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Speaker 1: Welcome everybody. Tuesday edition of Play and Box starts right now,

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Speaker 1: two weeks from election day. Crazy to say it out loud,

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Speaker 1: but this is where we are. Two weeks from destiny Day.

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Speaker 1: We will find out how all this is going and

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Speaker 1: finally get answers for you. We're going to dive into

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Speaker 1: all that, the data, the early voting, the last ditch

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Speaker 1: efforts from the campaigns to convince that last tranch of

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Speaker 1: voters to come to their side. So we shall get

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Speaker 1: into all of that. Liz Cheney on the campaign trail

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Speaker 1: for Kamala, a lot of focus on that. I guess

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Speaker 1: they think in the green rooms of MSNBC and CNN

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Speaker 1: that the never Trump contingent of America is big enough

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Speaker 1: to sway the election. I doubt it, but we'll dive

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Speaker 1: into that. CBS still will not release the transcript of

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Speaker 1: the forty five minute long Kamala Harris interview they edited

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Speaker 1: and released twenty one minutes. Hmmm, why why can't we

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Speaker 1: see the transcript of the whole thing? It was recorded.

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Speaker 1: They had the consent of the subject, Kamala Harris in

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Speaker 1: this case, to record the interview. Why not let us

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Speaker 1: at least see the transcript? If you're not going to air,

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Speaker 1: they won't. People are asking questions about that Daniel Penny

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Speaker 1: case in New York. Remember the guy who stepped in

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Speaker 1: when a disturbed individual was threatening women on and threatening

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Speaker 1: people on a train, and Daniel Penny put him in

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Speaker 1: a headlock, and unfortunately the individual died. And now Penny

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Speaker 1: is facing murder charges, I believe in New York City.

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Speaker 1: So we will look at that case a little bit.

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Speaker 1: In what's going on there, Leclai. The biggest single thing

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Speaker 1: today is that we already have We're two weeks from

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Speaker 1: election day, but we're starting to get a pretty strong

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Speaker 1: sense of at least early trends in some key states.

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Speaker 1: I went last night and voted in Miami Beach, so

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Speaker 1: I joined all my sandal wearing brothers and sisters.

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Speaker 2: How long was your weight? What was your experience? That

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Speaker 2: was the first day you could vote early in Florida? Right, smooth, easy?

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Speaker 2: I mean it, it was lively.

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Speaker 1: There were a lot of people at early voting, but

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Speaker 1: I think they told me what by the time I

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Speaker 1: got there, with maybe an hour left before the polls

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Speaker 1: closed for the day, that they had had over a

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Speaker 1: thousand residents of Miami Beach. I think only has like

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Speaker 1: forty or fifty thousand people who live here, so one

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Speaker 1: thousand and one day of early voting is pretty strong.

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Speaker 1: So they they, yeah, there are a lot of people.

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Speaker 1: It was well run. One thing that I did take

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Speaker 1: a real moment with Clay was, you know, we have

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Speaker 1: a couple of very high profile ballot referendu that are

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Speaker 1: underway here, one about abortion and one about weed marijuana legalization,

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Speaker 1: and then there were all these other ballot ballot issues

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Speaker 1: that I mean, I have a pretty high reading comprehendion.

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Speaker 1: I know that I'm going to tell you. I looked

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Speaker 1: at some of these and it was about disciplinary measures

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Speaker 1: under the collective Bargaining Agreement for the I mean, you're

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Speaker 1: getting into this, You're going, you know, for for for

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Speaker 1: city officials or something. I'm like what, And it just

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Speaker 1: it was it was a reminder, you know, there's informed there.

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Speaker 1: You can be very informed of the national level when

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Speaker 1: you get down into the local level or even the

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Speaker 1: state level. How they phrase these things on ballot referendums

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Speaker 1: is enormously important because you can be plugged in and

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Speaker 1: be like, wait, what is this trying to what is

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Speaker 1: this about? I had never even heard about this one before.

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Speaker 2: I think a lot of people learn that because even

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Speaker 2: you can be a normal voter, and by normal, I

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Speaker 2: mean you know who you're voting for, let's say in

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Speaker 2: the presidency, senate, governor congress person, and you could not

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Speaker 2: be that very well informed as you move further down

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Speaker 2: the ballot. And I think a lot of people learned this,

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Speaker 2: particularly parents when it came to school boards, because you

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Speaker 2: just weren't doing your research to think about who was

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Speaker 2: sitting on the school board. Because prior to COVID, a

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Speaker 2: lot of people hadn't gone to school board meetings. You

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Speaker 2: weren't paying attention to what the rules were. And I

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Speaker 2: felt that way sometimes on the ballot initiatives. I've had

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Speaker 2: to vote on buck. I've got a law degree, and

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Speaker 2: I've paused reading some of the ballot initiatives in Tennessee,

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Speaker 2: like what in the world, Like what does this do?

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Speaker 2: What is the impact? How should I vote? I had

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Speaker 2: it known that they were going to be on there.

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Speaker 2: My ballot I voted on Friday only had four questions

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Speaker 2: and it was president, Senate, Congress, and then my state representative.

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Speaker 2: So it took me twenty five seconds to go through

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Speaker 2: and vote for everybody. Now, there was a long line.

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Speaker 2: I had my dad in a wheelchair because he's got

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Speaker 2: a broken hip. And I think everybody who helped out there.

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Speaker 2: But I do think you and I have now done

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Speaker 2: our civic duty. We are telling you to go vote early.

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Speaker 2: And let me tell you this, Buck, I spent the

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Speaker 2: morning going through data because I like to be a

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Speaker 2: data nerd in some way. Nevada unheard of. Republicans are

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Speaker 2: in the lead with early voting underway. North Carolina unheard

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Speaker 2: of Republicans are in the lead with early voting underway.

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Speaker 2: And I say this because they break down some states

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Speaker 2: by Republican and Democrat voters. Other states do not. For Georgia,

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Speaker 2: for instance, does not break down Democrat versus Republican voters.

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Speaker 2: They do in Florida, where Republicans are already in the lead,

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Speaker 2: even if you count mail in ballots, which typically have

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Speaker 2: been beneficial to Democrats, and they were again in Florida,

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Speaker 2: but not as much. And our friend Ryan Gerdusky has

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Speaker 2: been sharing absentee ballot request numbers from Pennsylvania. As we

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Speaker 2: said officially two weeks out, Democrats are going to come

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Speaker 2: Buck nowhere near requesting the same number of apps absentee

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Speaker 2: ballots that they did in twenty twenty, and so all

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Speaker 2: of the trend lines, same thing happening in Michigan in

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Speaker 2: terms of way fewer absentee ballot request. All of the

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Speaker 2: trend lines are looking good. But go vote. And if

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Speaker 2: you're one of those people who's going to send us

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Speaker 2: messages saying they're gonna cheat, okay, what are you doing

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Speaker 2: with your own individual opportunity to combat a cheat? Are

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Speaker 2: you showing up and monitoring election polls instead of emailing

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Speaker 2: us like they're gonna cheat or tweeting us they're gonna cheat.

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Speaker 2: Do everything you can. Don't come to us and just

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Speaker 2: send a message. Volunteer your time.

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Speaker 1: And if you're believe very strongly that there will be

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Speaker 1: widespread cheating efforts, it's incumbent on you to make sure

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Speaker 1: that the beat the cheat mantra is in your head,

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Speaker 1: which means you gotta have the larger the margin of

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Speaker 1: legitimate votes that Trump has as of as victory in

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Speaker 1: any state, the harder it would be for them to

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Speaker 1: get away with the cheating. Right, This is the you

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Speaker 1: have to remember if somebody has to manufacture two hundred

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Speaker 1: votes in say a Senate election somewhere that's tough to catch.

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Speaker 1: If somebody has to manufacture one hundred thousand fake votes,

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Speaker 1: guess what, that's a whole lot harder to slip by.

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Speaker 1: And that's why I also just think people, you can

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Speaker 1: create this defeatist mindset. Anyway, I think we're past that.

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Speaker 1: Put that behind. We don't need to we don't need

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Speaker 1: to be looking four years ago. We need to look

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Speaker 1: at what's going on right now for the next two weeks.

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Speaker 1: And the truth is it's looking good for Republicans right now.

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Speaker 1: The election is already very much I mean, the the

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Speaker 1: actual election process is already very much underway in so

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Speaker 1: many of these states. I mean, Clay, the only states

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Speaker 1: that have no early in person voting are Mississippi, Alabama,

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Speaker 1: and New Hampshire. Yeah, I mean just so so when

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Speaker 1: we talk about early voting now you're talking about no

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Speaker 1: offense in mississip Alabama, New Hampshire, but basically the whole country.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you're you know, very few holdouts at this

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Speaker 1: point that have no in person early voting. Everybody else

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Speaker 1: does have it. So we're really telling you right now,

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Speaker 1: go vote today unless you live in a state that

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Speaker 1: you know hasn't yet, Oh it can't do it, it

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Speaker 1: won't do it, and or hasn't yet opened up its

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Speaker 1: early voting process. But as soon as it is, you know,

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Speaker 1: fair game and lawful for you to go and cast

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Speaker 1: your early ballot. Do it early, because you're helping your

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Speaker 1: team by doing it early. That's why Clay went early,

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Speaker 1: That's why I went early. And this was part of

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Speaker 1: how Democrats got Joe Biden to be president the last

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Speaker 1: four years. In twenty twenty, they ran the mail in

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Speaker 1: ballot early voting playbook to a t, and we were

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Speaker 1: very much our party. The Republicans were very much vote

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Speaker 1: an election day, vote in person, and that was, unfortunately

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Speaker 1: put us at a strategic disadvantage. So I think that

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Speaker 1: we're seeing that dissipate and we're seeing Republicans and certainly

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Speaker 1: cutting down the advantage the Democrats are going to have

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Speaker 1: going into election day based on the early voting, and

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Speaker 1: I'm feeling good about it.

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Speaker 3: Clay.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how to sort of couch this without

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Speaker 1: getting too far ahead of myself, but I think that

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Speaker 1: the GOP woke up, learned some lessons the last time around,

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Speaker 1: and we're going to have a much more efficient vote

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Speaker 1: voting machinery. Right now, we're into the machinery. Up to

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Speaker 1: this point, it's been arguments for the candidates and arguments

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Speaker 1: for the party. Now it's just how do you actually

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Speaker 1: get ballots in the polling place lawfully and count it.

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Speaker 1: That's it. That's the whole game, right, I mean, because

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Speaker 1: the Liz Cheney going around, no one cares what Liz

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Speaker 1: Cheney says about Kamala.

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Speaker 2: Well, and I think this is important. New York Times

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Speaker 2: seventeen million of you have already voted, seventeen million, including

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Speaker 2: both Buck and myself. And here's some early data of

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Speaker 2: why I'm optimistic Buck. In the first three days of

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Speaker 2: early voting in twenty twenty, three hundred and seventy thousand

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Speaker 2: Democrat voters cast a ballot in North Carolina compared with

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Speaker 2: two hundred and forty eight thousand Republicans. This is data

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Speaker 2: from a University of Florida professor. This year, three hundred

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Speaker 2: thousand Democrats have cast a ballot compared with two hundred

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Speaker 2: and ninety six thousand Republicans. This is North Carolina alone.

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Speaker 2: So in North Carolina, Republicans have knocked off about one

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Speaker 2: hundred and twenty thousand in theory vote lead from what

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Speaker 2: Democrats have run up in the past, so that is significant.

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Speaker 2: And also in Nevada, and I shared this a little

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Speaker 2: bit earlier because let's go coast to coast and kind

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Speaker 2: of give you an idea of how this is going.

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Speaker 2: One of the top guys in Nevada at breaking down

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Speaker 2: all of the data on election votvoting. I want to

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Speaker 2: share this with you that I had out there because

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Speaker 2: I do think it's interesting. John Ralston said, Early Voting

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Speaker 2: blog is updated. Very big day for Republicans in Nevada.

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Speaker 2: They have now a rare statewide lead. Clark County, which

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Speaker 2: is where Las Vegas is, has almost nothing of a firewall.

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Speaker 2: Republicans had a historically good day opening up early voting

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Speaker 2: in Nevada. Now again fourteen days till the election. We

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Speaker 2: want nothing that we say in the next two weeks

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Speaker 2: to in any way discourage you from going out and voting,

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Speaker 2: from getting your friends and family out to vote. But

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Speaker 2: I do think it's important to know that things are

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Speaker 2: moving in a really good direction, and sometimes people want

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Speaker 2: to be front runners. When things are going well, Let's

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Speaker 2: add on more steam and let's keep pouring it on

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Speaker 2: and let's put this thing away to your point, buck

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Speaker 2: where it's too big to rig, as Trump has argued,

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Speaker 2: don't make it come down to a couple of thousand

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Speaker 2: votes in a variety of states. Let's blow them out.

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Speaker 2: Let's don't let the officials involve themselves in this. Let's

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Speaker 2: make it too big to rig.

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Speaker 1: I think that everything that I'm seeing so far should

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Speaker 1: be encouraging to your point about front running or being

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Speaker 1: in pole position, being out in the lead, It's too

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Speaker 1: early to definitively say that. I would just say now

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Speaker 1: is when you can be a part of that process

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Speaker 1: and a part of creating or strengthening that lead. Let's

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Speaker 1: go vote right now. I mean if you can legally

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Speaker 1: and not finish the show. But you know what I mean, today, tomorrow,

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Speaker 1: as soon as you can, and if you're in a

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Speaker 1: state that doesn't allow it, make sure you're ready on

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Speaker 1: election day. But for the other forty seven states, I

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Speaker 1: don't think what just why I'm sure allows early voting.

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Speaker 1: For the other forty seven states, you definitely want to

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Speaker 1: get in there as quickly and as soon as you can,

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Speaker 1: because it means that the party machinery is able to

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Speaker 1: spend time resources and focus more efficiently, which matters. It's

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Speaker 1: going Even if Trump blows it out in the electoral college, Clay,

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Speaker 1: it's going to be close in the overall vote, right.

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Speaker 1: I mean, when you look at the just as a

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Speaker 1: function of statistics, if Trump wins Michigan by fifty thousand votes,

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Speaker 1: that's going to feel like, Wow, that's a great fit.

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Speaker 1: Michigan's a big state for you know, fifty thousand people

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Speaker 1: is one sports arena, So it's going to be close.

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Speaker 2: And look, we talked recently about hey, did you see

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Speaker 2: where the FBI revised their crime data and they actually said, oh,

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Speaker 2: by the way, yeah, crime's up in twenty twenty two,

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Speaker 2: and many of you out there said, of course it is.

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Speaker 2: I can feel it. I can see it in my

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Speaker 2: and more. Today Saving America one thought at a time.

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Speaker 2: Clay Travis and Buck Sexton. Find them on the free

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Speaker 2: iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome back

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Speaker 2: in Clay Travis Buck Sexton Show. Appreciate all of you

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Speaker 2: hanging out with us. We are encouraging you and you

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Speaker 2: may get tired of it. But I don't want anybody

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Speaker 2: ever saying you and Buck or the reason why we

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Speaker 2: want no go vote. Whatever we say on this show,

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Speaker 2: it should change nothing about your plan to go vote,

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Speaker 2: your plan to get out friends and family to vote.

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Speaker 2: Everything is in your hands now. We are fully in

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Speaker 2: the election season and so honestly, Buck, I don't know

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Speaker 2: about you, but at this point I almost feel like

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Speaker 2: what Kamala and Trump say has almost no impact because

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Speaker 2: so many people have already getting their vote out, making

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Speaker 2: their decisions that even if you have a quote unquote

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Speaker 2: October surprise, whatever it might be, when there's already twenty

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Speaker 2: million people voting, it's like it's almost unimpactful.

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Speaker 1: Also, what would an October surprise even be at this point?

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Speaker 1: Like Trump pulls off his head and he's actually a

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Speaker 1: lizard person from the planet you know, Xenon or something.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you know what's really good a rock our

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Speaker 1: world at this point, after four criminal indictments, two impeachments,

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Speaker 1: two attempt assassination attempts, a bullet through the year, Like

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Speaker 1: an October surprise would have to be an asteroid hitting

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Speaker 1: the planet and delaying the elections for eternity. Like it's

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Speaker 1: just not gonna happen.

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Speaker 2: I was actually laughing. Did you see that there are

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Speaker 2: rumors that we have discovered life on other planets? Have

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Speaker 2: you heard about this? No?

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Speaker 1: But I'm with Elon on this one. Everyone needs to

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Speaker 1: just show me the evidence. I don't want to hear

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Speaker 1: it till they show me the evidence.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Well, so I actually wonder whether it's going to be

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Speaker 2: something truly crazy, like like, hey, we've got radio signals

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Speaker 2: that we managed to find from another earth, another planet,

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Speaker 2: But I don't know that would change the election. I'm

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Speaker 2: just saying there's talk of craziness out there. I don't

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Speaker 2: know that it necessarily relates to the election.

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Speaker 1: You really you think you think we're gonna find out

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Speaker 1: that Trump is actually from a space race of alien

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Speaker 1: lizards from some other galaxy.

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Speaker 2: Well, I don't think it'll send us another one, because

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Speaker 2: it's been a long time that Republicans have a candidate.

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Speaker 1: This good. It's a good point. Actually, we definitely need

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Speaker 1: to make friends with that alien race. A Wall Street

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Speaker 1: on Wall Street. This legend thinks November eighth is going

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Speaker 1: to open the biggest rapid fire money making opportunity of

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Speaker 1: his fifty year career. In short, a disconnect in the

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Speaker 1: He recommends an AI stock. He recommended one rather ten

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Speaker 1: years ago, which would have made you thirty two thousand

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Speaker 4: Just about black men, it's about black women as well.

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Speaker 4: She's only up by seventy one points among black women,

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Speaker 4: which again is a rather large lead, but given the

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Speaker 4: history of how black women have voted in this country

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Speaker 4: in the last few elections, it's significantly smaller.

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Speaker 1: Now let's get on the black men.

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Speaker 4: What do we see here the democratic margin among black

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Speaker 4: men again, we see the shrinkage again. Kamala Harris is

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Speaker 4: ahead by fifty four but that's way down from where

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Speaker 4: Joe Biden was. And how about young black men. Look

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Speaker 4: at this, Kamala Harris up only forty one points among

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Speaker 4: black men under the age of forty five. That is

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Speaker 4: down twelve points from where Biden was four years ago. Oh,

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Speaker 4: way down. We're talking about half of the margin that

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Speaker 4: we were looking at back with Obama in twenty twelve.

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Speaker 1: You hear that, my friends, that's CNN's numbers guy, CNN's

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Speaker 1: you know, cut rate Ryan Gerdusky, if you will, you know,

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Speaker 1: their version of the of the numbers and polling guy

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Speaker 1: telling everybody that Kamala is underperforming with key demographics in

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Speaker 1: terms of the Democrat base, but also her you know,

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Speaker 1: you think her as she as a candidate would have

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Speaker 1: a particular residence among black female and black male voters,

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Speaker 1: as she has very much been touted as and and

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Speaker 1: presented as the future first black female president of the

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Speaker 1: United States by the Democrats. She is underperforming Biden at

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Speaker 1: this point with those key demographics. I sit here and

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Speaker 1: on the one hand, I'm happy that there's there's encouraging

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Speaker 1: information coming out Clay about this, but also a little

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Speaker 1: bitter because the Biden was actually their better play is

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Speaker 1: becoming a louder and louder claim that you're hearing even

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Speaker 1: among Democrats, because the numbers aren't speaking to Kamala as

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Speaker 1: having particular strength. The only possibility here would be maybe

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Speaker 1: college college educated women and or college educated voters. More broadly,

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Speaker 1: she just just like blows the charts up with that stuff.

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Speaker 1: I mean goes so but even that I think doesn't

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Speaker 1: it's not possible to win the election. But that may

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Speaker 1: be where she outperforms Biden. But this is this is

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Speaker 1: where Kamala finds herself right now, and it's because of

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Speaker 1: things like this. Here's Maria Shriver, who I didn't realize

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Speaker 1: that she's a TV person. I'm being serious. Does she

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Speaker 1: does she usually do TV stuff. I thought she was

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Speaker 1: like she was Swarzenegger's ex wife and she was a Kennedy, right,

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Speaker 1: That's what I knew. She does a morning show or something.

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Speaker 1: You guys didn't know she still did it. I thought

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Speaker 1: she used to be with NBC, like a long time ago,

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Speaker 1: like a long time ago, That's what I mean. So

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, she's hosting a town hall. I'm like, wait,

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Speaker 1: what Maria Shriver bringing her out of retirement. But she

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Speaker 1: said something a little too much truth here at the

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Speaker 1: town hall between with Kamala and Liz Cheney. Listen to

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Speaker 1: this cut one.

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Speaker 2: You're not Unfortunately, we have some pre uh determined questions,

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Speaker 2: and I hopefully I'll be able to ask some of

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Speaker 2: the questions that might be in your head. I hope.

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Speaker 1: So now, so an audience member said, can we ask questions? Clay,

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Speaker 1: And I know what the Democrats will sture this, Oh,

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Speaker 1: a lot of things just predeterrue re quick. Yeah, but

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Speaker 1: this goes into a broader narrative and a broader realization

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Speaker 1: that Kamala Harris has to be stage managed and stage

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Speaker 1: crafted always at all times, or else disaster results for Democrats.

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Speaker 1: That she could be at a town hall and people

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Speaker 1: could just ask her in the audience whatever question comes

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Speaker 1: to mind. No way they would allow that, not now,

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Speaker 1: not ever.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and they're hiding her. I guess she's doing an

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Speaker 2: NBC interview and then she's got something with Univision or others.

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Speaker 2: But she's not on the campaign trail right now. And

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Speaker 2: I think Buck, there's a NBC news story up saying

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Speaker 2: that they're really concerned about the numbers in North Carolina

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Speaker 2: when it comes to early voting, and that they see

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Speaker 2: Michigan and slipping away and that the blue wall states

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Speaker 2: are not necessarily blue wall. I'm telling you how I

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Speaker 2: think the next two weeks are going to go. This week,

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Speaker 2: you are going to see people start to distance themselves

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Speaker 2: from Kamala. That is, whoever made the decision that Kamala

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Speaker 2: needs to take over for Biden. Remember, Buck, Biden's not

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Speaker 2: campaigning with her at all for the final two weeks.

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Speaker 2: I mean, if you wondered what the relationship is like

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Speaker 2: between the two of them, the only time I can remember,

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Speaker 2: and you may be able to think differently, but the

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Speaker 2: only time I can remember putting a sitting president on

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Speaker 2: the bench when his vice president was running was when

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Speaker 2: Al Gore wouldn't let Bill Clinton campaign for him in

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Speaker 2: two thousand because of the Monica Lewinsky thing that he

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Speaker 2: thought he hurt him on the campaign trail, And if

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Speaker 2: you remember, they didn't let Clinton out and Clinton said, oh,

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Speaker 2: we would have won if you'd let me. Anyway, that happened.

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Speaker 2: So something is going on there internally that not has

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Speaker 2: not yet fully blown into public. That Biden's not even

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Speaker 2: campaigning at all for Kamala over the next two weeks.

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Speaker 2: That's significant. So I think you're going to start to

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Speaker 2: see the hey, maybe this wasn't the right decision. Next

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Speaker 2: week is going to be the panic. This is like

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Speaker 2: the hey, I'm distancing myself. Well, some people thought this

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Speaker 2: was a good idea, but maybe it wasn't.

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Speaker 1: Do you know, what they're telling themselves now or what

432
00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:35,360
Speaker 1: the narrative is about why the numbers are so clear.

433
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:38,000
Speaker 1: The numbers are clearly trending in Republicans direction for early,

434
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:40,719
Speaker 1: there's no question about that. But you know what they're saying, Oh, well,

435
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:45,159
Speaker 1: that's because so many Democrats are no longer COVID conscious

436
00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:49,359
Speaker 1: and are planning on voting on election day suddenly. Yeah,

437
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:52,280
Speaker 1: now I understand that argument. Oh no, I don't think

438
00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:54,560
Speaker 1: it's a clay. I think it's cope. I think it's uh,

439
00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:58,760
Speaker 1: that's that's the only argument they have. That's why I say, Okay, yeah,

440
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 1: you're probably right. There's probably a huge, massive, diehard Kamala

441
00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:07,159
Speaker 1: election day turnout coming from Democrats. I actually think the

442
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:10,760
Speaker 1: best argument they could make is not that. I think

443
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 1: they could say.

444
00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:17,280
Speaker 2: Well, Republicans are diluting their election day advantage and election

445
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:19,600
Speaker 2: Day is going to be much more fifty to fifty

446
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:23,040
Speaker 2: than normal because Republicans are voting early. I don't buy that.

447
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:26,240
Speaker 2: But if I were trying to make a cope argument

448
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,600
Speaker 2: based on the numbers not being good right now, that's

449
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:32,200
Speaker 2: probably the angle I would go with. There's going to

450
00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:36,399
Speaker 2: be an outrageous enthusiasm with Democrat voters who want to

451
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:39,840
Speaker 2: show up in person and show their ideas and vote

452
00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:43,440
Speaker 2: on election day. Yeah, good luck with that. In fact, Buck,

453
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 2: I was thinking about earlier this morning. If these trend

454
00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:51,560
Speaker 2: lines continue, there's going to be less people who vote

455
00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:55,880
Speaker 2: overall in twenty twenty four than twenty twenty. How are

456
00:25:55,880 --> 00:26:00,320
Speaker 2: they going to explain how Joe Biden went from eighty

457
00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:05,679
Speaker 2: one million votes to Kamala Harris getting sixty eight million votes.

458
00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:09,840
Speaker 2: Let's just say that her number comes back down to earth.

459
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:14,480
Speaker 2: Where did all those Democrat voters go? Because Trump, I think,

460
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 2: and I'm curious if you would agree. I think Trump

461
00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:19,560
Speaker 2: is going to get within a couple of million of

462
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 2: this seventy five million that he got in twenty twenty.

463
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:26,800
Speaker 2: That is, most Trump voters are going to show up

464
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 2: and vote in similar numbers to twenty twenty because that

465
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:34,639
Speaker 2: tended to be in person. All those things, right, where's

466
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 2: the eighty one million going to go? Some people are

467
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:39,679
Speaker 2: going to change their mind, but that's a relatively small

468
00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 2: percentage of the overall population. If you look at the

469
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:47,359
Speaker 2: absentee ballot request, for instance, in Pennsylvania, they're just going

470
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:50,800
Speaker 2: to have way less ballots outstanding that they can manage

471
00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:55,359
Speaker 2: to harvest. Where'd all those voters go? Where'd all those

472
00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:58,760
Speaker 2: Trump is satan? I'm going to vote in twenty twenty

473
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:03,359
Speaker 2: and give Joe Biden eighty one million votes. Where do

474
00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:06,159
Speaker 2: they suddenly go? I think it's going to potentially be

475
00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:10,280
Speaker 2: a really interesting conversation to have if ten million less

476
00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:12,960
Speaker 2: people vote for Kamala in twenty twenty four then voted

477
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:14,359
Speaker 2: for Biden in twenty twenty.

478
00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:16,840
Speaker 1: I'll just tell you this, there will be if Trump wins.

479
00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:19,119
Speaker 1: If Trump doesn't win, we're going to all gather together

480
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:21,320
Speaker 1: here and we're going to figure it out. Everyone. I've

481
00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:23,359
Speaker 1: been getting people asking me this. I know you think,

482
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:25,240
Speaker 1: Buck that Trump is gonna win, and you've been so

483
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:27,960
Speaker 1: confident all along Trump's gonna win. What if he doesn't?

484
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:30,359
Speaker 1: I say, you know what, We'll figure it out, and

485
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:33,800
Speaker 1: we will. But even if Trump does win, Clay, I

486
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:37,080
Speaker 1: do want everyone to be prepared for the first forty

487
00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:40,520
Speaker 1: eight hours, we will all all of you, all of

488
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:43,239
Speaker 1: you who vote for Trump and are excited for it,

489
00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:47,000
Speaker 1: will be drinking and swimming in liberal tiers all across

490
00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:50,400
Speaker 1: the country. That is true. Then it will shift into

491
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:55,440
Speaker 1: what are they going to do to try to extract

492
00:27:55,520 --> 00:28:02,080
Speaker 1: the maximum frustration punishment, you know, stealing any sense of

493
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:05,800
Speaker 1: joy from from the Republican Party that it can. And

494
00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 1: that means Clay, you know, refuse. They're gonna refuse to

495
00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:12,000
Speaker 1: certify the election. They're they're gonna bring legal challenges. I mean,

496
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:14,800
Speaker 1: just be ready for it. In my mind, the chance

497
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:19,040
Speaker 1: that we're going into Thanksgiving, let's say, and Democrats are

498
00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:21,800
Speaker 1: just like, you know what, you know, we fought hard,

499
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:24,359
Speaker 1: but we lost that one is almost zero. What do

500
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:27,120
Speaker 1: you think like, I think they're just the Shenanigans they're

501
00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:29,400
Speaker 1: gonna pull. If Trump ends up with the victor after

502
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:33,040
Speaker 1: election Day, is gonna blow people's minds. They because they

503
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:35,120
Speaker 1: they have to in their minds, because you know, he's

504
00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 1: Hitler and they're insane.

505
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:39,640
Speaker 2: Here's what I think is gonna happen, Buck, I think

506
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:44,120
Speaker 2: Trump's gonna win the popular vote. I don't just think

507
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:48,280
Speaker 2: Trump's gonna win the electoral College. I think that if

508
00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:52,160
Speaker 2: you guys keep showing up and voting. I think, for

509
00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:55,160
Speaker 2: the first time since two thousand and four, I think

510
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 2: I'm correcting this, Republicans will win the outright popular vote

511
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:02,880
Speaker 2: if the enthusiasm for Trump continues. I think the numbers

512
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:07,240
Speaker 2: in New York and California that typically inflate Democrat support

513
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 2: are not going to be as huge as they have

514
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:11,760
Speaker 2: in the past. I think if you guys keep and

515
00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:13,480
Speaker 2: again I the reason why I say if you guys

516
00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:15,800
Speaker 2: keep voting because I don't want I don't want anybody

517
00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:19,840
Speaker 2: that listens to us to hear anything on this program

518
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:24,000
Speaker 2: that makes you less likely to vote. I want you

519
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 2: going to vote no matter what you hear on this program,

520
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:31,480
Speaker 2: pro or con about anything. So go vote. But I

521
00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:34,960
Speaker 2: think if this, if this continues, I think Trump's gonna

522
00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:38,320
Speaker 2: win the popular vote. And I actually think buck if

523
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 2: that happens, they're going to say the only reason this

524
00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:46,440
Speaker 2: happened is they're gonna throw Kamala under the bus and

525
00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:50,000
Speaker 2: Biden and they're gonna say they screwed this up so

526
00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 2: bad that Trump managed to win, and they're gonna circle

527
00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:58,520
Speaker 2: fire at each other in a way that distracts from

528
00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:03,800
Speaker 2: what actually happened. What you were talking about is total

529
00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 2: annihilation of the UH combined enemy forces, if you will,

530
00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:15,120
Speaker 2: in military terms, and a complete victory. Interesting, You're you're

531
00:30:15,120 --> 00:30:16,960
Speaker 2: now even more I mean that is that is supreme.

532
00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:20,120
Speaker 2: You are supremely confident now I think Trump's gonna win.

533
00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:22,640
Speaker 2: I thought Trump's gonna win all along, especially against Kamala.

534
00:30:22,760 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 2: Not one day Kamala has been the nominee. Have I

535
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:28,000
Speaker 2: thought Trump was not going to win this election. However,

536
00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:31,040
Speaker 2: to win by the margins and by the numbers that

537
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:34,600
Speaker 2: that you're feeling right now, that is uh.

538
00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:36,280
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know how else to put it.

539
00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:38,959
Speaker 1: I mean, this is like this is like the Carthaginians

540
00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:40,360
Speaker 1: and the Romans at at any.

541
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:42,920
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not saying Trump's gonna win fifty five

542
00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:45,640
Speaker 2: forty five or something like that. I'm saying He's gonna win.

543
00:30:46,040 --> 00:30:50,800
Speaker 1: You know, popular vote is max that is max conceivable victory. Though,

544
00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:53,000
Speaker 1: if he wins the popular vote, and I think he's

545
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:54,200
Speaker 1: going on, I think he's gonna win that.

546
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:55,760
Speaker 2: And look, let me give him my logic here on

547
00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:58,240
Speaker 2: that buck, I think Kamala is only gonna win New

548
00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:01,440
Speaker 2: York by like ten. I think Trump is going to

549
00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:06,360
Speaker 2: win Texas and Florida, which now have massive populations, by

550
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:09,840
Speaker 2: approaching double digits. Maybe it's seven, maybe it's eight, whatever

551
00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:11,600
Speaker 2: it is to win Florida by nine or ten. I've

552
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 2: thought that all along. Toty agree and so that basically

553
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:18,640
Speaker 2: cancels out New York, right because if you let's say

554
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 2: he wins Florida by eight or nine losing, they're basically

555
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:25,600
Speaker 2: similar population, so that cancels that out. I actually think

556
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:30,200
Speaker 2: California is going to be huge for Kamala, but not

557
00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:35,280
Speaker 2: huge relative to traditional Democrat margins. In fact, I think

558
00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:39,560
Speaker 2: California is going to move right Texas huge population, going

559
00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:42,720
Speaker 2: to win Texas comfortably. All the states that Trump is

560
00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 2: going to win by and large, he's going to run

561
00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 2: up huge margins, and I just don't see the states

562
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:53,360
Speaker 2: where Kamala is going to blow out the numbers that

563
00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:56,960
Speaker 2: a Biden or a Hillary would have gotten. In fact,

564
00:31:57,080 --> 00:32:00,520
Speaker 2: I think she's going to do worse than both, certainly Biden,

565
00:32:00,760 --> 00:32:02,480
Speaker 2: but I think she's going to do worse than Hillary

566
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:06,720
Speaker 2: because honestly, she's a far worse candidate than Hillary Clinton is.

567
00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 1: I mean, let's be honest, she's the worst. She's the

568
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:16,640
Speaker 1: worst major party presidential candidate of my adult lifetime. I mean,

569
00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:20,160
Speaker 1: I can't really speak to do Kakey, you know what

570
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:22,479
Speaker 1: I mean, I was young, you know, what was it

571
00:32:22,560 --> 00:32:27,400
Speaker 1: like Clay? I can't, I can't remember. But in terms

572
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:30,360
Speaker 1: of once George W. Bush was on the scene to president.

573
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:34,280
Speaker 1: There hasn't been a weaker Democrat candidate in office, but

574
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:36,640
Speaker 1: we have a very different electorate though, right That's the

575
00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 1: only reason that this isn't a total It's not just

576
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 1: the candidate, it's the electorate. And Democrats have been changing

577
00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:44,720
Speaker 1: the electorate at a very rapid pace. Something we talk

578
00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:48,720
Speaker 1: about a lot with the illegal immigration, immigration in general,

579
00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:49,120
Speaker 1: all of it.

580
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:52,920
Speaker 2: So this past week I was up, in fact, this

581
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 2: past Tuesday, if I remember correctly, I was playing golf

582
00:32:56,320 --> 00:32:58,959
Speaker 2: at Liberty National to raise money for Tunnel to Towers,

583
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Speaker 2: one of the best charitable war organizations anywhere in the country.

584
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585
00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:07,360
Speaker 2: we lost on nine to eleven, as well as those

586
00:33:07,400 --> 00:33:10,400
Speaker 2: that have defended and protected our freedoms ever since. They

587
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:13,800
Speaker 2: do that by honoring military veterans like US Army specialist

588
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Speaker 2: Brett Minard. He's now living in a new, mortgage free

589
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Speaker 2: smart home in Florida. Brett was motivated by what happened

590
00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:22,520
Speaker 2: on nine to eleven. He enlisted in the US Army

591
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:25,959
Speaker 2: and while on a road clearance mission in Afghanistan, Brett's

592
00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:29,040
Speaker 2: vehicle was blown up by an improvised explosive device that's

593
00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:33,240
Speaker 2: an ied. The blast left Brett a paraplegic with traumatic

594
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Speaker 2: brain injury. Because of the support of friends like you,

595
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596
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597
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598
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599
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600
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Speaker 2: You don't know what's you don't know right, but you

601
00:33:58,800 --> 00:34:02,600
Speaker 2: could on the Today hang with Clay Buck Bodjazz, Welcome

602
00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:06,479
Speaker 2: back in Clay, Travis buck Sexton Show. Appreciate all of

603
00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 2: you hanging out with us. We've got talkback commentary from

604
00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:12,239
Speaker 2: many of you out there. We're going to hit a

605
00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:15,160
Speaker 2: couple of these in a sec. First, though, I love

606
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Speaker 2: what you guys are doing with Crockett coffee. I am

607
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Speaker 2: drinking it right now. Buck is drinking it as well.

608
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Speaker 2: Maybe you're feeling a little bit tired late night over

609
00:34:25,120 --> 00:34:28,719
Speaker 2: the weekend, maybe Tuesday for a little bit late. Maybe

610
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Speaker 2: you stayed up last night watching Monday night football as

611
00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:34,160
Speaker 2: I did. Maybe you had to get up early as

612
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Speaker 2: I did to get your kids off to school. Crockett

613
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614
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Speaker 2: autograph copy of my book. And I've got about one

617
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Speaker 2: hundred of them stacked up right now, Buck, that are

618
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619
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620
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Speaker 2: us on video, I love these blue pens. I'm not

621
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Speaker 2: even sure exactly what the type it is, but I

622
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623
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Speaker 2: Crocketcoffee dot Com. Go get signed up right now. Okay,

624
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:14,480
Speaker 2: what have we got Buck? In terms of the talkbacks here,

625
00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:15,280
Speaker 2: you just.

626
00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:17,400
Speaker 1: Just remind everyone if you want to send a talkback message,

627
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:19,680
Speaker 1: go to the iHeart app, go to clan Buck show

628
00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:22,840
Speaker 1: little microphone, press it, record it, send it in comes

629
00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:25,920
Speaker 1: right to us. Uh, this is ce or, this is

630
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:29,600
Speaker 1: number CC rather and it's listener Kathleen in New York City.

631
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:30,120
Speaker 1: Go for it.

632
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:33,000
Speaker 3: Hi, Buck, I need to know which Grizzly you have,

633
00:35:33,640 --> 00:35:37,040
Speaker 3: so I can buy one for my husband for Christmas.

634
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:40,520
Speaker 3: I don't know anything about guns, but i'd love your advice.

635
00:35:40,600 --> 00:35:46,800
Speaker 1: Thank you, So, Kathleen, I have the BC one, a

636
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:50,520
Speaker 1: Grizzly one O one. It's polymer. It's their first polymer handgun,

637
00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:52,320
Speaker 1: and I did go to the range this past weekend

638
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:54,279
Speaker 1: with it, and I will put up a little video

639
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:57,040
Speaker 1: of me. Now it's kind of fresh out of the box.

640
00:35:57,120 --> 00:35:59,360
Speaker 1: I've i'd fired it once before at the range or

641
00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:02,240
Speaker 1: maybe twice for at the range. But it steals sites.

642
00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:04,440
Speaker 1: Okay those because I know half of you're gonna say,

643
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:06,279
Speaker 1: all right, not bad shooting, and half of you gonna

644
00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:08,480
Speaker 1: make fun of me. But Clay there was like you

645
00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:10,200
Speaker 1: know when you're at the carnival, you have to shoot

646
00:36:10,239 --> 00:36:12,720
Speaker 1: down the things that you know, like the ducks or whatever.

647
00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:15,360
Speaker 1: It was that but with a real gun, and I

648
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:17,400
Speaker 1: went on a tear. It was bing, bing, bing, and

649
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:20,440
Speaker 1: I was hitting and then the last one with my Grizzly,

650
00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:23,440
Speaker 1: I could not get it to go down, and my

651
00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:26,640
Speaker 1: magazine ran dry. And my brothers are watching and they

652
00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:28,520
Speaker 1: like we were all teering up. It was so sad

653
00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:32,760
Speaker 1: for me. But it's very accurate, very accurate, great handgun.

654
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:34,359
Speaker 1: We'll put that video up by the way, so some

655
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:36,160
Speaker 1: of you can say not bad bucking, and half of

656
00:36:36,200 --> 00:36:37,839
Speaker 1: you are just gonna make fun of me, like, oh,

657
00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:40,400
Speaker 1: how could you miss the last one? Whatever, I'm not

658
00:36:40,480 --> 00:36:41,560
Speaker 1: a great shot. I'm okay.

659
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:44,759
Speaker 2: When we come back, we'll take some more of your

660
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:46,680
Speaker 2: calls eight hundred and two A two two eight A

661
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:48,600
Speaker 2: two if you want to get our take. As we

662
00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:51,440
Speaker 2: sit here exactly two weeks out from the election, we'll

663
00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:54,600
Speaker 2: continue to share the latest data with you, and we're

664
00:36:54,640 --> 00:36:59,040
Speaker 2: gonna go up to Michigan, battleground state Mike Rogers running

665
00:36:59,080 --> 00:36:59,480
Speaker 2: for office.

666
00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:00,239
Speaker 1: There we'll talk for the