1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:04,560 Speaker 1: Now here's a highlight from coast to coast AM on iHeartRadio. 2 00:00:04,880 --> 00:00:08,719 Speaker 1: Lieutenant Colonel Bob McGinnis, US Army retired as with US 3 00:00:08,720 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: as we continue to delve into artificial intelligence and the 4 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:21,239 Speaker 1: AI arms race with China. I'm reading about artificial intelligence 5 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:24,119 Speaker 1: and what are the terms? It comes up now and 6 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 1: again is algorithmic forever wars. Algorithmic forever wars. What does 7 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:37,320 Speaker 1: that mean? Well, algorithic you know, of course, that's the 8 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 1: machine language that we often associate with artificial intelligence, whether 9 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:46,680 Speaker 1: it's you know, more of the deep thinking or the 10 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 1: deep you know, algorithms that are overlapping and trying to 11 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 1: you know, learn about the environment. Whether it's a like 12 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 1: a self driving automobile, it's constantly, you know, it's programmed 13 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:05,679 Speaker 1: with an algorithm that says this is what to do, 14 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 1: but it's also learning about the pathway ahead and being diverted. 15 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 1: So deep learning is part of this whole effort. And 16 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 1: of course it's it's tethered to the Internet of Things, 17 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:23,199 Speaker 1: so it can track the way ahead and anticipate problems. 18 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 1: So it's it's about the science of computers and how 19 00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:31,119 Speaker 1: you know, certainly in my lifetime you were talking about 20 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 1: Woodstock and I started West Point that summer, you know, 21 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 1: not far from Woodstock, and fifty years ago I was 22 00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:43,680 Speaker 1: walking around as a young kid at West Point with 23 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:47,560 Speaker 1: these big cards, punch cards, and it was very simple 24 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 1: algorithms that we were using to do simple math. And 25 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 1: look what we have today. I mean, you know, in 26 00:01:55,400 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 1: my pocket, I carry around this iPhone that is incredibly complex, 27 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 1: talks to the world, that tells me how to get 28 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 1: from point A to point B, that does my finances. 29 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 1: You know, this is just the cusp of a future 30 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: revolution that's going to transform everything that we do. Artificial 31 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 1: intelligence is the way of the future. As I said 32 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 1: at the beginning of the program tonight, you know what 33 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 1: you know, the CEO of Google said, it's it's as 34 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: important to us as electricity and fire. And as Stephen 35 00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:35,560 Speaker 1: Hawking says, it's the biggest event in human history. I 36 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 1: don't know that it's really sees people as yet, but 37 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:41,639 Speaker 1: we're beginning to sense it around us that things are 38 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 1: just going to be very, very different in the future. 39 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:49,919 Speaker 1: You mentioned Google. Are you concerned about Google's seeming cooperation 40 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:54,600 Speaker 1: with the government in China? You know, creating well, first 41 00:02:54,600 --> 00:03:00,160 Speaker 1: of all, helping China to to censor the Internet in 42 00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:05,760 Speaker 1: that country and also to develop applications which seem intended 43 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 1: to despy on their people. Of course, you know, the 44 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:13,640 Speaker 1: chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Dunford, you know, met with 45 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:16,959 Speaker 1: Google this past week for that very same reason, Richard, 46 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 1: because we don't want Google helping the Chinese military, and 47 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:26,000 Speaker 1: in fact we believe that you know, what they're doing 48 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:30,840 Speaker 1: with the major investment in artificial intelligence, what they're doing 49 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 1: with trying to contain especially the weakers in the last 50 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:38,200 Speaker 1: is just indicative of how they want to capture their 51 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:41,800 Speaker 1: entire culture. They want to use this Internet of things, 52 00:03:41,800 --> 00:03:45,560 Speaker 1: in their five G technology to trace absolutely everything that 53 00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: their people do. You know, it's big brother, it's nineteen 54 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 1: eighty four. This is where we are almost at supercomputing, nanotechnologies, 55 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 1: genomen you know, gene splicing, robotics, three D printers. This 56 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 1: technology is here and now, and it's a very serious 57 00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:13,520 Speaker 1: thing that we have to get our hands around. And 58 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 1: that's why you know, people that are thinking about the 59 00:04:17,080 --> 00:04:21,279 Speaker 1: anxieties associated with AI, whether or not AI is safe. 60 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:25,280 Speaker 1: Is AI going to create monsters that we cannot control? 61 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 1: You know, I'm looking at a copy of the DoD 62 00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:33,360 Speaker 1: Department of Defense Directive three thousand point or nine. Autonomy 63 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:39,080 Speaker 1: and Weapons systems. You know, you talk about transformers, autonomous transformers. 64 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:41,240 Speaker 1: Are we going to make sure that we have a 65 00:04:41,279 --> 00:04:46,160 Speaker 1: red button on every autonomous transformer to stop it from 66 00:04:46,200 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 1: going off into the deep? You know? Decision making about 67 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:54,159 Speaker 1: killing people? I hope so it says that in the 68 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:56,840 Speaker 1: regulation we're not going to allow that to happen. I 69 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:59,799 Speaker 1: will assure you, given what I know about the Chinese, 70 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 1: they aren't going to put that sort of caveat on 71 00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 1: their systems. And what might that happen? Because these systems 72 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:09,320 Speaker 1: are going to learn and learn and learn. They're going 73 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 1: to get far more intelligent than any human being can be, 74 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 1: even the hawkings of the world. They're going to be 75 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:19,559 Speaker 1: doing things that we just can't even imagine. And that's 76 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:24,040 Speaker 1: where we're going. And that's what I'm concerned about, Semi 77 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 1: autonomous drone, semi autonomous fighter craft, semi autonomous I don't know, 78 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:35,200 Speaker 1: nuclear submarines. Is that what it's going to come down 79 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:41,920 Speaker 1: to is the decision whether to rain down nuclear armageddon 80 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:44,920 Speaker 1: on a population will be left to some mathematical equation, 81 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:50,400 Speaker 1: an analgorithm, Well, the semi autonomous suggests that there's a 82 00:05:50,520 --> 00:05:52,560 Speaker 1: human in the loop. You know, I would be more 83 00:05:52,600 --> 00:05:55,760 Speaker 1: concerned about the autonomous, But yeah, I think that's where 84 00:05:55,760 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 1: we're going. You know. You know, it's quite possible that 85 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 1: because those decisions are going to be made at a 86 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:05,360 Speaker 1: quicker level, just because of the massive data and the 87 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 1: ability to pull information, that nuclear deterrence will change. You know, 88 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 1: we may make a decision because of what our artificially 89 00:06:14,480 --> 00:06:19,400 Speaker 1: intelligent decision making tools are telling us about another country's 90 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:22,800 Speaker 1: nuclear weapons and whether or not they're about to launch. 91 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:27,120 Speaker 1: You know, we'll try to anticipate inside what they're thinking 92 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:32,400 Speaker 1: based upon massive data and the history of these individuals 93 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 1: that we happen to know that are inside these bunkers 94 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:39,200 Speaker 1: and foreign lands. You know, this is this is kind 95 00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 1: of where we are heading to. Now, how do you 96 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:45,320 Speaker 1: control that? You know, That's what we're trying to do 97 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:49,400 Speaker 1: with the Pentagon's directives. That's what we're trying to do 98 00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:52,440 Speaker 1: with the New York University, I think Google, that's what 99 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 1: they're trying to do, is to how do you contain 100 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:59,600 Speaker 1: this monster that wants to break out and quite frankly 101 00:06:59,760 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 1: become incredibly capable and dictate. You know, there's a phenomenon 102 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 1: that we've we haven't discussed as yet. It's about how 103 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:17,920 Speaker 1: AI is going to influence future culturists called technological singularity. 104 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 1: How is all of this massive information and this access 105 00:07:23,280 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 1: to anything about any time going to change mankind and civilization? 106 00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:31,600 Speaker 1: I would argue, is going to change us in a 107 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 1: way that you know, potentially may not be so good. 108 00:07:36,080 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 1: That's what I'm concerned about. And I think the ethicis 109 00:07:39,360 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: in this country ought to be concerned about those concerned 110 00:07:42,640 --> 00:07:46,520 Speaker 1: about civil liberties, ought to be concerned. Government ought to 111 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:50,440 Speaker 1: be engaged in this totally and try to put firewalls 112 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:56,440 Speaker 1: up to prevent AI from becoming a monster that is 113 00:07:56,520 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 1: creating even worse monsters. And I think that it's real possible. 114 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 1: Keep in mind that AIS holy grail is what we 115 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 1: call artificial general intelligence AGI. This is where the AI 116 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 1: device becomes self aware conscience. They can solve virtually any 117 00:08:21,000 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 1: problem as long as they have all access to all data, 118 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:29,440 Speaker 1: and they become you know, they create themselves to be 119 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 1: smarter all the time because they never stop learning. This 120 00:08:33,240 --> 00:08:36,040 Speaker 1: is a future that you know, a few years ago 121 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:38,360 Speaker 1: we never would have dreamed of. And I don't think 122 00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:41,840 Speaker 1: that Huxley or any of the visionaries of the past 123 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 1: have even thought about where we're going in future wars. 124 00:08:49,040 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 1: Do you see it breaking out something like this robot 125 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: attacking or killing other robots in the battlefield, or our 126 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:02,839 Speaker 1: civilian populations going to be targeted by taking out let's say, 127 00:09:02,880 --> 00:09:05,640 Speaker 1: the power grid, which you know, by some estimates, if 128 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 1: we had an EMP event in the United States, for example, 129 00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:11,280 Speaker 1: within the first year some estimates, we were so dependent 130 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 1: on electricity you could have a fatality rate of something 131 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 1: like ninety in one year. Is that the future of warfare? Oh? Yes, 132 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:25,000 Speaker 1: I think EMP is a real possibility. You know, it's 133 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: not just from the North Koreans, of the Iranians, the 134 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 1: Chinese and the Russians. We're all aware of how to 135 00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:35,720 Speaker 1: light up an MP over a metro or a country 136 00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 1: area and then fry all the electronics. And you know, 137 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:42,360 Speaker 1: we're beginning to get serious, but we're far behind getting 138 00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:47,160 Speaker 1: serious about it now. Your scenario, Richard, I think is 139 00:09:47,880 --> 00:09:50,600 Speaker 1: important here. And let me give you a bit of 140 00:09:50,679 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 1: historic perspective. Back in World War One, we faced a 141 00:09:56,240 --> 00:10:01,720 Speaker 1: German navy that was sinking civilian ships and they weren't 142 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:05,360 Speaker 1: ensuring the safety of the crew of the passengers. We 143 00:10:05,520 --> 00:10:10,080 Speaker 1: call that barbaric, and rightly so. And so after that war, 144 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:15,240 Speaker 1: we negotiated international treaties that said we would then unrestricted 145 00:10:15,280 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 1: submarine warfare. Well what happened after December the seventh, nineteen 146 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 1: forty one. Well, that fateful day and I was just 147 00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:27,439 Speaker 1: there a week ago at Pearl Harbor, the Japanese attacked 148 00:10:27,520 --> 00:10:31,640 Speaker 1: Ford Island and destroyed our fleet. Now what did we do? 149 00:10:31,720 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 1: Within six hours, we disregarded our international treaties and we 150 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:42,680 Speaker 1: went after with our own submarines the Japanese civilian merchant fleet. 151 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:45,920 Speaker 1: So if we go to war, we may have all 152 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 1: these great rules and regulations governing the use of autonomous 153 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:53,000 Speaker 1: or semi autonomous weapons, But when the Chinese used them 154 00:10:53,000 --> 00:10:58,600 Speaker 1: against us, guess what will immediately, in almost uncertainty, launch 155 00:10:59,040 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 1: similar platforms against them? And then Katie bar the door. 156 00:11:04,600 --> 00:11:07,600 Speaker 1: I'm guessing though, Bobby, in the not your distant future, 157 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:10,320 Speaker 1: you won't need an EMP to take out a power grid. 158 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:14,120 Speaker 1: You just you send some sort of I mean, the 159 00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:18,160 Speaker 1: wars will be fought with malware. No, I think you're right, 160 00:11:19,880 --> 00:11:26,760 Speaker 1: unless we segment our power grids and other our financial 161 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:30,480 Speaker 1: networks and so forth, if we make them vulnerable as 162 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:35,400 Speaker 1: they are today to cyber malware, to cyber attacks. Because 163 00:11:35,520 --> 00:11:40,240 Speaker 1: this is really costing, certainly in the United States, arguably 164 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:44,120 Speaker 1: trillions of dollars on an annual basis. It's incredibly expensive. 165 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:48,040 Speaker 1: How we're lost control over a lot of our own data. 166 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:50,880 Speaker 1: We've got to get serious. I would argue that this 167 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 1: is probably the defining moment the next couple of years. 168 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:59,000 Speaker 1: If we can't wrestle control over how this data is 169 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 1: linked around the world, and how we're going to bring 170 00:12:02,400 --> 00:12:06,560 Speaker 1: some sort of rule and regulation and constraint and keep 171 00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:12,320 Speaker 1: criminal syndicates and keep adversarial nations away from our data, 172 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:18,600 Speaker 1: then we will increase in vulnerability almost exponentially into the 173 00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:23,319 Speaker 1: near future. This is serious. I don't see nearly enough 174 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:26,440 Speaker 1: concern on Capitol Hill that I think we ought to have. 175 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:30,839 Speaker 1: I don't hear anybody talking about this unca Span or 176 00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:34,760 Speaker 1: anywhere in a more traditional war. You know, you simply 177 00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 1: you kill the enemy. But who is the enemy in 178 00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:41,439 Speaker 1: a conflict when you have, let's face it, national boundaries 179 00:12:41,480 --> 00:12:44,080 Speaker 1: are being erased, you have no fixed battle fields, no 180 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:49,280 Speaker 1: conventional adversaries. Oh, you're right, there will not be a 181 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:53,719 Speaker 1: fixed boundary. You know, look in space. You know, the 182 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:58,360 Speaker 1: Chinese have a very robust space program. You know, they 183 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:03,640 Speaker 1: have an orbit. Now, they have anti satellite systems. They 184 00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:08,439 Speaker 1: recognize back in nineteen ninety ninety one when we demonstrated 185 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:13,680 Speaker 1: against Sodom has seen a capability of marshaling a massive 186 00:13:13,760 --> 00:13:19,880 Speaker 1: force and expeditiously discharging him up to Baghdad. That our 187 00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:24,760 Speaker 1: dependence upon satellites and our ability to move massive forces 188 00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:29,959 Speaker 1: was a sophistication that both Beijing and Moscow liked. They 189 00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:33,960 Speaker 1: went to school on us. They spent the following several 190 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:38,400 Speaker 1: decades repairing that problem. So now they intend to knock 191 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:42,120 Speaker 1: our satellites out of orbit to destroy them, and of 192 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:46,960 Speaker 1: course we've seen something recently that suggests that certainly Moscow 193 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:49,719 Speaker 1: has such a capability. I don't have any doubt that 194 00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 1: the Chinese do. So they would they would blind us 195 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:56,760 Speaker 1: basically by taking out our satellites, and of course they 196 00:13:56,800 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 1: have their own constellation which we would have to take 197 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 1: out in turn. But then the whole cyber issue using 198 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:10,400 Speaker 1: whether it's you know, the cables that they monitor in 199 00:14:10,440 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 1: the ocean floor all the time. We catch the Russians 200 00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:16,040 Speaker 1: doing that, We catch the Chinese doing it. These are 201 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:20,400 Speaker 1: things that are really transforming who we are, and it's 202 00:14:20,400 --> 00:14:23,280 Speaker 1: going to be hard to fix. Listen to more Coast 203 00:14:23,280 --> 00:14:26,920 Speaker 1: to Coast AM every weeknight at one am Eastern, and 204 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 1: go to Coast to Coast am dot com for more