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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Wednesday? Welcome into

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Speaker 1: another episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perelt. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we're back after

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Speaker 1: a winning day kind of how it's gone. We have

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Speaker 1: one very good bet with Saint Francis plus four. We

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Speaker 1: had that on the live stream from last night. San

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Speaker 1: Diego State got destroyed by Carolina. I thought they'd win

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Speaker 1: the game. More on Carolina here in just one second.

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Speaker 1: But I thought Carolina would win the game and the

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Speaker 1: Stars and the Oilers. That was the best bet of

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Speaker 1: the day. That money line parlay hits for us, even

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Speaker 1: though the Stars had to come back a little bit.

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Speaker 1: They were down three to two starting the third period.

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Speaker 1: But they win the game five four or four to three.

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Speaker 1: They win the game, beat the Oilers, Oilers easy. Ors

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Speaker 1: got to win easily and their game at home. So

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Speaker 1: we win that bet. Hockey two and one up point

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Speaker 1: nine to one units on the day. Okay, so today

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Speaker 1: I'll give you a first four play. I've already given

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Speaker 1: you the Thursday bets. I'm gonna give you my bets.

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Speaker 1: The first bets on Friday for the first round of

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Speaker 1: the NAA Tournament. So if you missed any of the

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Speaker 1: Thursday plays, go back and watch previous episodes of the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice so you guys can see where I am at.

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Speaker 1: A lot of bets coming Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday. So

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Speaker 1: not much here today on a Wednesday, Just the Texas play.

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Speaker 1: Who want to explain it here in a second, Just

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Speaker 1: the first four for us, and then we'll get into

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Speaker 1: the plays on Friday. First and foremost, though, let me

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Speaker 1: comment on the video and that's it. You are in

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Speaker 1: good to go for that giveaway. All right, let's start

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Speaker 1: with tonight Texas against Xavier. I actually talked to someone

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Speaker 1: yesterday on my other show on the Boss Stony Versus

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Speaker 1: of the book and a guy I have a lot

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Speaker 1: of respect for, Elo Hirschfitch who works for the Lines

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Speaker 1: dot com and he has Xavier going to the final four.

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Speaker 1: I asked him if he was related to Zach Fremantle

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Speaker 1: because I couldn't get over it. Some people love Xavier.

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Speaker 1: I'm not one of them. Okay, if this was being

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Speaker 1: played at Cintas Center, I would probably say, sure, Xavier

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Speaker 1: is gonna beat everybody. But I've been so wrong with

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Speaker 1: Texas this year that I've decided to take the points.

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Speaker 1: It'd be like, Okay, I faded Texas against Vandy, lost

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Speaker 1: faded Texas against Well, No, it was against A and M,

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Speaker 1: and lost against Tennessee. I think I stayed away from

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Speaker 1: that game, right, I can't remember. I don't think I

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Speaker 1: laid it with Tennessee. Maybe I did, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: But I've been pretty bad with Texas this year. Nineteen

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Speaker 1: and fifteen for Texas overall, six and twelve in the conference,

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Speaker 1: and now they're here in the playing game. I'm not

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Speaker 1: a big Rodney Terry fan, but he definitely found something,

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Speaker 1: at least in the SEC tournament where against A and

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Speaker 1: M in that double overtime thriller. They had no legs

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Speaker 1: against Tennessee the next day, but they definitely found something.

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Speaker 1: I just can't get behind this Xavier team. Now it's

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Speaker 1: a win according to Kempom one point win for Texas,

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Speaker 1: so the line three open two and a half has

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Speaker 1: been bet to three. I just I'm having a hard

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Speaker 1: time with it, Like part of me is like this

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Speaker 1: is wrong. It's just it's not right. Xavier has been

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Speaker 1: pretty good this year, but I haven't been in love

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Speaker 1: with Xavier. Away from home ats wise, they were eight

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Speaker 1: and seven. Texas was eight and eight in the Biggies Tournament.

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Speaker 1: They covered against Marquette, they didn't cover against Providence. They

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Speaker 1: won the game by eight. They were laying ten the

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Speaker 1: end of the year with a win at Butler, in

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Speaker 1: a win at Creighton, or sorry, at home against Creighton

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Speaker 1: by twenty two points. So they're playing well down the stretch.

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Speaker 1: There's no debating that Xavier's got talent in the Fremantle place,

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Speaker 1: bigger than he actually is. But Xavier's offense efficiency fifty third,

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Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage fifty fifth, they are sixth and

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Speaker 1: three point shooting big weapon for them. They got to

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Speaker 1: hit threes on the road. They haven't done a great

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Speaker 1: job of that two point defense. It's one hundred and

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Speaker 1: sixty sixth. They do it their free throws, which is big.

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Speaker 1: That's a big stat there, eighth in free throw shooting.

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Speaker 1: On the other side, Texas defensively has been okay. Fifty

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Speaker 1: six in efficiency, sixty fifth in effective field goal percentage

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Speaker 1: one hundred and forty third and three point defense. That's

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Speaker 1: a concern. Fifty first in two point defense. That's good.

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Speaker 1: On offense, Texas has got to be consistent here. They

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Speaker 1: don't turn the basketball over, which is good. They're thirty

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Speaker 1: seventh in efficiency, which is good. They're ninety fifth in

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Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage, which isn't great sixty seventh and

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Speaker 1: three points shooting in one hundred and fifty fourth in

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Speaker 1: two point shooting. So let's see where Texas goes here.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a one possession game, much like

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Speaker 1: the Saint Francis play. I'm going to take the dog

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Speaker 1: thinking that it's going to be a tight basketball game,

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Speaker 1: and when it's tight and coming down to one possession,

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Speaker 1: I would rather have the points Texas plus three. You

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Speaker 1: might want to fade that, just FYI. I bet Texas

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Speaker 1: plus three. But haven't been great with Texas and I

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Speaker 1: just don't like Xavier away from Sintas Center. I'm just

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Speaker 1: not a huge fan with them on the road. So

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Speaker 1: like a part of me is thinking, I'm so wrong

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Speaker 1: with Texas. I don't love Xavier. This year away from home,

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Speaker 1: they were six and nine straight up. Texas was eight

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Speaker 1: and eight, not much better, but better. Xavier was fifteen

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Speaker 1: and two at home, I mean fifteen and two. They

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Speaker 1: were like, legitimately, this is why they're even in this

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Speaker 1: game is because of their home record, and they've got

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Speaker 1: some big wins at home. But like they lost badly

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Speaker 1: to Crayton on the road. They lost by eight to

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Speaker 1: Saint John's on the road. They even lost at home

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Speaker 1: to Saint John's. They lost at Georgetown, which is come on,

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Speaker 1: They lost at Yukon, they lost at Cincinnati, they lost

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Speaker 1: at TCU. This isn't a road game, but it's not

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Speaker 1: a home game. So like, I'm not backing Xavier away

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Speaker 1: from home. Texas plus three for one point one units. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's go to Friday here for or the opening first

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Speaker 1: round of the NCAA tournament. Let's start with Vanderbilt. Now

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Speaker 1: you know what, Let's start with North Carolina in Ole Miss.

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Speaker 1: I'm laying money line. I got minus one twenty. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I told you on my bracket yesterday when I put

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Speaker 1: it out on my Twitter account at Sports Talking Matt.

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Speaker 1: You go see my bracket. But I have North Carolina

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Speaker 1: winning this game. I have North Carolina going to the

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Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen, and I think they beat Ole Miss. I

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Speaker 1: mean I think this is This Carolina team is really hot.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to play around with the number. It's early.

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Speaker 1: Let's jump on it before it gets high. They've been rolling,

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Speaker 1: I mean absolutely rolling. They've covered four straight games. They've

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Speaker 1: covered nine of their last ten. Sorry eight and two,

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Speaker 1: sorry eight'll last nine eight and two over the least ten.

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Speaker 1: They are up against an Ole Miss team that I

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Speaker 1: didn't like it at all. Since the fifteenth of February,

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Speaker 1: they have covered two times now. It was against Auburn.

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Speaker 1: They covered where they were catching twelve and a half

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Speaker 1: in the SEC Championship in the tournaments now the champions

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Speaker 1: gap in the tournament game they lost by five. They

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Speaker 1: pushed Auburn, but Auburn had tired legs and whatever, lost

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Speaker 1: by nineteen to Florida. They covered against Tennessee with a

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Speaker 1: push I'm sorry when they won. Sorry, they were catching

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Speaker 1: two and they won at home by two, big win

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Speaker 1: for them. They beat South Carolina by four, laying three

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Speaker 1: and a half on the road, I mean, and then

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Speaker 1: against Sorry it was it yeah, so yes, that was

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Speaker 1: before the fifteenth or that was the twelfth of February.

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Speaker 1: Their only cover since the fifteenth of February. That's one, two, three, four, five,

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Speaker 1: six seven eight games. So two and six ats over

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Speaker 1: your last eight games. Not much better if you said

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Speaker 1: the ten games or three and seven over your last

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Speaker 1: ten ats. That's not good, okay in a pick up

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Speaker 1: type situation, Give me the hotter team. The only loss

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Speaker 1: that we have seen by North Carolina since the fifteenth

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Speaker 1: of February was to Duke. They have beaten everyone in

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Speaker 1: most of the teams they've beaten up twenty four in

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Speaker 1: c State fifteen, Virginia eleven, Florida State nineteen, Miami thirty

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Speaker 1: thirty two, b Tech twenty, Notre Dame nine, Wake Forest

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Speaker 1: twenty seven. San Diego State losses to Duke two times

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Speaker 1: in that stretch. Carolina money line minus one twenty for

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Speaker 1: one point two units, bet number two for Friday. These

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Speaker 1: are the first round games happening on Friday, so not Thursday,

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Speaker 1: but Friday. Vanderbilt in Saint Mary's. I love the SEC,

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Speaker 1: but these are the games I'm fading the SEC. Saint

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Speaker 1: Mary's on the road. This year, Saint Mary's was eight

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Speaker 1: and eight ATS. They did not end the year well

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Speaker 1: at all. Last four games and for the last five

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Speaker 1: they didn't cover. But they won the games or they

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Speaker 1: won one, two, three, four of sorry, five of seven.

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Speaker 1: They actually, you know what, way more than that, one two, three, four, five, six, seven,

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Speaker 1: eight of nine they won. They only covered three of

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Speaker 1: those nine games, however, but they won on the other side,

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Speaker 1: not just not covering. Vanderbilt lost. They lost to Texas

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Speaker 1: by seven. They lost to Georgia by eleven. They lost

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Speaker 1: to Arkansas by thirteen. The wheels are coming off Vanderbilt

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Speaker 1: a little bit, okay, People are taking them seriously. In

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Speaker 1: all the big wins, almost all the big wins happened

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Speaker 1: at home for Vanderbilt. On the road, you know, similar

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Speaker 1: to Xavier. On the road, Vandy was six and nine.

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Speaker 1: Saint Mary's was sixteen and one at home, but they

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Speaker 1: were twelve and four on the road, including winning at Gonzaga.

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Speaker 1: I like Saint Mary's here. I think Saint Mary's is

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Speaker 1: going to you know, the number was three and a half,

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Speaker 1: it's now four. I'm gonna lay the four with Saint

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Speaker 1: Mary's against Vanderbilts. I don't like Vandy's chances here. I

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Speaker 1: think Saint Mary's defense is gonna be really difficult to

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Speaker 1: deal with. I think they have the size, They're not

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Speaker 1: gonna be afraid of the sec. Give me Saint Mary's

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Speaker 1: minus four for one point one units, and finally we're

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Speaker 1: gonna jump in. And we've been consistently fading Yukon, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna fade them again. Here's a time where I'm actually

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Speaker 1: taking I'm taking the points with an sec school. I

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Speaker 1: watched Oklahoma play. I was pretty impressed with Oklahoma. Okay.

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Speaker 1: This is the two time defending national champs and Yukon

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Speaker 1: and I think they're getting some respect here. Oklahoma was

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Speaker 1: ten and six on the road this year, ats ten

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Speaker 1: and six in the SEC. Pretty darn good. Oklahoma has

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Speaker 1: covered seven consecutive games. They come into this tournament hot.

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Speaker 1: They lost by one to Kentucky in an awesome game.

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Speaker 1: They beat Georgia as three and a half point dogs.

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Speaker 1: They beat Texas on the road, They beat Missouri at home,

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Speaker 1: they beat They lost to Ole Miss on the road,

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Speaker 1: but covered. They lost to Kentucky at home, but they covered.

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Speaker 1: They lost to They beat Mississippi State as four point dogs.

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Speaker 1: They won by six. Now they got killed by Florida, Okay,

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Speaker 1: and they had a stretch where they lost five straight games.

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Speaker 1: But since they lost those five straight games, didn't cover

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Speaker 1: on any of them. They've covered every game since seven straight. Connecticut,

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Speaker 1: on the other hand, lost to Creighton by nine in

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Speaker 1: the tournament in the Big East Tournament. That snapped a

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Speaker 1: four sorry five game win streak, and they had covered

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Speaker 1: four of five. But I don't like Yukon on the

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Speaker 1: road in a tournament setting. I know Liam mcneely's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a great weapon for them, but five and a

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Speaker 1: half points is too heavy. Yukon may win this game,

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Speaker 1: but I like, I like Oklahoma to keep this game

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Speaker 1: really close, and I like Oklahoma to have a shot

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Speaker 1: to win this game at the end. This is going

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Speaker 1: to be, I think, a barn burner of a game,

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Speaker 1: and I'm just not the big of a fan a Connecticut.

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Speaker 1: According to kempom, it's a one point win for Yukon. Yes. Offensively, efficiency,

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Speaker 1: Yukon has been great, fourteenth in efficiency and twenty seventh

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Speaker 1: in effective field goal percentage. In Oklahoma's defense is somewhat lacking.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they're three hundred and twenty second and two

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Speaker 1: point defense, but they're twenty first in three point defense. Offensively, though,

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Speaker 1: they're twenty second efficiency, thirty eighth in effective field goal percentage,

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Speaker 1: thirty fifth in three point defense, sorry three point offense.

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Speaker 1: Yukon is two fifty seventh in three point defense. Drop

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Speaker 1: coverage not great, sixteenth and two point defense very good

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Speaker 1: at the rim fifty fifth for Oklahoma, and they're gonna

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Speaker 1: have the best player on the field on the court.

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Speaker 1: Jeremiah Fears is a lottery pick. Jeremiah Fears is an

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Speaker 1: absolute ball of a weapon. He's so fun again. Lee

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Speaker 1: McNeil is really good. Diarra has been good this year.

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Speaker 1: I like the guards more for Oklahoma. I like the

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Speaker 1: length for them with Fourth Site and company, I think

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Speaker 1: they keep the game close. They have a shot to

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Speaker 1: win the game on Friday night late in Raley, North Carolina,

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma plus five and half Okay, so our plays four today,

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Speaker 1: Texas plus three in the play in first four against Xavier,

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Speaker 1: Saint Mary's minus four against Vanderbilt, Oklahoma plus five and

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Speaker 1: a half up against Yukon and UNC minus one twenty

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Speaker 1: on the money line to beat Ole Miss on Friday

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Speaker 1: to advance to the round of thirty two. We'll have

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Speaker 1: more plays on Thursday, more plays on Friday. We will

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Speaker 1: have big cards on all these games, all these madness

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Speaker 1: one in one so far on the madness. Let's keep track.

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Speaker 1: Let's hopefully have a successful March Madness tournament with some

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Speaker 1: of our futures in Florida and Iowa State and Colorado

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Speaker 1: State to make the Sweet sixteen and other fun bets

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Speaker 1: and plays we have made so far here today minus

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Speaker 1: Matt Parralta Farmer goes all my socials at Sports Talk

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Speaker 1: Matt every morning. It is the Daily Juice podcast.