 00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 3: the future at the end of this show. 181 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:17,640 Speaker 1: The other side of that ACC showdown in Florida's state 182 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:21,000 Speaker 1: capital is North Carolina. Are the tar Heels really just 183 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:23,360 Speaker 1: a one man show in terms of DeCaro being able 184 00:08:23,400 --> 00:08:26,080 Speaker 1: to carry them through regionals, through super Regionals, get them 185 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 1: to Omaha? Or can this lineup stay hot when the 186 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 1: competition improves next month. 187 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:32,000 Speaker 3: I think it's put up a shut up time for 188 00:08:32,040 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 3: Dacaro this weekend. I mean he got rained out last weekend. 189 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:36,520 Speaker 3: He's given up four earned runs since April fifth. That 190 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:39,480 Speaker 3: came against Wake Virginia Tech Pitt and he did Campbell 191 00:08:39,559 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 3: in an early week pitching matchup last week, so the 192 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 3: overall hitting is a little bit worrisome. I talked about 193 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:48,720 Speaker 3: LSU not having as much pop as our SEC peers. 194 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:51,719 Speaker 3: North Carolina is kind of in the same boat as 195 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 3: far as our ACC piers are just not hitting as 196 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:55,840 Speaker 3: much their recent run though. I think you have to 197 00:08:55,960 --> 00:08:59,520 Speaker 3: really pay attention for individual betting on the overs with 198 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 3: North Caro lineup. Look at what they've done in game 199 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:05,240 Speaker 3: one of their ACC series lately. They scored fifteen against PITT, 200 00:09:05,240 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 3: They scored nine against Virginia Tech, what eleven against Wake. 201 00:09:09,520 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 3: The sticks are raking in the openers, but overall the 202 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:13,920 Speaker 3: hitting is just not there. I don't know if it's 203 00:09:13,960 --> 00:09:17,160 Speaker 3: great coaching or scouting and why they're tearing up number 204 00:09:17,160 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 3: one starters on ACC opponents. So keep your eyes on 205 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:23,560 Speaker 3: overs on UNC in the first game because something is 206 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 3: really working with the sticks and then they just go 207 00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:27,240 Speaker 3: dead the rest of the series. But DeCaro is the 208 00:09:27,280 --> 00:09:28,559 Speaker 3: watch this weekend. 209 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:31,080 Speaker 1: As I mentioned at the top, we have been all 210 00:09:31,120 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 1: over at Oregon lately. I game Mount in the post 211 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:35,360 Speaker 1: at fifty to one. Grinsell at the top of the 212 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:38,319 Speaker 1: rotation has been missing a lot of bats. His velocity 213 00:09:38,400 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 1: range is a big reason for that. He's in the 214 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:42,679 Speaker 1: low nineties in terms of his fastballs. Breaking stuff drops 215 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: down to the low seventies, so that can obviously help 216 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 1: him in terms of strakeouts and run suppression. And then 217 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:51,440 Speaker 1: you got Neville leading them, you know, college baseball in 218 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 1: home runs this season by a wide margin. So having 219 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:56,480 Speaker 1: one of the best power hitters and having a great 220 00:09:56,480 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 1: ace at the top of the rotation, that's a nice recipe. 221 00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 1: And this is a team that went to supers last year, 222 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 1: and assuming they don't flame out of the Big Ten Tournament, 223 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 1: they're going to host a regional in Eugene. But is 224 00:10:06,679 --> 00:10:09,040 Speaker 1: that enough for them to get to Omaha? I understand 225 00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:11,040 Speaker 1: that they're not going to be a super regional seed, 226 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:12,559 Speaker 1: so they're going to have to take their show on 227 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:14,960 Speaker 1: the road. This is a team that has performed very 228 00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:18,120 Speaker 1: well throughout the year against Quad one competition. They've lived 229 00:10:18,120 --> 00:10:20,640 Speaker 1: inside the top ten in terms of road RPI throughout 230 00:10:20,640 --> 00:10:22,960 Speaker 1: the season. Are you still a believer in the Ducks 231 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:24,840 Speaker 1: at this reduced number of thirty to one? 232 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 3: I'd never thought on a gambling podcast we'll be discussing 233 00:10:27,640 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 3: the Big Ten Tournament in baseball, But we were here 234 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:34,280 Speaker 3: because Oregon and UCLA are actually power players. They're going 235 00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:37,440 Speaker 3: to Iowa this weekend, but the Ducks are won eleven 236 00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 3: of their last twelve, that includes a sweep of Oregon State. 237 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:42,000 Speaker 3: Very impressive. There's some people out there that will talk 238 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 3: about their strength of schedule, which was handed to them 239 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:47,400 Speaker 3: by their conference. They'll talk about their their quad one 240 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 3: two record listen their top ten and homers per nine. 241 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:53,200 Speaker 3: That's thanks to Nevill. Mason Nevill is the best hitter 242 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:56,640 Speaker 3: in the nation. Grayson Grenzel has been absolutely electric. Thirty 243 00:10:56,679 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 3: one innings pitched over the last four games, only four 244 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:02,840 Speaker 3: earned runs given up to Washington, Michigan State, Oregon State, 245 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 3: and UCLA. Now you can throw those first two teams away, 246 00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:08,920 Speaker 3: but Oregon State and UCLA are competing to be regional hosts, 247 00:11:08,960 --> 00:11:12,560 Speaker 3: potentially super regional host for Oregon State. So what Grays 248 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:14,840 Speaker 3: and Grinzel has been able to do has been fantastic. 249 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 3: Mason Neville has been fantastic. This is a super regional 250 00:11:18,840 --> 00:11:22,720 Speaker 3: seed that is going to have a path through Eugene 251 00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:24,560 Speaker 3: to make it to Omaha. I'm glad we grabbed our 252 00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:26,400 Speaker 3: fifty to one. What to see by the end of 253 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 3: the show if we're going to go dip into their 254 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:28,720 Speaker 3: numbers again this week. 255 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:31,360 Speaker 1: You mentioned it just a bit ago in terms of 256 00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: how deep the SEC is. Let's look at another contender. 257 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:37,079 Speaker 1: Auburn has faced the most difficult schedule in America and 258 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:39,600 Speaker 1: they've risen to number two in the RPI. But we 259 00:11:39,679 --> 00:11:42,440 Speaker 1: just saw Sam Dunnan get hammered by a South Carolina 260 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:45,080 Speaker 1: team that's not very good. Can they make it to 261 00:11:45,120 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 1: Omaha if he's not special at the top of the rotation. 262 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:49,720 Speaker 3: The Sticks have to keep it up. The Sticks have 263 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:53,160 Speaker 3: been absolutely insane lately. Auburn is peaking right now, and 264 00:11:53,200 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 3: I don't know if that's a good thing or a 265 00:11:54,280 --> 00:11:57,360 Speaker 3: bad thing, because these offenses go into peaks and valleys, 266 00:11:58,000 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 3: and right now Auburn is really in fifth year, winners 267 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 3: of ten of their last twelve that includes a series 268 00:12:03,679 --> 00:12:07,920 Speaker 3: win at Tennessee, very impressive. They swept LSU in mid April. 269 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:11,360 Speaker 3: It seems like, you know, years ago. They put up 270 00:12:11,400 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 3: forty six runs in three games against South Carolina, and 271 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:16,880 Speaker 3: I think that's where we need to focus, because if 272 00:12:16,920 --> 00:12:18,959 Speaker 3: Dunton is going to get hammered, you're gonna have to 273 00:12:18,960 --> 00:12:21,079 Speaker 3: score forty six runs in three games like they did 274 00:12:21,080 --> 00:12:23,959 Speaker 3: against South Carolina pitching, So the overall stats they don't 275 00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:27,559 Speaker 3: really prove how dominant this team has been lately. Now 276 00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 3: they have to go on the road. They have to 277 00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:31,200 Speaker 3: prove it again at Old Miss. If Auburn takes that 278 00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:33,680 Speaker 3: series at Old Miss, I think they're a true national 279 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 3: title contender. I'm just glad that we got a future 280 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:38,600 Speaker 3: on them like forty to one on a prior show, 281 00:12:38,679 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 3: So I'm I'm happy with where we're at when it 282 00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:42,240 Speaker 3: comes to the Tigers. 283 00:12:43,080 --> 00:12:45,080 Speaker 1: All right, let's climb into the trust tree here for 284 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:47,679 Speaker 1: a second column. There's so much to love about this 285 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 1: Hogs team, the starting pitching, the defense, the power hitting 286 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:53,240 Speaker 1: up and down the lineup. But we've seen bullpen's betray 287 00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:57,400 Speaker 1: contenders before. Does Vatello have the creativity and the depth 288 00:12:57,440 --> 00:12:59,559 Speaker 1: in his pen to mix and match his way to 289 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:00,480 Speaker 1: national title? 290 00:13:01,120 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 3: Listen, I know for the shade that I throw Tony Vittelo, 291 00:13:03,400 --> 00:13:05,679 Speaker 3: I think he's an amazing coach. And when Dave Van 292 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:10,120 Speaker 3: Horne decides to end his career four decades, I hope 293 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:11,880 Speaker 3: Vittello is the guy that we go and grab. But 294 00:13:12,240 --> 00:13:14,080 Speaker 3: that being said, that's it. I'm done being nice about 295 00:13:14,080 --> 00:13:17,800 Speaker 3: Tony Battelo. The Hogs choked Game one against LSU and 296 00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:20,600 Speaker 3: alex Box. Last weekend set up guy, Aiden Jimenez, who 297 00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:23,960 Speaker 3: has been our eighth inning guy, just could not locate 298 00:13:24,040 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 3: a single pitch. Specifically, he can't locate his off speed. 299 00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:27,400 Speaker 1: Now. 300 00:13:27,400 --> 00:13:29,720 Speaker 3: I don't know it's happened before to Aiden Jimenez. He 301 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 3: was just on fire all year. I think it's time 302 00:13:32,280 --> 00:13:34,160 Speaker 3: for him to step back. We'll see if Parker Coyle, 303 00:13:34,200 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 3: who is now back in that now back in that 304 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 3: weekend role after a big long absence. We'll see if 305 00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:41,560 Speaker 3: Christian Fouch is going to close games. Is Gabe Gackle 306 00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:44,040 Speaker 3: going to continue to play the glue guy. There are 307 00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:46,719 Speaker 3: other arms in this pen, but Aiden Jmenez is the 308 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:48,200 Speaker 3: one that's been getting the call in the eighth inning, 309 00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 3: and he is the one that has been giving up walks, 310 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:53,280 Speaker 3: cannot locate and giving up the runs. The lineup can 311 00:13:53,360 --> 00:13:57,079 Speaker 3: rake better than any team on this list, from top 312 00:13:57,240 --> 00:13:59,920 Speaker 3: to bottom, even the Caboose crew that's at the seven, eight, 313 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 3: nine at the bottom of this order. They can all 314 00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:04,679 Speaker 3: go deep. Their fielding percentage for the Razorbacks is fourth 315 00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:07,560 Speaker 3: in the nation. They do not make a mistake Iyndale 316 00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 3: at third base just bare hands balls and fires them 317 00:14:10,280 --> 00:14:13,160 Speaker 3: all over the endfield. I mean, he's absolutely insane. This 318 00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 3: entire lineup is perfect from a fielding percentage perspective, and 319 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 3: they can smack balls. The problem is the bullpen. Got 320 00:14:20,120 --> 00:14:21,920 Speaker 3: to keep your eyes on the bullpen with the Razorbacks, 321 00:14:22,000 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 3: especially this weekend against Tennessee. 322 00:14:24,640 --> 00:14:26,880 Speaker 1: Before we were talking about Oregon, we were talking about 323 00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 1: Oregon States about a month ago on the West coast. 324 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,280 Speaker 1: They get swept by the Ducks and this staff has 325 00:14:32,360 --> 00:14:35,360 Speaker 1: issues compared to the other top teams that we're discussing here. 326 00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:37,840 Speaker 1: That being said, forty to one is available. You get 327 00:14:37,880 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 1: an incredible generational player in our at short he's just 328 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:43,440 Speaker 1: one of those rare players. He's a monster. He's six 329 00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:47,200 Speaker 1: five two twenty raw power. A fun team. Is there 330 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:49,600 Speaker 1: anything more to it than a fun narrative or is 331 00:14:49,600 --> 00:14:52,360 Speaker 1: there some value still out there at forty to one, it's. 332 00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:55,600 Speaker 3: A lot of there's good feelings about Oregon State and 333 00:14:55,600 --> 00:14:57,920 Speaker 3: then there's some not so good feelings. And you know, 334 00:14:58,000 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 3: the first future that I made this year was a 335 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:01,800 Speaker 3: thirty three to one on Oregon State. Mostly they went 336 00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 3: to an independent schedule. They tried to play as many 337 00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 3: tough teams as possible in some of those tournaments early 338 00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:10,560 Speaker 3: in February. Then they handpicked their schedule and played some 339 00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 3: really tough teams. So from an RPI perspective, that is 340 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 3: going to get them as a contender for a super 341 00:15:15,640 --> 00:15:19,240 Speaker 3: regional seed. You know, they took the series against Iowa 342 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:21,600 Speaker 3: this past weekend in the Iowa Cubs Ballpark, and the 343 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:23,720 Speaker 3: week before that they took three or four on the 344 00:15:23,760 --> 00:15:26,680 Speaker 3: island against Hawaii team that's kind of been on the bubble, 345 00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:28,120 Speaker 3: flirting with making regionals. 346 00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:29,520 Speaker 2: Boy, it's hard to. 347 00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:32,320 Speaker 3: Talk about Hawaii baseball and not think about Hawaii football. 348 00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:33,880 Speaker 3: But we're getting there, right, We're getting close. 349 00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:34,560 Speaker 2: Listen. 350 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 3: Oreon State has a great overall resume. The sweep in 351 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 3: Eugene looks bad. It stings, but this is a super 352 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:43,320 Speaker 3: regional host. If they can sweep Long Beach State, they 353 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:46,320 Speaker 3: should Long Beach twenty two to twenty eight and RPI 354 00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 3: of one hundred and fifty fourth. I would expect the 355 00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:51,160 Speaker 3: Beavers to take care of business, mostly because they don't 356 00:15:51,160 --> 00:15:53,000 Speaker 3: have a conference tournament. They have nowhere to play after 357 00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:56,160 Speaker 3: this weekend. Their resume is their resume nearly though. 358 00:15:56,440 --> 00:15:58,040 Speaker 2: Let's throw some wal cold water on them. 359 00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:01,920 Speaker 3: Nearly the worst staff ERA and FIP of all eight teams. 360 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:04,520 Speaker 3: We just talked about for that thirty three to one 361 00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:07,080 Speaker 3: that I bought back in January, and I know it's 362 00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 3: on the Action app, so I feel like there's a 363 00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:10,920 Speaker 3: lot of people that have it too. This is probably 364 00:16:10,920 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 3: going to be a supers hedge. I think forty to 365 00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:15,080 Speaker 3: one is a really good number right now. I think 366 00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:17,600 Speaker 3: there's a really good chance they're hosting in Corballis. I 367 00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 3: think this is a supers hedge team. 368 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:23,120 Speaker 1: Now. A lot of these series have been pushed up 369 00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:26,280 Speaker 1: a day, so the Thursday card is robust. It's filled 370 00:16:26,280 --> 00:16:29,560 Speaker 1: to the brim because conference tournaments start early next week. 371 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 1: So let's go through some of the ones that you 372 00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:33,560 Speaker 1: put out in terms of your projections, the one that 373 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:37,120 Speaker 1: you're targeting. Let's start with the Red River rivalry. Texas 374 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:39,720 Speaker 1: really needs to get you rowing in the same direction 375 00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:43,040 Speaker 1: as a team from a momentum perspective at the very least. 376 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:46,400 Speaker 1: Unfortunately they're staring at Kyson Witherspoon on the bump in 377 00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:49,000 Speaker 1: Game one for the Sooners. How much is he worth 378 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 1: in this spot? 379 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:49,880 Speaker 2: Like? 380 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:52,240 Speaker 1: How far up would you go? In terms of laying 381 00:16:52,280 --> 00:16:54,880 Speaker 1: a number and if you really believe in him suppressing 382 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:56,800 Speaker 1: the Longhorn Bats, do you just go ahead with a 383 00:16:56,880 --> 00:16:59,080 Speaker 1: run line or perhaps an alternate run line. 384 00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Kais Witherspoon has been our guy all 385 00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:03,160 Speaker 3: season and he's going up against a guy that we've 386 00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:05,200 Speaker 3: been fading for the last month in ruber riy Oas. 387 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:07,520 Speaker 3: So you know it's obvious that we're going to be 388 00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:10,639 Speaker 3: playing Oklahoma here in this opening game. I project minus 389 00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:13,560 Speaker 3: one eighty. All of these projections, by the way, will 390 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 3: be on my Twitter feed through three straight, so you 391 00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 3: can go check those out if you want, But I 392 00:17:17,320 --> 00:17:19,720 Speaker 3: project minus one eighty in the opening game for OU 393 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:22,879 Speaker 3: against Texas. I'll be looking for anything at minus one 394 00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:25,800 Speaker 3: eighty or less. I think you play the run line here. 395 00:17:26,440 --> 00:17:26,640 Speaker 2: Boy. 396 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 3: Oklahoma has been they sweep teams they shouldn't. They get 397 00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:32,160 Speaker 3: swept by teams they shouldn't. So it's very interesting here. 398 00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:33,359 Speaker 3: But a lot of people are going to be on 399 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:37,480 Speaker 3: Texas's series. I think Oklahoma should absolutely be favored in 400 00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:39,560 Speaker 3: the first one. And that's all driven by analytics. That's 401 00:17:39,560 --> 00:17:42,120 Speaker 3: all driven by calculated base runs, that's all driven by 402 00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:45,199 Speaker 3: team x fit, that's all driven by the starter's numbers, 403 00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:47,480 Speaker 3: so Kyson Witherspoon should absolutely be the favorite here. 404 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:49,040 Speaker 2: I'd play him up to minus one eighty. 405 00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:53,040 Speaker 1: South Carolina, as I mentioned, lit up Alburn's top starter, 406 00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:55,280 Speaker 1: but LSU looks to be on the war path at 407 00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:58,639 Speaker 1: this point. Maybe an over in game one. I think so, 408 00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:01,640 Speaker 1: because South Carolina is stick are giving. I'm sorry, South 409 00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:03,880 Speaker 1: Carolina is pitching. We just said, gave up thirty six 410 00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 1: runs a few games. That's bad Kate Anderson, though, We'll 411 00:18:07,840 --> 00:18:11,640 Speaker 1: see how effective he is coming off that discomfort against 412 00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:13,840 Speaker 1: Arkansas in Game one. I'm wondering if that gives him 413 00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:15,880 Speaker 1: a shorter leash. I'm wondering if he's limited to sixty 414 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:18,560 Speaker 1: or eighty pitches. That could get into a pin where 415 00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:20,920 Speaker 1: maybe some Tuesday Wednesday guys for LSU get to throw. 416 00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:25,119 Speaker 1: I do look at that over specifically because South Carolina 417 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:26,640 Speaker 1: is the. 418 00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:28,040 Speaker 2: New free square in the SEC. 419 00:18:28,440 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 3: That's tough to say with Missouri sweeping Texas A and M. Yeah, 420 00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:33,760 Speaker 3: South Carolina has definitely given up a lot of runs 421 00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:35,920 Speaker 3: from a pitching perspective, so I think an over is 422 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:37,640 Speaker 3: a look here, But keep your eyes on Kate Anderson 423 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:40,439 Speaker 3: that discomfort. Will see how much of discomfort. It was 424 00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:42,920 Speaker 3: last week when he left the Arkansas. 425 00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:46,359 Speaker 1: Game Thursday night in Iowa City. Just a tremendous pitching 426 00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:49,800 Speaker 1: matchup between Grinsell and ober Mueller. Duck's got to have 427 00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:52,280 Speaker 1: this road sweep. But do you think that pressure impacts them? 428 00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 1: You know, BBOC covers college basketball, college football, college baseball. 429 00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:58,639 Speaker 1: We see it in college football teams going for bowl 430 00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:01,600 Speaker 1: eligibility or in college hoops teams that are on the bubble. 431 00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:05,320 Speaker 1: Sometimes that pressure does not bring out the best performances. 432 00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:07,359 Speaker 1: So where do you come down on this must win 433 00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:09,680 Speaker 1: game for the Ducks where perhaps they're going to go 434 00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:10,399 Speaker 1: off as a dog. 435 00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:13,880 Speaker 3: You know, there's been an interesting dynamic in college baseball 436 00:19:14,040 --> 00:19:16,960 Speaker 3: that played out in college basketball and college football. Do 437 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 3: you remember when we had problems with Penn State going 438 00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:20,679 Speaker 3: out to USC and football? Do you remember when some 439 00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:22,920 Speaker 3: of these West Coast teams went to the East Coast 440 00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:26,159 Speaker 3: to play these Big ten teams. It's just something where 441 00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:29,080 Speaker 3: you absolutely cannot travel over two time zones. And the 442 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,560 Speaker 3: against the spread numbers in football proved it out. Basketball 443 00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:33,160 Speaker 3: proved it out, and we're having the same problem here. 444 00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:35,280 Speaker 3: So my eyes are on Oregon and Grace and Grenzel 445 00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:38,600 Speaker 3: on this opening game against Iowa. I'm looking to take 446 00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:43,000 Speaker 3: Grenzel at Iowa. The Ducks need this series all three 447 00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 3: games to get a super regional seed. I project Iowa 448 00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:48,800 Speaker 3: is the favorite again, and you know we did that 449 00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,040 Speaker 3: last week against Oregon State, and Oregon State did just 450 00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:52,760 Speaker 3: fine against Iowa. And then you go, when you look 451 00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 3: at the strength of schedule and the resume that Iowa's 452 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:57,440 Speaker 3: put together, it's just not the same as an Oregon State. 453 00:19:57,440 --> 00:19:59,399 Speaker 3: It's just not the same as an organ in general. 454 00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:02,760 Speaker 3: So what you're getting is is possibly numbers from a 455 00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:05,560 Speaker 3: calculated base runs perspective and an eer an ex fit 456 00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:08,840 Speaker 3: perspective for Kate Obermuller that doesn't match his competition with 457 00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:12,040 Speaker 3: Grayson Grenzel. So I do project Iowa as a small 458 00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:14,000 Speaker 3: favorite here. I don't think oddsmakers are going to come 459 00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:15,280 Speaker 3: out that way. I think Oregon's going to be the 460 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 3: favorite here and I would back them. 461 00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:20,640 Speaker 1: Another gem with Doyle versus Route in Fayetteville. This has 462 00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:23,960 Speaker 1: Omaha vibes. What are you seeing in game one? Absolutely electric? 463 00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:26,920 Speaker 3: It will be my well, every Razorby game is a 464 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:29,480 Speaker 3: must watch, but this is a game I project Root 465 00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:32,920 Speaker 3: and Doyle going minus one to ten both ways. Arkansas 466 00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 3: has been an under team in the opening series. Every 467 00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 3: single game there's some storms coming into Fayetteville. The wind 468 00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:42,919 Speaker 3: at Bob Walker has a way to push in and 469 00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 3: has a way to push out. It just depends on 470 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:49,440 Speaker 3: the northwesterly flow, the southwestern flow. It just depends which 471 00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:51,960 Speaker 3: direction the Gulf of Mexico is meeting that rocky mountain 472 00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:53,919 Speaker 3: wind and which way it's going to come into Fayeteville. 473 00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:56,439 Speaker 2: But I'm keeping my eyes on Fayeteville for totals. This weekend. 474 00:20:57,040 --> 00:21:00,360 Speaker 3: Definitely Friday night unders, and I'm always looking this week 475 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:02,800 Speaker 3: it's Thursday. I'm always looking at game one unders, and 476 00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:05,399 Speaker 3: I'm generally looking at game three overs because by then 477 00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:08,720 Speaker 3: Dave van Horn is more than happy to have a 478 00:21:08,800 --> 00:21:11,399 Speaker 3: quick pull on Land and our Game three starter and 479 00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:13,640 Speaker 3: get into that bullpen and let some Tuesday Wednesday guys 480 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:16,040 Speaker 3: go plus the sticks. By the time they've seen this 481 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:19,760 Speaker 3: bullpen in this staff, Arkansas's team is raking his series goes. 482 00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:22,000 Speaker 3: So that's how I'm gonna play it this weekend. But 483 00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:25,280 Speaker 3: as far as the first game one Thursday night, this 484 00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:29,560 Speaker 3: is Omaha level. This is College World Series Championship type stuff, 485 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:32,840 Speaker 3: Liam Doyle zach Rut. If you see one team favored 486 00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:35,360 Speaker 3: one way or another outside of minus one ten, that's 487 00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:36,840 Speaker 3: the team that has value. 488 00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:41,760 Speaker 1: From Gulf of America weather. Stick to sticking with America's team. 489 00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:45,520 Speaker 1: Let's continue to talk about Arkansas here. My question with 490 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,760 Speaker 1: gage Wood is his numbers going to line up in 491 00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:51,600 Speaker 1: terms of his era and his ex fit because they 492 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:54,879 Speaker 1: are far apart and they tell two separate stories. He 493 00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:57,119 Speaker 1: got fed to the Bayou Bengals at alex Box and 494 00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 1: his last start. But listen, that happens to a lot 495 00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:01,440 Speaker 1: of really good pitch, you know when you look at 496 00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:04,720 Speaker 1: how well they played historically on their home diamond, good 497 00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:07,440 Speaker 1: rebound spot in Game two against the Balls, in your opinion. 498 00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:08,280 Speaker 2: I absolutely think so. 499 00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:10,160 Speaker 3: I you know, gage Wood went on the road into 500 00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:15,760 Speaker 3: alex Box hostile environment. What's weird is his numbers. The 501 00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:18,719 Speaker 3: problem what happened in LSU is that he couldn't locate 502 00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:19,320 Speaker 3: his off speed. 503 00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:22,800 Speaker 2: He is filthy, absolutely. 504 00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:23,960 Speaker 3: Filthy, and if he's not getting the calls in the 505 00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:27,480 Speaker 3: strike zone, it affected him a lot. And the way 506 00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:30,160 Speaker 3: that he was throwing the ball. Eventually he got knocked around. 507 00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:31,879 Speaker 3: I think it was twelve to zero before I actually 508 00:22:31,960 --> 00:22:34,440 Speaker 3: turned the TV off. I went to another game. I 509 00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:36,080 Speaker 3: can't believe I turned a Razorback game off, But at 510 00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:38,960 Speaker 3: twelve to zero I tapped out. He couldn't locate his 511 00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:40,520 Speaker 3: off speed. We'll see if he can here when he 512 00:22:40,560 --> 00:22:44,280 Speaker 3: gets some home cooking. His numbers are very interesting caligaries, 513 00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 3: like you mentioned, his ERA is five to five. His 514 00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:48,879 Speaker 3: x FIP is two point nine. I've never seen a 515 00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 3: discrepancy that way. Now, it's like the opposite of Ruger 516 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:54,880 Speaker 3: y Jas for Texas, right, It's like low era, high 517 00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:57,440 Speaker 3: expant well gage Wood is the opposite, which means his 518 00:22:57,560 --> 00:23:00,360 Speaker 3: ERA is saying that he's bad. His expit is saying 519 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:03,080 Speaker 3: that he's actually really really good, which he is when 520 00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:06,440 Speaker 3: he is on nobody's hitting anything that he has because 521 00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:10,280 Speaker 3: he's pure filth. It's the opposite for Marcus Phillips, who's 522 00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:12,919 Speaker 3: going to go for tennessee three point four era x 523 00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:16,240 Speaker 3: fit of four point five. I would look for Arkansas 524 00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 3: in game two again minus one tennish minus one thirty ish. 525 00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:21,360 Speaker 3: I would favor the Razorbacks here. 526 00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:25,720 Speaker 1: Anthony Anson gets the game bawl in game two. You 527 00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:28,160 Speaker 1: project him at minus five twenty one of the biggest 528 00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:30,639 Speaker 1: favorites on the board. If you were running the Colin 529 00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:33,919 Speaker 1: Wilson Superbook, how high would you make this number to 530 00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:36,280 Speaker 1: make sure that people aren't just getting a free parlay 531 00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:39,560 Speaker 1: swedener against South Carolina because, as you mentioned it, South 532 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:41,880 Speaker 1: Carolina is now in that missoo free square territory. 533 00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:42,360 Speaker 2: Yeah. 534 00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:46,240 Speaker 3: Well, South Carolina is a corpse steal a stucky term there. 535 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,680 Speaker 3: They're an absolute corpse. I would make this minus five 536 00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,520 Speaker 3: twenty for LSU. That's not what the number is going 537 00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:53,200 Speaker 3: to be. I mean you have to remember that Texas 538 00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:54,680 Speaker 3: A and M was hosting Missouri last week and the 539 00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:57,280 Speaker 3: oddsmakers I think had the games lined around like minus 540 00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:00,000 Speaker 3: six thousand. I mean, it was absolutely out of control. 541 00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:03,000 Speaker 3: And I expect with this the oddsmakers know that South 542 00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:06,439 Speaker 3: Carolina is basically done for the season and they've given up. 543 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:08,320 Speaker 3: So I don't expect a minus five to twenty here. 544 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,760 Speaker 3: There are a couple of books that do have out 545 00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:16,040 Speaker 3: props on pitchers, and if you can find an anti 546 00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:19,000 Speaker 3: ionson twelve and a half thirteen and a half k's, 547 00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:20,760 Speaker 3: I'd probably go that route. But I would make it 548 00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:23,680 Speaker 3: minus five to twenty against South Carolina. I would absolutely 549 00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:27,880 Speaker 3: play the run line here, LSU can essentially cement their 550 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:31,560 Speaker 3: spot at the top, win one game in Hoover and 551 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:33,959 Speaker 3: probably have the number one overall seed. So look for 552 00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,919 Speaker 3: Ionsen to keep it going here. He's averaging seven, eight, 553 00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:39,359 Speaker 3: nine innings. Every time he goes out, he's getting double 554 00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 3: digit and K's I don't expect that to stop because 555 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,800 Speaker 3: right now Ja Joon, these head coaches, they want their 556 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,520 Speaker 3: pitchers to stay in a rhythm on their days before 557 00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:50,399 Speaker 3: they get to regionals. So expect Ionsen to absolutely be 558 00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:52,200 Speaker 3: throwing flames on the road. 559 00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:54,520 Speaker 1: With so many offenses heating up, we could see a 560 00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:57,400 Speaker 1: pitcher's duel in Nashville on Friday. Would you play under 561 00:24:57,400 --> 00:24:59,359 Speaker 1: eleven between the Cats and Doors? 562 00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:03,680 Speaker 3: Kentucky must win the series against Fandy. But Nick McKay 563 00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:06,600 Speaker 3: scares me as a pitcher for Kentucky. He is supporting 564 00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 3: a FIP and an x FIP over six point three. 565 00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,800 Speaker 3: It is hard for me to look at it under 566 00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:15,880 Speaker 3: on a Kentucky pitcher that you know. You can say 567 00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:18,000 Speaker 3: what you want about Kentucky's pop. There just isn't much there. 568 00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:20,240 Speaker 3: It's small ball type stuff. But Nick McKay is giving 569 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:23,800 Speaker 3: up way too many runs and Vandy is hot right now, 570 00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:27,280 Speaker 3: just won the series in Tennessee. So I would certainly 571 00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:30,800 Speaker 3: play a Kentucky team total under. I would certainly play 572 00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:33,960 Speaker 3: a Vandy team total over, although I have not seen 573 00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:37,840 Speaker 3: those offered until regionals and super Regionals once we get there. 574 00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:40,560 Speaker 3: But that's what's going on with Kentucky right now. I mean, 575 00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:41,960 Speaker 3: it's a must win series, but they're not going to 576 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:42,920 Speaker 3: get it done against Sandy. 577 00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 1: Underdog is one of the best places to make picks 578 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:49,560 Speaker 1: during playoff basketball, and while they score buckets, you could 579 00:25:49,640 --> 00:25:52,479 Speaker 1: score cash. Underdog is one of the leading sports apps 580 00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:55,159 Speaker 1: and you can play right now in your state. Their 581 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:58,760 Speaker 1: apps over one hundred thousand five star reviews and millions 582 00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:00,639 Speaker 1: of players. To play, all you have to do is 583 00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,760 Speaker 1: download the app and choose whether a player will go 584 00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:04,879 Speaker 1: higher or lower on one of their stats. 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You can just 594 00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:32,480 Speaker 1: ride the hot hands and start stacking cash. Download the 595 00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:35,000 Speaker 1: Underdog app and sign up with the promo code BBOC 596 00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:38,159 Speaker 1: to unlock a special offer up to one thousand dollars 597 00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:41,520 Speaker 1: in bonus cash when you make your first deposit. That's 598 00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:45,199 Speaker 1: promo code BBOC. Must be eighteen plus, nineteen plus in 599 00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:48,200 Speaker 1: Alabama and Nebraska, nineteen plus in Colorado for some games, 600 00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:51,520 Speaker 1: twenty one plus in Massachusetts and Arizona, and present in 601 00:26:51,560 --> 00:26:55,840 Speaker 1: a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply void in Colorado, 602 00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:58,320 Speaker 1: concerned with your play, called one eight hundred Gambler, or 603 00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:02,320 Speaker 1: visit NCP Gambling. In Arizona call one eight hundred next 604 00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:05,800 Speaker 1: step or text next step to five three three four 605 00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:07,760 Speaker 1: to two, and in New York called the twenty four 606 00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:10,600 Speaker 1: to seven Hope line at one eight seven seven eight 607 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:14,560 Speaker 1: Hope and why or text hope and why. All right, 608 00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:17,119 Speaker 1: let's turn to the Saturday card. There's a fewer spots 609 00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:18,760 Speaker 1: that you've circled at this point, and there's a lot 610 00:27:18,760 --> 00:27:22,040 Speaker 1: of uncertainty obviously three games into the series. But I'm 611 00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:24,800 Speaker 1: confused why I'm seeing DeCaro as a dog. I know 612 00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:27,000 Speaker 1: that he's on the road and he's off schedule, having 613 00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,600 Speaker 1: been rained out of his last start, but he's plus 614 00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 1: money on this kid. I mean, I feel like that's 615 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:34,040 Speaker 1: just a play that I have to at least explore, 616 00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:36,560 Speaker 1: just from the fact that when he's on, he's one 617 00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:38,320 Speaker 1: of the best pitchers, not only in the ACC but 618 00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:39,240 Speaker 1: in the entire country. 619 00:27:39,480 --> 00:27:42,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's really his season long numbers. It's the 620 00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:44,040 Speaker 3: fact that he did not start off hot he has 621 00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:46,679 Speaker 3: been lately. When you look at him against West Mendez 622 00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 3: in Florida State, there is a huge discrepancy here. And 623 00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:50,600 Speaker 3: when you look at it, you look at the starting 624 00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:54,520 Speaker 3: pitching er here like Dacaro three point six, Mendez four 625 00:27:54,560 --> 00:27:56,399 Speaker 3: point eight. So you think, why in the world is 626 00:27:56,440 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 3: Florida State favored. Well, calculated base runs say North Carolin 627 00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:03,200 Speaker 3: average is about seven point five and Florida State average 628 00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:04,880 Speaker 3: is about eight point two, so there's a leg up there. 629 00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 2: But then you go to the overall. 630 00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:09,520 Speaker 3: Season x FIP where Deacaro is five point eight and 631 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,959 Speaker 3: West Mendes is five point two. So those numbers alone 632 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:15,720 Speaker 3: are two of the biggest variables that power the projections. 633 00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:18,280 Speaker 3: And that's why DeCaro is a small dog. I got 634 00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:21,760 Speaker 3: Florida State minus one twenty. But you know what calibery 635 00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:23,600 Speaker 3: is is the same problem and I have in college football. 636 00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:26,199 Speaker 3: Sometimes you've got to step outside that Excel sheet. You 637 00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,119 Speaker 3: got to step outside that database and look at who's hot. 638 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:32,200 Speaker 3: And you know, and right now DeCaro is so I think, 639 00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:33,600 Speaker 3: you know, if this is a little bit of over 640 00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:36,000 Speaker 3: inflation on the Florida State side, I would happily take 641 00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:38,080 Speaker 3: North Carolina plus one and a half back into Carrol. 642 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:42,720 Speaker 1: This goes out your game projections with another one in Vandy, Kentucky. 643 00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:44,800 Speaker 1: Can you share with us what you know about Connor 644 00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:47,520 Speaker 1: Fanel and his impact on this matchup in game three? 645 00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:49,960 Speaker 3: Connor Fanel has been one of the best game three 646 00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:52,360 Speaker 3: starters in the SEC. He has all the analytics you 647 00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:54,400 Speaker 3: can ask for. When you're looking at a Sunday this 648 00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:55,960 Speaker 3: week will be a Saturday. But when you're looking at 649 00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:58,320 Speaker 3: a game three starter, how could you pass up a 650 00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:00,400 Speaker 3: guy that's got a three dot two ERA, a three 651 00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,880 Speaker 3: point one x FIP a lower x FIP th dra 652 00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:06,400 Speaker 3: means that picture still, that means that picture is not 653 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:09,800 Speaker 3: being rated the way that he should. It means that 654 00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:12,040 Speaker 3: he can actually get even better. So when his x 655 00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:13,560 Speaker 3: FIP is lower in his VRA, that's what you want 656 00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:15,600 Speaker 3: to look for. We got that with Connor Findle. I've 657 00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:19,240 Speaker 3: got him marked as minus one fifty or better to 658 00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:20,400 Speaker 3: shut down Kentucky. 659 00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:21,240 Speaker 2: Kentucky. 660 00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:23,000 Speaker 3: It's a do or die week in for Kentucky here. 661 00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:25,560 Speaker 3: If they you know, they are hanging by a thread 662 00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:27,600 Speaker 3: to make regionals. So we'll see how they do. But 663 00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:30,120 Speaker 3: I love Connor Fennile as a game three starter. That's 664 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:32,600 Speaker 3: just not against Kentucky. That is going to be where 665 00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:35,040 Speaker 3: I am during Regionals, and if they happen to make 666 00:29:35,080 --> 00:29:38,120 Speaker 3: super Regionals, Connor Findele will be a very tough out. 667 00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:39,920 Speaker 3: If there's a rubber match in the supers. 668 00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:43,560 Speaker 1: We talk through all the futures, the teams that are intriguing, 669 00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:47,200 Speaker 1: the missing components, the momentum, all that's on the table. 670 00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:49,440 Speaker 1: Who are you adding to the portfolio and pulling the 671 00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:51,040 Speaker 1: trigger on at this exact moment. 672 00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:53,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, let's let's not make any bones about it. LSU 673 00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:56,120 Speaker 3: is the play now. I know nationwide the number is 674 00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:57,600 Speaker 3: six to one At a lot of places, there's a 675 00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:00,080 Speaker 3: lot of places that have plus four to fifty. Are 676 00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:01,920 Speaker 3: three books out there that have seven to onees. So 677 00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:05,440 Speaker 3: I did purchase a seven to one full futures article 678 00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:06,920 Speaker 3: I happen to write up. If you want to go 679 00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:10,239 Speaker 3: check the timeline. We you know the team is going 680 00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,040 Speaker 3: to be a super regional host. Let's talk about LSU 681 00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:14,240 Speaker 3: and general right, because there's a lot of complaining about 682 00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:15,920 Speaker 3: the fact that they didn't play anybody out of conference. 683 00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:17,640 Speaker 3: I don't really care. You just took two of three 684 00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:20,760 Speaker 3: from Arkansas. That's impressive. They're going to be a super 685 00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:26,800 Speaker 3: regional host. They've won every home SEC series against Arkansas, Tennessee, Alabama, 686 00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:30,360 Speaker 3: Mississippi State, and the Free Square Missoo. Alex Box ten 687 00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:32,480 Speaker 3: thy three hundred. If you have not been there before 688 00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,760 Speaker 3: Electric it's not bomb Walker Stadium, and it's not Duty Noble, 689 00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:38,400 Speaker 3: but it's definitely number three in the pecking order. Park 690 00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:40,000 Speaker 3: factors one point one six. 691 00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:40,880 Speaker 2: What does that mean? 692 00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:44,200 Speaker 3: There are sixteen percent more runs scored in alex Box 693 00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:46,760 Speaker 3: than there is at a nationwide average. You have to 694 00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:49,720 Speaker 3: bring the sticks to beat LSU, and by the way, 695 00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:53,120 Speaker 3: good luck hitting against LSU. Anthony Iinsen is approaching Paul 696 00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:55,960 Speaker 3: Sken's levels. And I didn't really want to drop that 697 00:30:56,040 --> 00:31:00,000 Speaker 3: on this podcast because we're talking about the most paramount 698 00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 3: a pitcher that's been in college baseball in years. I'm 699 00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:06,560 Speaker 3: not Kumar Rocker, not you know, Lighter Junior. I'm talking 700 00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:09,360 Speaker 3: Paul Skeen's put up numbers that were absolutely insane. 701 00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:10,480 Speaker 2: Should not have been. 702 00:31:10,360 --> 00:31:12,960 Speaker 3: In college baseball immediately, should have been pitching for the 703 00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:15,360 Speaker 3: Pirates and their staff. And so but when you look 704 00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:16,920 Speaker 3: at what Anthony Ionsin is doing, let's do a little 705 00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:20,680 Speaker 3: comparison here. And by the way, Anthony Yasin's Game two starter, 706 00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:24,040 Speaker 3: he's not even game one for LSU. Two point ninety RA, 707 00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:26,720 Speaker 3: two point two point eight five and a three point 708 00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:30,120 Speaker 3: six x fIF those are all excellent elite numbers. For 709 00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:33,920 Speaker 3: every walk that he issues, there's four strikeouts, pretty impressive. 710 00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:36,920 Speaker 3: And then finally, one hundred and sixteen k's against seventy 711 00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:40,000 Speaker 3: four innings pitched, if you need a comparison to Paul Skeens, 712 00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:41,880 Speaker 3: who had one hundred and twenty two innings pitch in 713 00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:43,920 Speaker 3: two hundred and nine k's. If you need a comparison, 714 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:46,800 Speaker 3: Paul Skeens had a one point seven to one k 715 00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:49,760 Speaker 3: per nine. Anthony Iinsen is one point five to six 716 00:31:49,840 --> 00:31:53,080 Speaker 3: K per nine. I'm not saying Anthony Iason is Paul Skeens. 717 00:31:53,520 --> 00:31:57,360 Speaker 3: We are approaching that territory and he is the hottest 718 00:31:57,360 --> 00:31:59,960 Speaker 3: pitcher in all of college baseball. Go get your best 719 00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 3: number on LSU. There are seven to ones out there. 720 00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:05,240 Speaker 3: It is very minute books that have that six to 721 00:32:05,280 --> 00:32:08,040 Speaker 3: one is really the nationwide thing. But LSU is going 722 00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:09,680 Speaker 3: to be in alex Box. They're going to be in 723 00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:12,120 Speaker 3: Baton Rouge. That is their path to Omaha. And you 724 00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:15,040 Speaker 3: cannot ignore how great that pitching staff is. And when 725 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:17,280 Speaker 3: you find that a pitcher pitchers like this this late 726 00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:20,280 Speaker 3: in the season, you are writing them. So LSU six 727 00:32:20,320 --> 00:32:22,240 Speaker 3: to one nationally will just mark that down for the 728 00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:23,200 Speaker 3: record on the podcast. 729 00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:25,760 Speaker 1: That'll do for today's episode. Thanks again for joining us 730 00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:27,960 Speaker 1: special thanks to my co host Colin Wilson and our 731 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:31,480 Speaker 1: sponsor Underdog Fantasy. I'm your host, Mike Calberys. We will 732 00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:35,360 Speaker 1: return next week with coverage of conference tournaments. We're going 733 00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:37,680 Speaker 1: to record late night on Wednesday to be able to 734 00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:39,400 Speaker 1: give you a look ahead into some of the quarter 735 00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:42,360 Speaker 1: final matchups in the SEC and other major conferences. So 736 00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:45,120 Speaker 1: be sure to be updating your feeds overnight when those 737 00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:47,200 Speaker 1: numbers drop. Good luck with all your bets, and we'll 738 00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:48,880 Speaker 1: see you here next time at the Big Bets on 739 00:32:48,880 --> 00:33:05,320 Speaker 1: campus podcast. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If 740 00:33:05,360 --> 00:33:07,960 Speaker 1: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 741 00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:10,840 Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 742 00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:11,760 Speaker 1: hundred Gambler